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Wednesday, June 24, 2026

AU CONTRAIRE

Ukraine, Europe and Global Security - Lavrov

Ukraine, Europe and Global Security - Lavrov
Russia’s veteran Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov penned an article that was originally planned to be published in the Brussels-based Politico-Europe but got pulled. The ministry subsequently published the piece on its own website. / bne IntelliNewsFacebook
By Ben Aris in Berlin June 23, 2026

Below is the text of an article by Russia’s veteran Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov that was originally planned to be published in the Brussels-based Politico-Europe outlet, but according to reports was pulled at the last minute by editors.

The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs subsequently published the article on its own website. It comes in the context of America’s withdrawal from the ceasefire negotiations led by the Trump administration that came close to doing a deal at the Moscow meeting on December 3 that produced a 27-point peace plan (27PPP) that the Kremlin largely accepted.

But then the Gulf War broke out and US President Donald Trump lost interest in the Ukraine war talks which hit a roadblock over the issue of control over Donbas and the West’s reluctance to offer Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy a real security deal.

Since then the burden has fallen entirely on Europe’s shoulders. At the E3 London summit on June 8 the leaders of France, Germany and the UK drew up a five point plan to end the war. But it starts with a call for an unconditional ceasefire before any negotiation can start – a position the Kremlin categorically rejected at the similar “final offer” summit in London a year earlier.

The Kremlin has said repeatedly that it is open to talks and Russian President Vladimir Putin said the “end of the war is close” at a press conference following the Victory Day parade this year. But observers say that the Kremlin’s position remains unchanged: the war will end when either Russia captures, or Bankova concedes, control over the remaining unoccupied parts of the Donbas are in Russia’s hands.

Lavrov discusses these points and more in his article:

 

Some Reflections on Resolving the Ukrainian Crisis, Europe and Global Security

At a meeting in London on 7 June 2026, the leaders of Britain, France, and Germany, as well as Vladimir Zelenskiy, laid out five preconditions for Russia to secure a "just and lasting peace" in Ukraine. The united Europe now presents this list of demands as the basis for dialogue with Moscow.

Background

More than two decades of negotiation with Europe, as part of the collective West, leads to only one conclusion: engaging Russia in dialogue has served as a diplomatic smokescreen for the geopolitical expansion of Western institutions, above all Nato and the European Union, eastwards, right up to Russia's borders.

Europe's complicity in fuelling the Ukrainian crisis is undeniable. Together with the United States, European countries orchestrated the Orange Revolution in Kyiv in 2004. To create an anti-Russian bridgehead in Ukraine, they spent years buying off politicians and entire parties, rewriting history and educational curricula, cultivating and nurturing Ukrainian nationalism, and went to great lengths to pull Ukraine away from Russia.

In 2013, the European Union rejected outright our proposal for a compromise on the association agreement – a deal Brussels had long been pressing Viktor Yanukovych to sign. It is worth recalling: Ukraine was offered unilateral market opening, without reciprocal commitments – terms that would have proved incompatible with Kyiv's continued membership in the CIS free-trade zone. When Viktor Yanukovich requested a deferral, the Europeans incited street riots which swiftly escalated into a coup d'état in Kyiv in February 2014.

Germany, France and Poland then proved themselves to be equally treacherous. Having guaranteed that the agreement struck between the opposition and Viktor Yanukovych would be honoured, they washed their hands of it the instant that same opposition, their own handiwork, took power. "Democracy," they shrugged, "takes unexpected turns."

Europe thereafter lent its backing to the new authorities. In Odessa on 2 May 2014, the burning alive of dozens of innocent supporters of closer ties with Russia did not draw a single word of condemnation from European capitals.

As co-guarantors of the 2015 Minsk Agreements, France and Germany effectively encouraged the Ukrainian regime to sabotage its own commitments. As Angela Merkel and François Hollande later conceded – after the special military operation had already begun – the implementation by Kyiv of the Minsk Agreements, unanimously approved by the UN Security Council, was never genuinely intended. The objective, they admitted, was merely to buy time: to shore up the Armed Forces of Ukraine and flood them with Western weaponry.

Russia, for its part, explored every diplomatic avenue to defuse Europe's security crisis. However, in January 2022, the United States and Nato rejected Russia's proposal for legally binding mutual security guarantees. European Nato members actively endorsed that rebuff.

Following the launch of the special military operation, the united Europe threw its support behind the British Prime Minister's efforts to sabotage the Istanbul negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Boris Johnson's appeal to Kyiv – "don't sign anything, just fight" – slammed the door on genuine diplomacy for the foreseeable future.

