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Monday, April 15, 2024

 

Apple faces worst iPhone slump since Covid as rivals rise

Apple Inc.’s iPhone shipments slid a worse-than-projected nearly 10 per cent in the quarter ended in March, reflecting flagging sales in China despite a broader smartphone industry rebound.

The company shipped 50.1 million iPhones in the first three months of the year, according to market tracker IDC, falling shy of the 51.7 million average analyst estimate compiled by Bloomberg. The 9.6 per cent year-on-year drop is the steepest for Apple since Covid lockdowns snarled supply chains in 2022, the researchers said.

The Cupertino, California-based iPhone maker has struggled to sustain sales in China since the debut of its latest model in September. The resurgence of rivals from Huawei Technologies Co. to Xiaomi Corp. and a Beijing-imposed ban on foreign devices in the workplace have all weighed on sales. The IDC data provides the first snapshot of the global performance of Apple’s most important product ahead of earnings on May 2.

Shares were down less than one per cent in premarket trading in New York on Monday.

The drop in iPhone shipments is significant given the overall mobile market registered its best growth in years. Smartphone makers shipped 289.4 million handsets in the period, marking a 7.8 per cent rise from the trough of a year ago, when many manufacturers were grappling with a surfeit of unsold devices. Samsung Electronics Co. regained the top spot in the March quarter, while budget-focused Transsion increased shipments by 85 per cent and Xiaomi bounced back to close the gap on second-place Apple.

“The smartphone market is emerging from the turbulence of the last two years both stronger and changed,” said Nabila Popal, research director at IDC. “While Apple has been super resilient and seen a lot of growth in shipments and share over the last few years, it will be a challenge for it to maintain the pace of growth and the peak share it saw in 2023. As the market recovers further in 2024, IDC expects Android to grow much faster than Apple.”

Prominent Apple suppliers Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Murata Manufacturing Co. and LG Innotek Co. fell in Asia trading on Monday, amid a broader selloff on fears of escalating conflict in the Middle East.

What Bloomberg Intelligence says

  • Xiaomi’s 1Q handset shipments of 40.8 million units, according to IDC, jumped 33.8 per cent year over year while both Apple and Samsung declined. Its strong handset sales were likely driven by a recovery in its overseas market and might lead to high-teens sales growth in the first quarter.

- Steven Tseng and Sean Chen, analysts

During the pandemic, Apple’s iPhone showed the greatest resilience as consumers pulled back from purchases of smartphones by most of its Android-powered rivals. That inventory buildup led to aggressive pricing by Chinese competitors like Xiaomi, which took months to deplete stocks and are now starting to ramp shipments back up. Huawei’s surprise return to prominence last year — with its own made-in-China chip and HarmonyOS operating system on the Mate 60 series — has been eroding Apple’s share of China’s premium market since August.

“Increased competition in China is a big part of Apple’s decline in Q1,” Popal said. Elsewhere, a number of regions started the year with excess iPhone inventory after heavy shipments in the final months of 2023, she added.

Average selling prices for handsets are rising, as consumers increasingly opt for premium models that they intend to hold on to for longer, IDC’s researchers found. Apple, which consistently maintains the highest ASP in the industry, has led the way in this, with consumers showing a distinct preference for its higher-tier models. Still, the company has this year resorted to unusual discounts to spur sales, with some retail partners in China taking as much as US$180 off the regular price.

In March, Apple opened a large new store in the center of financial hub Shanghai, with Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook in attendance. China is host to the company’s biggest retail network outside the U.S. and accounts for roughly a fifth of sales, largely driven by the iPhone. Many of the attendees who spoke to Bloomberg at the Shanghai event had acquired their iPhones more than two years ago. And while those Apple fans said they intended to remain within the company’s ecosystem, some said they would also consider Huawei’s Mate 60 successor or foldable device options from rivals.

Monday, February 27, 2023

Are dual-class shares good, bad, or a necessary evil?

Grant and Award Announcement

SINGAPORE MANAGEMENT UNIVERSITY

SMU Associate Professor Liang Hao 

IMAGE: AS DUAL-CLASS SHARE LISTINGS MAKE THEIR WAY INTO ASIA IN HONG KONG AND SINGAPORE, SMU ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR LIANG HAO’S LATEST RESEARCH POINTS TO THE IMPORTANCE OF SUNSET CLAUSES. view more 

CREDIT: SINGAPORE MANAGEMENT UNIVERSITY

By Alvin Lee

SMU Office of Research & Tech Transfer – When Chinese consumer electronics giant Xiaomi (小米) listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (SEHK) in June 2018, it followed the well-beaten path travelled by earlier mainland companies, ranging from high-tech predecessors Tencent (腾讯, 0700.HK) to non-tech companies such as Tsingtao Brewery (0168.HK) and China Eastern Airlines (0670.HK).

While the IPO raised US$4.72 billion in the tech world’s biggest float in four years, it garnered extra attention for being the first SEHK listing with dual-class shares (DCS). Co-founders Lei Jun (89.27 percent) and Lin Bin (10.73 percent) controlled the Class A shares, with each of such shares carrying 10 votes instead of a single vote for Class B shares. The move to allow DCS structures, also known as weighted voting rights (WVR), prompted SEHK’s regional rivals Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX) to follow suit, breaking its heretofore adherence to the one-share-one-vote (OSOV) principle.

The justification for changing a long-held cornerstone of corporate governance was a business one. Charles Li, then Chief Executive of SEHK’s operator, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX), had said six months before the Xiaomi listing, “The market has made it clear they want the Exchange to take action to broaden Hong Kong’s capital markets access and enhance its competitiveness.”

“Hong Kong wanted this reform [because] so-called high-tech unicorns like Alibaba and its spinoff Ant Group wanted to list [on the SEHK], and their founders have this strong preference of holding dual-class shares,” explains Liang Hao, Associate Professor of Finance at the SMU Lee Kong Chian School of Business. “They couldn't be listed in Hong Kong nor Singapore because it was simply not allowed. And all of them went to the New York Stock Exchange, which allowed it.

“Hong Kong said, ‘Okay, we are losing all these deals. Let's make the change to attract more big unicorns from the mainland.’ Given the fierce competition between Singapore and Hong Kong, Singapore immediately followed suit.”

