Friday, March 08, 2024

 

AI predicts healthiness of food menus and highlights ‘double burden’ of unhealthy food environment in deprived areas


Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE





Scientists at the University of Cambridge have used artificial intelligence to predict the healthiness of cafe, takeaway and restaurant menus at outlets across Britain and used this information to map which of its local authorities have the most and least healthy food environments.

The findings, published in Health & Place, highlight the double burden faced by people living in the most deprived areas, where there tend to be more food outlets per capita – more than double the number in the least deprived areas – and these outlets tend to be less healthy.

‘Out-of-home’ food – whether that’s food eaten in a pub, café or restaurant or takeaway food – is an increasing part of how many people eat. But this food tends to be higher in calories, saturated fat and salt, and less nutritious than food prepared at home.

Studies have shown consistently that the more an individual eats food out of home – especially fast food – the poorer the quality of their diet and the higher their body weight. In the UK, there also tend to be more fast food outlets in more deprived neighbourhoods.

Not all menus are equal, however – some will be healthier than others – but little is known about whether there are differences between neighbourhoods in the healthiness of out-of-home food outlets.

Yuru Huang, a Gates Cambridge Scholar at the Medical Research Council (MRC) Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, said: “Given the link between the food environment and diet, it’s important to understand how healthy this environment is at a local level. This will empower local authorities to take action to try and improve the consumer food environment.”

To explore this, Huang and colleagues examined menus from almost 55,000 food outlets on Just Eat, an online food ordering and delivery platform. Each outlet’s menu was given a healthiness score of 0-12 (with 12 being the healthiest) based on a number of factors including: the number of special offers (such as meal deals or family meals), desserts, salads, chips, milk, water, and the diversity of vegetables.

As not every food outlet is on Just Eat, the team turned to an artificially-intelligent ‘deep learning’ model, trained on a subset of Just Eat data, to predict menu healthiness of every out-of-home food outlet in Britain – a total of almost 180,000 outlets. These outlets were classified into four categories:

  • cafes, snack bars, and tea rooms
  • fast food and takeaways
  • pubs, bars, and inns
  • restaurants

The only information available for all out-of-home food outlets were the outlets’ names and hygiene ratings. When the team tested their model, they found that the outlet’s name was the best at predicting the healthiness of its menu.

While the complexities of menu healthiness cannot be accurately captured by name only, the researchers validated their results against a different set of test data from Just Eat to that used in the model training, and against real menus from outlets in Cambridge and Peterborough to demonstrate that the model works.

Restaurants were found, on average, to have the healthiest menus, followed by: cafes, snack bars, and tea rooms; pubs, bars, and inns; and lastly fast food and takeaways.

The team used geographical data to map the food outlets, summarising the average menu healthiness of all out-of-home food outlets at the local authority level. Local authority districts with the highest menu healthiness scores included City of London, Kensington and Chelsea, and Westminster. The local authority districts with the lowest menu healthiness scores were Northeast Lincolnshire, Luton, and Kingston upon Hull.

The researchers found that, in general, the higher the level of deprivation in an area, the lower the average menu healthiness across its out-of-home food outlets – and all four categories of food outlets tended to be less healthy in more deprived areas.

Not only that, but out-of-home food outlets also tended to cluster in more deprived areas. In the most deprived areas, there were 8.39 food outlets per 1,000-3,000 people, compared to just 3.85 in the least deprived areas.

Huang said: “There’s a clear pattern between the healthiness of menus at out-of-home food outlets in an area and its level of deprivation. This can create a ‘double burden’ for people living in deprived neighbourhoods, where there are more outlets and these tend to be less healthy, compared to less deprived neighbourhoods.

“On top of this, there are studies that show, for example, that people with the lowest income were more likely to be obese when living in areas with a high proportion of fast-food outlets. This could even create a ‘triple burden’ for people living in these areas.”

