Saturday, November 12, 2022

Sask. NDP accuses Dustin Duncan of disparaging public education

“The Minister of Education refuses to admit the Loch Ness is not real” 

Jeremy Simes - 

Education Minister Dustin Duncan speaks to reporters about enhanced regulations for qualified independent schools in August.© Provided by Leader Post

Education Minister Dustin Duncan says he isn’t ragging on public and Catholic schools after the NDP accused him of doing so for his remarks on student grades.

House Leader Nicole Sarauer grilled Duncan on Thursday during question period in the Saskatchewan legislature, accusing him of dragging the publicly funded systems “through the mud,” after he suggested qualified independent school students have better marks than kids who attend Catholic or public schools.

Duncan had told the chamber on Tuesday that 57 per cent of students in qualified independent schools scored higher than 80 per cent on their departmental exams over the last year, whereas 54 per cent of students in Catholic or public schools scored higher than 80 per cent.

Duncan pointed to the marks as evidence students in qualified independent schools are receiving a “good education.” He re-affirmed that the government supports parents being able to send their kids to independent schools.

On Thursday, Duncan told the assembly he wasn’t criticizing public education when he made his comments.

He said he was trying to demonstrate that, regardless of where students attend school, they are “performing at or near the same mark.”

He said 68 per cent of students in associate schools, which are religious schools that have an operating agreement with public schools, had a mark above 80 per cent for their departmental exams.

“Students, even in independent schools … are learning the curriculum and can score near where public school students are when it comes to departmentals,” he said.

Sarauer told the chamber qualified independent schools aren’t held to the same standards “and that their marks are inflated.”

She said public and Catholic schools don’t get to pick and choose their students.

“I hope this minister really realizes he’s not the minister for qualified independent schools. He’s actually the minister for all of education,” she said.

Duncan has been under fire over the past two weeks over allegations of abuse at some qualified independent schools, including Legacy Christian Academy, as well as for some of the material that has been taught at these schools.

Former students of Legacy said they had learned from a biology textbook that stated people and dinosaurs co-existed. It citied the Loch Ness Monster, which is a mythical creature, as proof dinosaurs exist today .



Stefanie Hutchinson, Caitlin Erickson and Coy Nolin, former students of Legacy Christian Academy, speak to the media after raising concerns about allegations of abuse at the school and what they call unacceptable learning material.
© Provided by Leader Post

Advocate considering investigation into Legacy Christian Academy allegations

While Duncan says it’s possible the independent schools weren’t fully following the curriculum prior to 2012, he said the textbook is no longer heavily used as a resource for qualified independent schools.

He told reporters on Tuesday there are a couple of chapters in the book that are not considered problematic, including ones that deal with genetics, photosynthesis and evolution.

He said the ministry worked with qualified independent schools in 2013 to ensure they were following the curriculum.

Caitlin Erickson, who has filed a lawsuit in regards to alleged abuse at Legacy , has said controversial teachings continue to persist, noting many of the resources are listed on the Saskatchewan Association of Independent Church Schools (SAICS) website.

Duncan said he would have to look at the website again, but added the ministry has reviewed the workbooks being taught by schools that follow SAICS.

“For the most part, aside from the faith-based elements, I think the ministry is comfortable that the information that is in the workbooks and the information that is part of the curriculum could likely be used in any school in the province,” he said.

He said the Accelerated Christian Education workbooks that were used prior to 2012 were deemed unacceptable. The ministry worked with schools to rewrite their workbooks to align them with the curriculum, he said.

He noted the government doesn’t have much control over what’s being taught in registered independent schools, which don’t receive government funding. He said they don’t receive the same level of oversight.

However, Sarauer accused Duncan of not being harsh on the teachings.

“The Minister of Education refuses to admit the Loch Ness is not real,” she quipped.

Q&A: Did dinosaurs and humans coexist, as controversial Sask. textbook claims? We asked an expert

















CBC/Radio-Canada - 

Dinosaur history has been a hot topic in the Saskatchewan Legislature, leading the provincial education minister and Opposition critic to jaw at one another over the questionable facts of an independent curriculum.

The debate surfaced after former students of Saskatoon's Legacy Christian Academy demanded its curriculum — called Accelerated Christian Education, or ACE — be banned.

The government opposition read from a biology textbook used at an independent Saskatchewan school that read, in part, "scientific evidence tends to support the idea that men and dinosaurs existed at the same time."

The Loch Ness monster was also referenced in the textbook read by the Opposition as "proof that dinosaurs still exist today."

When CBC requested to speak with a paleontologist from the Royal Saskatchewan Museum to clear that up, that request was routed through to the Education minister's office who said the minister wasn't available, despite him not being requested.

Instead, Stefani Langenegger, host of CBC's The Morning Edition, spoke with paleontologist Graham Young, a curator of geology and paleontology at the Manitoba Museum.

The following transcript has been edited for clarity and length.

A: Dinosaurs inhabited the planet for a very long time, from about 230 million years ago to about 66 million years ago. So, well over 100 million years: far longer than the time since they became extinct.

We're able to do very good age dating on rocks using a variety of methods. Of course, dinosaurs are in sedimentary rocks, but sedimentary rocks, especially in geologically active regions, often have volcanic layers in them and you can date the age of a volcanic rock or an ash using chemicals in it.

They're getting to know quite a lot about human evolution because there's been such a focus on it but it depends how you define "human." We're homo sapiens.

