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Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Suriname’s Debt Crisis Shows Us How Global Capitalism Works

With rich Amazon forests and fewer than a million people, Suriname is one of the few countries that absorbs more carbon than it produces. But the former Dutch colony is now being forced to implement destructive austerity by global financial interests.
November 18, 2024
Source: Jacobin


A meeting of civil society group, Projekta Suriname. Image Credit: Projekta Suriname



Suriname is a former Dutch colony in South America, best known for the pristine Amazon forests that cover 93 percent of the country and make it one of only three countries that absorb more carbon emissions than they produce. It has recently become more interesting to the rest of the world for two main reasons: the fact that it is experiencing one of the world’s worst debt crises, and the discovery of offshore oil and gas in immense quantities.

The people of Suriname find themselves living in a dual reality. In the present, there is a brutal austerity program imposed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), wreaking the usual havoc on people’s lives. At the same time, politicians assure them that the country has a bright future ahead in which abundant oil revenues will solve all problems and benefit everyone.

Suriname is an important case study in the way financialized neocolonialism works in the twenty-first century. A feminist perspective on debt can supply us with invaluable tools for thinking about the destructive impact of debt and finding ways to combat it.
Debt and Neocolonialism

Suriname’s fertile land and navigable rivers have for centuries been profitable for powerful foreigners. Dutch settlers took over coffee, sugar, and cotton plantations from the British in 1667 and established what was arguably the most brutal slave economy in the region. However, the Dutch colonizers did not stray very far into the forested interior, where indigenous people and Maroon communities of people who escaped slavery defended their autonomy.

Yet even before the country gained its independence from the Netherlands, US commercial interests were transforming the landscape. Vast tracts of forest were flooded, forcing the Maroon Saamaka community from its lands in order to build the Afobaka Dam, which would generate hydroelectric power for the bauxite factory of the Aluminum Company of America (Alcoa).

When Suriname was no longer sufficiently profitable to Alcoa, the company packed up and left, having managed to sell the dam back to Suriname. Thanks to unfair deals that doubled electricity prices and left Suriname exposed to swings in commodity markets, the country even owed Alcoa more than $100 million for electricity that was produced using its own natural resources.

This debt reached crisis proportions in the 2010s with the spending spree of the Dési Bouterse administration. Private lenders and international financial institutions queued up to make loans, often at high interest, amid the deep crash of global commodity prices. Although Bouterse is currently on the run from a twenty-year sentence for murdering political opponents, the Surinamese people still remain liable for the debts and at the mercy of anyone willing to lend money.

Having said no to the conditions set by the IMF in 2018, the government was forced to borrow from a variety of capital market instruments and multilateral creditors such as the Inter-American Development Bank and the Chinese state, again at high interest rates. After the COVID-19 pandemic hit, Suriname defaulted in November 2020.

States are not able to declare bankruptcy in the way that individuals or companies can. Suriname is considered too wealthy to access the Common Framework, the limited and inadequate process for debt relief and restructuring set up by the G20 in the wake of the pandemic. The result, for Suriname and countries across the Global South, is that precious resources needed for health and education drain away to pay the interest on loans.

When countries default, they have to negotiate with their creditors to reduce their debts. Private creditors receive 46 percent of external debt payments from the Global South and own 38 percent of Suriname’s debts. These actors are not used to taking losses when their risky loans go wrong. Private creditors held out in debt-restructuring negotiations with Suriname for an amazingly sweet deal that amounted to canceling just 2 percent of the debt owed. When interest is taken into account, Debt Justice estimates that bondholders will make profits of 80 percent.

Even worse, the bondholders have laid claim to Suriname’s future oil revenues through a value-recovery instrument. If all goes according to plan, this will line their pockets with a staggering windfall of 30 percent of future oil revenues, up to a total of £689 million. Meanwhile, Suriname will continue to spend 27 percent of its government revenues on external debt payments over the next five years.

In order to safeguard this windfall, the agreement with the bondholders is dependent on Suriname changing the legislation of its sovereign wealth fund by December 2024. Fifty years after Suriname’s official independence from the Netherlands, foreign bodies are once again dictating how Suriname uses its resources and what legislation it should pass. This is the new form of colonialism, using debt to gain access to resources.
Debt-Fueled Austerity

The result, for the people of Suriname, is austerity. The IMF demanded savage cuts, based on a flawed methodology that prioritizes capital flows over human rights and the sustainability of life.

These cuts have had a deep impact on people’s lives, plunging the country into political, economic, and social chaos, with strikes and uprisings. Health care has collapsed, medicines are scarce, and operating rooms are empty for lack of materials and qualified personnel. Essential workers such as teachers and health care workers have left the country in droves, poached by institutions in the Netherlands, the former colonizer.

These austerity policies have had a particularly harsh impact on Surinamese women and LGBTQ people, who must pick up the burden of care as the state withdraws. Such feminized care work, disavowed and unpaid, has always been an essential precondition for capitalist profits, even though it is ignored in economic models or deemed “unproductive” in contrast with “productive” paid labor. Debt crises bring this to the fore, as carers have to find money to pay for privatized health services, the skyrocketing prices of essentials, or taxis for children to attend school after school buses and wider networks of public transport have been cut.

