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Showing posts sorted by relevance for query POCKLINGTON. Sort by date Show all posts

Sunday, December 26, 2021

PRIVATIZATION FAIL

UK 

Energy Groups Call For Government Intervention As Power Prices Skyrocket

  • Trade Association Energy UK has criticized chancellor Rishi Sunak for the lack of a clear plan to protect the industry.
  • Market regulator Ofgem announced it will provide £1.83bn to suppliers that took on customers from collapsed rivals through the supplier of last resort process.
  • The market regulator explained its “top priority” is protecting consumers and that it understands the challenges households and businesses are facing in light of the unprecedented increase in global gas prices.

Trade Association Energy UK – which represents over 100 members – has described record wholesale gas and power prices as a “market-wide crisis” and has criticized chancellor Rishi Sunak for the lack of a clear plan to protect the industry. Speaking to The Financial Times, chief executive Emma Pinchbeck said: “Other treasuries in Europe have already responded to the crisis, but in the UK, the energy sector is still asking if the chancellor knows that energy bills going up by over 50 percent in the new year is a problem for ordinary people, businesses, and the economy.”

Pinchbeck was not alone in her criticism this week, with EDF Energy – the fourth-biggest supplier in the UK – warning the situation was now “critical” as it urged the government to “act now to support energy customers.”

Meanwhile, Good Energy’s shares dropped four percent amid profit warnings, with the supplier downgrading its expected earnings by £3m due to soaring wholesale prices and sustained market volatility.

In a trading update to the London Stock Exchange, Nigel Pocklington, chief executive of the energy supplier described the situation as a “national crisis” and warned that “no one in the industry is immune.”

He said: “We urge the UK government to support the industry at large in navigating these short-term challenges to protect bill-payers and those that serve them

Pocklington attributed the “unparalleled” price hikes to post-lockdown demand, supply and storage shortages, cold winter weather, and escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Europe, with the Nord Stream 2 pipeline still waiting to be certified.

The energy firm outlined that power and gas prices on a day-ahead basis for December compared to November have been on average 36 percent and 35 percent more expensive respectively, at £256 per megawatt-hour and £2.71 per therm.

This is in line with Bulb Energy’s statements following its de-facto nationalization through the special administration process, which revealed it was costing them £4 per therm to supply energy to their 1.7m customers, while the current consumer price cap prevented them from charging customers more than 70p per therm.

So far, 25 UK energy firms have ceased trading in the past three months, affecting four million domestic consumers.

Ofgem announces new funds for suppliers as regulator seeks to reform energy industry

Market regulator Ofgem announced yesterday it will provide £1.83bn to suppliers that took on customers from collapsed rivals through the supplier of last resort process.

The funds will compensate suppliers hit by escalating onboarding costs, and to ensure households are not left in the lurch this winter if further suppliers collapse.

However, these costs will eventually be felt by consumers – and support Investec’s recent analysis that UK households will suffer a £3.2bn collective bill this winter when combining the onboarding costs with the sums required to prop up Bulb through the winter until a new buyer can be found.

When asked for comment, the market regulator said: “Ofgem’s safety net has protected more than four million customers through the unprecedented global gas prices this year, making sure they have an energy supplier and household credit balances are honored. This comes at a cost, which we always seek to minimize. As we announced last week, we’re also stabilizing the retail market with robust stress tests for all suppliers.”

Ofgem has also announced proposals for stringent financial stress tests to ensure energy firms hedge against market shocks in the future.

It is also currently engaged in an industry consultation on the consumer price cap after industry bosses including Scottish Power CEO Keith Anderson have called for the mechanism to be reformed – with findings expected early next year.

Chief executive Jonathan Brearley told BBC’s Today Programme that consumers should expect the price cap to rise again next April, following the 12 percent hike in October.

He argued it was reasonable for the cap to reflect current market conditions with surging gas prices.

Brearley said: “The price cap has done a good job for consumers…but where you have legitimate price increases, those costs have to be passed on to consumers.”

Pantheon forecasts the price cap could increase by as much as 40 percent next Spring, while Investec predicts prices could rise by over 50 percent and reach £2,000 per year for average use.

According to The Times, UK ministers are considering a number of potential options targeted at households to mitigate the impact of the huge jump in bills.

Related: Cities Around The World Are Trying To Cut Out Natural Gas

This includes finding ways of spreading the price rises over a longer period, possible cut in the five percent value-added tax rate on energy bills; and an expansion of the Warm Homes Discount scheme, which supports 2.7m vulnerable households.

Meanwhile, Ofgem has not escaped criticism with Citizens Advice earlier this month accusing them of a “catalogue of errors” and for failing to proactively manage the industry, allowing unfit suppliers to stay in the market.

In response to the criticism, Ofgem told City A.M. it accepted “the energy market needs reform and quickly” as the “current system was not designed for this sort of extreme market event”.

The market regulator explained its “top priority” is protecting consumers and that it understands the challenges households and businesses are facing in light of the unprecedented increase in global gas prices.

By City AM

Saturday, May 12, 2007

Dodge Defends Defined Benefit Pension Plans


And why would Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge say such nice things about Defined Benefit Pension Plans? After years of the right wing attacking these plans in favour of defined contribution plans; RRSP's. Because they are the real source of capital investment for P3's

Because they generate more capital, faster, and thus can be used for investment purposes. In other words because OMERS, Ontario Teachers Pension Fund, CPP, the new Alberta AIM fund, all of them are now major contributors to the economy as investment funds, which are creating a new form of P3; public pension partnerships.

Once these public sector pension funds were freed from state restrictions in investing they have created a trillion dollar investment market. Further this has allowed the state to benefit by not paying its share. Thus giving the government of Canada more surpluses, along with their looting of EI.

While the private sector imitated the Government in failing to invest their required amount in their defined pension funds, leading them to funding crisis much as the Alberta Government faced a decade ago with its public sector pension funds. Which it attempted to privatize (put it under self governance) but once they discovered that allowing them to invest in the market made them profitable and they paid off their debt they gave that idea up. Today a decade later they finally discover what OMERS and the Ontario Teachers Fund have been so successful doing, becoming private venture capital funds, and created the new AIM Fund.

