Wednesday, March 11, 2020

Coronavirus Outbreak Has America’s Homeless at Risk of ‘Disaster’

SAN DIEGO — As the head of a homeless shelter in San Diego, Bob McElroy knows firsthand how epidemics can turn deadly for people living on the streets. Three years ago an outbreak of hepatitis A, an otherwise preventable and treatable disease, killed 20 people in San Diego County alone, most of them homeless.

Now as the coronavirus spreads across the country, Mr. McElroy is faced with a new threat, one that he can only hope to ward off with a stockpile of hand sanitizer. Under a single tent in downtown San Diego, his shelter sleeps more than 300 people, a majority of them over 50 years old, a warehouse of human beings arrayed like cadets in military barracks. Numbered bunk beds are spaced just two feet apart.

“We’re just saying our prayers,” Mr. McElroy said. “If it gets in here it would be a disaster.”

Medical researchers say the 550,000 people currently homeless across the United States have a double vulnerability to the coronavirus. They are more susceptible to contracting the disease caused by the virus because of the cramped quarters in shelters, the sharing of utensils and the lack of hand-washing stations on the streets.

Once infected the chronically homeless are more likely to get much sicker or die because of underlying medical conditions and a lack of reliable health care. One study last year found that 30 percent of homeless people had chronic lung disease.

Phoenix; Portland, Ore.; Washington, D.C.; Austin, Texas; and many cities across California have large homeless populations that are vulnerable to an outbreak. New York City, which has the largest homeless population in the country, issued an 11-page document instructing shelters to screen people for symptoms and quickly identify and isolate those who have contracted the virus in a separate room “as much as possible.”





4 SLIDES © Eros Hoagland for The New York Times

An underground tunnel in San Diego where many homeless people seek shelter.

“We should be very worried,” said Helen Chu, an infectious disease doctor in Seattle, a metropolitan area with one of the highest rates of homelessness in the nation and the current center of America’s coronavirus outbreak. So far, none of the more than 100 confirmed cases in Washington State have been among the homeless population.

Over the past several years Dr. Chu has conducted studies of diseases at homeless shelters in Seattle where mattresses, she said, are less than one foot apart from each other. Homeless people are “extremely vulnerable” to the coronavirus, she said.

Dr. Chu has argued for urgent steps to test homeless people in shelters for the coronavirus to stop the chain of transmission. But she and other experts acknowledged how difficult halting an outbreak would be.

The global response to coronavirus outbreaks has been to order people to self-quarantine. Homeless people, by definition, have nowhere to go.

There are also concerns for employees at shelters — nurses, administrators, charitable workers — who, like health care workers at hospitals, could find themselves exposed multiple times if the virus were to spread among the homeless community.

In some cases it was illness that sent many of those living on the street there in the first place. Tracy Semrow, who was a school psychologist earning a six-figure salary working with children with disabilities, learned two years ago that she had a degenerative connective tissue disorder. The costs of medical care have drained her savings.

Since August her home has been one of the bunk beds in the shelter run by Mr. McElroy’s charity, Alpha Project. She is frequently sick and sometimes cannot get out of bed.

“My immune system has gone haywire,” Ms. Semrow said.

The breadth of the homelessness problem in San Diego County, where by last count more than 8,000 people were without homes, shows the challenges that a coronavirus outbreak would pose.

Homeless people sleep in rows on sidewalks in downtown San Diego, huddling in half-mile-long drainage tunnels filled with rats. And they have erected makeshift homes in the canyons that run through the county.

Doctors say that when homeless people arrive at emergency rooms, they are often already very sick.

Homeless people have rates of respiratory infections far greater than in the general population. At one hospital in Seattle, 32 percent of people who had a common respiratory illness were homeless, compared with 7 percent of all patients hospitalized, according to a study published last year that was written by Dr. Chu and others.

Norbert Alarcon, a former janitor, has been homeless for two years and sleeps in a tent made from plastic sheeting in a forested area of National City, near San Diego. When police officers and outreach workers approached him last week he had a severely swollen hand from a deep cut he sustained in a bicycle accident. The officers urged him to seek treatment but Mr. Alarcon insisted his hand was fine. “It has color now,” he said of his hand, which was bandaged with postal packing tape. “Before it didn’t have any color.”

The hepatitis A outbreak of 2017-18 infected approximately 600 people in San Diego County, according to Natasha Martin, a specialist in infectious diseases at the University of California, San Diego. Hepatitis A is transmitted through fecal matter, sometimes by people who prepare food with unwashed hands.

The authorities and charitable organizations fought the spread of that disease aggressively with a vaccination campaign, street cleaning and the placement of hand-washing stations on sidewalks. But the measures did not arrive in time to prevent the 20 deaths.

“Had the emergency campaign occurred earlier, it would have had an even greater impact on preventing transmission,” Dr. Martin said.

Doctors say the threat of coronavirus is analogous to that of hepatitis but with at least one key difference.

“Obviously we don’t have a vaccine for coronavirus,” said Dr. Robert T. Schooley, an infectious disease expert who advised the San Diego city government during the hepatitis outbreak.

Dr. Schooley said that early studies of the coronavirus show that it spreads easily within households, and that homeless shelters can be considered giant households.

He called those experiencing homelessness a “silent population” because outbreaks are recognized more slowly in that group than in groups that have better access to medical care.

David Corpus, a former dishwasher at a restaurant who has been homeless for a decade, is not only silent but hidden, too. On Wednesday a police officer, Daniel Duran, had to walk 200 yards in a pitch-black, dank subterranean drainage ditch to order Mr. Corpus out of the tunnel, which runs under a shopping center.

“Police Department! Who’s in there?” Officer Duran said as he spotted the piece of plywood that Mr. Corpus was hiding behind.

