Thursday, October 27, 2022

 CRIMINAL CAPITALI$M

UK FCA fines Barclays £50m over 2008 Qatari fundraising

The UK financial watchdog found that the British bank failed to disclose the payments made as part of the capital raisings or their connection to the Qatari entities’ participation in the capital raisings held in 2008

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Barclays fined £50m by the UK Financial Conduct Authority. (Credit: Barclays PLC)

The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has imposed a fine of £50m on Barclays for allegedly failing to disclose certain agreements reached with Qatari entities as part of its capital raisings announced in 2008.

The UK financial watchdog found that the British bank failed to disclose the payments made as part of the capital raisings or their connection to the Qatari entities’ participation in the capital raisings held in 2008.

According to the FCA, the disclosure of payments would have been highly relevant information to the shareholders and investors, in a situation where the costs of the deal were already seen as highly expensive.

The capital raisings were held at the time of the 2008 financial crisis and were subject to intense market and public scrutiny.

The bank has appealed the FCA’s decision to the upper tribunal for further consideration.

FCA enforcement and market oversight executive director Mark Steward said: “At the height of the financial crisis in October 2008, Barclays paid hundreds of millions of pounds in fees to certain Qatari investors so that they would contribute new capital.

“Barclays did not inform the market and shareholders about these matters as required. Barclays’ failure to disclose these matters was reckless and lacked integrity and followed an earlier failure to disclose fees paid to Qatari investors in June 2008.

“There was no legitimate reason or excuse for failing to disclose these matters, certainly no basis for doing so because of the financial crisis. Due transparency is always critical to financial markets, especially in times of market or financial stress. These findings by the FCA will now be considered by the Upper Tribunal.”

The Authority initially issued warning notices against the bank in 2013.

The investigation was put on hold while the criminal proceedings brought by the Serious Fraud Office against Barclays and others were being resolved. Following the conclusion of those proceeding, the investigation was reopened in 2020.

Credit Suisse is cutting 9,000 jobs

Credit Suisse is cutting 9,000 jobs

A few months ago, it was mooted that Credit Suisse would be cutting 5,000 jobs. That seemed like a lot. Today it's become apparent that it was an understatement. In its announcement of its restructuring this morning, Credit Suisse says it will in fact be doing away with 9,000 people.

It won't happen all at once and it won't all be in the investment bank, but the investment bank will surely bear the brunt of the pain.

Credit Suisse plans to cut its overall headcount from around 52,000 at the end of the third quarter to 43,000 by the end of 2025. 

Not all the cuts will involve people being ejected onto the street. The securitized products group is being purchased by Apollo Global Management, and its staff will go there. The capital markets and advisory business is being spun out into a new and independent bank, CS First Boston and its staff will go there. But Credit Suisse is also cutting 2,700 people from across the bank (5%) of the total in the fourth quarter. 

As the remaining 6,300 people are cut over the next three years, the bank plans to make the most of "natural attrition" and will presumably not be replacing people who leave. It says it intends to practice, "organizational simplification, workforce management and third-party cost management." As part of the latter strategy, it will be cutting consultancy spend by 50% and spend 30% less on contractors. 

The bank isn't explicit about what will happen to jobs in the global markets business. However, risk weighted assets (RWAs) are being cut by 40% in line with the reduction in headcount, which suggests that it's probably time to look for a new job if you're on a capital-intensive desk. The bank says its future markets business, "will include the strongest and most relevant aspects" of its trading capabilities. Unsurprisingly, it also states that the markets business will be "closely aligned" to wealth management and the Swiss bank franchise, while "remaining fully committed to serving institutional clients." Markets will also be reframed as "a solutions provider to third party wealth managers," and will work with the newly independent bankers in CS First Boston.

News of the cuts comes as Credit Suisse announces its results for the third quarter of 2022. The investment bank made a loss of CHF666m during the quarter and has made a loss of CHF1.7bn year-to-date. The losses imply that staff at the bank will have previous year's bonuses clawed back under Credit Suisse compensation rules. As the chart below shows, Credit Suisse's salespeople and traders substantially underperformed rivals in the first nine months of this year. Revenues in the advisory and capital markets business that will become first Boston fell 82% over the period, which doesn't suggest an auspicious start to independence. 

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Credit Suisse asks investors for billions after bumper loss

By Noele Illien, Oliver Hirt and John O'Donnell

FILE PHOTO: A clock is seen near the logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse in Zurich© Reuters/ARND WIEGMANN

ZURICH (Reuters) - Credit Suisse, battered by years of scandals, plans to raise 4 billion Swiss francs ($4 billion) by selling stock while slashing thousands of jobs and spinning off its investment bank in an effort to recover from a run of heavy losses.

