Showing posts sorted by relevance for query NORTH KOREA NUKES. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query NORTH KOREA NUKES. Sort by date Show all posts

Saturday, February 24, 2024

When Nukes Are Illegal Only Criminals Will Have Nukes


 
 FEBRUARY 23, 2024
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Image by Egor Myznik.

Dangnabbit, that’s where we are at.

The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW), or the Nuclear Weapon Ban Treaty, is a legally binding international agreement that comprehensively prohibits nuclear weapons with the ultimate goal being their total elimination. It was adopted on 7 July 2017, opened for signature on 20 September 2017, and entered into force on 22 January 2021.

Not too surprisingly, the criminal outlaw nations who have nukes don’t like it. As has long been said in the USA, “when guns are made illegal, only criminals will have guns.” Surprise, surprise, surprise, this logic also applies to nuclear weapons!

What outlaw nations have nuclear weapons? Here is the list of the nine most wanted: United States, Russia, UK, France, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Israel. A true “rogues gallery.”

The outlaw nations not only have their criminal arsenals in defiance of the law of nations, but they are making “more and more useable” (tactical v strategic, little v big) nukes and spending billions to do so. Every dollar spent on nukes is a theft from the schools, the hospitals, infrastructure, and communities to pay for crimes rather than uplift in the communities taxed to buy the outlaw weapons. Seems odious.

Almost seems criminal, when you think of it that way. Almost seems to be “an Axis of Evil” opposed to all humankind. Almost seems like they “have no decency left.”

Unnerving also is the “discussion” taking place among nuke criminals is the need to “use” nukes possibly in the many wars around the globe. Some suspect this topic is being raised to “normalize” the use of nukes among the peoples of the world.

Of course, this flies in the face of every study done, all of which conclude that if the nuke “red line” is crossed, and a nuke is used in combat, then retaliation will occur, to which retaliation will occur, and the nuke war will climb the escalation ladder until they are all launched. After all, use ‘em or lose ‘em applies to the “strategic thinking,” which being part of “military intelligence” is FUBAR.

The results of such a full nuke war is “omnicide” which means “murder of everyone.” Thankfully, some humans will probably survive the initial detonations, though the nuclear pollution and dissemination of radioactive isotopes, as was the result of atmospheric testing in the 50s and 60s, will contribute to further distribute death and disease. A “nuclear winter” from the sun-obscuring dust elevated by the detonations will kill crops and food and water sources will become vectors for ingestion of radioactive isotopes by the “lucky” survivors. Such a result seems criminal, too, and “inhuman?”

The outlaw gang of nine, like criminal gangs everywhere, have a vested interest in their continuation, no matter what the rest of humanity thinks of their thuggery, and so they did not vote on the TPNW, and encouraged their allies to oppose it too. Sometimes, it seems, criminals think they are above the law and they act like it.

Sometimes, though they claim to be allies of some and enemies of others, they all share the same goal: survival in power, just like Capone and his competition. I suspect that, at some level, the “Gang of Nine” are all allied, and dividing the “rackets” amongst themselves (“prostitution for Al, numbers for Blackie, drugs for Homer”) for their mutual benefit, not yours nor humanity’s.

Governments are supposed to be the opposite of criminal gangs, because government is subject to the rule of law. That is why, despite having guns, they are not outlaws but law enforcement.

Being obtuse, I am not able to understand why a government that refuses to abide by the law is not an outlaw. Or, why such a government is not a criminal gang and ought to be treated as such?

History is rife with examples of outlaw governments, from which one would hope humanity learns lessons. One lesson that ought to be learned is, once a government reveals itself to be indistinguishable from a criminal gang, unmoored from law, beware.

It will soon degenerate into more criminality, more war, more destruction and finally, in order to stay in power, will turn on its own people to survive. Slippery slope slide eh, voila, concentration camps! Can’t have those pesky peons protesting. You are either with us or against us.

Well, now that nukes are criminal, only criminals have nukes. That is our reality. That is our world.

What to do? Identify those responsible, those profiting, those enabling and haul them into the dock to stand accused as enemies of all humankind.

The legal mechanisms and precedent exist to do so; Nuremberg and Tokyo War Crimes Trials among them, planning war crimes in time of peace is a war crime: a crime against peace and humanity. At least, shun them, vote against them, or just say no. Do not hire the hitman. Instead, support mass nonviolent hits on a Xi, or a Vlad, a Jung-un or a Joe.