Susan Doorson of Women’s Way Foundation highlights the situation of LGBTQ women who face the prospect of going into debt to pay for mental and sexual health services: “How many people in Suriname die because they don’t have access to services? They have to think, am I going to feed the family today or am I going to get this checked out?”

Historic neglect of rural indigenous areas means that health care services are concentrated in the capital, Paramaribo, which is a fifteen-hour boat journey from some communities. According to Audrey Christiaan, ambassador of indigenous cultural group Juku Jume Maro, indigenous communities that “don’t have the luxury of public transport” because of spending cuts and lose access to vital services. In the event of a medical emergency, they face the dramatic expense of hiring a plane to bring people for treatment, which in some cases can be too late.

Austerity forces carers to work longer hours, in more precarious conditions, for lower salaries. Women are disproportionately employed in the public services that face redundancies due to IMF demands to balance the books. The informal sector jobs in which women and LGBTQ people often work also shrink as people cut back on discretionary spending. Inflation in Suriname has meant an 11 percent reduction in purchasing power over the space of a year.

As a result, carers are less able than ever to bear the sudden costs that fall upon them and have to go into debt themselves, as the cycle of debt moves from the state to the household level. At the same time, they have less and less time and resources to provide the unpaid care that service cuts increasingly load onto them, and that society depends on.

A Global Phenomenon

This scenario is not confined to countries like Suriname. We have also seen it play out for communities in the Global North, especially since the 2008 crash, as the governments of rich countries inflict austerity policies with similar narratives to justify them. The crisis of care is now a global phenomenon. As Nancy Fraser has argued, by pushing the unpaid carers on which it depends to the edge of survival while destroying the natural environment it pillages for free resources, global financial capitalism is increasingly cannibalizing the conditions of its own profiteering.

Debt-driven austerity is destabilizing countries across the world. In Suriname, unprecedented protests filled the main square of Paramaribo. But they had limited impact: the Surinamese government has little power in an unfair global system, and it has continued to implement the diktats of creditors and the IMF, despite their deep domestic unpopularity.

As Lucí Cavallero and Verónica Gago have explained, drawing on the experiences of the Ni Una Menos feminist movement in Argentina, debt-driven exploitation enforces obedience at the same time as it generates profits. In contrast to the expense of maintaining a colonial army, debt generates profits even as it controls and coerces.

The same tool that drains resources from communities simultaneously works to make that process of extraction invisible, individual, and shameful, in stark contrast to the collective exploitation of workers on the factory floor. Whereas unionized workers have strength in numbers for their collective struggle against identifiable exploitative employers, the individual stands alone with their debts before the invisible ranks of banks and creditors, while society tells them that it is their own fault.

States also stand alone against their creditors and the IMF, fearing the judgments of credit-rating agencies and stigmatized by a moralizing narrative that debts are the result of irresponsible borrowing, wastefulness, and corruption. When Burkina Faso’s president Thomas Sankara attempted to organize African states to stand in solidarity against neocolonial debt, he was swiftly deposed in a coup and murdered, allegedly with the support of the French state.

A Feminist Issue

We need a feminist perspective to understand and resist the new wave of debt-based expropriation. Feminism has always worked to make the private sphere politically visible and to build forms of collective solidarity against individualized stigma and exploitation. Financialized capitalism is enveloped in mystification: its workings seem opaque even to specialists, and incomprehensible to the people at the sharp end. Movements like Ni Una Menos have focused on demystifying this process, taking debt “out of the closet” and “challenging its power to shame,” in Cavallero and Gago’s powerful words.

We need an internationalist feminism of the 99 percent that can make connections between the impact of the debt and care crises on communities, women, and LGBTQ people in the Global South and North alike. The overlapping crises we face — debt, climate, and care — can only be addressed through international coordination by governments held accountable to and by their people.

Protests against austerity and irresponsible borrowing in the Global South must be combined with demands for solidarity and justice in the Global North. Examples include new laws in the UK and New York that would prevent private creditors from using the courts to demand payment in full from countries in default.

2025 will be a jubilee year, part of a long tradition of periodic debt amnesties that led to large-scale debt cancelation following the global Jubilee 2000 campaign. Twenty-five years on, we need internationalist feminist solidarity to drive the wave of civil society mobilizations that are demanding debt cancellation and a just international debt system.


Sharda Ganga  is the director of Projekta Suriname, a civil society organization focusing on the interlinkage between human rights, democracy, and governance, with a specific focus on women's rights and gender equality. She is also a playwright and newspaper columnist.

Thursday, November 14, 2024

How China’s censorship machine worked to block news of deadly attack


By AFP
November 13, 2024

It took officials nearly 24 hours to reveal that dozens had died
 - Copyright AFP Hector RETAMAL


Mary YANG

At least 35 people were killed and dozens more injured when a man ploughed his car into pedestrians exercising around a sports centre in the southern Chinese city of Zhuhai on Monday night.

