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Monday, January 19, 2026

 

What does victory look like? Serbia’s Gen Z’s search for an endgame

JANUARY 19, 2026


By Dragica Felja, Jelisaveta Djordjevic-Ristanovic and Jelena Pavic

Fourteen months have passed since the collapse of the concrete canopy at the newly refurbished train station in Novi Sad, Serbia – a disaster that claimed 16 lives and seriously injured another. For many citizens, the tragedy was not an isolated incident but a symbol of deeper systemic failures, sparking a wave of mass protests across the country. As Novi Sad-based journalist, Igor Mihaljevic, declared in its aftermath: “What happened in Novi Sad was not a tragedy, it was a crime.”

What made the uprising striking was that it began with those whom society least expected to lead it. For years, Generation Z had been overlooked as apolitical, absorbed in their phones, scrolling through social media and supposedly detached from public life. Yet it was precisely this generation that first refused to accept the official narrative of the station collapse and the broader culture of impunity it represented. What many had mistaken for apathy revealed itself as a different kind of political literacy, one shaped by digital fluency, rapid information‑sharing, scepticism toward authority, and a refusal to normalise corruption. 

Their emergence at the forefront of the protests shattered long‑held stereotypes and signalled that a new, highly networked civic force had entered Serbia’s political landscape. As Marija Petrovic, a student from the Faculty of Agriculture in Novi Sad observes, this mobilisation has already begun to reshape her generation’s priorities: “Protests are leading to a noticeable higher interest in politics amongst Gen Z, compared to a few years ago, placing the fight against nepotism and corruption, as well as support for the rule of law, among their top priorities. Gen Z, as the first true digital generation, has also become the first generation to staunchly oppose cults of personality, something that had persisted for decades.’”

Drawing on this digital‑first organising power, Gen Z students were the first to translate outrage into action. In the aftermath of the canopy collapse, they staged silent vigils and road blockades known as ‘Zastani Srbijo’ (Serbia Stop), actions that quickly set the tone for broader civic resistance. Their peaceful gatherings were met with intimidation, violence, and arrests, exposing the state’s unwillingness to confront its own failures. 

One message in particular – ‘Ruke su vam krvave’ (Your hands are bloody) became the defining symbol of the movement. Paired with red handprint imagery, it marked both a memorial to the victims and a direct accusation against those in power. Chanted at vigils and painted across public spaces, the phrase captured the moral clarity and uncompromising stance that Gen Z brought to the protests.

As repression intensified, this same generation pushed the movement into a more organised and strategic phase. Students began blocking university buildings and forming horizontal, leaderless assemblies known as plenums which embodied their distrust of traditional hierarchies and their commitment to collective decision‑making. Their clarity of purpose, focused on systemic change rather than individual politicians, resonated widely across Serbian society. 

When the president attempted to draw them into a dialogue, they responded with a single sentence – “Nisi nadležan” (You are not in charge of this). The phrase, which quickly spread through the protests, captured growing frustration with what many saw as the president’s influence over institutions meant to operate independently. For many, it was not just a legal correction but a symbolic act of civic resistance, aimed at restoring institutional integrity and the rule of law.

Within weeks, the protests spread beyond university campuses to city squares and rural towns. By December 2024, over 100,000 people gathered in Serbian capital Belgrade, and by March 2025, more than 300,000 filled its streets in what became Serbia’s largest protest in modern history. Students took the lead in organising and overseeing the protest that day, demonstrating extraordinary coordination, foresight, and a willingness to put their own safety on the line. 

Images later surfaced showing emergency contact numbers and blood types scrawled on their arms – a haunting testament to the ever-present threat of state violence in Serbia. It was during this protest, that a banned sonic weapon, known as a Long Range Acoustic Device (LRAD), was used to disrupt a silent vigil, causing panic and a stampede. The government denied they used this weapon, but international scrutiny followed and multiple independent reports strongly suggest that a banned sonic weapon was used during the Belgrade protest, despite official denials. 

From February to the end of September 2025 more than 10,700 protests took place across more than 630 communities and 1,200 local community assemblies. Whilst largely peaceful, they were often met with disproportionate force by state authorities. Numerous footage showed evidence of riot police deploying tear gas and stun grenades in densely populated areas, including near schools and hospitals. Arbitrary arrests (of students, ordinary citizens and in some cases minors) became commonplace and many of them were held without charge, in custody or house arrest for a long time before official trials.

Surveillance of student organisers, journalists, human rights activists or opposition-party politicians intensified, with reports of phone tapping, online harassment, and physical intimidation. Serbia’s Higher Public Prosecutor’s Office was implicated in politically motivated prosecutions targeting student activists and opposition figures, while pro-government media and security agencies played a central role in smear campaigns and unlawful surveillance. 

Increasingly, Serbian state universities also faced mounting pressure to align with government priorities, with appointments and dismissals increasingly tied to political loyalty rather than academic merit. Students and staff who criticised state policies reported disciplinary measures, surveillance on campus, and the withdrawal of institutional support for independent initiatives. Funding decisions have been routinely used as leverage, rewarding compliant faculties while marginalising those seen as centres of dissent.

Particularly alarming was the gendered nature of the repression. Young women were disproportionately targeted, especially in the early days of the protest. In one widely reported case, a 22-year-old woman suffered a fractured jaw after being violently assaulted by a private security guard outside the ruling party’s headquarters. Her only “offence” was placing a protest sticker on a public bin. In another incident, a university student arrested during a peaceful demonstration reported being threatened with rape by the commanding officer while in detention, a tactic seemingly aimed at silencing and terrorising women who dare to speak out. 