The outlaws are outed. Now they must be routed. The survival of humanity, and the rule of law, demands it. So do your kids…. Remember that ancient wisdom, you can’t hug a child with nuclear arms.

Kary Love is a Michigan attorney.

Saturday, May 11, 2019

The missiles bear a strong resemblance to the Russian-designed Iskander, a short-range, nuclear-capable ballistic missile that has been in the Russian arsenal for more than a decade.
THEY HAVE A 1950'S ARMOURED TRAIN THAT GOES 35 MILES AN HOUR
AND YOU THINK THEY ARE CAPABLE OF CREATING NUCLEAR WEAPONS AND BALLISTIC MISSILES GIVE YOUR HEAD A SHAKE OF COURSE THEY GOT THEM FROM RUSSIA THEY DID NOT BLOW UP LIKE THE NORTH KOREAN ONES HAVE SO FAR
APNEWS.COM
TOKYO (AP) — The three new missiles North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has tested over the past week are eerily familiar to military experts: They look just like a controversial and widely copied...

Saturday, January 21, 2006

American Sabre Rattling Blogger

If it is on a blog you can bet that someone in the Bush Administration and the Pentagon has already thought of this. Dumb idea. Dumb. But hey it was ex-pat Canadian David Frum who coined the phrase Axis of Evil which was Iraq, Iran and North Korea.

The Case for Invading Iran

by Guest Author at January 19, 2006 01:24 PM

by Thomas Holsinger

And the logic of this is that if Iran doesn't have nuclear weapons hit them before they do cause we all know America is a pussy cat when it comes to countries with Nukes. And a paper tiger, I love that old ML term, when it comes to Iran in particular. There will be no American invasion of Iran they will opt for a selective air assault by Israel, for plausible deniability.

Which begs the question, Iran is surrounded by Nuclear Powers, Pakistan, India, China, Russia, Israel, Turkey (US base). Why is the West so fixated on this issue. Why the dismissal of Irans intentions to develop a domestic nuclear energy program? The reason given is that Iran lies. This is an ideological given by all who talk about the Iranian nuclear power issue. They see Iran wanting to be a Nuclear Power and discussions of Iran wanting to use Nuclear Power for domestic civilian purposes are dismissed out of hand. Except by Russia. Who is of course biased since it is trading with them.

But if Russia endorses the Iranian program, then as the endorser and supplier they need to be held responsible for insuring that the program remians civilian. Putin and China will not allow the UN to sanction Iran. So the diplomatic way of dealing with this is to have UN inspectors work with Russia insuring Iran does what it says it is going to do.

Is Iran paranoid. Well of course they are. And just because they are it doesn't mean the US the UN and the EU is not out to get them. They are also aware that the American Imperialist Tiger is next door, with hundreds of thousands of troops, and an unstable war mongering leadership. A leadership that calls them an axis of evil. That has them on a hit list with North Korea. After the Afghanistan invasion, and now the Iraq invasion, Iran has American and Nato troops sitting on its doorstep. Along with Pakistan, as America's new client state.

Nuclear Iran: A matter of time

In geopolitical terms of course Iran is worried that it is next for invasion. And with articles like the one above, they are not being paranoid. That being said the Americans would face world outrage over any attempted invasion of Iran. Despite the censoring of Iran for its outrageous, but predictble, Anti-Semitic remarks, and for its Nuclear posturing, the EU and UN do NOT want war with Iran.

Most Americans tired of the war in Iraq will not sanction War with Iran. Unlike Iraq any such invasion or armed intervention in Iran would be met with mass resistance. Given that the sabre rattling has to stop. It only feeds into Iran's political paranoia, one that creates the conditions for Iran to see no alternative but to build a nuclear weapons system. Because America only respects countries with Nukes.

http://www.immediart.com/catalog/images/big_images/SPL_R_T165126-Atomic_bomb_explosion-SPL.jpg

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Saturday, April 14, 2007

India Not Iran The Nuclear Threat


India is not a signatory to the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT) but Iran is. Making India a far more dangerous nuclear power.

An Indonesian passenger jet was forced to turn around over Indian airspace after a nuclear-capable ballistic missile streaked across the sky, the Foreign Ministry said Friday, demanding an explanation from New Delhi.


