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Friday, December 25, 2020



Thorstein Veblen
The Gadfly of American Plutocracy


Far from a marginal outsider, a new biography contends, Thorstein Veblen was the most important economic thinker of the Gilded Age. His critiques of capitalism and economic theory speak to our own era of economic injustice.

SIMON TORRACINTA

CLASS & INEQUALITY



Veblen: The Making of an Economist Who Unmade Economics
Charles Camic
Harvard University Press, $39.95 (cloth)

In 1893 financial panic triggered a four-year depression in the United States, then the most severe in the nation’s history. Bank runs, shuttered factories, and plummeting wheat prices put millions out of work. In Chicago alone, as many as 180,000 workers were jobless by the end of the year.

Veblen was perhaps the most accomplished and certainly the most original American economist of his era.

An attempt by the Pullman Palace Car Company in the city’s South Side to impose a 30 percent wage cut on its workforce in the spring of 1894 led to a walkout by the newly formed American Railway Union, led by Eugene Debs (not yet famous as the socialist firebrand who would later win 6 percent of the vote in the 1912 presidential election). It quickly escalated into full-scale boycott of luxury Pullman cars by hundreds of thousands of railroad workers across the country—the infamous Pullman strike, which took place between May and July. With the railways paralyzed, President Grover Cleveland sent federal troops to Chicago, and pitched battles—at times lethal—erupted in working-class neighborhoods. “This is no longer a strike,” the Chicago Tribune thundered: “This is a revolution.” That same spring, hundreds of desperate, unemployed workers, calling themselves the Army of the Commonwealth of Christ, marched from Ohio to the White House, demanding the federal government offer relief in the form of an ambitious public works program to be funded by the unprecedented issuance of fiat money. Another 700 workers from the northwest forcefully commandeered a train to make the trip to D.C., fending off marshals until federal troops intercepted them in Montana.

This was the atmosphere surrounding the campus of the University of Chicago, then only a few years old, which had just hired a young Norwegian-American economist named Thorstein Veblen two years earlier. In June of 1894 Veblen remarked on these events of worker action for the Journal of Political Economy; he was its founding managing editor. Focusing on Army of the Commonwealth, he dismissively observed “a general conviction that society owes every honest man a living.” These men, he suggested, had fallen prey to the “articulate illusion” of “greenbackism,” to “protectionism,” “populism,” or to “any other of the ramifications of the paternalistic tree of life.” Yet his teaching at Chicago and book reviews for the Journal in this moment tell another story, indexing a deep interest in the agenda of “socialism” emerging both from the American working class—in 1893, the AFL Convention adopted a political program with an explicit call for the “collectivization of industry”—and from Marxist theory emanating across the Atlantic. Despite his ridicule of the march’s proposals, Veblen credited it and its direct appeal to the federal government “an expression of the fact latterly emerging into popular consciousness, that the entire community is a single industrial organism, whose integration is advancing day by day, regardless of any traditional or conventional boundary lines or demarcations.”

Veblen’s ideas have a new urgency in what many have called our new Gilded Age.

The ambiguities of this stance were typical of Veblen, perhaps the most accomplished and certainly the most original American economist of his era, and subject of a landmark new biography by sociologist Charles Camic. Though a fulsome critic of the flagrant predations of Gilded Age capitalism and biting chronicler of its business aristocracy, he could appear indifferent to the popular movements that drew on similar arguments. Prescient in recognizing the interconnectedness of individual fates within a country rapidly becoming a single industrial whole, he was unremittingly hostile to reform with any shade of “paternalism”—especially from the state. Living through economic convulsion and class conflict unlike any other in U.S. history, he often preferred to retreat into the long view of an evolutionary perspective that reduced the present to a little speck in the passage of millennia. The historian John Patrick Diggins neatly summarized some of these ambiguities in the preface to his 1978 study The Bard of Savagery:


On the left Marxists admire his critique of capitalism but are piqued by his rejection of Hegel and dialectical materialism; liberals value his attack on big business but are disturbed by his skepticism about historical progress; conservatives rejoice in his exposure of the foibles of mass society but are shocked by his disrespect for the rich and the powerful; and feminists esteem his understanding of the archaic basis of masculine domination but are puzzled by his own relationships with women. Veblen seems to delight everyone and satisfy no one.

Yet despite these antinomies, Veblen’s ideas inarguably have a new urgency in what many have called our new Gilded Age, as wealth inequality has soared past mid-twentieth century levels to approach that of its namesake. The objects of Veblen’s notorious critique in The Theory of the Leisure Class (1899)—“conspicuous consumption,” “wastefulness,” “pecuniary culture,” the “parasitism” of elites—strike a new resonance as stocks soar to record highs while millions are out of work or forced to labor in unsafe conditions, as the ultra-rich helicopter to the Hamptons for the pandemic while everyone else shelters in place, as the billionaire president conducts affairs of state from his many golf resorts. “Real estate,” Veblen once remarked, “is an enterprise in ‘futures,’ designed to get something for nothing from the unwary, of whom it is believed by experienced persons that ‘there is one born every minute.’” Sound familiar?

Practically since his death in 1929, serious attention to Veblen’s thought and the distinctive social and intellectual world in which it developed has been hampered by his portrait as a reclusive outsider, a “marginal man” who translated the ressentiment of his alienation from the country’s elite—as the son of first-generation Norwegian immigrant farmers in the Upper Midwest—into acid critique of American mores. Stories of aloof temperament, lousy teaching, and womanizing have mixed together into a heady reputational cocktail, leaving even his acolytes a little apologetic. Bitter about his mistreatment by the academy, in his later life Veblen seemed at times to relish in his outsider image; his dying wish was “to be cremated . . . as expeditiously and inexpensively as may be, without ritual or ceremony of any kind,” with “no tombstone, slab, epitaph, effigy, tablet, inscription or monument of any name or nature . . . set up in my memory.” This basic narrative was reproduced by his first biographer Joseph Dorfman in Thorstein Veblen and His America (1934), a touchstone even for his later admirers. That Veblen left little correspondence and no archive behind has made it all the more difficult to recover an alternative perspective.

The stakes of this new biography are more than reputational: what Charles Camic really uncovers are the resources Veblen drew upon to make sense of his era—one of disquieting echoes with our own.

A sociologist of knowledge and veteran Veblen scholar, Camic’s overriding aim is to demolish this received opinion. Through careful reconstruction and prodigious archival sleuthing, he convincingly presents a Veblen as a “consummate academic insider,” trained at four leading universities of his day by the esteemed thinkers of his generation, well-respected within the economic profession, speaking confidently to its central theoretical debates, and deftly employing the conceptual repertoire of late nineteenth-century American thought. (To boot, Veblen is acquitted on charges of personal coldness, poor teaching ability, and all but one case of extramarital relations.) The stakes of this excavation are more than reputational: what Camic really uncovers are the resources Veblen drew upon to make sense of his era—one of disquieting echoes with our own.


Born in 1857 to a close-knit Norwegian family in Cato, Wisconsin, Veblen moved as a child to Rice County, Minnesota, as his parents steadily pushed further west to escape the advancing frontier of capitalist integration. (At home the chief language was Valdris, the southern-Norwegian dialect.) Economic historians Jeremy Atack and Fred Bateman argue that, in this antebellum period, a fully egalitarian wealth distribution “was more nearly realized in the rural northern United States than elsewhere in human history.” This singular experience of the homestead economy provided Veblen with a nostalgic vision of “self-sufficient” producers that he counterposed throughout his life with those—like the small-town merchants and land speculators of his early life—forever leeching on the “productive labor” of others. Infused with the Lutheran moralism of his upbringing, this distinction between honest labor and wasteful idleness would be one he put to work throughout his career.

Serious attention to Veblen’s thought has been hampered by his portrait as a reclusive outsider—a “marginal man” who translated the ressentiment of his alienation from the elite into acid critique of American mores.

Fortuitously for Veblen, his family farm lay only a few miles from the new Carleton College in Northfield, Minnesota, and the unusual decision of his parents to continue his education set him quite accidentally on an academic path. An encounter with the economist John Bates Clark, then teaching at Carleton at the outset of his own career first kindled his interest in political economy, although it was the more prestigious discipline of philosophy that Veblen initially undertook to study for a doctorate at Johns Hopkins, then the leading model of a modern research university in the United States. Transferring to Yale to complete his doctorate, he became in 1884 one of the first dozen men to earn a doctorate in the subject at an American university.

Veblen subsequently spent six years back in Minnesota recuperating from a mysterious illness, and trying and failing to secure an academic position (the academic job market, then as now, was not great), before taking the extraordinary step—mostly unheard of today, and certainly so in the 1890s—of getting another PhD to enhance his prospects, this time in political economy. He began this work at Cornell but transferred once more when he followed his mentor, the economist James Laurence Laughlin, to Chicago, where he finally took a junior faculty position in 1894.

