Wednesday, April 15, 2026

How Black Holes Light Up The Dark

Artist’s depiction of a supermassive black hole tearing apart a star, with roughly half of the stellar debris flung back into space while the remainder forms a glowing accretion disk around the black hole. CREDIT: DESY, Science Communication Lab

April 15, 2026 
By Eurasia Review

Supermassive black holes are among the most enigmatic objects in the universe. They typically weigh millions or even billions of times the mass of the Sun and sit at the centers of most large galaxies. At the heart of the Milky Way lies Sagittarius A*, our Galaxy’s supermassive black hole, with a mass of about four million Suns. But these black holes do not emit light, so astronomers can only detect them indirectly through their effects on nearby stars and gas.

In a new study published in the The Astrophysical Journal Letters, Eric Coughlin, assistant professor of physics in Syracuse University’s College of Arts and Sciences, and colleagues clarify what happens when a star wanders too close to one of these black holes and is torn apart.

When Black Holes Capture Stars

A star “ingested” by a supermassive black hole does not simply vanish in a single gulp. Instead, the black hole’s gravity tears the star into a long, thin debris stream. Over time, the debris stream wraps around the black hole – an effect that ultimately arises from Einstein’s General Theory of Relativity; gravity according to Newton does not produce this effect. When parts of that circling stream crash into one another, they release a burst of energy and subsequently “accrete,” or slowly spiral into, the black hole. Both of these effects – the initial collision and the subsequent accretion – produce so much radiation that they briefly outshine the entire galaxy in which they occur (i.e., ~ 1 trillion Suns).

Astronomers refer to these events as tidal disruption events, or TDEs. TDEs offer one of the few ways to study supermassive black holes like Sagittarius A* in other galaxies.

“We can study tidal disruption events to learn more about black holes hidden from view,” says Coughlin.

For years, TDEs have fascinated researchers because each of these massive flares is like a fingerprint. By measuring how a flare rises, peaks and fades, scientists can infer properties of the black hole that produced it, including its mass and perhaps its spin. But the details of how these flares form have remain
ed difficult to pin down, in part because the process is hard to simulate accurately.


Seeing the Debris Clearly

That is where new high-resolution simulations are changing the picture. Recent work by a team led by Lucio Mayer at the University of Zurich, including Coughlin, uses a methodology known as smoothed particle hydrodynamics, which decomposes a star into “particles” that interact with one another hydrodynamically (i.e., according to the Navier-Stokes equations – the same fundamental equations that govern the flow of water through a pipe). Their study employed tens of billions of particles to model the disrupted star’s gas in unprecedented detail. The result is a superior view of what happens after a star gets ripped apart. Rather than dispersing chaotically, the debris forms a narrow, coherent stream that follows a predictable path around the black hole before crashing into itself.

Their finding supports a long-standing theoretical prediction. Earlier simulations often mis-characterized the stream’s structure because they lacked the resolution to capture such fine detail, leading to a “spraying” of the stellar debris and unexpectedly high levels of fluid-dynamical dissipation. With far more particles and through the exploitation of graphics processing units (GPUs) on powerful supercomputers, the shape of the debris becomes much easier to see.

But the new models also reveal something else.


The Spin Factor

Three properties of a supermassive black hole and the stellar orbit can influence the outcome of a given TDE: the black hole’s mass, how fast it “spins,” and the orientation of that spin relative to the orbital plane of the incoming debris. Together, they may determine when the flare begins, how bright it becomes and how long it lasts.

If the black hole is rotating, it induces additional variation in the spacetime around it compared to a non-spinning black hole and produces an effect known as “nodal precession.” This effect may shift the debris stream out of its original plane, meaning the stream may miss itself after one orbit, then miss again before finally colliding. In some cases, the flare may be delayed by several loops around the black hole.

That complication may help explain one of the enduring puzzles of TDE research. No two events look exactly alike. Some rise quickly and fade fast. Others unfold more slowly. Some are brighter, some dimmer. Some behave in ways that are still hard to classify. While differences in the mass of the black hole could account for some of these differences, these new simulations suggest that black hole spin may be one of the key reasons for that diversity.

