Sunday, November 24, 2024

Leila Farsakh: Everybody Is Aware That The Two-State-Solution Is Dead
November 23, 2024
Source: Originally published by Z. Feel free to share widely.


A Pro-Palestinian student holds placard saying ‘Free Palestine’ as Pro-Palestinians students, holding banners and Palestinian flags, in front of the White House in Washington D.C., United States on May 24, 2024 [Celal Güneş/Anadolu Agency]

Leila Farsakh is professor of Political Science at the University of Massachusetts and the author of the pioneering work Palestinian Labour Migration to Israel: Labour, Land, and Occupation that remains a necessary read. In this interview she explains how the use and control of the Palestinian workers has become part of the Israeli system of apartheid and why the two-state-solution has been an important part of the Palestinians’ struggle for their rights but it is now time to find courage to move beyond it. In 2021 she has edited and contributed to a publication Rethinking Statehood in Palestine: Self-Determination and Decolonization Beyond Partition. Having spent summer in the West Bank she described what the international community allows to continue in Gaza as unfathomable.

In the book Rethinking Statehood in Palestine you write that partition as a solution for Palestine has failed but the one-state solution has not yet politically matured. It needs not only to become mainstream but Israel will have to accept it. This means it will have to “give up its privileges, uphold its international obligations, and renounce the ethno-racist definition of identity that Israel’s 2018 nationality law enshrined”. International Court of Justice reaffirmed the two-state-solution in its July’s opinion on the illegality of Israel’s occupation of the Palestinian territories. Why is it so hard to move beyond the two-states?

It has been the mantra of the last 30 years. And it has been the legal framework for the question of Palestine since 1947. The UN resolution 181 from 1947 did not say that there should be one, binational or federative, state. It said there should be two states – an Arab and a Jewish. This resolution has been very important for the international legal legitimacy of the state of Israel. Israel declared its independence in line with it.

The legal framework was reiterated in 1967 with the UN resolution 242 on the right of states to exist in peace and security. The resolution 242 denied the Palestinian existence, it omitted the Palestinian state and previous General Assembly Resolutions. It talked about the land-for-peace formula that gives land, occupied by Israel, in exchange for the recognition of Israel by neighbouring states. It eliminated the Palestinian question. The defeat of 1967 was in many ways worse than 1948. There was a realisation and a resolution to fight Zionism. Then, four Arab armies got crushed within 6 days. The message was that Israel was there to stay and Arab countries needed to find a way to live with it. The importance of the resolution 242 is that it denies the Palestinians a voice and delegates the solution to Israel and Arab countries.

But this did not happen?

No. The Palestinians asserted themselves globally in just seven years after that. In 1974 the PLO was invited to speak at the UN. It received an observer status. This recognition was incredible for a revolutionary movement. In 1974 Yasser Arafat was in the UN and said that the goal of the Palestinian struggle was to establish a democratic state inclusive of Jews, Muslims and Christians. The PLO programme was always a one state programme. However, Arafat was aware that international consensus was on partition.

Palestinians now see Arafat as trying to prepare them to accept that the only achievable goal was a Palestinian state on a small part of Palestine. Better than no state. A state gives you passport, rights, freedom from exile …

But a Palestinian state as one of the two states is a compromise?

Yes. Palestinians made this historical compromise in 1988 and again in Oslo. They renounced the idea of liberating all of Palestine so that Jews, Muslims and Christians could live together in a single state. Instead they acquiesced in creation of a Palestinian state on 22 percent of historic Palestine. This pragmatically played into the international consensus that Israel is here to stay and Arab countries will not defeat but make peace with it.

Some state is better than no state. People with no state have no rights. State bestows rights and ends refugee status. It gives passports and institutions to build autonomy, economy … All these are reasons why the Palestinian struggle was for a state – and the paid price has been very high. Israel tried to eliminate PLO in 1982. It was horrific. 15.000 people killed in Beirut in about 88 days.

The struggle has been long. Everybody says, that to accommodate the Palestinian rights to the land and the Zionist claim for their own state, the only solution is a two-state-solution. The tragedy is that Israel has proven time and again that it is not interested in it.

I claim that the Oslo Agreement might have been a bad thing but it has contributed something important – it was the first time the Zionists admitted there are the Palestinian people. Until then the Israel and Zionism relegated Palestinians as Arabs, as people from Jordan, or from the 22 countries they can go to …

Oslo changed this?

Yes. There was an official state recognition that there are Palestinian people with a right to self-determination. Israel’s rationale was that maybe it cannot eliminate the Palestinian people but it can contain them – with a promise of a statehood, which it never allows. Israel gave Palestinians a bantustan.

Palestinians have resisted the occupation but Israel has continued building settlements and it further divided Gaza from the West Bank. Israel has formally absolved itself of the responsibilities it has to the Palestinian population under its occupation by relegating these to the Palestinian Authority. And this is a model Israel is interested in pursuing: delegate to Palestinians to manage themselves while it controls more and more of their land.

And the EU and the US are covering the costs for Israel?

Yes, mostly the Europeans. During the 25 Oslo years there were 44 billion dollars given to the Palestinian Authority. European and American money sustain the occupation and try to build Palestinian institutions, infrastructure and compensate Israel’s destructions.

But with growing Israeli settlements it has become how to square a circle. In 2000s with Israel’s expansion of settlements people started to say that the two-state-solution was foregone. If we do not fool ourselves, we have a one state with apartheid reality. Between the river and the sea there is only one sovereign state and it is Israel: a state that privileges Jewish rights over all others’, especially over Palestinian rights. It grants Palestinians an amount of autonomy but no sovereignty.

Objections have grown that it is nice to wish for two states; but if no one stops Israel from building settlements, there will be no two states – while apartheid exists.

Politicians know this?

The international community is aware that the two-state-solution is not viable. In 2011 at a conference in Europe I said that doors on the two-state-solution were closing. They knew it. Everybody is aware that the two-state-solution is dead. The problem is no one is able to talk about one state.

Why?

First, a one-state-solution is much more difficult to implement than the two-state-solution. It demands answers to serious questions, with the key one being how to ensure Israel becomes a democratic state. How to ensure rights of Israelis and rights of Palestinians in a common state?