So our first relatives who belong to that group of species are from right about two million years ago. So to contrast, the last dinosaurs were 33 times as long ago as the first human relatives.

I'm not going to talk about biblical evidence, that's far outside my area of expertise, and I'm not going to involve myself in Saskatchewan politics, but there is absolutely no scientific evidence for that.

Yeah, that's been something that's been going on for many decades.

Basically, there's a dinosaur trackway site in Texas and it seems that people have periodically added human footprints to that by carving them in and there's been some quite detailed analysis that shows that any of the so-called human footprints there do not have the characteristics of fossil footprints.

Fossil footprints deform sediment, so the human footprints are something someone wishfully added.

We know quite a lot. The Loch Ness monster is something that developed from old myths and, in the 20th century, apparently from hoaxes.

North Americans may not realize Loch Ness is not a huge lake by our standards. It's not like Lake Winnipeg, it's not an expanse of water, it's a long narrow lake and if there was anything that was at all like a plesiosaur in there, it would be observed on a daily basis.


A view of the Loch Ness Monster, near Inverness, Scotland, April 19, 1934. The photograph, one of two pictures known as the 'surgeon's photographs,' was allegedly taken by Colonel Robert Kenneth Wilson, though it was later exposed as a hoax by one of the participants, Chris Spurling, who, on his deathbed, revealed that the pictures were staged by himself, Marmaduke and Ian Wetherell, and Wilson. References to a monster in Loch Ness date back to St. Columba's biography in 565 AD. More than 1,000 people claim to have seen 'Nessie' and the area is, consequently, a popular tourist attraction. (Photo by Keystone/Getty Images)© Keystone/Getty Images

I think it's really important that all of us get a really solid grounding in general Earth science so that people understand the deep history of the planet, that they understand things like where fossil fuels have come from and the causes of earthquakes so that they know not to build in places that are most likely to be affected by earthquakes or by tsunamis.

There are so many aspects of Earth science that are critical to being a good citizen and I think that's the important thing is that people need that sort of solid grounding in this sort of science.

Friday, November 11, 2022

CONFEDERATE STATES OF AMERICA REDUX

San Bernardino Votes to Secede from California, Form 'Empire' State

Giulia Carbonaro  
Newsweek


Anarrow majority of voters in San Bernardino, California, has voted in favor of a measure allowing county officials to initiate the process of seceding from the state of California.


People line up to vote at Plummer Park on November 8, 2022 in West Hollywood, California.
© David McNew/Getty Images

Measure EE asked the electorate whether San Bernardino County elected representatives should "study and advocate for all options to obtain the county's fair share of state funding, including secession from the State of California," according to the Voter Information Guide for San Bernardino County.

The possibility of seceding from California was added to the proposition by Jeff Burum, a real estate mogul, who said the state wasn't doing enough to help the county with its increased population.

At the moment, San Bernardino County counts some 2.18 million residents, the fifth-highest population in the entire state.

"I would never willfully want to leave this state," Burum told The San Bernardino Sun. "But I can tell you this, if you're just going to continue to abuse me and abuse us, sometimes you don't have a choice but to stand up for yourself."

He also suggested that the county be turned into a new state with the name of "Empire."

The measure, put to San Bernardino's voters on November 8, was passed 51.3 percent to 48.7.

Newsweek has contacted Burum and San Bernardino County for comment.

Will San Bernardino Actually Secede From California?

It's unlikely that San Bernardino will secede from California, even though the passing of this measure technically allows elected officials to initiate the project.

The measure is mostly symbolic, showing that the county is willing to do whatever it takes to make sure it gets its "fair share" of state funding, including secession. But it's unclear whether a secession from the state would even be legally or constitutionally possible.

According to the Constitution, any secession must be approved by the State legislature and Congress.

Though there are cases in which previous secession attempts have worked out—Maine seceding from Massachusetts in 1820 and West Virginia being recognized as a new state in 1863—numerous attempts at breaking up California in recent years have all failed.

San Bernardino County wasn't the only case where secessionist movements gained a victory in these midterms.

Three counties in Illinois—Brown, Hardin, and the northeastern portion of Madison County—have passed referendums that technically allow initiating the process of secession from the state, joining some 24 that had already approved of similar non-binding measures.

In Oregon, a majority of residents in Morrow County and Wheeler County voted in favor of joining Idaho, moving the state line between the two states to create a "Greater Idaho."

Oregon counties vote ‘yes’ on secession from state: report

Bob Brigham - Yesterday 



Map of© provided by RawStory

The secessionist movement by conservative Oregon counties seeking to join Idaho continues to gather steam.

"Residents in Morrow County and Wheeler County have voted in favor of a measure related to moving the state line between Oregon and Idaho, joining nine previous eastern Oregon counties to vote in support of 'Greater Idaho," KPTV reported. "The Oregon Secretary of State website shows on Wednesday afternoon that of 800 votes in Wheeler County, 58% were in favor, and of the 3,837 votes in Morrow County, 60% were in favor."

Harney County joined the movement in the 2021 election, joining, "Lake, Grant, Baker, Malheur, Union, Sherman, and Jefferson

According to the group pushing the idea, Citizens for Greater Idaho, there are now 11 counties that have supported the idea at the ballot box: Baker, Grant, Harney, Klamath, Jefferson, Lake, Malheur, Morrow, Sherman, Union, and Wheeler. The group says Wallowa will vote next.

