Friday, February 09, 2024

Hackers switching to centralized exchanges to fund crypto attacks

 Feb 08, 2024
—by Protos Staff



There is growing concern about the number of crypto hackers using centralized exchanges to fund their attacks.

In order to pay the transaction fees necessary to carry out attacks, hackers must first fund their wallets. However, given the transparency of a public ledger, they have to carefully consider how to do this without linking themselves to the crime.

Tornado Cash used to be the industry standard for covering one’s tracks, used by hackers and privacy advocates alike.

Now, it appears that in many cases, hackers simply opt to skirt their way around exchanges’ know-your-customer (KYC) procedures when funding their accounts.

Blockchain monitoring firm Forta Network’s analysis of funding sources for recent attacks shows that the hacker’s favourite Tornado Cash now represents just under half the hacks studied, with funds coming from centralized exchanges (CEXs) in a third of cases.

Other funding methods included novel privacy tool Railgun and ‘middleware operations software’ UnionChain, making up 6.7% apiece, as well as cross-chain swaps via Squid router, which accounts for 3.3%.




Read more: Explainer: What to know about crypto mixer Tornado Cash

The dataset is made up of addresses used in 30 recent flash-loan attacks, including November’s intricate $48 million hack of decentralized exchange KyberSwap, back-to-back attacks on Arbitrum projects Radiant Capital and Gamma Strategies, and a thwarted $1 million governance attack on NFT project Loot last month.

Although Tornado Cash remains the dominant source of funding for on-chain hacks, matters have been complicated for hackers trying to cash out after the US Treasury placed sanctions on the crypto mixing service in August 2022.

After the sanctions, addresses that have touched any ‘tainted’ funds originating from the mixer are generally flagged by exchanges, making it a poor choice when needing to convert any ill-gotten gains to fiat currency.

A recent article from 404 Media claims to have used a $15 AI-generated fake ID from a website named OnlyFake to pass KYC checks on OKX, the funding source of one of the attacks studied by Forta.

With these AI tools, there is no need to purchase stolen credentials, or ‘fullz’ on the darknet, hackers can simply generate an entirely new person, and all their corresponding documentation.

Such a significant proportion of attacks being exchange-funded shows just how easy bypassing KYC has become, a trend that is likely to continue with more widespread use of similar tools.

Read more: Iranian crypto exchange Bit24 reportedly leaks 230,000 users’ KYC data

Although the hackers run the risk of the CEX blocking their funds, they might feel somewhat safer leaving less of a trail on-chain.

While dodging genuine KYC checks may present a problem to the crypto industry in on-ramping hackers, the problem is bound to affect many other industries. Ironically, the widespread use of cryptographic proofs, the technology underlying cryptocurrencies, may be the solution to these kinds of issues in the future.

However, for now, there are reasonable doubts over how seriously exchanges take their role and how stringent KYC controls really are.

Meta platforms are ‘hotbeds’ for financial scams, says Revolut exec

60 per cent of scams in the UK reported to Revolut came from Instagram, Fscebook and Whatsapp, the fintech said

CRIMINAL CAPITALI$M; BUSINESS AS USUAL


BUSINESS POST

Tech companies, meanwhile, signed a voluntary online fraud charter last year to try and block more scams from reaching customers, with some institutions complaining have that Meta isn’t doing enough. Picture: Bloomberg

Most scams reported to finance app Revolut in the UK last year started their journey on Meta’s social media platforms, with most money lost to “get-rich-quick” investment schemes.

The London-based fintech found 60 per cent of UK scam cases came from Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, dwarfing other platforms and frauds conducted by telephone. Revolut found a similar trend across Europe, where 61 per cent of scams originated on Meta services.

Woody Malouf, Revolut’s head of financial crime, said Meta platforms were “being used as a hotbed for scams,” and urged Revolut customers to avoid so-called investment opportunities. “Banks and financial institutions should be the last line of defence, not the only line of defence.”

Malouf appeared alongside finance and technology executives this week at the UK’s home affairs committee in parliament, which is scrutinizing the surge in authorized push payment fraud. These scams trick customers into moving their money to accounts controlled by criminals and were responsible for almost £500 million in losses in 2022, according to the Payment Systems Regulator.

Related Reads
Online fraudsters con consumers out of €8.6m in first half of 2023

Starting in October, payment firms that allow fraudulent payments to be sent and received must reimburse victims, unless they can show they were grossly negligent.

The rule change will affect newer, smaller finance companies in particular. The PSR found Monzo, Starling and Metro Bank Holdings Plc were among firms with the greatest proportion of APP fraud, with over 100 frauds per million transfers sent.

Tech companies, meanwhile, signed a voluntary online fraud charter last year to try and block more scams from reaching customers. Starling and others have complained that Meta isn’t doing enough about the problem.

“We don’t want anyone to fall victim to these criminals, which is why our platforms have systems to block scams, financial services advertisers now have to be FCA authorized to target UK users and we run consumer awareness campaigns on how to spot fraudulent behavior,” a Meta spokesperson said in a statement.