He adds: “It's not clear whether this reactive reform was actually good or bad. If you think about dual-class shares giving more power to the company’s founder, should the founder turn out to be a dishonest person or want to exploit other shareholders, then dual-class shares are bad corporate governance. This is the common belief within the corporate governance literature.”

To D(CS) or not to D(CS), that is the question

To fully understand the costs and benefits of DCS listings, Professor Liang embarked on the MOE Academic Research Fund (AcRF) Tier 2 project titled “Dual-Class Shares in a Time of Unicorns Going Public” in July 2019, and which concluded in September 2022. He explains the title’s reference to “A Time of Unicorns” as a counterpoint to the pre-Google IPO days when DCS listings were associated with family businesses looking to raise money without relinquishing control, an arrangement that raises red flags.

Within the context of tech unicorns, there were two arguments for a DCS structure: ‘founder’s vision’ and ‘long-term orientation’. Google’s 2004 IPO, which bestowed upon co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page a combined majority of voting rights despite owning little more than 10 percent of total shares, is often cited as Exhibit A for handing control to visionary leaders to move fast and capitalise on growth opportunities. Since then, Facebook, Lyft, and Pinterest have gone the DCS route. Professor Liang points to long-term orientation as a stronger justification for a DCS structure.

“Whenever you see stock prices fluctuate, you might panic, and institutional investors begin to question the company, ‘What are you doing?’” Professor Liang explains to the Office of Research & Tech Transfer. “In order to please the investor, the company does something to boost short-term returns, but that probably means giving up on some long-term projects [that might benefit the company later on].”

But the central question remains: Do listed firms with DCS outperform or underperform their single-class peers? Given the relative lack of data in Asia-Pacific where SGX has only one DCS listing (financial and investment firm AMTD, stock counter HKB) and SEHK just approaching its fifth year with such companies, Professor Liang examined U.S. data and existing literature in a collaboration with Zhang Wei, Associate Professor of Law at the SMU Yong Pung How School of Law, and former SMU postdoctoral fellow Junho Park, now Assistant Professor of Finance at Myongji University. The answer was ‘Yes’ on condition that DCS listings come with a ‘sunset clause: “Firms with perpetual dual-class stock trade at a significant discount to those with sunset provisions,” the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) wrote in 2018.

Sunset clauses turn preferential shares into ordinary ones after a period of time – usually seven years – or when the owner of such shares dies or becomes incapacitated. Should such shares be sold, the preferential voting rights cannot be transferred. As such, founders who are considering listing their companies with DCS should expect to outperform non-DCS companies post-IPO, but they should be mindful that perpetual DCS are unlikely to be beneficial long-term.

Together with Associate Professor Zhang Wei and SMU postdoctoral fellow Phuong Nguyen, Professor Liang also examined the following question: How will a change in listing rules worldwide, especially in Hong Kong and Singapore, affect investor expectation and the competitive landscape in the technological industries in Asia? He answers that question by looking at two dimensions: the competition channel and the capital channel.

“If investors, on average, favour DCS, we expect the prospect of allowing DCS listings in a market to lower the shareholder value of existing listed firms, as they cannot convert to DCS,” he wrote, articulating the competition channel. “In contrast, if investors see DCS as harmful to firm value, due to governance concerns, we expect investors in listed peer firms to react positively to the potential regulatory changes, as they are better protected.”

As it turned out, share prices of existing high-tech listed firms on SEHK lost ground between 2015 and 2017 when the stock exchange discussed permitting DCS listings, suggesting favourable investor expectations of companies with dual-class shares. But by the time Xiaomi listed in 2018, it became clear that “the regulatory change would enable all tech firms to attract more institutional capital”, and returns of incumbent high-tech firms listed in Hong Kong rose significantly, wrote Professor Liang of the capital channel. A rising tide of institutional capital lifts all boats, but technology firms, both with and without DCS, will benefit disproportionately.

Investors and regulators must decide

Despite these findings, concerns over corporate governance remain front and centre. With Southeast Asia generating its fair share of unicorns in recent years (Carsome, Grab, Bukalapak etc.), the topic of dual-class shares is unlikely to go away. Professor Liang cites former Google CEO Eric Schmidt telling critics of Google’s DCS structure – he owns over eight percent of preferred shares – to not buy its stocks if they do not approve of it; they will simply miss out on the exponential growth that has driven it to become one of the biggest companies in the world less than 30 years from its founding.

“If investors are concerned about governance, they will stop buying a stock, the company will become less and less popular, and over time the company will die out. We call this equilibrium,” observes Professor Liang. “That was what happened before Google’s [explosive post-IPO growth]. But if investors don't care about that, they care more about the benefits, or they think the benefits outweigh the cost, then they’ll just keep on buying Google and other dual-class share companies.”

Monday, April 12, 2021


China's Huawei blames global chip shortage on U.S. sanctions

Sam Shead 
CNBC
4/12/2021


Huawei rotating chairman Eric Xu said "the U.S. sanctions is the main reason why we are seeing panic stockpiling of major companies around the world."

Huawei itself has built up a stockpile of chips to try to ensure its business — focused on telecoms equipment and consumer electronics — can continue as normal.

Huawei also announced that it is planning to invest $1 billion into self-driving and electric car research and development as it looks to compete with the likes of Tesla, Apple, Nio and Xiaomi

.
© Provided by CNBC The U.S. flag and a smartphone with the Huawei and 5G network logo are seen on a PC motherboard in this illustration taken January 29, 2020.

Huawei said Monday that U.S. sanctions on the company are partly to blame for the ongoing global chip shortage that's the subject of a White House conference on Monday.

Eric Xu, Huawei's rotating chairman, said the sanctions imposed over the last two years on the Chinese tech company are, "hurting the global semiconductor industry" because they have "disrupted the trusted relationship in the semiconductor industry."

Speaking to analysts in Shenzhen at Huawei's Analyst Summit, Xu said: "The U.S. sanctions is the main reason why we are seeing panic stockpiling of major companies around the world."

He added: "Some of them never stockpiled anything, but because of the sanctions they are now having three months or six months of stockpiles."

