Sunday, February 18, 2024

 

India’s Domestic Migration Crisis has Roots in its Political Economy


Amit Sadhukhan 





The pandemic crisis exposed that data on India’s migration is grossly inadequate, infrequent and incoherent, if not absent, both at the Union and state levels.
Thousands of migrant workers have been waiting on platforms to get confirmed tickets to go back, even as officials claim to be running special trains.

Representational Image. Image Courtesy: PTI

The Covid-19 pandemic gave a new perspective on the state of Indian migrant workers through the visuals of poor families escaping their economic and social vulnerabilities in the very Indian cities they served. The escape was life threatening with unimaginable uncertainty over long walks on highways and railway tracks covering hundreds of miles. Understandably, they were without much money, food, and drinking water, coupled with the scorching tropical summer of 2020, not to mention lack of medical aid. Inevitably, this caused death from exhaustion, hunger, and thirst. This was a site of “major humanitarian crisis” in India over recent decades. It was a sight of statelessness.

While the visuals of inhuman sufferings, most importantly, the invisible institutional neglect of Indian migrants succinctly brought their lives into the public sphere, tracing its underlying causes demands deeper insights beyond just the pandemic episode. It demands an understanding of the political economy around India’s domestic migration for assessing this section of vulnerable people who move from one state to the other for livelihood.

The political economy of India’s international migration is quite different from its domestic counterparts. Notwithstanding the varied difficulties that India’s international migrants are undergoing, given the limited scope of this article, its focus would be on India’s domestic migration.

Migration in the Discourse on Indian Growth

Unlike many other socio-economic issues, e.g., poverty, employment, social and gender discrimination, etc., the debate around the quantity, and especially the quality of migration has been relatively less intense in India. One manifestation of the lack of priority given to this issue could well be the limited availability of migration data at the national level. This does not, of course, mean that because of lack of data, issues related to migration are not given due sensitivity, rather, it’s the opposite.

There are two distinct strands of migration analysis in India. One strand takes the view that the majority of Indian migrants move to richer states because of lack of economic opportunities in their low-income home states. Majority of them are economically ‘distressed’ migrants, who work in the informal sector in cities, while others are involved in seasonal agricultural and non-farm activities in rural areas in other states.

The Western and Southern states, where industry and commercial service sectors are concentrated, the informal economy grew hand in hand. The growing informal sector in and around cities was sustained by exploiting these distressed migrants with low wages and lack of employment and social security benefits. Low incomes added with employment insecurity, therefore, force them to live in informal and congested housing conditions, including in urban slums.

This strand has been consistent with the discourse that disproportionate industrialisation between Northern, Eastern and North-eastern states relative to that of the industrialised Western and Southern states, has been the cause of distress migration from poorer states to their industrialised counterparts.

This strand of migration discourse could perhaps hold the governments – both at Union and state levels – accountable for such distress migration due to lack of ‘balanced growth’ leading to ‘divergence’ among Indian states. Moreover, this strand, therefore, could make governments responsible for social security entitlements, both at home and host states, especially for distressed migrants and their families back home.

The other strand – a relatively newer one – takes the view that migration is not necessarily due to ‘distress’ in native states, but because of better ‘opportunities’ created through fast economic liberalisation in the Western and Southern states. Therefore, this discourse places migration as an ‘opportunity’ for all, as opposed to ‘distress’ of the underprivileged. Further, to legitimise the neoliberal plan, migration has been projected as a prized ‘aspirational’ aspect for migrants.

Given these two drastically opposite strands in India’s migration discourse, governments seem to have prioritised the second one in line with neoliberal economic policies, leading to a migration crisis at hand. For a deeper look at the Indian migration discourse, there is a need to study the political economy around the preparation of migration- related statistics and official records.

Political Economy Around Migration Data

There are only two sources of India’s migration data at national level: the decadal population census and the occasional household surveys by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO), the latest being held in 2011, and 2020-21, respectively.

Though there is no mandatory provision of official records involving the movement of people from one state to the other, neither the home states nor the host states keep any systematic records on outward and inward migration. This, in turn, has left no usable official data on the stock and flow of migrants, their socio-economic profiles, and seasonal variation across home and host states.

Perhaps, it would not be an exaggeration to make an observation that the data on India’s migration is grossly inadequate, infrequent and incoherent, if not absent. This is not to deny the existence of valuable studies addressing various aspects of Indian migrants beyond just numbers.

Not having any state-level official record of migrants can be thought as freedom that the Indian migrants might have enjoyed, but on the contrary, it has left the unaccounted, especially the socio-economically vulnerable migrants and their families, without any social security entitlements and rights, both from the home and host states, thereby exposing their vulnerability at the hands of private recruiting agents and employers.

The non-existence of such official records has roots in the political economy of India’s migration, and the public discourse around it. The inadequacy of objective information about migrants has left governments – both at Union and federal levels– without any public scrutiny of their responsibilities toward migrants.

The breadth and depth of the pandemic-led crisis inflicted upon Indian migrants will take time to be fully assessed, if done at all. However, the pandemic visuals of hapless migrants escaping cities, with their lives at stake during the arduous journey back home hundreds of miles away has been recorded. They were not just escaping from the infectious disease but from distrustful governments. The archives of those distressed images cannot be obliterated from the country’s history that has been marked with neoliberalism.

