Sunday, May 05, 2024


UK

Crisis? What Crisis? Mark Harper insists improving economy will save the Tories

WINNIE THE POOH OPTIMISM

Transport Secretary's insistence that Tories must 'stick to the plan' is likely to enrage MPs

Transport Secretary Mark Harper has insisted the plan is working despite dire election results (Photo: Jeff Overs/BBC/AFP)

By Richard Vaughan
May 5, 2024 

Transport Secretary Mark Harper has insisted the general election is still winnable for the Conservatives as he dismissed calls for the party to change approach despite a battering in the local elections.

Mr Harper was adamant that Rishi Sunak’s “plan is working” amid growing calls from both moderate and right-wing Tories for the Prime Minister to change tack going into the national polls.

“We have a plan, and the plan is working but we’re not all the way through yet,” he told the BBC. “People want to see delivery, right? So they want to see inflation continue to come down. They want to see the boats stop. They want to see NHS waiting lists continue to fall. We’ve made a lot of progress on that, but we’re not all of the way there.”

His comments came in the wake of the Conservatives losing its mayoralty in the West Midlands, receiving a drubbing in the London mayoral race and the party suffering its worst set of council results in 40 years.

The phrase “Crisis? What crisis?” was used to paraphrase former Labour prime minister’s Jim Callaghan’s response to the Winter of Discontent in the 1970s, when he denied there was “mounting chaos” in the country being torn apart by industrial action.

The Prime Minister is being pulled in opposite directions by his own party, who fear his approach will lead them to a historic defeat in the general election.

Former home secretary Suella Braverman said the dire local election results showed that Tory voters were “on strike” as she demanded Mr Sunak move further to the right, urging him to introduce a cap on migrants, to leave the European Convention on Human Rights and to slash income tax.

Asked for her evidence of a need to shift further to the right, she said: “The evidence is that people are not voting for what he is doing because they don’t believe that we are serious about some of these issues.”

When asked if she regretted supporting Mr Sunak’s leadership, Ms Braverman said: “Honestly, yes I do.”

In contrast, Andy Street, who was defeated in his attempt to secure a third term as the Tory mayor for the West Midlands, said his campaign showed that the party could succeed if it made a more liberal offer to voters.

Mr Street said his brand of “moderative, inclusive, tolerant Conservatism, that gets on and delivered” nearly defeated Labour in one of its strongholds.

Asked if he was worried about the Tories drifting to the right, he replied: “I would definitely not advise that drift.

And he added: “The message is clear: winning from that centre ground is what happens.”

Conservative former minister Dame Andrea Jenkyns claimed the results showed that the party needed Boris Johnson to return to the “front line of politics”.

She told Sky News’: “I think now we’ve got to take the fight to Labour, I would like to see real common sense conservatism, honouring our manifesto commitments, I would like to see the return of Boris on the front line of politics, whether that’s going for a seat in the next election and being front and centre of our election campaign.

Asked if she could see Mr Johnson and Mr Sunak campaigning together on joint visits, she said: “I haven’t spoken to Boris, I haven’t spoken to the Prime Minister about this, but I’m an optimist, I’m not sure whether they’d share a stage together, but look how wonderful it is Boris campaigning in these elections.”

Dame Andrea submitted a letter of no confidence in Mr Sunak in November.


Steerpike

Suella Braverman: we will be lucky to have any Tory MPs soon

5 May 2024, 
Suella Braverman (Image: BBC)

So, it didn’t take long for the recriminations to begin. After Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives were subject to a massive drubbing in this week’s council elections, and were hit with the loss of the West Midlands mayoralty last night, the blame game is well underway.

Former Home Secretary Suella Braverman certainly wasted no time in giving Sunak both barrels. Appearing on Sunday with Lura Kuenssberg, the MP laid into the PM for the disastrous results, and predicted that the party was heading for a wipe-out in the next election, saying:

‘The plan is not working … at this rate we will be lucky to have any Conservative MPs at the next election.’

Mr S imagines the Tories won’t be putting that on election leaflets any time soon…

In the interview, Braverman also accused the PM of essentially fiddling while the country burned, pointing out that the government had spent more time legislating on smoking and pedicabs than trying to fix the health service or social care. She added that it was a ‘disgrace’ that her party was trailing Keir Starmer, who has ‘the charisma of a peanut’.

Braverman admitted that she regretted backing Sunak as leader, but in a small consolation for the PM, argued that it was pointless trying to replace him now:


‘I just don’t think that is a feasible prospect right now, we don’t have enough time and it is impossible for anyone new to come and change our fortunes to be honest. There is no superman or superwoman out there who can do it.’

