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Thursday, February 06, 2020


FRAC SAND OVERPRODUCTION CRISIS
U.S. Silica cuts 10% of workforce as frac sand demand wanes

(Reuters) - U.S. Silica Holdings Inc said on Friday it had cut about 230 jobs, or 10% of its workforce, as demand for its frac sand comes under pressure from oil and gas producers reducing drilling in the backdrop of volatile prices.

The job cuts included employees impacted by idling of its two mines in Utica, Illinois and Tyler, Texas, the company said, adding that it expects to incur about $1.7 million in related severance costs in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Last month, U.S. Silica said it expects demand to slow down in the fourth quarter and reported a bigger-than-expected quarterly loss weighed down by lower prices.

Prices for the proppant used to crack the ground and extract oil have dropped in North America, as low oil prices and demands for higher investor returns stunted drilling activity.

The company had also forecast net sales and profits in its industrial business, which supplies sand to construction companies and glass manufacturers, to stay flat or rise marginally in 2020, hurt by trade tariffs and fears of a global slowdown.

“The difficult decisions announced today are an important element of our plan to protect margins and generate free cash flow in a
.n increasingly competitive oil and gas completions market,” Chief Executive Officer Bryan Shinn said on Friday



Frac sand slump continues to sting industry

Sergio Chapa Nov. 22, 2019 

Frac sand suppliers have been hit by the slowdown in drilling activity.
Photo: Michael Ciaglo, Houston Chronicle / Staff photographer

Falling demand, abundant supplies, lower prices and and increased competition are hitting the frac sand industry as as it contends with a slowdown in the nation's shale oil and gas fields.

Katy sand products company U.S. Silica said Friday that it will idle two sand mines and cut 230 jobs, or about 10 percent of its workforce. With crude oil prices stubbornly stuck in the $50 to $60 per barrel range, many exploration and production companies are cutting back on their drilling and hydraulic fracturing operations.

Sand is a critical component of the horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing processes. It is mixed with water and chemicals and pumped into wells at high pressure to crack geological formations. The sand props open fissures that allow the oil and gas to flow into the well.

In a statement, U.S. Silica CEO Bryan Shinn said the job cuts and idled mines were difficult decisions. but necessary for the company’s survival.

"The actions taken realign our operational footprint and cost structure to more efficiently serve energy customers while simultaneously supporting the expected growth of our Industrials & Specialty Products segment,” Shinn said.

Shale Slump: Lower hydraulic fracturing activity stings frac sand business

In the early days of the shale revolution, most of the nation’s frac sand came from mines in Wisconsin and Minnesota, from where it was shipped by rail to regional depots, stored in silos and then hauled by 18-wheelers to drilling sites. Over the past three years, that business model has given way to lower mines near oil fields so sand could be hauled to drilling sites less than 100 miles away.

The crude oil price slump hit in Dec. 2018 just after several sand companies opened dozens of new mines in the Permian Basin of West Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale of South Texas and other shale plays across the United States.

Oil and gas companies have pulled more than 270 drilling rigs out of operation over the past year, pushing the U.S. rig count down by 25 percent, according to the Houston oil field services company Baker Hughes. Services companies, such as Halliburton of Houston, have cut the number of fracking crews and laid off workers.

Oil settled Friday at $57.77 in New York, down 81 cents.

During an Oct. 29 investors call, Shinn said the industry has a glut of 35 million tons of sand — driving down prices as companies compete for market share. He estimated that seven sand mines have closed and more will follow over the next several months.

As part of a plan to save $20 million a year, U.S. Silica is pairing its jobs cuts with plans to idle mines in Utica, Ill. and Tyler.. The company is reducing operations at other mines, including its Permian Basin mine in Crane County. The reductions are expected to take 7 million tons of frac sand off the market.

Following a $23 million loss on $362 million of revenue during the third quarter, the company is also looking to diversify by making a number of commercial and industrial products ranging from roofing materials to filters for blood and plasma.

Analysts say that market conditions for frac sand suppliers will get worse before they get better. James West, an analyst with the Houston investment research firm Evercore ISI, noted that U.S. Silica lowered its sand volumes guidance for the fourth quarterm expecting overall demand from the oil and natural gas industry to decline by 10 percent.

“The biggest questions everyone is trying to answer now are how much of a rebound will the industry experience when (oil and gas) budgets reset in the New Year and will it be a sharp pickup in activity or a slow grind until toward the end of the first quarter,” West wrore in a recent research note. “Slow grind is our view.”

Shares of U.S. Silica were down slightly, closing at $4.55 at the end of trading on Friday.

sergio.chapa@chron.com

Demand for Frac Sand and Concrete Drives Scarcity

By SHELLEY GOLDBERG June 25, 2019 INVESTOPEDIA

Despite appearances, we are running out of sand. While that might seem farfetched – sand is seemingly everywhere – there is not only a thriving international trade in the commodity, but it’s the second-most heavily exploited natural resource after water and, by volume, the most heavily extracted solid material in the world.

Like any commodity, sand requires uniformity. Uniform sand, or "aggregate," includes gravel, crushed stone and a number of recycled materials, such as crushed concrete, each of which has unique applications. Specialty sands also exist for industries such as golf, volleyball, sports fields, and playgrounds, as well as retail and technical services. Each has unique shape, size, hardness and color specifications.

From Playgrounds to Fracking Wells

Sand is formed by erosive processes over thousands of years and, according to a UN Environmental Program (UNEP) report, is being extracted far more quickly than it can be renewed. While the U.S. imports only about 1% of the total sand that it uses, according to the United States Geological Survey, developing countries like China and India have had to import significantly larger quantities to meet the demand created by recent construction booms. Sand's scarcity translates to price appreciation, which makes investing in sand compelling.The price of sand and gravel has increased dramatically over the last decade, from $7.06 per metric ton in 2007 to $8.80 in 2016. Specialty sands generate even higher prices: frac sand, which is used in the process of extracting oil through hydraulic fracturing, cost about $25 per tonne in 2017 but in times of short supply has climbed to $70 per tonne.

But investing in sand is challenging. Sand’s weight relative to its value makes it expensive and challenging to move and store. Investors are also unable to buy or sell futures contracts tied to sand, as they would with other commodities, such as soybeans or oil. As a result, investors interested in deepening their exposure to sand need to look to equity in companies associated with sand production.