First, when the government announced a nationwide lockdown, stopping all means of transport, in a short notice of just four hours, starting the midnight of March 24,2020, it left many migrants without any choice but to endure an impending loss of livelihoods and income.

Second, most local and host governments kept these migrants without any assurance of food, shelter, water, and medical aid; mistreated them as ‘outsiders’ with suspicion they might spread the infection and overburden their healthcare facilities.

Third, when these domestic migrants were ‘officially’ allowed to travel back home, it was without adequate, safe and free of cost arrangements of the vast network of national railways. The migrants’ trust in governments finally collapsed.

What could be the reasons for such a seemingly manageable crisis that made most vulnerable migrants suffer? In situations such as pandemic, the availability of official records could be instrumental for governments to trace and assess vulnerable migrants who need coordinated support both from the home and host states, and the Union government. This could be of great help in arranging medical facilities and quarantine measures.

There can be no justification, however, neither for the Union government to announce an unprepared lockdown, nor for state governments not to take care of these vulnerable migrants. Both the Union and state governments, perhaps, abridged their responsibility taking advantage of not having any official records of migrants. This also curtailed governments’ accountability, as there was no effective public scrutiny and judicial intervention even at the height of the migration crisis.

However, the only island in this sea of crisis was, perhaps, Kerala, which was effective in managing the crisis with informed preparedness of a compassionate government. Unlike all other Indian states, Kerala’s two-decade long engagement with the Kerala Migration Study since 1998 has been instrumental for informed decisions through prioritised public discourse around migration. The Kerala story needs another article.

The writer teaches economics at Tata Institute of Social Sciences, Hyderabad Campus. The views are personal.

Monoskop.org

https://monoskop.org/images/9/95/Hardt_Michael_Negri_Antonio_Empire.pdf

Empire / Michael Hardt and Antonio Negri. p. cm. Includes bibliographical ... 4.3 The Multitude against Empire. 393. Notes. 415. Index. 473. Page 11. PREFACE.

Selforganizedseminar.files.wordpress.com

https://selforganizedseminar.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/hardt_negri_multitude.pdf

Hardt, Michael. Multitude: war and democracy in the Age of Empire /. Michael Hardt and Antonio Negri. p. cm. Sequel to: Empire. Includes index. ISBN 1-59420 ...


 

Capitalism’s Barbarity is on the Rise


Prabhat Patnaik 


The most incredibly cruel instance of this is the genocide of Palestinians with the combined blessings of all advanced capitalist countries.
How War on Gaza Has Stalled India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor

Representational image. | Image Courtesy: PTI

In The Junius Pamphlet written from jail in 1915, Rosa Luxemburg (the Polish-German revolutionary) had said that the choice before mankind was between barbarism and socialism. Liberal opinion would contest this, arguing that the barbarism that marked the two World Wars and the period in between, was unrelated to capitalism. Indeed, the liberal tendency that comes to the fore under capitalism, it would claim, fought against the barbarism of that period. Capitalism, it would assert, has been characterised by the ascendancy of humane values to an unprecedented extent, as the post-war years have shown.

To talk about humane values coming to the fore under capitalism, however, is to ignore the phenomenon of imperialism altogether. The infliction of famines in India under British rule are well-known. This rule began with a famine in Bengal in 1770 that killed 10 million persons, a third of the population of the province, because of the rapacity of its revenue demands.

Toward the end of this rule, there was yet another famine in Bengal in 1943 because of the utterly cruel war-financing policy pursued by the government that again killed at least three million persons.

German rule in (today’s) Namibia had introduced death camps that exterminated large numbers of the tribal population and constituted the “models” for Hitler’s concentration-cum-death camps in the 1930s. Belgian atrocities in the Congo under Leopold’s rule, involving the mutilation of human beings, are too well-known and too gruesome to recount.

And European settler colonialism in the temperate regions of the world eliminated local populations on a vast scale, herded those who survived into reservations, and took over their lands and habitats. One can go on with this litany of cruelty. What is important is that the motive for this cruelty was plain material gain, which is what characterises capitalism.

It would, of course, be argued that loot and plunder have provided the motive for wars and conquests even earlier, long before capitalism came into being, so why should one drag capitalism into it? The answer is two-fold: first, all talk of capitalism advancing humane values, it follows, is just hyperbole. At best, it is no better than what had preceded it.

And second, loot and plunder of the earlier periods were very different from what happens under capitalism. The earlier loot still left something with those who were plundered, or at least allowed them to recoup their losses over time (even though this might invite further plunder later). But, under capitalism, there is a permanent expropriation of the oppressed.

Capitalism had projected this image of itself, as a humane force that fought all barbaric tendencies, in the post-war period. Using in particular Hollywood movies, it sought to give the impression that the Second World War was essentially a fight between Western liberal democracy and fascism, and downplaying the decisive role of the Soviet Union in the war. As a result, the immense sympathy that had existed for the Soviet Union all over the world, including in the West, was systematically made to diminish among the people of the advanced capitalist countries. They were given the impression that they were living within a humane system the likes of which had never existed before.