Related video: The movement to expand Idaho's border into Oregon
Duration 5:38 View on Watch


KPTV noted, "like many of the previous votes, the measures approved on Tuesday did not directly address moving the state border."

There are significant procedural steps to allow the proposal to occur.

"For 'Greater Idaho' to become a reality, the state legislatures of both Oregon and Idaho would need to approve of the change, and that approval would then also need to be approved by Congress," KPTV reported. "Additionally, Idaho’s state constitution in Article XVII sets the name and boundaries of the state, which would need a state-wide vote to amend."

Citizens for Greater Idaho leader Mike McCarter released a statement following the vote.

“We call on the Legislature to let each half of the state go their separate ways in peace," McCarter said. "If western Oregon doesn’t like the risk of being forced to accept the gubernatorial candidate it voted against, then it should simply stop holding our counties captive in this unhappy marriage. Actually, it’s not even as dramatic as a divorce because we’re not breaking up a family."
WORLDS SMALLEST VIOLIN
Varcoe: 'Windfall tax' in Europe hits home for Calgary oil and gas producer

Opinion by Chris Varcoe, Calgary Herald - 

If those backing a windfall tax on the oilpatch want a peek at what it creates — aside from more revenues for governments — Calgary-based Vermilion Energy offers a glimpse: uncertainty.


Oil barrels are pictured at the site of Canadian group Vermilion Energy in Parentis-en-Born, France, on Oct. 13, 2017.© Provided by Calgary Herald

With a global energy crisis unfolding today, the reverberations have reached Vermilion, a mid-sized petroleum producer that is active in Canada, the United States, Australia and several European countries.

On Thursday, Vermilion reported third-quarter net earnings of $271 million in a period of high energy prices, up from a loss of $147 million a year earlier.

The company also announced it could pay an estimated $250 million to $350 million for 2022 because of the new temporary “windfall tax” being imposed by European Union (EU) countries on profits by oil and gas producers.

In a news release, Vermilion said it doesn’t “believe a windfall tax is an appropriate solution as it will not incentivize new domestic supply, nor reduce consumption, and it may ultimately result in higher natural gas prices in Europe.”


Uncertainty surrounding the new tax led the Canadian company to pause its share buyback program in the fourth quarter so it can fully assess the impact of the levy on its debt targets.

“It’s been an interesting time with the policy in Europe. It’s during this energy crisis, it’s discussions from price caps to windfall taxes on oil and gas companies,” Vermilion president Dion Hatcher said on a conference call.

“Our ask, as we think about the policies in Europe, is really we want stable and predictable policies.”

With energy prices soaring following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, the EU approved a temporary windfall tax in September aimed at fossil fuel companies in the region.

Some details have yet to be ironed out by individual countries and it’s unclear whether the tax will apply retroactively to 2022, prospectively to 2023, or for both years, according to Vermilion.

If it hits both years, the potential cumulative costs are estimated at $650 million to $750 million, based on the current commodity price outlook.

Vermilion’s shares fell almost eight per cent on Thursday to close at $27.25 on the Toronto Stock Exchange, while the overall S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index climbed by 2.5 per cent.

“It’s all about the EU windfall tax,” said analyst Phil Skolnick of Eight Capital. “It’s just a knee-jerk reaction to them saying they’re pausing the (buybacks) and that caught some people off guard.”

Ottawa could reap $4.4 billion from extending windfall tax to other sectors: PBO


Vermilion has a diverse base of international operations, including in France — where it’s the No. 1 domestic oil producer — along with Ireland, Germany and the Netherlands.

About a third of its production of 84,000 barrels of oil equivalent (boe) per day came from outside North America, but it contributed an oversized amount of free cash flow as the company received premium prices for its natural gas and oil in Europe.

Continental gas prices hit all-time highs above $120 per million British thermal units (mmBTU) at Europe’s benchmark futures market in late August. Vermilion estimates the realized price for all of its gas production will average $22 per mmBTU this year, compared with $5 for gas in Alberta.

Calls for a windfall tax have gathered steam in recent months as gasoline prices and energy bills have jumped for consumers, while producers around the world have reported record profits.

During the run-up to the American mid-term elections, President Joe Biden warned last week of a similar windfall tax on the U.S. sector, while saying it’s time oil companies “stop the war profiteering.”

In Canada, the federal government opted not to bring in a windfall tax, but announced plans to introduce a new levy on public companies repurchasing their own shares, beginning in 2024.

“This is a time of unprecedented profits in the oil and gas sector. Right now, that money is almost entirely being handed back to shareholders,” said Keith Stewart of Greenpeace Canada, which is calling for a windfall tax.

The levy on corporate share buybacks , which have grown in popularity across the sector in the past year, amounts to a different form of a windfall tax on the sector, said Ben Brunnen, founder of Verum Consulting.

Governments in Canada are already collecting more royalties and taxes tied to higher oil and gas prices, he noted.


FILE PHOTO: Canada’s Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Chrystia Freeland delivers the fall economic statement in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada on November 3, 2022.

If policymakers want to see more benefits, they should encourage industry growth, rather than create new taxes, said Brunnen, former vice-president of fiscal and economic policy with the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers.

“Investors have been patient with the oil and gas industry over the last decade or so, struggling to get some good returns. And when those returns finally come, they get penalized,” he said.

“It’s short-sighted economic policy.”

At Vermilion, the company expects to unveil its 2023 capital budget in January that’s similar to this year’s $550-million program. Hatcher said there’s a potential for more money being allocated to increase European gas output.

