Saturday, August 31, 2024

PAKISTAN

Malnutrition epidemic


DAWN
Editorial 
Published September 1, 2024




MALNUTRITION has been a primary factor in Pakistan’s disease burden for many years. Recently, the Women’s Parliamentary Caucus, along with representatives from Unicef and Fafen, observed that malnutrition costs Pakistan approximately 3pc of its GDP and highlighted the country’s status as the second highest in diabetic patients, laying significant emphasis on the need for “targeted intervention” with child- and family-related laws and gender-specific social issues to propel impactful policy amendments. At present, four out of 10 children under five years of age are stunted, 17.7pc suffer from wasting, 28.9pc are underweight and 9.5pc in the same age bracket are overweight. Last year, an IPC analysis showed that a shocking 2.14m children are acutely malnourished across the country. This is the disgraceful result of government apathy and demonstrates reluctance to take up nutrition as a political programme.

Our lawmakers cannot escape the fact that malnutrition is a major socioeconomic determinant of maternal health, gender empowerment, child marriage and education, and that it poses a grave threat to entire communities, the economy and above all, our children. Modern, multipronged and urgently enforced strategies are required to alleviate the detrimental effects of poverty and disparity. An overhaul of health units, a focus on guided hygiene practices, healthcare, food security and knowledge regarding sanitation, nutrition and feeding habits among women and children should form the core focus of government-driven campaigns and policies. Even a semblance of reduced undernutrition and malnutrition indicators cannot be achieved without sustained financing and reforms in the healthcare division to narrow the gap between posh and low-income localities as well as rural and urban areas. In a moribund economy, none of this can begin without international aid and collaboration. Therefore, the authorities ought to acknowledge that healthy children are crucial for all aspects of economic progress. Besides, enhanced sustenance and access to robust health services is the least the state can do for its citizens.

Published in Dawn, September 1st, 2024
Islamic environmentalism


Muhammad Hayat Lak | Muhammad Mohad Zulfiqar
Published August 30, 2024
DAWN


IT is no secret that Pakistan faces an existential climate change crisis. Currently ranked fifth in the Global Climate Risk Index, we are at severe risk of exposure to extreme temperatures and climate-related disasters. The destructive floods of 2022 — which affected 33 million people and caused economic losses amounting to more than $15 billion — serve as a warning of what the future might hold.

In such a state of affairs, how can one persuade the people of Pakistan to mitigate environmental degradation? Interestingly, one plausible answer lies in religion, particularly Islam. This, in simple terms, would mean proliferating a scheme of ideas based on the Quran and Sunnah aimed at the conservation of the environment.

Often dubbed as Islamic environmentalism, this idea can be traced back to a series of lectures delivered by the Iranian philosopher Seyyed Hossein Nasr in 1968 at the University of Chicago. Nasr employed the Sufi concept of unity of the universe to argue that all created beings are interconnected, therefore humans owe a duty to the environment, as much as they do to their fellow men. If humans do not live up to this duty, then society will face moral degradation and crises as a direct corollary of our actions. As the Quran states, “Corruption has appeared throughout the land and sea by [reason of] what the hands of people have earned so He may let them taste part of [the consequence of] what they have done that perhaps they will return [to righteousness]” (30:41).

Recently, through its judgment in Amer Ishaq and others v. Province of KPK, pertaining to air pollution caused by stone crushers in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the Supreme Court has placed special emphasis on Islamic environmentalism. The court — while referring to Hossein Nasr’s work — has explored the idea on the basis of six fundamental principles: 1) Tawhid, that Allah is the Creator of all and hence all the created are interconnected. 2) Stewardship, that man, as the khalifa, must adopt a responsible attitude towards managing natural resources. 3) Balance, that the natural balance or meezan of Earth shall not be interfered with. 4) Avoiding waste, that Islam advocates the idea of moderation, especially in relation to consumption; the Quran commands,”O Children of Adam! … Eat and drink, but do not waste. Surely, He does not like the wasteful” (7:31). 5) Justice, that climate change hurts the poor the most even though they may have contributed the least. 6) Hima, that natural resources and biodiversity shall be conserved.


Ideas based on Quran & Sunnah aimed at conservation can be promoted.

In countries across the globe, Islamic environmentalism is being used for community engagement to deal with climate-related issues. In Zanzibar, for years fishermen used to dynamite coral reefs to catch fish. Despite successive attempts, the World Wildlife Fund was unable to persuade them otherwise. Eventually, Fazlun Khaled, founder of the Islamic Foundation for Ecology and Environmental Sciences (IFEES), was brought in. Khaled dealt with dynamite fishing by engaging local fishermen, imams, and political leaders in community workshops. Khaled emphasised — much like Nasr — that all of creation is connected, therefore harm incurred to one part of it necessarily effects the others. This proved to be a hugely successful exercise, and the use of dynamite fishing plummeted.

Similarly, the African Muslim Environment Network is playing an active role in dealing with the perils of climate change. It utilises zakat and other charities’ money to spread envir­o­nmental educ­­ation and fin­a­nce sustainable ventures. Mal­aysia also provides a practical example of Islamic environmentalism, where more than 400 mosques have joined hands to counter poaching and promote the conservation of turtles. In 2015, the IFEES launched the Islamic Declaration on Global Climate Change, aimed at educating Muslims across the world about the harmful impacts of climate change. The declaration stressed the moral and religious duty of all Muslims to adopt sustainable practices to counter climate change.

In order to mitigate damage and promote sustainability, the government must draw from these examples and employ Islam as the basis for wider community engagement on the environment. As a deeply religious country, the people of Pakistan will be more receptive to the idea of environmental conservation as a religious duty.

Stakeholders from across the board — academic experts, religious scholars, and socio-political leaders — must come together to form a consensus against environmental degradation. As one fisherman from Zanzibar put it: we can break the laws of government, but not of God.

The writers study law at LUMS.

Published in Dawn, August 30th, 2024
AI and gender-based violence


Sahar Bandial 
Published August 30, 2024
DAWN



IT is said that we stand at the cusp of the “fourth industrial revolution”. The emergence and proliferation of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine-based learning is set to usher in a new era of productivity, efficiency and governance across public and private sectors.

In recognition of such potential, the Ministry of Information Technology and Telecommunication laid out a draft National Artificial Intelligence Policy last year, which reportedly was to be presented before the cabinet this month. The policy sets out ambitious targets for the use, scaling and proliferation of AI, while recognising — though almost in passing — the need to ensure its ethical and responsible use, which upholds the fundamental rights and privacy of users. Given the state’s existing performance on cyber safety, particularly of women, these assurances appear unrealistic.

AI is a broad field that encompasses the development of computer systems capable of simulating human learning, comprehension, problem-solving, decision-making and creativity. It employs tools such as machine learning and deep learning to analyse data (including text and images) to identify patterns, make predictions and generate human-like speech.

ChatGPT may be the most commonly encountered/used generative AI tool. Generative AI generates texts and images in response to commands or prompts submitted by a user. The technology has been put to beneficial use in business settings to, for instance, improve efficiency through automation of simple tasks, synthesise and analyse data to enhance business decision-making, and assist with creative undertakings.


According to one study, while 26pc of women aged 18‑24 years experience cyberstalking, only 7pc of men in the same age range do so.

However, there is a flip side. Deepfake technology — a form of generative AI — can create realistic but entirely fake images and videos of persons by analysing existing audiovisual data.

Many of us have come across doctored video clips of prominent personalities online — some comical and others more pernicious in intent and nature. In fact, the latter are predominant on the web: 98 per cent of deepfake videos are pornographic in nature; 99pc target women or girls. These statistics are not surprising. Cases involving deepfake videos (often sexual in nature) targeting women journalists and women politicians have made headlines in Pakistan in the recent past.