By the completion of this fairly remarkable trajectory, Veblen had studied under a pantheon of distinguished teachers, including the economists Clark, Laughlin, and Richard T. Ely, the philosophers Charles Sanders Peirce, George Sylvester Morris, Noah Porter, and George Trumbull Ladd, the historians Herbert Baxter Adams, Moses Coit Tyler, and Herbert Tuttle, and the proto-sociologist William Graham Sumner. Few of these are familiar names to twenty-first century ears, but they were pivotal figures nineteenth-century American intellectual life. Beyond academic pedigree, Camic suggests that Veblen’s teachers shared a fundamental conceptual repertoire that the economist, through a process of “repetition-with-variation,” imbibed and then reworked to apply to the key theoretical problems of economics at the turn of the century.

Veblen’s ideas were informed by a deep faith in the progressive power of scientific research and the profound influence of an evolutionary perspective on both biological and social life.

This shared repertoire included a deep faith in the progressive power of scientific research (be it in natural history, mental philosophy, or archivally informed biblical criticism), and the profound influence of an evolutionary perspective, taken from both Charles Darwin and Herbert Spencer, on both biological and social life. In the context of an emergent “social science,” this outlook lent itself to a focus above all on the progressive evolution of “institutions”—social, legal, cultural, economic—through human history.

At Hopkins, the economist Ely and the historian Adams, both influenced by the German historicism they absorbed during their doctorates at the University of Heidelberg, aspired “to place the study of society on a scientific footing” in their shared department “by tracing the course of economic, political, and other institutional developments over the historical period since antiquity.” A student of the German historical economist Karl Knies, Ely excoriated classical political economy (in the style of Adam Smith and David Ricardo) for making “universal self-interest the preponderating cause of economic phenomena,” a message further reinforced by Sumner at Yale. Sumner, for his part, sought in parallel to construct a new science of sociology tracing the “the structure and functions of the organs of society,” accepting that were “no bounds to the scope of the philosophy of evolution” as applied to social life. This philosophy of evolution was likewise reinforced by Peirce, who lionized Darwin for introducing a “probabilistic” account of scientific laws in his On the Origin of Species (1859), in accounting for the contingency of natural variation—an admiration shared by Veblen’s later colleagues in practically every department at Chicago, from the biologist Jacques Loeb to the philosopher John Dewey.

There is no doubt that Veblen drew on this rich intellectual climate. But while Camic’s theme of repetition with variation is argumentatively compelling, it can be narratively unsatisfying. In line with the author’s commitments to the approach of French sociologist Pierre Bourdieu, over a hundred and fifty pages (some forty percent of the text) are devoted to Veblen’s education: the effect is of a rather encyclopedic bildungsroman, in which our young hero ventures from campus to campus, filling out the lengthening pages of his curriculum vitae. Meanwhile, though Camic describes the momentous political and economic transformations of the period, he rarely discusses Veblen’s own experience or understanding of them, to the extent this can be reconstructed from a fragmentary archive, until we get to the later scholarly output for which he became famous. Still, the biography succeeds in moving Veblen from the margins of ­fin-de-siècle intellectual life and placing him squarely in the center.


Shortly after Veblen arrived in Hyde Park, the metropolis around him erupted in open revolt. Not coincidentally, the central debate among American economists at this moment concerned the just compensation of “capital” and “labor”—the same question over which blood was being spilled across the city.

The biography succeeds in moving Veblen from the margins of ­fin-de-siècle intellectual life and placing him squarely in the center.

A central figure in this debate was Veblen’s old Carleton teacher John Bates Clark. In his early career, when Veblen first encountered him, Clark—himself taught by historicists in Zurich and Heidelberg—had equally taken to task English political economy for its incapacity to accommodate historical change within it its “mazes of logical wandering.” In his early writing Clark was a searing critic of the “latent brutality” of the new corporate capitalism in the United States, which he warned was leading to “socialistic tendencies” and “communistic agitations.” In “How to Deal with Communism,” written in the wake of the Great Railroad Strike of 1877, involving some 100,000 workers and violently put down by federal troops, he frankly charged that:
We offer a man a pittance, and tell him to take it and work for us from morning till night or starve; but we do not coerce him. It is at his option to choose whether he will work or not; he is free you observe! . . . We kill men, it is true; but not with cudgels in open fight. We do it slowly, and frequently take the precaution to kill the soul first; and we do it in an orderly and systematic manner. Indeed we have any number of books and learned professors to tell us precisely in accordance with what laws we may kill them, and indeed must kill them, if we will not break with the system of which we are a part.

Over time, however, perhaps due to continuation of major social upheaval throughout the 1880s, Clark’s position on the labor movement hardened. Drawing on the resources of the new “marginalist” theory coming from Europe, he developed in the early 1890s a theory of the “distribution of wealth” that became an object of vigorous contention within the discipline. Proceeding from the assumption that entrepreneurs always employed the “factors” of capital and labor in production to maximize profits, Clark argued that the amount of each factor used, determined by the pull of supply and demand reflected in relative prices, always followed from the precise value each added to final profits. In other words, as he put it in his landmark The Distribution of Wealth (1899), “labor tends to get, as its share, what it separately produces,” and “capital does the same.” The inequities of the Gilded Age, in this account, were merely the natural outcome of the superior productivity of capital: “We get what we produce—such is the dominant rule of life.”

According to Veblen, the value of an object of consumption for the leisure class often derived from its lack of any possible association with work or productivity.

This idea, what we today call “marginal productivity theory,” is still embedded into the assumptions of modern economics. But Camic shows that Veblen used the considerable intellectual arsenal developed in his long apprenticeship to mount a full-scale assault on its presumptions. It is this agenda, Camic suggests, that determined the shape of Veblen’s most famous works, both The Theory of the Leisure Class and its follow-up The Theory of Business Enterprise (1904).

The former book (also Veblen’s first), still by far his most read, is often thought of barbed document of social critique, an ironic “field guide” to the habits and manners of the new American bourgeoisie, in line with journalist contemporaries like Herbert Croly, or literary figures like Henry James and Edith Wharton. But Camic shows Veblen had another purpose: he understood the book as a serious economic theory, taking a “scientific,” even natural-historical perspective on the new and exotic American institution of the leisure class.

The insights afforded by this close observation systematically cut against the assumptions of marginalists like Clark. From this basis, Veblen presented three key arguments. First, the value of an object of consumption for the leisure class often derived from its lack of any possible association with work or productivity. Thus consumer goods were valued precisely for being expensive, and “conspicuous abstention from labor . . . becomes the conventional mark of pecuniary achievement”—resulting in a “leisure-class canon [that] demands strict and comprehensive futility,” even down to modes of the dress whose own inflexible construction displayed their distance from any necessary exertion. Second, marginalist faith in transhistorical “laws” of the market was belied by the perpetual evolution of economic institutions over time, evidenced not least by the novel phenomena of the leisure class itself. Finally, this evolutionary perspective, informed by the findings of archaeology and ethnology, revealed a historical succession of “predatory institutions” and ruling classes that similarly lived on the extracted social surplus produced by their slaves or subjects. (It should be noted that Veblen sometimes resorted to racial-type explanations for why such a divide might be perpetuated.) The leisure class, in other words, was just a dressed-up, modern twist on earlier forms of ruling-class plunder, swapping out chainmail for straw hats and linen suits.

Veblen thought that marginalist faith in transhistorical “laws” of the market was belied by the perpetual evolution of economic institutions over time, evidenced not least by the novel phenomena of the leisure class itself.

“Life in a modern industrial community, or in other word life under the pecuniary culture,” Veblen wrote, thus acts “to conserve the barbarian temperament, but with the substitution of fraud and prudence.” His description of “parasitism,” with the vampiric leisure class “withdrawing from [the lower classes] as much as it may of the means of sustenance, and so reducing their consumption . . . and available energy,” and ultimately acting “to lower the industrial efficiency of the community,” was intended as a mocking, lurid inversion of Clark’s panglossian faith that all received the just fruits of their work, and that free enterprise tended to the most efficient production of wealth.

Veblen’s Theory of Business Enterprise, less well known but equally powerful, extended this argument to the then-novel corporate structure of the business firm itself. Proceeding from a division between “industrial employments” (scientists, engineers, skilled mechanics, or farmers, for instance) and “pecuniary employments” (business managers, entrepreneurs, bankers, stockbrokers, real estate agents), Veblen argued that the storied separation of “ownership” and “management” in the modern corporate form had put pecuniary interests firmly in the driving seat. Channeling, for once directly, the plaintive appeals of workers’ movements, Veblen asked rhetorically:
Why do we, now and again, have hard times and unemployment in the midst of excellent resources, high efficiency and plenty of unmet wants? Why is one-half our consumable product contrived for consumption that yields no material benefit? . . . . Why are large and increasing portions of the community penniless in spite of a scale of remuneration which is very appreciably above the subsistence minimum?

