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Tuesday, December 09, 2025

 Eiffel Closes €1.2 Billion Fund to Accelerate Europe’s Energy Transition



By Charles Kennedy - Dec 09, 2025


Eiffel Investment Group has completed fundraising for its latest energy-transition infrastructure debt vehicle, Eiffel Energy Transition III, hitting its €1.2 billion hard cap and surpassing an initial €1 billion target.

The new fund marks the largest vintage in Eiffel’s energy-transition program and underscores accelerating capital demand for renewable energy across Europe. The strategy provides short-term, flexible debt to renewable developers, bridging a financing gap between costly equity and slower-moving long-term project finance—an area where infrastructure investors see rising structural imbalance.

Nearly half of commitments came from institutions that backed Eiffel’s previous two funds, highlighting the program’s performance and investor confidence. More than 30 major French and international investors joined the round, many seeking exposure to stable, collateralized green-energy assets at a moment when Europe faces record financing needs to meet decarbonization and energy sovereignty goals.


Since launching its first fund in 2017, Eiffel has financed more than 5,000 renewable assets—solar, wind, biomass, biogas, hydro, cogeneration, and efficiency projects—equivalent to 15 GW of low-carbon capacity. The firm has supported over 100 developers across Europe, helping accelerate project deployment in markets where permitting and capital constraints often delay build-out. Recent financings include solar portfolios in Ireland and Germany with Power Capital Renewable Energy and Enerparc.

Eiffel Energy Transition III is expected to deploy roughly €3 billion over its eight-year life thanks to recycling of repaid capital. The firm reports a €1.5 billion pipeline and reviewed over €7 billion in opportunities across 2024–2025. More than half of upcoming financings involve repeat borrowers, reflecting long-term relationships and larger-scale project ambitions.

The company has also expanded its infrastructure investment team to more than 30 professionals, adding four senior hires in 2025 to manage the accelerated deployment pace and portfolio oversight.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com



Europe Fast-Tracks Industrial Electrification With €1B Auction

  • The EU has launched its first-ever industrial electrification auction, offering €1 billion in subsidies to replace fossil-fueled process heat with electric and renewable systems.

  • Electrification is pulling ahead of hydrogen and CCS, as heat pumps, electric boilers, and similar technologies can be installed quickly.

  • This auction marks a deeper shift in EU industrial policy.

The European Commission’s announcement of the first-ever EU-wide industrial electrification auction marks more than a new funding mechanism; it represents a philosophical shift in how Europe intends to decarbonize its industries, and a signal that, at least for now, electrons are pulling ahead of molecules in the energy transition race.

With a budget of €1 billion under the Innovation Fund, the pilot auction will subsidize the direct electrification of industrial process heat, one of the most stubborn and carbon-intensive parts of the industrial value chain. This is the world’s first auction of its kind, and its implications stretch far beyond factory walls.

Electrifying the hardest heat

Process heat is the silent giant of industrial emissions. It powers furnaces, reactors, dryers, and kilns in sectors ranging from steel and cement to chemicals, glass, and food production. It accounts for roughly one quarter of Europe’s industrial CO2 footprint, yet remains largely fossil-fueled.

The new auction directly targets that problem. Eligible technologies include industrial heat pumps, electric boilers, resistance and induction systems, plasma torches, as well as solar thermal and geothermal systems. In essence, it opens the door for any system that replaces fossil heat with clean electricity or direct renewable heat.

Projects will compete for a fixed premium subsidy per tonne of CO2 abated, paid for up to five years. This results-based model rewards measurable carbon reduction rather than theoretical potential, an important distinction. By tying payments to verified performance, the EU hopes to attract bankable projects and bridge the economic gap between conventional and electrified heat.

The auction is expected to open in December 2025, giving the industry a year to configure systems, partnerships, and monitoring plans. That may sound distant, but in industrial planning terms, it is the blink of an eye.

A test of scale and speed

The significance of this auction goes beyond the €1 billion headline. It signals that electrification has matured from an efficiency measure to a pillar of industrial decarbonization policy.

While Europe has spent years debating hydrogen backbones, carbon capture networks, and cross-border CO2 storage, electrification is quietly emerging as the fastest-moving front. The technologies exist, the supply chains are mostly domestic, and the emissions benefits are immediate.