Fueling Construction Growth

Conservative estimates place world sand consumption in excess of 40 billion tonnes a year, according to UNEP. That number is twice that of the annual amount of sediment carried by all of the rivers of the world, which means that mankind is the largest transforming agent in the world with respect to aggregates. Demand is asymmetric: Increasing demand is predominantly tied to urban growth in Asia, though it is worth noting that information on global sand consumption, particularly in emerging and frontier markets, is scarce.

Aggregate is the main constituent of both concrete and asphalt. It is also the primary foundation for building roads, parking lots and runways, homes, buildings and landscapes. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, for each metric tonne of cement used, the construction industry needs about six to seven times more tonnes of sand and gravel.

China produces over half the world’s cement, an estimated 2.41 billion metric tons (BMT) in 2017. Global cement production is expected to increase from 3.27 BMT in 2010 to 4.83 BMT in 2030.

Frac Sand Boom and Bust

Energy Exploration and Production (E&P) also consumes vast quantities of sand, mostly due to its use as a primary proppant in hydraulic fracturing. Proppants are mixed with a liquid to keep fracking wells open and facilitate the removal of oil and natural gas. For scale, individual fracking wells often use seven million pounds of sand, with some requiring up to three times as much. Wells have grown longer and wider since modern-day hydraulic fracking came about in the 1990s.

Frac sand suppliers are highly fragmented, with some 50 producers globally. In addition to energy producers themselves, frac sand suppliers were among the hardest hit by the shale oil bust beginning mid-2014, as drilling activity plummeted. Major oil and gas producers saw their market halve, but the carnage among sand suppliers was worse. With the steep decline in rig counts, sand suppliers like Emerge Energy Services (EMES) and Hi-Crush Partners (HCLP) saw their stock prices depreciate more than 90% from their 2014 highs.

But by 2016, the U.S. frac sand market heated up, even as oil prices remained depressed, due to the increasing size of wells. Producers also increased the number of fractured stages per well, which fueled a boom in the amount of sand used to drill. As U.S. crude continues to recover in price, coupled with high demand for U.S. natural gas, frac sand demand should continue to surge.

Among those producers that are publicly traded, is U.S. Silica Holdings (SLCA) the largest pure-play fracking sand provider. Fairmount Santrol Holdings (FMSA) also has a significant business line supplying for foundry, building products, water filtration, glass, and recreation markets. Hi-Crush Partners and Emerge Energy Services are structured as master limited partnerships. EOG Resources (EOG) is a large producer but uses all of the sand it mines in its own wells.

The barriers to entry for frac sand producers are high. Not only does it take time, expertise and capital to build a new mine, but it’s also difficult to time the market exactly. Furthermore, there can be supply limitations due to infrastructure or shipping constraints.

Environmental issues are also a concern. Sand extraction lowers water tables and decreases sediment supply, resulting in the destruction of ecosystems like fisheries. Sand extraction has also been linked to inland and coastal land loss, water contamination, and river embankment and coastal infrastructure damage.

Limits on Infrastructure Development 

Furthermore, the planned expansion of infrastructure in many parts of the world is more ambitious than had previously been estimated. India's current $120 billion building boom making has placed sand in such high demand that illegal mining has engendered a sand mafia. Saudi Arabia, which already made headlines for importing sand despite its desert locale, announced a plan to build Neom, a $500 billion mega-city spanning 10,230 square miles.

Sand mining and dredging have been largely ignored by policymakers. But as climate change's ramifications on coastal cities become more evident, this too will likely change. Today, in the U.S., the fastest-growing use of sand includes fortifying shorelines eroded from rising sea levels and increasingly powerful ocean storms, particularly after recent powerful hurricanes. Inland uses include temporary sand dams and sandbag installations to protect residents and property from surging lakes and rivers, as well as mudslides, like those that impacted California in 2018.

While sand substitutes exist, they are expensive. Increasingly, producers have begun to turn to recycled asphalt and cement, although comparative usage is quite small.

In addition to producers, investors looking to make a play on sand could look into dredging companies and dredging/blasting equipment manufacturers, given recent advancements in robotic crushing technologies. For investors concerned about the long-term effects of a sand shortage, glassmakers (windows, glassware and cell phone screens), water filtration, septic systems, swimming pools, solar panels, and wind turbine manufacturers all rely on the material. Sand is used in the railroad industry, as well as for molds in foundries that make everything from airplane and cruise missile parts to artificial hips.

Frac Sand Mining

Hydraulic fracturing uses high pressure water to break open underground geologic formations – most commonly shale. – containing oil and gas.

Once the shale is fractured, if the fractures are not propped open, they will close again.

So frackers use frack sand to prop open the fractures to allow the oil and gas to be extracted.

They use a lot of sand:, up to 10,000 tons of sand per well.

Frack “sand” is actually tiny pieces of quartz- silicon dioxide (SiO2) also known as silica sand. It is not garden variety sand found in your kids sandbox. Because it is special, it is found in only a few places. In the United States, that currently means in the Midwest near the Great Lakes. The Southeast corner of Minnesota and neighboring Wisconsin contain vast deposits of the most desirable highly spherical sand close to the surface.

Alternatives to sand include the use of manufactured ceramic beads and even hemp. Some drillers in western Colorado’s Piceance Basin have experimented with sandless fracking in more naturally brittle formations where the broken portions of shale can themselves act as a proppant.

Overburden Removal

Before mining for frack sand, operators must remove “overburden” – topsoil or subsoil overtop the sand that is mainly composed of clay, silt, loam, or combinations of the three.

Removing the overburden requires scrapers or tracked excavators. After removal, the operator stockpiles the material in man-made earth mounds called berms. These berms can serve as light and noise barriers between the mine and nearby communities.

Excavation

After peeling away and storing the overburden, the operator then must excavate the sand. Excavation may require blasting; depending upon how tightly cemented the target silicates reside within the geological formation.
Processing

In order for the frack sand to effectively hold open the formation fissures, it must have a fairly uniform hardness and shape. To achieve this uniformity, the silicates must undergo further processing at a plant:
Washing — which involves high pressure spraying of water and dangerous chemicals on to the sand that often leaches in to the ground;
Drying — depositing the sand in to large rotating drums fed by hot air, powered by either combustion or natural gas;
Screening and sorting — sorting allows the operator to capture the sands suitable for fracking and dispose or sell the sands better suited for other purposes.