“We also work closely with law enforcement and regulators and encourage our community to report scams immediately so we can take action against this kind of content swiftly.”

Meta accused of not taking Facebook Marketplace fraud seriously


Meta has been accused by MPs on the Home Affairs Committee of not taking the problem of online fraud on its platforms seriously (Tim Goode/PA)

By Martyn Landi, 
PA Technology Correspondent
Yesterday 


Meta has been accused by MPs of not taking the problem of online fraud on its platforms seriously.

The parent company of Facebook and Instagram came under scrutiny from the Home Affairs Select Committee after representatives from the banking sector said the “majority” of scams they see start on Meta platforms.

Paul Davis, financial crime prevention director at TSB, told the committee that Facebook Marketplace is the “main place” where purchase scams originate, which, along with investment and impersonation scams, are the most common types of fraud affecting bank customers.

“For those three types, which as I say are the main ones, we see about 80% start on social media,” Mr Davis told MPs.

“Indeed, let’s not walk past the fact that, when I say social media there, the majority of them start from the channels owned by one company in particular, which is Meta.”

He added: “Facebook Marketplace doesn’t have a payments channel attached to it, it’s not like a website you might use to buy something off a high street shop, for example, or Amazon. So, you have to get bank details from the seller of that item.



“What we see are customers telling us that they get bank details from the seller, send them money and then the item never turns up.”

In response, Philip Milton, public policy manager for fraud at Meta, told the committee that the tech giant takes the issue “extremely seriously”.

When suggested by the committee that evidence given to MPs by the banks shows Meta is not doing all it can to prevent online fraud, Mr Milton said: “I disagree with that.”

He went on: “To give you an idea of the scale that we’re putting in place to tackle this kind of thing, since 2016 we’ve invested 20 billion dollars on safety and security, and that’s not slowing down – five billion of that was in the last year alone.

“We have 40,000 people working across the company on safety and security. Half of that number are involved in directly reviewing content, so we invest significantly in trying to prevent this kind of thing from happening.”

He added that fraud “fundamentally undermines the experience we’re trying to provide for people” and said this, combined with fraudulent advertising affecting trust in the company from advertisers and its wider reputation, means the firm is “directly incentivised” to do all it can to prevent criminal activity.

However, committee member Tim Loughton, Conservative MP for East Worthing and Shoreham, argued that the five billion dollars Meta said it spent last year on safety and security equates to less than 4% of the firm’s annual revenue for the year – a figure he suggested is “not very high”.

You apparently have no financial skin in the game for clamping down on fraud on Facebook Marketplace other than potential reputational damageTory MP Tim Loughton to Meta's Philip Milton

Mr Loughton also questioned whether the 20,000 people reviewing content for Meta is an adequate number given the site has “four billion active accounts”, and suggested the social media giant is not taking the issue “terribly seriously” because, as Facebook Marketplace does not have a payments channel linked to it, the site is not financially liable if fraud takes place there.

“You apparently have no financial skin in the game for clamping down on fraud on Facebook Marketplace other than potential reputational damage,” he said.

“Unless there’s a clear link with advertisers walking away with their revenue because they’re concerned at (banking sector research showing) 80% of fraud starting on (social media platforms) and 68% of it specifically your platforms, then you don’t really have to take it terribly seriously – and the fact you’re spending five billion dollars out of an annual revenue of 134.9 billion, which, as I say, is three and a bit percent for a people-based service, is tiny.

“So you’re not taking this problem seriously, are you?”

In response, Mr Milton said: “I don’t agree with that at all”, and argued that “the scale of our investment demonstrates how seriously we take this problem”, adding that it is “market-leading” levels of funding for safety and security.

He added that, in response to tactics from fraudsters who demand payment or ask for an item to be sent before it is paid for, Meta has “removed the ability to ship an item on Facebook Marketplace”, and that there is “no way to pay for an item” on the platform because the firm is trying to “design out” the ability for criminals to use the platform for fraud.

NORTHERN IRELAND

OutsideIn Launches First Outlet Store at The Boulevard to Support Homelessness Initiatives

By Terry Clark
-8th February 2024

OutsideIn, a socially conscious fashion retailer founded in Belfast in 2016, is set to open its first outlet store at Northern Ireland’s premier designer outlet, The Boulevard in Banbridge, on Saturday, February 10, 2024. Known for its unique approach to fashion with a cause, OutsideIn operates on the principle of aiding those experiencing homelessness through its ‘Wear One, Share One’ model. This initiative ensures that for every item sold, a new piece of essential clothing is donated to someone in need via a network of Giving Partners.

This new venture will take form as a pop-up store, spanning across four weekends in February and March 2024, and will occupy a space of 1,314 square feet. The store is set to offer a wide range of popular clothing and accessories from OutsideIn’s current collection at reduced prices. Among the items for sale are fleeces, outerwear, sweatshirts, poms, and beanie hats, allowing customers to purchase high-quality fashion while supporting a noble cause.

