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Showing posts sorted by date for query STATE MONOPOLY CAPITALI$M. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Sunday, November 17, 2024


Deconstructing State Capitalism


 November 15, 2024
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The term state capitalism does not have a single definition that is used with consistency and uniformity. The definitions that have been used depend on the context of the discussion, both historically and in terms of discipline or field, and the ideological commitments of the speaker or author. To understand state capitalism, it is necessary to survey the ways the state has shaped and participated in economic life within capitalist frameworks. Today, state actors around the world are adopting an aggressive economic strategy, investing heavily across sectors to position themselves optimally within the global capitalist system. State-owned enterprises (SOEs) have proliferated dramatically in recent years, growing in number and increasingly occupying positions as some of the top companies in the world. In the twenty-first century, SOEs have “evolved from national monopolist[s] to global players,” expanding their reach and increasingly “operating in strategic sectors – such as energy, transport, infrastructure and logistics, banking and high-tech.” As just one example, sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) have grown significantly in recent years and are now some of the largest and most important investment funds in the world. “As of February 2023, assets under management of sovereign wealth funds globally stood at $11.3 trillion, up more than tenfold in the last decade.” Governments can generally mobilize much larger sums of capital than private companies—and more quickly and easily. Governments have a range of powers that make them unique among institutional investors; they can do things like tax people, control natural resources (like oil, gas, and minerals), print and disseminate money, adjust interest rates for the entire national financial system, and apply foreign exchange reserves. With their incredible masses of capital, states exert enormous and unmatched power as investors in the global market. Their actions can impact whole industry sectors and national economies. Within the current context, the term state capitalism has been deployed as a kind of smear against China and others, to differentiate their supposedly exotic, statist-authoritarian practice of capitalism from a purer and truer Western version. It is undoubtedly true that for cultural and political reasons, China does not feel the same need to obscure or euphemize its participation in the economy. But it has become necessary to mount a critical challenge to the reproduction of “extremely problematic Eurocentric imaginaries” that present a misleading picture of a supposed contest between the “vile, authoritarian state capitalism” of the East and “a more virtuous liberal-democratic form of free-market allegedly prevailing in the West.”

The idea of state capitalism has long been associated with Marxist discourse. Notably, for Vladimir Lenin, state capitalism was promoted as an intermediate phase in which the state would participate in the capitalist system under the supervision and control of the working class. Lenin believed that the consolidation associated with monopoly capitalism would prepare the way for the socialization of production through the state. Indeed, he goes so far as to argue that under “[t]he objective process of development” it is “impossible to advance from monopolies (and the war has magnified their number, role and importance tenfold) without advancing towards socialism.” To Lenin, socialism must proceed directly from state-capitalist monopoly as the inevitable “next step forward.” “Or, in other words, socialism is merely state-capitalist monopoly which is made to serve the interests of the whole people and has to that extent ceased to be capitalist monopoly.” Ironically, then, were he alive today, Lenin could be expected to see current concentrations of wealth under global state capitalism as an auspicious indicator, the condition precedent to the advent of socialism under state administration. Many of Lenin’s socialist and communist contemporaries shared his conviction that capitalist monopolies were the path to state ownership and thus to an eventual full socialist state. At this point, some will ask: what are we to make of the fact that so many influential socialists saw socialism as monopoly capitalism perfected? At the very least, it shows that there were and are many visions of socialism—and of the paths thereto. During Lenin’s lifetime, several social, technological, and ideological developments contributed to his understanding of state monopoly capitalism as the immediate precursor to socialism. Whether or not they were actually implemented in the early Soviet Union, Lenin was influenced by ideas associated with Frederick Winslow Taylor and his Principles of Scientific Management. Taylorism emphasized the centralization and standardization of production processes, which Lenin believed would rationalize and optimize the allocation of labor resources. Lenin thought that under the control and direction of the state, these new methods and practices could be implemented to overcome the chaos and inefficiency of capitalism, creating a streamlined planned economy that would work for all. In line with the economic thinking of the time, Lenin saw gigantic scale as necessary for both attaining economies and making it possible for qualified experts in the state to manage the economy from the top down. It is important to understand Lenin’s point of view because it helps to explain the trajectory of twentieth century communism and to highlight, by contrast, some of the libertarian socialist and anarchist criticisms of state capitalism. Both the state capitalism of the West and the communism of the Soviet Union and China during the 20th century created morphologically similar structural and organizational patterns—centralized, hierarchical, bureaucratic, and ruled from the top down. Lenin’s phased framework notwithstanding, the mere fact of its ownership by the state does not make a corporate entity less hierarchical or exploitative per se. Nor does state ownership, on its own, mean management and control resides in the hands of the workers. Conditions for the workers seem to depend much less on institutional names and formalities than they do on the embodied material facts of centralized power and rigid hierarchical control.

