Showing posts sorted by date for query NEW ZEALAND . Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query NEW ZEALAND . Sort by relevance Show all posts

Sunday, March 15, 2026

MARCH 15

Observing The International Day To Combat Islamophobia – OpEd


March 15, 2026 
By Asad Ali


Every year on 15 March, the world observes the International Day to Combat Islamophobia, a day dedicated to raising awareness about anti-Muslim hatred and promoting global efforts to ensure respect for religious freedom. The observance reflects a growing international commitment to confront prejudice, discrimination, and violence directed at Muslims. Importantly, this global recognition did not emerge by chance. It was largely the result of Pakistan’s diplomatic initiative at the United Nations, supported by members of the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), which successfully highlighted the urgency of addressing Islamophobia as a global issue.


The United Nations General Assembly officially designated 15 March as the International Day to Combat Islamophobia in 2022 through a resolution co-sponsored by Pakistan and several OIC countries. The date carries deep symbolic meaning, as it commemorates the victims of the Christchurch mosque attacks in New Zealand in 2019, when a gunman targeted worshippers during Friday prayers, killing 51 innocent people. The tragedy shocked the world and exposed the dangerous consequences of hatred and intolerance. By establishing this international day, the global community acknowledged that Islamophobia is not merely a social prejudice but a serious threat to peace, human rights, and religious freedom.

Pakistan’s role in bringing this issue to the international stage is widely regarded as a historic diplomatic achievement. For years, Pakistani leaders and diplomats had raised concerns about rising anti-Muslim sentiment in many parts of the world. Their efforts at the United Nations emphasized that Islamophobia must be recognized as a form of religious discrimination comparable to other forms of intolerance. The successful adoption of the UN resolution therefore marked a defining moment in the global fight against religious hatred.

The significance of the day goes beyond commemoration. It also serves as a reminder that hate-driven violence can emerge when negative stereotypes and discriminatory narratives are allowed to spread unchecked. Across different societies, Muslims have often been subjected to prejudice, harassment, and even violent attacks simply because of their religious identity. Mosques have been vandalized, sacred texts desecrated, and communities targeted by hate speech both online and offline. Such acts undermine the basic principles of equality and dignity that international human rights frameworks seek to protect.

United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres has repeatedly warned that Islamophobia is resurging globally and threatens the values of tolerance and coexistence that form the foundation of peaceful societies. When prejudice is normalized, it not only harms specific communities but also weakens social cohesion and democratic values. Islamophobia therefore must be addressed not only as a Muslim issue but as a global human rights concern affecting the stability and harmony of societies everywhere.

Encouragingly, some countries have begun to recognize the seriousness of anti-Muslim discrimination. Nations such as Canada, the United States, and Australia have taken steps to address the issue through policy initiatives, monitoring mechanisms, and the appointment of envoys responsible for combating Islamophobia. These measures indicate growing awareness that governments must actively protect minority communities from hate crimes and discrimination.

Pakistan has consistently called for stronger global action to address incidents that provoke religious hatred, including the desecration of the Holy Quran and attacks on mosques. Pakistani diplomats argue that freedom of expression, an essential democratic value, should not be misused as a justification for insulting sacred religious beliefs or inciting hostility against communities. Instead, freedom of speech must be balanced with responsibility, ensuring that it does not become a tool for spreading hatred or division.

Another concern repeatedly raised by Pakistan is the issue of institutionalised discrimination against Muslims in various parts of the world. In particular, Pakistan has highlighted the situation in Indian-occupied Kashmir, where restrictions on religious practices and violations of human rights have drawn international criticism. By bringing attention to such issues, Pakistan seeks to ensure that the global conversation about Islamophobia includes not only social prejudice but also structural discrimination affecting Muslim populations.

At the global level, the United Nations has also introduced several initiatives aimed at countering hate speech and promoting tolerance. The UN Strategy and Plan of Action on Hate Speech seeks to challenge harmful narratives while encouraging dialogue and understanding among diverse communities. Furthermore, the appointment of Miguel Ángel Moratinos Cuyaubé as the UN Special Envoy to Combat Islamophobia reflects a growing institutional commitment to address anti-Muslim discrimination through coordinated international efforts.

Ultimately, the International Day to Combat Islamophobia is not just about highlighting a problem; it is about encouraging constructive solutions. Dialogue, education, and intercultural engagement are essential tools for reducing misunderstanding and building mutual respect. Religious leaders, educators, policymakers, and media organizations all have a role to play in promoting narratives that emphasize shared human values rather than differences.

For Pakistan, the day also carries a deeper moral message. It reflects the country’s commitment to promoting the universal teachings of Islam, which emphasize peace, compassion, tolerance, and coexistence among all people regardless of faith or background. By championing the global recognition of this day, Pakistan has positioned itself as a leading voice advocating for religious harmony and mutual respect.