Huawei itself has built up a stockpile of chips to try to ensure its business — focused on telecoms equipment and consumer electronics — can continue as normal.

Some companies in other industries, such as the automotive sector, have been forced to temporarily shut down operations as a result of the chip shortage. U.S. auto executives and tech leaders were scheduled to meet remotely with President Joe Biden on Monday.

Until recently, the semiconductor supply chain "was running on the assumption that it should be flexible with zero stockpiles," said Xu, one of three Huawei executives who take turns as chairman.

"That's why the panic stockpiling in recent days has added to the supply shortage of global semiconductor industry," he said. "That has disrupted the whole system. Clearly the unwarranted U.S. sanctions against Huawei and other companies are turning into a global and industrywide supply shortage."

The U.S. imposed sanctions on Huawei after accusing it of building backdoors into its equipment that could be exploited by the Chinese Communist Party for espionage purposes.

In 2019, Huawei was put on a U.S. blacklist called the Entity List. This restricted American companies from exporting certain technologies to Huawei. Google ended up cutting ties with Huawei, meaning the Chinese giant could not use Google's Android operating system on its smartphones. Last year, the U.S. moved to cut Huawei off from key chip supplies it needs for its smartphones.

Huawei strongly denies the U.S. allegations.

$1 billion into self-driving cars


Huawei is pursuing new avenues after the sanctions imposed by the Trump administration left its once-leading smartphone business in tatters, while also hindering progress in its semiconductor and 5G businesses.

Xu said he doesn't expect the Biden administration to change the rules any time soon and the company is investing in new areas like health care, farming, and electric cars to try to mitigate the impact of being blacklisted by the U.S.

"We believe, we'll continue to live and work under the entity listing for a long period of time," he said. "The overall strategy as well as the specific initiatives for Huawei are all designed and developed in a way that the company would be able to survive and develop while staying on the entity list for a long time."

Huawei said Monday it plans to invest $1 billion into self-driving and electric car research and development as it looks to compete with the likes of Tesla, Apple, Nio and Xiaomi.

Xu claimed that Huawei's self-driving technology already surpasses Tesla's as it allows cars to cruise for more than 1,000 kilometers (621 miles) without human intervention. Tesla's vehicles can't do more than 800 kilometers and drivers are meant to keep their hands on the wheel for safety purposes.

Huawei will initially partner with three automakers on self-driving cars including BAIC Group, Chongqing Changan Automobile Co and Guangzhou Automobile Group. The company's logo is likely to be put on cars in the same way that Intel's logo is put on some computers.

"Once self-driving is achieved, we're able to disrupt all of the related industries, and we think that in the foreseeable future, namely in the next decade, the biggest opportunity and breakthrough will be from the automobile industry," Xu said.

After sanctions, Huawei turning to businesses less reliant on high-end U.S. tech

© Reuters/GONZALO FUENTES
 Huawei logo at Huawei Technologies France in Boulogne-Billancourt

SHENZHEN, China (Reuters) -Chinese telecoms equipment maker Huawei Technologies is making business resilience its top priority with a push to develop its software capabilities as it seeks to overcome U.S. restrictions that have devastated its smartphone business.

Huawei was put on an export blacklist by former U.S. President Donald Trump in 2019 and barred from accessing critical technology of U.S. origin, affecting its ability to design its own chips and source components from outside vendors.

The ban put Huawei's handset business under immense pressure.

The company harbours "no expectation" of being removed from the Entity List under the administration of U.S. President Joe Biden, and is now looking to develop other lines of business after spending the last year in survival mode, the company's rotating chairman Eric Xu said on Monday.

"We cannot develop our strategy based on either a groundless assumption or on unrealistic hopes, because if we do that, and if we cannot be taken off from the entity list, it's going to be extremely difficult for the company," Xu said in a Q&A on the launch of the company's annual summit for analysts.

The company will invest more in businesses that are less reliant on advance process techniques, Xu said, highlighting the company's intelligent driving business, in which he said the company would invest more than $1 billion this year.

The company's autonomous driving technology allows cars to travel over 1,000 kilometers, overtaking Tesla in that area, Xu said.

Xu said Huawei was working with three domestic carmarkers on sub-brands that will be designated 'Huawei Inside' models.

In February, Reuters reported that Huawei planned to make electric vehicles under its own brand, which Huawei denies. [L1N2KnW0F9]

Xu said that U.S. action against Huawei had damaged trust across the semiconductor industry, and contributed to global chip shortages as Chinese companies rushed to stockpile three to six months worth of semiconductors last year, fearing similar action against them.

The combined demand from the Chinese market for chip supplies that are not affected by U.S. rules or which could be compliant with U.S. rules would lead companies to invest in chips and also eventually supply Huawei, Xu said.

"If that can be done, and if our inventory level can help Huawei to last to that time, then that will help us to address the problems and challenges we face."

Xu also said the global rollout of 5G telecoms networks had "exceeded expectations."

Last year, the company saw a modest 3.2% rise in its annual profit as overseas revenues declined due to pandemic-related disruption and the impact of the U.S. sanctions, it said last month.

(Reporting by David Kirton. Writing by David Kirton and Tony Munroe. Editing by Ana Nicolaci da Costa and Mark Potter)

Monday, August 14, 2023

World's first mass-produced humanoid robot? China start-up Fourier Intelligence eyes two-legged robots with AI brains

South China Morning Post
Sun, August 13, 2023 at 3:30 AM MDT·6 min read


When Fourier Intelligence unveiled its lanky, jet-black humanoid robot GR-1 at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) in Shanghai in July, it instantly stole the show.

While the global technology community has been fixated on artificial intelligence (AI) software since the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT in November, the Chinese-made GR-1 - said to be capable of walking on two legs at a speed of 5km an hour while carrying a 50kg load - reminded people of the potential of bipedal robots, which are being pursued by global companies from Tesla to Xiaomi.

For Fourier, a Shanghai-based start-up, GR-1 was an unlikely triumph.

Do you have questions about the biggest topics and trends from around the world? Get the answers with SCMP Knowledge, our new platform of curated content with explainers, FAQs, analyses and infographics brought to you by our award-winning team.

