Tuesday, May 05, 2020

SEIU Healthcare Calls For Investigations After Losing 3 Workers To COVID-19
Negligent operators” should be held responsible, the union’s president said.


NATIONALIZE NURSING HOMES UNDER MEDICARE

An Ontario health-care union is calling for criminal investigations and public inquiries into COVID-19-related deaths in the province’s long-term care homes.

Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Healthcare says Toronto and Peel Region police should open criminal investigations and the Progressive Conservative government and Ontario’s chief coroner need to do public inquiries.

“Both frontline workers and the elderly in our long-term care system are saying the same thing: keep us alive,” the union’s president Sharleen Stewart said in a press release.

“That’s why we’re calling for urgent investigations that will keep people alive and hold negligent operators responsible for the death of our healthcare heroes.”

As of Tuesday morning, 1,003 long-term care residents had died with COVID-19 in Ontario. There are outbreaks of the deadly disease in 218 of the province’s 626 homes, according to numbers collected by Public Health Ontario.


COURTESY SEIU HEALTHCARE


Christine Mandegarian and Arlene Reid both died from COVID-19 while working as personal support workers in Ontario's long-term care sector. Their union wants to see public inquiries and investigations into possible criminal negligence.

SEIU Healthcare has lost three of its members to the virus. Personal support workers (PSW) Christine Mandegarian of Altamont Care Community in Scarborough, Ont., Sharon Roberts of Downsview Long Term Care in North York, Ont., and Arlene Reid of Victorian Order of Nurses Peel, all died after contracting the coronavirus, union spokesperson Corey Johnson told HuffPost Canada.

Mandegarian was 54 and had worked at Altamont for 31 years, according to the Toronto Star.

“She would do whatever she could to make you feel welcomed in her home at any time. She gave her heart to what she did and paid the ultimate price,” a family member told the newspaper.

This is what an angel looks like. Her name is Christine Mandegarian. She worked for 31 years as a PSW. She died as angel while taking care of our most vulnerable. God bless you Christine. pic.twitter.com/RSDHCkBNsG— Steve Ryan (@SteveRyanCP24) April 17, 2020

Roberts was 59 and had worked as a PSW for 24 years.

“She treated these residents like family,” one colleague told CP24. “She was amazing to them.”

Sharon Roberts, 59, dedicated the last 24 years of her life to caring for seniors at Downsview LTC in North York. She is the 3rd PSW to die in Ontario after contracting #Covid_19. Her coworkers tell me she was a beautiful, kind person who treated the home’s residents like family. pic.twitter.com/YDxJH30b4U— Beatrice Vaisman (@BeatriceVaisman) May 3, 2020

Reid was 51 and worked three jobs, The Globe and Mail reports. She was remembered by family as “sassy but very caring.”

This is Arlene Reid, a personal support worker from Brampton - and mother of 5 and grandmother of 3 - who died this week after her family says she contracted COVID-19. She was 51 years old. Deepest condolences to her family. pic.twitter.com/JS6P3bBQ3a— Laura Stone (@l_stone) April 30, 2020

Neither Premier Doug Ford nor Health Minister Christine Elliott said whether they would call a public inquiry when asked about the union’s demand Tuesday.
“We are doing everything in our power, not just ourselves — everyone is doing everything in their power to make sure that people in long-term care have sufficient [personal protective equipment],” Ford said.

“When they call, they get it. We’ve been able to move some hospital staff, front-line health-care workers over to long-term care. We’ve called the military in. We’re pulling out all stops on this.”

On the contrary, Reid’s family told the Globe that she was not allowed to wear protective equipment to her job at Heritage House Retirement Home in Mississauga and was scared to go to work.

Elliott listed other measures that have been taken, for instance only allowing visitors if their family member is “imminently” expected to pass away.

“Many steps have been taken and we will continue to take those steps until these outbreaks are under control,” she said.

Police in Toronto and Peel Region did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

    IN CANADA IT'S THE LAW 
BUT THAT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS
              ENFORCED

CINQUE DE MAYO

ON THIS DAY

Mexico was victorious over French forces at The Battle of Puebla on May 5, 1862.

OPINION | After romping to victory one year ago, Kenney faces unprecedented challenges in 2020

A year ago Kenney was on top of the world. Today, he must feel like he's been tossed into the pit

Graham Thomson · for CBC News · Posted: Apr 16, 2020 
United Conservative Party leader Jason Kenney arrives at a rally in Sherwood Park before last year's provincial election, on Monday April 15, 2019. (Jason Franson/The Canadian Press)

If a week is a long time in politics, a year is an eternity.

And for Premier Jason Kenney it must seem like a lifetime.

A year ago Kenney was celebrating a decisive electoral victory over the NDP after running on a campaign platform that could be summed up in three words: jobs, economy, pipelines.

A year later he is dealing with an unprecedented disaster that can be summed up in three words: pandemic, recession, debt.

Alberta may circumvent Health Canada to gain access to COVID-19 tests and drugs, premier says

Kenney must be looking back at April 16, 2019, with more than a little nostalgia.

The year began happily enough for him as he used his summer of repeal, among other things, to fulfil election promises scrapping the provincial carbon tax, cutting corporate taxes, reversing the NDP's environmental strategy, and getting tough with the federal Liberal government as part of a 'fight back' strategy.

When the economy continued to sputter and jobs continued to disappear, Kenney maintained course.

He cut government spending, made plans to balance the budget, introduced business-friendly legislation, championed more private delivery of publicly funded health care, and set up a "fair deal" panel to explore how Alberta could have more control over provincial issues including a police force and pension plan.

He was doing pretty much what he had vowed to do during the election campaign. "Promise made, promise kept," became his mantra.

Even when his popularity began to slip late last year after Albertans realized the cuts would be deeper than advertised, and thousands of civil service jobs would be lost, Kenney pushed ahead, using his "historic" one-million-vote election victory as both shield and weapon against his critics.

