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Saturday, September 21, 2024

 

Russian Missile Damages Odesa Port and Docked Bulker

Odesa
A bulker docked in Odesa was damaged during a missile attack by Russia on the city and port (Odesa file photo)

Published Sep 20, 2024 12:38 PM by The Maritime Executive

 

Reports are coming from Ukraine of a Russian missile strike on the city of Odesa that damaged port infrastructure and a vessel alongside loading. There are no reports of causalities in the port but four civilians were injured in the city.

The governor for the region, Oleh Kiper, posted a message on Telegram after earlier warning the citizens of a possible air assault. Russia has increased its attacks on Ukrainian cities but some reports said it was a month since the port infrastructure had been hit. Without providing details on the damage, Kiper reported they had found debris from an Iskander-M missile along with the damage in the port and civilian buildings. He warned citizens to heed the air raid alerts.

Cargo ships continue to use the ports in the Greater Odesa region as part of Ukraine’s corridor for shipping. Kiper only identified the damaged vessel as being registered in Antigua. Reuters is citing sources saying the vessel is the Golden Lion which it says was loading metal products.

Tracking data shows the vessel which is 6,315 dwt arrived this morning in Odesa coming from Varna, Bulgaria. Databases show the ship is owned and managed from Lithuania. 

Ukraine’s Agrarian Policy Ministry last month said in the first year of operation of the shipping corridor, Odesa had been systematically targeted by Russia. They asserted that the Russian attacks have caused losses of $1.5 billion in destroyed equipment and products stored in Odesa for shipment. They reported that in addition to grain storage, the attacks have also hit the tanks for sunflower oil.

Shipping continues despite the damage today and a missile strike on another bulker last week after it departed a Ukrainian port. The shipping corridor is marking its first anniversary and officials said more than 2,500 vessels have departed Ukraine’s ports in the past year.  They carried more than 46 million tons of agricultural exports and an additional 23 million tons of metal and mining exports.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy yesterday, September 19, vowed to further expand Ukraine’s export capabilities. He said Ukraine was meeting the critical food needs for many countries and would continue its exports.


Ukraine Vows to Expand Black Sea Shipments on First Anniversary of Corridor

bulker loading grain in Ukraine
Bulkers loaded with grain are traveling to Africa and Asia from Ukraine (file photo)

Published Sep 19, 2024 3:57 PM by The Maritime Executive

 

 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy highlighted the success of the corridor established by Ukraine in the Black Sea while vowing to increase shipments. The exports continue to play a critical role in the Ukrainian economy while the president seeks to also highlight the humanitarian nature of the shipments.

“Despite the war and Russian terror, Ukraine continues to be a contributor to global food security for dozens of countries, and we are increasing our capabilities,” wrote Zelenskyy on Telegram in his latest update.

Ukraine recently marked the first year of operations of its corridor established after the collapse of the UN-brokered deal with Russia. Ships began sailing from the greater Odesa area in September 2023 following the route to the west along the coast of Ukraine and Romania to reach Turkey. Largely they have proceeded without interference from Russia.

Government officials reported that 2,577 vessels left Ukrainian ports using the corridor. They transported 46 million tons of grains and foodstuffs being exported from Ukraine. According to the report, the cargoes were going to countries including Egypt, Indonesia, Tunisia, Libya, Algeria, India, and China.

In addition, the corridor permitted Ukraine to restore shipments of other goods including mining and metals exports. This amounted to 23 million tons in the past year and included steel and iron ore.

Increasing shipments through the sea corridor are also helping Ukraine to offset other losses. Polish farmers blockaded the border to stop the flow of Ukrainian grain which they said was flooding their markets.

The 2024/2025 export season is underway and so far, Ukraine says 8.94 million tons of grain shipped as of September 18. This includes almost 5 million tons of wheat. This comes as Ukraine reported a strong season with farmers completing a harvest of nearly 22 million tons. It was a similar volume to 2023.

Ukraine’s agricultural ministry reports it entered into agreements with traders and agricultural associations to ship approximately 16.2 million tons of grain this season.

Zelenskyy highlights that the military is making the shipments possible through its hard work. Ukrainian seaports especially in the greater Odesa area which account for most of the shipments have come under repeated attack from Russia. Infrastructure including storage has been damaged. 

Last week, Ukraine accused Russia of attacking a bulker registered in St. Kitts and Nevis. Zelenskyy published photos showing the damage to the vessel from a Russian missile. The ship reportedly put in to Romania, but there were no reports of casualties. Zelenskyy says with the support of its partners Ukraine has been able to continue the exports despite these attacks.

Tuesday, September 17, 2024

CLIMATE CRISIS: FLOODS

Myanmar villagers battle to save rice crop as flood death toll jumps to 226

Loikaw (Myanmar) (AFP) – War-weary Myanmar villagers salvaged crops from flooded fields Tuesday as the country's death toll in the wake of Typhoon Yagi doubled to 226 and the UN warned as many as 630,000 people could need assistance.


Issued on: 17/09/2024 - 
Farmers carry bags of rice as they evacuate their homes near Phayarphyu village in Loikaw township in Myanmar's Karenni state © STR / AFP

Yagi swept across northern Vietnam, Laos, Thailand and Myanmar more than a week ago with powerful winds and an enormous amount of rain, triggering floods and landslides that have killed more than 500 people, according to official figures.

State TV in junta-ruled Myanmar confirmed 226 fatalities late on Monday, with 77 people missing, doubling the previous toll of 113.

The crisis has only deepened people's miseries in Myanmar, where millions have suffered through more than three years of war since the military seized power in 2021.

In Loikaw district in eastern Kayah state -- which has seen fierce fighting between junta forces and armed groups opposed to its rule -- villagers rued their latest trial.

"We have already faced wars and fled from villages many times," local Chit Thein told AFP.

"We have many troubles and now it's floods again -- so much suffering in our lives."

In nearby fields, farmers laboured to save a rice crop completely submerged in paddies by the floodwaters.

More than 150,000 homes have been flooded and nearly 260,000 hectares (640,000 acres) of rice paddies and other crops destroyed, according to Myanmar state media.

The junta has begun relief efforts, opening more than 400 camps according to state media, and appealed for international aid.

But in Loikaw district, Chit Thein said the people of Phayarphyu village were still waiting for help.

"There are many things we have lost. We lost houses, clothes in the wars, and now floods have hit our house so we have nothing left," he said.

"We are sheltering at a monastery. But there is not much food for us and no donations, and no-one has come to help us."

The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA) said an estimated 631,000 people had been affected by flooding across Myanmar.

Food, drinking water, shelter and clothes are all urgently needed, UNOCHA said, warning blocked roads and damaged bridges were all severely hampering relief efforts.

The UN's World Food Programme on Monday said the floods were the worst in Myanmar's recent history, without giving precise details.