As the world observes 15 March, the message is clear: combating Islamophobia is not solely the responsibility of governments or international organizations. It requires collective action by individuals, communities, and institutions across the globe. Standing #UnitedAgainstIslamophobia means rejecting hate, promoting understanding, and reaffirming the fundamental principle that every person has the right to practice their religion freely and live with dignity and respect.

Asad Ali is an Islamabad based expert of South Asian Affairs


Battling hate
Published March 15, 2026 
DAWN


ISLAMOPHOBIA today is not some nebulous concept, but a real-world threat experienced by many of the world’s two billion Muslims. That is why today, on the International Day to Combat Islamophobia, it is important to identify the key threats to the safety of the global Muslim population, as well as the measures that can be taken, particularly by states, to check this menace.

In the current scenario, geopolitical conflict, racial prejudice and religious bigotry all contribute to the threats Muslims face. Moreover, the far right in many non-Muslim states has zeroed in on immigrants and Muslims as the source of all the problems in these societies, thus normalising bigotry against the followers of Islam.

The Iran war, as well as the genocide in Gaza, have fuelled Islamophobia in many non-Muslim societies. American Muslim rights group CAIR says that a “broad attack on Muslim life” was witnessed in the US last year. There were also attempts to falsely label the group a “foreign terrorist organisation”. Other monitors say the Iran war has led to an acceleration in anti-Muslim speech.

The fact that many Republican lawmakers have publicly used vile language to target the entire American Muslim community has signalled that it is okay to dehumanise Muslims. Equally troubling are reports that US military personnel have used divisive religious language while urging troops to fight against Iran; Israel has used similar terms to justify the genocide of Palestinians in Gaza. Meanwhile in Europe, far-right parties are gaining strength, while demonising Muslims and immigrants. Indian Muslims, as well as Muslims in occupied Kashmir, have also seen their rights erode under BJP rule, as Hindutva flexes its muscles in the ‘world’s biggest democracy’.

In his message linked to the day, UN Secretary-General António Guterres has urged governments to take “concrete steps to address hate speech” while urging “online platforms … to wipe out hate speech and harassment”. Indeed, hate speech, amplified by social media sites, can have a deadly impact. Rumours and untruths spread online have real-world consequences, including violent attacks on entire communities. Therefore, the UN chief’s call to governments and online platforms must be heeded. When lawmakers use offensive language against religious or ethnic communities, and are not censured, it tells the public that it is acceptable to otherise and demean these groups. Similarly, social media sites have a lot to answer for. Under the guise of free speech, their algorithms push hateful rhetoric against Muslims and other groups, often reflecting the twisted views of their billionaire owners. In a just world, there can be no room for Islamophobia and other forms of faith- and race-based hatred.

Published in Dawn, March 15th, 2026

Saturday, March 14, 2026

How Migration Made The Human World – Analysis


Dental modification in eastern parts of Indonesia, showing the influence of Austronesian migration into Indonesia. (Image provided by author CC 4.0)


March 15, 2026 
360info
By Toetik Koesbardiati and Delta Bayu Murti


Last August, archaeologists discovered a number of artefacts in Indonesia dating back between 1 million and 1.4 million years. The findings could transform theories of early human migrations, according to an article the team published in the journal Nature.

People often consider migration to be a new phenomenon. In fact, migration has been a characteristic of human existence for millions of years.

The beginnings of human migration date back to the origins of humans as a species. Studies show that the now-extinct Homo erectus, the oldest human species, had already explored the entire earth. Homo sapiens, our species, is the last in this line. Homo sapiens’ ability to explore the earth between about 1.89 million and 110,000 years ago was remarkable. Compared to other species such as Neanderthals, Homo sapiens were far superior in controlling certain areas as their living space.

Ancient migration

The discovery of human fossils and artefacts in Africa, Europe, Asia and Australasia has made the study of human origins even more exciting. A comparison of the morphology of both fossils and artefacts shows that there are interconnections between regions. This indicates that the link between these regions is migration.

In general, there are two theories that explain human migration in ancient times.

The first is Out of Africa, which explains that human development was centred in Africa and then spread throughout the world. Through DNA analysis of living people, geneticists can trace where humans came from and when they began to spread.

The second theory is the Multiregional Evolution Model, which explains that Homo erectus, the ancestor of Homo sapiens, was already spread throughout the world. Modern humans developed in each of these regions. Experts say that the spread of modern humans from Africato all regions of the earth was through single dispersal and multiple dispersal, assuming that they travelled out of Africa from Arabia peninsula, India all the way to Indonesia. was along the coast to Indonesia, and through the continent to Europe and Asia, and then on to America.

There are several reasons why modern humans (Homo sapiens) spread throughout the region. Several experts explain that in addition to the issue of food needs, other factors that influenced human migration were climate, drought, and environmental variations.