Technology-facilitated gender-based violence (TFGBV), such as deepfake content, also manifests as image-based abuse and blackmail, misinformation/ defamation, impersonation, cyberstalking and violent threats. While men, too, are subject to cyber violence, it is a gendered phenomenon worldwide. Women are the largest victims of online harassment in Pakistan. According to a Pew Research Centre study, while 26pc of women aged 1824 years experience cyberstalking, only 7pc of men in the same age range do so. Cyberspace is a more unsafe place for women across the world.

AI has now altered the arena where TFGBV plays out, greatly enhancing the apparent authenticity and believability of misinformation and fake news propagated on the internet. This is not just on account of deepfake technology. Generative AI can be used not only to create cyber-harassment templates, but also to generate and modify false, yet convincing personal histories of women, perpetuating the cycle of misinformation and fake news.

TFGBV violates women’s right to dignity, privacy and non-discrimination. Many times, it culminates in physical violence. Issues of consent and intellectual property rights also arise with the (often) non-consensual use of copyrighted data by AI technologies — a matter that gained prominence last year in the Hollywood strike against the unlicensed use of actors’ AI replicas by motion picture studios.

AI regulation is an evolving field. Given the risks that have arisen with the increased deployment of and access to AI technology, there have been efforts worldwide to regulate its use.

Taking the lead in a human rights-centric approach to AI regulation, the EU Artificial Intelligence Act, 2024, positions safety and compatibility with fundamental rights and freedoms as the guiding principles of AI regulation. It bars the use of AI for biometric surveillance and compilation of facial recognition databases (Article 5) and provides that where video, audio or image content is created with deepfake technologies, disclosure regarding such artificial generation/ manipulation be provided (Article 52).

Unesco’s Recommendations on the Ethics of Artificial Intelligence Use (2023), also stipulate the protection of human rights and freedoms as the first guiding “value” in AI regulation. The US Blueprint for an AI Bill of Rights, a white paper published by the White House, articulates certain principles for the protection of civil rights and democratic values in the building, deployment, and governance of automated systems.

Pakistan’s AI policy also recognises the particular dangers of AI to create “fake content such as text, images and videos”, and envisions that the AI Regulatory Directorate (ARD) will issue guidelines to address “possible spread of disinformation, data privacy breaches and fake news”. The exact mechanism of such regulation may be more minutely spelt out in any AI legislation that is eventually passed.

For now, the existing mechanism, under the Cybercrime Wing of the FIA, has largely been ineffective in addressing the countless complaints of TFGBV made by women under the Prevention of Electronic Crimes Act, 2016, which criminalises the transmission of false and defamatory information through an electronic system, distortion of a person’s pictures to show her/ him in a sexually explicit position, and cyberstalking. However, as scathingly observed by the Sindh High Court last year, the Cybercrime Wing does not have the “competency to effectively investigate cybercrime, let alone combating th[ese] [offences]”.

Blocking the flow of information and traffic on the internet will not serve as a solution. The state must ensure that any future regulation of AI-led TFGBV — to be laid out by the ARD or enforced by the newly formed National Cybercrime Investigation Agency — is effective and upholds the standards of ethics and human rights that its AI policy espouses.

The writer is a lawyer.

Published in Dawn, August 30th, 2024

Pakistan's Military Says Insurgents Have Freed An Army Officer And 3 Others Abducted On Wednesday

No one claimed responsibility for the kidnappings in Dera Ismail Khan, a district in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province in northwest Pakistan.


Associated Press
 1 September 2024 


File photo of Pakistan Army.(Representational image) | Photo: AP


Insurgents have freed four people, including an army officer who was abducted three days ago from a former stronghold of the Pakistani Taliban, the military said.

Lt Col Khalid Ameer was seized on Wednesday while he was sitting in a mosque to receive mourners after attending his father's funeral, according to local police.


Pakistan: 37 Killed In 2 Bus Accidents, Several Injured
BY PTI

The “unconditional release” of Ameer and three of his relatives on Saturday was secured due to the role played by tribal elders and “all the abductees have safely returned home,” the military said in a statement without giving any further details.

No one claimed responsibility for the kidnappings in Dera Ismail Khan, a district in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province in northwest Pakistan. However, in video statements released hours after they were kidnapped, two of the abductees said they were in the custody of Pakistani Taliban. They also urged the government to accept their abductors' demands, although these were unclear.


Pakistan Army Arrests Former ISI Chief Faiz Hameed, Court Martial Initiated
BY Outlook Web Desk


Though the Pakistani Taliban often targets security forces, such kidnappings and releases of abductees are rare. The Pakistani Taliban, known as Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, are separate from but allied to the Afghan Taliban, and they have been emboldened since the Afghan Taliban seized power in Afghanistan in 2021
PERILOUS PASSAGES OUT OF PAKISTAN
Published September 1, 2024 
 EOS/DAWN

Stranded Pakistani migrants sit at a No Borders Kitchen camp on Lesbos island, Greece on April 7, 2016: worldwide, it is estimated that 80 percent of all migrants who reach Europe through the Mediterranean Sea enlist the services of a human smuggler at some point | Jodi Hilton

LONG READ

In 2018, Mahmood was an 18-year-old based in Hafizabad [Punjab]. Although he struggled in school, he was good at sports. Because of family pressure, he did not have the option of making a career out of sports.

Mahmood began to feel hopeless. His heart was no longer in his daily activities. One day, a group of friends floated the idea of migrating, to escape his family and life in Pakistan. One of them said he knew a local agent who could help.

The agent told Mahmood and his friends that the journey from Hafizabad to Turkiye would cost a total of Rs120,000. Mahmood did not have that kind of money and had to sell some valuables and save up to collect the rest. His friends did the same. They called the agent, confirming their intent to migrate.

The agent told them to make their way to Lahore. There, they were told to look for a particular agent at a particular bus stop. The agent met them there and took them to a rest house, where they spent the night. In the morning, they were transported to Multan and then Quetta, along with other migrants undertaking the same journey.

Mahmood did not have the entire Rs120,000 on him. The agent had said to carry some cash on them for the journey. The final payment would be made if and when they crossed the border from Iran into Turkiye. To make this final payment, Mahmood handed over the money to a trusted individual, to be transferred to the agent on being notified by Mahmood to do so.

On reaching Quetta, Mahmood was kept in makeshift lodging. As the migrants moved out of Punjab and further along in the journey, he said, their treatment by their handlers became progressively worse.

From this, one can deduce that the smugglers treated their victims well at the start of the journey to secure business. Further along, when migrants’ option to abort their mission dwindled, ensuring their dignity and well-being was no longer a concern for the smugglers.

The word ‘dunki’, often used in reference to human smuggling, is derived from a Punjabi idiom that means to go someplace illegally, by jumping or leaping like a donkey. Literally taken, the term means ‘donkey flight.’ It is estimated that between 80,000 to 100,000 Pakistanis try to escape the country in search for better economic opportunities abroad each year. It is a journey full of risk and mortal danger, facilitated by ruthless operators out to exploit the desperate for profit. Eos presents, with permission, excerpts from a report recently published by the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan…

While waiting at the lodging, another agent came to Mahmood and his friends and demanded money. The friends protested, but the agent threatened to abandon them if the money was not paid.

Recognising that they were now completely dependent on the smugglers, Mahmood and his friends made the required payment.

They were told to wait. Eventually, in the middle of night, a beat-up pick-up truck came to collect them — Iranian vehicles known as zambad, manufactured by Zamyad Co.

Here, different ‘classes’ of travel came into play for the first time. The migrants were told to pay a premium to sit in the front of the vehicle, while the rest travelled in the uncovered cargo bed at the back. Mahmood was able to pay and occupied the back seat of the vehicle. But so did many others. The smugglers crammed in more than 20 migrants in the front, one on top of the other, even filling up spaces on the floor of the vehicle.

From here, a highly dangerous journey started that took them across Balochistan, from Quetta through Duk, further through Siahpat and onwards to Mashkel. The entire stretch of land was as barren as it was dark.

