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Friday, August 14, 2026

A New Axis In Middle East: Reading The New Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani Defence Pact – Analysis


Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, and Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif meet during the signing of the trilateral defense agreement in Mecca, Saudi Arabia, on Aug. 7. MURAT CETINMUHURDAR/TURKEY'S PRESIDENTIAL PRESS SERVICE




Key Takeaways

On August 7, 2026, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye signed the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, establishing that an attack on any one signatory would be treated as an attack on all and committing the three countries to deeper defence cooperation, interoperability and collective responses decided by consensus.

For Pakistan the pact extends its earlier bilateral mutual-defence arrangement with Saudi Arabia, reinforces long-standing military ties with both Riyadh and Ankara, and elevates Islamabad’s role as a security partner and
 mediator amid doubts about the reliability of the U.S. security umbrella in West Asia.

The agreement is presented as defensive and open to potential new members, yet it reflects a broader regional search for alternative security frameworks; India is watching closely given its strained relations with Türkiye and concerns over Pakistan’s growing integration into West Asian security architectures.

On August 7, 2026, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye signed the ‘Mecca Joint Defense Agreement’, also referred to as the Mecca Defence Accord, at the Makkah Al-Mukarrama summit in Saudi Arabia. The pact aims to build collective deterrence and enhance regional stability, while further consolidating defence cooperation among the three countries. Coming against the backdrop of the war between the United States and Iran and its regional fallout, the timing of the signing is widely read as a response by these states to the faltering US security umbrella in West Asia — even as all three signatories have stressed that talks on the pact had been under way for some time.

Pakistan’s Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif, described the agreement as an ‘extension’ of the ‘Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement’ signed with Saudi Arabia on 17 September 2025, which also included a collective security clause. The agreement’s significance for Pakistan is thus twofold: it positions the country as a beneficiary of the shifting regional order, embedding Islamabad further within the West Asian security architecture, while also giving it room to elevate its external standing.

The Contours of the Agreement

The agreement lays out two specific objectives. First, in what is seen as an echo of NATO’s Article 5 clause, the trilateral agreement calls for an attack on any one of the three signatories to be treated as an attack on all of them, inviting a collective response in line with the principles of collective deterrence set out in Article 51 of the UN Charter. The important aspect here is not the clause for collective security — which was also a key element of the 2025 pact between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan — but the subsequent response, based on discussion and consensus among all the signatories. The type of support offered would thus vary depending on the needs of the aggrieved partner, as the pact provides for general commitments rather than fixed obligations. This support could take the form of a military response, logistical support, intelligence sharing, or the provision of arms and ammunition.

Second is the pursuit of increased defence cooperation among the three countries, building on the long-standing defence partnership among them. The defence pact with Saudi Arabia has already solidified Islamabad’s partnership with the kingdom. Pakistan’s deployment of troops to Saudi Arabia, and its training of Saudi troops and personnel, has continued since the 1980s. In April, it deployed close to 8,000 troops, fighter jets and air defence systems to the Abdulaziz Air Base in Saudi Arabia. Riyadh has also been a major source of aid and assistance to Pakistan: in April 2026, it rolled over a US$3 billion deposit to the country, and in July 2026, it extended a separate US$5 billion facility for another three years.


Pakistan also enjoys a strong defence partnership with Ankara, which was Islamabad’s third-largest arms supplier between 2020 and 2024, providing Bayraktar TB-2 drones and aircraft electro-optical sensors, while also looking to expand the relationship through joint production of Turkey’s fifth-generation KAAN fighter jet programme. Pakistan also used Turkish drones during hostilities with India last year.

The agreement is also seen as creating new opportunities to improve integration between the armed forces of the three countries, with a focus on military interoperability, joint training, threat assessment, and the synergising of weapons and communications systems.

Following the signing, all three countries issued additional statements clarifying the pact’s terms and scope, with the emphasis falling on its defensive nature and the assurance that no country was being targeted. Saudi Arabia further clarified that the pact had no nuclear dimension, nor was it aimed at starting an arms race in the region. This addressed lingering echoes of the controversy that had followed the earlier defence pact with Riyadh, when a statement by Pakistan’s Defence Minister, Khawaja Asif, on Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal being made available to the kingdom, prompted Saudi officials to clarify that the agreement was purely a comprehensive military one. Pakistan’s status as a nuclear-armed state, however, continues to invite such assumptions. While Pakistan describes the new pact as an extension of the Saudi agreement, all three countries have stressed that it does not override any pre-existing bilateral or multilateral arrangements they hold with each other or with others.

Membership, too, was framed as flexible: Türkiye signalled the possible inclusion of Egypt, while Pakistan’s Foreign Minister, Ishaq Dar, clarified that any country aligning with the pact’s ‘fundamental principles’ could join. Though this leaves the actual criteria for admitting new members vague, it serves a clear purpose — to counter concerns that the pact might replace the US security umbrella with an alternative, or that the grouping is a closed one with no room for others.

