Showing posts sorted by date for query SNOWFLAKES. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query SNOWFLAKES. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Wednesday, November 19, 2025


Mechanical Mikey and the Theater of War


If you could hear, at every jolt, the blood/Come gurgling from the froth-corrupted lungs . . . . My friend, you would not tell with such high zest / To children ardent for some desperate glory, / The old lie: Dulce et decorum est / Pro patria mori  [It is a sweet and fitting thing to die for one’s country]

– Wilfred Owen, Dulce Et Decorum Est

On the morning of November 11, I was passing through Pittsfield, Massachusetts, heading north. The traffic was stopped as a Veteran’s Day parade headed south. It was a sight for a musing mind, so that is exactly what I did, sitting in my car watching the parade’s celebration of the patriotism of military veterans.

I asked myself: What are they still marching for?

I was once in the U.S. Marines but became a conscientious objector during the U.S. war against Vietnam and have opposed US militarism and wars ever since. I was brought up to be a patriot, and the marching men – mostly old – with their ancient rifles teetering on their shoulders as the season’s first snowflakes peppered their faces and the marching band drummed up a martial beat to counter the dreary morning, touched me in a melancholic and twisted way. They seemed to be barely holding on – but to what? I wondered – war, their youths, past bonds, a lost country, some meaning in once having a cause to fight for, the best times of their lives, false nostalgia, the joy of killing?

Young, smiling, and excited 11-13 year-old girls ran alongside, handing out small American flags to any occupant of the halted cars who would open their windows. I was about to do so, despite a lifetime of rejecting the flag waving (but not the country) that has come to represent war mongering for me, but the cops motioned the traffic on. The marchers waved to the very few people scattered along the sidewalks who waved back. I drove on wondering why my heart opened to the marchers. It surprised me. Waves of conflicting emotions flowed over me.

When I arrived at my destination, there was a television playing in the waiting room of the office. I took a seat and watched it, something I usually avoid. It was a History Channel program about U.S. soldiers killed and wounded in Vietnam, the Medevac helicopters flying into combat zones and medics evacuating fellow soldiers. Very dangerous work by courageous men. Hearing the program’s narrator blather on about patriotism as it showed gruesome pictures of bloodied and dead soldiers, erased any previous sentiment I felt about the parade marchers. Like the documentary, the parade typically did not mourn the millions of victims of the endless U.S. wars nor did it picture or in any way illustrate all the U.S. dead, wounded, and crippled soldiers. The marchers’ smiles were pasteboard masks concealing the grim reality of war.

I felt rage rising in me, even as I admired the bravery of the evacuation teams bringing out their comrades. My blood boiled at the way the program was using bravery as a cover to continue to promote war, to say these soldiers had been defending their country and were therefore patriots when they were attacking another country over eight thousand miles away for the lies of son of a bitch politicians (LBJ and Richard Nixon, both of whom were elected as peace candidates) who always wage wars so easily, using the flesh and blood of young people as cannon fodder. Yes, the old lies told by jackals with smiling faces.

I wanted to grab the politicians by their turkey necks and force their hands into the massive bloodied hole in an 18 year old boy’s entrails, to push their lying faces low to smell the blood and guts of their easy-going wars.

I wanted to force them to drink their martinis sitting among the hundreds of slaughtered Vietnamese women, children, and old people in a Vietnamese village massacred in a U.S. “search and destroy” mission; force them to walk in their shiny shoes though the body parts in Iraq and Libya and Gaza and all the places soaked in blood by their decisions; make them spend their vacations locked up in the world-wide CIA torture black sites to listen to the screams of the victims.

I could understand how young draftees could have been hoodwinked by the government’s lies about the wars, but I was still flabbergasted by how veterans could still march in support of America’s wars after all the lies have been exposed so many times, not just about Vietnam but Iraq, Syria, Ukraine, Latin America, etc. An endless tapestry of lies told to support criminal wars, genocide, and the subversion of countries around the world. In the words of  the English playwright Harold Pinter: “The crimes of the United States have been systematic, constant, vicious, remorseless, but very few people have actually talked about them.”

When I was earlier sitting in my stationary car, I felt as though I was sitting in a front row seat in a theater, watching a play. Then I realized that I was doing exactly that, and that the annual march was a reenactment of war’s death march – “the theater of war” – and the old soldiers were still playing their parts – but now as survivors – to remind the audience of the dead and their “sacrifices” for the flag, a reminder meant to celebrate wars while the band played on.