Second, what is missing, is a political party, a Palestinian coalition to come forward in support of a one-state-solution. We need something similar to The Freedom Charter in South Africa. There the African National Congress (ANC) was created in 1923 and it supported a partition. Only in 1956 they said no: “We want a democratic South Africa for everybody.” That was The Freedom Charter and it is what we lack currently among the Palestinians.

What are the reasons for this?

To name two: first, the last 35 years with all that has been invested in the belief in a state and in building institutions. Second, one state requires tackling Palestinian-Israeli rights. Palestinians never had problems with Jewish rights but how to ensure that Israelis accept to have equal instead of superior rights to Palestinians?

The current war on Gaza has made this even more difficult. It has shown that Zionism is genocidal. Even liberal Zionists say that Nakba is bad but Holocaust is worse, this is our ancestral land and we are the only indigenous. Such lines of arguing do not promote living with each other but eliminating the other. How to talk to people who are racist and narcissist and justify the massacres and the genocide of Palestinians in the name of their survival?

Therefore, it is first important to emphasize that Palestinians live in an Israeli apartheid regime. The more it becomes clear that Israel is a pariah the more we can seriously think and debate how to turn this pariah state into a democratic one. International community is not pushing this forward because it does not want to pressure Israel. But Israel must be shown that this is unacceptable. Israel has to be forced to stop. It has to stop receiving weapons.

Why has this not happened yet?

Because Israel serves geo-strategic interests of the US and Europe, and because of the long-present fears of anti-Semitism labels in the shadows of the historical crimes, which have been misused and weaponized by Israel, conflating anti-Semitism with anti-Zionism. To counter this we need a strong and clear, principled vision from politicians. Something the ICJ decision could embolden.

Today every recognition of the Palestinian statehood is symbolic but not irrelevant as it reaffirms the Palestinians’ right to self-determination.

But how can a fulfilment of this right be ensured?

Turning the Palestinians’ right to self-determination into real actions demands one of two: either forcing Israel to stop what it has been doing and penalize it, or propose a new configuration that recognizes the state of Palestine and the state of Israel together

Some propose a confederation: Israel does not recognize a Palestinian state. However, if we recognize the 1948 borders, remove checkpoints and illegal settlements with setters and allow refugees to return – and then each group manages its affairs. Palestinians already do it in a way in Area A in the West Bank, less so in Areas B and C. Israelis do it in Knesset. What is further needed is a federal common parliament, common foreign and defence policy. Different institutional arrangements are possible and so the two-state-solution can be joined into a one state reality. Organizations One Democratic State Campaign and A Land For All work in this direction. We do not lack options – the problem is the lack of will and the racist, exclusionary project that Zionism has proven to be.

You write that partitions are intrinsic to imperial colonialisms. Europe has imposed divide-and-rule tactics on Palestine but the two-states-solution also follows the ethno-nationalistic European model. Currently, the two-state-solution is presented as the only option but also demilitarization of Nazi Germany or Japan might have appeared as impossible at one point as demilitarization of Israel seems today. Does challenging a two-state-solution challenge also the existing world order, colonial matrix and ethno-national states?

The international pressure is of utmost importance. Israel was a product of nationalism, the ideology of 19th and 20th centuries. In the 21st century two forces are at play. The first strengthens nationalisms – the collapse of Yugoslavia might be the best example of how a different state model was collapsed into an ethno-national states. But the second force aims for unification: the EU, but also the United States of America, Germany has been unified in a federation.

With genocide unfolding in Gaza there is undoubtedly a lot of hatred, but hatred existed also between Nazi Germany, France and Poland. Yet, these countries made peace when they had got rid of the racist, fascist regimes. It is not easy but it is possible and feasible. In South Africa the driving force behind the ANC to end apartheid was not to ensure everybody loves one another but for all to have equal rights. This is very important. People want to live. And they accommodate. The problem is extremists.

The challenge for the Palestinians is how to overcome the mentality of defeat. How to reach beyond the acceptance that Zionism cannot be defeated and that the two-states-solution must be accepted as the least terrible offer?

The struggle for a Palestinian state was not in vain. It played an important role of affirming Palestinian political existence and our rights, but now its role is finished. It could not bring liberation as partition was based on colonial domination. If Oslo had been framed on Israel’s retreat from the West Bank and Gaza, it could have been different. But the Israeli retreat never occurred. Partition based on colonial structure made independence impossible and we have seen the high price of partition in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh. An additional complication in Palestine is that Zionism as a national liberation project for some Jewish people has proven to be eliminationist – it wants to eliminate the Palestinian people. Physically. In the past, in 1967, before the Oslo the Zionists believed that they had eliminated the Palestinians by not talking to them, by fighting and dispersing them, by ignoring them and talking only to other Arab states. Benjamin Netanyahu had in the last twenty years before October last year said so himself; forget the Palestinians, we have the Arab countries on our side. But the Palestinians were and are still there. Palestinians are not going to die out unless Israel eliminates all seven million of us.

What is needed to overcome this impasse that brings destruction, humiliation and killings for Palestinians?

Courage. We need courage from political leaders across the board and across the world.

Another complication is the regional configuration – Arab states are willing to accept Israel as a state, with the exception of the Axis of Resistance, which has a wide popular support among Arabs and Palestinians. Supporting Israel has become important for the USA and for the West in this configuration of the regional balance. Iran must not become more powerful than Israel and no country should have the power to disturb this balance.

You have mentioned Iran and before Yugoslavia. In the book you refer to the book on Palestine as a bi-national state by Martin Buber, Judas Magnus and Moses Smilansky, as well as the publications by the Palestine Liberation Organization. The confederative model for Palestine was proposed and supported in 1947 also by Yugoslavia, India and Iran at the UN. Yugoslav diplomat Vladimir Simič wrote about joint, Jewish and Palestinian workers’ strikes against the British capitalist rulers during the British mandate. What importance do these experiences and ideas have today?

They are important because people forget – especially now, in a war. Palestinian workers who work in Israel are workers who build houses and roads there. These relations have always transcended divisions.