Footage showing bodies lying on the pavement appeared on social media in the hours after the crash but had vanished by early Tuesday morning, and local police reported only “injuries”.

It took officials nearly 24 hours to reveal that dozens had died — in one of the country’s deadliest incidents in years.

Here AFP looks at how China jumps into action to block information it does not want shared:


– Social media scrub –

China heavily monitors social media platforms, where it is common for words and topics deemed sensitive to be removed — sometimes within minutes.

On X-like social media platform Weibo, videos and photos showing the bloody moments after the incident late Monday night were swiftly deleted.

Videos of the aftermath posted to Xiaohongshu, China’s equivalent to Instagram, were also taken down.


– 24-hour delay –

Chinese officials did not reveal that dozens had died until almost 24 hours after the attack, with state media reporting the 35 deaths shortly after 6:30 pm on Tuesday.

Soon after, the hashtag “Man in Zhuhai rammed the crowd causing 35 deaths” jumped to the No. 1 trending topic on Weibo and reached 69 million views within an hour.

The fatal crash happened on the eve of China’s largest airshow, taking place in the same city, a showpiece event promoted for weeks by the country’s tightly controlled state media operation.


– State narrative –

State media in China also acts as a government mouthpiece.

The state-backed newspaper Global Times on Wednesday morning published a short story on the “car ramming case” on page 3 — a stark contrast to the front page feature on fighter jets at the airshow nearby.

The Communist Party’s People’s Daily included Chinese President Xi Jinping’s instructions to treat injured residents and punish the perpetrator in a short block of text on its front page.

State broadcaster CCTV’s flagship evening news programme, Xinwen Lianbo, on Tuesday spent about a minute and a half on Xi’s directive to “treat those injured” during the 30-minute show, but shared no footage from the city.

– ‘Order from the top’ –

AFP reporters on the scene in Zhuhai late Tuesday night saw delivery drivers placing online orders of flower bouquets beside flickering candles to commemorate the victims.

But just a few hours later, cleaning staff cleared away the memorial, with some telling AFP they were acting on an “order from the top”.

A handful of people at the site were blocked from taking videos by a police car and security guards shouting: “No filming!”

– Long history –

China has a long history of clamping down on the spread of information, sometimes leading to costly delays in response.

Authorities in 2008 worked to stifle news of contaminated milk that poisoned about 300,000 children — days before the start of the Beijing Olympics.

The Chinese government that year also restricted foreign media access when protests broke out after an earthquake in southwest Sichuan province killed an estimated 70,000 people.

And Chinese censors delayed an early response to Covid-19, penalising local health officials who warned of a fast-spreading coronavirus.

35 dead, 43 injured in vehicle attack at sports center in China



Nov. 12, 2024 

Chinese President Xi Jinping called for a 62-year-old driver to be "severely punished in accordance with the law" after crashing his vehicle into a crowd of people at a sports center in Zhuhai, killing 35 people and injuring 43 others. File Photo by Gianluigi Guercia/UPI | License Photo



Nov. 12 (UPI) -- A man drove a vehicle into a crowd at a sports center in Zhuhai, China, killing 35 people and injuring 43 others, police said.

The Zhuhai Municipal Public Security Bureau said in a statement that the "serious and vicious" attack Monday evening appeared to be deliberate on the part of the 62-year-old driver.

The driver, identified by the surname Fan, was detained at the scene, but was comatose due to a self-inflicted knife wound to the neck, police said.

A preliminary investigation found Fan was angry about the division of assets from his divorce, the statement said.

Investigators determined Fan, driving a small off-road vehicle, had crashed through a gate at the sports center and steered into a crowd of people who were exercising.

State-run Chinese news agency Xinhua reported Chinese President Xi Jinping called on Tuesday for Fan to be "severely punished in accordance with the law."

The attack took place on the eve of the annual Zhuhai airshow, which featured the debut of China's J-35A stealth fighter jet.

The incident is the latest in a string of violent incidents targeting civilians.

At least 11 people were killed in September when a bus crashed into a group of students and parents outside a school in Shandong, and that same month a 10-year-old boy on his way to a Japanese school in Shenzhen was fatally stabbed by a Chinese man.

Three people were killed and 15 injured in a knife attack at a Shanghai supermarket in an October incident on the eve of the 75th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China.

Victor Shih, an expert on Chinese politics at the University of California, San Diego, said tensions are high in the country as a result of economic factors.

"When domestic demand is so weak and the largest property bubble the world has ever seen has popped, the wealth of the vast majority of households is shrinking and that will inevitably cause a lot of social tensions," Shih told The New York Times.

Wednesday, November 13, 2024

'Disturbing scenario': Top economist sees apocalyptic future that MAGA doesn't understand

Sarah K. Burris
November 13, 2024
RAW STORY

A view shows a golden MAGA hat, ahead of a Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump campaign rally in Gastonia, North Carolina, U.S. November 2, 2024. 
REUTERS/Megan Varner

New York Times columnist Paul Krugman predicts that Donald Trump will take credit for all of President Joe Biden's economic successes over the past four years — and anticipates that the President-elect's fans have no idea of the damage his policies could cause.
Krugman began a conversation with The New Republic's Greg Sargent by saying that Americans don't understand how essential immigrants are to the U.S. economy.