Industrial heat pumps and electric boilers can be installed within existing plants, often with minimal permitting. They integrate naturally with renewables and with the grid, especially when paired with flexibility measures that shift demand away from peak hours. In a system increasingly constrained by intermittency, these grid-friendly industrial assets are valuable not only for emissions reduction but for balancing electricity supply and demand.

Related: French Major TotalEnergies Scales Up North Sea Operations

By contrast, molecule-based pathways such as hydrogen, synthetic fuels, or CCS remain hampered by high costs, infrastructure bottlenecks, and fragmented policy support. Hydrogen production still depends on expensive electrolysers and clean power availability. CCS requires transport and storage capacity that remains scarce and politically sensitive.

In short, electrons can move faster than molecules.

The economics of momentum

The economics reinforce this trend. Electrified heat is capital-intensive but relatively simple to finance once policy provides a predictable premium. The auction’s pay-per-ton model mimics the logic of the U.S. 45Q tax credit for carbon capture, reward verified abatement, de-risks investment, and lets the market find the most efficient projects.

Hydrogen and CCS, meanwhile, remain hostage to system-level costs. Producing, transporting, and storing molecules, whether hydrogen or CO2, demands massive, integrated infrastructure that no single project can justify alone. Without a guaranteed offtake market or a predictable price for avoided carbon, private investors stay cautious.

That difference in scalability may define the next decade of European decarbonization. Electrification can move incrementally, one boiler, one line, one plant at a time. Molecule-based systems need a whole ecosystem to move together.

Europe’s strategic rebalancing

The timing of this policy pivot is not accidental. High gas prices, volatile ETS costs, and tightening climate targets have forced policymakers to confront industrial exposure to fossil fuel volatility. By electrifying heat with locally sourced renewables, Europe strengthens both energy security and industrial competitiveness.

There is also a deeper strategic message. The electrification auction is a prototype for what the Commission calls the Industrial Decarbonisation Bank, a permanent facility to finance low-carbon industrial investment. If the pilot succeeds, it could expand into a much larger platform, channeling billions into technologies that reduce industrial CO2 at source.

In that sense, this is more than a funding call, it is a stress test for Europe’s ability to move from rhetoric to replication.

The coming divergence, electrons vs. molecules

This growing divergence between electron-based and molecule-based approaches reflects a broader philosophical split in Europe’s transition planning.

Hydrogen and CCS have long dominated headlines, political speeches, and national strategies. They are indispensable for deep decarbonization, no one doubts that, but their deployment remains slow, costly, and infrastructure-heavy. Electrification, on the other hand, advances quietly because it relies on existing systems.

In practice, a factory can replace a fossil boiler with an electric one far faster than it can install a CCS unit or switch to hydrogen combustion. The capital costs may be comparable, but the regulatory and infrastructure complexity is not. That simplicity could make electrification Europe’s bridge technology for the 2030s, cutting emissions now, while hydrogen and CCS catch up.

The danger, of course, is overcorrection. A Europe that bets everything on electrification could still hit limits, grid capacity, renewable intermittency, and high industrial electricity prices. The challenge will be to use auctions like this not as an endpoint, but as a learning mechanism to optimize system integration, combining the immediacy of electrification with the longer-term flexibility of low-carbon molecules.

A quiet revolution in industrial policy

For decades, industrial decarbonization was seen as a future problem. The Innovation Fund’s electrification auction brings it into the present tense. It rewards results, not roadmaps, and signals that Brussels is finally willing to spend serious money on proven solutions.

It also marks a new chapter in industrial policy, Europe is starting to back winners based on technological readiness, not political symmetry. Where hydrogen and CCS still depend on frameworks under construction, electrification now has a launchpad.

Whether this becomes a model for future auctions covering cooling, storage, or low-carbon feedstocks will depend on its success in attracting viable bids and delivering measurable CO2 reductions. But the direction of travel is clear, Europe wants to move from blueprints to building sites.

The transition’s next inflection point

In the end, the auction’s real importance lies in its symbolism. For years, Europe has talked about industrial decarbonization as a long-term challenge. This initiative says something different, the technologies are ready, the money is available, and the political case is undeniable.

Electrons may not solve everything, but they are solving something now. Molecules will follow, eventually. The race is no longer between technologies, but between time and temperature.

Europe’s first industrial electrification auction may not make headlines like hydrogen valleys or CCS hubs, but in terms of tangible progress, it might just prove the most consequential.

By Leon Stille for Oilprice.com


Carbon Tax Puts EU at Odds With Export Majors

  • The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is a new EU tax on imports from countries with less strict emission standards, designed to create a "level playing field" for European industries hurt by the EU's strict green mandates.