While the modalities of how the pact would take shape have remained out of public view, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan highlighted that its institutionalisation will be through the establishment of a political and military committee, which would include representation from the foreign and defence ministries of all signatories as well as their chiefs of staff.


Pakistan’s Balancing Act

Consistent with the fanfare that typically accompanies Pakistan’s signing of international agreements, both the symbolism of this pact and the context in which it took shape are seen to have given fresh momentum to Pakistan’s external standing. During the visit, Prime Minister Sharif was accompanied by Chief of Defence Forces Field Marshal Asim Munir, Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, and Defence Minister Khawaja Asif. In its statement celebrating the agreement, the civilian government credited the CDF’s role in bringing it to fruition, alongside the coordinated decision-making that led to its signing. Islamabad’s inclusion was also seen as a testament to its defence capabilities, with FM Dar reiterating that it aligns with the country’s foreign policy.

This foreign policy has played out in myriad ways over the past year. Following the crisis with India, and the military’s consolidation of control over the civilian government, Pakistan has leaned on the post-crisis victory narrative — raising its expectations of how it wants to be perceived in the world. Even as the country continues to grapple internally with acute security and economic challenges, with political stability also under scrutiny, both the warm reception given by US President Donald Trump to Munir and the subsequent thaw in bilateral ties appear aimed at seeking legitimacy.

Since 28 February, when the war between Iran and the United States broke out, Pakistan has assumed the role of mediator, positioning itself as a stabiliser and security provider. Its inclusion in the Trump administration’s Board of Peace (BoP) for Gaza in January 2026, and its subsequent hosting of talks in April between Tehran and Washington, are both seen as examples of its growing mediatory role. It is also one of thirteen countries that are part of the Saudi-proposed multinational maritime defence coalition to protect shipping and energy routes in the Red Sea. While the US-Pakistan relationship has seen its regular ups and downs since Pakistan’s founding, it was the signing of the defence pact with Saudi Arabia that reignited conversations about Pakistan’s strategic importance to the region.

The Gulf countries’ growing exasperation with Washington’s inability to protect their interests in the region, coupled with the closely coordinated US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, has dented their confidence in American security guarantees. While this is also the gradual culmination of grievances accumulated over the last few decades, the most recent crises to have upended the region have made the search for alternative safety valves far more urgent. It is in this context that Pakistan’s importance to the region’s countries comes into sharper focus.

If the Saudi-Pakistan pact offers any insight into how this new agreement will pan out, it has more to do with institutionalising what already existed and signalling intent, rather than creating something entirely new. The coming together of these countries reflects a reshaping of the region’s security architecture, with countries exploring ways to supplement US security support with alternative frameworks that give them greater agency over outcomes. While officials downplayed the pact as a response to the US-Iran war, the fallout of the war — particularly its toll on the interests and assets of Washington’s Gulf partners — nonetheless accelerated its signing.

New Delhi is closely watching these developments, mindful of its national interests. While ties between New Delhi and Riyadh remain strong, its bilateral relationship with Ankara has deteriorated. The latest round of hostilities between India and Pakistan in May 2025, coupled with the Pakistani military’s increasing hold over the country’s security and foreign policy, shows that India will need to stay attentive to developments in its western neighbourhood. In that context, Pakistan’s growing inclusion in West Asia’s regional architectures will be a cause for concern for India.

About the author: Shivam Shekhawat is a Junior Fellow with the Strategic Studies Programme at the Observer Research Foundation.

Source: This article was published by the Observer Research Foundation.


About Observer Research Foundation
ORF was established on 5 September 1990 as a private, not for profit, ’think tank’ to influence public policy formulation. The Foundation brought together, for the first time, leading Indian economists and policymakers to present An Agenda for Economic Reforms in India. The idea was to help develop a consensus in favour of economic reforms.
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Thursday, August 13, 2026

World Nuclear News


US, EU bodies report on nuclear fuel market situation



Canada, closely followed by Kazakhstan, remained the largest source of uranium delivered to utilities in both the USA and Europe in 2025, according to recently published annual market reports from the Euratom Supply Agency and the US Energy Information Administration.
 
(Image: Cameco)

Owners and operators of US civilian nuclear power reactors purchased a total of 46.9 million pounds U3O8e (18,040 tU) of deliveries from US and foreign suppliers during 2025, 16% less than the 55.9 million pounds purchased in 2024, according to the latest edition of the US Energy Information Administration's Uranium Marketing Annual Report. (The unit used in the report, U3O8e, stands for U3O8 equivalent, representing uranium concentrate (U3O8) and the equivalent uranium component of uranium hexafluoride and enriched uranium).

Canada remained the top source of US deliveries (32%), followed closely by Kazakhstan (28%) and Australia (15%), with material from Uzbekistan accounting for 7% of total deliveries, and Namibia 4% of total deliveries. Uranium was also imported from Malawi and Niger. US material accounted for 7% of total deliveries in 2025, down from 8% in 2024. Although Russian-origin material accounted for 2,301 million pounds U3O8 of 2024 deliveries, data on any deliveries of Russian-origin material in 2025 has been withheld to avoid disclosure of individual company data. Several other countries are also marked as "withheld" in the publication. 