Finance Minister Travis Toews,(RIGHT WING MORMON) left, delivers the 2020 budget the Alberta legislature as Premier Jason Kenney looks on. (Jason Franson/THE CANADIAN PRESS)

On February 27, he introduced a provincial budget with so many sunny predictions you needed sunglasses to get through it. Oil prices would stabilize at $58 USD a barrel. Employment would surge. The provincial deficit would be wiped out in two years.

"There are signs that in 2020 we will turn a corner and see real economic growth return to the Alberta economy," declared Finance Minister Travis Toews.

We turned a corner, all right. And got mugged in a dark alley by COVID-19 and OPEC+.

A week after the budget was tabled, Alberta recorded its first case of the novel coronavirus. Oil prices tumbled after Russia and Saudi Arabia got into a bitter fight over production.

A year ago Kenney was on top of the world. Today, he must feel like he's been tossed into the pit.

'Sharp downturn'

Kenney says this year's budget deficit could hit an unprecedented $20 billion. Unemployment could reach 25 per cent. He predicts the price of Western Canadian Select oil could slump below zero later this month.

A report from the Conference Board of Canada released Wednesday predicted Alberta's economy will continue to lag behind any global recovery later this year.

"The provincial government is in a tight spot," says the report. "It has, appropriately, been deploying fiscal stimulus to mitigate against the sharp downturn in economic activity. At the same time, it must grapple with the evaporation of billions in royalty revenues on which it depends heavily."

IT'S ALL KENNEY'S FAULT NOW THAT SHOE IS ON OTHER FOOT
Alberta economy on track for most severe annual decline on record, national report predicts
Kenney is spending billions of dollars, all the while he's losing billions of dollars. He's investing $1.5 billion in the Keystone XL pipeline this year and putting up $6 billion in loan guarantees next year.


Why Alberta is throwing billions behind the Keystone XL pipeline

Ironically, Kenney is on track to become the biggest-borrowing, biggest-spending, most interventionist premier in Alberta history. For a free-market, free-enterprise, small-government conservative, this must be galling.

Canada's oilpatch sheds almost $9B in spending: IHS Markit

The pandemic and downturn are not Kenney's fault but he has made things worse by picking a fight with doctors over compensation and billing practices that led to the Alberta Medical Association launching a $250-million lawsuit against his government last week.
This 2015 file photo shows the Keystone Steele City pumping station, into which the planned Keystone XL pipeline is to connect to, in Steele City, Neb. (Nati Harnik/The Associated Press)

His government gave itself a black eye by promising to maintain education funding and then days later cutting $128 million that triggered mass layoffs.

NDP Leader Rachel Notley, somebody who was premier during her own crisis — the Fort McMurray fire — has some advice for Kenney:

"Albertans need to know that they can trust Jason Kenney, that he's going to put his own agenda that was developed at a different time in a different place aside in order to come up with the best solutions for them," says Notley. "That, I think, is evidenced by the doctor dispute and the education funding."

OPINION | Kenney under fire from the front-line workers in the war on COVID-19

Notley says she's trying to work with the government during the crisis. In a private meeting with Kenney a month ago, she suggested he allow NDP members to sit on the government's economic recovery council.

Kenney apparently didn't laugh her out of the room. He simply didn't respond. On Wednesday, though, his office sent me an email saying, in so many words, "no way."

"The NDP, of course, is welcome to provide its suggestions via the Legislature Assembly or elsewhere," said the premier's office. "We have admittedly been disappointed that at times the NDP seems more interested in playing petty partisan politics."

Both the NDP and UCP can be accused of playing partisan games.

That's one thing that hasn't changed in the past year.

This column is an opinion. For more information about our commentary section, please read this editor's blog and our FAQ.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Graham Thomson

You can find columnist Graham Thomson's thoughts and analysis on provincial politics every Friday at cbc.ca/edmonton, on CBC Edmonton Television News and during Radio Active on CBC Radio One (93.9FM/740AM) and on Twitter at @gthomsonink.
NOT SINCE DON GETTY

OPINION | Kenney cursed by bad luck like no other Alberta premier
Chicken Fat: Meet Joe Btfsplk!

HE IS LIKE THE CHARACTER OUT OF LIL ABNER

Political luck used to swing back and forth like a pendulum, from one extreme to the other


Graham Thomson · for CBC News · Posted: May 01, 2020 


During his first year as Alberta premier, Jason Kenney has been bitten by bad luck time and again.


Peter Lougheed had it. So did Ralph Klein.

Jason Kenney most definitely does not.

It is that most precious of qualities that has defined Alberta's successful premiers and, by its absence, damned the rest.



I'm talking here about luck.

And when I say "luck," I mean high prices for oil and/or natural gas.

Conversely, "unlucky" pretty much defines what's happening to Kenney, who's struggling with an economy hit by negative oil prices.

In a masterful bit of understatement on Wednesday, Kenney said 2020 has been a "very challenging year."

And it's going to get worse.

"We anticipate that the provincial deficit will move from a projected $6 billion to something in the range of $20 billion," said Kenney. "And we're not even halfway through the year. 2020 is throwing a lot of unknowns at us."

The lucky/unlucky rhythm of Alberta premiers has swung like a pendulum from one extreme to the other.

Let me emphasize I'm not trying to be flippant or facetious.

Luck depends on energy prices

Because of our outsized reliance on energy, Alberta's political fortunes have risen and fallen on the price of oil and gas. In other words, luck.

Lucky Lougheed rode an oil boom to fame and provincial fortune in the 1970s. He was followed by luckless Don Getty who was premier during an oil-price recession and became so unpopular he lost his own seat in Edmonton in 1989.

Then came Lucky Klein, who had so much natural gas money flowing into the provincial treasury that he paid off the provincial debt and gave away more than $1 billion worth of "Ralph-bucks" to Albertans on a whim.

He was followed by hapless Ed Stelmach, who became premier just in time for the 2008 world financial crisis, and faced so much pressure he quit the premiership less than two years later.