"It is an unprecedented attempt by us - we barely had any reference when it came to the technology," Alex Gu, founder and chief executive of Fourier, said in a recent interview with the South China Morning Post in the Chinese financial capital.

Fourier's focus has not always been on humanoid robots. Named after the 19th-century French mathematician and physicist Joseph Fourier, the company was originally set up in 2015 in Shanghai's tech hub Zhangjiang with the aim of developing rehabilitation robotics.

The firm's current products include a smart exercise bike, a wireless robotic glove and a series of computer-guided contraptions that help users restore movement in their arms and legs.

But just like many of his peers, 42-year-old Gu, a mechanical engineering graduate from Shanghai Jiao Tong University, had long dreamed about creating his own humanoid robot.

So in 2019, after Fourier brought its intelligent rehabilitation devices into hundreds of hospitals and medical care centres in over 10 countries and established itself in the industry, Gu decided it was time to kick off a new venture.

Back then, few companies in the world had successfully launched a humanoid robot due to the high technological barrier and development costs. In the US, there were a handful of projects including Atlas by Boston Dynamics, the company known for its robot dog Spot, and Digit by Agility Robotics.

In China, most firms chose to dedicate their efforts on lightweight products like four-legged robots. Gu thought he could do better.

"Many technologies used in rehabilitation robots are essentially applicable to humanoid robots," Gu said. "Humanoid robots require very good motors that are both powerful and light, and we are able to develop them ourselves."


Alex Gu, founder and chief executive of Fourier Intelligence

GR-1 was born in a small laboratory on the first floor of the Fourier headquarters, where a group of engineers were busy refining and testing the robot when this reporter visited last month. The team reached a major breakthrough in 2022 - three years after the start of the project - when it managed to make the 1.65-metre tall robot rise up on both legs and walk.

"When we saw it standing up for the first time, untethered and walking around by itself, it was a big encouragement for all our engineers," said Gu. "It felt like raising a newborn baby."

Fourier later published an online video of the walking GR-1, drawing compliments from many viewers, but also plenty of scepticism.

"Some overseas viewers said the video was computer-generated," said Gu. "I understand that the field is still at an early stage and that people will have different opinions, just like some had argued 20 years ago whether electric vehicles would be able to travel on roads."

In addition to technical challenges, researchers and robotics experts have cautioned that companies still face massive difficulties in commercialising humanoid robots in the broader consumer market.

"[Humanoid robots] mostly live in the labs now and are extremely expensive," said Zhang Xiaorong, director of Chinese research institute Shendu Technology. "A relatively high-quality machine can cost millions of yuan."

Those problems have not stopped companies from trying.

Lei Jun, founder of Chinese smartphone giant Xiaomi, in August 2022 showed off on stage the company's first humanoid robot CyberOne, which was seen to be capable of walking, but not much else.

Less than two months later, Elon Musk, the billionaire founder of Tesla, unveiled a prototype of its highly anticipated Optimus robot during the company's AI Day. It walked and danced live on stage. The audience was also shown a video of the robot doing tasks like carrying a box and moving metal bars.

Musk said at the WAIC conference last month that Optimus was not intended to "have great intelligence", but to help humans with "boring, repetitive or dangerous tasks".

Gu said he shared similar visions with Musk, but added that robots "can also become very good friends of humans by providing emotional value".

While current humanoid robots still have "large gaps with humans in both movement and cognitive ability", the development of large language models (LLM) - the type of software that underpins AI chatbots like ChatGPT - could be "epoch-changing", Gu said.

"LLMs will give robots the ability of logical reasoning, making them much more human-like," Gu said.


A Fourier Intelligence engineer tests the self-balancing ability of the company's humanoid robot.

While Gu emphasised that Fourier will focus on developing the hardware that makes up the "body" of the robots and leave AI developers to work on the "brain", Fourier co-founder and chief strategy officer Zen Koh said a few AI companies had already reached out for potential collaboration in LLMs.

"We're hoping to work with all the major ones and ... as a system, be open," Koh said.

The GR-1 robot has already been delivered in small quantities to some universities and AI companies for research and development, according to Gu. He plans to begin mass production by year-end and deliver thousands of units in 2024.

Musk last year also claimed that production could start in 2023.

Gu expects Fourier's humanoid robots, which he said have great potential in various scenarios including elderly care, education and guest reception, to generate more revenue than its rehabilitation robots in the next three to five years.

Still, there is a long way to go before humanoid robots become a part of our daily lives, he said.

"Don't expect a miracle to come out in a year or so - even for Tesla, we have to give them time [to achieve mass production of humanoid robots]," said Gu.

"But also, don't underestimate the possibility that this thing may become part of people's family lives in five or 10 years."

Copyright (c) 2023. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.




Wednesday, March 23, 2022

Unchecked Power of Senior Bankers Is Exposed by China Crackdown

CRIMINAL CAPITALI$M WITH CHINESE CHARACTERISTICS

(Bloomberg) -- Bribery. Kickbacks. Cover-ups. For one week in January, Chinese state television devoted its prime-time slot to a series that detailed high-profile financial crimes by some of country’s most senior bankers. 

There was the former head of China’s largest policy bank, who accepted bribes to approve a $4.8 billion credit line to a conglomerate that failed shortly after. Another state-owned bank executive used carefully structured shadow firms to receive 10 million yuan in kickbacks for approving real-estate loans of more than 4 billion yuan to a single developer.

The multipart broadcast was framed as a celebration of Beijing’s long-running anti-corruption campaign, part of President Xi Jinping’s overall attempts to stabilize the economy ahead of a meeting that’s expected to award him a third term in office. But it also revealed how senior bankers have been allowed to operate with few checks and even less accountability, and connected their actions with massive credit defaults and other market instability.

The recent investigation into 25 entities marks the first systematic review of the financial sector since 2015, and last month, when it concluded, the nation’s top disciplinary watchdog sharply criticized financial institutions and regulators for prominent corruption and insufficient risk monitoring – problems it said were “common.” 

More than 20 finance industry officials have been punished or probed since the investigation began; over the past few years, lax governance has contributed to estimated losses of hundreds of billions of yuan.  

