Monday, January 27, 2020

Eyeing a cure: Scientists examine strategies to end the global HIV/AIDS pandemic


Microscopic image of an HIV-infected T cell. Credit: NIAID
As infectious diseases that are new to science continue emerging around the world, researchers have not forgotten older foes, and are doubling down on efforts to conquer them. For HIV/AIDS, they've begun looking toward a cure.
Writing in the journal Nature, a team of three infectious disease experts from the United States and abroad assessed potential drug candidates in the pharmaceutical pipeline that might eradicate the virus. Their aim was deceptively simple—to underscore why and where a cure is needed and how it might be achieved.
A key take-home message from the authors, who hail from the University of California, San Francisco, the African Research Institute in Durban, South Africa, and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation in Seattle, was that much of the HIV cure research is underway in countries where HIV/AIDS doesn't dominate vital statistics.
"Cure research remains focused in academic medical centers located in low-HIV-burden, resource-rich countries," wrote Dr. Steven G. Deeks of UC San Francisco, who along with his two colleagues, contend that cutting-edge innovation must take into account the needs and economies of people who need it most.
"There has been limited public discussion on the practicalities of product development, particularly as they relate to sub-Saharan Africa," Deeks, and his colleagues Dr. Thumbi Ndung'u of the African Research Institute and Joseph M. McCune of the Gates Foundation noted. "Failure early on to define a target product-profile risks developing a strategy that fails to be effective."
The vast majority of global HIV/AIDS cases are concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa, according to the World Health Organization, where an estimated 65 percent of new infections and 75 percent of deaths caused by the virus occur. No other region of the world has greater need for a cure, experts say.
Hopes of snuffing out the viral cause of the global epidemic have emerged in earnest as scientists have begun testing variations on cancer immunotherapy and other groundbreaking approaches. Among evolving techniques under investigation is use of the gene-editing tool CRISPR-Cas9.
In October, scientists at the Gladstone Institutes in San Francisco reported in the journal Cell on a novel version of CAR-T cell therapy as a method of tackling HIV-infected cells.
CAR-T therapy is used to treat cancers of the blood by supercharging a patient's own T cells in a lab. The T cells are re-infused into the patient as emboldened fighters capable of zeroing in on a specific cancer biomarker. With HIV, Gladstone researchers are supercharging immune cells and proteins to seek out latent HIV that's hiding in the body, eluding detection by the immune system.
The Gladstone research and emerging technologies are offering fresh approaches to an infectious disease that has claimed 32 million lives globally since 1981, according to WHO. In the United States alone, 700,000 people have lost their lives to HIV within the same time period, data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show.
Although current antiretroviral therapy (ART) has allowed many patients to reduce viremia—the amount of virus in the blood—to undetectable levels, the medications are not cures, despite their effectiveness. Deeks and colleagues who analyzed HIV-treatment technologies in the journal Nature say emerging treatments aimed at curing HIV must be practical as well as effective.
ART therapies, for example, can number as few as a single pill per day. But while the treatment can decrease viral load to infinitesimal levels, the expense of daily lifelong medication necessitates the need for a cure, the three researchers contend.
Assessment of potential cures by Deeks and his co-authors included several possibilities that ranged from gene modification to cell therapy, among others. CRISPR-based approaches could be designed to target and excise the integrated provirus, and likely would be curative, the scientists predicted.
But the new technology is being pursued amid a staggering statistic: Despite tens of millions of HIV infections worldwide since the 1980s, only two people to date have been declared cured of the disease. Both are known by the cities where their cures occurred: The Berlin Patient and the London Patient.
Each underwent a , a treatment that is expensive, highly specialized and required meeting strict criteria. Bone marrow transplants are not a feasible method for addressing HIV, doctors say.
As it turned out, neither patient underwent bone marrow transplantation with the aim of being cured of HIV. Both were infused with donor bone marrow to treat cancer of the blood. Both disorders—their cancers and the HIV—went into remission. The HIV cures for both patients came as a surprise, doctors for the two patients have said.
The Berlin Patient was declared cured in 2007; the London Patient in 2019. The case study of the London patient was reported at the Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections, which was held in Seattle last March.
As scientists move forward on a variety of cure-oriented research projects, it is important not to repeat past inequities should a  emerge, according to the report in Nature.
"Only 60 percent of people who live with HIV [worldwide] currently receive antiretroviral therapy," Deeks and his colleagues wrote in the journal.
The remaining 40 percent, which amounts to millions of people, are intermittently treated or go without medication altogether. That vast swath of patients largely resides in the Southern Hemisphere.