“We have the ability and desire to drill more wells in Europe and if ongoing discussions with regulators are productive, we will look to allocate additional capital to the region in 2023,” he said.

Hatcher would also like to see government policies recognize the industry’s contribution to energy security, displacing the need to import supplies.

“Going back to ‘97, we have put meaningful capital at risk to provide secure energy in Europe … without the guarantees of return,” he said.

“Our business is cyclical and there are periods of low prices, and there are periods of high prices. And we need those periods of high prices to offset the lows.”

Chris Varcoe is a Calgary Herald columnist.

Letter: It's time to turn away from fossil fuels to power new builds

Reader Letters - 
Leader Post


We’re way behind on electrification in Regina when it has advantages that would benefit us while helping to fight the climate crisis. Building right with all electric the first time will save money on energy costs for buildings with the costs of operating high-efficiency electric appliances being lower with savings over time. A study by Inclusive Economics and UCLA’s Luskin Center for Innovation found that there could be significant job growth from electrifying new and existing buildings. Most of the new jobs would be in construction, with opportunities for job growth in other sectors as well, including manufacturing.


Solar panels on a row of townhouses.© Provided by Leader Post

Building electrification (also known as beneficial electrification or building decarbonization) involves the shift to electricity rather than burning fossil fuels like oil, gas and coal for heating and cooking. We need to be going to all-electric buildings powered by solar, wind and other sources of zero-carbon electricity. Electrification is an effective decarbonization strategy that can be rolled out on a municipal basis because the electricity used can be generated with clean resources.

So why are we building backwards with buildings that are not highly energy efficient or electrified? It’s developers nickel and diming with no accountability to the City of Regina or the province to build with a focus on decarbonization. We need to stop looking for the cheapest shortcuts in buildings in our province and city and look for the solutions that have the best long term benefit environmentally and economically. If we’re serious about sustainability then it’s time to get serious about electrification.

Larry Neufeld, Regina
CONSERVATIVE ALBERTA ECONOMIST 
Jack Mintz: The real climate policy question — why is Trudeau's carbon tax so low?
ASKS A GOOD QUESTION OF THE TORIES
THEY HAVE NO CARBON TAX PLAN

Opinion by Jack M. Mintz -Financial Post

Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson speaking to the 
Calgary Chamber of Commerce.

Public finance economists — myself included — have long argued that the best way to reduce GHG emissions is to impose a “price” via an emission trading system (ETS) or carbon tax . The idea is not new. British economist Arthur Pigou first proposed environmental taxes a century ago.

A Pigou argument for carbon pricing is based on both effectiveness and least economic cost. Businesses and households react to the price by adopting technologies or conservation practices to reduce emissions without any need for further political meddling in markets. As a bonus, recycling the revenues to reduce uncompetitive taxes such as the income tax results in a “double dividend” by improving both the environment and the economy .


The federal minister of natural resources, John Wilkinson, seems to agree — except for the double dividend bit: Ottawa gives its carbon tax revenues back to households in lump-sum transfers. But the minister is so sold on carbon taxes he’s willing to guarantee carbon prices in private-sector contracts and commit to paying penalties if the tax is cancelled — presumably in order to keep a future Poilievre government from doing just that. Legal issues aside, is it really smart to force a policy decision like this on future voters?


In the runup to the COP27 talkfest in Egypt, the OECD published a report on “ Pricing greenhouse gas emissions: Turning climate targets into climate action.” Because worldwide GHG emissions keep increasing and are expected to do so for the rest of decade perhaps it should have been called “Turning climate targets into climate in action.”

The OECD argues that carbon taxation and ETS systems are spreading, with 71 jurisdictions now pricing at least some GHG emissions. But dig into the numbers and you find the average 2021 global carbon tax was only 71 U.S. cents per tonne of CO2 — just 95 Canadian cents! Add in ETS pricing and the average carbon price shoots up to €4.29, or just C$5.80 — which amounts to a hill of beans.

To persuade us carbon pricing is important, the OECD also includes excise taxes on gasoline and diesel. They bring the carbon price up to €17.52 (C$23.67). But in most places the purpose of such taxes has been to fund subsidized road transportation and operate as a surrogate tax on congestion costs, not to price GHG emissions. Besides, it’s a very poor carbon levy because it only applies narrowly to just a few sources.

With the recent spike in energy prices, many countries have been handing out subsidies to help consumers cope. Net of subsidies, the 2021 carbon price (not including excise taxes on fuel) is €3.43 (C$4.06). Despite the Trudeau government’s rhetoric, Canada is in the middle of the pack with the 31st highest carbon price: €21.69 (C$29.36).

Maybe we should start asking the obvious question: why are carbon prices so low? They certainly haven’t caught on — not compared with the value-added tax (VAT), for instance, which started in 1954 in France and grew in 30 years to become an important revenue source in over 150 countries. VAT revenues now account for almost a fifth of total tax revenues in OECD countries while carbon revenues are bupkis – roughly three per cent of the total.

So why is carbon pricing failing as a policy? At least five reasons.

First, it is very visible, leads to higher prices for necessities (transportation and heating), and hurts low-income and rural voters. Hidden taxes and even costly regulations on businesses are politically easier: voters don’t see them raising prices, even though they do.

