Tuesday, December 09, 2025

 

Learn the surprising culprit limiting the abundance of Earth’s largest land animals



Northern Arizona University






Humans live in a world abundant in salt, but this everyday seasoning is a luxury for wild herbivores, and it’s far from clear how these animals get enough.   

A new study published today in Nature Ecology and Evolution and authored by Northern Arizona University researchers and collaborators found the density and distribution of Earth’s largest land animals, including elephants, giraffes and rhinos, appear to be limited by this kitchen essential. There are only a few areas in the world where these large animals can get enough sodium from the local flora to survive. 

“In Africa, sodium availability varies over a thousandfold in plants,” said Andrew Abraham, lead author of the study, a research associate at City University of New York and NAU alumnus. “This means that in many areas, wild herbivores simply cannot get enough salt in their diet.”  

This is true to some extent for all herbivores—most plants don’t need salt and often contain trace amounts of it—but it’s especially pronounced for megaherbivores. Previous research had suggested that sodium deficiency increases with body size. Using a totally separate methodology, this study reached the same conclusion. 

Mapping the missing megaherbivores 

The authors combined their high-resolution maps of plant sodium with databases of animal dung and density measurements. Dung can tell scientists a lot about animals, including whether they’re getting enough salt. They connected areas with salt limitation to lower numbers of larger herbivores.  

It’s not just about ability to survive, though. Salt limitation explains several interesting behaviors exhibited by wild animals.  

“In Kenya, elephants enter caves to consume the sodium-rich rocks and in the Congo rainforest, they dig for salt in riverbeds,” Abraham said. “Gorillas are known to fight for the saltiest foods, while rhinos, wildebeest and zebra often gather at salt pans from the Kalahari Desert to the Maasai Mara.”  

This study also offers a new explanation for the “missing” megaherbivores.  

“West Africa is a very productive region, but there aren’t many megaherbivores there,” said Chris Doughty, a professor of ecoinformatics at NAU. “We think that a lack of sodium, likely combined with other factors such as overhunting and soil infertility, plays an important role in limiting their numbers.”  

This research raises a number of conservation concerns. Many protected areas are located in low-sodium environments, and humans have created artificial sodium hotspots through various activities like borehole pumping and road salting.  

“If animals can’t get enough sodium in their natural habitats, they may come into conflict with people on their quest to satisfy their salt hunger,” Abraham said.   

 

Artificial turf in the Nordic climate – a question of sustainability




Linköping University

Mikael Säberg 

image: 

Mikael Säberg, PhD student at Linköping University.

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Credit: Ebba Nordqvist





Artificial turf football pitches are better than natural turf from a sustainability perspective – at least as long as the artificial turf material is recycled and the natural turf is cut using fossil fuel-powered lawn mowers. This is demonstrated by researchers at Linköping University in a new study comparing the environmental impact of the different pitches with the help of life cycle analyses.

“The Nordic climate is tough on football pitches and there isn’t much research on the subject. But there is a great deal of interest from the municipalities as regards sustainability and weighing artificial turf against natural turf, says Mikael Säberg, PhD student at Linköping University (LiU), and first author of the study, published in the scientific journal Cleaner Environmental Systems.

Using life cycle analyses, Mikael Säberg and his colleagues at the Department of Management and Engineering (IEI), at LiU, investigated the environmental impact of production, maintenance and decommissioning of artificial turf pitches compared to natural turf pitches over a 10-, 20- and 30-year period. The researchers showed that artificial turf pitches are a more environmentally sustainable option – with some reservations.

Their results can provide guidance for municipalities i northern climates investing in new football pitches. But at the same time, there are many aspects to consider, says Emma Lindkvist, assistant professor at LiU’s Department of Management and Engineering:

“First of all, you need to look at the purpose. In other words, how the pitch will be used. Only for actual games or for lots of training? If we’re talking about many hours of play with a lot of training, then artificial turf is better because it lasts longer.”

In addition to better durability, artificial turf can be played on all year round, which increases accessibility for sports clubs. Natural grass pitches can be played on only in the summer months.

An artificial turf pitch has a lifespan of about ten years. It then needs to be replaced, due to the plastic in the turf and the damping material being worn out. Natural grass pitches, on the other hand, are laid once and maintained continuously. Maintenance of the different pitch types differs and plays a major role in their environmental impact.

