Turkey won't halt Syria military activity until Kurd fighters 'disarm'

AFP , Thursday 19 Dec 2024

Ahram Online - 

Ankara will push ahead with its military preparations until Kurdish fighters "disarm", a defence ministry source said Thursday, stressing Turkey faces an ongoing threat along its border with northern Syria.


File Photo: Turkish-backed Syrian rebel fighters take part in a military exercise in the countryside of Afrin in the rebel-held Aleppo province. AFP


KURDISH YPJ FIGHTER


The comments came as concerns grew over a possible Turkish assault on the Kurdish-held Syrian border town of Kobane, also known as Ain al-Arab, some 50 kilometres (30 miles) northeast of Manbij.

Turkey has thousands of troops in northern Syria and also backs a proxy force there which has engaged in ongoing clashes with the SDF, a US-backed Kurdish-led force that Ankara sees as an extension of its domestic nemesis, the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK).

"The threat posed by the terrorist organization to our borders and our operation areas in Syria continues," the source said.

"Until the PKK/YPG terrorist organization disarms and its foreign fighters leave Syria, our preparations and measures will continue within the scope of the fight against terrorism."

Turkey accuses the YPG (the People's Protection Units), which makes up the bulk of the SDF, of being affiliated with the PKK which both Washington and Ankara consider a "terrorist" group.

Since 2016, Ankara has carried out several major operations against the SDF.

But Turkey believes Syria's new rulers and Ankara-backed insugents "will liberate the regions occupied by the terrorist organization PKK/YPG," the ministry source said.

The fighting between Turkish-backed factions and Syrian Kurdish fighers comes more than a week after insugents toppled Syria's longtime strongman Bashar al-Assad.

Washington on Tuesday said it had brokered an extension to a fragile ceasefire in Manbij and was seeking a broader understanding with Turkey.

But the defence ministry source insisted Ankara was not talking with the SDF, saying it was "out of the question for us to meet with any terrorist organization".

State Department spokesman Matthew Miller said Tuesday the Manbij truce had been "extended through the end of the week, and we will, obviously, look to see that ceasefire extended as far as possible into the future".

But the Turkish source said "every step taken by terrorist groups that pose a threat to the security of our country and Syria is followed, and preventive and destructive measures are taken".

Hollande says attacks on Rojava "unacceptable"

Former French President François Hollande said that attacks on Rojava are unacceptable, and added: "I cannot tolerate the abandonment of the Kurds. 

I am calling on France and the international coalition to protect the Syrian Kurds."


ANF
PARIS
Thursday, 19 December 2024,

International reactions to the attacks by the Turkish state and its affiliated armed groups on areas under the control of the Autonomous Administration of Northern and Eastern Syria (Rojava) continue. Former French President François Hollande, speaking during a live broadcast on Franceinfo to discuss developments in Syria, said that the attacks on Rojava are unacceptable and warned that Europe cannot turn a blind eye to what is happening in the Autonomous Administration regions.

When reminded of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's remarks suggesting that the European Union should strengthen its ties with the jihadist group HTS (Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham) and asked whether HTS could be trusted, Hollande responded: "First, they need to provide evidence. Let me issue a warning here: HTS is not the only Islamist group. There are also Turkey-backed groups and other, more democratic groups. We need to see what these groups will do in the areas they control."

‘Kurds helped us against ISIS, they cannot be abandoned’

Hollande continued by highlighting the importance of supporting Syrian Kurds, and said: "There can be no attacks against the Syrian Kurds. It was the Syrian Kurds who helped us in our fight against DAESH (ISIS). Without the Syrian Kurds, it would not have been possible to uproot DAESH from Syria. France provided them with full support. As President, I could not, in good conscience, accept the abandonment of the Syrian Kurds today. Additionally, the Syrian Kurds are currently keeping thousands of DAESH prisoners under control. If these individuals are released, sooner or later they will return to our own territories."

‘Kurds play a crucial role against terrorism’

Hollande called for the protection of the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria, and said: "The Kurdish autonomy must be respected. What I mean by that is that the Syrian Kurds play an important role. They have been, and continue to be, absolutely vital in the fight against terrorism. However, this does not mean that they must separate from Syria. The message should be that they need to coexist within the region."

‘France and the International Coalition must protect the Kurds’

The former president insisted on France’s responsibility, saying that "France must protect the Kurds. France, along with the International Coalition established to fight terrorism, has a duty to protect them. As for Von der Leyen, Europe cannot ignore what is happening in this part of Syria. While I was in the European Council, I encountered Europeans who viewed Syria as a distant place with no impact on the European continent. But we experienced terrorist attacks, and so did they. Therefore, they need to understand that what happens in Syria can also have repercussions on our own territories."

Ousted Assad regime leaves Syria, economy in ruins

December 18, 2024 

Middle East Monitor – 

People gather to celebrate with the ‘Syrian revolution flag’ after performing the first Friday prayer following the collapse of the 61-year-long Baath regime in Syria and the end of the Assad family’s rule in Aleppo, Syria on December 13, 2024 [Kasım Rammah – Anadolu Agency]

Syria’s collapsed regime of Bashar Al-Assad left the country and its economy in ruins, turning it into a den for terrorist organisations and illegal activity, Anadolu Agency reports.

The country suffered from displacement and uncountable deaths, while its capital stock and economic activities were plagued by the civil war and international sanctions, as the country’s production, foreign trade and foreign exchange earnings plummeted. Its economic indicators, budget balances and exchange rates have also been destabilised.

Syria’s gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have halved in 2010-2020 and the country’s dependence on imported goods soared, including staple food products, and its local industrial and agricultural production collapsed, according to various sources, such as the World Bank, the UN, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Gold Council.

Syria’s GDP is estimated to have been $37.1 billion in 2022, $39.5 billion in 2023, and $29.3 billion in 2024—a stark difference from $60 billion in 2010, before the civil war.

The country’s GDP per capita declined from $2,800 in 2010 to $2,100 in 2022 and 2023, and it is estimated to fall further towards $1,600 by the end of the year.

READ: Russia dismantles air defence system at Hmeimim air base in Syria

At the same time, the overthrown regime’s revenues fell 35 per cent year-on-year in real terms in 2023 versus 2022, and 85 per cent compared to the pre-civil-war period, before 2010.

Oil production, exports down

Meanwhile, Syria, once the largest oil exporter in the Eastern Mediterranean, lost its key position in oil production and oil exports as a result of the capture of oil-rich regions by non-regime forces. Syria’s oil production of 383,000 barrels per day before the civil war dropped to 90,000 barrels per day last year.

Syria ran a foreign trade deficit of between $7 billion to $10 billion annually from 2007 to 2011 but the country’s foreign trade declined rapidly as the unrest that started in March 2011 grew into a full-blown civil war, which resulted in international sanctions and, consequently, the country’s foreign trade volume fell from $29 billion in 2010 to $4 billion in 2023.

Syria ranked 176th in the world last year, with its exports reaching $650 million, and 163rd in the world with imports totalling $3.4 billion.

The country’s most important exports were olive oil, calcium phosphate, cotton, spices, canned vegetables, cast iron scrap, shelled fruits and wheat, while its imports were sunflower oil, wheat flour, petroleum, animal feed, rice, sugar, cement, tea, electricity and construction iron.

Syria’s rapidly growing population reached 22 million in 1990-2011 and recent estimates show the population stands at 18.5 million.

Meanwhile, the civil war in the country led to serious losses in employment, as the unemployment rate is estimated to have reached 57 per cent.

Depreciating currency, rising inflation

The Syrian pound depreciated 270 times against the US dollar in 2011-2023, which further fuelled inflation, while inflation reached 64 per cent in 2022 and 141 per cent in 2023. Inflation projections show it is estimated to be at 95.1 per cent by the end of this year and 69.4 per cent in 2025.

