Fri, October 25, 2024
Vice President Harris has a 2-to-1 advantage among voters aged 18 to 29 over former President Trump, but that advantage shrinks to only a 9-point lead in battleground states, according to the last Harvard Institute of Politics survey before Election Day.
Harris’s 28-point lead over Trump is 3 points lower than in the September poll, but support for Harris is still almost double that of President Biden, according to Harvard’s polling from earlier in the year.
“Young Americans’ attitudes, concerns, and candidate preferences come through loud and clear in our latest Harvard Youth Poll,” said Setti Warren, the institute’s director. “As we approach the final sprint to Election Day, we see that young people across the country are continuing to pay attention and are increasingly prepared to make their voices heard.”
The new poll also found a growing enthusiasm gap among young Harris and Trump voters: 71 percent of Harris voters said they plan to vote compared to only 59 percent of Trump voters.
In swing states, 1 in 2 voters said they plan on voting for Harris, while Trump registered 41 percent in support. Additionally, 4 percent said they’d vote for a third party, and 6 percent were undecided.
Close to 3 in 5 young voters said they planned to vote or have already cast their ballot, which is consistent with previous polling showing a marked increase in youth participation in elections since 2018.
The gender gap between Harris and Trump has also continued to widen, with the vice president holding a 10-point lead among young male voters and a 30-point lead among women. In the spring, that gap was only 8 points.
“The political gap between young men and young women has emerged as a key feature of this election. The Harris and Trump campaigns have deployed extensive resources to reach both groups. Overall, young voters break strongly for Harris in this poll,” said Anil Cacodcar, chair of the Harvard Public Opinion Project.
Harris has dedicated considerable campaign resources to reaching younger voters, including a commitment to visit 150 college campuses. Her staff has also created numerous memes and video edits on social platform X, Instagram and TikTok to boost youth engagement.
Much of her messaging has focused on reproductive access, and of those polled by Harvard, Harris holds a 46-point advantage in trust about reproductive rights.
Trump has focused on reaching out to younger male voters, especially white men, visiting SEC football games and participating in events with the NELK Boys and podcaster Joe Rogan.
Young white men are also the only group that believes Trump is a stronger, more patriotic and funnier candidate compared to all other young voters.
Young voters believe Harris is more competent, honest and reliable, among the most important traits for those polled when deciding whom to vote for.
Only 1 in 5 Americans polled expressed confidence in a peaceful transition of power after the election.
Juliann Ventura
Fri, October 25, 2024
The gender gap among youth supporters of Vice President Harris and former President Trump more than doubled since the spring, a Harvard Institute of Politics youth poll found.
The survey found that the gender gap grew from 8 percentage points in the spring, when President Biden was the Democratic nominee, to 20 points now, with Harris as the party’s candidate.
Harris leads by 10 percentage points among men and 30 percentage points among women, the poll revealed.
Among white women, Democrats saw a 9-point gain, with Harris now at 50 percent support compared to Trump’s 37 percent, the survey found. In the spring, Trump sat at 27 percent compared to Biden’s 31 percent.
Among nonwhite women, Harris sits at 70 percent support, while Trump sits at 15 percent, the poll showed. In the spring, Trump had 15 percent support, while Biden had 36 percent support.
The poll noted Trump leads among young male voters who are less certain about voting, 37 percent to Harris’s 26 percent.
For likely voters of this demographic, Harris leads Trump, 55 percent to 38 percent.
The poll also found that among registered voters nationwide, Harris leads Trump by 20 points nationwide, 53 percent to 33 percent. Among likely voters, the divide widens with Harris outpacing Trump, 60 percent to 32 percent.
In key battleground states Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Wisconsin, Harris leads among registered voters, 50 percent to 41 percent, the survey revealed. Four percent supported third-party candidates, and 6 percent were undecided.
In the states that Biden won in 2020, the survey found Harris leads by 34 percentage points, but in the states that Trump won, her lead shrinks to 10 percentage points.
The poll surveyed 2,001 adults under 30 from Oct. 3-14. The margin of error for the total sample was 2.64 percentage points. For registered voters, the margin of error was 3.05 points, and it was 3.61 points for likely voters.
Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved.
Karissa Waddick, USA TODAY
Updated Fri, October 25, 2024 at 7:24 AM MDT
From podcast appearances to celebrity endorsements, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have been pulling out all the stops in the final days of the 2024 presidential campaign to woo young voters to the polls.
For Harris, those efforts appear to be working.
The Harvard Youth Poll, published Friday, showed Harris leading Trump nationally by 20 points among registered voters under age 30. Across the seven major swing states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Wisconsin – where the race is more competitive, Harris’ lead dropped to 9 points.
Young women react to meeting Democratic presidential candidate and U.S. Senator Kamala Harris at a meet and greet for women voters in Birmingham, Alabama on June 7, 2019.
The secret to getting young people to vote? Potentially, peer pressure. Those between the ages of 18-29 who believed that their friends planned to vote were more than twice as likely to say they planned to vote themselves, according to the survey.
John Della Volpe, polling director at the Institue of Politics, said in a statement that peer influence, not just the politics of the two candidates, “could determine youth turnout” this election “and ultimately who becomes the next president.”
Young people are expected to play a major role in the outcome of the tightening race for the White House. The election could be decided on razor-thin margins in a handful of states, and turnout among critical demographic groups could make up the difference.
Both Harris and Trump have sought to court young millennial and Gen Z voters in the closing days of the campaign. With appearances at popular fighting matches and on podcasts hosted by the likes of YouTuber Logan Paul, Trump has targeted undecided young men. Harris, meanwhile, has leaned into social media campaigns and endorsements from high-profile celebrities including Taylor Swift and Billie Eilish to increase support among young women.