It is ahistorical to present the state as merely a neutral rule-giver and enforcer, refereeing fair play in the free market. The twenty-first century state is not passingly interested in the economy. Indeed, the state regards itself as responsible for fundamental measures of economic health such as the GDP, employment levels, inflation, and the balance of trade. The GDP is its GDP, etc. Sovereign states participate directly in the capitalist market in a wide variety of ways. They are much more active players in the capitalist “free market” than many suppose. States often compete in the market directly, with governments owning and operating firms in sectors ranging from airlines and oil and gas to telecommunications, investing, mining, agribusiness, pharmaceuticals, and infrastructure construction. Perhaps least surprisingly, some of the largest energy companies in the world belong to governments, including the largest in Saudi Aramco, one of the most valuable companies in the world, with a market cap of $1.9 trillion (just 6 companies have a market cap over $1 trillion). Russia owns the world’s largest natural gas company by production volume, Gazprom, “with a 10% worldwide share of the market in 2023, followed, just as in the previous year, by PetroChina.” Any real understanding of the way corporate power operates in the world today requires us to “understand the inextricable interrelation between the state and the corporation.” It is common for the mainstream conversation to treat corporate influence on policy making and the political process as a kind of breakdown of the system, a glitch or deviation. But as a historical and empirical matter, this is not at all accurate. The state is itself a corporation in the sense that it is a discrete legal entity, an artificial person separate from the group of people it represents. The first modern companies were created explicitly as the conduits of anti-competitive monopoly privileges and imperialism. The charters that created them were readily acknowledged as favors from sovereigns, granting special rights to particular spheres defined geographically and commercially. Abstract or philosophical notions about economic freedom and fair competition were of course not driving the creation of the proto-corporate economy.

Scholarly interest in the institutions, phenomena, and ideological systems often associated with state capitalism has increased over the past decade in response to aggressive government strategies to play an active and direct role within the global market. In their book The Spectre of State Capitalism, published earlier this year (the full book is available for free here), Ilias Alami and Adam D. Dixon provide a comprehensive and interdisciplinary picture of the “material, discursive, and ideological dimensions” of present-day state capitalism, with they discuss as “the new state capitalism.” Alami and Dixon hope to correct the record in part by pointing out that vigorous state intervention has been anything but an aberration in the history of capitalism:

First, we submit that state capitalism must not be seen as an anomaly or a deviance from liberal, market-based capitalism, but as a particular modality of expression of the capitalist state, including in its liberal form. State capitalism is an immanent potentiality, an impulse which is contained in the form of the capitalist state and built into its DNA.

Alami and Dixon stress that the modern state and capitalism arise together and evolve in a sophisticated and highly intertwined relationship with each other. And as they note, historically, there is no capitalism without deliberate and sustained state intervention to create it. Relatedly, in their analysis of the private sector, Alami and Dixon want to remove it from a privileged position whereby it is simply assumed a priori that private companies are necessarily more efficient, innovative, and driven. Their work encourages us to look behind a state-market, public-private dichotomy that does not accurately describe the real-world relationship between the state and the economy. The authors also want to understand the relationship between the rise of state capitalism and “secular capitalist trends of economic stagnation and the centralization and concentration of capital.” Today, global capital is extremely concentrated and centralized, with inequality soaring in recent years and a relatively small number of companies controlling each major sector. Among the major economic trends of the past several decades is “the unprecedented centralization and concentration of capital on a planetary scale.” In the United States, there are about 40 percent fewer companies today than there were 30 years ago. “In the mid-1990s, there were nearly 8,000 public companies listed in the U.S. Today, there are half as many, and at the current rate, we’ll see that number halved again by 2044.” This has led and will continue to lead to major crises. Among the fundamental contradictions of capitalism is that it expects growth in revenues and profits even as it concentrates the benefits of that growth—and all wealth—in fewer and fewer hands. Unsurprisingly, in capitalism, this phenomenon of wealth and power concentration also appears within the firm, as the size of the firm increases. Quite contrary to popular belief, the growth of state power and a modern state more willing to participate directly in economic competition have not translated to weaker corporations or a more diverse and competitive economy. Indeed, a more active and powerful state seems to lead almost ineluctably to a more centralized and oligopolistic political and economic system. Perhaps surprisingly, then, in a recent interview with Geoffrey Gordon for the New Books Network, Dixon notes that libertarian and classical liberal types could find themselves agreeing with many of the book’s core claims. The book shows that as a political and economic system, state capitalism depends on the active interventions of governments in market economies, the kinds of interventions libertarians frequently criticize. This is another of many areas of fruitful dialogue between libertarian and leftist modes of criticism.