The driver of the zambad sped across rough terrain at over 120 km per hour, with more than 30 people on board. These areas are also known for kidnappings, as migrants carrying cash are easy targets for looters. To evade robbers, and particularly any law enforcement officials patrolling the area, the lights of the zambad were switched off, despite the pitch-black surroundings.

Mahmood feared for his life. Those crammed in the back were pummelled by cold sand-filled winds. They would plead with the driver to allow them to travel up in front, but he would allow this only if they were willing to pay for the privilege.

Mahmood and the rest of his cohort reached Mashkel, where they purchased water and food at exorbitant prices. From Mashkel, the migrants were to cross the mountains bordering Pakistan and Iran on foot. The group, which according to Mahmood comprised mostly men in their early twenties, started the long walk.

Their handler claimed that the walk was only two hours long. In fact, the group walked for close to 48 hours, with barely any food, water or rest. They survived on the few supplies they had brought from home — dates and bread. Not all the members of his group were as physically fit as Mahmood.

Eventually, out of sheer exhaustion brought on by lack of rest, food and water, some members of the group began to fall behind, including Mahmood’s friend. Mahmood, too, fell behind to support him, as he struggled to keep up.

As the migrants moved out of Punjab and further along in the journey, their treatment by their handlers became progressively worse. From this, one can deduce that the smugglers treated their victims well at the start of the journey to secure business. Further along, when migrants’ option to abort their mission dwindled, ensuring their dignity and well-being was no longer a concern for the smugglers.

The distance between the main group and Mahmood and his friend began to increase. The Mashkel mountains are vast uninhabited terrain. Getting lost here was akin to a death sentence. Mahmood begged his friend to speed up lest they be left behind, but the latter had almost given up.

Eventually, they lost sight of the main group, but kept walking in the direction of its last-known location. Luckily, the main group had stopped up ahead, allowing them to catch up. At this stage, the group had begun to berate the handler for misleading them about the duration of the journey. Irate, the handler stormed off, leaving them on their own.

They had no idea what to do or where to go. They had run out of food and water and were exhausted. The group started arguing and blaming each other for causing the handler to leave. After about an hour, however, the handler returned, his camel-skin bag filled with water. He told them that he had come back ‘this time’ but, if they created a fuss again, he would leave them to their own devices.

The group resumed their journey. It was soon evident that the Iranian border was nowhere close, and the group would have to continue walking for another few hours. They were out of water. They begged the handler to give them some water; he took payment in return for small sips.

Finally, after several more hours, they hit a road. A container arrived, into which they were tightly packed and taken to a secluded house. They were now inside Iran.

Quite often, migrants entering Iran are captured at the border and deported to Pakistan. There, they face additional abuse by the Pakistani LEAs [law-enforcement agents]. But this risk is factored in at the start. There are provisions in the booking for multiple attempts to cross the border, in case one or more of them are unsuccessful.


Family members of those who perished in last year’s shipwreck off the Greek coast gather at an event held in Lalamusa on June 14, 2024 to mark the first anniversary of the tragedy: incidents of boats capsizing off the coasts of European countries occur in the Mediterranean Sea during a leg of the journey that usually involves travel from Turkiye to Europe | AFP

FROM IRAN TO THE TURKISH BORDER


At their lodging in Iran, the group had the opportunity to wash up and change if they had spare clothes. The garden in the house had fruit trees, which the migrants plucked and ate from. After their long and gruelling journey, this seemed like an enormous luxury.

Unbeknownst to them, the real test of their resolve was yet to come.

One by one, sedans rolled up and took the migrants away. There was one car for 20 migrants. About five or six of them were crammed into the trunk of the car, while the others were packed into the front and back seats.

According to other reports, migrants at this stage are packed into the luggage compartment of buses, but Mahmood said that his group was transported towards the Turkish border differently.

Mahmood was one of the migrants crammed into the trunk. It was hot and suffocating. He would struggle to breathe, but if they made any noise, the driver would stop the car and threaten to abandon them. The prospect of being left behind now was more serious than before, because they were in a foreign country.

There were multiple check-posts along the way but, just as in Pakistan, the Iranian agents had an arrangement with the local LEAs who gave them safe passage on payment of kickbacks (an observation corroborated by other interviews conducted for this study).

However, if the LEAs were not feeling merciful, or there was an official crackdown in place, one of two things would happen. Either the driver would find a way around the check-post or park the car on the side of the road and order the migrants to run.

Somehow, Mahmood’s driver was able to make his way through all the check-posts and, after several hours, he and his group neared the Turkish border. Once again, they were kept in a lodging where Mahmood saw some migrants being physically beaten.

The migrants were now required to make their final payment before the agents facilitated them into Turkiye. Those who were able to pay were assigned to a handler who helped them cross the Turkish border through the Zagros range. Those who were unable to pay were imprisoned, abused and beaten, until the required money was transferred into the smuggler’s account.

According to reports, those who were still unable to pay were either abandoned or left to the mercy of local gangs, who would extort them for ransom.

After having made his final payment, Mahmood left with his group for the Turkish border. He found the journey through the Zagros mountains considerably harder than through Mashkel. It was bitterly cold and rainy. The group had no cover and their clothes were soaked through. The rocky hills were slippery, and some members of the group slipped and injured themselves. This combination of factors was so challenging that those, like Mahmood, who had not given up hope before, were doing so now.

Eventually, they reached a barbed-wire fence separating Iran and Turkiye. The migrants leapt over but unaware of the fall at the other end, they landed in a ditch, one on top of the other. They helped each other out of the ditch and started walking towards a main road. They were told to wait at a stop for a bus that would take them to Istanbul.

Mahmood and his friends had only booked the journey into Turkiye and not Europe. Therefore, they were not transferred to any onward agent.

The table above provides data about the yearly numbers of migrants that are reported missing or found dead on Mediterranean migration routes | United Nations Refugee Agency


INSIDE TURKIYE AND ONWARDS TO EUROPE


The bus taking them to Turkiye was stopped at a checkpoint. Turkish law enforcement officials realised that the vehicle was filled with irregular migrants. They were taken into custody and moved to a camp.

Mahmood was given some paperwork to fill out and then allowed to leave. Although he could not identify the paperwork specifically, it is likely that he was asked to register as a refugee.

Turkiye is signatory to the Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees 1951 (the Refugee Convention). It has also passed the Law on Foreigners and International Protection, which establishes the scope and mechanism by which protection is given to asylum seekers. Under this legal regime, migrants can file for asylum protection and, depending on the circumstances, be given either temporary protection or simply a humanitarian residence permit.

Most likely, Mahmood was given the latter, given his status as an irregular migrant and not someone fleeing persecution or fear of persecution.

While many seek asylum, not everyone is able to get it. Numerous migrants are sent back to Iran, where they are mistreated and deported to Pakistan. Mahmood was one of the lucky ones.

Additionally, anecdotal evidence suggests that Turkiye is relatively lenient towards irregular migrants, because it relies on them as a source of cheap labour.

An irregular migrant lives life on the very edge in foreign lands. Unlike Mahmood, some of his friends did not have asylum protection. However, since they were not taken into custody like Mahmood, they made their way into Turkiye and were compelled to survive without any documentation.

This meant that any situation that required documentation could lead to deportation — even falling sick or getting injured and having to go to the hospital.

One of Mahmood’s friends was stabbed on the streets of Istanbul, for example. His friends did not call an ambulance for fear of alerting the authorities and risking deportation. They placed the injured friend on the pavement, moved away and waited for an onlooker to notice the bleeding man and call an ambulance. A passerby called an ambulance and Mahmood’s friend was transferred to a hospital.

While the friend was undergoing treatment, the hospital realised he was undocumented and alerted the authorities. On being discharged, the police were waiting for him. He was asked to go home and gather his belongings.

But the friend did not want to be deported back to a country he had struggled to escape. He contacted an agent and left for Italy overnight through the Mediterranean Sea. His boat was seized twice and returned to Turkish shores. His third attempt was successful; he was fortunate that the boat did not capsize.