READ: US officials warn of ‘imminent’ threat of new Turkiye military incursion into Syria

Syria used to be one of the prominent countries in the Middle East in gold and oil reserves, with an estimated gold reserves of 25.8 tons in 2011, and although this figure is estimated to have remained relatively the same after the civil war and the fall of the regime, there is reportedly no reliable data to be found on the country’s foreign exchange reserves.

Meanwhile, the largest oil and gas fields in the country are occupied by the PKK/YPG terrorist organisation. The organisations operating in gas and oil-rich areas, which are concentrated in the north-east, are estimated to have extracted at least 150,000 barrels on a daily basis.

Despite the Caesar Act imposed by the US on Syria, which sanctioned Assad for war crimes against Syrians under the first Trump administration, the PKK/YPG is reported to have sold most of its crude and processed oil to the regime, and its annual income from the oil sold to the Assad regime and Northern Iraq is estimated to have exceeded $1.2 billion.

Prior to the civil war, Syria was one of the most dynamic markets in the Middle East and the steps towards the transition to a free market economy and rising oil reserves triggered rapid growth in the country’s economy, creating business opportunities for foreign firms and investments, as the booming oil and gas industry and infrastructure projects made Syria an attractive market, though the conflict, starting in 2011, put a pause to foreign direct investments.

Syria has 11 safe zones, and in these designated zones, foreigners can establish companies and projects in line with incentives and five-year tax exemptions.

Agriculture badly hit

However, the decline in all sectors of Syria also hit its agriculture, as the cultivated land in the country fell 25 per cent, versus the pre-civil-war period. The World Bank reported that the access of farmers to seeds, fertilisers, fuel and machinery spare parts, which are needed to grow crops, became increasingly more difficult, resulting in diminishing agricultural production.

Syria became a major producer and seller of the highly addictive Captagon drug, a brand name for the prohibited psycho-stimulant fenethylline, reportedly with the influence of the PKK/YPG. The World Bank reported that the drug business is estimated to have yielded a revenue of up to $5.6 billion in 2020-2023, while those involved in the Captagon sales are said to have profited $1.8 billion per year.

GUST ARBITER

Study: 80,000 Syrians work in Germany in professions lacking specialised personnel

December 18, 2024 

Middle East Monitor

In response to Al-Jolani’s call, Syrian people take to the streets in celebration in Hanover, Germany, on December 14, 2024 [Somaya Abdelrahman/Anadolu Agency]

The results of a study indicated that the return of Syrian refugees living in Germany to their homeland could negatively affect the German economy and increase the gap in the shortage of skilled workers.

A study issued by the German Economic Institute (IW) showed that about 80,000 Syrians in Germany work in professions that suffer from a shortage of skilled workers.

For example, the number of Syrians working as technicians in the car mechanic sector has recently reached more than 4,000.

The Institute reported that about 7 out of 10 vacant positions in the field of automotive technology cannot be filled with specialists possessing the appropriate qualifications.

Many Syrians also work in other professions that suffer from a shortage of workers. Statistics indicate that about 2,470 Syrians work in the field of dentistry with contracts subject to compulsory social security; 2,260 Syrians work in the field of childcare and education; 2,160 in the field of nursing and health care; 2,100 in climate-related jobs in the field of electrical engineering and 1,570 Syrians work in the field of plumbing, heating and air-conditioning.

Fabian Semsarha, an economist at the IW and author of the study, stated that “Syrian workers are important to the German labour market, as they contribute significantly to alleviating the shortage of specialised personnel in Germany.” The study also indicates that many Syrians work in other professions, such as doctors, with the number of Syrian doctors working in Germany estimated at around 5,300. The study confirmed that their return to their homeland could worsen the shortage of personnel and lead to problems in providing health care.

Semsarha believes that the contribution by Syrian personnel is often underestimated in the debate about the possibility of their return.

“In many professions, it may become difficult to fill positions if these people leave the country,” he said, calling on politicians to provide safe residence opportunities for working Syrians.

According to the Federal Employment Agency, there were an average of 213,500 people of Syrian origin working in jobs covered by social insurance in Germany between June 2023 and May 2024.

Of the total number, 86,000 are employed in support jobs, while 127,000 are employed in skilled jobs that require vocational training or university studies. There are also around 155,000 Syrians who have registered as unemployed, making it possible for them to immediately enter the labour market.

A Christmas miracle in Syria

(RNS) — Assad was the King Herod of our time. Like Herod, he slaughtered the innocent.

Syrians gather during a celebratory demonstration following the first Friday prayers since Bashar al-Assad's ouster, in Damascus' central square, Syria, Friday, Dec. 13, 2024. (AP Photo/Ghaith Alsayed)

Thomas Reese
December 16, 2024

(RNS) — At a time when most of the international news is full of gloom and doom, the fall of the Assad regime in Syria is a happy surprise, almost a Christmas miracle. Bashar al-Assad, the last scion of the family that ruled Syria for 50 years through fear and terror, is gone.

Assad was a King Herod of our time. He arrested, tortured and killed thousands of Syrians and forced millions more into exile. He used barrel bombs and chemical weapons against his own people. Cities harboring opponents to his regime were leveled with no regard for the cost in civilian deaths, children or adults. Nowhere was safe, not churches, not hospitals. Like Herod, he slaughtered the innocent.

Assad was aided and abetted by Russia, Iran and Hezbollah, Iran’s proxy in Lebanon. The West imposed economic sanctions to try to squeeze him out of power, but in latter years was more concerned about quashing the Islamic State group and al-Qaida than the plight of the Syrian people under Assad. American troops are still in Syria to attack Islamic State group fighters. We also support the Kurds in Syria, who have been one of our most loyal and effective allies.

RELATED: Despair in the Holy Land

Meanwhile, Western intelligence and the media failed to see how weak the Assad regime had become. Its economy was in shambles. Its allies were occupied elsewhere: Russia in Ukraine, Iran and Hezbollah with Israel. Its soldiers were poorly paid and unwilling to die for a regime that did nothing for them. In hindsight, the fault lines were evident.

The fall of Assad has rearranged the Middle Eastern chessboard. Turkey, which backed the rebels, will have more influence in Syria and elsewhere. Russia is confined to a narrow strip on the coast of Syria and may soon have to evacuate the country, where they are not welcome.

Iran has lost its most strategic ally in the Middle East. Without a land route through Syria, Iran cannot resupply Hezbollah, which is already crippled because of its war with Israel. With a severely weakened Hezbollah and Syrian refugees departing for home, the politics of Lebanon will now change. Iraq, too, could be safer if Syria is no longer a safe zone for terrorists.

But all is not well in Syria. Soldiers of its new rulers, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, have liberated Damascus, Aleppo and Hama, but they do not control the whole country. Numerous rebel groups will compete for dominance, including pockets of al-Qaida and the Islamic State group. Bringing the country together will not be easy.

The more radical groups will not lay down their arms. The Kurds, who opposed Assad, fear the Sunni Arab majority that has now taken over the country. The Assads belonged to a minority Shia sect called the Alawites. They and other minority groups that allied themselves with Assad also now fear for the future.

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is labeled a terrorist group by the United States and other Western countries. Its leader, Abu Mohammad al-Julani, has a U.S. bounty of $10 million on his head. In the past, he opposed the Islamic State group’s attempts to take over his forces. He was allied with Al-Qaida but broke with the group in 2016. He is focused on Syria not on a global jihad.

According to The New York Times, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is described as pragmatic and disciplined by those who have studied it or interacted with it in Idlib Province, the territory it controlled in northern Syria prior to the fall of Assad.

So far, al-Julani has said and done all the right things. He has disarmed Syrian soldiers and sent them home. He has told civil servants to stay at their jobs and told his supporters not to take revenge on Assad supporters. All religious and ethnic groups are to be left in peace. Looting will not be tolerated. He has told his soldiers not to hassle women about their clothing.