The problem is exclusion, and the core problem is the nation state. Hannah Arendt wrote about this as a Jewish author and as a Zionist up to a point, claiming similarly like Magnus and others, that Jewish people are a nation but do not need a Jewish state to exist. They saw a problem in Zionism as it tried to compress the richness of the Jewish history into a history of European Jews and universalize their ideas among all Jews. Jews have always been part of the Middle East and Palestine. Arab Jews had existed for two thousand years until Israel proclaimed everybody to be Israelis. However, an Israeli is supposed to be a white, civilized man.

Zionism eliminated all histories of cooperation and lives lived together. It negated all non-Zionist histories. Zionists claimed to be the indigenous and believed this gave them the right to displace and eliminate all other people from the land. The non-Zionist histories of cooperation and coexistence have always existed. The problem arises when you create an exclusionary state built on the idea of a supremacist right of the Jews to have a state of their own. This negates historical developments and processes. Creation of a Jewish state emerged at a certain historical time. But if a state does not adapt to the reality, history tells us, it will eventually vanish.

Israel has been trying to create a reality to claim it is a Western state, the only democracy in the region of Arab savages where it serves the interests of Europe. Isaac Herzog, president of Israel, said after 7th October that Israel was dealing with barbarians and defending Europe – a repeat of a Theodor Herzl phrase from his 1896 book The Jewish State. But we are not in the 1930s or 1940s Europe, when racism was legitimate. Almost 130 years later, in times of post-racism, repeating such a phrase is problematic and emblematic of two things. First, of innate racism, and second, of Europe’s dire involvement in the creation of the Jewish state.

The problem will not be solved unless Europe deals with its history and not in a way Germany does it, trying to whitewash its responsibility for the Holocaust by throwing it onto Palestinians. The European origin is partly why the occupation of Palestine has been with us for so long. Europe is responsible but does not solve it. And the present war proves yet gain how Israel is dependant on imperial support.

Israel is a technological and surveillance strongman – it exports military technology to Europe, the USA and around the world. Yet it was defeated. The October 7 pushed Israel into a big crisis but instead of learning from it Israel is doubling down on its violence.

Trauma can teach humility, but in Israel we see only arrogance and more narcissism with a growing sense of superiority and uniqueness. Israelis do not recognize that there are structures that create either oppression or stability and liberation. One’s liberation can never be at the expense of someone else’s liberation.

And creating trauma in others does not bring security …

At all. Survival does not depend on the elimination of the other but on learning how to live together, with one another.

You write that the Palestinian citizens of Israel could be best placed to lead the movement for a different, not a two-states model. However, Palestinians of ’48 have been for decades humiliated, subjugated and conditioned to reject their Palestinian identity. Since Oslo the Palestinian Authority has left them to be a domestic Israeli issue. What do you recognize in their position?

The Palestinians of ’48 are very important although, they are undoubtedly under great pressure. Why I believe they can lead the movement for a one democratic state is that they best understand the Israeli society as they have lived in it. They remain also part of the Palestinian political community, wanting to be free from the Israeli oppression.

Despite the oppression and discrimination they have the freedom of movement with a passport they might not really like. They live this combination of ‘privilege’ and bare survival.

However, they exemplify what a one state could look like. Israel is very scared of them and represses them whenever they start to be politically active for a Palestinian cause and for a one state. This happened to Azmi Bishara, who was among the first to call on Israel to become a state of all its citizens. He was stripped of his diplomatic immunity as a member of Knesset and has been exiled in Qatar for over 15 years.

We have seen the repercussions during the Second Intifada when Palestinians of ’48 demonstrated in support of the Palestinians in the West Bank – 12 were killed.

This violence serves to scare and to convey the message that no solidarity is to be shown with other Palestinians.

In 2021, during the Dignity Intifada, people said, we are all Palestinians, we are all discriminated against and we will all fight for our rights. The October 7 surged the Israeli repression of the ’48 and ’67 Palestinians. People have ended up in prison for online posts.

Politics in the context of colonial confrontation involve violence. It is a tragedy that you cannot liberate yourself from colonialism without paying a very high price. For Palestinians just organizing has become a challenge. The Palestinian political parties in Israel try to accommodate Zionism and support the two state solution. Most of the Israelis cannot conceive of themselves living as equals with the Palestinians – they have been taught that they can be safe only if they have a state of their own. This belief needs to change – safety does not come from having a state for oneself but from having a state of democracy for everyone. This Zionist argument is the same as the argument of the white supremacists in America, it is the same argument that white nationalists had in South Africa. It is an argument of every racist. Palestinians in 1948 are facing a big challenge but I do not see how else the shift can happen.

Some put their hopes in the Diaspora but I see it only as a support. We play an important role and there have been mass mobilizations in America and Europe, but it is the people on the land who need to figure out how to live together.

And they know the reality of the everyday life?

Yes. In the Diaspora we have passports. We can move freely. The Palestinians on the ground are without their basic freedoms and live under the Zionist oppressor state. Our struggle is connected but different.

In 2005 you published a pivotal work Palestinian Labour Migration to Israel. What stirred your interest?

It was an intriguing question I have researched in my PhD. Why are Palestinians building homes of Israelis? In my fieldwork I focused on the illegal settlements. I wanted to understand the economic forces that made Palestinians work for Israeli companies.

The situation in Palestine has always been presented as a conflict about land. The economic dimensions, though, also how you acquire the land, were not well understood. My interest was workers. Labour and land together give economic power. Israel opened the borders to Palestinians after 1967 and during the 1980s and 1990s somewhere between a third and two fifths of all Palestinians worked at one point in Israel. After Oslo, for the workers from Gaza this percentage dropped to a tenth in 1996. In the West Bank this drop came later. I wanted to understand this change.

I researched the history, the sectors in which the Palestinians worked …

And these were?

Mostly construction. Workers were therefore the majority men. For Israel it was cost-effective because the Palestinian workers had homes and the Israeli employers did not have to pay for their social insurance, making them cheaper than immigrant workers. Israel has built itself cheaply by exploiting Palestinian workers.

During my research the illegal settlements were expanding. It was clear how Israel used economic mechanisms to ascertain and decide a political project of settlements to assert their presence on the land – by using the Palestinian labour. It also deepened the integration.