TDEs turn invisible objects into readable signals. A star gets shredded, debris collides, light emerges and a previously hidden black hole is revealed. With better simulations and more powerful telescopes, astronomers are learning how to read those signals more clearly than ever before.
VIDEO

Lost 19th Century Film By Méliès Discovered At The Library Of Congress


Photographic portrait of Georges Méliès at 34, in 1895. Photo Credit: Wikipedia Commons, retouched


April 15, 2026
 Library of Congress
By Neely Tucker

The reels of film were old and battered and no one knew what was on them.

They were from before World War I and had been shuttled around from basements to barns to garages and had just been dropped off at the Library. There were about 10 of them and they were rusted. Some were misshapen. The nitrate film stock had crumbled to bits on some; other strips were stuck together.

The librarians peeled them apart and gently looked them over, frame by frame.

And there, on one film, was a black star painted onto a pedestal in the center of the screen. The action was of a magician and a robot battling it out in slapstick fashion. It took a bit, but then the gasp of realization: They were looking at “Gugusse and the Automaton,” a long-lost film by the iconic French filmmaker George Méliès at his Star Film company.

The 45-second film, made around 1897, was the first appearance on film of what might be called a robot, which had endeared it to generations of science fiction fans, even if they knew it only by reputation. It had not been seen by anyone in likely more than a century. The find, made last September but now being announced publicly, is a small but important addition to the legacy of world cinema and one of its founders.Gugusse et l’Automate English language title: Gugusse and the automaton

“This story is one that you see movies or television shows written about,” says Jason Evans Groth, curator of the Library’s moving image section.

“This is one of the collections that makes you realize why you do this,” said Courtney Holschuh, the archive technician who unraveled the film. (Here’s how they did it.)

Equally delighted was Bill McFarland, the donor who had driven the box of films from his home in Grand Rapids, Michigan, to the Library’s National Audio-Visual Conservation Center in Culpeper, Virginia, to have the cache evaluated.

His great-grandfather, William Delisle Frisbee, had been a potato farmer and schoolteacher in western Pennsylvania by day, but by night he was a traveling showman. He drove his horse and buggy from town to town to dazzle the locals with a projector and some of the world’s first moving pictures.

He set up shop in a local schoolroom, church, lodge or civic auditorium and showed magic lantern slides and short films with music from a newfangled phonograph. It was shocking.

“They must have been thrilled,” McFarland said. “They must have been out of their minds to see this motion picture and to hear the Edison phonograph.”

A Méliès film would have been an unforgettable experience to almost anyone in the 19th century.

A prominent French stage magician, he turned to filmmaking as soon as he saw the Lumière brothers’ world-first motion pictures in Paris in 1895. That a camera could rapidly project a series of still images on film and thus make them appear to move – “motion pictures” – was seen as a magic trick unto itself.

Méliès built his own camera and a glass studio (like a greenhouse) in Paris. He filmed ordinary scenes at first, but after accidentally discovering that a jump cut appeared on film as an astonishing transformation, he pioneered other tricks such as double exposure, black screens and forced perspective. All of these became staples of cinema. On screen, he could make a man appear to take off his head and flip it in the air, or a woman disappear, reappear and double.

He was also a devotee of the science fiction work of Jules Verne and H.G. Wells, and his films often featured surreal, fantastical sets and manic action. An image from his most famous film, “A Trip to the Moon” – that of a rocket landing in the eye of the man on the moon – became the image representing early cinema. It now plays at the Museum of Modern Art in New York. His 1896 short, “Le Manoir du Diable,” is considered to be the world’s first horror film.

More than a century later, his lasting impact was exemplified in Martin Scorsese’s 2011 film “Hugo,” about a boy and an automaton in 1931 Paris. An elderly Méliès – by then, as in real life, a toy-shop owner largely forgotten by the world – appears as the boy’s soft-spoken savior.


“Gugusse,” for its part, is a one-shot, one-reel short filmed in front of a painted screen made to look like a workshop in which clocks and automatons were being made. For centuries, inventors and engineers had made wind-up automatons – contraptions full of gears and levers with a shell that looked like a person – that could, as the gears unwound, do all sorts of things, even writing and drawing.

In “Gugusse,” the magician (Méliès), winds up an automaton dressed like the famous clown Pierrot, which is standing on a pedestal. Once wound up, the clown begins to beat the magician with his walking stick. The magician retaliates by getting a huge sledgehammer and bashing the automaton over the head, with each blow seeming to shrink it in half, until it is just a small doll. The magician then smashes it into the floor.