In the private sector we have seen the same Peter Pocklington style use of workers pension funds to bail out the corporation. Pocklington purchased Gainers in Edmonton to access not only the business capital but the unionized workers pension funds to bail out his other businesses, like the Oilers, in a barely legal ponzi scheme that saw him bankrupt both and leave the city in disgrace.

When pension fund bail outs have been successful in the private sector it has been because the company was Canadian, unionized, and formerly a crown corporation like Air Canada.

Where they have failed has been in the U.S. such as in the case of Delphi, where the unionized workers pension funds are looted when the company uses their failure to invest in them as an excuse to declare bankruptcy and hand over their pension responsibilities to the U.S. government in a perverse appeal to state capitalism to bail them out.

This is the reason that both the Canadian and American governments want workers to work longer, so as to have more liquidity in the CPP in Canada and Social Security in the U.S.
Conservatives Want You To Work Longer

I am reproducing these articles because they are the most informative and because they will eventually disappear behind locked subscription walls.

And while Dodge says nice things about Defined Benefit Plans he also wants to deregulate them, including allowing employers to retain their surpluses, which shortchanges worker, something a former Liberal PM benefited from.

Making private pensions stronger

Dodge says defined-benefit plans way to go, with changes to improve them

By JULIAN BELTRAME The Canadian Press

OTTAWA— Bank of Canada governor David Dodge is calling for changes to Canada’s private pension plan system, and a swing back to defined-benefit plans, to ensure it produces the best results for employees and the economy.

Private plans have been under pressure in Canada for several years, with many company pensions running huge shortfalls because of future liabilities.

A survey of chief financial officers, released Thursday by the Conference Board of Canada, found that two-thirds believe there is still a pension crisis in Canada. But the number who feel the crisis will be long-lasting has declined to 48 per cent from 61 per cent last year, the survey of 141 corporate executives found.

In a speech Thursday at a Toronto pension summit, Dodge proposed six changes he said would give employers more incentives to offer workers the most desirable form of pension — those that pay predictable, defined benefits on retirement.

Private pensions are important both to the employee who receives them and the employer hoping to attract and retain the best available staff, he said. They are also important for the economy as a whole, he added.

"As a central banker, I know that a sound pension system is important from the perspective of economic and financial market efficiency," Dodge said.

But while he mostly praised Canada’s legal and regulatory framework governing private pensions, Dodge said there are several shortcomings that should be addressed to strengthen the system.

Those shortcomings are increasing the risks to employees and preventing the plans from functioning at maximum capacity, he said.

As a result, Dodge said employers "have been scaling back or restricting new entries into these types of plans, largely because they do not have the right incentives to maintain and operate defined-benefit plans."

Many have been converting to defined-contribution plans instead as they are usually easier to budget for.

One drawback to the current system is that when pension plans run a surplus, federal and provincial laws increasingly have given employees the right to those surpluses even though it is the employer that bears the risk of default.

He added that tax regulations perversely discourage pension managers from building a surplus above 10 per cent, even though such surpluses are desirable and useful in offsetting periods of deficits.

Dodge said many employees miss out on the opportunity to be protected by private pension plans because they work for companies that are too small to afford them.

"But risks can be mitigated by sponsors forming multi-employer plans, thus pooling risks across a number of plan sponsors," he argued.

"If structures such as large multi-employer pension plans could be created, this would help them to pool both costs and risks, making it easier for smaller employers to sponsor defined-benefit plans."

He noted that municipalities in Ontario have done exactly that in forming OMERS, the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System, so there should be away to explore that avenue for private-sector employers.

Among other concerns noted by the central banker were increasing flexibility to deal with actuarial deficits and making sure accounting rules don’t introduce unnecessary volatility to employers’ balance sheets.

"Ultimately, Canada can have a better-managed system that is good for members, good for employers, good for the economy and good for Canadian society," he said.

Bank of Canada calls for private pension plan reforms

Governor Dodge wants clarity. Suggests giving plan sponsors more flexibility to cover pension fund shortfalls

ERIC BEAUCHESNE,

CanWest News Service

Published: Friday, May 11, 2007

Bank of Canada governor David Dodge is calling for widespread reforms to deal with the country's private pension fund crisis, including the elimination of tax penalties and other rules that discourage employers from building up pension fund surpluses, as well as a greater awareness among employees of the risks and costs of enriching their retirement benefits.

"First, we should reduce the disincentives for sponsors to run actuarial surpluses in good times that will offset actuarial deficits in other periods," Dodge told a pension conference in Toronto yesterday. "More clarity regarding legal ownership of surpluses is needed, so that the sponsor that owns the risks also owns the benefits from taking those risks."

Dodge focused on measures that would make defined benefit plans - seen as superior to defined contribution plans but which employers have been abandoning as too risky - more viable.

Generally, in defined benefit plans, employers guarantee employees a pre-set level of benefits, while in defined contribution plans the employees bear the risk as the level of their benefits is based on the investment returns the plan earns.

"An effective defined benefit pension system is a tremendous asset for individuals, for employers and for our society as a whole," Dodge said. "Putting these plans on a sustainable footing involves strengthening the legal, regulatory, accounting, actuarial and economic frameworks."

Dodge suggested that defined benefit fund surpluses should belong to employers because they face the risk of having to cover any shortfall, and that existing tax penalties on fund surpluses should be eased.

"Given the significance of our pension system, policymakers in Canada need to keep working on improving its operation," Dodge told the pension conference.

His comments follow reports that the worst of the recent pension crisis has eased, thanks to healthy returns in the stock market and extra payments by employers to cover pension fund shortfalls.

Dodge suggested giving plan sponsors more flexibility to cover pension fund shortfalls, and letting smaller companies pool costs and risks to form multi-employer defined benefit pension plans.

The governor also called for greater sharing between employers and employees of the costs to pension funds from increases in longevity, and that the costs and risks of any enriching of plan benefits be made clear to both corporate shareholders and workers.