Others before and after him have not been so lucky.

UNDERCOUNTED NUMBERS

Human smuggling remains very poorly documented. Statistics have not kept up with the rapid rate at which the issue is growing.

According to some estimates, between 600,000 and 800,000 irregular migrants cross international borders annually. However, researchers consider this a gross underestimate; the actual figures are projected to be in the millions.

There are no reliable global statistics on the number of migrants smuggled on a yearly basis, because of the clandestine nature of operations. Figures are usually based on those migrants that are caught crossing a border illegally. Those migrants that make it across remain largely undocumented. Further yet, irregular migration will continue to rise due to global unrest, porous and unmanageable borders, and the evolution of technology and transportation.

On a domestic level, the figures are even more uncertain, with no credible data available. According to investigative filmmaker Syed M. Hassan Zaidi, who has produced a BBC documentary on the issue of human smuggling from Pakistan, sources on the number of annual irregular migrants are not authentic, and the Federal Investigation Agency’s (FIA) data is particularly questionable.

Independent estimates suggest that about 35,000 irregular migrants arrive monthly in Duk, Balochistan, alone for onward migration to Iran, Turkiye and Europe. Closures on the Afghanistan-Iran border mean that those Afghans who wish to migrate illegally into Iran, do so through Balochistan.

Due to the variables and complexities involved, an accurate figure cannot be provided, but it is fair to make a calculated estimate of between 80,000 and 100,000 annual irregular migrants from Pakistan.

This map shows some of the popular routes and crossing points for irregular migration from Pakistan | Dawn



POPULAR ROUTES


Most irregular migration from Pakistan takes place through Balochistan, due to its vast open spaces and relatively porous borders with Iran and Afghanistan. Most migrants hope to reach Europe.

The interviews carried out for this essay indicate that the Naukundi route is the most popular option. This originates in central Punjab and goes through Multan, Quetta, Dalbandin and, then eventually, into Iran through the Taftan border.

Alternative popular crossing points into Iran are in Jodar, Rajay and Mashkel (Balochistan). The map shows some of the popular routes and crossing points for irregular migration from Pakistan.

The routes described above are all land-based.

Sea-based irregular migration also remains a popular option. For this, irregular migrants first make their way to Gwadar, via the coastal highway from Karachi. From there, they are loaded on to boats for onward travel into Iran, Turkiye and Europe.

Irregular migration through this route bypasses the insurgency-hit areas of Makran in Balochistan.

The sea-based route described here originates from Pakistan and goes through the Arabian Sea. Incidents of boats capsizing off the coasts of European countries occur in the Mediterranean Sea during a leg of the journey that usually involves travel from Turkiye to Europe by boat.

For instance, in September 2014, at least 500 people died when a boat carrying smuggled migrants capsized off the coast of Malta. The boat left Egypt on 6 September and sank five days later.

THE BUSINESS OF HUMAN SMUGGLING

The human smuggling business in Pakistan has its roots in legal migration facilitated by the UK [United Kingdom] in the 1950s. In exchange for the displacement of people caused by the construction of Mangla Dam and recognising its need for industrial labour, the UK granted work visas to residents of Mirpur in Azad Jammu and Kashmir.

In the 1970s, residents of Jhelum, Kharian and other neighbouring districts in Punjab also began applying for work visas to move to European countries. By the 1990s, however, Europe was no longer in need of additional labour and, with anti-immigrant sentiment picking up, fewer and fewer work visas were being issued to Pakistani citizens.

This is when individuals began resorting to human smuggling networks to reach Europe through irregular channels. The sections below describe the mechanisms by which smugglers conduct their operations.

NETWORK MODEL

Human smuggling networks are a vast and complex web. Worldwide, it is estimated that 80 percent of all migrants who reach Europe through the Mediterranean Sea enlist the services of a human smuggler at some point.

A given smuggling network will comprise agents across the entire route. For example, in Pakistan, for the land-based route through Balochistan, agents will be based in Gujranwala, Multan, Quetta, Mashkel, Iran, Turkiye and Greece.

As migrants move along the route, they are transferred from one agent to another. The unique characteristics of the network depend on the mutually dependent relationship between agents, which allows operations to be carried out seamlessly.

The names of migrants are shared via WhatsApp from one agent of the network to another. The migrants are told to look for a particular agent on reaching their next stop. The agents all operate under false names. The movement of migrants along the routes are facilitated by sub-agents, who also play a role in recruiting new migrants for a cut of the profit.

The highly organised and structured operations of human smuggling networks rival those of criminal enterprises or mafias. As an indication of their gang-like behaviour, investigators looking into the issue of human smuggling have even received threats, warning them to cease their investigation, according to filmmaker Syed M. Hassan Zaidi.

The human smuggling network is a self-perpetuating cycle, where many former migrants become smugglers. This is for two reasons. First, the element of trust and solidarity is key in such operations. Smugglers are more likely to be trusted by those they have handled in the past and who understand smuggling operations. Second, migrants are lured into the network by the promise of quick cash and the prospect of moving their own families out of Pakistan, just as they themselves did in the past.

In this manner, migrants reaching Turkiye or Europe make short videos reviewing their smuggling experience as positive. Agents back in Pakistan then use those video clips to attract more victims.

ROLE OF THE FIA


Section 11 of the Prevention of Smuggling of Migrants Act 2018 authorises the FIA to investigate and crack down on human smuggling. A detailed list of obligations of the FIA is provided in the accompanying Rules [in the main report].

According to Rule 9, the FIA is responsible for conducting timely and independent investigations, ensuring the immediate safety and security of migrants, safeguarding the rights of migrants, identifying organised networks, and detecting illicit financial flows of money. In practice, however, the FIA is often complicit in the entire process.

According to investigative reporter Akbar Notezai, considering the variables and actors involved and the complexity of the process, a transnational operation of this magnitude would not be possible without the knowledge of the FIA. Officials look the other way in exchange for a share of the profit.

This explains why smugglers are arrested in large numbers only after a nationwide crackdown is announced, such as that after the June 2023 fishing boat disaster in the Mediterranean Sea.

At other times, their network continues to operate with impunity.

Excerpted with permission from the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan report ‘Perilous Passage: Human Smuggling in Pakistan’ by Azwar Shakeel. The report was produced with support from the Fakhruddin G. Ebrahim Fellowship and published on July 23, 2024

The writer is a lawyer based in Lahore, and the Fakhruddin G. Ebrahim Fellow at the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan. X: @azwarshakeel12

Published in Dawn, EOS, September 1st, 2024
Robot waiters in Kenya create a buzz. But there are concerns about what it means for human labor



The Robot Cafe in Kenya's capital, Nairobi, is creating a buzz by using preprogrammed robots to deliver food to customers


ByDESMOND TIRO 
Associated Press 
and EVELYNE MUSAMBI
 Associated Press
August 31, 2024

NAIROBI, Kenya -- Children giggle as young people flash their smartphones to film robots carrying plates of freshly prepared meals on their inbuilt trays to deliver to diners in a busy eatery in Kenya's capital.

Nairobi has a vibrant tech industry with various startups and innovations in operation and has positioned itself as a tech hub in the East African region bearing the nickname The Silicone Savanna.

This is the Robot Cafe, believed to be the first of its kind in Nairobi and East Africa, where three robots glide among human waiters serving food to mesmerized customers.

These preprogrammed robots were acquired for entertainment. Cafe owner Mohammed Abbas says he experienced robot service in Asian and European countries and decided to invest in them.





“It was very expensive to import the robots,” he says, but adds that the investment has borne fruit, because the restaurant is “often busy with curious customers” who come to experience robot service.

One customer, Packson Chege, picks up a plate of fries from the robot tray as his friend films the experience across the table.

“I can say it is something unique because here in our country Kenya, I have never seen a restaurant like this one so I think for me, it is a good idea from the owner of this restaurant,” he said.