I found the process that started in 1995 fascinating because some years before Israel severed its connection to Gaza. The removal of the illegal settlements in Gaza in 2005 was not a 21st century project. Israel was preparing for it much before that. There is a 2002 document on Israeli political establishment’s decision to reduce the reliance on Gaza workers but continue these relations in the West Bank. They wanted to get out of Gaza, which they had already depleted at that point but the West Bank they wanted to integrate into Israel. Settlements were a tool for that and to build them cost effectively they needed Palestinian workers. Simultaneously, these workers were made more dependent on Israel. Thus, Israel did not foster a two state solution or a separation between the Palestinians and the Israelis. It built an apartheid reality and killed a two state solution.

By using economic rationale?

Yes. The killing of the two state solution happened with an economic and not just the territorial mechanisms and tools. This fascinated me. By coincidence the book was published in the year Israel disengaged its physical presence from Gaza. How this happened and how they prepared for it, was all explained. I had built on the work of Sara Roy but focused on the labour. I wanted to show how labour and land are integrated.

Was there also a psychological rationale for Israel? To create self-blame, dependency, cynicism…

Of course. Relying on the Palestinian labour from the West Bank created the basis for cooptation. The Palestinian workers do not want to lose their salaries and livelihoods. You rely on them. At the same time you build the Palestinian Authority and the Europeans help finance it, while you control how far this can develop.

It creates a dependency but it also betters the quality of life. People become busy with their individual rights and put aside the collective political project. Not the least because Israel makes them pay dearly if they do not.

This worked up to a point. In 2000s with the Second Intifada it broke but it was later rebuilt and continued successfully under the Fayyad government. After Covid, for the first time, there were 250.000 Palestinians working in the Israeli economy, including the illegal settlements. The message was clear: you keep quiet and you get a good life.

On the other hand, there was a lack of Palestinian workers in the Palestinian economy. Working for Israel paid double. After last October people again work wherever they can because the Palestinian economy is completely repressed by Israel.

Israel thought it had solved the “problem” of Gaza by confining it behind a big wall and putting it under a siege. It thought Hamas was contained in Gaza by threatening the PA with the same consequences if there was an engagement with Hamas.

This has been the Zionist mantra: we want to have nothing to do with the Palestinians, they can deal with themselves; we will just take their land. My research showed however, that to appropriate land you need labour and you cannot have the land without the people. Israel used the carrot-and-stick technique. It managed to prevent all reconciliation attempts between Palestinian political factions because it had ensured that Fatah and the PA have too much to lose. It divided and conquered.

Did it surprise you after the October 7 that there were around 17. 500 day workers from Gaza in Israel?

No. It is part of the pacification. Occupation does not work only on the macro level but happens on the micro level as well. The construction companies want cheap labour, soldiers make deals here and there with permits. It is business, not even corruption. Issuing permits brings money. Moreover, it is about sustaining the population. Israel’s approach towards Palestinians, especially in Gaza has been to give enough to survive but not to thrive.

Shocking was that Gaza was despite the Israeli policies able to have 36 hospitals and 12 universities, defying the siege in ways we never thought possible. The most important is the desire to live no matter what and Gaza has shown incredible resilience and ingenuity. It built its own recycling economy.

The tragedy is the Palestinian disunity that effects the national movement. The October 7 events were catastrophic. One year later there might be a way to demand the Palestinian rights in a broader way beyond the statehood. Today even Hamas supports the two-state-solution.

Important is the BDS movement, calling for Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions as it relies on the international law and is non-violent. Especially lately but ever since it started in 2005 it galvanized populations in America, Europe and around the world. Israel’s attempts to mark it as anti-Semitic do not work. The example of South Africa is strong. At the end of the day it is the civilian means that hold states accountable to international law, especially if they claim to be democratic.

Just to return for a moment to the Palestinian workers in Israel and in the illegal settlements. Is their work perceived as a betrayal?

No, this has passed. It was considered a betrayal in the 1970s, as something shameful in the 1980s but now people see it simply as a way to survive. People would do anything to stay on the land and if this is the only way, then let it be. Especially as there is the awareness that the Palestinian Authority is both illegitimate and incapable. It is an early confirmation of a one state. We have the reality of a one state despite the discourse set on the two-state-solution. It is a mantra, void except for reaffirming the Palestinian political agency.

How important is the aspect of class struggle in this combination of capitalist and colonial apartheid oppression?

It is important, as it is a global question. Workers organizing and trade union solidarity are important everywhere. In the Palestinian society capitalism is strong and alive. There are investment funds, more than 25 banks and the Palestinian economy today is an indebted economy. This makes political organizing much more difficult. The neoliberal capitalist economy devastates everybody. It enriches few and makes everyone else poorer, also in Palestine.

Unions as a form of collective organizing are very important. They generate solidarity and are a step away from neoliberal individualized sense of fulfilment and prosperity.

Since your book was published have there arose aspects that need to be better understood?

Many things have changed but the dynamics of relying on cheap Palestinian labour to build illegal Israeli settlements remain, as does the maintenance of the apartheid system.

Walid Habbas has since written on this topic, introducing a very important dimension of the securitization industry. With the wall and the checkpoints, the goods terminals and the automated recognition technology it represents a whole new economic sector that relies on labour, on the Israel’s security agencies and Israeli security companies. What has changed is also how the Palestinian workers are paid and this entrenches the control over the banks. The management of the labour flow, which was more flexible in the past, now fuels this new, securitization economy that is more invasive, controlling and prevalent.

You have mentioned the Israel’s control over the Palestinian economic development. How important is to match the BDS movement with a support for the Palestinian economy and producers – is it at all possible?