  • Major exporters like India are already seeking alternative markets for goods such as steel, the production of which is incompatible with the EU’s low-emission requirements.

  • The effectiveness of CBAM is at risk due to issues in its implementation, specifically inconsistencies in the default emission values assigned to exporting nations, which some industry executives warn could allow high-emission imports to enter the EU with insufficient carbon costs.

On January 1 next year, a new tax will come into effect in the European Union. Dubbed the carbon border adjustment mechanism, the tax will be imposed on imports from non-EU countries with less strict emission reduction standards. Those countries are already speaking out against the tax—and the EU is about to face some unforeseen consequences.

Last week, Reuters reported that Indian steel exporters were looking for new markets to replace the European Union, which currently absorbs as much as two-thirds of Indian steel exports. India’s steel manufacturing is done in blast furnaces fueled with coal, which is incompatible with the European Union’s emission reduction plans. Steel mills could switch to electric arc furnaces from coal-fired blast furnaces. The electric version has a lower emissions footprint, but such a switch would take time and money—quite a bit of it. Europe itself makes steel in electric arc furnaces, and this is still rather expensive.

It was in response to European industries that the carbon border adjustment mechanism, or CBAM, was drafted in the first place. The EU’s strict emission reduction targets and the mandatory requirements that go with them were making European goods uncompetitive on international markets, hurting steelmakers, cement producers, carmakers, and all other industries, really. So, these industries spoke up and got this sort of a concession, which fits in perfectly with the European Union’s ambition to become a standard-setter in climate policies.

“If you want to create a level playing field, if you are asking this [green standards] from companies in Europe, then it also makes sense to ask it from companies from outside of Europe [which are selling into the EU],” the EU’s climate commissioner, Wopke Hoekstra, told the Financial Times this month. Indeed, it makes sense to have one standard for all. Unfortunately, enforcement may not be as easy as Mr. Hoekstra made it sound in his interview with the Financial Times.

“As people get used to it and it gets implemented, it will be less of a conversation,” Hoekstra claimed. That might be true for people in general, but for people running companies that depend on export revenues, things look a little bit differently. To comply with European standards in emission reduction, these specific people would need to spend a certain amount of money to transform their production process and make it more vulnerable to cost shocks because electric arc furnaces, as the name suggests, work with electricity rather than coal. This is arguably a big reason why European steelmakers are finding it difficult to compete: for each ton of carbon dioxide they emit, European industries have to pay some 80 euro, equal to over $93. Yet they do not really have a choice.

India, China, and other exporters to the European Union do have a choice. “Some of those making money out of [fossil fuels] are seeking to prolong that process. We have seen this quite explicitly,” Wopke Hoekstra told the FT. “Some of the petrostates are seeking to at least slow down rather than speed up [the energy transition].” Indeed, most countries that make good money out of export commodities that enjoy strong and stable demand have very little motivation to kill their cash cows, as it were, just to please the policymakers in Brussels. It appears that Brussels is aware of it—and of the fact that the European Union is heavily dependent on imports of essential goods.

Politico reported this month that while the CBAM was more or less done in terms of text, it still needed work in the emission measurement part. It was unclear as of yet how exactly the specific emissions of exporters to the EU from India, China, Saudi Arabia, and others “making money out of fossil fuels” were going to be measured. The publication said it had seen two documents on the emission measurement, one containing emission benchmarks and the other default value for the production of the goods that would be subject to the new tax from January. It also said there were signs of the EU circumventing its own rules to keep the imports flowing in.

Politico cited industrial executives as saying the default values for emissions for certain countries that export to the EU were set too low to be real, including some steel production in China that, according to these estimates, turned out to be lower-emission than steel production in the EU.

“Inconsistencies in the figures of default values and benchmarks would dilute the incentive for cleaner production processes and allow high-emission imports to enter the EU market with insufficient carbon costs,” an industry representative told Politico. “This could result in a CBAM that is not only significantly less effective but most likely counterproductive.”

One could, in fact, argue that the CBAM is counterproductive by definition because it seeks to make more products expensive for more people in pursuit of an elusive goal of arresting changes in global temperatures. Yet the EU is going ahead with it, although it will provide “additional flexibilities” in response to the United States’ unfavorable reaction to the new levy.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com


Labor Shortages Threaten to Derail Europe's Energy Security Pivot

  • The EU's goal to completely phase out Russian natural gas imports by 2027 is facing a major challenge due to a growing shortage of skilled labor needed to build the necessary alternative infrastructure.