Alami and Dixon note that quantifying state capitalism presents many practical difficulties, but using the example of the United States, we find enormous levels of government intervention and participation in the economy. Whether they admit it or not, the political establishment across both major parties in the U.S. has long been comfortable with strong and sustained federal government intervention in the economy. A certain level of positive intervention is taken for granted at the political level, and that level is extremely high under any plausible empirical approach. The United States is home to the top two state-owned enterprises by total assets, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which are both currently under government conservatorship; though they are not technically owned by the U.S. government, they highlight one of the fundamental characteristics of the state capitalist paradigm: they were included in the list presumably because, formal ownership notwithstanding, the state holds the incidents of ownership, as is often the case in partnerships between the state and normally private corporations. The state is shrewd and sophisticated as a commercial actor and does not invest without holding the strings. Whatever its rhetorical pretensions, the United States has not adopted a light-touch approach to the economy. Over the past several years, the United States government’s interventions in the economy have totaled in the multiple trillions of dollars, far beyond the level of state involvement we would expect in a hypothetical free and competitive economic system (importantly, this is even without including spending associated with responses to the pandemic). Most such interventions were undertaken to benefit and prop up giant multinational companies, with, for example, several trillions going directly to defense contractors (read: war profiteers) over the past 5 years alone. As an insurance provider, the United States government manages millions of policies to the tune of trillions of dollars. The U.S. government provides grants and subsidies for domestic companies and industries, bails out banks and other financially troubled domestic industries, offers credit lines, and purchases billions of dollars worth of securities. Today, it is considered impolite to point out that the United States is an empire; it wants its vassals—particularly its first-tier ones—to feel that they are masters of their own destiny. But the United States has the power to dictate the parameters of their economic policy, and it is not at all shy about exercising this power. The United States also increasingly tries its best to police and control who can participate in the global market, through an ever-increasing list of sanctions. The idea that the United States should assume this role is asinine and would be hilarious were it not so costly in human terms: to show how serious it is about punishing its enemies and controlling the world economy, Washington will sentence millions of innocent people to entirely unnecessary death.

As observers have long acknowledged, the U.S. incarnation of state capitalism is a version of fascist political economy. In a fascist system, the economy is not centrally planned, but it is monitored, controlled, and directed toward the aims of the state, with any liberal notion of economic rights subordinated to the demands of national greatness and unity. Private ownership is permitted, but corporate power collaborates with the state as junior partner; corporations may operate and compete freely within limited commercial spheres, but they must operate as extensions of the state when called upon and must align their efforts with the goals of the state. Americans of many political stripes have begun to see such features in the visage of our government (if you’ll forgive our here). Though we are led to believe bigger is always better, large scale is integral to the systems of domination and human suffering we see around us. Capitalism has been able to absorb and overcome its critics— “it has become much more immune to social movements, much more immune to critique and judgment. A hundred years ago, it would’ve been probably a lot easier to overturn and topple the system than it is today; it’s so much more rooted in our everyday life, and the values are so taken for granted and a priori …” And speaking of absorbing its critics, just as there is no real free market in the United States, there isn’t much communism going on in China these days. From Mao’s 1938 call for the “Sinification of Marxism” to Deng’s Socialism with Chinese Characteristics to today, China has become comfortable with state capitalism. The Chinese Communist Party has long emphasized the distinctiveness of their socialist vision. And it is no doubt a distinctive form of socialism that unites the full state embrace of capitalism with promises of a return to national greatness, and that preserves the unquestioned political dominance of a single party.