Hundreds of Amazon employees criticize firm's climate stance

BEZOS DECLARES THIS AN ILLEGAL ACTIVITY BY STAFF



Amazon is frequently criticized over its carbon footprint due to its road transport network and server farms for its cloud computing activities
Hundreds of Amazon employees Sunday openly criticized the online retail giant's environmental record, in violation of the company's communications policy.
More than 300 signed a Medium blog post by Amazon Employees for Climate Justice (AECJ), which is pushing the company to go further in its  mitigation plan which was announced with great publicity in September.
Group members have publicly criticized the company, and some have been warned that they could be fired.
"The protest is the largest action by employees since Amazon began threatening to fire workers for speaking out about Amazon's role in the climate crisis," the AECJ said.
"As Amazon workers, we are responsible for not only the success of the company, but its impact as well. It's our  to speak up, and the changes to the communications policy are censoring us from exercising that responsibility," said Sarah Tracy, a software development engineer at Amazon.
It is common for companies to demand restraint from employees when it comes to publicly discussing the firm's activities and even more so when openly questioning them.
Amazon had nearly 650,000 permanent employees at the end of 2018, according to the company's .
While the environment and climate change was the focus of many of the posts on Sunday, Amazon was also criticized for other activities such as providing artificial intelligence capabilities to companies in the oil sector.
Amazon is often criticized over its  because of the high energy consumption of its huge server farms for its lucrative cloud computing activities.
And it has built its success on the back of a huge road transport logistics network to ensure speedy deliveries, which generates a lot of greenhouse gases, the main culprit of climate change.
Amazon founder Jeff Bezos on September 19 last year made public environmental commitments, promising in particular that the firm would be carbon neutral by 2040.
The AECJ said this was insufficient and Amazon should be aiming for a 2030 target.
"This is not the time for silencing voices. We need policies that welcome more open discourse, more problem-solving, and more urgent and concerted action about climate change and its causes," said Mark Hiew, a senior marketing manager at Amazon.
Amazon did not respond to an AFP request for a response but an article in the Bezos-owned Washington Post quoted spokesman Drew Herdener as saying Amazon encouraged employees to express themselves, but internally through the various platforms available to them.



MICRO DOSING

Can lithium halt progression of Alzheimer's disease?

A LOOK AT AN OLD TREATMENT 

Credit: CC0 Public Domain
There remains a controversy in scientific circles today regarding the value of lithium therapy in treating Alzheimer's disease. Much of this stems from the fact that because the information gathered to date has been obtained using a multitude of differential approaches, conditions, formulations, timing and dosages of treatment, results are difficult to compare. In addition, continued treatments with high dosage of lithium render a number of serious adverse effects making this approach impracticable for long term treatments especially in the elderly.
In a new study, however, a team of researchers at McGill University led by Dr. Claudio Cuello of the Department of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, has shown that, when given in a formulation that facilitates passage to the brain, lithium in doses up to 400 times lower than what is currently being prescribed for mood disorders is capable of both halting signs of advanced Alzheimer's pathology such as  and of recovering lost cognitive abilities. The findings are published in the most recent edition of the Journal of Alzheimer's Disease.
Building on their previous work
"The recruitment of Edward Wilson, a graduate student with a solid background in psychology, made all the difference," explains Dr. Cuello, the study's senior author, reflecting on the origins of this work. With Wilson, they first investigated the conventional lithium formulation and applied it initially in rats at a dosage similar to that used in clinical practice for mood disorders. The results of the initial tentative studies with conventional lithium formulations and dosage were disappointing however, as the rats rapidly displayed a number of adverse effects. The research avenue was interrupted but renewed when an encapsulated lithium formulation was identified that was reported to have some  in a Huntington  mouse model.
The new lithium formulation was then applied to a rat transgenic model expressing human mutated proteins causative of Alzheimer's, an animal model they had created and characterized. This rat develops features of the human Alzheimer's disease, including a progressive accumulation of amyloid plaques in the brain and concurrent cognitive deficits.
"Microdoses of lithium at concentrations hundreds of times lower than applied in the clinic for  were administered at early amyloid pathology stages in the Alzheimer's-like transgenic rat. These results were remarkably positive and were published in 2017 in Translational Psychiatry and they stimulated us to continue working with this approach on a more advanced pathology," notes Dr. Cuello.
Encouraged by these earlier results, the researchers set out to apply the same lithium formulation at later stages of the disease to their transgenic rat modelling neuropathological aspects of Alzheimer's disease. This study found that beneficial outcomes in diminishing pathology and improving cognition can also be achieved at more advanced stages, akin to late preclinical stages of the disease, when amyloid plaques are already present in the brain and when cognition starts to decline.
"From a practical point of view our findings show that microdoses of lithium in formulations such as the one we used, which facilitates passage to the brain through the brain-blood barrier while minimizing levels of lithium in the blood, sparing individuals from adverse effects, should find immediate therapeutic applications," says Dr. Cuello. "While it is unlikely that any medication will revert the irreversible brain damage at the clinical stages of Alzheimer's it is very likely that a treatment with microdoses of encapsulated lithium should have tangible beneficial effects at early, preclinical stages of the disease."
Moving forward
Dr. Cuello sees two avenues to build further on these most recent findings. The first involves investigating combination therapies using this  formulation in concert with other interesting drug candidates. To that end he is pursuing opportunities working with Dr. Sonia Do Carmo, the Charles E. Frosst-Merck Research Associate in his lab.
He also believes that there is an excellent opportunity to launch initial clinical trials of this formulation with populations with detectable preclinical Alzheimer's pathology or with populations genetically predisposed to Alzheimer's, such as adult individuals with Down Syndrome. While many pharmaceutical companies have moved away from these types of trials, Dr. Cuello is hopeful of finding industrial or financial partners to make this happen, and, ultimately, provide a glimmer of hope for an effective treatment for those suffering from Alzheimer's disease.
"NP03, a Microdose Lithium Formulation, Blunts Early Amyloid Post-Plaque Neuropathology in McGill-R-Thy1-APP Alzheimer-Like Transgenic Rats," by Wilson, Do Carmo, Cuello, et al. was published online on December 16, 2019 in the Journal of Alzheimer's Disease