Still, Mr S isn’t sure Sunak will want to follow all of Braverman’s advice. Writing in the Telegraph she suggested that the hole the party is in was Sunak’s responsibility, and he should, err, ‘start shovelling’. It seems it really is only down from here for the party…



WRITTEN BY Steerpike
Steerpike is The Spectator's gossip columnist, serving up the latest tittle tattle from Westminster and beyond. Email tips to steerpike@spectator.co.uk or message @MrSteerpike



 

Senior Tories clash over Braverman’s call for party to move further right

Former home secretary calls for income tax cuts, legal migration cap and pulling the UK out of the European Convention on Human Rights

Senior Conservatives are clashing over whether Rishi Sunak needs to move the party further to the right after a damaging set of local election results.

Outgoing West Midlands Mayor Andy Street urged the Prime Minister not to stray further to the right, and stick close to the political centre to stave off general election defeat as he lost his post in a narrow defeat to Labour.

But former home secretary Suella Braverman insisted “terrible” local election results, with the Tories losing 473 council seats so far and Labour taking all but one metro mayoralty, showed “the plan is not working”.

Ms Braverman urged Mr Sunak to “change course” and move rightwards with income tax cuts, a cap on legal migration and pulling the UK out of the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR).

Asked for her evidence of a need to shift further to the right, she told BBC’s Sunday With Laura Kuenssberg: “The evidence is that people are not voting for what he is doing because they don’t believe that we are serious about some of these issues.”

Ms Braverman also appeared to confirm that any plot to oust Mr Sunak had fizzled out.

But her clash with Mr Street showed the party is now embroiled in a round of infighting over political direction and campaign strategy as it stares down the barrel of general election defeat.

After his knife-edge defeat on Saturday night, Mr Street told Sky News: “I would definitely not advise that drift [to the right].

“The message is clear: winning from that centre ground is what happens.”

Transport Secretary Mark Harper attempted to sidestep the debate as he gave broadcast interviews on Sunday.

He said Mr Street’s remarks were in line with Mr Sunak’s desire to “focus on the priorities of the British people”, including bearing down on inflation and stopping Channel small boat crossings.

When put to him that Mr Street had suggested more than that, Mr Harper told Sky News: “We are going to stick to focusing on the priorities that the Prime Minister set out, which are the Government’s priorities, the Prime Minister’s priorities but they are also the priorities of the British people.”

Mr Harper also insisted the Conservatives were still in with a chance of winning the next general election, despite the party’s local elections trouncing.

“There is everything to fight for and the Conservative Party under the Prime Minister’s leadership is absolutely up for that fight.”

Suella Braverman Calls For Tories To Swing Further To The Right In Furious Tirade Against Rishi Sunak

Kate Nicholson
HUFFPOST
Sun, 5 May 2024 

Suella Braverman on Laura Kuenssberg BBC

Suella Bravermanpinned the Tories’ terrible performance at the local elections on PM Rishi Sunak in a furious rant on the BBC – and called for the government to lean further right.

The former home secretary, and well-known figure on the right of the party, said there was “no disguising” the fact the Conservatives had a terrible set of results in the local elections.

She told Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg: “I love my country, I care about my country, and I want us to win. And I’m urging the prime minister to change course.”


But, Braverman admitted it was not “feasible” to change the leader, saying, “there is no superman or superwoman” who can fix the party’s fortunes right now.

She continued: “What does the prime minister need to do? I think he needs to show people he really cares about the things he has talked about.

“He needs to actually lower taxes in a way people will feel, not tweaking around the edges.”

She also claimed that he needs to take the UK out the European Convention on Human Rights to show he is serious about “stopping the boats”.

Braverman added that the evidence people want the Tories to go further right is in the way people are not voting for her party.

She said: “At this rate, we will be lucky to have any Conservative MPs at the next election.”

Polls have suggested the Tories are in for a thrashing when the public next hit the ballot box.

Braverman said: “We are not delivering for the people, we are not delivering on the policies that people want.

“it is a disgrace that we are trailing behind Labour, led by Keir Starmer who has the charisma of a peanut, who is overseeing a rabble of hard-left maniacs, who would undo Brexit, who would open our border and who would indoctrinate our institutions and our schools with politically-correct madness.”

Kuenssberg asked her: “Do you regret backing Rishi Sunak?”

“Honestly?” She paused. “Yes I do, because I had assurances from Rishi Sunak that he was going to put a cap on illegal migration that he was going to do something about the European Convention on Human Rights, that he was going to do something about the transgender ideology in schools.

“He hasn’t done that.”

Braverman also predicted the Tories would face defeat before the local elections, back in April.

Related...

Rishi Sunak Limps On As Tory Rebellion Crumbles Despite Miserable Local Elections

Labour Wins West Midlands Mayor Election In Another Huge Blow For Rishi Sunak

Rishi Sunak Humiliated As Labour Wins Mayoral Race In His Own Constituency




Tories warned not to embrace right-wing extremism after disastrous local elections

David Maddox
Sun, 5 May 2024 

Tory MPs have been warned that the reason for their electoral drubbing was not that they “were not right-wing or extreme enough”, as a battle over the party’s future begins.

