Saturday, November 02, 2024

 

Deep learning can help protect chimpanzees




Universiteit van Amsterdam
Chimp calls  (1) 

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Fragment of the sound of chimpanzees

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Credit: Adrienne Chitayat





The future of chimpanzees depends on smart conservation strategies and that requires data, lots of data. Ecologist Adrienne Chitayat conducted research on chimpanzees in Tanzania and is the first to systematically survey the population density in the entirety of Mahale Mountains National Park. In her dissertation, she provides a detailed baseline of the density of chimpanzees in the park, which is part of the Greater Mahale Ecosystem. Chitayat also developed a new, deep learning-based acoustic detector that can identify chimpanzee sounds. This technology allows chimpanzee populations to be monitored more efficiently and human-related threats to be more easily anticipated. Chitayat will defend her PhD on Thursday, 7 November, at the University of Amsterdam.

Chimpanzees are, along with bonobos, our closest living relatives. The largest population of chimpanzees in Tanzania, the most southern and eastern extent of this species’ range, lives in the Greater Mahale Ecosystem, which covers almost 20,000 km2. It includes the Mahale Mountains National Park, a crucial habitat for the eastern chimpanzee (Pan troglodytes schweinfurthii). ‘Despite the importance of the area – it has one of longest running research sites for chimpanzees –  there has been very little research on the chimpanzees across the entire park,’ says Chitayat. ‘There have been estimates based on small-scale or localized surveys, but no comprehensive baseline data. And without that data, it is difficult to understand chimpanzee population patterns and develop good conservation strategies. My goal was to fill that gap.’

Counting nests
Chimpanzees sleep in nests and rarely use the same nest two nights in a row, meaning they make a new one every day. By counting the nests and determining how old they were, Chitayat was able to make a reliable estimate of the chimpanzee density for sites across the entire park. She found that the density varies from 1.1 to 3.7 chimpanzees per square kilometer.

In the frontlines of climate change
The National Park is exceptionally diverse, with landscapes ranging from dense rainforests to vast savannahs. Chitayat: ‘What is striking is that the chimpanzees use the entire habitat, and not just the forested areas. We found them in both open and closed vegetation, with population density related to ecological factors such as available food sources. In open, drier areas with forests mostly in strips, there is less food and chimpanzee density is lower.

‘By looking at how the chimpanzees use the landscape and move within it, we can conclude that not only the densely forested areas are important for the protection of the animals. This ecosystem is on the frontline of climate change. That is where one of the greatest threats lies. By taking care of, for example, corridors that connect important or isolated areas, we support the ability of chimpanzees to move more freely and better protect the longevity of the population.’

Learning from sounds
Counting nests, as Chitayat has now done for the entire National Park, is a good and reliable method of monitoring chimpanzees. But it is also time-consuming and expensive. Moreover, chimpanzees are difficult to habituate (get them used to people) for up close observations. According to Chitayat, we therefore need other ways to study those that are unhabituated, which encompasses the majority of chimpanzees.

She developed a new acoustic detector based on deep learning to be used with passive acoustic monitoring. Chitayat: ‘Passive acoustic monitoring is a revolutionary technique that automatically records all the sounds in the vicinity of the acoustic device, including the sounds of chimpanzees. It can be used to find out where the chimpanzees are, how often, at what times, and how many individuals. The problem is that you have hours, days, even weeks of sound recordings that are far too laborious to listen to manually.’ Chitayat therefore investigated whether she could automate the identification of chimpanzee sounds to more efficiently sort through the vast datasets using deep learning.

From loud pant-hoots to soft grunts
To get the deep learning algorithm to work properly, it had to be fed with a lot of training data (examples of chimpanzee sounds and their environment). Chitayat: ‘That was difficult, because there are no large databases of sounds available – unlike with birds, for example. Chimpanzees make a lot of different sounds to communicate with each other, from loud pant-hoots used to impress and communicate over long distances to soft grunts used as a greeting to each other. We focused on pant-hoots, which made our task extra difficult because of the complexity and variability of these calls’.

Chitayat managed to make the acoustic detector a viable method. ‘This is a big step, but not the last. Machine learning technology could eventually be used to distinguish individual chimpanzees. That would allow you to learn more about the demography within groups – such as the number of males and females and their age class – and their patterns and habits. The more we learn, the better we can protect chimpanzees.’