For More Information
EARTHblog Frack Sand Mining Doesn't Just Suck, It Blows
EARTHblog Where do you think the fracking sand comes from?
EARTHblog Minnesotans Declare Independence from Frac Sand Land
MPR News Wisconsin Sen. Vinehout proposes legislation to control frac sand mining
Minnesota DNR Industrial Silica Sand
Allamakee County Protectors Grassroots Iowa Group
Sandpoint Times Grassroots Minnesota Group
WBEZ Behind the fracking boom, a sand mining rush
Journal Sentinel Wisconsin attorney general levies fine against sand mining company, Dec. 16, 2013
Wisconsin Center for Investigative Journalism Frac sand mines credited for rising, dropping property values March 30, 2014






What is frac sand?  


Frac sand is a type of sand with small, uniform particles. It is injected into the rock formation along with the water used to fracture the rock in the process known as hydraulic fracturing ("fracking"). The sand is used to prop open the fractures that are created. Because the particles are uniform, fluids like water, oil, and gas are able to flow through the spaces between the particles. Frac sand is currently mined in a range of states, with the Great Lakes Region, consisting of Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, and Wisconsin, contributing approximately 70% of the silica sand used in America as a proppant in 2014.

Learn More 

Mining: Frac Sand (Webpage), Wisconsin Geological Survey
A short overview of frac sand, where it is found, and how it is mined, with links to other resources.
Frac Sand in the United States (Report), U.S. Geological Survey
A geological and industry overview of frac sand mining in the U.S.
DNR and Silica Sand (Webpage and Map), Minnesota Department of Natural Resources
Webpage on frac sand mining in Minnesota, with information on relevant legislation, answers to frequently asked questions about frac sand, and a map of sand mines in Minnesota.





Frac Sand Health and Environmental Impacts

Sand is critical to fracking. After workers drill down into rock, they create fractures by pumping in a mixture of water, chemicals and sand. The sand keeps the cracks propped open so that oil and gas are released.

Frac sand mining creates significant air pollution from the handling, mining, and processing of the sand. The important sources of air emissions come from the tiny dust particles – known as particulate matter – scattered during mining and processing.

These tiny dust particles, usually only a few microns in diameter, when inhaled in the lungs can lead to Silicosis – cancer of the lungs that poses a danger to miners and nearby communities.

Frac sand linked to lung disease in workers

The chronic silicosis caused by silica exposure poses unique dangers for employees working at frac sand mining sites. Because long-term exposure can be fatal, the Labor Department’s Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) issued draft regulations designed to reduce the health risk and previously issued a hazard alert.

Sand is basically silica — and breathing in silica is one of the oldest known workplace dangers. Inside the lungs, exposure to the tiny particles has been shown to sometimes lead to serious lung diseases like silicosis and lung cancer.

Workplace safety expert Eric Esswein and his team visited 11 fracking sites in five states: Arkansas, Colorado, North Dakota, Pennsylvania and Texas. At every site, the researchers found high levels of silica in the air. It turned out that 79 percent of the collected samples exceeded the recommended exposure limit set by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health.

There were some controls in place, says Esswein, who notes that “at every site that we went to, workers wore respirators.”

But about a third of the air samples they collected had such high levels of silica, that the type of respirators typically worn wouldn't offer enough protection.

Neighbors fear for their health

Wisconsinites and Minnesotans (the two states producing most of the frac sand) who live around frac sand mining, processing and transportation facilities are concerned about the long term impacts of their exposure to silica dust.

As a result, some local governments have enacted bans and moratoria.

Mining puts water at risk

Frac sand processing also poses dangers to water sources. Miners commonly use chemicals called flocculants to clean, wash, or remove unwanted minerals or other fine particles from the processed sand. These chemicals can infiltrate in to groundwater after washing.

Long term exposure to common flocculants like polyacrylamides and acrylamides in high concentrations of drinking water can lead to nervous system, blood problems or increased risk of cancer.

Neither the federal nor state governments have developed drinking water standards for flocculants.

For More Information

EARTHblog Frack sand mining doesn't just suck, it blows

EARTHblog In Frac Sand Land, Residents Have Little Protection Against Silica Dust Exposure

NPR Sand From Fracking Could Pose Lung Disease Risk To Workers

OSHA Worker Exposure to Silica during Hydraulic Fracturing

Price of Sand Film

CDC Silica

Civil Society Institute Communities At Risk: Frac Sand Mining in the Upper Midwest


What is Frac Sand?

Frac sand is a high-purity quartz sand with very round grains. It is very durable and provides a crush-resistant material used in the oil and gas industry for hydraulic fracturing (also called “fracking). Rock units composed of quartz grains that have gone through multiple cycles of weathering and erosion are potential sources of frac sand material. This evolution has removed most mineral grains other than quartz resulting in grains with very round shapes.

The demand for frac sand has risen dramatically in recent years as an increasing number of oil and natural gas wells use the hydraulic fracturing process. A single well using hydraulic fracturing can use a few thousand tons of frac sand. The surge of specialized drilling has created a billion dollar frac sand industry in just a few years.
How Frac Sand is Used

Some subsurface rock contains large amounts of oil, natural gas, or natural gas liquids that cannot flow freely to a well because the rock is impermeable to the degree that the fluids cannot flow through them. The fracking process presents a solution by creating fractures in the rock.

This is accomplished by drilling a well into the rock and sealing the portion of the well in the petroleum-bearing zone. Water treated with chemicals and thickeners to create a viscous gel is then pumped into that portion of the well using a high pressure process. The gel facilitates the water’s ability to carry grains of frac sand in a suspended state.

Large pumps at the surface increase water pressure in the sealed portion of the well until pressure is sufficient to fracture surrounding rocks. Water rushes rapidly through the fractures, making them larger and pushing them deeper into the rock. Because billions of sand grains are pushed deep into the fractures, it can take several thousand tons of frac sand to stimulate a single well.

Why Frac Sand Makes a Good Proppant

After the surface pumps are turned off, the fractures contract but do not close completely because they are propped open by billions of grains of frac sand. This occurs when there is sufficient sand remaining in the rock to resist the force of the closing fractures.

Frac sand is known as a “proppant” because it props the fractures open by forming a network of pore spaces that allow petroleum fluids to flow out of the rock and into the well. Although there are other types of proppants available, depending on the type of well, frac sand often delivers the highest performance.

