Monday, August 16, 2021

UCP SAY'S IF NOT ON OUR TERMS THEN NO THANKS 

Alberta minister blames feds for not striking child-care deal before federal election call

Parents are showing mixed emotions, but mainly disappointment and frustration

Canada's 44th federal election is set for Sep. 20. Negotiations between the federal and Alberta governments will continue if the Liberals are re-elected, said Children's Services Minister Rebecca Schulz. (Marina von Stackelberg/CBC)

The Alberta government is blaming Ottawa for not reaching a deal over universal child care prior to a federal election call that will, at the least, postpone negotiations.

The Alberta government launched negotiations with Ottawa last month, but both parties were unable to close a deal before Canada's 44th federal election formally began Sunday.

The province is disappointed that the federal government "failed to accept the terms of an agreement" prior to the election call, said Alberta Children's Services Minister Rebecca Schulz in a statement sent to CBC News through a spokesperson. 

Ottawa announced $30 billion over five years and $8.3 billion ongoing to create a quality and affordable child-care system as part of this year's budget, unveiled last April.

To receive a cut of the money, each province and territory had to develop a plan that sends the federal funding "primarily" to non-profit child-care providers, halves child-care fees by 2022, cuts regulated child-care costs to $10 per day by 2026 and grows the amount of affordable child-care spaces and industry workforce.

Seven provinces and three territories have reached an agreement with the federal government.

Alberta Children's Services Minister Rebecca Schulz blamed the federal government for a deal not being struck, claiming it put up roadblocks at the last minute. (CBC)

The Alberta government proposed a plan that would reduce fees by half on average within two years and provide subsidies to people making under $200,000 annually. It would cut fees to $10 per day in five years for "the vast majority" of low- and middle-income families, while creating "thousands" of new child-care spaces, Schulz said.

The proposal would use Alberta's existing child-care subsidies, as well as targeted affordability grants for newcomers and rural and remote communities, she added.

This should have met the federal government's requirements, Schulz said. But the minister claims Ottawa put up roadblocks, including new requirements, at the last minute.

CBC News has contacted the office of federal Families, Children and Social Development Minister Ahmed Hussen, but they did not immediately respond.

Alberta's United Conservative government was skeptical of the program from the jump, citing concerns that it was a "cookie-cutter approach" that, among other things, did not account for shift workers, rural communities and non-regulated forms of child care.

One in seven Alberta families use licensed child care, the province has previously said.

Then, earlier this month, premier Jason Kenney demanded Alberta get unconditional funding for child care, similar to what Quebec would receive through its agreement.

THAT OLD CONSERVATIVE IF QUEBEC GETS ALBERTA SHOULD TOO MANTRA GROWS THIN, WHEN QUEBEC HAS THE VERY MODEL OF TEN DOLLAR A DAY PUBLIC DAY CARE THAT CONS IN ALBERTA HATE. THEY LOVE PRIVATE DAY CARE VS PUBLIC, INCLUDING UNLICENSED DAY HOMES OR WHAT I CALL BABA CARE    LA REVUE GAUCHE - Left Comment: Search results for BABA CARE 

The Opposition NDP, meanwhile, advocated for the United Conservatives to reach an agreement as soon as possible. Experts who spoke with CBC News were skeptical the province's stance would work in its favour and said signing onto the program could benefit Albertans.

In January, the UCP government chose to discontinue the $25-a-day child care pilot program launched by the former NDP government in 2017.

Last month, the UCP government announced a one-year extension of the Canada-Alberta Early Learning Child Care Agreement, which will see Alberta receive $290 million in federal funds over the next four years.

The provincial government is committed to help working parents in Alberta and remains optimistic that a deal can be reached, should the federal Liberals be re-elected Sep. 20, Schulz said.

Clorinda Sposito, a mother of three in Calgary, is disappointed that a deal wasn't struck. (Helen Pike/CBC)

No deal leaves parents with mixed feelings

The postponement of negotiations has left some parents expressing mixed emotions, from disappointment, to frustration, to indifference.

It's disappointing to Clorinda Sposito, who has stayed home with her children for seven years.

"Child care is pretty expensive for a lot of families. I have three children, so it would be nice if we had some kind of benefit like that," said Sposito.

"It's pretty much impossible for me to go to work."

Amanda Mueller is also disappointed.

Child-care fees are steep, she said, and it has been tough juggling working from home and taking care of her infant during the pandemic.

"Any kind of relief there would have been super helpful."

Brandon Corbeil is more frustrated than disappointed that negotiations between the Alberta and federal governments have been unsuccessful. (Helen Pike/CBC)

Meanwhile, Brandon Corbeil is more frustrated than disappointed, because he recognizes that the Alberta and federal governments have often not seen eye-to-eye.