Defence details
Adrienne Chitayat: Chimpanzee Pan troglodytes schweinfurthii Conservation in the Greater Mahale Ecosystem, Western Tanzania: Establishing a Baseline and Enhancing Future Monitoring Efforts through Technology. Supervisor is Prof. S.A. Wich. Co-supervisor is Dr A.K. Piel.

Time and location
Chitayat’s defence will be held on Thursday, 7 November, at 16.00, in the Agnietenkapel.

 SPACE/COSMOS



New ESO image captures a dark wolf in the sky



ESO
The Dark Wolf Nebula 

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Fittingly nicknamed the Dark Wolf Nebula, this cosmic cloud was captured in a 283-million-pixel image by the VLT Survey Telescope (VST) at ESO’s Paranal Observatory in Chile. Located around 5300 light-years from Earth, the cold clouds of cosmic dust create the illusion of a wolf-like silhouette against a colourful backdrop of glowing gas clouds.

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Credit: ESO/VPHAS+ team




For Halloween, the European Southern Observatory (ESO) reveals this spooktacular image of a dark nebula that creates the illusion of a wolf-like silhouette against a colourful cosmic backdrop. Fittingly nicknamed the Dark Wolf Nebula, it was captured in a 283-million-pixel image by the VLT Survey Telescope (VST) at ESO’s Paranal Observatory in Chile.

Found in the constellation Scorpius, near the centre of the Milky Way on the sky, the Dark Wolf Nebula is located around 5300 light-years from Earth. This image takes up an area in the sky equivalent to four full Moons, but is actually part of an even larger nebula called Gum 55. If you look closely, the wolf could even be a werewolf, its hands ready to grab unsuspecting bystanders…

If you thought that darkness equals emptiness, think again. Dark nebulae are cold clouds of cosmic dust, so dense that they obscure the light of stars and other objects behind them. As their name suggests, they do not emit visible light, unlike other nebulae. Dust grains within them absorb visible light and only let through radiation at longer wavelengths, like infrared light. Astronomers study these clouds of frozen dust because they often contain new stars in the making.

Of course, tracing the wolf’s ghost-like presence in the sky is only possible because it contrasts with a bright background. This image shows in spectacular detail how the dark wolf stands out against the glowing star-forming clouds behind it. The colourful clouds are built up mostly of hydrogen gas and glow in reddish tones excited by the intense UV radiation from the newborn stars within them.

Some dark nebulae, like the Coalsack Nebula, can be seen with the naked eye –– and play a key role in how First Nations interpret the sky [1] –– but not the Dark Wolf. This image was created using data from the VLT Survey Telescope, which is owned by the National Institute for Astrophysics in Italy (INAF) and is hosted at ESO’s Paranal Observatory, in Chile’s Atacama Desert. The telescope is equipped with a specially designed camera to map the southern sky in visible light.

The picture was compiled from images taken at different times, each one with a filter letting in a different colour of light. They were all captured during the VST Photometric Hα Survey of the Southern Galactic Plane and Bulge (VPHAS+), which has studied some 500 million objects in our Milky Way. Surveys like this help scientists to better understand the life cycle of stars within our home galaxy, and the obtained data are made publicly available through the ESO science portal. Explore this treasure trove of data yourself: who knows what other eerie shapes you will uncover in the dark?

Notes

[1] The Mapuche people of south-central Chile refer to the Coalsack Nebula as ‘pozoko’ (water well), and the Incas called it ‘yutu’ (a partridge-like bird).

More information

The European Southern Observatory (ESO) enables scientists worldwide to discover the secrets of the Universe for the benefit of all. We design, build and operate world-class observatories on the ground — which astronomers use to tackle exciting questions and spread the fascination of astronomy — and promote international collaboration for astronomy. Established as an intergovernmental organisation in 1962, today ESO is supported by 16 Member States (Austria, Belgium, Czechia, Denmark, France, Finland, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom), along with the host state of Chile and with Australia as a Strategic Partner. ESO’s headquarters and its visitor centre and planetarium, the ESO Supernova, are located close to Munich in Germany, while the Chilean Atacama Desert, a marvellous place with unique conditions to observe the sky, hosts our telescopes. ESO operates three observing sites: La Silla, Paranal and Chajnantor. At Paranal, ESO operates the Very Large Telescope and its Very Large Telescope Interferometer, as well as survey telescopes such as VISTA. Also at Paranal ESO will host and operate the Cherenkov Telescope Array South, the world’s largest and most sensitive gamma-ray observatory. Together with international partners, ESO operates ALMA on Chajnantor, a facility that observes the skies in the millimetre and submillimetre range. At Cerro Armazones, near Paranal, we are building “the world’s biggest eye on the sky” — ESO’s Extremely Large Telescope. From our offices in Santiago, Chile we support our operations in the country and engage with Chilean partners and society. 