These were not isolated cases but part of a broader pattern of intimidation, humiliation, and physical violence that became a hallmark of the state’s response to dissent. The cumulative effect has been a chilling atmosphere in which civic participation is increasingly criminalised, and the cost of protest is borne most heavily by the young and the outspoken. One parent, whose child was among the protesters, expressed deep concern: “What frightens me most is the thought that one of these brave young people might lose their life fighting for justice, while we stand behind them. It should be us taking the risks, standing at the front.”

International pressure mounts as Serbia rejects calls for accountability

In response to sustained student protests and escalating police violence, in October 2025, the European Parliament adopted a resolution denouncing state repression and calling for accountability, safeguards for civil rights, and independent investigations. The resolution called for tying EU financial assistance to demonstrable progress on reforms and even raised the possibility of suspending funds if the Serbian government fails to meet essential democratic standards. 

But instead of initiating independent investigations or addressing the documented abuses, Serbian government officials dismissed the resolution as politically motivated interference, reinforcing a long‑standing pattern of rejecting external scrutiny. Civil society organisations, student groups, and independent media continued to document violations, but without cooperation from state institutions their efforts remain largely symbolic. The result is a widening gap between European expectations of democratic safeguards and Serbia’s entrenched practices of impunity, where international criticism raises visibility but does not translate into concrete protections for citizens.

Alongside the European Parliament resolution, Serbia is also coming under growing pressure from Washington. The United States is preparing sanctions against the Oil Industry of Serbia (NIS), whose ownership links to Russia’s Gazprom Neft have long raised concerns. Although repeatedly delayed, the sanctions highlight Washington’s increasing unease about Serbia’s political direction and its continued alignment with Russian‑controlled energy structures.

In contrast to the mounting pressure from Brussels and Washington, the UK has taken a noticeably different path. Reporting by the Guardian highlighted how the UK government scaled back a number of overseas democracy‑support and governance programmes, including initiatives in the Western Balkans that had previously helped counter malign foreign influence. The cuts affected projects aimed at strengthening independent media, supporting civil society, and improving institutional resilience – areas long recognised as vulnerable to Russian political and informational influence, particularly in Serbia. 

400,000 Signatures, zero answers: why students are marching again

In a striking display of public mobilisation, in December 2025, students launched a support initiative that gathered more than 400,000 signatures in a single day. The initiative was a nationwide petition demanding early parliamentary elections and formal public support for the student movement. 

As the authorities remained silent, reinforcing the sense of institutional paralysis, the student movement shifted toward its next step, announced on the protest that took place on 17th January 2026. Building on the momentum generated by the signature campaign, organisers framed the upcoming rally as the beginning of a new phase in their struggle. The protest was designed not only as a public gathering but as a platform for outlining mechanisms of accountability and renewing calls for institutional reform. 

As Petrovic, who has been active in the student movement explained, this next phase is driven by a renewed commitment to the kind of society students want to build: “One of the main things driving the student movement is the will to live in a fairer society, where corruption is recognised as an issue, the rule of law is seen as a priority, and no one’s life is dictated by party membership or nepotism. Most students want to live in Serbia, and hence there is a level of tenacity not seen for a long time, because we refuse to be driven out of our homes. We are not scared, as shown by our relentless actions despite all attempts at intimidation, including police brutality. They rule through fear. Take that away from them, and you largely turn them into a paper tiger.”

Dragica Felja, Jelisaveta Djordjevic-Ristanovic and Jelena Pavic are three Serbian nationals who were active in the student protest movement of the 1990s. One now lives in the diaspora, while two remain in Serbia. Drawing on their lived experience and long-standing civic engagement, they reflect on the legacy of protest and the resurgence of grassroots resistance. They wrote a shorter piece about Serbian protest, published in The Big Issue, in February 2025.

Serbia’s NIS restarts Pancevo refinery after US sanctions waiver

Serbia’s NIS restarts Pancevo refinery after US sanctions waiver
Energy Minister Dubravka Djedovic Handanovic visits the NIS refinery at Pancevo. / Dubravka Djedovic Handanovic via Facebook
By bne IntelliNews January 18, 2026

Serbia’s majority Russian-owned oil company NIS has restarted oil processing at its Pancevo refinery after securing a temporary waiver from US sanctions, Serbia’s energy minister said on January 18.

Production of petroleum derivatives resumed after an almost two-month halt, Energy Minister Dubravka Djedovic Handanovic said in a post on Instagram, adding that the first Euro diesel produced following the restart would reach fuel stations from January 27.

NIS was forced to suspend operations in December after US sanctions imposed in October over Russia’s war in Ukraine restricted its access to crude oil. The measures target Russia’s energy sector and apply to companies with majority Russian ownership.

Russian entities control 56.15% of NIS, with Gazprom Neft holding about 44.9% and Gazprom owning 11.3% via the St. Petersburg-based company Intelligence. The Serbian government holds roughly 29.9%, with the remainder owned by minority shareholders.

The refinery restart follows the granting of a temporary licence by the US Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) on December 31, allowing NIS to import crude oil, resume processing and conduct transactions needed to maintain supply security until January 23.

“After almost two months of break, production at the Pancevo refinery began today,” Djedovic Handanovic said, adding that around 2,000 employees were involved in restarting operations.

NIS operates Serbia’s only oil refinery, located near Belgrade, and supplies about 80% of the country’s domestic fuel demand. Crude oil deliveries to the refinery resumed earlier this week via Croatia’s JANAF pipeline following the announcement of the special US licence.

The sanctions waiver comes as NIS negotiates the sale of the Russian-held stakes to comply with US requirements. The company has until March 24 to reach a divestment agreement.