When the climate improved, it is likely that human groups that had been separated into small groups would unite and then multiply. The ability to make tools (technological development) helped them to overcome natural obstacles.

Based on reconstructions, experts say modern humans roamed to warm, humid areas that provided more food sources; a combination of forests, grasslands and waterways.

Traces of migration have also been found in Indonesia through agriculture that developed around 11,000 years ago in Southeast Asia. Archaeological data shows that rice fossils were found in Sulawesi, which are believed to be the first development of agriculture in Indonesia.

The most massive migration hypothesised to have affected Southeast Asia (including the continent and waters) and the Pacific was the migration from Austronesia of a group of communities that spoke Austronesian languages which are believed to have originated in Taiwan. Cultural and linguistic similarities to Austronesian are found in Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, the Philippines, Indonesia, and the Pacific region. Traces of Austronesian culture have even been found in Madagascar, brought there by inhabitants of Borneo.

An important factor driving ancient migration was the climate and ecology that shaped human history, emphasising that biodiversity played an important role in human survival and mobility.

In Indonesia, the Majapahit Empire was an example of a regional power that succeeded in uniting several Southeast Asian regions under its rule.

During the colonial era around the 15th century, Europeans began expanding into various parts of the world, such as North and South America, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The main objective of this expansion was to find new territories that were more economically profitable and more suitable for habitation.

Along with colonisation came an era of slavery that caused massive migration, especially from Africa to South America and the Caribbean. The development of plantation industries such as tobacco and sugarcane increased the demand for labour, forcing many Africans to move as slaves. After slavery began to decline, a system of contract labour developed, triggering migration from India and China to various regions such as the Caribbean, the Philippines, and South America.

In the modern era, migration continues for economic reasons and in search of better opportunities. The famine in Ireland in 1845 triggered large-scale migration to the United States and other new world regions. After World War II, countries experiencing economic growth, such as Japan, Korea, and countries in the Middle East, became destinations for migration.

The demand for labour in the industrial and oil sectors attracted many people to move in search of a better life.

The modern world

The latest developments related to migration are more modern needs such as education, better jobs, and diplomatic assignments. The era of migrant workers also began, especially in industrialised countries. In Asia, countries such as Hong Kong, Singapore, and Malaysia became the main destinations for migrants. On the other hand, European and American countries, Australia, and New Zealand became destinations for education.

In addition to migrant workers, migration today is largely influenced by structural violence.Conflicts, political pressure, poverty, gender inequality, discrimination, lack of access to healthcare, hunger, religious differences and so on, have triggered large-scale migration. Of course, the goal of this migration is a better and safer life.

Human migration from South America to the United States is an example of a society experiencing structural violence. Migration to Europe, whether from Africa or the Middle East, is an attempt to find peace in a life free from conflicts or persecution and to secure a better future.

Migration has consequences for the destination country. Structural violence has not only psychological but also physical consequences. Therefore, mental and physical health issues become a major concern. Recently, there have been many protests directed at migrants, but conversely, there have also been protests from migrants against their destination countries.

Consequences of migration

It is clear that migration has many consequences. Acculturation, language, way of life, mentality and even disease are inevitable consequences. Migration produces significant effects on the receiving population, including cultural mixing, social change, and shifts in technological practices. For migrants themselves, the consequences involve processes of adaptation—both to the physical environment and to the social life of the host community. It is not uncommon for conflicts to be triggered by differences between migrant groups or between migrants and locals who feel that their rights as indigenous people have been taken away. Generally, this is related to livelihoods.

COVID-19 is an example of how migration or mobility has consequences for the spread of disease. Research on the spread of leprosy throughout the world has shown that it was caused by migration in various contexts (slavery, trade, etc.). Research on human skeletal remains in Papua has shown the presence of infectious diseases that are believed to have been brought by soldiers who entered the Papua region. Basically, migration is not only the movement of people but also the movement of microbes and associated diseases.

Yet, despite its difficulties and its mixed bag of consequences, humans have always migrated, either in groups or individually, to seek freedom from war and conflict, to escape famine and poverty, to seek new economic opportunities and jobs, to flee religious intolerance or political repression, or even to trade and travel to new places.

About the authors and editors:

Toetik Koesbardiati is an expert in paleoanthropology, paleopathology, and bioarchaeology at the Department of Anthropology and Museum Ethnography and Death Study at Airlangga University, Surabaya, Indonesia.

Delta Bayu Murti is an expert in paleopathology and bioarchaeology at the Department of Anthropology at Airlangga University, Surabaya, Indonesia.

Ria Ernunsari, Sr. Commissioning Editor, 360info

Samrat Choudhury, Commissioning Editor, 360info

Source: This article was published by 360.info

360info

360info provide an independent public information service that helps better explain the world, its challenges, and suggests practical solutions. Their content is sourced entirely from the international university and research community and then edited and curated by professional editors to ensure maximum readability. Editors are responsible for ensuring authors have a current affiliation with a university and are writing in their area of expertise.

