Characteristics of High Quality Frac Sand

Proppants used in the petroleum industry must meet very demanding specifications. The typical characteristics of high quality frac sand include:

high-purity silica sand

a grain size that is perfectly matched to job requirements

a round shape that allows it to be carried in hydraulic fracturing fluid with little turbulence
durability to resist the crushing forces of closing fractures

Frac sand comes in various sizes. It can be as small as 0.1 millimeter in diameter to over 2 millimeters in diameter. Most frac sand used in the oil and gas industry is between 0.4 and 0.8 millimeters in size. 

Understand the frac sand mining process - YouTube

▶ 2:34
- Uploaded by WKBT TV Frac sand mining is the mining of sand that is used in the fracking process to get oil and natural gas out of the





Wednesday, February 05, 2020

Delay for (FRAC) sand mine project in Manitoba has some celebrating

National News | February 5, 2020 by Brittany Hobson 


Members of a peace camp opposing the development of a silica sand mine project in Manitoba are celebrating a “small victory” after the company in charge of the project announced it has been delayed due to financial reasons.

“It was a relief. I figured at least we’re going to have some more time to educate more people,” Marcel Hardisty, one of the camp organizers, told APTN News by phone Wednesday.

Hardisty is part of a group from Hollow Water First Nation, located approximately 200 km northeast of Winnipeg, who set up Camp Morningstar last winter after exploration began on the project.

The group had concerns about the environmental impacts on the community including the destruction of a community trap line.

Canadian Premium Sand Inc. (CPS) is in charge of the project called Wanipigow Sand, which was approved last year to develop an industrial plant to extract silica sand from Hollow Water and the neighbouring communities of Seymourville and Manigotagan.

The project was slated to begin production last year but CPS now expects to begin production in early 2022.

The company had to start from scratch after the original design for the plant was deemed too costly.

“This set us back. We lost a year,” said Glenn Leroux, president and chief executive officer for CPS.

The company expected the project to cost $120 million but the old design came with a price tag of $220 million.

Leroux says the group is lining up investors and financing this year with the hopes of beginning construction next year.

“We spent the last several months going back into the project basically with a white sheet of paper so we had all the approvals and everything in place, and still have those in place, but if you can’t get the money, you can’t get the project,” he said.

“It’s hard to raise money if you’re connected to the oil and gas business because the oil and gas business is in a downturn and it’s under fire from every single environmentalist on the planet.”

Leroux believes the delay will not affect the final outcome of the project.

The Manitoba government approved the environmental licence necessary for the project in May 2019.

The company may have to apply for an extension as well as make changes to their environmental licence based off the new plant design.

This could result in new consultations processes because of the change.

However, part of the reason Camp Morningstar was created was because the group didn’t believe a proper consultation took place.

“It was show and tell by the company to gain support,” said Hardisty.

Hollow Water chief and council along with CPS hosted meetings with men, women, youth and elder groups.

Community leadership is in favour of the project.

Chief Larry Barker told APTN last year the industry would bring much needed jobs to his community.

Hardisty says in the meantime Camp Morningstar will remain up and running for educational purposes.

“We’re not shutting it down,” he said.

“We may have an international Sundance, for sure a land-based learning centre for young people to learn about the environment to learn about what’s in this forest, what’s beneath the silica sand.”

Camp Morningstar will be hosting a celebration for it’s one-year anniversary on Feb 15.

Brittany Hobson

Opinion Analysis

Frac-sand project faces major hurdles, competition

By: Don Sullivan Posted: 12/11/2019 

Artist’s rendering of the planned Canadian Premium Sand facility at Hollow Water.

The problem facing Canadian Premium Sand (CPS) is that it needs to overcome some big internal hurdles, and if successful, then face stiff competition from existing frac-sand operations should it succeeds in getting its mine fully operational near Hollow Water First Nation.

Northern White Sand (NWS), the gold standard in frac sand, is mined mostly in Wisconsin, and like many frac-sand operators is an end-to-end user-integrated operation.

The term "end-to-end user-integrated operations" means these operations in Wisconsin have long established large-volume contracts for their frac sand with various oil and gas fracking operations in all of the major oil and gas fields throughout North America, including Canada.

These Wisconsin frac-sand companies, in addition to owning the frac-sand mines and processing facilities, also tend to own or have a financial stake in all of the necessary on- and off-loading transportation infrastructure to move their frac sand as close as possible to their markets, such as the rail transload facilities needed to load and unload their frac sand.

In addition, these Wisconsin companies have long-term contracts with major rail companies, such as CN and CP, to pick up and deliver their frac sand to their rail transload facilities located near their markets, they then contract out last-mile truck services to deliver their frac sand to the wellhead.

These highly integrated operations are designed to deliver frac sand to their markets at the lowest price possible. Many of these frac-sand companies in Wisconsin have been doing this for a decade or more, and are able to undercut freight on board (FOB) prices for their frac sand when a new startup operation, such as Canadian Premium Sand, wants to enter the market.

In short, these Wisconsin frac-sand operations have captured nearly 70 per cent of the North American market by offering a superior product and by being fully integrated end-to-end user frac-sand operations.

However, given the downturn in oil and gas prices, and the need for oil and gas fracking operations to reduce their costs, all these operations are now looking to acquire frac sand that is situated much closer to where they operate in the major North American oil and gas fields. This is what is precisely occurring now, both in Canada and the U.S., and this drive to find "in-basin frac sand deposits" has created an oversupply of frac sand, which in turn has further reduced the market and price for NWS.

For CPS, the closest markets, should they become operational, would be Bakken oil and gas fields located in Saskatchewan, North Dakota, Montana and a small part of southwestern Manitoba.

Given the distance between CPS’s proposed frac-sand mine and a major rail transportation hub — almost 200 km away in Winnipeg — and with no frac-sand transload facilities currently located in Winnipeg (and with the possibility of no processing facility to be constructed at its frac-sand mine site location as part of their as-yet-incomplete cost-optimization measures), these will be some major hurdles that CPS will need to overcome, first and foremost, to even get in the game.

CPS will also need to secure frac-sand contracts beforehand from fracking operations in North America’s oil and gas fields, then secure offload rail transload facilities located near their potential markets. CPS will have to do all this at a very competitive price against frac-sand operations in Wisconsin that are currently operating in these areas and which have a huge cost-savings advantage over CPS, precisely because they are fully integrated operations.

No doubt, CPS is trying to figure out how to overcome these many hurdles as it prepares its cost-optimization report, but it is fairly evident that CPS will need to radically alter its original plans, for which it has already received government of Manitoba approval.