Current Situation

So what has prompted European leaders to suddenly shift their rhetoric and start talking of negotiations and what are they aiming for with these statements? For instance, the EU diplomacy head Kaja Kallas has stated: the purpose of any dialogue with Russia is to dictate Europe's terms. These include: paying "reparations" to Ukraine; withdrawing troops from Transnistria and the South Caucasus; abolishing the "foreign agents" law; and accepting hard limits on the size of the Russian Federation's Armed Forces. In her framing, "there can be no just and lasting peace without accountability for Russia." During the UN Security Council session on 19 May 2026, an EU representative made the point unequivocally: "supporting Ukraine militarily does not contradict the pursuit of peace, but rather serves as a fundamental prerequisite for any credible, good-faith negotiations."

Europe's plan is to talk with Russia while simultaneously pressing ahead with a campaign of legal warfare orchestrated through the Council of Europe. Within this once-respected organization, an entire infrastructure is being assembled for the express purpose of "holding Russia accountable": a Register of Damage, a Claims Commission, and a Special Tribunal.

The European Union has also given the green light to detaining merchant vessels on the high seas. Several incidents have already taken place in the Baltic and the Atlantic. At the same time, the West studiously averts its gaze from the terrorist acts of sabotage perpetrated by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Black and Mediterranean Seas.

The real objective of Europe's leaders, then, is not to negotiate with Russia. It is to shore up the Zelenskiy regime and preserve it as a launchpad for continued confrontation against Russia. With this in mind, European leaders are scrambling to secure a ceasefire as quickly as possible and for one reason only: to prevent the collapse of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the battlefield. The plan is to "freeze" the conflict without addressing its root causes, and then rapidly deploy military contingents from the Anglo-French "coalition of the willing" onto Ukrainian soil.

It is widely known that European elites have invested their "political capital" in the confrontation with Russia, pouring hundreds ofbns of dollars into propping up the Kyiv regime and ramping up the military budgets of EU member states and Nato. Europe now aims to achieve "defence readiness" against Russia by 2030. Until then, they mean to buy time by whatever means available. In a strikingly candid remark this April, Belgium's chief of staff put it bluntly: "We still have a few years. Thanks to the courage and blood of the Ukrainians, who are buying us that time."

The united Europe continues to dream of expansion. It intends to absorb Ukraine and Moldova, while pulling Armenia into its sphere of influence. Nato has already expanded eastward, swallowing up Finland and Sweden. As for Ukraine, it is increasingly eyed as the "striking fist" of a future European military force, independent of the United States and independent of Nato.

Risks to Global Security

This state of affairs poses serious threats to global security. A direct confrontation between Nato and Russia could rapidly escalate into an exchange of nuclear strikes, with catastrophic consequences.

Under the banner of "strategic autonomy," Europe is witnessing a significant build-up of its military capabilities, including in the nuclear sphere. Paris's intention to extend its "nuclear umbrella" to several EU and Nato member states is a source of deep concern. This will do nothing to strengthen the security of France itself or the recipients of its so-called protection.

For all that, Europe's political and military establishment continues to attribute aggressive plans to Russia – plans that, they claim, reach far beyond Ukraine. The Russian President has stated on numerous occasions that all of this is nonsense, provocation, and disinformation, all aimed solely at extracting budget funds for the fight against Russia. That is scarcely the climate for substantive dialogue.

Russia's Position

As for negotiations, Vladimir Putin reiterated at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum that Russia is not opposed to contacts with any party. We see Europe, however, as a party bent on Russia's defeat – a stance the Europeans themselves openly avow. Dialogue with Europe, therefore, cannot be conducted as though it were an impartial third-party observer.

Russia would prefer to achieve the goals of the special military operation through diplomacy. That requires reliably guaranteeing security along Russia's western borders and ensuring respect and dignity for our citizens and compatriots, including the right to speak their native Russian language and practice Orthodox Christian faith. Further military, political and economic expansion by the West is unacceptable: it runs counter to the imperatives of a multipolar world.

European leaders should recognize that the model of regional security built in Europe over decades, ever since the adoption of the Helsinki Final Act in 1975, has been destroyed by their own hands. And it will never be restored. We must now move toward creating a continent-wide security architecture open to all Eurasian countries and that reflects today's multipolar reality.

The principle of equal and indivisible security trampled upon by the Euro-Atlantists, can be embodied within a new Eurasian architecture. When the time is ripe, Europe too will be able to join this great effort.

