Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Mapped: US mineral production value by state in 2022

Visual Capitalist - Elements | March 21, 2023 | 

US states ranked by the value of their mineral production

The US produced $98.2 billion worth of nonfuel minerals in 2022, but which states made up the majority of the mining?


This map uses data from the USGS to map and rank US states by the value of their nonfuel mineral production in 2022.

The ranking takes into account the mining of nonfuel minerals that are split into two main categories: metallic minerals (like gold, copper, or silver), and industrial minerals (like phosphate rock, various types of clay, and crushed stone).
The top mineral-producing states in the US

Arizona tops the list of mineral-producing states, with $10.1 billion worth of minerals which account for 10.3% of the US total, largely due to the state’s prolific copper production. The state of Arizona accounted for around 70% of domestic copper production in 2022, and as a result also produces large amounts of molybdenum as a byproduct.

The state of Nevada was the next top mineral producer at $8.9 billion worth of minerals, thanks to its longstanding leadership in gold mining (accounting for 72% of US gold production in 2022) and by having the only operating lithium project in America.

States in the Western region of the US dominate the ranking of top mineral-producing states, holding the top two spots and making up half of the top 10 when it comes to total mineral production value.



Texas rounds out the top three at $8 billion worth of minerals produced in 2022, largely thanks to its dominant production of crushed stone. The state of Texas was the top producer of crushed stone in 2022 at more than $2.8 billion worth, nearly double that of the next largest producer, Florida, which produced $1.5 billion worth.
What minerals is the US producing the most of?

Nonfuel mineral production is categorized into two main categories by the USGS, metals/metallic minerals and industrial minerals.

While not as shiny, the produced value of industrial minerals far outweighs that of metallic minerals. While $34.7 billion worth of metals were produced in 2022, industrial mineral production value was nearly double at $63.5 billion.

Construction aggregates like construction sand and gravel along with crushed stone made up almost half of industrial minerals production at $31.4 billion, with crushed stone being the leading mineral commodity overall at $21 billion of production value.

Following crushed stone, the next top minerals produced but the US were (in decreasing order of value): cement, copper, construction sand and gravel, and gold.

Although the value of metals production decreased by 6% compared to 2021, industrial minerals production increased by 10% year-over-year, resulting in an overall increase in America’s overall nonfuel mineral production of 4%.

(This article first appeared in the Visual Capitalist Elements)
Artists are calling out the gross corporate greed of MONOPOLY Ticketmaster


The Cure’s Robert Smith recently convinced Ticketmaster to refund ‘unduly high’ fees to their fans – could this be the start of artists holding the ticket-selling giant to account?

At present, you’d be hard-pressed to find a music fan with any positive thoughts about Ticketmaster. While from two very different musical camps, The Cure’s Robert Smith and his goth army seem ready to join the Swifties in a battle against the ticketing giant as another fan base burned by pricing.

As tickets went on sale for the band’s US tour, prices were nearly doubled thanks to hefty service fees, facility charges and a processing fee. Despite purposefully setting their prices at an accessible limit with tickets as low as $20 and opting out of dynamic prices during apparent conversations with the platform, Cure fans still got shafted. In a series of tweets to fans, Smith has said he is “as sickened as you all are” and has actually convinced Ticketmaster to refund fans their fees. But the fact this happened at all when The Cure supposedly did everything ‘right’, following recent horror stories from Taylor Swift and Beyoncé’s ticket sales, begs the question: what can be done about the Ticketmaster problem?

The carnage of Taylor Swift’s Eras Tour pre-sale is still in the news, where Ticketmaster claimed bots hacked the verified fan presale, causing ticket prices to hike into the tens of thousands from the original price range of $49 to $499 for tickets. Despite the insane prices, the platform somehow managed to sell every ticket to the tour, causing the general pre-sale to be cancelled after 2.4 million tickets were sold. This was all a result of ‘dynamic pricing’, but what does that even mean?
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Not too dissimilar from the way hotels or airlines work, dynamic pricing puts the cost of a gig ticket in line with the amount of demand, meaning that the more people in the queue to grab a Beyoncé ticket, the more expensive that ticket is going to get. Case in point: Beyoncé’s ‘Golden Circle’ tickets were originally priced at £140, but have now surged to over £400.

To Ticketmaster, this is all part of a protective policy, apparently designed to protect tickets from falling into the hands of scalpers, or being snapped up for cheap during pre-sale hacks and sold on for heavily inflated prices. But it’s ironic that their solution is to essentially do that price hiking themselves and punish the fans. Surely all of this only comes down to one thing – greed. Laid out clearly in The Cure’s situation, as Robert Smith pushed for answers as to how these added fees were justified, it felt malicious, like the ticketing giant couldn’t resist getting their slice while musicians make active steps to keep their shows accessible.

