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Sunday, April 19, 2026

The Poor Did Not Start This Fire – OpEd


April 19, 2026 
By Dr. Fr. John Singarayar


(UCA News) — Stand at the edge of a paddy field in Odisha in March, and you will understand what climate change feels like from the ground.

The sun is already merciless by eight in the morning, pressing down on cracked earth that should still carry some winter moisture. The farmer who has worked this land his entire life squints at a sky that offers nothing.

The heat has arrived earlier than it used to and is sharper than it was, and it will not leave for months. A few hundred kilometers away, in a crowded Mumbai residential building, an elderly man fans himself throughout a night that refuses to cool, his heart straining against the heat the city has never recorded before.

These are not isolated stories. They are India’s new normal, and they carry a public health toll that is only beginning to be fully understood.

India is among the countries most exposed to climate-related health risks, and the reasons are structural as much as geographic.

A vast population — large numbers of whom work outdoors, live in informal settlements, or depend directly on land and water for survival — means that environmental stress translates quickly into human suffering.

When the temperature rises, it is the construction worker on an open site, the agricultural laborer bent over in a field, and the rickshaw puller navigating a concrete city who bear the first and heaviest blow.

Heat exhaustion and heatstroke are no longer occasional emergencies; they are seasonal realities in states like Rajasthan, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, and Maharashtra, where summer temperatures now regularly breach 45 degrees Celsius.

The health consequences extend well beyond heat. Shifting rainfall patterns and warmer standing water have expanded the range and intensity of vector-borne diseases.

Dengue, once concentrated in specific urban pockets, now appears in districts that had little familiarity with it. Malaria persists stubbornly in regions where public health systems assumed it was retreating.

As flood cycles grow more unpredictable, waterborne diseases follow — cholera, typhoid, and leptospirosis spread through communities whose drainage and sanitation infrastructure were never designed for the volumes of water now arriving.

The 2023 floods in Himachal Pradesh and Sikkim were not simply weather events; they were public health crises that overwhelmed local hospitals and contaminated water sources for weeks.

Food security, which underpins everything else, is under quiet but serious pressure. India still carries one of the world’s highest burdens of child malnutrition, and climate disruption makes that burden harder to reduce. Erratic monsoons undermine staple crop yields. Coastal fishing communities along the shores of Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Odisha are watching catches shrink as ocean temperatures rise and fish populations migrate or decline.

When nutrition falters, immunity weakens, and communities already living on the margins become more vulnerable to every other health threat the warming climate produces.

It is the tribal communities, the original inhabitants, and the rural poor who face the sharpest edge of all this. They contribute least to the emissions driving climate change, yet they live closest to the ecosystems being disrupted — forests, rivers, wetlands, and coasts whose stability their health and livelihoods depend on entirely.

When forests are cleared for mining or large infrastructure, when rivers are dammed without adequate consideration of downstream communities, the consequences land not in boardrooms but in bodies. Children go undernourished. Women walk further for water. Men seek work in cities that are themselves overheating.

Pope Francis captured this moral dimension precisely in Laudato Si’ when he wrote that the cry of the earth and the cry of the poor rise as one.

In India, that is not a metaphor. It is visible in the displacement of Indigenous families from forest land, in the saltwater seeping into the wells of Sundarbans villages as sea levels inch upward, and in the farmers of Vidarbha caught between debt and drought.


The encyclical’s concept of integral ecology — the insistence that environmental health and human health cannot be treated as separate concerns — resonates with particular force in a country where so many lives are woven directly into the fabric of the natural world.

Mental health, still insufficiently acknowledged in India’s public health conversation, adds another layer. Farmers who have lost multiple harvests carry a grief and anxiety that does not lift with the next season.

Communities repeatedly displaced by cyclones or floods lose not just property but the psychological ground of home and continuity. Young people in cities and villages alike speak of an unease about their futures that goes beyond ordinary worry.

Eco-anxiety is real, and in India, it is entangled with economic precarity in ways that make it especially difficult to absorb.

None of this is without possibility. India has shown, in solar energy expansion, in community watershed programs, and in mangrove restoration along vulnerable coastlines, that it can act with both ambition and local intelligence.

The question is whether climate action is understood and pursued as a health imperative, not merely an environmental or economic one.

Policies that reduce air pollution protect lungs. Investments in drought-resistant crops reduce malnutrition. Urban greening cools cities and improves mental well-being. These are not separate agendas. They are the same agenda.