Without intervention, China’s financial sector could become “a runaway elephant in a china shop,” said Shen Meng, a director at Beijing-based boutique investment bank Chanson & Co. “Deep down, people still lack this awareness that essentially, corporate governance serves to cut the risk of decision making, by checking and balancing all parties.”

Listed firms are required to implement modern corporate governance structures, but China’s standards are often lower than those in developed markets. In the U.S., for example, independent directors make up about 80% of the board, on average. Most Chinese companies only meet the minimum requirement of one-third independent directors, a “lack of oversight that ultimately allows for poor operational and financial controls,” said Rob Du Boff, a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst specializes in ESG.

The collapse of China Huarong Asset Management Co. is one of the best-known cases where traditional governance mechanisms failed. Former chairman Lai Xiaomin was also the head of the internal party committee and the company’s legal representative. The company’s party discipline chief reported to him. “It was difficult for him to supervise me, to be honest,” Lai said in 2020. 

Without any meaningful oversight, Lai drove Huarong to aggressive expansion. Eventually, the firm posted a record loss that led to a $6.6 billion state-orchestrated bailout, and Lai was executed for bribery and other crimes.

But there have also been smaller examples. Hu Huaibang, the former chairman of China Development Bank, took some 85.5 million yuan in bribes over a decade through 2019. In exchange, he facilitated loans that included $4.8 billion to the now failed conglomerate CEFC China Energy Co., even though China had called for the policy bank to cut its exposure to such commercial projects.

His motivation was basic: “As a senior executive in the finance sector, you get to make contact with people with relatively high classes and they own private jets and everything,” he said in the state-sponsored docuseries. “That’s when I felt the unfairness and became weak-minded and slipped into the abyss.”

Senior leaders at Chinese financial institutions, especially state-owned ones, hold official government titles and earn government-limited salaries. The chairmen of China’s largest state-owned banks each earn about $120,000 a year – less than 1% of what their U.S. counterparts made in 2020. 

The former governor of China Citic Bank Corp., Sun Deshun, often neglected the bank’s internal credit approval board and intervened directly to facilitate loans for developers in exchange for bribes. Investigators found he used more than a dozen shadow firms, managed by his two surrogates, for bribes disguised as financial products and equity investments.

In early 2020, the banking regulator levied a 22 million yuan fine on Citic Bank for 19 violations, of which 13 were linked to the property sector. Later that year, Sun was expelled from the Communist Party, arrested for alleged bribery among other violations, and prosecuted.

But regulators were also susceptible. A former deputy chairman of China’s banking regulator, Cai Esheng, used his personal influence to facilitate loans and projects in exchange for cash, banquets, travel and other gifts. 

In the case of Baoshang Bank Co., at least five officials including the former head of the Inner Mongolian banking watchdog took hundreds of millions of yuan in bribes to make way for its “wild expansion and illegal operations” that eventually led to its collapse and China’s first bank seizure in more than 20 years. 

These kinds of investigations are common across sectors in China, where the government intends them to both deter bad behavior and reassure investors, said Oliver Rui, a professor of finance at China Europe International Business School in Shanghai. 

“It takes some time to fully develop governance mechanisms,” he said. “The current systems in the U.S. were also built gradually. I like to say -- in Chinese terms -- let the bullet fly for a while.” 

Meanwhile, officials have introduced measures designed to prevent future corruption. Last year, authorities issued guidelines targeting bribers and have pledged to step up internal controls to keep regulators in line. The government has also strengthened Communist Party control over management decisions at state-owned banks. The central bank and the banking and securities regulators have vowed to correct their wrongdoings and to enhance financial regulation. 

The prime-time series and the high-profile media coverage of the latest anti-corruption efforts may also offer a wake-up call. “A lot of people working at the institutions don’t even truly understand corporate governance, let alone retail investors,” Chanson & Co.’s Shen said.

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.


Evergrande Investors Left Baffled by $2.1

Billion in Seized Cash

(Bloomberg) -- Investors in China Evergrande Group are still in the dark over just how $2.1 billion of deposits at its property-services unit came to be used as security for pledge guarantees and seized by banks. 

In a call with investors late Tuesday, the developer’s officials reiterated comments from earlier filings that they were investigating the matter without sharing fresh details, according to people who attended and asked not to be identified. The third-party pledge guarantee wipes out most of Evergrande Property Services Group Ltd.’s cash holdings. 

“It’s peculiar because investors expect Evergrande management should be aware of where the cash went rather than instead setting up an investigation committee to find out,” said Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Andrew Chan. 

While the 13.4 billion yuan ($2.1 billion) in seized cash is small in the context of the broader restructuring, it raises questions over the reliability of the financial accounts of the services unit “if the group plans to sell it at a good price to achieve maximum recovery for creditors,” Chan said.

Representatives for Evergrande didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the call.

Evergrande creditors are keeping a close eye on the beleaguered developer as it embarks on a debt restructuring that’s likely to be among China’s largest and most complex. Worries over transparency have surfaced repeatedly as Chinese developers struggle to cope with a credit crunch that’s swept the sector as Beijing clamps down on excessive borrowing. 

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.


Tencent Share Buyback Speculation Grows After Alibaba, Xiaomi

(Bloomberg) -- Share buybacks are emerging as the hottest trend among Chinese tech giants and industry leader Tencent Holdings Ltd. may be the next to jump on the bandwagon.

The online gaming giant climbed as much as 3.1% in Hong Kong on Wednesday, just before it’s expected to announce its slowest profit growth ever. Investors are betting that the company will follow in the footsteps of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Xiaomi Corp., which both announced massive buybacks after their earnings, with the moves fueling a rally in their shares. 

The improving sentiment in tech stocks reflects broader hopes that China’s crackdown on the sector is coming to an end after the government pledged greater support for the economy and capital markets. But, a recovery remains dependent on concrete action from the authorities, and Morgan Stanley’s equity strategists warn that it’s too early to be optimistic.

“Alibaba and Xiaomi have probably kick-started shareholders’ focus on buybacks after a horrendous performance in share prices in the last year,” said Kerry Goh, chief investment officer at Kamet Capital Partners Pte. “Tougher restrictions on investing in other firms, coupled with a strong balance sheet and good cash flow should motivate Tencent to do a share buyback like the others.”