The key point is that meaningful dialogue requires the restoration of trust, shattered by the anti-Russian actions of the West, and Europe as part of it, in the post-Cold War era. Trust can be recovered only through concrete steps that demonstrate a sincere commitment to move away from using diplomacy as a cover for expansionist ambitions. Trust cannot be restored, nor can dialogue be resumed, through ultimatums such as the one issued to Russia in London on 7 June 2026.

P.S.: It is noteworthy that the London ultimatum was unequivocally reaffirmed by the ambassadors of Britain, France and Germany at the meeting at the Russian Foreign Ministry on 11 June 2026, – a meeting they had so insistently requested. That was the sole purpose of their visit to the Ministry.

 

India looks to increase its unmanned warfare capabilities

India looks to increase its unmanned warfare capabilities
/ Lt. Col. Leslie Pratt - PDFacebook
By IntelliNews June 23, 2026

The Indian military is on a long and arduous journey to modernise its capabilities and force structure. Under its new direction, the Indian Ministry of Defence, in all three services is pivoting away from traditional methods of human surveillance and toward autonomous systems across all domains.

However autonomous and semi-autonomous platforms are not the only driving factor, as localised production and sourcing under India’s flagship “Aatmanirbhar Bharat” initiative as well as wider insights gained from contemporary international conflicts are also driving the agenda.

While New Delhi frames it as a framework and calculus to establish native supply chains, it isn’t about autarkic backsliding into a pre globalisation paradigm of limited capability. In a pragmatic world of complex value and supply chains, the shift represents a transition from exclusively importing to structured, multi-tiered domestic production. Furthermore, India’s own operational lessons from past conflicts and skirmishes including Operation Sindoor and the hostilities with Pakistan in May 2025 which have been absorbed into the guiding principles.

Largely beginning with the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, despite existing for decades before, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV)s signalled a special strategic and tactical importance in modern warfare. Similarly, due to the effective employment of sem-autonomous unmanned naval surface craft by Ukraine against the Russian Navy, this has elevated what was once seen mainly as a surveillance and Search And Rescue (SAR) tool to a strike role against capital warships.

According to a report by DW, the cornerstone of this structural change is going to be a large procurement order to the tune of $2bn. While the amount is noteworthy, the suppliers being exclusively India’s own private defence firms including Adani Group (NSE:ADANIENT), Tata Advanced Systems, and Larsen & Toubro (NSE:LT), the timelines are also reportedly relatively short, spanning around 18 to 24 months.

While India’s state owned defence structure including Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (NSE:HAL) have their own armed UAV designs, and some have even passed trial, none have received large procurement orders with any plans for induction into the inventories and arsenals of any of India’s defence forces as of June 2026.

The three main categories of unmanned vehicles that are likely to be part of the $2bn order are likely to be, High Altitude Long Endurance (HALE), Long Range Maritime Patrol (LRMP), Electronic Warfare (EW) suite platforms especially in a companion configuration aimed at operating in conjunction with a manned multirole fighter aircraft and its pilot, and loitering munitions especially those intended for Suppression of Enemy Air Defences (SEAD).

India has also pursued procurement of foreign origin platforms such as Israel’s IAI industries's series of Heron UAVs procured between 2000-2016, and the US General Atomic’s MQ9 between 2020-2026.

The US supplied MQ9 platforms have been a capability boost with their high endurance and combat radius, as well as the ability to be fitted out for modular mission profiles ranging from surveillance over vast swathes of ocean, to strike any surface cruising maritime or land based threats.

These contracts for foreign origin platforms have cost over $10bn in the past 26 years. However, as things shift into a decisively indigenous direction for procurement, India is looking for greater utility for a fraction of the price. This would include leveraging the economies of scale and not having to pay a premium for foreign Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) profit margins, currency exchange rate related costs, as well as much more scalable and available after sales support, as well as overhauls and retirement costs over the system and platform’s life cycle.

However, these expectations and specifications are not easily fulfilled as the consistent pattern of underinvestment in Research and Development (R&D) by both state owned entities and the private sector has been the proverbial achilles heel of India’s defence industrial complex.

Even when a programme which has produced a solid product for a replacement or upgrade of a capability away from a foreign vendor, India’s procurement agencies have repeatedly changed the specifications and demanded constant iterative changes without paying for the now inflated costs owing to these value additions.

This approach of shifting goalposts and in some cases even using defence procurement as a tool to court favour with geopolitical partners such as the US and Russia, has inevitably downgraded capability as a second priority over relationship building.