Homes surrounded by flood waters in Phayarphyu village following heavy rains brought by Typhoon Yagi © STR / AFP

Severe flooding hit the country in 2011 and 2015, with more than 100 deaths reported on both occasions, while in 2008 Cyclone Nargis left more than 138,000 people dead or missing.

The junta issued a rare appeal for foreign aid at the weekend, with neighbour India so far the only country to respond, sending 10 tonnes of materials, including dry rations, clothing and medicine.

UNOCHA said more resources are urgently needed.

In recent years Myanmar's military has blocked or frustrated humanitarian assistance from abroad, including after powerful Cyclone Mocha last year when it suspended travel authorisations for aid groups trying to reach around a million people.

Even before the latest floods, people in Myanmar were grappling with the effects of three years of war between the junta and armed groups opposed to its rule, with millions forced from their homes by the conflict.
Thailand compensation

Across southeast Asia, hundreds of thousands of people have been forced to flee over the past week as Yagi rains swelled rivers and creeks beyond bursting point.

Many had to wade through murky brown waters up their chins, while others used whatever means they could -- including elephants in Myanmar and jetskis in Thailand.

Thailand's northern provinces were hit hard, with one district reporting its worst inundations in 80 years.

The death toll in the kingdom rose to 15 on Tuesday, according to new figures from the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation.

Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra's government said it would make $90 million available for flood relief, announcing financial aid of up to $6,000 per household for those affected by the floods.

In Vietnam, the death toll stands at 292, with 38 missing, more than 230,000 homes damaged and 280,000 hectares of crops destroyed, according to authorities.

Yagi, the strongest typhoon to hit the north of the country in decades, tore across the densely populated Red River delta -- a vital agricultural region that is also home to major manufacturing hubs -- damaging factories and infrastructure, and inundating farmland.

The typhoon caused an estimated 40 trillion dong ($1.6 billion) in economic losses, state media reported, citing an initial government assessment.

burs-pdw/fox

© 2024 AFP

17 dead as central Europe braces for more 'apocalyptic' floods, evacuations 

The border areas between Poland and Czech Republic were hit the hardest over the weekend due to flooding. Poland's government announced that it has set aside 1 billion zlotys ($260 million) to help victims.


A drone view shows a flooded area in Glucholazy, Poland.

Reuters
UPDATED: Sep 17, 2024


In ShortBorder areas between Poland, Czech Republic hit hardest over the weekend
Poland government sets aside 1 billion zlotys ($260 million) to help victims
Affected countries to seek EU aid


Residents of several areas of Poland and the Czech Republic rushed to evacuate on Monday as others in central Europe began cleaning up after the worst flooding in over two decades left a trail of destruction and a rising number of deaths.

Border areas between the Czech Republic and Poland were hit hard over the weekend as heavy rain that has fallen since last week and surging water levels collapsed some bridges, forced evacuations and damaged cars and houses.
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At least 17 people have died in flooding from Romania to Poland in the past few days. On Monday afternoon, the mayor of Nysa, a town of more than 40,000 people in southern Poland, called on residents to evacuate immediately after a nearby floodbank was damaged.

In the northeastern Czech city of Ostrava, a broken barrier on the Odra river at its confluence with the Opava river caused flooding of the city's industrial area, including the BorsodChem chemical plant, coking plant OKK Koksovny and others. Hundreds of people were being evacuated from more residential areas as well.

In the Czech town of Litovel, 70% of which was submerged by water up to a metre deep (3.2 feet) on Monday, residents described their fear as waters rose quickly over the weekend.

"I was just very, very afraid... I ran away because the water was rising very quickly near the house," said Renata Gaborova, 39.

'APOCALYPSE'

Poland's government announced a state of natural disaster in affected areas and said that it had set aside 1 billion zlotys ($260 million) to help victims.

Prime Minister Donald Tusk said he was in touch with the leaders of other affected countries and that they would ask the European Union for financial aid.

Szymon Krzysztan, 16, standing in the town square of Ladek Zdroj, described losses from the floods as "unimaginable".
"It's a city like in an apocalypse... It's a ghost town," he said.

Reuters footage showed the town strewn with debris and mud.

"Armageddon... It literally ripped out everything because we don't have a single bridge. In Ladek, all the bridges have disappeared. We are practically cut off from the world," Jerzy Adamczyk, 70, told Reuters.

In Jesenik, a Czech town across the border that was inundated on Sunday, a clean-up was started after waters receded to show damaged cars and debris on the streets.

"There were two metres of water that ran through the street... There are many, many destroyed cars," said resident Zdenek Kuzilek. "Telephones are not working, there is no water, no electricity."

In eastern Romania, where villages and towns were submerged over the weekend, Emil Dragomir, mayor of Slobozia Conachi, told Romanian television some people had been left with just the clothes they had on.

While water was receding in some areas, others, including Wroclaw, a Polish city of some 600,000 people, were shoring up defences for floodwaters heading their way.

In Romania, flooding has killed seven people over the last few days. An Austrian firefighter died on Sunday. In the state of Lower Austria that surrounds Vienna, two men aged 70 and 80 were found drowned in their homes, a police spokesperson said on Monday.

Polish police said four people died as a result of floods in Poland, and in the Czech Republic three have died, a police official said.
Slovakia's capital Bratislava and the Hungarian capital Budapest were both preparing for possible flooding as the River Danube rose.

Hungarian Interior Minister Sandor Pinter said efforts were focused on keeping the river and its tributaries within its banks and said up to 12,000 soldiers were on standby to help.

In Austria, the levels of rivers and reservoirs fell overnight as rain eased, but officials said they were bracing for a second wave as heavier rain was expected.

Published By:
Nakul Ahuja

 

Nigeria: Severe Flooding in Northeast Nigeria Impacts One Million, Sparks Disease, Food Shortage Fears

WFP
Azimi Abubakar, 50, a resident of Gasamu, wades through the floodwater in Jakusko 
LGA of Yobe State, Nigeria (file photo).

Severe flooding continues to wreak havoc in northeastern Nigeria, impacting over one million people and raising concerns about the spread of diseases and widespread food shortages. Authorities are currently working to coordinate relief efforts for those affected by the disaster.

The crisis was caused by torrential rains, which caused a dam to overflow, flooding vast regions and affecting hundreds of thousands of people. Among the impacted areas was a state-owned zoo, releasing crocodiles and snakes into nearby communities overwhelmed by the rising waters.

The dam was damaged in Alau, near Maiduguri, on the Ngadda River, 20 kilometres south of Maiduguri, on 9 September.

Over the weekend, an additional 50,000 people were displaced in northeastern Nigeria as the floods intensified, the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC) said on Monday.

Local authorities are mobilising aid for the disaster victims, but the scale of need is overwhelming, and healthcare workers are concerned about the potential for an outbreak of disease.