An 18% surge in Alibaba’s stock since Tuesday indicates that share buybacks have become a more rewarding strategy for Chinese tech giants, after valuations slumped to near record lows and regulatory fears eased. Still, the scale of repurchases is small compared to megacaps in the U.S., which have bought back more than $20 billion worth of stock in each of the recent quarters. 

“In consideration of cash usage, shareholder returns may now become a priority over something, say like the M&A back in the past,” said Vey-Sern Ling, senior analyst at Union Bancaire Privee.

Tencent boosted its dividend payout, including offering JD.Com Inc. shares, in order to lure investors. But, those moves have failed to reverse a downtrend in its stock. This year, Tencent overtook Alibaba to become the biggest loser in China’s tech rout after it shed about $450 billion in market value since last February. 

Tencent certainly has the financial resources for a buyback. The company held about $40 billion in cash and short-term instruments on its balance sheet at the end of September, a figure that may well have increased when it reports the December quarter results.

The company’s business is under pressure with revenue growth projected to fall to its slowest pace on record when it reports earnings later Wednesday. Tencent’s games business has been handicapped by Beijing’s freeze on new titles, while its online advertising business is expected to have contracted for the first time on record in the fourth quarter.

Still, many analysts see opportunity in a buyback after Tencent plunged during Beijing’s crackdown, at one point shedding more than $500 billion in market value. Even after their recent rally, the shares trade at about 16 times earnings compared with Baidu Inc.’s 32 times and Twitter Inc.’s multiple of more than 100.

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©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

Monday, March 04, 2024

Chinese-made phones are calling the shots in Africa as they beat global giants Samsung and Apple

South China Morning Post
Sun, March 3, 2024 

Along the bustling Luthuli Avenue in downtown Nairobi, banners and billboards advertise mobile phones to the throng of shoppers passing by.

The blue, red, black and white storefronts in the busy Kenyan shopping district denote the colours associated with some of Africa's bestselling phone brands - Tecno, Infinix and iTel.

They are all phones that are made in China. But most people in mainland China will not have heard of them. After all, they have never been sold there.

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That is because all three phone brands are manufactured by Transsion, a Shenzhen-based company that made its fortune exclusively selling phones in Africa - before it expanded into other markets such as Latin America, India, Eastern Europe and Southeast Asia.

In fact, Transsion has made such a success of its sales strategy that in 2023 its Tecno brand sold more smartphones in the Middle East and Africa than Samsung or Apple.

It is a feat that has helped cement Chinese tech diplomacy in the region - and has in turn attracted a growing number of Chinese technology firms into Africa and the Middle East.

Tecno smartphone shipments grew by 77 per cent year on year in the fourth quarter of last year, surpassing Samsung to lead the Middle East and Africa region for the first time, according to data from Hong Kong-based firm Counterpoint Research.

During the same period, Tecno's smartphone shipment market share increased to 20 per cent from 15 per cent in 2022, while Samsung's market share dropped from 24 per cent in 2022 to 18 per cent.

According to Counterpoint, Tecno's growth was driven by handsets in the US$150 price band, with models such as the Tecno Pop 7 and the Camon 20 Pro proving popular with consumers.

Economic factors may also have played a part in Transsion's 2023 success, according to Yang Wang, a senior analyst at Counterpoint Research. He said the growth - seen particularly by Tecno - was mainly due to a much better macroeconomic environment, as inflation and energy prices came down, while local African currencies stabilised across most countries.

Wang said this had a sizeable effect in boosting consumer confidence, particularly among the lower-income audience.

"Transsion brands benefited the most from these tailwinds as they are the most invested in Africa's mid-to-lower tier smartphone segments, among the biggest brands," he said.


Sell quality phones in the budget segment, such as this Tecno Spark 8c, has been a winning formula for Transsion. Photo: Shutterstock alt=Sell quality phones in the budget segment, such as this Tecno Spark 8c, has been a winning formula for Transsion. Photo: Shutterstock>

The company's products in the affordable segment have been a key part of its success. Looking at African sales alone, Tecno had already managed to pass Samsung back in 2020. That was largely due to the successful launch of phone models in the lower price band, as well as continued market spending.

Wang said Tecno was notable in its continued investments in marketing and channel penetration, as well as ambitious plans to launch premium-grade smartphones such as foldables, which increased the brand's credibility among audiences.

It is a strategy that has worked. Transsion is now the dominant mobile phone manufacturer through the entire Middle East and Africa region, taking more than 36 per cent of the shipments market share in the fourth quarter of 2023 and 32 per cent across the whole year.

Together, Tecno, Infinix and iTel accounted for 48 per cent of the smartphone market in Africa in 2023. Tecno alone held 26 per cent of the African smartphone market share while Infinix and iTel had 12 per cent and 10 per cent market shares respectively.

For more than a decade, Transsion, which is listed on the Star Market section of the Shanghai Stock Exchange, made its money by exclusively selling its mobile phones in Africa. But in recent years it has expanded into other markets.

Its success has been attributed to superior marketing and understanding consumer needs, such as making dual SIM card phones and camera phones better calibrated for darker skin tones.

According to technology research firm International Data Corporation (IDC), Transsion shipped 95 million smartphone units last year - 30.8 per cent more than it did in 2022. IDC said Africa was the biggest contributor to Transsion's entry into the top five worldwide vendors for the first time.

Meanwhile, South Korea's Samsung ranks second with a market share of 16 per cent in Africa, though sales remained flat in 2023.

Besides Transsion, other Chinese mobile phone brands include Xiaomi and Oppo. Xiaomi, one of the top-selling Chinese smartphones globally, had a 7 per cent market share in Africa in 2023, mainly due to widening product availability and geographic reach. Oppo had a 5 per cent smartphone shipment share in Africa.

But Transsion did not start big when it entered the African market in 2008. Back then, when it launched its operations in Kenya, its office was on the second floor of a building along that same, crowded Luthuli Avenue which these days is festooned with the company's branding and billboards.