"These changes would give sponsors the appropriate degree of flexibility needed to manage risk effectively," Dodge said. "Ultimately, Canada can have a better-managed pension system that is good for members, good for employers, good for the economy and good for Canadian society."

While Dodge noted that the benefits of pension plans to workers are obvious, he said they also are good for employers and society.

FULL TEXT-Speech by Bank of Canada Governor

TORONTO, May 10 (Reuters) - The following is the prepared text of a speech by Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge to be delivered on Thursday to the Conference Board of Canada's 2007 Pensions Summit.

A Sound Pension System - Handling Risk Appropriately Good afternoon. I'm happy to be here to talk about the importance of Canada's pension system. It goes without saying that a sound system of private pensions is important from the perspective of pensioners who rely on a given plan for their retirement income. For firms, a pension plan can help to attract and retain staff, and so the business community also counts on a sound pension system. And as a central banker, I know that a sound pension system is important from the perspective of economic and financial market efficiency. Given the significance of our pension system, policy-makers in Canada need to keep working on improving its operation. Ultimately, it is crucial for all Canadians that our pension system function as well as possible. But what is it that makes a system of private pensions function well, or not? As I see it, a key to answering this question is understanding how pension plans deal with risk, in all of its many forms. So today, I want to spend some time discussing private pensions and risk, and suggest what needs to be done to make sure that those who have to bear risk also have the right incentives to deal with it in the most appropriate manner. I will focus on who is best placed to bear risk, and on how risk management can be better supported. Risks and Challenges Let me start with a fundamental question: Why do people save for their old age? Essentially, people save during their working years so they can retire at some point and not suffer a precipitous drop in income and living standards. Economists might put it somewhat less elegantly, saying that people save in order to smooth their lifetime consumption. In the absence of any kind of pension system, individuals, businesses, and society as a whole would all face a number of challenges and risks. I want to spend a few minutes talking about the challenges and risks from these three perspectives, beginning with individuals. First, individuals without a pension plan would have their personal savings as their only source of retirement income, aside from income from the publicly funded Canada Pension Plan/Quebec Pension Plan and the Old Age Security/Guaranteed Income Supplement. And so, individuals would naturally be exceedingly cautious with their investments, particularly as they approached retirement age. In short, individuals without pensions would likely be too risk-averse with their savings to generate a sufficient rate of investment return. Second, individuals can recognize that they lack the expertise to handle their investments in the most effective way, and so will try to acquire this expertise. This could come by way of an investment adviser, or by investing their savings in managed, diversified retail investment vehicles such as mutual funds. The challenge posed by this approach is that it can be costly, since individuals outside a pension plan have to purchase investment advice and ongoing funds management retail, not wholesale. Third, individuals without a pension plan face market risk in a couple of ways. Market conditions could be such that at the time of retirement, the value of their assets could be abnormally low. Or interest rates could be abnormally low at the time of retirement. In either case, the person would need to spend a much greater amount to purchase an annuity or other guaranteed stream of income compared with a period when market conditions were more favourable. The fourth point is related to the third. Sellers of annuities have to deal with the risk that those individuals who expect to live much longer than actuarial tables would suggest are the ones who buy annuities. To deal with this adverse selection problem, sellers compensate for the risk by charging significantly more for the annuity. In other words, the cost of an annuity is much greater for an individual than it is for members of a group. Both of these last two points demonstrate that without a pension system, individuals would need significantly higher levels of savings to ensure adequate funding for their retirement. And all of these points I raised demonstrate that pensions generate enormous benefits by making it much simpler for individuals to successfully save for retirement. But while the benefits of pension plans are obvious for individuals, let's not lose sight of the benefits for businesses and for society as a whole. From the perspective of business, pension plans are typically thought of as a recruitment and retention tool. But historically, pensions were also the way that good employers helped workers to save so that they could avoid penury in old age. And with a pension plan, older workers had the ability to retire, and thus did not need to keep working well beyond the point of their greatest productivity. As for society as a whole, pensions provide a couple of important benefits. First, no society wants to see large numbers of its senior citizens relying entirely on government transfers, although there is fairly universal agreement across most countries that it is desirable to have some degree of public income support for people in their old age. Beyond that, however, a well-functioning pension system is an important source of the long-term risk capital that is essential to finance growth. Mitigating Risks: Defined-Contribution Plans Most of the challenges and risks I've mentioned can be mitigated, to a greater or lesser extent, through the pooling effect that a pension plan provides. Of course, different kinds of pension plans deal with risks in different ways. First, let me briefly discuss defined-contribution plans and the way they deal with risks. A defined-contribution plan mitigates, at least partially, many of the challenges and risks I mentioned for individuals. For example, the costs of funds management and investment advice are pooled. Further, pooling helps to mitigate the risk that individuals will not have saved enough to purchase an appropriate annuity.

Most execs see a pension crisis

Fewer fear it will be long lasting

ERIC BEAUCHESNE, CanWest News Service

Published: Thursday, May 10, 2007

Nearly two-thirds of senior executives believe Canada still has a corporate pension funding crisis but a lot fewer fear it will be long-lasting, according to a survey to be released Thursday at a pension conference in Toronto.

The percentage of chief financial officers who feel the pension crisis will be long-lasting has slipped below half to 48 per cent this year from 61 per cent last year, and the proportion of senior human resource executives who see it as long-lasting has fallen to 40 per cent from 67 per cent, the survey found.

The results are being released at a Conference Board of Canada pensions summit in Toronto at which Bank of Canada governor David Dodge will give his perspective of how to manage pension risks.

"Compared to one year ago, the sense of crisis appears to be abating, but chief financial officers are still concerned about both the volatility and the current level of pension expense," said Gilles Rheaume, the board's vice-president public policy. "In an environment of labour shortages, pensions ... are considered a very valuable recruitment and retention tool." The lower level of concern likely reflects better investment returns and shrinking funding deficits, added Ian Markham, a pension specialist with Watson Wyatt, which conducted the survey of 141 employers.

However, he noted that employers are still pursuing reforms in both pension fund investment strategies and the design of pension plans.