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Accept Manage my choices Displacement and disease

The United Nations coordinator in the country, Mohamed Malick Fall visited the region over the weekend, and reported that "a good half of the city [Maiduguri] is impacted."

"At least 400,000 people in the city are affected, with enormous health needs," Malick Fall told RFI. "The need for latrines, access to drinking water and food as well. My big fear now is to see an epidemic of cholera or another water-borne disease."

The flood has killed at least 30 people according to Nigeria's emergency agency and affected a million others, with thousands of people forced into camps for displaced people.

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Accept Manage my choices The authorities first set up eight camps to accommodate people displaced by the disaster.

The figure rose to "30 camps around the city" of Maiduguri, Trond Jensen, head of OCHA, the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, in Nigeria, told RFI on Monday.

But according to the NGO Save The Children, some other families "are still trapped in their homes" and the city's two main hospitals are flooded.

They are exposed to waterborne diseases, and diarrhoea, according to Medecins Sans Frontieres; malaria is around with a lot of mosquitoes.

The floods are described as the worst in 30 years, by the local authorities.

In one of the camps, Bintu Amadu was among hundreds of frustrated people waiting for hours to see a doctor because her son had diarrhoea.

"We have not received any aid, and our attempts to see a doctor have been unsuccessful. We have been waiting for medical attention since yesterday, but to no avail," she said.

Hunger risks

The UN's World Food Programme (WFP) estimates that "more than 550,000 hectares of agricultural land have been flooded" this year across the country, especially in the Northeast, where malnutrition is already chronic because of the insecurity that reigns in this region.

Mathias Goemaere, a field coordinator for MSF, said that even before the floods, residents in Borno were struggling with malnutrition, following years of the Islamist insurgency that has driven people from their farms.

Meals, shelter and basic necessities are gradually being distributed, but "it's a race against time to help the victims," warned the United Nations coordinator, Malick Fall.

"This crisis comes on top of the one linked to the Boko Haram, which has already displaced many people," for 15 years," he said.


In the last two weeks of August, more than 1.5 million people were displaced across 12 countries in West and Central Africa due to floods, and about 465 have been killed, according to the United Nations humanitarian affairs office.

Prison break

The city centre of Maiduguri was not spared: the market, schools, administrative buildings were hit by the floods.

Last week, as the rains continued to pour, over 280 prisoners even managed to escape a jail in Maiduguri, when its walls collapsed.

Seven of the escaped inmates have been recaptured in operations by security agencies, Umar Abubakar, spokesperson for the Nigeria Correctional Services said in a statement.

"The floods brought down the walls of the correctional facilities including the Medium Security Custodial Centre, as well as the staff quarters in the city," Abubakar said.

Operations to recapture the remainder of the inmates are underway.

(with newswires)


Sunday, September 15, 2024

NEPAL

How technology helped Subedi, a mushroom farmer

TECHNOLOGY THE NEW FORDISM

A returnee from a foreign land, Subedi sold mushrooms worth Rs20 million last year.

 This year, he aims to double the income.

The AC chamber involves cooling, humidity, heating, CO2 control, fresh and return air mixing, exhaust and microcirculation. 
Ramesh Kumar Paudel/TKP

Ramesh Kumar Paudel
Published at : September 15, 2024
Chitwan

Kamal Subedi brought home around Rs20 million last year selling mushrooms. This year, he aims to double his income.

Mushroom grower Subedi has a farm in Padampur, Kalila municipality, producing two varieties—oyster and button.

Last year, Subedi cultivated button mushrooms for only three months. This year, he prepared an air conditioner (AC) for mushroom cultivation, which he can use to produce mushrooms around the year.

The AC chamber involves cooling, humidity, heating, CO2 control, fresh and return air mixing, exhaust and microcirculation. This equipment efficiently controls the climate for mushrooms in various air conditioning systems.

Subedi expects that, as button mushrooms are comparatively more expensive, production round the year would double his income.

Subedi, originally from Nawalparasi, went to Belgium in 2002. He trained for two years on mushroom farming during his five-year stay in the European country.

He also migrated to other countries for a job and returned to Nepal four years ago.

Initially, he worked in another person's mushroom farm.

“After returning from the foreign country, I worked on mushroom farms in Bhairahawa and Jugedi,” said Subedi.

In December 2022, he leased a land plot in Padampur and started growing mushrooms.

Starting with an initial investment of Rs500,000, he gradually expanded the investment. Observing good income from mushrooms throughout the year, Subedi installed an AC chamber.

Production grew significantly after the installation of the AC chamber.

“Though it is called an AC chamber, it is an air handling unit. This technology creates appropriate humidity and temperature for mushroom production,” Subedi said.

An AC chamber costs around Rs1.1 million.

Subedi has 12 such chambers. The provincial government provided him with a subsidy for one unit, and he managed to purchase 11 AC chambers on his own.

“I have invested Rs40 million in total. Of that, Rs20.5 million is from loans,” Subedi said.

Though the price of oyster mushrooms fluctuates, the price of button mushrooms is stable around the year, Subedi said. “Sometimes, from Rs200 a kg, the price of mushrooms drops suddenly, and I have to sell it for as low as Rs100 per kg.”

He said that button mushrooms fetched up to Rs350 a kg. “With that income and demand for button mushrooms in mind, I prepared for commercial farming and installed the AC chambers.”

AC chamber technology for mushroom farming is new in Nepal. Mushrooms are being produced with its use in Bhairahawa, Sarlahi, Gaidakot, Jugedi, and Kathmandu.

“I learned the skill in a foreign country and started producing something in my own country. I have a plan to take mushroom cultivation forward in a more manageable way with new technology,” Subedi said.

Kalika Municipality produces mushrooms worth more than Rs40 million annually, said Mayor Binod Regmi. “There are 80 households involved in mushroom farming.”

The farmers have started using new technology for the crop, which has made some of them entrepreneurs and generated jobs.

Most of the mushroom is grown in ward 2 of Kalika Municipality.

“Since last year, I’ve started producing mushroom seed as well. The sales of seeds are also going well,” said Subedi. He has hired 26 workers. However, it is difficult to retain them.

Subedi has also imported the equipment from New Delhi, India, to sprinkle water in the chamber.

Seventy percent of the mushroom he produces is consumed in Chitwan while the rest is supplied to Kathmandu, Pokhara, and Surkhet.

Farmers who have installed AC chambers require electricity 24 hours. Any fluctuation in power supply affects production.


Friday, September 13, 2024

 

Bangladesh navigates a turbulent transition, awaits a new equilibrium after ouster of Awami League rule

First published at CPI(ML) Liberation.

As Bangladesh navigates its way through a turbulent transition, Liberation spoke to a number of progressive and Left voices in Bangladesh - Anu Muhammad, economist and political activist; Saiful Haque, Bangladesh Revolutionary Workers Party; Representative from Socialist Party of Bangladesh and Saeed Juberi, poet and journalist - to get their views about the unprecedented mass upsurge that triggered this transition and their assessment of and expectations from the interim administration now in place.