It was from this noisy street that the company established its base to grow and expand into other markets in Africa, including setting up a manufacturing plant in Ethiopia.

Since those early days, Transsion has now moved its office to a quieter part of the city at Cardinal Otunga Plaza on Kaunda Street in central Nairobi, but it has kept the Luthuli Complex office as a service centre.


Transsion began its African trading from a nondescript office on the second floor of a building in downtown Nairobi, Kenya. It now dominates the phone market across the continent. Photo: Shutterstock alt=Transsion began its African trading from a nondescript office on the second floor of a building in downtown Nairobi, Kenya. It now dominates the phone market across the continent.
 Photo: Shutterstock>

However not all Chinese phone companies have had such sales success stories in Africa. Huawei Technologies has seen its market share in Africa drop from 10 per cent in 2019 to about 1 per cent in recent years.

"Huawei was indeed one of the biggest players in the region, but sales dropped sharply after 2020 when US sanctions starved the company from access to GMS [Google Mobile Services] and chipsets," Wang said.

"[Huawei] has been on the rebound in 2023 but now accounts for less than 1 per cent of the market."

That said, Huawei Technologies is a big player in the enterprise business in Africa, where it dominates built data centres, cloud services, networks and internet connectivity infrastructure.

Sub-Saharan geoeconomic analyst Aly-Khan Satchu said Chinese mobile phone brands "are ubiquitous across the continent".

He said this speaks to the Chinese ability to get up close and personal to its demand curve as well as the skill to price appropriately without compromising on the features suite. He added that this is not unique to handsets, but applies across the consumer space.

For Huawei, Satchu said the company is competing at higher price points - and the market at those points remains thin.

"The issue of Google Mobile Services has no doubt galvanised Huawei," Satchu said. "I give it a maximum of 24 months before Huawei provides the market with a better operating system."

New Zealand-based Kenyan technology consultant Peter Wanyonyi said accessing apps such as WhatsApp, Facebook or TikTok requires smartphones.

"That is where the likes of Tecno have found a winning formula: they provide smartphone capability at very affordable prices," Wanyonyi said.

He said this used to be Huawei's market, but ever since it got locked out of Google's Android ecosystem, the Chinese tech giant has struggled to produce smartphones that provide access to the Android ecosystem - which is what Africa's middle class runs on.

"Without an equivalent set of devices at an affordable point from Huawei, a gap opened up in the African smartphone market - and there was a market in the gap. This is what Tecno and similar phone makers have exploited to quickly eat Huawei's lunch," Wanyonyi said.

Copyright (c) 2024. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.

Tech war: Huawei's AI chip capabilities under intense scrutiny after market leader Nvidia taps it as potential rival


South China Morning Post
Sun, March 3, 2024 

The closely-guarded semiconductor capabilities of US-sanctioned Huawei Technologies have come under fresh scrutiny after Nvidia identified the Chinese telecommunications equipment giant as a potential rival in artificial intelligence (AI) chips for the first time.

With Nvidia currently unable to ship its advanced graphics processing units (GPUs) to mainland China under Washington's export restrictions, a new AI chipset from Huawei has emerged as a replacement for the US firm's Chinese products, industry insiders and analysts say.

The Huawei Ascend 910B, already available via distributor channels on the mainland, is considered by some industry participants to be on par in terms of computing power with Nvidia's sought-after A100 data-centre GPUs. Huawei has not made any public comment on the 910B.

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The Ascend 910B is believed to succeed the Ascend 910, which was released by Huawei in August 2019, three months after it was put on a trade blacklist by the US Commerce Department. The chip can compete with Nvidia's A100 in terms of powering AI algorithms, according to Dylan Patel, chief analyst at San Francisco-based semiconductor research firm SemiAnalysis.


A Chinese flag is seen near the logo atop Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp's headquarters in Shanghai. The country's top contract chip maker is said to be the supplier of Huawei Technologies' new artificial intelligence chipset, the Ascend 910B. Photo: Bloomberg alt=A Chinese flag is seen near the logo atop Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp's headquarters in Shanghai. The country's top contract chip maker is said to be the supplier of Huawei Technologies' new artificial intelligence chipset, the Ascend 910B. Photo: Bloomberg>

"It [the Ascend 910B] is a bit above the A100 theoretically," Patel said, adding that the chip is fabricated by China's top foundry, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), on a 7-nanometre process.

US sanctions since 2019 have restricted Huawei's semiconductor development and dealt a severe blow to its smartphone business. But the Shenzhen-based company has been quietly bolstering its chip business by partnering with various domestic suppliers, according to several people familiar with the matter, who declined to be identified due to the sensitivity of the matter.

Huawei showed its resilience in August last year, when it surprised the industry with the Mate 60 Pro, the company's first 5G smartphone release since the Mate 40 series in October 2020. Sales of the new handset propelled Huawei back to the top of the domestic smartphone market earlier this year.

The SMIC-made Kirin 9000s processor that powers the Mate 60 Pro sparked intense industry speculation over how Huawei managed to overcome a blanket US chip ban.


A Kirin 9000s processor, developed by Huawei Technologies chip design arm HiSilicon, is taken from a Mate 60 Pro 5G smartphone in Ottawa, capital of Canada, on September 3, 2023. Photo: Bloomberg alt=A Kirin 9000s processor, developed by Huawei Technologies chip design arm HiSilicon, is taken from a Mate 60 Pro 5G smartphone in Ottawa, capital of Canada, on September 3, 2023.
 Photo: Bloomberg>

At the domestic release of the Ascend 910, Huawei touted the chip at the time as "the world's most powerful AI processor", fabricated by the world's top contract chip maker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, using a 7-nm process.

Huawei's new AI chip appears to have emerged around the same time as the Mate 60 Pro's release last August. Chinese online search and AI giant Baidu ordered 1,600 of Huawei's Ascend 910B chips in the same month, according to a Reuters report in November 2023 that cited a source.

Two weeks before Reuters published that report, Chinese AI company iFlytek launched its Feixing One computing platform based on Huawei's Ascend chips. This means the iFlytek Spark 3.0, the firm's updated large language model (LLM), may have been developed on AI chips. LLMs are the technology used to train generative AI services like ChatGPT.