Privatization, Repression, and Revolts
Dispatches from Pepper Spray University:Privatization, Repression, and Revolts



©2012 The American Studies Association
Sunaina Maira and Julie Sze 


The spaces we live in are broken: occupation is our defense. As capital spirals further into crisis, we are constantly confronted with the watchword of austerity. We are meant to imagine a vast, empty vault where our sad but inevitable futures lie. But we are not so naïve. Just as Wall Street functions on perpetually revolving credit markets where cash is merely a blip, so also does our state government. High tuition increases have been made necessary not by shrinking savings, but by a perpetually expanding bond market, organized by the UC Regents, enforced through increasing tuition and growing student loan debt. Growth has become a caricature of itself, as the future is sold on baseless expanding credit from capitalist to capitalist. Our future is broken. We are the crisis. Our-occupations are the expressions of that crisis.—Communiqué from the Occupied Crush Culture Center, UC Davis

Special Issue: The University in Crisis, Issue, 2010


Dispatches from Pepper Spray University: Privatization, Repression, and Revolts Sunaina Maira, Julie Sze American Quarterly, ... and Revolts Sunaina Maira, Julie Sze American Quarterly, Volume 64, Number 2, June 2012, pp. ... 315 Privatization, Repression, and Revolts ©2012 The American Studies Association ...

Dec 13, 2019 - Julie Sze is a Professor of American Studies at UC Davis. She is ... from the UC Humanities Institute, the American Studies Association, and the AAUW. ... (#28) Sunaina Maira and Julie Sze, Dispatches from Pepper-Spray University: Privatization, Repression, and Revolts. American Quarterly, June 2012.

It may appear today as if UC Davis offers Ethnic Studies programs in the effort to match ... of the social, cultural, and material conditions that contribute to, and arise from, ethnic associations and formations. ... Sunaina Maira and Julie Sze. “Dispatches from Pepper Spray University: Privatization, Repression, and Revolts.

Recently, Julie Sze and Sunaina Maira, the authors of a 2012 American Quarterly ... from Pepper Spray University: Privatization, Repression, and Revolts,” were ...

May 14, 2014 - Sunaina Maira and Piya Chatterjee (SM and PC): One of the ... given the AAUP's censure of the American Studies Association for ... Piya: 19 January 2012. ... [1] See Sunaina Maira and Julie Sze, “Dispatches from Pepper-Spray University: Privatization, Repression, and Revolts,” American Quarterly 64, no.
by N Greyser - ‎Cited by 1 - ‎Related articles
Association. ... Studies” (2012) and “Affective Geographies: Sojourner Truth's Narrative, ... interdisciplinary fields—fields like American studies, women's and gender ... and the University of California” and Sunaina Maira and Julie Sze, “Dispatches from Pepper Spray University: Privatization, Repression, and Revolts,” both in ...