There have been disturbing reports of attacks on minorities, Hindus in particular, and leaders and supporters of the ousted Awami League establishment. But it has been reassuring to see all major strands of the movement and members of the interim administration, including the current chief advisor Mohammad Yunus, appeal for restoration of stability, and emphasise the need for ensuring the safety and security of all citizens.

The mass uprising in Bangladesh and its present culmination

Anu Muhammad, economist and political activist (AM): The events from July 1st to August 5th have created an example of how a peaceful popular movement can escalate into a situation of mass uprising, even leading to the fall of a long-standing authoritarian government. The level of brutality, the number of killings, and the amount of bloodshed by the government from July 15th onwards in response to this peaceful popular movement are unprecedented. We have heard orders to shoot or such rhetoric before, but never before have we witnessed such direct, widespread killings, where so many lives were lost, and people were shot so indiscriminately that individuals were killed by gunfire even while on balconies, rooftops, or inside their homes. Not only were the protesters targeted, but also workers, teachers, students, journalists, and professionals who had no connection to the movement were injured by gunfire. Such indiscriminate shooting has never occurred in the history of the country, not even before or after the Liberation War. Between July 15th and July 24th, at least 300 people were killed by police, armed terrorists, and organizations affiliated with the ruling party. Then, on August 4th alone, over 100 more people were killed. Among those killed were people of all ages, from a 4-year-old child to a 60-year-old woman, including workers, students, journalists, and professionals. A large number of people were also seriously injured.

In contrast to the brutal repression, we have simultaneously witnessed an unprecedented and creative resistance from students and the general public. As the police continued their barbaric attacks, injuring and brutalizing the youth, people from various segments of society began to gather around them in increasing numbers. There had already been a buildup of anger in society, driven by several factors such as the continuous rise in the prices of essential goods, lack of employment opportunities, widespread oppression by state forces and ruling party militias in every nook and corner, rampant corruption in job recruitment processes, and the complete collapse of institutional accountability, including the judiciary. The recent events have clearly shown how intolerance, centralization of power, and arrogance can create a terrifying situation in a country.

The more force the government exerted, the more the movement grew in strength. We observed that as students were being killed in large numbers, teachers, parents, lawyers, journalists, workers, artists, actors, and bankers began to stand with them. Men and women from all professions and social classes joined the protests. Public and private university students united and took to the streets together. When even those who typically do not directly participate in protests started joining the movement, it became clear that this uprising could not be turned back. It was evident then that there was widespread solidarity among the people and an extreme rebellion against the government. In this situation, even the police and the Border Guard Bangladesh (BGB) could not control the movement. Despite the severe injuries and loss of life, the people did not back down or retreat. The government then decided to use its ultimate power, imposing a curfew and deploying the military, creating an emergency-like situation. However, when people began to defy the curfew and took to the streets, it became clear that even through repression, the government could not prevent its downfall. The imposition of the curfew and the deployment of the military were the government's last-ditch efforts. Once those measures failed, there was nothing left for the government to do but step down. The defiance of the curfew made it evident that the Sheikh Hasina government could no longer stay in power.

Saiful Haque, Bangladesh Revolutionary Workers Party (SH): This unprecedented mass awakening of the student population or in general the mass uprising was not an accidental event. The multidimensional accumulated anger of the people of the country against the long sixteen years of fascist misrule of the Awami League government led by Sheikh Hasina was expressed through this uprising of the student population. The opposition political parties faced extreme repression and brutal fascist rule throughout the years. The students who started this fight to bid farewell to the government eventually turned out to be a deadly fight that challenged the entire armed state system and practically brought the state to a standstill situation.

August 5, the day Hasina left the country, is seen as a second independence day by many people in our country, it is measured as a victory similar to the 1971 Bangladesh liberation war. This revolution has created the ground for building a new democratic and more humanitarian Bangladesh against all kinds of discrimination.

Socialist Party of Bangladesh (SPB): Throughout these years all the state institutions including the administration, police, bureaucracy, and the judicial system kept within partisanship, admitting mega corruption with money laundering, reckless looting, and money laundering abroad fueled the fuss. Altogether, our nation needed a base around which the dormant volcano could erupt. The joint leadership of the student society focused on quota reforms and the arrogance and oppression of the ruling party fueled it.

In the case of government jobs, the quota reserved level was 56% (liberation fighters 30%, district 10%, women 10%, minorities 5%, disabled 1%). As there is no such scope of employment available in the country, other meritorious students are being deprived. The protests against this process have been raging since 2018. On the question of quotas, especially in recognition of the great contribution of the liberation war, the quota number fixed for the family members of the freedom fighters, i.e. 30%, is not reasonable after 52 years.

Saeed Juberi, poet and journalist (SJ): In short, the citizens of Bangladesh wanted freedom from the politics of creating a one-sided narrative about the nation’s history and the game of division, which had been created by the powerholders to separate the common people from the legacy of the Liberation War. Secondly, people have asked for the civilian’s respect from state power, which has never been provided to them. Thirdly, people have become enraged to see corruption, misrule, lack of justice and loss of freedom of speech in front of their eyes.

The current situation is mainly to confront the challenges of establishing a stable government and its rules. The main challenge of the government is to manage the economy while appropriately handling law and order and the administration. The student protestors are talking about bringing a new political settlement but the idea of it is still not clear at all. In post-nineties politics the main problem was Jamaat and now at this time we not only have Jamaat but also Awami League. It is not clear to us, how Awami League will hereafter shape their politics and how the issue of Jamaat will be resolved.

Expectations from the interim government

AM: Whether we call them expectations or demands, this government must understand the language of mass uprising. It must take action against the power structures that oppose the public interest. The government needs to ensure the investigation and prosecution of past crimes, looting, asset smuggling, and repression. Dangerous and misguided mega-projects like Rampal, Rooppur, and Banshkhali must be abandoned. Transparency and accountability must be ensured.

From the 'University Teachers' Network,' which actively participated in the movement, we had stated that an inclusive interim government should be formed with the consent of the main forces behind the student-public uprising, based on the opinions of civic and political forces, and consisting of teachers, judges, lawyers, and members of civil society from all sectors of society—regardless of nationality, religion, gender, or class.

SH: Our hope for this government is that they will respect the democratic aspirations of the student population for their rights and freedom. They will take steps to clean up the garbage of Hasina's government without public mandate. They should immediately withdraw all false and harassing cases from all levels of the state including law enforcement and bureaucracy. Similarly, the martyrs of the uprising should be accorded due status and the families of the dead and injured should be given adequate compensation and rehabilitation.