While this approach has its own merits, the negatives when weighed against the fundamental goal of developing its own defence industrial base, leaves New Delhi few options but to continue dependence on historical suppliers and partners as a strategic necessity.

Nevertheless, the awareness that future military conflicts will involve highly sophisticated, yet fast produced and equally fast depleted stockpiles of cheap, disposable unmanned platforms with an attrition rate in the hundreds of thousands in a given month is resonating with New Delhi and its strategic planners just as soundly as those in any other consequential state with a military.

However, the delicate dance of balancing, ambition, autonomy, and technology and diplomacy with budgetary concerns may be what makes or breaks India’s push for unmanned systems in all domains.

Sunday, June 21, 2026

'They have already suffered enough': Central African clergy respond to US deportation

(RNS) — Faith leaders say they would welcome migrants deported from the United States but question the decision to send vulnerable people without ties to a nation still healing from years of sectarian violence.


U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers detain a man during an operation in Escondido, Calif. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)


Tonny Onyulo
June 17, 2026 
RNS

NAIROBI, Kenya (RNS) — Religious leaders in the Central African Republic say they were stunned by the arrival Friday (June 12) of migrants deported from the United States to their country without cultural or familial ties, questioning why people who fled religious and political persecution were sent to a nation still grappling with its own history of sectarian violence and instability.

The U.S. government flew at least two dozen migrants from countries including Iran, Afghanistan, Turkey, Armenia and Georgia to Bangui, the Central African Republic’s capital, as part of the Trump administration’s third-country deportation agreements with several African and Latin American countries.

Human rights groups and immigration lawyers say several of those deported had established credible fears of persecution in their home countries, including torture, imprisonment and death. Among them were Christian converts at risk and at least one Iranian pro-democracy activist who could face severe punishment if returned to Iran for her political activity and religious beliefs.

“I was surprised to hear that migrants who fled persecution in their own countries had been deported to ours,” Jean Ngaba, an evangelical pastor in southern Central African Republic, told Religion News Service.

Some of the deportees had been granted withholding of removal, a legal protection preventing their deportation to their countries of origin because of the risk of persecution. Rather than being returned home, they were transferred to the Central African Republic under a bilateral agreement between Washington and Bangui. Advocacy groups have expressed concern that the migrants could face onward refoulement, meaning they could eventually be sent back to the countries they originally fled.

In particular, the Iranian American Legal Defense Fund has warned that deporting Iranians to the Central African Republic is potentially fatal, pointing to close ties between the African country and Moscow, a key ally of Iran. 



“The Central African Republic is poor and still trying to heal after years of conflict between Christians and Muslims,” said Ngaba, who works on local grassroots peace and reconciliation initiatives. “It is inhumane for any government to do this to people who have already suffered because of their beliefs or political views.”

So far, no church, mosque or faith-based charity has been formally tasked with receiving the deportees, although religious leaders interviewed by RNS said they would be willing to help if asked.

“As religious leaders, we are ready to assist them if we are called upon or if we meet them,” said Ngaba.

Central African Republic, red, in central Africa. Image courtesy of Creative Commons

According to immigration advocates and officials familiar with the operation, the deportees are being temporarily housed in apartments in Bangui while authorities determine their next steps. Their long-term future remains uncertain, and the Central African government has not publicly clarified whether they will remain in the country or eventually seek asylum elsewhere. The International Organization for Migration is providing post-arrival humanitarian assistance at the request of the Central African government but has stressed that it is not involved in the U.S. deportation process itself.

Cardinal Dieudonné Nzapalainga, the Catholic archbishop of Bangui and an internationally recognized advocate for interfaith peace, said he was aware of the arrivals but was still gathering information about the situation. The cardinal said the Catholic Church would be willing to assist the migrants if called upon, reflecting the church’s commitment to helping people in need.

Muslim leaders have also voiced concern over the deportations.

Cleric Moussa Ibrahim, a Bangui-based Muslim leader who has worked to promote peace and reconciliation, said many of the deportees had escaped religious persecution only to arrive in a country with its own complex history of sectarian tensions.

“Most of these people escaped persecution because of their beliefs,” Ibrahim said. “But here in the Central African Republic, we have a long history of religious violence because of conflict and weak state authority. Muslims have fought Christians and Christians have fought Muslims.”