It is as if he learned from the mistakes the U.S. made after conquering Iraq.

On the other hand, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham has jailed its critics in Idlib. And Facebook and other social media are full of threats against groups allied with Assad, especially the Alawites.

What should the United States and Western governments do in response to the Syrian revolution?

First, it should immediately suspend the $10 million bounty on al-Julani. Nothing could be more disastrous for American foreign policy in the Middle East than an American-backed assassination of the liberator of Syria.

Second, the U.S. should suspend the classification of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham as a terrorist group as long as they do not carry out terrorist activities in the future. It can always be reclassified as a terrorist group in the future if needed.

Third, the United States should welcome the positive words coming out of Damascus and lift economic sanctions if their actions continue to be consistent with what the new rulers are saying. International aid organizations should be allowed to help the Syrian people immediately.

Fourth, we should do all we can to facilitate the safe return of refugees to Syria. Many of these refugees have the skills needed to rebuild Syrian society and its economy.

Most importantly, we should not try to micromanage the future of Syria. We want to ensure the protection of Christians, Kurds and other minority groups, but Syria is unlikely to become a Western-style democracy. We should talk with everyone and be willing to facilitate dialogue but not choose sides.

If Syria maintains peace with its neighbors (including Israel) and rejects global jihad, we should see the new Syria as a potential ally, not an enemy. If it is willing to give up or destroy its chemical weapons, we should be happy to help it root out Al-Qaida and the Islamic State group from Syria with intelligence and logistics, but not boots on the ground.

The new Syria provides hope but no guarantees. It may all go up in flames if internal factions war with each other or the victors take vengeance on the defeated. The United States should do what it can to encourage peace and reconciliation, but should not pour gasoline on the fire by taking sides.

How to interpret Russian general’s assassination in the heart of Moscow

Igor Kirillov, the head of the Russian army’s nuclear, chemical and biological operations, was accused by Kiev of using dirty weapons against Ukrainian populations.

MURAT SOFUOGLU
TRT/AA

19/12/2024

Maj. Gen. Igor Kirillov, the chief of the Russian military's radiation, chemical and biological protection unit, attends a briefing in Kubinka Patriot park outside Moscow, June 22, 2018.


Kiev claimed responsibility for the assassination of Igor Kirillov, a top Russian general, who is the most senior military officer killed by Ukraine in the course of the ongoing war between the two Orthodox Slavic-majority nations.


Kirillov, who oversaw the Russian military’s radiological, chemical and biological department, previously accused the US and its allies of running dangerous labs as “a front for illegal military and biological research” in Ukrainian territory.


The Krillov assassination in the heart of Moscow several kilometres away from the Kremlin has sent shockwaves across Russian elite circles, suggesting that even Moscovites might not be safe from the killing sprees stemming from the Ukraine war. His assistant Ilya Polikarpov was also killed in the attack.


“The assassination in Moscow can be interpreted in several ways. One such interpretation is that Ukraine's ‘allies’ have realised that the regime change they seek in Moscow can only be achieved from within through ‘decapitation’ - of critical human security infrastructure - among other hybrid actions/active measures,” says Ecaterina Matoi, a scholar at the Middle East Political and Economic Institute (MEPEI).


Ukraine claims to kill as many as 19 Russian generals, but Russia disputes Kiev’s death toll of its generals. Overall, military analysts assess that even losing several generals in combat is a big deal for a military force and Russia has lost at least eight generals up to date, according to Western sources.


Kirillov's killing means that “the Ukrainian special services have a very extensive surveillance network within Russia. They are able to target top Russian military and government officials at their private residences. Russian military leaders are not safe in the rear areas of this conflict,” says Keith Darden, a professor of politics, governance and economics at American University.


Kirillov was killed a day after a Ukrainian court indicted him in absentia for being instrumental in Russia’s use of banned chemical weapons against Ukrainians. Kiev threatened more killings after the Kirillov assassination.


A person walks past an apartment block in Moscow, Russia, Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2024, where a bomb killed Lt. Gen. Igor Kirillov, head of Russia's Radiation, Biological and Chemical Defense Forces and his assistant, Ilya Polikarpov.

 Photo/Dmitry Serebryakov


Spreading ‘terror’


“Obviously, one of the adjacent objectives is to spread terror among those Russian officials (military or otherwise) who know they may be next on an alleged assassination list,” Matoi tells TRT World, adding that the Moscow attack sends a message that “key Russian military generals are not safe anywhere.”


The Ukrainian killing of Kirillov is definitely “an escalation” in the Ukraine war, says Sergei Markov, a Russian political scientist, who advised President Vladimir Putin in the past, The “terrorist attack” on Kirillov can trigger Russia to target Ukrainian military and political leaders, according to Markov.


“We can see a big demand in Moscow now,” Markov tells TRT World, referring to harsh statements coming from Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council and a Putin ally, who said that “everything must be done to destroy the perpetrators who are in Kiev.”


But Matoi expects a more measured response from Russia, which will strike Ukraine harder after the recent killing as Moscow will tighten security in sensitive areas for the state, increasing security measures across border areas, particularly, regions bordering Central Asian states.


According to Russian authorities, one of the suspects of the recent attack is from Uzbekistan, a Central Asian state, which was a former Soviet republic. The 29-year-old suspect was detained by Russia.


Despite Kiev’s attack near the Kremlin, Harden, who focuses on nationalism, state-building, and the politics of Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia, doubts that Moscow will escalate the war at this point as it is making progress on the battlefield in the Donbass.


Lionel Ingram, an expert on the Russian political system and a lecturer at University of New Hampshire, offered an assessment similar to Harden’s. “Russia has other serious issues at the moment that will deflect any focus on a response to this killing. They have not reacted strongly to other such events. Better, just replace the general and increase security,” Ingram tells TRT World.


Matoi also draws attention to the fact that the key Russian general’s killing happened a very short time after the fall of Syrian regime leader Bashar al Assad, an ally of Moscow, whose demise has been seen as a sign of diminishing influence of the Kremlin in the Middle East and elsewhere. Ukrainians helped opposition forces topple Assad, according to reports.

“It may have something to do with spreading or accentuating a feeling of insecurity, not only at the leadership level but also among the military fighting on the Ukrainian front, damaging their morale and inducing a feeling of mistrust among the population in the state's ability to provide the security,” she says, referring to possible ties between Assad’s fall and the Kirillov killing.


Why targeting Kirillov


Kirillov had been known for his statements on US-led biological labs in Ukrainian territories, accusing American Democratic lawmakers of funding bioweapon activities.


During a 2022 speech, Kirillov claimed that Metabiota, one of the key Pentagon contractors receiving support from Hunter Biden’s Rosemont Seneca Technology Partners, which is an investment fund, involved raising money for biolab projects in Ukraine. The UK and US media confirmed this account based on obtained emails. Hunter Biden is the son of the US president.


Kirillov was “an active speaker and agonizer of investigations about secret illegal American biological and chemical laboratories” for the creation of weaponry related to those labs in Ukrainian territories, says Markov. “That’s why Americans hit General Krillov,” says Markov, adding that a lot of people in Russia believe the assassination order was given by the US.


The US media labels accusations against Hunter Biden and the existence of US laboratories in Ukraine as conspiracy theories.


Harden suspects that Kirillov was targeted by the Ukrainians “in order to elicit a significant response from Russia” because Kiev “seems eager to have the war escalate” to gain greater US and European involvement for its war effort.


“Ukraine is taking more provocative and bolder actions now while Biden is still in office. The hope seems to be that if escalation takes place while Biden is in office, Trump will have his hands tied and not be able to withdraw US support for Ukraine,” Harden tells TRT World.


Ukrainian war killed more than 67,000 people in 2024, marking the deadliest period in the conflict.


According to Matoi, Kirillov’s professional training and his critical military position has made him a persona non grata for Kiev's "allies" beyond Western accusations against the Russian general’s use of chemical munitions against Ukrainians.