Hungary’s oil and gas group MOL is in advanced talks to acquire a majority stake in NIS. Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said last week, on January 15, that negotiations with Gazprom were progressing well and that an initial agreement could be signed in the coming days, after which the deal would be submitted to OFAC for approval.

President Aleksandar Vucic said on January 18 that Serbia expects to submit the key terms of a future ownership agreement to OFAC by January 20 at the latest, in order to secure an extension of NIS’s operating licence beyond January 23.

“We do not yet have an agreement, but I believe it will be reached,” Vucic told TV Informer.

In addition to MOL, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) has expressed interest in a potential partnership in NIS.

Trump tells Norway's PM he has no obligation to 'think purely of peace' after Nobel snub

KOMMANDER IN CHIEF; BONESPURS


By Gavin Blackburn
Published on 

Trump has boasted about ending eight wars, styling himself as "the president of peace" and therefore deserving of the Nobel honour but those claims have been exaggerated.

US President Donald Trump told Norway's prime minister he no longer needed to think "purely of peace" after failing to win the Nobel Peace Prize, in a message published on Monday.

"Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace," Trump said in a message to Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre.

It is unclear why Trump decided to send a message to Støre as the peace prize is decided by the Norwegian Nobel Committee and not the government.

In a written comment, Støre underlined that the Nobel Peace Prize was not awarded by the Norwegian government.

"I have clearly explained, including to president Trump what is well known, the prize is awarded by an independent Nobel Committee," Store said.

US President Donald Trump speaks at a dedication ceremony in Florida, 16 January, 2026 AP Photo

Trump has long coveted the annual peace prize and last week Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado gifted her Nobel Peace Prize medal to him at the White House.

Machado was awarded the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for her leadership of Venezuela's opposition movement amid a crackdown by President Nicolás Maduro, most notably in the much-maligned 2023 presidential election.

Machado's gesture to Trump followed a series of developments in Venezuela after a blitz US military raid captured Maduro and his wife and brought them to New York to stand trial on drug trafficking charges two weeks ago.

During the visit, Machado gave Trump her Nobel medal "as a recognition for his unique commitment to our freedom," she told reporters outside the US Capitol.

Trump confirmed on social media that Machado had left the medal for him to keep and said it was an honour to meet her.

The Prime Minister of Norway Jonas Gahr Støre speaks in London, 4 December, 2025 AP Photo

"She is a wonderful woman who has been through so much. María presented me with her Nobel Peace Prize for the work I have done," Trump said in his post. "Such a wonderful gesture of mutual respect. Thank you María."

Ahead of Machado's visit to Washington, the Norwegian Nobel Institute, organisers of the Nobel Prize, said in a statement that a Peace Prize cannot be withdrawn, transferred or shared once it has been announced.

The Nobel Foundation's statutes and Alfred Nobel's will — which dictate the merits awardees should have — state that the title of the winner belongs personally to the individual and cannot be legally shared or reassigned to another person.

The medal or the associated diploma can be physically given, sold or auctioned, but this does not confer the award's title on anyone else

Ending eight wars?

Trump has often boasted about ending eight wars, styling himself as "the president of peace" and therefore deserving of the Nobel honour but those claims have been exaggerated.

The latest conflict he claims to have ended was two years of fighting between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.

The other seven are Israel and Iran, Pakistan and India, Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo, Thailand and Cambodia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, Egypt and Ethiopia and Serbia and Kosovo.

But some of those conflicts lasted just days and one, Egypt-Ethiopia, had no fighting to end but rather involved long-standing issues of water sharing from the Nile River.

A view of the rostrum where the Nobel Committee announce the winner of the Nobel Peace Prize in Oslo, 10 October, 2025 AP Photo

Ethiopia formally inaugurated the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) last year. It sees the dam as a boon to its economy but Egypt opposed its construction, arguing that it would reduce the country's share of Nile River waters.

Trump recently told Fox News that one of the ongoing conflicts that has continued despite his claiming to have stopped it, a simmering border dispute between Thailand and Cambodia, should actually count more than once.

"I did put out eight wars, eight and a quarter, because, you know, Thailand and Cambodia started going at it again," he told Sean Hannity last week.


Considerations on the Morality of Donald Trump

In an interview with the New York Times, when asked if there were any checks on his powers on the world stage, Trump replied: “Yeah, there is one thing. My own morality. My own mind. It’s the only thing that can stop me.”

A voice jumps in to ask: “Not international law?”

“I don’t need international law,” said Trump. “I’m not looking to hurt people.”

Trump’s own morality.

Morality is a set of principles that distinguishes between right and wrong that guide one’s behavior accordingly.

This inquiry into the morality of Trump will leave aside exploration of Trump’s alleged sexual peccadilloessexual abuseadulterous flingsgrabbing pussies, except for his questionable relationship with a known sex offender.

Thou shall not kill

Trump identifies as non-denominational Christian; therefore, the ten commandments should apply to Trump. In this case, the prohibition against taking human life is applicable and particularly worth examining because it is generally considered a universal principle that is also encoded in international law.

The list of lives erased at Trump’s behest is long. The recent US attack launched against Venezuela took 100 lives. That was on the heels of several snuff videos of small boats that Trump alleges were narco traffickers.1 There were no interceptions, no presumption of innocence, just killing. As of 31 December 2025, CBC cited the number of crew members killed at 115.

On 22 June 2025, the US attacked three nuclear facilities in Iran. The number of casualties is unclear.