Empire / Michael Hardt and Antonio Negri. p. cm. Includes bibliographical ... 4.3 The Multitude against Empire. 393. Notes. 415. Index. 473. Page 11. PREFACE.

Multitude: war and democracy in the Age of Empire /. Michael Hardt and Antonio Negri. p. cm. Sequel to: Empire. Includes index. ISBN 1 ...

  

The World’s Biggest Oil Supply Shock Is Now Unfolding

  • The IEA says the war has caused the biggest crude supply disruption in oil market history.

  • Oil rose back above $100 even after a record 400 million barrel reserve release.

  • Analysts warn that a prolonged energy shock could push the UK toward recession.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned that the current energy crisis triggered by the war in the Middle East marks the “largest disruption” in the history of the oil market.

The group made a record intervention in the market on Wednesday, with the release of 400m barrels from the strategic reserves.

But the move has made little difference to the surging price of Brent crude – the international benchmark for oil – which once again eclipsed the $100 mark on Thursday on the news two Iraqi tankers had been struck and following more bellicose rhetoric from Iran’s new leadership.


Oil prices

Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, said: “The math is simple: 400m barrels would only be enough to meet the IEA’s oil demand for roughly 9-10 days.

“After that? The IEA system is estimated to hold around 1.2 billion barrels. It goes fast. Its head, Fatih Birol, said that only the resumption of normal trade through the Strait of Hormuz would help. Well, that’s not on the menu du jour.”

In his first statement since taking the helm, Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has vowed to continue blocking the Strait of Hormuz, the vital narrow waterway through which a fifth of the world’s oil supply flows.

Khamenei said the regime would also “avenge the blood” of those killed in US and Israeli attacks.

The IEA has said the current crisis has caused the “largest disruption to crude supplies in the history of the global oil market”.

Joshua Mahony, chief market analyst at Scope Markets, said: “With Iran seemingly ramping up attacks on both land and waterborne energy targets, the fallout for global energy supplies does appear to be worsening by the day.”

Long-lasting oil crisis could ’tilt’ the UK into recession

Major economies could be left reeling from the consequences of a potential oil supply crisis.

Analysts at the RBC Capital Markets have warned that a long-lasting war could “tilt” the UK economy into an “outright recession” given the state of the country’s vulnerable jobs market.

“Labour markets are in a substantially weaker position now than was the case in 2022 and there must also be a non-trivial possibility that firms will not be able to pass on prices fully and have to take margin cuts instead.

“The UK is already, arguably, on this path as firms’ response to the ‘input price shock’ of higher employer social security contributions announced at the Budget in 2024 has been to substantially scale back hiring.

If that were to be the global pass-through of the impending energy crisis, the slowdown might not be as jobs-rich as was the case in 2022, and central banks might find themselves in a more difficult trade-off between higher energy price inflation and a (much) weaker economic backdrop than hitherto expected. “

The comments follow warnings by Oxford Economics researchers that, if the price of oil were to hover around $140 per barrel, interest rates would be raised and the UK economy would contract.

The Bank of England’s next meeting is now highly anticipated to feature comments from Monetary Policy Committee members on the impact of the conflict.

The last meeting featured the Bank’s governor, Andrew Bailey, describing improved inflation forecasts as “good news”.

By CityAM


Jet Fuel Prices Soar as War in Iran Ripples Through Global Aviation

  • Airlines, including Qantas, SAS, and Air New Zealand, have already announced airfare increases.

  • Surging jet fuel prices and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz are squeezing airline operations.

  • Prolonged conflict could weaken travel demand and deepen pressure on global airline stocks.

As the war in Iran spills over into other parts of the Middle East, energy experts expect the price of several oil and gas products to soar over the coming months, driven by shortages. This will likely affect flight prices, with several airlines warning of anticipated price hikes. It could lead to a travel slump, as consumers wait for prices to fall again.

Australia’s Qantas Airways, Scandinavia’s SAS, and Air New Zealand are three of the airlines to have already announced airfare hikes in response to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The airlines cited the abrupt spike in the cost of fuel driven by the U.S.-Israel attack on Iran as the reason for the move.

Jet fuel prices rose from between $85 to $90 a barrel before the attack on Iran to as much as $150 to $200 a barrel this week. This has led several airlines to reconsider their financial outlooks for 2026, as the uncertainty makes it impossible to predict where the price of fossil fuels will go in the coming months.

The war in Iran has led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key trade corridor connecting the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. The strait is considered a chokepoint, as there are few alternative options for energy transportation, beyond some limited pipeline networks in the region. The dramatic reduction in the transport of fossil fuels through the strait, which is said to have created the biggest oil supply disruption in history, has driven oil and gas prices up sharply in recent weeks.