Mr. Corpus has diabetes and high blood pressure, and his hands cramp up for unknown reasons. He has not seen a doctor in months, he said.

“I don’t like it in the tunnels,” Mr. Corpus said as he emerged into daylight, squinting under the California sky. “But it’s the only place I can go.”

Utah's Women Senators Walk Out As Men Pass Abortion Ultrasound Bill

Six women in Utah's Senate, from both sides of the aisle, walked out on their male peers Tuesday, as they passed a bill requiring pregnant women to sit through an ultrasound before being able to undergo an abortion. 
© Scott Olson/Getty An ultrasound machine sits next to an exam table in an examination room at Whole Woman's Health of South Bend on June 19, 2019 in South Bend, Indiana. Men in Utah's Senate passed a bill seeking to force women undergo an ultrasound before getting an abortion.

House Bill 364 was passed entirely by male senators as their six female colleagues, Democrats Luz Escamilla, Jani Iwamoto, Karen Mayne and Kathleen Riebe and Republicans Kathleen Riebe and Ann Millner walked out on the vote.

According to Escamilla, who tweeted about the incident, the decision to walk out of the Senate was not planned.

"Love my sisters in the Senate," Escamilla said, sharing photos of the six women senators embracing each other after walking out. "A spontaneous decision not planned of sisterhood against the invasive nature of HB 364," she said.

In a separate statement, Henderson, who typically supports anti-abortion legislation, told local outlet 2News that the walkout was a "spontaneous decision to put an exclamation mark on our concerns about the invasive nature of the bill."

While Henderson said she is "very pro-life" and "always" votes for pro-life bills," in the case of HB 364, she is "concerned that we are overstepping with government mandates of medically unnecessary procedures."

Under the bill, which was sponsored by Republican Rep. Steve Christiansen and sponsored in Senate by Curtis Bramble, medical professionals would be required to "display live fetal images" while also describing the images to pregnant women.

Practitioners would also be required to make fetal heartbeats audible, when possible.

The bill provides that pregnant women may choose not to view the images or listen to the audio, but medical professionals would be required to provide written confirmation to women stating that they had complied with the requirements before allowing the abortion procedure to move forward.

Speaking with 2News, Christiansen said he hoped that the bill, if enacted, would lead more women to "choose life."

He also claimed that the bill was aimed at ensuring "informed consent" when it comes to abortion.

The representative, who is known to hold anti-abortion views, said he believed many women feel they have been given an incomplete picture of the physical and emotional risks of having an abortion.

"The fact that many women who have an ultrasound change their mind is a tremendous indicator...that there's probably not enough information being shared," he said. "Some women are, of course, getting good information, but far too many are not."

Christiansen also said that he disagrees with those who have deemed an ultrasound before abortion medically unnecessary, though it is not clear why. Newsweek has contacted the representative for further comment.

Newsweek has also contacted Escamilla and Henderson for further comment.

Coronavirus inevitable in prison-like US immigration centers, doctors say

CRIME AGAINST HUMANITY 

Doctors are concerned the spread of coronavirus to the US’s prison-like immigration detention centers is inevitable and will hit a system blighted by overcrowding and medical negligence.

There are two known incidents of possible coronavirus infections tied to the US immigration detention system, which has detained record numbers of people under Donald Trump.

Dr Ranit Mishori, senior medical adviser at the Physicians for Human Rights advocacy group, said it was inevitable coronavirus hits either a prison or jail, and that it was likely to hit immigration detention centers as well. “Looking at what has been happening in immigration detention centers, it doesn’t inspire much confidence in me,” Mishori said.

Any type of detention center is a cauldron for infectious disease because of the crowded conditions and limited access to medical care. Five cases of mumps in immigration detention centers in September 2018 ballooned to nearly 900 cases among staff and detainees by August 2019.

In these facilities, it can also be difficult to follow the most basic prevention advice – regular hand washing – because clean water and soap aren’t guaranteed.

“We know there have been cases of medical negligence, of lack of access or reduced access to care, we’ve heard stories about a lack of basic hygiene measures so, no soap, no hand sanitizer,” Mishori said. “And all these things are important to prevent the transmission of any infectious disease.”

Multiple reports from government watchdogs, as well as advocacy groups, have revealed the health risks at these facilities, which are run by federal agencies Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice), Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and private prison companies.

The internal watchdog for the Department of Homeland Security, which oversees CBP and Ice, warned last year of dangerous overcrowding at a border patrol processing facility, before the coronavirus outbreak. “We are concerned that overcrowding and prolonged detention represent an immediate risk to the health and safety not just of the detainees, but also DHS agents and officers,” the office of inspector general’s report said.

In December, US immigration officials blocked doctors from giving flu vaccines to detained migrant children, after at least three children in custody died from complications from the flu.

Dr Josiah Rich, an epidemiologist at Brown University, said one tool the US government has to prevent the spread of coronavirus is to release some of the 43,990 people in immigration detention, while their legal cases are being processed. People are held in these detention centers for civil immigration violations, not criminal charges, and the government can release them unless they are considered a danger to the community.

“If they don’t really need to be there, get them out of there,” Rich said. “Do we really need to expose them to additional health risks? And expose them to each other? and the staff?”
© REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson Detainees are seen at Otay Mesa immigration detention center in San Diego, California, U.S. May 18, 2018.

So far, there are only two known incidents of possible coronavirus outbreaks tied to agencies involved with immigration detention.

At the Otay Mesa detention facility near San Diego, California, one person was evaluated at a local medical center for possible coronavirus symptoms in mid-February. The person was returned to the custody of Ice and placed in isolation, according to the agency.