Clear is that the US sneak attack on Iran was an intrusion into the Iran-Israel war to aid the sneak-attacking Israel belligerent. Israel has been engaged in warring against its neighbors Lebanon, Syria, and was wreaking a genocide in Palestine, with devastating destruction in Gaza. This genocide has been abetted by Trump’s US (of course, with Democrats on side with Israel).

Sovereignty

The sneak attacks speak to the pusillanimity at the core of the Trump and Netanyahu governments.

As well, the US attacks demonstrate a disregard for US adherence to international law as per the UN Charter to which the US is a signatory, thus it is legally binding under the US Constitution. Article 2(1) of the UN Charter recognizes the sovereign equality of states, regardless of size or power. Further, Article 2(7) prohibits outside intervention in domestic matters, such as the protests recently in Iran where Trump threatened intervention, even though protests were also ongoing in the US for the killing of a critic of the Trump administration by ICE operatives.

By launching attacks abroad without Congressional approval, Trump is criticized for failing to abide by the US Constitution which he pledged to uphold in his oath of office.

Lying

Lying is considered an abnegation of morality. Ethics Officer Tim C. Mazur reasoned,

Lies are morally wrong, then, for two reasons. First, lying corrupts the most important quality of my being human: my ability to make free, rational choices. Each lie I tell contradicts the part of me that gives me moral worth. Second, my lies rob others of their freedom to choose rationally.

Trump has a history of documented lying including recently.

The big lies are insidious. For example, the Trump administration kidnapped Venezuela’s president Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, on the accusation of running a cocaine narco-trafficking operation to the US. The Trump administration has focused on Tren de Aragua (TDA), a cartel that took root in prisons, and is allegedly linked to Maduro. US attorney general Pam Bondi called TDA “a highly structured terrorist organization” and “a foreign arm of the Venezuelan government.”

El País downplayed Bondi’s assertion, citing the opinion of experts that “Tren de Aragua in no way poses a national security issue for Washington, as Donald Trump claims.” Moreover, on 7 April 2025, the US National Intelligence Council issued a memo that stated,

While Venezuela’s permissive environment enables TDA to operate, the Maduro regime probably does not have a policy of cooperating with TDA and is not directing TDA movement to and operations in the United States.

More than two hundred people have died based on, at best, erroneous assessment of intelligence, or worse, outright disinformation.

After the attack on Venezuela, Trump said: “We’re going to take back the oil that frankly we should’ve taken back a long time ago.” And “we’re going to have our very large United States oil companies, the biggest anywhere in the world, go in, spend billions of dollars, fix the badly broken infrastructure, the oil infrastructure, and start making money for the country.”

Not mentioned concerning the theft of Venezuelan oil is why the oil infrastructure is “badly broken.”

However, this is readily understandable when one considers the dire effect of economic sanctions that the US has imposed on Venezuela. One research report estimated that the sanctions had caused more than 40,000 estimated deaths in Venezuela from 2017 to 2018. A 2025 Lancet paper laid bare the perniciousness of economic sanctions for which 564,258 deaths worldwide per year were attributed for the period from 2012 to 2021.

Trump is a known braggart, and oftentimes his lies take the form of boasting. To wit his claim that he’d end the warring between Russia and Ukraine in 24 hours: “They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians. I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done — I’ll have that done in 24 hours.”

It wasn’t just a one-off boast, presumably to attract votes. CNN notes that there were 53 times Trump said he’d end the Ukraine war within 24 hours or before taking office.

Even more unseemly is that the Russia-Ukraine conflict is only partially that. It is a NATO-Ukraine proxy war against Russia. So while Trump is bragging that he’ll bring a quick end to the Ukraine-Russia war, he is deeply involved in it — attested to by US secretary-of-state Marco Rubio: “And frankly, it’s a proxy war between nuclear powers – the United States, helping Ukraine, and Russia.”

Trump’s duplicity in the proxy war came to the forefront when a drone attack was launched from Ukraine targeting a residence used by president Vladimir Putin in the Novgorod region, this while Putin was in telephone discussions with Donald Trump (about which Trump lied) on ending the war in Ukraine. A downed Ukrainian drone provided decoded navigation data information, according to Russia, that proves it contained the precise coordinates of the intended target — Putin’s residence — including data on the flight path of the drone.

Former US Marine intelligence officer Scott Ritter was unambiguous as to the meaning:

American digital “fingerprints” were all over this guidance component, something the Russians knew when their head of military intelligence handed one of these intact components over to the US military attaches in Moscow.

Russia knows the truth.

And the truth is that the United States under Donald Trump still seeks the strategic defeat of Russia.

Rudenness

Are manners not necessarily attached to morality, facilitating social interaction and guiding us to live a virtuous life?2

Social etiquette befuddles Trump who addresses many people in a decidedly rude manner. In fact, he dehumanizes and humiliates people. The examples are myriad: he referred to DPRK president Kim Jong-un as “little rocket man”; he called Canada a 51st state, Canadians “mean and nasty,” and has driven his closest trading partner, Canada, to renewed  relations with China, a nation Trump calls a “threat to the world”; he considered his former appointee as US ambassador to the UN, Nikki Haley, to be a “birdbrain”; former president Joe Biden is demeaned as either “Sleepy Joe,” Crooked Joe,” or even “sleepy son of a bi**h”;  of his director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard relaying the intelligence community’s assessment of Iran not pursuing nuclear weapons, Trump said, “I don’t care what she said” he called one female reporter “piggy”; and the list of people derided by Trump is much, much longer — indicating a penchant for crudely dealing with people he disagrees with.

What are Tariffs and Who Pays

Trump not only uses sanctions to inflict harm on other nations to achieve political aims, he also is imposing tariffs on other nations, friend and foe alike, as a cornerstone of his economic agenda and in support of his imperialist ambitions.