Corbeil worked in the service industry before being laid off during the COVID-19 pandemic. He's now a stay-at-home dad.

Child care at $10 per day would "greatly increase the odds of me returning to work sooner than later," he said.

He also has young children, thus his family would benefit from cheaper child care for longer.

"It definitely for the next four years would be pretty crucial in order to progress with my career," he said.

For Tomasz Czura, however, a deal not coming together doesn't make much of a difference.

Tomasz Czura thinks $10-per-day child care is unsustainable, based on how much it costs to run a daycare. (Helen Pike/CBC)

In part, because he'll sort something out to ensure his son is looked after. But Czura also believes $10-per-day child care is unsustainable, based on the various costs of running a daycare such as food and employees.

"They can pay for that — either federal or provincial — but it's subdividing something that is supposed to be self-sufficient," he said.

"We can only go and be nice to a certain point. Past that point, people have to realize, 'I have to pay for certain things if there's no other way around it.'"

 

Well of the Week – The first gas well in Western Canada

Welcome to the debut of the Petro Ninja(TM) – Enlighten Geoscience Well of the Week (WotW), now a weekly feature on the BOE Report. There is a lot packed into this first of many posts to come. Previously available through the Enlighten Geoscience blog and LinkedIn posts, the WotW celebrates the fascinating and colourful history of the western Canadian oil and gas industry by telling the story of a key well that exemplifies a particular period or play. We are grateful for the opportunity to now reach a wider audience for these stories through the BOE Report. You might find these articles insightful and thought provoking or you might find them to be worth what you paid for them. I hope it is more the former than the latter and that you look forward to reading this space every Tuesday.

This opportunity arose during the final stages of a series outlining how resource plays have, throughout history, been a driving force in the Canadian oil and gas industry. I have decided that refreshing this series and seeing it through to its conclusion is the best way to merge the WotW into the BOE Report.

First, how does a resource play differ from an unconventional play? A resource play is a pervasively hydrocarbon saturated interval extending over a significant portion of a formation. These plays may be under-or over-pressured relative to a hydrostatic gradient. They can be gas or oil-bearing. They can produce from vertical or horizontal wells. Stimulation, such as hydraulic fracturing, is commonly required but not always necessary. “Unconventional” refer to plays developed through horizontal, multi-stage fractured wells as opposed to vertical wellbores. This definition implies that the unconventionality is the engineering application rather than the geological setting. Unconventional drilling and completion techniques have been applied in non-resource plays such as the Midale or the Torquay in the Williston Basin or the Swan Hills complex in central Alberta. The development of horizontal, multi-stage fractured wellbores was very important. It was as significant an event as the transition from cable tool to rotary drilling. But neither overrode the importance of the rocks and resource plays.

To illustrate why this distinction is important, I pose this question. “What do we produce oil and gas from?” We don’t produce hydrocarbons from vertical or horizontal wells. We produce oil and gas from rocks using wellbores. This series will outline the resource plays that helped drive our industry forward through time and the continued importance of focusing on the rocks.

Now on to the story of the first gas well in western Canada.

Resource Play: Milk River – Medicine Hat Biogenic Shallow Gas
Discovery Well UWI: 100/03-29-015-10W4/00
Drilling/Completion Technology: Pre-Conventional (Cable Tool)

Perhaps this WotW was the inspiration for the opening credits of The Beverley Hillbillies, in which Jed Clampett discovered oil through the luck of his poor marksmanship.

Come and listen to my story about a man named Jed
A poor mountaineer, barely kept his family fed,
And then one day he was shootin’ at some food,
And up through the ground come a bubblin’ crude.

Oil that is, black gold, Texas tea.

As dedicated geoscientists, we might scoff at the idea of so easily finding hydrocarbons, but back in 1883 a crew drilling for water messed up and discovered natural gas. Currently designated as 100/03-29-015-10W4/00 (also known as the Aldersyde well), what this well discovered was the Giant Milk River / Medicine Hat Biogenic Gas Field. A very interesting and detailed article on 3-29 may be found here.

Not surprisingly, given the spud date, there are no well logs for 3-29 but there are several offsets withi a few hundred metres (e. g.: 100/07-29-015-10W4/00).

 

Chen et al., 2015

 

 

And, based on the number of wells, it sure looks like people thought 3-29 was worthwhile following up on over the years. The best producer in this field was the subject of an earlier WotW.  Pretty impressive for a shallow gas well.  This well discovered a truly massive field and launched the western Canadian oil and gas industry.

So, based on the evidence, the first gas well in western Canada was drilled into a resource play manifested as a giant biogenic gas field. It was discovered by pre-conventional technology. That is a cable tool drilling rig.