Since its inception, OutsideIn has demonstrated remarkable growth and commitment to its mission, having distributed over 212,000 items of essential clothing to individuals in 41 cities across seven countries. The brand has ambitiously pledged to donate two million products over the next five years, reinforcing its dedication to making a significant difference in the lives of those affected by homelessness.

Chris Nelmes, Retail Director at The Boulevard said: “Responsible retail is hugely important to us at The Boulevard and so we are delighted to welcome the socially conscious business, OutsideIn onsite and fully support its homelessness initiatives.

“We put a large focus on our ESG outputs, and understanding how important it is to our customers, we feel Oi will be the perfect fit for our shopper demographic and wish them every success in this new outlet venture.”

David Johnston, Founder of OutsideIn said: “Whilst we mainly operate online, we are passionate about people and relish in the opportunity to have conversations in our new store and give our customers the chance to hear some of the stories behind our unique designs and the people they are helping with every purchase.

“This is a huge milestone for us as a company to open a store within a premier outlet like The Boulevard. The support from our customers has taken us from strength to strength and made this possible. The Boulevard has a fantastic retail offering and we are really looking forward to opening our doors and trading alongside these top brands, meeting a lot of new customers and helping even more people in need.”

 

Glen Dimplex To Cut 300 Jobs And Close Two Irish Sites

Glen Dimplex
8TH FEBRUARY 2024 /
GEORGE MORAHAN

Heater manufacturer Glen Dimplex is to cut up to 300 jobs on the island of Ireland over the next two years after announcing it will close two sites.

At present, Glen Dimplex has manufacturing locations in Newry and Portadown, two sites in Dunleer, Co Louth and a sales and distribution operation in Cloghran, near Dublin Airport, where it also has its head office.

The company plans to transfer panel and storage heating manufacturing from its Newry and Portadown locations to Lithuania, and the Portadown site will be shuttered, most likely next year.

Glen Dimplex will also relocate its sales and distribution arm from Cloghran to Dunleer in the next two years. Its head office will also be moved to another Dublin location with a more sustainable footprint.

The three remaining Irish sites will be reconfigured around higher value manufacturing and creating a centre of excellence and R&D hub for zero-carbon heating and ventilation technologies.

There will be no redundancies made in the next six months, and the job cuts will be made on a phased basis from late 2024 to the end of 2026.

The job losses were announced following strategic review of Irish operations, and staff were brief on the company's plans earlier today (8 February).

Glen Dimplex will invest €50m to "re-orientate" its manufacturing operations in Ireland and Europe, including €40m ringfenced for manufacturing, R&D and new sales and distribution facilities in Newry (€25m) and Dunleer (€15m).

The Newry site will be repurposed into a centre of excellence for manufacturing renewable heating solutions including heat pumps, and the firm's two Dunleer sites will be consolidated into one multi-purpose facility on Ardee Road that will incorporate sales and distribution, a new showroom, R&D and ventilation manufacturing.

The remaining €10m will be invested to increased the existing manufacturing capacity of the company's Lithuanian operations, and Glen Dimlex will also transfer the manufacturing of Flame products from Dunleer to a third party in China.

Despite the planned job cuts, employment at Glen Dimplex in Ireland is expected to increase by 20% to over 1,000 over the next five years. The firm currently employs over 8,000 people globally.

“Glen Dimplex has always been a leader in electric heating solutions for homes and businesses," said Fergal Leamy, CEO of Glen Dimplex.

"The drive for zero carbon renewable electricity requires a transition in the technology and appliances used in our homes and businesses, especially in smart and sustainable heating and ventilation solutions such as next generation heat pumps, ventilation and storage solutions using renewable energy sources. 

GLEN DIMPLEX WILL CUT 300 JOBS BY THE END OF 2026.

“By signalling these proposed changes significantly in advance of proposed implementation we aim to mitigate the impact on staff and minimise redundancies through training and redeployment and affording the opportunity to apply for hundreds of new roles that will be created over the coming years."

Glen Dimplex reported revenues of €944m and profit of €37.6m in 2022, and the company has net assts of €325.7m.

Photo: Fergal Leamy (left). (Pic: Chris Bellew /Fennell Photography)

"PAUSING FOSSIL FUELS"(SIC)

Another Merger Being Explored in the U.S. Shale Space

As mergers and acquisitions heat up in the U.S. shale industry, U.S. oil and gas producer Devon Energy is looking to purchase Enerplus, anonymous sources told Reuters on Thursday.

The potential tie-up would see the $3 billion valued Enerplus acquired by  $30 billion Devon Energy, adding to the string of other mergers and acquisitions in the North American oil and gas industry, including megadeals such as Exxon’s acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources and Chevron’s acquisition of Hess, along with Occidental’s purchase of CrownRock, Exxon’s purchase of Denbury, and Chevron’s acquisition of PDC Energy.