The little wind-up mechanical tin toy soldier I was given as a toddler –  a World War I (the “Great War”) doughboy that I called Mechanical Mikey after the neighbor who gave it to me – reminds me of the theatrical nature of child’s play, wars, the military, and their parades – all social life actually. The ways play is a way for adults to catch children in the social net of lies, imitation, and violence, not necessarily out of cruelty but ignorant love. And for the adults to play their parts of eternal innocents on the social stage where performing is de rigueur.

Such child’s play is a dress rehearsal (etymology: to bring back the hearse) for death and a life of repeating the dead hand of the past, but no child would know this. Death is hidden in the play, the roles serving a distancing technique: “now back to real life.” I wonder if I was choking Mikey in this photo. His key was on his left side. Had I wound him up and then decided to stop him in his tracks as he marched across the rug? Was the boy aware at some level that some day he would be following the words of the singer Phil Ochs, I Ain’t Marching Anymore. I know Eddie became Eddy, a name change that suggested that a whirlpool was brewing down river.

In The Great War and Modern Memory, Paul Fussell writes the following: “Seeing warfare as theater provides a psychic escape for the participant: with a sufficient sense of theater, he can perform his duties without implicating his ‘real’ self and without impairing his innermost conviction that the world is still a rational place.”

Those who march in military parades are acting out parts in a play that both repeat and prepare for the next show. The parade serves a double function, just as my toy soldier had a key for me to wind him up again and again to create a form of psychic socialization through repetition. The key being repetition. Repeat, Rehearse, Remember – do it again.

Norman Brown puts it thus in Love’s Body: “Ancestral voices prophesying war; ancestral spirits in the dance macabre or war dance; Valhalla, ghostly warriors who kill each other and are reborn to fight again. All warfare is ghostly, every army an exercitus feralis, every soldier a living corpse.”

Watching the parade and then the History Channel’s documentary, I realized I was watching live and taped versions of repetitive religious performances of sacrificial rituals of a mythic nature, similar to the election every four years of the U.S. president. They are two liturgies of the national religion rooted in war-making, lying, and an economy dependent on killing. But most people act as if they are not choosing to pretend such parades and television documentaries are about remembering and honoring past “sacrifices,” when they are endorsement for future wars.

Likewise, the presidential elections serve to promote the illusion that the the next president will be different from his predecessor and will end the U.S. wars, which never end. The most recent example is the election in 2024 of Donald Trump, with some diehard Trump supporters continuing to believe in Trump’s irenic intentions despite his blatant betrayal of his antiwar promises, just like his recent predecessors Bush, Obama, and Biden. These men are elected to wage war, support the military industrial complex, and therefore the U.S. economy based on war.

It does not matter which political party is in power in Washington, D.C. Their political platforms are meaningless; they are sops thrown to an electorate desperate for illusions, as anyone with a smidgen of historical knowledge would know. Yet many justify the ruthless war-making of the American empire and how it underlies the entire economy by arguing that the parties differ on domestic policies, which is often true. But the lesser of two evils is still the evil of two lessers and another form of bad faith, for the domestic economy, being dependent on warfare and funded by the politicians of both parties, is an economy of death. Harold Pinter said it truly in his Nobel Award Address:

The crimes of the United States have been systematic, constant, vicious, remorseless, but very few people have actually talked about them. You have to hand it to America. It has exercised a quite clinical manipulation of power worldwide while masquerading as a force for universal good. It’s a brilliant, even witty, highly successful act of hypnosis.

But as with every religion – maybe more so – as Dostoevsky said of conventional Christianity, such political belief also depends on miracles, mystery, and authority rather than freedom. The flight from freedom is commonplace, despite all the rhetoric that uses it to justify the wars and the war makers.

The problem we are faced with is an issue of objectivity and reality wherein the public as audience suspends its disbelief in the theater of politics and war and plays its part as audience, as if war and politics were a Broadway show. It’s one big show with everyone in on the act. It is mass hypnosis, a passive surrender to what is perceived to be superior power. Ernest Becker, in his stunning book, The Denial of Death, when commenting on Freud’s work on group psychology and people’s tendency to abandon their judgment and common sense writes:

Freud saw right away what they did with it: they simply became dependent children again, blindly following the inner voice of their parents, which now came to them under the hypnotic spell of the leader. They abandoned their egos to his, identified with his power, tried to function with him as an ideal.