A key piece to the puzzle as to why and how Ticketmaster keep getting away with this is the fact that Ticketmaster is owned by Live Nation. The company behind the Astroworld tragedy, Live Nation dominate the live music industry – they put on shows, own venues, and even manage some artists. As a result, a lot of venues owned by the company work exclusively with Ticketmaster, with their current list of properties in the UK including 51 per cent of the Academy Music Group. Beating their competitors in every way from higher employee numbers to billions in yearly profit, the result is that Live Nation and Ticketmaster are impossible to beat and near impossible for artists to avoid. As they continue to dominate the industry, they create tighter ticket verifying systems to avoid fakes and grow their operating size to run huge projects like global stadium tours that other platforms like Eventbrite or Dice just couldn’t handle. At present, there really is no viable ticket-selling alternative for major artists to turn to.

This is not a surprise. Even back in 2009 when Live Nation and Ticketmaster first merged, major artists like Bruce Springsteen condemned the deal saying, “the one thing that would make the current ticket situation even worse for the fan than it is now would be Ticketmaster and Live Nation coming up with a single system, thereby returning us to a near monopoly situation in music ticketing.” Initially, the UK’s Competition Commission even ruled against the merger as the body that protects against a single body monopolising an industry, stating the move would harm competitors and “limit the development of competition in the market for live music ticket retailing”.

For as long as we live under a capitalist system, we need competition. It keeps prices down and holds companies accountable, as we consumers can just go off and shop elsewhere if we feel we’re being treated unfairly. At present, with no other ticketing site to really rival them in any legitimate way when it comes down to big concerts, Ticketmaster can and will do what they want. Sure, Robert Smith can kick off and they might pay back $10 to each customer this time, but they’ll do it all again the next time round. Similarly, Taylor Swift fans can attempt to take down the giant with a lawsuit, but it’ll just go on the pile with the 15 other lawsuits that have been filed in the last five years – and besides, the conglomerate can usually shake these off by claiming fans “repeatedly agreed” to arbitrate any disputes with the site. In other words, as they technically don’t force fans to buy expensive tickets, they can wash their hands of responsibility.

But maybe there’s hope for change. It’s undoubtedly welcome news to hear that The Cure are standing up to the giant, and there’s been no word on The Eras Tour coming to the UK or any whisper of tickets for the global legs. The last we heard from Taylor was: “I’m trying to figure out how this situation can be improved moving forward.” Previously taking on Spotify and Apple Music, if any artist can stand her ground, perhaps it’s Taylor – many fans are wondering if the star might launch her own ticketing platform and bring the process in-house. Right now, there doesn’t seem to be any other escape from the nightmare, unless major stars like Smith and Swift step up to help save us.

 

Nuclear contamination testing planned at St. Louis-area park

IS PARK RADIOACTIVE?

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers plans to test for radioactive contamination at a suburban St. Louis park that sits along a notoriously toxic creek, a Corps official said Tuesday.

The Corps of Engineers is seeking permission from St. Louis County to test soil and water at Fort Belle Fontaine Park, a popular spot for hikers with high bluffs and panoramic views. The park sits about three miles from where the Missouri River flows into the Mississippi River.

Coldwater Creek runs through the park. The notoriously contaminated creek has been a headache for decades, since radioactive waste got into the waterway in the 1950s. Residents who lived along the creek as children in the 1960s and later have blamed illnesses, including rare cancers, on playing in the creek.

“We were never, as kids, supposed to go down there, but of course we did,” said Kim Visintine, a member of the Coldwater Creek Group, which advocates for testing and cleanup.

A division of the Corps of Engineers known as the Formerly Utilized Sites Remedial Action Program, or FUSRAP, is responsible for cleanup of contamination along the creek. Jon Rankins, senior health physicist for FUSRAP, said the effort at the park is part of a plan to test all properties within the Coldwater Creek floodplain.

“We don’t anticipate finding contamination due to the elevated topography, and have not found contamination in the immediate vicinity of the park," Rankins said in a statement.

Still, testing was welcomed by local activist groups. Visintine noted that the park is far removed from the residential areas where children played in the creek.

“It’s kind of in the middle of nowhere,” she said.

Coldwater Creek was contaminated with radioactive waste generated when Mallinckrodt Chemical processed uranium in the 1940s and 1950s for atomic weapons. The waste was initially stored at Lambert Airport, near the creek, then later trucked to an industrial area that also borders the creek.

The site near the airport has largely been cleaned up but remediation of the creek itself won’t be finished until 2038, Corps officials have said. Meanwhile, The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in 2016 urged people to stay away from Coldwater Creek.

Last year, Jana Elementary School in the town of Florissant was closed after testing by a private company found contamination on the kindergarten playground and inside the building. The private study was funded by lawyers whose clients are suing over radioactive contamination in Coldwater Creek, which runs near the school.

The results prompted the Corps of Engineers to conduct its own investigation. The agency found no contamination inside the school or in multiple soil samples on the outside, and a third round of testing also found no harmful levels of radioactive material. Still, the school remains closed.