His answer—once again in contrast to Clark’s productivity theory—was that large profits in a closely integrated industrial economy were primarily earned through “pecuniary transactions” amid times rapid oscillations of boom and bust. Thus “it is, in great part, through or by force of [such] fluctuations . . . that large accumulations of wealth are made.” But “insofar as the gains of these unproductive occupations are of a substantial character, they come out of the aggregate product of other occupations,” that is, from the value-adding “industrial employments” themselves. Ultimately, then, “business” itself had become parasitic on “industry.” The “competitive management of industry becomes incompatible with continued prosperity so soon as the machine process has been developed to its fuller efficiency” and indeed, “further technological advance” would only “act to heighten the impracticability of competitive business.” The modern corporation, in other words, was already an archaic fetter on the full promise of technologically driven prosperity.

Veblen achieved these critiques by reconfiguring the methods of economics. He rejected the rigidity of models within both the old political economy and the new marginalism.

Veblen achieved these critiques by reconfiguring the methods of economics. He rejected the rigidity of models within both the old political economy and the new marginalism, arguing that both were guilty of excessive reductionism of human motives—with its cartoonish figure of homo economicus—and inattention to the historically specific architecture of economic life and behavior in any given period. Lampooning the “hedonistic conception of man” in marginal utility theory as “a lightning calculator of pleasures and pains, who oscillates like a homogeneous globule of desire of happiness,” he supplied instead what we might today call a constructivist approach. Drawing on his on training, Veblen articulated an alternative economics understood as an “evolutionary science.” In this conception:
[Man] is not simply a bundle of desires, . . . but rather a coherent structure of propensities and habits. . . [These] are the products of his hereditary traits and past experience, cumulatively wrought out under a given body of traditions, conventionalities, and material circumstances. . . In all this flux there is no definitively adequate method of life and no definitive or absolutely worthy end of action, so far as concerns the science which sets out to formulate a theory of the process of economic life. . . What, in specific detail, [humans] seek, is not to be answered except by a scrutiny of the details of their activity; but, so long as we have to do with their life as members of the economic community, there remains the generic fact that their life is an unfolding activity of a teleological kind.

Contrary to Veblen’s current reputation as an outsider, Camic shows that contemporaneous economists, even on the marginalist side, took these arguments seriously—and his theories were hotly debated in the leading journals of his profession. Moreover, Veblenian ideas, especially his historical attention to institutions, exerted a strong pull on a younger generation of scholars who went on to found the “institutionalist” school of economic thought. Institutionalists Adolf Berle, Jr., and Gardiner Means built on Veblen’s Theory of Business Enterprise to put the modern, publicly traded corporation under the microscope. Their classic work, The Modern Corporation and Private Property (1932) would suggest that the legal form of the corporation was breaking apart of the “the unity that we commonly call property” given the separation of ownership and management over corporate assets, and that economic concentration entirely undermined the putative ideal of competitive prices. Another institutionalist student of Veblen’s, Wesley Mitchell, began investigations of the business cycle—which could only be conceived of as an anomaly in the static equilibrium theories of the marginalists. Turning to questions of economic measurement, he helped found and lead the National Bureau of Economic Research, which played a key role in the emergence of GDP measurement in the 1930s, which is now second nature in both economic governance and public consciousness. Reaching its apex in the interwar period, several disciples of the institutionalist school, like Berle, John Maurice Clark (son of Veblen’s teacher and adversary), and the young John Kenneth Galbraith, went on to staff key economic policy roles during the New Deal—shaping its willingness to intervene directly into markets.

Today the influence of Veblen is felt less in mainstream economic theory than in the fabric of ideas and institutions that shape economic life, from econometric statistics and regulatory agencies to antitrust and labor law.

It was only during the effective “neoclassical” counterrevolution beginning in the 1930s that Veblen’s suspicion of ahistorical formalism was gradually but firmly exorcised from the modern discipline. A subsequent generation of “new institutionalists,” drawing especially on the work of Ronald Coase, sought instead to rehabilitate neoclassical models—a synthesis that can be seen in the work of Elinor Ostrom, Oliver Williamson, or Daron Acemoglu. Today the influence of Veblen and his students is therefore felt less in mainstream economic theory (with the exception of critics of neoclassicism such as Ha-Joon Chang) than in the fabric of ideas and institutions that shape economic life, from econometric statistics and regulatory agencies to antitrust and labor law.


The fateful year of 1893 was also the year Veblen met a graduate student in economics named Sarah McLean Hardy. Shared intellectual enthusiasm escalated over several years into infatuation on Veblen’s part, but by the time he confessed his love, Hardy was already engaged to another man. (Camic does not explore their relationship, though he repeatedly draws on their lively correspondence on theory and politics.) This episode led to a permanent break with his wife Ellen Veblen, although she refused him a divorce. Rumors of an affair between Veblen and another graduate student in 1904 (Camic thinks them false) were too much for Chicago’s President William Rainey Harper, already scandalized by Veblen’s scathing opinion of the growing influence of business in universities, a view he later published in The Higher Learning in America (1918). After fourteen years at Chicago, and at the height of Veblen’s academic reputation, he was out.

Although Veblen landed on his feet with a faculty position at Stanford, a discreet love affair between Veblen and yet another former student, Ann Bevans, that began in 1905 (they eventually married in 1914 when he obtained a divorce) compounded the earlier rumors that followed him. Soon enough Veblen was ejected from Stanford too, leaving in 1909. It was a double blow, both to his standing in the profession and to the economic and institutional security that had allowed him to produce his landmark work.

Camic suggests that Veblen retreated from the theoretical battlefield of professional economics in the latter part of his life, but a closer engagement with his output suggests his thinking grew more expansive as a result.

One weakness of Camic’s biography is that Veblen’s twenty years of post-academic life are shunted off to the conclusion. One might get the impression that the work of this period, no longer recognized by his former academic peers, merits little attention—and that about personal scandal, the less said the better. The shape of the narrative thus unconsciously reproduces the snobbery of his erstwhile colleagues, and by the end of the book he has become a pariah. This is a shame, because Veblen’s journalistic writing in later life for outlets like The New Republic and The Dial likely reached a far larger contemporary audience than his scholarly work ever did, and his hand in ventures like the founding of the New School for Social Research in New York had a lasting impact. Camic suggests that Veblen retreated from the theoretical battlefield of professional economics in this period, but a closer engagement with his output suggests his thinking grew more expansive as a result.

This new sense of vision is particularly striking in The Engineers and the Price System (1921), a published collection of essays for The Dial that Veblen wrote in the recession following World War I. The book feels rather current in today’s moment of low global growth rates, with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change openly calling for “rapid and systemic changes on unprecedented scales” to prevent catastrophic warming, with mainstream economists exploring the need for a “mission-oriented” state, and with heterodox thinkers behind the Green New Deal drawing on the unprecedented wartime economic mobilization of World War II for resources to think through an alternative order of states and markets. Criticizing the distortions of the “price system,” which “sabotaged” (more than any worker-led stoppages) the rational and efficient organization of productive capacity, Veblen imagined a possible “soviet of technicians” that might take over management of the economy from the “vested interests” in the future.


As in the past, Veblen’s technocratic faith misrecognized the social forces available to bring about such sea change—despite his attempted proselytizing among engineers at the New School. Nevertheless, given the industrial strategy and state coordination needed for the complete decarbonization that the biosphere urgently requires, his critique might be a better starting point than the ritual genuflections of today’s economists toward the altar of market prices and their musty repetitions of the catechism of its high priest, Friedrich Hayek.

Above all, Veblen captured the excesses and inefficiencies that “vested interests” impose on capitalist production. The grounds of his critique were moral, but in our day it is a matter of survival.

We are not today living in a simple repetition of the 1890s, as the evolutionarily minded Veblen would have been the first to admit. Contemporary readers will blush at Veblen’s technocratic confidence; the answers to our manifold economic travails will require a different arrangement of both the conceptual and the political furniture. But as a testament to one of the last and most brilliant representatives of an older tradition of economics that genuinely sought to speak to its time, this new biography comes at an opportune time. Above all, Veblen captured the excesses and inefficiencies that “vested interests” impose on capitalist production, as he put it in a powerful collection of essays published in 1919.