The troubled Swiss bank outlined what its chairman Axel Lehmann dubbed a "blueprint for success", after racking up a 4 billion Swiss franc loss in the third quarter of the year and following torrid weeks for the group.

The announcement fell flat with investors and the bank's stock, which has plumbed record lows in recent weeks, dropped 7.3 percent in early trading.

Credit Suisse clients pulled funds in recent weeks at a pace that saw the lender breach some regulatory requirements for liquidity, the bank said on Thursday, underscoring the impact on its business of wild market swings and a social media storm.

The group added that it was stable throughout.

The turnaround plan has many elements, from cutting jobs to refocusing on banking for the wealthy.

It will cut 2,700 jobs or 5% of its workforce by the end of this year, and ultimately reduce its workforce by roughly 9,000 to about 43,000 by the end of 2025.

The Swiss bank said it also aims to separate out its investment bank to create CS First Boston, focused on advisory and capital markets, and hopes to attract third-party capital and set up a partnership with the new Credit Suisse.

Saudi National Bank, the Kingdom's biggest lender, committed to invest up to 1.5 billion francs in Credit Suisse to achieve a shareholding of up to 9.9% and may may invest in the spun-off investment bank, the Saudi lender said in a bourse filing.

Credit Suisse said it will create a capital release unit to wind down non-strategic, higher-risk businesses, while announcing the sale of a large part of its securitised products business.

JPMorgan analysts said that "question marks remain" over the restructuring of investment banking, adding that the share sale will also weigh on the stock.

The bank's overhaul, aiming to put behind it the worst crisis in its history, is the third attempt in recent years by successive CEOs to turn around the embattled group.

Once a symbol for Swiss reliability, the bank's reputation has been tarnished by a series of scandals, including an unprecedented prosecution at home involving laundering money for a criminal gang.


https://graphics.reuters.com/CREDITSUISSEGP-REVAMP/lbpggrokepq/chart.png

The bank had been rushing to raise money and free up capital by selling assets, keen to limit how much cash it would have to raise from investors to fund its overhaul, handle its legacy litigation costs and retain a cushion for rough markets ahead.

Credit Suisse needs to revamp after a series of costly and morale-sapping blunders that triggered a wholesale change of management.

In refocusing away from risky investment banking to banking for the globe's rich, Credit Suisse is following in the footsteps of its bigger Swiss rival, UBS.

The UBS turnaround succeeded in large part because of a flood of freshly printed money from the world's central banks to reignite the economy during the financial crisis.

Credit Suisse, on the other hand, is attempting to refocus its business in a world facing war, an energy crisis, rocketing inflation and an economic slide.

Last year, the bank took a $5.5 billion loss from the unravelling of U.S. investment firm Archegos and had to freeze $10 billion worth of supply chain finance funds linked to insolvent British financier Greensill, highlighting risk-management failings.

Its deepening problems even put it on the radar of day traders earlier this month, when a frenzy of wild speculation about its health sent its stock price into a tailspin to a record low.

($1 = 0.9858 Swiss francs)

(Additional reporting by Michael Shields in Zurich; Writing by John O'Donnell; Editing by Edmund Klamann)


CRIMINAL CAPITALI$M
Credit Suisse to pay $234 million to settle French tax fraud case

French prosecutors said that Credit Suisse has agreed to pay 238 million euros ($234 million) to settle tax fraud allegations, the latest blow for the embattled Swiss bank


AP | Paris
Last Updated at October 24, 2022 

Photo: Bloomberg

French prosecutors said Monday that Credit Suisse has agreed to pay 238 million euros (USD 234 million) to settle tax fraud allegations, the latest blow for the embattled Swiss bank.

The bank will pay 123 million euros in fines and 115 million in damages and interest to France, whose investigators will close an inquiry launched in 2016 on possible charges of aggravated tax fraud laundering and illegal soliciting, French prosecutor Jean-Franois Bohnert said in a statement.

French media have reported that Credit Suisse representatives courted wealthy French customers to persuade them to open accounts with the bank that weren't declared to French tax authorities.

Credit Suisse says it doesn't acknowledge criminal liability in the settlement.

The bank is pleased to resolve this matter, which marks another important step in the proactive resolution of litigation and legacy issues," the company said in a statement.

It comes just a week after Credit Suisse agreed to pay USD 495 million in a U.S. settlement over a yearslong dispute tied to mortgage-backed securities, an investment vehicle that played a central role in the 2008 financial crisis.

The settlements are just the latest of a string of woes for Credit Suisse, including bad bets on hedge funds and a spying scandal involving UBS.