Rosa Luxemburg’s remark was portrayed as lacking any relevance, notwithstanding the Vietnam and other wars that marked the post-war period, not to mention the depredations of the CIA (US Central Intelligence Agency) all over the world in effecting regime change and acts of terror during those years.

This illusion of capitalism being a humane force, however, is now over. The barbarity of capitalism is evident at present like never before, and the most heart-rending, the most incredibly cruel instance of it is the genocide of the Palestinians that is currently occurring with the combined blessings of all advanced capitalist countries.

At least 28,000 of the civilian Palestine population have been killed, of whom almost 70% have been women and children. In fact, more than 1,00,000 are missing, a large number of whom are believed to have been killed, taking the toll well above 28,000. Much of the population has been bombed out of their homes and even relief operations have been impaired with the UNRWA (UN Relief and Works Agency) funding being suspended by the capitalist powers.

The Economic and Social Commission for West Asia, a UN body, has called what is happening in Gaza the “deadliest 100 days in the 21st century”. We are, in short, witnessing a human catastrophe, which is unleashed by an utterly inhumane and aggressive Zionist regime with the active support of the big capitalist powers.

The aggressiveness of the Zionist State is so blatant that it even threatened the South African foreign minister with dire consequences for herself and her family, when South Africa went to the International Court of Justice accusing Israel of genocide. The court upheld the substance of South Africa’s case, and asked Israel to desist from any genocidal actions, though it stopped short of ordering an immediate end to its war in Gaza.

What was striking was that every one of the advanced capitalist powers supported Israel, with the US calling the legal action “meritless”, and France and Germany arguing that accusing Israel of genocide is to cross a “moral threshold”.

What is striking is that as in 1915, when Rosa Luxemburg was writing, social democracy has been fully complicit even today in the barbarism of advanced capitalism. While ordinary people in the streets everywhere in the world have demonstrated in large and impressive numbers against Israeli aggression, the entire political establishment in the West from the extreme Right to social democracy and the Greens, and even a segment to the Left of social democracy (such as for instance Die Linke in Germany), has lined up behind imperialism and its protégé, Israeli settler colonialism.

Two questions immediately arise: how has imperialism become so emboldened as to reveal its barbaric self, despite the abhorrence toward this barbarism displayed by world public opinion, especially in the Global South? And why has imperialism suddenly become so desperate that it needs to show its barbaric nature?

The answer to the first question lies inter alia in the collapse of the Soviet Union and in general the socialist challenge. As long as the Soviet Union lasted, it had acted, at least in the post-war years, as a restraining influence on imperialist barbarism vis-à-vis the global south. The fear of socialism, in other words, had restrained imperialist barbarism, thereby in a sense vicariously vindicating Rosa Luxemburg’s assertion; that restraint is now gone.

The answer to the second question lies in the fact that the imperial order that had got destabilised earlier, had been made to yield to the drive for decolonisation and Third World dirigisme, but had reconstituted itself through the imposition of the neoliberal regime, is again facing a mortal threat; and there is a vital difference between the earlier order and the present one, namely, while the earlier pre-war order had been characterised by inter-imperialist rivalry, the present imperial order is characterised by a muting of rivalry and by an unprecedented unity among imperial powers, because it is presided over by international finance capital that does not want the world divided.

The present order, therefore, has united global capital facing the working people of the world, not just the workers in the advanced capitalist countries but also the workers and peasants in the global south, all of whom have been the victims of this new imperial order.

This very victimisation of the world’s working people has produced a crisis for this imperial order, since it has kept down consumption in the world economy and thereby curbed the growth of markets and produced a crisis of over-production.

Within the neoliberal regime itself, there is no solution to this crisis, since State activism (in the form for instance of a fiscal deficit-financed increase in State expenditure) is anathema for neoliberalism. As a result, the working people of the world who were already victimised by globally united international capital, are now being further victimised via unemployment, making the threat against the new order even more serious.

The crisis has produced fascist regimes within many countries; but it is also producing an acutely repressive global order where both fascist and non-fascist capitalist powers combine to suppress the working people both at home and abroad.

There is no scope for any morality in this repression; barbarism is in full display and the capitalist powers stand together in defence of this barbarism, no matter which is the specific power perpetrating it.



 INDIA

LIC Employees’ Union Rejects 14% Wage Hike Offer; Demands at least 25%




Newsclick Report 



Under a five- year pact, the wage revision was due in 2022. The last revision that employees of the state-owned insurance got was in 2017.
Under a five- year pact, the wage revision was due in 2022. The last revision that employees of the state-owned insurance  got was in 2017.

Image Courtesy: PTI

New Delhi: The employees’ union of public sector insurance major, LIC, has rejected the government’s offer of a 14% wage hike. The employees, whose wage revision is due since 2017 under a five-year pact, had been demanding at least a 25% hike.

At a meeting held on Friday in Mumbai, convened with All India National Life Insurance Employees Federation (AINLIEF) and other unions in LIC, the offer was made by the government, which was rejected by the union, saying it did not reflect the “dedication and commitment” of workers, said a report in the Business Standard.