Trump envisions the US as a tariff nation. He frames a tariff as a tax on another country. He hopes to create a surfeit of cash to pay off the staggering US debt (now approximately $38.45 trillion) and create manufacturing jobs in the US.

But the question is who will pay the tariff. Trump maintains it is the exporting nation.

The Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy calls Trump’s claim erroneous and that American consumers will bear much of the cost through higher prices.

Indeed, Trump’s claim that tariffs are borne by exporters is widely held to be false.3

Noted Columbia University economist Jeffrey Sachs predicts the Trump tariff policy will fail.

What is in the Offing?

There is other sordid information that might have strong negative implications for Trump and his morality that is is still seeping out.

The release of the Epstein files may well speak to the morality of Donald Trump. The release of the files is staunchly opposed by Trump, but dribs and drabs have emerged. Epstein is notorious for having been charged with sex trafficking of minors and conspiracy to commit sex trafficking of minors. Children and adolescents who become entangled in sex trafficking sometimes come from backgrounds with traumatic experiences; young age and a history of trauma can be a recipe for exploitation of vulnerable youth.

Epstein operated frequent flights with high profile guests to his private island, Little Saint James, in the US Virgin Islands. There is much documented and video evidence of alleged sex trafficking of minors to the island and Epstein abodes elsewhere. Trump’s relationship with Epstein and his world puts him in an unwanted spotlight.

Trump posted on Truth Social in January 2024, “I was never on Epstein’s Plane, or at his ‘stupid’ Island.” However, documents released by Trump’s own Justice Department –including flight logs and emails — indicate that Trump had been a passenger on Epstein’s private jet “far more often” than realized.

As of 16 January 2026, Will Gottsegen wrote, “Less than 1 percent of [the Epstein files] have been released. A CNN poll reveals that two-thirds of Americans believe the Trump government is holding back certain information.

How do Americans feel about the morality that guides Trump, and do they even care? Time will tell; the US November midterm elections are in the offing.

ENDNOTES:

Kim Petersen is an independent writer. He can be emailed at: kimohp at gmail.com. Read other articles by Kim.
Trump's Greenland ambitions lack domestic support, polls show


Issued on: 19/01/2026 

Video by: FRANCE 24


Despite US President Donald Trump’s insistence on acquiring Greenland, public support for the idea remains low. A Reuters/Ipsos poll of US residents this week showed that fewer than one in five respondents back acquiring Greenland, while a separate CBS poll found that just 14 percent would approve the use of military force to take the island. Instead, many Americans say they want the president to focus on domestic economic pressures, particularly the cost of living. A CNN poll last week found that 58 percent of Americans believe Trump’s first year back in the White House has been a failure, especially on the economy.



Greenland on the Chessboard of U.S. Imperialism


 January 19, 2026

Photograph Source: Inter-rede – CC BY-SA 3.0

On 14 January, a few hours before the historic meeting in Washington between representatives from Greenland and Denmark and their U.S. counterparts, J. D. Vance and Marco Rubio, Denmark and several of its NATO allies reinforced their military presence in Greenland and announced that more reinforcements would follow.

Some interpreted this move as pressure on the Trump Administration before the meeting. But anyone familiar with NATO-Denmark politics would recognise that appeasement with the empire is the more likely explanation.

At the Washington meeting, the U.S. reiterated its firm demand for “having Greenland”: ““It is clear that the president wants to conquer Greenland,”” declared the Danish foreign minister after the meeting. The parties agreed to establish a “high level working group” in an effort to contain the crisis.

But the crisis continues, and its magnitude is huge.

The reality is that for over a year, the nearly 57,000 Greenlanders and their vast island have been turned into a bargaining chip, a pawn to be moved at will on the great chessboard of U.S. imperialism.

Trump has repeatedly stated that the U.S. seeks to control and own Greenland, by military means if necessary. The brutally effective aggression against Venezuela on January 3 and the kidnapping of the country’s head of state and his wife have erased any doubt that the White House administration is capable of putting Trump’s words into action.

The threat is imminent, and it is felt acutely among the Greenlandic people. The population is stuck in a vice, and the country’s politicians must fight hour by hour simply to get a seat at the table and be heard., Not only by the U.S., but also by Denmark.

Greenland, or Kalaallit Nunaat, has been inhabited for 4500 years, and its people are linked to the Inuit communities across the Arctic. It is the world’s largest island, with an area larger than France, Germany, Spain, Great Britain, Italy, Greece, Switzerland and Belgium combined. It became a Danish colony with the establishment of the state-owned Royal Greenland Trading Company in 1774. The Royal Greenland Trading Company functioned as the de facto colonial administration until the early 1900s, when trade and administration were separated. During this period, Danish companies extracted various minerals, including cryolite, iron, zinc, lead and silver.

The colonial era formally ended in 1953, but political equality with Denmark did not follow. Following a referendum, so-called home rule was introduced in 1979, which was replaced in June 2009 by the current status of self-government. Under self-government, Greenlanders hold the rights to the island’s subsoil and the minerals found there. However, foreign and security policies remain decided in Denmark, which is why Greenland is considered NATO territory.

Greenland is not a member of the European Union. In a 1982 referendum, 53 percent of the Greenlandic people voted to leave the European Economic Community, now the EU. Today, Greenland is classified as one of the EU’s Overseas Countries and Territories.

In 1951, a secret agreement between the U.S. government and Denmark’s envoy to the United States granted U.S. military involvement in Greenland. The agreement was highly controversial and in detriment to official Danish policies at the time. Nevertheless, it remains in force today and has been repeatedly confirmed. In practice, it grants unlimited U.S. military rights over Greenland.