A Swiss court fined the bank more than USD 2 million in June for failing to prevent money laundering linked to a Bulgarian criminal gang more than 15 years ago.

CEO Thomas Gottstein announced in July that he was resigning after 2 1/2 years in the job as the bank posted a net loss of 1.6 billion Swiss francs (about USD 1.7 billion) in the second quarter.


Credit Suisse reaches €238m settlement to resolve French legacy case

BANKING SERVICESINVESTMENT BANKING

The agreement with the Parquet National Financier (PNF) will resolve a legacy investigation into Credit Suisse’s role in helping clients in France to avoid paying taxes on their wealth, between 2005 and 2012

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Credit Suisse headquarters in Zürich (Credit: Roland zh/Wikipedia)

Swiss investment bank Credit Suisse has reached €238m settlement with France, which resolves a legacy tax fraud and money laundering case against the bank.

The bank has signed an agreement with the Parquet National Financier (PNF), a judicial institution in France responsible for tracking down economic and financial crime.

Under the terms of the agreement, Credit Suisse will pay a public interest fine comprising a profit disgorgement of €65.6m, an additional amount of €57.4m, and €115m in damages to the French State.

The agreement will terminate an investigation into the Swiss bank’s role in helping the clients in France to avoid paying taxes on their wealth.

The alleged scheme, which took place in several countries between 2005 and 2012, caused fiscal damage of more than €100m to the French state, reported Reuters.

Credit Suisse, in its statement, said: “The settlement does not comprise a recognition of criminal liability. The bank is pleased to resolve this matter, which marks another important step in the proactive resolution of litigation and legacy issues.”

Earlier this month, Credit Suisse reached a $495m settlement to resolve legacy cases related to its Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) business in the US.

The Swiss investment bank has signed the agreement with the New Jersey Attorney General (NJAG), to resolve claims related to more than $10bn of RMBS.

The settlement is said to end the bank’s largest outstanding RMBS litigation case, filed in 2013, while five other cases are continuing at various stages.

NJAG alleged that Credit Suisse had misled investors and engaged in fraud with respect to the offer and sale of RMBS, and claimed more than $3bn in damages.

The remaining cases are expected to be resolved in the coming six months, and cost a total of less than $100m, reported Reuters.

Furthermore, the bank failed to prevent money laundering by a Bulgarian cocaine trafficking gang, and several cases are pending in Bermuda, Singapore, and other countries.

UK Ambulance workers set to vote on strike action

Around 3,000 members of Unite in England are being asked if they want to mount a campaign of industrial action

Ben Chapman
SENIOR DIGITAL PRODUCER
PUBLISHED Wednesday 26 October 2022 

Thousands more ambulance workers are set to vote on strikes in an increasingly bitter dispute over pay.

Around 3,000 members of Unite in England are being asked if they want to mount a campaign of industrial action.

Ambulance workers in the GMB, as well NHS workers in other unions, including nurses, are currently being balloted for industrial action in the same dispute.

Unite said its members, including paramedics and emergency call handlers, are angry over a 4% pay rise awarded by the Government in the summer, describing it as falling “well short” of inflation.

Unite general secretary Sharon Graham said: “For more than a decade, NHS workers’ wages have been eroded, even as workloads became increasingly unmanageable. Now with soaring living costs, the situation is critical.

Ambulance workers in the GMB are currently being balloted for industrial action. Dominic Lipinski

“The impact of this current real terms pay cut will result in the flood of overworked and underpaid workers leaving the NHS becoming a tsunami. Rishi Sunak’s Government must put forward a proper pay rise or else the NHS will go from being on its knees to being on life support.”

Workers in the West Midlands, North West, Yorkshire, South Central, South East Coast, North East and East Midlands Ambulance Service Trusts are being balloted for strike action.

Workers in the East of England, London and South Western Ambulance Service Trusts will follow.

More than 2,500 NHS workers in Scotland will vote on strike action soon, and any industrial action could be coordinated across the UK.



BT and Openreach workers stage fresh strike action in long-running dispute over pay


Unite national officer for health, Colenzo Jarrett-Thorpe, said: “New Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and his ministers must get a grip of the staffing crisis in the NHS. They must put forward a better pay deal, one that does some not come out of existing, soon to be horrifically squeezed, budgets.

“As well as ambulance workers, we will be balloting other NHS members in strategic locations for strike action in the coming weeks. NHS workers cannot carry on like this. Waiting lists are lengthening and healthcare staff are leaving in alarming numbers. Unite is determined to win a better deal for its members.”

A Department of Health and Social Care spokesperson said: “We are giving over one million NHS workers a pay rise of at least £1,400 this year, as recommended by the independent NHS Pay Review Body, on top of 3% last year when pay was frozen in the wider public sector.