Huawei declined to comment on the matter.


Jensen Huang, the co-founder, president and chief executive of US chip design firm Nvidia, attends a session of the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, on February 12, 2024. Photo: Reuters alt=Jensen Huang, the co-founder, president and chief executive of US chip design firm Nvidia, attends a session of the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, on February 12, 2024. Photo: Reuters>

In an interview with tech media outlet Wired last month, Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang described Huawei as a "really, really good company".

"They're limited by whatever semiconductor processing technology they have, but they'll still be able to build very large systems by aggregating many of those chips together," Huang said.

Amid the increased focus on generative AI in the past year and tighter US sanctions, Huawei and SMIC have allocated more capacity to AI chips, according to a Reuters report last month.

One GPU distributor, who declined to be named due to the sensitivity of the matter, said that the Ascend 910B is "available for order, but supply is really tight at the moment".

A server used for AI training and embedded with eight Ascend 910B cards costs around 1.5 million yuan (US$208,395), which is roughly in the same range as A100 server prices quoted in black market channels, according to a separate person familiar with the matter who also declined to be named.

Huawei has not made any comment on the Ascend 910B, despite reiterating that AI is a "key strategy" ahead of the firm's exhibition at the four-day trade show MWC Barcelona in Spain last week.

Many analysts and industry professionals are reluctant to comment on the Nvidia and Huawei showdown, although they pointed out that the US chip designer has depth in GPUs and benefits from its software ecosystem CUDA, a computing platform that allows developers to unleash the full potential of semiconductors.

"CUDA is sticky, Nvidia did all of this hard work on its own and is reaping the benefits," said Brian Colello, technology equity strategist at Morningstar. "Huawei and its software partners will need to build out an ecosystem comparable [to Nvidia's CUDA] when it comes to tools to build AI models."

Despite lagging CUDA's 2 million-strong list of registered developers, Huawei has its proprietary Compute Architecture for Neural Networks, a platform that connects Ascend hardware and software, crucial to unlocking AI computing power.

Colello said Huawei might have to make similar [big] investments in mainland China to strengthen its software capabilities. He added that perhaps other companies will work on the software libraries, while Huawei focuses on chip design.

"Huawei's strength is not in the software stack," said one Shanghai-based tech investor who requested anonymity. "The US sanctions put limits on chip performance and production yields."

Copyright (c) 2024. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.

Sunday, August 02, 2020


Facebook's Move Against Huawei Is Symbolic But Toothless


By Leo Sun
06/10/19

Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) will no longer allow Huawei to pre-install its core app, Messenger, Instagram, or WhatsApp on its smartphones, according to Reuters. The decision comes after several other companies -- including Intel, Qualcomm, and ARM Holdings -- cut ties with Huawei amid the Trump Administration's escalating war against the Chinese tech giant.

In mid-May, the Trump Administration placed Huawei on an "entity list" of companies that are barred from buying American technologies without the government's approval. The ban on Huawei was suspended for 90 days to allow companies to fulfill security and contractual obligations, but Huawei could still be permanently cut off from American technologies if a trade deal isn't reached.

Facebook's decision to stop Huawei from pre-installing its apps initially sounds important, but it's ultimately toothless when you consider a few key issues.

A symbolic move with no real bite

Facebook isn't blocking Huawei users from using its apps, it's only preventing Huawei from pre-installing the apps on new phones, which means that customers simply need to install the apps from an app store like Alphabet's (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google Play or Huawei's AppGallery.

Google plans to cut new Huawei devices off from Google Play and other Google services when the 90-day extension ends in mid August. However, Huawei users can still download and install Facebook's flagship apps from the AppGallery, which is pre-installed on all Huawei devices.

Huawei controls 23% of the global smartphone market, according to IDC. But its biggest market is China, where it's the top player with a 28% market share, according to Counterpoint Research. Yet Facebook, Messenger, Instagram, and WhatsApp are all blocked in China -- so the impact there is non-existent.


Meanwhile, users in Huawei's other top markets, like Europe and Latin America, simply need to install Facebook's apps on new phones. Therefore, Reuters' claim that Facebook's decision "dampens the sales outlook" for Huawei greatly exaggerates the impact of a move that really has no bite.
A setback for Facebook's Chinese ambitions

Facebook's main platforms are all blocked in China, but it took baby steps back into the market last year with experimental apps like the photo-sharing app Colorful Balloons, a VR partnershipwith Xiaomi, and the launch of a Chinese subsidiary.

However, Facebook's latest move against Huawei indicates that protecting its business in the U.S. and other markets matters more than its long-term aspirations in China. It's unclear if Chinese regulators will retaliate against Facebook's limited presence in China, but they'll likely shoot down any efforts to relaunch its apps.

Is Facebook trying to curry the U.S. government's favor?
Facebook currently has 2.4 billion monthly active users (MAUs) on its main platform, 1.3 billion MAUs on Messenger, a billion MAUs on Instagram, and 1.6 billion MAUs on WhatsApp.

Based on the size of that ecosystem, Facebook doesn't rely on smartphone makers pre-installing its apps to gain or lock in users. That's generally what underdogs do -- for example, Microsoft partnered with various Android OEMs in recent years to pre-install its apps on phones as alternatives to Google's apps.

However, Facebook's ecosystem is still being scrutinized by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission. The FTC, which was already probing Facebook's privacy and security issues, was recently assigned to oversee a potential antitrust probe of the social network. It could be toughfor the FTC to build an antitrust case against Facebook, because it still has meaningful competitors in the social networking and advertising markets.


Nonetheless, it's still in Facebook's best interest to stay in the government's good graces, so making a symbolic stand against Huawei might convince the Trump Administration to stop targeting Facebook, Google, Apple, and Amazon with FTC or DOJ probes. It just won't actually hurt Huawei or prevent its smartphone users from accessing its apps.

John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Teresa Kersten, an employee of LinkedIn, a Microsoft subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to its CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Leo Sun owns shares of Amazon, Apple, and Facebook. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool owns shares of Qualcomm and has the following options: long January 2020 $150 calls on Apple and short January 2020 $155 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

This article originally appeared in The Motley Fool.