Then the pendulum became stuck on "unlucky" for subsequent premiers.

Not only were recent premierships hit by faltering energy prices, they were also hammered by a series of natural disasters. It seemed a climate-changed Mother Nature was rubbing salt in the wounds.

For Stelmach, it was the Slave Lake fire.

For Alison Redford, the Calgary flood.

Jim Prentice tried to warn Albertans that bad luck was on the way via an oil-price recession in 2015. He was rewarded by being kicked out of office by the NDP in that year's provincial election.

Alberta's first-ever New Democrat premier, Rachel Notley, was in turn hit by a double whammy of bad luck: an oil-price recession and the Fort McMurray fire.

Notley seemed to be the unluckiest premier of all.

Until Jason Kenney.

Plenty of blame to go around

His premiership has been hit by a triple whammy: a pandemic; a looming recession; and, incredibly, oil prices that have gone negative.

And now he is dealing with the Fort McMurray flood.

Of course, you can't blame Kenney for pandemics or floods or low oil prices.

But …
There is plenty of blame to go around for allowing Alberta to be the most vulnerable province in the country during the pandemic.


For decades, Alberta governments — supported by Alberta voters — relied too much on revenues from oil and gas, didn't set aside money during the good times, and refused to embrace a sustainable tax regime. We spent too much and saved too little.

The fate of the Alberta Heritage Savings Trust Fund is a microcosm of what we've done wrong.

When first set up in 1976, the government pumped 30 per cent of revenues from oil and gas into the fund as a long-term savings account. When bad times hit a decade later, we stopped putting money in. Then we began stripping the interest earned each year from the fund. Even during the years we were awash in record surpluses, we kept taking money from the fund.

In 1985, the fund was worth about $14 billion. Today, it's worth about $18 billion. What would it be worth if we had simply left it alone? That number differs depending on how you do the math but it would be much more than $100 billion.
'We made a mistake ... '
IN POWER FOR 44 YEARS AND THEN KENNEY BLAMES NOTLEY AND THE NDP 
AND WINS AN ELECTION BY REACTIONARIES FROM CALGARY SOUTH In 2002, Alberta's former finance minister Jim Dinning acknowledged the government had mishandled the fund: "We made a mistake of drawing too much out of the fund, to use it as a buffer to avoid making some tough decisions. As a result, we spent a lot of the revenues that could have made the fund worth $80 billion today."

If we didn't take saving money seriously, we did the same with climate change.
We were shocked when the Slave Lake fire devastated the community in 2011. We were still learning our lessons about fire mitigation when an inferno ravaged Fort McMurray in 2016.

We continued to build homes near forests and on flood plains. Seven years after the Calgary flood, construction has yet to begin on an upstream reservoir project to protect the city from future disasters.

Fort McMurray residents deserve our support and sympathy. They also deserve more government funding and planning to mitigate against future disasters.

No, we can't blame a premier for having bad luck — even though Alberta voters tend to do just that.

But we can blame Kenney for continuing to focus too heavily on oil and gas as our economic saviour, for continuing to downplay the threat of climate change, and for continuing to reject an overhaul of our taxation system.
The time to rely on luck yet again to save us has long passed.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Graham Thomson
You can find columnist Graham Thomson's thoughts and analysis on provincial politics every Friday at cbc.ca/edmonton, on CBC Edmonton Television News and during Radio Active on CBC Radio One (93.9FM/740AM) and on Twitter at @gthomsonink.
OPINION | Kenney ignoring teachers' pension fears after AIMCo's $4-billion 'blunder'


THAT WAS MY RETIREMENT FUND HE JUST SPENT!!!
Graham Thomson · for CBC News · Posted: Apr 24, 2020

ATA worried about pensions' future under AIMCo

Alberta teachers are calling on Premier Jason Kenney to reverse his government's decision about their pension fund.

Premier Jason Kenney is fluent in both of Canada's official languages. Yet he can't seem to communicate with Alberta's teachers.

That became evident this week when Kenney and the Alberta Teachers' Association (ATA) butted heads yet again over the government's investment arm, the Alberta Investment Management Corporation, commonly known as AIMCo.

The government is forcing the teachers' $18-billion pension fund, the aptly named Alberta Teachers' Retirement Fund (ATRF), to use AIMCo as its sole investment manager rather than invest with any manager it chooses. AIMCo manages $119 billion in assets, including the pension funds for 375,000 public sector workers, as well as the Alberta Heritage Savings Fund.

Kenney has said rolling the teachers' pension fund under AIMCo's management will save teachers $20 million a year in premiums, increase the scale of AIMCo's portfolio "to invest prudently in a larger class of assets," and generate better returns for the fund.

The ATA is not happy. It hasn't been happy about this since last fall when the government passed Bill 22 forcing the ATRF funds under the AIMCo umbrella.

AIMCo lost $4 billion

The ATA has a long list of reasons to stay clear of AIMCo: the ATRF has been doing a perfectly good job managing the fund for the past 80 years; the Kenney government unilaterally made the decision without first asking the 46,000-member teachers' association what it thought; and the ATA is suspicious of pretty much everything the Kenney government does.

And this week, another reason: AIMCo reportedly lost a whopping $4 billion in the pandemic-hammered stock markets. The story was first reported in the New York-based magazine, Institutional Investor, that called the AIMCo investment strategy a "blunder."
The magazine pointed out that although "Canada boasts some of the world's most sophisticated and best-performing public investment funds ... AIMCo is not among that top tier, experts and data suggest."

I don't think anybody at AIMCo will be printing out the Institutional Investor article to send home to mom.

"For example, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan delivered 9.8 per cent annualized over the last decade, whereas AIMCo gained 8.2 per cent — a gap of more than 1.5 percentage points per year," said the article. "Even within its own province, AIMCo has trailed the smaller Alberta Teachers' Retirement Fund."