It is very important, as it is a form of support. But the boycott is pivotal. If we want to help the Palestinian economy, we need to boycott the Israeli goods and products, and defend the Palestinian ones. We all have to do our part. Europe, the EU and the Europeans. Accusations of anti-Semitism should be tackled head on. No, it is not reminiscent of the boycott of the Jewish products in the Nazi Germany. This is a boycott of products from Israel because Israel violates the international law and is committing genocide. Israel has elaborated the system to constrain the Palestinian export by making everything cumbersome. It is strategic. There are hundreds of forms and checks and policies of monitoring and controlling the goods going in and out of the illegally occupied Palestinian territories. It is a fascinating sector of the occupation and apartheid. But the only way to stop a bully or an aggressor is to put up limits to them and not indulge them in their behaviour.
Why the IRA Didn’t Help Democrats

“Energy workers,” a union leader told us, “are politically homeless.” Here’s why the IRA legislation didn’t do much to change things.
November 24, 2024
Source: Jacobin

Wikimedia Commons

Last June I drove to Homer City, Pennsylvania, to talk to Aric Baker, the head of International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 459. The Homer City Generating Station, Pennsylvania’s largest coal-fired power plant, was set to close before the July 4 holiday. One hundred of his union members would soon be out of work; the indirect costs of the closure would be larger. Homer City, a small town in western Pennsylvania already struggling since the closure of surrounding coal mines decades earlier, would suffer another blow.

Although the Inflation Reduction Action (IRA) was passed a year earlier and incentivized investments in “energy communities” like Homer City, the promise of future green investments was little consolation to union workers who needed a new job in two weeks. The IRA had no direct assistance to workers displaced by the energy transition, leaving Local 459 members to search for other jobs or take unemployment. With few comparable jobs in the region, many left the state altogether. As for green energy, Baker observed that the solar plant down the road was advertising $15 per hour wages at the local job fair. His members made at least $100,000 a year.

The union leader was angry and conflicted: he saw that Republicans were anti-union and that Donald Trump’s promise to “dig more coal” had not panned out. He understood that coal was being undermined by natural gas and “wasn’t the fuel of the future.” But he also felt deserted by Democrats, who appeared to have little consideration for the workers who had spent decades working night shifts and weekends to keep the lights on for the rest of America. “Energy workers,” he told me, “are politically homeless.”

Trump’s resounding victory this month underscores that many such workers have found a new home. When we spoke again shortly after the election, Baker acknowledged almost his whole membership voted for Trump, along with about 70 percent of Indiana County. Energy workers are part of the larger migration of blue-collar workers — especially from regions ravaged by deindustrialization — to the Trump camp.

The story of Homer City provides some insight into why the IRA, the signature legislative accomplishment of the Biden administration, failed to arrest this slide. It underscores the missed opportunity that was Joe Biden’s first two years in office, and it illuminates what Democrats will have to do better if they hope to ever regain mass working-class support.
The Green New Deal

First, the missed opportunity. Recall that Democrats took office in 2020 with control — albeit slim — of both houses and a tremendous upswell of enthusiasm around what its progressive flank called the Green New Deal (GND). The GND represented a profound break from traditional environmentalism: instead of calling for sacrifice and doing with less, the GND promised more to the working class. It would be a positive program coupling climate action with redistribution “from the 1% to the 99%.” It would mean investment in green jobs — like those promised for Homer City — but they would be high-paying union jobs.

Crucially, there would be a slew of “Just Transition” policies that would deal directly with the type of situation that Local 459 was facing as the country transitioned from fossil fuels to renewables. These would go beyond the usual proposals for vocational training. For younger workers, the GND would include things like guaranteed wage replacements: the government making up the pay difference, if it existed, between old fossil fuel jobs and new jobs for a transitional period. Older workers could be offered early retirement with full pay and pension.

Fiscally, economists calculated, this was entirely feasible. Politically, it need not be seen as welfare: call it the “Energy Veterans Bill” to honor the hard work and sacrifices borne by the generations of workers, such as those in Homer City, who have powered the country. And for the majority of people not lucky enough to have union jobs, there would be a slew of material investments that would directly improve people’s lives: child tax credits, universal health care, paid family leave, cheap clean electricity, and more.Instead of calling for sacrifice and doing with less, the Green New Deal promised more to the working class.

Nancy Pelosi famously dismissed the “green dream, or whatever they call it,” and establishment Democrats balked at the price tag of this “progressive wish list.” Many today undoubtedly consider it unrealistic — but consider the fact that a major downpayment on this vision was one Senate vote away from passing.
From Build Back Better to the Inflation Reduction Act

Yes, I am talking about the Build Back Better (BBB) bill, the far more expansive precursor to what eventually became the IRA. With pressure from the progressive fraction of the party, including Bernie Sanders and the Squad from within Congress, Biden had embraced what would have been the most ambitious social policy since the War on Poverty.

In addition to accelerating the energy transition, BBB would have dramatically improved the lives of most working people. It would have made permanent the pandemic-era child tax credit expansion, which during its year of existence generated a record 30 percent reduction in child poverty (its expiration, in turn, produced a record increase in child poverty). It would have ensured that Americans making less than $300,000 would pay no more than 7 percent of their income on childcare (imagine that after the pandemic). It would have reduced health care premiums under the Affordable Care Act, expanded Medicaid coverage, and covered home health care. It would have made the most significant investment in affordable housing in US history. It would have provided universal paid family and medical leave. It would have made community college free. It had stringent labor standards for clean energy investments.

There was one major weakness in BBB: it neglected Just Transition policies that would have most directly dealt with the type of pain being experienced by energy workers in Homer City. Otherwise, the draft bill reflected the core premise of the Green New Deal: it coupled urgently needed climate action with direct material benefits to the working class that, its proponents hoped, would help build an enduring progressive political coalition.

We are by now familiar with its fate. With only the narrowest control of the Senate, Democrats needed the vote of West Virginia senator Joe Manchin. Unhappy with all the “handouts” — which would have dramatically improved countless lives in his own state — he vetoed almost all of it and walked away. It seemed that the Democrats would get nothing for their efforts until Manchin came back to the table and hammered out the IRA with Chuck Schumer. Gone were the expansive social programs of the BBB, as well as any “sticks” to hasten the transition from fossil fuels. What remained instead were tax breaks for all kinds of green energy and green manufacturing investments, as well as plenty for the fossil fuel industry (especially in carbon capture). Liberals celebrated the United States’ “historic” climate legislation, which was certainly the centerpiece of Biden’s domestic agenda.
The Shortcomings of Elite Climate Policy

In terms of incentivizing investment, the IRA was indeed a success: in just the two years since its passage, the IRA has incentivized approximately $89 billion of investment into green energy and manufacturing. Over the same period, investment in clean manufacturing quadrupled. Investment in renewable energy production and industrial decarbonization increased by 43%. Massive battery plants and electric vehicle (EV) factories are under construction, many in red states.The IRA did so little politically for the Democrats is because it did so little for the working class.