Méliès made more than 500 films but never progressed beyond his early technical achievements. The film world passed him by. In World War I, the negatives for most of his films were melted down for silver and celluloid, and he burned more himself after the war.

But because his work had once been so popular – and because of widespread pirating – duplicate copies remained, and today about 300 of his films are known to exist. The Library has about 60. The “Gugusse” print McFarland gave to the Library is a duplicate at least three times removed from the original.

Library technicians spent more than a week scanning and stabilizing it onto a digital format, so that it can now be seen by anyone online – in 4K, no less.

The cache of Frisbee’s exhibition films also contained another well-known Méliès film from 1900, “The Fat and Lean Wrestling Match,” as well as fragments of an early Thomas Edison film, “The Burning Stable.” They survived due to McFarland and his family preserving them for a century, if often in haphazard circumstances.

After Frisbee died in 1937, two small trunks of his old projectors and films, along with some of his diaries and papers, went to his daughter (McFarland’s grandmother), who passed them along to her son (McFarland’s dad), who passed them along to him.

McFarland didn’t know what was on the reels – they could no longer be safely run through a projector – and after years of searching for a home for them, a lab technician in Michigan suggested he contact the Library.


“The moment we set our eyes on this box of film, we knew it was something special,” said George Willeman, the Library’s nitrate film vault leader.

McFarland, relieved to have finally found a home for his family’s treasure chest, found it all fascinating, the films and the diaries of his wandering showman of a great-grandfather.

“He talks about full houses, and rowdy houses, and canceled shows, and he went all the way to the Pennsylvania-Maryland line, and I think into Ohio as well,” he said. “He made as much as $20 bucks a night, I see in his records, and sometimes he made $1.35 for the night, you know?”

It was, this deep dive into the old boxes and trunks in the attic, a magic trick known to researchers, historians and librarians – documents from another time drawing you back into a world gone by.


This article was published by the Library of Congress

The Library of Congress is the largest library in the world, with millions of books, films and video, audio recordings, photographs, newspapers, maps and manuscripts in its collections. The Library is the main research arm of the U.S. Congress and the home of the U.S. Copyright Office.


Developing countries skip landlines and go straight to mobile phones - OWID

Developing countries skip landlines and go straight to mobile phones - OWID
Many emerging markets are leapfrogging over landline telecoms networks and going straight to mobile phones / bne IntelliNewsFacebook
By Hannah Ritchie for Our World in Data April 14, 2026

The concept of “leapfrogging” is popular in development. It suggests that, as they develop, lower-income countries can skip intermediate technologies or systems and go straight to the modern equivalent, Our World in Data  (OWID) reports.

One example of this is the use of landlines and mobile phones.

The landline telephone was invented in 1876 and became a dominant form of communication across Europe and North America. As you can see in the chart, it was increasingly adopted in the United States and the United Kingdom throughout the 20th century.

However, mobile phone adoption increased rapidly in the 1990s, and landlines have declined since the millennium. Mobile phones have become a substitute.

But many countries have almost skipped landline adoption entirely. Ghana and Nigeria are good examples: landline subscriptions have remained extremely low, and instead, mobile phone adoption has exploded.

Explore landline and mobile subscriptions in more countries.

Where elections are seen as fair or flawed - OWID

 You will find more infographics at Statista


By Anna Fleck for Statista April 14, 2026

US President Donald Trump signed an executive order earlier this month directing the Department of Homeland Security and the Social Security Administration to compile lists of US citizens eligible to vote in each state, Statista reports. The order also instructs the US Postal Service to send mail ballots only to individuals included on those lists.

More than 20 Democratic-led states and the District of Columbia have since filed a lawsuit seeking to block the measure from taking effect. Trump, who recently cast a ballot by mail in a special election in Florida, has repeatedly claimed that the United States faces significant issues with fraud related to mail-in ballots.

However, multiple studies have found that voter fraud in the United States is extremely rare. In global comparisons, the country also scores highly on measures of electoral integrity. According to the 2025 Free and Fair Elections Index, produced by the Varieties of Democracy, the US receives a score of 0.9 out of 1. While 34 countries rank higher - including Belgium, Norway, Australia, Germany and Spain - the US remains among the top performers overall

Turkey has the second most foreign military bases in the world after the US

Turkey has the second most foreign military bases in the world after the US
Turkey has the second most military bases in the world after the US with 133. most large powers have less than a dozen. The US has 887. / bne IntelliNewsFacebook
By bne IntelliNews April 14, 2026

Turkey has emerged as the country with the second-largest number of foreign military bases in the world after the United States, and is the only Muslim-majority nation with a global military base network of this scale.