Don Sullivan is a landscape photographer, former director of the Boreal Forest Network and served as special adviser to the government of Manitoba on the Pimachiowin Aki UNESCO World Heritage site portfolio. He is a research affiliate with the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives Manitoba and a Queen Golden Jubilee medal recipient.

Fast Facts: Canadian Premium Sand Frac Sand Mining Project About to Hit a Financial Wall

AUTHOR(S):
Don Sullivan
SEPTEMBER 17, 2019

There are important new developments regarding the proposed frac sand operation adjacent to Hollow Water First Nation on the east side of Lake Winnipeg that will have a large impact on the entire project.

Canadian Premium Sand (CPS), a publicly traded and Canadian-owned mining company, received an Environmental License from the Government of Manitoba in early 2019, which allowed CPS to proceed with the construction phase of a frac sand processing facility and the mining of 1 million tons per year of frac sand on a designated community trap line adjacent to Hollow Water First Nation.


The processed frac sand would then be transported by trucks, from the mine location to Winnipeg, where it would be transferred to rail to be used in fracking operations for the oil and gas industry throughout North America.

CPS estimates that the capital cost of getting this project up and running would be around $300 - $335 million, and the project would require approximately an additional $29 million per year in operating costs thereafter.

In addition, CPS has yet to estimate the unforeseen costs as a result of having to meet the 98 conditions in the Environmental License they received from the government of Manitoba. These costs are substantial but unknown.

In a 2018 Investors Presentation, CPS based the economic viability and profit margins of its entire frac sand project on selling the frac sand they produced at between $150 a ton (low end) and $250 a ton (high end). The problem for CPS is that, based on the most recent market analysis done by a number of market research firms, frac sand is now selling for less than $30 a ton in North America.

Moody’s, one of the largest bond rating agencies, has stated that the market price for frac sand will not change in the foreseeable future as there is a large over supply of frac sand in the North American market which is driving down prices. At this price CPS cannot even cover of its annual operating costs of $30 million, let alone begin paying down the start-up cost of $300 - $335 million associated with getting the whole project up and running.

Obviously CPS has seen the writing on the wall as they have not made a Final Investment Decision to proceed with construction phase of the project and recently announced they were undertaking a Cost Optimization Study to reduce their total expenditures related to the project. This study is to be completed by September of 2019.

Some insight as to where CPS is headed with this Cost Optimization Study was obtained recently from local community members in Hollow Water First Nation, where there was an information meeting held with a select few people in the first week of September. At this information meeting it was learned that CPS is now toying with the idea of barging wet unprocessed sand to Gimli, on the west side of Lake Winnipeg, where an operating rail line exists.

If this new plan proves to be accurate, then this would be an entirely new project, and one that is radically different from what CPS proposed to the government of Manitoba back in early 2019, and for which CPS received an Environmental License for.
It would also mean that the 127 jobs that CPS stated would be created in the region would disappear, as they would not be constructing a processing facility at the proposed mine location, nor would they be transporting processed frac sand via truck from the mine site to market.
In short, it would be my understanding that CPS would need to submit a whole new Environmental Act Proposal, and obtain a new Environmental License from the government of Manitoba, as this new plan is far more than just an alteration to the company’s existing Environmental License.

Further, there would be far more federal government oversight required should CPS choose to barge unprocessed frac sand via Lake Winnipeg to Gimli, as this body of water is federally designated navigable waters. The Department of Transportation would also need to approve the barges needed to ship this unprocessed frac sand to Gimli. The Coast Guard I am sure would have some regulatory interest, as well as the federal Department of Fisheries and Oceans.

Finally, there are a whole host of new potential adverse impacts that would need to be identified and addressed before CPS could move forward with this new plan. At the end of the day, CPS is unlikely to be able to reduce their costs to the level needed to make a profit, given the current low market price for frac sand, even if this new plan were to be in place and approved.

Clearly, CPS has some very tough decisions to make in the months ahead.

Sources of Information
Canadian Premium Sand Environmental Act Proposal Canadian Premium Sand NI 43-101 Technical Report – May, 2019
Environment Act Licence No. 3285 – May 6, 2019 Claim Post Resources Inc. Investor Presentation – March 2018
Forbes - Shale Bonanza Subsiding For U.S. Frac Sand Miners As Low Prices Bite - 
Gaurav Sharma – May 29, 2019
Canadian Premium Sand News Release – July 18, 2019

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by Don Sullivan
November 22, 2018 Manitoba Offic

by Michael Bradfield
October 27, 2014 Nova Scotia Office


INTEREST IN THE MANIGOTAGAN DEPOSIT

Silica Frac Sand

Gossan holds a significant royalty on a high-quality frac sand deposit, owned and operated by Canadian Premium Sand Inc. (TSX.V:CPS), known as the Seymourville Frac Sand Project. Canadian Premium Sand is currently in the process of developing this permitted project into production in the near-term.

Under the terms of the royalty agreement, semi-annual advance royalty payments of $50,000 each are payable as of June 18th and December 18th of each year. All frac sand produced, sold and paid from the nine Manigotagan leases (formerly held by Gossan) is subject to a $1.00 per tonne production royalty payable quarterly and all other products are subject to a $0.50 per tonne production royalty. Although the royalty is solely payable on production from the Manigotagan leases, the agreement also provides for a minimum production royalty from both the Manigotagan and the adjacent Seymourville properties held by Canadian Premium Sand, based on their relative mining reserves of frac sand at the time of permitting. Canadian Premium Sand can acquire one-half of Gossan’s production royalty interest for $1.5 million during the three years after commencing commercial production and $2 million for a further two years.

On June 12, 2019, Canadian Premium Sand announced the results of a new Preliminary Feasibility Study (PFS); a new Mineral Resource; and that it had obtained all necessary approvals from the Hollow Water First Nation, the local community of Seymourville and the Province of Manitoba. Additionally the Canadian Minister of Environment and Climate Change confirmed that the project would not require environmental assessment under federal law CEAA 2012.

As part of the PFS, and based on an additional 93-hole sonic drill program, a NI 43-101 Mineral Resource was defined at 49.6 million tonnes of Measured & Indicated and 97.3 million tonnes of Inferred. Additionally, a 30.6 million tonne Proven & Probable Mineral Reserve was defined.