The grounds of his critique of waste were moral, but in our time—when every additional ton of carbon emitted imperils the future—it is a matter of survival. Within mainstream economics today, the most radical critiques of the present amount to modest concessions that contemporary markets can lead to “inequitable” compensation, “inefficient” work-life conflicts, or regional imbalances of investment. Veblen had no such inhibitions. “Is it safe, or sane,” he once wrote, “to go into the future by the light of these same established canons . . . that so have been tried and found wanting?” Like the naturalists he so admired, he saw himself soberly cataloguing the economic life-forms of the teeming jungle that surrounded him, the ecology that connected and sustained them. Beneath the austere exterior and the scowl in his photographs, there was a dimly perceptible reservoir of Victorian faith that convinced him such grisly levels of predation and violence could not possibly last. We should hope he was right.

Sunday, January 09, 2022

Colorado’s Suburban Firestorm Shows the Threat of Climate-Driven Wildfires is Moving Into Unusual Seasons and Landscapes

Backyard fences, decks and landscaping helped spread the flames through suburban neighborhoods and shopping malls baked by global warming.


By Bob Berwyn
January 7, 2022

The Marshall Fire continued to burn out of control on Dec. 30, 2021 in Broomfield, Colorado. Credit: RJ Sangosti/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images

When he saw smoke in the air around Boulder, Colorado on Dec. 30, Tom Veblen walked up a trail near his home to check it out. Veblen, a professor emeritus of geography at the University of Colorado Boulder who has been studying forest ecology, wildfires and climate change since the mid-1970s, said he could see that the Marshall Fire, on the southern edge of the city, was already jumping over distances of several hundred yards.

The winds were so strong that he said he struggled to open his car door, and to stay on his feet in the powerful gusts. Wooden fences separating yards in the suburbs sprawling in the distance looked like burning fuses, as winds gusting faster than 100 mph pushed the flames along them to ignite decks, roofs and residential landscaping. The firestorm would eventually engulf shopping malls and a hotel.

As a resident of a neighborhood he had previously believed to be a safe distance from the fire-prone forests, Veblen felt a sudden and unfamiliar sense of vulnerability.

“Sure, I knew that Chinook winds could drive winter grassland fires to spread very rapidly, but in the past we just did not have all the driving factors align so perfectly—wet spring producing abundant grass fuels, one of the warmest and driest June-Decembers on record and then an ignition at the base of the mountains.” Local topography also contributed to the intensity, with a canyon opposite the fire acting like a nozzle, blasting winds from the peaks onto the flames and pushing the fire east into suburban neighborhoods.

The Marshall Fire ultimately burned some 6,200 acres, destroying at least 1,084 homes and seven commercial structures, before it was largely smothered by a New Year’s Eve snowfall. On Wednesday, investigators reported they had found partial human remains assumed to be those of one of the two people still missing after the fire. Insured losses are estimated at about $1 billion, making it Colorado’s most destructive fire on record in terms of property loss.

In the days since the fire, Veblen said he’s had many conversations with neighbors and friends, some feeling a combination of survivor’s guilt and post traumatic stress disorder, and all wondering how worried they should be about wildfires burning into suburbia in the future.

“I told them that, this winter, we’re probably going to be OK,” he said. But with the warming and drying climate shortening the snow season and desiccating grasses and brush more each year, chances are growing that similar drought, heat and wind will align more frequently to drive wildfires into the cold seasons and developed landscapes where they were once rare.

In the meantime, few residents of rapidly expanding suburbs in which most of the vegetation has been planted by homeowners and developers realize that they are living in an expanding “Wildland Urban Interface,” or WUI, in which wildfires can threaten their homes and lives. In some areas with little natural vegetation, wooden fences and decks, wood-framed houses, flammable roofs and landscaping are the biggest source of fuel, which can burn down into glowing chunks that are lofted by high winds to help a fire hopscotch through neighborhoods.

“We could have another fire starting in Sunshine Canyon in some of those grassy areas and burn right down into Boulder,” he said. “We could call it a freak event, but we know that it’s not. It’s just a matter of those conditions setting up again.”
Jordan Hymes gets a hug from her grandmother Nancy Grigon, left, as her grandfather Guy, right, looks towards their burned out subdivision in the Coal Creek Ranch subdivision in the aftermath of the Marshall Fire on Dec. 31, 2021 in Louisville, Colorado. Hymes and her family lost their home of ten years. The fire may have potentially burned 1,000 homes and numerous business. The fast moving fire was stocked by extremely dry drought conditions and fierce winds, with gusts topping 100 mph, along the foothills. Credit: Helen H. Richardson/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images

A visit Friday to the towns devastated by the Marshall Fire by President Biden, Colorado Gov. Jared Polis and Rep. Joe Neguse (D-Boulder), could help jump-start the conversations needed to address the threat, he said.

“The important message our society needs to hear from them is that this is an example of a climate-enabled event, and the probability of similar events will continue to increase as we have continued warming,” he said. “Unless we keep fossil fuels in the ground, these events are going to get more frequent and worse.”
New Climate, New Fuels and New Fires

“It’s clear the climate change is increasing the likelihood of these types of events,” said University of Montana fire ecologist Phil Higuera, who is currently a visiting fellow at the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado, Boulder, studying the relative influence of climate, vegetation and human activity on wildfire trends.

“What I don’t want to see is a reaction of, ‘Oh, this is such an extreme event that we can’t do anything about it,’” he said. “Yes, this fire was very bad luck, but we shouldn’t be rolling the dice with fire in December.”

Yet research, including a landmark 2019 study of fire weather indices, shows that global warming is loading those dice for more winter fires. Warmer temperatures and decreasing precipitation increasingly leave fuels like trees and brush tinder dry late in autumn and early winter, and increase the probability that snow-free Decembers will leave grasses, decks and roofs uncovered and vulnerable to wind-driven sparks and embers that could ignite them.

What used to be the start of the season that brought snow to the West and cool, rainy conditions to many other parts of the country is now sometimes more like late summer. Even if global warming didn’t ignite the Marshall Fire, “there really is a seasonality change that is the main climate factor,” said UCLA climate researcher Daniel Swain, who studies extremes like fires and floods. “Usually by this time of year, there is just more moisture on the ground.”

For more than 20 years the region has endured alarmingly rapid aridification that has shrunk snowpacks, dried up river flows and lowered groundwater levels. Denver, just south of the Marshall Fire, experienced one of its longest snowless stretches on record just prior to the blaze, while much of the West blistered through an extreme autumn heat wave.

Winter fires are not unheard of in Colorado, or in grassland like where the Marshall Fire was first sighted, Swain noted.

“That is not quite as surprising as what happened next,” he said. “It started there, burned a few hundred acres within 10-15 minutes, then it came across shopping malls … a significant extent of tract homes, a fair bit of vegetation in people’s yards and city parks. This is not a wild place, not a remote place.”

“That’s why we get these eerie images,” he said, alluding to social media posts of people fleeing from shopping mall pizza parlors and medical workers watching the fire from a hospital window as near-hurricane force wind gusts pushed fire and smoke plumes east into the towns of Superior, with a population of 13,077, and Louisville, with 20,860 residents.

The images of fires around shopping malls are jarring, Swain said, “And yet as bewildering as it is, we’ve seen it in any number of large, wind-driven fires in recent years.”

Swain said several recent California fires were similar to the Marshall Fire, including the 2017 Tubbs Fire that burned more than 5,000 structures in Santa Rosa, the 2018 Camp Fire that killed more than 80 people when it destroyed the town of Paradise, and the Carr Fire, also in 2018, which jumped the Sacramento River in Northern California to spread into Redding, a city of 90,000 people.

Swain said the temperatures on the day of the Marshall Fire ignited were unremarkable for December in Boulder, with highs in the 40s. But that contrasted sharply with a “multi-month period of almost continuously balmy and record-warm temperatures leading up to this event, with many days making into the 60s and 70s during October and November and overnight lows rarely getting below freezing,” he said. “It was those antecedent record warm and dry conditions that were key in setting the stage.”

And the winds that drove the fire were like nothing he had ever encountered before. “The strongest I have ever experienced anywhere in the world while outdoors,” said Swain, who had to wear protective glasses to protect his eyes from airborne pebbles and roof shingles, with gusts “rushing downward over the Front Range foothills, creating very erratic windflow and occasional tornado-strength vortices. At one point, I witnessed one of these clear-air vortices cross the road and uproot a tree.”

With the increasing confluence of extreme fire weather conditions like high winds and extended droughts and heat waves, “there are a lot of places that are at similar risk, including many of the suburban areas around the Front Range,” Swain said. “But it’s really hard to prepare. There aren’t any simple interventions.”
Preparing for Wildfires in Suburbia

One part of the solution clearly lies in revising building codes to ensure that most construction and landscaping materials are non-flammable, even in areas that appear to be far from wildfire threats, said Veblen, an expert in the geography of fire. Such measures are becoming more common in areas where fire hazards are widely recognized, and the destruction of the Marshall Fire could inform how the boundaries of those zones are drawn in the future.