India’s climate story is global in its causes and intensely local in its consequences. It is felt in the body of a child coughing through a haze-thickened night and in the hands of a farmer reading a sky that no longer speaks the same language.

The people least responsible for this crisis are absorbing its worst effects with the fewest resources to recover. Responding to that reality with the urgency it demands is not only a matter of smart policy. It is a matter of justice, and on that count, the world still has a great deal to answer for.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official editorial position of UCA News.

Dr. Fr. John Singarayar

Dr. Fr. John Singarayar, SVD, is a member of the Society of the Divine Word, India Mumbai Province, and holds a doctorate in Anthropology. He is the author of seven books and a regular contributor to academic conferences and scholarly publications in the fields of sociology, anthropology, tribal studies, spirituality, and mission studies. He currently serves at the Community and Human Resources Development Centre in Tala, Maharashtra.

Sunday, March 29, 2026

 

Destruction Vs Protection: The Politics of Letting People Die


Akshay Anand 






Today, the State leaves bridges unattended, but maintains its bulldozers perfectly, its fire trucks don’t reach on time, but homes are demolished in a jiffy.

Image Courtesy: Twitter

Last week, Delhi witnessed two fatal incidents. In Gurmandi, a bridge collapsed. In Palam, a fire trapped a family in their home. The former claimed one life- at least officially, while the latter claimed nine, all from same family. Both were preventable.

The Gurmandi bridge was known to be unsafe for over a year. The rational response was to dismantle it and construct a new one. Instead, the authorities simply barricaded one side but left enough space for people to slip through. The bridge cut a 2km detour so locals, including children, continued to use it.

In Palam, the fire brigade wasn’t equipped with a safety net, and the hydraulic ladder was neither deployed in time nor tall enough to reach the blazing third floor, where the family waited to be saved.

These two incidents, despite being different in nature of causes, have one thing in common-- at the moment of crisis, when people needed to be rescued, the State failed. More important, these are not anomalies, but latest entries in the log of preventable deaths in India due to the State’s failure—be it caused by contaminated water, air pollution, pothole accidents, manual scavenging, sewer & septic tanks, bridge & building collapses, hospital fires, stampedes, etc.,. The pattern doesn’t change. Only the location and number of casualties do.

That the State fails is obvious. But failure is quite a simple word, as it suggests a lapse that can be corrected. What happened in Gurmandi and Palam was predictable outcomes of a system designed to prioritise something other than protection of life. The State which leaves the bridge unattended maintains its bulldozers perfectly. The State whose fire truck doesn’t deploy ladders on time, demolishes homes on schedule. The machinery of destruction is always in order, while that of protection is always broken. This is no coincidence. It’s designed to function exactly as it does.

The Betrayal of Social Contract

The relationship between the State and its citizens is often described as a social contract. Individuals consent to surrender certain freedom for their guaranteed protection. The State sets rules, maintains order and ensures safety. If it fails to uphold its end, people have the right to come out of this arrangement.

However, in the modern political system, this contract has become a trap since there is no way a person can ‘choose’ not to be part of the State when it fails. There is no exit option. The State has ensured that being a citizen is the only way an individual has a chance to survive. An individual cannot imagine her existence outside its machinery. In India, the contract is not an imaginary one. It is coded in Article 21 of Constitution, which mandates “Protection of life”, which is, one could argue, consistently being violated by state itself.

 

Procedural State

The gap between the constitutional ‘Right to Life’ and lived reality of being ‘Left to Die’ is not accidental. It is rooted in the structure of the Indian State, which was, similar to other post-colonial States, not born from revolution. It was simply inherited from the British colonial administration that designed it for two major purposes -- extraction of resources and control over population. Our bureaucracy was built to collect revenue, maintain colonial order and suppress dissent. It wasn’t designed to serve people, ensure their welfare and protect them.

This institutional design shapes how the system functions in practice. Scholars define India as a ‘Procedural State’. The job of the bureaucracy is to process files, not save lives. It prioritises following procedures over achieving outcomes. This results in a reactive nature of functioning rather than a proactive one.

The bridge collapsed because of this procedural logic-- it was reported damaged and the correct procedure was followed: restrict access but not enough to disrupt movement so that people don’t demand a new bridge. The State diffuses responsibility across departments so that when a bridge falls, accountability cannot be traced. The officers are not paid to fix problems but to simply follow all the processes.