The PFS estimated a 25-year mine life; initial capex of $220 million and sustaining capital of $110-$115 million; an after-tax net present value of $220 million (discounted at 8%); and an after-tax internal rate of return of 20.2%. The mining method is expected to be a conventional open pit quarry employing typical truck and excavator operations. The project is expected to produce an average of 1.2 million tonnes of product per year. Subsequently, On July 18, 2019, Canadian Premium Sand announced that it was conducting a comprehensive capital optimization review to identify cost reductions to capex outlined in the PFS and a scaled market-entry strategy. Refer to SEDAR or www.canadianpremiumsand.com/ .

The Manigotagan Property is located 170 km northeast of Winnipeg where Gossan held a silica sand deposit at Seymourville, on the east shore of Lake Winnipeg, directly across from Black Island where silica sand was extensively quarried prior to the island becoming a Provincial Park.

On June 25, 2013, Gossan entered into a purchase and sale agreement to vend its Manigotagan Silica Frac Sand Project, comprised of 9 quarry leases located near Seymourville Manitoba, to Claim Post Resources Inc., now Canadian Premium Sand Inc. Gossan had been seeking a joint-venture partner or a purchaser for the Project since completing a marketing study in late 2010. In 2012, Claim Post acquired the adjacent Seymourville Property to the south and announced plans to develop a frac sand operation. A consolidation of the two properties should improve the viability of the project.

To June 18, 2019, Canadian Premium Sand, formerly Claim Post Resources, has made total property payments of $1.28 million cash; 4 million shares of Claim Post (subsequently sold); and advance royalty payments of $400,000. The next advance royalty payment of $50,000 is due December 18, 2019.

In 2006, Gossan conducted a 23-hole core and auger drill program at the 306-hectare Manigotagan Silica Property and in 2008 followed up with a 26-hole sonic drill program. These drill programs were successful in outlining two material zones of high-purity silica sand with limited overburden.

In 2009, Gossan commenced testing the silica sand for use as frac sand proppant, resulting in consistent ISO 9K Proppant ratings for various mesh fractions. Pressure conductivity tests were also conducted with positive results.

In 2010, Gossan retained a marketing consultant for the project. The marketing study established that the highest and best use of Manigotagan silica sand is as frac sand proppant used in the oil and gas sector. The study provided an analysis of 17 companies producing frac sand proppant in North America and an assessment of candidates suitable for a strategic partnership in Gossan’s Project.

Grains of sand: How fracking has caused a surge in demand for one of the world's oldest commodities
Of the million-odd horizontal wells in North America, most use frac sand that comes from a rich seam of 'white silica' sand that cuts beneath the Great Lakes region in Wisconsin


A fracking operation in Alberta.

CALGARY — Even the smallest grain of sand is of consequence to Brad Thomson, the CEO of Calgary-based Source Energy Services Canada LP.

The company is one of Canada’s largest suppliers of frac sand, a material that is injected into wells during hydraulic fracturing operations to prop open rock fractures and allow oil and gas to flow to the surface.

Of the million-odd horizontal wells scattered around North America, most use frac sand that comes from a rich seam of so-called “white silica” sand that cuts beneath the Great Lakes region in Wisconsin. It is prized for the superior quality of its grains, which are said to more effectively lodge themselves into shale rock fractures, allowing producers to boost well performance.

“You need sand that’s very round, very hard and very pure,” says Thomson, whose company owns a mine and processing facility in Wisconsin. “There’s sand everywhere in North America but generally it lacks one of those three characteristics.”

Thomson estimates Wisconsin white silica, sometimes called “Ottawa White,” supplies roughly 90 per cent of the Canadian frac sand market. And all of that sand is meets tight specifications: Samples are sent to far-off laboratories to be tested for crush resistance, consistency, shape and the concentration levels of quartz minerals, all according to specific American Petroleum Institute (API) standards.

Demand for frac sand is expected to double in the coming years as oil producers focus on wringing as much oil and gas as possible from every well. That has kicked off a race among sand suppliers to take advantage, either by developing new mines in Canada or by shipping product from the U.S. Midwest.

Todd Korol for National Post

While chronically low commodity prices have reduced drilling activity in recent years, producers continue to squeeze tremendous volumes of oil and gas from hard rock formations. That has placed more attention on the market for frac sand, which is expected to total between US$850 and US$950 million in Canada in 2017, according to IHS Markit.





In the Montney Formation of northern B.C. and Alberta, producers in 2013 used an average of around 500 pounds of sand per foot of a horizontal well; today that number is closer to 1,000 pounds, according to research by RS Energy Group. And wells are getting longer: horizontal wells now stretch around 9,000 feet, compared to 5,000 feet just four years ago.

It’s had a massive impact. Today, a producer in the Montney might blast 100 rail cars of sand down a single well.

Analysts expect that figure to increase, particularly in the Montney, as companies begin to pump higher volumes of sand, led by producers like Encana Corp. and Seven Generations Energy Ltd.

“So far the more aggressive operators they’re well above that 1,000 pound-per-foot average, and I think eventually everyone will end up settling where they are,” says Trevor Goertzen, an analyst with RS Energy Group in Calgary.

As a result of the increased demand, U.S. and Canadian suppliers are vying for market share by expanding their rail and terminal infrastructure into highly sophisticated networks.

“Without exception everybody is going through a phase of growth,” Source Energy Services’ Thomson says.

The company plans to spend $25 million this year to build three rail terminals in Edson and Fox Creek, Alta., and Taylor, B.C., to receive rail shipments from Wisconsin. The company plans to nearly double its capacity in coming years to 3.8 million tonnes per year.

Major U.S. suppliers are also expanding. U.S. Silica Holdings Inc. expects to expand its sand flows into several prolific shale basins by 68 per cent in 2017, while Emerge Energy Services LP, a Texas- based company, continues to expand its sand division by building out its rail infrastructure and loading facilities.

“The entire objective is to get volumes into the basin in a location that minimizes your trucking distances,” he says.
Without exception everybody is going through a phase of growth

Analysts are now wondering whether Canada’s rail infrastructure can absorb the addition demand as capacity is running near its peak. “This doesn’t yet appear to be a critical issue, but with every 1-2 wells effectively drawing a unit train of sand, it seems reasonable to question whether there is the logistical network to properly facilitate all of this,” Raymond James analysts wrote in a recent research note.

More worryingly, low commodity prices have gutted the stock valuations of some companies in recent months. Source Energy completed an initial public offering in April at $10.50 per share, well below the $17 to $20 range it had floated earlier in the year.