Since fires cross between jurisdictions, Veblen said that state rules would be most useful, but are unlikely to happen in Colorado, a home rule state where most land use decisions are made by local governments. So that leaves it up to county commissioners, “who need to feel they have the political support of the people so they can resist the influence of the building and real estate interests, which nearly always oppose any mandatory measures that make building more costly,” he said.

A meaningful change to building practices could also be spurred by the insurance industry, which could make sure that people who, for example, build with flame-resistant brick, pay less for fire insurance policies than those who build with flammable materials.

Apart from the built environment, he said the Marshall Fire will also trigger some “serious rethinking” of wildfire mitigation and the management of open space and parklands, which are among the key amenities that make the nearby homes desirable in the first place.

“We know that up until 1950 it was mostly ranchland,” he said, with grazing cattle keeping grasses short and less prone to fire. Residential development started after World War II and accelerated in the 1970s.

“The most important thing we’ve done is change the fuels by putting structures all over the foothill ecotone,” Veblen said. Some early reports on the Marshall Fire suggest the fire may have slowed down when it reached one of the few small areas where cattle still munch the grass, so it could be that managed grazing could be a fire mitigation strategy, he added. Restoring wetlands and stream corridors to the point that they sustain live vegetation could also help by adding moist fire buffers to the landscape.

The Marshall Fire and similar blazes burning in unusual landscapes and seasons could also challenge assumptions about how to reduce the wildfire hazard in areas far from the towns that burned—the fire-prone zone where forests spill off the lower slopes of the Rockies onto the plains. There, the long-standing thinking has been to thin woody fuels.

“But if you thin out ponderosa pine, it increases resources for grass to grow,” Veblen said. “So we said, ‘Sure, let’s have some grass fires, that will be beneficial.’ But no one was thinking about this. Wow, this fire event is changing my perspective on where it is or is not safe from fire.”


Bob Berwyn
Reporter, Austria
Bob Berwyn an Austrian-based freelance reporter who has covered climate science and international climate policy for more than a decade. Previously, he reported on the environment, endangered species and public lands for several Colorado newspapers, and also worked as editor and assistant editor at community newspapers in the Colorado Rockies.


Tuesday, March 03, 2020

Towards an intellectual history of evolutionary economics: competition and struggle versus cooperation and mutual aid
Rumo a uma história intelectual da economia evolucionária: competição e luta versus cooperação e ajuda mútua
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy
Print version ISSN 0101-3157On-line version ISSN 1809-4538
Brazil. J. Polit. Econ. vol.37 no.3 São Paulo July/Sept. 2017
https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572017v37n03a05 




JOHN HALL1
SVETLANA KIRDINA-CHANDLER*

*Professor of Economics and International Studies; Portland State University; Oregon, USA. E-mail: hallj@pdx.edu;

1Head of the Sub-Division for the Evolution of Social and Economic Systems; Institute of Economics; Russian Academy of Sciences; Moscow, Russia. E-mail kirdina@bk.ru.


ABSTRACT

Our inquiry considers the origins of Evolutionary Economics by reintroducing a debate that took place in Russia in the 19th and early 20th century. Responses to Charles Darwin’s The origin of Species are considered, especially critiques stressing Darwin’s emphasis upon competition and struggle in natural selection, that can be traced directly to Thomas Robert Malthus. Considering challenging contributions made by several Russian scholars, we place special emphasis upon Peter Kropotkin’s focus on cooperation and “mutual aid” in natural selection and evolution. We then speculate upon the commonality found in the evolutionary views advanced by Kropotkin and his American contemporary, Thorstein Veblen.

KEYWORDS: Charles Darwin; Evolutionary Economics; mutual aid; Peter Kropotkin; Thomas Robert Malthus; Thorstein Veblen


RESUMO

Nossa investigação considera as origens da Economia Evolutiva reintroduzindo um debate que teve lugar na Rússia no século XIX e início do século XX. Respostas ao Origem das Espécies de Charles Darwin são consideradas, especialmente as críticas que enfatizam a ênfase de Darwin na competição e na luta na seleção natural, que podem ser traçadas diretamente a Thomas Robert Malthus. Considerando contribuições desafiadoras feitas por vários eruditos russos, colocamos uma ênfase especial no foco de Peter Kropotkin na cooperação e na “ajuda mútua” na seleção natural e na evolução. Em seguida, especulamos sobre a semelhança encontrada nas visões evolucionistas avançadas por Kropotkin e seu contemporâneo americano, Thorstein Veblen.

PALAVRAS-CHAVE: Charles Darwin; economia evolucionária; ajuda mútua; Peter Kropo-tkin; Thomas Robert Malthus; Thorstein Veblen



Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Economics, Evolution and Mutual Aid

Two interesting articles appeared over the Christmas holidays, how deliciously ironic, about Darwinianism and Evolution.

One from the right and one from the left. Both though concluded that Darwinianism applied as much to society as to evolution, as an ideology of society, albeit a materialist one.

The Economist had an interesting editorial and a special supplement on evolution in their Christmas New Years edition. I will expand on the Economist article below.

And Mother Jones had this article by Canadian born Keynesian economist John Kenneth Galbraith. The old codger is still at it, bashing the supply side privateers on the right. The whole issue was dedicated to the debate on Intelligent Design.

Smith vs. Darwin

Commentary: Like Intelligent Design, the idea of the Invisible Hand stubbornly persists in the face of overwhelming evidence

December/January 2006 Issue


Before Darwin, when scientists gazed on the natural world, they imposed categories on it: order, families, genera, species, with Homo sapiens sapiens coming out on top. Evolution meant progress; order and progress were signs of God's plan. Darwin shifted the focus to individuals, to mutation, and to the processes of natural, sexual, and social selection. Order now recedes. Variations are key, and they occur entirely by chance. God is left out. "What was radical about On the Origin of Species," Menand writes, "was not its evolutionism, but its materialism."

Economists, on the other hand, have been Intelligent Designers since the beginning. Adam Smith was a deist; he believed in a world governed by a benevolent system of natural law. Consider this familiar passage from Wealth of Nations, published in 1776, with its now mostly forgotten anti-globalization flavor:

"By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry [every individual] intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intentionÂ…. By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it."

Smith's Creator did not interfere. He simply wrote the laws and left them for events to demonstrate and man to discover. The greatest American economist, Thorstein Veblen, observed that "the guidance ofÂ…the invisible hand takes placeÂ…through a comprehensive scheme of contrivances established from the beginning." What is this if not Intelligent Design?

But to Veblen this was, precisely, unscientific. And so he made a mighty effort back in 1898 to move economics into the Darwinian age. In a magnificent essay entitled "Why Is Economics Not an Evolutionary Science?" Veblen pointed out the problems of classical economics: too much preoccupied with classification schemes and higher purposes, too little with material process and "cumulative or unfolding sequence." Economics could become a science, but only if it detached itself from the idea that change intrinsically led to improvement.

More than a century later, economics has not escaped its pre-Darwinian rut. Economists still don't understand variation; instead they write maddeningly about "representative agents" and "rational economic man." They still teach the "marginal product theory of wages," which excuses every gross inequality faced by the laboring poor. Alan Greenspan even recently resurrected the idea of a "natural rate of interest" to justify raising rates, though that doctrine had been extinct for 70 years. Economists still ignore the diversity of actual economic and social life. They say little about forms of ownership and the distribution of power, and almost nothing about how pointless product differentiation and technical change now shape and drive the struggle for survival among firms.

Metaphysics still persists in economics. It takes the form of "competitive equilibrium"—the conditions under which selfish individuals and tiny small businesses in free competitive markets interact to produce the best results for social welfare. Competitive equilibrium is a state of perpetual economic stagnation, its study an exercise in mental stasis. This is because there is nothing to study: The idea dominates textbooks and journals but has never existed in real life.


And it just gets better after that. Well worth the read.

Veblens essay refered to by Galbraith is here;
"Why is Economics Not an Evolutionary Science?", QJE, Vol. 12, No. 4. (Jul., 1898), pp. 373-397. For more on Veblen see:Veblen and Darwinism

Now for the Economist. Bet you didn't know that Herbert Spencer was a regular contributor to the Economist back in the 19th Century. Neither had I.

The story of man

Dec 20th 2005
From The Economist print edition

Modern Darwinism paints a more flattering portrait of humanity than traditionalists might suppose


IN THOSE parts of the planet that might once have been described as “Christendom”, this week marks the season of peace on Earth and goodwill towards men. A nice idea in a world more usually thought of as seasoned by the survival of the fittest. But goodwill and collaboration are as much part of the human condition as ill-will and competition. And that was a puzzle to 19th-century disciples of Charles Darwin, such as Herbert Spencer.