SPB: Leftists including our party have joined the government's pledge to remain with the student movement despite many weaknesses, limitations and shortcomings and the 'anti-discrimination' slogans raised in the movement have come to prominence because we are also part of the movement. However, instead of absolute support, we will continue with the apparent strategy of support and opposition, keeping in mind the issue of observation and protection of the main theme of the movement. Also, we will continue to clarify the issue of not walking on the path of the social system or the governance policy that creates discrimination, i.e. the capitalist socio-economic system, and the system that can end this discrimination.

SJ: Establishing the authority of the government and initiating various institutional reforms including the constitution. This includes social reforms starting from the judiciary, financial sector, election commission and political parties. The question of ensuring freedom of the press and speech is very prominent and critical here, as nowadays media is not only about printed papers and electronics, but it has also secured a very influential state in the digital platforms. Repeal of blasphemy, digital security act etc. is one of the tasks.

What role did workers, farmers, and all the working people play in this uprising, and what changes are they expecting from this interim government?

AM: Initially, this movement was primarily led by students. However, the workers, farmers, and the working class, including the lower middle class, strongly supported this movement because these groups are the primary victims of the country's current economic model. This model has led to increased inequality in Bangladesh. A small fraction of the population has rapidly become millionaires, resulting in the majority of the population facing a harsh life characterized by unemployment, low wages, hunger, malnutrition, humiliation, and all forms of social insecurity.

Over the past decade, we've witnessed a rush to build large infrastructure projects, along with unprecedented levels of corruption, widespread deforestation, air and water pollution, and rampant grabbing and plandering of land and rivers. As a result, the working-class people have suffered the most, by an incredible increase in hardship and insecurity.

During the last decade, many mega-projects were funded by massive foreign loans. In the long run, many of these projects are environmentally disastrous and economically responsible for the long-term burden of foreign debt. These projects have led to an increase in the national debt, devaluation of the currency, and hikes in the prices of gas, electricity, and taxes, exacerbating the economic distress of the majority of the population.

Over the past decade and a half, a handful of individuals have become extremely wealthy, further widening the gap in wealth inequality. Statistics from 2010 showed that the top 5% of the wealthiest individuals had an income 30 times greater than the bottom 5% of the population. By 2016, this ratio had increased to 60 times, and by 2022, it had exceeded 80 times. It is important to note that these official figures only partially reflect the wealth of the ultra-rich looters. In such a situation, when the children of the majority are fighting a just movement, the brutal attacks against them triggered widespread outrage. Workers, farmers, and other working people actively joined the movement, standing in front of guns. More than 20% of those killed by police bullets were workers, underscoring their significant involvement in the struggle.

SH: In this mass awakening - mass upheaval, the working-class people including the workers in the cities and industrial areas played an important role. At the district upazila level, the role of village farmers was prominent enough.

People hope that this government will meet the immediate demands of workers, farmers and the rural poor and will take the initiative to start the closed factories.

SJ: The workers, peasants and working-class people were agitated for a long time regarding the issues of wages, salaries and status quo - but the opportunities for common people to get justice in these various situations were limited. With these outrages, the common people have come down on the streets after seeing the students being shot dead. They left behind the separate identities of workers, peasants or any class, they took part in this mass movement led by the students only as the citizens of Bangladesh. The new government must demolish the discrimination in social status and ensure the rights and respect of common people throughout the country. There is one more thing to be addressed, what will be the cheapest cost of labour in the market?

Expectations of the indigenous communities of Bangladesh

AM: The economic challenges faced by the indigenous communities in Bangladesh are similar to those of the Bengali majority. However, they have the added burden of the denial of their existence as distinct ethnic or indigenous groups. Moreover, it’s not just the recently ousted government; the amendments made to the constitution over many years have made it increasingly communal, ethnically biassed, undemocratic, and authoritarian. Therefore, a major aspiration for them is the elimination of class, gender, ethnic, and religious discrimination at the constitutional level. Additionally, they demand the demilitarization of the Chittagong Hill Tracts, ensuring the safety of indigenous peoples' lives and land, and gaining constitutional recognition as indigenous communities. These are now their primary demands for the new Bangladesh.

SH: Religious and ethnic minorities, including tribals expect the elimination of all forms of discrimination. Their human and democratic rights shall be ensured.

SJ: First is recognition, and their rights need to be established despite the military control. Their relations with the Bengali settlers also needed to be eased enough. Their land management needs to be established differently; like the way they want it. There should be a quota system for tribal communities present in various state facilities.

On the overall current situation following the popular uprising?

AM: After the ousting of Sheikh Hasina, the first deviation in the transition process occurred when the army chief took charge and announced negotiations. It became evident that those who led the uprising and were the main forces behind the movement were not included in these discussions. Instead, some individuals with allegations of anti-public actions were present. This exclusion of the primary forces of the movement created a void here.

Based on this void, undesirable incidents began occurring across the country, including attacks on minority communities, vandalism of sculptures and structures, arson, and indiscriminate assaults on people. However, later on, leaders of the anti-discrimination student movement emerged on the scene and took a stand against this violence.

On one hand, the anti-discrimination student movement and various segments of society are advocating for a different Bangladesh, free from past oppression and discrimination. Students are writing their aspirations on the streets. On the other hand, the old political parties are preparing to take power, while the former ruling classes and groups are trying to maintain their hold. Three active forces are at play here. Over the past few decades, especially the last 15 years, a significant concentration of wealth has occurred in Bangladesh, benefiting from the autocratic system. Additionally, the military and civilian bureaucracies have been structured in ways that serve the interests of party and looters. Extrajudicial killings, disappearances, and murders have been rampant and remain in place. Various international powers have also benefited from the autocratic system. For example, companies like India's Adani and Ambani have gained significantly under this system, and projects like the Rampal coal power plant, which threatens the Sundarbans, have only been possible due to the autocratic framework. The same holds true for the interests of the United States, China, and Russia. These lobbies remain very active.

The future trajectory of the country will depend on how vigilant the movement's forces are and how organized these forces for democratic transformation can become against these three powerful groups—the wealthy elite that has grown strong over the past few decades, the military-civilian bureaucracy, and the international lobbies.

SH: Political and social status has not yet been settled, it will take some more time. There are many types of activities taking place inside and outside the country to fail the interim government. There are also fears of subversive activities. The government has many urgent challenges. There is a huge outrage against India as they provided shelter to Hasina, who is accused of the massacre of the students and the anti-Bangladesh incitement activities of the BJP government. There are many questions yet to be answered like How long this government will remain with the support of the armed forces, whether they have their specific political agenda or not! There is also a discussion about the American influence on this government.

SJ: I would like to see the steps taken to begin the implementation of the state and political changes that the students and the common people wanted. The police and public administration tend to stick to boil-up stories to fool the public as before. But this time we have seen the rarest social tenacity of the students and the mentality of doing good for the country, like there is no police posted for more than 7 days but no major crime has happened. Considering this matter, the attitude of all organizations needs to change; but as of now, we have not seen any changes. The language of the advisers of the interim government is sympathetic to the people and their aspirations, which is a good thing.