This can be understood through the ‘principal-agent problem’: the agent – the bureaucracy acts on behalf of the principal -- the citizen, but pursues its own self-interest. The authorities knew the bridge was weak and fire equipment was faulty but reporting these problems would reflect poorly on their performance and require them to work extra. So, they did nothing.

 

Political Visibility

We encounter a puzzle here. Isn’t it glorious for the State to prevent and save lives? It would certainly be electorally rewarding, wouldn’t it? Then why doesn’t the State do more of it? The explanation lies in ‘Political Visibility’. A prevented disaster is invisible. It makes no headlines. A government may gain more votes by inaugurating a new bridge -- which is photogenic, and is etched in public memory through mass media-- than by ordering its maintenance.

There’s a high chance that relief packages handed out during floods generate more traction than handing out budget for flood control measures. The State is rewarded more for recovering than for preventing. It allocates resources where political return is the highest. The fire department arriving with a malfunctioning machine wasn’t some mechanical failure. It was a policy choice. The budget for maintenance was likely diverted and its inspections were likely forged since maintenance is politically invisible. This way, crores of money are saved by government and redirected to fuel populist initiatives such as ‘MLA on Wheels’.

 

Display of Power & Necropolitics

This brings us to another puzzle. Why does the machine that destroys always works while the machine that saves always break? The answer can be traced to the concept of sovereignty. The State’s machinery of destruction is its display of sovereignty. Its display of power. The bulldozer works because the State needs it to work. It caters to their jingoist vote bank -- the performance of being in control, of being able to act. The State maintains its capability of violence while neglecting its capacity to help.

Political theorist Achille Mbembe describes this as Necropolitics: political power operating through deciding who lives and who dies. The State expresses its power not by making people live but through letting them die. Necropolitics isn’t about direct killing. It’s about the capacity of the State to create conditions where certain populations are pushed to death routinely. The bridge that was left to fall and the fire truck that couldn’t reach to third floor were necropolitical events. No one actively killed these people but the State created circumstances where death was inevitable.  
 

Who Does the State Let die?

This raises an uncomfortable question. If the State operates through letting people die, then which people does it let die? Political scientist Partha Chatterjee offers an answer. He distinguishes ‘civil society’ from ‘political society’. Civil society consists of citizens with rights, legal standings and ability to make demands. These are people who matter. Political society, on the other hand, consists of populations that are merely governed, managed, always bargained with and ignored.

 

In India, civil society is the domain of the elite, while political society is the domain of the rest. The victims in Gurmandi belonged to the political society. They were not citizens with effective rights. Their safety was a favour on them, not their right. This is not stated in any government manual. It is embedded in the functioning of the State.

 

Consider the Gurmandi bridge itself. It connected Gurmandi to Roop Nagar. Roop Nagar is affluent. Gurmandi is not. There were concerns among residents of Roop Nagar that the bridge made theft easier. But a complete closure would have disrupted the flow of domestic workers who traveled from Gurmandi to Roop Nagar every day. So, the State arrived at a compromise. The bridge was barricaded, but space was left for pedestrians to slip through. Enough space to cross on foot but not on vehicle. Workers were given space enough to reach work and return home, but not enough to be protected, since they’re part of political society.

 

There lies a paradox here. Roop Nagar residents view Gurmandi with suspicion but they depend on their services. The bridge was necessary not for mobility but for labour supply from Gurmandi to Roop Nagar. The barricading that allowed pedestrian and not vehicle shows us that the presence of people of Gurmandi were tolerated as labour force and not as right-bearing citizens. The children now need to walk 4km extra daily and in the longer run, it would determine who would get education and who would not.

 

Inquiry Commission as Shock Absorber

The State has also engineered a significant mechanism in the form of an Inquiry Commission to ensure the pattern continues without backlash. It absorbs outrage without requiring action. It has become a substitute for accountability. The State justifies that they need inquiry to find out who’s guilty, and since inquiry takes time, they appeal public to have patience.

 

Political scientist Murray Edelman wrote about ‘Symbolic uses of Politics’. He argued that much of what the State does is symbolic, designed to manage public perception rather than solve problems. The inquiry commission is a perfect example. It appears as action but functions as delay.

 

Why does it work? Why do we accept it?

Part of the answer to this lies in the structure of media. Among many things for which the State doesn’t need to worry about, the media’s 24hr news cycle -- now even shorter with social media -- remains at top. It ensures no tragedy occupies our attention for long. Over time, this produces the ‘Routinisation of Tragedy’. The unacceptable tragic deaths are normalised, the backlash is temporary and that’s why the State doesn’t fear it.