It was Spencer, an early contributor to The Economist, who invented that poisoned phrase, “survival of the fittest”. He originally applied it to the winnowing of firms in the harsh winds of high-Victorian capitalism, but when Darwin's masterwork, “On the Origin of Species”, was published, he quickly saw the parallel with natural selection and transferred his bon mot to the process of evolution. As a result, he became one of the band of philosophers known as social Darwinists. Capitalists all, they took what they thought were the lessons of Darwin's book and applied them to human society. Their hard-hearted conclusion, of which a 17th-century religious puritan might have been proud, was that people got what they deserved—albeit that the criterion of desert was genetic, rather than moral. The fittest not only survived, but prospered. Moreover, the social Darwinists thought that measures to help the poor were wasted, since such people were obviously unfit and thus doomed to sink.

Sadly, the slur stuck. For 100 years Darwinism was associated with a particularly harsh and unpleasant view of the world and, worse, one that was clearly not true—at least, not the whole truth. People certainly compete, but they collaborate, too. They also have compassion for the fallen and frequently try to help them, rather than treading on them. For this sort of behaviour, “On the Origin of Species” had no explanation. As a result, Darwinism had to tiptoe round the issue of how human society and behaviour evolved. Instead, the disciples of a second 19th-century creed, Marxism, dominated academic sociology departments with their cuddly collectivist ideas—even if the practical application of those ideas has been even more catastrophic than social Darwinism was.

Trust me, I'm a Darwinist

But the real world eventually penetrates even the ivory tower. The failure of Marxism has prompted an opening of minds, and Darwinism is back with a vengeance—and a twist. Exactly how humanity became human is still a matter of debate. But there are, at least, some well-formed hypotheses (see article). What these hypotheses have in common is that they rely not on Spencer's idea of individual competition, but on social interaction. That interaction is, indeed, sometimes confrontational and occasionally bloody. But it is frequently collaborative, and even when it is not, it is more often manipulative than violent.

Modern Darwinism's big breakthrough was the identification of the central role of trust in human evolution. People who are related collaborate on the basis of nepotism. It takes outrageous profit or provocation for someone to do down a relative with whom they share a lot of genes. Trust, though, allows the unrelated to collaborate, by keeping score of who does what when, and punishing cheats.

Thus both of the things needed to make an economy work, collaboration and competition, seem to have evolved under Charles Darwin's penetrating gaze.

Dystopia and Utopia

This is a view full of ironies, of course. One is that its reconciliation of competition and collaboration bears a remarkable similarity to the sort of Hegelian synthesis beloved of Marxists. Perhaps a bigger one, though, is that the Earth's most capitalist country, America, is the only place in the rich world that contains a significant group of dissenters from any sort of evolutionary explanation of human behaviour at all.

Such a stunning conclusion that the real nature of Darwinian society is trust, collaboration and altruism; Mutual Aid. In the editorial pages of the Economist yet, well I had to write a letter to the Editor.


Dear Editor;

Your December 20th editorial on Darwin and Evolution was rich in irony. Intentional or not. Your conclusion that the real basis of a Darwinian society was collaboration, trust and altruism of course was shocking. Especially for the pages of such a staunch capitalist publication as yours. One that embraces competition as the highest good. But you at least were honest enough to say it.

The fact is that this very important element of evolutionary theory, that we advance more by collaboration, trust and altruism then competition was raised over 100 years ago by Peter Kropotkin in his work Mutual Aid. He called this collaboration, trust and altruism; solidarity the very basis of a voluntary society.

Kropotkin the Russian anarchist lived in exile in England and published the Anarchist fortnightly Freedom, which still publishes to this day. You overlooked his work that proves your editorial correct. It is perhaps that he had not had a column in the Economist like Herbert Spencer, whose anarchism he opposed with his ideal of mutual aid and communism. More and more society, nature and Darwinism and now your editorial is proving Kropotkin, not Spencer, right.

Sincerely,
Eugene Plawiuk
Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

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Monday, July 26, 2021

 

Extreme heat, dry summers main cause of tree death in Colorado's subalpine forests

UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO AT BOULDER

Research News

IMAGE

IMAGE: DEAD TREES IN SUBALPINE COLORADO FOREST ON NIWOT RIDGE, WEST OF BOULDER. view more 

CREDIT: ROBERT ANDRUS

Even in the absence of bark beetle outbreaks and wildfire, trees in Colorado subalpine forests are dying at increasing rates from warmer and drier summer conditions, found recent University of Colorado Boulder research.

The study, published in the May print issue of the Journal of Ecology, also found that this trend is increasing. In fact, tree mortality in subalpine Colorado forests affected by fire or bark beetle outbreaks in the last decade has more than tripled since the 1980s.

"We have bark beetle outbreaks and wildfires that cause very obvious mortality of trees in Colorado. But we're showing that even in the areas that people go hiking in and where the forest looks healthy, mortality is increasing due to heat and dry conditions alone," said Robert Andrus, lead author of the study and postdoctoral researcher at Washington State University. "It's an early warning sign of climate change."

These deaths are not only affecting larger trees, thus reducing forests' carbon storage, but hotter and drier conditions are making it difficult for new trees to take root across the southern Rockies in Colorado, southern Wyoming and northern parts of New Mexico.

It's well known that rising temperatures and increasing drought are causing tree deaths in forests around the globe. But here in Colorado, researchers found that heat and drought alone are responsible for over 70% of tree deaths in the 13 areas of subalpine forest they measured over the past 37 years. That's compared with about 23% of tree deaths due to bark beetles and about 5% due to wind damage.

"It was really surprising to see how strong the relationship is between climate and tree mortality, to see that there was a very obvious effect of recent warmer and drier conditions on our subalpine forests," said Andrus, who conducted this research while completing his graduate degree in physical geography at CU Boulder. "The rate of increasing mortality is alarming."

With temperatures in Colorado having risen by about 2 degrees Fahrenheit since the 1980s and increasing more quickly at higher elevations, estimates of another possible 2.5 or more degrees of warming in the next few decades due to climate change indicate that the rate of tree deaths will only increase.

Seeing the forest for the trees

Subalpine forests cover over 10,000 square miles in Colorado and are best known by those who ski or recreate in the mountains. Subalpine fir and Engelmann spruce dominate the area above the Peak to Peak Highway in the Front Range, and if you go over any mountain pass in Colorado, you're going into the subalpine zone, according to Andrus.

Previous research at CU Boulder has shown how wildfire, beetle kill and the two combined can affect the mortality and health of Rocky Mountain subalpine forests. This new research isolated the effects of those two common stressors from those of heat and moisture to find out how much of an effect climate change is having on these tree populations.

"As trees die in increasing numbers due to fire, bark beetles and drought, the warmer and drier climate is making it much less likely that new tree seedlings can establish and replace the dead adult trees," said Tom Veblen, co-author of the study and professor emeritus of geography.

Launched by Veblen when he arrived on campus in 1982, this is the longest running study of tree mortality in Colorado with remeasurements made frequently enough to identify the factors causing tree death. Every three years since, graduate students, postdoctoral researchers and undergraduate field assistants have diligently returned to the more than 5,000 marked trees on Niwot Ridge just west of Boulder. In these 13 subalpine forest plots, they recorded that more trees died during summers with higher maximum temperatures and greater moisture deficits.

They found that tree mortality increased from .26% per year during 1982 to 1993, to .82% per year during 2008 to 2019--more than tripling within 40 years.

"It is really challenging because it's not very visually obvious to the casual observer," said Andrus. "But the thing to keep in mind is that while warmer, drier conditions are also causing more fire and bark beetle outbreaks, these slow and gradual changes are also important."

###

Additional authors on this publication include Rachel Chai of the Veblen Lab at CU Boulder; Brian Harvey, previously a postdoctoral researcher in geography at CU Boulder and now an assistant professor at the University of Washington; and Kyle Rodman, previously a graduate student in the Veblen Lab at CU Boulder and now a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Wisconsin Madison.

Saturday, June 06, 2020

1930s Post-Scarcity Dreams: Remembering the Technocracy Movement

Benjamin Abbott Mar 1, 2013 Ethical Technology



https://ieet.org/index.php/IEET2/more/abbott20130301



For a brief moment in the 1933, a radical solution to the Great Depression seized public attention across the United States. Claiming the mantle of scientific authority and well-equipped with facts and figures, Technocracy condemned the economic status quo – the price system – as hopelessly antiquated in an age of abundant energy. Technocrats argued the era of meaningful scarcity had ended.