Current situation regarding the attacks on religious minorities

AM: When an autocratic regime is overthrown through a popular movement or uprising, opportunistic individuals often seek to exploit moments of uncertainty. Just hours after the Prime Minister's resignation on August 5th, the situation was chaotic, and even the movement's participants were not prepared to handle it. The military was also caught off guard. That night, there were incidents of looting and attacks on minorities. Also, community efforts were made to protect many temples, with local people organizing security outside them. The leaders of the uprising, particularly those from the anti-discrimination student movement, took proactive measures to maintain communal harmony. By that night, they had organized patrols in various areas.

The chaos, looting, and violence that followed the uprising can be categorized into three types. First, there were those who had been victimized by the Awami League's oppressive tactics for years and sought revenge. Second, there were opportunistic individuals who took advantage of the situation to loot. Third, there were communal-fascist forces who planned attacks on minorities and vengefully vandalized sculptures and artworks. However, the nationwide resistance against these actions has been significant. Unfortunately, some Indian media outlets have exaggerated and spread false, provocative, communal propaganda regarding these events, hiding facts. In response, we have issued a public statement. These reports by Indian media about attacks on minorities, are exaggerated and untrue with vile intentions (statement: jugantar.com).

On August 6, I wrote, "Those who are tarnishing the joy of people’s freedom from the tyrannical oppression through the mass uprising led by the anti-discrimination student movement, by attacking Hindus, Ahmadis, and other religious communities' homes, temples, places of worship, and various shrines, setting them on fire; those who are destroying sculptures and setting fire to museums across the country; those who are assaulting artists like Rahul Anand and destroying their priceless musical instruments; those who are endangering people's lives indiscriminately are the enemies of this mass uprising. We must resist them. Strengthen the initiatives to resist these criminals across the country. We demand swift justice and punishment for looters, occupiers, murderers, and perpetrators of violence. And we seek the safety of all citizens and creative works."

SH: There was no communal violence in Bangladesh during this period except for some exceptional cases; all attacks on religious minorities were conducted due to their political affiliation with the Awami League. Their rallies and protests fell due to the Awami League. They aimed to attract the attention of the Modi government. Now the situation has calmed down. Along with the students, the opposition political parties are taking turns to protect them.

SPB: During this time some unexpected events happened in different places. Minority houses and business establishments were attacked, looted and vandalized in some places. Many memorial sculptures of the Liberation War, including Sheikh Mujib's sculpture, were vandalized. All these incidents took place in the absence of police forces, in an atmosphere of total emptiness. Bangabhaban, Ganabhaban also looted. These were mainly outbursts of uncontrollable activity. People have started coming forward against all this.

SH: Some incidents have happened, as always happens after a big event occurs in this country. For example, when there is an election, the houses of Hindus are burnt. Nothing happened compared to that level, you have to remember one thing there is no police in the country for more than 7 days. As a result, social awareness has been created regarding the security of minorities. Everything that happened was instantaneous.

As a citizen of Bangladesh, what is your message to the world?

AM: Rebellion against injustice is not only just but also unstoppable. The capitalist imperialist world system, which is imposing oppressive and exploitative governance in countries around the globe, is being challenged in various ways by people's struggles. The form of protest and resistance may differ due to factors such as the situation, the history of the people's struggle, and the relative distribution of power. However, the power of people consistently demonstrates that no matter how much a tyrant expands their coercive power, their defeat becomes inevitable when popular power erupts. Certainly, this requires the active role of vigilant and organized revolutionary forces. Solidarity among liberation forces in different countries is also crucial. This solidarity is very weak in South Asia. The lack of communication between progressive and active forces in Bangladesh and India is harming the struggle for liberation of the people in both countries.

SH: Our message to the international community is that we want everyone's sincere support and cooperation in our journey of democratic transformation. We have already sought the cooperation of the United Nations in an impartial and credible investigation into the genocide committed by the Hasina government.

Our special message regarding India is that it should in no way be an accomplice in the political rehabilitation of the ghosts of fallen autocratic fascism. If India had not given unequivocal support to the Hasina government, this situation might have been avoided. And we also want to solve all our bilateral problems based on equality and fairness with India.

SJ: The public understands everything. And as much as one can live by knowing, every living person knows that. So, there is nothing to convince people more. People endure as long as they can. As a result, I will advise the rulers not to exceed the limit of human tolerance.

Notices are being circulated in Universities to halt student politics. What is your opinion regarding these mandates banning the very forces that built the background of this mass uprising?

AM: This is very wrong. It stems from the government's oppression and dominance in student politics. However, they fail to recognize that fighting against this oppression is also a form of politics. Those who led the massive political movement, such as the mass uprising, should be advanced, not sidelined. Their responsibility should be to move forward, not to relinquish power.

SH: We think the question is not to stop student politics, the question is to end government party occupation, factionalism, terrorism, hooliganism and hostage situation in educational institutions. Cutting off the head for headaches is not at all a solution. In our country, educational institutions are the repositories of political thought and activism. Whatever, the anti-discrimination student movement is doing now is entirely political.

SPB: Stopping the practice of politics doesn't solve it. The remedy for this is an education culture centred on equality instead of idealistic scientific rational practices and consumerist individual interests, which will possibly give rise to the politics dedicated and devoted to the interests of the student population and the national interest.

What are your expectations from the new government to protect Bangladesh's sovereignty in the new situation?

AM: All obstacles to people's power must be removed. All agreements made with governments or companies from countries including India, under the pretext of development, security, or mutual interests, should be made public, and any agreements detrimental to public interest should be scrapped. Expanding the people's power is the only way to protect the country's sovereignty.

SH: The main safeguard of the sovereignty of Bangladesh is the unity of its people. Bangladesh has to ensure its national interests, national security and sovereignty outside the regional hegemonic power and imperialist circle. It requires our special attention that Bangladesh should not become a playground for any superpower.

Thursday, September 12, 2024

Dam and Deluge: Decoding Tripura-Bangladesh Floods

Ananyo Chakraborty 



Empirical data suggests it was the heavy rainfall caused by monsoon winds and low pressure, not the opening of sluice gates of the Dumbur Dam that prompted the disaster.


In the third week of August 2024, disturbing visuals of people — poor and helpless — relocating to relief camps from their houses submerged under water were seen on social media. With no regard for national boundaries, an unprecedented deluge had affected North Unkoti, Dhalai, Khowai, Gumti and South Tripura districts of Tripura in India, and Kumilla, Chattogram, Noakhali, Feni, Khagrachhari, Maulvibazar, Habiganj, Brahmanberia, Sylhet and Lakshmipur districts of Bangladesh.