An SAS spokesperson told Reuters, “Increases of this magnitude make it necessary to react in order to maintain stable and reliable operations,” adding that the airline has implemented a “temporary price adjustment.”

Some airlines will be more affected than others by the increase in jet fuel prices. For example, several Asian and European airlines, such as Lufthansa and Ryanair, have oil hedging in place, meaning that a part of their fuel supplies is maintained at a fixed rate. However, some companies are concerned that even the hedged fuel reserves may be at risk.

Finnair hedged more than 80 percent of its first-quarter fuel purchases and now worries that the fuel may no longer be available if the conflict continues. Some major jet fuel producers, such as Kuwait, have already been forced to reduce production and export quantities in recent weeks.

Another challenge that is driving airfares up is the closure of several airspaces because of the ongoing conflict, which has affected several Asia-Europe routes. Some airlines have been forced to open alternative flight routes for passengers to reach their destinations. Pilots have also been forced to reroute to avoid the Middle East conflict, while capacity on popular routes has rapidly increased.

“Absent near-term relief, airlines around the world could be forced to ground thousands of aircraft while some of the industry’s financially weakest carriers could halt operations,” Deutsche analysts were reported to have said in a note to clients.

Meanwhile, some companies, such as British Airways, are confident that they can maintain their current ticket prices in the near-term until more is known about the mid- to long-term impact of the conflict.  However, British Airways has cut certain routes due to continuing uncertainty, such as its seasonal flights to Abu Dhabi.

The uncertainty means that several airlines, across Asia, Europe, and North America, are seeing their shares plummet. Lorraine Tan, the director of equity research, Asia at Morningstar, stated, “The issue for the airlines now is that travel demand may be curtailed as costs become prohibitive for leisure travellers and as some companies start to limit business travel due to the uncertain outlook."

On Monday, during a party conference in Florida, U.S. President Trump announced, “We have already won in many ways, but we haven’t won enough,” in reference to the war in Iran.  Trump says. The president added, “We go forward more determined to achieve ultimate victory that will end this long-running danger once and for all.” Trump’s speech, as well as mixed messages from the president to several media outlets, have caused greater uncertainty, as there is no clear timeline for the conflict or an idea about when it might end.

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has already caused significant energy supply chain disruptions, which have driven oil and gas prices up. Meanwhile, uncertainties about when the U.S.-Israeli intervention in Iran will come to an end have led stocks across a range of industries to fall sharply. While many airlines attempt to weather the storm, it is likely that we will see significant price increases in airfares in the coming months.

By Felicity Bradstock for Oilprice.com

Thousands of Chinese boats mass at sea, raising questions


By AFP
March 13, 2026


Copyright CN-STR/AFP -


Allison JACKSON

Thousands of Chinese fishing boats have been massing in geometric formations in the East China Sea, in coordinated actions that experts believe are part of Beijing’s preparations for a potential regional crisis or conflict.

Monitoring ship-tracking data on Christmas Day, Jason Wang could tell something “unusual” was underway as fishing boats swarmed into two parallel inverted Ls, each about 400 kilometres (about 250 miles) long.

Wang could see the roughly 2,000 fishing boats among the many thousands of vessels that ply the busy waterway through their automatic identification systems (AIS) — a GPS-type signal that commercial ships use to avoid collisions.

The vessels, which were as close as 500 metres (1,640 feet) to each other, held their positions for about 30 hours in near gale-force winds and then suddenly scattered.

“Something didn’t look right to me because in nature very rarely do you see straight lines,” said Wang, chief operating officer of ingeniSPACE, which analyses satellite imagery and ship signals data.

“We’ve seen like two, 300, up to a thousand (Chinese fishing boats congregate), but anything exceeding a thousand I thought was unusual.”

Maritime and military experts told AFP the massing of Chinese fishing boats on December 25, about 300 kilometres northeast of Taiwan, was on a scale they had never seen before.

Another incident detected in early January involved around 1,000 Chinese fishing vessels clustered in an uneven rectangle, about 400 kilometres long, for more than a day in the same area of the East China Sea.

Hundreds of those vessels were also detected in the December 25 event, Wang told AFP in an interview in Taipei.

Last week, around 1,200 boats massed in two parallel lines further east of the January and December events and held their positions for about 30 hours, Wang said.

China’s massive fishing fleet operates in the Yellow Sea, East China Sea and the South China Sea, competing with fishers from Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam and the Philippines.

While there is debate about why so many Chinese fishing vessels would gather in geometric formations in the open sea, experts widely agree that they were not there to fish.

Some experts said the only plausible explanation was that China was testing its ability to marshal a large number of fishing vessels that could potentially be deployed in a military operation, such as a blockade or invasion of Taiwan, or a crisis with Japan.