In a press statement, Rajesh Nimbalkar, general secretary, AINLIEF, said that the offer made by the management had “disappointed employees”, considering the performance of the public sector insurer across several parameters.

The last raise was given to the employees in 2017 and the next revision was due in 2022.

"In 2017 wage revision, the company had given a hike of nearly 20-25%, and this time also we are expecting around 22% hike," Nimbalkar said in the statement.

The public sector insurer, according to the BS, report, has recorded 49% net profit year-on-year in the third quarter of the current financial year – 2023-24 – as Rs 9,444.42 crore from Rs 6,334.29 crore in the previous year.

Its net premium income also improved to Rs 1,17,017 crore in the third quarter of the current fiscal from Rs 1,11,788 crore in the same period a year ago.

LIC's total income also rose to Rs 2,12,447 crore in the latest December quarter compared with Rs 1,96,891 crore in the year-ago period.

On February 16, the LIC announced that it had got a tax refund of Rs 21,740. 77 crore from the income-tax department for the assessment years from 2013 to 2020.

In August 2023, the AINLIEF had written to the Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman reminding her of the wage revision due since 2022and had seeking her intervention in the matter.

Uttarakhand UCC Bill: ‘Extremely Regressive’ say Most Young People


ANTI COMMON LAW RELATIONSHIPS

Rashme Sehgal 



Young couples in the state capital, Dehradun, fear mandatory registration of live-in relationships may lead to intrusion, harassment and blackmail, especially of girls.
UCC

Young people across Uttarakhand are aghast at the forcible imposition of a registration clause for live-in relationships amongst consenting adults. This is one of the key sections in the Uniform Civil Code (UCC) Bill of Uttarakhand 2024 that was passed recently.

While the overall objective of this controversial Bill is clearly political, as it deprives the minorities of their personal laws and replaces these with a common set of laws governing marriage, divorce and succession, the clause that has young people most alarmed is the one about live-in relationships.

The Bill mandates that all residents of the state, whether living within Uttarakhand or outside, must register their relationship with a registrar to be appointed by the state. The registrar is expected to verify the antecedents of the couple to ensure that neither partner has been already married or has been in a prior live-in relationship or is a minor. He must also ensure that the partners are not related by blood or marriage.

Once these details have been clarified, they will be given a registration certificate which can be forwarded to the police station under whose jurisdiction they are residing.

This correspondent spoke to several young people in Dehradun, the state capital of Uttarakhand, to elicit their views on the UCC Bill. Predictably, none of them was willing to be identified but they definitely had strong views on the subject.

A young executive in his mid-20s who has been cohabiting with his girlfriend from the time they studied together in a college in Dehradun scoffs at these clauses.

“Three people will benefit from this registration process. The first will be a relative of the registrar who will head a company to issue fake certificates. The second will be the policeman who will collect a hefty sum from couples to ensure their names do not enter the public domain. The third will be the landlord who will mark up the rent he extracts from young couples like us who want to shack up together,” he says.

The reason why several young people start living together is because they do not want to enter into a formal relationship via an arranged marriage where they end up being saddled with many responsibilities for which they are ill-prepared. They find it hard to negotiate relationships with each other’s families before they are sure they have a future together.

Another young man in his late 20s, who is in a relationship with a young teacher, pointed out: “Living together was like doing a reality check on each other since we wanted to find out whether we would be able to make a go of our relationship.” After four years together, they have decided they would like to marry and plan to do so by the end of this year.

A woman in her early 30s was very upfront in admitting she had been in a live-in relationship but had walked out a year later because she felt it was not working. While she admitted registration did offer the possibility of providing greater protection to women, she felt a subject as complex as live-in relationships should have been opened for much greater debate before the public and should have incorporated the views of young people.

The UCC Bill has failed to spell out what time frame they are looking at when they talk about live-in relationships. “To expect a man to give maintenance to a woman after they have lived together for one year is totally unrealistic. A couple needs to be together for at least a period of three years before any claim for maintenance should be made,” she added.

However, the Bill does not spell out any such details. Even in the West, maintenance is given only for long-term relationships.

The Bill also states that if partners decide to terminate the relationship then they must go back to the registrar and inform him of the same.

It is not uncommon for young village women, who have migrated to find work in the larger cities of Uttarakhand, to enter into live-in relationships. Such relationships meet their sexual desires and economic needs too, as sharing a room and expenses makes living affordable. Coming from conservative backgrounds, they hide such relationships from their families back home.

Having to go public on their private life is something that the majority of young people in this state feel is an “extremely regressive” step. Young women believe that if they do not apply for registration, this could well open them for blackmail by neighbours or vigilantes.

One of the worst clauses of the UCC Bill is the criminalisation of such relationships. Couples that do not apply for registration within a 30-day period will face imprisonment of up to three months or a fine of Rs 10,000 or both. In case of false information being given to the registrar when filing the application, the couple can face imprisonment up to three months and a fine of up to Rs 25,000.

A 22-year-old studying in a leading college in the capital city said he was planning to cohabit with his course mate who is 21 years old. They are both nonplussed by these developments and plan to wait a few months before taking such a step.