According to available figures, the United States maintains 887 foreign military bases worldwide, far exceeding any other country. Turkey follows with 133 bases, placing it ahead of several traditional military powers.

The United Kingdom ranks third with 117 overseas bases, reflecting its longstanding global military presence. Russia maintains 29 foreign bases, while India has established 20. Israel operates 14 bases abroad.

Turkey’s position is notable both for its scale and for its geographic reach, marking a significant expansion of its military footprint beyond its immediate region.



World leaders head to Beijing, as China becomes geopolitical fulcrum


Spanish PM Sanchez met with Chinese President Xi in Beijing as Europe reassesses its relations with the US and turns to China as a counterweight. / bne IntelliNews

By Ben Aris in Berlin April 15, 2026


The Trump administration’s being ostracized by the international community for America’s war mongering. That is making China a fulcrum in the East-West clash that now has its centre of gravity in the Middle East. World leaders are flocking to Beijing to find a counterbalance.

Russia has long since been pushed into China’s arms, thanks to the extreme sanctions imposed following the invasion of Ukraine, but now it is being joined by unlikely partners from Europe.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez made the trip to Beijing on April 14 to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping and pledge closer ties in the face of the chaos in the current world order. Highlighting Beijing’s growing importance, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov was also in Beijing the same day.

Sanchez has been amongst the most outspoken European critics of Trump’s war in the Middle East and refused the US permission to use its military bases to fly supplies to its forces. He has also called out Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s invasion of Lebanon, calling it illegal and demanding the arrest of the Israeli leader on the International Criminal Court (ICC) charges of war crimes. Spanish ministers have gone further, accusing Netanyahu of “genocide.”

Sanchez said on social media: "Today, with President Xi Jinping, I have confirmed that the bond between Spain and China emerges strengthened following this official trip. In a world that is increasingly uncertain, Spain is betting on a EU-China relationship based on trust, dialogue, and stability. We must continue advancing toward a multipolar order built from respect and pragmatism."

By referencing the “multipolar world order”, Sanches was acknowledging the geopolitical changes underway and the “rise of the rest”, as this has been a constant talking point for both Xi and Russian President Vladimir Putin who have objected to what they term the “unipolar order”, a US-led hegemony since the end of WWII.

That is a sharp reversal from earlier nervousness of China's increasing cloud in international politics and its growing dominance of key sectors such as renewable energy and EVs. But with the decades-old transatlantic special relationship between The US and Europe in tatters, moving closer to China has become more appealing.

Europe and China must forge closer ties to counter ​threats to multilateralism, Spanish Premier Pedro Sanchez said as the old international order is "crumbling".

Europe has been revising its attitude to China and Sanchez is only the latest in a string of top EU officials to have made the pilgrimage to the Chinese capital, including Britain, ​Canada, Finland, Ireland and France.

Xi has also hosted leaders from the Global South as the BRICS+ group continues to develop. In particular Prime Minister Narendra Modi made the visit as years of enmity are put aside and Beijing and New Delhi build a new pragmatic cooperative relationship as ties amongst the leading Global South nations deepen.

Spain has been one of Europe's loudest proponents of expanding trade ​and treating China as a strategic ally, rather than the economic and geopolitical rival seen by Trump. Sanchez called on XI to take a leading role on issues from climate change to security, defence and the fight against inequality.

On the business front, the Spanish leader said Beijing had agreed to measures to narrow his country's ​trade deficit with China. The trade gap has more than doubled in four years, reaching nearly $50 billion in 2025, and now accounts for three quarters (74%) of Spain’s total trade deficit -- a figure Sanchez called “unsustainable” in the long term.

He also signed several agreements with Premier ​Li Qiang, including expanded access for Spanish agricultural products to China and improving Spain's transport and infrastructure, without giving details, Reuters reported.

Sanchez also discussed the "grave situation" in Lebanon, Gaza and Ukraine ​during his meeting with Xi. China has had its own showdown with Trump in the Strait of Hormuz refusing to heed the naval blockage imposed by the US on April 13. Two Chinese flagged ships ran the gauntlet a day earlier and successfully exited the Persian Gulf without the US stopping them.