The researchers acknowledge that the menu healthiness score does not capture the intricate nuances of the menu, such as portion size, cooking methods, and levels of food processing. This could be important, as interventions such as healthy catering awards introduced by local government focus on aspects like smaller portion sizes, reducing salt, and switching cooking oils.

This work was supported by the Medical Research Council and Gates Cambridge.

Reference
Huang, Y et al. Assessing the healthiness of menus of all out-of-home food outlets and its socioeconomic patterns in Great Britain. Health & Place; 5 Dec 2023 ; DOI: 10.1016/j.healthplace.2023.103146

 

New study reveals the evolutionary nature of animal friendships

Peer-Reviewed Publication

STOCKHOLM UNIVERSITY




Biologists from Stockholm University and University of Neuchâtel present groundbreaking research shedding new light on the evolution of social bonds and cooperation among group-living animals. 
The study was published in the journal PNAS

Animals living in stable groups often exhibit interesting social behaviors, including cooperation and mutual aid. Biologists have long observed that individuals within these groups form social bonds or friendships, characterized by prosocial actions such as food sharing. However, the evolutionary explanations of these friendships have remained a subject of debate.

For over fifty years, biologists have attempted to explain these behaviors using game theory, with a particular focus on reciprocity where individuals return help if they have received it previously. However, traditional models of strict and immediate reciprocity fail to fully capture the complexity of real relationships.

In a groundbreaking study, researchers from Stockholm University and the University of Neuchâtel provide a new explanation for the evolution of helping behavior with social bonds that more closely aligns with observed phenomena. According to their analysis, social bonds develop gradually over time within friendships. Strong bonds are characterized by a history of mutual aid and recently shared activities between individuals.

This gradual buildup of bonds can occur in small or larger groups, provided that individuals have opportunities to interact with bonded partners in smaller subgroups. Interestingly, the study shows that existing group members actively initiate social bonds with new recruits, expanding the social network within the group. This dual action of maintaining existing friendships while forming new ones underscores the importance of social cohesion in group-living animals.

“How group members interact with new individuals is much discussed, and recently the idea that friendships with new individuals will develop only very slowly has been emphasized. Our analysis suggests that this need not be the case”, says Olof Leimar, Professor Emeritus at the Department of Zoology at Stockholm University. “In fact, in the original discussions of the evolution of helping, the possibility that group members actively attempt to develop new friendships was put forward, and our analysis agrees with this,” Olof Leimar adds. 

The study draws inspiration from the mutual nature of the relationship between mother and offspring, where help primarily flows in one direction. Much publicized observations of food sharing in groups of vampire bats further support the theoretical framework proposed by the researchers. 

“We hope that our results will inspire biologists to further investigate the dynamics of social bonds in different group-living species, including studies on how new bonds are formed”, says Olof Leimar.

This collaborative effort between researchers from Stockholm University and University of Neuchâtel sheds new light on the evolutionary origins of friendship and cooperation among group-living animals.

Contact: 
Olof Leimar, Professor Emeritus, at the Department of Zoology, Stockholm University
E-mail: olof.leimar@zoologi.su.se
Phone: +4670-285 09 93

 

Mapping the future’s sweet spot for clean energy and biodiversity


Joshua Tree and Kit Fox study: consider future range shifts when siting clean energy

Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA - DAVIS

San Joaquin kit fox 

IMAGE: 

AN ENDANGERED SAN JOAQUIN KIT FOX.

view more 

CREDIT: CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES



Climate change is driving both the loss of biodiversity and the need for clean, renewable energy. It is also shifting where species are expected to live in the future. Yet these realities are rarely considered together. Where can clean energy projects be built without impacting the future habitat ranges of threatened and endangered species?

A study from the University of California, Davis, examines this question by overlaying renewable energy siting maps with the ranges of two species in the southwestern United States: the iconic and climate-vulnerable Joshua tree and federally endangered San Joaquin kit fox.