  • The global energy sector is booming, with jobs up by over 5 million since 2019, but a survey of 700 companies found that more than half reported critical hiring bottlenecks for electricians, engineers, and grid technicians.

  • In addition to the workforce crisis, the IEA also warns that current electricity market designs are failing to send the right long-term investment signals and must be redesigned to value flexibility for a system dominated by renewables.

The European Union has drawn a line in the sand. By 2027, the bloc intends to phase out Russian natural gas imports completely. 

But as the policy ink dries in Brussels, a new challenge is emerging in the real economy…

We might not have enough hands to build the infrastructure that replaces it.

International Energy Agency (IEA) Executive Director Fatih Birol stood alongside European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen last week and called it the "end of an era."

But he also delivered a warning. 

The transition away from Russian energy is only as strong as the workforce available to execute it. And right now... that workforce is stretched to the breaking point.

The Golden Rule: Diversification

Following the invasion of Ukraine, the IEA responded with a 10-Point Plan to reduce reliance on Russian fuel. The results have been swift. Europe has moved toward firmer footing, diversifying suppliers and accelerating renewables.

Dr. Birol, speaking at the European Commission, laid out the new philosophy simply:

“In the energy world, overreliance can quickly turn into major geopolitical vulnerabilities. My number one golden rule for energy security is diversification.”

The deal is done. The timeline is set. But policy is just paper until it is built.

A Boom with a Bottleneck

The energy sector is growing. Fast.

According to the IEA’s newly released World Energy Employment 2025 report, the sector is a job-creation machine.

Global energy employment hit 76 million people in 2024. It is up by more than 5 million since 2019. Last year alone, energy jobs grew by 2.2%, a rate growing at twice the pace of the wider global economy.

The center of gravity is shifting, too.

  • The power sector has overtaken fuel supply as the industry's top employer.
  • Solar PV is the primary driver of growth.
  • Jobs in EV manufacturing and battery production surged by nearly 800,000.

At first glance, all seems well, but the report highlights a deepening shortage of skilled labor. Of the 700 energy-related companies surveyed, more than half reported critical hiring bottlenecks.

Europe is facing a paradox. It has the capital. It has the policy mandates. But it lacks the electricians, the engineers, and the grid technicians to deploy them on schedule.

These shortages threaten to slow the building of infrastructure, delay projects, and raise system costs exactly when Europe needs to move fastest.

Rewiring the Market's Operating System

As the grid transforms to accommodate wind, solar, and batteries, the market design—the economic logic that governs the grid—is struggling to keep up.

The IEA’s concurrent report, Electricity Market Design, finds a disconnect.

Short-term markets are working well; they are efficiently dispatching power hour-by-hour. But long-term markets? They are failing to send the right investment signals.

The old models weren't built for a system dominated by renewables. The report argues that we need to redesign these markets to value flexibility and attract long-term capital.

If we don't fix the market signals, the investment won't flow... no matter what the policymakers in Brussels say.

The Global Context

The pivot isn't happening in a vacuum. While Europe finalizes its divorce from Russian gas, the rest of the world is moving, too.

  • In Norway: Dr. Birol met with Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre to discuss Norway's role as a guarantor of energy security and a partner in clean cooking initiatives for Africa.
  • In Southeast Asia: 150 policymakers gathered in Vietnam for the IEA’s 22nd Energy Efficiency Policy Training Week, addressing rapidly growing demand in the region.

The Bottom Line

The 2027 phase-out deal is a massive geopolitical win for Europe. It signals resilience. But the hard work is just starting.

We have traded a geopolitical crisis for an industrial one. The race is no longer just about securing gas contracts; it is about securing the talent and the market structures to keep the lights on.

Europe has cut the cord. Now, it has to build the battery.

By Michael Kern for Oilprice.com 





 

Eye on Energy: The IEA Struggles With Its Mandate

Should the International Energy Agency base its forecasts on energy security or climate change scenarios?

oil well

Published Dec 5, 2025 4:14 PM by G. Allen Brooks

(Article originally published in Sept/Oct 2025 edition.)

 

The 1973 Arab oil embargo significantly altered the global energy market. 