Teachers call for repeal of Bill 22


Fortunately for the teachers' fund, its $18 billion in assets have not yet been placed into AIMCo's portfolio. That transition is still underway as both sides work out details. But the ATA, rattled by the AIMCo blunder, wants Kenney to reverse course.

"Teachers invest their own money into their pension plan," said ATA president Jason Schilling. "Teachers were not consulted on the takeover and this story further validates our concerns. I am calling on the Government of Alberta to finally listen to teachers and stop the takeover by repealing Bill 22."

When I asked Kenney during a news conference Wednesday if he'll listen to Schilling or transfer control to AIMCo, Kenney seized on the word "control" and ducked down a rabbit hole.

"No, we were never going to transfer control to AIMCo. The premise of your question is completely unfactual," he said, setting us up for a Kenneysian lecture.

Kenney said the ATRF board will continue to be the governing authority and AIMCo "would simply act as the investment agency for the board as it does for every other public pension fund in Alberta."

That sounds innocent enough, except for a couple of glaring issues.

For one, those other public pension funds are handcuffed to AIMCo. They don't have the freedom to take their money and find a manager that doesn't make billion-dollar blunders.

As for teachers, Schilling said the final decision on investing their money will be made by AIMCo, not the teachers' retirement fund board.

"What's being transferred from the Alberta Teachers' Retirement Fund to AIMCo is the control of the investment management," said Schilling. "There will still be an ATRF board. The board can give suggestions to AIMCo, in terms of investment management strategies, but they don't always have to follow it. And this is the problem teachers have with this transfer."

NDP happily joins the fray


Kenney did point out correctly that the teachers' pension benefits are protected under law, even if the pension fund should take a financial hit. But Schilling said if AIMCo lost, say, $4 billion of the teachers' fund, teachers still on the job would likely see their pension contributions increase to help make up the deficit.

(We don't know yet if the ATRF has lost money during the pandemic crisis. A statement on its webpage said, "while we can't avoid losses when the market falls as it did in March, we structure the portfolio to avoid making a bad situation worse when it does happen."

A Globe and Mail article this week said while the average Canadian pension plan lost 8.7 per cent of its value in the first three months of this year, "AIMCo is expected to be down far more than this.")

The NDP, not surprisingly, has happily jumped into this controversy.

New Democrat MLA Christina Gray has tabled a private member's bill that would reverse Bill 22 as well as give other public pension funds under AIMCo's umbrella the freedom to find other investment managers, if they so choose.
Bill 203 is purely symbolic, of course, in the face of the United Conservative Party's majority government.

Kenney seems not to understand the teachers' concerns. Or, perhaps more accurately, he understands perfectly well what they're saying but has turned a deaf ear.


ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Graham Thomson

You can find columnist Graham Thomson's thoughts and analysis on provincial politics every Friday at cbc.ca/edmonton, on CBC Edmonton Television News and during Radio Active on CBC Radio One (93.9FM/740AM) and on Twitter at @gthomsonink.
America's Cash Assistance Program Appears Dead When People Need It Most

Tara Golshan HuffPost May 5, 2020

Americans are in need of cash.

In March, congressional leaders and top White House officials negotiated a coronavirus relief package that included up to $1,200 in direct cash payments to most Americans and a $600 weekly increase in unemployment benefits for four months.

But they completely left out a preexisting program that’s meant to give cash assistance to America’s most vulnerable. Temporary Assistance For Needy Families, or TANF, has played no role in the government’s coronavirus economic relief efforts, and Congress didn’t touch the program in its package of emergency funding.

“We are starting from scratch and we completely glossed over this other program where this was the intention: to provide cash aid to families with kids,” said Luke Shaefer, a poverty and social welfare expert at the University of Michigan. “How it got just missed is just pretty astounding.”

The program is still operating in states. In early April, officials in Columbus, Ohio, made $1.5 million available through TANF, offering $500 checks to families making up to 200% of the federal poverty level — about $43,000 annually for a family of three. It was gone in one day.

In Michigan, applications for TANF have almost doubled. Same with California. In Washington state, the week before the pandemic hit, there were about 1,100 applications. The week of March 16, when Gov. Jay Inslee (D) called for a temporary shutdown of nonessential businesses, there were about 3,000.

Once idealized as one of Congress’ great compromises to alleviate poverty, TANF’s effectiveness has been on the decline since the program was established in the 1996 welfare reform bill. When it began, for every 100 families in poverty, 68 received benefits. In 2018, only 22 families out of 100 in poverty were getting aid.

For years, states have diverted the money given to them through federal block grants to other programs, from “crisis pregnancy centers” to prekindergarten and Head Start programs, justifying the funding transfers as ways to help job creation and encourage two-parent family life. An audit of Mississippi’s TANF program released Monday found the state’s funds went toward sponsoring college basketball tournaments and paying former NFL star Brett Favre for speeches that never happened.

On average, states spend as little as 20 cents of every TANF dollar on cash assistance. And when the economy sours, as it has during the pandemic, states have even less money to dole out to people who need it.

As far as Congress is concerned, TANF isn’t worth touching anymore.

TANF really is dead as a chapter in our book. Luke Shaefer, University of Michigan public policy expert

House Democrats attempted to remove TANF’s work requirements in April, but dropped their demand in negotiations with the White House. A senior Democratic aide close to the talks said House priorities now are to extend unemployment benefits; boost funding for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or food stamps; provide refundable tax credits; supply broadband and water utility relief; and fund another check for all Americans.

“TANF’s distribution of dollars among states is not ideal,” a senior House Democratic aide familiar with leadership’s thinking said. “SNAP is a much more universal low-income program. SNAP will be a priority again in the next bill.”

In the Senate, Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), the top Democrat on the Finance Committee who was behind the unemployment insurance expansion, plans to propose a whole new program to get financial assistance to low-income Americans, separate from TANF altogether. The senator this week is expected to announce a $5 billion grant for states to give cash assistance and other benefits to those at 200% of the poverty line and below.