The year saw 32 million pounds U3O8e of natural uranium feed delivered on behalf of US nuclear power plant owners and operators to uranium enrichers at home and overseas, of which 37% went to domestic enrichers with the remaining 63% going to enrichment suppliers in France (5.5 million pounds U3O8e) and Russia (2.4 million pounds U3O8e).

The Energy Information Administration is a statistical and analytical agency within the US Department of Energy.

EU continues to diversify supply

Canada and Kazakhstan were also the top suppliers to the EU in 2025, according to the Euratom Supply Agency's 2025 annual report which was released in early July. Four countries provided over 83% of all deliveries to the EU and six countries provided over 98% of all-natural uranium supplied to the bloc. Unlike the US report, however, Russian deliveries played a significant part, with 2,346 tU of Russian-origin deliveries accounting for 15.98% of the total.

All of the EU's demand for fresh uranium is covered by imports from countries outside the bloc, and is therefore subject to geopolitical developments and related trade policy implications, the report notes. The Agency has a central role in ensuring the supply of nuclear materials for all EU users. 

"One key area of attention is diversification," the Agency's Director General Michael Hübel said in his foreword to the report. "Addressing the remaining dependencies from Russia - in line with the Commission's Roadmap towards ending Russian energy imports - is a key priority in this respect. But the task is more challenging - as nuclear demand grows in Europe there needs to be emphasis on a safe and secure supply chain, enabling nuclear energy to play its role as homegrown energy to the full."

In May 2025 the European Commission published the REPowerEU roadmap to end EU dependency on Russian energy by stopping the import of Russian gas and oil and phasing out Russian nuclear energy. This includes diversifying the source of supply of nuclear fuel for Russian-designed VVER reactors, which operate in several EU countries.

According to the Agency, "significant progress" was made during the year in this respect. "By the end of 2025, all EU operators of VVER reactors had secured alternative fuel supply contracts from non-Russian suppliers, strengthening long-term security of supply," the report says.

Australian reactor marks 20 years of operations 



Australia's nuclear science and technology organisation ANSTO is marking 20 years of operations for its multi-purpose nuclear reactor at Lucas Heights in southern Sydney.
 
The OPAL reactor building (Image: ANSTO)

OPAL - for Open Pool Australian Lightwater reactor - reached first criticality on 12 August 2006. Since then, it has supported the production of more than 10 million lifesaving nuclear medicine doses, irradiated over 900 tonnes of silicon ingots and created neutrons essential for enabling 8,000 cutting-edge scientific experiments, ANSTO said.

The 20 MW reactor officially opened in 2007 - here's how WNN reported it at the time. It replaced the HIFAR research reactor which operated from 1958 to 2007. Construction began in 2002, taking just four years to complete. The reactor was designed, constructed and commissioned by Argentinian nuclear technology company INVAP, alongside Australian alliance partners John Holland Construction and Engineering and Evans Deakin Industries Limited. More than 500 people were employed on site at the peak of construction, making it one of the most complex construction projects ever undertaken at the Lucas Heights campus.


Flashback: OPAL's pool is craned in during the construction phase (2002-2004) (Image: ANSTO)

OPAL does not generate electricity: nuclear power reactors are currently prohibited in Australia under federal and state-level legislation. The unit is a research reactor which produces neutrons for scientific, medical and industrial uses. Beams of neutrons produced by the reactor are guided to a suite of sophisticated scientific instruments at the Australian Centre for Neutron Scattering for research in a vast array of scientific disciplines and industry applications including medicine, food, engineering and construction, mining, advanced technologies, energy materials, palaeontology, cultural heritage items, planetary and space studies.

The reactor is also used for irradiation activities, including the production of radioisotopes - including molybdenum-99, the precursor of technetium 99m, one of the most commonly used medical diagnostic radioisotopes. It also carries out the irradiation of silicon to produce specialised material for use in semiconductors. 


A view of OPAL's pool from the bridge: targets for irradiation can be lowered from the bridge into the pool (Image: ANSTO)

ANSTO CEO Shaun Jenkinson said for twenty years, OPAL has arguably been Australia's most significant piece of scientific infrastructure.

"OPAL underpins Australia's enduring nuclear capability, sustaining the expertise, infrastructure and international confidence needed in a changing strategic environment," he said. "It is one of the clearest examples of how nuclear science directly improves lives."

"Every Australian will, on average, require two nuclear medicine procedures in their lifetime. If you or a loved one has undergone a diagnostic imaging scan such as a SPECT scan, it is highly likely the nuclear medicine administered came from Lucas Heights," he added.

"Similarly, if you drive an electric or hybrid vehicle, or have caught a high-speed train overseas, there is a very good chance that a small component of that technology is able to function because of OPAL."