But the outrage will be muted since India is America's new nuclear ally.

And amongst the conspiracy mongers in the Middle East this will be seen as a covert threat against Muslims by Hindus.

And like North Korea these tests show that India's ability to deliver nuclear weapons is still limited.

New Delhi: India's showpiece nuclear capability, the Agni-III was successfully test fired on Thursday. But behind the glitter of this success lies a money-guzzling missile programme which has dragged on for 24 years and still counting.

After a national investment of Rs 1,700 crore over a period of 24 years, the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) has the Prithvi, the Agni and other missile celebrities to flaunt.

What the organisation set out to do and promised to develop by 1995 also included the Akash, the Nag and the Trishul.

Despite a time overrun of 12 years and a cost overrun of almost Rs 1,400 crore, completion of these projects is still nowhere in sight.

The success of the nuclear-capable Prithvi and the Agni series has created a semblance of assurance in the face of technology denials. But there's a worry here as well: insufficient testing

Major powers have tested their strategic missile hundreds of times to demonstrate their reliability. But the Agni series of missiles - the mainstay of India's nuclear deterrence - have been declared operational on the basis of just three tests each.

So, should the world believe that India has a reliable delivery system for its nuclear weapons? Opinion is divided.


See:

No Nukes

Did Nuke Cause Earth Quake

North Korea Discovers TNT

Nyah, Nyah



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Friday, February 25, 2022

How 'paranoid' Putin's Ukraine invasion could lead to 'accidental' nuclear crisis: military expert

Brad Reed
February 24, 2022

Vladimir Putin (Shutterstock)

Tom Nichols, a professor at the U.S. Naval War College and at the Harvard Extension School, has written a lengthy piece for The Atlantic about the potential for Russia's invasion of Ukraine to spiral into a nuclear crisis.

Nichols describes Russian President Vladimir Putin as "paranoid," although he doesn't believe that he's outright insane -- in other words, he does not expect Putin to directly attack a NATO country.

Rather, Nichols thinks the big risk is that a misstep by Russia's military could lead to an escalation that gets out of hand.

"There are countless opportunities for such errors in the chaos now overtaking Ukraine," he writes. "The Russians might shoot at NATO aircraft after misidentifying them. Or they might incorrectly believe that Russian aircraft have been attacked by NATO forces. They might suffer a misfire or a targeting error of some kind that puts Russian ordnance on NATO territory. Europe’s a crowded continent, and no place for a jumpy trigger finger, but accidents are an unavoidable part of warfare."

Nichols also raises the "frightening possibility that Putin will increase the alert status of his nuclear forces for his own reasons, leaving the Americans no choice but to raise their alert status," and thus set the stage for a nuclear standoff.


THE ATLANTIC
Read the whole analysis here.
PAYWALL

Putin waves nuclear sword in confrontation with the West

By JOHN DANISZEWSKI

In this image made from video released by the Russian Presidential Press Service, Russian President Vladimir Putin addressees the nation in Moscow, Russia, Thursday, Feb. 24, 2022. Russian troops launched their anticipated attack on Ukraine on Thursday, as Putin cast aside international condemnation and sanctions and warned other countries that any attempt to interfere would lead to "consequences you have never seen." (Russian Presidential Press Service via AP)

WARSAW, Poland (AP) — It has been a long time since the threat of using nuclear weapons has been brandished so openly by a world leader, but Vladimir Putin has just done it, warning in a speech that he has the weapons available if anyone dares to use military means to try to stop Russia’s takeover of Ukraine.

The threat may have been empty, a mere baring of fangs by the Russian president, but it was noticed. It kindled visions of a nightmarish outcome in which Putin’s ambitions in Ukraine could lead to a nuclear war through accident or miscalculation.

“As for military affairs, even after the dissolution of the USSR and losing a considerable part of its capabilities, today’s Russia remains one of the most powerful nuclear states,” Putin said, in his pre-invasion address early Thursday.

“Moreover, it has a certain advantage in several cutting-edge weapons. In this context, there should be no doubt for anyone that any potential aggressor will face defeat and ominous consequences should it directly attack our country.”

By merely suggesting a nuclear response, Putin put into play the disturbing possibility that the current fighting in Ukraine might eventually veer into an atomic confrontation between Russia and the United States.