The study, published today in the journal Nature Climate Change, found that Joshua trees are expected to lose 31% of their habitat while kit foxes lose 81% by 2070. That’s with climate change alone, under a moderate emissions scenario. When overlayed with existing and proposed renewable energy projects, an additional 1.7% of Joshua tree habitat and 3.9% of kit fox habitat could be lost.

“This study describes how we need to use more renewable energy to fight climate change, but it also warns us that as we expand renewable energy, we are going to overlap with biodiversity hotspots,” said first author Uzma Ashraf, a postdoctoral scholar with the UC Davis Wild Energy Center and the Department of Land, Air and Water Resources. “We show how advanced computer modeling can be applied to improve our understanding of how to site renewable energy resources in ways that benefit biodiversity and their shifting ranges.”

Clean energy and biodiversity

Globally, 290 gigawatts (GW) of renewable energy capacity were developed in 2021. The world needs to ramp that up to 1,120 GW every year between now and 2030 to meet net zero emissions goals by 2050.

Meanwhile, animal populations have declined by two-thirds in the past 50 years, mostly due to habitat losses, which are exacerbated by climate change, the study notes. 

Altering the landscape could damage places that would otherwise serve as climate refugia under future climate conditions.

San Joaquin kit foxes have been known to use solar facilities for habitat, which scientists attribute to the shade the facilities provide. The study said this suggests there may be ways to minimize impacts to the species through careful attention to its ecological needs.

Future-facing decisions

Corresponding author and Associate Professor Rebecca R. Hernandez directs the Wild Energy Center at UC Davis. She said her center is working to develop a framework to help clean energy developers make future-facing decisions on siting that consider expected range shifts of animals.

“There is a current moonshot for solar and wind energy development,” Hernandez said. “It is one where the footprint of the transition takes hold fast but in a manner that reinforces goals for biodiversity conservation and social justice. Species maps are now dynamic over time under climate change. Our team uses state-of-the-art computational tools to chart a safe passage for renewables.” 

The study’s co-authors include Toni Lynn Morelli of the U.S. Geological Survey and Adam B. Smith of the Missouri Botanical Garden’s Center for Conservation and Sustainable Development. 

The study was funded by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation.

Ivanpah solar facility in the Mojave Desert.

CREDIT

Joe Proudman/UC Davis

OCEANOGRAPHY

 

Restored coral reefs can grow as fast as healthy reefs


Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF EXETER

Reef Stars being installed 

IMAGE: 

REEF STARS ARE INSTALLED IN DEGRADED AREAS TO STABILISE LOOSE RUBBLE AND KICKSTART RAPID CORAL GROWTH

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CREDIT: INDO-PACIFIC FILMS




Planting new coral in degraded reefs can lead to rapid recovery – with restored reefs growing as fast as healthy reefs after just four years, new research shows.

Reefs worldwide are severely threatened by local and global pressures. In Indonesia, where the study was carried out, destructive blast fishing destroyed large reef areas 30-40 years ago – with no signs of recovery until now. 

The Mars Coral Reef Restoration Programme attempts to restore degraded reefs by transplanting coral fragments onto a network of interconnected “Reef Stars” (sand-coated steel frames).

Researchers studied these reefs to assess whether coral restoration can bring back the important ecosystem functions of a healthy reef.

The study was carried out by University of Exeter researchers in collaboration with the Research Center for Oceanography, National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) in Indonesia, Mars Sustainable Solutions and Lancaster University.

“The speed of recovery we saw is incredible,” said lead author Dr Ines Lange, from the University of Exeter.

“While reef restoration cannot solve the problem that reefs are severely threatened by climate change, it shows that active management actions can help to boost the resilience of specific reefs, and bring back important functions that are critical for marine life and local communities.”

Exeter researchers developed a method to monitor "reef carbonate budgets" – the net production or erosion of reef framework over time.

These carbonate budgets are a key predictor of the reef’s ability to grow, keep up with sea-level rise, protect coastlines from storms and provide habitat for reef animals.