“Financial markets have been soft,” Thomson says. In early June its stock was trading around the $8.50 range.

U.S. sand suppliers have also seen their market valuations shrink. U.S. Silica’s stock price is down roughly 36 per cent from its February levels, while Emerge Energy Services LP’s stock price has been halved over the same period.

Meanwhile, several would-be Canadian suppliers have proposed building sand mines in Western Canada as a way to undercut Wisconsin-based shippers. 
Julia Schmalz/Bloomberg

Edmonton-based Athabasca Minerals Inc. and Saskatoon-based Hanson Lake Sands Corp. both aim to secure a hold in the frac sand market from their gravel and nickel mines, respectively. Vancouver-based Stikine Energy Corp. had proposed two sand mines in B.C., but the company wasn’t able to raise the necessary capital and currently appears to be nearing insolvency. Calgary’s LaPrairie Group operates a sand mine near Grande Prairie, Alta.

Often times, domestic mines are not well connected to rail infrastructure, and depend on high-cost trucking services to deliver their product. Others have grains that are angular rather than spherical, which can cause the sand to bond with water molecules and plug a well.

“Everybody thinks they’ve got frac sand,” says Ray Newton, a co-founder of Canadian Sandtech Inc., a private company with a sizeable stake in an upstart sand mine near Saskatoon.

Proving the quality of sand is crucial. Canadian Sandtech recently sent several five-gallon pails of sand to a laboratory in Langley, B.C. to test the mettle of its sand particles. It also completed in-house tests, Newton says.

Newton, like other domestic suppliers, disputes whether silica sand is necessary to boost well returns. His local mix of “Bradley Brown” is equal in quality, he argues.

For now, however, producers seem willing to pay a premium for Ottawa White, even as they face pressure to continuously reduce well costs.

Producers in the northern reaches of B.C., for example, might pay $150 per tonne for frac sand, while companies in the southern Montney might pay $75. Domestic supplies cost a fraction of that price.

For now, Thomson is confident firms in Western Canada will continue to transport their sand over thousands of kilometres rather than risk using inferior grains of sand.

“There’s certainly a bit of a quality trade-off.”

MORE

How a ‘meteoric rise in demand’ has triggered a frack sand race


The Permian Basin: An existential threat to Canadian oil as war on cost heats up


Public fracking: Source Energy said to seek C$250 million in Toronto IPO

Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Unearthing tension: Sand runs the world, but most don't realize the conflict it generates

Sand is the second-most commonly used resource on Earth and its environmental and social impacts are massive

By MATTHEW ROZSA
Staff Writer
SALON
 FEBRUARY 25, 2024 

As William Blake famously wrote, "To see a World in a Grain of Sand / And a Heaven in a Wild Flower" is to "Hold Infinity in the palm of your hand / And Eternity in an hour." But as innocuous, ubiquitous and just plain mundane sand can be, it can also be the source of significant conflict and violence while often being extracted to the detriment of our planet.

When the term "conflict mineral" is used, people often think of precious stones like rubies or valuable fuels like coal. Certainly the industry of mining those rocks is fraught with controversy and peril, yet even the most seemingly ubiquitous minerals can serve as the source of conflict. But is sand really in the same category as cobalt and blood diamonds?

"Whilst not normally listed as a conflict mineral, the extraction of sands and gravels in some countries clearly has characteristics of being such."

According to a 2022 United Nations report, sand is the second-most consumed resource on Earth, surpassed only by water. And just like water, humans are consuming sand at an unsustainable rate — increasing by 6 percent every year, to be exact. As they do, they leave behind a wake of polluted rivers, severe droughts, shrinking aquifers and flooded communities. One statistic especially stands out: China alone has used more construction sand in the last few years than the United States used in the entire 20th century.

Even worse, sand is so valuable that it frequently becomes the source of tension. This is partially due to the fact, as corporations dredge up sand from the sea, they start altering local geography such as the shape of coastlines and the presence of small islands. Because sand miners are often unregulated, their activities can destroy local ecosystems, contaminate potable water for nearby communities and destroy entire agricultural sectors.

If all of this seems like a whole lot of ado over a common substance, guess again.

There is a reason why sand provokes violence: Like so many other minerals extracted from the ground, it is quite valuable.

Related
Advocates demand halt to uranium mine near the Grand Canyon

"In some regions, illegal sand and gravel mining is associated with crime syndicates, coercion and violence, and many other related social impacts," James Leonard Best, a professor of sedimentary geology at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, told Salon by email, adding that there have even been reported of so-called "sand mafias." "Whilst not normally listed as a conflict mineral, the extraction of sands and gravels in some countries clearly has characteristics of being such."

This is because, quite simply, every human being alive today relies on products that are at least in large part made from sand. Most people reading this article are doing so with the help of sand.

"Sand is used in many products such as smartphone screens, glass bottles and many other products but sand is predominantly used in the construction industry," Jakob Kløve Keiding from the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS) told Salon by email. "Aggregates (sand, gravel and rocks) are a granular material used in construction in many ways such ready mixed concrete, precast concrete, asphalt products, and structural (unbound) materials. Aggregates have superior mechanical properties, good durability and are low cost products compared to many other materials that could potentially be used instead."

Best further elaborated on sand's multifaceted properties.

"Sand is a key ingredient of concrete globally, and in addition is a major material used for landfill and reclamation: many areas on which urbanization proceeds require infill of low/wet areas in order for construction to proceed," Best explained. "Dredged sands along coasts are also used in coastal protection works, construction of flood defenses and schemes to mitigate coastal erosion."

Best also pointed out that high-quality silica sands are widely used to manufacture glass for products like medical vials, microchips and glass panels. "As such, sand and gravels underpin our modern economies, and also are key in many aspects of the UN Sustainable Development Goals," Best said.

"Sand and gravels underpin our modern economies."

Yet precisely because sand can be used for so many things, it is particularly vulnerable to being overused. As Keiding explained, even though sand may seem like a limitless resource to anyone who has hiked through a desert, it is in fact quite finite. Even worse, human beings have barely scratched the surface of mapping our sand allocations on a global level.

"It is important to stress that the aggregates sector is by far the largest amongst the non-energy extractive industries," Keiding told Salon, "so the demand is really massive and sand is occurring in different qualities. So when we talk about shortage, it is demand of certain high quality types — for instance used in concrete — that is critical and where there is scarcity." Keiding added that "the resources are unevenly distributed, so certain areas and regions can locally have significantly problems with the availability of enough resources (transportation of sand and gravel is very costly)."