Population have become masses and death of people is counted as numbers. The State doesn’t care because it doesn’t have to. The victims belong to political society. An inquiry commission will be announced. Compensation will be provided. The machinery will move on. And most of us will feel gratitude: I am glad it was not me. This gratitude is State’s greatest ally. It turns potential outrage into silence. It seals the fate of those who will die in next tragedy.

The writer is a student at Dept of Political Science, University of Delhi. The views are personal.


Murder of the Dead. First Published: Battaglia Comunista No. 24 1951; Source ... death, as in Diodorus Siculus. The appetite for surplus labour (Capital ...

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

’I hope he can still be saved’: Germans flock to see stranded humpback whale as rescue hopes fade

People from the Institute for Terrestrial and Aquatic Wildlife Research observe a whale washed up on the beach on the Baltic coast near Timmendorfer Strand, Germany, Monday, M
Copyright Ulrich Perrey/dpa via AP


By Ruth Wright & AP
Published on 

Police appealed to locals, who say they heard the whale's cries during the night, to keep their distance so "that the animal does not become even more stressed”.

Rescue teams in northern Germany are working round the clock to refloat a humpback whale.

The 30-foot long mammal is stranded in shallow water in the Baltic Sea, with low tides hampering efforts to get the whale back into deep waters.

“If the whale can’t get off the beach, it’s a death sentence for the animal,” Sven Biertümpfel of Sea Shepherd told German public broadcaster NDR, adding that the whale’s condition is deteriorating by the hour.

The animal, which weighs several tonnes, cannot be pulled back into the sea because it could be seriously injured in the process, experts said.

People from the Institute for Terrestrial and Aquatic Wildlife Research observe a whale washed up on the beach on the Baltic coast near Timmendorfer Strand, Germany, Monday, M
People from the Institute for Terrestrial and Aquatic Wildlife Research observe a whale washed up on the beach on the Baltic coast near Timmendorfer Strand, Germany, Monday, M Ulrich Perrey/dpa via AP

Drones and boats join fight to save stranded humpback whale in Germany


Experts gathered on Tuesday morning on the Timmendorfer Strand beach to find a way to get the mammal off the ground, after the high tide around midnight was not sufficient for the animal to swim free, German news agency dpa reported.

Earlier rescue efforts on Monday afternoon with police boats, inflatable boats and the help of firefighter drones guiding the rescue efforts were also unsuccessful.

The animal is still alive, breathing, making sounds and occasionally lifting its head, Carsten Mannheimer of the marine conservation organization Sea Shepherd told dpa.

So far, all rescue efforts have proven difficult.

Rescuers initially managed to turn the whale so its head was pointing toward deeper water, hoping it could find its own way back there, but the animal then turned back to its previous position.

Boats from the coastguard and the fire department passed by, creating large waves in the hope of freeing the animal - but also without success, German public broadcaster NDR reported.

It was not immediately clear why the whale got stranded, but rescuers found parts of a fishing net wrapped around the body of the whale, which they managed to cut off.

Rescue workers try to bring a whale stranded on the Baltic Sea coast back into deep water, near Timmendorfer Strand, Germany, Monday, March 23, 2026.
Rescue workers try to bring a whale stranded on the Baltic Sea coast back into deep water, near Timmendorfer Strand, Germany, Monday, March 23, 2026. Jens Büttner/dpa via AP

The young male has been spotted in the area before

Experts assume that the whale is a young male, as males, unlike females, tend to migrate. It also seems to be the same whale that has been spotted several times in the port of Wismar in eastern Germany in recent weeks.

In the meantime, police cordoned off the beach area with construction fences to keep a large crowd of onlookers at bay.

"It is very important that the animal does not become even more stressed,” police spokesperson Ulli Fritz Gerlach said.

Standing at a distance from the scene, strollers were out and about on the beach, moved by the struggle of the whale.

“Poor thing. I hope he can still be saved,” said Stefan Stauch, who had come with his wife from the nearby village of Scharbeutz. He said they had heard the whale's sounds during the night.

“We had hoped that the rising tide during the night would free him, but that didn’t work out.”