As well as being a major employer in the southern Sydney area, OPAL remains a nationally important asset, supporting sovereign expertise, training the next generation of nuclear specialists, and demonstrating the value of sustained investment in nuclear science and technology, he said. It also has a "crucial role in the training and development of Australia's growing nuclear workforce, including for future national priorities such as AUKUS." AUKUS is the 2021 trilateral partnership between Australia, the UK and the USA under which Australia is set to acquire nuclear-powered submarines.

Construction of Bailong 2 conventional island begins



The first concrete pour has been completed for the basemat of the conventional island of unit 2 at the Bailong nuclear power plant in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region of southern China, State Power Investment Corporation announced.
 
(Image: CNNC)

The basement slab of the conventional island - also called the turbine island - of unit 2 adopts an integral raft foundation, which is divided into nine construction zones and constructed using the 'skip-pour' method. Concrete pouring  in the area known as Zone 1 started on the evening of 7 August and was completed on the morning of 9 August.  A total of 1,732 cubic metres of concrete was poured during the process, which involved 38 hours and 46 minutes of continuous work.

"During the pouring operations, the project team closely monitored process standards, continuously strengthened supervision and control throughout the entire process, and built a solid safety and quality defence line to ensure the safe and high-quality implementation of the conventional island first concrete pouring," SPIC said.


(Image: CNNC)

"The completion of the conventional island first concrete pouring of unit 2 is a crucial engineering milestone in the construction of the Bailong Nuclear Power Project," the company added. "It lays a solid foundation for the subsequent construction of the turbine foundation and basement sidewalls, and provides strong support for the overall efficient progress of the project."

The construction of Phase I (units 1 and 2) of the Bailong plant was among approvals for 11 new reactors granted by China's State Council in August 2024. SPIC plans to build two CAP1000 pressurised water reactors - the Chinese version of the Westinghouse AP1000 - as the first phase of the plant. An investment of about CNY40 billion (USD5.6 billion) is planned for the two units, which are expected to take 56 months to construct.


(Image: SPIC)

Excavation work for the foundation pit of the nuclear island for unit 1 began in late December 2024. SPIC subsidiary Shanghai Nuclear Engineering Research & Design Institute (SNERDI) - joint general contractor for the project - announced it poured the first concrete on 22 December 2025. The company said a total of 6,662 cubic metres of concrete was poured in a process lasting just over 64 hours.

Located on Jiangshan Peninsula in Fangchenggang City, Guangxi Province, the Bailong plant is planned to have six units, with a total installed capacity of 8.62 GWe and a total investment of approximately CNY120 billion. The first phase of the project adopts the CAP1000 design, with each unit having a capacity of 1.25 GW. Four larger CAP1400 reactors are also proposed to be built at the site - located about 24 kilometres from the border with Vietnam and about 30 kilometres southwest of China General Nuclear's Fangchenggang nuclear power plant - in later phases.

After the first phase of the project is completed and put into operation, it is expected to generate about 20 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity per year, which is equivalent to reducing standard coal consumption by about 6 million tonnes and carbon dioxide emissions by about 16 million tonnes per year.

First fuel loaded into Tianwan unit 7



The initial loading of fuel assemblies into the core of unit 7 of the Tianwan nuclear power plant has begun. It is the first of two Russian-designed VVER-1200 reactors under construction at the site in China's Jiangsu province.
 
Tianwan units 7 and 8 (Image: CNNC)

The first of 163 nuclear fuel assemblies was loaded into the reactor on 12 August, China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) announced.

Russian state nuclear corporation Rosatom supplied fuel for the initial loading for Tianwan unit 7 in January. The fuel was manufactured at the Novosibirsk Chemical Concentrates Plant and is part of the contract for units 7 and 8 at the plant.

CNNC said the start of fuel loading "lays a solid foundation for the subsequent reactor criticality and commercial operation".

The background

In June 2018, Russia and China signed agreements for the construction of two VVER-1200 reactors as units 7 and 8 of the Tianwan plant. Construction of unit 7 began in May 2021, with that of unit 8 starting in February 2022. The units are scheduled to be put into commercial operation in 2026 and 2027, respectively.

The Tianwan nuclear power plant is owned and operated by Jiangsu Nuclear Power Company, a joint venture between CNNC (50%), China Power Investment Corporation (30%) and Jiangsu Guoxin Group (20%).

The first four units at the Tianwan site - which began commercial operation between June 2007 and December 2018 - are Gidropress VVER units supplied by Russia. Units 5 and 6 both feature Chinese ACPR1000 reactors.

In January, CNNC announced that hot tests - which simulate the temperatures and pressures the reactor systems will be subjected to during normal operation - had been completed at unit 7 on 30 December. Cold tests - which verify the leak-tightness of the primary circuit and components - were completed at unit 8 earlier this month.

According to the project construction plan, Tianwan units 7 and 8 are scheduled to be put into commercial operation in 2026 and 2027, respectively.

Once all units at the Tianwan plant are operational, the total installed capacity will exceed 9 GWe, with an annual power generation of over 70 TWh, reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 57.4 million tonnes annually.