“General Kirillov is of great importance in the context of the conflict in Ukraine in the light of the accusations that have been and still are hanging over Kiev and its allies with regard to the existence of the biological laboratories on Ukrainian territory because he was consistently and with the utmost interest following the subject,” she says.


Putin under pressure


Increasing fatal attacks on influential individuals like Kirillov and Darya Dugina, a nationalist Russian journalist and the daughter of Alexandr Dugin, who is one of the leading political and intellectual elites of Moscow, has made many “angry”, according to Markov.


Russian society is “critical” of their leaders “including Putin” that Moscow has shown no powerful response to “such terrorist attacks”, he says.


The recent attack has also increased anti-immigrant sentiment in Russia since the alleged attacker hailed from Uzbekistan, according to Russia. He also says that the deadly Crocus City Hall concert hall attack in Russia's Moscow region was orchestrated by Tajik nationals in March.


All this can increase anger across Russia against migrants particularly from Central Asian countries, forcing Moscow to change its immigration policy, he adds.

SOURCE: TRT WORLD

Murat Sofuoglu is a staff writer at TRT World.
@Readingavenue

Morocco to vote on abolition of death penalty

December 12, 2024

by MEMO

A FAVORITE FLAG

Flag of Morocco [Kristin Harvey/Flickr]

Morocco is set to vote on the abolition of the death penalty for the first time, marking a milestone in the country’s human rights history. Justice Minister Abdellatif Ouahbi announced on 9 December that Morocco will support the UN resolution for a moratorium on the death penalty to be discussed at the UN General Assembly on 15 December.

“This is a commitment to protecting the right to life, in line with the Moroccan Constitution,” Ouahbi told Parliament, referencing Article 20 of the national document. The vote will introduce a two-year moratorium on executions, with plans to amend the penal code for permanent abolition.

The Moroccan Justice and Development Party (PJD) reaffirmed its position following an extraordinary leadership session on Tuesday and a communiqué issued yesterday. While acknowledging Morocco’s anticipated support for the UN resolution, the PJD stressed its principled stance on retaining the death penalty for the gravest crimes.

“We have reaffirmed our principled stance on maintaining the death penalty for the gravest crimes, such as premeditated murder and violations of the right to life, in line with the sanctions prescribed by the Holy Qur’an,” said the party.

The PJD argued further that the death penalty provides a “sense of justice” to victims’ families and serves as both a deterrent and a means of calming societal unrest.

Morocco has abstained from previous UN resolutions for over two decades. The country has not carried out an execution since 1993, although courts continue to sentence individuals to death, particularly for crimes like murder and terrorism. Currently, 88 people remain on death row, notes the New Arab.

Human rights activists see the decision as a significant step. The Moroccan Coalition for Human Rights stated: “We will continue our struggle until Morocco abolishes the death penalty from all civil and military laws.”

The National Human Rights Council reported that of Morocco’s 41 executions, 38 were politically motivated. Since 2020, 161 death sentences have been commuted to life imprisonment, reflecting Morocco’s gradual shift away from capital punishment.

Opinion

The most difficult question about stopping the war in Sudan

December 18, 2024 

by MEMO

A stuffed panda and a Sudanese flag are placed at a military checkpoint in Khartoum North on November 3, 2024.

 [AMAURY FALT-BROWN/AFP via Getty Images]

by Shafie Khader Saeed

Defining and understanding the nature of the civil war in Sudan which started on 15 April, 2023 is important if we are to develop the essence of the vision required for negotiating its end. Formulating this vision is at the core of the efforts of Sudanese civil society and political groupings.

Arguably the most important and most difficult question is related to the future of the Sudan Army and its leadership and the options available for its post-war role. The armed forces need to be reformed, and modernised, as do the police and security agencies in such a way that recognises and accepts their nationalism, professionalism and monopoly over the military’s regular role in Sudan, subject to democratic standards and under civilian supervision.

There is also a need to address this along with a decision on the future of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and other militias. The options possible need to be explored for them to accept the principle of Sudan having a single, professional army as above.

Of course, a ceasefire and an end to hostilities require both parties, the army and the RSF, to be at the negotiating table, in the Jeddah forum or any other agreed-upon format. This is not only for the purpose of discussing the mechanisms provided by regional and international experts for a ceasefire and redeployment of forces, but also for negotiations to be based on the national vision that includes answers to the difficult question I have referred to, and which are presented by Sudanese civil society and political groupings as a main project for a permanent ceasefire.

READ: RSF attacks main hospital in Sudan’s Al-Fasher, says health official

As for the future of the army and RSF, I believe it is necessary to begin by discussing the legal responsibility for the war as a crime against the country and its citizens. Those responsible for igniting it should be held to account, as should those guilty of committing war crimes and crimes against humanity, as well as other horrific violations of the laws of war.


A commission of inquiry should be established

With this in mind, a commission of inquiry should be established, possibly with local, national regional and international members examining the evidence of all that has taken place, including the massacres in Darfur, and then making recommendations for legal action, similar to what was done with the Serbian leaders in the Bosnian war. Any talk of amnesty or transitional justice must remain governed by international law, which stipulates justice for the victims and preventing impunity for war crimes. This process should be followed by discussions about the future role of the leaders of both the Sudanese Armed Forces and the RSF.

There are many options for the armed forces, ranging from an exit strategy to contributions to national solutions through the Defence and Security Council or National Security Council. This should be led by the head of the civilian authority, the Prime Minister, according to a law that defines its tasks and powers, including the preparation of national security policies and coordinating them in a way that serves the unity of Sudan and the safety and security of its sovereign territories. It would also supervise the integration and demobilisation processes and related steps agreed upon with the armed movements.

As noted above, this would plan and implement programmes to reform and modernise the Sudanese Armed Forces, as well as the police and security agencies, and secure their resources. I believe that there is no choice but to dissolve the RSF, though, disarm and demobilise its members and develop reintegration procedures for them below the leadership levels. These individuals can be absorbed by the armed and other regular forces, as well as civil service institutions in strict accordance with the law and the normal conditions for joining the state security forces and civil service. Comprehensive security arrangements should be put in place for other armed movements to govern their transition to civilian life, including allowing those who wish to become political organisations to do so.

As far as the investments and economic resources of the Sudanese Armed Forces and the RSF are concerned, they should be handed over to the civilian executive authority and invested in the reconstruction of what was destroyed by the war. Compensation can be paid from these resources to the victims of the war and those affected by it, and to develop and modernise the Sudanese Armed Forces, the police and security agencies.

These are just a few initial ideas which are open to discussion and development. There is no doubt that there are many other options that can be put on the table, but they must be presented with a genuine desire to find a way out of the incessant fighting which is damaging Sudan.

All involved must remember that accountability is important, especially for those guilty of war crimes.


No options come without a price to pay.

To sum up, the main goal of the process should be to reconcile the security and military sector with civil society and restore the lost trust between them. Also, it is not just a matter of dismantling and replacing, but rather developing and modernising the sector to keep pace with the concepts of civilian transformation.

Moreover, this cannot be done overnight. It requires a series of complex operations to be initiated during the transitional period, and its completion and the adoption of its results must be carried out by elected institutions. Reforms of the armed forces, police and security agencies have to be linked to the comprehensive reform of all other state institutions.

The decisions to be taken are not merely political, administrative or technical, and are not subject to political and media input. Rather, they should be based on internationally-agreed concepts and guided by successful experiences in other countries.

Finally, changes must be implemented from within the military and security institutions and their members, subject to the supervision of civilian institutions, including the government and the legislative council.

READ: Erdogan offers to mediate between UAE, Sudan

The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Monitor.