 Analysis

Weather tracker: sea surface temperatures hit record high

Azure Prior (Metdesk)

Analysis shows record occurred after La Niña period, when temperatures across central and eastern Pacific tend to be cooler

Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) reached a record high on 16 March this year, surpassing the previous record set in March 2016, according to an analysis by the US’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. This is particularly surprising as it occurred after three years of La Niña, where SST anomalies across the central and eastern Pacific tend to be cooler than normal. The previous record set in 2016 was recorded after an El Niño: this would be more normal as SSTs across the central Pacific are warmer than average and therefore have time to build warmth at the ocean surface. It means a particularly intense El Niño year or a long period of Pacific Ocean warming is no longer necessary to achieve record high global SSTs.

Meanwhile, in Australia a heatwave has been building throughout the past week, bringing scorching conditions across much of the country with many weather stations breaking their March maximum temperature records as well as their highest minimum temperature records. By Sunday, many areas of New South Wales in particular recorded temperatures in the high 30s and low 40s celsius. For example, Beaudesert Drumley Street, a station near Brisbane, registered a record high temperature for March of 38.4C on 17 March and Wilcannia reached a scorching 43.8C on 19 March. This hot spell is also not likely to break down completely until later next week with temperatures continuing into the high 30s celsius. With the addition of an El Niño on the horizon later this year, Australia could see the return of drought conditions.

At the other extreme, the once dry and sunny California will continue to experience low pressure systems from the west bringing rain, sleet and hill snow across the state throughout the coming week. By midweek, cumulative rainfalls are likely to reach 30-50mm with several more centimetres of accumulation expected on high ground. A huge portion of California has received about 300% of rain for a normal March, with closer to 500% in mountainous areas. Little let-up in the atmospheric river bringing these soggy conditions will probably make this year significantly wet and potentially record-breaking for the state.

More than a third of Ontario job vacancies remained unfilled, report finds — and sick days are surging too

More than 36% of vacancies remained unfilled in Q3 2022, according to the Ontario Financial Accountability Office, and more than 400,000 workers were absent due to illness or disability.


By Ghada Alsharif
Business Reporter
Tue., March 21, 2023

Long-term job vacancies in Ontario reached a record high in 2022 as hiring challenges continued to wreak havoc on the labour market, according to the province’s financial watchdog.

Of all job vacancies in Ontario, 36.3 per cent remained unfilled for 90 days or more in the third quarter of 2022, according to the Financial Accountability Office’s report on the province’s labour market performance last year, released on Tuesday.

And employment difficulties aren’t just local. Across the country, employers struggle to find workers. Recent Statistics Canada data shows nearly a million jobs unfilled in the third quarter of 2022. Demand for labour, economists say, is strong across most sectors as people retire and workers seek out higher paying jobs with better working conditions.

“If there’s a simple and effective way to fill vacancies, it’s to pay (workers) more,” says Robert Kavcic, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.

Adding to the strain in Ontario, a record 5.2 per cent of employees, some 404,100 workers, were absent from their jobs either a full week or part of a week due to illness or disability in 2022 as pandemic restrictions were lifted. This marks a 22 per cent jump over the 2017-2019 average, the report said.


Meanwhile, five of 16 Ontario industries operated with fewer employees last year, remaining below their pre-pandemic 2019 level of employment, including in food services, agriculture, business, transportation and warehousing.

At the same time, the FAO says employment rose by 338,300 jobs last year, which when combined with numbers from 2021, indicates the strongest two-year period of job gains on record.

A recent poll by business consulting firm Robert Half shows that half of Canadian workers intend to look for a new job within the first six months of 2023.

A higher salary, better benefits and more advancement opportunities were among the main reasons that respondents said they would be looking for a new gig.

According to a Robert Half survey of more than 1,100 workers in Canada, four in 10 do not feel fairly paid for their current role.

But for the second consecutive year, workers’ wage growth did not keep up with inflation, according to Tuesday’s FAO report. While the average hourly wage of Ontarians increased 4.2 per cent to $32.94 in 2022, it remained well below the 6.8 per cent inflation rate, the highest in 40 years.

At the same time there has been a big shift in workers’ attitudes since the start of the pandemic, says Sheila Block, a senior economist with the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives.

“A disproportionate share of the vacancies are in low wage industries that have very tough working conditions,” Block said. “Pandemic related shutdowns allowed people to get off the hamster wheel and evaluate where they were working and what their working conditions were.”

Many workers in public facing jobs — including accommodation and food services — where demand dropped during COVID-19 lockdowns or where the risk of infection was higher, left for employment in other sectors and have not returned.

“As we’ve seen, wage increases have not kept up with inflation,” Block said. And as inflation continues to drive up the cost of living and necessities “people are very hesitant to take on a job that isn’t going to pay the bills.”
Ford government needs to boost funding amid education ‘crisis,’ teachers’ union says

By Kristin Rushowy
Queen's Park Bureau
Tue., March 21, 2023

The government needs to provide additional mental health help and supports to deal with violence in schools in the upcoming Ontario budget, says the union representing the province’s public secondary teachers.