Forty-one per cent of employers with a defined benefit plan, seen as the most attractive plan for attracting and retaining employees, indicated that they had made some reforms over the last two years or were planning to do so over the coming year.

Among private sector employers, the most common reform has been to convert to a defined contribution plan, under which the level of pension payments is determined by investment returns, from a defined benefit plan, under which an employer must make up any shortfall in a fund to cover the cost of paying an agreed upon level of benefits.

That's despite the fact that employers strongly agree that a defined benefit plan is more attractive when trying to recruit or keep employees, the report noted.

Firms jettison defined-benefit pension plans

Shift means many will work longer

May 10, 2007 04:30 AM

Traditional pensions continue to slip from workers' grasps.

A third of the 45 public companies polled in a new survey will soon have stripped benefit guarantees out of pension entitlements that new and existing employees will earn in future.

In the face of a new era of low investment returns and rising obligations, more pension providers are aiming to limit contributions to a fixed percentage of pay.

Affected employees could face having to work longer – if their health and skills allow – or deal with a lower standard of living in retirement, a senior actuary warns.

The trend that began in the early 1990s is gaining momentum, just as an Ontario commission searches for a survival and expansion plan for pension plans that have defined benefits.

Ian Markham, an adviser to the Ontario Expert Commission on Pensions, says the number of workers who have lost pensions with defined benefits for each year of service may be more than official figures recognize.

Statistics Canada estimates about 83 per cent of the two million pension-plan members in Ontario still have defined benefits.

Most of the members are in the public sector.

But the agency has a great deal of difficulty dealing with private-sector employers that will pay benefits based on service up to a certain year, but in future will make a fixed level of contributions for each dollar earned.

"How do we categorize that?" asks Markham.

Results of the new survey, by the Conference Board of Canada and Watson Wyatt Worldwide, where Markham is a consulting actuary, are to be presented today at a pensions summit in Toronto.

An early release was provided to the Toronto Star.

Key findings are that about 18 per cent of the 45 public companies polled across Canada have swung in the past two years to defined-contribution plans for future service.

Another 15 per cent said they will follow in the next year, while 5 per cent have or will get rid of defined benefits entirely.

Most said they were moving away from guaranteeing a certain benefit based on years of work and salary in order to avoid fluctuations in contribution requirements and to cut costs.

More than 60 per cent of public and private companies said they are making extra payments to eliminate funding shortfalls, which are anotther type of risk for employees if their employer fails.

Few of those employers (16 per cent) pay more into their plans than the minimum legal requirement.

Two-thirds of respondents think pension funding is in crisis, but the percentage who think it will last for many years has fallen to 48 per cent from 61 in 2006.

Many companies see the move away from defined benefits as a financial necessity, but most employers with the cheaper defined-contribution plans worry retirement benefits won't be adequate.

These lesser plans may thus make it difficult to recruit and retain top talent, or to ease out unproductive workers. The national unemployment rate is down to about 6.1 per cent, and a growing number of baby boomers will soon reach the age of retirement.

Public-sector plans are moving to increase both employee and employer contributions, while private-sector companies are increasingly shifting risk to employees.

Markham said that a 30-year-old worker five years ago might earn a pension equal to 54 per cent of pay by age 65 if he or she and an employer each contributed 5 per cent of pay to a defined-contribution pension plan.

But the outlook for returns on all forms of investment is now significantly lower because interest rates on long-term bonds are low all around the world. On the flip side, the cost of life annuities is much higher.

So, the same combined level of contributions (10 per cent of pay) might replace only 38 per cent of pay at age 65 (excluding government benefits).

To get back to a 54 per cent rate of replacement, contributions might have to rise more than 40 per cent, or the person would have to work years longer.

Markham said he doubts many employers, let alone employees, realize the impact of lower interest rates on prospects for retirement. Other research suggests most employees are ill-equipped to invest their retirement savings, and the available investment options are more costly and less well managed than defined pension plans.

The commission on pensions in Ontario, headed by labour-law expert Harry Arthurs, has until next summer to report.

A discussion paper on the Web at pensionreview.on.ca asks for suggestions about a number of questions, including how to make defined-benefit plans less costly, and surplus funds or contingency reserves less a bone of contention.

Director of research Robert Brown said at a pension conference yesterday that 20 research papers have been commissioned. Public hearings are to be held in six cities, starting in Toronto Oct. 15, the deadline for making written submissions.



See

The Importance of Savings

Your Pension Dollars At Work

P3= Public Pension Partnerships

Chinese Social Security Scandal

Social Insecurity The Phony Pension Crisis

Pension Plunder

Labour Is Capital

Pension Free China

Kids Are Commodities

Workers vs Worker

Air Canada Profits From Bankruptcy

Are Income Trusts A Ponzi Scheme

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Thursday, February 08, 2024

RED TORY

Starmer ditches £28 bn planet pledge

Thursday 8 February 2024
Deputy Editor

TORTOISE
Our planet


The UK’s Labour party is ditching its pledge to borrow £28 billion to invest in the green energy transition, and Metternich would have approved. The decision is nakedly political and environmentally short-sighted but if Labour is serious about burying the Conservatives at the forthcoming election it has little choice. Brexit has driven a steamroller through British productivity and growth. High interest rates make the cost of extra borrowing prohibitive. Unlike the US, the UK economy is too small to sustain big debt-funded investment schemes at the best of times, the lingering fallout of the Truss fiasco makes this the worst of times. The Tories know this, and they know that despite this attacking Labour as an untrustworthy steward of the public finances still resonates with voters. Meanwhile Labour has set itself a debt reduction rule which borrowing £28 billion would violate. It’s true the planet hasn’t been this hot in at least 120,000 years and is about to blow through the 1.5-degree warming limit set in Paris, but as the enabler of Brexit once put it, them’s the breaks.

Why Labour junked its £28bn green investment pledge

By Chris Mason
Political editor, BBC News
Sir Keir Starmer has U-turned on Labour's £28bn green investment pledge

It was first announced two-and-a-half years ago.

