Sunday, October 03, 2021

CANADIAN SEABED MINER
‘Shark calling’: locals claim ancient custom threatened by seabed mining


Peter Das, originally from Bougainville, learned shark calling in Papua New Guinea’s New Ireland province after being adopted into a clan there.
 Photograph: Kalolaine Fainu/The Guardian

‘Shark calling’, a Papua New Guinea tradition of singing to sharks then catching them by hand, could vanish – and locals blame deep-sea disturbances

Kalolaine Fainu in New Ireland province and Maryann Uechtritz
Thu 30 Sep 2021

To catch a shark in the waters off Papua New Guinea, first the men sing.

They sing the names of their ancestors and their respects to the shark. They shake a coconut rattle into the sea, luring the animals from the deep, and then catch them by hand.

The custom, called “shark calling”, is practised in the villages of Messi, Kono and Kontu on the west coast of New Ireland province in Papua New Guinea, a country of about 9 million people just north of Australia.


Race to the bottom: the disastrous, blindfolded rush to mine the deep sea

It is rooted in the belief that sharks carry the spirits of ancestors and that by adhering to strict protocols, shark callers can beckon, capture and kill sharks without coming to harm.

But villagers fear this ancient practice is under such serious threat that it could disappear within a generation. At a recent shark-calling festival in Messi, people on shore wept when a fleet of vessels returned with only two sharks. Canoes returning empty-handed is becoming more common.

The practice is increasingly threatened by logging operations and the slow disintegration of traditional culture. But locals also place some of the blame for the death of this beloved cultural practice on a nascent industry that is being trialled in their waters: deep-sea mining.

A ring of dried and halved coconut shells, called a larung, is used to attract the sharks when out on the ocean. Photograph: Kalolaine Fainu/The Guardian


Scraping the seabed


While the world fiercely debates whether international waters should be opened up to large companies interested in mining the ocean floor, Papua New Guinea is one of the few places on Earth where deep-sea mining exploration has occurred inside territorial waters.

In 2008 the Canadian mining company Nautilus Minerals provided its environmental impact assessment to the Papua New Guinean government to start deep-sea mining in the Bismarck Sea, in New Ireland province, east of the PNG mainland.


Nautilus had been granted a licence by the government of PNG to drill for seafloor massive sulphide (SMS) deposits around hydrothermal vents. The project area targeted was named Solwara 1 (Saltwater 1) and was to focus on the extraction of copper, gold, silver and zinc in that area, only 18 miles (30km) from New Ireland’s coastal communities.

Amos Lavaka, blowing a conch shell at Messi village in New Ireland, is learning shark calling from his father, Eliuda Toxok. ‘They don’t come,’ Amos says of sharks today. Photograph: Kalolaine Fainu/The Guardian

In 2019, after a sustained period of convoluted financial challenges, Nautilus went into liquidation and was officially declared bankrupt.

Although failing before the extraction phase, locals say that during Nautilus’s exploratory w
ork the huge machines damaged the sea life and disrupted their cultural practices.

‘Our culture is dying’

Eliuda Toxoc, from Messi village, is a master shark-caller. He says it is not just deep-sea mining that disrupts the marine ecosystem, with runoff from logging operations also an issue, but he remembers when Nautilus vessels came to explore for seabed mining.


‘We have nothing’: treating Covid-19 in Papua New Guinea’s broken health system

“That was enough of a disturbance to scare away the sharks,” he says. “Before there were plenty of shark that we would catch, there were many. Any time that we would go out, we would always come back with a shark. Now it is harder. There are many disturbances in the water and plenty of noises which scare the sharks away.”

The impact is not just on the villagers’ ability to catch food and survive. “Our culture is dying,” he says, sorrow evident on his weathered face.

Eliuda Toxoc, said to be one of the last ‘original’ shark-callers. ‘Now it is harder,’ he says of catching them.
 Photograph: Kalolaine Fainu/The Guardian

Eliuda’s son, Amos Lavaka, says shark calling is extremely important to the villagers. “We hold the stories and the wisdom that allow us to be able to practise this tradition, to be able to talk to the sharks. And also, it is our food.

“The logging ships [and] mining in the ocean – there are lots of new disturbances around on the land and in the ocean,” he says. “The noise and the impact of dust and new movements in the water … it keeps the sharks away. They don’t come. Now it is harder than before to catch sharks, because they are hiding.”

Nautilus has disputed this impact on communities, saying that the area they are licensed to operate in is at least 30km from the fishing communities.

The New Ireland provincial government, in a statement to the Guardian, said Nautilus had provided benefits to the areas around its operations, including health programmes, water and sanitation projects, and had built a bridge near Kokola.


‘False choice’: is deep-sea mining required for an electric vehicle revolution?

Nautilus also argued that: “One of the many advantages of seafloor mining is that there are no local landowners or people living on the site.” They assert that the social, cultural and economic values of oceans were taken into account in PNG but deemed to have very little to no impact at the proposed site, Solwara 1.

“There are no people to be moved,” they said in a statement in 2016, “no social dislocation at all, and no social impacts.”

Godfrey Jordan Abage, an activist from Kono village who has been involved in awareness raising and campaigning against the Solwara 1 project, disagrees.

“Spiritually, we have this connection,” he says. “You wake up by the shore, you listen to the waves, you can feel the waves, you get peace when you are under pressure, you sit under a tree and you get this cold breeze and you see the ocean – it is something that really connects our spirit.

“You can see these young men who are initiated [into shark-calling customs] are different from the rest, because they understand the wisdom of the shark calling; you are not allowed to go drinking, womanising, you can’t steal from people’s gardens in the bush or steal people’s property,” says Abage.

“The shark can feel you and understand you, and so the communication between you and the shark is really about how you have lived your life.”

A shark-caller’s canoe and tools.
 Photograph: Kalolaine Fainu/The Guardian

The people of Kono village have been hunting sharks for thousands of years and Abage says that creates a bond in their culture that unites the community with the sea.

“But because of what happens here – whether it is from the noise in the sea or sonar sounds – it can confuse the communications of the life under the sea … so it confuses the fish, the shark, the whales that are there, and that is their home, their environment. With robots and machines under the sea, it will disturb and confuse the communications between sea animals.

“If shark calling dies out,” he says, “we might only have photographs as memories and children in the future will ask: did we used to catch sharks like this? Did our grandfathers do this?”

In 2011, the PNG government invested about 375m kina (£80m or A$150m) into the project, a huge amount for a country where the average annual income is US$2,386. After Nautilus went into liquidation, the country was left with a debt estimated at the time to be equivalent to a third of the country’s annual health budget.

Though Nautilus went bust before it started extracting minerals, the mining licence for the Solwara 1 project has not been revoked and exploration licences – renewable every two years – are held by Nautilus Minerals Niugini, a subsidiary of Deep Sea Mining Finance (DSMF), a privately owned group with its headquarters in the Isle of Man.