Thus, for decades, the U.S. has maintained several military facilities in Greenland. The history of these facilities includes forced evictions of Inuit families in 1953, the crash of an American B-52 plane carrying four atomic bombs in 1968, and other harms inflicted on the local population.

The Danish government repeatedly states that Greenland belongs to the Greenlanders and is not for sale. But in reality, Denmark has been selling off Greenland to the U.S. for decades. “We already have a defence agreement between the Kingdom and the United States today, which gives the United States wide access to Greenland,” the Danish Prime Minister stated in an official statement earlier this week.

This raises the question: Why does the Trump Administration seek an annexation of Greenland, when the U.S. empire already holds extensive rights over Greenland? The answer lies in a new security strategy and the demand for unquestioned and unlimited control over oil, control over minerals, and military dominance.

Greenland possesses at least 25 of the 34 minerals designated as “critical raw materials” by the European Commission. Greenland has significant deposits of rare earths, copper, nickel, zinc, gold, diamonds, iron ore, titanium, tungsten and uranium. Trump wants U.S. companies, many of which have invested heavily in his re-election, to have unfettered access to Greenland’s mineral deposit resources.

Moreover, Greenland’s geographic position near the Arctic is important. Control over northern sea routes, such as the Northeast Passage, is becoming increasingly important as climate change advances. A fully controlled, militarised and rearmed Greenland is also intended to serve as an advanced base against both Russia and China. Beyond the prospect of super-profits, keeping socialist China far away from Greenland is a strategic goal for both the U.S. and Denmark.

Until a few years ago, Greenland was undergoing a process of independent decision-making and freeing itself from neo-colonialism. But the current era of intensified imperialism emanating from the White House has caused a serious setback to Greenland’s ability to determine its own destiny. The threats and pressures are enormous.

It is so important to hold on to the principle of right to self-determination. How Greenland organises its society, with whom it collaborates, and what alliances it enters to realise its self-determination in practice should be determined solely in Nuuk.

Produced by Globetrotter and No Cold War Perspectives.

Lotte Rørtoft-Madsen is the chair of the Danish Communist Party. She was the editor-in-chief of Arbejderen.










Greenland Between Denmark And The USA: What Is The Price For The Largest Island In The World? – Analysis



January 19, 2026 
By Dr. Vladislav B. Sotirovic

The largest island in the world, Greenland (that is not green at all but rather covered by white ice), has in recent months and even several years become one of the hottest geopolitical spots and disputes in world politics and international relations. The island, which has been administratively part of the Kingdom of Denmark for two centuries, has seriously caught the eye of the USA, namely its Trump administration, which firmly claims that the island simply must be under direct control and administration of the USA for its national security, otherwise it will be “swallowed up” by Russia and China (whose [Russian] submarines already operate around the island). The latest statements by NATO leaders support the idea of “Russian occupation of Greenland” as the reason for the increased presence of (small and meager) NATO soldiers on the island, but in essence, this position advocates the transfer of the island under American administration.

Greenland politically belongs to Denmark, i.e., the European Union, and in a military-political sense to the NATO pact. Geographically, it belongs to the North American continent and is closest to Canada, not the USA, and far away from Denmark. However, in a purely military sense, Greenland has been under the “occupation” of the USA since the summer of 1940 (after Nazi Germany’s overrun of Denmark), and in that context, the island is much more tied to the American, rather than the Danish, i.e., European administration. If, and this is in fact more or less a fait accompli, Greenland does indeed belong to the USA in one form or another, it will only be a formal recognition of the real state of affairs since the time of World War II up to today.

Nevertheless, what is Greenland, and what are its basic characteristics?

Geographical and military-technical characteristics of the island


Greenland (Grønland) is an Arctic island, the largest in the world, located off the northeastern part of the North American continent, next to Canada. It has an area of ​​2,130,800 sq km, with coastal islands of 2,175,600 sq km, and a population of almost 55,000 (the area of ​​Europe is about 10,180,000 sq km). Greenland is politically part of the territory of the Kingdom of Denmark with a certain degree of local autonomy. The island is mostly in the Arctic Circle, with its northernmost point 708 km from the North Pole. It is about 2,650 km long from north to south, and about 1,300 km wide from east to west. The island generally rises steeply from the surrounding seas, bays, and straits into highland terrain and over 3,000 m. altitude.

The island has a very rugged coastline with a large number of fjords. The eastern coast, despite its great ruggedness, is practically inaccessible for the most part due to icebergs. The interior of Greenland, together with the ice sheet, forms a plateau between 2000 and 3000 meters above sea level. It is estimated that about 1,860,900 sq. km. of the island’s territory is permanently covered with ice, with a thickness of between 500 and 1500 m., and only about 13% of Greenland’s surface is free of ice, and in the coastal zone it is up to 150 m. wide. The highest peak is located on Mount Forel, 3440 m.

The Greenland Sea is the main link between the Arctic and the western Atlantic. It is of great importance for Arctic fishing and whaling. Its northern part is mostly covered with ice, and its southern part is covered with icebergs or floes.

Probably the greatest geopolitical value of the island of Greenland is that whoever holds it in their hands essentially controls access to the North Atlantic.

The climate in Greenland is of the Arctic type. The southern part of the west coast is the most favorable for life because it is reached by the warmer Atlantic current, and where the average January temperature is about minus 14 degrees C, and July about plus 8 degrees C. In the interior of the island, the temperature can reach minus 50 degrees C.