Monday, March 23, 2026

Anger rises towards authorities as torrential rains kill over 80 people in Kenya

Storms that triggered flash floods in Kenya have killed at least 81 people so far this month, authorities said, as rain continued to pound much of the country. In the capital Nairobi, one of the hardest hit areas, the governor has come under fire for bad planning, with calls for him to resign.


Issued on: 23/03/2026 - RFI


Residents walk through a flooded area in West Nyakach, Kisumu County, on 22 March, 2026.    AFP - BRIAN ONGORO


Torrential rains continue to cause widespread damage across Kenya for the third week running.

Eighty-one people have lost their lives in the floods since the beginning of March, according to the latest police figures released on Sunday. More than 2,000 families have been displaced.

"The cumulative number of fatalities has unfortunately risen to 81," national police spokesman Muchiri Nyaga said in a statement. "Additionally, flash floods have swept through several areas, displacing approximately 2,690 families and causing widespread destruction of infrastructure and property."

The capital, Nairobi, remains the hardest-hit area with 37 people killed. With heavy rains expected to continue, residents living along the rivers remain on high alert.

The rain is forecast to continue until at least Tuesday, prompting authorities to call for "extreme caution".

From Nairobi to western Kenya

In the Mukuru Kayaba slum of Nairobi, the Ngong River overflowed its banks on the nights of 6-7 and 14-15 March, causing flash floods.

Dorothy Mathai saw her home submerged twice. "I’m very scared; I can’t sleep anymore," she told RFI's correspondent in Nairobi. "I regularly check the river to see if the level is rising."

On Friday night, authorities called on residents to evacuate several slum neighbourhoods downstream from the Nairobi dam, warning of an imminent risk of flooding as rising water levels threatened to breach the dam embankment, according to local media. The dam has held so far.

A fisherman tries to catch fish in a flooded area in West Nyakach, Kisumu County, on 22 March , 2026, after torrential storms that have triggered flash floods have killed at least 81 people this month, authorities said Sunday. AFP - BRIAN ONGORO


In the country's hard-hit west, residents waded through flood waters with their belongings on their heads and evacuated in crowded boats, reporters from French news agency AFP saw.

Flash floods submerged entire villages in Kisumu county, destroying around 1,200 hectares (3,000 acres) of farmland and sweeping away crops.

More than 3,000 families have been forced from their homes in the community of Nyakach, with some sheltering in eight evacuation centres, locals said, as rising waters from the overflowing River Mirui continue to threaten the community.

"We have lost quite a number of farmlands with massive erosion, and the farm plants that we had planted," said the chief of Nyakach, Seth Oluoch Agwanda, 57.

Two people also drowned overnight in floods in the town of Kiambu, just outside the capital, police told AFP. Two also died as landslides hit the western village of Kasaka, burying numerous homes, reported private broadcaster Citizen TV.

In Nyakach, in the west, children walked through knee-high water and residents scooped water from inundated houses, while some were submerged up to the roof.

"We are migrating because the place where we were staying is badly flooded. We still don't know where we are going to get shelter with our animals because there is no house or home that is not flooded," Kennedy Oguta, 50, told AFP.
'They should plan better'

Critics have called for the resignation of Nairobi Governor Johnson Sakaja. He had vowed to improve the capital's drainage and road infrastructure when he took office in 2022, but the improvement wasn't made.

"The government should have a plan, whether it's to relocate us or to open the dam to let the water through. They should plan better," Clinton Kissia, told RFI from Mukuru Kayaba.

Anger is growing against the authorities. The governor of the capital has just ordered the demolition of illegal constructions on the banks of rivers, which are being singled out as reducing the flow of water and the absorption capacity of the riverbanks.

Studies indicate east Africa has been hit by more extreme rains and droughts over the past two decades. Scientists also say human-caused climate change is increasing the probability, length and severity of extreme weather events.

(with AFP)

Wednesday, March 18, 2026

National park land literally blown up by Trump's obsession in key swing state

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks, as a patch of blemished skin is visible above his shirt collar, during a Medal of Honor ceremony at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Ken Cedeno

March 18, 2026
ALTERNET

In the past, Arizona had a reputation for being reliably conservative. Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-Arizona), despite his vehement disdain for the Religious Right, was a highly influential figure in the Republican Party — and his successor, GOP Sen. John McCain, identified as a "Goldwater Republican."

But Arizona has evolved into a volatile swing state. Arizona has a Democratic governor (Katie Hobbs) and two Democratic U.S. senators (Mark Kelly and Ruben Gallego), yet Donald Trump carried Arizona by roughly 5.5 percent in 2024. And Republicans have majorities in both houses of the Arizona State Legislature.