Those strategies are evident in the stark – and growing – gender gap.
When President Joe Biden was in the 2024 presidential race earlier this year, his lead among young women was nine points higher than among young men. With Harris as the Democratic nominee, the gender gap has increased to 20% points. Harris now leads by 10% points among young men and by a whopping 30% points among young women.
And the gender gap isn’t just in youth. In the latest USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll, 53% of women said they backed Harris, while 53% of men said they supported Trump.
According to the Harvard Youth poll, some of the young men who support Trump may be less likely to vote. The survey found that Trump held an 11-point advantage among young men who were less likely to vote, where Harris lead among likely male voters.
The poll was conducted between Oct. 3 and 14 and surveyed 2,001 Americans from ages 18 to 29. The margin of error among the total sample was +/- 2.64%. It rose to +/- 3.05% when looking specifically at registered voters, and +/- 3.61% on questions examining likely voters.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Peer pressure could drive youth turnout in 2024, new poll finds
Walz, AOC to play Madden on Twitch in an appeal to young men
Juliann Ventura
Sat, October 26, 2024
Vice President Harris’s running mate, Gov. Tim Walz (D-Minn.), and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y) are set to play Madden NFL together on the live-streaming platform Twitch on Sunday.
The announcement comes as the Harris campaign seeks to court young male voters, a voting bloc that former President Trump seems to be leading with in the polls.
The Harvard Institute of Politics youth poll found that the gender gap among youth supporters of Harris and Trump more than doubled since the spring, growing from 8 percentage points in the spring, when President Biden was the Democratic nominee, to 20 points now, with Harris as the party’s candidate.
Polling has also shown the Democratic nominee trailing behind Trump among male voters in key swing states.
A CNN/SSRS poll from September showed Trump leading Harris among likely male voters in Pennsylvania by 15 points — 55 percent to 40 percent — and Harris leading Trump among female voters in the state by 11 points — 53 percent to 42 percent.
The survey of likely voters in Nevada showed Trump with an 18-point lead among male voters, 57 percent to 39 percent, while Harris had a 16-point lead among female voters, 55 percent to 39 percent.
The campaign has used Twitch to attract younger voters in the past, even using the platform, along with TikTok, YouTube and more than a dozen digital services, to stream the Democratic National Convention in August.
This announcement also comes amid a series of ads on Yahoo Sports and DraftKings — platforms with predominantly male audiences — launched by the Harris campaign last week specifically aimed at winning over young male voters.
Earlier this month, some Democrats expressed worry that Harris is struggling to engage men in the final weeks of the presidential campaign.
“She has a problem with men for the same reason Hillary Clinton did: because misogyny exists, as do outdated ideas about who should hold the presidency,” Democratic strategist Christy Setzer told The Hill earlier this month. “Meanwhile, Trump has doubled down on this ‘strongman’ machismo and dictator’s act, playing ‘It’s a Man’s World’ at his rallies.”
Clinton lost the male vote to Trump in 2016 by 11 points, 41 percent to 52 percent, while she won the female vote by 13 points, 54 percent to 41 percent.
Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved.
Obama Calls BS On Reason For Voting
Trump: 'Don’t You Give Him Credit For That'
Lee Moran
Fri, October 25, 2024
Former President Barack Obama on Thursday urged voters not to be “bamboozled” or “fooled” by one particular reason he’s heard about why people may vote for former President Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
“Some folks will be like, ‘Well, Donald Trump sent me a check during the pandemic,’” Obama noted during a campaign rally speech for Democratic nominee Kamala Harris in Georgia.
Trump, now the Republican presidential nominee, did send out stimulus checks during the COVID-19 pandemic. And the then-president, whose handling of the public health crisis was widely slammed, insisted that they feature his signature.
Obama told the crowd, “Let me make sure you all understand this.”
Then he explained: “Joe Biden sent you a check during the pandemic just like I gave people relief during the Great Recession. The thing is, we didn’t put our name on it because it wasn’t about feeding our egos, it wasn’t about advancing our politics, it was about helping people. That’s the difference.”
“Don’t you give him credit for that. Come on,” he added.
Watch Obama’s comments here:
Leonardo DiCaprio Endorses Kamala Harris and Bashes Trump for Ignoring Climate Change: ‘He Continues to Deny the Science’
Leonardo DiCaprio has endorsed Kamala Harris for president.
In a video posted to Instagram, the Oscar-winning actor discussed the damage of recent hurricanes Helene and Milton, saying “these unnatural disasters were caused by climate change.”
More from Variety
“Donald Trump continues to deny the facts. He continues to deny the science. He withdrew the United States from the Paris Climate Accords and rolled back critical environmental protections,” DiCaprio said. “Now he’s promised the oil and gas industry that he’ll get rid of any regulation they want in exchange for a billion-dollar donation.”
He added, “Climate change is killing the earth and ruining our economy. We need a bold step forward to save our economy, our planet and ourselves. That’s why I’m voting for Kamala Harris.”
DiCaprio said that Harris “helped lead the most significant climate action in U.S. history, including passing the inflation Reduction Act,” and he noted her goals to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 and build a green economy “that not only creates jobs, but also helps save our planet.”
“Join me in voting for Kamala Harris on Nov. 5, because we cannot afford to go backwards,” the actor concluded.
An outspoken environmental advocate, DiCaprio did not outright endorse Joe Biden in the 2020 election but attended a fundraiser for the president in Los Angeles. Ahead of the 2016 election between Hillary Clinton and Trump, DiCaprio urged the audience at the now-discontinued Hollywood Film Awards to “vote for people who believe in the science of climate change.”
Watch DiCaprio’s remarks in full below.
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