A representative for DSMF said: “The very significant social contributions and benefits, past and future of the project are all in the public domain and we encourage your team to research these for a complete view of the project.”

They added that: “The orderly and fair restructure of the ownership of Nautilus and the project was also done in a fully public and transparent CCAA [Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act] process in Canada administered by 

Many people in PNG fear that the project could be renewed. DSMF lists the Solwara 1 project on its website as “the world’s first and only subsea deposit with fully approved mining and environmental licences”.


In July 2020 the Alliance of Solwara Warriors – a coalition of communities in the Bismarck and Solomon Seas calling for a ban on seabed mining – collected thousands of objections from local communities, schools and churches after the licence was renewed, but the PNG mining minister said the government would not be revoking Nautilus’ mining licence as it had not breached its conditions.
A volcano-induced rainy period made Earth’s climate dinosaur-friendly

New evidence links ancient eruptions to climate changes that let dinos start a climb to dominance


During a 2-million-year-long rainy period in the Late Triassic, known as the Carnian Pluvial Episode (illustrated here), dinosaurs began to grow, diversify and take over.
© DAVIDE BONADONNA


By Megan Sever
SCIENCE NEWS
SEPTEMBER 30, 2021

The biggest beasts to walk the Earth had humble beginnings. The first dinosaurs were cat-sized, lurking in the shadows, just waiting for their moment. That moment came when four major pulses of volcanic activity changed the climate in a geologic blink of an eye, causing a 2-million-year-long rainy spell that coincided with dinos rising to dominance, a new study suggests.

Clues found in sediments buried deep beneath an ancient lake basin in China link the volcanic eruptions with climate swings and environmental changes that created a globe-spanning hot and humid oasis in the middle of the hot and dry Triassic Period, researchers report in the Oct. 5 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. During this geologically brief rainy period 234 million to 232 million years ago, called the Carnian Pluvial Episode, dinosaurs started evolving into the hulking and diverse creatures that would dominate the landscape for the next 166 million years.

Previous research has noted the jump in global temperatures, humidity and rainfall during this time period, as well as a changeover in land and sea life. But these studies lacked detail on what caused these changes, says Jason Hilton, a paleobotanist at the University of Birmingham in England.

So Hilton and his colleagues turned to a several-hundred-meter-long core of lake-bottom sediments drawn from the Jiyuan Basin for answers. The core contained four distinct layers of sediments that included volcanic ash that the team dated to between 234 million and 232 million years ago, matching the timing of the Carnian Pluvial Episode. Within those layers, the team also found mercury, a proxy for volcanic eruptions. “Mercury entered the lake from a mix of atmospheric pollution, volcanic ash and also being washed in from surrounding land that had elevated levels of mercury from volcanism,” Hilton says.


The rock record from 234 million to 232 million years ago, captured in these cores from an ancient lakebed in northern China, shows signs of wet weather almost everywhere. The cores also show evidence of volcanic activity. JING LU

Further evidence for the link between volcanism and environmental change during the Carnian Pluvial Episode came from corresponding layers in the core that showed different types of carbon, indicating four massive releases of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Finally, microfossils and pollens changed within the same core section, from species that prefer drier climates to ones that tend to grow in warm and humid climates.

The reconstructed history suggests that the volcanic pulses injected huge amounts of CO₂ into the atmosphere, says coauthor Jacopo Dal Corso, a geologist at the University of Leeds in England. That boosted temperatures and intensified the hydrologic cycle, enhancing rainfall and increasing runoff into lakes, he says. At the same time, terrestrial plants evolved, with humidity-loving flora becoming predominant. As the rains created wet environments, turtles, large amphibians called metoposaurids — and dinosaurs — began to thrive.

Together, these diverse lines of evidence reveal that the Carnian Pluvial Episode was actually four distinct pulses of significant environmental change — each triggered by massive volcanic eruptions, Dal Corso says.

Pollens, spores and algae collected from the core sample from the Carnian Pluvial Episode reveal a change from more arid-loving plants and animals to more humid-loving plants and animals.PEIXIN ZHANG

The mercury and carbon data together suggest the increase in mercury came from a “major source of volcanism that was capable of impacting the global carbon cycle,” rather than local eruptions, the team writes. That volcanism likely came from the Wrangellia Large Igneous Province eruption in what is now British Columbia and Alaska, which has previously, but tenuously, been linked to the Carnian Pluvial Episode. If true, it means the Wrangellia eruption occurred in pulses, rather than one sustained eruption.

This paper marks the “first time that mercury and carbon isotope data are so well correlated across the Carnian Pluvial Episode,” says Andrea Marzoli, an igneous petrologist at the University of Padua in Italy who has studied Wrangellia but was not involved in this research. “The authors make a strong argument in favor of volcanically induced global climate change pulses.” However, Marzoli notes, “the link to Wrangellia is still weak, simply because we don’t know the age of Wrangellia.”

Alastair Ruffell, a forensic geologist at Queen’s University Belfast in Ireland not involved in this study, agrees, saying he’d like to see more evidence of cause and effect between Wrangellia and the environmental changes. This study offers some of the best proxies and data from terrestrial sources to date, but more terrestrial records of the Carnian Pluvial Episode are needed, he says, to “understand what this actually looked like on the ground.”

The climate changes marked a tipping point for life that couldn’t adjust, and those groups went extinct. Animals like dinosaurs and plants like cycads, says Ruffell, were “waiting in the wings” to seize their opportunity. A similar cycle of volcanic activity and environmental change starting about 184 million years ago may have paved the way for the biggest of all dinos, long-necked sauropods, to lumber into dominance

 (SN: 11/17/20).
Climate change makes Okanagan dam ‘inadequate for managing future floods’

By Kathy Michaels Global News
Posted October 1, 2021 
Okanagan dam is ready to be replaced, say water officials. 
Shelby Thom / Global News

Climate change has sped up the need to replace the Okanagan dam, the organization that offers leadership on water management throughout the valley says.


“As a result of climate change, Okanagan Lake level fluctuates more significantly than in the past and the infrastructure and operating plan are no longer adequate,” the Okanagan Basin Water Board said in a report given to provincial finance officials Wednesday.


Okanagan Lake reaches 22 cm above full pool after ‘relentless’ rain: dam operator – Jun 16, 2020



“In 2017, we had the worst flooding in living memory and in 2021 the lake was nearly the lowest level in its historical range.”

The report goes on to say that both flooding and drought are projected to become much more prevalent in the years to come, causing damage to both infrastructure and the natural environment, also causing harm to the Okanagan Nation Alliance’s efforts to restore sockeye, chinook and kokanee salmon populations.

READ MORE: Review of Okanagan water management needed to prevent flooding, water board says

Drought, the board said in the report, will challenge the agricultural economy and create “conflict between water users.”