“The fact that this is the biggest response to an economic crisis — it ended up being $2 trillion — and we didn’t include anything for TANF ... TANF really is dead as a chapter in our book,” Shaefer said. Still, he noted, the pandemic is forcing more people into poverty while states have less money to help.

“The crux is, what happens when we run out of money?” Shaefer asked.

People line up for food at a food distribution point for people economically impacted by the coronavirus pandemic, organized by New Orleans City Councilman Jay Banks, in New Orleans, Wednesday, April 29, 2020. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert) (Photo: ASSOCIATED PRESS)

TANF hasn’t responded well in recessions. But the need is there.

During the last major economic crisis in 2009, TANF got a boost: The Recovery Act created a $5 billion TANF emergency fund, which expired in 2010, to help states handle increasing demands for help. The program was complicated and riddled with problems.

States largely didn’t target their neediest residents for the funds. Still, every state except Wyoming took the federal funding.

As welfare programs go, TANF has a substantially smaller role than programs like SNAP and unemployment insurance in an economic crisis.

It’s also less advertised. Unlike unemployment insurance and food stamps, TANF has “faded from the public imagination,” Kathryn Edin, a Princeton University sociologist, said.

“TANF is just not on the radar at all,” Edin said, reflecting on a congressional hearing she attended on anti-poverty programs in early March. “When we talk to people living on no cash income, it doesn’t even occur to them to apply to TANF. People who were on the verge of eviction and homelessness had never heard of the program.”

That’s in stark contrast to TANF’s predecessor, Aid to Families with Dependent Children. The AFDC program was effective at providing aid, but it was criticized for discouraging recipients from working.

TANF was created with support from Democrats and Republicans with the aim of putting people into jobs, keeping kids with their families, and encouraging two-parent households. To do that, the 1996 Welfare Reform bill made three big changes to AFDC. It instituted work requirements, limited how long people could receive aid, and changed federal funding into a block grant — a lump sum given to states to allocate under certain, albeit loose, conditions.


When we talk to people living on no cash income, it doesn’t even occur to them to apply to TANF. People who were on the verge of eviction and homelessness had never heard of the program. Kathryn Edin, Princeton University sociologist

The TANF work rules didn’t pan out in the 2000s, when jobs were hard to find. And the shortcomings are especially stark during the coronavirus pandemic, when work isn’t an option for many.

“There were some naive intentions that the ’90s economy would last forever and you could really get people into the workforce, and that work would sustain them,” Edin said. “But after 2000 that fell apart.”

The program’s core funding hasn’t been adjusted for inflation in decades. States have been shedding TANF recipients, even if poverty levels haven’t improved, and they’ve been using the money for other programs. Schaefer called it “free money” for the states.

And now, when they need it during the pandemic, states don’t have the money to plow back into TANF.
Congress doesn’t see TANF as a pandemic response

James Ziliak, who runs the University of Kentucky’s Center for Poverty Research, said Congress could step in. The federal government could waive TANF’s work requirements and time limits during the pandemic, and tailor a new version of the 2009 TANF emergency fund to actually get checks into people’s hands.

TANF “has the potential to be a cash program,” Ziliak said, unlike SNAP and other welfare programs. “Work is not really possible right now, so cash is the thing. Households don’t have access to cash — they are getting a stimulus payment, which is one and done, and that could be delayed. ... It could reach a very important and frequently left behind population.”

So far, that hasn’t been Congress’ approach. The $2 trillion coronavirus stimulus package that was passed last month included the direct cash payments to Americans as well as the unemployment expansion. Neither directly target the poor.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of Calif., arrives for a news conference to announce members of the House Select Committee on the Coronavirus Crisis on Capitol Hill in Washington, Wednesday, April 29, 2020. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky) (Photo: ASSOCIATED PRESS)

“The stimulus check was more about the economy than about the needy,” Edin said. “If you are trying to get money to the needy that is a highly inefficient way of doing that.”

There’s also an understanding among poverty experts that while TANF is far from an ideal model, it already exists and is specifically aimed at helping the neediest.

A child allowance system, or basic income ― popular ideas among anti-poverty experts during the pandemic ― are unlikely to provide immediate relief.

“The major advantage of the TANF program is that it adjusts as people’s needs adjust,” Edin said. “As long as you are below a threshold of income you have a base. It’s not a very good base … but the alternative is no cash at all.”

There’s no appetite in either party to address the program’s shortcomings.
A big compromise that aged poorly

The 1996 welfare reform bill was a compromise between President Bill Clinton’s administration and conservative House Speaker Newt Gingrich. Once idealized as a program that would fundamentally transform American society, TANF now is mostly forgotten history.

Some prominent Democratic policy advisers behind the program are still major players in today’s politics. One of them, Bruce Reed, is a close confidant of presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and traveled with him on the campaign trail. The Biden campaign declined a request for an interview with Reed.

In 2016, at a Brookings event with Gingrich, Reed praised the welfare reform bill and funding structure. Pressed, he said he was “disappointed” in how states were handling the funding and called for adjustments for inflation and population changes. But he wasn’t critical of the program as a whole. For Gingrich and Reed, TANF remained a great legislative accomplishment, although Gingrich said he wouldn’t focus on the program if he were to address welfare then.

“One lesson of welfare reform ... it may be easier to get bipartisan agreement with big bold ideas than timid small ones,” Reed said at the Brookings event.

It’s the kind of thinking that Biden himself has been espousing on the campaign trail. “Compromise isn’t a dirty word,” the former vice president likes to say.

FILE - In this March 17, 2020, file photo, people wait in line for help with unemployment benefits at the One-Stop Career Center in Las Vegas. The number of out-of-work people filing new claims for jobless benefits in Nevada is closing in on 390,000 since casinos and other businesses were shuttered to prevent spread of the coronavirus. The U.S. Department of Labor reported Thursday, April 30, 2020, that more than 45,000 people filed first-time claims for unemployment benefits last week. (AP Photo/John Locher, File) (Photo: ASSOCIATED PRESS)

But now, two decades into TANF, the program lies unmaintained in a time of rising poverty and need. Although Republicans traditionally resist direct cash assistance, they supported the coronavirus relief payments and will again get the chance with Wyden’s idea of providing funding for states to distribute cash payments.