COMPRADORS & QUISLINGS

Palestinian Authority proves loyalty to US, Israel by attacking Jenin

Tamara Nassar 

17 December 2024

ELECTRONIC INTAFADA

Palestinian Authority forces Jenin in the northern occupied West Bank on 16 December 2024. Mohammed NasserAPA images

The Palestinian Authority is demonstrating its value and proving loyalty to its Israeli and American masters through a deadly military operation in the northern occupied West Bank city of Jenin.

“The operation is a make or break moment for the Palestinian Authority,” one unnamed Palestinian official told Barak Ravid, an Israeli media figure with close ties to US and Israeli intelligence.

The deadly PA military operation in Jenin and its refugee camp, which is nearing a second week, is targeted at armed Palestinian resistance in the area which emerged to counter Israeli encroachment and land grabs.

PA leader Mahmoud Abbas launched the operation “to send a message to the incoming [Donald] Trump administration that the Palestinian Authority is a reliable partner,” Ravid wrote for Axios.

The PA’s “actions seem to be driven by its desire to offer a ‘valuable gift’ to the incoming US administration and win the favor of President-elect Donald Trump, by suggesting that its military operation in Jenin is capable of ‘cutting off the head of the resistance,’” one analysis piece in the Lebanese newspaper Al-Akhbar read.

Whether the PA can be successful in actually making a dent in resistance capabilities or the will to carry on is a different story.

There is buzz in Israeli media about the fragility of the Palestinian Authority, with concerns that some members within its ranks may shift their loyalties. This is why the PA is attempting to demonstrate its capabilities in suppressing armed resistance in areas where Israel grants it nominal control.

Asked for more weapons

The PA is employing Israel-like tactics to achieve this.

Since the military operation began, PA forces have occupied the Jenin government hospital, cut off electricity and water to the camp, shot and killed two youths in addition to a member of the armed resistance, creating a state of fear and uncertainty in the camp.

Schools have been closed in the area, with students shifted to virtual learning. Jenin residents have observed a camp-wide strike for the fourth day in a row to protest the PA’s incursion.

UNRWA, the UN agency for Palestinian refugees, has been forced to suspend its operations in the area.

“Children remain out of school and camp residents are unable to access primary healthcare and other critical services,” Philippe Lazzarini, commissioner-general of UNRWA, said on Tuesday.

“For far too long, residents of Jenin and Jenin camp have been subject to a cycle of violence and destruction, rendering the camp nearly uninhabitable,” Lazzarini added, failing to mention that it was the Israeli military that subjected Jenin to widespread destruction and accelerated violence since Israel launched its genocide of Palestinians in Gaza in October 2023.

In September this year, Israel reportedly destroyed the vast majority of Jenin’s streets during a lethal multi-day raid of the city and its camp.

The PA operation is being carried out with full coordination with Israel, Hebrew media has reported. PA security chiefs even met with Michael R. Fenzel, a US lieutenant general who oversees so-called security ties between Israel and the Palestinians, ahead of the operation to go over planning details.

The PA officials handed Fenzel a detailed list of weaponry needed to intensify their offensive against Palestinians, Axios reported.

The US is now asking Israel to authorize the transfer of weapons to the PA, ensuring it can continue carrying out Israel’s dirty work.

Officials from the Joe Biden administration, including the US ambassador to Israel Jack Lew, requested that Israel approve “the urgent delivery of ammunition, helmets, bulletproof vests, radios, night vision equipment, explosive disposal suits and armored cars.”

Incoherent propaganda

Palestinian and US officials told Barak Ravid the operation was also launched “to try to prevent what happened in Syria from happening in the West Bank.”

One Palestinian official said that this was the “Syria effect. Abbas and his team were concerned that what happened in Aleppo and Damascus will inspire Palestinian Islamist group[s].”

This is, of course, incoherent with the Palestinian Authority’s other propaganda, which portrays armed Palestinian groups in the camps as part of an “Iranian-funded takeover,” as the unnamed Palestinian official told Ravid.

“The gunmen in Jenin are not resistance fighters, but mercenaries serving the dubious agenda of an outside party,” Anwar Rajab, the spokesperson of the PA “security” forces, said.

Rajab likened activities by the groups to “ISIS-style efforts,” highlighting this incoherence.

In reality, the resistance in the West Bank has existed as long as Israel’s military occupation has, and is a direct reaction to it. It is not motivated by external support.

This is a reality the PA understands and is undermined by, which is why the collaborationist body is willing to do everything in its power to prove its worth to its Israeli masters.

What is happening in Jenin?: The PA’s operation to crackdown on Palestinian resistance

The Palestinian Authority is in the midst of a deadly operation it says is to 'restore law and order' in the Jenin refugee camp, home to the Jenin Brigade. But as the PA seeks to assert its control, it could risks undermining itself in the process.

By Qassam Muaddi 

 December 17, 2024 
MONDOWEISS
Palestinian Authority (PA) security forces patrol Jenin in the Israeli-occupied West Bank on December 16, 2024. The northern West Bank city of Jenin has been the site of intense violence for several days after the PA, which coordinates security matters with Israel, had arrested several militants, prompting clashes with local armed resistance groups. (Photo by Mohammed Nasser/apaimages)


The Palestinian Authority continued its military operation in the Jenin refugee camp for the fourth consecutive day on Tuesday, clashing with local Palestinian resistance fighters. The operation, which was launched last Saturday, has so far left two Palestinians killed, a young boy and a fighter from the Jenin Brigade, the local resistance group in Jenin, who was wanted by Israeli forces. Several Palestinian security officers were also injured.

Tensions were building up between Jenin fighters and the Palestinian security forces since last week, when Jenin fighters stopped two Palestinian police vehicles and confiscated them, in protest of a wave of arrests of their members by Palestinian security forces. Palestinian security then sealed off the refugee camp, which led to an eruption of clashes between both sides.

The spokesperson of the Palestinian security forces, Anwar Rajab, said that the operation “aims at taking back the Jenin camp from elements outside of the law who have deprived citizens from their security and their right to access public services.” For his part, the spokesperson of the Jenin Brigade, who concealed his identity, told Al Jazeera that he and his men “are not outlaws, we are for implementation of the law, but where is the law when the Israeli army comes to arrest us?” adding that “the Palestinian Authority wants Jenin disarmed.”

“What does the occupation need to do so that the Palestinian Authority understands that it needs to direct its weapons to the occupation, rather than to its own people?” the spokesperson of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Mohammad Mousa said on Monday in a debate with the spokesperson of the Palestinian security forces Anwar Rajab on Al Jazeera. “The resistance fighters are the sons of the camp, defending themselves, their families, and their community, in the absence of anyone to defend them, and not once have they lifted a gun against their own people or against the Palestinian authority,” Mousa said.

“We will not allow Hamas and the Islamic Jihad to drag us into an all-out confrontation with Israel, which will lead to the destruction of our people,” replied Anwar Rajab. “Do you want us in [in the West Bank] to see the same fate as Gaza?” he went on. “We will not allow external forces to destroy our national project by targeting the West Bank through paid-off mercenaries, and our security forces will continue to chase down those mercenaries who receive suspicious support,” he said, to which Mousa replied by asking if “defending oneself and one’s country is a suspicious act?”

Contrary to Rajab’s statements characterizing the resistance fighters as “mercenaries” with “suspicious” means of support who have “deprived citizens” of their security, residents of the Jenin camp have historically been vocal in their support of the local armed resistance groups.

Although both positions have been confronting for years in the West Bank, it is the first time that the conflict has escalated to such a violent and explicit level. The Jenin Brigade was formed in late 2021 by a small group of militants from different political affiliations, as a result of repeated Israeli raids, especially after the capture of two of the six escapees from the Gilboa high-security Israeli prison in Jenin, in September of the same year. The Brigade grew in size and soon began to issue its statements as a branch of ‘Saraya Al-Quds’, or the Jerusalem Battalions, the armed wing of the Islamic Jihad.