This is another way of saying that on the stage of social life few people choose to not play their assigned roles as obedient children to authority. It is a protection racket, what Jean Paul Sartre calls bad faith – mauvaise foi – and what Hemingway fictionalizes in his masterful story, “A Clean Well-Lighted Place.”

Such bad faith can probably not be countered by an essay like this. Maybe Liam Clancy’s compelling version of Eric Bogle’s great song about a non-mechanical Aussie doughboy in WW I might pierce the heart and break the spell in a better way.

Edward Curtin: Sociologist, researcher, poet, essayist, journalist, novelist....writer - beyond a cage of categories. His new book is At the Lost and Found: Personal & Political Dispatches of Resistance and Hope (Clarity Press). Read other articles by Edward, or visit Edward's website.

Friday, November 07, 2025

Big leap in quest to get to bottom of climate ice mystery

By AFP
November 6, 2025


Expedition chief Evan Miles (right) and fellow glaciologist Stanislav Kutuzov (left in blue) supervise the drilling - Copyright AFP Prakash MATHEMA


Prakash MATHEMA with Ivan COURONNE in Paris

Stanislav Kutuzov felt the drillhead he was controlling smash into the rock more than 100 metres below him high on a glacier in the Pamir peaks of Tajikistan. The ice core samples it took could help solve one of climate science’s great mysteries.

“This is the best feeling ever,” declared the Russian-born glaciologist in the thin mountain air of Kon Chukurbashi.

Kutuzov is one of a team of 15 scientists which AFP was exclusively able to follow on their historic mission 5,810 metres (19,000 feet) up on a snowy ridge near the Chinese border.

The expedition to recover the deepest ice samples ever extracted from the Pamir, one of the world’s highest and least-studied mountain ranges, aims to give scientists access to one of the planet’s oldest climate archives.

These layers of ice holding dust, compacted for centuries, perhaps millennia, may be able to tell us about the atmosphere, temperatures and snowfalls deep into the past.

The unspoken hope is that this will be the oldest ice ever extracted from the entire so-called Pamir-Karakoram anomaly zone, the only mountainous region on the planet where glaciers still seem to be resisting global warming.

The expedition in September, funded by the Swiss Polar Institute and the Ice Memory Foundation, was initially planned for the legendary Fedchenko Glacier, but it was too high to be reached by helicopter.

– Humped down the mountain –


So the team of Swiss, Japanese, Russian and Tajik scientists turned to the lower Kon Chukurbashi ice cap — which ultimately proved to be very fruitful.

The climb had to be done in stages through a rocky moonscape, crossing a sea of spiky ice and then the snow of the domed summit with its staggering views across Central Asia. They then took a week to drill down through the ice to get the two deepest core samples, with the temperature dropping to minus 18C at night.

The team had to bring the core samples — dozens of cylinders of ice about 50 centimetres (20 inches) long — to the surface carefully.

They then numbered and packed the samples so they could be carried down the mountain in iceboxes and then transferred via four-wheel-drive vehicles to refrigerated trucks further down the mountain.

“The first 50 metres we did in one day,” said Kutuzov, a paleoclimatologist at Ohio State University in the United States.

But at around 70 to 80 metres “we started to experience troubles with the core quality”, he told AFP.

Suddenly the ice became more brittle, harder to handle, yet promising at the same time — perhaps a sign of a period of change, said expedition leader Evan Miles, a glaciologist at the Swiss universities of Fribourg and Zurich.

They had never seen so many dust particles in ice, which slowed down the drilling.

When they got to the last three to five metres, “it just got dark brownish, sort of a yellowish colour”, which told them they had potentially found very different conditions, said Kutuzov.

– Up to 30,000 years old? –


Then “we pulled up the last core of ice, which was spectacular”, Miles recalled. “Really yellow ice, because it has so much sediment inside of it. Which is a really good sign for us.”

Very ancient ice samples have already been collected in the region, including some from the Grigoriev ice cap in Kyrgyzstan dated at 17,000 years.

Another from Guliya on the Tibetan Plateau was estimated to be even older, but its age is disputed.

“Our ice is much colder and probably older than Grigoriev, which gives us hope,” said Miles, back in the Tajik capital Dushanbe in October.