Links




Ancient rocks may bring dark matter to light



With new imaging capabilities, the first successful dark-matter detector might be some old rock


Virginia Tech

Ph.D. candidate Keegan Walkup (at left) and physicist Patrick Huber work in the new lab that Huber is establishing to look for evidence of dark matter inside the crystal lattice structures of old rocks. 

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Ph.D. candidate Keegan Walkup (at left) and physicist Patrick Huber work in the new lab that Huber is establishing to look for evidence of dark matter inside the crystal lattice structures of old rocks.

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Credit: Photo by Spencer Coppage for Virginia Tech.




The visible universe — all the potatoes, gas giants, steamy romance novels, black holes, questionable tattoos, and overwritten sentences — accounts for only 5 percent of the cosmos.

A Virginia Tech-led team is hunting for the rest of it, not with telescopes or particle colliders, but by scrutinizing billion-year-old rocks for traces of dark matter.

In leading a transdisciplinary team from multiple universities on this unconventional search, physics’ Patrick Huber is also taking an unconventional step: from theoretical work into experimental work.

With support from a $3.5 million Growing Convergence Research award from the National Science Foundation and a separate $750,000 award from the National Nuclear Security Administration, Huber is building a new lab in Robeson Hall to test dark matter theories — and see what else might come to light along the way.

Dark matter is super dark

Scientists can only infer dark matter’s existence because objects in the universe fall faster than they should around the center of galaxies. Gravity from this unseen substance accounts for the extra oomph.

Unlike the bump and grind of regular stuff, dark matter is thought to interact only very weakly with other matter, imperceptible except when one happens to bump into a nucleus of a visible matter atom. Recoiling from the collision like an atomic billiard ball, the nucleus deposits a spark of energy.

Over the past 50 years, physicists have conducted all manner of dark-matter experiments in hopes of witnessing one of these rare recoil events.

So far? Dark matter has stayed dark. Physicists haven’t turned up any hard evidence for dark matter. Now they’re turning down — deep down.

Paleodetectives

If dark matter exists, there’s a chance it has interacted with the Earth at some point in its 4.6 billion-year-old history. What if, instead of waiting for dark matter to come to them, scientists could excavate ancient evidence from minerals deep in the Earth?

While the idea for using rocks as subterranean detectors was first proposed in the 1980s, technological advances prompted researchers, including Huber, to revisit this idea.

“It’s crazy. When I first heard about this idea, I was like — this is insane. I want to do it,” said Huber, the William E. Hassinger, Jr. Senior Faculty Fellow.

Huber, being a theoretical physicist, came up with a theory of how to solve it. But the theory wasn’t enough. If this plan was possible, he wanted to see what it would take to execute it.

“Other people in their midlife crisis might take a mistress or get a sports car. I got a lab,” Huber said.

Who knocked the nuclei?

By developing and using sophisticated imaging techniques, Huber and his collaborators hope to uncover miniature trails of destruction left by long-ago dark matter interactions inside crystal lattice structures.

When a high-energy particle bounces off a nucleus inside a rock, the explosive recoil can pop a nucleus out of place, said Vsevolod Ivanov, a researcher at the Virginia Tech National Security Institute who is collaborating with Huber. The ejected nucleus and the empty gap it leaves behind represent structural changes within crystal. 

“We’ll take a crystal that’s been exposed to different particles for millions of years and subtract the distributions that correspond to things we do know,” Ivanov said. “Whatever is left must be something new, and that could be the dark matter.”

Most dark matter experiments are conducted underground to cut back on interference from other high-energy particles called cosmic rays, but going underground presents a new set of problems. The planet pulses with a radioactive background that can also jostle nuclei. University Distinguished Professor Robert Bodnar, recently inducted into the National Academy of Sciences, will be working with Huber’s team to identify, locate, and characterize minerals that could serve as suitable detectors.

Proof in 3D

To start in on this massive imaging task, Huber is working with researchers at the University of Zurich’s Brain Research Institute who provided access to special microbiology imaging technology typically used to image animal nervous systems.

The team has already started generating 3D renderings of high-energy particle tracks in synthetic lithium fluoride. This artificial crystal won’t make a good dark-matter detector, said Huber, but it will help establish the full range of signals while keeping the crystal intact. In an unexpected twist, applications of lithium fluoride imaging technology include “nuclear transparency devices,” which might look like backpack-sized monitoring devices for nuclear reactors.