The three robots, which are named Claire, R24 and Nadia, aren't programmed to have a full conversation with customers, but they can say “Your order is ready, Welcome” and then people have to press an exit button after picking up their food from the tray.

They are commanded by waiters through an application on an iPad.



Human waiters are still important in the operations of the cafe, because they take orders from customers who don't use the online ordering option. The waiters then place the food on the robot tray when it’s ready and deliver drinks in person.

The technology is predicted to disrupt the future workforce globally, and especially in Africa, where there is a youthful population with a median age of 19 years.

But the cafe's manager says the robots aren't a replacement for human waiters as they can't offer all services.

“At no point are the robots able to fully function in all the services that are supposed to be ongoing in the restaurant without the human touch," John Kariuki said. "The robots are actually way too expensive for us to acquire, so if you are trying to save money, it is not going to work if you choose to go the robotic way.”

A hospitality industry expert, Edith Ojwang, said that there’s room for robotic and human service to coexist in the industry.

“The hospitality industry is very diverse. We have clients who will prefer robotic service and full automation, while we also have clients who will prefer human service, the human touch and warmth that comes with human service so it is not entirely a threat to human labor because of the diverse nature of the hospitality client base,” she said.


Laos Dating App Scam: 47 Indians, Trapped And Working As 'Cyber Slaves', Rescued

This case comes amid several warnings from the Indian government regarding job offers sent from Laos and Cambodia. As of now, a total of 635 Indians, who had been scammed, have been rescued from the country.


Outlook Web Desk
Updated on: 1 September 2024 


47 Indians, Working As 'Cyber Slaves' Rescued | Photo: Indian Embassy In Laos


47 Indians, who were trapped in Laos PDR working at cyber scam centres, were rescued on Saturday. As per the official statement from the Indian Embassy in Laos, these Indians were forced to lure and scam more Indians back home.

This case comes amid several warnings from the Indian government regarding job offers sent from Laos and Cambodia. As of now, a total of 635 Indians, who had been scammed, have been rescued from the country.

In the latest incident, a total of 47 Indians were rescued. These Indians had been trapped in a cyber scam centre at the Golden Triangle Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in the Bokeo province.

As per the official statement from the embassy, 29 of these Indians have been handed over to the authorities after a crackdown on illegal activities in the Golden Triangle SEZ and 18 had approached the embassy seeking help.

"Embassy has undertaken and completed all procedural requirements of Lao authorities for their repatriation to India. Of these, 30 have already safely returned to India or are on their way, while the remaining 17 are only awaiting travel arrangements to be firmed up and will be leaving Laos PDR soon," read the official statement issued from Vientiane.



How Did These Indians Reach Laos?

While the exact reason is under investigation, it is assumed that these Indians were lured to Laos with the job offer. After arriving in the country, the fraudsters would seize their passports, trapping them in the country.

These Indians were then forced to work at cyber scam centres and partake in a dating app scam. During this, the India national were forced to pose as women on dating apps and social media and chat with potential targets.

As per some of the Indians rescued, they were forced to convince the target to invest in cryptocurrency trading, and then dupe them.

The Indian nationals were given daily targets at these scam centres, and then were punished if they failed to carry them out.
Shock as BBC lorry and police car blown up close to O2 arena in London

‘Our buildings shook’ Neighbour’s fears after 
(UN)   ‘controlled’ explosion of police car

Barney Davis
INDEPENDENT 
(@data_barbs)

Firefighters rushed to the scene of a film set explosion close to the O2 Arena sparking panic among locals.

London Fire Brigade were called to a yard in Dock Road, Silvertown, at 7.51pm on Saturday after a stunt went out of control.

The blaze destroyed a van and damaged a car and a lorry, LFB added.

One resident showed pictures before the explosion of a BBC truck and a police car waiting on the dock

She told The Independent: “From my understanding it was part of filming planned for tomorrow.

“I didn’t see it but heard a loud bang and went outside to see the fire.”

She added: “We were told it would happen last week, but clearly they forgot to inform the people on the side of the explosion of its postponement and fire services, because they sent so many trucks. Our buildings vibrated.”

Pictures taken before the explosion (@data_barbs)

A total of 25 firefighters tackled the blaze and it was under control by 9.02pm.

No injuries were reported.

LFB posted on X on Saturday evening saying: “The fire at an open air yard in #Silvertown is now under control.

“One van was destroyed by the fire and most of a car and lorry were damaged by the fire. There are currently no reports of any injuries.”


It added: “The fire in #Silvertown followed a controlled explosion at a film set which spread out of control. Firefighters worked quickly to extinguish the fire, which is now under control.

“Crews will remain on scene for the remainder of the evening.”
X Suspended In Brazil After Supreme Court Order, Over 22 Million Users Shut Out

Following the Supreme Court's orders, the social media platform went offline on the web and mobile apps, making it inaccessible to over 22 million users in Brazil.


Danita Yadav
1 September 2024 


X Suspended In Brazil After Supreme Court Order | Photo: Pexels

Elon Musk's X officially went offline in Brazil after the Supreme Court ordered its "immediate and complete suspension". The decision of the Brazil top court came after Musk allegedly refused to name a legal representative for Brazil and missed the deadline imposed by Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes.

Following the Supreme Court's orders, the social media platform went offline on the web and mobile apps, making it inaccessible to over 22 million users in Brazil.

With the fifth-largest digital population, users were met with the message - "Seems like you lost connectivity. We’ll keep retrying.”

The feud between Musk and Alexandre de Moraes dates back to April 2024, after the Supreme Court judge ordered the suspension of dozens of X accounts for spreading disinformation. Moraes had ordered the suspension of accounts for spreading disinformation. These accounts belonged mainly to supporters of the former right-wing president Jair Bolsonaro.

Amid the disinformation row, X (formerly Twitter) closed down its office in Brazil after its representative was allegedly threatened with arrest for failure to comply with the orders.

Following the initial orders, X was also threatened with fines for refusing to comply with the order, resulting in a feud between Musk and Moraes.

After the order on Saturday, De Moraes added that the social media platform will remain suspended in the country until Musk and the company comply with the orders. A daily fine of 50,000 reais ($8,900) for people or companies using or VPNs to access X have also been imposed.

The order from Alexandre de Moraes has been criticised by many, including Musk, for violating free speech.

Taking to X, the former CEO of the social media platform stated - "Free speech is the bedrock of democracy and an unelected pseudo-judge in Brazil is destroying it for political purposes."

Musk went on to criticise the current Brazilian administration stating it would be "insane to invest in the country with the current administration" and the Supreme Court judge.



The Brazilian Bar Association has also moved the Supreme Court to reconsider its order and the fines imposed on citizens using VPNs to access the social media platform. The association argued that sanctions cannot be imposed without ensuring an adversarial process and a right to full defense for the citizens
WWIII

China and Philippines accuse each other of ramming ships in South China Sea


A Philippine Coast Guard ship is seen surrounded by Chinese maritime militia vessels and a Chinese Coast Guard ship during a resupply mission for Filipino troops stationed at a grounded warship in the South China Sea, Oct 4, 2023.


AUGUST 31, 2024 


BEIJING — The Philippines and China exchanged accusations of intentionally ramming coast guard vessels in disputed waters of the South China Sea on Saturday (Aug 31), the latest in an escalating series of clashes in the vital waterway.

The collision near the Sabina Shoal was their fifth maritime confrontation in a month in a longstanding rivalry.

Beijing claims almost the entire South China Sea, including parts claimed by the Philippines, Brunei, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam. Portions of the waterway, where US$3 trillion (S$4 trillion) worth of trade passes annually, are believed to be rich in oil and natural gas deposits, as well as fish stocks.

The Permanent Court of Arbitration in 2016 found China's sweeping claims had no legal basis, a ruling Beijing rejects.

Philippine Coast Guard spokesperson Jay Tarriela showed videos of Saturday's confrontation at a press conference, saying China Coast Guard vessel 5205 "directly and intentionally rammed the Philippine vessel" without provocation.