In Washington state’s King county, which had seen the worst outbreak of coronavirus in the US so far until this week when an outbreak in the New York metro area became the largest cluster in the US, an Ice field office closed for 14 days. The move was out of concerns an employee had coronavirus, and staff were encouraged to telework and self-quarantine.

An Ice spokesperson told the Guardian on Tuesday that there were no detainees with confirmed coronavirus and that the agency’s epidemiologists have been tracking the outbreak.

“Ice continues to incorporate CDC’s Covid-19 guidance, which is built upon the already established infectious disease monitoring and management protocols currently in use by the agency,” the spokesperson said, referring to the scientific label for the novel strain of coronavirus that generated the global outbreak.

“In addition, Ice is actively working with state and local health partners to determine if any detainee requires additional testing or monitoring to combat the spread of the virus.”

Beyond health concerns, disease outbreaks can also threaten immigrants’ legal rights.

Detention facilities are notoriously difficult to access for non-government bodies, such as charities and the media, and in normal conditions advocates struggle to monitor the conditions people inside experience day-to-day. People testing positive for a contagious disease can be isolated further, which could also stop immigrants from meeting with their attorneys or other advocates.

If court hearings are held remotely, it can present challenges if the video feed is low-quality or a translator isn’t provided on either end of the process. Immigration lawyers have voiced concerns about how coronavirus will affect their clients and the immigration judges union has sent out coronavirus prevention guidance to its members in lieu of the information being made available in courtrooms.

Mishori said she was concerned immigration officials hadn’t yet publicly acknowledged what Ice will do if there is an outbreak. She said: “I’m seeing no transparency about how they are preparing to respond or to contain if there becomes a need to rather than prevention.”
Exclusive: White House told federal health agency to classify coronavirus deliberations - sources

SO MUCH FOR TRANSPARENCY AND RIGHT TO KNOW


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The White House has ordered federal health officials to treat top-level coronavirus meetings as classified, an unusual step that has restricted information and hampered the U.S. government’s response to the contagion, according to four Trump administration officials.  
WHITE HOUSE CORONAVIRUS PRAYER CIRCLE 
© Reuters/Jonathan Ernst FILE PHOTO: U.S. Vice President Pence addresses reporters during his daily Coronavirus Task Force news briefing at the White House in Washington

The officials said that dozens of classified discussions about such topics as the scope of infections, quarantines and travel restrictions have been held since mid-January in a high-security meeting room at the Department of Health & Human Services (HHS), a key player in the fight against the coronavirus.

Staffers without security clearances, including government experts, were excluded from the interagency meetings, which included video conference calls, the sources said.

“We had some very critical people who did not have security clearances who could not go,” one official said. “These should not be classified meetings. It was unnecessary.”

The sources said the National Security Council (NSC), which advises the president on security issues, ordered the classification.“This came directly from the White House,” one official said.

The White House insistence on secrecy at the nation’s premier public health organization, which has not been previously disclosed, has put a lid on certain information - and potentially delayed the response to the crisis. COVID19, the disease caused by the virus, has killed about 30 people in the United States and infected more than 1,000 people.

HHS oversees a broad range of health agencies, including the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which among other things is responsible for tracking cases and providing guidance nationally on the outbreaks.

The administration officials, who spoke to Reuters on condition of anonymity, said they could not describe the interactions in the meeting room because they were classified.

An NSC spokesman did not respond to questions about the meetings at HHS. But he defended the administration’s transparency across federal agencies and noted that meetings of the administration's task force on the coronavirus all are unclassified. It was not immediately clear which meetings he was referring to.

“From day one of the response to the coronavirus, NSC has insisted on the principle of radical transparency,” said the spokesman, John Ullyot. He added that the administration “has cut red tape and set the global standard in protecting the American people under President Trump’s leadership.”

A spokeswoman for the HHS, Katherine McKeogh, issued a statement that did not address questions about classified meetings. Using language that echoed the NSC’s, the department said it that it agreed task-force meetings should be unclassified.

Critics have hammered the Trump administration for what they see as a delayed response to coronavirus outbreaks and a lack of transparency, including sidelining experts and providing misleading or incomplete information to the public. State and local officials also have complained of being kept in the dark about essential federal response information.

U.S. Vice-President Mike Pence, the administration's point person on coronavirus, vowed on March 3 to offer “real-time information in a steady pace and be fully transparent.” The vice president, appointed by President Donald Trump in late February, is holding regular news briefings and also has pledged to rely on expert guidance.

The meetings at HHS were held in a secure area called a "Sensitive Compartmentalized Information Facility," or SCIF, according to the administration officials.

SCIFs are usually reserved for intelligence and military operations. Ordinary cell phones and computers can't be brought into the chambers. HHS has SCIFs because theoretically it would play a major role in biowarfare or chemical attacks.

A high-level former official who helped address public health outbreaks in the George W. Bush administration said “it’s not normal to classify discussions about a response to a public health crisis.”

Attendees at the meetings included HHS Secretary Alex Azar and his chief of staff Brian Harrison, the officials said. Azar and Harrison resisted the classification of the meetings, the sources said.

HHS did not make Azar or Harrison available for comment.

One of the administration officials told Reuters that when complex issues about a quarantine came up, a high-ranking HHS lawyer with expertise on the issue was not admitted because he did not have the proper security clearance. His input was delayed and offered at an unclassified meeting, the official said.

A fifth source familiar with the meetings said HHS staffers often weren’t informed about coronavirus developments because they didn’t have adequate clearance. He said he was told that the matters were classified "because it had to do with China.

The coronavirus epidemic originated in China and the administration’s main focus to prevent spread early on was to restrict travel by non-U.S. citizens coming from China and to authorize the quarantine of people entering the United States who may have been exposed to the virus.