"It is something like maybe 8 million undocumented workers in the United States, something like 5 percent of the workforce," he said. "You say, OK, that would be pretty bad if we lose that, but how bad could it be? And the answer is that they are not evenly distributed.

"The whole food supply chain is reliant on people who are going to be rounded up and put in camps."

He said that many people don't understand how food gets to their table, from planting to picking, processing, transporting and stocking. Slogans and absolutist ideas like throwing out immigrants are going to cause "a pretty big shock to people’s cost of living and the way they live," he added.

What became clear this election, he said, is that Americans have very little information about the basics of what Trump was proposing and how it will impact them. After the election was over, Americans searching for information on what a tariff is and how it will impact them spiked over 1,650%, according to Google Trends.

"I’ve been seeing now repeated focus groups after the election with Trump voters who are shocked to find out that tariffs are taxes. And they’ve been deliberately misinformed by Trump people," said Krugman.

One such claim, he said, came from Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH), who told voters that once immigrants are gone, more jobs will be available to Americans.

But that currently redundant workforce doesn't exist, said Krugman.

"We have essentially full employment among native-born Americans. There is no reserve of Americans to take these jobs, by and large jobs that native-born Americans would be very reluctant to take," he said. "People have absolutely no idea — a quorum of people who voted in this election have absolutely no idea of what’s coming down the pike."

He went on to say Stephen Miller, a top campaign adviser who will become the deputy chief of staff for policy, "doesn’t just want to go after low-wage migrants from Latin America.

"He wants to go after high-skilled executives in Silicon Valley because this idea is that there are these jobs and they should be going to Americans. I would be surprised if they actually back off on this. They’ll go quite a ways, and the business community will scream."

Sargent asked about Biden's investments in green manufacturing and rebuilding American infrastructure, anticipating that Trump would take credit for all of them. Krugman agreed, saying that it's happened before. He said Trump took credit for what President Barack Obama did after the economic crash in 2007-2008.

"Disturbing scenario," Sargent summarized. "Trump will take credit for the recovery that is being handed to him, then say his anti-immigrant agenda is driving it."

Read the full interview here.

Sunday, November 10, 2024


‘Trump’s victory is devastating for progressives, but our voice is more important than ever’


Credit: Consolidated News Photos/Shutterstock.com

While working in Chicago for President Obama’s re-election campaign, the words of one man in a focus group the team ran will always stay with me.

He said that he’d voted for Obama in 2008 but for a far right “tea party” candidate at 2010’s mid-terms. We probed him further; we needed to understand why. What he wanted from life, he said, was to have a good job that would allow him to own his home and send his kids to college.

Because of the financial crash, he’d lost his job, his house had been repossessed and he could no longer afford to support his kids. So now, he explained, he would keep voting to fire politicians until his life got better.

14 years on, as many of us around the world reel from the news of Trump’s overnight election victory, and look to understand how and why this has been possible – and the work ahead to fully digest, accept and understand the impact of this result, it is this anecdote that comes back to me – and what it tells us about the motivation of many voters.

Devastating result for progressives

There is no sugar coating it. The result is bleak, bruising and bad beyond words. The consequences of this result will be felt around the world, for years to come. It is a grim day for anyone who cares about an economy that works for working people, women’s reproductive rights, democratic norms, the climate crisis and more.

Millions of Americans are waking up feeling fearful of how this will play out in their lives and what this means for the world. We will see more attacks on reproductive rights, even on things like IVF. We will see a devastating and harsh crackdown on immigration but also on immigrants who already live in the US; the chance of a trade war with China is high; and ongoing US support for Ukraine is now in question.

How did we get here? The post-election analysis will be long and no doubt painful – for the Democrats and beyond. But, it is not without good reason that political strategist after political strategist reaches for the famous 1992 Bill Clinton messaging, ‘it’s the economy stupid’ and ‘change vs more of the same’.

It is indeed a painful fact that a candidate can have the record Trump has in terms of their treatment of groups from women, to Latinos, to the Trans community to migrants – and yet this isn’t a deal breaker amongst the electorate as a whole in electing him when confronted with a cost of living crisis which has hurt working people across the country.

Indeed, in the hours of political commentary that have followed this morning’s results, shock and disbelief amongst presenters and pundits has abounded at the record support for Trump from Latino voters and People of Colour, along with a surprising uptick in support from younger women.

If we strip it back to ‘it’s the economy stupid’ and instead consider many of these voters as working class people, who are struggling to get by and cope with high costs, we can better understand why voting for a candidate who has polled ahead on the economy through the campaign might appeal.