Arizona is having plenty of heated political debates in 2026, and one of them involves the border wall project that got underway during Trump's first presidency. MAGA Republicans in Arizona want to see the construction of a U.S./Mexico border wall continue to move forward, but other Arizona residents are saying that while they want border security, they also have environmental concerns.

The Atlantic's Nick Miroff addresses those concerns in an article published on March 17, describing the effect of national park lands in the key swing state.

"At Coronado National Memorial in Arizona," Miroff explains, "the demolition crews blowing up national-park land tend to announce explosions at least a day in advance, as a warning for hikers to stay away. The crews have been working their way up the western slope of the park for the past couple of months, right along the international boundary with Mexico. President Trump's border wall needs a smooth, straight path, and there are mountains in the way. Trump didn't build along this stretch of the border during his first term, but his crews are now working at a furious pace."

Miroff adds, "They have already completed about five miles of 30-foot-tall barrier, painted jet black at the president's insistence because he thought it looked more intimidating and would be hotter to the touch."


One of the longtime Arizona residents who is openly critical of border wall construction in the San Raphael Valley area is Kate Scott, who said that seeing the wall makes her feel "physically sick."

Scott told The Atlantic, "I refuse to allow people to take our land, annihilate our animals, our plants, our water. I do not accept that as my reality. And if more people started to understand that it's not our reality to accept, they will come up with ways to push back."

Zay Hartigan, a local fire chief in that area of Arizona, told The Atlantic he considers the border wall "just a waste of money" and that surveillance towers deter smugglers.

"The valley had been shaped across tens of millions of years, by volcanoes, floods, earthquakes," Miroff notes. "Native peoples, Spanish explorers, Mexican settlers, Apache warriors, cowboys, and mountain bikers all passed through. None of them has left anything as immense and lasting as what Trump is building."

Friday, March 13, 2026

 

American Meteorological Society and partners issue statement on public availability of scientific evidence on climate change


Statement responds to removal of climate science from U.S. judicial reference manual and proposed removal of the same information by the National Academies



American Meteorological Society





The American Meteorological Society, joined by partner societies including the Ecological Society of America, the American Statistical Association, the Woodwell Climate Research Center, and the American Institute of Biological Sciences, has released a statement on “Public Availability of Scientific Information and Scientific Evidence on Climate Change” in response to the decision by the Federal Judiciary Center (FJC) to remove the climate science chapter from the Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence, Fourth Edition and a February letter from 21 state attorneys general urging the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM) to omit similar guidance regarding climate change.

The AMS statement emphasizes that the removed chapter reflects the broad scientific conclusions reached through decades of rigorous research and comprehensive assessments conducted by thousands of independent scientists and scientific organizations.

AMS and the co-signing societies warn that removing this material could limit access by public officials—including those in the legal system—to the best available scientific understanding of climate change, while also potentially discouraging scientists from contributing expertise to public decision-making.

The statement begins as follows:

“The American Meteorological Society and the scientific societies listed below are surprised and concerned with the decision by the Federal Judiciary Center (FJC) to remove the climate science chapter from the Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence, Fourth Edition and the subsequent letter of February 19, 2026 from 21 attorneys general to the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM). 

We are surprised because the climate science chapter from the Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence, Fourth Edition, is consistent with all other comprehensive, robust, and rigorous assessments of the science that we are familiar with. It reflects the broad scientific conclusions that result from comprehensive evaluations of evidence and that are based on the efforts of thousands of independent scientists.1 The evidence relating to climate change has been comprehensively assessed hundreds of times by subject matter experts and scientific organizations that are motivated to be scientifically accurate—people and organizations whose credibility increases with scientific accuracy or diminishes with scientific errors.

Therefore, the FJC decision and the subsequent letter appear to us to be at odds with decades of intensive scientific investigation.

We also have two concerns: 1) that removal of the chapter will mean that public officials will not have access to the best available scientific knowledge and understanding with respect to climate change, and 2) that the actions of people in positions of power will discourage scientists from providing public officials with the best available knowledge and understanding.”

Footnote: 1. The science of climate change spans dozens of fields and sub-fields within the physical, natural, and social sciences relating to the Earth and environment. These include (but are not limited to) atmospheric physics, atmospheric chemistry, oceanography (physical, chemical, and biological), cryology, glaciology, biology, physiology, biogeography, biogeochemistry, health, and economics, among others. Each of these disciplines has hundreds of practicing scientists—tens of thousands of scientists overall.