The typical lifespan of this infrastructure is 70 to 80 years and the Okanagan dam is more than 60 years old



Flooding issues lead to Okanagan dam questions – Jun 8, 2017



“It is inadequate for managing future floods in its current state, given the increased volume and frequency of floods as a result of climate change and the province of B.C. needs to begin planning for its replacement,” reads the report.

READ MORE: Okanagan’s high snowpack cause for concern as flood season approaches

The board said it would like to see the government allocate $1 million annually for the next five years for a comprehensive review of the Okanagan Lake drainage system. The work would identify flaws in the current operation, and suggest what kind of improvements or new infrastructure are needed to manage the seasonal elevation changes in Okanagan Lake.

Additionally, it would like to see funding to prevent invasion by non-native zebra and quagga mussels and establish a permanent watershed security fund to support the protection of water sources.

Does an ally against climate change lie beneath our feet?

 Does an ally against climate change lie beneath our feet?
Soil test: An agronomist takes notes in the field. Environmental protection, organic 
soil certification, research. Credit: © FCC AQUALIA SA

By enhancing soil's ability to store carbon, the ground we walk on could play an essential role in keeping carbon dioxide out of the air.

If we're going to fight the effects of climate change, we're going to have to get our hands dirty.

"With a huge potential to act as a carbon sink, the soil that sits right under our feet could be at the front lines of climate change," said Dr. Dragutin Protic, CEO of GILab, a company dedicated to developing solutions based on ICT and geoinformatics.

A carbon sink is a reservoir capable of accumulating and storing carbon for an indefinite period. In doing so, it lowers the concentration of  (CO2) from the atmosphere.

According to Dr. Protic, who cited some recent scientific research, soil has the potential to remove an estimated 1.09 gigatonnes of CO2 per year.

From carbon sink to carbon emitter

Even though  appears to be a natural, no-regret solution to mitigating climate change, after decades of poor land management, Europe's soils have been significantly degraded. "Soil degradation leads to a reduction in soil  (SOM), which is where carbon is stored," explained Dr. Protic. "In fact, according to recently published scientific research, nearly half of EU soils now have less than 2 percent SOM."

As a result, instead of capturing carbon, soil is releasing carbon into the air, setting the scene for a climate catastrophe.

"Europe's croplands are losing carbon at a rate of 0.5 percent per year," warned Jean-Francois Soussana, a researcher and vice-chair at INRAE, (France's National Research Institute for Agriculture, Food and Environment), and a member of the Mission Board on Soil Health and Food. "The picture is even more dire for peatlands which, as they are being rapidly drained, release huge amounts of carbon into the atmosphere."

In an effort to reverse this trend, both Dr. Protic and Soussana are leading efforts to preserve and enhance soil's carbon sequestration capabilities. "Increasing carbon sequestration in soil enhances its resilience to the rapidly changing climate," said Soussana. "It also improves the quality and fertility of agricultural soils, as well as contributing to food security."

Empowering soil sequestration smart farmers

As both researchers point out, storing carbon in soil organic matter requires healthy plants, high-quality soils and, most importantly, smart farmers. "It seems crucial to empower farmers and other stakeholders through effective knowledge creation and sharing," remarked Soussana.

One initiative helping to facilitate this knowledge exchange is the AgriCapture project. Led by Dr. Protic, the project is developing a platform that uses Earth Observation to help farmers and public authorities explore opportunities in regenerative agriculture—a method of producing food that has a positive impact on the environment.

Earth Observation uses remote sensing technologies, such as the EU's Copernicus satellite system, along with various ground-based techniques, to gather information about the Earth's physical, chemical and biological systems. Using this data, the platform will map soil carbon and monitor soil carbon sequestration across Europe.

"This will allow farmers to visually see how implementing regenerative agriculture practices could increase both carbon sequestration and farm profitability," explained Dr. Protic. "It will also allow farmers to monitor their carbon release/capture ratio to ensure that all carbon offsetting goals are being met."

The AgriCapture project is also working to verify and support the implementation of regenerative agricultural practices that, if successful, would result in the certification and generation of 'carbon credits."

"Considering soil's significant potential to act as a carbon sink, regenerative agriculture is a powerful tool for mitigating climate change," said Dr. Protic.

Putting farmers at the vanguard of carbon sequestration

Another initiative using data to drive soil carbon sequestration is CIRCASA. Led by INRAE, the initiative is working to build an integrated soil carbon balance monitoring system and foster international research cooperation on soil carbon.

According to Dr. Soussana, who leads the initiative, by bringing together data from satellites, soil surveys, long-term experiments and CO2 flux measurements, the system will empower farmers to be at the vanguard of soil carbon sequestration.

Beyond simply enabling farmers to monitor soil organic carbon, Soussana says the system can help teach us to create healthy soil by supporting nature-based carbon sequestration. "By ensuring that farmers know exactly how much carbon is being stored in their soil, they will be well positioned to make informed decisions that will lead to both healthy yields and a healthy planet," said Dr. Soussana.

Rehabilitating the carbon sink

Through initiatives like AgriCapture and CIRCASA, Dr. Soussana is confident that Europe will be able to enhance its soils' carbon sequestration levels, thus ensuring that soil remains a  and not a carbon emitter.

"We really do not have a choice, and we have to act now," stated Soussana. "Without   and the conservation of soils, I don't see a viable route to staying within the +2°C by 2030 as proposed by the Paris Climate Agreement or to achieving the ambitious goals of the European Green Deal."

Laying the foundation for a common EU framework to preserve, protect and restore , the Commission is adopting a new Soil Strategy this year.Tropical forest soils capture carbon under elevated nitrogen deposition

More information: New Soil Strategy: ec.europa.eu/environment/news/ … rategy-2021-02-02_en

Provided by Horizon: The EU Research & Innovation Magazine 





Carbon Capture’s Other Dirty Secret: Nowhere To Put It (Part 2 Of 2)

Failure to address CCS problems of magnitude, physics of underground storage, and resultant costs is a policy failure of staggering proportions.

ByMichael Barnard
Published 3 days ago
CLEAN TECHNICA

In Part 1 of this assessment, we saw that the magnitude of CO2 emissions were vastly larger than the largest and best sequestration facilities built to date, and further, that the majority were actually enhanced oil recovery facilities with significant net CO2 emissions end to end. We also saw that there’s significant competition for underground voids suitable to store gases that just want to escape. So much for problems one through three. In Part 2 we cover another geological issue, a basic physics problem with this entire scheme, an environmental problem and, of course, the reality about who is footing the bill. That’s problems 4 through 7.

The fourth problem is subsidence of underground areas where we’ve extracted fossil fuels and other substances. Nature abhors a vacuum, something obvious to Aristotle 24 centuries ago.


California’s great oil gusher image courtesy US Library of Congress


You might remember seeing images like this from the earlier days of oil exploration. Those underground caverns full of oil, gas, and even water were pressurized historically, until we poked holes in them, giving them a place to go. Now they aren’t pressurized in most parts of the world and we have to use increasing amounts of energy to extract the fluids we’ve become addicted to. Subsidence occurs globally wherever we extract things from underground, and subsidence is Nature abhorring that vacuum we’ve created and settling. You might also remember that Jakarta is sinking in large part due to subsidence due to ground water extraction.