And on the economy, like on so many issues, we see fact and feeling collide in the mind of voters – and feeling win out. Policies Biden has pushed, focused on infrastructure, investment and new green jobs are proving successful. The rub is that they are not yet flowing through to how people feel and therefore what they think. In the course of this campaign the Democrats relied heavily on using graphs and charts to underline this point and try and convince voters of the data. What it ultimately showed is this: feelings don’t believe facts.

Learning lessons from defeat

Would their feelings have been different if voters had believed that a Kamala Harris presidency would offer change rather than more of the same? Perhaps, perhaps not. One of the moments that might most underscore whether things could have turned out differently was the televised debate, where, asked what she would have done differently to the Biden administration, she gave the answer, ‘nothing’. Despite being a new candidate, the incumbency factor cost Kamala Harris dear.

It is too early for Democratic recriminations – but those will come. They will be a grim and probably damaging post-mortem. And the shockwaves will impact us here in the UK too.

For progressives in Britain – whether in Westminster or around the country, like the one million people who are part of the organisation I lead, 38 Degrees, who are united by their desire for a fairer, more respectful and more sustainable country – there are worries about what this might mean in terms of damaging government confidence in pursuing a progressive agenda.

Many politicians have taken confidence from the bold and objectively successful policies of the last Democrat administration. The absence of the example of big bold progressive policies, and the presence of horrendous policies soon to come, could knock the Labour government’s confidence to stick to their guns on their big, bold, progressive pledges.

But I believe, as we enter this unknown new era, it is more important than ever that we stand up for the enduring values of fairness, respect and sustainability. This was a bad night but it doesn’t change the importance of that voice, it makes it more needed.

It is more important today that the government hears demands from public for progress – to counter the wobbles they might have from this defeat of progressives across the pond – the government must stick to its mandate of big bold action on the cost of living, to save the NHS, to protect our environment, and more.

The lessons from this disaster will take time to absorb. But whatever our next steps, the reality is that voters who feel their lives are not being served by politicians, or the economic system they live in, will continue to fire their representatives until their lives get better.

Thursday, November 07, 2024

CPGB

Trump's back. How should the British left respond?

MORNING STAR
Editorial
Wednesday, November 6, 2024


Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump points to the crowd at an election night watch party, November 6, 2024, in West Palm Beach, Fla.


DONALD TRUMP’S victory in the US will embolden the hard right everywhere — including in Britain.

It underlines the ongoing crisis of liberal centrism, which applies well beyond the United States and has its roots in the long-term decline in working-class living standards across the Western world.

Britain is no exception. It’s masked by an electoral system that gifted Labour a huge majority this summer despite an actual decline in its popular vote. In terms of actual support, the biggest electoral shift last July was not left from Conservative to Labour, but right from Conservative to Reform UK, which secured over four million votes.

So there is no room for complacency about the right’s prospects here. Labour on current form is not well placed to defeat an insurgent right. It already polls below 30 per cent, neck and neck with a Tory Party that ought not to be in the running so soon after its worst ever election result.

An insurgent right can only be beaten by an insurgent, radical left. July’s election saw gains for the left, too, with the election of four Green MPs and five independent socialists, four of whom stood primarily on a platform of opposition to Israel’s genocide in Gaza.

All this must inform our response to a Trump presidency. The Democrats’ loss of support was connected to their complicity in Israel’s barbaric war.

Some liberals try to blame anti-war candidates for splitting the “left” vote. But a party facilitating genocide is not on the left. Blame lies not with those who couldn’t stomach a vote for Kamala Harris, but with a Democrat administration that continues to arm and fund Israel’s killing machine.

Trump, of course, is a more explicit enemy of the Palestinians than Harris. He has openly advocated policies the Democrats officially oppose, such as formal annexation of most of the West Bank by Israel.

The British government will likely fall in step with whatever the White House wants, so this must inspire still greater mobilisations in solidarity with Palestine. Israel and its backers must be isolated diplomatically, and Labour must feel real pressure to recognise the Palestinian state and enforce a total arms embargo on Israel.

But that does not mean exaggerating the differences between Trump and Joe Biden. Israel has been aggressively colonising the West Bank for years with effective support from every US administration.

Trump is readier to abandon lip service to the prospect of a sovereign Palestine, but lip service has done nothing for the Palestinians.

The problem is US imperialism, which must be opposed whoever is in power in Washington.

That also means resisting calls for greater European and British militarisation in response to the fears of liberal warmongers over Trump’s perceived lack of commitment to Nato or the war in Ukraine. Indeed, we should use Trump’s unpopularity in Britain to push for a decisive break with Washington and an independent foreign policy.

All this means rebuilding a mass movement for peace and socialism.

Now written out of history, Labour’s big advances in the 2017 election on a socialist manifesto remain the only example in the last decade of the party bucking the trend of declining support.

Hope that “things can, and will change” rested on a clear alternative policy offer involving public ownership and redistribution of wealth, and an army of activists taking that message to community after community.

Keir Starmer’s Labour offers neither. This simply highlights the importance of building a united front from below, uniting the huge peace movement on our streets with a labour movement ready to promote and organise for a real economic alternative.