As a social system, state capitalism is a dramatic failure, engendering a crisis of hopelessness, isolation, and dissociation, “because the society seems inalterable, unchangeable, unresponsive to our needs, and it’s crushingly—let’s be honest—meaningless.” If we were to caricature an oligarchical empire ruled by global finance capital, that system might look similar to the one we actually have in 2024. The existing system is a social illness. We have left behind our skepticism of the gargantuan and forgotten that what is giant must be dangerous—and hard to move from an ill course. We may not like the task and we may not be up to the task, but the task is clear: we must dramatically relocalize our political and economic institutions, cultivating active and direct resistance to the dominance of capital and the state over human life. We can only meaningfully counter their dominance by understanding their interrelatedness and history. The dominant system—choose your preferred name: state capitalism, monopoly capitalism, state monopoly capitalism, fascism—seems to us inevitable, but it is far from being so. Other ways of life exist, even now alongside our supposedly inevitable system, all around the world, at the still unreached boundaries of the state capitalist order. Even as the state and capital grow in power together, they have not dominated everything yet.

David S. D’Amato is an attorney, businessman, and independent researcher. He is a Policy Advisor to the Future of Freedom Foundation and a regular opinion contributor to The Hill. His writing has appeared in Forbes, Newsweek, Investor’s Business Daily, RealClearPolitics, The Washington Examiner, and many other publications, both popular and scholarly. His work has been cited by the ACLU and Human Rights Watch, among others.


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Tuesday, September 17, 2024


Chinese appliance maker Midea soars in Hong Kong after US$4 bn IPO

Hong Kong (AFP) – Shares in Chinese electronic appliance maker Midea surged more than nine percent on its Hong Kong debut Tuesday, having raised around US$4 billion in the city's biggest initial public offering for more than three years.


Issued on: 17/09/2024 - 
Midea's IPO is the biggest in Hong Kong since 2021 © Jade GAO / AFP
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The firm spiked at HK$60.00 in early exchanges, up 9.5 percent from its HK$54.80 list price, which was at the top of the range indicated in its prospectus.

Midea's bumper listing fuelled hopes that the Hong Kong bourse can attract more top Chinese firms and regain its crown as the world's top venue for IPOs.

The Chinese finance hub has suffered a steady decline in new offerings since a regulatory crackdown by Beijing starting in 2020 led some Chinese mega-companies to put their plans on hold.

The city saw just 30 IPOs in the first half of this year, compared with more than 100 annually between 2013 and 2020.

Midea's IPO has eclipsed the combined valuation of all of Hong Kong's new listings so far this year, and is the city's largest since JD Logistics and Kuaishou Technology in the first half of 2021.

The Foshan-based company last week expanded the number of shares on offer by around 15 percent to 566 million -- an indicator of strong demand.

In a filing to the Hong Kong stock exchange on Monday it said the international portion of the IPO was subscribed by more than eight times, before taking into account the adjustment to the offer size.

Midea chairman Paul Fang called the listing "a strategic step forward in the company's globalisation", the South China Morning Post reported on Tuesday.

Cornerstone investors, including a subsidiary of Cosco Shipping Holdings and part of UBS Asset Management Singapore, agreed to buy Midea stocks worth US$1.26 billion.

Founded in 1968, Midea has become one of the world's largest sellers of home appliances such as washing machines and air conditioners and it also owns the German industrial robot maker Kuka.

It last month reported a 14 percent rise in net profit in the first half of 2024 despite weakening consumer spending due to China's economic slowdown, while revenue hit US$52.7 billion.

The company's shares in Hong Kong were offered at a 20 percent discount compared to its stock price in Shenzhen, where it has been listed since 2013.

Hong Kong's stock exchange received a boost earlier this year after Chinese regulators unveiled measures to support the city's status as a finance hub.

The bourse operator will also change its policy this month to keep trading through typhoons and heavy storms, in a bid to raise competitiveness.

© 2024 AFP

Friday, September 13, 2024

MONOPOLY CAPITALI$M

UniCredit CEO says Commerzbank takeover an option: Bloomberg


By AFP
September 12, 2024

UniCredit is studying a takeover of Commerzbank, Chief Executive Andrea Orcel said Thursday, a day after Italy’s second-largest bank surprised markets by revealing a nine-percent stake in its German rival.

“Conversations about an M&A (merger and acquisition) or a further combination are on top” of ongoing discussions, Orcel told Bloomberg Television in an interview.

“We may go up, we may go down, and we may combine,” Orcel added.

In announcing its stake Wednesday, UniCredit said it intended to request authorisation to exceed 9.9 percent of Commerzbank’s capital “if and when necessary”.

UniCredit’s 4.49 percent stake was bought in an accelerated procedure on behalf of the German state for 702 million euros, bringing the total acquisition amount to around 1.4 billion euros ($1.54 billion).