When we make big holes in the ground, after a while they are much smaller holes in the ground. It’s as remarkable to think we have room for 2-3x the mass of what we extract underground as it is to think we’re going to put it back in places that are much smaller, or that we are going to create new voids underground sufficient for the scale of the concern.

The fifth problem is the amount of pressure required to accommodate vastly more mass of gas than of the liquids or solids we extracted. Gas is compressible, but you can’t compress it to the density of gas or solids. No matter how much we compress CO2, it will always take up a much larger volume than the gas, oil, coal, or water we extract, and a lot less than the salt in salt cavern we scrape out from underground. At 50 atmospheres of pressure, CO2 has a maximum density of about 157 kg per cubic meter, compared to light crude’s 875 kg per cubic meter or water’s almost a ton per cubic meter. So we’re supposed to put 2-3x the mass of CO2 into collapsing voids that used to contain solids or liquids that were much denser. You can’t make this math work.

But it gets worse. The deeper you go, the hotter things get, about 25 degrees Celsius per kilometer. That’s great for geothermal energy and hotsprings, but the hotter gas is, the less dense it is. Once again, physics. Two kilometers underground is much warmer than the surface, about 50 degrees Celsius on average, and the 157 kg drops to 125 kg at that temperature at 50 bar.

That’s why a massive K cylinder of hydrogen 1.5 meters long weighing 65 kg only contains 0.6 kg of hydrogen.

Gas isn’t dense, but we have created 2-3x the mass of all the fossil fuels we’ve extracted from the earth over the past 300 years, and it’s not like the Earth is some balloon with infinite space underground, unlike the atmosphere, which is a lot more elastic. More pressure equals more energy to compress the gas and an increase in the likelihood of the gas finding an escape route too, all too familiar who has ever filled up a balloon and then let it go to fly around the room. The Aliso Canyon leak didn’t occur because we pushed the “natural” gas out of underground storage, it was under pressure and just needed a path of escape.

The sixth problem is that making new underground caverns for storage usually involves flushing salt out of existing underground salt formations with massive amounts of water. Hundreds of cubic meters of water are pumped down into the ground each hour, often a couple of thousand meters, then hundreds of cubic meters of brine are pumped backed up and discarded. Where the geography allows it, this is done with sea water, but the number of accessible, near surface, and near sea water rock salt formations is diminishing, just as the number of places where you can stick a pipe in the ground and get pressurized crude shooting out has plummeted. In some places, they pump the waste brine back underground somewhere else (oh, look, another subsurface space demand). In others, they mix it with fresh water before discharging it back into freshwater rivers. The brines often contain rather toxic stews of chemicals in additional to what we think of as salt that we might put on our food, and salt is highly problematic in freshwater and on fertile soil regardless. There’s a reason the expression is to salt the earth, and it’s not because it makes things grow better.

All of this comes down to the final problem, which is that CO2 sequestration is very expensive and taxpayers are footing the bill. Drilling down two kilometers to a saline-capped region of rock to pump a measly 27 megatons of CO2 that was created by manufacturing hydrogen cost over a billion USD, 80% of that from the provincial and federal governments, along with over $30 million annually for operations. Equinor has graciously accepted what I estimate to be over a billion USD in tax breaks from Norway to put CO2 it pumped up from underground back underground at its Sleipner facility. The USA is giving enhanced oil operators who are extracting 2-3x the CO2 in the form of unburnt crude $12-$50 for each ton of CO2 that they “sequester” under the new oil and gas subsidy enacted in 2018, and under discussion to enhance it to $175 per ton. In discussion with a representative of Carbon Engineering a couple of years ago at a conference where I lost patience with the gaslighting going on and started questioning the narrative, the representative let slip that they will receive $250 per ton of CO2 from the USA and California for each ton of CO2 they pump underground for enhanced oil recovery at the Permian Basin facility that they are building with Oxy (née Occidental Petroleum).

The combination of failures to address the CO2 sequestration problems of magnitude of emissions, the physics of underground storage at scale, and the resultant costs is truly a policy failure of staggering proportions. It is willful blindness. And where there is willful blindness of this magnitude, it cannot be ascribed to benign ignorance.
US advances plan to protect Nevada flower near lithium project

Reuters | October 1, 2021 

Eriogonum tiehmii flowering heads. Credit: Wikimedia Commons

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service released a proposed rule on Friday to list the Tiehm’s buckwheat flower as an endangered species, the latest blow to ioneer Ltd’s plans to build a Nevada lithium mine that would supply the electric vehicle industry.


The move, which had been expected, will start a 60-day period for public comment once the proposed rule is published in the Federal Register later this month. A final decision is expected within a year.

Anyone is free to send comments to the agency, which said in a statement that “more information is needed to conduct an economic assessment of potential impacts to the species.”

The endangered species designation would not necessarily block the project, but could impede permitting. Construction had been slated to start this year, with the mine opening by 2023.


The regulatory review reflects the ongoing tension between environmentalists and industry as the United States tries to wean its economy off fossil fuels and go electric.

Australia-based pioneer said it supports the agency’s move and is “highly confident that with a combination of avoidance, propagation and translocation, we can achieve the successful coexistence of Tiehm’s buckwheat and our environmentally significant project.”

The environmental group Center For Biological Diversity has long said the flower – found nowhere else on earth – must be preserved at all costs. The group called Friday’s move a “banner day for native plant conservation.”


The ongoing review has not stopped financing efforts or scared off potential customers, though.

South African miner Sibanye Stillwater Ltd last month bought half of the Nevada project for $490 million.

That deal came after South Korean battery maker Ecopro Co Ltd agreed in June to buy roughly a third of the project’s planned annual output of 7,000 tonnes of lithium.


(By Ernest Scheyder; Editing by Matthew Lewis)
Mexico gears up for international arbitration, searches for legal counsel
Reuters | October 1, 2021 | 

First Majestic’s La Encantada silver mine in Mexico.
 (Image: First Majestic Silver Corp.)

Mexico’s government has requested bids to hire legal counsel for international arbitration in two upcoming investor-state cases in which Mexico is the defendant and just as another ten cases could also be brought against the country, an official document showed.


The winning bid will advise the government during fiscal year 2022 in investor-state cases brought against Mexico by Canadian miner First Majestic Silver Corp, as well as U.S. oilfield services firms Finley Resources, MWS Management, and Prize Permanent Holdings, according to the Mexican Economy Ministry’s 97-page document outlining its request.

In March, Canadian miner First Majestic said it started legal proceedings against the government of Mexico following a prolonged tax dispute. Mexico has calculated that First Majestic owes 11 billion pesos ($544 million) in delinquent taxes.