Upgrading of Loviisa turbine island begins



Finnish utility Fortum has begun a major modernisation of the turbine island at its Loviisa nuclear power plant, a project that will increase the electricity output of the plant and ensure its continued operation until 2050.
 
(Image: Fortum)

Loviisa - comprising two VVER-440 type pressurised water reactors - was the first nuclear power plant in Finland and currently provides more than 10% of the country's electricity. Loviisa unit 1 began commercial operation in 1977, with unit 2 following in 1981. In February 2023, the Finnish government granted Fortum an extension to the operating licence for the two units, allowing the plant to continue generating power until the end of 2050.

The modernisation of the low-pressure turbines is the largest single project in the modernisation of Loviisa's turbine island. It involves renewing the housings and internal parts of the plant's eight low-pressure turbines. The goal of the renewal is to significantly improve the efficiency of the turbine plant, which will enable higher electricity production without increasing the thermal power of the reactor. The project is being delivered by the Czech company Doosan Škoda Power under a contract signed in May 2024.

A turbine automation upgrade will replace the turbine protection and control systems and related actuators of both plant units. Turbine automation plays a key role in the safe, reliable and efficient operation of the turbine plant, as it controls and monitors the operation of the turbines in all operating situations. The upgrade will update the systems to meet current technical requirements, which will improve their reliability, maintainability and availability of spare parts. In addition to the turbine automation, the generator auxiliary systems will be modernised, which will enhance the real-time monitoring and control of the systems from the control room. The turbine automation will be supplied by Finnish company Valmet.

The main seawater pumps are also being modernised as part of the turbine plant's cooling process. The main seawater pumps are responsible for circulating seawater to the condensers, where the steam leaving the turbines is cooled back to water and returned to the power plant process. Both plant units have four main seawater pumps in use. The current pumps and their motors are approaching the end of their technical service life, which is why they are being replaced as part of the power plant's long-term investment programme. The project is being delivered by Andritz from Austria.


Loviisa (Image: Fortum)

The modernisation programme - to be implemented in stages up to 2028 in connection with annual maintenance outages - will result in an increase in the total capacity of about 38 MWe from the plant's current capacity of 1,014 MWe and will raise the expected generation from plant over the course of the new licence period from 170 TWh to 177 TWh.

"The upgrades will ensure the turbines will operate reliably until the end of their service life," Fortum said. "Some of the current components are approaching the end of their technical service life, which will make their maintenance and spare parts availability more difficult in the coming years. At the same time, the operating environment has changed, and geopolitical factors have increased uncertainty regarding the support provided by some original equipment and system suppliers and the availability of spare parts. The modernisation will ensure that the power plant can safely and reliably utilise modern, long-term supported technologies."

Fortum invested about EUR70 million (USD81 million) last year in refurbishing the Loviisa plant. The company estimates that investments related to the continuation of operations and the lifetime extension will amount to about EUR1 billion by 2050.

Containment of first Egyptian unit takes shape



Concreting work on the fourth tier of the reactor building's inner containment at unit 1 of Egypt's El Dabaa nuclear power plant has been completed, the Nuclear Power Plants Authority announced.
 
(Image: NPPA)

The Authority said concreting work continued non-stop for 30 hours, using five concrete pump trucks with boom distributors. About 80 specialists participated in the work during the day shift, another 80 during the night shift, and 20 people continued working around the clock to ensure the smooth operation of construction equipment and machinery.

The total volume of concrete poured was 1,608 cubic metres, and this work contributed to increasing the height of the reactor building from a level of 24.4 metres above ground to a level of 34.0 metres.

"The successful completion of the concreting work for the fourth tier of unit 1 is a new strategic step, reflecting the ongoing progress of the project, said Sherif Helmy, chairman of the NPPA board of directors. "This achievement is the result of fruitful cooperation and full coordination between all work teams of the Nuclear Power Plants Authority, the project's customer and operator, and Atomstroyexport JSC, the project's general contractor."

Alexey Zhukov, First Vice President of ASE JSC and President for NPP Construction, added: "The completion of the installation of the fourth tier of the El Dabaa NPP reactor building's internal containment vessel marks a new, important milestone in the construction of unit 1 and reflects the high level of professionalism and dedication of the entire project team. By mid-August, we plan to begin work on installing the fifth tier, which will subsequently serve as a support for the polar crane."

Background

El Dabaa will be Egypt's first nuclear power plant, and the first in Africa since South Africa's Koeberg was built nearly 40 years ago. The Rosatom-led project, about 320 kilometres north-west of Cairo, will comprise four VVER-1200 units, like those already in operation at the Leningrad and Novovoronezh nuclear power plants in Russia, and the Ostrovets plant in Belarus.

VVER-1200 reactors have two containment buildings - an inner one and an outer one - which provide extra safety and protection from external impacts.