China has played an important role in trying to bring the conflict to an end. As the biggest buyer of Iranian oil Beijing has a lot of sway over Tehran and pushed it to make concessions in the Islamabad Accord talks on April 12.

"The role China can play is important in order to find diplomatic means that end this war and contribute to stability and peace," Sanchez said. "All nations, especially those which are in dialogue and have not actively taken part in this illegal war, are not only welcome, but are also absolutely necessary," Sanchez added. This is his fourth visit to China in just over three years.

The Chinese president called for a "comprehensive and lasting" ceasefire in the Middle East, stressing that the solution to the crisis must be found through political and diplomatic means.

Lavrov laying the foundations for the multipolar world

To highlight just how multipolar China is, Beijing also received Russia’s foreign minister on a work visit with his counterpart. Lavrov met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi to discuss closer strategic alignment and criticise western policies during the opening session of talks.

Lavrov said preparations were under way for another meeting between Putin and Xi as “there are specific schedules for upcoming contacts” on the agenda. Since Xi became China’s president in 2013, the two have met more than 40 times in bilateral and multilateral settings.

Lavrov said that Moscow and Beijing intended to develop “concrete steps” to advance Xi’s global security initiatives alongside Putin’s proposals for a Eurasian security architecture – ideas the two presidents laid out in detail in a 8,000 word essay last year.

The Russian foreign minister accused European countries of planning “to form a new aggressive bloc involving Kyiv and direct it against Moscow”. He further said that “the West is artificially escalating the situation around Taiwan and on the Korean Peninsula”.

Wang said ties between the two countries continued to deepen, stating that “Russo-Chinese interaction continues to strengthen”. He added that both sides should “take advantage of the historic opportunity” to elevate their strategic partnership.

“Russia and China fully synchronize their positions and mutually support each other in international affairs,” Wang said.

COMMENT: The US and Israel ostracised by the global community

COMMENT: The US and Israel ostracised by the global community
US president Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu have painted themselves into a corner and are increasingly becoming ostracised by the global community for an unprovoked and pointless war. / bne IntelliNewsFacebook
By Ben Aris in Berlin April 14, 2026

For most of the first year of the Trump administration, America's so-called western allies spent most of their time flattering, toadying and attempting to manipulate the US President's ego in a vain effort to rescue the fast decaying transatlantic "special relation." They even agreed to more than double their military spending from 2% of GDP to 5% at the Nato summit in the Hague on the implicit understanding that most of this money would be spent on US-made arms.

Now they have given up. Things have spun out of control to the point where global leaders, not just those in Europe, have reached a tipping point and are actively trying to break away from any dependency on the US.

President Donald Trump's heavy-handed, indiscriminate use of military force and decapitation schemes, his aggressively bullying tactics, and his crass rhetoric have become unbearable.

He told Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS), one of his strongest allies in the Gulf, that he could "kiss my ass" after he had the audacity to sign a defence pact with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy without asking the White House permission. The next day, MbS said he would no longer buy US weapons. "Those days are over," the prince said. More recently, Trump went further to threaten that "everyone in Iran will die" if the Islamic Republic didn't comply with his demand to open the Strait of Hormuz again.

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni also lambasted Trump over remarks directed at the Pope. Trump had said, "The Pope is weak against crime and he is not doing his job well. He is terrible for foreign policy."

Meloni responded that such comments were "unacceptable", defending the role of the head of the Catholic Church. "The Pope is the head of the Catholic Church and it is right and normal for him to call for peace and to condemn every form of war," she said, the first sitting prime minister to publicly challenge Trump over his comments on the Pope.

Trump is coming across as increasingly delusional and incompetent. The preparations for the Iran war were reportedly minimal. Now his demonstrable failure to win is leading to the break-up of the decades old western alliance. What has changed is that America's so-called allies have lost their fear of Trump and are openly defying the White House.

Europe has been flattering Trump with copies of old maps and portraits for over a year. The EU's top brass were happy to ignore the nonsense the US commander-in-chief regularly spouts, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen submitted to a humiliating one-way street trade deal and a "delusional" energy deal. The head of Nato even called him "Daddy" in a press conference. The leaders would do anything if they thought it would ensure transatlantic security and weapons supplies for Ukraine.

Those efforts have come to nought. Instead Trump has unleashed the largest military conflict since the end of WWII and the "worst oil crisis in history" according to Goldman Sachs.