One of the administration officials suggested the security clearances for meetings at HHS were imposed not to protect national security but to keep the information within a tight circle, to prevent leaks.

“It seemed to be a tool for the White House - for the NSC - to keep participation in these meetings low,” the official said.

(Roston and Taylor reported from Washington, D.C.; Editing by Julie Marquis)
Medical marijuana expansion bill advances to Iowa Senate


KCRG-TV9 News Staff


DES MOINES, Iowa (CNN) - A bill that would expand Iowa's medical marijuana program is moving forward in the Iowa legislature.
© Provided by Burlington-Plattsburgh WCAX-TV

The Iowa House passed the bill with a 52-46 vote Tuesday It would add severe autism and PSD to the list of conditions that would qualify for medical marijuana use.

It also caps the amount of THC at 4.5 grams every 90 days. THC is the chemical in marijuana which causes a high.

MedPharm, who manufactures medical cannabidiol, wants to get rid of the cap and add a purchase limit of 17 grams.

"We have actual data from our Iowa patients that says we'll be able to serve upwards of 97% of the patients with that type of cap," said MedPharm Iowa General Manager Lucas Nelson.

The Iowa Cannabidiol Board made the recommendation of 4.5 grams. A board member says there is concern that raising the cap any higher could pose health risks.

"When you get up to 17 grams per 90 days or 25 grams per 90 days, that's really really high and you run into areas where you can have a lot of side-effects," said board member Dr. Jacqueline Stoken.

The bill now heads to the Iowa Senate.
Opinion: America's Health System Will Likely Make the Coronavirus Outbreak Worse

Abigail Abrams





Slides 1,2,3 of 49: NAPLES, ITALY - MARCH 10: Medical officers check the temperature of people traveling to the islands of Ischia, Capri and Procida, in Naples, Italy on March 10, 2020. In the evening of March 9, 2020 Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte has officially declared that the entire Italian peninsula will be considered âred zone❠due to the fast spread of the coronavirus. (Photo by © Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Editor’s note: The opinions in this article are the author’s, as published by our content partner, and do not necessarily represent the views of MSN or Microsoft.

As government officials race to limit the spread of the new coronavirus, fundamental elements of the U.S. health care system—deductibles, networks, and a complicated insurance bureaucracy—that already make it tough for many Americans to afford medical care under normal conditions will likely make the outbreak worse.

More than 140 cases of the coronavirus have been confirmed in the United States so far, according to a Johns Hopkins University tracker. But as the CDC makes the test for the virus more widely available, the structure of the U.S. health care system is complicating the response.

For one, people must actually choose get tested—a potentially expensive prospect for millions of Americans. While the government will cover the cost of testing for Medicaid and Medicare patients, and for tests administered at federal, state and local public health labs, it’s unclear how much patients will be charged for testing at academic or commercial facilities, or whether those facilities must be in patients’ insurance networks. Just recently, a Miami man received a $3,270.75 bill after going to the hospital feeling sick following a work trip to China. (He tested positive for the seasonal flu, so did not have the new coronavirus, and was sent home to recover.)

Those who test positive for COVID-19 possibly face an even more financially harrowing path forward. Seeking out appropriate medical care or submitting to quarantines—critical in preventing the virus from spreading further—both come with potentially astronomical price tags in the U.S. Last month, a Pennsylvania man received $3,918 in bills after being released from a mandatory U.S. government quarantine after he and his daughter were evacuated from China. (Both the Miami and Pennsylvania patients saw their bills decrease after journalists reported on them, but they still owe thousands.)

More than 27 million Americans currently do not have health insurance of any kind, and even more are underinsured. But those who do have adequate health insurance are hardly out of the woods. Many current health plans feature massive deductibles—the amount you have to spend each year before your insurance kicks in. In 2019, 82% of workers with health insurance through their employer had an annual deductible, up from 63% a decade ago, according to a report from the Kaiser Family Foundation. The average deductible for a single person with employer insurance has increased 162% in that time, from $533 in 2009 to $1,396 last year.

More than one quarter of employees, and nearly half of those at small companies, have an  deductible of at least $2,000. Those who are covered by Obamacare marketplace 
annualplans face an even bigger hurdle: the average deductible for an individual bronze plan last year was $5,861, according to Health Pocket, a site that helps consumers shop for health insurance.

For many Americans, paying down an unexpected bill of that size is almost unthinkable. Nearly 40% of U.S. adults say they wouldn’t be able to cover a $400 emergency with cash, savings or a credit card they could easily pay off, according to the Federal Reserve.

Research has shown that even in non-outbreak situations, high deductibles lead people to reduce their spending on health care and delay treatment or prescription drugs, which can pose particularly tough problems for patients with chronic illness or diseases that need early detection. The timing of the new coronavirus at the beginning of the year makes the outlook even worse: because most deductibles reset each January, millions of Americans will be paying thousands out of pocket before their insurance companies pay a cent.

“Most likely most people haven’t started paying down their deductible,” explains Adrianna McIntyre, a health policy researcher at Harvard. “For care they seek, unless it’s covered as zero dollar coverage before the deductible, they could be on the hook for the full cost of their visit, the diagnostic testing and other costs related to seeking care or diagnosis of coronavirus.”

Half of Americans report that they or a family member have put off care in the past because they couldn’t afford it. Others have gone without care because they couldn’t find an in-network provider, or couldn’t determine how much care would cost in advance, so decided not to risk seeking medical attention.

“When patients try to go to a doctor or hospital, they often don’t know how much it’s going to cost, so they get a bill that’s way more than expected,” says Christopher Whaley, a health economist at the RAND Corporation. “On a normal basis, that’s chaotic and challenging for patients. But when you add on top this situation where you have a potential pandemic, then that’s even worse.”