The ramming damaged the 97-metre (320-foot) Teresa Magbanua, one of the Philippines' largest coast guard cutters, but no personnel were injured, Tarriela said.

Liu Dejun, a spokesperson for China's coast guard, said in a statement a Philippine ship, "illegally stranded" at the shoal, had lifted anchor and "deliberately rammed" a Chinese vessel. He called on the Philippines to withdraw immediately or bear the consequences.

"The Chinese coast guard will take the measures required to resolutely thwart all acts of 
provocation, nuisance and infringement and resolutely safeguard the country's territorial sovereignty and maritime rights and interests," Liu said.

Tarriela said Manila would not withdraw its ship "despite the harassment, the bullying activities and escalatory action of the Chinese coast guard".

US condemns Chinese 'violations'

The US ambassador to the Philippines expressed Washington's support for the Philippines, a treaty ally.

"US condemns the multiple dangerous violations of international law by the PRC (People's Republic of China), including today's intentional ramming," Ambassador MaryKay Carlson said on social media platform X.

The Philippines deployed a ship in April to the Sabina Shoal, 75 nautical miles from the coast of the Philippine province of Palawan. Manila accused Beijing of building an artificial island, saying it had documented piles of dead and crushed coral on the sandbars, which Beijing denies.

This week the Philippine maritime council said Chinese aircraft made unsafe manoeuvres against a civilian aircraft conducting patrols over two other disputed areas, the Scarborough Shoal and Subi reef.

The Philippines accused China of blocking a routine resupply mission on Sunday, saying Chinese vessels rammed and used water cannons on a fisheries bureau ship transporting food, fuel and medical supplies for Filipino fishermen.

FROM STALINISM TO FASCISM

Far-right AfD on track for its first win in eastern German state vote


A person waves a Saxony flag during Germany's Alternative for Germany (AfD) campaign event for the Saxony state elections in Dresden, Germany, Aug 29, 2024.
PHOTO: Reuters file

August 31, 2024

BERLIN — The far-right Alternative for Germany is predicted to come first in at least one of two elections in eastern states on Sunday (Sept 1), piling pressure on Chancellor Olaf Scholz's federal coalition over the economy, immigration and support for Ukraine.

The 11-year-old AfD, which has greater support in the formerly communist-run east, will be unlikely to be able to form a state government even if it does win, as it is polling short of a majority and other parties refuse to collaborate with it.

But it will be the first time a far-right party has the most seats in a German state parliament since World War Two and its strength will complicate coalition building and could allow it to block constitutional changes and appointments of some judges.

The AfD is polling 30 per cent in Thuringia, nearly 10 points ahead of the conservatives in second place, while tying with them in Saxony on around 30 to 32 per cent. The newly-created far-left Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) is set to come third in both states.

Strong gains for the two anti-establishment parties herald growing instability in Europe's biggest economy, reflecting a fragmentation of the political landscape that could also complicate efforts to form coherent national governments.

The AfD's signature topic of migration shot up the agenda after a knife attack a week ago in the western city of Solingen in which a 26-year-old suspected Islamic State member from Syria is accused of killing three people.

"We want to end the failure of the state, the loss of control," AfD co-leader Alice Weidel told a campaign event on Wednesday in Dresden. "That can only be done through a sustainable change in migration and asylum policy."

The BSW, named after its founder, a former communist, also opposes both immigration and military backing for Ukraine's fight against the Russian invasion; both parties seek better relations with Moscow.

All three parties in Scholz's federal coalition are expected to lose votes and two may even struggle to make the five per cent threshold to enter parliament. Their sagging popularity could mean a return to a conservative-led alliance in next year's national polls.

Business leaders have warned of the threat of far-right extremism to Europe's largest economy, saying it could make it harder to attract skilled labour and investment. German politicians say populist rhetoric has fuelled physical attacks.


Read Also

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Around 200,000 gather across Germany in latest protests against far-right


Anti-establishment parties on the rise


The AfD is led in Thuringia by Bjoern Hoecke, a man that some in the party considered so extremist they tried to expel him.

The former history teacher has called Berlin's memorial to Nazi Germany's Holocaust of Europe's Jews a "monument of shame" and was convicted earlier this year for using a Nazi slogan at a party rally.


While voting patterns in the formerly communist-run east are still distinct 30 years after reunification due to weaker party allegiances and greater economic pessimism, Sunday's elections give a flavour of nationwide and even European-wide trends.

As in France and elsewhere, the rise of anti-establishment parties in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the ensuing cost-of-living crisis are complicating coalition-building and governability.

"Everything has gone wrong with the established parties: We need a new direction," said Thomas Leser, who was in the audience at the BSW rally in Suhl in Thuringia.

Created in January, the BSW, which combines social conservatism and far-left economics, is expected to win up to 20 per cent and 15 per cent respectively in Thuringia and Saxony, which could put it in kingmaker position.

"I'm also not happy when a party becomes strong in which there really are right-wing extremists and Nazis," party leader Sahra Wagenknecht said at a rally this week. "But who is responsible for the fact that so many people in our country vote for such a party out of anger and despair?"

"It's the politicians who have been ruling over people's heads for years," she said.

Both the AfD and BSW, which together are polling between 40 to 50 per cent in Thuringia and Saxony albeit only 23 to 27.5 per cent nationwide, oppose arming Ukraine, a particularly sensitive issue in eastern Germany, arguing that Kyiv should make peace with Moscow.

"Let's take a look at the supply of weapons, you also have to look for diplomatic solutions here, no matter with whom," said Gerhard Iffert at a BSW event in Eisenach.

The party is only polling seven to nine per cent at national level but with Scholz's Social Democrats down to 15 to 16 per cent from 25.7 per cent at the 2021 elections, every vote counts.

Right-wing extremist set to win the state election in Germany’s Thuringia


By Jeremias Lin and Oliver Noyan | Euractiv
Aug 27, 2024
Content-Type:  Analysis

The two German states of Saxony and Thuringia are heading to the polls on Sunday to vote on the new state parliament. While the far-right AfD party is expected to get substantial gains, their meteoric rise is especially visible in Thuringia, where the party is led by the far-right extremist Björn Höcke. [Photo by Hannes P Albert/picture alliance via Getty Images]
 Euractiv is part of the Trust Project >>>


A right-wing extremist is poised to win Sunday’s (1 September) local election in the German state of Thuringia, eying the deposition of prime minister amid growing dissatisfaction with the established parties.

The two German states of Saxony and Thuringia are heading to the polls on Sunday to vote on the new state parliament. While the far-right AfD party is expected to get substantial gains, their rise is especially visible in Thuringia, where the party is led by the far-right extremist Björn Höcke.

According to the polls, Höcke’s party is expected to win a landslide victory with around 30%—almost three times as many votes as all three of the coalition parties in Berlin combined—and around 10% ahead of the conservative CDU, which is polling in second place with 21%.

Höcke, who once said that it would be a “big problem” if Hitler was portrayed as the “absolute evil” in German political discourse, is aiming to become the party’s first-ever prime minister in one of the German states.

In both Saxony and Thuringia, the regional branches of the AfD are considered even more right-wing than the federal party. Germany’s domestic intelligence agency—the Verfassungsschutz—has categorised them as ‘definitely right-wing extremists’, while the federal AfD is so far only under suspicion of being extremist.

Höcke has already been convicted twice for using prohibited Nazi slogans. In July, the regional court in Halle found that he had employed the slogan “Everything for Germany,” originally used by Adolf Hitler’s Sturmabteilung (SA), during a November 2023 election campaign rally.

Furthermore, a court decided in 2019 that the labelling of Höcke as a “fascist” has “a verifiable factual basis” and is thus in line with German law and does not constitute defamation.

Cordon sanitaire and political dilemmas

An AfD-led government in Thuringia is unlikely, however. All the established parties have vowed not to join a coalition with the AfD. Forming a coalition will thus be tricky.