The student said that young people were not so mature and should be allowed to experiment with relationships and even make mistakes. He was shocked at why the state had come up with such an “intrusive law” to regulate their behaviour.

A practising lawyer in Dehradun believed mandating registration of live-in couples was an infringement on the privacy of an individual. He pointed out how a PIL (public interest litigation) on this subject had been brought before the Supreme Court in March 2023. It was immediately dismissed, with the highest court having described it as a `hare-brained scheme’. He also felt it was ‘weird’ that this law was addressed to heterosexual couples and made no mention of same sex couples or transgenders.

The clause referring to compulsory registration of couples seems to have been drafted keeping inter-faith couples in mind. Uttarakhand has had a handful of cases where young Muslim men have been accused of wooing Hindu women in order to “forcibly convert” them to their religion. One such case happened in Uttarkashi in 2023. It was blown out of proportion and Muslim traders were ordered by Right wing groups to close shop and move out of the district. Subsequent investigation proved the accusation to be false but by then the damage had been done. The courts in India do not recognise ‘love jihad’ being propagated by Right wing groups.

Compulsory registration of live-in couples reflects a patriarchal and puritanical mindset with moral policing not being restricted just to this state, but also to all state citizens living outside the state.

Registration of couples has another more dangerous spin off. It includes putting their details in the public domain, open for inspection by all. In a state where honour killings are not unheard of, many young girls fear that stating their intent to cohabit would be like signing a death warrant.

The writer is an independent journalist. The views are personal

Could Indonesia’s Presidential Election Usher In Return to Military Rule?

Investigative reporter Allan Nairn discusses presidential candidate Gen. Prabowo Subianto’s authoritarian record.
February 13, 2024

Wednesday’s presidential election in Indonesia could see the ascendance of General Prabowo Subianto, who has tried for years to seize power after decades of involvement in mass killings, kidnapping and torture across Indonesia, in occupied East Timor and in independence-seeking Western New Guinea. Subianto is a longtime U.S. protégé and the son-in-law of former Indonesian dictator Suharto. He once mused about becoming “a fascist dictator” and has said the country is “not ready” for democracy. We are joined in Jakarta by longtime investigative reporter Allan Nairn, who has spent decades covering Indonesia and East Timor. Nairn discusses Subianto’s bloody, authoritarian record and concerns about potential voter fraud and intimidation.



TRANSCRIPT

This is a rush transcript. Copy may not be in its final form.

AMY GOODMAN: “Indonesia, the scene of two of the 20th century’s epic slaughters, may be on the verge of a return to army rule at the hands of its most notorious general.

“Gen. Prabowo Subianto, a longtime U.S. protégé implicated in the country’s massacres, once mused about becoming ‘a fascist dictator’ and is now a serious threat to assume the presidency.”

Those are the opening two paragraphs of a new article in The Intercept by the award-winning journalist Allan Nairn, who’s spent decades covering Indonesia and the country it occupied for a quarter of a century, East Timor. Allan is joining us now from Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia, ahead of Wednesday’s election in Indonesia.


Deadly Protests Erupt in Indonesia as US-Trained Generals Wage War on Democracy
Award-winning journalist Allan Nairn discusses the protests in Indonesia.
By Amy Goodman & Nermeen Shaikh , DEMOCRACYNOW! May 23, 2019


Welcome back to Democracy Now!, Allan. Why don’t you start off by just laying out the scene, what’s about to happen tomorrow and who exactly Prabowo is?

ALLAN NAIRN: Well, General Prabowo is the most notorious massacre general in Indonesia, and he’s also the general who was closest to the U.S. as he was carrying out his mass killings, abductions of activists and systematic tortures. He was also the son-in-law of the former dictator of Indonesia, General Suharto. Prabowo described himself to me as “the Americans’ fair-haired boy.” He mused about becoming “a fascist dictator.” He told me, “Indonesia is not ready for democracy.”

And he described in detail how he received training from the U.S. at Fort Benning and Fort Bragg, how when, in 1998, Suharto was falling, and he, Prabowo, was in the process of kidnapping activists, he was in regular consultation with the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency. In fact, Prabowo told me that he reported to the USDIA at least once a week. He also described how, under a Pentagon program known as JCET, Joint Combined Exchange and Training, he, General Prabowo, brought fully armed troops into Indonesia on at least 41 occasions. And Pentagon documents back up Prabowo’s account. According to the general and those Pentagon documents, while the U.S. troops were in Indonesia, after, as the Pentagon put it, Prabowo opened the door to them, they started doing reconnaissance and making plans, contingency plans, for a possible future U.S. invasion of Indonesia — as Prabowo put it to me, for “the invasion contingency.” So, these armed U.S. troops, which Prabowo brought into Java and Sumatra and other places in Indonesia, were laying the groundwork for a future U.S. invasion, if the U.S. chose to do that. This is particularly interesting since Prabowo styles himself, as he’s running for president now, as a nationalist. And he attacks anyone who opposes him as an antek asing, a foreign lackey, when in fact he is the one who was closest to the U.S., who was helping the U.S. plan for an invasion, and who in more recent years helped to kill a workers’ rights lawsuit against Freeport-McMoRan, the American mining giant, which is stripping the hills and forests of de facto occupied West Papua.