With tangential outputs from this “insane” research objective already proving of immediate value, Huber his collaborators will dig deeper and look closer to see if an old rock can tell us how the stars fly around the galaxy.

NASA’s Hubble, Webb probe surprisingly smooth disk around Vega





NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center

NASA's Hubble and Webb Revisit the Legendary Vega Disk. 

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[left] A Hubble Space Telescope false-color view of a 100-billion-mile-wide disk of dust around the summer star Vega. Hubble detects reflected light from dust that is the size of smoke particles largely in a halo on the periphery of the disk. The disk is very smooth, with no evidence of embedded large planets. The black spot at the center blocks out the bright glow of the hot young star.
[right] The James Webb Space Telescope resolves the glow of warm dust in a disk halo, at 23 billion miles out. The outer disk (analogous to the solar system’s Kuiper Belt) extends from 7 billion miles to 15 billion miles. The inner disk extends from the inner edge of the outer disk down to close proximity to the star. There is a notable dip in surface brightness of the inner disk from approximately 3.7 to 7.2 billion miles. The black spot at the center is due to lack of data from saturation.

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Credit: NASA, ESA, CSA, STScI, S. Wolff (University of Arizona), K. Su (University of Arizona), A. Gáspár (University of Arizona)




In the 1997 movie "Contact," adapted from Carl Sagan's 1985 novel, the lead character scientist Ellie Arroway (played by actor Jodi Foster) takes a space-alien-built wormhole ride to the star Vega. She emerges inside a snowstorm of debris encircling the star — but no obvious planets are visible.

It looks like the filmmakers got it right.

A team of astronomers at the University of Arizona, Tucson used NASA's Hubble and James Webb space telescopes for an unprecedented in-depth look at the nearly 100-billion-mile-diameter debris disk encircling Vega. "Between the Hubble and Webb telescopes, you get this very clear view of Vega. It's a mysterious system because it's unlike other circumstellar disks we've looked at," said Andras Gáspár of the University of Arizona, a member of the research team. "The Vega disk is smooth, ridiculously smooth."

The big surprise to the research team is that there is no obvious evidence for one or more large planets plowing through the face-on disk like snow tractors. "It's making us rethink the range and variety among exoplanet systems," said Kate Su of the University of Arizona, lead author of the paper presenting the Webb findings.

Webb sees the infrared glow from a disk of particles the size of sand swirling around the sizzling blue-white star that is 40 times brighter than our Sun. Hubble captures an outer halo of this disk, with particles no bigger than the consistency of smoke that are reflecting starlight.

The distribution of dust in the Vega debris disk is layered because the pressure of starlight pushes out the smaller grains faster than larger grains. "Different types of physics will locate different-sized particles at different locations," said Schuyler Wolff of the University of Arizona team, lead author of the paper presenting the Hubble findings. "The fact that we're seeing dust particle sizes sorted out can help us understand the underlying dynamics in circumstellar disks."

The Vega disk does have a subtle gap, around 60 AU (astronomical units) from the star (twice the distance of Neptune from the Sun), but otherwise is very smooth all the way in until it is lost in the glare of the star. This shows that there are no planets down at least to Neptune-mass circulating in large orbits, as in our solar system, say the researchers.

"We're seeing in detail how much variety there is among circumstellar disks, and how that variety is tied into the underlying planetary systems. We’re finding a lot out about the planetary systems — even when we can’t see what might be hidden planets," added Su. "There's still a lot of unknowns in the planet-formation process, and I think these new observations of Vega are going to help constrain models of planet formation."

Disk Diversity

Newly forming stars accrete material from a disk of dust and gas that is the flattened remnant of the cloud from which they are forming. In the mid-1990s Hubble found disks around many newly forming stars. The disks are likely sites of planet formation, migration, and sometimes destruction. Fully matured stars like Vega have dusty disks enriched by ongoing "bumper car" collisions among orbiting asteroids and debris from evaporating comets. These are primordial bodies that can survive up to the present 450-million-year age of Vega (our Sun is approximately ten times older than Vega). Dust within our solar system (seen as the Zodiacal light) is also replenished by minor bodies ejecting dust at a rate of about 10 tons per second. This dust is shoved around by planets. This provides a strategy for detecting planets around other stars without seeing them directly – just by witnessing the effects they have on the dust.

"Vega continues to be unusual," said Wolff. "The architecture of the Vega system is markedly different from our own solar system where giant planets like Jupiter and Saturn are keeping the dust from spreading the way it does with Vega."