That apocalyptic scenario is familiar to those who grew up during the Cold War, an era when American school children were told to duck and cover under their desks in case of nuclear sirens, But that danger gradually receded from the public imagination after the fall of the Berlin Wall and the dissolution of the Soviet Union, when the two powers seemed to be on a glide path to disarmament, democracy and prosperity.

Before that, even young people understood the terrifying .idea behind the strategy of mutual assured destruction -- MAD for short -- a balance in nuclear capabilities that was meant to keep hands on each side off of the atomic trigger, knowing that any use of the doomsday weapons could end in the annihilation of both sides in a conflict.

And amazingly, no country has used nuclear weapons since 1945, when President Harry Truman dropped bombs on Japan in the belief that it was the surest way to end World War II quickly. It did, but at a loss of about 200,000 mostly civilian lives in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Around the world, even today, many regard that as a crime against humanity and question if it was worth it.

For a brief time after the war, the United States had a nuclear monopoly. But a few years after, the Soviet Union announced its own nuclear bomb and the two sides of the Cold War engaged in an arms race to build and develop increasingly more powerful weapons over the next few decades.

With the end of the Soviet Union in 1991, and its transformation to a hoped-for democracy under Boris Yeltsin, the United States and Russia agreed to limits on their armaments. Other post-Soviet countries like Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Belarus voluntarily gave up the nukes on their territory after the Soviet Union dissolved.

In recent years, if nuclear weapons were spoken of at all, it was usually in the context of stopping their proliferation to countries like North Korea and Iran. (Iran denies that it wants to possess them and North Korea has been steadily but slowly building both its nuclear weapons and its delivery mechanisms. ) President Joe Biden has been aware of the danger of nuclear war between Russia and NATO since the emergence of the crisis with Ukraine. From the start, he has said NATO would not be sending troops into Ukraine because it could trigger direct fighting between the U.S. and Russia, leading to nuclear escalation and possibly World War III.

It was a tacit admission that the United States would not take on the Russians militarily over Ukraine, and instead rely on extraordinary sanctions to gradually strangle the Russian economy.

But the admission also included another truth. When it came to fighting off a Russian invasion, Ukraine remained on its own because it is a non-treaty member and does not qualify for protection under NATO’s nuclear umbrella.

If Putin tried to attack one of the America’s NATO partners, however, that would be a different situation, because the pact is fully committed to mutual defense, Biden has said.

Knowing that Biden had already taken a military response off the table, why did Putin even bother to raise it in his speech?

In part, he may have wanted to keep the West off balance, to prevent it from taking aggressive action to defend Ukraine against Putin’s blitzkrieg drive to take over the country.

But the deeper context seemed to be his great desire to show the world that Russia is a powerful nation, not to be ignored. Putin talks repeatedly about the humiliation of Russia after the Soviet collapse. By waving his nuclear sword, he echoed the bluster with which the Soviet Union had stared down the United States and earned, in his mind, respect.

After Putin’s speech, Pentagon officials offered only a muted response to his implied threat to use nuclear weapons against any country that tried to intervene in Ukraine.

A senior defense official, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations, said Thursday that U.S. officials “don’t see an increased threat in that regard,” but he would not say more.

Putin’s language touches a raw nerve in the Pentagon because it highlights a longstanding concern that he might be willing to preemptively use nuclear weapons in Europe preemptively in a crisis.

This is one reason Washington has tried for years, without success, to persuade Moscow to negotiate limits on so-called tactical nuclear weapons -– those of shorter range that could be used in a regional war. Russia has a large numerical advantage in that weaponry, and some officials say the gap is growing.

Coincidentally, the Biden administration was wrapping up a Nuclear Posture Review –- a study of possible changes to U.S. nuclear forces and the policies that govern their use –- when Russia’s troop buildup near Ukraine reached a crisis stage this month. It’s unclear whether that study’s results will be reworked in light of the Russian invasion.

___

EDITOR’S NOTE — John Daniszewski, an AP vice president and former correspondent in Eastern Europe, has written about European affairs since the 1980s.

___

AP national defense writer Robert Burns contributed to this story from Washington.

Friday, March 22, 2024

Can We Awaken Enough To Avoid Extinction?