While the liberal FDP and the Greens are expected to fail to reach the 5% threshold to make it into parliament, the SPD is only polling at 6%, which means that the CDU will have to rely on one of the parties on the political fringes to build a government.

The far-left Die Linke and its spin-off of the BSW, which are polling at around 32% combined, would be uneasy partners for the CDU, which is heavily at odds with their left-wing ideology.

“‘The democratic parties of the political centre in our country are slowly losing the basis of the citizens’ trust,” CDU helm Friedrich Merz said at a press conference on Tuesday.

An alternative option could be building a minority government following the election, which could switch between the support of the far left and the far right on a case-to-case basis. There has already been a precedent for this, as the AfD and the CDU voted together several times in the past term.

Furthermore, the incumbent coalition of the far-left prime minister Bodo Ramelow is also based on a minority government.

However, the recent deadly knife attack by a Syrian refugee in Solingen could further exacerbate the situation, as the AfD is likely to profit from the current salience of the migration topic and could thus perform better than anticipated at the upcoming election.

If the AfD were to enter the government, as Höcke hopes, the EU would also have tools to curb the AfD’s grip on the Eastern German state.

According to an analysis by the Jacques Delors Centre, the European Commission could apply the rule of law mechanism, which it famously used in the case of Hungary in 2022, to the German state.

Such a toolbox could include preventive measures like rule of law reports, corrective measures like infringement procedures, and budgetary measures, which could see the €1.5 billion heavy EU funds for Thuringia withheld from states that violate fundamental EU principles.

[Edited by Alice Taylor-Braçe]

 

Shot of confidence: Building trust in vaccination programs




Oxford University Press USA





A new paper in the Journal of Public Health, published by Oxford University Press, finds that highlighting the harms of not getting vaccinated is a more effective message than emphasizing the benefits of vaccination for individual patients or the benefits to public health.

Vaccination remains the most economical and effective public health strategy for reducing morbidity and mortality. But some vaccines, such as those for flu, pneumonia and HPV, are given voluntarily. Often due to misinformation or ignorance many people are reluctant to get vaccinated for various diseases (or to vaccinate their children). For years researchers have been investigating various strategies to try to persuade people to get their vaccines. This study, in China, designed a scenario experiment consisting of three experimental groups and one control group to test the effectiveness of various messaging strategies to induce people to get vaccinated for COVID-19.

For the first group, researchers gave them information that described the personal benefits of vaccination: “Vaccination can make you develop antibodies against COVID-19, thus reducing the likelihood of contracting COVID- 19 and developing severe symptoms after infection.” The second group received messages highlighting the benefits of vaccination for other people: “Vaccination can promote the formation of community herd immunity, thereby reducing the likelihood of community members getting infected with COVID-19 and developing severe symptoms after infection.” Investigators provided the third group of participants with information about the potential harm of not getting vaccinated: “If you are not vaccinated, you will not develop antibodies to COVID-19, and thus you will be more susceptible to COVID-19 and more likely to develop severe symptoms after infection.”

The study found that, while all groups targeted for vaccination were more likely to get a vaccine than the control group, the “potential harm” message patients showed the highest probability of vaccination, 72.6%. The “personal benefits” message group was 65.5% likely to get vaccinated. The “benefits other people” message group was only 62% likely to get vaccinated. Emphasizing the personal risk of not getting vaccinated was more effective than highlighting the potential personal gains of vaccination or benefits to the community.  

“Previous studies on the impact of message frames on vaccination have rarely considered the different stages of vaccine launch,” said the paper’s lead author, Ke Feng. “This study explored the effect of information frames on vaccination in the late stage of vaccine launch when the vaccine is perceived to be effective. The findings of the study can provide valuable insights for improving the ability of governments to respond to pandemics.”

The paper, “Constructing vaccination slogans in the late stage of vaccine launch: an experimental study based on the framing effect theory,” is available (on August 28th) at https://academic.oup.com/pubmed/article-lookup/doi/10.1093/pubmed/fdae168.

Direct correspondence to: 
Ke Feng
Shenzhen Institute for Advanced Study
University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Guanlan Street, Longhua District
Shenzhen, PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA
fengk@uestc.edu.cn

To request a copy of the study, please contact:
Daniel Luzer 
daniel.luzer@oup.com

SPACE

Supercomputer simulations reveal the nature of turbulence in black hole accretion disks


Tohoku University
Figure 1 

image: 

Artistic image of accretion disk turbulence. The inset is the magnetic field fluctuations computed by the simulation of this study. 

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Credit: ©Yohei Kawazura




Researchers at Tohoku University and Utsunomiya University have made a breakthrough in understanding the complex nature of turbulence in structures called "accretion disks" surrounding black holes, using state-of-the-art supercomputers to conduct the highest-resolution simulations to date. An accretion disk, as the name implies, is a disk-shaped gas that spirals inwards towards a central black hole.

There is a great interest in studying the unique and extreme properties of black holes. However, black holes do not allow light to escape, and therefore cannot be directly perceived by telescopes. In order to probe black holes and study them, we look at how they affect their surroundings instead. Accretion disks are one such way to indirectly observe the effects of black holes, as they emit electromagnetic radiation that can be seen by telescopes.

"Accurately simulating the behaviour of accretion disks significantly advances our understanding of physical phenomena around black holes," explains Yohei Kawazura, "It provides crucial insights for interpreting observational data from the Event Horizon Telescope."

The researchers utilized supercomputers such as RIKEN's "Fugaku" (the fastest computer in the world up until 2022) and NAOJ's "ATERUI II" to perform unprecedentedly high-resolution simulations. Although there have been previous numerical simulations of accretion disks, none have observed the inertial range because of the lack of computational resources. This study was the first to successfully reproduce the "inertial range" connecting large and small eddies in accretion disk turbulence.

It was also discovered that "slow magnetosonic waves" dominate this range. This finding explains why ions are selectively heated in accretion disks. The turbulent electromagnetic fields in accretion disks interact with charged particles, potentially accelerating some to extremely high energies.

In magnetohydronamics, magnetosonic waves (slow and fast) and Alfvén waves make up the basic types of waves. Slow magnetosonic waves were found to dominate the inertial range, carrying about twice the energy of Alfvén waves. The research also highlights a fundamental difference between accretion disk turbulence and solar wind turbulence, where Alfvén waves dominate.

This advancement is expected to improve the physical interpretation of observational data from radio telescopes focused on regions near black holes.

The study was published in Science Advances on August 28, 2024.


The spatial structures of magnetorotational turbulence in an accretion disk (modeled). (A) shows the flow and (B) shows the magnetic field intensity. White lines represent typical magnetic field lines. 

Credit

©Yohei Kawazura


Dancing galaxies make a monster at the cosmic dawn




National Institutes of Natural Sciences

Dancing Galaxies Make a Monster at the Cosmic Dawn 

image: 

Artist’s impression of the interacting galaxies observed in this research. The gravitational interactions during the merger trigger both starburst and quasar activity.

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Credit: Credit: ALMA (ESO/NAOJ/NRAO), T.Izumi et al.




Astronomers have spotted a pair of galaxies in the act of merging 12.8 billion years ago. The characteristics of these galaxies indicate that the merger will form a monster galaxy, one of the brightest types of objects in the Universe. These results are important for understanding the early evolution of galaxies and black holes in the early Universe.

Quasars are bright objects powered by matter falling into a supermassive black hole at the center of a galaxy in the early Universe. The most accepted theory is that when two gas-rich galaxies merge to form a single larger galaxy, the gravitational interaction of the two galaxies causes gas to fall towards the supermassive black hole in one or both of the galaxies, causing quasar activity.

To test this theory, an international team of researchers led by Takuma Izumi used the ALMA (Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array) radio telescope to study the earliest known pair of close quasars. This pair was discovered by Yoshiki Matsuoka, at Ehime University in Japan, in images taken by the Subaru Telescope.  Located in the direction of the constellation Virgo, this pair of quasars existed during the first 900 million years of the Universe. The pair is dim, indicating that the quasars are still in the early stages of their evolution. The ALMA observations mapped the host galaxies of the quasars and showed that the galaxies are linked by a “bridge” of gas and dust. This indicates that the two galaxies are in fact merging.