“In the production phase, artificial turf has the greatest impact. But natural turf has the greatest emission factors linked to maintenance. It is about dressing, fertilising, you have to mow the grass several times a week and it should be aerated at regular intervals. So there are many processes involved compared to artificial turf,” says Mikael Säberg.

Maintenance of an artificial turf is much more modest and involves brushing once or twice a week, possibly harrowing once or twice a month and an annual deep cleaning of the granule between the straws.

But what about the reservations? Well, an artificial turf pitch is more environmentally sustainable only if the rubber granule between the straws is collected and reused, and the old turf is sent for heat recovery. The maintenance of a natural lawn is often done using petrol- or diesel-powered machines. But with electrified machinery it’s a whole new ball game, as natural turf then becomes the more environmentally friendly option.

“What we can see is that artificial turf production as well as natural turf maintenance can and needs to be improved in order to reduce emissions,” says Mikael Säberg.


Emma Lindkvist, assistant professor at Linköping University.

Credit

Charlotte Perhammar


Mikael Säberg, PhD student at Linköping University.

Credit

Ebba Nordqvist

 

Energy and regional factors drive carbon price volatility in China’s emissions trading markets




Shanghai Jiao Tong University Journal Center





Background and Motivation

China’s national carbon market has grown rapidly in recent years, emerging as one of the world’s largest Emissions Trading Systems (ETS). Carbon price volatility not only affects market stability and pricing credibility but also influences corporate investment and emissions strategies. While prior research has identified various factors affecting carbon price fluctuations, most studies focus on a narrow set of variables and rarely compare broader potential drivers across regions. This leaves a gap in understanding which factors are truly critical in explaining volatility dynamics in China’s ETS markets, especially given the frequency mismatch between daily carbon prices and monthly or quarterly macroeconomic indicators.

 

Methodology and Scope

To address these challenges, researchers from the University of Science and Technology of China and Southwest University of Science and Technology developed an integrated GARCH-MIDAS-Adaptive-Lasso (GM-AL) model. This framework combines the ability to handle mixed-frequency data with advanced variable selection techniques, enabling the identification of the most influential predictors from a large set of macroeconomic, financial, energy, and environmental variables. The study focuses on three major regional ETS pilots in China: Hubei, Guangdong, and Shenzhen, using daily carbon price data from 2014 to 2023. A structured pool of low-frequency variables—including energy prices, financial indices, policy uncertainty indicators, and environmental factors—was analysed to uncover region-specific drivers of carbon price volatility.

 

Key Findings and Contributions

The study reveals clear regional differences in what drives carbon price volatility:

  • In Hubei, the electricity and energy sectors (measured by the CSI 300 Electricity and Energy Indices) are the primary drivers.
  • In Guangdong and Shenzhen, crude oil prices and the energy index play a more dominant role.
  • Overall, energy-related factors exert the strongest influence on China’s carbon market volatility, while policy and environmental variables show limited impact.

The proposed GM-AL model significantly outperforms benchmark models in both forecast accuracy and economic value. It also demonstrates robustness across different weighting schemes and alternative dimensionality reduction methods. The research contributes to the literature by systematically integrating multidimensional factors into volatility modelling and providing a scalable framework for other developing countries seeking to establish or enhance their own ETS mechanisms.

 

Why It Matters

Understanding the drivers of carbon price volatility is crucial for policymakers, regulators, and market participants. The findings highlight the importance of energy market signals and regional industrial structures in shaping carbon price dynamics. By identifying key predictors, this research supports the development of early warning systems and more responsive regulatory frameworks. It also offers investors improved tools for risk management and decision-making in carbon markets.

 

Practical Applications

The GM-AL model can be used by:

  • Regulators to design differentiated, region-specific policies and stabilise carbon markets through proactive monitoring.
  • Investors and financial institutions need to enhance volatility forecasting, optimise portfolio strategies, and assess carbon market risks.
  • Energy and industrial firms need to anticipate better compliance costs and adjust emissions strategies.
  • International researchers and policymakers in other emerging economies can use it as a reference for building robust carbon pricing systems.

 

Discover high-quality academic insights in finance from this article published in China Finance Review International. Click the DOI below to read the full-text!