The armed resistance model in Jenin resonated deeply with Palestinians in the West Bank, so much so that the same model was replicated in other northern West Bank cities, like Tulkarem, Tubas, and Nablus, where local brigades began to increase their armed confrontations against invading Israeli forces, which have grown in frequency and violence in recent years. In July 2022, Israel employed armed drones to strike Palestinian fighters in Jenin, in a first air strike in the West Bank in more than 20 years. Israeli raids included massive military bulldozers which destroyed the camp’s infrastructure, from water pipes, to electricity networks, to public monuments.

In an effort to combat the rise of these groups, the Palestinian Authority, which maintains security coordination with Israel, tried to persuade Palestinian fighters to give up their arms, in exchange for negotiating their amnesty with Israel and receiving sums of money and jobs in public service. Only a very small number of fighters took the offers, and the resistance groups grew in size and in experience.

On Sunday, Axios reported that the US asked Israel to allow military aid to the PA amidst its ongoing operation in Jenin. Both Arab and Israeli observers have considered the PA’s operation as an attempt to show its capacity to control the West Bank ahead of Trump’s coming into office, especially amidst Israeli reported preparations for “an extreme scenario” in the West Bank, which would include “the dismantlement of the PA and a wave of violence”, according to the Israeli daily ‘Israel Hayom’, quoting Israeli army sources.

According to other analysts, the PA acted after fears that Palestinian militants would draw inspiration from the collapse of the Syrian regime, and try to topple the PA. These speculations come despite the fact that Palestinian resistance groups have rarely initiated confrontation with PA forces, focusing their efforts primarily on confronting Israeli forces.
Analysis: How does the Jenin operation relate to Gaza?

The timing of the PA operation in Jenin can’t be dissociated from the reported advances in ceasefire talks in Gaza between Israel and Hamas, especially with reported pressure from Donald Trump to conclude a deal to free the Israeli captives in Gaza before his inauguration.

In the past few weeks, the PA has been holding talks with Hamas and the rest of Palestinian factions in Cairo, simultaneously to Hamas’s indirect talks with Israel to reach an agreement on the topic of administrating Gaza after the war. Both Hamas and Fatah, the ruling party of the PA, agreed on forming a technocratic, independent committee to receive and administrate reconstruction aid to Gaza, and oversee reconstruction efforts and daily affairs in the strip.

Meanwhile, PA president Mahmoud Abbas appointed the head of the Palestinian National Council, the highest representative body of the Palestinian people, as his successor to organize elections in case he might be out of the picture.

These steps are seemingly in line with repeated US demands to see “a revitalized Palestinian Authority,” in the midst of a complete absence of any real “peace” negotiations with Israel, which has largely affected the political legitimacy the PA, as Israel openly flaunts plans to annex the West Bank and vocalizes its blatant rejection of a Palestinian state.

On Sunday, Israeli sources reported that the heads of Israeli settlement councils in the West Bank presented a request to the Israeli cabinet before its weekly meeting, asking to implement the same model of action practiced by Israel in Gaza on the West Bank, particularly the forced displacement of refugee camps and large military operations against Palestinian resistance groups. Earlier last week, Israeli commentators on Israel’s channel 14 discussed publicly the possibility of implementing Gaza’s model in the West Bank, after seeing the images of Jenin fighters confiscating PA police vehicles.

With these developments, and in the midst of a loss of the PA’s political leverage, it seems that its leaders want at the same time to prove their capacity to control security in the Gaza Strip after the war, and in the West Bank in coming years under an annexation-friendly Trump administration.

The blindspot of the PA’s strategy, however, lies within internal Palestinian tensions, which will only rise as civilians in the West Bank – who are generally favorable towards armed resistance groups like the Jenin Brigade and unfavorable towards the PA – watch the confrontations play out in Jenin.

While the current show of force by the PA might buy it some time and relevance, it likely won’t give it back its the political strength it seeks, which it can only regain by supporting, both in word and action, a united Palestinian stand against Israel’s occupation and genocide. And in order to do that, it needs to have all Palestinians on its side – something that likely won’t be achieved with its current strategy in Jenin.

Why is PA cracking down on resistance groups in occupied West Bank?

The US wants Israel to help the PA clamp down on Palestinian resistance groups. But can the potential military aid help the Mahmoud Abbas-led administration stay relevant?

Kazim Alam
TRT/AA 

17/12/2024

There has been a schism within Palestinian politics since October 2023 over whether to continue to pursue conciliation with Israel or revert to resistance. / Photo: AA

The US prodding of Israel to help the Palestinian Authority (PA) crack down on Palestinian resistance groups is unlikely to succeed and could even lead to further weakening of the Mahmoud Abbas-led administration in the occupied West Bank, analysts have said.

In a private request, the Biden administration has asked Israel to lift the ban on US military aid to the PA since the October 7, 2023, Hamas raid that triggered Tel Aviv’s genocidal war on Gaza, which has killed over 45,000 people in just over a year.

The request by the US is meant to help PA security forces in their ongoing crackdown against the Jenin Brigades, a coalition of Palestinian groups engaged in resistance against Israel.

In the largest-ever operation being conducted by PA security forces in years, the administrative body is trying to regain control of Jenin and its refugee camp from members of Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades of Fatah, Al-Quds Brigades of Islamic Jihad and Qassam Brigades of Hamas.


The PA lost control of Gaza in 2006 when Hamas won the elections in the tiny enclave, now under Israeli siege.


Analysts, however, see the PA’s crackdown as a last-ditch attempt to stay relevant in the face of growing support for Hamas and other resistance groups, increasingly seen by Palestinians as the true representatives of their cause.


“If Israel has been incapable of preventing Palestinian resistance from regenerating itself for 75 years, then it would be really naive to assume that the current crackdown by the PA in Jenin is going to do that,” says Tahani Mustafa, senior analyst for Palestine at the International Crisis Group.


“The operation is not going to be sufficient enough to limit resistance. In one form or another, resistance will resurface,” she tells TRT World.


The PA forces have been clamping down on Jenin Brigades for many weeks, killing a commander and a 19-year-old cadre.


Quoting a Palestinian official, US publication Axios said the ongoing operation is a “make-or-break moment” for the PA.


Palestinians fighting in the Jenin camp accuse the PA of clamping down on resistance groups in the occupied West Bank at the behest of Israel.


The US wants Israel to approve the urgent delivery of ammunition, helmets, bulletproof vests, radios, night-vision equipment, explosive disposal suits and armoured cars to the PA.


The Palestinian security sector employs half of all civil servants, accounting for nearly $1 billion of the PA’s total budget, says Sami Al Arian, director of the Center for Islam and Global Affairs at Istanbul Sabahattin Zaim University.


The security sector alone receives around 30 percent of total international aid given to the Palestinians, including most of the funds coming from the US.


Palestinian women demonstrate against the PA security forces at the Jenin camp in the Israeli-occupied West Bank on December 17. Photo: Reuters


Why is Jenin important?


One of the 19 refugee camps in the occupied West Bank, the Jenin camp was established on the northernmost edge of the territory in 1953 to house Palestinians who fled their homes during the 1948 Palestine War.


With one of the highest rates of unemployment and poverty among all refugee camps in the occupied West Bank, the number of registered refugees in Jenin was 24,239 at the end of 2023.


Mustafa says Jenin has become the “epicentre” of the Palestinian struggle against Israeli occupation.


There has been a “huge schism within Palestinian politics” since October 2023 over whether to continue to pursue conciliation with Israel or revert to resistance, she notes.


“These two positions have become intractable since October 7, 2023. Eventually, they were going to come to a head, and that’s what we’re seeing today in Jenin,” she says, noting that the PA’s popularity has seen the “worst decline” in its history.


The result of that divide is that many Palestinians now consider Hamas their “de facto leader” as opposed to the PA, which is sticking to the politics of conciliation with Israel, she says.


“Hamas is the only one that is really advocating or fighting for Palestinians on the international stage or against Israel, especially given how much the situation has deteriorated not just in Gaza, but also in the (occupied) West Bank. There is a threat to the PA’s power base there,” she says.


