Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Bumph And Grind

Liberals under Dion got big bumph in Quebec. So much for the "Dion Hurts Us In Quebec" campaign. And this was before he announced Iggy as his Deputy Leader, he could do no less for the Leadership front runner.

The pro-independence Bloc Quebecois campaigns only in French-speaking Quebec and the poll put support for the party in the province at 44 percent, compared to 31 percent for the Liberals and 13 percent for the Conservatives.

But not good news for the NDP. Their message just isn't getting out. Clearly the Liberals mushy muddle has appeal to NDP voters. Not hardcore dippers, but Buzz types. Down six points from November. Ouch.

The message, repeated again by Jack yesterday, that the NDP Makes Government Work, is just not resonating. Though irony drips off the phrase when you see it in print. Maybe they should change it to Harper Promises,We Deliver.

Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
December 19, 2006

(ARGM) - The opposition Liberal party holds a slight advantage in Canada, according to a poll by Ipsos-Reid released by CanWest Global. 36 per cent of respondents would vote for the Liberals in the next federal election.

The governing Conservative party is second with 34 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 13 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with 10 per cent, and the Green party with five per cent. Support for the Grits dropped by two points in a week, while backing for the Tories increased by the same margin.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Since February, Harper leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party.

On Dec. 2, former environment minister Stéphane Dion became the new leader of the Liberal party, defeating academic Michael Ignatieff in the fourth and final delegate ballot with 54.7 per cent.

Yesterday, Dion said his party would not support a call made by Bloc Québécois leader Giles Duceppe to topple the Harper government over its handling of Canada’s military role in Afghanistan, saying, "I don’t understand the Bloc’s position at all. It doesn’t seem very useful to me to want to bring down the government on that in February as Duceppe is proposing. (...) We’ll prepare for an election, but it doesn’t seem to me that Canadians want an election in the middle of winter."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next federal election?

Dec. 14

Dec. 7

Nov. 2006









New Democratic Party




Bloc Québécois








Source: Ipsos-Reid / CanWest Global
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,004 Canadian adults, conducted from Dec. 12 to Dec. 14, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.


Canadian Politics


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