The sources were clear that a deal was being discussed, but there was no certainty that a deal would for sure be reached.

Enerplus has assets in North Dakota’s Bakken and Pennsylvania’s Marcellus basin. Devon already has a presence in North Dakota, and an acquisition of more North Dakota assets will help spread out its reliance on other basins, such as the Delaware.

Enerplus already sold its Canadian assets back in 2022 as it shifted focus on its assets in the United States—in retrospect a seemingly wise move that allowed it to return more than $300 million to shareholders last year. Enerplus, however, has been criticized for its high spend on maintaining current levels of production.

Devon, too, ditched its entire Canadian business back in 2019 to Canadian Natural Resources—like Enerplus, it wanted to shift focus to the United States.

Enerplus is trading down year over year but perked up on Thursday on news of the possible deal, climbing by 7.54% on the day. Devon shares are also down from this time last year, but were trading up by nearly 2% on Thursday afternoon.

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

Westmount Energy cheers new discovery offshore Namibia

08 Feb 2024 

Westmount Energy Limited - Westmount Energy cheers new discovery offshore Namibia

Exciting times lie ahead according to Westmount Energy Limited (AIM:WTE, OTCQB:WMELF) chair Gerard Walsh following news of a new discovery offshore Namibia.

Westmount, a small-cap investor in the oil and gas sector, has a minority shareholding in Africa Oil which in turn has an economic interest in TotalEnergies discoveries in Block 2913B.

Africa Oil earlier today highlighted the results from the Mangetti-1X which unearthed a new discovery and also confirmed the presence of the recently discovered Venus reservoirs in another location.

“Today's positive update by our investee AOC confirms our view that the Orange basin is a major emerging, prolific, hydrocarbon province which offers Westmount shareholders continuing exposure to high impact exploration and appraisal drilling outcomes," Walsh said.

“We also note the commentary provided yesterday at the TotalEnergies 2023 Results and 2024 Objectives presentations2, with the operator of the giant Venus Discovery indicating that the appraisal program and development planning was now focussed on the optimisation of the location of the first Development FPSO with respect to reservoir sweet spots in terms of permeability and productivity.

“In addition, the operator signalled a continuing aggressive exploration and appraisal program in 2024, with a Namibian E&A budget of circa $300M, and with another potential exploration drilling target already identified to the south of Venus.

“So an exciting program of drilling and testing lies ahead and we look forward to further newsflow in this regard."

Africa Oil has a material economic interest in the new discovery via its 31.1% shareholding in Impact Oil & Gas, which in turn holds a 20% stake in the TotalEnergies-led project.

Mangetti-1X has intersected hydrocarbon-bearing intervals in the Mangetti fan prospect, which is a similar but separate system to the Venus oil discovery (unearthed previously by the exploration joint venture).

This latest well also achieved its secondary objective, which was to intersect and appraise the Venus system in this location which is a northern extension area of the original discovery.

Africa Oil told investors that Mangetti has the potential to add additional recoverable resources to the project, and, that Impact and its partners are now working to determine the next step in the evaluation process.

"The positive results of the Mangetti-1X well present us with a new fairway opportunity, potentially adding a new recoverable resource base on Block 2913B,” Roger Tucker said in the Africa Oil statement.

“Our involvement in Block 2913B continues to be exciting, with further work underway to understand the potential of Mangetti, alongside the Venus-2A appraisal well, currently drilling.”

Elsewhere, the company noted a separate update from TotalEnergies related to the Akpo West field offshore Nigeria – where, as operator, the French major has now confirmed the start of production.

Africa Oil holds an economic interest in Akpo West via a 50% shareholding in Prime Oil & Gas, which in turn owns a 16% stake in the field.

Akpo West is expected to produce some 14,000 barrels of condensate per day, followed by 4 million cubic meters of gas per day starting in 2028, Africa Oil noted. “Akpo West presents us with advantaged and high netback production in a low operating cost and with a low emission project,” Rogers added.

BRITISH CHAMBER OF COMMERCE RESPONDS TO LABOUR’S GREEN
PROSPERITY PLAN


BCC
February 8, 2024

Responding to Labour’s latest announcement on its Green Prosperity Plan, Shevaun Haviland, Director General of the BCC, said:

“The UK is a global leader on climate change and the green transition must be at the heart of any economic plan to drive the growth we so desperately need.

“At a time of significant economic challenge, it is crucial that any policies to support the transition to Net Zero remain financially credible.

“Businesses fully understand this and want to engage, but they need consistency, and changes in policy can have a destabilising effect.

“It is encouraging that Labour stands by its commitment to clean energy by 2030, the development of Great British Energy and investment in green skills.

“To reach Net Zero will require a partnership between the private and public sectors to unlock investment across our economy.

“The Chamber Network is already heavily involved in the supply chains for Hinkley and Sizewell, and initiatives to provide crucial funding for green innovation.

“But a robust green strategy focused on delivery across the economy must be underpinned by clear and consistent messaging.”