Failure to do so, out of misguided reluctance to confront a Labour government, allows Starmer and Rachel Reeves to cling to a discredited market liberalism that is rejected by electorate after electorate: and consign Britain to the same fate that has just befallen the United States.

Trump’s Return a Disaster of the US and Planet – The Stop Trump Coalition is Back

“The UK Stop Trump Coalition was formed in January 2017, after Trump was elected for the first time and he declared a “Muslim ban”. Now Stop Trump is mobilising again, ready to oppose his policies once he takes office”

By the Stop Trump Coalition

The return of Donald Trump is a disaster for the US and the planet – for women, for migrants, people of colour, for Muslims, for trans people and for everyone else his administration will target.

It is another boost to the global authoritarian right and the consequences could be dire for for the ongoing genocide in Gaza, the increased killings in the Occupied West Bank, and wars in Lebanon and Ukraine. It will embolden violent racist far-right movements seen on our streets in the UK this summer, targeting Muslims, refugees and asylum seekers.

It is another blow to efforts to limit global rising temperatures and climate catastrophe.

The UK Stop Trump Coalition was formed in January 2017, after Trump was elected for the first time and he declared a “Muslim ban”. Now Stop Trump is mobilising again, ready to oppose his policies once he takes office as well as any UK visits.

The US Democrats have again failed to defeat Trumpism, having refused to provide a real alternative on the economy or on Gaza. We cannot allow our own government to keep making the same mistakes.

It falls to us all – workers, civil rights activists, feminists, anti-racists, the climate movement, genuine progressives of all stripes – to organise a mass movement and push back, in the UK and across the globe, not only against Trumpism, but also the failed politics that keep it alive.

We plan to work in the coming weeks and months to build a broad coalition ready to respond to what comes next.


With Trump’s win, we must redouble efforts to end the genocide in Palestine


“Trump’s support for Netanyahu’s policy is clear.”

By the Stop the War Coalition

Trump’s decisive victory in the US presidential election puts him in a strong position. Trump is a racist and Islamophobe, who has engaged in warmongering in his previous term and is a supporter of Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel.  

He won for a range of reasons, perhaps most importantly economic discontent. His victory also owes much to the refusal of traditionally Democrat voters to endorse Joe Biden and Kamala Harris’ support for Israel’s genocide in Gaza and for extending the war on the Palestinians to Lebanon.

Harris lost the votes of Muslim and Arab Americans, as well as many others, on this issue.  

However, Trump’s support for Netanyahu’s policy is clear. And for all his talk of wanting to stop wars, his record when he last held office shows that far from delivering peace, he doubled down on US war and proxy wars, in Syria, Somalia, Afghanistan, and Yemen. 

He also ordered new nuclear missiles, ripped up nuclear treaties and demanded increased NATO military spending. 

Trump talks of bringing peace to Ukraine, but he is committed to an increasingly hot war with China. He is also demanding that Nato allies increase their defence spending at the expense of funding areas such as health or education.  

Trump has also talked of “two enemies” – outside and inside – and has vowed to defeat that “outside enemy” by mass deportations, reinstating his travel ban on people from predominantly Muslim countries and expanding it to prevent refugees from Gaza entering the US. 

Stop the War convenor Lindsey German said: 

“A Harris victory would not have stopped Israel’s genocide in Gaza or drive to war across the Middle East, but Trump’s racism, Islamophobia and bigotry, and his close relationship with Netanyahu could well enable Israel to pursue its desire for full control of Gaza and the West Bank.  

“We face an extremely dangerous situation worldwide, with a growing arms race. We in the anti-war movement must redouble our efforts to end the genocide and wars in the Middle East. We also need peace in Ukraine, for the west to stop arming Ukraine, and for an end to the escalation of militarism and conflict aimed at China in the Pacific.”




Three-quarters of Labour voters unhappy at Trump victory, poll reveals


Three-quarters of Labour voters are unhappy at Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, latest polling has revealed.

A survey by YouGov found that 75% of Labour supporters were either fairly or very unhappy at the result in America, with only ten percent happy at Trump returning to the White House in January.

Amongst other parties, 79% of Liberal Democrat voters expressed unhappiness at the election result, compared to 51% of Conservatives and just 22% of Reform UK voters.

More than two-thirds of Labour supporters (72%) also thought Trump’s election would be bad for Britain, compared to just nine percent who thought his second term would be good for the UK.

However, Labour voters were divided on how much of an impact Trump’s election would have on their life, with 40% believing his return would not affect them very much and 40% thinking it would affect them either a fair amount or a lot. Only seven percent thought it would not affect them at all.

Liam Byrne: ‘Trump’s victory is a warning to Britain and Europe – fix inequality or populists will win’


Credit: Rubanitor/Shutterstock.com

In the end it was not even close. But the scale of President Trump’s emphatic re-election is not simply a shock, it is a warning to Labour and the European left. Unless we find ways to fix the yawning chasm of inequality that divides our nations, then populists everywhere will continue their onward march.