To evaluate if and how fast these reef functions return after coral restoration, carbonate budgets were measured at Mars reef restoration sites that were restored a few months, one year, two years and four years ago, as well as on degraded and healthy control sites.  

In the years following coral transplantation, coral cover, coral colony sizes and carbonate production rates tripled, and after four years, restoration sites were indistinguishable from nearby healthy reefs in all investigated parameters.

This means that after only four years, restored reefs are growing at the same speed as healthy reefs, provide similar habitat for marine life, and efficiently protect the adjacent island from wave energy and erosion.

However, as transplanted coral fragments are a mix of different branching coral types, the community composition on restoration sites differs from healthy reefs, which also harbour many boulder-like and encrusting corals.

This may affect habitat provision for larger marine species and resilience to future heatwaves, as branching corals are more sensitive to bleaching.

Dr Tim Lamont, from Lancaster University, who initiated the research collaboration, added: “This is a really encouraging discovery.

“If we can maintain climate conditions that allow for coral survival, it’s possible to restore even very damaged reefs back to healthy, functional systems within relatively short periods of time.”

Co-author Dr Tries Razak, from BRIN Indonesia, said: “Through this research collaboration, I am delighted to observe the highly productive partnership between a distinguished group of international scientists and our team of local scientists and Masters students in Indonesia.

“This collaborative effort not only advances scientific research in Indonesia but also contributes significantly to the capacity building for future generations of Indonesian scientists.”

Summing up her experience in Indonesia, Dr Lange added: “It was a great experience to work so closely with a diverse group of international researchers and the skilled local restoration team.

“We all learned a lot from each other.”

The paper “Coral restoration can drive rapid reef carbonate budget recovery” is published in Current Biology by Ines Lange, Tries Razak, Chris Perry, Permas Maulana, Mochyudho Prasetya, Irwan and Timothy Lamont.

Australia's Great Barrier Reef in grip of 'mass bleaching event'

Coral bleaching
Graphic on coral bleaching.

A "mass bleaching event" is unfolding on Australia's famed Great Barrier Reef, authorities said Friday, as warming seas threaten the spectacular home to thousands of marine species.

Often dubbed the world's largest living structure, the Great Barrier Reef is a 2,300 kilometre (1,400 mile) expanse of tropical corals that house a stunning array of biodiversity.

But repeated mass bleaching events have threatened to rob the tourist drawcard of its wonder, turning banks of once-vibrant corals into a sickly shade of white.

"We know the biggest threat to  worldwide is . The Great Barrier Reef is no exception," Environment Minister Tanya Plibersek said in a statement.

"We need to act on climate change. We need to protect our special places and the plants and animals that call them home."

The damaging mass bleaching event—the seventh since 1998—was confirmed by government scientists following aerial surveys of 300 shallow reefs.

The Australian Reef Authority said it would now need to conduct further surveys to assess the severity and extent of bleaching.

Coral bleaching occurs when underwater temperatures are more than 1 degree warmer than the long-term average.

As corals come under , they expel algae living within their tissues—draining them of their vibrant colours.

Another 'mass bleaching event' threatens to rob Australia's Great Barrier Reef of its wonder
Another 'mass bleaching event' threatens to rob Australia's Great Barrier Reef of its wonder.

Ocean temperatures along the Great Barrier Reef have approached record levels in the past few weeks, according to official monitoring.

Richard Leck, head of oceans at World Wildlife Fund Australia, said it was likely that masses of coral would die if ocean temperatures did not cool rapidly in the coming weeks.

"This bleaching event is unfolding in an area where corals have not been previously exposed to these extreme temperatures," he said.

Leck said climate change was "putting tremendous pressure" on the Great Barrier Reef.

The current bleaching event followed similar setbacks in the Northern Hemisphere last year, Leck added, which caused major coral mortality in Florida and the Caribbean.

Some species of bleached coral have proven remarkably resilient and can recover if  cool.