A war of words ensued between the Indian and the Bangladeshi sides, with Bangladesh’s Nahid Islam, one of the anti-discrimination students’ movement leaders who is part of the recently-installed Interim Government, commenting that it is India who is responsible for the disaster wrecked upon more than 36 lakh people. The Dumbur Dam, situated in Tripura over the Gumti River that flows into Bangladesh, had released large amounts of water on August 21, after 31 years. Many flood-affected people accused that it was ‘India’s water’ that drowned them. India, by intentionally opening the sluice gates of the Dumbur dam in the middle of the night without informing the Bangladeshi authorities, was accused of unleashing water as a ‘weapon’ against their country.

The Indian authorities regarded these allegations to be factually incorrect. On August 22, the Ministry of External Affairs in a statement claimed that “the catchment areas of Gumti river that flows through India and Bangladesh have witnessed heaviest rains of this year over the last few days. The flood in Bangladesh is primarily due to waters from these large catchments downstream of the dam.”

This line of reasoning has been echoed in a report by the Bangladeshi news portal Prothom Alo. It quoted Sardar Uday Rayhan, an official of the flood security division of the Bangladesh Water Development Board, who said that the seven main rivers of North-Eastern and South-Eastern Bangladesh were already flowing above the danger level. The lunar cycle had caused high tide waters to rise above normal.

Additionally, the low pressure created on the sea had entered the land on August 18, and caused a severe landfall in Tripura and the hilly parts of South-Eastern Bangladesh. Reports suggest that on 19th August, Feni, Khagrachhari, Noakhali, Kumilla, Maulvibazar in Bangladesh and South Tripura in India had received unexpectedly high rainfall, which worsened the flood situation. However, some experts argued that India should have forewarned its neighbour about the dangerous flood situation prevailing upstream.

Empirical data suggests that it was the heavy rainfall caused by monsoon winds and the low pressure and not the opening of sluice gates of the Dumbur Dam which had prompted the disaster. The waters of the Dumbur lake flow into the Gumti River and pass on to Bangladesh. After flowing through large parts of Kumilla, Debidwar, Muradnagar, and Daudkandi, the waters move into the Meghna River system. The rivers Feni and Muhuri, which flooded large parts of South-Eastern Bangladesh, have no connections with the Gumti River and the Feni district is not situated in the Gumti River valley either. Heavy incessant rainfall in Feni and the discharge from the hills caused floods in Khagrachhari and Feni. In Chouddogram in Kumilla, the Dakatia River had overflowed. Due to the saturation of the canals and waterways in Noakhali, the flood waters did not get passages to be drained out. The pressures from the Brahmaputra River system only added to the problem.

Long-term climate trends also support India’s argument. Bangladesh is one of the world’s regions most vulnerable to natural hazards caused by anthropogenic climate change. The World Bank’s 2024 ‘Climate Risk Country Profile’ of Bangladesh stated that about 56% of the country’s population lives in areas most exposed to floods and other natural hazards. The World Bank’s ‘Country Climate and Development Report’ on Bangladesh published in October 2022 regarded climate change-induced flooding as “the most economically draining natural hazard” in the country.

According to the statistics presented by the World Bank’s Climate Change Knowledge Portal, the average annual occurrence of floods was 81 between 1980-2020, which amounted to 26.56% of the total number of natural hazards afflicting the country. Ahsan Uddin Ahmed’s 2006 report titled ‘Bangladesh Climate Change Impacts and Vulnerability: A Synthesis’, in its discussion of the country’s vulnerability to floods listed the following reasons for the occurrence of floods: “huge inflow of water from upstream catchment areas coinciding with heavy monsoon rainfall in the country, a low floodplain gradient, congested drainage channels, the major rivers converging inside Bangladesh, tides and storm surges in coastal areas, and polders that increase the intensity of floodwater outside protected areas.” The report further stated that floods of high intensity occur when the rate of discharge of the river is less than the rate of accumulation of water. These are often caused by inefficient water management infrastructures.

Despite objective facts hinting at a more complicated scenario, tendentious keyboard warriors from both India and Bangladesh got busy bashing each other on social media using reductionist (or untrue) statements. Bangladeshi YouTubers waged a concerted campaign to attack the Indian government. They complained that India has built dams on all 54 rivers draining into Bangladesh and is robbing their country of their fair share of water. Indians retaliated with crude humour about the plight of their neighbours struggling to sustain their lives. Vain invocations of God’s wrath were made in reference to the violence inflicted upon Hindu places of worship by supporters of Jamaat-i-Islami after Sheikh Hasina’s ouster from power in July.

India using water as a ‘weapon’ against Bangladesh is an allegation far from the truth. Only two of the dams built on rivers flowing into Bangladesh from India are large-scale irrigation barrages: the Farakka Barrage on Ganga/Padma and the Gajoldoba Barrage on Teesta. Since these barrages divert a lot of water into water channels towards India, they have been subjects of long-standing disputes between the two countries which will be discussed later in the essay. All the other dams are either hydel dams or check dams. None of these other dams divert river water or affect its flow significantly.

The Nagor, Tangon, Punorbhobha and Atrai rivers flow from Bangladesh’s Dinajpur district into West Bengal’s South Dinajpur and again into Bangladesh’s Rajshahi division. There are check dams present on Tangon, Punarbhaba and Atrai in Bangladesh’s Dinajpur. The rivers of North Bengal: Jaldhaka, Torsha, and Raidak are glacial rivers and their waters are not diverted. There is no diversion of the Brahmaputra River or the Barak River and its tributary Jatinga in Assam. From Mizoram, the Karnaphuli/Khawthlangtuipui River flows into Bangladesh, which only has a hydel dam at the Kaptai Lake in Bangladesh.

In Tripura, none of the North-flowing rivers — Manu, Dhalai, and Khowai — have any dams on them. The Muhuri River has a small check dam named Kalashi. The Gumti River harbours the much-discussed Dumbur Hydroelectric power plant, but there is no diversion here as well. 80% of the rainwater from the Meghalaya hills flows southwards into Sylhet and Mymensingh, forming and replenishing large natural lakes or Haors.

We understand that the current floods have been caused by a complex admixture of long-term and short-term processes shaping the region's riparian landscape. However, the anti-India sentiments harboured by a significant section of Bangladeshis regarding water-sharing cannot be dismissed as completely ludicrous. Their genesis must be traced back to political, economic, and ideological constructions of the past.

The idea that river waters should be ‘owned’ and ‘controlled’ for human needs goes back to the colonial period. Kuntala Lahiri-Dutt and Gopa Samanta, through a discussion of the works of the noted engineer Sir William Willcocks (who was also responsible for the construction of the Aswan Dam in Egypt), showed how the fluvial Bengal Delta was dependent upon ‘overflow irrigation’ by the rivers in the ancient and medieval times. The regime of private property, inaugurated in Bengal by the Permanent Settlement, made land a prized commodity (for maximising revenue demand) meant to be safeguarded from the erratic action of rivers. Later, embankments and irrigation facilities were built to control the river waters.