 

LABOUR SHOULD LEARN THAT EVERY FISCAL RULE IS A POLITICAL CHOICE

Rather than experiment with another round of austerity, Rachel Reeves should commit to investing in our economy.




After months of speculation, Labour has finally caved to pressure and ditched its flagship £28bn green investment pledge, and thrown plans to insulate 19m homes by 2030 into doubt. £28bn is the amount that we identified at NEF needed to lower emissions and create an economy that improves lives, through things like wind and solar power, public transport, and home insulations. In fact, we found that insulating 19m homes by 2030 would lower household energy bills by hundreds of pounds a year.

But, like George Osborne before her, if Rachel Reeves becomes chancellor, she will argue that economic failures of the previous government make it too difficult to borrow to invest in the UK’s future. In a bid to be seen as economically responsible” by sticking to its arbitrary borrowing and debt rules, a Labour government is threatening to doom the UK to years of stagnant or even falling living conditions, along with an inability to meet the future challenges of the climate crisis and an ageing population.

A major component of this government’s and Labour’s debt and borrowing rules, also referred to as fiscal rules”, is for government debt-to-GDP to be falling in five years’ time. For over a decade, our government has been preoccupied with bringing down public debt through spending cuts. But years of austerity did very little to bring down the UK’s debt – to-GDP ratio (figure 1). Inadequate government spending and investment reduce demand, slow growth, and can cause long-term damage to people and the economy. It is widely acknowledged that the UK is currently living with the consequences of 15 years of underinvestment, which include stagnant productivity and crumbling public services. Rather than re-experiment with austerity, Labour could instead try to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio by growing the economy. Borrowing to invest can achieve this, especially when we borrow to invest in the low-carbon economy of the future. Green investments are particularly good at boosting growth, incomes and jobs.

Figure 1: Over a decade of austerity has failed to bring down the UK’s debt-to-GDP ratio


Despite both major parties’ fixations on the debt-to-GDP ratio (currently around 86%, excluding Bank of England debt), this isn’t a meaningful measure of how much room a government has to safely borrow (known as fiscal space”). For example, Japanese debt-to-GDP has risen to over 250% in recent years, while interest rates have stayed low and affordable. Meanwhile, Ukraine defaulted on its debt in 1998 when debt levels were only 41.8% of GDP. Fiscal space is determined by a more complex set of macroeconomic dynamics than simple ratios between parts of the government’s balance sheet and the nation’s GDP.

This is why the UK has had nine sets of fiscal rules since 1997. Our fiscal rules are not immovable laws of nature – they are invented and decided by our politicians. Chancellors simply change their fiscal rules when they become too difficult to meet – they are a political tennis ball, not a tool of effective policy. Even Jim O’Neill, the former chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, and the Treasury’s commercial secretary under then-chancellor George Osborne, has since urged this government to drop such petty and arbitrary fiscal rules that magically claim the deficit in five years’ time will be lower.” While Rachel Reeves appointed O’Neill as an advisor, she doesn’t appear to have taken this advice to heart.

So if fiscal rules are arbitrary restrictions which don’t ensure the health of our economy, how should we decide how much the government should be borrowing and spending? At NEF, we have suggested that this government replace the fiscal rules with new fiscal referees”, an independent advisory committee in the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). These referees would be appointed by parliament and guided by a set of macroeconomic fiscal principles that take into account the complexity of fiscal space – things like resource constraints, the private sector balance sheet position and public sector net worth. While ultimate decisions over tax and spend would remain with the chancellor, they would estimate a target range for optimal government spending over a rolling forecast period, and given wider macroeconomic dynamics.

However, if a UK government is determined to fixate on an arbitrary debt-to-GDP target, they are a few things they can do to take into account the positive impacts of smart investment. First, they should extend the time-period over which the fiscal rules apply. A government cannot implement vital economic renewal over a five-year period.

Second, they should extend the time horizon of OBR forecasts, so that costs and benefits of tax and spending decisions that occur in more than five years can be considered. Currently it is assumed that tax and spending decision have no impact on the economy after five years, which means we underestimate the benefits of investing in climate policies, education and skills.

Third, the government should ask the OBR to explore what sorts of investments would have stronger positive economic impacts per pound spent (known as multiplier effects”). The IMF has found evidence that green investments have significantly higher multiplier effects than their carbon-intensive equivalents.

And finally, the government should ask the OBR to take into account evidence that that multiplier effects for certain investments may increase over time, as the original cost of funding through taxation and borrowing wears off and the benefits of the policy are experienced in full. The IMF finds that for infrastructure and green policies, multipliers increase for 20 years.

Every fiscal rule” is a political choice. It’s time for our politicians to start making the right ones.


Do Labour’s arguments to scrap £28bn climate pledge stack up?


8 Feb 2024
Economics CorrespondentCHANEL 4

What should we make of Labour’s climate policy u-turn.

The party says they can’t afford the plan anymore because of the state of the economy, but does the argument stack up?