Read the full statement here.

The statement reiterates several key scientific conclusions: that climate change is occurring at an unusual rate and scale, that human activities are the primary driver, that the impacts are harmful and increasing, and that these findings reflect overwhelming agreement among experts who study the evidence.

AMS and its partners urge reinstatement of the climate science chapter and reaffirm their readiness to assist public officials in accessing and applying the best available scientific knowledge.
 

 

AMS Science Preview: Mississippi River, ocean carbon storage, gender and floods



Early online research from journals of the American Meteorological Society




American Meteorological Society




The American Meteorological Society continuously publishes research on climate, weather, and water in its 12 journals. Many of these articles are available for early online access–they are peer-reviewed, but not yet in their final published form. Below are some recent examples of online and early-online research.


JOURNAL ARTICLES

21st Century Hydrological Trends in the Mississippi River Basin Intensify the East to West Moisture Gradient
Journal of Climate

Models suggest precipitation and evaporation will both increase in the Mississippi basin. A study combining 19 climate models suggests that under a medium-high carbon emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0), precipitation will increase throughout the Mississippi River basin in the 21st century. However, soil moisture is likely to decrease due to increased evaporation. Water runoff and river discharge appear to vary among the different models and river sub-basins, but in general runoff tends to increase in eastern areas, with drying more likely in the Missouri River sub-basin.

Understanding the Role of Climate Skepticism in Climate Change Adaptation: a case study of Western U.S. ranchers
Weather, Climate, and Society

Western U.S. ranchers are skeptical of climate change. They adapt anyway. Interviews with 23 ranchers in western U.S. rangelands found that most professed doubt about anthropogenic climate change, yet were very aware of changes in their environment. They adopted a range of adaptation strategies without attributing them to climate change. The researchers suggest that a position of climate skepticism allows ranchers to adapt to protect their livelihoods while preserving personal identity and community beliefs.

Stronger Southern Ocean Anthropogenic Carbon Uptake in Eddying Ocean Simulations
Journal of Climate

High-resolution models show increased Southern Ocean carbon absorption. Low-resolution Earth system models often fail to simulate medium-scale ocean eddies and similar features. A new study finds that higher-resolution models of the Southern Ocean, which do simulate those eddies, show the Southern Ocean taking up about 10% more anthropogenic carbon. This helps explain discrepancies between models and observations, and suggests that low-resolution models may underestimate carbon storage in the Southern Ocean.

The Role of Gender in Flood Mortality in European and Mediterranean Territories
Weather, Climate, and Society

Men are overrepresented in European flood deaths. Data from 2,875 flood fatalities in European and Mediterranean areas finds that men accounted for 61% of deaths. Male fatalities were more likely to occur in high-risk, active, and outdoor settings such as crossing rivers, while women were more likely to die in indoor and more passive settings such as being trapped at home by flood waters.

Projected Future Changes of Atmospheric Rivers by a High- and Low-resolution CESM
Journal of Climate

High-and low-resolution simulations agree atmospheric rivers will be more frequent and intense under warming. Most projections of future atmospheric rivers (ARs) rely on low-resolution climate models; a new study suggests these models underestimate the actual values of AR frequency, intensity, and precipitation by up to 40%. Despite this, high- and low-resolution models agree that ARs will become around 30% more frequent, 40% more intense, and 30% rainier under climate change.

An Ultra-Fine Resolution Numerical Investigation of the Influence of Terrain on Tornado Behavior
Monthly Weather Review

Interacting with terrain may widen and strengthen tornadoes. A novel, very-high-resolution numerical study modeled tornadoes in idealized terrain as well as a digitized version of real terrain. In the idealized terrain, slopes and hills increased the width, intensity, and peak wind speed of simulated tornadoes in ways that varied with the shape and slope of terrain. This was also true in a simulated version of real terrain, but the effects were smaller and more complex.

Association between Political Ideology and Climate Change Risk Perception in Anglo-Saxon Countries: Does Perceived Extreme Weather Experience Matter?
Weather, Climate, and Society

Extreme weather experience can reduce polarization around climate change. Cross-national survey data from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia finds that of the three countries, U.S. residents overall have the lowest and most divided perceptions of climate change risk.  Individuals with right-leaning ideology have a significantly lower risk perception. Perceived extreme weather experience raises risk perception in all three countries and, in the U.S., weakens the role of ideology, especially among the right-leaning public. 