Second, voters like policies that give them money rather than take it away. Outside California the U.S. has very little carbon pricing. But Washington just passed legislation providing almost a half-trillion dollars in climate subsidies. Subsidies financed by higher deficits or corporate taxes are more appealing than taxes — until they break the bank.

Third, many countries have little faith in the effectiveness of carbon pricing, actually preferring clean energy regulations and mandates. Even Jonathan Wilkinson , when he was environment minister, was convinced that even with the carbon price rising to $170 per tonne mandates and clean fuel regulations were needed if Canada was to reach its (unrealistic) GHG emission targets by 2030.

BULLSHIT

Fourth, without international coordination carbon policies have significant impacts on competitiveness that could lead to deindustrialization and job losses in energy-intensive industries. For Canada, this is especially important. Our carbon policies are on a different track than those of our largest trading partner, the U.S. Even if we match the Americans’ huge new subsidies, our high carbon price will make Canadian businesses less competitive than U.S. companies. Border tariffs with the U.S. might offset our disadvantage but wouldn’t stop Canadian businesses shifting production south to the largest market in the world.

Fifth, energy security and poverty will force countries to trade off climate change with other public objectives until practical technologies develop commercially. In today’s energy crisis, European countries are scrambling for coal, natural gas and oil to support both consumers and industries.

Though it does bring in revenues, which is always appealing to governments, carbon pricing just doesn’t cut it for many countries, as the OECD has now shown.
CAPTALI$T CLIMATE CRI$I$ OPPORTUNITY

Faulkner: Climate change migration and the future of real estate

Dennis Faulkner - Yesterday - Edmonton Journal

Canada is already at or near the top of the list of the best countries to live in. Alas, there is possibly another reason to move to Canada — climate change.


Forest fires and floods are some of the climate change effects that will affect where people live.


Forward thinkers and generational planners may see a move to Canada as the best way to thrive in a climate-changed world.

Some residents of California have moved because of the increase in wildfires. Many no longer feel safe. They have migrated to other parts of the United States, where the wildfire risk is much lower.

Declining river levels in the United States, including the Colorado River, Mississippi River and Missouri River, are reaching dangerously low levels.

California has to keep implementing new restrictions for the acceptable use of the precious waters of the Colorado River. Many farmers have had to limit and change what crops they grow in California because of the shortages.

The Colorado River runs down to Mexico or used to. Now what runs into Mexico is more like a trickle.

The Missouri and Mississippi Rivers are now so low that there are backlogs of vessels waiting to get to tidewater. These vessels contain grains and other products for world export.

The delay in getting food resources affects revenue for exporters and farmers and may contribute to food shortages in parts of the world.

On the West Coast of Canada, some waterways have dried up, which is affecting salmon’s ability to spawn.

Related video: Climate change has 'massive' impact on health, expert says
Duration 1:32   View on Watch

In the last several years, there has been an increase in the frequency and intensity of storms, droughts and wildfires. All these changes to our weather patterns come with great additional costs.

Climate change aside, the Canadian government has significantly increased our immigration quotas. Canada typically processes about 260,000 immigration applications each year. That level is increasing.

In 2019, Canada welcomed 341,000 new permanent residents. In 2021, we welcomed 401,000 permanent residents, which broke the old record set in 1913.

This year is expected to increase to as many as 420,000 applications processed, with even more increases expected in 2023 and beyond.

We will likely see more business and corporate migration to Canada, as well.

The increase in immigration is necessary to support our economy and replace our aging and retiring baby boomers.

This increased immigration will put upward pressure on housing demand. Rental demand will likely increase across the nation. Demand for home ownership will follow.

We already have a housing shortage in Canada. That shortage may be as high or higher than 2 million homes.

The recent rapid increase in mortgage rates has resulted in downward pressure on housing demand across Canada. Many areas of British Columbia and Ontario have seen significant drops in valuations since the beginning of the year.

Some are anticipating as much as a 30 per cent valuation drop in housing in regions of B.C. and Ontario. The prairie provinces did not appreciate significantly over the last 10 years and may not see much of a correction at all.

What affects values the most is the relationship between demand and supply.

The increased levels of immigration in Canada may reduce the amount of downward correction in values. Climate change migration could contribute to stronger housing demand in Canada for decades to come.

The prairie provinces could be at the top of the list of many new Canadians seeking housing affordability and employment opportunities. In the coming two to five years, we may see the housing values in prairie provinces significantly outperform many regions, including Ontario and B.C.

Canada could see a significant increase in immigration applications related to climate change issues in the years and decades to come.

Dennis Faulkner works as a realtor at Re/Max River City and holds a bachelor of arts degree with a major in macroeconomics. He can be contacted at hello@simplyrealestate.ca
Deep inside Greenland's melting ice cap, the situation is dire

Mark Robinson - 
The rocks at the edge of the ice looked more like someone had backed up a gravel truck and dumped it rather than the remnants of what had once been encased deep in a glacier.

Picking my way through the piles and onto the Greenland ice cap itself during a StormHunters expedition back in 2013 was a crash course in not breaking an ankle. Gravel mixed with meltwater and crumbling ice poured past my feet and I wondered if what I was seeing was regular summer melt, or if this was one of the first signs of a serious problem.

Lucky for me, a powerful new documentary called Into The Ice answered my question — but the answer wasn’t the one I’d hoped for.

Into The Ice, a film by documentarian Lars Ostenfeld, took him high up onto the Greenland ice cap as he followed three sets of scientists delving deep into the frozen surface.