The announcement late on Saturday night that former Tory mayor Andy Street had been defeated in the West Midlands has reopened questions over whether the party “is conservative enough” or should change its leader, replacing Rishi Sunak.

But Boris Johnson’s former director of communications, Guto Harri, joined Mr Street in warning against a “drift to the right”.

Rishi Sunak’s leadership is under fire (Molly Darlington)

It came as darling of the right Suella Braverman, who was sacked by Mr Sunak as home secretary, penned an article in the aftermath of the local election results demanding the party embraces a much more right-wing agenda.

Tories have been shocked by the scale of the defeat, with 472 council seats lost and a dreadful result for the party in London, where Sadiq Khan was returned as the city’s mayor for a third term.

Ms Braverman told Laura Kuenssberg on the BBC: “I am urging the prime minister to change direction. The problem is that many Conservative voters are on strike. When I was knocking on doors in the Midlands and elsewhere, Conservative voters told me we weren’t conservative enough.”

She insisted that Mr Sunak needs to put a cap on migration and take Britain out of the European Convention on Human Rights.

She claimed that “the evidence” for her message “is that people are not voting for us”.

Ms Braverman said she “regretted” supporting Mr Sunak’s bid to be leader in 2022, and added: “At this rate, we will be lucky to have any Conservative MPs at the next election.”


Andy Street’s defeat is a huge blow to the Tories (PA)

Ms Braverman warned against a change of leader: “I don’t think that’s a feasible prospect at this time. There is no superman or superwoman who can come in. Rishi Sunak needs to own this.”

However, on Saturday night as he digested his own defeat, Mr Street had pointed out that his much more centrist agenda had almost delivered an unlikely victory against a collapse in the national vote.

He was asked by Sky News: “Are you worried about the Conservative Party drifting to the right, over-emphasising the threat from Reform and ignoring other voters?”

Mr Street replied: “I would definitely not advise that drift.”

And on the Trevor Phillips show on Sky News on Sunday morning, Mr Harri joined Mr Street in warning against a Braverman right-wing agenda.

He said: “We did not lose because we were not right-wing enough. We did not lose because we were not extreme enough.”


Boris Johnson’s former advisor, Guto Harri, has warned against a lurch to the right (PA/Reuters)

The former Boris Johnson aide said the lesson of history is that governments need to govern from the centre.

But there were also questions about Mr Sunak’s own future with allies calling around angry MPs asking for “calm”.

One senior backbencher and former minister told The Independent that the result in the West Midlands and the revelations that Mr Sunak “could not be bothered to vote for Susan Hall [in London]” means that his future “is in play again”.

The senior MP added: “The West Midlands result is Rishi’s final ‘the emperor has no clothes’ moment. Combined with the loss of over 400 Tory councillors, London (in which the PM didn’t even bother to vote) and now this, it’s a cumulative total disaster. The only guy who actually won – Houchen – didn’t even have the balls to wear a blue rosette!”

Suella Braverman has again suggested the party is ‘not Conservative enough’ (Getty Images)

But transport secretary Mark Harper insisted that changing leader now would be wrong.

He claimed that the results showed that Labour is not on track for a huge victory in the general election.

The minister said on Sunday: “The election results over the last few days were disappointing. But the prime minister is interested in taking difficult decisions that are in the long-term interests of the country.

“The message from the election success in the Tees Valley is about having a plan and delivering a plan. We have made huge progress on our priorities, we have brought inflation down.

“The plan is working, but we haven’t got all the way through to the end of it yet.”


Tory rebel Braverman urges Sunak to change course after election blows


David Lynch, PA Political Staff
Sun, 5 May 2024 



Rishi Sunak must change his political course to remain in power as there is no time to change Tory leader, Suella Braverman has said following a bruising set of local election results.

The senior Tory urged the Prime Minister to move to the right in response to the poll defeats, which saw a shock victory for Labour in the West Midlands mayoral contest on Saturday night.

Labour’s Richard Parker seized victory from outgoing Conservative mayor Andy Street by a mere 1,508 votes.

The party also stormed to victory in the London mayoral poll, with Sadiq Khan securing a historic third term in office, with a majority of some 275,000 over Conservative rival Susan Hall.


(PA Graphics)

“The plan is not working and I despair at these terrible results,” Conservative former home secretary Ms Braverman told the BBC’s Sunday With Laura Kuenssberg.

“I love my country, I care about my party and I want us to win, and I am urging the Prime Minister to change course, to – with humility – reflect on what voters are telling us, and change the plan and the way that he is communicating and leading us.”

Asked about whether she wanted to see a change in leader, Ms Braverman said: “I just don’t think that is a feasible prospect right now, we don’t have enough time and it is impossible for anyone new to come and change our fortunes to be honest.