“We call on the Ford government to make investing in public education a priority in this budget,” said Martha Hradowy, vice-president of the 60,000-member Ontario Secondary School Teachers’ Federation, at a news conference at Queen’s Park on Tuesday, adding the province has shortchanged education in successive budgets.

“We cannot allow Ontario to fall behind.”

Hradowy said there are staff shortages already and “we are facing stiff competition from other jurisdictions for teachers and education workers … Provinces such as Alberta are making efforts to increase staffing in their public education system, with potential to attract teachers and education workers from Ontario. At the same time, we have noticed an increase in the number of faculty of education graduates choosing not to work in education. All of this adds up to a crisis that can be averted through proper investments in public education.”

In the legislature, Education Minister Stephen Lecce said funding for the sector has increased and will continue to, despite dwindling enrolment in some boards.

“This year alone compared to last year, it is up $683 million,” he told the legislature, adding the provincial government has provided funding for thousands of education workers, principals and teachers that will be boosted in Thursday’s budget.

He noted that the Toronto District School Board is receiving $38 million more compared to five years ago, despite a drop in enrolment of 16,000 students.

But NDP education critic Chandra Pasma accused the government of “underfunding education by stealth,” by not keeping up with inflation and providing less money than schools actually need, pointing to boards like Toronto and Ottawa public that are planning on cutting staff.

Liberal MPP and former education minister Mitzie Hunter said that during the pandemic, “school boards were forced to go into their reserve funds — which were set aside for other priorities — and they have not been made whole by the government.”

She said the government should keep extra pandemic funding in place, because “the results of the pandemic and the impact of the pandemic still must be addressed, and we cannot afford for our young people to be victims of that, or to have any scarring effects from the pandemic. Now is the time to invest, to set them up for a good future … I would urge the government to rethink, and to think about how it can better support our schools to set up students for success.”

The TDSB, which is the largest in the country with about 235,000 students in 583 schools, is bracing for cuts. It’s currently forecasting a $61-million deficit for its 2023-24 budget, but is still waiting to hear from the province about how much funding it will receive.

Only after the budget is tabled will boards have a clearer sense of how much funding they’ll get from the Ministry of Education, which is tied to student enrolment.

The TDSB says it’s in a challenging position because overall enrolment is declining.
BC
We Need to Talk about Private Forest Lands

A gap in government protection is undermining Indigenous rights and environmental protection.

Michael Ekers, Estair Van Wagner and Sarah Morales 16 Mar 2023TheTyee.ca

Michael Ekers is an associate professor in the department of geography and planning at the University of Toronto. Estair Van Wagner is an associate professor at Osgoode Hall Law School, York University. Sarah Morales is an associate professor at the University of Victoria faculty of law, where Van Wagner is currently a visiting professor

Large swaths of private forest lands — especially on Vancouver Island — aren’t protected from harmful logging practices. Photo by TJ Watt.

The B.C. government has been roundly applauded for removing a key word from the provincial regulations governing forest planning.

For two decades the word “unduly” has limited the protection of so-called “non-timber” values in B.C. forests. Wildlife habitat, soil, biodiversity and even drinking water could only be protected if it did not “unduly reduce the supply of timber from British Columbia.”


This gave government, and the industry players with the ear of decision-makers, a statutory trump card to maintain timber supply despite calls for stronger biodiversity, wildlife and old-growth protection. As others have noted, this has been a barrier to sound and sustainable forest legislation despite growing evidence that healthy forests are crucial to addressing climate change.

While “unduly” has not been removed from all forestry regulations (it remains in the Government Action Regulations restricting the protection of a range of environmental and recreation values), this is a clear step forward. Alongside further old-growth protection and a stronger role for Indigenous peoples in forest planning, these regulatory changes signal the potential for a new direction in forest governance.

Nevertheless, crucial questions remain about the future of forests in B.C.

The Forest Range and Practices Act was critical to the deregulation of the provincial logging industry in the 2000s. However, the legislation specific to private forest lands went much further. In 2003, a year before the former BC Liberal government introduced the unduly clauses into forestry regulation on public lands, the Private Managed Forest Lands Act was enacted. The private land forestry regime prescribes no limits to the annual harvest or the size of clear cuts. It makes no reference to constitutionally protected Aboriginal rights and title.

If you were TimberWest or Island Timberlands, the largest owners of private forest land in the province, you could literally cut at will so long as you met five weakly defined “management commitments.” The two companies did just that, pushing up harvest levels to unprecedented highs before they came crashing down during the sub-prime mortgage crisis. And all this extraction resulted in limited employment benefits because raw log exports are allowed from much of this land.

After years of public outcry, litigation and concerns from Indigenous nations, the John Horgan government initiated a review of the Private Managed Forest Lands program in 2019. The process included a call for public engagement.

Private forest lands make up a large part of Vancouver Island. Mosaic Forest Management is now the manager of the holdings of Island Timberlands and TimberWest.