As Ostenfbeld explained, when I spoke with him over a video call in advance of the film’s screening at the Planet in Focus Festival, getting a better look of what’s happening inside the glacier is an important as seeing what the satellites are telling us.

“Half of the ice melt is happening inside the ice and we have no idea what’s going on in there. The satellites and the radar are only seeing the surface and that’s where our knowledge is coming from,” he told The Weather Network.



Deep inside Greenland's melting ice cap, the situation is dire© Provided by The Weather NetworkOn the ice caps of Greenland during the filming of Into the Ice. (Courtesy of Lars Ostenfeld)

So, to understand how the ice is changing and document how climatologists are finding new ways to document those changes, Ostenfeld travelled across the ice cap with Jason Box, dropped into a deep moulin (a meltwater hole in the ice) with Alun Hubbard, and examined ice cores with Dorthe Dahl-Jensen.

Each section of the documentary has its share of adventure, but it’s the section where Ostenfeld descends into the moulin that had my heart going (and I’ve been inside live volcanoes).

I asked Ostenfeld what emotions were going through his mind as he stood at the edge of the ice.

He laughed as he told me, “First of all, it was a good idea back in Denmark to climb down in the moulin. It sounded like a great adventure, but when I was standing there at the edge, looking down, it was totally black. You could see the ice and it just went down into a black hole. Nobody knew how deep it was and nobody knew where it ends. That was scary.”

Watch also: 'Zombie ice' is threatening our seas, but what is it? 
Duration 0:56  View on Watch

Heading down into the moulin was dangerous beyond anything he’d ever done before.

“We took it in slow steps,” he said. “When I was down at 60 metres there was a small plateau and I could stop and film from there. I was scared: very, very scared. My knees were shaking, my heart was going, but my safety guy, and expedition leader, was right beside me and the way he spoke to me, and the way he handled things made me feel safe.”

Getting to the bottom was a goal for both Ostenfeld and the scientists. For the former, getting a shot from the bottom of the hole would be potentially a first in filming, and for the scientists, and it was a chance to determine how much melt was ongoing within the ice cap.

On his first attempt, Ostenfeld only made it part of the way down as Alan Hubbard, his companion glaciologist, decided the ice was too warm and dangerous to make it all the way to the bottom. On the second attempt, spoiler alert, the scene had my stomach in knots while watching the film.


At the end of the day, the real point of the documentary wasn’t to have an adventure, but to make people feel the effects of climate change.

“It is happening and I want people to feel it and take it seriously. This film celebrates science and the scientists and I want people to listen to what they are saying. It's like a Cassandra complex: you know what’s happening in the future but you feel like no one’s listening. And I want people to listen to the scientists because we can do something. If everyone does something small, it adds up over time,” Ostenfeld explained.



Deep inside Greenland's melting ice cap, the situation is dire© Provided by The Weather NetworkHeading down a deep moulin (a meltwater hole in the ice) during the filming of Into the Ice. (Courtesy of Lars Ostenfeld)

Completing the film changed Ostenfeld’s perspective on climate change and the natural world.

“One, I didn’t realize how big nature is and the problem is enormous. There’s a lot of ice that is melting so it will affect the whole world,” he said. “And second, I had the same feeling as Jason (one of the scientists) in that, is anyone listening? I began the film just because I was curious about what was happening to the ice and didn’t know much about it. After I finished filming and editing, I’m more worried about it now.”

While I know that the Greenland ice cap isn’t going anywhere soon, I’m hoping that when I next return the piles of ice debris won’t be that much larger and the ice that much smaller.

But, I’m not confident it won’t be bad news.

Into the Ice is playing a wide variety of film festivals in Europe and North America and Ostenfeld hopes to bring it to a streaming service soon.

Thumbnail image: Into the Ice. (Courtesy of Lars Ostenfeld)
DEAD SOULS TOURISM 
Archaeologists discover vast tunnel beneath Egyptian temple

Greg Cannella - Yesterday - CBS News

Archaeologists have discovered a massive ancient rock tunnel beneath an Egyptian temple, the Egyptian Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities announced last week.

A group led by Dr. Kathleen Martinez, who heads the Egyptian-Dominican mission of the University of Santo Domingo, uncovered the tunnel. She has made several previous discoveries in her search for the tomb of Queen Cleopatra.

Archeologists described the tunnel a "geometric miracle," according to a news release from the ministry. It stretches over 4,300 feet and is carved in a rock 42 feet below the ground in the area of the Temple of Tapozeris Magna, which is located west of the city of Alexandria, the ministry said.


Archaeologists have found a tunnel beneath a temple west of Alexandria, Egypt. November 2022. / Credit: Egypt Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities


The name of the temple, Tapozeris Magna, is dedicated to Osiris — the God of death. AND RESSURECTION BEING A FERTILITY DIETY



The tunnel's architectural design appears to resemble that of Greece's Jubilinos Tunnel, but longer, the ministry said. Martinez said a part of the tunnel was found to be submerged under the waters of the Mediterranean Sea, according to the ministry.

A network of tunnels stretching from King Marriott Lake to the Mediterranean were also discovered, as well as 16 burial sites inside rock-carved tombs commonly used in the Greek and Roman centuries, the ministry disclosed.


Archaeologists have found a tunnel beneath a temple west of Alexandria, Egypt. November 2022. / Credit: Egypt Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities
During previous excavations at the site, researchers also found important artifacts inside the temple, including coins bearing the images and names of both Queen Cleopatra and Alexander the Great. They said a number of beheaded statues, and statues of the goddess Isis, were also found.