For more than a decade, the country has experienced repeated cycles of violence involving the predominantly Muslim Séléka coalition and the largely Christian and animist Anti-Balaka militias. Although a ceasefire reached in late 2025 reduced large-scale fighting, insecurity remains a challenge in parts of the country where armed groups continue to operate. According to the Open Doors World Watch List 2026, the Central African Republic remains among countries where Christians face significant persecution, particularly in areas where government control is weak.



Ibrahim questioned how the migrants would rebuild their lives in a country facing enormous economic and social challenges.

“How are they going to survive here?” he asked. “Will they stay temporarily or eventually move somewhere else? These are the questions we are asking as religious leaders because opportunities are limited, and the environment can be difficult for both Christians and Muslims, especially for people who have converted from one faith to another.”

The arrival of the deportees has also raised broader humanitarian questions in the Central African Republic, where many communities continue to struggle with poverty, displacement and the lingering effects of conflict.

While the long-term future of the deportees remains uncertain, Ngaba said people of faith have a responsibility to welcome those who have lost their homes and communities.

“They have already suffered enough,” Ngaba said. “If they come to us, we will welcome them because that is what our faith teaches us. Before they are migrants or deportees, they are human beings, and every human being deserves compassion and dignity.”

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Ecocide!

June 19, 2026

Image by NASA.

According to the National Geographic Society: “The human footprint is one of the most destructive forces in Earth’s history, fundamentally altering the planet at an unprecedented scale. Humanity consumes resources far faster than they can regenerate, driving rapid environmental degradation, mass biodiversity loss, and climate shifts that many scientists classify as a new geological epoch.”

Yet, the planet is smiling, a big fat smile. It’s happy for the first time since, who knows when? Humans are taking measures to protect her precious ecosystems. The world community is waking up to the full extent of anthropogenic abuse by making it a crime to despoil our home planet.

Finland’s Social Democratic Party (SDP), at its 2026 SDP Party Congress, supported the criminalization of ecocide. SDP has become Finland’s largest party. It supports a strong national, regional and international framework to criminalize mass environmental destruction, known as ecocide.

Their resolution highlights the damage of large-scale destruction of nature with consequences impacting human health, livelihoods, natural resources and food production.

The Human Footprint Consumes 1.75 Earths

In fact, as far as the planet is concerned, help cannot come soon enough. After all, according to the U.S. National Institutes of Standards and Technology (“NIST”) which is highly regarded on a global scale as a premier, pro-science research institution and the country’s lead national laboratory for measurements, calibrations, and public safety standards: “We humans need 1.75 Earths to support our current rate of consumption! That is unsustainable, and we have to make changes… If we’re going to secure a sustainable future on the only planet we have to live on, we must transition to a circular economy.” (We Need a Second Earth to Support Our Current Consumption. We Can Do Better if We Think ‘Circular’, NIST, April 19, 2023)

The “1.75 earths” consumed by the human footprint leaves little room for error, in fact, no room. Thus, a universal ecocide law becomes much more relevant and necessary to help prevent excessive overdevelopment and/or nonsensical abuse, e.g., fossil fuel CO2 emissions are turning the planet into a roasting oven, red-faced and bloated. This is excessive and nonsensical and not necessary. Yet, CO2 has been regularly setting new record highs year-after-year in concert with record heat around the globe.

In that regard, on January 14th, 2026, the UN weather agency warned: “The 11-year streak of record global warming continues.”

In support of the UN Weather agency statement, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported on the source of increasing global warming: “Total energy-related CO2 emissions increased by around 145 million tonnes (Mt) in 2025, reaching a new high of nearly 38.4 billion tonnes (Gt) and 5% above 2019 levels. The increase coincided with record atmospheric CO2 concentrations of about 427 parts-per-million (ppm), roughly 2.4 ppm higher than in 2024 and around 50% above pre-industrial levels.”

But honestly, a very pertinent question must be asked, and answered: Why burn fossil fuels that pollute the atmosphere and heat up the planet if there is a better way? After all, there’s a simple solution; The insanity of burning fossil fuels has an escape hatch: According to the world’s pinnacle of “Stakeholder Capitalism,” i.e., the World Economic Forum: “Most of the world’s countries could run on 100% renewable energy.” Eureka!

Support for Ecocide Law – Rapidly Growing Movement

“Finland’s SDP joins a host of other political parties, legislators and governments worldwide committed to advancing ecocide laws. New domestic legislative proposals are appearing around the world, major regional progress is advancing, and a number of forward-thinking states are backing the proposal to make ecocide an international crime.” (Stop Ecocide International)

Significantly, according to the Thomson Reuters Foundation, at least 27 countries are considering an ecocide law on the books as a serious crime.