In the face of that kind of uncertainty, many patients may simply decide not to go to the doctor, he added, which is “exactly the opposite of what we want to happen in this type of situation.”

Public health experts and Democrats have also criticized the Trump administration’s decision to allow people to sidestep the Affordable Care Act’s rules and buy limited, short-term health insurance coverage. Such “junk plans,” said Senator Patty Murray, speaking at a Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee hearing on Wednesday, are not required to cover diagnostic tests or vaccines.

The Trump administration’s embrace of such barebones plans “makes it much harder for people to get the care they need to keep this crisis under control,” she said. A large group of health, law and other experts also released a letter this week urging policymakers to “ensure comprehensive and affordable access to testing, including for the uninsured.”

Insurance industry trade group America’s Health Insurance Plans issued guidance on the coronavirus last week, but it did not recommend that insurance companies eliminate out-of-pocket costs related to the virus. It said insurers would be working with the CDC and “carefully monitoring the situation” to determine “whether policy changes are needed to ensure that people get essential care.”

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo issued a directive on Monday requiring New York health insurers to waive cost sharing for testing of the coronavirus, including emergency room, urgent care and office visits. This could help New Yorkers who receive coverage through Medicaid and other state-regulated plans, but it won’t apply to the majority of employer-based health insurance, which is regulated by the federal government. Other states have similar limitations on the insurance plans they can regulate, according to McIntyre.

The federal government, on the other hand, could step in. The Trump Administration is considering using a national disaster recovery program to reimburse hospitals and doctors for treating uninsured COVID-19 patients. And even Republicans, who have traditionally opposed health care paid for by the government, are warming to the idea. “You can look at it as socialized medicine,” Florida Rep. Ted Yoho, who has vocally opposed the Affordable Care Act, told HuffPost this week. “But in the face of an outbreak, a pandemic, what’s your options?”

But even if the federal government takes steps to eliminate deductibles or other cost-sharing related to the coronavirus, experts say that Americans should brace themselves for long wait times to see providers, or for having to see doctors who are out-of-network, due to the limited capacity of providers and hospitals.

Those who don’t need to be treated at a hospital may still be impacted. The CDC has recommended that people maintain a supply of necessary medications in case they are quarantined, for example. But many insurance companies do not allow patients to refill prescriptions until they are almost out. The CDC also recommends that people to stay home from work if they experience symptoms of respiratory illness, but a lack of federally mandated sick leave makes it impossible for many workers to afford to take time off.

These consequences of the country’s fragmented health care system become more visible in times of stress, says Whaley. “In a pandemic type situation, that’s harmful both for patients,” he says, “and also for the members of society.”

The United States' closest ally is in a state of 'genuine disbelief' about how bad Trump's response to the coronavirus outbreak has been

BUSINESS INSIDER

Donald Trump. Reuters

The United States' closest international ally is in a state of incredulity and "disbelief" at how badly President Donald Trump has handled the coronavirus outbreak.

UK government officials told BuzzFeed News that the president's slow response and his tweets seeking to downplay the spread of the virus had triggered disbelief among Prime Minister Boris Johnson's administration.

One UK official accused Trump of spreading misinformation about COVID-19, the illness caused by the virus.

Trump and Johnson's relationship has deteriorated in recent months — last month, the president hung up the phone on the prime minister in a moment of "apoplectic
" fury.

Here's how the coronavirus is spreading in Britain.

The UK government is in "genuine disbelief" about how badly US President Donald Trump has handled the coronavirus outbreak, and officials have reacted with "incredulity" to the president's attempts to downplay the epidemic, BuzzFeed News reported on Monday.

The Trump administration's slow response and the president's stream of tweets about COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus, have triggered eye-rolls among Prime Minister Boris Johnson's team, UK officials told BuzzFeed News.

"There is a general level of incredulity over his comments but especially over the lack of testing," a UK official told the website.

People in the UK government "are used to the steady stream of tweets, but the last few days have caused more than the usual eye-rolling," the official said. "There is genuine disbelief."

In recent days, the president has used the outbreak to attack his Democratic opponents.

—Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 9, 2020

The president has labeled the outbreak a "hoax" and falsely claimed that "anyone who wants a test can get a test."

He also reportedly has become fixated on keeping the official number of US cases low.

Referring to Trump's response and a new UK government unit designed to counter misinformation about the virus online, a UK official told BuzzFeed News that "our COVID-19 counter-disinformation unit would need twice the manpower if we included him in our monitoring."
Johnson has distanced himself from Trump after an 'apoplectic' call
Trump and Boris Johnson. Getty

Trump and Johnson's relationship has deteriorated in recent months as Johnson has sought to distance himself from the president.

The two men have had a series of public disagreements on everything from telecoms policy to trade to the president's conflict with Iran.

Last month, the president hung up the phone on Johnson in a moment of "apoplectic" rage, after which he accused the prime minister of "betrayal."

Johnson subsequently canceled his trip to the White House that was set to take place later in March.
COVID-19 coronavirus info for Albertans

Learn about the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and actions being taken to protect the health of Albertans.


On this page:

Current situation
Current risk level in Alberta
Cases and testing
About coronavirus
Prevent and prepare
Info for Albertans
Actions being taken
Chief Medical Officer updates
Resources
News

Current situation
A pneumonia outbreak, now known to be caused by COVID-19, was identified in Wuhan, China on December 31, 2019. The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the outbreak of the virus a public health emergency.

There are 14 cases in Alberta and 93 cases across Canada. The risk to Albertans is still low.
Testing protocols and travel recommendations
Updates from Alberta's Chief Medical Officer

Last updated: March 11 at 8:15 am
Current risk level in Alberta

The current risk level is low.