[PDF]
Counterpoints 410: 151-169; Maira, Sunaina and Julie Sze. 2012. “Dispatches from Pepper Spray University: Privatization, Repression, and. Revolts.” American ...
Nov 21, 2011 - By Maria L. La Ganga and Larry Gordon, Los Angeles Times ... As outrage mounted over police use of pepper spray on nonviolent student ... controversy about the forceful response by university police to student protesters. ... Julie Sze, associate professor of American Studies, brought her sign-waving ...




 1919
 Britain's forgotten revolution: Incredible, '1919: Britain's Year of Revolution', which features black and white photographs of tanks on the streets and warships, including HMS Valiant – one o the most formidable battleships of its time – moored in the Mersey, Liverpool. 





Photos also show how in Luton, the town hall was burned down before troops were able to regain control and in Epsom, Sergeant Thomas Green was killed - becoming the first police officer to die in a riot in the 20th Century. 

On the August Bank Holiday in 1919, the government in London dispatched tanks to the northern city of Liverpool in an overwhelming show of force
Glasgow, January 1919: The arrest of David Kirkwood, an active member of the Union of Democratic Control who was opposed to Britain's involvement in WW1. Police broke up an open air trade union meeting at George Square and leaders of the union were arrested and charged with 'instigating and inciting large crowds of persons to form part of a riotous mob'
The red flag is pictured here being raised in Glasgow in January 1919, shortly before troops were sent in to control the crowds
The towering HMS Valiant – one of the most formidable battleships of its time – can be seen moored in the Mersey, Liverpool, as battleships were deployed against British trade unionist and Communist crowds

THE RIOTS OF 1919: WARSHIPS DISPATCHED AND TANKS ARRIVE AS ANGRY MOBS SPILL INTO STREETS 

Left, Winston Churchill, who served as Secretary of State for War from 10 January 1919 until 13 February 1921 and right, Prime Minister David Lloyd George who was in the post at the time, from 1916 to 1922

The riots of 1919 saw angry mobs consisting of striking rail workers miners and police, clashing with soldiers in the streets.

However, the events of this year are often forgotten in the history books - overshadowed by the first and second world wars. 

Life after the First World War for everyone was tough and Britain found itself in a perilous state - there was a lack of food, young men had perished as they fought for their country and lives had been lost throughout the battle.

Riots saw widespread mutinies in the Army, tanks brought onto the streets to crush workers' uprisings and troops imposing martial law on the Befordshire town of Luton. 

The Royal Navy were called in to occupy the port of Mersey in Liverpool, which came under siege from mobs the Army was unable to contain. 

This took place against the background of a British invasion of Russia and fears in the Government that a revolution was imminent. 

Indeed, the precarious situation the United Kingdom found itself in in 1919 was exacerbated by the attacks on, and invasion of Russia which the British had launched the previous year. 

A headline from the Manchester Guardian of August 4, 1919, read: 'TROOPS FIRE OVER PILLAGING CROWDS, WARSHIPS DESPATCHED: TANKS ARRIVE'.

The unrest reached such a pitch that Prime Minister Lloyd George candidly told a deputation of strikers in the spring of 1919 that they were in a stronger position than the Government itself, and if they wanted, they could take over the running of the country. 

It appeared that Britain could be on the verge of transforming itself from a constitutional monarchy and liberal democracy, into a Soviet-style People's Republic. 
However, in the early 1920s the mood shifted away from revolution and overthrowing the Government in a bloody revolt. There were wars abroad - in Iraq and Afghanistan - and a threat of terrorism coming from Ireland on the form of Sinn Fein. The riots therefore subdued as more immediate threats from abroad presented themselves. 

RACE RIOTS

1919 also saw a series of race riots which came in the wake of the First World War as the surplus of labour led to dissatisfaction among Britain’s workers, in particular seamen

This led to the outbreak of rioting between white and minority workers in Britain’s major seaports, from January to August 1919. 

Race riots broke out in Liverpool, London and seven other major ports. In some cases, Afro- and Caribbean British were competing with Swedish immigrant workers, and both with native men from the British Isles.

Along with African, Afro-Caribbean, Chinese and Arab sailors, South Asians were targeted because of the highly competitive nature of the job market and the perception that these minorities were ‘stealing’ the jobs that should belong to white indigenous British workers. 

The housing shortage due to a lack of materials and labour during the war exacerbated the situation.