The remainder was bought on the market, UniCredit said Wednesday.

Berlin on Tuesday had announced its intention to sell a 4.5 percent stake in Commerzbank, the first step in its withdrawal from Germany’s second-largest bank after saving it from bankruptcy in 2009.

“We think there is space given fragmentation of the market to add further value by consolidating,” Orcel said in the interview.

“If there is the basis to do that constructively and strengthen what we can provide to the German economy and Europe then that is a great move for UniCredit,” he added.

Unicredit’s next step is to enter into discussions with Commerzbank’s stakeholders to see “whether there is a basis for a combination”, Orcel said.

The services sector union Verdi, which is represented on Commerzbank’s supervisory board, called on the German government on Wednesday to “oppose” a possible takeover and not to sell further shares to UniCredit.

“We have always entertained a dialog with regulators, institutions and counterparts in Germany,” Orcel said.

“I would have thought all the relevant stakeholders were well aware of what we were doing and we would not have moved otherwise.”

Unicredit’s interest in Commerzbank comes after a failed attempt in October 2021 to take over Monte dei Paschi di Siena bank, which was itself saved from bankruptcy by the Italian state.

Shares of Unicredit rose 2.6 percent at midday to 37.10 euros.

Saturday, August 10, 2024

CRIMINAL CAPITALI$M
Cypriot firm accused of profiting from EU potash sanctions against Belarus

An investigation by Belarusian journalists has identified a Cypriot company as being at the center of a contract markup scheme.


In March 2022, the European Commission banned the import and transit of Belarusian potash. | Viktor Drachev/AFP via Getty Images
August 9, 2024 1:19 pm CET
By Alessandro Ford


Belarusian journalists have found that a Cypriot company linked with a former top aide to Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko is profiting through inflated contracts related to new export routes of the fertilizer ingredient potash, which were set up as a result of EU sanctions.

In March 2022, the European Commission banned the import and transit of Belarusian potash in the bloc following Lukashenko's support for the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The EU ban forced Belarus’ state-owned potash maker Belaruskali to shift its roughly €2 billion-per-year exports from the Lithuanian port of KlaipÄ—da to the Russian port of St. Petersburg.

An investigation published Thursday by the Belarusian Investigative Center (BIC) said the new arrangements to shift the potash out of Russia involved heavily marked-up contracts between Belaruskali and a Cyprus-based holding company.

In 2023, Belaruskali hired a Cypriot subcontractor called Dimicandum Invest Holding to transfer cargo from rail wagons to ships at the Russian port, even though the terminal operators could do the job far cheaper, according to BIC — a network of Belarusian investigative journalists in exile.

Documents acquired by BIC show that in 2023 Belaruskali agreed to pay the Cypriot firm $68 million for 3.4 million tons of potash — $20 per ton moved. The Cypriot firm then paid the port to do the job. Figures provided to BIC show the port's market rate for these services is $11 per ton.

"Our investigation has shown that this scheme may have been organised to divert funds from the domestic monopoly producer of potash fertiliser to the benefit of Aleksandr Lukashenko’s proxies," the BIC writes.

The journalists found that the man listed as signing on behalf of Dimicandum Invest Holding — financial director “A.G. Svirydau” — was Andrei Svirydau, deputy head of the Belarusian Department of Presidential Affairs from 2019 to 2021. Svirydau admitted to being the company's financial director to BIC reporters over the phone, but denied signing any contracts with Belaruskali.

The EU has previously come under fire for sanctioning Belarusian potash. U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres traveled to Brussels last year to plead for a transit exemption for Russian and Belarusian fertilizers, arguing the bans were indirectly increasing food prices and hunger across Africa.

Most EU countries, led by Portugal, were willing to grant the special dispensation, particularly after complaints from agricultural powerhouses like Brazil that they were struggling to get enough fertilizer. Yet fierce opposition from the Baltic states ultimately killed the idea, which was soon buried amid another round of sanctions against Minsk.

The investigation highlights “that a significant part of the [higher potash logistics] costs might be due to schemes with signs of corruption rather than the consequences of sanctions,” the BIC writes. After reaching an all-time high in 2022, global potash prices have also dropped by 75 percent as of this May.

According to three experts interviewed by the BIC, even if the potash shipments did not enter the bloc, Cyprus-based Dimicandum Invest Holding has still violated EU sanctions.