Irresponsible not to ditch £28bn green pledge, Starmer says

Starmer confirms end of Labour's £28bn green policy 

BBC
8 February 20248 February 2024

Play video Starmer confirms end of Labour's £28bn green policy plan from BBC


Summary

Labour says it will no longer spend £28bn a year on environmental projects if it wins the upcoming general election, blaming the Conservatives for "crashing the economy"

Party leader Sir Keir Starmer says all of Labour's green policies remain on the table, but the Warm Homes insulation plan will be "scaled back"


The pledge to spend £28bn a year on clean energy, green jobs and home insulation was first pledged in 2021


Ditching the idea has come under fire - Labour's former shadow environment secretary Barry Gardiner called it "economically illiterate"


The Green Party, the SNP, and the Unite union have also criticised dropping the scheme - while Rishi Sunak says Labour "doesn't have a plan"

  1. Summing up: Labour backtracks on green pledges

    So what just happened?

    As our live coverage draws to a close, here is a summary of Labour's U-turn on its green pledges and the reaction to today's announcement.

    • Sir Keir Starmer has confirmed Labour will no longer spend £28bn a year on environmental projects should the party win the next election
    • The Labour leader blamed the Conservative government for "crashing" the economy, arguing that standing by his 2021 pledge was now "irresponsible" given the weakened state of the economy
    • However, he insisted all Labour's previously announced green policies "remain on the table", while conceding that some, such as the Warm Homes insulation policy, would have to be "scaled back"
    • Instead of reaching 19 million homes over a decade, the Warm Homes Plan will cover up to five million homes over five years;
    • Policies such as setting up a state-owned energy company and creating a National Wealth Fund remain while the Local Power Plan has been downgraded
    • Labour has committed to increase the windfall tax on oil and gas companies from 75% to 78% and extend it to the end of the next parliament, which they say will raise £10.8bn
    • Former shadow climate change secretary Barry Gardiner called the climbdown on green investments "economically illiterate" while Green Party co-leader Carla Denyer said it was a "massive backward step"
    • Environmental campaigners have called the decision "short-sighted" and accused Starmer of "caving like a house of cards", while PM Rishi Sunak said his opposite number was trying to "wriggle out" of a key manifesto promise
  2. 'Responsible' for Starmer to ditch pledge, says Scottish Labour leader

    Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar walking forwards

    It is "completely responsible" for Labour to avoid attaching a figure to its green investment plan, given the "economic carnage" created by the Conservatives, says Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar.

    He says the party is still committed to the "economic opportunities" of the green transition, highlighting plans for GB Energy - a publicly-owned national energy company - which would be headquartered in Scotland.

    Sarwar stresses that "the ambition, the plan, and the pledges" have not changed - they are "firm", he says.

    He says: "They [the green plans] are big parts of an incoming UK Labour government's agenda.

    "But we have to be fiscally responsible."

  3. Analysis

    Starmer sees U-turns as pragmatic - opponents eye a vulnerability

    Chris Mason

    Political editor

    This is a U-turn where every degree of the twist has played out in plain sight.

    A policy number - £28bn - in 2021, diluted in its intended delivery in 2023, and binned in 2024.

    Why? Because, in the end, the party felt shackled to a number they believed could only be a political negative: they were never likely to achieve that level of spending anyway, given their self imposed economic rules.

    And the party's critics said it was a number that would lead to vast borrowing or tax rises.

    But attempting to articulate that nothing will change in practical outcomes - as Sir Keir does - while junking the headline figure, isn’t an easy argument to make.

    And while the Labour leader tries to claim U-turns are pragmatic shifts to acknowledge changing circumstances, the breadth of his changes of mind - his political opponents hope - is a vulnerability they want to expose – and they see this as the latest case study.

  4. Labour's dropped pledge is a massive backward step, say Green Party

    Labour's announcement to "stand down" the £28bn green investment pledge is a "massive backward step for the climate, economy and jobs", the Green Party have said.

    Speaking on the BBC News Channel, co-leader of the Green Party Carla Denyer criticised Labour's timing of the announcement "on the very day we learn global warming has exceeded 1.5 degrees across the entire year".

    She said that the "UK's future prosperity is dependent on greening our economy and that requires green investment" and warned that there is "a risk that this U-turn will push businesses to take their investments elsewhere".

    Ms Denyer described the decision as a “question of political will and priorities” and argued that "Labour can choose whether to have that fiscal inheritance as a millstone round their neck or to do something differently".

    Asked what the Green Party's policy on green investment was, she said that they would at least double the £28bn figure and fund green transition through tax reforms.

  5. Starmer does not have plan for Britain, says Sunak

    Rishi Sunak

    The prime minister has accused Sir Keir Starmer of having "no plan" for Britain, after Labour dropped its pledge to invest £28bn a year on green policies.

    Rishi Sunak said, "the uncertainty about what a Labour government would do is a real risk to our country’s future".