POLICE STRIKES

The Police Strikes of 1918 and 1919 prompted the government to put before Parliament its proposals for a Police Act, which established the Police Federation of England and Wales as the representative body for the police. 

The act barred police from belonging to a trade union or affiliating with any other trade union body. 

The act was passed in response to the formation of the National Union of Police and Prison Officers (NUPPO). A successful police strike in 1918 and another strike in June 1919 led to the suppression of the union by the government. 

On 1 August 1919, the Police Act of 1919 passed into law.
A soldier and tank in the centre of Liverpool during the riots of August 1919: Industrial unrest and mutiny in the armed forces combined together to produce the fear that Britain was facing the same kind of situation which had led to the Russian Revolution two years earlier
Glasgow's indoor cattle market was turned into a makeshift tank and weaponry depot following the rioting in the city
Troops and police stand in solidarity on duty together on the streets of Glasgow, amid ongoing Communist riots in 1919
The burned out shell of Luton Town Hall after the riots: In the summer of 1919, the hall was burned down by rioters, before the army was brought in to restore order
Sergeant Thomas Green was the first police officer to be killed in a riot in 20th Century Britain. The 51-year-old was fatally wounded when he was hit on the head with an iron bar during the Epsom Riot and died in Epsom Hospital the next day
Police officers on strike in London in 1919: To some observers, it seemed only a matter of time before Britain transformed itself from a constitutional monarchy into a Soviet Republic
Damage to shops near Kinmel camp after the riot and gun battle: 


On 4 and 5 March 1919, Kinmel Park in 
Bodelwyddan, near Abergele, north Wales, experienced two 
days of riots in the Canadian sector
 of the military complex


The book, '1919 Britain's Year of Revolution' by Simon Webb
The aftermath of the rioting at Kinmel, which cost five soldier's lives - but historians still do not know exactly what happened and who killed the five men images show tanks on the streets as striking workers in 1919 raised fears UK would go the same way as Russia had two years earlier 

It is a somewhat forgotten passage in British history, when the Government had to use heavy handed tactics by deploying warships, tanks and troops to the UK's streets because of social unrest after the First World War.

These incredible images reveal how, in 1919, striking workers brought chaos to cities across the country and forced Downing Street to use unprecedented force against its own citizens.

The Army had to be called in because police officers were among those on strike - with soldiers deployed to suppress disorder as fierce and violent riots involving British trade unionist and Communist crowds wreaked havoc.Details of the uprising are revealed in a new book.



The little-known true story of rioting and rebellion among British veterans and workers after the end of World War I.
 
On the August Bank Holiday of 1919, the government in London dispatched warships to the northern city of Liverpool in an overwhelming show of force. Thousands of troops, backed by tanks, had been trying without success to suppress disorder on the streets.
 
Earlier that year in London, a thousand soldiers had marched on Downing Street before being disarmed by a battalion of the Grenadier Guards loyal to the government. In Luton that summer, the town hall was burned down by rioters before the army was brought in to restore order, and in Glasgow, artillery and tanks were positioned in the center of the city to deter what the secretary of state for Scotland described as a Bolshevik uprising.
 
Industrial unrest and mutiny in the armed forces combined to produce the fear that Britain was facing, the same kind of situation which had led to the Russian Revolution two years earlier. Drawing chiefly upon contemporary sources, this book describes the sequence of events which looked as though they might be the precursor to a revolution along the lines of those sweeping across Europe at that time. To some observers, it seemed only a matter of time before Britain transformed itself from a constitutional monarchy into a Soviet Republic.
 
“An extraordinary tale.” —Battlefield

Review

'As ever, Webb proves himself to be a consummate researcher, turning back time to allow modern readers to develop an understanding of past events. With so much focus on World War I in recent years due to centenary commemorations, it's fascinating to see how the conflict shaped and changed the country.' (Essex Life Magazine)

"All in all, it is an extraordinary tale that is well told with a clear and readable style. Webb makes a convincing case for the idea that a revolution might have been on the cards in this country a year after the Great War ended, however fanciful this might seem to some readers." (Battlefield: the Magazine of the Battlefields Trust, Spring 2017)

A fantastic insight into the tumult that existed as the British ruling class pushed back against the unrest which World War One and the Russian revolution had unleashed (The Socialist)

About the Author

Simon Webb is the author of a number of non-fiction books, ranging from academic works on education to popular history. He works as a consultant on the subject of capital punishment to television companies and filmmakers and also writes for various magazines and newspapers; including the Times Educational Supplement, Daily Telegraph and the Guardian.
https://www.amazon.com/1919-Britains-Revolution-Simon-Webb-ebook/dp/B01N0ZBVPZ












Sunday, January 26, 2020

Commercial air travel is safer than ever, study finds


Commercial air travel is safer than ever, study finds
Air-traffic controllers working at Heathrow airport in London. A new study by Arnold Barnett, the George Eastman Professor of Management at the MIT Sloan School of Management, finds that air travel has reached its highest level of safety over the last decade. Credit: NATS-UK
It has never been safer to fly on commercial airlines, according to a new study by an MIT professor that tracks the continued decrease in passenger fatalities around the globe.