 
 MARCH 22, 2024Faceboo

Photo by Maria Oswalt

Recently Sweden, celebrated for its commitment to “neutrality” joined NATO as its 32nd member and immediately engaged in “defense” training exercises with all of its Scandinavian neighbors as well as U.S. Marines. One marine was quoted as saying that “we are ready to fight when they come.” Recently Senator John Thune, (r. South Dakota and touted as possible replacement for Mitch McConnell)) said that NATO had to be strengthened with new arms along Ukraine’s borders with Russia “or else we may have to send our own boys and folks won’t like that.”  In centuries past Sweden was a bellicose and imperial power and had aggressively invaded Russia and blocked its access to the Baltic Sea.

Amidst all the hype about the illegality of Russia’s re-annexation of Crimea and its illegal war nothing is said about the historical fact that for centuries European nations have been warring and seizing each other’s territories. In contravention of the United Nations the U.S. jumped into the act when it supported the breakup of Yugoslavia and later the secession of Kosovo which had been part of Serbia for 700 years. Well before the coup that overthrew the elected pro-Russian government in 2014 Washington had been arming and training the Ukrainian military with “the goal to produce NATO level military interoperability ” (Benjamin Abelow, How the West Brought War To Ukraine).

In all the hysterical dissimulation over Darth Putin’s malevolence and dire threat to western civilization a central historical fact has been disappeared: the last time Russian forces were in western Europe, with the exception of East Germany in 1945 for obvious reasons, was in 1814 after Napoleon’s equivalently illicit invasion when they drove the French dictator to defeat and briefly entered Paris, then to return to Mother Russia. Since then Russia has been invaded twice from the west with millions of casualties and consequences. If Americans could imagine such a bloodbath on American soil we might be able to see why Russia has set its “red line” on NATO and Ukraine. Under no circumstances would the U.S. allow foreign forces in the Western hemisphere. The near extinction events of 1962 demonstrate that.

Under International law there is no doubt that Putin’s assault on Ukraine is illegal but the hypocrisy emanating from Washington is appalling Yes, tragically the deaths and casualties of the “special military operation” are in the hundreds of thousands on both sides. Yet we ignore at our peril the hideous illegal wars waged in Korea, Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan wherein the U.S. caused the fatalities of well over ten million human beings, all mere pawns in the planetary geo-political power game. The deadly game continues: more sacrificial victims yet to  come?

Despite the viral ideological contagion now infecting “the West” about the peril the demonic Putin poses, Russia isn’t going to be invading Scandinavia or Ukraine or any NATO country: Nor vice versa unless we do collectively lose our sanity. The reasons are many but the most consequential is that should they, or we, do so we shall all be extinct shortly thereafter. If there is a malevolent war-mongering shadow looming over Europe (and the world) it emanates from an agenda long basting in Washington since the U.S. became an international and economic power during World War I but especially after it emerged as overdog after Round Two in 1945. At the core of the immediate existential danger to our species is The BOMB. Neither world war has taught the lessons needed to save us from the third.

Many of the Bomb’s primary scientific creators realized their folly and warned our species that it was the overriding threat to our future existence and that all measures had to be taken to ensure it would never be used again. None of the nations armed with thousands of nukes today learned the lesson. Despite hopes for normal relations between the two superpowers after the collapse of the USSR in 1991 the U.S has abrogated most of the treaties designed to limit the dangers of nukes, thereby ramping up the potential for nuclear war.  I insist that so long as nuclear weapons exist sooner or later they will be used. Take your pick: slow extinction via climate disaster, the only solution to which is honest and intense international cooperation, or instant nuclear annihilation.

The U.S. and Russia were allies of a sort during World War II but had quite opposite visons for its aftermath. For Russia national security guarantees became paramount to ensure that anything remotely resembling Germany’s invasion could never again occur. For Washington the goal was mastery of a new global geo-political and economic order.