It will be a few days until we have time to inspect the details of Vice President Harris’ defeat. But there was one clear story about the last time President Trump sailed to victory. The places that were left behind by American growth, the places at the sharp end of growing inequality, were far more likely to vote for Trump.

But guess what?

The same dynamics hold true for the UK, France, and Scandinavia. Those places where the growth in wealth did nor keep pace with the national average were the places that voted for Brexit, Le Pen in France and the Far Right in Scandinavia.

In a seminal piece of political science research, authors Ben Ansell and David Adler reported, “the geography of wealth inequality offers a convincing explanation for the pattern of populist vote share.”

Trump’s re-election shows these forces are not dissipating. Indeed, they may be growing stronger. And the same effect was clear at the last general election here in Britain.

In a new analysis of the election results I looked at the relative increases in aggregate wealth since 2006/08 and the Reform vote in each region at the 2024 general election. What emerged is a clear pattern; those regions where wealth grew least – the North East, the East and West Midlands – voted more heavily for Reform. Where wealth growth was largest – in the South East – the Reform vote was lowest.

The lesson from Trump’s win

This has a clear message for Labour. Bidenomics-style investment is important, but it is not enough. Investment takes a long time to yield results, but voters’ patience is short – nor are voters feeling very optimistic about the future.

In fact new research by the Policy Institute at King’s College London and the Fairness Foundation, and shared on Tuesday night in the House of Commons, showed that here in the UK, people feel the gap in wealth between rich and poor is too big; that the richest in society are now more powerful than national governments – but voters do not think this will change by the end of the parliament.

These sentiments are a clear warning. If we do not fix this, we too will be in peril of the sort of populist surge that took Trump back into office. And the remedy is pretty clear.

Investment in our economy to grow our economy is mission critical. But just as important is a project that connects rising prosperity to those families and places that feel they have been left behind.

It must be a project that not only raises real incomes but actually helps improve the wealth levels of voters who have simply been left behind by the 


Economic crisis, the Democrats and US election

The Democrats failed to address the deep economic crisis that persists in the US, allowing Trump's lies to prove victorious


Trump will not solve the economic crisis in the US (Photo: Liam Enea, CC BY SA 2.0)

By Thomas Foster
Wednesday 06 November 2024
SOCIALIST WORKER Issue


Trump sold the lie that he’d “Make America Great Again” and bring about a “golden age”. The Democrats said America was already great—after failing to improve the lives of the working class.

Trump harnesses a real feeling of resentment, of being left behind, forgotten and ridiculed.

Working class people are suffering and desperate for change in the United States. A glance at the US economy shows how millions of people are suffering.

An AP poll showed that eight in ten voters wanted at least a “substantial change” in how the country is run—including one quarter who said they want “total upheaval”.

Government assistance has faded, demand for foodbanks has surged, food insecurity sky-rocketed and homelessness is at a record high.

The number of people who have difficulty paying for basic household expenses has increased from 32 percent in 2020 to 39 percent in 2024.

That’s now 130 million people out of the total US population of 330 million. Of all US adults, 60 percent have seen their disposable income decline in the last year. And 58 percent live pay cheque to pay cheque. In comparison, 31 percent of British people say they do.

And there are huge long standing structural costs to US life that cause significant problems for working people.

Take healthcare. The privatised US healthcare system means that an essential service remains a huge expense for many Americans.

Just over half of US adults say it’s hard to afford healthcare, with nearly two in five saying they put off or skipped treatment entirely because of cost.

People without health insurance are often faced with a choice between bankruptcy and death.

And the number of people struggling for food is soaring, reaching record highs in 2024. Charities point to high food prices, the gradual disappearance of pandemic-era aid and unaffordable housing.

Nearly 44 million people are living in households where they struggle to get the food they need because they lack money and resources.

That includes 13 million children according to the last report by the US Department of Agriculture. And record levels of homelessness unsurprisingly come alongside high eviction rates and a crisis in affordable housing.

The number of renters who spend more than 30 percent of income on rent and utilities was 22.4 million in 2022, another all-time high. When it comes to childcare, parents are forking out tens of thousands of dollars a year.

In response to hardship, people are ramping up credit card debt with more than a third of people saying they have more credit card debt than in emergency savings. In the last three months of 2023, credit card debt reached a 22 year high of over £1 trillion.

Currently 21 million people are behind on utility bill payments and 25 million are behind on credit card or personal loan payments. These are the highest numbers since the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Inequality has escalated out of control in the US since politicians introduced neoliberal policies in the 1980s.

Yet the income of CEOs in the largest US firms rose by 1,460 percent between 1978 and 2021. The average worker’s pay grew during the same period by only 18.1 percent. To give a sense of the scale, as of 2021, the average CEO got 399 times more than the average worker.

The reality is that the US economy isn’t working for ordinary people—and the Democrats have failed to do anything more than paper over the cracks in the last four years.

The Biden-Harris administration was marked by the state having a prominent role in directing investment in the form of tax incentives, direct subsidies and tariffs to encourage production. But what it did was a far cry from its progressive promises.

It passed bills such as the American Rescue Plan in 2021, which sent out £1,100 in stimulus cheques to most Americans.