The study finds that between 2008 and 2017, airline passenger fatalities fell significantly compared to the previous decade, as measured per individual passenger boardings—essentially the aggregate number of passengers. Globally, that rate is now one  per 7.9 million passenger boardings, compared to one death per 2.7 million boardings during the period 1998-2007, and one death per 1.3 million boardings during 1988-1997.
Going back further, the commercial airline fatality risk was one death per 750,000 boardings during 1978-1987, and one death per 350,000 boardings during 1968-1977.
"The worldwide risk of being killed had been dropping by a factor of two every decade," says Arnold Barnett, an MIT scholar who has published a new paper summarizing the study's results. "Not only has that continued in the last decade, the [latest] improvement is closer to a factor of three. The pace of improvement has not slackened at all even as flying has gotten ever safer and further gains become harder to achieve. That is really quite impressive and is important for people to bear in mind."
The paper, "Aviation Safety: A Whole New World?" was published online this month in Transportation Science. Barnett is the sole author.
The new research also reveals that there is discernible regional variation in airline safety around the world. The study finds that the nations housing the lowest-risk airlines are the U.S., the members of the European Union, China, Japan, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Israel. The aggregate fatality risk among those nations was one death per 33.1 million passenger boardings during 2008-2017.
For airlines in a second set of countries, which Barnett terms the "advancing" set with an intermediate risk level, the rate is one death per 7.4 million boardings during 2008-2017. This group—comprising countries that are generally rapidly industrializing and have recently achieved high overall life expectancy and GDP per capita—includes many countries in Asia as well as some countries in South America and the Middle East.
For a third and higher-risk set of developing countries, including some in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, the death risk during 2008-2017 was one per 1.2 million passenger boardings—an improvement from one death per 400,000 passenger boardings during 1998-2007.
"The two most conspicuous changes compared to previous decades were sharp improvements in China and in Eastern Europe," says Barnett, who is the George Eastman Professor of Management at the MIT Sloan School of Management. In those places, he notes, had safety achievements in the last decade that were strong even within the lowest-risk group of countries.
Overall, Barnett suggests, the rate of fatalities has declined far faster than public fears about flying.
"Flying has gotten safer and safer," Barnett says. "It's a factor of 10 safer than it was 40 years ago, although I bet anxiety levels have not gone down that much. I think it's good to have the facts."
Barnett is a long-established expert in the field of  and risk, whose work has helped contextualize accident and safety statistics. Whatever the absolute numbers of air crashes and fatalities may be—and they fluctuate from year to year—Barnett has sought to measure those numbers against the growth of air travel.
To conduct the current study, Barnett used data from a number of sources, including the Flight Safety Foundation's Aviation Safety Network Accident Database. He mostly used data from the World Bank, based on information from the International Civil Aviation Organization, to measure the number of passengers carried, which is now roughly 4 billion per year.
In the paper, Barnett discusses the pros and cons of some alternative metrics that could be used to evaluate commercial air safety, including deaths per flight and deaths per  miles traveled. He prefers to use deaths per  because, as he writes in the paper, "it literally reflects the fraction of passengers who perished during air journeys."
The new paper also includes historical data showing that even in today's higher-risk areas for commercial aviation, the fatality rate is better, on aggregate, than it was in the leading air-travel countries just a few decades in the past.
"The risk now in the higher-risk countries is basically the risk we used to have 40-50 years ago" in the safest air-travel countries, Barnett notes.
Barnett readily acknowledges that the paper is evaluating the overall numbers, and not providing a causal account of the air-safety trend; he says he welcomes further research attempting to explain the reasons for the continued gains in air safety.
In the paper, Barnett also notes that year-to-year air fatality numbers have notable variation. In 2017, for instance, just 12 people died in the process of air travel, compared to 473 in 2018.
"Even if the overall trend line is [steady], the numbers will bounce up and down," Barnett says. For that reason, he thinks looking at trends a decade at a time is a better way of grasping the full trajectory of commercial airline .
On a personal level, Barnett says he understands the kinds of concerns people have about airline travel. He began studying the subject partly because of his own worries about flying, and quips that he was trying to "sublimate my fears in a way that might be publishable."
Those kinds of instinctive fears may well be natural, but Barnett says he hopes that his work can at least build public knowledge about the facts and put them into perspective for people who are afraid of airplane accidents.
"The risk is so low that being afraid to fly is a little like being afraid to go into the supermarket because the ceiling might collapse," Barnett says.