“Industrial action is a matter for unions, and we urge them to carefully consider the potential impacts on patients.”
Brazil's Lula widens lead slightly over Bolsonaro for Sunday vote -poll

Leftist presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has increased his lead slightly over his far-right adversary President Jair Bolsonaro six days ahead of their runoff in Brazil's divisive election, a Monday poll said.

Anthony Boadle Reuters
Flavia Marreiro Reuters
OCT 24, 2022
 
CREDIT: REUTERS/RICARDO MORAES

BRASILIA, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Leftist presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has increased his lead slightly over his far-right adversary President Jair Bolsonaro six days ahead of their runoff in Brazil's divisive election, a Monday poll said.

Lula leads by 52.0% of the votes against 46.2% for Bolsonaro, according to the AtlasIntel poll, inching forward from 51.1% to Bolsonaro's 46.5% in the previous poll two weeks ago.

The poll was completed before a shooting incident on Sunday involving Bolsonaro supporter and former Congressman Roberto Jefferson, which had the president's campaign worried about a negative impact on opinion polls, a senior aide said.

The changes for both candidates were less than the margin of error of one percentage point, but with the election to be decided on Sunday even a stable race at this point favors frontrunner Lula.

"The poll is good news for Lula," said AtlasIntel chief executive Andrei Roman.

Although the survey did not reflect the impact of Sunday's incident where the Bolsonaro supporter shot and wounded policemen as he resisted arrest, Roman said the president's recovery since the first-round vote on Oct. 2 has stalled.

Bolsonaro had begun to reduce Lula's lead to 3 or 4 percentage points thanks to a wave of new social spending in the final months of the election campaign with benefits calculated by Reuters to cost 273 billion reais ($52 billion) to the Treasury this year and next.

Pollster Romani, whose firm does daily tracking for clients, said Bolsonaro's upward trend was interrupted by a previous incident where the president suggested that Venezuelan immigrant teenagers were prostitutes, and had to later apologize.

The botched arrest of Jefferson on order from the Supreme Court for insulting one of its justices highlighted rising political violence in the election.

On Sunday, when federal police officers went to Jefferson's house, he opened fire on their car and threw stun grenades. Two officers were injured.

(Reporting by Anthony Boadle and Flavia Marreiro; Editing by Jonathan Oatis and Alistair Bell)

Brazil’s Lula hopes Bolsonaro will accept defeat in presidential election if he loses

Former president and front-runner hopes Bolsonaro has ‘1 minute of common sense’ if he loses vote


Bala Chambers |25.10.2022


BUENOS AIRES

Brazil’s presidential front-runner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said Monday that he hopes far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro can accept defeat if he loses in the election.

The two contenders will face off in a second-round runoff vote on Oct. 30 amid a highly charged political environment.

"I hope that if I win the election, he has one minute of common sense, (that) he phones me, accepting the results of the election," Lula told journalists in the country’s financial capital, Sao Paulo.
"This is how people have acted in Brazil since I was a candidate for the first time in 1989,″ he added.

Lula, who served as president from 2003 to 2010, also hit out at the former army captain’s behavior.

“And if Bolsonaro loses and gets angry, he wants to cry...I lost three elections. Every election I lost, I went home,” he said.

The former union leader went on to say that Bolsonaro needs "discord" and "friction" to operate at a time when Brazilians need peace.

In recent weeks, the polarization has increased between the candidates, with both having political ads banned.

In the first-round vote, many polls had predicted a clear first-round win for Lula, who garnered 48% of the vote to Bolsonaro’s 43%.

But with neither candidate securing more than 50% of the vote, a second round automatically kicked in, underscoring how tight the race remained.

For over a year, Bolsonaro has raised doubts over whether he will respect the results of the polls and has cast doubt over Brazil's electronic voting system without providing evidence, with rights groups suggesting he may contest the vote.

Last week, electoral authorities also clamped down on the spread of disinformation ahead of the second-round vote, passing a resolution to combat "disinformation that threatens the integrity of the electoral process."

Ahead of the runoff, AtlasIntel published a poll Monday placing Lula ahead with 52% to Bolsonaro’s 46.2%. According to the polling company, the data was captured between Oct. 18-22 from 4,500 respondents, with the survey containing a plus or minus 1% margin of error

Explainer: What Brazil's election means for the Amazon rainforest

JAKE SPRING
October 26, 2022,
 

An aerial view shows a deforested plot of the Amazon rainforest in Manaus



SAO PAULO (Reuters) - Brazil's presidential election on Sunday may determine the fate of the Amazon jungle, the world's largest rainforest, after deforestation soared in the past four years under President Jair Bolsonaro.