However, the province failed to adequately consult with the Indigenous nations impacted by the Private Managed Forest Lands Act. This failure was particularly glaring for Vancouver Island nations with territory overlapping the vast belt of private forest lands created from the late 19th century E&N Railway land grants. For example, the E&N grants converted roughly 85 per cent of the territory of the Hul’qumi’num Treaty Group to private land without consent or compensation. Today 60 per cent of the territory is held by private forest companies. This concentration of private land has had profound effects on Hul’qumi’num peoples and remains a key roadblock in treaty negotiations.

Meanwhile, a freedom of information release indicates that confidential meetings were held between the government, Private Forest Landowners Association and Mosaic Forest Management, the company that now manages the land holdings of Island Timberlands and TimberWest. The content of these discussions is redacted.

The vast majority of public submissions to the review highlighted concern over high harvesting rates, fear over water quality and biodiversity loss and the lack of government oversight. Yet, nearly four years on, no policy changes have been proposed.


BC’s New Forest Rules: A Small Word Change May Be Big for Saving Trees
READ MORE

As important changes are introduced to forestry activities on public land, private forest lands are being left behind. For those on Vancouver Island, this is no small thing. Nearly 600,000 hectares of private forest land lie between Sooke and Campbell River. Without sustainable forest policies we continue to witness the rapid extraction of timber resources, degradation of wildlife habitat and watersheds and low-levels of employment. Indigenous people are unable to exercise their constitutionally protected rights with crucial territories blocked by locked gates and no trespassing signs.

Landowners will likely resist any perceived incursions on their rights to control private property. But property rights are not absolute. They are always governed by a range of policies designed to protect the public interest. Planning rules determine whether you can build a laneway house or whether trees or heritage buildings can be removed. Why should private forest land be any different?

We all have a public interest in the future of these forests. From their centrality to meaningful reconciliation with Indigenous peoples to the role they can play in preventing catastrophic climate change, there is too much at stake to exclude private forest lands from these changes to forest policy.

 
IN-DEPTH
How big is the mercury threat posed by Hudson Bay’s thawing permafrost?
The warming of North America's largest peatland is sending mercury into soil and water. But it's not clear how much there is, exactly how it becomes toxic and how much to worry


As Hudson Bay permafrost thaws, mercury is finding its way into the soil and water, where microbes can convert inorganic mercury into the form to be concerned about: neurotoxic methylmercury.
Photo: Don Johnston_NC / Alamy

By Christian Elliott
March 27, 2023 
This article was originally published on Hakai Magazine.

Covering nearly the same area as Norway, the Hudson Bay Lowlands in northern Ontario and Manitoba is home to the southernmost continuous expanse of permafrost in North America. Compared with many marine waterways this far south, Hudson Bay stays frozen late into the summer, its ice-covered surface reflecting sunlight and keeping the surrounding area cold.

The influence of Hudson Bay on the weather is crazy, says Adam Kirkwood, a graduate student at Carleton University in Ottawa. “It can be sunny and 20 C one day in August, and then half an hour later there’s a wicked wind coming in from the bay — it’s 5 C, and you’re putting on all your layers, and you’re still freezing cold. And when it’s neither of those two things,” he says, “it’s very, very buggy.”

Trapped in all that permafrost is 30 billion tonnes of carbon. It’s an unfathomable amount, says Kirkwood. With global warming, the permafrost is thawing, threatening to release a “carbon bomb” of heat-trapping methane gas to the atmosphere. But there’s something else lurking in the permafrost, too. Something that has the potential to be more immediately dangerous to the people and wildlife living in the area: mercury.

Wildfires and volcanoes belch mercury and since the Industrial Revolution so, too, do coal-burning power plants and factories. Warm air currents carry mercury in its inorganic heavy metal form to the Arctic where it settles into the soil and vegetation before being safely locked away in the deeply frozen permafrost.

In its inorganic form, mercury is less threatening to people. But as the permafrost thaws, says Kirkwood, mercury is finding its way into the soil and into the regions’ many ponds, rivers and lakes. Once there, microbes can convert inorganic mercury into the form to be concerned about: neurotoxic methylmercury.

For the Indigenous peoples of northern Ontario who have lived off the peatlands for thousands of years — hunting caribou, catching fish, and gathering native plants — the lurking threat poses a risk to their way of life.

So for the past six years, Kirkwood has been coming to this remote environment every summer, helicoptering in to drill thick cores of peat and bringing them back to his lab for analysis. On these trips, Kirkwood often has help from Sam Hunter, a self-taught independent scientist from Peawanuck, Ont., who is a member of Weenusk First Nation.