London police to use face scan tech, stoking privacy fears

London police to use face scan tech, stoking privacy fears
In this file photo dated Wednesday, March 28, 2012, a security cctv camera is seen by the Olympic Stadium at the Olympic Park in London. The South Wales police deployed facial recognition surveillance equipment on Sunday Jan. 12, 2020, in a test to monitor crowds arriving for a weekend soccer match in real-time, that is prompting public debate about possible aggressive uses of facial recognition in Western democracies, raising questions about human rights and how the technology may enter people's daily lives in the future. (AP Photo/Sang Tan, FILE)
London police will start using facial recognition cameras to pick out suspects from street crowds in real time, in a major advance for the controversial technology that raises worries about automated surveillance and erosion of privacy rights.
The Metropolitan Police Service said Friday that after a series of trials, the cameras will be put to work within a month in operational deployments of around 5-6 hours at potential crime hotspots. The locations would be chosen based on intelligence but the police did not say where, the number of places, or how many cameras would be deployed.
Real-time crowd surveillance by British police is among the more aggressive uses of facial recognition in wealthy democracies and raises questions about how the technology will enter people's daily lives. Authorities and private companies are eager to use facial recognition but rights groups say it threatens civil liberties and represents an expansion of surveillance.
London's decision to use the technology defies warnings from rights groups, lawmakers and independent experts, Amnesty International researcher Anna Bacciarelli said.
"Facial recognition technology poses a huge threat to human rights, including the rights to privacy, non-discrimination, freedom of expression, association and peaceful assembly," Bacciarelli said.
London police said the facial recognition system, which runs on technology from Japan's NEC, looks for faces in crowds to see if they match any on "watchlists" of up to 2,500 people wanted for serious and violent offences, including gun and knife crimes and child sexual exploitation.
"As a modern police force, I believe that we have a duty to use new technologies to keep people safe in London," Assistant Commissioner Nick Ephgrave said in a statement.
The British have long become accustomed to video surveillance, with cameras used in public spaces for decades by security forces fighting terror threats. Real-time monitoring will put that tolerance to the test.
London is the sixth most monitored city in the world, with nearly 628,000 surveillance cameras, according to a report by Comparitech.
London's move comes after a British High Court ruling last year cleared a similar deployment by South Wales police, which has been using it since 2017 to monitor big events like soccer games, royal visits and airshows. That system deleted people's biometric data automatically after scanning.
Britain's privacy commissioner, Elizabeth Denham, who had warned police not to take that ruling as a blanket approval, struck a cautious tone on Friday.
She said that while London police have stated they're putting safeguards and transparency in place to protect privacy and human rights, "it is difficult to comment further on this until we have an actual deployment and we are able to scrutinize the details of that deployment."
Signs will warn passersby about the cameras and officers will pass out leaflets with more information, the police said, adding that the system isn't linked to any other surveillance systems.
London police previously carried out a series of trial deployments that they say identified 7 out of 10 wanted suspects who walked past the camera while only incorrectly flagging up 1 in 1,000 people. But an independent review last year by University of Essex professors questioned that, saying the trials raised concerns about their legal basis and the equipment's accuracy, with only 8 of 42 matches verified as correct.
Pete Fussey, a University of Essex professor who co-authored the report, said NEC has upgraded its algorithm since then, but there's evidence that the technology isn't 100% accurate, pointing to a recent U.S. government lab's test of nearly 200 algorithms that found most have ethnic bias.
"If you're using the algorithm you should be aware of its shortcomings," he said. "It's vanishingly unlikely that NEC's algorithm will be effective across all ethnic categories."
UK police use of facial recognition tests public's tolerance

Bosses using tech to spy on staff is becoming the norm, so here's a realistic way of handling it