Sir Keir Starmer had had a bumpy few months, including the moment when his leadership was arguably in greatest jeopardy, after Labour lost a by-election in Hartlepool.

The party needed a big, eye-catching idea, as Sir Keir sought to define himself as an opposition leader and begin the colossal task of hauling Labour back to competitiveness after the crushing election defeat in 2019.

But by last summer, the policy had been watered down. By the autumn, senior figures, including the Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves, were swerving mentioning £28bn in public.

And now today the number is being lobbed in a skip.

Labour has been in a public tangle and a private tussle over the number attached to what they call their Green Prosperity Plan recently.

It had got to the point where the only thing that was clear about the idea of spending £28bn a year on green investment was it wasn't remotely clear if they were still committed to it.

One day last week on the Today Programme on BBC Radio 4, the Shadow Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds was asked almost 28 billion times whether the number had been ditched.

He didn't say yes and he didn't say no


But the words "twenty" and "eight" did not pass his lips.

And Sir Keir Starmer and the shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves pretty much contradicted each other in public.

Like Mr Reynolds, Rachel Reeves was also rather numerically tongue tied when she was repeatedly asked about the number on Sky News. But Sir Keir then plainly restated the policy, including the number.

Transparently, Labour was in a mess.

Any hope of waiting until after the Budget, in four weeks time, when they may have been able to blame the books for no longer being able to afford their plan, looked totally unsustainable.

They were going to have to answer the question with a straight yes or no, with none of the complex contortions. And so away from the cameras they have been wrestling with what to do.

And they have concluded the number, but not the policy itself, is an albatross around their neck - and so it is a goner. How the policy is delivered in the absence of the number is one of the many questions they will now face.

The party reckons that emphasising their commitment to economic credibility is more important

Senior figures are conscious that many voters perceive economic credibility to be a Labour weakness, and so want to address this head on.

But this slow motion U-turn will burnish the arguments of Sir Keir's critics - not least the Conservatives - who claim he is forever changing his mind and doesn't believe in anything.


Labour meltdown at 'stupid' Keir Starmer as £28bn green investment plan is ditched just DAYS after he said it was 'desperately needed'


Labour went into meltdown today as Keir Starmer prepares to confirm the ditching of his flagship £28billion green investment drive.

Sir Keir is set to announce the latest U-turn after months of extraordinary wrangling in the shadow cabinet.

The move emerged just a day after the leader insisted the package is 'desperately needed'. But shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves has been striking a very different tone, warning that she will not allow any policies in the manifesto that are unaffordable. 

The news has sparked fury among senior Labour figures, with mayors including Andy Burnham demanding that the proposals go ahead.  

Former Tony Blair adviser John McTernan told the BBC's Newsnight that 'great parties have great causes'.

'What is the change the Labour Party now offers?' he said. 'It's very disappointing  

Keir Starmer is set to announce the latest U-turn after months of extraordinary

 wrangling in the shadow cabinet


Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves has been striking a very different tone,

 warning that she will not allow any policies in the manifesto that are unaffordable

He added: 'It's probably the most stupid decision the Labour Party's made.'

Labour MP Barry Gardiner branded it 'economically illiterate and environmentally irresponsible', warning that the manifesto was in danger of being 'bland'.

The £28 billion-a-year spending target was first unveiled in 2021, and last year Labour adjusted its original plan by saying the goal would not be until the second half of a first term in government.

The party has since insisted the pledge is subject to its fiscal rules, which include getting debt falling as a percentage of GDP, as it seeks to reassure voters it would handle the economy responsibly in government.

Confusion over the future of the policy has grown in recent weeks as some senior figures refused to refer to the £28 billion-a-year figure.

Ms Reeves has repeatedly declined to recommit to the spending pledge, instead highlighting the need for 'iron discipline' with the public finances.

However, as recently as Tuesday Sir Keir said the money was 'desperately needed' for the party's key mission to achieve clean power by 2030.

The Conservatives have seized on the figure as a key attack line in the run-up to an election this year, claiming it would require taxes to rise.

It was first announced in September 2021 by Ms Reeves, who committed to spending an extra £28billion each year to help Britain tackle climate change if the party wins power.

The U-turn comes after an official Treasury costing suggested that part of the plan – to upgrade insulation for 19million homes – would cost more than double the party's estimate of £6billion.


Former Tony Blair adviser John McTernan told the BBC 's Newsnight 

that 'great parties have great causes'

Chief Secretary to the Treasury Laura Trott said: 'This is a serious moment which confirms Labour have no plan for the UK, creating uncertainty for business and our economy. On the day that Labour are finalising their manifesto, Keir Starmer is torpedoing what he has claimed to be his central economic policy purely for short-term campaigning reasons.

'He must explain how he can keep the £28 billion spending when he is finally admitting he doesn't have a plan to pay for it.

'This black hole will inevitably mean thousands of pounds in higher taxes for working people. That's why Labour will take Britain back to square one.'

Unite, the UK's second largest trade union and a big Labour donor, said the 'retreat' would 'confirm workers' scepticism of the endless promises of jam tomorrow and it will be 'alright on the night' rhetoric on the green transition'.


Labour to drop £28bn-a-year green

 spending pledge

Following months of uncertainty about the pledge, an announcement on the party’s flagship green prosperity plan is due to be made on Thursday.


Sir Keir Starmer / PA

ITV News
2 hours ago

An announcement on the party’s flagship green prosperity plan is due to be made on Thursday

Labour will abandon its policy of spending £28bn a year on environmental projects in a major U-turn.

Following months of uncertainty about the pledge, an announcement on the party’s flagship green prosperity plan is due to be made on Thursday.

Sir Keir Starmer is expected to confirm his plan will be scaled back due to changes in the economic landscape since it was first unveiled in 2021.

Last year, Labour changed its original policy by saying the £28bn-a-year spending target would likely be met in the second half of a first parliament, rather than immediately, if the party wins the next election.
Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves / Credit: Stefan Rousseau/PA

The party has since insisted the pledge is subject to its fiscal rules, which include getting debt falling as a percentage of GDP, as it seeks to reassure voters it would handle the economy responsibly in government.