No longer were the Seven Sisters (the Anglo-American fraternity of major oil companies) in charge. Decisions about oil production and supply were to be made by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), an alliance established in 1960 in response to pressure from Western oil companies on oil prices and, consequently, the profits of the exporting countries.

In retaliation for Western governments' support of Israel's defense against a surprise attack by Egypt and Syria that spawned the 1973 Yom Kippur War, the Arab members of OPEC, led by King Faisal of Saudi Arabia, agreed to a total embargo against Canada, Japan, the Netherlands, the U.K. and the U.S. Later it added Portugal, Rhodesia (now Zimbabwe) and South Africa.

Suddenly, major Western countries faced significant oil shortages, which would cripple their economies. Drastic actions were called for.

In response, the International Energy Agency was established to advise and help manage the limited oil supplies among Western country members. The IEA's mandate was to help countries meet their energy security needs – critical to their economies and ultimately their national defense. A coordinated effort to shift global supplies proved to be the answer.

Change In Focus

Over the years, the IEA's agenda expanded beyond energy security, and eventually it became the arbiter of which forms of energy countries should use. The agenda broadened during the 1990s as climate change and its purported link to the burning of fossil fuels emerged as a global social movement.

The IEA began modeling what the future world would look like if specific climate policies were adopted that dictated fuel use. This agenda gave the IEA the license to present scenarios based on the assumption that governments would enact future energy policies in response to climate change fears. 

Scenarios were created based on the need for dramatic changes in the world's energy fuel mix. That meant replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy to reduce carbon emissions. Less carbon dioxide would slow the increase in the world's average temperature, a goal of the Paris Agreement adopted by the U.N. Climate Change Conference in December 2015. The legally-binding agreement's goal is to hold “the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels" and pursue efforts "to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.”

Climate activists focused exclusively on the 1.5°? goal, although these numbers were picked out of thin air and had no basis in climate science. Influenced by its European members, the IEA embraced this goal and developed a net-zero emissions scenario. In reports and presentations, the NZE model became the focus of the IEA.

New Scenarios

In 2020, with the NZE scenario dominating the discussion, the IEA ended its Current Policies Scenario, which assumed that the current energy policies in response to climate change remain in place. It was the "business as usual" model. Clearly, it would not get you to net zero emissions,

Therefore, CPS was replaced by two scenarios, STEPS ("Stated Policies Scenario") – what countries were actually doing – and APS ("Announced Pledges Scenario"), which included what countries pledged to do in the future. In effect, these scenarios were NZE-light, in an attempt to suggest that business-as-usual scenarios would fail the world.

These scenarios led the IEA to project a peak in coal consumption in 2022 and an oil demand peak by 2030. However, the peak coal call has been revised every year since 2019. Likewise, oil consumption has grown more than the IEA expected. Nevertheless, it continued to claim that the switch to electric vehicles would curb oil consumption growth by 2028, leaving only aviation, shipping and petrochemical feedstocks as sources of oil use growth to 2040. Thereafter, all uses of oil would decline.

Reality Intervenes

Leading coal and oil companies questioned those projections. Their management was constantly assessing the markets and discussing clients' future demand needs. Managers' future business plans essentially countered the IEA's projections. 

The Biden Administration's exit and the Trump Administration's arrival altered the political landscape of U.S. energy policy and climate science, as well as its voice in the global debate. The Trump Administration established energy security as its guiding principle for energy and climate policies. This represented a radically different approach from the Biden Administration, which had elevated climate concerns and positioned renewable energy at the center of its energy policy.

The Biden Administration's policies resulted in a 39 percent increase in household energy costs, as reflected in the average price per kilowatt-hour, during its tenure in office. The price increased from $0.19 to $0.26/kWh, representing a 6.8 percent annual rise.

With an overall inflation rate of 4.4 percent, American household electricity bills were increasing at a rate more than 50 percent faster than the overall inflation rate.

Moreover, the incidents of blackouts was increasing because electricity grids require power every second of every hour of the day. Since renewable energy – solar and wind – is weather-dependent, the grid must maintain a backup power system to deliver electricity when the sun doesn't shine and the wind doesn't blow. This backup power, along with the need for additional transmission investments to connect remote renewable energy supplies to the grid, is what drove up U.S. electricity prices.

Under pressure from the Trump Administration, the IEA is reintroducing its Current Policies Scenario in place of the STEPS and APS scenarios. The World Energy Outlook 2025 draft report is being circulated for comments, but people who have seen it have noted a significantly different outlook for the world's energy mix in 2050. The IEA is now projecting the world will need 114 million barrels a day in 2050 under the CPS. The revised estimate represents a nearly 10 percent increase from the previous estimate of 104 million barrels of oil used daily.