The movement proposed a technician-run economy of equally distributed prosperity as the only way to prevent ecological and social collapse in the North American continent. In the context of financial meltdown and widespread destitution coupled with overproduction, the country's population proved receptive to the possibility of switching to economic system firmly grounded in material reality and organized by engineers' logic of instrumental rationality.

That transition never happened, of course; the price system weathered that crisis and others that followed. Technocracy fell back into obscurity as suddenly as it rose to prominence. Many historians treat the movement as a curiosity worthy only of ridicule – and not without reason. I've scant interest in promoting Technocracy as such and less still in apologizing for movement figurehead and would-be supreme leader Howard Scott.

However, I consider Technocracy's critique of capitalism and future vision valuable in that comes from an engineering perspective. Through insistent focus on the physical and technical, Technocracy turns on its head economists' claims about the efficiency of capitalism and effectively characterizes the price system overwhelmingly wasteful. Despite their myopia and enthusiastic embrace of numerous forms of oppression, Scott and company's analysis provides insight into the profound contradictions of the industrial world system and the project of cultivating better future.


Here in the twenty-first century, eighty years past the zenith of the Technocracy movement's notoriety, the contrast between actually existing production and human wants stands out as even more absurd. There's so much manufactured stuff around that many affluent folks don't know what to do with it. Few things last; designs routinely assume or ensure rapid obsolescence.

Dumpsters swell and spill over; landfills sprawl across acres and acres. In the Pacific Ocean, trash coalesces into patch of arguably continental proportions. Waste, as miserably processed as vast majority of it is, constitutes as resource for scavengers. Bottle, can, and scrap metal collection forms an important income for impoverished urban residents. I personally survive primarily from food deemed unsellable and thus donated. I know comrades who live off the food people leave on their plates at restaurants when traveling. Between gift markets and friends, I can hardly remember the last time I paid for clothing.

The scavenger economy marginals like me participate in – constrained as it is by gates, locks, and zealous garbage defenders – only hints at the staggering excesses of capitalism. Let's begin with a big-picture view of basic necessities and comforts. First, nutrition. A recent report by the Institution of Mechanical Engineers concludes that a third to half of all food produced simply spoils. Next, shelter. In in the United States, approximately twenty-four houses go completely empty for each houseless person. So much more residential space goes unused at the micro level; the other bedroom in the apartment where I stay has been unoccupied for the better part of a month while I search for someone to fill it.

What about transportation? As Bianca Mugyenyi and Yves Engler convincingly show, U.S. car culture approaches optimization's antithesis. You’ve got to work at it to devise a system that squandered more resources than multiton hunks of metal that commonly carry only a single person and spend 95% of time idly taking up space.
Members of the Technocracy movement examined similar dynamics from their time and concluded that it could and had to be done better. Along with Thorstein Veblen's 1921 The Engineers and the Price System, the Technical Alliance's studies of industrial waste appear in any account of the Technocracy movement's origins. The Technical Alliance – a group that included both Scott and Veblen during its 1920-1921 existence – prepared reports from clients such as the Railroad Brotherhood and the Industrial Workers of the World (IWW). Stuart Chase used his research with Technical Alliance as the foundation for his 1925 book The Tragedy of Waste. From a system-design standpoint, capitalist production and distribution looks like an awful, ugly mess.

I find this approach of comparison with the physically possible ideal an illuminating and provocative heuristic device. I heartily recommend contemplating what you want whether it’s possible or not as technique of both social critique and personal understanding, but the materialist-empiricist epistemology employed by the Technocracy movement adds a grounding element to this utopian exercise. If wielded prudently, Technocracy’s extreme reduction of human beings to machines with energy inputs and outputs constitutes a fruitful thought experiment. As sketched above, the ideal here obliterates assertions of capitalism’s efficiency. At best proponents can retreat to the stance that capitalism least bad among a lineup of stinkers.

While Scott insisted on distinguishing Technocracy and the technical mindset he idolized from Leftist revolutionary ideology, Veblen took a less rigid view and happily channeled Marxism in his notorious call for “a soviet of engineers and technicians.” Technocracy promised an old socialist, communist, and anarchist objective: universal comfort with minimal toil. Following Henry Elsner, Jr., I interpret the Technocracy – especially Technocracy, Inc. under Scott’s domination – as an authoritarian Left movement not as far removed from the Marxist spectrum as Scott repeatedly proclaimed. Dreams of egalitarian automation animated Leftists of Elsner’s era; I’m especially fond of socialist-feminist Shulamith Firestone’s cybernetic communism and Valerie Solanas’s plan for complete automation. Today, apart from Technocracy Inc. itself and explicit descendants such as Network of European Technocrats, Technocracy’s influence seems strongest in the Zeitgeist Movement and associated Venus Project.

In relation to the post-scarcity discourse prevalent within transhumanist and Singularitarian circles, remembering the Technocracy movement indicates that we need not wait for nanofactories and artificial general intelligence to terminate human want. The technical ability to create abundance of the basics has been around since the dawn of the twentieth century if not much earlier. Building a post-scarcity society requires political struggle and isn’t likely to happen on its own. There’s no guarantee that increasingly potent productive technology will lead to distributed plenty. As the current intellectual property rights regime demonstrates, governments can manufacture scarcity through coercion.

I conclude with a passage from the soul-searching debate within the Continental Committee on Technocracy that resulted from the split with Scott. The sentiment expressed applies as well to transhumanism and the Singularity movement in my estimation:
Some of us contended that behind the fad, the fantastic figures, and the pseudo-scientific jargon, was a sound idea. And that civilization itself might very well depend on getting this fundamental idea accepted, on proving to the people that the days of material scarcity would be over as soon as they willed it (Continental Committee on Technocracy, Bulletin No. 13, August 1, 1934).

Further Reading:

Akin, William E. Technocracy and the American Dream: The Technocrat Movement, 1900-1941. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1977.

Elsner, Jr., Henry. The Technocrats: Prophets of Automation. Syracuse: University of Syracuse Press, 1967.

Segal, Howard P. Technological Utopianism in American Culture. Syracuse: University of Syracuse Press, 2005.

Stabile, Don R. “Veblen and the Political Economy of Technocracy: The Herald of Technological Revolution Developed an Ideology of 'Scientific' Collectivism.” American Journal of Economics and Sociology 46:1 (1987), 35-48.

Tuesday, January 21, 2020

POST MODERN CLASS CONSCIOUSNESS

REPEAT AFTER ME

'WE ARE CAPITALISM'

It (Capitalism) is thus, despite itself, instrumental in creating the means of social disposable time,in order to reduce labour time for the whole society to a diminishing minimum, and thus to free everyone’s time for their own development.
K. Marx, Grundrisse
PART 1. 
 Today's blog post is about the Grundrisse Marx's notebooks that were the basis for his later work; Capital. 

I first read the David Mclenan  edition, which was published in 1970. We sold it in our Anarchist coop bookstore Erewhon Books. Did I read it from cover to cover, no neither have I read all of Captial, or the collected works of any author. 

But what I read then and reread over the years was the chapters I have quoted from here today. Specifically about what Marx thought would occur in advanced capitalism as it moved towards the domination of what he called disposable time over labour time. 

Disposable time is what has occurred under advanced capitalism of the  twentieth century.  In particular the automation and mass production of post WWII North America and then the defeated Germany and Japan allowed for rapid postwar mass production that created the modern consumer societies of the OECD and G7 countries. The last decade of the 20th Century and the first decade of the 21st have seen its expansion into the developing countries, the BRICS and those who have added to the G7 to become the G20.

Back then computer automation was only just beginning, it was still called, quaintly; Cybernetics, and a whole academic industry was created to deal with predicting what would occur in the future with automation 'freeing' us from drudgery, and of course the crisis in Capitalism that would occur with the masses having no work, leisure time galore, and Freedom 55.

As George Caffatis discusses in his recent article on the Grundrisse, this was a period where sociologists waxed lyrical about the jobless future and the end of work, sounds familiar, but this was Stanely Aronowitz and Alvin Toffler not Jeremy Rifkin. 

Zerowork was a project like Zero Growth, that challenged the idea that with us producing surplus goods and plenty, we should address the fact that less was producing more and more, and more.

Zero Growth challenged capitalism with the Malthusian indictment writ large, globally, about how by the end of last Century the billions of us on the planet would use up all our resources.

Zero Work was a critique of workerism of the old communist parties and even the new left that classified the working class as blue collar industrial workers. It too talked about cybernetics, and self management, as did Norbert Weiner twenty years earlier. 

Later one of its American theorists would become so critical of capitalism that he would posit a return to Plato's cave, proposing to undo his first forms. His theory is that all of industrial society, created by and for capitalism was corruption itself, and he ran off to take to moral high ground, which would be embraced by Animal Rights anarchists, Primitivists and the Black Bloc from Oregon.