Next week we discuss the first oil well in western Canada and the resource play it represents.

References
Beverley Hillbillies lyrics

Chen, Zhouheng & Shuai, Yanhua & Osadetz, Kirk & Hamblin, T. & Grasby, Stephen. (2015). Comparison of biogenic gas fields in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin and Qaidam Basin: Implications for essential geological controls on large microbial gas accumulations. Bulletin of Canadian Petroleum Geology. 63. 33-52. 10.2113/gscpgbull.63.1.33.

MEDICINE HAT NATIONALIZED THAT GAS WELL AND ALL OTHER RESULTING HYDROCARBONS AS A CITY, UNDER PUBLIC OWNERSHIP TO THIS DAY GIVENING IT THE CHEAPEST ELECTRICITY RATES IN CANADA


Altercation occurs during protest outside Catholic church in Edmonton

Protestors gathered to rebuke Rev. Marcin Mironiuk’s denial of unmarked graves at former residential schools

Protestors tried entering Our Lady Queen of Poland Parish during Sunday mass, but they were met at the front door and pushed out. (Jamie McCannel/CBC)

A scuffle broke out at a church in Edmonton Sunday morning, while protesters gathered there in response to a Catholic priest denying the existence of unmarked burial sites on former residential school grounds.

Over the past several months, ground-penetrating radar scans have revealed thousands of remains on former residential school grounds. 

Rev. Marcin Mironiuk, leader of Our Lady Queen of Poland Parish, referred to news of those unmarked burial sites as "lies" and "manipulation" in church on July 18 during and after masses. Video footage of his comments was posted to YouTube, but has since been deleted.

 "We're here to tell the truth and we're here to hold him accountable. And we're here to let these people know we're not standing for this any longer," said Elder Taz Augustine, who organized a protest outside the church during mass Sunday morning.

Mironiuk apologized for his comments last week at the request of the Catholic Archdiocese of Edmonton. He has also been placed on indefinite leave. 

But these actions are not enough to address the harm caused by Mironiuk's words, Augustine said. 

"When I hear these people walking out of this church justifying his words and saying he's telling the truth, that we're the liars? No," she said.

"He is perpetuating lies. And that apology is not taking that away."

Protestors met with resistance at church

Tensions rose between parishioners and protestors outside the church. 

Around 11 a.m., protestors tried walking into the church, and were met with resistance at the entrance. CBC News witnessed people inside the church pushing protestors out, which led to a scuffle where the protestors pushed back.

"Those people assaulted me on my land when I'm defending the children," Augustine told CBC News.

"This is the bull― that we've been putting up with on our land since these colonial people have come."

Taz Augustine, right, organized the protestors. They say they wanted to go inside the church to hear an apology from the priest in person. (Jamie McCannel/CBC)

Protestors said they hoped to enter the church to respond to Mironiuk's statements and hear an apology in-person. 

Edmonton police arrived on the scene after the altercation. No arrests were made. 

The Catholic Archdiocese of Edmonton released Mironiuk's full apology Saturday, alongside a message from the Oblates Fathers of Assumption Province, his Polish superiors.

The statement apologizes for Mironiuk's actions, calling them "careless and improvised." 

Mironiuk's full apology stated he will observe a memorial mass every month for the next year, specifically for children who died in residential schools.

The Truth and Reconciliation Commission identified over 3,200 people who died at residential schools in its 2015 report.

But records from those institutions are incomplete. An estimated 6,000 Indigenous children are believed to have died at residential schools.

THE RACISM IS STEEPED IN THE POST WW II POLISH CATHOLIC COMMUNITY IN CANADA MANY WITH TIES TO NAZI GERMANY AS GUEST ARBITER OR WHOSE PARENTS/GRANDPARENTS WERE GERMAN SPEAKING POLES AS THIS SOUTHSIDE COMMUNITY IS, I KNOW I LIVED IN THE HOOD THERE.

1 injured after Indigenous protest turns violent at Edmonton Catholic Church

A woman says she was hurt during a demonstration outside an Edmonton Catholic church August 15, 2021. Julien Fournier/Global News

A demonstration outside a Strathcona church in Edmonton turned violent Sunday morning.

A group of six First Nations demonstrators said they turned out to hear an apology from a priest at Our Lady Queen of Poland Catholic Church, located at 9906 83 Ave.

Elder Taz Augustine said they were there to hold the priest accountable for saying recently discovered unmarked Indigenous graves are a lie.

READ MORE: ‘A crime’: Police handling 4 residential school investigations across Canada

“We had a little demonstration, we had signs, and we were telling the congregation that their priest is a liar, so we brought out signs, and we brought out flags to honour the children of the unmarked graves so their voices can be heard.”