It is important to note, at least from a military-economic point of view, that the seas, bays, and straits around Greenland freeze over except in its southwestern part, i.e., these waters are covered with icebergs as well as mountains broken off from glaciers, which descend from the interior of the mainland into the sea. Along the northern coast, the sea is constantly under ice. There are no land communications on the island. The ports in the south of the island are of insignificant capacity, at least in military terms. In Greenland, dog sledding on land and boats at sea are the only means of transport. However, in terms of air traffic, Greenland is in a very important position because the shortest flight routes from North America to the northern parts of Europe and Western Siberia pass through it.

The economy of Greenland

The current economy of the island is very poor, i.e., insignificant, because the main economic activity of the islanders is limited to fishing, which is not as profitable as in the cases of Iceland or Norway. It is mainly about catching cod, whale, seal, walrus, and, on the mainland, bear hunting for fur. A small number of sheep and goats are raised on the island, while vegetables and potatoes are grown sparingly in the southern coastal belt.

However, the island is rich in certain natural minerals. There are deposits of cryolite, copper, lead, graphite, and uranium. Greenland has the largest mines of cryolite in the world, which is used in the aluminum industry. Cryolite ore is mined in the southwestern part of the island and exported. Graphite and coal are mined in smaller quantities, while lead and zinc ores have been exploited since 1956. It is claimed that there are large quantities of oil and especially natural gas in the depths of the island. In this context, Greenland can be considered a part of the Arctic that has been proven to lie on huge reserves of natural gas and probably other energy sources, which would be the main reason for the international race for the largest island in the world.

Population and Constitution


The indigenous population of Greenland is of Inuit origin, who have settled mainly in its southern (more domesticated) part along the coast. There are a small number of ethnic Danes as well as US citizens who are stationed at US military bases, especially at the large Tula naval and air base on the northwestern coast of the island. The capital of Greenland is Gothop/Nuuk, which in 1965 had a population of almost 4,000 but today has almost 20,000. It is also the northernmost capital city in the world.

Greenland is, according to the Constitution of the Kingdom of Denmark of June 5th, 1953, an integral province of the Kingdom of Denmark with special autonomy (the same as the Faroe Islands) since 2009. Greenland has its own separate (autonomous) flag and local administration. The island sends two representatives to the Parliament of the Kingdom of Denmark. The executive power on the island is exercised by the Landsråt (Country Council), which consists of 13 members elected from among the inhabitants of Greenland. The President of the Landsråt is appointed by the Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Denmark.

Short history of the island


The island was discovered in 982 by the Vikings, and after that, the southwestern coast of Greenland was settled by the Normans (Vikings), but their settlements later disappeared. New settlements from Europe began at the end of the 18th century. The settlements in southern Greenland came under the rule of the Kingdom of Denmark in 1814, and the entire island was annexed to it in 1921. When the Germans occupied Denmark on April 9th, 1940, by decision of US President F. D. Roosevelt, military units of the US Army landed on Greenland, where they remained throughout World War II, and to this day.

Denmark is one of the 12 founding members of the NATO pact in 1949, as is the US. The United States has built the Thule air and naval base in the northwestern part of the island and the Narssarssuaq air base in the southern part. By a mutual defense agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark of April 27th, 1951, the United States was granted the right to use these two military bases, which also serve as air traffic. East of Thule, a nuclear power plant was built by the United States in an agreement with Denmark, and a long-range air intelligence radar system was also built, which is linked to the northern parts of Canada. In other words, the capital military-economic infrastructure of the island is built up by the USA, not by Denmark.

The Future of the “Greenland Question“


Realistically, the US will certainly take over Greenland from Denmark, the only question is whether by July 4th or by the November 3rd, 2026, US elections. There are two practical scenarios for this takeover:


1) Either by using soft power, i.e., bribery, purchases, political blackmail, and/or economic sanctions;

2) Or by using hard power, i.e., direct military intervention or occupation and annexation of the island under the excuse of security or whatever geopolitical reasons.


The first option involves pro-American propaganda among the inhabitants of Greenland, who number as many as the inhabitants of one major street in New York. They will be promised a better future and life within the United States, and especially a higher standard of living. The Americans will promise large investments in the exploitation of mineral and other natural resources on the island, from which the inhabitants of Greenland will directly benefit, which was by no means the case while Greenland was under Danish rule, because it is well known that the Danish authorities did not invest much in the economy of Greenland.

The island is, by the way, one of the poorest regions of the European Union in terms of infrastructure, economy, and living standards. Therefore, it will not be very difficult for the Trump administration to indoctrinate the majority of the island’s inhabitants and bribe them with economic propaganda, especially if we know that there is already a solid pro-American core in Greenland. After its propaganda work, the soft power would end with a general vote on the island for its independence, which would be declared with all possible electoral manipulations under the supervision of the “international (pro-American) community”. Therefore, the transition of Greenland from Denmark to the US administration would take place according to formally “democratic” principles. The amount of money that Denmark would receive from the US for this “democratic” transition from Denmark to the US will probably never be known.

Let us not forget that Trump has already threatened European countries that oppose his policy of annexing Greenland with the introduction of tariffs of 10% to begin with, and if the countries in question do not collaborate, successively higher and higher tariffs on the export of their goods to the US market. This moment is extremely important because the governments of European countries will have a strong argument before their citizens as to why they are not more resolutely defending the territorial integrity of Denmark. Such blackmail is an extreme variant of the application of soft power.

The second scenario involves the direct use of military force in Greenland, which would be formally justified by security reasons. For the US to “occupy” the island, they would need one destroyer and one battalion of Marines, just in case. There are already two US military bases on the island anyway. In the event of an American landing on the island, the “international community” would not take any concrete action, and the protests would be reduced to a boring repetition of the story about the violation of “international law”.