Alabaster head found during excavations beneath the Tapuziris Magna Temple near Alexandria, Egypt. / Credit: Egypt Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities 

China Then, India Now

Rich Karlgaard, Forbes Staff - Yesterday 

Investor reaction to China’s 20th Party Congress in October was swift and ugly. The Monday after the event concluded, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 6.4%, the worst one-day drop since the 2008 financial crisis. Goldman Sachs’ index of Chinese ADRs sank 15%. China’s yuan reached its lowest point versus the U.S. dollar in 14 years.


Gautam Adani, chairman of Adani Group Forbes Asia© Provided by Forbes

Markets can process any kind of news: good, bad and neutral. What markets hate is surprise. Certainly, the reach of President Xi Jinping’s power ambitions were no surprise. His becoming president for life was expected. Rather, the shock (to global investors anyway) was Xi’s warm embrace of 1949, the year Mao Zedong prevailed in the Chinese civil war (1946-49) and created the Marxist-Leninist People’s Republic of China. It is stunning that Xi, leader of the world’s second largest economy, sees greater glory in the frequent mass starvation years between 1949-76. It’s as if Deng Xiaoping’s post-Mao miracle of reforms, and booms in innovation and prosperity, were bad for China.

Related video: What Will Fuel India's Economic Boom & Decoding The 'New India' Picture: Chetan Ahya Exclusive   Duration 14:24   View on Watch



While China copes with its self-inflicted errors, let’s turn to India. Gautam Adani, who tops the list of India’s richest, sees a bright future for the country. The chairman of Ahmedabad-based Adani Group, which has interests in ports, airports, green energy, cement and more, spoke at September’s Forbes Global CEO Conference in Singapore.

Below are highlights of Adani’s speech. (His comments are edited for brevity.)

Globalization is at an inflexion point. It will look very different from what we had come to accept in a largely unipolar world.
We are now witnessing a new set of geopolitical couplings as we transition into a multipolar world. What I see ahead are the new principles of global engagement based on greater self-reliance, lowered supply chain risks and stronger nationalism. Some have called this “the rising tide of deglobalization.”
Global turbulence has accelerated opportunities for India. It has made India one of the few relatively bright spots from a political, geostrategic and market perspective.
What many see as India’s imperfections reflects a thriving and a noisy democracy. Only the free can afford to make noise—to have their imperfections visible. To over-manage this would be to destroy India’s unique ability to express its diversity.
India has just become the world’s fifth largest economy. We are on the path to be the world’s third largest economy by 2030. India’s real growth is just starting.
Between now and 2050, India will become a country with 100% literacy levels. India will also be poverty-free, well before 2050. We will be a country with a median age of just 38 years even in 2050, with the largest consuming middle class the world will ever see.
India will attract the highest levels of foreign direct investment given the sheer scale of consumption of 1.6 billion people. (Last year, India recorded its highest annual FDI inflow of $85 billion. Inflow this year is expected to cross $100 billion—thereby setting another record.) We will be the country that will go from a $3 trillion economy to a $30 trillion economy, a country with a stock market capitalization of $45 trillion, and a country that will be supremely confident of its position in the world.
It took India almost 58 years post-independence to reach the $1 trillion GDP mark. It then took 12 years to achieve $2 trillion—and thereafter, only five years to achieve $3 trillion. This rate will further accelerate as the digital revolution kicks in and transforms every type of activity at a national scale.
In 2021, India added a unicorn every nine days, and it executed the largest number of real-time financial transactions globally—a staggering 48 billion. This was three times greater than China and six times greater than the U.S., Canada, France and Germany combined.

Hedge China. Embrace India.
Carbon dioxide emissions rising globally, but drop in China


SHARM EL-SHEIKH, Egypt (AP) — The world’s burning of coal, oil and natural gas this year is putting 1% more heat-trapping carbon dioxide in the air than last year, bad news for the fight against climate change but with an odd twist, according to scientists who track emissions.



Carbon dioxide emissions rising globally, but drop in China© Provided by The Canadian Press

China’s carbon pollution was down 0.9% this year compared to 2021, while emissions in the United States were 1.5% higher, said a study by scientists at Global Carbon Project released early Friday at international climate talks in Egypt. Both are opposite long-term trends. American emissions had been steadily dropping while Chinese emissions had been rising — until this year.

In both cases, it is a reaction to the pandemic and perhaps a bit of the energy crisis created by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, study lead author Pierre Friedlingstein of the University of Exeter told The Associated Press. He said those two factors make this year’s data chaotic and hard to draw trends from. China’s lockdown in 2022 to try to control renewed COVID-19 is a major factor in that country’s drop, he said.

Much of the jump was in transportation — cars and air travel — with people’s limits on travel during the pandemic wearing off, Friedlingstein said.

While global carbon pollution is still increasing, it isn’t increasing at as fast a rate as 10 or 15 years ago. But overall scientists said this is bad news because it is pushing Earth closer to hitting and then passing the globally adopted threshold of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) since pre-industrial times.

“It means we better get ready to blow past the target and enter a world that humans have never experienced,’’ said Princeton University climate scientist Michael Oppenheimer, who wasn’t part of the research team.

Friedlingstein’s team — along with other scientific reports — figure Earth can only put 380 billion metric tons (419 U.S. tons) of carbon dioxide into the air before Earth reaches the 1.5-degree mark. That’s about 9 to 10 years worth of emissions, meaning the globe will likely hit that point around 2031 or 2032.