“Only laboratory analysis will confirm this, but we hope the core will be exceptional not only for the area but for the entire region — probably 20,000, 25,000 or 30,000 years old.”

– Antarctic ice cave –

Because it traps ancient air bubbles, ice is the only climatic archive of the atmosphere of the past and thus of greenhouse gas concentrations before the industrial burning of coal, oil and gas. Thanks to kilometres of ice core samples taken from the Greenland and Antarctic icecaps, we know that the climate has never been as warm as it is now for 800,000 years.

But between the two poles, there have been very few taken from places inhabited by people, “where we want to really understand how the climate system is varying naturally”, said Ice Memory president Thomas Stocker.

The Pamir — “a very special place… the roof of the world” — particularly fascinates scientists, Stocker said, because it is a climatic crossroads, redirecting moist air from Europe towards the Indian subcontinent.

What the ancient ice of Kon Chukurbashi has to tell us about the snow, wind and dust of yesteryear may help researchers understand how today’s monsoons — on which hundreds of millions of people in South Asia depend — might change due to climate disruption.

Which is why Ice Memory is funding the storing of the second sample core in an ice cave at minus 50C in the Concordia Research Station in Antarctica along with others from the Alps, the Andes, Greenland and elsewhere. It’s part of a “race against time” before these climatic records melt away.

This means that scientists in the future will be able to study it using more sophisticated methods than we have today.

The first core will soon be subjected to molecular analysis at Hokkaido University in northern Japan. The snowflakes that fell all those centuries ago on the Pamir will finally melt and reveal their secrets.

Tuesday, November 04, 2025

 

New study reveals source of rain is major factor behind drought risks for farmers


UC San Diego–led research shows that understanding where rain comes from could reshape drought planning and land management across the globe



University of California - San Diego



A new University of California San Diego study uncovers a hidden driver of global crop vulnerability: the origin of rainfall itself. 

Published in Nature Sustainability, the research traces atmospheric moisture back to its source—whether it evaporated from the ocean or from land surfaces such as soil, lakes and forests. When the sun heats these surfaces, water turns into vapor, rises into the atmosphere, and later falls again as rain. 

Ocean-sourced moisture travels long distances on global winds, often through large-scale weather systems such as atmospheric rivers, monsoons, and tropical storms. In contrast, land-sourced moisture—often called recycled rainfall—comes from water that evaporates nearby soils and vegetation, feeding local storms. The study finds that this balance between oceanic and terrestrial (land) sources strongly influences a region’s drought risk and crop productivity.

“Our work reframes drought risk—it’s not just about how much it rains, but where that rain comes from,” said Yan Jiang, the study’s lead author and postdoctoral scholar at UC San Diego with a joint appointment at the School of Global Policy and Strategy and Scripps Institution of Oceanography. “Understanding the origin of rainfall and whether it comes from oceanic or land sources, gives policymakers and farmers a new tool to predict and mitigate drought stress before it happens.”

A New Way to Forecast Drought Risk

Using nearly two decades of satellite data, Jiang and co-author Jennifer Burney of Stanford University measured how much of the world’s rainfall comes from land-based evaporation. They discovered that when more than about one-third of rainfall originates from land, croplands are significantly more vulnerable to drought, soil moisture loss and yield declines – likely because ocean-sourced systems tend to deliver heavier rainfall, while land-sourced systems tend to deliver less reliable showers, increasing the chance of water deficits during critical crop growth stages.

This insight provides a new way for farmers and policymakers to identify which regions are most at risk — and to plan accordingly.

“For farmers in areas that rely heavily on land-originating moisture — like parts of the Midwest or eastern Africa — local water availability becomes the deciding factor for crop success,” Jiang explained. “Changes in soil moisture or deforestation can have immediate, cascading impacts on yields.”

Two Global Hotspots: The U.S. Midwest and East Africa

The study highlights two striking hotspots of vulnerability: the U.S. Midwest and tropical East Africa.

In the Midwest, Jiang notes, droughts have become more frequent and intense in recent years — even in one of the world’s most productive and technologically advanced farming regions.

“Our findings suggest that the Midwest’s high reliance on land-sourced moisture, from surrounding soil and vegetation, could amplify droughts through what we call ‘rainfall feedback loops,’” Jiang said. “When the land dries out, it reduces evaporation, which in turn reduces future rainfall—creating a self-reinforcing drought cycle.”