And he is the general, most importantly, who led many of the massacres in East Timor after the Indonesian Army invaded with the green light from President Gerald Ford and Henry Kissinger. In one case, in the village of Kraras, Prabowo and his forces killed hundreds of fleeing civilians. He later was involved in other massacres and directing assassinations of political activists in Aceh and West Papua.

And now he may be on the verge of assuming the presidency. He’s tried for many years to seize power. He’s tried multiple coup attempts. But this time he has the backing of the incumbent government, the incumbent civilian President Joko Widodo, Jokowi, and the state apparatus is being put behind General Prabowo. The Army and police are going out and intimidating poor people at the neighborhood level, telling them that if they don’t vote for Prabowo, the authorities will know about it, and they’ll be in trouble. People are being threatened with having their — poor people are being threatened with having their government rations of rice and cooking oil cut off if they don’t vote for Prabowo. Academics who recently spoke out against this use of state power to push this general into office are now being visited and intimidated by the police. And last Wednesday, there was a meeting that included Army generals and intelligence officials, where they discussed a plan to, if necessary, do voter fraud to push General Prabowo over the 50% threshold he will need in order to win in tomorrow’s election. It’s a three-candidate election. And if he gets over the 50% threshold and gets a sufficient number of votes in the provinces outside Java, he will automatically become the president-elect. And the plan that was discussed at that meeting among those senior military and intelligence officials was that there was an existing plan to do fraud, if necessary, to push the general over that threshold and impose him on Indonesia as their new president, really their new ruler.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: Allan, Allan, I wanted to ask you — you mentioned that the incumbent president, Joko Widodo, is backing Prabowo. How do you explain this change, since he defeated the general in two previous elections and once —

ALLAN NAIRN: Yes.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: — talked about actually holding him on trial for war crimes?

ALLAN NAIRN: Right. It’s a very important question, and it has a lot of Indonesians outraged. When Jokowi defeated Prabowo the first time around in 2014, he, the incumbent president, the civilian, Jokowi, had the support of many massacre survivors and human rights activists. And they did — internally, the Jokowi government did talk about putting General Prabowo and other generals, like General Wiranto and General Hendropriyono, on trial for war crimes. I have been publicly calling for that for years and also calling for their U.S. sponsors to be tried for war crimes. And, in fact, in the early years of the Jokowi administration, I met with some of his advisers in the palace and discussed this with them. And what they kept saying was, “Yes, yes, but it will take time. This is very dangerous. We have to go slowly.” But they said that that was the direction they were moving in. However, they never got there. They never even attempted to stage the trials.

And then, in 2019, after Jokowi defeated General Prabowo for the second time, Prabowo staged the latest of his many coup attempts by backing street riots that involved mass looting and burning in Jakarta. And it was at that point that President Jokowi said, “Enough.” He couldn’t take it anymore. And according to intermediaries from both sides, from both the Prabowo and the Jokowi side, Jokowi then decided to bring Prabowo into the tent, in the hope that if he did that, if he brought him inside the government, that would put an end to the coup threats and the incited street riots. And, in fact, it did. He brought Prabowo in. He made him minister of defense. And the two then grew close. Their interests coincided. Jokowi, the president, became increasingly wealthy. Prabowo backed the Indonesian military policy of killing civilians in de facto occupied West Papua, where there is strong sentiment for independence.

And this time around, when this next round of elections was coming up, the incumbent civilian president, Jokowi, decided he wanted to try to extend his own term, even though there’s a two-term limit, as in the United States. He looked into options for maybe getting a third term or maybe postponing the elections, but he wasn’t able to pull those off. So he made a deal with General Prabowo, with this massacre general, who is responsible for the slaughter of thousands and thousands of civilians across Indonesia and in occupied East Timor. President Jokowi made a deal to back him and use the state apparatus to help install him as president, and Jokowi lent his own son, Gibran, to General Prabowo as his vice-presidential running mate. And he did that even though the son of the president is too young to be vice president under Indonesian law. There’s an age limit. He’s only 36. You have to be a minimum age of 40. But he strong-armed that through the Supreme Court, where the president’s brother-in-law was the chief justice. He strong-armed it through the electoral commission. Official state bodies have already ruled that those two actions were unethical, but it doesn’t matter. The current ticket is General Prabowo, the massacre general, and Gibran, the president’s underage son.

And the whole state apparatus is being mobilized, on the one hand, to intimidate and threaten the poor with trouble and the cutoff of their food and their cooking oil if they don’t vote for Prabowo, and, on the other hand, mounting a very sophisticated, very disgusting public relations campaign, which portrays this notorious general as a gemoy, a fat, adorable cartoon character who, in videos and in ads, can be seen dancing. And to people who are not familiar with the history of the massacres, two of the worst slaughters of the 20th century, the U.S.-backed massacre, when the Army first seized power in ’65, of anywhere from 400,000 to a million civilians, and then the murder of a third of the population by the invading Indonesian Army in Timor with U.S. weapons and backing, and not familiar with Prabowo’s role in that slaughter in Timor and elsewhere, to those people — because, you know, these matters are not discussed in the schools or in the state media — the ads have some impact. And that, combined with the intimidation, makes him a strong threat to take power in the election.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: Well, Allan, specifically, you mentioned how Prabowo has sought to rebrand himself. But what of the youth of Indonesia, who now make up 52% of the electorate, those under 40 — how have they been suckered into this narrative?