“The time for 1.5 is running out,” Friedlingstein said.

“This is bad news,” said Brown University climate scientist Kim Cobb, who wasn’t part of the research team. “It’s hard to see any silver lining in rising emissions, when we must cut emissions in half by 2030 to keep global warming to an absolute minimum.”

In 2022, the world is on track to put 36.6 billion metric tons (40.3 billion U.S. tons) of carbon dioxide in the air from energy and cement use, the study calculated. That’s the weight of the Great Pyramid of Giza in carbon dioxide spewed every 75 minutes.

In addition to the United States seeing emissions go up, India had a 6% increase in 2022, while Europe had a 0.8% drop. The rest of the world averaged a 1.7% carbon pollution jump.

Pollution from coal jumped 1% from last year, for oil it went up 2% and for natural gas it went down 0.2%, the report said. About 40% of the carbon dioxide comes from burning coal, 33% from oil and 22% from natural gas, Friedlingstein said.

The team calculates emissions levels through the early fall using data provided by top carbon-emitting countries, including the U.S., China, India and Europe, and then makes projections for the rest of year.

While there are limitations to projections, Oppenheimer said: “This is the A-team on CO2 emissions and the carbon cycle. They know what they’re doing.”

Carbon emissions from fossil fuels plunged 5.3% in 2020 but rebounded 5.6% last year, spurred by China, and now have completely erased the pandemic drop and are back on a slowly rising trend, Friedlingstein said.

The team also looks at overall emissions, including the effects of land use. When land use is factored in, emissions are flat, not rising slightly, he said.

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Follow AP’s climate and environment coverage at https://apnews.com/hub/climate-and-environment

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Associated Press climate and environmental coverage receives support from several private foundations. See more about AP’s climate initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

Seth Borenstein, The Associated Press














Guilbeault optimistic about targets even as Canada's emissions rebound post-pandemic


OTTAWA — Canada's carbon dioxide emissions crept back up in 2021 after falling sharply during the first year of COVID-19, and experts believe they will go up even further this year as the return to normal has accelerated.

The European Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research shows Canada's carbon dioxide emissions grew three per cent in 2021 after falling nearly 10 per cent in 2020.

That is on track with the worldwide trend reported at the United Nations climate talks in Egypt today by the Global Carbon Project. Its annual carbon budget says emissions in 2021 returned to 2019 levels, and they are expected to grow one per cent this year compared to 2019.

It said that by the end of this year, the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere will be 51 per cent higher than in pre-industrial times, and the budget for climate success is getting ever smaller.

Still, Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault said he is feeling more optimistic than ever that Canada and the rest of the world may be able to live up to the Paris climate agreement.

That target is to keep global warming to as close to 1.5 C as possible. Above 1.5 C, the effects of climate change grow exponentially, and after 2 C, some of the change could be irreversible.

"We've made tremendous progress," Guilbeault said from Egypt, where he is attending the COP27 climate conference.

"If you would have asked me that question seven or eight years ago, the projections were that we were heading into a world where warming would be anywhere between four to six degrees Celsius. After Paris, the assessment was that we were heading into a world where temperature increases would be in the order of 2.8 degrees Celsius."

Guilbeault said in the last few weeks, other reports have shown that if all the countries that have promised to cut emissions live up to their promises, the increase may be limited to between 1.7 C and 2.4 C.

That shift downward from up to 6 C to as low as 1.7 C happened over "just about a decade," he said. "Now, that's still too much, but we've made tremendous progress. But there's a lot more that needs to be done."

When it comes to emissions-cutting, Canada is lagging behind its peers. The Global Carbon Project says the biggest hope for containing global warming is that 24 countries saw significant economic growth between 2012 and 2021 and still cut their emissions.

Canada is not among them. It is the only G7 country not on the list, with emissions holding steady between 2012 and 2021.

The European data show Canada's carbon emissions rose the slowest of any G7 country in 2021, but also shows Canada has done the worst job of any G7 country in lowering carbon dioxide emissions since 2005. That year is the starting point for the targets under the Paris climate accord.

In the 16 years since then, Canada's carbon dioxide emissions have fallen three per cent. Japan cut carbon dioxide 16 per cent since 2005, the United States cut it 20 per cent, Germany 21 per cent, France 26 per cent, Italy 36 per cent and the United Kingdom 40 per cent.

And the data show Canada is the only G7 country whose methane and nitrous oxide emissions rose between 2005 and 2021. Its methane emissions are up 2.7 per cent, while nitrous oxide increased 18 per cent.

Canada promised that by 2030, total emissions will be down 40 to 45 per cent.

The country's struggle to cut emissions more than it has came in large part because oil production has grown exponentially, with emissions growth in that sector and from transportation offsetting improvements in electricity and manufacturing.

Canadian environment groups on the ground in Egypt this week were hoping Guilbeault would unveil the cap on oil and gas emissions he promised at last year's climate talks in Glasgow.

But the government does not plan to release the details of the cap until sometime next year.

Aly Hyder Ali, program manager for oil and gas at Environmental Defence, said Canada is risking its reputation as a climate leader if it doesn't put more on the table to show its promises are more than just talk.

"We just need to see those commitments and promises turn into action with legitimate pathways and plans in place," he said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 11, 2022.

Mia Rabson, The Canadian Press