Gunnar Ekeløve-Slydal, deputy secretary-general of the Norwegian Helsinki Committee, told BIC that “EU sanctions prohibit companies registered in the EU from providing services or products to Belaruskali, and transshipping the potash in St Petersburg would be a direct violation.”

Cypriot law enforcement told the BIC their findings had been referred to the competent agency.

The European Commission told POLITICO: “The Commission will look into this case and liaise with the Cypriot authorities if and as needed.”

Belaruskali did not reply to a POLITICO request for comment. POLITICO attempted to contact Andrei Svirydau, Dimicandum Invest Holding and its director, but was unable to reach them.

Wednesday, May 08, 2024

MONOPOLY CAPITALI$M

BLOOMBERG EXCLUSIVE

Unions, Advocates Urge DOJ Criminal Probe of Kroger, Albertsons


An Albertsons sign on a store in Littleton, Colo.
Photographer: Matthew Staver /Bloomberg News.

May 8, 2024

Danielle Kaye
Reporter

Documents
Letter

FTC lawsuits revealed potentially illegal collusion

Letter to DOJ urges criminal investigation of grocery giants


The US Justice Department should investigate whether Kroger Co. and Albertsons Cos. engaged in illegal collusion, unions and advocates say, citing evidence unearthed in recent lawsuits seeking to block the grocery giants’ proposed merger.

The US Federal Trade Commission and a group of states sued the companies in federal court in February to thwart their $24.6 billion tie-up, on the heels of a similar lawsuit filed by Colorado’s attorney general in state court. Both complaints cite communications indicating that the two grocers have relied on non-solicitation agreements and pacts not to poach each other’s workers and customers—evidence that advocates and labor groups argue warrants a criminal investigation by federal antitrust enforcers.

“Crucially, overt violations like price-fixing via non-solicitation agreements, as well as wage-fixing via no-poach agreements, carry potential criminal penalties,” anti-monopoly group the American Economic Liberties Project and a coalition of seven United Food and Commercial Workers local unions said in their letter to the DOJ on Wednesday.

In its suit to block what would be the biggest US grocery deal in history, Colorado alleged Kroger and Albertsons agreed not to poach each other’s workers during a 2022 strike by Kroger employees. Colorado Attorney General Phil Weiser also said the companies entered into a non-solicitation agreement to avoid persuading pharmacy customers to switch between the two.

UFCW Local 7, which represents workers at grocery stores in Colorado and signed onto the letter to the DOJ, filed an unfair labor practice charge with the National Labor Relations Board one day after Weiser’s lawsuit revealed the alleged agreement between the companies not to hire each other’s employees.

A Kroger spokesperson denied allegations of no-poach and non-solicitation agreements with Albertsons, adding that employees “regularly” move between the two companies as well as other competing retailers.

The DOJ brought its first criminal trials on alleged labor market violations in 2022 as part of a broader push by federal enforcers to increase scrutiny of antitrust violations that harm workers. The Antitrust Division under the Biden administration has ramped up enforcement actions related to no-hire or no-poach agreements, which the DOJ has argued are inherently illegal.

The no-poach allegations brought forth in the FTC and Colorado lawsuits over the Kroger-Albertons merger would, if true, represent per se violations of Section 1 of the Sherman Act, the groups argued in their letter to Attorney General Merrick Garland and DOJ antitrust chief Jonathan Kanter.

A preliminary injunction hearing in the Colorado lawsuit is scheduled for mid-August in Colorado court, just before the FTC’s suit goes to trial in Oregon federal court.


Wednesday, May 01, 2024

MONOPOLY CAPITALI$M
Copper smelters in China wary of BHP-Anglo tie-up

Reuters | April 30, 2024 | 


Chinese smelters, the world’s biggest buyers of mined copper, are concerned they will lose power to negotiate prices if BHP Group, known locally as “the big miner”, succeeds in its bid for rival Anglo American.


BHP, the world’s largest listed mining group, is fine-tuning an offer that could make it the biggest producer of copper, a metal in high demand as the world seeks to shift towards electric vehicles and a lower carbon economy.

The proposed takeover would give BHP control of roughly 10% of global mined supplies, surpassing Chile’s Codelco and Freeport-McMoRan.

“This is not good news for China given the heavy reliance on external supply, and Chinese companies hold limited resources,” Zhang Weixin, a metal analyst at China Futures, said of the potential tie-up.

The China Smelters Purchase Team (CSPT), a group of top smelters that negotiates with miners on yearly prices to treat and refine copper, has no current plans to urge Beijing to investigate the deal, three sources familiar with the matter said.