But now he is losing the war to a heavily sanctioned and nominally backward Iran, the Global North elite has run out of patience. The global economy is now infected with a crisis-virus and is unstoppable, even if the war stops tomorrow. It spreads down the supply chains, and Trump is floundering in his efforts to halt it. International leaders' displeasure with Trump has graduated from mere disdain to "enough is enough."

And it's not just the Europeans. As images come in of the 168 Minab school children slaughtered by a US Tomahawk missile strike – however, that happened – or Israel's wanton flattening of every residential building it can find in southern Lebanon, condemnation of Trump has become loud and explicit. International leaders have called for his arrest. Domestic politicians are calling for his impeachment.

Israel's full-scale invasion of Lebanon and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's immediate refusal to participate in the two-week ceasefire deal and the murderous bombing of civilians in Beirut the very next day have crystallised sentiments.

Condemnation of the Iranian war was to be expected by his rivals in Russia and China, and it clearly wasn't going to be welcomed by the main customers for Gulf state oil and gas in Asia, but the surprise is that the criticism of the US-Israeli coalition has become almost universal.

Spain steps out

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has emerged as the star of the show. Spain had already closed its airspace to US military supply flights bound for the Middle East and barred vessels carrying weapons to Israel from docking in Spanish ports.

At the same time, Sánchez has imposed an arms embargo on Israel and said Spain will veto any Nato involvement in operations linked to the Strait of Hormuz.

"Spain won't applaud those who set the world on fire just because they then show up with a bucket," Sánchez said, in a direct rebuke to Washington.

But he has gone well beyond the normal rhetoric and called for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's immediate arrest by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for the 70,000 deaths in Gaza and the murderous airstrikes at the weekend in Beirut.

"No one should be above the law," he said. "Netanyahu launched the worst possible, unjustified attack against Lebanon. His contempt for life and international law is intolerable. He is a criminal who must be arrested immediately."

"There is a difference between defending your country and bombing hospitals or starving innocent children," he added.

The response from Israel was immediate. Netanyahu announced a break in diplomatic relations on April 12, accusing Spain of having an "obsessive anti-Israel bias" and warning that "no country" would be allowed to act against Israel without consequence. "I do not intend to allow any country to wage a diplomatic war against us without paying an immediate price," he said, going on to add veiled threats of physical violence against Spain.

His comments were welcomed with country-wide applause, and top officials joined the PM in the assault. Spanish Health Minister Mónica García described Israel's actions as "war crimes against humanity".

"This man is committing genocide, he committed one of the biggest genocide operations of our time, killing 70,000 civilians in Palestine, more than 20,000 of them are children, and the destruction of southern Lebanon," she said.

When Israel struck back, accusing her of slander, she retorted: "We are not slandering you. We are defining you."

Spain was expelled from the US' Civil-Military Coordination Center (CMCC) in Kiryat Gat, the base helping implement Trump's Gaza peace plan, due to the country's "obsessive anti-Israel bias," according to a government statement. It responded by reopening its embassy in Tehran. In a YouGov poll last month, 66% of Spaniards had an "unfavourable" view of the US, even more than the 45% before Trump's second term began.

Trump has poured fuel on the genocide accusations fire, threatening that, "a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again" if no deal was struck in the run up to the ceasefire talks on April 11.

In what may prove to be the most significant change as a result of this row, Spain has announced it will buy oil from Iran but pay in Chinese yuan, striking at the heart of the petrodollar system that has been in place for decades and a major source of US power. Indeed, among Iran's demands is to keep control of the Strait of Hormuz, but less well reported is that from now on it will only accept payment in yuan and cryptocurrencies.

Russia and China have long since changed to payments in their national currencies and India is also paying for Russian oil in rupees or rubles. Large regions of non-dollar oil trading have appeared in the last few years, but the Iran war is going to accelerate their spread. This comes at a time when US debt has reached an all-time high of $39 trillion and interest payments are now eating up 15% of US budget spending – more than it spends on defence. It is set to hit 25% in the coming years if nothing changes.

Western allies pull back

Across the Western alliance, the pattern is consistent: distance, hedging, and in some cases outright refusal. When Trump called on European Nato allies to send their navies to open the Strait of Hormuz, they all refused. Now Trump has called for a naval blockade of Iran, and they have refused to participate in that, too.