ALLAN NAIRN: I don’t hear anything.

AMY GOODMAN: We’re going to have to go to a break, Juan, because it looks like the IFB dropped for Allan. We’re going to then come back to speak with him, Allan Nairn, longtime investigative journalist, who’s been covering Indonesia for decades. He’s speaking to us from Jakarta, Indonesia. He’s written a piece in The Intercept headlined “Indonesia State Apparatus Is Preparing to Throw Election to a Notorious Massacre General.” We’ll be back with him in a minute.

(break)

AMY GOODMAN: The group Helado Negro. They signed on to Artists for Ceasefire. This is Democracy Now!, democracynow.org, The War and Peace Report. I’m Amy Goodman, with Juan González, as we continue our conversation with longtime investigative journalist Allan Nairn, who has covered Indonesia and Indonesian-occupied East Timor for decades. His piece in The Intercept, “Indonesia State Apparatus Is Preparing to Throw Election to a Notorious Massacre General.” Juan?

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: Yes, Allan, before we lost you, I was asking you — you had mentioned Prabowo’s attempts to rebrand himself. And I asked about the young voters of Indonesia, who make up about 52% of the electorate. How have they bought into this narrative? And also, what does it say about democratic elections that a general with this kind of a record is likely to be victorious in an election?

ALLAN NAIRN: Well, we don’t yet know if he’s likely, but he has — he’s a strong threat to win, because the muscle of the state apparatus is behind him. Part of the reason there — they, to some extent, can get away with that, because textbooks and the press are not honest about how the Army originally came to power, with the U.S.-backed slaughter in 1965 of anywhere to — of 400,000 to a million civilians, and then the invasion of East Timor, with a U.S. green light in weapons, where they killed a third of the population, which was the most intensive proportional slaughter since the Nazis. And they’re definitely not familiar with General Prabowo’s role in Timor and in the Aceh assassinations and in terrorizing civilian population in West Papua.

And it’s a two-pronged approach that they’re using, basically pressuring and coercing the poor with threats to their well-being, because many poor people know they live at the mercy of what’s called the apparat, the Army and the police, and threats to their food, and then, for the middle and upper classes, and especially the young people, this PR campaign that portrays the general as a cuddly cartoon character. And none of it would be possible without the backing of the incumbent civilian president, who basically bowed to Prabowo and the Army after Prabowo’s 2019 ultimate coup attempt. So, by violence, Prabowo brought himself inside the government. And now that government is preparing to attempt, if necessary, through fraud, to install him and give him the ultimate power. And he’s talking about modifying the way the presidency works, returning to an older draft of the state constitution, which could make him a virtual dictator if he wants to be.

AMY GOODMAN: Allan, before we wrap up, a couple quick questions. Prabowo is the former son-in-law of the longtime authoritarian leader Suharto, responsible for Indonesia invading East Timor. You and I survived the 1991 massacre there, where Indonesian soldiers, armed, trained and financed by the United States, opened fire on defenseless Timorese, killing more than 270 of them. They beat you up, fracturing your skull. Talk about how Prabowo’s involvement in Timor, killings in Indonesia, as well, and then his supporting of coups led him to where he is today — I was amazed that he was willing to grant you an interview years ago, where he talked about becoming a fascist dictator — and where he stands, on everything from ISIS to what’s happening today in Gaza. After all, Indonesia has the largest Muslim population in the world.

ALLAN NAIRN: Yes. Well, I met with him twice in 2001. And I actually was meeting with him because I was investigating two particular murders of civilians, and I wanted to find out what he knew about them. And I think, possibly, he enjoyed speaking to an adversary.

But regarding the Santa Cruz massacre in Timor that we survived, Prabowo said to me, “That was an imbecilic operation.” And he objected to it, not because of the hundreds of Timorese the Army slaughtered, but because they did it in front of us. And because they did it in front of us and we survived and were able to report it to the outside world, and other foreign witnesses, like Max Stahl, were able to do the same, that we were able to get the U.S. Congress to, over time, through grassroots action in the United States, cut off for a while the U.S. arms supply to Suharto, which helped to lead to Suharto’s downfall, according to Suharto’s former security chief, Admiral Sudomo. So, [Prabowo] said, “That was imbecilic. You don’t” — he said, “You don’t do it in front of outside witnesses. You do a massacre in an isolated rural village where no one will ever know about it.”

And Prabowo was able to stage his series of coup attempts over the years, in part because he was — he had the support of the Indonesian Army, which was, in turn, backed by the United States. He, in particular, was the Americans’ favorite. He described himself as “the Americans’ fair-haired boy.” And he had the support of the Indonesian oligarchy, as well. And he certainly has their backing in this election.