Under the 2017 contracts, Rosatom will not only build the plant, but will also supply Russian nuclear fuel for its entire life cycle, including building a storage facility and supplying containers for storing used nuclear fuel. It will also assist Egyptian partners in training personnel and plant maintenance for the first 10 years of its operation. Rosatom has said it is aiming for a future service life of up to 100 years for nuclear power plants.

The four units are being built almost concurrently, with first concrete at unit 1 in July 2022, followed in turn by the others, concluding with first concrete at unit 4 in January 2024. Egypt's aim is for 9% of electricity to be generated by nuclear by 2030, which would be achieved by the commercial operation of the first two units by that time, directly displacing oil and gas.

Monday, August 10, 2026

 Russia’s War Against Ukraine: Diplomatic Talks And U.S. Policy – Analysis



Map of Ukraine. Source: CRS, using data from the Institute for the Study of War and the American Enterprise Institute Critical Threats Project, Global Administrative Areas



August 10, 2026
the Congressional Research Service (CRS).
By Andrew S. Bowen and Cory Welt



Key Takeaways:

More than four years into Russia’s full-scale invasion, neither side appears close to a decisive military victory; formal U.S.-mediated peace talks have stalled since February 2026 amid the Iran conflict, with limited prospects for an immediate resumption.

The Trump Administration continues security assistance to Ukraine at reduced levels, largely through NATO-funded procurement of U.S. equipment, while maintaining most sanctions on Russia (with temporary oil-related relief earlier in 2026) and exploring limited defense-industrial cooperation.

Congress is weighing continued support, potential new sanctions legislation, and the costs and benefits of further U.S. mediation, including implications for NATO relations and long-term European security guarantees for Ukraine.


The Russian Federation (Russia) launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. More than four years later, Russia and Ukraine remain engaged in Europe’s largest war since World War II. With estimates of up to 2 million or more killed or wounded, and with Russia controlling about 20% of Ukraine’s territory, neither side appears poised to achieve a decisive military victory. In 2026, Ukrainian forces have limited—and in some cases reversed—Russian gains and markedly expanded a campaign of long-range attacks against Russian oil facilities and logistics infrastructure.

The second Trump Administration has engaged in efforts to facilitate an end to the Russia-Ukraine war. Formal negotiations were last held in February 2026; whether negotiations will resume—and, if so, when—is uncertain. Members of Congress may evaluate the prospects for, and potential costs and benefits of, continued U.S. mediation between Russia and Ukraine, including implications for U.S. strategic interests.

Aspects of Negotiations

Building on discussions in 2025, Russian, Ukrainian, and U.S. officials met for the first time in a trilateral format in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, in January 2026. Two rounds of U.S.-mediated talks followed, but formal peace talks have not resumed since U.S.-Israeli military operations against Iran began in late February 2026.

In an August 2025 meeting with President Trump in Anchorage, AK, Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly proposed a ceasefire along the line of contact in two of Ukraine’s southern regions, if Ukraine transferred populated areas of its eastern Donetsk region to Russia. This proposal appeared to be included as an element of subsequent talks, but Ukrainian authorities rejected it, maintaining (among other reasons) that the transfer of this heavily fortified “fortress belt” would greatly diminish Ukraine’s ability to defend itself from further Russian aggression.

In May 2026 remarks to the press, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Russia-Ukraine talks had not been “fruitful” and the Trump Administration was “not interested in getting involved in an endless cycle of meetings that lead to nothing.” In July 2026, Secretary Rubio referred to the “failed” efforts that began in Anchorage but said “if the opportunity presents itself and the conditions are right,” the United States was “prepared to offer some [new ideas] in the right setting and forum.”

In June 2026, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky proposed meeting with President Putin in a neutral country to kickstart negotiations and called for “a full ceasefire for the duration of the negotiations.” President Putin reportedly rejected the proposal and suggested Russia would continue fighting until it achieved its stated goals.

Security Cooperation. The Trump Administration has announced new security assistance for Ukraine, at levels lower than from FY2022 to FY2024, while continuing to provide certain previously committed assistance. In 2025, the United States and NATO allies launched the Prioritized Ukraine Requirements List (PURL) initiative, whereby NATO allies fund procurement of U.S. defense articles for Ukraine. As of July 2026, NATO allies and partners had contributed more than $6 billion in PURL-related assistance. Some NATO and European officials reportedly have expressed concern that U.S. military operations against Iran could lead to procurement shortages and delays that may affect assistance to Ukraine. Ukrainian officials state they are running low on air defense munitions to intercept Russian ballistic and hypersonic missiles.

Ukraine has concluded some, and is seeking more, joint production and defense agreements and has removed barriers to exporting surplus defense production. Some reports indicate U.S. and Ukrainian officials are exploring ways to improve defense industry cooperation. In July 2026, President Trump indicated the United States was considering options to allow Ukraine to coproduce Patriot missiles but subsequently noted this would be a “big step” and “we have to be very careful.”

Ukrainian officials have sought guarantees against further Russian aggression, including through the deployment of Western peacekeeping forces and closer integration with NATO and the European Union. President Trump and other Administration officials have expressed the view that NATO membership for Ukraine is unrealistic while indicating support for the provision of some kind of European-led security guarantees, potentially with U.S. involvement.