Sand also leads to conflict because it can be mined from a diverse range of locales. Even though one would think finding useable sand is as easy as wandering through the Arabian desert, the unfortunate reality is that Arabian desert sand is too fine to be easily used for construction and other commercial endeavors.

In contrast, sand found in shallow marine environments and rivers has rougher edges and therefore can be properly used for construction (although as Best warned, sand acquired from shallow marine environments can be problematic when it comes to making strong concrete because of the high salt concentrations). Sand extracted from ancient geological reserves like sand quarries has likewise not been smoothed out by exposure to wind and the elements.

In short, while only certain types of sand possess the correct physical properties to be commercialized, that type of sand can be found in a wide range of locations. That in turn increases the environmental damage that can be caused by sand mining, as well as the conflicts that inevitably ensue when large groups of humans seek profit from a natural resource.

"Market price can dictate that use of local sands is far more feasible than those from further away, and thus in areas that are experiencing rapid economic growth, and especially urbanization, the demands for sand has increased greatly," Best wrote to Salon. "This can create scarcity in some areas, drive up the price of sand, which then feeds back to increase the economic feasibility of mining sands in modern environments and ancient sediments. Excessive sand mining can cause a range of environmental impacts to rivers and coasts, with a wide range of socio-economic issues associated with this (ranging from degradation of environments, to human migration, to poverty, crime and gender issues)."

If there is any hopeful edge to this story, it is that the sand crisis is not unsolvable. Best referred to a 2019 paper he co-authored for the journal Nature, one that included a so-called "agenda for sand." It entailed requiring sustainable sources of sand to be sought and certified, encouraging national and local governments to use alternatives to sand, reusing sand-based materials whenever possible and reducing the amount of concrete used in structures. The paper also called for multinational regulation of sand use, constant public education about the dangers of sand mining and a global monitoring program to assess when there have been ecological catastrophes related to sand mining.

"We have to take a holistic approach that centrally involves the stakeholders – those who lives are affected by sand mining (both positively and negatively) — and base our approach on the sustainable needs of communities, as well as the need to safeguard the environment to help mitigate harmful change," Best told Salon. "This demands approaches that are multidisciplinary and integrate the human and physical landscapes, to tackle the many issues of sand mining (across many different spatial scales – the issues of mining vary greatly between countries and continents), and how these issues will change in the coming decades as populations grow, technologies evolve and the demands for sand shifts spatially across the globe."

As Keiding put it, "The use of sand/aggregates is faced with two major challenges; one is related to the availability of high-quality resources addressed in my previous comments; the other is the environmental/climate impact of sand exploitation."

Read more

about mining:California’s Salton Sea eyed for lithium extraction with new tech

Facing shortages, chemists propose "mining" electronic waste for rare earth metals


By MATTHEW ROZSA is a staff writer at Salon. He received a Master's Degree in History from Rutgers-Newark in 2012 and was awarded a science journalism fellowship from the Metcalf Institute in 2022.




Wednesday, December 08, 2021

CRIMINAL CAPITALI$M
Why sand mafias are forming and what science has to say about it


Mike Szydlowski
Columbia Daily Tribune
Wed, December 8, 2021

Great Sand Dunes National Park is in Colorado.

Who doesn’t love a movie where the good guys take out some big organized crime or mafia ring?

Most often we associate organized crime with illegal drugs, weapons or money laundering. However, have you ever seen a movie that has a sand mafia in it?

To be clear, have you ever seen a movie where there is an organized crime ring full of corruption, theft and murders while the bad guys smuggle bags of sand?

Probably not — but believe it or not, it’s happening in real life. Yes, the world now has sand mafias with the same kind of high-stakes drama and crime that we have come to know in more traditional organized crime groups. Let’s take a look at why this is happening.
Where sand starts

The process of weathering creates sand. Rocks break apart and continue to break apart into smaller and smaller bits. Eventually the bits are small enough to be called sand.

Wind and water create most of the sand on Earth. There seems to be an unlimited amount of this stuff, which reminds us how old the Earth is.

Sand is made from whatever rock broke apart. Different parts of the world have different kinds of sand. The typical white sand we think of is made from tiny bits of weathered coral. There are several black beaches in the world, and that comes from eroded basalt from volcanoes.

Hawaii also has a green beach and that sand is weathered from green olivine rock. There is a pink beach in the Bahamas, and that comes from bits of weathered red shells mixed in with the white sand. There is a red beach in Canada that is made from weathered sandstone.

And there are even a few purple beaches that get their color from eroding manganese garnet rock.
Disappearing sand

Now that you know how sand is made, it’s time to talk about the problem. We make so many things from sand. Of all the many tons of things we mine from the Earth, sand makes up 85% of the mass of mined materials.

It goes to make roads, bricks, buildings, glass and new beaches. Wait — what? But sand comes from beaches, right?

Some beaches naturally have sand, but many coastlines don’t and that sand is trucked in for the enjoyment of visitors. When the next big storm comes in, the sand washes away and the beaches have to be remade with tons more sand.

Some island countries even use sand to increase the size of their country. That takes a lot of sand. And finally, some of the coastal or island countries are buying tons of sand to try and combat the rising sea level due to climate change.

The United States alone purchases $8.6 billion worth of sand a year for construction and beach repairs.


Countries are simply running out of sand and they need it badly. Because of this, organized crime groups in India, Italy and other countries are illegally trading sand and making huge profits. The operation consists of bribing politicians, violent conflicts and even murder. The countries of Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia and Cambodia are all getting into heated conflicts … over sand.

You may think about the deserts full of what seems to be limitless sand and wonder what the problem is. The problem is that desert sand is created by wind erosion. Wind-created sand is very round. It is so round that it cannot hold up in construction or beach applications. Therefore, desert sand is not a usable resource for the applications countries are begging for.

So what is the solution? Nobody really knows. Sand has always been thought of as such a limitless resource that nobody has really considered what to do when it runs out. People are now starting to think about it, but they are way behind as the problem is already here and will get worse over time.

Next time you need to fill that sandbox with sand, expect the price to cost a bit more over the next few years. At least in this country we don’t have to buy it from the mafia — yet.

Mike Szydlowski is science coordinator for Columbia Public Schools.