“Muskox has disappeared,” self-taught Cree scientist Sam Hunter says. Hunter accompanies researchers on their fieldwork and brings their findings back to local communities, to integrate Western science and Indigenous Knowledge. Photo: Pat Kane / The Narwhal

Back in the 1970s, Hunter saw how scientists studying the Hudson Bay Lowlands used Indigenous peoples as guides, but didn’t involve them in their research. Now, he says, there’s a co-management process — he accompanies researchers on their fieldwork and helps bring their findings back to local communities. Bringing together outside scientists and traditional knowledge is important, he says, because Indigenous peoples have seen firsthand how the permafrost is changing.

“Walking on permafrost is like walking on really hard ground, like gravel,” says Hunter. When there’s permafrost, he says, “there’s all kinds of flora. There’s berries, vegetation that animals feed on. We collect wild tea.”

But once the permafrost thaws, he says, “the environment turns into a swampland … You can’t even walk, you’d sink.” Along with the disappearing permafrost “go the animals. They move higher and higher into the Arctic. Muskox has disappeared and a few shorebirds we used to have — they’re moving north.”

Methylmercury seeping out of the permafrost is the latest water-quality issue First Nations communities in the region have faced. Closer to the Manitoba border, industrial mercury pollution from the 1960s still affects 90 percent of the Anishinaabe community Grassy Narrows. Many First Nations communities across Canada still lack clean drinking water. In the absence of government support for water-quality testing, Hunter has trained three community members in Peawanuck to test their water and fish.

Whether all of the mercury idling in the permafrost will become a significant threat to locals hinges on the answers to a few outstanding questions — questions Kirkwood aims to answer.

A decade ago, scientists discovered that certain microbes with a specific gene can convert inorganic mercury into toxic methylmercury. Scientists know some microbes have this ability and others don’t, but efforts to relate the abundance of microbes with mercury methylating potential to the amount of methylmercury in the environment have been unsuccessful. That’s led scientists studying mercury cycling, like Andrea Bravo at the Institute of Marine Sciences in Spain, to theorize that there’s more at play dictating the pace of methylmercury production, like the complex relationships between the entire community of microbes in the soil.

Thermokarst fens are meltwater ponds created when iceberg-like permafrost chunks thaw. There, levels of neurotoxic methylmercury levels are higher than in the surroundings. 
Photo: Milan Sommer / Shutterstock

That’s where Kirkwood’s research comes in. By drilling and taking core samples of the permafrost, then measuring the amount of inorganic mercury while at the same time sequencing the DNA of everything in the soil, he hopes to better understand how methylmercury gets produced in thawing permafrost. Once he knows that, he can figure out where the threat is largest by looking at where mercury methylating microbes and inorganic mercury overlap.

“It’s a hot topic, a timely research question,” says Bravo, who isn’t involved in Kirkwood’s research. “We are suddenly having a surface of soil that was not reactive before, and it’s becoming reactive. … We don’t know how much mercury is coming from this permafrost.”

Bravo points out there are still many unknowns in efforts to gauge the mercury threat. For one, it’s still not yet possible to accurately predict methylmercury levels in freshwater waterways or the ocean based on land sources. Despite global research efforts, “we still don’t understand the process completely,” she says. “We’ve put in a lot of effort, but we aren’t there yet.”

So far, Kirkwood’s initial findings show reason for hope. Previous Arctic-scale estimates of inorganic mercury abundance have vastly overestimated how much mercury is being stored in the Hudson Bay Lowlands. Kirkwood’s cores show mercury levels 10 times lower. But that doesn’t mean all is well. In thermokarst fens, meltwater ponds created when iceberg-like permafrost chunks thaw, methylmercury levels are higher than in the surroundings.

As more permafrost thaws and these ponds connect, methylmercury production will likely increase. And if this mercury reaches the bay, biomagnification could cause it to build up to high concentrations, making its way up the food chain from algae to the tissue of fish that people catch and eat.

One of the things Hunter says he’s been told by the scientists who come up from the south is that the polar bear is the barometer for climate change. “And I don’t agree with that. I think the barometer for climate change is the palsa, the melting permafrost,” he says. “And I think that we need to understand what’s coming out of the ground now.”

OPINION
Giving forestry corporations what they want means sacrificing everything

How the relationship between forestry companies, unions and the government combined with the threat of capital flight is getting in the way of progress in B.C.


Instead of begging big forestry companies to stay in B.C., Rosemary Collard and Jessica Dempsey argue the province should reassign their forest tenures to Indigenous nations, communities and a more diverse set of smaller businesses committed to B.C. for the long term.
Photo: Taylor Roades / The Narwhal

By Rosemary Collard and Jessica Dempsey
The Narwhal
March 21, 2023 

Amid devastating mill closures in the B.C. communities of Chetwynd, Houston and Prince George, and warnings of declining timber supply, B.C. Premier David Eby recently announced his government’s latest forestry measures, including a $180 million fund to support innovation and job creation in the sector and $50 million to increase fibre supply.

We’ve been here before. Many times. Fears of a dwindling timber base and job losses that feel so immediate today go back almost a century.

What have politicians, communities, scholars, environmentalists and policy wonks called for in response? Consistently, versions of the same thing: more selective logging that protects biodiversity and endangered species and more local manufacturing to generate more jobs and money. Eby says he will deliver.