Seasonal & Geographical Patterns of Lightning Incidence in New Mexico
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

New Mexico’s most dangerous areas for lightning. 22 years of data from the U.S. National Lightning Detection Network suggest that New Mexico counties near the Texas border (especially Roosevelt County) have the highest density in the state of cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning strikes, which can initiate dangerous wildfires. In addition, there are high rates of CG lightning in forested mountain areas, with the Gila and Lincoln National Forests showing the highest incidence.

Modeling the Impact of Rural-Urban Migration on Carbon Intensity: An environmentally constrained dual urban-rural DSGE approach
Weather, Climate, and Society

Rural-urban migration and wage fairness appear to reduce carbon emissions in China. A modeling study suggests that Chinese policies encouraging rural-to-urban migration reduce overall carbon emissions (emissions increase in cities, but this is outweighed by a reduction in rural areas) and increase economic growth; however, this effect is dampened when rural-to-urban migrants experience wage discrimination. Following periods of increased migration, a gradual rollback of policies incentivizing rural-urban migration also appears to reduce emissions and enhance growth.

Land-Atmosphere Interaction Responses of Burn Scar Heat Islands: A Case Study of the 2018 Camp Fire
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

The 2018 Camp Fire created “heat islands” in Northern California by altering heat and moisture exchange between the land and atmosphere. Researchers using satellite imagery and numerical models found that subsequent changes in local wind, cloud, and precipitation patterns persist for long periods, especially in areas with complex terrain, highlighting the need for improved post-fire planning.

Uneven Climate Adaptation: Mapping Socio-Institutional Vulnerability across Europe’s Secondary Cities
Weather, Climate, and Society

Mismatch between climate impacts and adaptation capacity means uneven vulnerability for smaller European cities. Combining statistics from many sectors across 30 medium-sized cities in Central and Southern Europe finds that Central European cities tend to have more institutional capacity to adapt to climate change, even though they exhibit deeper social inequalities. In Southern European cities, citizens are frequently more civically engaged but administrative capacity and financial resources for climate adaptation are limited.

Warming and Wetting Induced by Urbanization and Anthropogenic Heat over a Fast-Developing Large River Delta
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

Rapid urbanization is causing hotter, wetter summers for city dwellers in China’s Pearl River Delta. The Pearl River Delta is one of the world’s most rapidly urbanizing areas. A simulation study suggests that the conversion of vegetated land to impervious surface is driving observed increases in summer air temperature and rainfall. This is intensified by increased heat generated by buildings, vehicles, and people.

When Climate Justice Frame Backfires in China: Personal Norms as a Key Moderator
Weather, Climate, and Society

Climate justice framing fails to encourage public engagement in China. An online survey of 242 people in China found that framing issues in terms of climate justice encouraged those with existing personal intentions to act on climate, and discouraged those without them, with a negative effect on participants’ support for climate policies and intentions for pro-environment behavior. The researchers suggest this may be due to a framing of climate change as others’ responsibility (e.g., Western nations and elites) and a cultural environment encouraging institutional rather than individual action.

Mapping Synchronous Heatwaves in the Northern Hemisphere: Insights from Climate Network Analysis
Journal of Climate

Areas continents apart are prone to sync up on extreme heatwaves. Simultaneous extreme heatwaves are becoming more frequent and severe in the Northern Hemisphere. This study maps out the areas most prone to having extreme heat at the same time. Southeast Asia and western North America tend to synchronize with the Caspian Sea, while East Asia and southern North America often synchronize with north-central Europe.

You can view all research published in AMS Journals at journals.ametsoc.org.


About the American Meteorological Society

The American Meteorological Society advances the atmospheric and related sciences, technologies, applications, and services for the benefit of society. Founded in 1919, AMS has a membership of around 12,000 professionals, students, and weather enthusiasts. AMS publishes 12 atmospheric and related oceanic and hydrologic science journals; hosts more than 12 conferences annually; and offers numerous programs and services. Visit us at www.ametsoc.org/.

About AMS Journals

The American Meteorological Society continuously publishes research on climate, weather, and water in its 12 journals. Some AMS journals are open access. Media login credentials are available for subscription journals. Journals include the Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyWeather, Climate, and Society, the Journal of Climate, and Monthly Weather Review.