Mauritius Criminalizes Ecocide

Mauritius, as of April 18, 2026, officially supports a domestic crime of ecocide. The provision, which is set out in an anti-money laundering and financial crimes law, defines ecocide as an unlawful or wanton act committed with knowledge that there is a substantial likelihood of severe and either widespread or long-term environmental damage, this language closely reflects the definition proposed by the Independent Expert Panel convened by the Stop Ecocide Foundation in 2021.

Interview (Snippets) with Stop Ecocide International CEO Jojo Mehta

“Ecocide refers to the most severe, widespread, and long-term harm to nature. While environmental laws and regulations exist worldwide, they are largely fragmented, piecemeal, and insufficient. Our organization works to advance legislation to criminalize ecocide, meaning that the most serious damage to the living world would be treated as a crime. Introducing ecocide into criminal law would not only provide foundational support to the diverse body of law but also help fill gaps and establish a much stronger deterrent against major environmental harms.” (Criminalizing Ecocide: A Conversation with Stop Ecocide International’s CEO Jojo Mehta, Georgetown Journal of International Affairs, Georgetown University, December 4, 2025)

Jojo Mehta is a graduate of Oxford and London universities, Mehta has contributed to UN conferences, diplomatic forums, and international media, including TIME, The Guardian, and The New York Times.

“A key factor in the rapid acceptance of ecocide law is the definition itself, which resulted from a drafting program commissioned in 2021. The definition focuses on the level of harm, not on specific activities or sectors. Similar to how criminal law works, a murderer is defined by the outcome, not the method. The ecocide definition emphasizes the harm caused rather than forbidding particular activities. It does not prohibit industrial fishing or mineral mining; rather, it outlines a threshold of harm that should not be crossed. This approach encourages best practices without alienating any sector, which has been hugely helpful in facilitating constructive dialogue. So, while there are countries that are not ready to support ecocide, we have not encountered many that openly oppose it,” Ibid.

Financial Industry Support

“What has been particularly interesting is the response from the investment world. For several consecutive years, the International Corporate Governance Network submitted statements to the UN Climate Conferences advising governments to legislate for ecocide. They recognize that environmental degradation is a risk factor. In an increasingly volatile world, investors need to know that their capital will still hold value ten years from now. A company engaged in severe environmental harm represents future liability,” Ibid.

Countries that support ecocide laws or have laws covering serious environmental crimes include: Vietnam, France, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Belarus, Moldova, Chile, EU, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyz Republic, Georgia, Ukraine, Armenia, Belgium, Russia, whose law reads: “Massive destruction of the animal or plant kingdoms, contamination of the atmosphere or water resources, and also commission of other actions capable of causing an ecological catastrophe, shall be punishable by deprivation of liberty for a term of 12 to 20 years.” (Existing and Proposed Ecocide Laws, Ecocide Law)

However, it’s one thing to grandstand a law on books; it’s quite another to enforce it. For example, according to sources, Russia has never convicted anyone under Article 358 (Ecocide) of the Russian Criminal Code. And many other countries with similar laws are suspect as well.

All of which gets back to the enormous human footprint, as it devours the land, enforcement to help protect abuse is lacking as the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court as adopted in 1998, makes no provision for the crime of ecocide in peacetime, only in wartime. Obviously, the ICC needs an update if ecocide is to be truly enforced.

The Big Overshoot

“The Earth cannot sustain the future human population, or even today’s, without a major overhaul of socio-cultural practices for using land, water, energy, biodiversity, and other resources.” (Corey J.A .Bradshaw, Global Human Population Has Surpassed Earth’s Carrying Capacity, Environmental Letters, March 27, 2026)

The study claims 2.5 bln as the “optimal sustainable population.”

Bulging Population Nécessitâtes Écocide Law

“By destroying the ecosystems on which we depend, we are destroying the foundations of our civilization and mortgaging the living conditions of all future generations,’ said Valérie Cabanes, a French lawyer and one of the panelists who worked on the 2021 ecocide proposal. ‘This is no less serious than crimes against humanity, or the crimes of genocide or aggression.” (World Economic Forum)

Ecocide is a declaration of war against the planet that surpasses all world wars combined. Enforcement has never been more important.

“Decisions made in the next few years will determine whether our existence on Earth as we know it will continue or collapse as a result of human activity.” (World Economic Forum’s Expert Network in partnership with UN Environment Programme)

“The next few years” are right around the corner.

Robert Hunziker lives in Los Angeles and can be reached at rlhunziker@gmail.com.