“There is no superman or superwoman out there who can do it.”

Instead she called on Rishi Sunak to “own” the result, adding: “Therefore he needs to fix it.”

Among the measures Ms Braverman has urged the prime minister to adopt to win back voters are further tax cuts and a cap on legal migration.

She claimed Tory voters were currently “on strike”, and warned: “I talk to many of my colleagues who are privately demoralised and incredibly concerned about the prospects.

“At this rate we will be lucky to have any Conservative MPs at the next election.”

Dame Andrea Jenkyns, a Conservative former minister who submitted a letter of no-confidence in Mr Sunak in November, meanwhile suggested former prime minister Boris Johnson should return to frontline politics to ease the party’s woes.

Andrea Jenkyns speaking to media at Westminster (Kirsty O’Connor/PA)

She told Sky News’s Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips: “I think now we’ve got to take the fight to Labour, I would like to see real common sense conservatism, honouring our manifesto commitments, I would like to see the return of Boris on the front line of politics, whether that’s going for a seat in the next election and being front and centre of our election campaign.”

Transport Secretary Mark Harper insisted the Conservatives still had “everything to fight for” ahead of the general election.

He would not, however, be drawn into a pull-and-push about the future direction of the Conservative party.

Outgoing West Midlands mayor Mr Street had urged the Prime Minister not to heed calls from Tory rebels to shift to the right following the local election results, and instead adopt a moderate position.

Asked about Mr Street’s remarks by Sky News, Mr Harper said: “What he is talking about there is what I just said.

“He is talking about you focus on the priorities of the British people, that is what you do.”

Mark Harper speaks to the media outside BBC Broadcasting House in London (Victoria Jones/PA)

In a statement released after the blow in the West Midlands, the Prime Minister acknowledged the result was “disappointing”, but added he would “continue working as hard as ever to take the fight to Labour and deliver a brighter future for our country”.

The West Midlands contest, which the Tories were on course to win, was seen as a potential lifeline in an otherwise disastrous set of results for the Conservatives.

The Prime Minister had hoped a brace of wins – alongside Lord Houchen’s victory in the Tees Valley mayoralty – could be enough to stave off rebellious Tory backbenchers.

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer hailed the result in the West Midlands as “phenomenal” and “beyond our expectations”.

(PA Graphics)

It came after his party dominated mayoral elections across England – winning in Liverpool, South Yorkshire, West Yorkshire, and in Greater Manchester.

With the results of 107 councils in England that held elections on May 2 declared, Labour has won 1,158 seats, an increase of more than 232.

The Liberal Democrats beat the Tories into second place, winning 552 seats, up nearly 100.

The Tories are just behind on 515 seats, down nearly 400.




Rishi Sunak to face pressure to shift right after disastrous election results

Rowena Mason 
Whitehall editor
Sun, 5 May 2024

Rishi Sunak on a visit to the Catterick Garrison in North Yorkshire on 3 May. His allies insist his plan is working despite criticism from the right of the party.Photograph: Molly Darlington/AP


Rishi Sunak will face pressure to adopt hard rightwing policies such as an immigration cap and scrapping European human rights law this week, with Suella Braverman saying he needs to “own and fix” a disastrous set of local election results.

Sunak’s allies were on Sunday insisting he wanted to stick to his current plan and that it was working, as plotters against his leadership accepted they did not have the support to challenge him.

But Braverman issued an extraordinary broadside against Sunak on a BBC news programme, saying she regretted voting for him to be leader but it was too late to get rid of him. She also said the party would be “lucky to have any MPs” if it continued on the same path.

Urging him to change course, she called for more conservative policies such as withdrawing from the European convention on human rights – a move that would be hugely unpopular with moderate Conservatives.

Braverman told the BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg: “I love my country, I care about my party and I want us to win, and I am urging the prime minister to change course, to – with humility – reflect on what voters are telling us, and change the plan and the way that he is communicating and leading us.”

Asked about whether she wanted to see a change in leader, Braverman said: “I just don’t think that is a feasible prospect right now, we don’t have enough time and it is impossible for anyone new to come and change our fortunes to be honest. There is no superman or superwoman out there who can do it.”

Instead she called on Rishi Sunak to “own” the result, adding: “Therefore he needs to fix it.” One of her allies, John Hayes, called for a reshuffle to bring her back into the cabinet.

Robert Jenrick, the former immigration minister and communities secretary, along with ex-minister Neil O’Brien are to publish a pamphlet this week urging more action to bring down migration before the election.

However, Sunak is looking at a schism in the party, as other senior Conservatives dismissed Braverman’s diagnosis that a swing further to the right was needed. Some Tories believe the prime minister needs to tack to the centre to take votes from Labour and the Lib Dems in marginal seats, while others believe the best strategy is squeezing the Reform UK vote on the right.