He faces off against former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who has pledged to stop all Amazon destruction and act aggressively on climate change.

Protecting the Amazon is vital to stopping catastrophic climate change because of the vast amount of climate-warming greenhouse gas it absorbs.

What happens on Sunday?

Brazilians will choose between the top two presidential candidates from the Oct. 2 first-round vote: leftist Lula and right-wing Bolsonaro.

Lula bested Bolsonaro in the first round but fell short of the 50% needed to win outright. Bolsonaro performed far better than most surveys had indicated.

The latest opinion polls show Lula ahead, on 52.0% to Bolsonaro's 46.2%.

Why has deforestation soared under Bolsonaro?


Bolsonaro, who took office at the start of 2019, has pushed for more mining and commercial farming in the Amazon, saying it would develop the region economically and help to fight poverty.

He has weakened environmental enforcement agencies, cutting their budgets and staff while making it more difficult to punish environmental criminals.

His public criticism of conservation efforts has also emboldened illegal loggers, ranchers and land grabbers to clear the forest with less fear the government will punish them, scientists and environmentalists say.

How much has deforestation risen?

Destruction in the Amazon rainforest last year hit the highest level since 2006, according to the government's space research agency INPE.

An area of forest larger than the U.S. state of Maryland was destroyed during the first three years of Bolsonaro's presidency.

Preliminary government data indicates that deforestation rose a further 23% in the first nine months of 2022.

What is Lula's track record on deforestation?

Lula took office in 2003 with levels of Amazon deforestation near all-time highs. His administration strengthened federal environmental enforcer Ibama and created the parks service agency ICMBio.

By 2010, his last year in office, deforestation had fallen by 72% to near record lows.

But Lula also backed the massive Belo Monte hydroelectric dam in the Amazon, which destroyed river habitats and displaced indigenous people. Deforestation began to creep up again under his hand-picked successor, ex-President Dilma Rousseff, who weakened some policies to favor development.

What is Bolsonaro promising on the environment?

Bolsonaro has said little about his environmental proposals should he win a second term. A representative for his Liberal Party told Reuters that the campaign did not have a spokesperson or any way to answer media questions on the subject.

Bolsonaro's policy platform emphasizes that Brazilians have the right to develop natural resources in the Amazon. The campaign documents tout efforts by the military, police and other agencies to combat deforestation and forest fires. However, data shows that under Bolsonaro they have failed to reduce the destruction.

What is Lula promising on the environment?


Lula has vowed to bring deforestation to zero by rebuilding the government's environmental agencies. His campaign has likened his sweeping proposals to a post-war reconstruction after the rising environmental destruction under the current government.

He has committed broadly to the principles of "climate justice," saying that the environment can only be protected by increasing economic opportunities to reduce hunger and poverty.

But with Brazil's government facing a budget crunch, it remains unclear how he will pay for his policies.

What are indigenous groups saying?

Indigenous groups have broadly endorsed Lula, who promises to empower them to protect their lands from environmental destruction.

Illegal miners, loggers and landgrabbers have increasingly invaded indigenous land and killed tribe members under Bolsonaro, who has halted the process of demarcating tribal lands.

(Reporting by Jake Spring; Additional reporting by Lisandra Paraguassu; Editing by Brad Haynes and Rosalba O'Brien)

'No country is safe': Major climate study warns extreme heat death has surged 72% in Canada

A landmark study from The Lancet warns the world is at a 'critical juncture' as it reels under a deadly confluence of heat, flooding, drought, disease, war and a cost-of-living crisis.


Stefan Labbé

 Level of urban greenness in urban centres with more than 500,000 inhabitants in 2021. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is a population-weighted metric measuring urban greenness.2022 Lancet Countdown on health and climate change


A major report tracking how climate change is affecting human health has found humanity’s failure to wean the planet off fossil fuels is putting the health of “all people alive” at risk.

The peer-reviewed Lancet Countdown on health and climate change involved dozens of authors tracing climate’s footprint across 86 countries. They warned the world is facing a confluence of shocks — from the COVID-19 pandemic to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, to a global-energy-and cost-of-living crisis — which, together with unabated climate change, is affecting “the foundations of human health.”

“The data shows that no country is safe,” said the report.

Over the last year, it pointed to devastating floods across every populated continent on Earth, which cumulatively killed thousands and displaced hundreds of thousands more.

Between the periods 2000-2004 and 2017-2021, heat-related deaths across the planet climbed 68 per cent; in Canada, the death from extreme heat surged by 72 per cent.

The damaging effects of heat can be especially dangerous for young children and seniors: Canadian children under one lived through an average of 440,000 additional person-days of heat waves annually from 2012-2021, compared to 1986-2005, found the study.