U.S. Sanctions Against Russia. The Trump Administration generally has maintained previously established U.S. sanctions on Russia. The U.S. Department of the Treasury listed some new entities for sanctions, most notably two of Russia’s largest oil companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, and several subsidiaries. After the start of U.S.-Israeli military operations against Iran, the Treasury Department, to help stabilize oil markets, issued a series of general licenses temporarily relaxing sanctions on certain Russian oil exports. The last of these licenses expired on June 17, 2026, and was not renewed.


Prisoners, Detainees, and Forcibly Transferred Populations. Talks have addressed the exchange of prisoners of war, the remains of deceased persons, and the release of Ukrainian civilian detainees and forcibly transferred populations, including children.


Potential Considerations for Congress

Members of Congress may assess the costs and benefits of potential outcomes of U.S.-mediated negotiations and the likelihood of a sustainable ceasefire or peace agreement. Members may evaluate the potential impact of negotiations on other U.S. policy interests, including relations with NATO allies.

The Trump Administration and Congress may assess whether and on what terms to provide continued support to Ukraine alongside U.S. allies. For FY2026 and FY2027, Congress authorized $400 million annually in security assistance for Ukraine (P.L. 119-60, §1243); for FY2026, Congress appropriated $400 million in European capacity building, to include Ukraine (P.L. 119-75, Division A). On June 4, 2026, the House of Representatives passed the Ukraine Support Act (H.R. 2913), by a vote of 226-195, following a discharge process on a special rule that provided for the bill’s consideration.

On August 7, 2026, the Senate passed (by a vote of 86-11) a revised version of a sanctions bill first introduced in 2025, now titled the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026 (S.Amdt. 6711 to H.R. 5334). This bill would reinforce existing sanctions authorities, authorize tariffs against Russia and third countries that import certain Russian products, and expand congressional oversight of most Russia sanctions imposed since 2022.

About the authors:

Andrew S. Bowen, Analyst in Russian and European Affairs

Cory Welt, Specialist in Russian and European Affairs

Source: This article was published by the Congressional Research Service (CRS).


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By Magnus Lund Nielsen

Key Takeaways:

  • Poland’s government has rejected as “absurd” and populist an opposition PiS proposal to deport military-age Ukrainian men who are not legally employed, noting that more than 90% of them already work and that many others are wounded soldiers or carers.
  • PiS has pledged to create deportation centres and a central register of foreigners if it returns to power, framing the policy as enabling these men to “fight for their homeland.”
  • The party is simultaneously dealing with internal splits, including former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki’s departure to form a new movement, amid declining poll numbers.

(EurActiv) — Poland’s government has dismissed as unworkable an opposition proposal to deport military-age Ukrainian men who are not legally employed, describing it as an attempt to win over far-right voters.

“These plans are pure absurdity and populism,” an interior ministry spokesperson said on Saturday.

Deputy Interior Minister Maciej Duszczyk said on Friday that more than 90% of military-age Ukrainian men living in Poland were employed. Those outside the labour market include wounded Ukrainian soldiers receiving rehabilitation and parents caring for disabled children, he said.

On Thursday, Poland’s right-wing Law and Justice party (PiS) pledged to deport Ukrainian men of military age who are not legally employed if it returns to government after next year’s parliamentary election.

One of PiS’ first major decisions would be to deport Ukrainian men aged 25-60 who lack legal employment in Poland, deputy leader and MEP Tobiasz Bocheński announced at a party conference on Thursday.

“They will have the opportunity to fight for their homeland,” Bocheński said, according to local news media, Polsat News. 

PiS is proposing dedicated deportation centres and a central register of foreign nationals, under which failure to meet administrative obligations could initiate deportation proceedings. The proposal would also cover Ukrainians working in the informal economy.

Separately, the EU plans to deny temporary protection to newly arriving military-age Ukrainian men (who are barred from leaving Ukraine under Ukrainian law), while extending the scheme for other Ukrainians until March 2028.

A party divided

PiS – part of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) group in the European Parliament, which also includes Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy – has been shaken by internal divisions in recent months.

In late July, Mateusz Morawiecki, former Polish prime minster during the last PiS-government, splitfrom the party to create his own movement, Rozwój Plus.

Tensions escalated after the PiS leadership named a eurosceptic candidate for prime minister in next year’s election.

“Of course, we have to confront Brussels’ bureaucratic excesses and absurdities, but Poland’s membership of the European Union brings many benefits,” he said.

Recent polling puts Rozwój Plus at around 8% support in a parliamentary election. PiS is polling at 18%, down from 35% at the 2023 parliamentary election.

Only ‘About 15 Percent’ Of Orthodox Priests In Russia Support Putin’s War – OpEd





August 10, 2026
By Paul Goble


Many assume that Moscow Patriarch Kirill’s regular statements of support for Putin’s war in Ukraine set t
he weather for Orthodox priests and laiety in the Russain Federation, Nikolay Mitrokhin says; but that is not the case: Indeed, “only about 15 percent” of Orthodox priests there actively support the expanded Russian invasion.