Andy Street, the former West Midlands mayor who narrowly lost to Labour on Saturday, said: “The thing everyone should take from Birmingham and the West Midlands is this brand of moderative, inclusive, tolerant conservatism, that gets on and delivered, has come within an ace of beating the Labour party in what they considered to be their back yard – that’s the message from here tonight.”

Robert Buckland, a Tory MP and former justice secretary from the One Nation wing of the party, told GB News that the British public are “putting their fingers in their ears” about the Conservatives because they are engaged in too much infighting.

“The more that we talk about factions and ideology and the less we focus on business, on growth, on jobs, on housing, all those issues that actually people are talking about … then I think we’ve become an irrelevant rump,” he said.

“The Conservative party wins elections, not by being soft and mushy but by reflecting the views of the British public, by being in alliance with them. The coalition that we need is with the British people. We’ve been the party of the nation for generations. I believe we can get back to that, but we need to focus on what people are talking about.”

Sunak has been largely absent from the airwaves over the weekend, apart from appearing at Ben Houchen’s Tees Valley victory on Friday – a sole pocket of good news for the Conservatives.

However, Mark Harper, the transport secretary and a longtime supporter of Sunak, gave a round of broadcast interviews insisting the prime minister’s plan is working. He said the party still had “everything to fight for” and pointed to there being only nine points between the Tories and Labour in the vote share in England.


Suella Braverman Calls For Tories To Swing Further To The Right In Furious Tirade Against Rishi Sunak


Kate Nicholson
Sun, 5 May 2024 

Suella Braverman on Laura Kuenssberg BBC

Suella Bravermanpinned the Tories’ terrible performance at the local elections on PM Rishi Sunak in a furious rant on the BBC – and called for the government to lean further right.

The former home secretary, and well-known figure on the right of the party, said there was “no disguising” the fact the Conservatives had a terrible set of results in the local elections.

She told Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg: “I love my country, I care about my country, and I want us to win. And I’m urging the prime minister to change course.”


But, Braverman admitted it was not “feasible” to change the leader, saying, “there is no superman or superwoman” who can fix the party’s fortunes right now.

She continued: “What does the prime minister need to do? I think he needs to show people he really cares about the things he has talked about.

“He needs to actually lower taxes in a way people will feel, not tweaking around the edges.”

She also claimed that he needs to take the UK out the European Convention on Human Rights to show he is serious about “stopping the boats”.

Braverman added that the evidence people want the Tories to go further right is in the way people are not voting for her party.

She said: “At this rate, we will be lucky to have any Conservative MPs at the next election.”

Polls have suggested the Tories are in for a thrashing when the public next hit the ballot box.

Braverman said: “We are not delivering for the people, we are not delivering on the policies that people want.

“it is a disgrace that we are trailing behind Labour, led by Keir Starmer who has the charisma of a peanut, who is overseeing a rabble of hard-left maniacs, who would undo Brexit, who would open our border and who would indoctrinate our institutions and our schools with politically-correct madness.”

Kuenssberg asked her: “Do you regret backing Rishi Sunak?”

“Honestly?” She paused. “Yes I do, because I had assurances from Rishi Sunak that he was going to put a cap on illegal migration that he was going to do something about the European Convention on Human Rights, that he was going to do something about the transgender ideology in schools.

“He hasn’t done that.”

Braverman also predicted the Tories would face defeat before the local elections, back in April.


Two years of El Salvador’s ‘State of Exception

MAY 5, 2024

March marked the second anniversary of the State of Exception in El Salvador, which suspended basic constitutional rights, paving the way for the arrest of thousands of alleged gang members in the country.  Its introduction has transformed the country from one of the most murderous to one of the safest in Latin America. But this has come at a price: nearly 2% of the entire population are now behind bars, the largest proportion anywhere in the world. Detainees face malnutrition, no access to critical medicine or medical care, and torture. The wider impact on families – children especially – has been devastating. This report is edited from the blogs of Tim Muth, who lives in the country.

Under the State of Exception, security forces of the police and military can arrest anyone without a warrant or observing them commit a crime, can hold them for 15 days before appearing before a judge and without telling them the charges, and can freely intercept communications without a judicial order. Those detained receive initial hearings, before judges with their identities masked, in groups that often number in the hundreds where the charges are simply gang affiliation. Judges routinely order defendants into El Salvador’s hellishly overcrowded prisons without bail, to await their next hearing which could come in six months.

Amnesty International issued this stinging statement on this two year anniversary: “The suspension of rights that, according to international standards, must be guaranteed at all times, such as the right to a fair trial, the principle of legality in criminal matters, and the prohibition of torture and discrimination, is an action that cannot be justified under any circumstances or in any context. It is a decision that deliberately ignores the numerous allegations of serious human rights violations reported by civil society organizations in El Salvador…

“As of February 2024, victims’ movements, local human rights organizations and media reports had registered 327 cases of enforced disappearances, more than 78,000 arbitrary detentions – with a total of approximately 102,000 people now deprived of their freedom in the country – a situation of prison overcrowding of approximately 148%, and at least 235 deaths in state custody.”