The ALMA observations also allowed the team to measure the amount of gas, the material for new star formation. The team found that the two galaxies are very rich in gas, suggesting that in addition to more vigorous quasar activity in the future, the merger will also trigger a rapid increase in star formation, known as a “starburst.” The combination of starburst activity and vigorous quasar activity is expected to create a super-bright object in the early Universe known as a monster galaxy.

International consortium with NASA reveals hidden impact of spaceflight on gut health



International team led by UCD and McGill University reveals previously unknown effects on physiology that could shape the future of long-duration space missions.



UCD Research & Innovation




UNIVERSITY COLLEGE DUBLIN: Scientists have uncovered how spaceflight profoundly alters the gut microbiome, revealing previously unknown effects on host physiology that could shape the future of long-duration space missions.

Led by University College Dublin (UCD) and McGill University, Canada, in collaboration with NASA and an international consortium, the research offers the most detailed profile to date of how space travel impacts the gut microbes we carry into space.

Published in npj Biofilms and Microbiomes, the study used advanced genetic technologies to examine changes in the gut microbiome, colons, and livers of mice aboard the International Space Station (ISS) over three months. The findings reveal significant shifts in specific bacteria and corresponding changes in host gene expression associated to immune and metabolic dysfunction commonly observed in space, offering new insights into how these changes may affect astronaut physiology during extended missions.

Dr Emmanuel Gonzalez, McGill University, and first author of the study, said: "Spaceflight extensively alters astronaut physiology, yet many underlying factors remain a mystery. By integrating new genomic methods, we can simultaneously explore gut bacteria and host genetics in extraordinary detail and are beginning to see patterns that could explain spaceflight pathology. It’s clear we’re not just sending humans and animals to space, but entire ecosystems, the understanding of which is crucial to help us develop safeguards for future space exploration." 

The international collaboration, spearheaded by UCD with NASA GeneLab’s Analysis Working Groups, is part of the recent Nature Portfolio package: The Second Space Age: Omics, Platforms and Medicine across Space Orbits - the largest coordinated release of space biology discoveries in history. These findings highlight Ireland's growing role in microbiome and space life sciences research and demonstrate how understanding biological adaptations to spaceflight can not only advance aerospace medicine but also have significant implications for health on Earth.

Professor Nicholas Brereton, UCD School of Biology and Environmental Science, and senior author of the study, said: "These discoveries highlight the intricate dialogue between specific gut bacteria and their mouse hosts, critically involved in bile acid, cholesterol, and energy metabolism. They shed new light on the importance of microbiome symbiosis to health and how these Earth-evolved relationships may be vulnerable to the stresses of space. We hope this research exemplifies how cooperative Open Science can drive discoveries with clear medical benefits on Earth, while also supporting the upcoming Artemis missions, the deployment of the Gateway deep space station, and a crewed mission to Mars."

Ames Space Biology Portfolio Scientist, NASA Ames Research Center, Jonathan Galazka said: "These discoveries are an important piece in our understanding of how spaceflight impacts astronauts and will aid the design of safe and effective missions to Earth orbit, the Moon, and Mars. Moreover, the collaborative nature of this project is a blueprint for how Open Science can accelerate the pace of discovery.”

Read the paper: 'Spaceflight alters host-gut microbiota interactions' in npj Biofilms and Microbiome.

 


NASA, ESA missions help scientists uncover how solar wind gets energy



Since the 1960s, astronomers have wondered how the Sun’s supersonic “solar wind,” a stream of energetic particles that flows out into the solar system, continues to receive energy once it leaves the Sun. Now, they may have discovered the answer




NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center

Parker Solar Probe in Solar Corona 

image: 

This conceptual image shows Parker Solar Probe about to enter the solar corona.

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Credit: NASA/Johns Hopkins APL/Ben Smith




Since the 1960s, astronomers have wondered how the Sun’s supersonic “solar wind,” a stream of energetic particles that flows out into the solar system, continues to receive energy once it leaves the Sun. Now, thanks to a lucky lineup of a NASA and an ESA (European Space Agency)/NASA spacecraft both currently studying the Sun, they may have discovered the answer — knowledge that is a crucial piece of the puzzle to help scientists better forecast solar activity between the Sun and Earth.

A paper published in the Aug. 30, 2024, issue of the journal Science provides persuasive evidence that the fastest solar winds are powered by magnetic “switchbacks,” or large kinks in the magnetic field, near the Sun.

“Our study addresses a huge open question about how the solar wind is energized and helps us understand how the Sun affects its environment and, ultimately, the Earth,” said Yeimy Rivera, co-leader of the study and a postdoctoral fellow at the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, part of Center for Astrophysics | Harvard & Smithsonian. “If this process happens in our local star, it’s highly likely that this powers winds from other stars across the Milky Way galaxy and beyond and could have implications for the habitability of exoplanets.”

Previously, NASA’s Parker Solar Probe found that these switchbacks were common throughout the solar wind. Parker, which became the first craft to enter the Sun's magnetic atmosphere in 2021, allowed scientists to determine that switchbacks become more distinct and more powerful close to the Sun. Up to now, however, scientists lacked experimental evidence that this interesting phenomenon actually deposits enough energy to be important in the solar wind.

“About three years ago, I was giving a talk about how fascinating these waves are,” said co-author Mike Stevens, astrophysicist at the Center for Astrophysics. “At the end, an astronomy professor stood up and said, ‘that's neat, but do they actually matter?’”

To answer this, the team of scientists had to use two different spacecraft. Parker is built to fly through the Sun’s atmosphere, or “corona.” ESA's and NASA’s Solar Orbiter mission is also on an orbit that takes it relatively close to the Sun, and it measures solar wind at larger distances. 

The discovery was made possible because of a coincidental alignment in February 2022 that allowed both Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter to measure the same solar wind stream within two days of each other. Solar Orbiter was almost halfway to the Sun while Parker was skirting the edge of the Sun's magnetic atmosphere.

“We didn't initially realize that Parker and Solar Orbiter were measuring the same thing at all. Parker saw this slower plasma near the Sun that was full of switchback waves, and then Solar Orbiter recorded a fast stream which had received heat and with very little wave activity,” said Samuel Badman, astrophysicist at the Center for Astrophysics and the other co-lead of the study. “When we connected the two, that was a real eureka moment.”

Scientists have long known that energy is moved throughout the Sun‘s corona and the solar wind, at least in part, through what are known as "Alfvén waves.” These waves transport energy through a plasma, the superheated state of matter that makes up the solar wind.

However, how much the Alfvén waves evolve and interact with the solar wind between the Sun and Earth couldn't be measured — until these two missions were sent closer to the Sun than ever before, at the same time. Now, scientists can directly determine how much energy is stored in the magnetic and velocity fluctuations of these waves near the corona, and how much less energy is carried by the waves farther from the Sun.

The new research shows that the Alfvén waves in the form of switchbacks provide enough energy to account for the heating and acceleration documented in the faster stream of the solar wind as it flows away from the Sun. 

“It took over half a century to confirm that Alfvenic wave acceleration and heating are important processes, and they happen in approximately the way we think they do,” said John Belcher, emeritus professor from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who co-discovered Alfvén waves in the solar wind but was not involved in this study.

In addition to helping scientists better forecast solar activity and space weather, such information helps us understand mysteries of the universe elsewhere and how Sun-like stars and stellar winds operate everywhere.

“This discovery is one of the key puzzle pieces to answer the 50-year-old question of how the solar wind is accelerated and heated in the innermost portions of the heliosphere, bringing us closer to closure to one of the main science objectives of the Parker Solar Probe mission,” said Adam Szabo, Parker Solar Probe mission science lead at NASA.

By Megan Watzke
Center for Astrophysics | Harvard & Smithsonian