“I’ve never seen a massing of Chinese fishing boats in these numbers anywhere outside of port ever,” Gregory Poling, director of the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), said of the December 25 event.

The manoeuvres were a “demonstration with a military lens” to show those watching that the boats had the ability to coordinate their movements, said Jennifer Parker, a former Australian naval warfare officer.

“I’ve sailed around the entire world and I’ve not seen fishermen operating in that proximity to each other, in that degree of concentration,” said Parker, now an Expert Associate at the National Security College of the Australian National University.

“They’re definitely not fishing.”

Global Fishing Watch chief scientist David Kroodsma said the Chinese fishing fleet was “highly coordinated” and it was possible that the vessels were ordered not to fish in a certain area.

“Most of the time when you see lines of boats, it’s because they’re right up against some boundary where they’re not allowed to be. In this region that’s what you see most of the time,” Kroodsma said.

“If you look across the year, you see many, many examples of when there’s clearly a line that they’re not supposed to fish across at different time periods. We don’t know why.”



– ‘State operation’ –



AFP’s reporting for this story involved the analysis of AIS data and nighttime satellite imagery, and interviews with experts from ingeniSPACE, Starboard Maritime Intelligence, CSIS and Global Fishing Watch, who also observed the December and January formations.

Unseenlabs, a French company specialising in maritime surveillance, verified the December 25 data for AFP, describing the concentration of vessels as “surprising and unusual”.

The experts were confident that the majority of the vessels were real and not spoofed, which is when AIS data is manipulated to give misleading information about a vessel’s location or identity.

“We’ve had enough other corroborating data… to confirm that those vessels were clearly out there,” Poling said.

As part of his efforts to verify the data, Mark Douglas, a former New Zealand naval officer and now a maritime domain analyst at Starboard, said he examined fishing patterns in the same area over the previous two years.

“At no time has the behaviour been the same as this,” Douglas said. “During other periods of adverse weather the vessels returned to port, rather than massing offshore in these kinds of formations.”

“I can’t speak to the why… but the how certainly seems to be that there was direction provided to these vessels that this is what they needed to do,” Douglas said.

The number of vessels involved indicated a “state operation”, said Thomas Shugart, a former US Navy submarine warfare officer and now an Adjunct Senior Fellow with the Defense Program at the Center for a New American Security.

“There’s no commercial entity that controls that many fishing boats that I know of,” Shugart said.



– ‘Maritime militia’ –



China’s navy ranks number one in the world in terms of the number of warships and submarines on the Global Firepower list.

Beijing is also tapping its huge civilian fleet, including fishing boats, ferries and cargo ships, as part of its preparations for a regional crisis or conflict, including over Taiwan, experts say.

China has threatened to use force, if necessary, to seize Taiwan, which it claims is part of its territory, and US officials have flagged 2027 as a possible timeline for an attack.

In its 2025 report to Congress on China’s military power, the US Department of Defense said: “The PLA continues to make steady progress toward its 2027 goals” and “China expects to be able to fight and win a war on Taiwan” by the end of that year.

Beijing has stepped up military pressure on Taiwan in recent years, deploying fighter jets and warships around the island on an almost daily basis.

China has also held multiple large-scale exercises around Taiwan that are often described as rehearsals for a blockade and seizure of the territory.

Civilian vessels were “absolutely central” to Chinese military planning for an operation against Taiwan, said Shugart.

China’s navy does not have enough landing vessels to deliver the troops and equipment it would need to make an invasion of Taiwan feasible.

“In the absence of that dual-purpose, civil-military maritime mass, I don’t think they can invade Taiwan,” Shugart said. “With that, (it) turns into a ‘maybe they can’.”

Many of the fishing boats involved in the December and January massing events were likely part of China’s maritime militia, some experts said.

The maritime militia is made up of fishing boats trained to support the military and the fleet has been used to assert China’s territorial claims, including in the South China Sea where they have swarmed contested reefs.

AIS data showed the “vast majority” of vessels congregating in the East China Sea appeared to be from the eastern province of Zhejiang, where several maritime militia ports are located, said Poling.

“Like militia on land in China, they get called up from time to time for reserve service,” Poling said.

“My guess is that this was an effort to just see if the militia could muster. These are civilians, these are not the professional militia in the South China Sea, they’re fishermen,” he said.

Maritime militia would have a “range of roles” in a military operation, said Parker, such as harassing warships or acting as decoys for missiles fired by opposing forces, though she noted their presence could also interfere with China’s own ability to hit targets.

“It’s clear that China’s operations planning in the South China Sea and around Taiwan include the maritime militia as a force multiplier,” she said.

“It’s reasonable to assume that this would also be the case in the event of a military crisis with Japan.”