The U.S. oilfield services firms also requested international arbitration in March regarding contracts entered into with a unit of Mexican state oil firm Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex Exploracion y Produccion) in 2012, 2013 and 2014.

The winner of the bid may also provide services in the ten notifications of intent published by Mexico’s General Directorate of Legal Consulting for International Trade (DGCJCI) “if these become international arbitration,” it added.

The public document, which was posted on the Mexico’s e-Procurement system, said it will receive bids until Oct. 14 and that the contract would start from Jan. 1, 2022.

The ten investors that may initiate arbitration proceedings according to DGCJCI include AMERRA Capital Management; Doups Holdings; Sepadeve International; Gonzalo Mora Velarde; Primero Mining Corp; Dal-Tile International and Dal Tile Corporation; Jinlong Dongli Minera Internacional; Tralje International Finance; CMSA B.V. and Contecon Manzanillo; and Coeur Mining.

(By Anthony Esposito and Diego Ore; Editing by Aurora Ellis)
Zambia’s Konkola liquidator arrested, calls money-laundering charges “baseless”
Reuters | September 30, 2021 | 8:26 am Intelligence Africa Copper

KCM concentrator. (Image courtesy of Konkola Copper Mines)

The state-appointed provisional liquidator of Konkola Copper Mines (KCM), Milingo Lungu, has been arrested and charged with laundering more than $2 million, Zambia’s money-laundering authority said on Wednesday.


“The money is said to have come into his possession by virtue of being the Provisional Liquidator for Konkola Copper Mines Plc,” the Drug Enforcement Commission, which handles such cases, said.

Lungu called the allegations levelled by the commission “baseless and untrue” in a statement issued by KCM’s corporate affairs department later on Wednesday.

“I welcome the opportunity to clear my name in Court,” Lungu said in the statement. “This will be done following due process and not in the Court of public opinion.”

The commission alleged that Lungu, acting with others, “did engage in theft” involving 110.4 million Zambian kwachas and $250,000 between May 22, 2019 and Aug. 15, 2021, and “obtained money by false pretences” amounting to $2.2 million.

“He has also been charged for money laundering for the said amounts,” the commission said.

Zambia’s previous government handed control of KCM to the provisional liquidator in May 2019, triggering a legal battle with Vedanta Resources, KCM’s parent company.

The government accused Vedanta at the time of failing to honour licence conditions, including promised investment. Vedanta has previously denied KCM broke the terms of its licence.

Lungu has been released on police bond and will appear in court soon, the commission said.

Vedanta declined to comment on the arrest.

(By Chris Mfula and Helen Reid; Editing by Emma Rumney and Timothy Heritage)

Why US nuclear plants are shutting down


Fide sparks anger with ‘gross’ breast enlargement sponsor for women’s chess

Chess governing body derided for ‘misogynistic’ deal

However, record deal welcomed by others in the game


‘Chess has struggled with sexism in the past, and this has done nothing to help prevent that.’
 Photograph: Anadolu Agency/Getty Images


Sean Ingle
@seaningle
Fri 1 Oct 2021

For a sport that has struggled to attract female players, the news that chess has just agreed the biggest ever sponsorship deal for the women’s game would usually be universally welcomed.

But the decision of chess’s governing body, Fide, to partner with the breast enlargement company Motiva is facing growing criticism from some female players, who have called the decision “gross” and “misogynistic”.

The new deal was announced earlier this week, with Fide announcing: “The agreement will continue through 2022, a year that has been designated as ‘The Year of Women in Chess’.”

However, several female players, speaking to the popular site Lichess, believe the move is blunder. “Shouldn’t chess – a game reliant on brains rather than breasts – be distancing itself from that kind of reductive and misogynistic line of thinking?” one anonymous female player said. Another was even blunter, calling the deal “gross”.

Those comments were backed by another titled female chess streamer, who told the Guardian: “Fide does not have a strong track record in empowering women and I find it degrading and humiliating that an activity like chess, which is so cognitive, is being sponsored by a company which primarily profits from women’s insecurities. I highly doubt Fide would bring a penis enlargement company to sponsor the men’s World Championship.”

Chess has only 39 female grandmasters out of around 1,300 overall, but in recent years it has done far more to promote the women’s game. The success of the Netflix series The Queen’s Gambit has helped, with several top players, presenters and streamers – including Judit Polgar, Jovanka Houska, Jennifer Shahade and Alexandra Botez – also helping to broaden the game’s popularity.


Chess: Carlsen heads for Tour win as Nakamura moonlighting sparks debate


Some players believe Fide’s decision is a sacrifice too far. “I’ve already seen comments online from people saying that they hope prizes for women’s events will now include breast enlargement,” another anonymous titled female player said. “I’ve seen jokes citing specific top players’ names as those who could be improved by it. Chess has struggled with sexism in the past, and this has done nothing to help prevent that.” The players were speaking on condition of anonymity, Lichess said, because they often rely on Fide for invites to tournaments.

However, Fide’s new deal was welcomed by others, including women’s international master Sheila Barth Stanford. “We desperately need a sponsor,” the Norwegian said. “We play for less money than the men, which makes it more difficult to bet on chess. I hope it makes it easier for women to play professionally.”

Fide told the Guardian that it was the single largest corporate sponsorship ever signed specifically for women in chess, and the contract had been discussed by both the management board and the Fide council, “two bodies where women have a wider representation than they do in the chess community as a whole”.

It added: “Fide is not encouraging plastic surgery, but if an adult freely makes this choice, our organisation endorses Motiva, a company that has demonstrated its strong commitment towards women.”

‘It’s about brains, not breasts’: Chess bosses blasted after announcing breast enlargement sponsorship deal for women’s game

Chess governing body FIDE has faced anger from female players after announcing a major new sponsorship deal for the women’s game with a company that specializes in breast implants.

FIDE issued a carefully-worded PR release towards the end last month trumpeting the deal with Establishment Labs – owner of the Motiva brand which offers breast enlargement services.

“The partnership is the first-ever corporate sponsorship agreement specifically aimed at supporting women's chess events,” read the FIDE press release.  

“The agreement will continue through 2022, a year that has been designated by FIDE as ‘The Year of Women in Chess’.” 

However, the announcement soon came under fire from some female players who claimed the deal gave out the wrong impression.

“I wonder what’s the message FIDE wants to convey with this partnership,” one anonymous titled female player told popular chess website Lichess.

“We have a sport where men and women can compete on a level playing field which is also free from sexualized uniforms, and our ‘next great move’ is breast enlargement? That says a lot about FIDE officials' view of women.”

Another female player speaking on condition of anonymity added:“I’ve already seen comments online from people saying that they hope prizes for women's events will now include breast enlargement.

“I've seen jokes citing specific top players’ names as those who could be improved by it. Chess has struggled with sexism in the past, and this has done nothing to help prevent that. Where is FIDE punishing sexist comments, sexist attitudes?”

Another female titled player acknowledged that sponsorship was “hugely important for our game” but added that “FIDE should be more wise with their choice of sponsors, because it affects which message we are sending to the world.”