Prison conditions

48% of those deaths showed signs of violence and another 30% died for lack of adequate medical attention. Cases of tuberculosis are reportedly rising.

It is important to remember that at least two-thirds of the persons held in Salvadoran prisons under these conditions have not yet been convicted of a crime.  The government is incarcerating them for trials which may not be commenced until the beginning of 2026. The country is in violation of innumerable provisions of the United Nations Standard Minimum Rules for the Treatment of Prisoners (the Nelson Mandela Rules), adopted by the UN General Assembly in 2015.

The suffering is not only within the prisons. Families outside are decimated as well.   When a primary breadwinner is arbitrarily and illegally detained and sent into the prison system, the family loses its income, a parent or spouse stops working to search for news of the person, children are left without parents. 

Families are being charged $100-$300 a month by the prisons to deliver basic food, hygiene and cleaning kits to their relative in prison. There is no accountability for these funds, and past years have seen numerous charges of graft and embezzlement from this system with inmates not receiving what their families have provided.  

In the communities

President Nayib Bukele declares El Salvador to be the safest country in the Western Hemisphere, based on the homicide data.

There are strong reasons to believe that the homicide rate, while historically low, is not quite as low as the Bukele regime claims. The homicide rate fails as well to include the deaths in El Salvador’s prisons, many with signs of violence.  The count also excludes disappearances, where no body has been found and a family is still searching desperately for a loved one.

Even with the caveat that the homicide rate could be double what is claimed by the government, the number of Salvadorans dying violent deaths is historically low. Undeniably, much has changed in El Salvador regarding the impact of gangs on everyday life.  My personal experience, the journalistic reports from communities where gangs once ruled, the very low reported homicide rates, and what people tell pollsters when asked if they feel safer, all point to a different El Salvador.

And yet. I have also had personal experiences of a different sort during these years of the State of Exception.  These are the conversations with people throughout the country who tell me of innocent sons or brothers or neighbours or employees who have been swept up in Bukele’s war on gangs.  I think of the leaders in a rural community who tell me about the police and soldiers arriving and grabbing some of the best youth in their community.  The fear generated by that event prompted some of the remaining promising youth to flee the country, lest they also get picked up arbitrarily. 

The point is this. Both things can be true at the same time. Millions of Salvadorans can feel less at risk from gangs, while tens of thousands of families have lost someone innocent to the Exception regime.

The (In)justice System

One common assertion by proponents of the current State of Exception in El Salvador is that the justice system will correct errors and only guilty persons will be locked up for any significant period of time. In fact, changes in the law, and a court system which does not act independently of the Bukele regime, mean the reality is quite different for the 70,000 persons arrested since March 2022.

The failures of the criminal justice system in El Salvador under the State of Exception begin with the arrests and detention of persons, usually in marginalized communities, without sufficient proof of any criminal activity. The State of Exception, which continues to be extended every month, permits an arrest to be made on mere suspicion, without police seeing a crime being committed and without an order for arrest.

The online periodical El Faro documented hundreds of cases of arrests with flimsy evidence. Experts have warned of the link between anonymous denunciations and arbitrary arrests.

Once someone is detained, the State of Exception prolongs the time in which a preliminary hearing must be held from three days to fifteen days. Those hearings have almost never resulted in anyone being released right away. Instead, detainees are told there will be at least six months in prison before their next hearing.

In measures adopted early in the State of Exception, the Legislative Assembly lengthened the possible penalty for association with a gang to 20 – 30 years in prison. “Illicit associations” is the all-encompassing charge used overwhelmingly for those arrested during the State of Exception. For those found to be gang leaders, the penalty was increased from 30-40 years.

Th crime of “illicit associations” with its decades-long prison sentence is being charged in a variety of ways. Someone might be charged with gang ties for the simple fact of having given a ride to a gang member under threat of harm to a family member if they refuse. A relative of a gang member could be charged for letting the gang member sleep in their house.  Or a gang member who has already served a 12 year sentence for robbery will usually be arrested for the separate crime of their gang membership the moment they walk out of prison.  “Illicit association” is a dangerously flexible criminal charge carrying a severe penalty.

Criminal lawyers in El Salvador have reported that prosecutors will have until August 2025 to conclude the evidence-gathering phase of criminal cases while defendants languish in prisons throughout the country. In some cases, the prosecutors have asked that the trial phase not commence earlier than January 2026.

In the criminal law changes adopted under the State of Exception, suspected gang members can be tried in massive group trials including up to 900 defendants.  It takes no stretch of imagination to see the unlikelihood that courts will be able to focus on the individual culpability of a single person swept up at the same time.

