The Only Poll That Counts

The latest poll shows that the Harper attack ads and attacks on Dion and the Liberals has had an impact in the ROC. But the real poll is what their impact has been in Quebec, because Quebec is the key to any Liberal or Conservative victory. And their impact has been a big fat Zero.


Decima's poll, provided to the Canadian Press, showed the separatist Bloc Quebecois, which runs candidates only in Quebec, stood at 35 percent in the province, with the Liberals at 23 percent and the Conservatives at 15 percent.

And for those who think we are going to have a spring election sprung on us, think again...not with these numbers we ain't.

In an average of the last three weekly polls, the Conservatives have 33 per cent, the Liberals 30 per cent, the NDP 14 per cent, the Bloc nine per cent and the Greens 11 per cent.


Find blog posts, photos, events and more off-site about:
polls, Canada, Liberals, Conservatives, Quebec, politics, Harper, Dion, BQ, NDP

Glass Half Full

CTV / Globe and Mail focused their reporting about their latest poll on Mr. Dion vs Mr. Harper, as usual.

That's a glass half empty.

On the other hand the glass is half full.

As their polling also shows that at this point it is just as likely to be Mr. Layton vs. Mr. Harper.

Meanwhile, when asked which party leader had the clearest vision of where he wants to take the country, Harper showed a significant lead over his rivals (percentage-point change from a Dec. 3-4 poll in brackets):

• Stephen Harper: 50 per cent (+ 18)
• Stephane Dion: 22 per cent (- 16 from when Paul Martin was leader)
• Jack Layton: 20 per cent (+ 1)
• Gilles Duceppe: 8 per cent (- 4)

More than half of respondents also felt that Harper is the most decisive of the party leaders.

• Harper: 53 per cent
• Dion: 19 per cent
• Layton: 20 per cent
• Duceppe: 8 per cent

Dion also lost out on charisma, which he himself defended shortly after becoming leader of his party.

"I would not have been able to win this race if I had not been able to connect with Canadians ... I have a capacity to communicate with passion and with reason," he said last December.

But respondents seem to have felt otherwise in the poll. Here are the results when voters were asked who was the most charismatic (percentage-point change from a Dec. 3-4 poll in brackets):

• Harper: 35 per cent (+ 18)
• Dion: 20 per cent (- 9 from when Martin was leader)
• Layton: 36 per cent (- 2)
• Duceppe: 10 per cent (- 4)

Lack of charisma, indecisive, and a whiner.....Dion slams Tory attack ads; wants Harper to withdraw them as matter of honour

Yep, it's as much a race between the NDP and Conservatives as it is the Liberals and Conservatives. Between Layton and Harper as much as it is Dion versus Harper.

And it's a dead heat on the environment. So much for the greening of the Liberals under Dion.

If there is a party in Canada facing a failure in leadership this poll shows only one; The Liberals.

Find blog posts, photos, events and more off-site about:
Liberals, Conservatives, Canada, politics, election, NDP, leadership, Layton, Dion, Harper, polling,

Tweedle Dee Tweedle Dum Green Poll

Too bad they didn't include all the party leaders in this poll. The results would have been interesting.

However when it comes to whose more Green, Dion is ahead of Harper. Despite Harpers recent conversion.

No surprise since Dion has made the politics of the environment his hobby horse and he is a one trick pony.

Luckily the majority of Canadians don't trust either of them when it comes to who is really green.


(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The two major party leaders have not convinced many Canadians about their commitment to the environment, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies. In the survey, 31 per cent of respondents believe Liberal leader Stéphane Dion cares the most about the issue, while 13 per cent select Conservative leader and prime minister Stephen Harper. However, 28 per cent of respondents pick neither politician, and 27 per cent are not sure.

Polling Data

In your view, which of these individuals cares the most about the environment and global warming?

	All	Men	Women	Age 18-34	Age 35-54	Age 55+
Stéphane Dion (Lib.)	31%	37%	26%	33%	28%	34%
Stephen Harper (Con.)	13%	16%	10%	9%	12%	20%
Neither	28%	25%	32%	30%	30%	25%
Not sure	27%	23%	32%	28%	31%	21%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,122 Canadian adults, conducted on Feb. 6 and Feb. 7, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

See

Environment

Dion

Harper

Polls

Find blog posts, photos, events and more off-site about:
Dion, Harper, Canada, poll, polling, election, Conservatives, Liberals, environment, climate change, globalwarming, Angus-Reid,