“I don't think breast implants is a proper message for our game; chess is a mental game and we care more about our brains than the shape of our body.”

One comment stated: “Shouldn’t chess – a game reliant on brains rather than breasts – be distancing itself from that kind of reductive and misogynistic line of thinking?”

Another concluded a diatribe against the deal by simply branding it “gross.”

In its defense, FIDE told The Guardian that it was “not encouraging plastic surgery, but if an adult freely makes this choice, our organization endorses Motiva, a company that has demonstrated its strong commitment towards women.”

Some also welcomed the move, with women’s international master Sheila Barth Stanford saying: “We desperately need a sponsor. We play for less money than the men, which makes it more difficult to bet on chess. I hope it makes it easier for women to play professionally.”

Fellow international master Elisabeth Paehtz of Germany said: “The main thing is support for chess. For me personally, I am happy if we have any sponsor for women in chess, and as long as it's not something connected to gender, racism, or drugs, or anything else like that, I would generally support that sponsor.”

Men still vastly outnumber women in the upper echelons of chess, with only 39 women being awarded the accolade of Grandmaster compared to around 1,300 players overall.  

However, women’s chess has received a boost in recent years through the likes of smash-hit Netflix series The Queen’s Gambit as well as through popular female streamers such as Alexandra Botez.

The biggest name in the current game – Norwegian world champion Magnus Carlsen – admitted last year that: “Chess societies have not been very kind to women and girls over the years. Certainly there needs to be a bit of a change in culture.” 


Energy transition faces metal supply deficit, Canada miners say

Bloomberg News | September 29, 2021 |

Hudbay Minerals’ Constancia mine in Peru.
 (Image courtesy of Hudbay Minerals)

The world needs more mines to meet demand for copper and other battery metals required to shift to less polluting energy sources — even if such moves are seen as environmentally unappealing, according to Hudbay Minerals Inc. financial chief.


Any credible prognosis shows that copper faces a structural deficit of five to seven million tons starting in the next three or four years, Hudbay Chief Financial Officer Steve Douglas said Wednesday at Bloomberg’s Canadian Fixed Income Conference. And yet, any energy transition can’t happen without copper, he said.

“The table is being set at least for those metals that will contribute to the decarbonization of the world,” Douglas said. “You’re going to have to either stimulate or allow to be built an awful lot of the extractive-type industries that would get the scarlet letter in the environmental side — you’re not going to decarbonize the world without it.”

The ability to build mines in a world where extractive resource industries has become more challenging as investors put greater weight on the environmental credentials of metals producers, while social issues including dealing with local communities have also been under the spotlight. That adds to industry challenges that include supply disruptions and rising costs of raw materials.

“We certainly have seen it in some of the commodities that have gone up and reached peak highs earlier this year, such as lumber, such as steel and such as iron ore that have since come down,” Iamgold Chief Financial Officer Daniella Dimitrov said during the panel. “Certainly that would suggest that the inflation that we’re seeing is supply-chain driven, disruption driven.”

Rising costs are affecting efforts by Toronto-based Iamgold to build a mine in northern Ontario, Canada.

“We started construction in July of 2020 and we certainly have seen some of the cost pressures that we’ve just talked about in copper, in steel, particularly also in labor,” she said, noting that Covid-19 impacts on productivity led to higher labor costs. “We’ve certainly seen it in energy as well, not just in Canada but in our operations in South America and in Africa as well.”

Shipping has also been a problem, an issue Hudbay is experiencing firsthand.

“We’ve had a couple of occasions where you’ve had to push folks to honor their contracts because of the costs of global shipping have just gone through the roof,” Hudbay’s Douglas said, adding that he’s heard stories of three and fourfold increases in global shipping. Shipping delays even affected Hudbay’s mill refurbishment at its Snow Lake operation in Manitoba, Canada.

“Delays cost money,” he said. “These delays definitely put a kink and add additional costs to what it is you’re trying to do.”

(By Yvonne Yue Li)
ANOTHER STUPID FIREWALL ALBERTA
Braid: Group with MLA backing wants Alberta to flout federal laws, claim sovereignty

Many will dismiss yet another angry SOUTHERN Alberta  group as absurd and irrelevant.  NOPE JUST MORE OF THE SAME

I never do, having witnessed the incandescent fury of earlier Alberta-first causes   LIKE THE WESTERN CANADA CONCEPT

Author of the article:Don Braid • Calgary Herald
Publishing date:Sep 28, 2021 • 
Rob Anderson, former Wildrose MLA, on November 26, 2014.
 PHOTO BY RYAN JACKSON /Edmonton Journal

Alberta should be a “sovereign” province within Canada, says Rob Anderson, former Airdrie MLA and Wildrose original.

Without such action the province will soon be both “a have-not and a has-been,” Anderson said Tuesday, as he and others launched what they call the “Free Alberta Strategy.”

The timing is odd for a call to declare federal laws invalid in Alberta if they conflict with provincial rights.

Aren’t we the province that needs pandemic help from other provinces, and even military aid from Ottawa?

Anderson says that’s the way Canada is supposed to work — a rare example — and Alberta would continue to be a good citizen within Canada, while being sovereign within its borders.

The group wants passage of the “Alberta Sovereignty Act, granting the Alberta Legislature absolute discretion to refuse any provincial enforcement of federal legislation or judicial decisions that, in its view, interfere with provincial areas of jurisdiction or constitute an attack on the interests of Albertans.”

If Ottawa cried foul, the group says, so what? The new Alberta police force would simply be directed to ignore enforcement of federal actions.


Maybe there would be a constitutional crisis, Anderson adds, but Canada needs a hot one from time to time.

Many will dismiss yet another angry Alberta group as absurd and irrelevant. I never do, having witnessed the incandescent fury of earlier Alberta-first causes.

This feeling could rise again powerfully when the pandemic finally eases and we survey the economic and social damage.

But on Free Alberta’s first day in the open, there was an odd twist. It seemed on the surface to be as much anti-Kenney as anti-Ottawa.

Notably, UCP MLAs Angela Pitt and Jason Stephan were there to fully back the project.


Pitt is the deputy legislature Speaker who has often clashed with Premier Jason Kenney, and Red Deer MLA Stephan was demoted from Treasury Board for travelling last Christmas.


Lingering in some invisible corner of Zoom, without speaking, was legislature Speaker Nathan Cooper, said to be an “interested observer.”


He signed a letter against government COVID-19 policy and later had to apologize, because Speakers don’t generally do that.

Also appearing were Independent MLAs who were ejected from Premier Jason Kenney’s caucus — Todd Loewen from Grande Prairie and Medicine Hat’s Drew Barnes, an eternal pebble in Kenney’s shoe.

Are these folks trying to raise a challenger to Kenney’s leadership? With a vote on his performance coming in spring, we are entitled to wonder.