The UK and France have called for any ceasefire framework to include Lebanon, which is a direct rebuke of Israel's continued lethal bombing campaign there and its attempt to annex the lower half of the country as part of a "Greater Israel" project. The decades-long stigma of openly criticising anything that Israel does wrong has been broken – except by the US, which is now being tarred by association.

Australia has rejected participation in naval operations in the Gulf. "We need peace that lasts. And we need stable fuel prices. We don't need wars," Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said.

These tensions are leading rapidly to the potential break-up of Nato. Trump's disappointment at Europe's reluctance to support his naval campaign in the Gulf led him to suggest that he would pull the US out of Nato on at least two occasions. Europe is increasingly taking the line: bring it on.

The Netherlands' Chief of Defence confirmed publicly last week that Europe is now actively constructing an independent military capability specifically designed to operate without American participation. The architecture is being built around advanced, lower-cost technology. Suddenly Ukraine and its state-of-the-art drone technology that has proven highly effective in the war with Russia is in demand, while American sophisticated technology has failed in Iran to protect bases and allies in the Gulf. The European move is a deliberate attempt to reduce the dependency on US hardware procurement that has defined Nato logistics for three-quarters of a century. The alliance has not broken, but in anticipation, Europe is quietly installing a second door.

The ballot box verdict

The political toxicity of the Trump brand is now measurable at the ballot box, and the results are unambiguous. Trump personally endorsed Viktor Orban twice this year and dispatched Vice President JD Vance to Budapest in the final days of the Hungarian campaign. According to local pollsters, the visit cost the incumbent prime minister three percentage points. Orban was crushed regardless.

The pattern has repeated itself across three continents. In Romania, the pro-Trump candidate George Simion went into election day as the strong favourite and lost by a landslide. In Australia, the centre-left won after conservatives were successfully branded as Trumpian. In Canada, the Liberals were headed for a historic defeat until Trump's tariff threats and annexation rhetoric around Canadian sovereignty flipped the race entirely, producing one of the most dramatic reversals in that country's recent political history.

Even within European domestic politics, association with Washington is becoming a liability. Right-wing parties that previously aligned with Trump — including France's National Rally and Germany's Alternative für Deutschland — are softening those links as polling turns against the Donald. Surveys suggest 64% of Europeans now view Trump negatively, with support for US alignment in core EU states falling into single digits. The far right, with its reliable instinct for self-preservation and the popular mood, has concluded that Washington has become too toxic to touch.

US Vice President JD Vance endorsed Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban's re-election, a move that knocked 3% off his approval rating, according to local pollsters.

Canada: leaving, not drifting

Canada is shifting more structurally. Prime Minister Mark Carney told parliament his country is also ending longstanding US defence procurement. He argued that Washington is "beginning to monetize its hegemony" and said of the decades of military spending, "Those days are over." The announcement drew a standing ovation — a rare political signal for what is, in effect, strategic decoupling. For decades, Canada directed roughly 70 cents of every defence dollar to the US.

A recent poll found that nearly 60% of Canadians now support their country becoming a full member of the EU – the last bastion of the liberal rules-based order that Canada shares. That number would have been unthinkable three years ago. Canada is not drifting away from the US. It is leaving.

Embraces in the Global South

The Global South was never convinced of the US' self-proclaimed right to be "leader of the free world," but they went along with it as the US has the most powerful military in the world and remains the biggest consumer market on the planet.

Those calculations have altered now. Under the previous regime the US stuck to trade regimes and, provided you didn't cross the White House politically, the rest of the world's second tier "emerging markets" were largely left to their own devices. Under Trump, now an innocent country that was previously an ally like Greenland can suddenly find itself a target because the Trump administration wants to acquire its raw material bounty for "national security" reasons.

Trump has ditched international law and ignores the 1945 UN charter that guarantees the sovereignty of nations. He believes the only morality there is "is in my head." In the Global South, the US is increasingly seen as a belligerent loose cannon.

Countries that have circled in the US orbit as a useful counterweight to the local superpowers like Russia and China are now abandoning efforts to flirt with Washington. Azerbaijan has reopened its embassy in Tehran. Ireland has formally recognised the state of Palestine. Brazil has cancelled a $134mn arms deal with Israel.

"I want to say this loudly and clearly," President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva told reporters. "The Israeli president is committing genocide against women and children. This is a historical fact," in a bald condemnation of Israel that would have been unthinkable as little as a month ago.