– Threats of retaliation –



The maritime militia’s role in the South China Sea has expanded beyond swarming reefs to helping the Chinese coastguard in “blocking and harassing” Philippine fishing boats and even using water cannon against Filipino fishermen, Philippine Coast Guard spokesman Jay Tarriela said.

“They don’t have covert roles anymore,” Tarriela said.

“They’re actually part of the (Chinese) government, a flotilla, advancing their illegal interests in the South China Sea.”

Beijing has not publicly commented on the fishing boat formations in the East China Sea.

Japan’s coast guard declined to comment when contacted by AFP. Tokyo is involved in a deepening spat with Beijing after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi suggested that Japan would intervene militarily if China sought to take Taiwan by force.

Responding to China’s grey zone activities — coercive actions that fall short of an act of war — or military operations in the region is “really hard”, a diplomat told AFP on the condition of anonymity.

“China often threatens or implies retaliation — what is often unclear,” the diplomat said.

Experts said the fishing boat manoeuvres were consistent with Chinese President Xi Jinping’s overall aim of preparing the military so it could potentially seize Taiwan.

“I can’t tell you if Xi Jinping’s going to decide to pull the trigger or not,” said Shugart.

“But as an analyst, it sure looks like the PLA is, as directed, developing the capabilities required to credibly threaten an invasion in 2027.”

burs-amj/hmn/jm

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

  

Global physical activity remains low despite two decades of guideline updates, UTHealth Houston researchers find





University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston

Andrea Ramirez Varela, MD, PhD, MPH 

image: 

Andrea Ramirez Varela, MD, PhD, MPH, assistant professor in the Department of Epidemiology at UTHealth Houston School of Public Health.

view more 

Credit: Photo by UTHealth Houston





The prevalence of physical activity among the global population has remained low for the last two decades despite a majority of countries making notable progress in developing policies that include physical activity, UTHealth Houston researchers found. 

The study was published today in Nature Health and led by principal investigator Andrea Ramirez Varela, MD, PhD, MPH, assistant professor in the Department of Epidemiology at UTHealth Houston School of Public Health.

“Physical activity as a behavior that enhances health and has other benefits has really not increased since 2012,” said Ramirez Varela, who is also an assistant professor in the Department of Pediatrics at McGovern Medical School at UTHealth Houston. “But that can be mistakenly taken as if there was no action or policy action around it.” 

According to Ramirez Varela’s research, 92% of countries have at least one policy document addressing physical activity. Of those countries, 35% have a policy specifically dedicated to physical activity.

While that’s a significant increase from the number of countries that had such policies in 2004, researchers found that 1 in 3 adults worldwide are still not meeting the World Health Organization physical activity guidelines. According to WHO, adults should get at least 150 minutes of moderate-intensity physical activity weekly.

Using a combination of information taken from interviews, peer-reviewed research, and policy documents from 218 countries between 2004 and 2025, Ramirez Varela and her team sought to propose solutions for how countries can translate physical activity guidelines into action. 

“What we see in other modifiable risk factors for chronic diseases – like smoking, alcohol, nutrition – they have a lot of prioritization, and there is a lot of activity around putting them first. For physical activity, it has been different,” Ramirez Varela said. “We wanted to really understand why after all this apparent improvement in policy development, there was no change or the translation of this into the real world.” 

Ramirez Varela’s team proposed that countries take a more proactive approach to defining and framing the issue of physical activity. 

“There is no consensus if physical activity is an outcome or a means to achieve other outcomes,” Ramirez Varela said. “Do we want to increase physical activity levels to improve cardiovascular health and other outcomes, or do we want to just improve physical activity?” 

Physical activity should also be framed as having both individual and population-level benefits, the team said. 

“Physical activity should be embedded in the way we design our cities, helping create communities where people want to live and move more,” Ramirez Varela said. “It also belongs in education. Physical activity spans multiple sectors, yet the conversation has largely been focused on health.” 

The research team also recommended that stakeholders build stronger leadership and partnership networks that promote physical activity.

“Almost thirty years ago, smoking was far less regulated. People were allowed to smoke on airplanes, indoors, and in most public spaces. Today, both tobacco industry and smoking behavior are subject to extensive regulations,” Ramirez Varela said. “We can build that same level of policy commitment for physical activity. The fact that it is not fully in place today simply means the work is ahead of us.” 

The research was published in conjunction with two other population-level studies about physical activity, which Ramirez Varela co-authored. 

Ramirez Varela’s work builds on more than two decades of research into physical activity that was first published in The Lancet in 2012. Subsequent studies into physical activity were also published in 2016 and 2021

The late Harold W. Kohl III, PhD, professor of epidemiology at UTHealth Houston School of Public Health, also co-authored the paper. 

Authors from The University of Sydney include Adrian Bauman, PhD; J. Jaime Miranda, MD; MSc, PhD; and Melody Ding, PhD, MPH.