Risk is determined by assessing how likely Albertans are to be exposed to the virus in the province. Currently, Albertans have a very low chance of contracting COVID-19. If this changes in the coming weeks, the risk level in Alberta will be updated accordingly.
Cases and testing


Cases in Alberta and Canada

The cases in Canada have been travel-related and have been isolated to prevent further transmission.


Location
Confirmed or presumptive cases
In Alberta 14
In Canada 93
Deaths
In Alberta  0
In Canada  1

Testing in Alberta

Alberta is testing for COVID-19. We are acting out of an excess of caution even when the likelihood of exposure is small or improbable. Testing numbers are updated every Monday and Friday, and are current as of March 10.


Test results
Number of completed tests 

Negative 2,004
Positive 14



About coronavirus


Coronaviruses are a large family of viruses. Some cause respiratory illness in people, ranging from mild common colds to severe illnesses. Others cause illness in animals. Rarely, animal coronaviruses can infect people then spread from person to person through close contact.

Novel coronaviruses are new strains of the virus that have not been previously identified in humans.

COVID-19 vs. Influenza
How it spreads
Symptoms
Treatment

Prevent and prepare

Follow these tips to help prevent the spread of respiratory viruses and prepare your household in case you need to self-isolate at home.

How to prevent the spread
How to prepare

Info for Albertans


If you have COVID-19 symptoms and have travelled outside Canada or were exposed to someone who has COVID-19, stay home and call Health Link 811 for instructions.

Do not go to a health care facility without consulting 811 first. If you need immediate medical attention, call 911 and inform them that you may have COVID-19.



Actions being taken

Alberta’s public health officials are carefully monitoring the situation in Canada, China and around the world, and are ready to respond. They are:
working closely with federal, provincial and territorial partners to share information and assess potential health risks
ensuring our health system is ready to respond effectively if needed
ensuring front-line health professionals have information about the virus so they can:
take recommended actions
promptly report suspected cases to public health officials
updating self-isolation and self-monitoring recommendations for returning travellers experiencing symptoms, as required
tracing all close contacts of presumptive and confirmed cases, testing and isolating those who are symptomatic, and asking even those who are well to self-isolate for 14 days after their last contact with the case

Find out more under the info for Albertans section.

Chief Medical Officer updates


Alberta’s Chief Medical Officer of Health, Dr. Deena Hinshaw issued the following statement for Albertans on March 10:


"Today, I am announcing that seven new cases of COVID-19 have been confirmed in our province. This brings the total number of confirmed cases in Alberta to 14. A breakdown of each case has been provided in the news release being sent out today.

"Three of the new cases are from the Edmonton zone, while the other four new cases are from the Calgary zone. They involve a range of ages and travel locations outside of Canada.

"This includes travellers returning from France, the Netherlands, Egypt, Iran, Taiwan, Germany, Malaysia, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, the Philippines and the United States.

"Many travellers visited more than one country during their trip. One of the individuals was on the same MS Braemar cruise ship in the Caribbean as a case announced yesterday.

"It is important to note that, while this is a list of the countries to which each individual travelled, it is too early to know in which of those countries they contracted the virus.

"All of the new cases are recovering in isolation at home. As with all previous cases, health officials are reaching out to any individuals who may have been in close contact with these cases. I also want to inform you that one of the previously confirmed cases is now receiving treatment in hospital. The individual who is receiving treatment is someone with a pre-existing chronic health condition.

"I know that any rise in case numbers may feel alarming to many people. Many Albertans are wondering what this means for them, and if cases will continue to rise. I want to assure Albertans that all of these cases are travel related. This means that our existing recommendations remain particularly important.

"I want to remind all Albertans that:
If you are returning from outside of Canada, you should closely monitor your health for 14 days.
If you start experiencing a fever or cough, even if it is mild, please self-isolate yourself immediately and call Health Link 811.
Do not go to an emergency department, urgent care centre, or family doctor’s office for this assessment and testing.

"The fact that all confirmed cases are travel related also indicates Alberta continues to take the right approach at this time. Our public health measures are doing precisely what they were intended to do: detect new cases and take immediate action.

"This means that the number of confirmed cases will continue to increase in the weeks ahead. But every new travel-related case that is confirmed is another case where we have taken action to isolate the virus and prevent its spread.

"What can Albertans do to prepare and protect themselves?

"They can take seriously the role that all of us now play in protecting our fellow citizens.

“As I mentioned yesterday, many people who get COVID-19 will experience minor symptoms and even recover on their own, but others are at risk of serious complications. In particular, COVID-19 can be extremely serious, and even fatal, for seniors and those with underlying health conditions.

“If you are feeling ill and are not sure if you should stay home or not, think about the people in your life who have a medical condition, or are elderly, and take the action you would want others to take to protect them. We continue to ask anyone who is feeling ill to stay home and not visit hospitals, long-term care facilities or supportive living accommodations.

“Alberta Health and AHS are developing new precautionary materials for schools, long-term care facilities and others to update them on the situation and provide additional advice. This morning, I also participated in a telephone town hall with municipalities and emergency managers to discuss preparations.

“While the risk of exposure in Alberta remains low, we are taking all necessary steps to prepare the health system in case the risk level changes in the coming weeks. In addition, I want to emphasize that the risk to Albertans who are traveling outside the country is increasing.

"Albertans planning travel in the coming weeks, should carefully monitor the travel recommendations from the Public Health Agency of Canada and consider how the evolving situation may impact their travel plans.

"As well, public health officials continue to put in countless hours to investigate, test and help our province get ready. Through those outstanding efforts, we are preparing for whatever direction COVID-19 takes in the days ahead.