Bosses using tech to spy on staff is becoming the norm, so here's a realistic way of handling it
Gotcha. Credit: Lightspring
Workplace surveillance sounds like the stuff of nightmares, but we are having to get used to it. In a sign of the times, the European Court of Human Rights has just ruled that a supermarket in Barcelona was entitled to fire employees after catching them stealing on CCTV cameras that they didn't know were installed. This overturned a decision by the court's lower chamber that the cameras had breached the employees' human rights.
Yet hidden cameras are almost quaint compared to some of the ways in which employers are now monitoring their staff. They are resorting to everything from software that digitally scans workers' emails to smart name badges that track their whereabouts. There are even head scanners in development that can monitor workers' levels of concentration. According to one recent analysis, around half of employers are using some form of non-traditional surveillance on staff, and the numbers are growing fast.
Even tech employees are getting worried—witness Google workers recently accusing their employer of building a browser extension to automatically notify managers about anyone attempting to arrange staff meetings. They claimed that it was intended to prevent staff from potentially trying to form a union. The company denied the accusations.
But if high-tech workplace surveillance is looking more and more unavoidable, what should we do about it? Before we go any further down this road, it's time to weigh up the possibilities.
The Man is everywhere
Many fear that technologies like wearable tech, digital cameras and artificial intelligence are turbocharging staff monitoring. Some would probably ban such practices outright. After all, most of us want to be free to do our work as we see fit. Yet in reality, employers have always monitored how workers perform. Why ban the new technology and not all such practices? The obvious answer is that we can't: if all forms of monitoring were banned, how would organizations even function?
Even just to repel the newer forms of workplace surveillance will require huge sustained pressure on politicians and corporations. This seems unlikely, particularly when the culture is already established: most of us are willing to share our lives with the world via social media and allow tech corporations to harvest the data in exchange.
One compromise might be to only allow workplace surveillance where workers opt in. But what would stop employers from insisting that workers sign a consent form as a requirement of the job? You could ban companies from making this mandatory, but it probably wouldn't work. Workers would still fear that not signing would reduce their job security and cause them to miss out on promotions and other opportunities.
What about regulating the technology? Allowing it only to enhance employee wellbeing and not to monitor productivity, for instance. Such rules might be possible, but they will mean difficult compromises. One option would be to allow employees access to whatever information is gathered on them, for example.
On balance, well designed regulations and constant vigilance against abuses and workers' rights being eroded is probably about the best we can hope for. Just as you can't uninvent the atom bomb, you can't easily put surveillance technology back in its box. If this sounds very stoical, it is also worth reflecting on a few possible consolations.
Bosses using tech to spy on staff is becoming the norm, so here's a realistic way of handling it
Big Brother is paying you. Credit: Brian A Jackson
Diamonds in the dirt?
The firms that develop surveillance software often emphasize the potential for tracking employer wellbeing. We shouldn't dismiss this too easily. Is it possible that it could catch instances where workers are unhappy or depressed and enable an employer to react appropriately, for example? Could it even spot someone who is suicidal and help instigate a crucial intervention?
Equally, some uses of new technology might actually be less objectionable than existing practices. If AI is being used to monitor your facial expressions or to gauge your attitude from the tone of your voice, it might have fewer biases than a human manager. It won't make judgments because it is feeling threatened or doesn't like you and it certainly won't be lecherous towards you. It might just be that workers can learn to play these things to their advantage.
Also, let's not forget that the main aim of monitoring employees is to make them more productive. People might actually be willing to sign up for some form of high-tech monitoring if they knew it was likely to improve their productivity. If it showed them ways to make more money for every hour they worked, for example, that might be attractive to them. There might be an analogy here in the ways in which athletes use different monitors to improve their performance.
If people were made more productive in enough workplaces, it should increase national and even global economic productivity. This is what drives economic growth. It should then lead to higher pay, greater profits and more reinvestment in jobs and innovation.
You might counter that these economic gains will be concentrated towards the few, trickling up rather than down. The rest of us might just feel more observed and more stressed. This is certainly a risk. But maybe it could be mitigated if the monitoring also underpinned a more progressive tax system that redistributed the gains from this technology to lower paid workers.
I have argued elsewhere that it would be better to tax people according to their hourly income than their annual earnings. For reasons I explain here, it would allow you to pay higher wages to lower paid workers and to put a greater share of the tax burden on higher paid workers without taking away their incentive to work harder.
One of the main objections to such a system is that it's hard to check whether everyone is working the number of hours that they claim. Government access to workplace surveillance data could be used to verify this. And this takes me back to my broader point: if we can't beat the rise of employee surveillance, we must find ways to make the best of it instead. The  tends to lead the way in developing and exploiting technology for profit; workplace  could be harnessed to distribute economic gains more equitably.
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