Confusion over the future of the policy has grown in recent weeks as some senior figures refused to refer to the £28bn-a-year figure, while party leader Sir Keir continued to do so as recently as Tuesday.

Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves has repeatedly declined to recommit to the spending pledge, instead highlighting the need for “iron discipline” with the public finances.

But earlier this week, Sir Keir said the money was “desperately needed” for the party’s key mission to achieve clean power by 2030.

The Conservatives have also seized on the figure as a key attack line in the run-up to an election this year, claiming Labour would ultimately have to raise taxes to meet the “unfunded spending spree”.

Labour has pointed to recent economic turmoil under the Tories, including the turbulence caused by Liz Truss’ mini-budget in 2022, when accused of watering down its flagship environmental pledge.

It was first announced in September 2021 by Ms Reeves, who at the time committed to spending an extra £28bn each year to help Britain tackle climate change if the party wins power.

The U-turn would come after the Tories claimed an official Treasury costing had suggested that part of the plan – to upgrade insulation for 19 million homes – would cost more than double the party’s estimate of £6bn.

Chief secretary to the Treasury Laura Trott said: “This is a serious moment which confirms Labour have no plan for the UK, creating uncertainty for business and our economy.

“On the day that Labour are finalising their manifesto, Keir Starmer is torpedoing what he has claimed to be his central economic policy purely for short-term campaigning reasons.

“He must explain how he can keep the £28bn spending when he is finally admitting he doesn’t have a plan to pay for it.

“This black hole will inevitably mean thousands of pounds in higher taxes for working people. That’s why Labour will take Britain back to square one.”

SNP Westminster leader Stephen Flynn said: “Keir Starmer’s damaging decision to cut energy investment will destroy Scottish jobs, harm economic growth and hit families in the pocket by keeping energy bills high.

“It’s a weak and short-sighted U-turn, which shows Westminster is incapable of delivering the investment Scotland needs to compete in the global green energy gold rush and secure strong economic growth.”


Labour’s £28bn green plan: Updates and reaction as ‘party set to ditch target’


© Albert Pego/Shutterstock.com

Labour is set to make an announcement on its Green Prosperity Plan today, with the party widely reported to be on the brink of ditching a commitment to ramp green spending up to £28 billon a year.

A party spokesman declined to confirm or deny reports by the BBC and The Guardian that the party will roll back on one of its most high-profile spending commitments today, but confirmed there will be an “announcement” on the GPP on Thursday.

While Labour will remain committed to a wide-ranging green agenda, the potential abandonment of the figure – first announced under Starmer’s leadership rather than his predecessor Jeremy Corbyn’s – comes just days after leader Keir Starmer himself said it was “desperately needed”.

It also comes just as the EU’s climate service says that for the first time, global warming has exceeded 1.5C across an entire year.

Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves had notably refused recently to use the £28bbn figure, however, highlighting the party’s fiscal rules, and it has not featured in some recent party campaign literature.

It follows months of occasional press reports citing unnamed party sources claiming the £28 billion will be junked, and subsequent official denials by party spokespeople and shadow cabinet members.

We will add updates to this piece as we get them, with the timing of Labour’s announcement not yet confirmed.

Another win for safety-first advocates

The change would mark a significant victory for senior figures focused on de-risking the party against Tory attacks on the figure, which have increased in recent weeks and months, and against financial market jitters.

But months of uncertainty and other rowbacks so far – including delaying the target date and making it subject to fiscal rules – have caused frustration in the party.

A further significant retreat by ditching the figure altogether will also likely spark a major backlash.

Voters may think Labour ‘doesn’t stand for anything’

Sharon Graham, general secretary of Labour affiliated trade union Unite, said “Britain needs more not less investment”, warning it risks lag behind other nations.

“The retreat from Labour’s £28 billion green investment pledge will confirm workers’ scepticism of the endless promises of jam tomorrow,” she added.

A spokesperson for left-wing campaign group Momentum said it would mark a “capitulation to right-wing interests”, defying a “consensus” from Labour members to economists for the need for major green investment. The leadership appears “afraid of its own shadow”, they added.

John McTernan, a former adviser to Tony Blair usually supportive of Starmer, told BBC Newsnight it was “probably the most stupid decision the Labour party’s made”.  He added: “What’s the change Labour now offers?”

Luke Tryl, director of pollsters More in Common, said: “The green investment pledge was Labour’s second most popular manifesto pledge with those intending to vote for the party. Defending the price tag wasn’t without risk, but I’ve no doubt ditching it ultimately does more harm than good to Starmer’s standing with key voters.

It reinforces what is a major weakness that Labour doesn’t stand for anything and Labour isn’t up to meeting the challenges the UK faces. That might not matter given dissatisfaction with the Tories is so high, but it reinforces an attack line the electorate find plausible.”

‘Good riddance’ to figure it makes it easier to argue for change

Former cabinet minister Peter Hain has written for LabourList today arguing Labour must hold firm in defending its green plans against “desperate” right-wing attacks, and that green investment is vital to boost growth and hit net-zero tragets.

But he also calls a scaling back on the quantity of investment promised “prudent” when the Institute for Fiscal Studies has questioned its affordability, and to avoid an “action replay” of successful Tory “tax bombshell” attacks in 1992.

Meanwhile Josh Simons, director of the influential think tank Labour Together, said: “The £28bn number has become a distraction from Labour’s arguments for the credible, transformative change that Britain needs.

“Clinging on to a fixed investment figure when the Tories have crashed our economy and failed to generate growth would not be a credible offer to the British people. If ditching the number enables Labour to make the argument for investment with confidence, focusing on the benefits for working people, then good riddance to the number.”

Labour to drop £28 billion-a-year green

spending pledge




Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer referred to the £28 billion-a-year figure as recently as this week (PA)

By Nina Lloyd, PA Political Correspondent

Labour will abandon its policy of spending £28 billion a year on environmental projects in a major U-turn following months of uncertainty about the pledge.

An announcement on the party’s flagship green prosperity plan is due to be made on Thursday.