So why did none of this make any electoral difference for the Democrats? Why did Kamala Harris hardly even mention the IRA — the Biden administration’s largest legislative achievement — on the campaign trail? One can argue that Harriss wanted to sidestep “anti-green” attacks and avoid reminding voters of inflation which, after Manchin’s rebranding, the IRA was ostensibly meant to counteract. But this begs the question of why the IRA’s political strengths did not outweigh these vulnerabilities.

The answer is that the IRA’s direct beneficiaries were companies, not voters. When Manchin was done with it, every provision of Build Back Better that would have put money directly into the pockets of working-class Americans was gone. In their place were tax credits for corporations, green or otherwise (fossil fuel companies also received massive subsidies). The IRA was green industrial policy, rather than a Green New Deal.

It is undoubtedly true that IRA tax breaks enabled investments that ultimately create jobs. Over time, these might even change the economic base of select regions. And that could, ultimately, build political support for the energy transition. But that is a long game, as Biden officials themselves acknowledged.

As the expanding solar manufacturing plant in Marjorie Taylor Greene’s Georgia district underscores, a thousand jobs at a green manufacturing site is great and may be political insurance for the IRA — but it’s not going to change the political affiliations of a region or state. An EV factory under construction may be just one more job site for the itinerant tradesman. A battery plant employing one thousand people in Weirton, West Virginia, is fantastic, but not enough to make up for the many thousands that used to work in the town’s now-shuttered steel plant, much less the loss of fifty thousand coal jobs in the state since the 1970s (for which the coal industry has successfully blamed Democrats and the Environmental Protection Agency). Even when green investments do line up with the phase-out of gray industries, they often don’t provide jobs of equivalent quality. Baker’s observation about the relatively low wages offered by the nearby solar plant is borne out by national data: right now, jobs in renewables are on average lower paying than those in fossil fuels.

In sum, the IRA did so little politically for the Democrats because it did so little for the working class. That the Biden administration’s two years of congressional control yielded so little is a tragedy of historic proportions. Instead of unleashing a virtuous cycle where widespread material gains generate political coalitions for even bigger gains, the Democrats settled for elite climate and industrial policy that offered no alternative to Trump’s channeling of working-class discontent into xenophobia.

It would be tempting to just blame Manchin, who certainly deserves infamy for ensuring that Democrats had almost nothing to show for their four years in office. But one thing that the senator said was certainly true: if progressives want something like a Green New Deal, they need to elect more people like themselves into office.

It is hard to know when that will happen. Given the dysfunction and elite capture of the Democratic Party, it would only come about through strong social movement pressure from below. But if this resounding rejection of the Democrats almost everywhere outside of cities makes one thing clear, it is that delivering direct material benefits to the working class — in places like Homer City — must return to the center of the Democratic agenda if they are to have a prayer of counteracting Trump’s fascistic channeling of working-class discontent. As Aric Baker put it, “If the Democrats don’t get their heads out of their ass and start paying attention to what was thrown in their face with this election, there’s no turning back. We’re just going to get run over by the Republican agenda.” If and when their heads emerge, the Democrats will need to deliver in ways that the IRA did not.

Michael Levien is an associate professor of sociology at Johns Hopkins University, where he is also affiliated with the Ralph O’Connor Sustainable Energy Institute. He is writing a book on the carbon capture boom in Louisiana.
Can Earth Support a Human Future? Maybe, If the Rich Consume Less.

Due to their extravagant habits, the richest 1 percent produces more greenhouse gas than half the global population.
November 24, 2024
Source: TruthOut


The latest study by renowned Dutch climate scientist Klaus Hubacek and his team offers an eye-opening look at the 1 percent’s extravagant consumer behaviors that — in combination with rampant militarism and the continued dominance of the fossil fuel industry — are pushing the Earth toward disastrous climate tipping points from which there might be no return.

Published last week in the journal Nature, the study found that the world’s richest 1 percent are responsible for a staggering 50 times more greenhouse gas pollution than the 4 billion people on the bottom half of the global economic scale combined.

Disparities are only growing. The global wealth gap has exploded over the past decade, according to the aid group Oxfam International. Since 2020, the world’s richest 1 percent has captured nearly two-thirds of all newly created wealth.

The United States and other wealthy fossil fuel economies are disproportionately responsible for the climate crisis compared to poorer nations, creating a constant source of tension at international climate talks. However, massive disparities in resource and energy consumption also exist within individual countries, and Hubacek’s study breaks an extensive dataset down to 201 “consumption groups” across 168 nations.

In the U.S. and many other wealthy countries, the environmental footprint left behind by the richest 10 percent dwarfs the footprint of the bottom 10 percent on the economic ladder, the study finds. The top 10 percent of consumers living in wealthy nations such as Germany or Luxembourg have vastly different consumption habits than the richest 10 percent in the Republic of Congo, for example, and the study goes beyond previous research to account for these disparities.

Hubacek, a professor at the University of Groningen and a lead author of the most recent United Nations climate report, has devoted his career to examining how humans are performing within what are known as “planetary boundaries.” Scientists use these planetary boundaries as frameworks to examine how much human exploitation the planet can absorb before the ecosystems we depend on collapse.

“The basic calculation is, given a certain number of people on the planet and the planetary boundaries, how much can we consume to stay inside these limits?” Hubacek explained in a statement last week.

With 8 billion people living on Earth, we are burning through resources and accelerating climate disruption at a rapid pace. The study examines how different consumer groups contribute to key indicators such as climate change and carbon pollution emissions, fertilizer usage, land loss and system change, and freshwater consumption to gauge what needs to change before the planet is pushed to the brink.