"As I mentioned yesterday, we need to get used to a new normal. This means we all need to be vigilant and take additional precautions to limit the risk for others. The precautionary measures that you take now will help shield yourself, seniors, and people with pre-existing medical conditions from this virus.

"Together, we can protect each other and keep our communities healthy.”

Go back to COVID-19 info for Albertans

Resources
Government of Canada's 2019 New Coronavirus (2019-nCoV): Outbreak Notification - English | Simplified Chinese

What the official COVID-19 mortality rate actually means


Rachel Feltman

The World Health Organization announced this week that COVID-19 kills an average of 3.4 percent of patients, representing a significant increase over the previously estimated death rate of around 2 percent.

© fpm/Getty Images

"Globally, about 3.4 percent of reported COVID-19 cases have died," WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said. "By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1 percent of those infected."


On Wednesday, President Donald Trump told Fox News he estimated the death rate of COVID-19 at less than 1 percent, citing the mild symptoms common in most patients as evidence that many cases are going unreported. He also seemed to imply that many COVID-19 patients were able to go to work, which is probably true, but not advisable—anyone with upper respiratory symptoms should remain isolated at home if at all possible.

For an ongoing outbreak of a new disease, keeping tabs of death rates is no simple task. Here’s everything you need to know.

Why is there so much conflicting information about how fatal COVID-19 is?

COVID-19 is caused by a strain of coronavirus not seen in humans before December 2019. The rapid emergence of this disease makes it a moving target; we are learning how it works and how to fight it even as we try to prevent its spread—and watch thousands die while we continue to scramble.

When a disease has been around for awhile, we can be fairly certain the cases reported in a calendar year represent a good sample set of typical outcomes, which makes calculating mortality rate simple: It’s just a question of how many people got sick and what percentage of them died.

With a disease like COVID-19 unfolding in real time—and with no data from previous years to guide us—all we can do is count up as many confirmed cases as possible to try to paint a complete picture of how the disease works. We’ve seen enough cases of the flu to know it kills something like .1 percent of those infected, and we can look back at 1918’s particularly bad strain of the flu and calculate that it killed more than 2.5 percent of those infected, but people fighting COVID-19 don’t have the benefit of hindsight, or even the benefit of reliable data.


Complicating matters even further is the fact that the majority of the nearly 100,000 global cases have taken place in a cluster around Hubei province in China. When outbreaks of that scale strike a region, the likelihood of death starts to become higher than it would be for a random person struck ill in isolation in another part of the world. Strained resources make it harder for those experiencing serious symptoms to get treatment.


So, to summarize: To calculate a reasonable mortality rate, we need as much data as possible. For now, most of the data we have on COVID-19 is coming from a region that is not particularly well-poised to keep people from dying.

COVID-19 is also a particularly tricky disease to track in this regard, because symptoms are mild for so many sufferers. It is quite likely that many mild cases in the Hubei area were ignored, with hospitals barely having the ability to care for the seriously sick. Likewise, there are indications that COVID-19 has been circulating unnoticed in parts of the United States for weeks. If we don’t know how many people have gotten the virus, we can’t actually calculate how fatal it is.

© Infographic by Sara Chodosh Most recent data available as of March 5, 2020“It’s good to remember that when H1N1 influenza came out in 2009, estimates of case fatality were 10 percent,” David Fisman, an epidemiologist at the University of Toronto, told Reuters last month. The actual mortality rate turned out to be well under 1 percent.

What does a 3.4 percent mortality rate mean?

Even if COVID-19 truly does kill 3.4 percent of people who get it, this does not mean you have a 3.4 percent chance of dying if you get sick. Most fatalities worldwide have been in older adults, especially those with underlying health problems:

Potential health outcomes are also heavily influenced by access to healthcare, so outbreaks in rich countries with easy access to medicine will tend to have lower mortality rates than in areas plagued by poverty or political turmoil.

This is not to say that a 3.4 percent mortality rate—or even a 2 percent or 1 percent mortality rate—is not cause for concern. It is crucial that all individuals work to combat the spread of the new coronavirus by washing their hands frequently and staying home if they get sick. Otherwise, they risk exposing someone who is much more likely to fall into that 3.4 percent due to age or poor health. And while good outcomes are quite likely in young, healthy people, anyone can get potentially deadly pneumonia—even from the regular seasonal flu.

Here’s more information on how to prevent the spread of COVID-19.

Follow all of PopSci’s COVID-19 coverage here, including travel advice, pregnancy concerns, and the latest findings on the virus itself.
A leaked presentation reveals the document US hospitals are using to prepare for a major coronavirus outbreak. It estimates 96 million US coronavirus cases and 480,000 deaths.
Lydia Ramsey Mar 6, 2020
Getty Images


Hospitals are confronting the rising threat of the novel coronavirus in the US.
In a February webinar presentation hosted by the American Hospital Association, national healthcare experts from organizations across the US laid out what hospitals need to know as they face the virus that causes COVID-19.

Here's a look at the presentation, which includes estimated projections of as many as 96 million cases in the US, 4.8 million hospitalizations, and 480,000 deaths associated with the novel coronavirus.

It also includes the proper ways to identify coronavirus patients, isolate them, and keep caregivers at the hospitals informed. 

The spread of the coronavirus outbreak in the US could push the healthcare system to its limits.

Hospitals are bracing for what could be millions of admissions nationwide as the virus spreads.

The American Hospital Association, which represents thousands of hospitals and health systems, hosted a webinar in February with its member hospitals and health systems. Business Insider obtained a copy of the slides.

The presentation, titled "What healthcare leaders need to know: Preparing for the COVID-19," happened on February 26 with representatives from the National Ebola Training and Education Center.