But TANF won’t be on the table.

“The bigger issue is that cash assistance is often a non-starter for Republicans,” said Emily Rampone, a policy adviser on the Senate Budget Committee who works under Sen. Bernie Sanders’ (I-Vt.) minority leadership.

Rampone pointed to Sanders’ proposal to provide $2,000 monthly cash payments through the coronavirus pandemic.

“That would be greater than any family could receive under TANF and negate a lot of the issues with TANF such as strict income limits, work requirements, and state matching funds,” Rampone said.

“Sadly,” Ziliak said, “I think Congress thinks this is a program on autopilot.”

People line up for food at a food distribution point for people economically impacted by the coronavirus pandemic, organized by New Orleans City Councilman Jay Banks, in New Orleans, Wednesday, April 29, 2020. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert) (Photo: ASSOCIATED PRESS)

This article originally appeared on HuffPost.

Clorox has seen 500% increases in demand during the COVID-19 pandemic: CEO


Brian Sozzi Editor-at-Large Yahoo Finance  May 5, 2020


Clorox chairman and CEO Benno Dorer is working nearly around the clock, fitting in a meal or two, squeezing in some family time, getting a wee bit of rest and then rinse and repeating that routine.
WATCH VIDEO 
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/clorox-has-seen-500-increases-in-demand-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-ceo-132530052.html

Suffice it to say, it’s very busy days at 107-year-old bleach and disinfecting wipe maker Clorox as the world continues to battle through the COVID-19 pandemic.

For Clorox, that has meant enduring through insane levels of demand by shoppers for bleach (have to wash those cloth face masks), disinfecting wipes (have to wipe down the counters 25 times a day), Fresh Step cat litter (can’t keep running out for the stuff during stay-at-home orders, and cats have to use the bathroom too during a pandemic) and Hidden Valley salad dressings (yes, Clorox owns that Hidden Valley dressing you have used on some kind of packaged food of late).

Even with factories cranking at full speed and Clorox investing in new capacity, Dorer concedes in an interview with Yahoo Finance that consumer demand continues to outstrip supply. That situation may not stabilize until the summer, Dorer suggests, as households settle into their new disinfecting routines and more steadily buy cleaning products instead of the panic hoarding seen in March and into April at Walmart, Target and on Amazon.

“So if you go to stores, we're shipping to our stores every single day. But what we're shipping is pretty much scooped up right away. So it's gone after a few minutes,” Dorer explains. “Clearly there's an unprecedented demand spike for some of our products, in particular wipes. We've seen spikes of up to 500% in terms of demand and no supply chain in our industry is built to satisfy that demand increase in a short period of time.”

Dorer adds, “We have significantly increased our production we've done so by simplifying our lineup, which allows our lines to run faster, turning out 40% more products last quarter than we did in the previous year’s quarter. We're activating third-party suppliers who produce for us to help us. And we're investing in further capacity. So we continue to find new ways to speed up our lines and find capacity. And we think that there's going to be substantial improvement this summer. It's going to be touch and go until then, unfortunately, but help is on the way and I think should ease up in the next few months.”

Clorox brand products line the shelf of a supermarket in the East Village neighborhood of New York. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer, File)More

Clorox’s latest financials underscore the new reality it’s navigating. It’s a reality highlighted by consumers paying more attention to personal hygiene and cleanliness standards at home — and using Clorox’s disinfecting products (and yes, those from the likes of P&G, etc.) to do so. It’s a reality where businesses are opening their wallets big-time to disinfect offices to support the return of workers...and ultimately keep them safe and COVID-19 free hopefully for months.

Fiscal third quarter sales exploded 15% from the prior year. Volume surged 18%. Organic sales blew up 17%. Earnings soared 31%. Sales and pre-tax earnings in Clorox’s important cleaning segment increased an impressive 32% and 71%, respectively. These are growth rates that would have been unimaginable at this point last year — but may become the new medium-term norm at a Clorox settling into a post health pandemic world.

For its full fiscal year that ends in June, Clorox sees organic sales growth of 6% to 8%. Earnings are expected to be up 6% to 9%. The probability is high Clorox outlines double-digit growth for sales and earnings for its new fiscal year when it reports earnings again sometime in early August.

Clorox shares have reflected the new world it lives in — the stock is up 30% this year versus the 13% drop for the S&P 500. P&G shares are down 7% year-to-date, whereas Church & Dwight is up only 2%.

JPMorgan analyst Andrea Teixeira believes Clorox will play an “integral” role in fighting off COVID-19 and remains bullish on the stock.

On May 3, Clorox celebrated its 107th birthday. Dorer says the mission of the company is the same today as it was back then — serve the public.

“We have a proud history started by making disinfecting products available to the broad public in service of public health. And never has that mission been clear than it is today,” Dorer points out.

So true indeed.

Chuck Todd video highlight of Trump’s COVID-19 failure in his own words

Chuck Todd decimates the president's cognitive dissonance as he continues to claim victory as Americans continue to succumb to COVID-19.

Chuck Todd inflicting "death" by a thousand cuts

Watch the entire episode here.
The corporate media have been getting a bit more responsible with their critiques of the president. Last week Chuck Todd had a striking takedown of the president in the opening of Meet the Press. This week it was a bit more surgical.'
While the president has been constantly pushing governors to get people back to work to rev up the economy, the death toll continues to exceed the new projections. One would think that that would give the president pause about opening up too soon. It did not. It simply meant a higher degree of lying and rosy picture scenarios.
When a reporter asked the president if he would have the millions of tests a Harvard study said was needed, he said he would in front of the glaring cameras of a press conference but had to walk it back in a more intimate press setting. That did not deter him from sending out his canal to all but declare mission accomplished.
Please watch the entire clip in the post. There is much to read between the line and to be concerned about.
This double talk is the standard operating procedure in this administration. Recently on This Week, Mike Pompeo exhibited the same modus operandi as he first lied and then in the same interview told a partial truth when confronted with his lie. These guys want the sound bites that go to their base while the corrected ones are for the consumption of everyone else.