For comparison, there is a nearby star, Fomalhaut, which is about the same distance, age and temperature as Vega. But Fomalhaut's circumstellar architecture is greatly different from Vega's. Fomalhaut has three nested debris belts.

Planets are suggested as shepherding bodies around Fomalhaut that gravitationally constrict the dust into rings, though no planets have been positively identified yet. "Given the physical similarity between the stars of Vega and Fomalhaut, why does Fomalhaut seem to have been able to form planets and Vega didn't?" said team member George Rieke of the University of Arizona, a member of the research team. "What's the difference? Did the circumstellar environment, or the star itself, create that difference? What's puzzling is that the same physics is at work in both," added Wolff.

First Clue to Possible Planetary Construction Yards

Located in the summer constellation Lyra, Vega is one of the brightest stars in the northern sky. Vega is legendary because it offered the first evidence for material orbiting a star — presumably the stuff for making planets — as potential abodes of life. This was first hypothesized by Immanuel Kant in 1775. But it took over 200 years before the first observational evidence was collected in 1984. A puzzling excess of infrared light from warm dust was detected by NASA's IRAS (Infrared Astronomy Satellite). It was interpreted as a shell or disk of dust extending twice the orbital radius of Pluto from the star.

In 2005, NASA's infrared Spitzer Space Telescope mapped out a ring of dust around Vega. This was further confirmed by observations using submillimeter telescopes including Caltech's Submillimeter Observatory on Mauna Kea, Hawaii, and also the Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) in Chile, and ESA's (European Space Agency's) Herschel Space Telescope, but none of these telescopes could see much detail. "The Hubble and Webb observations together provide so much more detail that they are telling us something completely new about the Vega system that nobody knew before," said Rieke.

Two papers (Wolff et al. and Su et. al.) from the Arizona team will be published in The Astrophysical Journal.

The James Webb Space Telescope is the world's premier space science observatory. Webb is solving mysteries in our solar system, looking beyond to distant worlds around other stars, and probing the mysterious structures and origins of our universe and our place in it. Webb is an international program led by NASA with its partners, ESA (European Space Agency) and CSA (Canadian Space Agency).

The Hubble Space Telescope has been operating for over three decades and continues to make ground-breaking discoveries that shape our fundamental understanding of the universe. Hubble is a project of international cooperation between NASA and ESA (European Space Agency). NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, manages the telescope and mission operations. Lockheed Martin Space, based in Denver, Colorado, also supports mission operations at Goddard. The Space Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore, Maryland, which is operated by the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy, conducts Hubble science operations for NASA.

Explore More:

Finding Planetary Construction Zones

The science paper by Schuyler Wolff et al., PDF (3.24 MB)

The science paper by Kate Su et al., PDF (2.10 MB)

Media Contacts:

Claire Andreoli (claire.andreoli@nasa.gov), Laura Betz (laura.e.betz@nasa.gov)
NASA's Goddard Space Flight CenterGreenbelt, MD

Ray Villard, Christine Pulliam
Space Telescope Science Institute, Baltimore, MD


Mission to International Space Station launches research on brain organoids, heart muscle atrophy, and cold welding



The SpaceX CRS-31 mission to the ISS for NASA includes studies on in-space manufacturing, cardiac health, and a method to repair spacecraft damaged by debris



International Space Station U.S. National Laboratory

NASA's SpaceX CRS-31 Packed with Research 

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The SpaceX Dragon spacecraft atop the Falcon 9 rocket at Kennedy Space Center in March 2023.

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Credit: SpaceX




KENNEDY SPACE CENTER (FL), November 1, 2024 – More than 25 payloads sponsored by the International Space Station (ISSInternational Space Station) National Laboratory, including technology demonstrations, in-space manufacturing, student experiments, and multiple projects funded by the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF), are bound for the orbiting outpost. These investigations, launching on SpaceX’s 31st Commercial Resupply Services (CRS) mission for NASANational Aeronautics and Space Administration, aim to improve life on Earth through space-based research and foster a sustainable economy in low Earth orbit(Abbreviation: LEO) The orbit around the Earth that extends up to an altitude of 2,000 km (1,200 miles) from Earth’s surface. The International Space Station’s orbit is in LEO, at an altitude of approximately 250 miles. (LEO).

The mission  is scheduled to launch no earlier than Monday, November 4 at 9:29 p.m. EST from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center. Below highlights some of the ISS National Lab-sponsored projects on this mission.

  • Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS) will build on its legacy of protein crystallization on the space station with a project, in collaboration with ISS National Lab Commercial Service ProviderImplementation Partners that own and operate commercial facilities for the support of research on the ISS or are developing future facilities. Redwire Space, seeking to crystallize model small molecule compounds to support the manufacturing of more effective therapeutics. Crystals grown in microgravityThe condition of perceived weightlessness created when an object is in free fall, for example when an object is in orbital motion. Microgravity alters many observable phenomena within the physical and life sciences, allowing scientists to study things in ways not possible on Earth. The International Space Station provides access to a persistent microgravity environment. are often larger and more well-ordered than those grown on the ground and could have improved morphology (geometric shape).
  • NSF is funding four investigations launching on this mission, including a collaborative project from Oregon State University and Texas Tech University focused on cardiac health. This experiment will use 3D-bioprinted cardiac organoids to study microgravity-induced heart muscle atrophy. Results could lead to an increased understanding of heart muscle atrophy, which occurs in several conditions, such as cancer, muscle disease, muscular dystrophy, diabetes, sepsis, and heart failure.
  • Multiple projects sponsored by the ISS National Lab and funded by NASA focus on in-space manufacturing. One investigation by Sachi Bioworks, working with ISS National Lab Commercial Service Provider Space Tango, could help advance the development of new therapeutics for neurodegenerative conditions. The project will use brain organoids in microgravity to test the effects of a novel drug on Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease, and dementia.
  • The Malta College of Arts, Science, and Technology is launching a project, with support from ISS National Lab Commercial Service Provider Voyager Space, to test a heatless method of welding. Cold welding is a process that bonds similar metallic materials using force or pressure instead of heat. This method could one day be used to safely repair space platforms and ensure their long-term viability, which would help to address the growing concern of space debris. In this project, the research team will test remote-operated, cold welding to apply metal patches to simulated spacecraft hull samples.
  • The Student Spaceflight Experiment Program (SSEP) will send 39 student-led experiments on its 18th mission to the space station. SSEP aims to prepare the next generation of scientists and engineers by actively involving school communities in the development of scientific investigations to be conducted in microgravity. More than 35 communities took part in this SSEP mission, engaging hundreds of students in grades 5-12, junior college, and undergraduate studies.

For additional information on ISS National Lab-sponsored investigations launching on NASA’s SpaceX CRS-31, visit our launch page. To learn more about the research and technology development sponsored by the ISS National Lab, including how to propose concepts for future space-based research, visit our website.

Download a high-resolution image for this release: SpaceX CRS-27 Prepares for Launch in March 2023


The dynamic core of black holes



A new study investigates the internal dynamics of black holes and their implications for future astrophysical observations



Scuola Internazionale Superiore di Studi Avanzati




Black holes continue to captivate scientists: they are purely gravitational objects, remarkably simple, yet capable of hiding mysteries that challenge our understanding of natural laws. Most observations thus far have focused on their external characteristics and surrounding environment, leaving their internal nature largely unexplored. A new study, conducted through a collaboration between the University of Southern Denmark, Charles University in Prague, Scuola Internazionale Superiore di Studi Avanzati (SISSA) in Trieste, and Victoria University of Wellington in New Zealand, and published in Physical Review Letters, examines a common aspect of the innermost region of various spacetime models describing black holes, suggesting that our understanding of these enigmatic objects may require further investigation.

According to the corresponding author, postdoc Raúl Carballo-Rubio from the research center CP3-Origins at the University of Southern Denmark, the key insight from this study is that “the internal dynamics of black holes, which remain largely uncharted, could radically transform our understanding of these objects, even from an external perspective.”

The Kerr solution to the equations of General Relativity is the most accurate representation of rotating black holes observed in gravitational astrophysics. It depicts a black hole as a maelstrom in spacetime, characterized by two horizons: an outer one, beyond which nothing can escape its gravitational pull, and an inner one that encloses a ring singularity, a region where spacetime as we know it ceases to exist. This model aligns well with observations, as deviations from Einstein's theory outside the black hole are regulated by new physics parameters, which govern the core's size and are expected to be quite small.

However, a recent study conducted by the international team mentioned above has highlighted a critical issue concerning the interior of these objects: while it was known that a static inner horizon is characterised by an infinite accumulation of energy, the study demonstrates that even more realistic dynamic black holes are subject to significant instability over relatively short timescales. This instability is due to an accumulation of energy that grows exponentially over time until it reaches a finite, but extremely large, value, capable of significantly influencing the overall geometry of the black hole and thus altering it.