But professor Terry Hughes, one of Australia's foremost coral reef scientists, said bleaching events were now happening so frequently that reefs were struggling to recover.

Heat stress on the Great Barrier Reef is likely to worsen in the coming weeks, a coral reef scientist told AFP
Heat stress on the Great Barrier Reef is likely to worsen in the coming weeks, a coral reef
 scientist told AFP.

Recovery in danger

"The reef is no longer capable of recovering to the mix of coral species and the sizes of corals that were there 20 years ago," he told AFP.

"The irony is that the corals that are now prevalent on most parts of the Great Barrier Reef are fast growing and rapidly regain cover, but the kicker is that they are heat sensitive and are less tolerant to the next inevitable beaching event."

Hughes said the heat stress had increased in the past few days and would likely worsen in the coming two weeks.

The fate of the reef has been a recurrent source of tension between the Australian government and the United Nations' World Heritage Committee.

The World Heritage Committee has threatened to put the reef on a list of "in danger" global heritage sites, a move that would likely damage its allure for international tourists.

Behind-the-scenes diplomacy and fierce lobbying from Australia has so far kept it off the list.

Before this event, Australia's Great Barrier Reef suffered mass  in 1998, 2002, 2016, 2017, 2020 and 2022.

© 2024 AFP


New technique may help scientists stave off coral reef collapse

New technique may help scientists stave off coral reef collapse
The soft-bodied sea anemone does not produce reef-forming rocky skeletons on its own,
 but was induced to produce skeleton creating proteins, turning it into a good model system
 for studying coral reefs. Credit: Brent Foster

In a bit of biological magic, some tiny, jellyfish-like creatures learned eons ago how to weave seawater into durable, life-sustaining, rocky coral reefs, which provide billions in economic benefits.

But the magic is fading. In the face of warming, acidifying oceans,  are at risk of dissolving. Scientists are racing to develop ways to help stave off collapse. But their efforts are hampered by the difficulty of studying delicate  in the lab.

In a first for helping coral polyps respond to these threats, scientists from the University of Florida have recreated the first stage of the coral skeleton creation process in a common, squishy sea anemone. The technique transforms this soft-bodied creature into the perfect lab model for researching coral skeletons and developing ways to bolster coral polyps in a changing climate.

The researchers have published their findings in the journal iScience.

"The whole ecosystem is dying. You can listen to the death all you want, but what are you going to do to fix it?" said Mark Martindale, Ph.D., director of the University of Florida's Whitney Laboratory for Marine Bioscience and supervising researcher on the study. "In order to do that, you need to understand what the problems are. And you need an experimental system to do that. Now we have that system."

New technique may help scientists stave off coral reef collapse
Stony corals like these are at risk in a changing climate, but are difficult to study in the lab.
 An easy-to-use lab system will help scientists study solutions to assist corals. 
Credit: Brent Foster

While coral polyps are reluctant to grow in the lab, the anemone Nematostella vectensis is a breeze to work with. It was the first in the family of jellyfish and corals to have its genome sequenced. Deleting or editing its genes or adding to its genome is straightforward. It has all the hallmarks of a great system for studying coral skeletons—except for the fact that it doesn't produce any skeleton

So, the Martindale lab asked the obvious question: Can we get Nematostella to act like a coral polyp and transform seawater into rock? If so, the anemone could provide a way to test fixes for wild corals.

To find out, the scientists injected Nematostella embryos with a gene from the stony coral Stylophora pistillata known for helping the animal concentrate the calcium that ultimately leads to skeleton formation. In the soft-bodied sea anemone, scientists saw the coral protein gathering up calcium and otherwise acting just as it does in the rocky coral.

Going forward, scientists can alter this gene and the others involved in coral skeleton production, tweaking their way toward creating climate-resilient coral polyps, said Brent Foster, a researcher in the lab and first author of the paper.