    Sir Keir has "confirmed he doesn’t have a plan for Britain" by dropping his party's flagship investment plan, Sunak added.

    The prime minister said Labour have also set out "no plan" to pay for the remaining watered-down green investments - "this will mean higher taxes for working people to fill Labour’s black hole".

    “That’s why the choice this year is to stick with our plan that’s working, or go back to square one with Labour which would put our country’s future at risk," he added.

  6. Greenpeace: Starmer's caved like a house of cards

    Greenpeace says Keir Starmer has "caved like a house of cards in the wind".

    Areeba Hamid, Greenpeace UK’s co-executive director, says that climate action remains hugely popular among voters.

    "It would be ironic indeed if Labour’s attempt to make their manifesto ‘bombproof’ from Tory attack ended up just bombing on the doorstep instead," she says.

    Hamid criticises Labour for scaling back planned investment, particularly int two areas: home insulation and public transport.

    She adds:

    Quote Message: This country is broken. We need bold, visionary leadership that will lower bills, create millions of jobs, increase our energy security, and tackle the existential threat of climate change."
  7. What has changed in Labour's green investment plans?

    Oscar Bentley

    BBC Political Research Unit

    Keir Starmer insists most of the party's green plans "remain on the table".

    So what has changed?

    • Labour has now given costings for setting up a proposed state-owned energy company GB Energy. They say it will cost £8.3bn – previously they'd just said it would be invested in "until it is a self-sustaining entity".
    • Labour says its Local Power Plan - to invest in clean energy for local communities - will be £3.3bn of the £8.3bn GB Energy plans - a slight downgrade on previous announcements
    • National Wealth Fund - to back business investment in new technology - will be £7.3bn - rather than the £8.3bn previously announced
    • A £500m-a-year fund for clean energy developers to invest in good jobs - the British Jobs Bonus - remains the same
    • The party will increase the Windfall tax on oil and gas companies from 75% to 78% and extend it to the end of the next parliamentwhich they say will raise £10.8bn. Currently the tax is scheduled to end in December 2025.
    • Labour has downgraded its Warm Homes Plan to insulate 19 million homes over a decade, instead it will cover up to 5 million homes over five years. Previously the plan had been capped at £6bn a year – now its £6.6bn over five years on top of the government's current commitments.
  8. It would be 'irresponsible' not to drop £28bn pledge - Starmer

    Sam Francis

    Political reporter

    Sir Keir Starmer has argued it would be "irresponsible" not to drop the £28bn pledge due to the state of the economy.

    Under questioning by BBC Political Editor Chris Mason, Starmer said the pledge was made when “interest rates were very low”.

    But now interest rate payments on government debt “is measured in tens of billions of pounds”, he said.

    “Everywhere in the real world people have to adjust their decision when the circumstances change”, this is just “common sense and everyone understands,” he said.

    “What would be really irresponsible is to know the damage done to the economy by his failed government and ignore that and pretend it didn’t happen,” he added.

  9. Analysis

    Labour attempt to argue there is still an ambitious plan to green economy

    Peter Saull

    BBC Political Reporter

    So many will now ask, what exactly does Labour stand for?

    The party have put out a press release entitled: “Labour announces plans to invest in Britain’s future.”

    The abandoning of the £28bn isn’t mentioned until you get to the fourth paragraph.

    The document says the party’s green pledges will be paid for by an extended windfall tax on gas and oil giants, some borrowing and investment from the private sector.

    It’s also notable that the release includes quotes from Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves and Ed Miliband – who behind the scenes have not always seen eye to eye on the £28bn investment.

    This is an attempt to put on a united front, and argue that Labour still has an ambitious plan to green Britain’s economy.

  10. Analysis

    First major U-turn since Starmer took the job

    Peter Saull

    BBC Political Reporter

    Sir Keir Starmer regularly comes under attack for abandoning pledges he made while running to be Labour leader.

    But this is the first major U-turn on a policy announced since he took the job.

    The context of the initial announcement, at the party conference in 2021, is important.

    At the time, Labour was trailing in the polls, the cost of borrowing was lower, and they needed a splash.

    The £28 billion a year pledge became a central plank of the party’s agenda for government.

  11. Starmer blames 'reckless' Tory plans for dropping green investment

    Sam Francis

    Political reporter

    Sir Keir Starmer has told the BBC that Labour was forced to drop the £28bn by the government “recklessly” planning to “max out the credit card” before the next election.

    According to briefings from “Treasury insiders” there will be less money for investment due to the government's tax cuts and spending plans.

    “We have to anticipate the economy as it is” and “not the one we want to inherit”, Starmer said.

    Starmer told the BBC Political Editor Chris Mason that he was not interested "in the exact sums” but rather “interested in the outcomes”.

  12. Starmer says green investment 'remains on table' despite dropping £28bn pledge

    Sam Francis

    Political reporter

    Sir Keir Starmer has said all of Labour’s green policies “remain on the table” despite the announcement he is dropping the flagship pledge to spend £28bn a year on its green investment plan.