Human Rights Investigations

There have been numerous investigative reports of the severe violations of international human rights standards occurring during El Salvador’s State of Exception and the Bukele regime’s “war on gangs.”  The reports are prepared by a wide range of Salvadoran and international human rights groups. These reports do not deny the reduction in homicides and gang control of territory during the past two years, but they point out the cost of the State of Exception.

First-hand accounts of torture and mistreatment of individual detainees, who were subsequently released, can be found here.

Tim Muth is a US-trained lawyer who works on matters involving civil liberties and human rights. He blogs at El Salvador Perspectives, and you can follow him on Twitter as @TimMuth.

Image: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Lanzamiento_de_las_Fuerzas_Especailizadas_de_Reacci%C3%B3n_El_Salvador,_FES._%2826545827355%29.jpg. Source: Lanzamiento de las Fuerzas Especailizadas de Reacción El Salvador, FES. Author: Presidencia El Salvador from San Salvador, El Salvador, América Central, under the Creative Commons CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication

Libyan Patriarchal Customs Deny Women Their Rights to Inheritance 



May 5, 2024
Maher Al Shaeri


This investigation exposes a traditional practice in Libya that enables men to monopolize inheritance of property to the exclusion of women, on the pretext that a woman might pass the property on to her husband and that the family property would be divided and lost, lowering the social standing of the family.

Fathia (pseudonym) feels sadness whenever she walks past the building in which she grew up in the city of Misrata. She believes that she should, by rights, have inherited the building from her father, but her brothers took it for themselves, leaving nothing for her and her sister.

In Libya, there are social norms that deprive a woman of her right to inherit property. If a woman’s father dies, her legal rights are withheld by her brothers or uncles, and thus, it is now abnormal for women to obtain their stated share of properties passed on to them by the deceased.

Fathia, from western Libya, has one sister and five brothers. When their father died, she and her sister failed to receive their share of his inheritance. All of her paternal grandfather’s estates were also in her father’s name, who did the same thing with his sisters, preventing them from receiving their share of the inheritance. Everything went to Fathia’s father. This pattern is repeated again and again in Libya, along generations, instilling a resentment in women, who see no way to stop their inheritance being taken by the men of the family.

Fathia is far from the only victim of this practice. There are many cases of women in Libya speaking out about the tyranny and controlling behavior of their male relatives, and their weakness as they are deprived of rights under the pretext of traditional custom and practice. But most of the time, such conversations are held in a whisper behind closed doors. Again, custom prevents women from speaking out about any pain they might feel.

When Fathia demanded that her brothers give her what is rightfully hers, they were shocked, given that most women stay silent on this issue. They responded, “We do not have daughters who inherit from their fathers. The family does not inherit or hand down property to women.”

Why women are denied property

Property is regarded as one of the sources of tribal power and status in Libya. So, for many years, custom has dictated that properties should be inherited by men alone, since they carry the family name. If women marry outside the family, they are not allowed a share in the property, for fear that it will pass to their husbands, thus increasing the power and status of a different tribe or family, at the expense of the family of the deceased.

Sometimes brothers will compensate their sisters financially in lieu of property, so as not to be accused of acting unjustly. But according to the women impacted, this “meager” compensation cannot be compared to their rightful inheritance. It is a “gift” meant to “placate” women, not an acknowledgement of their inherent right as a beneficiary, as stated in both religious and civil law.

Property is regarded as one of the sources of tribal power and status in Libya. For years, custom has dictated that property should be inherited by men, since they carry the family name. If women marry outside the family, they are not allowed a share in the property, for fear that it will pass to their husbands, thus increasing the power and status of a different tribe or family, at the expense of the family of the deceased.

Mabrouka Besikri, Director of the International Arab Organization for Women’s Rights, has come across many similar cases in the Nafusa Mountain region in eastern Libya, southwest of the capital Tripoli. She explains that brothers deliberately deprive their sisters of their rights as co-inheritors of land. They claim that a woman will bring a stranger into their midst, and on this basis, they take away from the woman her right of inheritance. Besikri adds, “It is possible that some families will give women financial compensation in exchange for their right to land, but they end up owning no land, property, or anything else. This is a clear and obvious injustice, and many organizations have called for it to be brought to an end.”

For his part, Academic Musa Al-Qunaidi, who teaches at the University of Misrata, describes as “weak and feeble” the justifications put forward by male heirs that their “sustenance” will be lost to the family of the daughter’s husband. Salem adds, “A few families do give a woman the right to inherit, but the overwhelming majority withhold this right from her.” The dominance of this traditional practice led Mabrouka Besikri and her team to demand that Libyan women be given the right to inherit.