New technique may help scientists stave off coral reef collapse
The red fluorescence in this image shows the soft-bodied sea anemone expressing a 
stony coral skeleton producing protein, demonstrating that the sea anemone can be a 
good model system for this vital process. Credit: Brent Foster

The  can be used to study other hard structures as well, even tooth enamel. These processes all fall under the umbrella of biomineralization, in which living creatures create hard structures from minerals like calcium.

"The next step is to understand how cells regulate the microenvironment that promotes biomineralization," said Federica Scucchia, a postdoctoral researcher in Martindale's lab and co-author of the report.

The Whitney Laboratory team collaborated with scientists at the Institute of Human Genetics in Montpelier, France, Cornell University and Cardiff University to complete the study.

More information: Brent Foster et al, A novel in vivo system to study coral biomineralization in the starlet sea anemone, Nematostella vectensis, iScience (2024). DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2024.109131


The Silent Extinction Threat To Deepwater Sharks And Rays

A groundbreaking global study has shed light on the precarious situation facing deepwater sharks and rays. Led by a team of experts from around the world, the study reveals alarming statistics: one in seven deepwater sharks and rays are on the brink of extinction, according to the criteria set by the International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List of Threatened Species.

The primary threat to these deepwater giants is one similar to their shallow-water counterparts: overfishing, particularly as unintended victims of commercial fisheries targeting other species. Their meat and liver oil are prized commodities, driving a global trade that is pushing these creatures to the edge of oblivion. What makes deepwater sharks and rays particularly vulnerable is their unique biology. Spending most of their lives in the dark depths, these creatures have evolved to endure the harsh conditions of the abyss. However, their long lifespans and slow reproductive rates make them highly susceptible to overexploitation. “Many deepwater sharks and rays can only withstand very small amounts of fishing pressure”, said Dr. Nicholas Dulvy, Professor at Simon Fraser University. “Some species may take 30 years or more to mature, and possibly up to 150 years in the case of the Greenland Shark. Some only produce 12 pups throughout their entire life. Because of their relatively large size and widespread distribution, deepwater sharks and rays play a vital ecological role, concentrating and dispersing nutrients throughout deep ocean habitats.”

Dr. Rima Jabado, Deputy Chair of the IUCN Species Survival Commission and Chair of the IUCN SSC Shark Specialist Group, stresses the urgent need for action: “Our results highlight that it is time to think about regulating liver oil trade. There has been enormous success in regulating the shark fin trade but trade and fishing regulations specific to deepwater sharks and rays are urgently needed. [...] Deepwater sharks and rays have been out of sight, out of mind for too long. Now is the time to take action to prevent further endangerment.” Jabado urges for specific regulations tailored to protect these creatures, including national protections, fishing regulations, and listing species under international trade agreements like CITES.



Greenland sharks often end up as bycatch on fishing vessels, and can be considered a nuisance.
JULIUS NIELSEN

Shockingly, this study indicates that approximately 14.1% of these deep-sea dwellers face an elevated risk of extinction on a global scale. Among the 521 species scrutinized, a concerning 60 (11.5%) are currently identified as threatened, comprising nine (1.7%) Critically Endangered, 20 (3.8%) Endangered, and 31 (6.0%) Vulnerable species. This level of extinction risk represents a stark increase compared to the previous assessment conducted in 2014, more than doubling the reported threatened species count. Notably, deepwater sharks demonstrate a particularly dire situation, with 15.2% (43 of 283 species) classified as threatened, compared to deepwater rays at 7.1% (17 of 238 species). Despite the absence of species flagged as Possibly Extinct or assessed as globally Extinct or Extinct in the Wild, the phenomenon of "commercial extinction" poses a substantial threat, particularly observed among gulper sharks in regions of intense targeted fishing. Nevertheless, a significant portion of species (62.0%, n = 323) remain classified as Least Concern, while 43 species (8.3%) hover dangerously close to the brink, designated as Near Threatened. The authors believe these findings underscore the urgent need for concerted conservation efforts to safeguard the future of deepwater sharks and rays, whose decline could have profound implications for marine ecosystems worldwide. While deepwater sharks and rays are often forgotten about, their importance extends far beyond their formidable presence in the punishing depths of our ocean. These creatures play a vital ecological role, dispersing nutrients and maintaining the delicate balance of deep ocean habitats.