Speaker of the House Nathan Cooper takes part in the first session of the 30th Alberta Legislature, in Edmonton Wednesday, May 22, 2019. PHOTO BY DAVID BLOOM

The group will certainly support the vote to abolish equalization, which will appear on Alberta’s civic ballot Oct. 18.

There are doubts about whether it will pass, though — this is a referendum on abolition of equalization right across Canada, not a demand to improve the program for Alberta.

But it’s a passing matter to Free Alberta types. Sovereignty is their goal.

And “sovereign” is an intentionally loaded word. It was the essence of two Quebec referendums, both of which failed.

But in recent years Quebec has slowly assumed many powers without objection from Ottawa.

The classic was passage by the National Assembly of a resolution asserting Quebec’s absolute power to reject pipelines crossing its territory.

Although such a motion is clearly unconstitutional, Ottawa didn’t say a word.

Anderson hates that Quebec motion but sees the tactic as a great example for Alberta.

“This is about the right and the power to govern yourself,” he says. “The ultimate sovereign power in the province of Alberta is going to be, under this strategy, the legislature — much like the National Assembly in Quebec.

“What we’re proposing is really not much different than what Quebec has done . . . Ottawa can pass whatever bills they want but if what Ottawa passes is not in line with what the government of Alberta says on the subject,” then the legislature would be supreme.

Many Albertans will like this plan. Federal leaders should not ignore it.

They need to offer real solutions for a province that is expected to wind down its major industry. So far, damn all.

Don Braid’s column appears regularly in the Herald
Braid: Alberta needs Saskatchewan-style straight talk on COVID-19

Calling a terrible thing by its name, instead of wrapping it in bureaucratic garble, is the essence of great crisis leadership

Author of the article:Don Braid • Calgary Herald
Publishing date:Sep 30, 2021 •
Saskatchewan's provincial chief medical health officer Dr. Saqib Shahab speaks during an update on COVID-19 at the Legislative Building in Regina, Wednesday, March 11, 2020. 
PHOTO BY THE CANADIAN PRESS/MICHAEL BELL

Many Albertans want a new government. How about Saskatchewan’s?

Premier Scott Moe’s province has a COVID-19 problem nearly as dangerous as Alberta’s.

But there is a clarity of purpose in Saskatchewan, a readiness to speak plain that’s entirely unlike the muffled, overblown messages we get from Premier Jason Kenney and the UCP.

By straining to respect each tic of opinion on everything from vaccines to masks, the UCP ends up leading nobody. Many Albertans have simply stopped trusting and believing.

Saskatchewan folks can be ornery on vaccines but generally have their heads screwed on straight, no surprise from Canada’s most underrated and overachieving province.

Moe has just accepted the resignation of a caucus member because she purported to be vaccinated when she wasn’t.


His Saskatchewan Party, which is conservative in the Brad Wall tradition, presents a solid front on vaccination to show the public they really believe in it.

So, out went MLA Nadine Wilson, who had earlier worn a sticker saying “I got my COVID-19 vaccine.”

In Alberta, we have no idea of the vaccination count in Kenney’s caucus. Vaccination is a personal choice to be respected, they say, a privacy and freedom thing.

Yet their government daily begs people to get the shots. The behaviour belies the messages. A Nadine Wilson might get high fives from those people.


Our chief medical officer of health, Dr. Deena Hinshaw, is taking a few days off. So, let us turn to the Saskatchewan CMOH for more straight talk.


“We will not only not have Thanksgiving at this rate,” said Dr. Saqib Shahab. “We will likely not have Christmas and New Year at this rate.

“It will be a fall and winter of misery at the current rate.”

That is an appalling message nobody wants to hear. It makes your heart sink. That could very well be our future, too.

But his message, although frightening and likely true, is so powerful that it could actually change behaviour.

Shahab added that Saskatchewan will face an “untenable situation” if health measures and vaccination don’t curb rising infections.

“We are having a mass casualty event every day now for the foreseeable future.”

Thirty-four Albertans died of COVID on Tuesday, another 20 on Wednesday. That really is a mass casualty event. But it was barely recognized here as another signpost of singular tragedy.


Calling a terrible thing by its name, instead of wrapping it in bureaucratic garble, is the essence of great crisis leadership.


I’ve watched Hinshaw for many months now, and once admired her calm guidance.

But she made a terrible mistake by endorsing Open for Summer. She might regain some authority now by sounding more like Dr. Shahab, and less like a spokeswoman for the all-powerful, entirely secret cabinet committee that makes the decisions

.
Dr. Deena Hinshaw, Alberta chief medical officer of health, leaves her final regularly scheduled COVID-19 update during a press conference at the Federal Building in Edmonton, on Tuesday, June 29, 2021. 
PHOTO BY IAN KUCERAK/POSTMEDIA

This whole problem — the abrupt shifts, the ambiguity, the defence of “rights” that can properly be suspended in genuine crisis — goes right to the core of the UCP.

Tracy Allard, the ex-minister ejected by Kenney for her Hawaii travels, reflected much of this in a long, heartfelt letter to her northern constituents.

While vigorously urging people to get their shots, she does so “while respecting the individual’s right to choose.”

People do have that right in law, no question. But their choice in this crisis is not worthy of government respect when the unvaccinated are depriving others of essential non-COVID hospital care.

On Thursday, the government announced that all public service employees will have to be vaccinated by the end of November.

The premier talked at length about how other provinces and countries have had problems as bad as Alberta’s.

One good move, another ambiguous message. We need a straight talk injection from Saskatchewan.

Don Braid’s column appears regularly in the Herald

Twitter: @DonBraid

Facebook: Don Braid Politics
NOT AS BLUE AS SASKATCHEWAN
The Conservative vote in Alberta shrank. Here's why

Thu., September 30, 2021,

More than 365,000 Albertans who voted for the Conservative Party in 2019 parked their vote elsewhere or didn't vote at all in the 2021 election. (Tijana Martin/The Canadian Press - image credit)


Sheila Juhlin has called Alberta home for most of her life. She's voted Conservative in nearly every federal election for decades, but this time she hesitated.

Juhlin reflected on her priorities: the economy, electoral reform, better representation in Parliament for the West.

"Do I just keep doing what I've always been doing? Is it going to do anything for Alberta?" she said.

"They say that continuing the same behaviour and expecting different results is a sign of insanity."

She walked into the voting booth and checked the box beside the Maverick Party candidate.

More than 365,000 other Albertans who voted for the Conservative Party in 2019 also parked their vote elsewhere or didn't vote at all this time.

The Tories took a whopping 69 per cent of the vote in the province in the 2019 election. In last week's results they dropped 14 points, down to 55 per cent.


Andrew Kurjata/CBC

Drop in support for Tories

The NDP and Liberals gained 7.5 per cent and almost two per cent, respectively. The People's Party of Canada jumped five per cent. The Maverick Party, in its first election, took just over one per cent of the popular vote.