According to Dr Ahmet Keser of Hasan Kalyoncu University, Hamas has been getting increasingly popular among Palestinians even after Israel’s full-blown war on Gaza following the October 7 cross-border attack.


Divisions within the Palestinian groups may tear apart the Palestine state-building effort though, he tells TRT World.


“Sporadic structures having little influence within the international community will weaken any possibility of achieving the objective of a sovereign Palestinian state,” he says.


Why is PA clamping down?


The coalition of resistance groups in the Jenin camp is united in their opposition to the PA. The resistance coalition includes even the Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, the armed faction of the Fatah party that dominates the PA.


The Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades operates virtually independently from Fatah and cooperates with other resistance groups in the refugee camps in view of local considerations.


The resistance groups in Jenin consist of mostly “disenfranchised or disaffected Fatah youth”, which means the PA is losing its support base to groups like Hamas and Islamic Jihad, says Mustafa.


“The PA is definitely feeling a threat to its hegemony,” she adds.


Another complicating factor is the disagreement over the so-called administrative committee in Gaza, an Egyptian-brokered proposal that seeks to bring Fatah and Hamas together for the purpose of managing the civil affairs after the end of Israel’s genocidal war.


But the PA retracted its approval of the deal amid Israel’s rejection of any role for Hamas in the future of Gaza.


PA President Mahmoud Abbas fears that all money will be diverted to Gaza – and away from the occupied West Bank, where the PA is the partial administrative authority – if Gaza gets a separate administrative committee, says Mustafa.


“Gaza will become the political centre of gravity coupled with the potential of Israeli full annexation of the West Bank,” she says.


US president-elect Donald Trump might allow for some form of ceasefire in Gaza in exchange for Israel’s annexation of the occupied West Bank, she says.


“That is a very real threat, which could signal the end of the PA.”


Dr Keser says the PA is trying to present itself as the sole and ultimate representative body of Palestinians by taking a clear-cut position against Hamas and other resistance groups controlling the Jenin camp.


But even if Israel distinguishes between the PA and Hamas for the time being to weaken the latter’s legitimacy and popularity, Tel Aviv’s long-term policy will remain the elimination of all Palestinian organisations, he says.

SOURCE: TRT World

Kazim Alam is a staff writer at TRT World.

OPINION

Amid ashes and blood, the Palestinian Authority carves its claim on Gaza

With the unprecedented destruction in Gaza, the Palestinian Authority sees an opportunity to position itself as central to the strip’s future — once again prioritizing its survival over the liberation of the Palestinian people.

By Bana Abu Zuluf and Ameed Faleh 

 December 16, 2024 3
MONDOWEISS

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas chairs a meeting of the Palestinian leadership in West Bank City of Ramallah, on February 18. 2024. (Photo: Thaer Ganaim/APA Images)

Antonio Gramsci’s famous words—“The old world is dying, the new world is struggling to be born; now is the time of monsters”—capture the grim state of Palestinian politics today. Among Palestinians, one of the most glaring “monsters” is the Palestinian Authority (PA).

The PA’s legitimacy has steadily eroded, particularly under the leadership of Mahmoud Abbas, who has clung to power since his presidential mandate expired in 2009. Once touted as an interim administrative body, the PA now functions primarily as an arm of Israeli occupation, prioritizing its survival over the liberation of the Palestinian people.

Its role in the West Bank has become one of containment and counterinsurgency, a betrayal that fuels widespread anger among Palestinians. Now, with the unprecedented destruction in Gaza, the PA sees an opportunity to position itself as central to the strip’s future governance—but this is less a strategy for unity and more a desperate bid for relevance.

The PA’s decay

The erosion of the PA’s legitimacy has been a slow but steady process. In a 2023 poll by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research, 62% of Palestinians called the PA a burden, while 68% said the Oslo process harmed Palestinian national interests. Corruption is rampant, with PA officials enriching themselves while ordinary Palestinians suffer. Much of its budget, funded by international donors, props up a bloated bureaucracy and security forces instead of addressing the needs of the people.

It is this international recognition of Palestine by countries such as Ireland, Norway, and Spain that lends the PA some semblance of legitimacy within the framework of the two-state solution. But this recognition rings hollow for many Palestinians, who see the PA’s reliance on donor funding as proof of its prioritization of foreign interests.

The PA’s so-called “security coordination” with Israel exemplifies this dependency. Presented as a measure to ensure stability, it has functioned as a mechanism to suppress Palestinian resistance. It targets dissidents and dismantles grassroots networks, leaving many to view the PA not as a representative of Palestinian aspirations, but as a collaborator in maintaining the occupation.

The West Bank offers a stark picture of the PA’s complicity. Its security forces regularly suppress protests, detain activists, and silence dissent, often violently. During Israel’s ongoing genocide in Gaza, the PA’s repression escalated further. According to the Committee for Political Prisoners, the PA had killed five Palestinians and arrested dozens more by the end of 2023. Just in the past week, the PA has launched a security campaign to uproot the resistance forces in Jenin. Dubbed “The Protection of the Homeland,” the campaign aims to “[restore] the camp from the grip of outlaws who disrupted the citizen’s daily life and deprived them of their right to access public services freely and securely.” Similarly, in 2008, the PA enacted a counterinsurgency campaign in Jenin titled “Smile and Hope” in order to neutralize the resistance under the guise of law and order.

These actions are justified by the PA as measures to maintain “law and order,” but in reality, they have emboldened Israel’s control over the West Bank. Rather than supporting the broader Palestinian struggle, the PA has entrenched the status quo.

Palestinian Authority (PA) security forces patrol Jenin in the Israel-occupied West Bank on December 16, 2024. For more than a week, the northern West Bank city of Jenin has seen intense violence, after the PA, which coordinates security matters with Israel, had attacked and arrested several Palestinian resistance fighters. (Photo: Mohammed Nasser/APA Images)

The Gaza gambit

The PA’s conduct in Gaza follows a long history of political opportunism. Since 2007, when Hamas took control of the strip, the PA has treated Gaza with disdain, cutting salaries, withholding essential services, and imposing punitive measures causing misery and immiseration. Now, in the aftermath of an Israeli onslaught, the PA is seizing the moment to reinsert itself into Gaza’s governance.

The strategy is not new. After the Second Intifada, the PA capitalized on international support for reconstruction by introducing donor-driven governance reforms and positioning itself as a stabilizing force. Figures like Salam Fayyad, hailed as technocrats, were promoted to satisfy international demands for “good governance.” Yet these efforts did little to address the underlying causes of Palestinian suffering: apartheid, settler colonization, and the lack of sovereignty.

A similar script is unfolding today, with Mohammad Mustafa’s appointment as prime minister. While the PA touts Mustafa’s technocratic credentials as a step toward revitalization, such moves primarily aim to reassure international stakeholders that the PA remains a viable partner for reconstruction and counterinsurgency.

The PA’s ambitions in Gaza are complicated by rival actors. Hamas remains a significant force, despite the devastation in the strip. It views the PA’s overtures as a veiled attempt to reassert control under the guise of reconstruction.

Adding to the complexity is Mohammad Dahlan, a former Fatah strongman backed by the UAE, who has positioned himself as a contender for influence in Gaza. Dahlan’s 2017 rapprochement with Hamas allowed him to channel Emirati aid into Gaza, boosting his popularity. Recently, he has positioned himself as an alternative to both Abbas and Hamas, branding Gaza’s future under the mantra of “No Abbas, No Hamas.” Dahlan’s UAE backing and ability to mobilize resources pose a threat to the PA’s plans for Gaza, while Hamas continues to resist both forces.