And with regard to Israel, Prabowo, after he became defense minister, made a special effort to draw Indonesia closer to Israel. The two countries do not have diplomatic relations. The Indonesian population now is outraged by the slaughter, the genocide that Israel is conducting in Gaza. But Prabowo was attempting to bring Israel closer to Indonesia. There was already a covert relationship with Israeli intelligence and with the Israeli military, where intelligence equipment and training was given. And Prabowo started working with Trump, and later Biden, to attempt to bring the two countries together, similar to what other predominantly Muslim countries did under the Abraham Accords. Prabowo met with a senior Israeli security adviser. When this came out, he was forced to retreat from this policy. And at this moment, the Indonesian government and Prabowo are posing as if they oppose what Israel is doing. But if he becomes president, there’s a very good chance that those relations will grow even closer and perhaps be formalized.

AMY GOODMAN: Allan, finally, the former Supreme Court chief justice, retired now, tweeted out that you should be captured, as you give out this information. Are you concerned about your own safety? I think we just lost our connection to Allan. Allan Nairn, longtime investigative journalist, has been covering Indonesia and occupied East Timor for decades. East Timor has since become an independent nation. We’ll link to his new piece in The Intercept, “Indonesia State Apparatus Is Preparing to Throw Election to a Notorious Massacre General.” The election is Wednesday, February 14th.


AMY GOODMAN is the host and executive producer of Democracy Now!, a national, daily, independent, award-winning news program airing on more than 1,100 public television and radio stations worldwide. Time Magazine named Democracy Now! its “Pick of the Podcasts,” along with NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

JUAN GONZÁLEZ co-hosts Democracy Now! with Amy Goodman. González has been a professional journalist for more than 30 years and a staff columnist at the New York Daily News since 1987. He is a two-time recipient of the George Polk Award.
Tennessee State Legislature Passes Bill to Allow LGBTQ Marriage Discrimination

The bill would also allow government officials to deny marriage rights to interracial couples, critics warn.

By Chris Walker
TRUTHOUT
February 13, 2024
VALERII EVLAKHOV / ISTOCK / GETTY IMAGES PLUS


Truthout is a vital news source and a living history of political struggle. If you think our work is valuable, support us with a donation of any size.

Republican lawmakers in the Tennessee state legislature have advanced a bill to the governor which, if signed into law, would give public officials the ability to deny marriages to LGBTQ or interracial couples.

The bill would invariably be challenged by LGBTQ groups as unconstitutional, in violation of standards that were enacted through Supreme Court rulings like Obergefell v. Hodges, which legalized same-sex marriage throughout the entire country, and Loving v. Virginia, which forbids state laws barring interracial marriages.

The bill is sponsored by state Sen. Mark Pody (R) and state Rep. Monty Fritts (R). Fritts has asserted that any opposition to the bill being anti-LGBTQ is misplaced because the bill doesn’t mention such marriages at all, dubiously claiming that the bill merely exists to clarify “the rights of the officiate or officiates of wedding ceremonies” to refuse to perform marriage ceremonies based on religious convictions, rights that already exist within the state and that aren’t being questioned or challenged.

However, the text of the bill certainly has the potential to reduce the ability of LGBTQ couples to get their marriages recognized by the state, says Tennessee-based minister Eric Patton.

“The way it’s worded, you can discriminate against anybody for any reason, which is terrible,” Patton told a local news station. “The idea that you can discriminate against anybody is just wrong-headed and general Tennessee nonsense.”


LGBTQ RIGHTS
Wisconsin Legislators Propose Amendment to Repeal Anti-Marriage Equality Laws
Democrats proposing the repeal  are hopeful they can get Republicans to support it, too.
By Chris Walker , TRUTHOUT  December 15, 2023


The bill’s text reads:

A person shall not be required to solemnize a marriage if the person has an objection to solemnizing the marriage based on the person’s conscience or religious beliefs.

The bill wouldn’t just apply to wedding officiants and religious leaders — it also amends Tennessee Code Section 36-3-301, which applies to public government officials, including county clerks who handle marriage licenses. The legislation would allow those individuals, too, to refuse to “solemnize” a marriage based on their own religious convictions.

It’s unclear whether Republican Gov. Bill Lee will sign the bill into law. Lee has signed a slew of anti-LGBTQ bills since becoming governor, including one allowing state-funded foster care agencies to legally deny LGBTQ people the ability to serve as foster parents. Since 2015, more than a dozen anti-LGBTQ bills have become law in Tennessee.

Allison Chapman, LGBTQ+ legislative researcher and activist, spoke to Truthout about the potential outcomes of the bill’s passage.

“Tennessee is attempting to bypass the Supreme Court by trying to skirt around the decisions made in Loving v. Virginia and Obergefell v. Hodges by allowing anyone to refuse to perform a marriage due to their personal beliefs,” Chapman said. “This allows for blatant discrimination to occur by members of government and clergy, making it near impossible for some couples to get married in the most conservative parts of Tennessee.”



This article is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), and you are free to share and republish under the terms of the license.


CHRIS WALKERis a news writer at Truthout, and is based out of Madison, Wisconsin. Focusing on both national and local topics since the early 2000s, he has produced thousands of articles analyzing the issues of the day and their impact on the American people. He can be found on most social media platforms under the handle
@thatchriswalker.