The researchers also explored two strategic approaches aimed at halting and reversing the declines observed among threatened deepwater sharks and rays, aligning with the Convention on Biological Diversity's "30 by 30" framework of spatial protection commitments. The first approach evaluates the advantages of implementing a global depth limit, restricting fishing activities below a designated depth (referred to as vertical refuge). The second approach assesses the benefits of establishing spatial no-take areas (referred to as horizontal refuge). A worldwide prohibition of fishing beyond 800 meters would offer 30% vertical refuge, safeguarding approximately one-third (27.4%) of threatened species. Alternatively, setting a shallower 500-meter no-fishing limit would effectively double the protection coverage, encompassing 60.8% of species. Protecting 30% of the deep ocean between 200 and 2000 meters would extend spatial (horizontal) protection to approximately 80% of species, spanning their ranges. Notable regions with significant coverage include the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea, Eastern Pacific (from western United States to Peru), Iberian Peninsula, southern Mediterranean Sea, Gulf of Aden, west India and Chagos-Laccadive Ridge, Sea of Japan and Sea of Okhotsk, and the Zealandia continent.

“Trade and fishing regulations specific to deepwater sharks and rays are needed to ensure legal, traceable, and sustainable trade and prevent further endangerment,” the team concludes. “We have the evidence to act more proactively for the deep ocean and learn from the mistakes that have driven more than half of coastal and pelagic species to be threatened. Achieving sustainable fisheries for most deepwater sharks and rays would be challenging and require high management capacity, ecological knowledge, and implementation of routine rigorous monitoring. [However,] effective precautionary actions are needed to ensure that the largest ecosystem on the planet maintains its biodiversity and that half of the world’s shark and ray species have refuge from the global extinction crisis.”

Follow me on Twitter or LinkedInCheck out my website

Known as the "Mother of Sharks," I'm a Latina marine biologist who has a lot of labels: science communicator, conservationist, author, educator, podcaster, television presenter. You might have seen me on Discovery Channel's Shark Week, National Geographic, BBC Wildlife, heard my TEDx talk or read my Scholastic books.


I write about sharks, the diverse people who work with them, and why both matter. As founder of The Fins United Initiative, a program that teaches audiences shark conservation and education, I find it vital that we learn to co-exist with these oceanic predators. That's why I do all that I do, and why my PhD (and outreach) revolves around human-shark interactions.


Mass die-offs among farmed salmon on the rise around the world

By Matt McGrath,
BBC
Environment correspondent
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Getty Images

Hundreds of millions of farmed salmon have perished in mass die-offs over the past decade, say researchers.

The scientists say that large-scale mortalities are now happening more frequently and at a larger scale than ever before.

They argue that warmer seas and greater reliance on technology are contributing to the rise in deaths.

This global assessment looked at salmon deaths in some leading producers, including Norway, the UK and Canada.

Salmon farming has come a long way since the fish were first grown commercially in cages in Norway in the 1960s. The industry has expanded rapidly in recent decades, with around 70% of salmon eaten around the world now coming from farms.

But the aquaculture industry has long been controversial - with significant worries over disease among the fish, escapes to the wild and the overall environmental impact of raising them in cages.

Major mortality events, involving the sudden deaths of millions of fish have been well documented, sometimes caused by disease outbreaks but also linked to warmer seas resulting from climate change.

In Scotland last year, government data shows that more than 17 million salmon died, the most ever recorded. Producers blamed hotter oceans for the losses.
Getty ImagesTechnology is increasingly being used to monitor salmon, leading to greater risks according to scientists


Other countries have experienced even greater mortality. Norway says close to 17% of their farmed fish died suddenly in 2023.