The ultimate outcome of this dynamic process is still unclear, but the study implies that a black hole cannot stabilise in Kerr geometry, at least over long timescales, although the speed and magnitude of deviations from Kerr spacetime remain under investigation. As Stefano Liberati, professor at SISSA and one of the study's authors, explains: “This result suggests that the Kerr solution—contrary to previous assumptions—cannot accurately describe observed black holes, at least on the typical timescales of their existence.”

Understanding the role of this instability is therefore essential for refining theoretical models of the interior of black holes and their relationship to the overall structure of these objects. In this sense, it could provide a missing link between theoretical models and potential observations of physics beyond General Relativity. Ultimately, these results open new perspectives for studying black holes, offering an opportunity to deepen our understanding of their internal nature and dynamic behaviour.

 

Study reveals acceleration in Pacific upper-ocean circulation over past 30 years, impacting global weather patterns



A critical ocean layer for El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dynamics




University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science

Study reveals acceleration in Pacific upper-ocean circulation over past 30 years, impacting global weather patterns 

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West-east near-surface current trend between 1993-2022. Blue colors show increased westward currents; red colors show increased eastward currents. The largest trends are observed in the central tropical Pacific Ocean (black box). Current velocity data from three equatorial moored buoys (yellow diamonds) provide a subsurface view on long-term upper-ocean current velocity trends.

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Credit: Graphic figure: Franz Philip Tuchen Satellite image background NOAA NESDIS




A new study published October 31, 2024, in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans has revealed significant acceleration in the upper-ocean circulation of the equatorial Pacific over the past 30 years. This acceleration is primarily driven by intensified atmospheric winds, leading to increased oceanic currents that are both stronger and shallower, with potential impacts on regional and global climate patterns, including the frequency and intensity of El Niño and La Niña events. The study provides a spatial view of these long-term trends from observations, adding at least another decade of data from previous studies.

The research team, led by Franz Philip Tuchen, a postdoctoral scientist at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School’s NOAA Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies (CIMAS), in collaboration with NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML), synthesized thirty years of long-term ocean and atmosphere observations from satellites, mooring buoys, and ocean surface drifters. By integrating the reanalysis of wind data and satellite altimetry into a high-resolution, gridded time series of near-surface ocean currents, this study presents a new and comprehensive view to date of the changes in the Pacific upper-ocean circulation.

The research findings indicate that stronger winds across the equatorial Pacific have caused a notable acceleration of westward near-surface currents by approximately 20 percent in the central equatorial Pacific. Poleward currents north and south of the equator have also accelerated, with increases of 60 percent and 20 percent, respectively.

The equatorial thermocline—a critical ocean layer for El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dynamics—has steepened significantly,” said Tuchen. “This steepening trend could reduce ENSO amplitude in the eastern Pacific and favor more frequent central Pacific El Niño events, potentially altering regional and global climate patterns associated with ENSO.”

The researchers indicate the study offers a benchmark for climate models, which have had limited success to accurately represent Pacific circulation and sea surface temperature trends. The researchers suggest the findings could help improve the predictability of ENSO events and related weather patterns, especially for regions like the United States, which experience significant climate variability from ENSO-driven changes.

Funding for this study was provided by NOAA’s Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing (GOMO) programs, including the Global Tropical Moored Buoy Array (GTMBA), the Global Drifter Program (GDP), and the Tropical Atmosphere Ocean (TAO) program.

The study, titled Strengthening of the equatorial Pacific upper-ocean circulation over the past three decades was published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, on October 31, 2024. The authors include Franz Philip Tuchen1,2 Renellys C. Perez 2, Gregory R. Foltz2, Michael J. McPhaden3 and Rick Lumpkin2

1 Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, Rosenstiel School of Marine,

Atmospheric, and Earth Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA

2 NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, USA

3 NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA, USA

About the University of Miami and Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science

The University of Miami is a private research university and academic health system with a distinct geographic capacity to connect institutions, individuals, and ideas across the hemisphere and around the world. The University’s vibrant and diverse academic community comprises 12 schools and colleges serving more than 19,000 undergraduate and graduate students in more than 180 majors and programs. Located within one of the most dynamic and multicultural cities in the world, the University is building new bridges across geographic, cultural, and intellectual borders, bringing a passion for scholarly excellence, a spirit of innovation, a respect for including and elevating diverse voices, and a commitment to tackling the challenges facing our world. With more than $413 million in research and sponsored program expenditures annually, the University of Miami is a member of the prestigious Association of American Universities (AAU).