The Hollywood film “Oppenheimer” ignores (among many vital issues especially the desolation A-Bombs wrought), the resignation of Joseph Rotblat, a prominent scientist engaged in the Manhattan Project. Once he realized that Germany would not be able to create its own Bomb he perceived the weapon as immoral. As he asserted in an article published by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (August 1985), he made his decision when he heard General Leslie Groves, the military commander of the bomb project, state categorically that the “that the new rationale for the U.S. nuclear project was To Subdue The Soviet Union “

Groves asserted the same on various occasions. Of course, Russian intelligence became aware of such statements. Later, as many scientists and others raised serious objections to future developments of the Bomb, they were ignored. Russia meanwhile knew of the U.S. bomb project and understood that if the bomb was successful it would be employed as the primary measure of American postwar power in its blueprint to reconfigure the geo-politics of planet Earth. Virtually on the day Japan surrendered Stalin accelerated the Soviet Bomb project

Most citizens are also inculcated since childhood with the false belief that the Atomic desolations of Hiroshima and Nagasaki were absolutely necessary to end the war. In fact, Washington had broken Japan’s communication codes and knew that Tokyo was seeking an end to its war via secret communications with Moscow. At that point Russia was not involved in the war against Japan. But Stalin desired revenge for Russia’s defeat in the Russo-Japanese War of 1905 and he agreed with the U.S. to enter the Asian War after Germany’s surrender.

Now Washington had a problem. Before the Bomb, the Truman Administration believed it required Russian participation in the invasion of Japan. As originally conceived such an incursion was expected to be enormously costly in lives. Even so a full-scale operation was probably not possible until early 1946. By August 1945 the Soviets mobilized and rapidly overran northern China and Korea, signaling further intent by taking a few remote Japanese islands. Would Washington have to accept U.S.-Soviet co-occupation of Japan? That would mean the same agonistic issues then emerging from the co-occupation of Germany and Europe. The Atomic bombings were not “necessary” to defeat Japan but to beat Russia to the prize and send a clear message about American ruthlessness in its geo-political goals. By September of 1945 only the U.S. ruled Japan.

How many Americans know that the Red Army willingly withdrew from China, and Iran and Austria after the war? So much for the falsehood that the USSR was intent on global conquest. It is essential to note that American forces did not occupy South Korea by force. The Soviets had defeated Japanese forces on mainland Asia not the U.S. and then enabled American troops to occupy the South when Stalin consented to co-occupation with the U.S. coupled with agreement that elections would be held and the Koreans would decide their future. However, the only real native Korean resistance throughout Japanese rule had come from the Korean communists. The U.S. knew where that would lead so it maintained Korea’s division, prevented elections, and ruled the South with the same Koreans who had collaborated with the Japanese, thereby setting in motion the full-scale Korean War of 1950 with four million deaths. An armistice was reached in 1954, the same year the Hydrogen Bomb was developed. It is technically still “on” and North Korea’s acquisition of nukes today intensifies and accelerates the already extreme danger of nuclear war.

Now, what has all this to do with the current crisis in Ukraine?  First, some essential background. In 1918 it became clear in Washington that the Bolsheviks would not cooperate with western plans for the post-war so American and allied forces were dispatched but failed to  strangle the new communist baby in its cradle. During WWII Ukrainian Nazis allied with Germany murdered many Soviets in both Ukraine and Russia, and at least 100,000 Jews as well. As relations worsened between the Soviets and U.S in the post-war the newly established Central Intelligence Agency recruited many such genuine Ukrainian fascists opposed to communist rule and in 1948-49 injected armed guerrillas into Ukraine in an absurd and failed attempt to overthrow the Soviet regime there. We can bet that the Russians have never forgotten these episodes of direct American intervention and the many others that have continued to this day.

Should Washington have been surprised that 1949 was also the year the USSR acquired its own BOMB.

In 1922 Lenin turned the area known as the Donbas over to Ukraine to enlarge its agricultural and industrial potential as part of the new Soviet Union. In 1954 then Soviet Premiere Khrushchev turned Crimea over to Ukraine to bolster ties between the two Soviet republics. Facts on the ground are that much of the population of these territories are ethnically Russian and see themselves as part of Greater Russia. The transfer of territory to Ukraine within the structure of the Soviet system safeguarded the Soviet Fleet headquartered in Crimea. However, by the late 1980s as the Soviet system collapsed,  the security and integrity of the naval base at Sebastopol was threatened. Washington moved to seize advantage, pressuring Moscow to allow German reunification. Then Soviet Premiere Gorbachev enabled that reunification in what was touted as the end of the Cold War with a promise from Secretary of State James Baker…

“…not only for the Soviet Union but for other European countries as well it is important to have guarantees that if the United States keeps its presence in Germany within the framework of NATO, not an inch of NATO’s present military jurisdiction will spread in an eastern direction.” 