The world’s top 10 percent of consumers were responsible for a whopping 43 percent of climate-warming carbon pollution, the study found. On a per capita basis, the environmental impacts of the top 10 percent were 4.2 to 77 times that of the bottom 10 percent, with large disparities in terms of climate-warming carbon emissions and the extinction of animal species.

Scientists determined in 2023 that humanity has already crossed six of nine observed “planetary boundaries,” overshooting the safe limits for human life in terms of carbon in the atmosphere, biosphere integrity and the availability of fresh drinking water. At this point, the rate of species extinction is estimated to be at least 10 times faster than the average rate over the past 10 million years, meaning that the planet’s genetic diversity has crossed over into the danger zone.

Even though many emissions result from institutions such as large militaries that would require government action to change (emissions that exist outside the sphere of individual consumer choices), the study emphasizes that the people with the most wealth and agency — higher-income people living in high-income countries — can make much more of a difference than everyone else. The study stresses that the choices made by those with the most privilege present both a threat to global ecological stability and an opportunity for change.

“Our results challenge the pessimistic view that reducing consumption requires a return to primitive lifestyles, showing instead that substantial environmental benefits can be achieved by moderating the consumption of the affluent,” the authors wrote.

If those with the most privilege were, en masse, to stop engaging in excessive travel on airplanes, excessive consumption of luxury goods and the consumption of red meat, the study suggests the results could be dramatic.

For example, if the top 10 percent adopted the consumption habits of the average European, or even the modest consumers within their own economic class, global pressure on the environment would decrease by 9 to 23 percent, and “overshoots” of the planetary boundaries would be mitigated by 18 to 81 percent.

For this reason, Hubacek’s team argues that new technology is not necessary to save the planet; rather, a massive, global sea change in the diet and lifestyles of top consumers would do the trick. The authors point to numerous studies showing that progressive taxes on luxury goods can start to curb overconsumption among the rich while funding environmental cleanup programs.

This is far from the first time scientists have warned that the rich people of the world are responsible for the most environmental damage. A global explosion of affluence over the past half-century has continuously increased pollution and gobbled up resources far more rapidly than advances in technology can keep up with.

Meanwhile, billionaires are building luxury doomsday bunkers and launching themselves into space as they fantasize about relocating to a different planet entirely if humanity happens to burn this one out. While Hubacek’s latest study shows that solutions to existential environmental crises are right in front of us, the authors are also sober about today’s political realities.

“Targeting affluent groups with mitigation measures may face resistance owing to their political power,” the authors wrote. “Bottom-up actions, which play a crucial role in cultural and value changes are vital for pushing top-down changes and establishing maximum consumption thresholds through democratic decision-making.”
Musk and Ramaswamy: The Smartest Most Clueless Guys in the Room


Is DOGE just short for greedy libertarian billionaire dipshits?



Jeff Ruch
Nov 23, 2024
Common Dreams

This week, Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, the co-directors of a non-existent Department of Government Efficiency (or DOGE), authored a Wall Street Journalop-ed outlining their vision for restructuring the entire federal government. The piece, entitled “The DOGE Plan to Reform Government," is notable for the combination of its breadth in scope and utter cluelessness.

As a key point, the duo decries “millions of unelected, unappointed civil servants” within an “ever-growing bureaucracy [which] represents an existential threat to our republic.” In fact, there are currently a total of less than 3 million federal civilian employees. This workforce is smaller than the same total in 1990. It is also smaller than the federal civilian workforce at the end of World War II, some 80 years ago.

Contrary to the impression that federal employment is spiraling out of control, overall, the total federal workforce has remained largely static, despite steady population growth over the decades. In addition, well more than one-third of all federal civilian employees now work in just three agencies: Defense, Veterans Affairs, and Homeland Security. These departments are hardly hotbeds of what they are calling “illicit regulations.”

Their assumption, prior to any analysis, is that thousands of federal workers should be fired. Their thesis does not allow for the possibility that some federal agencies are significantly understaffed. Also unmentioned are government contractor jobs, such as those at Musk’s Space X, estimated to number well more than double the total of all federal civilian employees who are supposed to manage this ever-growing stream of funding with fewer people.

To guide these reductions, they propose that the “number of federal employees to cut should be at least proportionate to the number of federal regulations that are nullified.” What, if anything, does that mean for agencies such as the National Park Service, Social Security Administration, or the State Department—agencies with big workforces but little regulatory footprint?

Contrary to the impression that federal employment is spiraling out of control, overall, the total federal workforce has remained largely static, despite steady population growth over the decades.

Even more striking is that these two themselves concede they do not have any concrete idea of what needs to be changed. That is because, as they profess, they are “entrepreneurs” with no expertise in this field. Instead, this effort will rely upon a yet-to-be-assembled “lean team of small-government crusaders, including some of the sharpest technical and legal minds in America.”

Presumably, these "sharpest minds" will want to be paid a salary commensurate with their market value. Consequently, this hiring spree would be a curious first step in an effort to cut costs and reduce federal payrolls.

Despite pledging to cutback agency staffing, Musk and Ramaswamy say they will be working “with experts embedded in government agencies, aided by advanced technology” to compile a “list of regulations” for President Trump to suspend enforcement or “initiate the process for review and rescission.” Notably, these embedded, apparently otherwise unoccupied “experts” resemble the very people this duo wants to fire on day one.

Moreover, the idea that “advanced technology” would serve as a magic wand to analyze the need for regulations sounds somewhat fanciful. Presumably, in this world of regulation by chatbots, AI would need a detailed orientation before being effectively unleashed government-wide.


Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump greets U.S. entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy while speaking during a campaign rally at the Atkinson Country Club on January 16, 2024 in Atkinson, New Hampshire. (Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Image)

Perhaps the most eyebrow-raising part of their essay is their vow to stand up to the “entrenched interests in Washington” who benefit from unjustified government largesse. Yet, one of the most favored special interests, in terms of billions in subsidies consumed, is the oil and gas industry. This is the same industry that Candidate Trump has promised behind closed doors to protect in return for their campaign contributions. This is one promise he can be expected to keep.

In addition, despite portraying themselves as disinterested “volunteers” guided only by the U.S. Constitution as their "North Star," Mr. Musk has substantial business dealings with the federal government. Presumably, the billions NASA spends on Space X contracts will be spared DOGE's harshest scrutiny.