The future lay before us all in the Seventies, we had survived the tumultous Sixties, some could not wait to put it behind them, others still embraced its counter culture with hopes for a revolution any day, because the mass disapproval of the War in Viet Nam was growing and showing in the streets across America and the world. 

A TV show that reflected the sixties optimism and seeking that the seventies began with in North America was CTV' Here Come the Seventies, produced in 1970 projecting about the coming future of leisure and endless consumption while applying science to the problems of food shortages that would produce the Green Revolution. All this bright sci fi futurism was becoming an academic and pop culture industry it even produced its own university status with spokespeople who remained popular in the eighties and even nineties. 

As I was young and impressionable in this period it was for me a period of radicalization as it was for many of us who were teenagers or draft age adults. 

I grew up on sci fi, as well as reading Marx, Bakunin, Kropotkin, Engels, etc. etc. my library began then and is still with me today fifty years later. Now at least I have a place to house it.
I listened to rock n roll, embraced all the lifestyle culture that was occurring, including the occult revival, the rebirth of witchcraft and magick, but most importantly I too was a futurist. It was nature of the culture at that time as the book publishing industry would attest to, and which the record industry would come of age because of.

In fact beyond rock n roll the seventies sound was best reflected by the theme for Here Comes the Seventies Tillicum by the Toronto electronic band Syrinx. 1970 saw the emergence of electronic music in a big way, with Nice, ELP, Klauze Schultz, Tangerine Dream, Kraftwerk, etc.

A rock and roll album that was a concept album telling a whole sci fi story about flying spaceship away from earth to colonize a utopia, called Blow Against the Empire. It was 
a collaboration between the Jefferson Airplane, Greatful Dead and San Fransisco area 
musicians. It won the only Hugo ever give to a rock album.

Of course only the year before two earth shattering events had occurred, man had landed 
on the moon and it was broadcast in glorious b&w around the world, even behind the Iron Curtain, and in Red China, and yes Viet Nam. The other was the release of the most advanced sci fi special effects movie ever, 2001 a Space Odessy in wonderful Technicolor and the latest in stereophonic sound..

In this hothouse of anything is possible, be realistic demand the impossible, out came a new edition of Marx's original notebooks for Capital. First published after WWII, in the midst of the Cold War, and the Mcarthyite purges it lay dormant in the ferment of the sixties not to be re-released till the seventies.

It was in this atmosphere of possibilities of anarchist dreaming of a utopia to be, I came across intellectual dynamite, something I read in this immense tome struck me as an answer. We all had questions in fact the Moody Blues even recorded an album about them. But here was an answer, a critical one, something that there and then I thought was damned important I should mark it down. I did and then I used it to develop my vision of workers class conciousness based on the idea of leisure time, cybernetics computer automation, and self management of society by us.

I read Wilhelm Reich's essay on Class Consciousness, and sometime later 
Luckas on History and Class Consciousness, and finally Erik Olen Wright. But I did not find this clear a statement about class consciousness. In fact whole fields of Marxist academia discussed the importance of real class consciousness vs false class consciousness,
who was the real vanguard of the revolution the much discredited white working class that sided with the Republicans, the Viet Nam war, or with radical students, African Americans, anti war activists, SDS, and yes the IWW.

Class consciousness was defined by academic sociologists as having been conquered by post modern post war capitalism. Everyone was Middle Class we were no longer producers neither farmers, nor factory workers, or trades people, we were all regardless of our jobs, primarily consumers. We saw the rise of a service worker sector in both government and the private sector.

Our aspirations despite the warning of  Death of a Salesman, was to embrace the post war service economy, to becomea  white collar suburban middle class . And while this was predominately a white American dream, it was embraced by sociologists as an explanation in at least one study of Oakland Afro Americans who while working as janitors, or rail car workers, were considered middle class because they had steady employment and could buy a house and belonged to Fraternal Orders and social clubs.That these wants, needs or aspirations were as much the promise of post war economics and working class dreams as they were part of a new mythical identity of a declasse America, the old American exceptionalism and with the help of Cold War paranoia, the socialst struggles in America became part of the post fifties social amnesia.

The irony is that the combination of deliberately induced historical social amnesia, made academics, pundits, cultural mavens, literati, media, etc. respond with the dance of the dialectic, at once both happy to have leisure and job security till retirement, the social compact that was the result of armed men coming home who needed to be reintegrated into society without overthrowing those in charge. 

Next the crisis was not what to do but what to do with all that leisure time, that disposable time as Marx called it. It was going to lead to all sorts of good and bad future possibilities from Star Trek wageless socialist future, or it could be a return to barbarism. The revolts of 1968 still fresh in peoples minds, were not of priveleged students or any privelged class but rather a revolt of overproduction, declining economies which had boomed in Europe for a decade were now
stable and declining in a global competiton for markets. 

These bourgeois revolutions occurred as the economies in Europe and North America and even in Latin America and Asia were booming, production was increasing, in fact it led to overproduction and by 1973 the world face a oil crisis. One so serious that it was predicted we would run out of oil and gas by 2000.

But all this had occurred before immediately after WWI Thorstien Veblen the American socialist economist wrote about the new methods of post war production, and the importance of the engineers, as a middle class between the workers in the factory and management. He told them they had a choice and he advised them to join with the workers.

He wrote of the new leisure class, and their conspicuous consumption as factories with mass production began processing food for housewives in cities to purchase in department stores.
Again a post war boom which led to a further boom until the crash of '29, and the resulting failure of capitalism with its Great Depression during a major climate event the dustbowl of the praries in North America and the steppes in Ukraine and Russia.

Veblen was influenced by the IWW and they intern worked with a group of engineers inspired by Veblen which would later become Technocracy Inc.

Veblen criticized the price system and trying to move beyond Marx came up with a time credit, an attempt to build on Marx's disposable time, this later became the energy credit of Technocracy.

Veblen was not the only economist coming up with new ideas to solve the crisis of capitalism and its overproduction, waste and inequality in sharing the wealth. WWI had devasted a generation, it was the first full scale capitalist war, one which saw huge advancements in science and technology aimed at mass killing. 

At its end there was a huge cultural revolution as well as a workers revolution, and during the depression post war ideas like Distributionism, Social Credit, the Cooperative Commonwealth, Guild Socialism, Syndicalism, joined with socialism and capitalism as economic theories of the times. Of course Keynes won and the Austrians took their marbles and left the stage for thirty years.

Each time there was a revolution or war in the twentieth century the following occurred;
capitalism adapted realizing that its most effective form would be state capitalism, 
Peasant economies were modernized often through militarization and corporatism
and later through wars of National Liberation resulting in the creation of a proletariat
in the cities
After wars or revolutions the victorious imperialist nation invested in infrastructure rebuilding
the capitalist economy in the defeated country.
The two most successful economies after the US and Canada following WWII were Japan and Germany and I would say they actually are more efficient capitalist states than the US because they are state capitalist with a social compact.

The sixties saw the discourse on development that Trotsky had first proposed;  the economics of even and uneven development in what became known as the third world and the third world anti imperialist struggles, we had Che and Andre Gunder Frank debate with Regis Debray and the beginning of serious Latin American marxist praxis in that developing world.

.What Kautsky prophetically called Super Imperialism divided up the world into four spheres of interlocking influence  three Superpowers USA, Russia, China and then the Non Aligned Movement of Nations.

After the 1929 crash and depression state ca[pitalism as a historical phenomena saved Capitalism indeed it seemed triumphant, it had small crisis's like the oil crisis of the seventies but no severe crash till 1964 and then the big one like 1929 again in 2008.

I was brought up like many on the left with the economistic reductionist crisis theories of traditional Leninism. Despite our various designations or allegiances to parites or left ideologies I knew no one who doubted the mechanistic therom that what goes up must come down and if it goes high enough the crash is huge.  What occurs next according to the  mechanistic revolutionary theory of history was that this crisis was to be so severe as to challenge capitalism to its very core. All we then needed was the revolutionary party of the proletariat to lead it in the fight to defeat capitalism. It was like we were storming the Winter Palace of Capitalism, rounding up the parasites, and planting the red flag on top of the government buildings. And indeed that is what the Bolsheviks in Russia did.

But it was not a workers revolution, it was a bourgeois revolution conducted by the working class in order toe save capitalism from itself as Keynes would point out in his General Theory of Economy, in fact the failure of the Bolshevik revolution, not its success, was what saved capitalism from itself said Keynes. Something Hayek argued against in the mirror for the rest of his life.

END OF PART 1.
TO BE CONTINUED 
EUGENE W. PLAWIUK