Compared to last year's scenarios, the new 2050 oil consumption projection is 22.5 percent higher than STEPS and more than double the amount under APS. The IEA reaffirms its belief that oil consumption will grow primarily in aviation and shipping as well as in petrochemical feedstocks.

The IEA doesn't hide its disdain for the energy/climate policies of the Trump Administration. In discussing the oil market, it's projecting that sales of electric vehicles will increase dramatically in China and the E.U. However, it has reportedly been written in the draft report that “EV adoption stalls in regions lacking strong policy support,” specifically targeting the U.S., where EV subsidies are set to end on September 30.

We suspect the IEA also thinks the U.S.’s abandoning subsidies for wind and solar projects is another terrible move. It must be experiencing a problem with the lack of bids in several European government solar and wind lease sales, which have no subsidies attached.

Has the IEA connected the low or no bids in these lease auctions with the reality that, in the absence of that assured money, these technologies are not profitable? Furthermore, it's worth noting that the U.K. has significantly increased its renewable energy subsidies to attract developers as it continues to strive for net-zero emissions.

Seeking A Balance

A former IEA official told us he has noted an increased use in op-eds, articles and speeches of the phrase, "energy security,” by agency leaders. He believes this further demonstrates that the IEA is coming to grips with the reality that it has strayed from its original mandate with limited success in impacting global energy use.

Producing repeatedly inaccurate forecasts diminishes the agency's reputation and ability to influence the energy/climate policies of its member governments. To preserve the organization's relevance and keep their positions, IEA leaders are beginning to accept the realities of renewable energy. 

Renewable energy has benefits, but also shortcomings. It's contributing to the increase in electricity prices, which is detrimental to people's budgets. Higher costs with little appreciable environmental impact, combined with more frequent blackouts, have angered people.

Perhaps, with the IEA recognizing energy security as its primary mandate, future energy models will offer a clearer vision of the energy policies that governments should implement. – MarEx 

This article originally appeared in the September-October 2025 issue of The Maritime Executive. You can read the full issue online.
 

The opinions expressed herein are the author's and not necessarily those of The Maritime Executive.

Friday, December 05, 2025

From Soaring Energy Prices to Climate Threat to AI Bubble, Experts Warn Against Data Center Buildout

“Tech giants are cutting backroom deals with utilities and government officials to build massive data centers at breakneck speed, while passing the costs onto working families,” said the author of a new Public Citizen report.



Attendees await the arrival of Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and Alphabet and Google CEO Sundar Pichai at the Google Midlothian Data Center on November 14, 2025, in Midlothian, Texas.
(Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images)


Stephen Prager
Dec 04, 2025
COMMON DREAMS

As the construction of artificial intelligence data centers expands across the nation largely unregulated, experts warn that the unrestrained buildup of these facilities is causing electricity costs to skyrocket, accelerating the climate crisis, and putting the economy at risk.

A new report out Thursday from the consumer advocacy group Public Citizen highlights the “unchecked expansion” of these data centers, often with little oversight, input from communities, or even financial responsibility on the part of the Big Tech firms profiting.
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“We’re watching Big Tech overlords write their own rules in real time,” said Deanna Noël, Public Citizen’s climate campaigns director and one of the report’s authors. “Tech giants are cutting backroom deals with utilities and government officials to build massive data centers at breakneck speed, while passing the costs onto working families through higher electricity bills, polluted air and water, and false claims about job creation.”

A forecast published earlier this week by Bloomberg New Energy Finance projected that the power demand for AI facilities will hit 106 gigawatts by 2035—a 36% jump from what it predicted back in April.

That dramatic increase, it said, can be attributed not just to the more rapid buildup of AI facilities, but also to the size of the ones being constructed: “Of the nearly 150 new data center projects BNEF added to its tracker in the last year, nearly a quarter exceed 500 megawatts,” it found.


This faster-than-expected expansion has come with massive consequences for the people living near the power-sucking behemoths. Public Citizen’s report found:
Residents’ electricity costs in some data center-dense areas have surged over 250% in just five years. At PJM—the world’s largest power market—capacity auction prices spiked 800% in 2024, in part due to data center growth. That same year, consumers across seven PJM states paid $4.3 billion more in electricity costs to cover data centers’ new transmission infrastructure.