Russia and China have been vocal, if predictably so. "As long as China, Russia and Iran exist," Vladimir Putin said, "it is impossible for anyone to behave like a global ruler."

Pakistan has raised the temperature to an altogether different register, issuing an explicit nuclear warning: "If Israel uses a nuclear bomb, Pakistan will respond with a nuclear strike on Israel." North Korea has announced it will "punish Israel" in any scenario involving an attack on Iran. And Pyongyang's threats carry weight as it holds an estimated 50 nuclear warheads and its longest-range ICBMs can fly a theoretical 10,000km – enough to reach Israel.

Israel in the spotlight

Opposition to the US-Israeli campaign is no longer fragmented or confined to traditional adversaries. It is converging, and it is acquiring a quality of simultaneity that is new.

Israel just lost its strongest supporter in Europe – Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who was blocking attempts to condemn or sanction Israel for atrocities it has committed in Gaza in return for Israel's influence in the US. However, amongst the first things Hungary's new Prime Minister Peter Magyar has done is to call for Hungary to rejoin the International Criminal Court (ICC), which has an arrest warrant out for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on war crimes charges.

Relations with Turkey, Israel's rival in the region, have also been rubbed raw. Following the indictment by Turkish prosecutors of 35 senior Israeli officials over Israel's interception of a Gaza-bound flotilla in October 2025, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan delivered an unvarnished rebuke of the government in Tel Aviv, although contrary to several reports he did not go as far as to threaten an invasion.

The Israeli response was immediate and unrestrained. Foreign Minister Israel Katz dismissed Erdoğan as a "paper tiger." National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, himself among the 35 officials targeted by Turkish prosecutors, responded with a two-word expletive. Netanyahu accused Erdoğan of harbouring Hamas and massacring his own Kurdish citizens. In televised remarks Netanyahu defended the IDF as the "most moral army in the world," and threatened Erdoğan with "punishment" for disrespecting the Israeli military.

In the war of words that has broken out, Turkey's Foreign Ministry replied that Netanyahu was "the Hitler of our time" and that he had "no moral values or legitimacy to preach to anyone." Israel has since announced the closure of its embassy and consulates in Turkey. A relationship that was already strained has now collapsed entirely — and with it, one of the last bridges between Israel and a major Muslim-majority Nato member.

With their aggressive rhetoric and cavalier abuses of what were allies, both Netanyahu and Trump are painting themselves into a corner of isolation and opprobrium by the international community, from which they will not easily recover.

Edited 08:30 UTC

Senate Republicans are ready to replace Alito — before the midterms: report


U.S. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito attends an event organized by the U.S. Embassy to the Holy See, in Rome, Italy, September 20, 2025. REUTERS/Vincenzo Livieri

April 14, 2026 
ALTERNE

Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, 76, has given no public indication he plans to retire — but if he does, Senate Republicans stand ready to fast-track President Donald Trump’s nominee through committee and lock in a confirmation before the November midterm elections.

“Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) told the Washington Examiner on Tuesday that Republicans are ‘prepared’ for the possibility of a retirement as speculation swirls that Alito, a conservative vote on the Supreme Court, is weighing stepping down at the end of the current term, slated for the end of June or early July,” the Washington Examiner reports.

“That’s a contingency, I think, around here you always have to be prepared for,” Thune said. “And if that were to happen, yes, we would be prepared to confirm.”

Alito is thought to want to avoid a similar repeat of events when liberal Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg eschewed requests from the left to retire during President Barack Obama’s term. Republican President Donald Trump was able to fill her seat upon her death with a conservative, changing the balance on the Court.

Justice Alito is not the court’s oldest justice — that distinction belongs to Justice Clarence Thomas, 77, who has given no public indication he plans to step down either.

“I hope they stay ’cause I think they’re fantastic, OK?” Trump told Politico in December 2025, referring to both Alito and Thomas. “Both of those men are fantastic.”

Should Alito or Thomas — or both — retire, Trump could secure a conservative majority, possibly for decades to come. Chief Justice John Roberts, also a conservative, is 71 and is not rumored to be seeking retirement.

The three remaining conservative justices Trump placed on the court during his first term. Amy Coney Barrett is 54, Brett Kavanaugh is 61, and Neil Gorsuch is 58.


The three liberal justices are Sonia Sotomayor, 71, Elena Kagan, 65, and Ketanji Brown Jackson, 55.