Adults over 65 years, meanwhile, experienced 9.3 million more person-days of heat waves per year over that same period.

By 2021, Canadians lost nearly 43 million potential labour hours in a single year due to heat exposure.

Globally, the risk from fire is also growing: Exposure to very-high or extremely-high wildfire danger has increased 61 per cent over a similar period, the report found.

The numbers all point to one conclusion, says the study: “Persistent fossil fuel over-dependence is rapidly worsening climate change, leading to dangerous health impacts being felt by people around the world.”
Climate can't be separated from disease, war and cost-of-living crisis

The science is getting better. Rapid attribution science has quickly advanced in recent years to allow researchers to understand how much climate change is having on extreme weather. That’s allowed scientists to calculate the impact human influence has had on a number of flooding and extreme heat events over the past two years, including a record heat wave and floods that hit British Columbia in 2021.

But no matter how much we understand its footprint, climate shouldn’t be seen in isolation, warn the authors. While extreme weather events make people with underlying conditions more vulnerable, they are also compounded by the rising spread of infectious disease.

Since the 1950s, the length of time suitable for malaria transmission rose by 32.1 per cent in the highland areas of the Americas and 14.9 per cent in Africa. Over the same period, climate change increased the risk of dengue transmission by 12 per cent, according to the report.

“Combined with the COVID-19 pandemic, the rise of infectious disease due to climate change has led to misdiagnosis, pressure on health systems, and difficulties in managing simultaneous disease outbreaks,” the report stated.

Outbreaks of disease have also affected local action on climate change: the COVID-19 pandemic reduced available financing in a third of the nearly 800 cities surveyed.

Outside of cities, climate change is hammering the productivity of global agriculture, adding pressure to supply chain disruptions leftover from the pandemic and the rising cost-of-living crisis.

Take the cost of food — in Canada, the growing season for corn has declined by 18.2 per cent compared to a 1981-2010 baseline. Over that same period, Canada’s soybean season has been cut short by 13.8 per cent, while the amount of time farmers can grow spring wheat has declined 11.8 per cent.
$400 billion in fossil fuel subsidies

Despite the cascading effects of a changing climate, 80 per cent of the countries studied were found to have provided a net subsidy to fossil fuel industries, totalling US$400 billion in 2019.

Canada bucked that trend. That year, its price on carbon exceeded the value of its fossil fuel subsidies. That resulted in $1.8 billion in revenue or one per cent of the country’s spending on health care, the report notes.

Almost 50 per cent of domestic energy, however, still comes from fossil fuels. Had Canada done better in 2020, it could have helped prevent the deaths of 1,100 Canadians who died prematurely due to particulate matter from fossil fuel combustion.

Experts say one of the best ways to reduce the urban heat island effect, improve air quality and benefit people’s overall physical and mental health is to redesign urban landscapes to include more green spaces.

But only 277 of 1,038 global urban centres were found to be at least moderately green in 2021. The study categorized two of eight major Canadian urban centres as moderately green or above — neither was in Western Canada.

Meanwhile, the global share of households with air conditioning climbed 66 per cent from 2000 to 2020, what the report calls “a maladaptive response that worsens the energy crisis and further increases urban heat, air pollution, and greenhouse gas emissions.”

‘Code red’ is here: Scientists say Earth’s vital signs show ‘humanity unequivocally facing ‘climate emergency’


CORVALLIS, Ore. – Earth’s vital signs have reached such a dire state that humanity is unequivocally facing a “climate emergency,” a team of scientists warn.

The special report states that 16 of 35 planetary vital signs which track climate change are at record extremes, and that Earth has entered a “code red” level. New data shows more frequent and extreme heat waves, increasing loss of global tree cover due to fires, and a greater prevalence of the mosquito-borne dengue virus.

The international team, including researchers from Oregon State University, says that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have reached 418 parts per million, the highest on record.

“Look at all of these fires, floods and massive storms,” says lead author Professor William Ripple in a university release. “The specter of climate change is at the door and pounding hard.”

Prof. Ripple and the team published their report, titled “World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency 2022,” in the journal BioScience. The authors start the paper off right away by writing: “We are now at ‘code red’ on planet Earth. Humanity is unequivocally facing a climate emergency. The scale of untold human suffering, already immense, is rapidly growing with the escalating number of climate-related disasters. Therefore, we urge scientists, citizens, and world leaders to read this Special Report and quickly take the necessary actions to avoid the worst effects of climate change.

‘Climate change is not a standalone issue’

The report follows up on a previous study from five years ago, which was signed by more than 15,000 scientists in 184 countries.