On Wednesday, CNBC reported on findings from a watchdog report that PJM’s 65 million consumers will pay a total of $16.6 billion to secure future power supplies needed to meet demand from AI data centers from now until 2027, approximately $255 per person on average.

In some of the states with the most data centers, residential electricity prices have spiked considerably over the past year. In September, they were up 20% in Illinois, 12% in Ohio, and 9% in Virginia, according to data from the federal Energy Information Administration.

The massive surge in electricity usage is also fueling the climate crisis. As of March 2025, 56% of the electricity used to power data centers came from fossil fuels, a share that is likely to increase now that the Trump administration has pushed to expand the extraction of coal and other planet-heating energy sources in order to power them.

“At the very moment we must rapidly phase out fossil fuels,” Noël said, “the Trump administration is doing the opposite—fast-tracking data center development powered by coal, oil, and gas.”

Tech companies like Amazon, Meta, and Google that benefit from these projects rarely have to bear the full economic cost, instead passing some of it onto taxpayers, often without public debate due to nondisclosure agreements that keep the details of proposals under wraps until deals are finalized.

“In the race to attract large data centers, states are forfeiting hundreds of millions of dollars in tax revenue,” a June CNBC investigation found. The report determined that 42 states provide full or partial sales tax exemptions to data centers or have no sales tax at all. Thirty-seven of those states have legislation specifically granting sales tax exemptions for data centers.

While these exemptions are often granted following promises of economic growth and job creation, as the Public Citizen report argues: “They rarely deliver on these promises. Data centers create few permanent, high-paying jobs, and generous tax breaks deprive communities of critical revenue needed to fund schools, infrastructure, and other public services.”

Data centers have increasingly faced pushback from local communities. On Wednesday night in Howell, Michigan, over 150 people assembled at a town hall in opposition to a proposed $1 billion “hyperscale” data center project backed by Meta, following days of protest.




“Already we have started to see many regions (across the country) realizing that the huge spike in electricity demand from data centers is straining the grid, and this is only going to get worse as the growth of data centers increases based on the projected and planned investments,” said one of the panelists, Ben Green, an assistant professor of information and public policy at the University of Michigan.

Economic analysts, meanwhile, remain skeptical about whether the rapid buildup of AI infrastructure will be sustainable in the long term, given the extraordinary energy demand.

In November, Morgan Stanley projected AI-related data center spending will total $2.9 trillion cumulatively from 2025 to 2028, with roughly half requiring external financing.

Abe Silverman, general counsel for the public utility board in New Jersey, pointed out to CNBC the unease communities are feeling about “paying money today for a data center tomorrow.”

“We’re in a bit of a bubble,” he warned. “There is no question that data center developers are coming out of the woodwork, putting in massive numbers of new requests. It’s impossible to say exactly how many of them are speculative versus real.”

Cathy Kunkel, a consultant at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, said, “It does tend to be consumers—residential, commercial, and other industrial ratepayers—that end up paying for overbuilt electrical infrastructure.”

The health of the entire US economy, it turns out, may be hitched to this “bubble.” As the Wall Street Journal reported in late November, “business investment in AI might have accounted for as much as half of the growth in gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, in the first six months of the year.”

OpenAI founder Sam Altman raised eyebrows last month when he suggested that if the bubble bursts, his company is too big to fail, and would likely receive a large taxpayer-funded federal bailout: “When something gets sufficiently huge... the federal government is kind of the insurer of last resort as we’ve seen in various financial crises,” Altman said. “So I guess given the magnitude of what I expect AI economic impact to look like, sort of I do think the government ends up as like the insurer of last resort.”

A looming financial bubble related to AI’s rapid growth, alongside the various other concerns related to the data center buildout, is why Public Citizen says policymakers must understand the gravity the situation and be willing to push back against an industry that has built an army of lobbyists to press its interests on Capitol Hill.

“Policymakers at all levels of government must act with urgency to rein in Big Tech’s unchecked expansion,” Noël said. “By demanding transparency and accountability, enforcing strong community protections, and requiring clean and cheap renewable energy, policymakers can shield consumers from soaring electricity costs, reduce emissions to protect public health, and align this buildout with the clean energy transition.

“Without urgent intervention,” she said, “Big Tech will continue getting a free ride while more neighborhoods are turned into sacrifice zones for Silicon Valley’s tech tycoons—fueled by the fossil fuel industry.”