To shed some light on these deaths, researchers looked at data from countries producing 92% of farmed salmon over the past decade.

The scientists found 865 million instances of farmed salmon dying prematurely during this period.

They found that the frequency of the biggest die-offs was rising over time for Norway, Canada and the UK.
Getty ImagesNorway has suffered significant losses from major salmon mortality events


Not only were they increasing in frequency, the authors said, the die-offs were also getting bigger.

The authors estimate that the potential maximum losses for any single mass mortality event are 5.14 million fish in Norway, 5.05 million in Canada and more than one million in the UK.

A warming climate is playing a role say the authors - but so is the growing reliance on technology like underwater cameras and AI.

"An increasingly variable ocean environment, largely from climate change, may mean more production sites will be exposed to these events more often," said Dr Gerald Singh from the University of Victoria in Canada, the study's lead author.

"In addition, production practices, and technology that is increasingly pushing production into riskier conditions and allowing for greater production per site may expose larger and larger populations of fish to conditions that cause mortalities."

The authors say that technology such as remote, real-time monitoring of fish farms can help justify placing them in sites farther offshore.

Getty ImagesA major salmon die off in Chile due to algae

However, being further offshore may increase the threats and reduce the chances of operators spotting them early. So the increased reliance on the technology actually leads to greater risks for the fish.

Campaigners against salmon farming say this new study is "alarming" and underlines the fact that human decisions as well as warmer oceans are playing a role in the discomfort suffered by the fish.

"Mortality is only one of many grave welfare concerns for farmed salmon," said Kirsty Jenkins, a policy officer at campaigners OneKind.


"They are plagued by sea lice and disease, suffer from stressful handling and treatments, and live a monotonous life in barren, crowded cages."

"The industry has shown itself to be incapable of, or unwilling to, reform, and it must be questioned if salmon farming has any place in a compassionate and sustainable food system."

Some experts wonder if the industry can survive the increasing frequency of these mass die-offs in major production centres.

Dr Singh believes that aquaculture will continue globally, but that mass die-offs with huge clean-up costs might threaten future operations in many communities.

"It's probably unlikely that these events will negate or counter food production at an aggregate global level," he told BBC News.


"Instead, these events can have considerable local effects, especially considering welfare of coastal communities and for workers."

The study has been published in the journal Scientific Reports.


Agriculture: Increasing frequency and scale of mass mortality events among farmed salmon since 2012


Peer-Reviewed Publication

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS




The frequency and scale of mass mortality events — events where large numbers of organisms die in short periods of time — among farmed salmon have increased since 2012, according to a study published in Scientific Reports.

Gerald Singh and colleagues analysed salmon mortality data from Norway, Canada, the UK, Chile, Australia, New Zealand — countries that produced over 92% of the world’s farmed salmon in 2021 — between 2012 and 2022. They identified 865 million instances of salmon mortality during this period and found that both the frequency of the top 10% highest mortality events and the maximum number of fish killed in mass mortality events within Norway, Canada, and the UK increased throughout the decade. The authors estimate that the potential maximum losses for a single mass mortality event are 5.14 million fish in Norway, 5.05 million in Canada, and over one million in the UK. They estimate that the potential maximum annual losses from mass mortality events are 8.19 million fish in Chile, 4.39 million in New Zealand, and 1.55 million in Australia.

The authors speculate that increases in the frequency and scale of mass mortality events among farmed salmon may increase with the adoption of technologies and production practices aimed at intensifying salmon production in combination with increases in the variability of ocean environments due to climate change. Examples of such technologies include using artificial intelligence and cameras to monitor fish and identify potential disease outbreaks, and conducting salmon farming in offshore or exposed sites. They suggest that while new technologies and practices intend to reduce risks for salmon farming, they may also justify production in settings that could potentially expose greater numbers of fish to hazards that can contribute to mass mortality events. In addition to the deaths of large numbers of fish, the authors caution that mass mortality events may have negative consequences for the salmon farming industry and the communities that depend on it.