Because this region is also a major supplier to global grain markets, disruptions there have ripple effects far beyond U.S. borders. Jiang suggests that Midwestern producers may need to pay closer attention to soil moisture management, irrigation efficiency and timing of planting to avoid compounding drought stress.

In contrast, East Africa faces a more precarious but still reversible situation. Rapid cropland expansion and loss of surrounding rainforests threaten to undermine the very moisture sources that sustain rainfall in the region.

“This creates a dangerous conflict,” Jiang said. “Farmers are clearing forests to grow more crops, but those forests help generate the rainfall that the crops depend on. If that moisture source disappears, local food security will be at greater risk.”

However, Jiang sees opportunity as well as risk:

“Eastern Africa is on the front line of change, but there is still time to act. Smarter land management — like conserving forests and restoring vegetation — can protect rainfall and sustain agricultural growth.”

Forests as Rainmakers

The research underscores that forests and natural ecosystems are crucial allies in farming. Forests release vast amounts of water vapor into the atmosphere through evaporation and transpiration (when plants produce moisture), effectively seeding the clouds that bring rain to nearby croplands.

“Upland forests are like natural rainmakers,” Jiang said. “Protecting these ecosystems isn’t just about biodiversity—it’s about sustaining agriculture.”

A Tool for Smarter Land and Water Management

Jiang’s research provides a new scientific framework connecting land management, rainfall patterns and crop planning — a relationship that could become central to future drought resilience strategies.

The study’s novel satellite-based mapping technique could help governments and farmers identify where to invest in irrigation infrastructure, soil water storage and forest conservation to maintain reliable rainfall.

Read the full paper, “Crop water origins and hydroclimate vulnerability of global croplands.” 




New study shows high-resolution cmip6 models better capture long-term precipitation trends in high mountain Asia




Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Linear trends of summer precipitation during 1951–2014 

image: 

Linear trends of summer precipitation during 1951–2014 (units: mm·month⁻¹·decade⁻¹). (a) Observed trends based on GPCC data. (b) Trend differences between low-resolution models and GPCC. (c) Same as (b), but for differences between high- and low-resolution models.

view more 

Credit: Lan Li




High Mountain Asia (HMA), the source region of major Asian rivers, plays a vital role in sustaining downstream water and ecosystem security. Over the past 50 years, summer precipitation in HMA has exhibited a dipole pattern—drying in the south and moistening in the north. While global climate models are widely used to explore the mechanisms and projections of these changes, their performance remains limited by the region's complex terrain and unique climate conditions.  A key question thus arises: Can enhanced model resolution yield greater fidelity in simulating HMA precipitation?

A new study published on October 15 in Journal of Climate addresses this issue, revealing the added value and physical mechanisms of increased horizontal resolution in simulating HMA long-term precipitation trends. The work was led by Ph.D. student Lan Li from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Chinese Academy of Sciences, and the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (UCAS).

Using six pairs of CMIP6 models with different horizontal resolutions, the team analyzed how higher resolution improves the simulation of long-term summer precipitation trends (1951–2014) and explored the physical mechanisms driving this improvement.

“The high-resolution models capture observed precipitation trends much more accurately than their low-resolution counterparts—especially over the southern margin of the HMA and nearby regions—reducing the wet bias by roughly 65%,” said Lan Li, the study's lead author.

What drives this improvement? “The enhanced performance of high-resolution models primarily stems from remote forcing associated with Indian Ocean SST warming, rather than local orographic effects,” explained Professor Tianjun Zhou, the study's corresponding author.

In-depth analyses of moisture budget and moist static energy budget reveal that the high-resolution models can better capture a warm sea surface temperature (SST) pattern over the central tropical Indian Ocean. This SST anomaly suppresses precipitation over the South China Sea and the Maritime Continent, which in turn triggers a Rossby wave response that generates an anomalous anticyclonic circulation over the northern Bay of Bengal. The resulting anticyclonic flow transports dry air into the southern HMA, suppressing local convection and alleviating excessive precipitation in the region.

This study demonstrates that, under the same physical configuration, climate models with higher horizontal resolution more accurately reproduce precipitation trends over High Mountain Asia. The researchers therefore recommend using high-resolution models when studying water cycle changes in regions with complex terrain. They hope these findings will offer valuable insights for improving the next generation of climate models.