Human rights activist Manal Al-Hanashi calls on every individual and institution in society to work to protect a woman’s right to inheritance and to achieve this through legal means. “The state and the judiciary must put in place laws and procedures to stop women’s inheritance rights from being ignored or abused, to hold accountable any law breaker, and to spread a culture of justice and equality. Family, schools, and society all need to bring up future generations to respect and appreciate women’s right to inherit.”

Musa Al-Qunaidi believes that, before any discussion of constitutional and legal action, something needs to be done to raise the level of awareness among those sections of society which stand in the way of the right of women to inherit.

Like hitting your head against a wall

Fathia was biding her time, waiting for the chance to return to the issue of her stolen inheritance, when she heard that her brothers had sold some of her father’s property to people outside the family. So, the very thing they claimed they were afraid of – that family property would be lost by falling into the hands of others – had actually happened.

Fathia raised the issue again and demanded that her brothers give her and her sister their share in the remainder of the inheritance – which consisted of many plots of land – and that they should receive the same share as the men. In return, she would excuse them for the way they handled the original division of the inheritance. The brothers stuck by the tribal custom, but after strenuous attempts by Fathia, they finally compromised and gave her a sum of money in exchange for her share in the building that had been sold, but without informing her of its true value or the sale price.

Fathia is fully aware that her brothers have in their possession not only her father’s money, but also the inheritance that had been due to her aunts, who have received nothing. But none of her efforts, either on her own or her aunts’ behalf, have yielded any result. And her brothers have continued to sell off land whenever they need, to fund their children’s marriages, the upkeep of their livelihood, or other things.

In every family

Fatima had no more luck than Fathia. She has three sisters and two brothers. After the death of their father, the father’s property in its entirety – worth millions of dinars – was inherited by the two sons, leaving the three sisters empty-handed. Fatima was reluctant to come out and speak in this report, since the brothers are keen to prevent their sisters from airing their grievances publicly, or going to court, or even discussing the matter.

The author of this investigative report sought the help of a property assessor, and Fatima gave him information on all the properties her father left to them upon his death. The assessor calculated the total value of all these properties at the current price and, based on the correct legal apportioning of the property, it turned out that Fatima’s share was worth approximately 2.7 million Libyan dinars (about $800,000).

The assessor also calculated the market value of the properties inherited by Fathia and her brothers. In this case also he divided the inheritance based on the correct legal distribution. And it turned out that Fathia’s share of this inheritance was equivalent to about one and a half million dinars (approximately $300,000).

 

Shell Sold Millions of ‘Phantom’ Carbon Credits

Oil industry titan Shell has sold millions of carbon credits linked to CO2 removal that never actually occurred, the Financial Times found.






So this is what they mean by a shell game.

For nearly a decade, oil industry titan Shell sold millions of carbon credits linked to CO2 removal that never actually occurred, according to a Financial Times investigative report published last weekend. It’s just the latest evidence that somewhat discredits the carbon credit economy.

Carbon Capture the Flag

Carbon capture and storage has long been viewed as a potentially powerful, though perhaps limited, tool to combat climate change and lower overall carbon emissions. The problem, in part, is a serious lack of commercial viability. It’s why the Canadian government — and in particular the local government of oil-rich Alberta — spent much of the previous decade offering generous subsidy and incentive plans. 

For instance, Shell, which owns and operates a carbon capture facility in Alberta called Quest, agreed with the Alberta government to register and sell carbon credits that were valued at twice the amount of carbon it actually captured at Quest. After eight years of operation, the 2-for-1 scheme likely resulted in more harm than help, the FT found: 

  • The 2-for-1 program, which ran from 2015 through 2021 before ultimately being sunsetted in 2022, allowed Shell to register around 5.7 million unearned credits, with credits typically valued at the equivalent of one ton of CO2. Shell then sold most of the “phantom” credits to massive fossil fuel firms like Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Canadian Natural Resources, and Suncor Energy.
  • In selling the bunk credits, Shell effectively gave cover to the other energy firms to continue — and in some cases, expand — emissions-creating processes. According to the FT, the recent production boom in Alberta has slowed Canada’s progress toward achieving emission-reduction goals.

The 2-for-1 scheme was “probably not appropriate,” Jonathan Wilkinson, Canada’s Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, told the FT. Greenpeace Canada senior energy strategist Keith Stewart put it more starkly, telling the FT: “Selling emissions credits for reductions that never happened… literally makes climate change worse.”

Captured Audience: Still, carbon capture technologies are likely to become more prevalent. The White House finalized new rules from the Environmental Protection Agency last month designed to limit power plant emissions. Existing coal plants and new natural gas plants will now be required to curb 90% of emissions by 2039, with carbon capture technology recommended as a method of compliance. But challenges remain. The Supreme Court has already struck down two previous attempts to enforce emissions standards on the power sector, one by the Obama administration and another by the Trump administration. At least it’s been nonpartisan.