    Speaking to BBC Political Editor Chris Mason, Starmer said there would be “no further investment commitments” made before the election “so we won’t reach the £28bn”.

    Labour’s Warm Homes Plan, to upgrade Britain’s home insulation, will “be scaled back” from reaching 19 million homes over a decade to 5 million homes over five years.

    “The only thing not going into the manifesto is unannounced plans that I haven’t made,” he said.

  13. BREAKINGLabour confirms it will drop £28bn green pledge

    Labour confirms what we've been talking about all day - that it will drop its pledge to spend £28bn a year on its green investment plan, in a major U-turn.

    Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer says that due to the Conservatives "crashing the economy" and the chancellor's decision to "max out" the country's credit card, it "would not be possible" to reach its previous commitment.

  14. Why does 1.5C matter?

    A helicopter makes a water drop as a wildfire burns parts of the rural areas of Santiago, Chile

    Labour's expected U-turn comes on the same day as the world temperature breached 1.5C across an entire year for the first time.

    But why does this stark milestone matter?

    In 2015, world leaders pledged to try and prevent global temperatures rising by more than 1.5C.

    Scientists say incremental rises by 0.1C bring with it greater risks for the planet - including longer heatwaves, more intense storms and wildfires.

    The 1.5C target was agreed because there is strong evidence that the impacts of global warming would become much more extreme as the world gets closer to 2C. Some changes could become irreversible.

    The projected consequences of 2C global warming versus 1.5C are significant and could include extreme hot days, sea-level rise, the accelerated loss of coral reefs as well as risks to human health, food security and water supply around the world.

  15. Labour's polices in brief

    We've been talking about Labour's expected U-turn on it's £28bn green pledge, but what are the party's other policies?

    Sir Keir Starmer previously set out five "missions" for a potential first term in government.

    They are:

    • Secure the "highest sustained growth" in the G7 group of rich nations by the end of Labour's first term
    • Make Britain a "clean energy superpower", removing fossil fuels from all of Britain's electricity generation by 2030
    • Improve the NHS, including by increasing the number of medical places, funded by abolishing the non-dom tax.
    • Reform the justice system, including halving levels of violence against women and girls within a decade
    • Raise education standards, by introducing free breakfast clubs in every primary school and increasing staffing levels, in part funded by removing tax breaks for private schools.
  16. Key reaction to Labour row-back on green promise

    Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer gestures as he speaks at a lectern, which reads: "Britain's future"

    There's been a lot of reaction today to Labour's decision to scrap its pledge to invest £28bn in green ventures, set to be announced later today. Here are the top lines:

    • Prime Minister Rishi Sunak criticised Labour's decision, saying: "This was the flagship plank of Labour's economic policy and it now looks like he's trying to wriggle out of it"
    • Meanwhile, First Minister Humza Yousaf warned: "Scotland will suffer because of another screeching Labour U-turn"
    • Labour MP and former shadow environment secretary Barry Gardiner called the move "economically illiterate", while Green Party co-leader Carla Denyer said it was a "massive backward step"
    • Environmental groups also hit out at the plan, with Friends of the Earth saying that cutting investment plan would be "short sighted and cost the country dearly"
    • But, former net zero tsar, Tory MP Chris Skidmore said it was more important to focus on long-term commitments and outcomes, rather than a pledge to spend a specific figure
    • And Labour peer and former cabinet minister Lord Peter Hain said he agreed with the U-turn, saying the £28bn was "not going to be possible immediately"
  17. Labour peer backs Starmer U-turn

    Side profile of Lord Peter Hain giving a speech

    Labour peer and former cabinet minister Lord Peter Hain says he agrees with Sir Keir Starmer's decision to scrap his pledge to spend £28bn a year on green projects.

    Speaking to BBC Radio 4's World at One programme Hain says Labour will still increase public investment and private investment in green energy, but, he adds, the £28bn "is not going to be possible immediately".

  18. BBC Verify

    What happened to Labour's £28bn green pledge?

    Labour's green pledge was first announced in September 2021, when shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said her party would put £28bn every year of this decade towards the transition to a green economy.

    But how did it change?

    In June 2023, Reeves said the £28bn would not be spent on day one of a Labour government because of the poor economic picture and the soaring cost of borrowing.

    Then in January 2024, Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer said his party would spend less if the amount of borrowing needed would break its self-imposed fiscal rules. These include a pledge that government debt should be on course to fall as a share of the size of the economy in five years.

    And the party said that every pound invested by the government in clean energy production would have to be matched by three pounds of private investment.

    Also, the additional amount to be invested was reduced by several government announcements, such as the £8bn of emissions-reducing spending announced in the October 2021 Spending review that would count towards the £28bn total, and the £2bn pledged to the hydrogen industry.

    That implies Labour would not have to spend as much as an extra £28bn a year.

    But as recently as 6 February, Starmer was still using the £28bn figure, telling Times Radio: "We're going to need investment - that's where the 28 billion comes in."