Red State governors to their citizens: Starve to death or risk death working; Antiseptic Slavery!

I told many on my media show Politics Done Right that capitalism is a form of antiseptic slavery. Many thought I was insensitive or making inflammatory statements.
Here is a fact. When it is running in a steady-state mode rarely does one see the deficiencies. When there are disruptions, it heals itself by hurting humanity until it reaches equilibrium again. Only the those who own most of the capital and those protecting the owners of said capital do well (titans of capital, executives, and high-level managers).
But capitalism is more efficient than slavery. You see, slaves had to be clothed, fed, and kept relatively healthy because they were someone's property. The workers under capitalism without real regulations are disposable. The worker, read antiseptic slave, does not have to be clothed, fed, or kept healthy. As such no health insurance and many other social services, a humane system should have.
Some would say that the worker has choices. To some extent that is true. But just like slaveowners formed their own cabal, so do corporations. As long as corporations are more powerful than the person, the mom, and pop business, they set the values.
The Red State governors made it clear whose interests they stand for. While they will not use a whip to force you back to work, they have no problem using a virtual whip, your starvation, or inability to live without going back to work for the corporation, read slave master, who cares nothing about your health or well-being.

States tell workers they'll lose unemployment benefits if they refuse to return to jobs | TheHill

Some states that are reopening parts of their economies have warned employees that they'll lose their unemployment benefits if they refuse to go back to work for their employers, even if they're worried about contracting the coronavirus.
"If you're an employer and you offer to bring your employee back to work and they decide not to, that's a voluntary quit," Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds (R) said Friday. "Therefore, they would not be eligible for the unemployment money."
Reynolds also said employers who have workers that refuse to return should file a report with Iowa Workforce Development.
On Monday, the governor announced that she was loosening social distancing restrictions in 77 of Iowa's 99 counties, effective May 1.
"In the 77 counties, the proclamation permits restaurants, fitness centers, malls, libraries, race tracks, and certain other retail establishments to reopen in a limited fashion with public health measures in place," the governor's office said in a statement. ...
The situation is similar for workers in Texas, where Gov. Greg Abbott (R) on Monday gave the go-ahead for retail stores, restaurants, movie theaters and malls to reopen on Friday.
Pompeo pushes coronavirus lab origin theory before intelligence community issues final assessment

Tim O'Donnell, The Week•May 3, 2020


Members of the Trump administration, including the president, have pushed a theory that the coronavirus originated not in a Wuhan, China, wet market, but a lab. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Sunday there is "significant" evidence that is the case, even though the United States intelligence community has yet to release a formal assessment on the matter.

Very noteworthy: Sec Pompeo, frmr CIA director, is leaning into an outcome *before* the IC has a formal assessment. Last wk ODNI said they cannot yet assess if the outbreak "was the result of an accident at a laboratory in Wuhan" or began "through contact with infected animals." https://t.co/X2LncSbL1e
— Kylie Atwood (@kylieatwood) May 3, 2020

Pompeo's stances on the location of origin, and China's purported efforts to cover up the epidemic's severity at early stages, were clear, but his responses about whether the virus was man-made waffled.
meaning and origin of 'sentence first (and) verdict afterwards ...

At first, The Guardian notes, he told the host of ABC's This Week, Martha Raddatz, that he has "no reason to disbelieve" experts who think it was genetically modified. But when Raddatz pointed out the Office of the Director of National Intelligence said the scientific consensus is that the virus was not man-made, Pompeo agreed with that, too. Raddatz tried to clarify one last time, recalibrating the question a bit to see if Pompeo thinks the virus was intentionally released from the lab. The secretary said he doesn't "have anything to say about that."

Critics have pointed out that by leaning into President Trump's rhetoric, Pompeo is setting a potentially worrisome precedent.

This is @SecPompeo saying he wants a particular answer from the IC more than he wants the truth. This creates enormous adverse incentives for people to tell Pompeo and Trump what they want to hear. https://t.co/zxwuqNrCd1
— Jeffrey Lewis (@ArmsControlWonk) May 3, 2020




Pompeo gets caught lying about origins of COVID-19
MAY 3, 2020 BY EGBERTO WILLIES

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo went on This Week and lied to Martha Raddatz about whether COVID-19 was man-made or not. When caught he punted.


Pompeo lied with a straight face unemotionally


Watch the entire episode here.

"Do you believe it was man-made or genetically modified," Martha Raddatz asked.

"The best experts so far seem to think it was man-made," Pompeo replied. I've no reason to disbelieve that at this point."

That was a lie. The best experts do not believe the virus was man-made. And Raddatz confronted him on that.

"Your office of the DNI says the consensus, the scientific consensus," Raddarz pushed back. "Was not man-made or genetically modified."

Pompeo brags about the CIA & State Dept's MO: We lied, we cheated ...

Watch the bait and switch tactic Pompeo then used with a straight face.

"That's right," Pompeo replied. "I agree with that. Yeah, I've seen their analysis. I've seen the summary that you saw that was released publicly. I have no reason to doubt that that is accurate."

"Okay, so just to be clear," Raddatz interjected. "You do not think it was man-made or genetically modified."

Notice he makes sure never to say what he believes or what he wants out there. He want the whole thing to remain nebulous.

"I've seen what the Intelligence Committee has said," Pompeo said. "I have no reason to believe that they've got it wrong."