Founded in 1943, the Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science is one of the world’s premier research institutions in the continental United States. The school’s basic and applied research programs seek to improve understanding and prediction of Earth’s geological, oceanic, and atmospheric systems by focusing on four key pillars:

*Saving lives through better forecasting of extreme weather and seismic events. 

*Feeding the world by developing sustainable wild fisheries and aquaculture programs. 

*Unlocking ocean secrets through research on climate, weather, energy and medicine. 

*Preserving marine species, including endangered sharks and other fish, as well as protecting and restoring threatened coral reefs.

www.earth.miami.edu

 

Global ocean oscillations and climate change affect weather patterns in the Serengeti



The Greater Mara-Serengeti experienced droughts, erratic rainfall and a 5 degree C temperature rise



PLOS

Global ocean oscillations and climate change affect weather patterns in the Serengeti 

image: 

Wildlife succumbing to the 2020-2023 drought in the Tsavo Ecosystem of Kenya

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Credit: Tsavo Trust, CC-BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)




The interactions between global climate change and ocean oscillations – fluctuating cycles in wind and ocean temperatures – are impacting weather patterns in the Greater Mara-Serengeti ecosystem in Kenya and Tanzania, according to a new study led by Joseph Ogutu of the University of Hohenheim, Isaiah Obara of Freie Universität Berlin, and Holly Dublin of Wasaa Conservation Centre, published October 2 in the open-access journal PLOS Climate.

The impacts of global climate change are now widely recognized, but the regional impacts – especially in the Southern Hemisphere – are less well understood. In the Southern Hemisphere and particularly in East Africa, climate change is primarily manifested through fluctuations in wind and sea surface temperatures that cause irregular cooling and warming periods, specifically, the global El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Pacific Ocean and the regional Indian Niño in the Indian Ocean. These phenomena influence rainfall and temperature, making their patterns and interactions crucial to understanding the regional impacts of climate change.

In the new study, researchers used a variety of models to uncover long-term trends, cycles and seasonality in rainfall, temperature and vegetation for the Greater Mara-Serengeti ecosystem, and influences from ENSO and the Indian Niño. The team found that the area experienced recurrent severe droughts and erratic wet conditions and recorded a rise in temperatures of 4.8 to 5.8 degrees Celsius over six decades. Wet and dry season rainfall amounts have fluctuated in varying cycles, but year-to-year, average rainfall has remained similar and occurred in regular seasons. However, rainfall was above average in both dry and wet seasons from 2010-2020, likely influenced by global warming and the Indian Niño.

The researchers conclude that understanding regional climate trends and how they are influenced by large-scale oceanic and atmospheric oscillations is crucial for predicting future climate conditions and mitigating their impact on people and animals. For example, droughts increase the risk of starvation for wildlife, shrink wetlands and intensify human-wildlife conflicts, while heavy rainfall can lead to habitat destruction. The insights from this work can be used to develop strategies to reduce the impacts of climate change in the region and to inform environmental planning and conservation efforts.

The authors add: “The Mara-Serengeti ecosystem, like many African savannas, has seen a 5.3-degree Celsius rise in minimum temperatures since 1960, concurrent with the warming Indian Ocean, leading to habitat desiccation and severe threats to wildlife populations. Frequent severe to extreme droughts and rare instances of very wet to extremely wet years in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem also significantly threaten wildlife populations.”

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In your coverage please use this URL to provide access to the freely available article in PLOS Climate: https://journals.plos.org/climate/article?id=10.1371/journal.pclm.0000388

Citation: Ogutu JO, Bartzke GS, Mukhopadhyay S, Dublin HT, Senteu JS, Gikungu D, et al. (2024) Trends and cycles in rainfall, temperature, NDVI, IOD and SOI in the Mara-Serengeti: Insights for biodiversity conservation. PLOS Clim 3(10): e0000388. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000388

Author Countries: Germany, India, Kenya, the Netherlands

Funding: The Masai mara Ecological Monitoring Program was funded by the Worldwide Fund for Nature-East Africa Programme (WWF-EARPO) and Friends of Conservation (FOC). The programme also received financial, material or logistical support from WWF-Sweden, the Darwin Initiative through DICE, Cottar’s Camp, Kichwa Tembo and Ker and Downey Safaris. JOO was supported by a grant from the German Research Foundation (DFG, Grant # 257734638). This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under Grant Agreement No. 641918. IOB was supported by the German Research Foundation (DFG) (OB 490/2–1).