Kirill’s delarations, the scholar at the University of Bremen says, are not so much directed at the priests and believers to get them to accept his position – in Orthodoxy, even a patriarch doesn’t have that right – as a sign to the Kremlin that the Patriarchate as such is loyal to Putin (vot-tak.tv/94741767/rpc-voyna).

Mitrokhin notes that “Patriarch Kirill is often perceived by analogy with the Pope or Ayatollah Khomeini – as a figure whose words automatically encourage believers to act. However, in Orthodoxy in general and in the ROC in particular, there is no direct connection between the rhetoric of the top leadership and the behavior of ordinary laity.”

Kirill’s words, he points out, “are addressed primarily to the state power, as a demonstration of loyalty. Their practice influence ends at the church pulpit where the speech was made and the real administrative powers of the patriarch are limited to the boundaries of the Moscow diocese alone,” where Kirill is bishop.

Most priests avoid talking about the war to avoid sparking conflicts within their parishes, and the Patriarchate does not encourage them to travel to Ukraine or to serve in the ranks of the Russian army. It decided on that course when priests who did early in the expanded war began to die, forcing the Patriarchate to take a public position it preferred not do so, Mitrokhin says.

Few Russian parishes are enthusiastic about the war or actively involved in getting people to serve there either from their own faithful or more generally, although many more are quite prepared to collect money and goods for humanitarian assistance, something they see as a Christian duty but not an indication of support for Putin’s political goals.


Russia could use nuclear weapons as “last option” in face of expanding Ukraine war, warns Turkish foreign minister

Russia could use nuclear weapons as “last option” in face of expanding Ukraine war, warns Turkish foreign minister
“Everything that it was said could not happen is happening,” warned Fidan, reflecting on the course the war has taken since it ignited four and a half years ago. / Screenshot, Anadolu AgencyFacebook
By IntelliNews Turkey desk August 9, 2026

Turkey’s foreign minister has warned that an “expanding war of destruction” could cause Russia to use nuclear weapons as “the last option available to it”.

Hakan Fidan said that during a recent visit to Moscow, the Turkish delegation was close to raising the issue in talks with their counterparts because  the “public is now demanding such a thing.”

“We also told the Westerners of this [concern over nuclear use], and the Westerners know it,” Fidan added in an August 8 appearance on the Anadolu Editor’s Desk programme of Turkish official news service Anadolu Agency.

Warning that “everything that it was said could not happen [in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict] is happening”, Fidan observed that the war, which ignited in February 2022, had spread beyond the battlefield and was now having severe impacts inside Russia. It was, he said, expanding geographically and becoming more extensive in terms of targets and methods, and the international community must step in to stop the fighting.

“But where no one makes concessions, the war continues with growing violence until it creates its own area for concessions. Unfortunately, this is what we are witnessing,” he said.

Call for Black Sea attacks "moratorium"

During the discussion on the show, Fidan called for a “moratorium” on attacks by Russia and Ukraine in the Black Sea following a series of strikes on civilian ships there. “The conflict has spread across the whole Black Sea,” he said. “To begin with, they targeted the ports and the military ships. Now, they are attacking all commercial shipping without distinction,” he added, noting vessels belonging to Turkey or flying the Turkish flag were among those targeted.

Fidan added that it seemed the two sides in the war seem to be waiting until they have completely exhausted each other before embracing the mentality of “now let’s sit around a table and make peace”, and with another reference to Russia’s nuclear arsenal, he cautioned: “When this destruction, this attrition on the front, turns into attrition behind the front, the issue is no longer about whether you win or lose a war or a battle on a front; it becomes an issue of whether you exist as a nation. Then you use whatever last means you have at your disposal.”

Fidan also referred to how some parties believe ending the conflict under current conditions would cost them more than allowing it to continue. This, he said, was among the reasons they remain unwilling to bring the war to an end.

In June, Reuters reported that prominent Russian nationalist figures had publicly urged President Vladimir Putin to abandon diplomacy with the US and consider more drastic military measures, including the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons. Their calls came after a series of successful Ukrainian long-range strikes inside Russia.

Though a Nato member, Turkey, as a Black Sea neighbour of both Ukraine and Russia, attempts to largely steer a path of neutrality in the conflict, with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan periodically offering to revive his previous role as an active mediator hosting peace talks attended by Kyiv and Moscow. However, Turkey does sometimes go ahead with notable arms sales to Ukraine and this weekend caused some surprise by agreeing a weapons deal that will see 70 M39 ATACMS tactical ballistic missiles, 12 M270 multiple-launch rocket systems and tens of thousands of cluster munitions from Turkish stockpiles sold to the Ukrainians. 

At the end of June, IntelliNews published a comment piece, headlined "Steadily but surely, Erdogan has broken with Putin."