Sir Keir Starmer is expected to confirm that the pledge is being scaled back due to changes in the economic landscape since it was first unveiled in 2021.

Last year, Labour adjusted its original plan by saying the £28 billion-a-year spending target would likely be met in the second half of a first parliament, rather than immediately, if the party wins the next election.

The party has since insisted the pledge is subject to its fiscal rules, which include getting debt falling as a percentage of GDP, as it seeks to reassure voters it would handle the economy responsibly in government.

Confusion over the future of the policy has grown in recent weeks as some senior figures refused to refer to the £28 billion-a-year figure, while party leader Sir Keir continued to do so as recently as Tuesday.

Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves has repeatedly declined to recommit to the spending pledge, instead highlighting the need for “iron discipline” with the public finances.

But earlier this week, Sir Keir said the money was “desperately needed” for the party’s key mission to achieve clean power by 2030.

The Conservatives have also seized on the figure as a key attack line in the run-up to an election this year, claiming Labour would ultimately have to raise taxes to meet the “unfunded spending spree”.

Labour has pointed to recent economic turmoil under the Tories, including the turbulence caused by Liz Truss’ mini-budget in 2022, when accused of watering down its flagship environmental pledge.

It was first announced in September 2021 by Ms Reeves, who at the time committed to spending an extra £28 billion each year to help Britain tackle climate change if the party wins power.

The U-turn would come after the Tories claimed an official Treasury costing had suggested that part of the plan – to upgrade insulation for 19 million homes – would cost more than double the party’s estimate of £6 billion.

Chief Secretary to the Treasury Laura Trott said: “This is a serious moment which confirms Labour have no plan for the UK, creating uncertainty for business and our economy. On the day that Labour are finalising their manifesto, Keir Starmer is torpedoing what he has claimed to be his central economic policy purely for short-term campaigning reasons.

“He must explain how he can keep the £28 billion spending when he is finally admitting he doesn’t have a plan to pay for it.




Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves (Stefan Rousseau/PA)

“This black hole will inevitably mean thousands of pounds in higher taxes for working people. That’s why Labour will take Britain back to square one.”

SNP Westminster leader Stephen Flynn said: “Keir Starmer’s damaging decision to cut energy investment will destroy Scottish jobs, harm economic growth and hit families in the pocket by keeping energy bills high.

“It’s a weak and short-sighted U-turn, which shows Westminster is incapable of delivering the investment Scotland needs to compete in the global green energy gold rush and secure strong economic growth.

“As our partners and allies across the world press ahead with investment to attract jobs and secure economic and energy security, the UK has turned away. It’s as depressing as it is predictable.”

Unite, the UK’s second largest trade union and a big Labour donor, said the “retreat” would “confirm workers’ scepticism of the endless promises of jam tomorrow and it will be ‘alright on the night’ rhetoric on the green transition”.

The union’s general secretary Sharon Graham said: “If different choices aren’t made Britain will again lag behind other nations. The German government investment bank already has in its funds equivalent to 15% of German GDP.

“The Labour movement has to stand up to the Conservatives’ false accusations of fiscal irresponsibility. There is a catastrophic crisis of investment in Britain’s economic infrastructure. Britain needs more not less investment.”

The Green Party described the U-turn as a “massive backwards step for the climate, for the economy and for good quality jobs”.

Co-leader of the party Carla Denyer said: “Labour have chosen to wear their fiscal rules as a millstone around their neck. A different approach through tax reforms, in particular by introducing a wealth tax on the super-rich, could help pay for the green transition. There is more than enough money in the economy to pay for this.”

 

Labour to ditch £28bn green investment pledge blaming Tories for 'wrecking the economy'

7 February 2024, 

Leader of the Labour Party, Sir Keir Starmer
Leader of the Labour Party, Sir Keir Starmer. Picture: Getty

By Kieran Kelly

Labour is set to abandon its staple environmental policy of spending £28 billion a year on green projects in a major U-turn.

An announcement about the party's flagship green prosperity plan will be announced on Thursday following months of uncertainty about the pledge.

Senior figures have refused to commit to the figure in recent weeks, even though Sir Keir Starmer used it himself this week.

The Labour leader will confirm that the pledge is being scaled back due to the changing economic landscape, reports suggest.

In 2023, Labour said the £28 billion-a-year target would instead be met in the second half of a first parliament, rather than immediately, should they get into No10.

Labour has insisted for weeks that it remains a target, though said it would be subject to its "strict" fiscal rules, which include getting debt falling as a percentage of GDP.

Read More: Labour slam Tories for "stealing opportunities" on apprenticeships as enrolments down a quarter

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer
Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer. Picture: Getty

Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves has repeatedly declined to recommit to the spending pledge, instead highlighting the need for "iron discipline" with the public finances.

But on Tuesday, Sir Keir said the money was "desperately needed" for the party's key mission to achieve clean power by 2030.

The Conservatives have also seized on the figure as a key attack line in the run-up to an election this year, claiming Labour would ultimately have to raise taxes to meet the "unfunded spending spree".

Read More: Tory minister refuses to apologise after Brianna Ghey's dad calls on PM to say sorry over 'degrading' trans jibe

Labour reconsidering green pledge is not the same as Boris Johnson's 'lying', says James O'Brien

Reacting to the news on LBC this evening, Tory MP and former chief whip Wendy Morton said: "[It's] another flip flop, another u-turn, this just shows Labour doesn't have a plan."

Meanwhile, former Green Party leader Baroness Natalie Bennett said: "If you want green, you clearly have to vote Green at the next election...to be really serious about this, this is obviously a great concern environmentally, but it's also a great concern in terms of the cost of living crisis, in terms of public health and the quality of people's lives."

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer
Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer. Picture: Alamy

Labour has pointed to recent economic turmoil under the Tories, including the turbulence caused by Liz Truss' mini-budget in 2022, when accused of watering down its flagship environmental pledge.

It was first announced in September 2021 by Ms Reeves, who at the time committed to spending an extra £28 billion each year to help Britain tackle climate change if the party wins power.