Let us recall that the USA has a long tradition of military aggression against other states that violate this right, totaling around 22 or 33 since 1945, including directly instigating coups d’état and military coups. A classic example is the military occupation of the independent island state in the Caribbean Sea – Grenada, in October 1983, under the administration of President Ronald Reagan, under whose administration the President of Panama, General Manuel Noriega, was kidnapped in 1989 (anyway, a long-time CIA collaborator).

The “international community” has not taken any concrete action against the Israeli genocide in Gaza or the kidnapping of Venezuelan President Maduro, and it will not do so in the case of the military occupation of Greenland. Only Denmark will protest for a while, but it will soon calm down. Great Britain, Poland, and the Baltic states will probably give direct support to the occupation, while the EU and NATO bureaucracy will try to cover up the whole matter as soon as possible in order to consolidate their members against their main enemy – “aggressor” Russia.

The current deployment of bizarre EU/NATO military troops to Greenland is primarily an unproductive demonstration of “force” against the “Russian and Chinese occupation” of the island, not a “force” to contain the US real occupation of Greenland. The threats by Washington and Paris to leave NATO are of the nature of diplomatic bickering, i.e., moving the ball from one court to another. It is clear to anyone who understands even a little about international relations that these are primarily empty phrases and empty rhetoric aimed at scoring political points on both sides, primarily against Russia.

The price of transfer (?) and possible consequences in international relations

According to estimates by some Western experts, and as reported by the American television NBC TV Network, the value of Greenland today is up to $ 700 billion, including its geopolitical position. The interest of the United States to simply buy the island for cash dates back to 1946, when US President Harry Truman offered $ 100 million in gold for it. However, this information was not learned until 1991. For comparison, in 1999, the American CIA estimated the total value of the southern province of Serbia, Kosovo, at $ 500 billion.

In essence, at least from a military and geopolitical perspective, the transfer of Greenland to the US will not fundamentally change anything, as the island has been de facto under US control since June 1940, and the complete transfer of the island from Danish to US hands would be an insignificant operation within the framework of the NATO pact.

The only question is, who is next in line to be occupied for the sake of US national security?

 There are many candidates: Colombia, Mexico, Iran, etc. For now, the Trump administration is promoting the implementation of the “Monroe Doctrine” from 1823 – “America, for the Americans”, i.e., that the entire Western (American) Hemisphere falls under US rule. It is clear that if this regional project of American imperialism is realized, it is only a matter of days in the context of the implementation of the global MAGA project, when American imperialism will move to the Eastern Hemisphere, where it also has a larger number of solid military-political strongholds (especially around Iran).

Finally, in this whole policy of transferring Greenland to the US, the biggest real winners will be China and Russia, and the only loser, along with Denmark, will be the European Union. The diplomatic moves of Beijing and Moscow on this issue clearly indicate that they are de facto staying on the sidelines, with the US award to Russia likely being a solution to the “Ukrainian Question” according to the Russian will, while the award to China remains a secret, as in many other similar cases so far.Personal disclaimer: The author writes for this publication in a private capacity, which is unrepresentative of anyone or any organization except for his own personal views. Nothing written by the author should ever be conflated with the editorial views or official positions of any other media outlet or institution. The author of the text does not have any moral, political, scientific, material, or legal responsibility for the views expressed in the article.

Dr. Vladislav B. Sotirovic is an ex-university professor and a Research Fellow at the Center for Geostrategic Studies in Belgrade, Serbia.


Trump Taking Greenland Would Be the End of NATO – senior analyst

The US president’s push to acquire the island follows a “long and complex historical tradition of American territorial expansion,” Mats Nilsson has told RT

Trump taking Greenland would be ‘nail in NATO’s coffin’ – senior analyst
Protesters on City Square during a protest in support of Greenland on January 17, 2026 in Copenhagen, Denmark. © Martin Sylvest Andersen/Getty Images

US President Donald Trump’s acquisition of Greenland without Denmark’s consent would have far-reaching consequences for NATO itself, Mats Nilsson, a senior analyst at the Dissident Club, told RT on Sunday.

“It would be another nail in NATO’s coffin,” he warned. “If the United States were to grab Greenland against the wishes of Denmark, the idea of a united NATO would effectively collapse.”

Nilsson argued that Trump’s renewed push to acquire Greenland follows a “long and complex historical tradition of American territorial expansion,” rooted in the ideology of ‘manifest destiny’ and imperial thinking.

He stressed, however, that such thinking is fundamentally incompatible with modern international law.

Trump’s actions were legally very incoherent and very political, naive for today’s setting. It might have worked well in the 19th century and early 20th century, but since the mid-20th century, territorial sovereignty is inseparable from the will of the people who inhabit it.

According to Nilsson, any change in Greenland’s status “can only legally come from a process led and approved by the Greenlandic people themselves, not from a bilateral sale or purchase by the United States.”

Over the last weeks, Trump has once again declared that Washington would obtain the territory “the easy way” or “the hard way,” insisting the US needs Greenland for “national security.” On Saturday, he also announced tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Finland, saying the measures would remain in place until a “complete and total purchase” of the Arctic island is achieved.

European NATO members have largely refrained from direct public confrontation, but behind the scenes, resistance is mounting. This week, Denmark, which retains responsibility for Greenland’s foreign and defense policy, coordinated with several allies to send small contingents of troops to the island ahead of the bloc’s Arctic Endurance exercises.

Both Danish and Greenlandic authorities have rejected any prospect of ceding the island, insisting that its future must be decided by its people, who voted in 2008 to retain autonomous status within the Kingdom of Denmark.

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