WUHAN VIRUS LAB JUST ANOTHER FORM OF THE BIG LIE 
USED AGAINST IRAQ
Leaked intelligence report saying China 'intentionally concealed' coronavirus to stockpile medical supplies draws scrutiny

Jana Winter and Sharon Weinberger Yahoo News•May 4, 2020

WASHINGTON — Amid a concerted push to blame China for the coronavirus pandemic, the Trump administration has issued an intelligence analysis claiming China purposely delayed notifying the World Health Organization about the spread of the contagion in order to stockpile medical equipment, according to two recent government documents obtained by Yahoo News.

The analysis, which some former officials and experts are questioning based on its limited methodology, relies exclusively on trade data to draw its conclusions.

In recent weeks, President Trump and some of his top allies have been pushing a theory being investigated by the intelligence community that the virus originated from a Chinese lab in Wuhan, rather than from a “wet market,” where exotic wildlife is sold. “I can tell you that there is a significant amount of evidence that this came from that laboratory in Wuhan,” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said in an interview with ABC on Sunday.

A worker sorts masks at Wuhan Zonsen Medical Products Co. (Ng Han Guan/AP)

Just two days before that interview, analysts at the Department of Homeland Security citing a “new analytic technique” concluded that China had, in fact, concealed the spread of the coronavirus in order to hoard medical supplies. Specifically, they looked at Chinese imports and exports of medical equipment, ranging from surgical face masks to ventilators, from October 2019 to February 2020, and then compared that data with statistics from the prior five years.

“We assess the Chinese Government intentionally concealed the severity of COVID-19 from the international community in early January while it stockpiled medical supplies by both increasing imports and decreasing exports,” the analysts wrote in the document, dated May 1. “We further assess the Chinese Government attempted to hide its actions by denying there were export restrictions and obfuscating and delaying provision of its trade data.”

An accompanying “reference aid,” issued the same day as that report, reviews the trade data in more detail, citing the increase and decrease of exports and imports of specific medical equipment.

Both documents are unclassified but marked for official use only. ABC first reported the existence of the intelligence document. Yahoo obtained it and the accompanying reference aid and is publishing them in full.

New Analytic Technique by Sharon Weinberger on Scribd

Nate Snyder, who served as a DHS counterterrorism official during the Obama administration, questioned the purpose of the document, which he called “ridiculous.”

“We know through the intelligence community this was bad, that China was likely downplaying the severity of it, and was attempting to mitigate it themselves quietly,” Snyder said. “Yet we ignored that and all the intel and indicators. So I’m not sure what this product is trying to prove aside from finding convenient open sources to point the finger further at China.”

Snyder was particularly critical of the accompanying reference aid, which includes some of the data DHS uses to back up its claims.

“This thing really isn’t deeply cited,” said Snyder, who worked on similar reference aids during his time at DHS. He noted that the sources cited by the reference aid include a local Maine news site and a blog entry posted by a commercial company.

Snyder said this type of document would be shared throughout the intelligence community and with senior policymakers. “The significance of it is now that it’s out there as a reference point, it can be cited and used in synopsis or arguments within the intelligence community now that it’s got the stamp of approval,” he said. “This is considered an official source.”

Among the examples DHS cites is a 200 percent increase in imports of surgical facial masks in January and February 2020, and then a nearly 50 percent decrease in exports in February. For ventilators, DHS reports that China increased its imports by 54 percent in February and decreased exports of the devices by 45 percent.
Employees of a railway equipment manufacturing company in Nanchang, China, work on a production line of surgical masks for export on April 8. (China Daily via Reuters)

Daniel Hoffman, a retired CIA senior intelligence officer, warned against drawing immediate conclusions about a DHS report based on trade data alone.

“I’d rather hear the [intelligence community’s] analytical judgment, with a low, medium or high level of confidence,” he said. “It’s trade data. That’s not going to answer the question of China’s strategic intent. You need a human source who says this is connected, who can potentially prove intent.”

Hoffman highlighted the challenge of accurately collecting the data on which DHS was relying, given that China has a history of providing unreliable numbers. “China is a ruthless dictatorship, with a long history of not revealing the truth,” he said.

It is unclear precisely what data DHS relied on for the report, since it cites an unspecified “commercial vendor” as the source for data, but says it has “high confidence” in the conclusions about exports and imports.

“This assessment is based on a commercial service that collates world trade data,” the reference aid says. “The data is highly reliable because official U.S. trade data shows similar patterns to the world trade data from the commercial service.”

Joshua Meltzer, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution who specializes in trade policy, was less critical of the data but warned against drawing too sharp a conclusion. “It doesn’t tell you what is going on; it does support the theory of the case that they were stockpiling,” he said.

“It’s going to give you supporting data for the theory,” he said. “I don’t know if it’s going to be conclusive. It does raise a red flag.”

Trade Data on China and Med... by Sharon Weinberger on Scribd


In the reports, DHS says it has “moderate confidence” in its assessment, which it says also considers the effects of U.S. tariffs that could have also contributed to a decline in exports from China to the United States earlier this year. DHS did not respond to a request for comment.

Retired Air Force Brig. Gen. Robert Spalding said the DHS report likely doesn’t change what the U.S. government already knows about China’s concealment. “I think you can already draw conclusions already based on the timeline of what we know to be true,” he said, pointing to China’s delays in shutting down international travel and informing the WHO on human transmission of coronavirus.

“You don't even need the DHS report to know this was obfuscated on purpose by the Chinese Communist Party,” he said.

Spalding, now a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute and the author of Stealth War: How China Took Over While America's Elite Slept, points to open source information from January that showed China was hoarding personal protective equipment. “You can look at the records, on social media, you can see pictures of pallets and equipment that essentially have been stockpiled by Chinese companies,” he said.

The trade data is “another fact in the overall understanding of what they did,” he said. “It’s additive — it’s not required to make a determination.”

Hoffman, the former CIA official, says that regardless of the report, China’s efforts to withhold critical information about coronavirus are not in doubt.

“At the end of the day, China saw more value in concealing than in sharing information and revealing they had a problem which was going to impact the rest of the world,” he said. “They should have requested partnership rather than lying.”