The Committee of Community Support

In the face of these challenges, the PA has turned to a new mechanism: the creation of a Committee of Community Support. This committee, formed in agreement with Hamas in order to establish the “political capital” necessary for a ceasefire in Gaza, is tasked with administering Gaza’s daily affairs—health, education, infrastructure, reconstruction, aid distribution, and border crossings—until elections or a governance framework is agreed upon.

This move reflects the PA’s attempt to establish itself as an indispensable actor in Gaza’s reconstruction. Yet, key issues remain unresolved, particularly concerning the role of Gaza’s security forces and the resistance factions. These omissions suggest the PA is testing the waters, with three potential scenarios in play:Regional Security Oversight: The PA may aim to establish a regional security force led by the UAE, as proposed by Israel, while sidelining Hamas through hidden agreements. Such a move could hint at a rapprochement between Abbas and Dahlan.
Monopoly on aid and reconstruction regime: By monopolizing aid and reconstruction, the PA might seek to weaken both Dahlan and Hamas, presenting itself as an indispensable partner for international donors. However, Gaza’s resistance factions and public opinion are unlikely to tolerate a PA-controlled security presence.
Bid for Political Clout: The committee could provide the PA with a much-needed boost in political relevance. By cooperating with Hamas on this limited basis, the PA may hope to quell internal dissent and present itself as a stabilizing force in Gaza’s reconstruction.

While these scenarios reflect the PA’s desperate bid for survival, its quest for legitimacy among Palestinians remains questionable.

What comes next?

Gramsci’s “time of monsters” is an apt metaphor for the PA’s current role. It is a creature of the Oslo era, sustained by the very forces that perpetuate Palestinian suffering. Its reliance on external actors, from donor nations to international recognition, ensures its survival even as it alienates the Palestinian people by acting as a proxy for Israeli security interests.

The stakes for the PA were best articulated by a Palestinian Authority official at the start of the aggression against Gaza, who stated that “this time, Israel must destroy Hamas, otherwise [the PA] is done.” It is through this logic of eliminating Hamas, while keeping the flimsy status quo afloat in the West Bank through coercion and coordination with Israel, that the Palestinian Authority is negotiating the terms of the “Gaza cake.” Attempting to sideline both Hamas and Dahlan while trying to win a faltering international legitimacy, has been the raison d’etre of the PA in the wake of October 7. Israel’s genocide, as such, strengthens the PA’s bargaining position in its negotiations with Hamas through the flattening of neighborhoods, assassinations of Gaza’s security forces, and the killing of the political and military leadership of the resistance.

Hamas, for its part, is aiming to have a say in the day after while recognizing that any post-ceasefire arrangement will differ from previous aggressions in Gaza. For Hamas, harm-reduction to both the people of Gaza and the autonomy of resistance remains a central issue to which it cannot give up.

Recent developments underscore this dynamic. Abbas’s appointment of Rouhi Fattouh as interim president in the event of his departure signals the PA’s focus on maintaining its structure rather than addressing its legitimacy crisis. This continuity may reassure international donors, but it does little to inspire confidence among Palestinians.

As Gaza’s future hangs in the balance, so does the broader trajectory of Palestinian politics. The PA’s attempts to assert itself in Gaza are unlikely to rebuild trust or address the root causes of the Palestinian struggle. Instead, they risk deepening divisions and perpetuating a system that prioritizes power over liberation.

The time of monsters cannot last forever. But whether the PA’s eventual collapse will pave the way for a unified resistance or new challenges remains uncertain. What is clear is that the Palestinian people are yearning for leadership that genuinely reflects their aspirations for freedom and justice—a leadership that is unlikely to emerge from the PA’s halls in Ramallah.

The Shift: GOP bill would ban federal use of the term ‘West Bank’

By Michael Arria 

 December 12, 2024 

MOONDOWEISS

A torn Israeli flag is seen on the road to the Mahharza residence in the South Hebron Hills of the West Bank placed by settlers from an outpost (illegal settlement) nearby.

Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR) has introduced legislation that would prohibit federal use of the term “West Bank” and instead use “Judea and Samaria,” a phrase that refers to Israel’s biblical claim on the region.

A similar House bill was introduced earlier this year by three Republican lawmakers.

“The Jewish people’s legal and historic rights to Judea and Samaria goes back thousands of years,” said Cotton in a statement. “The U.S. should stop using the politically charged term West Bank to refer to the biblical heartland of Israel.”

“It’s time to call this region by its rightful name and stop playing into anti-Israel propaganda,” he continued.

On social media Cotton declared that, “Calling Judea and Samaria the ‘West Bank’ is a slap in the face to the truth.”

These kinds of ridiculous legislative efforts have very little chance of actually passing, but they do set the parameters of what’s acceptable in mainstream politics.

“Pay attention to these really outlandish and extreme proposals but don’t take your eye off the ball in terms of other ideas that might seem a little more moderate in comparison,” Anthropology professor Darryl Li told Mondoweiss earlier this year.

One of those more moderate ideas is the Antisemitism Awareness Act (AAA), which Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer’s (D-NY) has been trying to push for months.

The AAA would require the Department of Education to evaluate claims of antisemitism using the controversial International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance’s working definition, which has been criticized by Palestine activists and First Amendment advocates for including certain criticisms of Israel.

Schumer attempted to tack it onto the 2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) but the effort was blocked by House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) who said it was outside’s the act’s purview. He called on Schumer to pass it as a standalone bill.

“Whether in the NDAA or as a standalone bill in the Senate, there is no excuse for delaying a vote a single day longer,” Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ) told Jewish Insider. “This is commonsense, bipartisan legislation that passed overwhelmingly out of the House months ago and will help stop antisemitism. It’s up to leadership in the House and Senate to figure this out now. It must be sent to the President’s desk before the end of the year.”

As Jewish Insider notes, the incoming Republican Senate leadership will quickly pass the bill under Trump if Schumer fails to move on it this year.

It’s important to take a look at what make it into the NDAA.

$500 million for missile defense cooperation with Israel, $80 million for U.S.-Israel Anti-Tunnel Cooperation Program, and $47.5 million for U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation.

As usual, these developments occur with virtually no public debate. This also passed just days after Amnesty International released a report that Israel is committing genocide in Gaza.

As Li said, we shouldn’t take our eyes off the ball.
Mast to lead House Panel

There’s an overwhelming amount of news to keep up with these days, but I wanted to take a moment to focus on Rep. Brian Mast (R-FL), who was recently selected to lead the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

Mast is rabidly pro-Israel, even by the standards of the U.S. Congress. Despite being born and raised in Grand Rapids, he volunteered to serve in the Israeli military and showed up at the Capitol last year wearing its uniform. We might take a moment to think about the mainstream reaction if a House member showed up to work with the military uniform of any other country.

“I stand against a two-state solution,” Mast declared in 2019. Which is to say, he thinks that Israel should annex all of Palestine.

He’s predictably supported Israel’s genocidal assault on Gaza, but without the standard caveats about the tragic loss of life. In fact, he’s suggested that nearly every Palestinian deserves to die and compared them to Nazis.

“I don’t think we would so lightly throw around the term ‘innocent Nazi civilians’ during World War II,” he explained. It is not a far stretch to say there are very few innocent Palestinian civilians.”

When confronted by CODE PINK activists over Palestinian babies being killed by Israel, he said, “these are not innocent Palestinian civilians across the world.” He also blamed Palestinians for their own starvation, saying “they should go out there and put a government in place that doesn’t attack Israel.” When asked about Palestinian homes being bombed he said, “There is more infrastructure that needs to be destroyed… and there will be more that is destroyed.”

Mast’s selection has been condemned by a number of human rights groups and activists. “Brian Mast might be the perfect person to serve as a spokesperson for the war criminals of the Israeli government, but he has no business running congressional hearings on sensitive international issues that impact our nation’s security,” said CAIR Government Affairs Director Robert McCaw.

Unfortunately, Mast’s selection points to a broader issue among Congress. The body is largely devoted to Israel and thus anti-Palestinian sentiment generates no repercussions.