The presentation contained an overview of the virus, projections and estimates of how much the virus might spread in the US, and proper ways to identify coronavirus patients, isolate them, and keep caregivers at the hospitals informed.

In particular, one slide presented by an expert included "best guess" estimates that there could be as many as:4.8 million hospitalizations associated with the novel coronavirus.96 million cases overall in the US.480,000 deaths.Overall, the slide says hospitals should prepare for an impact to the system that's 10 times greater than a severe flu season.

Those estimates come from Dr. James Lawler, a professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Center. They "represent his interpretation of the data available. It's possible that forecast will change as more information becomes available," a spokesman for Nebraska Medicine told Business Insider in an email.

The American Hospital Association said the webinar reflected the views of the experts who spoke during it, not its own.

"The AHA regularly hosts webinars and conference calls that include a variety of voices and opinions that seek to provide relevant information to professionals at hospitals and health systems that are on the front lines of preparing for and protecting their patients and communities," a spokeswoman for the AHA told Business Insider in an emailed statement. "The slides you shared reflect the various perspectives of field experts and should not be attributed to the AHA."

Here's a look at slides presented in the webinar:

The presentation featured "national experts from several health care organizations," the AHA said on its website. Its focus: getting healthcare leaders up to speed on how to prepare for the novel coronavirus, which causes the disease known as COVID-19

AHA webinar

Source: AHA

As part of the presentation, the experts laid out facts about the virus, how hospitals can prepare, and details on what prevention tactics might be key to combating its spread.

AHA webinar


In attendance were experts from Massachusetts General Hospital, the University of Nebraska Medical Center ...

AHA webinar

... Emory University Hospital and HCA Healthcare.

AHA webinar


Some are affiliated with the National Ebola Training and Education Center, an organization created in the wake of the Ebola outbreak in 2015 to help hospitals and public-health organizations safely manage patients with suspected and confirmed cases of Ebola and other pathogens.

AHA webinar

The presentation started with an overview of the novel coronavirus as of the end of February.

AHA webinar


At that point, there were 81,191 total confirmed cases around the globe. Now more than 100,000 people have been infected. The vast majority of the cases are in China.

AHA webinar

Source: Business Insider

The presentation laid out the distinction between quarantine and isolation, which are both being used to quell the spread of infection.

AHA webinar


It also pointed to recent literature published on the outbreak showing the number of cases in China per day.

AHA webinar

Source: JAMA

Cumulatively, hospitalization rates were going up, especially in Wuhan in the days since the outbreak began.

AHA webinar


The presentation also highlighted the different factors that contribute to mortality with the novel coronavirus. The death rate among those 80 and up is significantly higher than in other age brackets.

AHA webinar

Read more: What to know about the coronavirus outbreak in 9 charts and maps

In a part of the presentation conducted by Dr. James Lawler, a professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Center Department of Internal Medicine, he estimated that the US could have 96 million cases, of which 4.8 million could result in hospital admissions. The slide does not give a particular time frame.

AHA webinar

"Those estimates were from Dr. Lawler's presentation and represent his interpretation of the data available. It's possible that forecast will change as more information becomes available," a spokesman for Nebraska Medicine told Business Insider in an email.

In particular, the slide says hospitals should prepare for an impact to the system that's 10 times greater than a severe flu season.

Lawler isn't alone in anticipating widespread infections. Marc Lipsitch, an epidemiology professor at Harvard University, told The Atlantic he predicted anywhere from 40 to 70% of people globally would be infected with the novel coronavirus within the next year.


Other experts also presented.

AHA webinar

The presentation explored how hospitals could be ready as HCA's chief of preparedness and emergency operations, Mike Wargo, presented.
AHA webinar


That includes having the team in place to handle an emergency, from clinical teams to teams monitoring the situation to those making sure there aren't issues getting supplies.

AHA webinar

The bulk of the presentation focused on laying out best ways to "identify, isolate," and "inform."

AHA webinar


Here's a look at the clinical criteria used to evaluate potential coronavirus patients.

AHA webinar

Source: CDC

As more patients around the US start presenting symptoms, having a safe way to identify them will be key.

AHA webinar


The presenters highlighted the different ways patients might come to the hospital, through the emergency department and by ambulance, in a number of different conditions.

AHA webinar

The presenters suggested putting up signage that could help patients identify themselves as those who could have the novel coronavirus and might need a face mask.

AHA webinar


Here's an example of a screening protocol from Nebraska Medicine based on guidelines around travel as an indicator for the disease.

AHA webinar

Isolating patients who have a confirmed infection will be key for health systems as well.

AHA webinar


The presenters recommended putting patients in masks who present with respiratory-illness symptoms and following good hand hygiene for both healthcare providers and the patients.

AHA webinar

The presenters pointed to guidelines from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for infection control.

AHA webinar


Finally, the experts presented on what hospitals should do to keep their communities informed: both within and outside hospitals.

AHA webinar

That includes making sure teams are entirely linked up if cases arise.

AHA webinar


That includes contacting people outside the organization, including local and state public-health organizations.

AHA webinar

The presentation also laid out what protective equipment is needed for COVID-19.

AHA webinar


That includes a face shield, N95 respirator mask, isolation gown, and a pair of gloves.

AHA webinar

This part of the presentation deals with the importance of communicating about the outbreak within hospitals.

AHA webinar


Hospitals need to prepare to communicate with their workers and the media.

AHA webinar

This slide has some best practices developed in Nebraska.

AHA webinar


The presentation also included a discussion of supply-chain issues for hospitals.

AHA webinar

It ends with resources for health systems.

AHA webinar


The webinar also provided links through which AHA's members could continue reading for more information.

AHA webinar