CSPT’s head could not be reached for comment and BHP declined to comment.

China’s State Administration for Market Regulation also did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

There is a precedent of Chinese regulators getting involved in deals that impact copper supply.

In 2011, Glencore agreed to China’s demand that it sell its interest in Xstrata’s Las Bambas copper project in Peru to clinch their multi-billion dollar deal.

The world’s leading consumer of the metal, China imported 27.54 million metric tons of copper ore and concentrate in 2023, worth $60.1 billion, customs data showed, more than half of global supplies.
Tight market

In China, BHP is most active in the spot market, where it sells to domestic smelters using tenders, according to smelters and analysts, signing contracts for fixed volumes to be priced via an index provided by third parties.

By comparison, rival miners Freeport and Antofagasta agree an annual fixed sale price with China’s smelters that is widely used as an industry benchmark.

Chinese copper smelters said the prospect of more supply being sold under index pricing could increase uncertainty for costs and planning.

None of the smelter officials wished to be identified given the sensitivity of the matter.

One of them said index pricing meant smelters would be unable to estimate production costs and to draw up a full-year production plan.

Smelters are still recovering from supply shortages driven by the December closure of the First Quantum’s Cobre Panama mine, which drove down treatment charges (TCs) – their main source of income.

Treatment charges are fees paid by miners for converting raw materials into metal. They fall when mine output decreases as smelters have to compete for concentrate.


Adding to their difficulties, the concentrate market is expected to be in deficit for the next three years.

Last week, spot treatment charges (TCs) in China turned negative for the first time since pricing agency Fastmarkets started the index in 2013.

That compares with 2024 benchmark TCs settled between Chinese smelters and Freeport and Antofagasta at $80 per ton.

Much as consolidation raises concerns, however, William Adams, head of base metals research at Fastmarkets in London, said it could calm the market longer term by tackling the high cost and risk of developing mines.

“Look at the current tightness in spot treatment and refining charges, which is because there is insufficient mine supply to meeting smelter’s demand, highlights the need to invest more upstream,” he said.

(By Siyi Liu, Julian Luk, Mai Nguyen and Melanie Burton; Editing by Tony Munroe and Barbara Lewis)

Anglo spinoffs will ‘very likely’ need South Africa approval

Bloomberg News | April 30, 2024 | 


Loading hauled ore from the mine into the primary crusher at Kumba Iron Ore’s Kolomela. (Image courtesy of Anglo American | Flickr.)

BHP Group Ltd.’s proposal for Anglo American Plc to spin off platinum and iron ore units before a takeover would likely require approval from South African regulators, according to a government agency.


Under BHP’s offer, Anglo would need to first divest its controlling interests in Kumba Iron Ore Ltd. and Anglo American Platinum Ltd., both of which are listed in Johannesburg and operate assets in South Africa. Anglo rejected the initial $39 billion proposal from the Australian mining giant last week.

Analysts have pointed to South Africa as one of the biggest potential hurdles to a deal, even if Anglo’s board can be won over. Founded in 1917 by Ernest Oppenheimer, Anglo has long ties to South Africa and was built on the back of the country’s gold mines. The proposed spinoffs highlight the fragile state of the country’s critical mining industry, as the ruling African National Congress struggles to bolster its appeal before elections next month.

Even before BHP’s proposal, Anglo’s platinum subsidiary was weighing thousands of job cuts in a country with one of the world’s highest unemployment rates. The ANC’s national chairman has signaled his opposition to BHP’s proposed takeover.

Even though BHP doesn’t want to buy Kumba and Amplats, South Africa could have an important role to play if an eventual deal is structured in the manner originally outlined. The country’s Competition Commission not only evaluates antitrust impacts but also “public interest” factors, including how a proposed acquisition will affect employment levels and historically disadvantaged people.

“There are numerous and current merger reviews in which the agency has imposed stringent conditions on the basis of the transactions’ effect on the public interest criteria,” said John Oxenham, Johannesburg-based managing partner at Primerio, a law firm that specializes in competition cases.

BHP is considering making an improved proposal for London-listed Anglo, Bloomberg reported April 27, citing people familiar with the matter. The main prize for BHP is Anglo’s South American copper operations, while the non-South African iron ore business and coking coal mines in Australia would also fit well with its existing operations.