“As we can see by the annual surges in climate disasters, we are now in the midst of a major climate crisis, with far worse to come if we keep doing things the way we’ve been doing them,” adds postdoctoral researcher Christopher Wolf. “We implore our fellow scientists to join us in advocating for research-based approaches to climate and environmental decision-making.

Climate change is not a standalone issue,” says Saleemul Huq of Independent University Bangladesh. “It is part of a larger systemic problem of ecological overshoot where human demand is exceeding the regenerative capacity of the biosphere. To avoid more untold human suffering, we need to protect nature, eliminate most fossil fuel emissions and support socially just climate adaptations with a focus on low-income areas that are most vulnerable.”

Their report points out that in the three decades since more than 1,700 scientists signed the original World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity in 1992, global greenhouse gas emissions have increased by 40 percent.

“As Earth’s temperatures are creeping up, the frequency or magnitude of some types of climate disasters may actually be leaping up,” the University of Sydney’s Thomas Newsome concludes. “We urge our fellow scientists around the world to speak out on climate change.”

South West News Service writer Danny Halpin contributed to this report.

 







'Human chain' protest in solidarity with Iran will link 30,000 people across the Lions Gate Bridge

It's expected to be the biggest human chain ever in B.C.

This Saturday, Oct. 29 over 140 major cities around the world will participate in a Global Day of Action, including Vancouver.

The Association of Families of Flight PS752 Victims has organized a human chain that is expected to be the largest in B.C.'s history with an estimated 30,000 people congregating on the Lions Gate Bridge.

The human chain is taking place in solidarity with protesters in Iran who have been fighting for the rights of women. The protests in Iran garnered international attention when Mahsa Amini died in police custody after being arrested, allegedly because her headscarf was too loose.

Since then, Vancouver's Persian community has held human chains and rallies that involved women removing their hijabs and cutting their hair.

This weekend's human chain is set to span from the North Shore to the Stanley Park Causeway along the pedestrian sidewalk on either side of the bridge. The event will begin at noon and will conclude later in the afternoon.

Organizers invite citizens, advocacy groups, multicultural communities, policy-makers, and Canadian elected officials to link arms in support of the people working to formally denounce the current regime that Iranian citizens are saying is committing violence and human rights violations against their own people.

"It is imperative that we send a clear message to the Iranian Regime that Canada is aware of the plight of ordinary Iranians—and that Canadians support their brave efforts to be free," says the event media release.

The Association of Families of Flight PS752 Victims is a registered non-profit named for a flight that was shot down by missiles on January 8, 2020 after taking off from Tehran’s IKA airport. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) admitted to bringing down the plane but the organization says that the reason why has not been revealed. Reportedly 176 passengers and crew were onboard including 55 Canadian citizens and permanent residents.

Global Human Chain Event

When: Saturday, October 29, noon - 2 p.m.
Where: Lions Gate Bridge

With files from Maria Diment

As protests rock Iran, its most feared security force is lying in wait

By Miriam Berger
October 26, 2022 
WASHINGTON POST



















In a photo shared on Twitter, an unveiled woman stands on top of a vehicle as thousands make their way toward Aichi cemetery in Saqez, Mahsa Amini's hometown in Iran, on Wednesday. (AFP/Getty Images)

Thousands of people poured into the streets of Mahsa Amini’s hometown Wednesday and marched to her grave. Iranian security forces responded — as they have throughout the course of the nationwide protests inspired by her death — with violence and arrests.

The gathering in Saqez, in Iran’s western Kurdistan region, marked the 40th day since Amini’s death in the custody of Iran’s “morality police,” a traditional moment of remembrance in Islam. As the night wore on, demonstrators came out in other cities, as they have every day since mid-September.

But with Iran’s uprising now in its sixth week, the country’s powerful security state and the protesters calling for its downfall have reached an uncertain stalemate.

Despite escalating violence by security forces and a rising death toll among protesters, the clerics who lead Iran have yet to fully unleash the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, a parallel military force created to defend the state at any cost. So far, only the IRGC’s volunteer militia, the Basij, has been deployed in significant numbers to quell the demonstrations, alongside regular law enforcement, riot police and plainclothes officers.

“We are in a situation where the protesters are incapable of overthrowing the regime and the regime is incapable of forcing people to go home,” said Ali Alfoneh, a senior fellow at the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington.

But the longer the protests persist and the larger they become, analysts said, the more pressure will grow on the Revolutionary Guard to lead the crackdown.

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There is no sign that the IRGC’s loyalty to the government is wavering, as it derives its strength from the survival of the Islamic republic. For this ideologically driven and economically powerful fighting force, the unrest is an existential threat.