Other authors include Catherine B. Woods, PhD, of the University of Limerick in Ireland; Yusra Ribhi Shawar, PhD, MPH; and Jeremy Shiffman, PhD, of Johns Hopkins University; Pedro C. Hallal, PhD, of the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Deborah Salvo, PhD, of The University of Texas at Austin; Katja Siefken, PhD, of the Medical School Hamburg in Germany; Wanda Wendel-Vos, PhD, of the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment in the Netherlands; Juliana Mejia-Grueso, MSc, of the Global Observatory for Physical Activity; James F. Sallis, PhD, of the Australian Catholic University in Australia; Erica Hinckson, PhD, of the Auckland University of Technology in New Zealand; I-Min Lee, MBBS, MPH, ScD, of Harvard Medical School; Rodrigo Siqueira Reis, PhD, of Washington University in St. Louis, Missouri; Ulf Ekelund, PhD, of the Norwegian Public Health Institute; and Michael Pratt MD, MSPE, MPH, of the University of California San Diego.

Increasing fitness leads to bigger brain boost following exercise



University College London





Increasing our level of physical fitness leads to a bigger release of brain-boosting proteins following one session of exercise, a new study led by a UCL researcher has found.

The study, published in Brain Research, took a group of inactive unfit participants through a 12-week training programme of cycling three times per week and made them fitter. Researchers found as their fitness increased, so did the amount of brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) released following exercise, resulting in improved brain function.

Just 15 minutes of moderate to vigorous aerobic exercise releases BDNF, a brain protein which is known to support the formation of new neurons and new synapses (connections between brain cells), and maintains the health of existing neurons. This is the first study to show that for unfit people, just 12 weeks of consistent training can boost the brain’s response to a single 15-minute workout.

The study, led by Dr Flaminia Ronca (UCL Surgery & Interventional Science, and the Institute of Sport, Exercise and Health), involved 30 participants – 23 male and seven female – taking part in the 12-week programme. To assess fitness levels throughout the programme, participants completed VO2max tests every six weeks, which measures the maximum rate of oxygen your body can consume and use during intense exercise.

BDNF levels were measured pre- and post-VO2max testing, alongside a series of cognitive and memory tests, while also measuring changes in brain activity in the prefrontal cortex – where executive functions such as decision-making, emotion regulation, attention and impulsivity are controlled.

By the final week of the trial, results showed that baseline levels of BDNF did not change, but participants did show a larger spike of BDNF following intense exercise, compared to how their brains responded to intense exercise before the 12-week programme. This was linked to improvements in VO2max (aerobic fitness).

Higher overall BDNF levels and stronger exercise-induced increases were also associated with changes in activity across key areas of the prefrontal cortex during attention and inhibition tasks, though not during memory tasks.

Overall, the results showed that increasing physical fitness can enhance the brain’s ability to produce BDNF in response to acute bouts of exercise, which can have a strong positive influence on neural activity.

Lead author Dr Flaminia Ronca said: “We’ve known for a while that exercise is good for our brain, but the mechanisms through which this occurs are still being disentangled. The most exciting finding from our study is that if we become fitter, our brains benefit even more from a single session of exercise, and this can change in only six weeks.”

Notes to editors:

For more information or to speak to the researchers involved, please contact: Tom Cramp, UCL Media Relations , T: +447586 711698, E: t.cramp@ucl.ac.uk

The research paper: 'BDNF relates to prefrontal cortex activity in the context of physical exercise', Flaminia Ronca, Cian Xu, Ellen Kong, Dennis Chan, Antonia Hamilton, Giampietro Schiavo, Ilias Tachtsidis, Paola Pinti, Benjamin Tari, Tom Gurney, Paul W. Burgess, is published in Brain Research, March 2026, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.brainres.2026.150253

About UCL (University College London) 

UCL is a diverse global community of world-class academics, students, industry links, external partners, and alumni. Our powerful collective of individuals and institutions work together to explore new possibilities. 

Since 1826, we have championed independent thought by attracting and nurturing the world's best minds. Our community of more than 50,000 students from 150 countries and over 16,000 staff pursues academic excellence, breaks boundaries and makes a positive impact on real world problems. 

We are consistently ranked among the top 10 universities in the world and are one of only a handful of institutions rated as having the strongest academic reputation and the broadest research impact. 

We have a progressive and integrated approach to our teaching and research – championing innovation, creativity and cross-disciplinary working. We teach our students how to think, not what to think, and see them as partners, collaborators and contributors.  

For 200 years, we are proud to have opened higher education to students from a wide range of backgrounds and to change the way we create and share knowledge. 

We were the first in England to welcome women to university education and that courageous attitude and disruptive spirit is still alive today. We are UCL. 

www.ucl.ac.uk | Read news at www.ucl.ac.uk/news/ | Follow UCL News on Bluesky and LinkedIn