The utter, unashamed and perilous betrayal of that warrant to Russia that NATO would not be enlarged is central to the crisis over Ukraine today. In 1998 NATO comprised 16 members. Then in 1999 the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary, all substantially east of Germany, were admitted. By 2024 the number had risen to thirty-two.

Russian memory of and apprehension of any threat from the West is all but genetically ingrained in its population. In 1991 as political order disintegrated Ukraine became an independent state for the first time and retained Crimea as its territory with no Russian objection at that time. Meanwhile, both the Russian and Ukrainian economies collapsed. American advisers flooded Moscow and “guided” the corrupt Yeltsin regime to an almost instant conversion of the Soviet system to unregulated capitalism, which then set off an economic collapse that dwarfed even the American Great Depression, vastly demolishing the living standards of ordinary Russians while creating a new oligarchy of wealth and corruption. For a time it seemed that Russia’s economy would be folded into the “rules-based international order” sponsored by Wall Street, the World Bank/IMF, the European Union and NATO. Then in opposition to the American-backed and corrupt Yeltsin, Putin initiated Russia’s own version of oligarchical capitalism in opposition to Wall Street’s dreams. Putin’s measures actually unwound Yeltsin’s sellout and substantially improved economic conditions (contributing to majority support in Russia for Putin to this day).

Certainly, Putin’s Russia is a dictatorial state but Washington has propped up far bloodier regimes too many times to count. The issue is always whether dictators cooperate with the American global agenda.

Almost as soon as independence Ukraine descended into political civil strife while organized crime ran rampant. Ukraine was judged the “most corrupt state in Europe.” Meanwhile, Washington’s agents worked to bring Ukraine into the European Union (EU) with open discussions about its entry into NATO as well. Much of Ukraine’s Western population supported such measures while predominantly Russian speakers in the East were opposed.  At that point, Putin’s issued his “red line” warning on Ukraine’s admittance to NATO. Even the U.S. ambassador to Russia, William Burns declared that the U.S. must take Russia’s warning seriously or face wider war and the threat of nuclear escalation.  Now Burns directs the CIA?

In 2010 pro-Russian Victor Yanukovych was elected by a small margin and turned against the American and EU-led program of loans his supporters perceived as detrimental to Ukraine’s finances and opted for better terms offered by Russia. This set off massive and extremely violent protests in the capital of Kiev in 2014 that were openly and intensely supported and armed by the U.S. State Department and CIA that led to Yanukovych’s violent overthrow. At that point Undersecretary of State Victoria Nuland was recorded as she openly chose the new interim president for Ukraine.

Intense conflict broke out in the Donbas between actual neo-Nazis, who had longstanding and serious influence in Ukraine since WWII, and supporters of Yanukovych that ultimately resulted in the deaths of 14,000. Germany, France, Russia and Ukraine met and successively crafted the Minsk Agreements ostensibly to ward off war that called for limited autonomy in the Donbas region where most of the public had voted for Yanukovych. However, as Germany’s president Angela Merkel revealed, these were measures intended to “buy time” for Ukraine to build up military force. After that Russia decided to re-annex Crimea, mobilized its forces and began its “special military operation.”

In 2019 popular television comedian, Volodymyr Zelensky, was put up as a “peace candidate” for Ukraine’s presidency, campaigned to end the conflict in Donbas, and won over 70% of the vote. This was an enormous mandate to make peace. Some believe Zelensky was bluffing to win time for Ukraine’s military buildup and others note the words of late Soviet-American specialist, Prof. Stephen Cohen…

…there are opponents of this (peace) in Ukraine and they are armed. Some people say they are fascist, but they are certainly ultra-nationalist, and they have said that they will remove and kill  Zelensky if he continues along this line of negotiating with Putin…

The war continues with the loss of hundreds of thousands of lives. Millions have fled to nearby nations stressing them to their limits. Ukraine’s vital infrastructure is destroyed. Ever more Washington insiders realize that Ukraine cannot win this war and is well on way to become a “failed state.” Many including senior military planners want to turn American attention to the “threat” posed by the  ”adversary” China to the independence of Taiwan and continue extremely hazardous provocations across the Taiwan Strait. Meanwhile, the Middle East volcano verges on eruption. The imperative international cooperation necessary to address the looming existential crises on the horizon is all but lifeless.

Paul Atwood is the author of War and Empire: the American Way of Life.