Despite decades of Western sanctions on the group — including new ones in recent weeks — its coffers and muscle have continued to grow. But each cycle of violence further erodes the legitimacy of the IRGC in the eyes of the Iranian public.

“Sure, they can show up with tanks tomorrow and kill enough people to put down protests for a while,” said Afshon Ostovar, an associate professor of national security affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School. “But they have lost this generation … With every violent act they are putting one more nail in their coffin.”

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The IRGC was founded as a counterweight to Iran’s other security forces — a way to prevent a revolution like the one that first brought the Islamic republic to power in 1979.

The Revolutionary Guard are “so synonymous with the regime they can’t be divorced from it,” Ostovar said. “They are both the front end of the spear as well as the figure holding that spear.”


Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps personnel stand guard in downtown Tehran during a rally in April.
(Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto/Getty Images)

After the overthrow of Mohammad Reza Shaw in 1979, the Shiite revolutionaries who won out purged the existing military, called the Artesh, and the shah’s fearsome intelligence agency. In their place, they created their own security state undergirded by the IRGC.

Then-Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini constitutionally tasked the Revolutionary Guard with protecting the Islamic Republic and its ideals inside and outside the country. The IRGC, in turn, created the Basij, a volunteer force modeled on Scouting organizations. The goal was to indoctrinate young people and infiltrate communities, said Alfoneh, turning civilians into agents of the state.

The IRGC’s profile rose during the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s, as the guard took charge of training young soldiers to send to the front. As a reward for its service — and to prevent massive unemployment among decommissioned fighters — the guard was given control of Khatam al-Anbiya, the first of Iran’s many military-run economic enterprises.

The engineering firm was tasked with rebuilding the war-battered country, said Roya Azadi, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Rhode Island. But the Revolutionary Guard profited mightily, diverting large amounts of money to its own banks and institutions.

“By giving it a role in the economy, they give it enough incentives to stay with the government if the army were to stage a coup or if there was a mass uprising as you see right now,” said Azadi.

Khatam al-Anbiya is now among Iran’s largest contractors, working in mining, gas, oil, petrochemicals and other industrial projects, Azadi said. The IRGC directly controls at least 275 firms, 54 of which are owned by the Basij, she said.

Over the years, Washington and its Western allies have imposed round after round of sanctions on the IRGC and Iran’s banking and financial institutions, efforts ramped up by President Donald Trump as part of his “maximum pressure” campaign.

But rather than punish and constrain the IRGC, critics say, sanctions have enabled the guard to dominate Iran’s isolated economy and its thriving black market, including the oil smuggling trade.

“The Revolutionary Guard has been sanctioned and stigmatized now for more than two decades, but in this period it has become more powerful, more enriched, more repressive at home and more aggressive in the region,” said Ali Vaez, director of the Brussels-based International Crisis Group’s Iran Project. “In the process, the middle class has been devastated and impoverished,” he added.

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The hollowing out of the middle class, as well as Iran’s growing isolation and entrenched corruption, have added to the fury of the protests now sweeping the country, which Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has blamed on “thugs” and foreign instigators.

More than 200 protesters have been killed and thousands more injured and arrested in the government crackdown, though reporting restrictions and communication cuts make the true toll impossible to verify. More than 30 members of the security forces have died in the unrest, including 18 members of the Basij and six members of the full-time Revolutionary Guard, according to Alfoneh, who cited media reports on funerals.

In cities, towns and universities across the country, protesters have been squaring off with volunteers from the Basij, often lower-class Iranians who see membership and its financial benefits as a ticket to social advancement, Alfoneh said.

IRGC offices and headquarters have also been a target of protesters, in particular in minority areas such as Kurdistan and Sistan and Baluchestan province, where the guards are often brought out as a first resort and have taken part in military-style occupations of some cities.

This uprising “is definitely the longest social movement” in recent times, Azadi said, but the Basij, along with regular law enforcement, have largely been able to contain the protests because demonstrators have avoided congregating in large numbers in a single location. By contrast, millions of people took to the streets in 2009 to support the Green Movement, sparking a more rapid deployment of the full-time IRGC troops.

So far this time, Iran’s leaders appear to be using “brute force deliberately” — including the use of live ammunition and the targeting of children — to coerce protesters back home, Ostovar said. “They have no problem doing it on a small scale,” he said. “The political risks of doing that [on a larger scale] are more severe and could be unpredictable.”
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By Miriam BergerMiriam Berger is a staff writer reporting on foreign news for The Washington Post from Washington, D.C. Before joining The Post in 2019 she was based in Jerusalem and Cairo and freelance reported around the Middle East, as well as parts of Africa and Central Asia. Twitter