If Anglo shareholders accept an improved offer with the same conditions, spinning off Kumba and Amplats is “very likely to meet the mandatory thresholds” that would require approval from South Africa’s regulatory authorities, Competition Commission spokesman Siyabulela Makunga said in an emailed response to questions. The agency assesses each deal “based on its own merits” in accordance with the law, he said.

South Africa Mines Minister Gwede Mantashe has signaled his opposition to the takeover, telling Bloomberg last week that he “wouldn’t support” the proposal. “I don’t think Anglo will agree to that,” said Mantashe, who also chairs the ANC.

The country’s state pension fund – the Public Investment Corp. – is also Anglo’s second-largest shareholder, controlling an 8.4% stake, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

(By William Clowes)

Saturday, April 27, 2024

China Is Winning The Race for Affordable EVs

STATE CAPITALI$M VS MONOPOLY CAPITALI$M

  • EV sales in China are soaring as domestic manufacturers aggressively cut prices.

  • In China alone, EV sales are set to jump to about 10 million this year, accounting for about 45% of all car sales in the country.

  • To compare, the U.S. will see roughly one in nine cars sold in 2024 to be electric.

While U.S. and European automakers struggle with weaker demand for electric vehicles, China is churning out a growing number of small and cheap EVs that are taking over the domestic car market and other markets in Asia.

Affordability has been a key driver of consumer choices when buying a car. The average consumer in the U.S. and Europe has yet to afford an EV manufactured by a Western carmaker. That's not the case in China, where generous government subsidies have helped EV manufacturers make many models priced on par or even lower than gasoline cars of the same class.  

EV sales in China are soaring as domestic manufacturers aggressively cut prices, undercutting Tesla and the legacy manufacturers.

The Chinese strategy is a winner in Southeast Asia, where demand for electric small city cars and two- and three-wheelers is set to grow exponentially in the coming years.

In China alone, EV sales are set to jump to about 10 million this year, accounting for about 45% of all car sales in the country, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its Global EV Outlook 2024 report this week.

To compare, the U.S. will see roughly one in nine cars sold in 2024 to be electric, while in Europe, electric cars are still set to represent about one in four cars sold despite a generally weak outlook for passenger car sales and the phase-out of subsidies in some countries, noted the agency advocating for a fast transition to EVs and clean energy.

This year's EV outlook by the IEA stresses the most important factor for the rapid uptake of electric cars—affordability.

"The pace of the transition to electric vehicles hinges on their affordability," the agency says.

China is already winning in affordability, leaving Western carmakers, including Tesla, struggling to balance price cuts with heavily eroded profit margins.

The IEA has estimated that more than 60% of electric cars sold in China in 2023 were already cheaper than their average combustion engine equivalent. However, EVs sold in Europe and the U.S. remain between 10% to 50% more expensive than their combustion-engine equivalents, depending on the country and car segment.

Moreover, two-thirds of all available EV models globally last year were mostly the more expensive SUVs, large cars, and pick-up trucks, the agency noted.  

"In 2023, 55% to 95% of the electric car sales across major emerging and developing economies were large models that are unaffordable for the average consumer, hindering mass-market uptake," the IEA said.

But Chinese carmakers expanding overseas have been offering since 2022 smaller and much more affordable models that "have quickly become bestsellers," the agency added.

Chinese manufacturers have an advantage in conquering smaller markets in Asia, such as Vietnam and Thailand, where EV sales picked up last year.

Europe and the U.S. are unhappy with the Chinese competition in the EV sector, which enjoys generous support from China's authorities.

The Chinese government has granted direct subsidies of at least $3.7 billion (3.4 billion euros) to EV manufacturer BYD, which has been one of the main beneficiaries of China's massive subsidies for green technologies, a German think tank that advises the government said in a report earlier this month.

"China's subsidy policy has been a controversial issue for years: European industries often struggle to compete with Chinese counterparts on price," said Dirk Dohse, Research Director at the Kiel Institute and co-author of the report

The EU and European carmakers are already spooked by Chinese EV manufacturers' plans to boost sales in the EU.

The EU launched in October anti-subsidy investigations into EU imports of EVs from China to determine whether the value chains in China benefit from illegal subsidization and "whether this subsidization causes or threatens to cause economic injury to EU BEV producers."

The findings of the investigation will establish whether it is in the EU's interest to impose anti-subsidy duties on EV imports from China, the European Commission said at the time. The EU probe into the Chinese subsidies is ongoing and set to conclude by November, but the bloc could impose tariffs as early as July.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com