But these solutions to B.C.’s forestry problems — which are also outlined in the 2020 old-growth forest strategic review — have been known for decades. So, why haven’t these changes been implemented?

Investigating problems. Exploring solutions
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There are two primary obstacles. The first is B.C. forestry is dominated by a coalition of forestry companies, unions and the B.C. government — what political scientist Jeremy Wilson called the “wood exploitation axis.” The axis has persisted through boom and bust, for a good hundred years.

Today, First Nations have effectively pushed the B.C. government to share some revenue from forestry on their territories and many are partnering with forestry companies, with some taking significant ownership stakes. But, for the most part, the wood exploitation axis remains dominant. The unions, companies and government don’t see eye to eye on everything, but they share a financial interest in maintaining abundant, free-flowing fibre and, for the unions, to maintain good mill and harvesting jobs.

This free-flowing fibre has delivered vast wealth to not only to corporations but also the B.C. government, who has acted over decades to protect revenue even when there are significant impacts to biodiversity and Treaty Rights.

Take Canfor’s Tree Farm Licence 48. It’s a 643,000-hectare harvest area in the middle of endangered central mountain caribou habitat in Treaty 8 — West Moberly and Saulteau First Nations territory in northeastern B.C. Appellate courts have repeatedly recognized government-authorized industrial activity is driving caribou decline in the region, violating the treaty. Forestry is the leading cause of caribou decline here, but in Tree Farm Licence 48 Canfor’s annual harvest has almost doubled since the federal government passed the Species At Risk Act in 2002, which is also when central mountain caribou were listed as threatened. From 2002-2021, the B.C. government collected an average of $7.6 million per year in stumpage from this license.
B.C.’s forestry industry is in upheaval. Amid mill closures devastating for communities, destructive clear-cutting is threatening biodiversity. 
Photo: Taylor Roades / The Narwhal

For its part, we’ve learned Canfor has been so profitable it was able to invest over a billion dollars in the southern U.S. and Scandinavia in the last decade, while our research with economist Robyn Allan has found Canfor’s effective tax rate in B.C. over the past two decades has been half the statutory rate.

With licences to over nine million cubic metres, Canfor is the largest of the five forestry companies which control more than half of B.C.’s harvestable fibre. This concentration of tenure has been acknowledged as a problem for decades, most recently by the ruling NDP themselves, who in 2021 passed Bills 23 and 28, which open the door to redistributing this tenure to First Nations and communities. But dividing up forest tenures does not appear to be a priority in the recent announcements. Ownership, power and benefits remain concentrated in corporate and provincial government hands. This has long constrained what is possible and there is no reason to think it won’t continue to do so.
How a fear of capital flight impacts B.C. forestry practices

The second obstacle to change is the constant threat of capital flight, the fear of investment moving to other, often cheaper, parts of the world. B.C.’s business council commentators and equity analysts describe our province as “essentially un-investable across most segments of the forest products business.” Forest companies and their allies point to higher operating costs (think environmental regulations and secure, decently paid jobs) and reductions in the fibre supply (think flood control and endangered species protections) as reasons for why B.C. forestry is what they call “the least attractive investment climate in North America.”

The thing is, the B.C. government has been trying to make its forests investable for decades. Yet, those same decades are marked by mill closures, job losses and capital flight. Even when the “lean” and investor-friendly B.C. Liberal government deregulated forestry and spent billions in forest-sector subsidies in the 2000s, the sector still lost over 40,000 jobs — not because of declining harvest.

In 2001, 1,266 people in B.C. were employed per million cubic meters logged, according to Statistics Canada data. By 2019, we found the number employed had dwindled to 908.

This is because the kind of forest many people want and the government talks about building and protecting — a forest that provides decent public return, plentiful well-paid jobs and wildlife habitat — is an un-investable forest in today’s global economy. Firms continually chase reduced labour costs and less burdensome environmental regulation. It is a pipe dream to imagine we can have the kind of forest sector demanded by big international capital and an abundant, well-paid workforce and healthy old-growth ecosystems.
 
Rosemary Collard and Jessica Dempsey write the problems B.C. is facing are global in nature. We need to dislodge the overemphasis on market value that drive biodiversity loss around the world, they say. Photos: Taylor Roades / The Narwhal

For at least six decades, the B.C. government has managed forestry crises by ramping up public expenditures to try to entice corporate forest giants to stay. This time looks no different. Based on the federal office of the auditor general’s definition of a subsidy, we calculate that 89 per cent of B.C.’s funding announcements for the forestry sector since the new year are subsidies.

It’s time for B.C. to quit the race to the bottom — you know, the one that has sought reduced wages and jobs (through labour demonization and automation) and weak environmental regulations, and has pushed the average global statutory corporate tax rate from 40 per cent in 1980 to 24 per cent in 2020. Forget that kind of global investability. Instead of begging Canfor to stay, reassign their forest tenures to Indigenous nations, communities and a more diverse set of smaller businesses committed to B.C. for the long term.