Augustine said things turned ugly when they tried to enter the church.

“We peacefully went into the front door, and when we entered into the front door, five or six men came running down the stairs and threw me against the wall and grappled with me and assaulted me,” she said.

“They grabbed the other people, and fists were flying, and they were throwing us out of the church and pushing us out of the church with their hands, and it was actually an assault on me and other people.”

Augustine said her arm was injured in the commotion.

READ MORE: Pope John Paul II statue vandalized with red paint at Edmonton church

Edmonton police are investigating but have not released information about charges.

Global News has reached out to church officials but calls have not been returned.

The group is planning another demonstration on Aug. 29 at St. Joseph’s Basilica.

“It just confirms to me that people need to understand that we are not going to shut up about this anymore,” she said.

“How do I feel about it? I’m even more pissed off. I’m even more incensed about this nonsense of people telling lies against the unmarked graves. I’m even more appalled that people who say they’re people of God are still attacking us and telling us we’re liars.”

Conspiracy theorists and religious people are more likely to commit a ‘conjunction fallacy’ in contexts related to their worldviews
by Beth Ellwood
August 11, 2021
in Cognitive Science, Conspiracy Theories


A study published in Applied Cognitive Psychology sheds light on how a person’s worldview can lead them to jump to erroneous conclusions in domains that correspond to these views. The researchers found that greater conspiracy belief was associated with increased susceptibility to making logical errors in the context of coronavirus conspiracies, and greater religiosity was tied to increased susceptibility to logical errors in the context of miraculous healings.

The study, led by Albert Wabnegger, specifically focused on the conjunction fallacy, a logical fallacy that presumes that a combination of events is more probable than a single event. Conjunction fallacies were first described by Tversky and Kahneman in 1982, following a study that began with participants reading a description of a woman named Linda who was passionate about social justice. Most participants evaluated the statement “Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement” as more probable than “Linda is a bank teller” — without knowing Linda’s job title or position on feminist issues. According to probability theory, two events (being a bank teller + being active in the feminist movement) cannot be more probable than a single event (being a bank teller).

Previous research has shown that greater conspiracy belief is linked to an increased likelihood of making conjunction errors. In a new study, Wabnegger and his colleagues wanted to extend these findings by exploring whether specific beliefs would be associated with susceptibility to conjunction fallacies in specific domains. For example, would people who believe in conspiracy theories be more prone to conjunction errors in contexts related to conspiracy theories?

A total of 500 participants completed measures of general belief in conspiracy theories and general religiosity. They then went through an exercise to assess their susceptibility to conjunction errors.

The participants read 18 scenarios and were asked to choose which of two statements was most likely. One statement included a single event (e.g., “The Bill Gates Foundation strives for a high vaccination rate.”) and a second statement included two events (e.g., “The Bill Gates Foundation strives for a high vaccination rate and thus wants to increase its wealth.”). The scenarios were related to one of three domains: COVID-19 conspiracies, miraculous healings, or everyday situations (control condition). All participants read all 18 scenarios, and each participant was scored based on how many times they committed a conjunction error.

Nearly three-quarters (74%) of the respondents made at least one conjunction error when responding to the scenarios. Moreover, susceptibility to making a conjunction error in a particular domain was linked to specific beliefs. For example, those with greater conspiracy belief were more likely to make logical errors in response to the COVID-19 conspiracy scenarios but not in response to the other scenarios. Those with greater religiosity were more likely to make logical errors in response to the miraculous healing scenarios but not the other scenarios. When it came to the control condition, neither conspiracy belief nor religiosity predicted the likelihood of committing a logical error.

Wabnegger and colleagues theorize that when people with a particular world view — such as a conspiracy mindset — are met with information that corresponds to this view, they are quicker to draw conclusions about the information but more likely to make errors. Favoring a conclusion that fits their preconceptions, they ignore basic probability laws or the need for additional evidence.

Furthermore, studies suggest that religious people and conspiracy supporters tend to have a lower tolerance for randomness and a greater tendency to detect meaningful patterns out of random stimuli. Perceiving two distinct occurrences as more probable than one alone may reflect these individuals’ readiness to discern patterns out of randomness as a way of coping with uncertainty.

The authors note that their study cannot inform whether proneness to conjunction errors is a cause of religiosity/conspiracy belief, or whether it might be a response to such belief. They say a follow-up study with a longitudinal design would offer further insight.

The study, “The association between the belief in coronavirus conspiracy theories, miracles, and the susceptibility to conjunction fallacy”, was authored by Albert Wabnegger, Andreas Gremsl, and Anne Schienle.