It also expanded unemployment insurance, child credit and rental assistance. But it was temporary—a pop-up safety net—with provisions expiring at the end of the pandemic, leaving the deep inequalities unchanged and the crisis unaddressed.

Then there was the Infrastructure of Jobs Act in 2021 that allocated £1 trillion for transportation and infrastructure projects.

The Democrat’s flagship Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 included investments in green energy, including £300 billion in climate spending. But that funding was spread out over a decade.

Most of it was in tax credits and subsidies to big businesses to incentivise private investment in clean energy and green manufacturing.

This is due to its policies being aimed at shoring up the stability of US capitalism, with the US state taking a more active role in bankrolling its corporations to compete globally.

There’s huge class anger in US society. But the Democrats can’t point it to the real enemy—the capitalist class—as this is who they represent.

The result is what we saw on Tuesday—Trump’s anti-establishment fakery and anti-migrant ideas sweeping through.



Defend democracy! Defend the US left, labour movement and minorities!

 6 November, 2024 
 Author: Mark Osborn and Cathy Nugent


Edited Wednesday 6 November

With most of the results in it looks like Trump has retaken the US Presidency.

Although less likely than if he had lost, Trump may call people on to the streets to demonstrate for him. Other immediate and dangerous measures — some taken as revenge on his enemies — will follow.

That is why the US labour movement must organise to protect itself and help to defend Black and migrant communities. Despite the dangers, democrats must come out onto America’s streets to stand up for democracy.

The left must press the Democratic leadership to stand up to Trump’s demagogy. The left must demand the Democrats fight.

Trump, who is a bitter and vengeful man, will be target his political enemies.

Many of Trump’s supporters — around 65% — hold the unhinged belief that he won the 2020 Presidential election and may be motivated to harass Republican rivals.

We may well see an increase in racist street violence by a section of Trump supporters. There is a vast hinterland of racism in the US. 76% of Republicans, according to polls, do not believe the legacy of slavery affects Black people. Now a growing number, in the wake of vicious propaganda and years of anti-Latino migration policies, are hostile to migrants.

Trump, the convicted felon and legally-defined sexual predator, will begin to carry out a reactionary anti-migrant, anti-worker, racist programme. The US crisis in reproductive health care will get worse. Rights for trans people will be further attacked.

Friend of climate change deniers, Trump is a danger to the planet.

Trump has promised to sack officials he hates, sack many other civil servants (paralysing essential services), pack the state machinery with his people, purge the leaderships of the armed forces and secret services.

Trump promises to limit the right to protest and strike, to roll back labour and union rights, to attack electoral processes and further limit voting rights.

Trump promises to "green light" anything and everything that Netanyahu does in his bloody war on the Palestinians. Soon his administration will begin to pressure Ukraine into accepting a rotten "peace" with Putin.

Trump’s corps of political advisors will — after the experience of his first, chaotic Presidency — ensure that whatever Trump has highlighted in his rambling election addresses will have coherence.

Most of all Trump defends the rich, and their right to exploit and to escape taxes. And this is what endears him to the US elite.

Trump’s reactionary personality and vision, now completely dominant in the Republican Party, still does not represent the majority of US citizens. Trumpism has, however, managed to polarise US politics and has given direction to grievances that have arisen from social and economic crises over the past two decades: the destruction of traditional industries, the 2008 financial crash, the pandemic, a rise in the cost of living and worsening inequality.

Glaring inequality, lack of free health care for all, precarity, debt, mass opioid addiction, inadequate housing and expensive education all blight American life.

The Democrats certainly do not have political answers to the social crisis. They are in part to blame for many of the enduring problems of US society. What they have not done in the last four years in power is to blame for Trump’s continuing popularity and their own electoral failure. In the future the US left and working-class will go beyond the Democrats. But the Democrats and Harris were clearly preferable to Trump and the dangers that would be unleashed by him.

That is where we are and the socialist left, and, centrally, the unions, have to rise to the task and present an alternative.

It is also our fight as socialists in the UK. It is our fight because if Trump wins the far right around the world will get a boost.

Is this fascism? We think not, as the Trump movement has not got the organisational or ideological profile associated with the Mussolini or Hitler movements. The fascist moment in history is not being repeated; what we see in India, Turkey and Hungary is not fascism, but authoritarian, far-right, state-manipulated reaction. Trump, Orban, Farage — and to their right, characters like Tommy Robinson — are “brothers-in-arms”, united by their respective ultra-nationalisms and opposition to progressive social change.

What it also is, is a mortal threat to democracy and workers’ rights. The need to defend liberty and democracy is more urgent than it has been for decades. We defend even the restricted, peculiar and limited democracy of the US, with its rigged Supreme Court and ridiculous Electoral College, wrapped around a plutocracy.

Our task will be to support our allies in the US and their fight to protect the ability to organise — the right to protest, free speech, to unionise, to strike, to curb police powers and to demand the radical reform of the brutal racist prison system.

We fight for workers’ democracy, for workers’ liberty.