The U-turn would come after the Tories claimed an official Treasury costing had suggested that part of the plan - to upgrade insulation for 19 million homes - would cost more than double the party's estimate of £6 billion.




So long, farewell, the £28B




By DAN BLOOM
FEBRUARY 8, 2024

Good Thursday morning. This is Dan Bloom.

DRIVING THE DAY

AN EX-£28B: It is no more. It has ceased to be. It’s expired and gone to meet its maker. Bereft of life, etc. Labour leader Keir Starmer is set today to finally take the proverbial blunt object to the £28 billion parrot that has been melodramatically shuffling off its mortal coil for weeks now.

Yes, that’s right: Labour’s latest U-turn is in many ways its most significant. Starmer’s plan to finally decouple his “Green Prosperity Plan” from the amount of cash funding it — announced by his Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves 864 days ago, and salami-sliced since — would surely have been given a carefully crafted reveal had the Guardian’s Kiran Stacey and Pippa Crerar not gone and spoiled it all at 6.52 p.m. Wednesday.

As such … it appeared Labour was still nailing down exactly when, where or how Starmer will make his announcement when Playbook went to pixel. Several officials went to ground while a party spokesperson issued a six-word statement: “There will be an announcement [Thursday].”

SO WHAT REMAINS? While we don’t know what Starmer will say, the likely option seems to be for him to argue the exact amount of dough is less important than the “clean power by 2030” ambition it drives, and he has to deal with whatever finances he’d inherit if he wins the election.

The question is … How will he convince people he can still meet his target while being fuzzy on how to get there? And which bits of the “clean power” mission could be pared back? While the breakdown was always vague, we know the £28 billion was meant to include about £8 billion already spent by the government … with the other £20 billion spread between many things like home insulation, offshore wind and grid upgrades, setting up GB Energy and a National Wealth Fund.

Speaking of which: The Guardian casts doubt on the most user-friendly pledge to insulate about 1.9 million homes a year. Never mind that analysis from Wednesday (which claimed its cost could double) — the Guardian goes the other way and says it won’t even hit its stated £6 billion if fiscal rules aren’t met, and could be almost nothing in the first year.

BACKLASH BEGINS: Tory strategists were all sharing former Blair adviser John McTernan telling Newsnight: “It’s probably the most stupid decision the Labour Party’s made.” He added: “Great parties have great causes. If you don’t have a great cause, you want to change from this government, sure, but change to what? What’s the change Labour now offers? It’s very disappointing.”

From the regions: With exquisite timing, a New Statesman interview dropped in the last hour with northern mayors Andy Burnham and Steve Rotheram, both of whom urge Labour to stick to the pledge.

From the left: The Labour left unsurprisingly is getting stuck in, with one Starmer critic texting: “Starmer overruled by Reeves on 28bn. Who’s really in charge? Manchurian candidate is a compliment.” A spokesperson for left-wing group Momentum said Starmer had “capitulated to right-wing interests” and Unite General Secretary Sharon Graham said it “will confirm workers’ scepticism of the endless promises of jam tomorrow.”

From the green groups: Shaun Spiers of the Green Alliance told Radio 4’s The World Tonight “the certainty that the private sector’s been looking for … has been damaged”

From the Tories: Chief Secretary to the Treasury Laura Trott said Starmer binned “what he has claimed to be his central economic policy purely for short-term campaigning reasons” … Simon Clarke realized David Cameron’s 2015 “chaos with Ed Miliband” tweet had finally come to pass … and CCHQ stayed up until 1 a.m. compiling a colossal thread of 311 times Labour MPs stuck to the £28 billion.

Press verdict: BBC Political Editor Chris Mason concludes it’s been a “mess” that will aid those who claim Starmer “doesn’t believe in anything.” The i’s Hugo Gye says Labour’s many U-turns — including now “flip-flopping on pension pots” — mean Starmer “will need to get his own house in order” to lead an effective government.

Though a note of caution: In a reflection of just how long this story has been sloshing around, it’s only the third-largest piece on the Guardian front page. How much will it cut through?

A WEEK IS A LONG TIME IN POLITICS: It seems so long ago that Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves refused 10 times to commit to the £28 billion (Feb. 1) … Shadow Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds said it was unclear “if we can get” there (Feb. 1) … Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones said it would be “subject to the state of the economy” (Feb. 2) … Yet leader Keir Starmer said £28 billion was “desperately needed” (Feb. 6) … Shadow Culture Minister Chris Bryant said it “will” be £28 billion (Feb. 7) … and a Labour spokesperson tells hacks the party is committed to “£28 billion, subject to the fiscal rules and subject to what the government leave on the table” (Feb. 7, about 1 p.m.) … It’s been a rollercoaster.

Handily out of the country: Reynolds is now in Mumbai, where he met the boss of Tata Sons over doomed steelmaking in Port Talbot, reports the FT.

TWO CAN PLAY AT THAT: The Times points out the green revolution is sputtering elsewhere too. It reports Climate Minister Graham Stuart and DESNZ Permanent Secretary Jeremy Pocklington are in revolt over plans (via the Sunday Times) to scrap the so-called “boiler tax” — a target for firms to install heat pumps, and fines for not meeting it — weeks before its April launch. The paper has seen a message Stuart sent to a Tory WhatsApp group.

DEADLINE DAY: This all comes, of course, on the day Labour officials have to send their policies to HQ for the party’s election manifesto. Aides have spent weeks passing their notes up through junior frontbenchers to shadow cabinet ministers, who then send them to the policy team in LOTO (headed by Director of Policy Stuart Ingham and manifesto lead Rav Athwal). The deadline is the end of today.

War games: So what happens next? Playbook hears the policies will be dumped in a huge shared drive and will go through an internal process which aides are calling “red teaming.” Like what software firms do when they’re war-gaming a cyber-attack — mount an assault and see if the policy survives. It’s also a strategy used by the Ministry of Defense.

What that involves: One aide explains to Playbook: “It goes through any financial implications or holes … the potential for political attack … could it work if we were in government … does it all tally up as one whole offer. We expect to get it back after it’s been through all these people with lots of questions and comments we’ll have to work through.”