This doesn’t mean closing B.C. off from the wider world.


On the contrary, the problems facing B.C. are connected to the problems facing other countries in this era of unchecked, footloose capital. This is why the world’s leading scientific experts say that solving environmental problems requires transformative change — systemic overhaul, not just tinkering at the edges. In line with international scientific consensus, the route to a just and sustainable forest economy in B.C. means we can’t solve these problems at the provincial or even the national scale. The problem is also global, requiring changes to global trade and investment rules and norms. To start, we need to increase and harmonize tax rates so the wealthy and big businesses pay their fair share.

We also need to dislodge the overemphasis on market value (also known as investability) that drives global biodiversity loss. B.C. can itself chip away at this pattern domestically, including through existing plans like support for local economic transition and industrial transformation. We would add others like diversifying tenure, implementing a wealth tax and adopting First Nations’ defined GDP-alternatives so the province’s economic health is measured in ways that reflects social and ecological well-being, not simply quantities of capital flow. B.C. should get on with the work of transformation, guided by a commitment to see the forest for so much more than two-by-fours.

Sound utopian? It’s more realistic than a government who says it wants to do things truly differently while also being a good place for big capital investment, when that means the opposite of what we all want.
The universe might be shaped like a doughnut, not like a pancake, new research suggests

By Paul Sutter

The universe may be flat, but could still be shaped like a doughnut, weird patterns in leftover light from the Big Bang suggest

An image of the cosmic microwave background as taken by the Planck satellite. The size of fluctuations in the CMB suggest the universe is flat, but new research suggests it could still be twisty. 
(Image credit: ESA/HFI/LFI Consortia)

The universe could, in fact, be a giant doughnut, despite all of the evidence suggesting it's as flat as a pancake, new research suggests.

Strange patterns found in echoes of the Big Bang could be explained by a universe with a more complicated shape, and astronomers have not fully tested the universe's flatness, the study finds.

Related: What shape is the universe?

Flat surfaces

All observations so far suggest the universe is flat. In geometry, "flatness" refers to the behavior of parallel lines as they go out to infinity. Think of a tabletop: Lines that start out parallel will remain that way as they extend along the table length.

In contrast, look at Earth. Lines of longitude begin perfectly parallel to each other at the equator but eventually converge at the poles. The fact that parallel lines initially intersect reveals that Earth is not flat.

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How big is the universe?

The universe might be a giant loop

The same logic applies to the 3D universe. For instance, the cosmic microwave background (CMB) — light released when the cosmos was only 380,000 years old — now sits over 42 billion light-years away and features tiny fluctuations in temperature across the sky. Astronomers have calculated the predicted size of those fluctuations compared with observations. If their measured size differs from predictions, that means those rays of light, which started out parallel, changed directions over space-time, indicating that the geometry of the universe is curved.

But those same measurements have revealed that, ignoring small-scale deflections from galaxies and black holes, the overall geometry of the universe is flat.
Different types of flat

But there's more than one kind of flat. For example, draw parallel lines on a piece of paper. Then wrap one end of the paper to connect with the other, forming a cylinder. The lines remain parallel as they circle the cylinder. In the language of mathematics, any cylinder is geometrically flat but is said to have a different topology. Close up both sides of the paper, and you make a torus, or doughnut shape.

To get another example of a weirdly flat shape, wrap a thin strip of paper in a circle, but make a 180-degree twist in one end. The end result is a Möbius strip, which is still geometrically flat, because parallel lines stay parallel, even when they flip over each other.

Mathematicians have discovered 18 possible geometrically flat, 3D topologies. In each one, at least one dimension wraps up on itself, and sometimes, they flip over like a Möbius strip or make partial rotations. In such a twisty universe, if we looked far away, we would see a (maybe upside-down) copy of ourselves from a much younger age. For example, if the universe were 1 billion light-years across, astronomers would see a version of the Milky Way galaxy as it was 1 billion years ago and, behind that, another copy from 2 billion years ago, and so on.

If the universe were a giant doughnut, astronomers could look in two directions to see such copies.
The universe's shape

Astronomers have measured the topology of the universe in multiple ways, from looking for duplicates of patterns of galaxies to matching circles in the CMB. All evidence suggests the universe is both geometrically flat and has a simple unwrapped topology.

But a paper published Feb. 23 to the preprint database arXiv(opens in new tab) suggests that past measurements have been limited. Most notably, observations have assumed that the universe wraps around itself in only one dimension and does not have a more complicated topology. Also, observations of the CMB have revealed some strange, unexplained anomalies, like large patterns appearing where they shouldn't.

In fact, a universe with a complicated topology could explain at least some of the anomalies in the CMB. While this isn't an iron-clad case for complicated topologies, the researchers offered ideas for more sophisticated direct searches, like follow-up studies of the CMB.

In that case, there may be a mirror image of us somewhere in our twisty universe.