Similarly, Rohan D’Souza, in his study of the Odisha riparian delta, demonstrated that interests of colonial capital had transformed the delta from ‘flood-dependent’ to ‘flood vulnerable.. An ecological regime based on the forceful control of flood waters and subsequent transformation of fluvial ecologies into land markets (through the reclamation of marshes and alluvial char lands, as has been argued by Debjani Bhattacharyya) was laid out by the British colonial state.

With the Partition in 1947, there was a major change in the ecological regime of the Bengal Delta. Most of the alluvial fertile lands of East Bengal went to (East) Pakistan, while the rivers which drained them flowed through India. In his study of (West) Pakistan, Daniel Haines has argued that river waters had become crucial elements of nation-building in the aftermath of the Partition. Most of the lands in undivided Punjab were dependent on irrigation from the rivers for cultivation. Since the Radcliffe Line had sliced rivers into halves between the two countries, issues of control over the waters got translated into issues of sovereignty. Rivers became ‘national’. Both countries tried working out arrangements to ensure an equitable sharing of river waters. The 1960 Indus River Water Treaty, though with its share of problems, was a success.

The situation in the Bengal Delta was more complicated. Joya Chatterji showed that Murshidabad, despite being a Muslim-majority district, was brought into India due to the Congress’ insistence to keep control over the Ganga waters. The Ganga moved southwards into its lower course from this district, and if the river went into Pakistan, the Congress feared that Pakistan might arm-twist India into submitting to an inequitable water-sharing arrangement. There were several border disputes over control of river waters and the islands formed on them in the 1950s and 1960s. India and (East) Pakistan shared 54 rivers, as mentioned earlier, and in almost all cases, the latter was the lower riparian. (East) Pakistani authorities were anxious that India would deprive them of their waters. Things came to a head when India commissioned the building of the irrigation barrage at Farakka in Murshidabad over the Ganga/Padma River.

The 2,240-meter-long Farakka barrage, by diverting 40,000 cusec waters from the Ganga River into the Bhagirathi, was intended to serve two main purposes for India — increasing the navigability of the moribund Hooghly River, which was endangered due to the Damodar Valley Corporation project, and create convenient rail and roadway connection between south and north West Bengal. The (East) Pakistani (and later the Bangladeshi) authorities vehemently opposed the project. They feared that the dry season flow of the Ganga would be significantly hampered.

Surprisingly, this concern had been echoed by Kapil Bhattacharya, a Superintendent Engineer of the West Bengal Irrigation Department, who, in his book titled Bangladesher Nod Nodi Porikolpona first published in 1954 and reprinted in 1959, had presented a serious critique of the Farakka barrage plan. He saw it as prompted by capitalist interests. Apart from severely affecting the agrarian ecosystem surrounding the Ganga/Padma in (East) Pakistan, the barrage, he argued, would cause devastating floods in Bihar and Malda, and the rapid siltation of the Hooghly River. He also warned that the fierce rivers of North Bengal (the likes of Kushi, Mahananda and Teesta) might bring down significant amounts of water and flood large parts of the region. Going forward with Sir Willcocks’ earlier suggestion of building a dam below the source of the Mathabhanga River in Nadia was the rational solution for Bhattacharya. Despite having noble intentions, his opposition to the project was not viewed kindly by the Indian authorities, and he was termed a Pakistani spy by a section of the Indian journalists.

After the barrage became operational in April 1975, a historic long march from Rajshahi to Chanpaibabganj in demand of decommissioning the project was led by the nonagenarian mass leader Maulana Abdul Hamid Khan Bhashani. He accused India of depriving Bangladesh of Padma waters. At the diplomatic level, the Bangladeshi government accused India of violating principles of mutual cooperation in water-sharing. Although India and Bangladesh signed the Ganga Water-sharing agreement in 1996 (which stated that both the countries would receive 35,000 cusec flow in alternate 10-day cycles between March and May), the woes of Bangladesh were far from being mitigated, mainly due to climate variability. Kapil Bhattacharya’s ominous predictions have been vindicated, and apart from Bangladeshi politicians, Indian leaders like Nitish Kumar have also called for the removal of the barrage.

The dispute regarding the Teesta River is more complicated, since Mamata Banerjee, the Chief Minister of West Bengal, has opposed the arrangement of reserving 42.5% of its waters for India and 37.5% for Bangladesh. According to Banerjee, this would lead to the drying up of approximately one lakh hectares of land in North Bengal, thereby seriously affecting agriculture. The claim is only partially true.

Apart from Teesta, the northern part of West Bengal is primarily drained by glacial rivers like Torsha and Jaldhaka which do not have any diversions. Also, the irrigation potential of Teesta has been seriously compromised due to the rapid accumulation of alluvial soil due to the Gajoldoba barrage, climate variability, and the alleged illegal extraction of sand from the river beds. There has been no significant effort on part of the West Bengal government to solve the problem, which in turn is already affecting thousands of farmers in the region. Meanwhile, the Chinese authorities have proposed to invest $1 billion to dredge the Teesta River and build embankments to form a single manageable channel. India is opposed to this, owing to fears of Chinese intrusion near the strategically important ‘Chicken neck’.

The controversy regarding the proposed Tipaimukh dam on the Barak River rests on anxieties regarding the future of the endangered Haors in Bangladesh. In recent years, Bangladeshi public opinion towards India has veritably turned sour after Bangladesh allowed the latter to draw 1.82 cusecs of water per second from the Feni River in 2019 to help the inhabitants of Sabroom in Tripura.

The colonial legacy of extending sovereign control over river waters, the fateful Partition of 1947, and the ill effects of anthropogenic climate change plague people of both countries today. When I am writing this piece in the comfort of my privileged dwelling, lakhs of people in Tripura and South-Eastern Bangladesh are fighting against their present predicament to secure an uncertain future. Rivers flow along the line of least resistance. They care little about national boundaries. Or about who is a Hindu or a Muslim. Vigorous attempts to demarcate ‘national’ rivers with little regard towards preserving the fluvial ecologies of the Bengal Delta will invariably cause ‘international’ hazards like what we are witnessing today. What now? I am no expert to suggest any remedy. I am a fool trying to stop a forest fire with a bucketful of water. I earnestly hope that I am not the only one. 

 I would like to extend my heartiest gratitude to my dear friend Srestha Majumder for her constant encouragement and valuable inputs during the process of writing this piece. Nahid Rahman sent me important resources which came in handy: many thanks to him too. In the age of rampant misinformation, illuminating Facebook posts by Alakes Guchhait have been godsent. Lastly, the brilliantly committed on-ground reportage of the flood situation by Ganashakti has been a source of great inspiration to me.

The writer is a post-graduate from the Department of History, University of Delhi. The views are personal. This article was first published in the Lokayata blog on August 30, 2024.