The drop in support only cost Conservatives three additional seats this election — they hold 30 of 34 seats in Alberta, while the Liberals and NDP each have two — but analysts say it sends a message that what once worked for the party in Alberta may not work anymore.

"There's absolutely a discussion that needs to be had about the collapse in support," Michael Solberg, a director at New West Public Affairs, told CBC News.

"I think the real concern is how you bring back those [conservative voters] into the big tent fold."

The Conservatives bled support to both sides of the political spectrum. The Liberals, NDP, PPC and Mavericks sucked up 263,000 more collective Alberta votes than in the previous election, while voter turnout fell nearly five percentage points, from 69.2 per cent to 64.5 per cent.

"It seems funny to think that there'd be a lot of Conservative/NDP switchers in Alberta, but it seems that there probably was some movement between the Conservatives, the NDP and the Liberals," said Janet Brown of Janet Brown Opinion Research.

She pointed out that disenchanted Conservative voters are usually more likely to stay home than change their vote, but this election was different.

"[They] might have lost some votes on the far right to the Maverick Party or to the People's Party. I think the bigger concern for Erin O'Toole, though, is probably not the votes that went that way. It's the votes that went to centrist parties, despite his efforts to have a more centrist message."

Adrian Wyld/The Canadian Press

Ambivalence on O'Toole


O'Toole hasn't enjoyed strong popularity in Alberta.

In the spring, research conducted for CBC News showed that only 11 per cent of respondents said they were highly impressed with the Conservative leader — lower than the approval for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau or NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh. The bulk were ambivalent on O'Toole, giving him a middle-of-the-road rating.

His position in favour of a carbon tax and his murky communication on firearms regulations during the election puzzled many right-leaning Alberta voters. On the left, while this CPC platform was more progressive than the last one, reviews of its climate plan weren't as favourable as the other parties.

"The Tories federally have a branding issue at the moment. I don't think they know entirely what they are or who they represent," Solberg said.

And their opponents tried to fill in those identity gaps for voters by tying the federal Conservatives to their provincial cousins, who are grappling with their own issues.

Jason Franson/The Canadian Press

The Kenney factor


Multiple election attack ads were launched, connecting O'Toole to Alberta Premier Jason Kenney.

If the latter — who endorsed O'Toole — can't get a handle on COVID-19, how could you trust the former to be any different, they argued.

The CPC leader praised Kenney's handling of the pandemic shortly before Alberta plunged into the most strenuous wave yet. The premier's popularity is also the lowest in the country.

"I think it would be naive to say that the falters of the United Conservative government here did not lead to some angst, both on the far right ... and that more progressive vote," Solberg said.

And Brown agrees.

"Perhaps it's the fortunes of the provincial conservatives that have driven down the federal Conservative vote."

Conservatives still won ridings with huge margins, margins the other parties combined couldn't touch. Polling analysts have estimated that the CPC could drop 25-30 per cent beneath its 2019 vote share without it costing more than a handful of seats.

But there's a shift happening in the province that researchers say would be wise to note.


Paul Chiasson/The Canadian Press

Weighing the trade off

"We do have an unusual situation in Alberta, for all kinds of reasons. The NDP vote went up by more than the Liberal vote went up by. Yes, there's the loss with the Conservatives. There's also the gain for the NDP," said Lori Williams, a political scientist at Mount Royal University.

"There was a greater motivation for NDP and Liberal voters to come out and vote in this last election in Alberta."


And the PPC clawed votes from the other flank, taking more than seven per cent of the vote and finishing second in several Alberta ridings.

"This is the age-old tradeoff for the Conservatives. How do you keep the far right happy but attract more centrist voters? And in the end, I think it was probably an OK trade-off for Erin O'Toole," Brown said.

The leader of the Conservative Party would be ill fated to ignore Alberta and the voices here. We see what the result is when that happens. - Michael Solberg, New West Public Affairs

The balance for the leader, should he remain in that job, is keeping Alberta onside while courting votes in seat-rich provinces, a strategy that won't be without sacrifices in the Prairies, according to these experts.

Solberg says the party needs to address long-standing regional and ideological fissures.

"The leader of the Conservative Party would be ill fated to ignore Alberta and the voices here. We see what the result is when that happens."

And Juhlin says that's the reason her vote shifted this election.

"The way they're doing things isn't meeting the needs of everybody," Juhlin concluded. "It's the way to send a message saying this standard is not good enough."
Environment minister restores federal assessment of Alberta coal mine expansion

Bob Weber
The Canadian Press
Published Oct. 1, 2021 4

Federal Environment Minister Jonathan Wilkinson has reinstated his decision to subject a thermal coal mine expansion in Alberta to a federal review after a court ordered him to rethink it.

Wilkinson said the Alberta First Nation whose objections led to the court order concerning the Vista mine project have now withdrawn their concerns.

“We consulted very extensively with Ermineskin (First Nation) and Ermineskin has actually sent us a letter essentially withdrawing their objection to us going through the designation process,” he said from Milan, where he is attending a climate conference.

Wilkinson repeated his pre-election warning that new thermal coal projects will have to surmount a high bar for approval.

“In a world that must reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the first most important step that we can take ... is to phase out the use of thermal coal,” he said.

“We will not be looking for new thermal coal mines to be developed in Canada.”

Coalspur Mines is seeking to expand its existing surface mine near Hinton in north central Alberta. The expansion would make Vista the largest thermal coal mine in North America. The company also plans an underground test mine on the site.

A federal environmental review is required when a mine expands its footprint by 50 per cent or more, or if it plans to produce more than 5,000 tonnes of coal a day. In the early stages of its development, Vista would come in just under those thresholds and the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada ruled in 2019 that Ottawa wouldn't get involved.

But in 2020 Wilkinson decided that the footprint was close enough and that production would eventually exceed the level triggering a federal review. He revoked the agency's decision and ordered a joint federal-provincial process, considered to be a more rigorous than a purely provincial assessment.

That decision was challenged in Federal Court by Coalspur and Ermineskin First Nation.

Ermineskin supports the project for its economic benefits and argued its treaty rights were violated when Wilkinson failed to consult with them. Court agreed with Ermineskin and ordered Wilkinson to reconsider.

Since then, the agency has met with 44 First Nations, including Ermineskin.

“The agency documented and included the feedback from Indigenous groups consulted during the reconsideration process to ensure their views were included in the analysis provided to the minister,” said a statement from agency spokesman Stephane Perrault.

A spokesman for Ermineskin was not immediately available to comment.

Coalspur's application to Federal Court was thrown out after the Ermineskin ruling. A spokesmanfor the companywasn't immediately available to say if that application would be refiled.

Wilkinson's latest decision is based on reasons similar to those he initially cited.

He said Ottawa's involvement is justified by the size of the planned expansion and its potential threats to areas of federal jurisdiction, such as contamination of waterways and habitat loss for species at risk. He also said the expansion would affect the treaty rights of other First Nations who oppose the project.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 1, 2021.