One of the very few specific examples the pair cites is the nearly trillion-dollar Pentagon, which cannot pass an agency-wide audit. However, to manage this fiscal behemoth, President-elect Trump has tapped Pete Hegseth, a person with no discernible management experience whatsoever.

Nor is it a promising sign that the House of Representatives is creating a new subcommittee to liaison with DOGE to be headed by one Marjorie Taylor Greene. This would appear to illustrate the widely held belief that cluelessness is not a quality improved by doubling down.''




Our work is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). Feel free to republish and share widely.

Jeff Ruch is the former Executive Director of Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility (PEER) and now serves as its Pacific Director.
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Why Elon Musk can never balance the budget, in one chart

Elon Musk wants to slash trillions in “waste.” Good luck, buddy!


by Dylan Matthews
Nov 24, 2024
VOX


US President-elect Donald Trump and Elon Musk watch the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket on November 19, 2024, in Brownsville, Texas. 
Brandon Bell/Getty Images


Two. Trillion. Dollars.

That’s how much Elon Musk, co-chair of President-elect Donald Trump’s new “Department of Government Efficiency,” or DOGE, has said he can cut out of the annual federal budget. Musk and his partner Vivek Ramaswamy have suggested that they can achieve this through “mass head-count reductions across the federal bureaucracy,” by cracking down on spending “unauthorized” by Congress, and “large-scale audits” of federal contracts. Their target wouldn’t be entitlement programs “like Medicare and Medicaid,” they say, but “waste, fraud, and abuse that nearly all taxpayers wish to end.”


If you could actually cut this much, it would wipe out the US’s $1.9 trillion deficit and put the country into surplus for the first time since the 2001 fiscal year. But let’s be clear: There is no way in hell Musk and Ramaswamy are going to be able to identify $2 trillion in annual spending to cut, and they certainly will not get anywhere near that number without congressional action.


To see why, consult this simple chart of projected federal spending in fiscal year 2025, which began on October 1:




I’m using the current fiscal year, but you’ll see something similar in any given year. The biggest single program is Social Security (which I’ve grouped here with its companion program, Supplemental Security Income). Trump has promised he will not cut 1 cent from Social Security, so that’s roughly $1.6 trillion out of the $7 trillion budget off the table.


The next-largest is interest payments on federal debt, accumulated from prior deficits. Musk’s America PAC has bafflingly listed this as a form of government waste, but failing to pay interest on past debt would constitute a US default and likely lead to a national, and probably global, financial crisis and recession. While we can reduce future deficits and pay less interest in the future, we’re obligated to pay interest on debt we’ve already accumulated.



So there’s nothing to save here either. Already we’ve ruled out over a third of total spending.


Next up is defense spending. Musk and Ramaswamy highlighted wasteful Pentagon spending in their Wall Street Journal op-ed, so this money could face some cuts. But Trump massively increased defense spending in his first years in office, and his congressional allies, like incoming Senate Armed Services chair Roger Wicker (R-MS), have proposed trillions in additional spending to counter China. Trump’s attitude toward the defense budget, as with his attitude on so many things, vacillated wildly during his first term, so perhaps he will side with Musk and Ramaswamy and seek to lower defense spending. But that’s far from guaranteed.


If defense spending is off the table, we’ve ruled out more than half the budget.


So what would they likely cut? They might look first to Medicare and Medicaid, which are responsible for over $1.5 trillion. Musk and Ramaswamy insisted that these are not their targets, but it’s hard to see how they’d avoid that. For one thing, there are places where Medicare in particular overspends where policymakers in both parties want to crack down; its practice of paying more for care in hospitals than at smaller facilities is a prime example. For another, Trump proposed massive cuts to Medicaid last term.


Then there’s non-defense discretionary spending, a grab-bag category that includes all spending authorized through annual appropriations bills rather than mandated by other legislation. The biggest category is transportation, which pays for things like air traffic control and national highways. Next up is veterans’ care and benefits. Support for science, public health/research, law enforcement, and education (including federal support for K–12 schools) each receive around or a little over $100 billion annually. This category has been cut to the bone since the 2010s as it is, and it’s hard to imagine Musk and Ramaswamy going up against veterans or cops.


Finally, there’s other mandatory spending, not broken out in the above chart but including a wide array of safety net programs:





Huge chunks of this feel politically and practically off-limits. Military retirement and veterans’ benefits (which fall under both the non-defense discretionary and mandatory parts of the budget) seem politically impossible to cut, and even civilian employee retirements would be difficult to cut back given that employees have paid into those accounts themselves for years.


The Children’s Health Insurance Program and foster care have long enjoyed bipartisan support. Trump and JD Vance have proposed expanding the child tax credit, making savings there unlikely.


That leaves programs like food stamps, the Affordable Care Act health insurance credits, and unemployment insurance.


Let’s suppose that Musk and Ramaswamy decide to really go for it. They’re going to cut non-defense discretionary spending in half, maybe by shutting down all scientific and health research and K–12 school aid. They’re slashing Medicare and Medicaid by a quarter, and they’re eliminating food stamps, ACA credits, and unemployment insurance entirely. These, to be clear, are all cuts that would require congressional approval and that Musk, Ramaswamy, and Trump could not achieve through executive action alone. Furthermore, they’re cuts that seem politically impossible to push through. For the sake of argument, let’s suppose this is the package.


Doing the math, even this unbelievably ambitious package would amount to a little over $1.1 trillion annually. It’s barely halfway to Musk’s stated goal.


The notion that the federal government is hopelessly bloated due to waste that every reasonable person wants to eliminate is an appealing myth, but it’s a myth. Government spending overwhelmingly goes to wildly popular programs like Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, veterans’ benefits, and the defense budget. You can’t make much of a dent in it without touching those areas, and once you touch them, you’re going to get immense backlash.



Dylan Matthews is a senior correspondent and head writer for Vox’s Future Perfect section and has worked at Vox since 2014. He is particularly interested in global health and pandemic prevention, anti-poverty efforts, economic policy and theory, and conflicts about the right way to do philanthropy.



Musk and Ramaswamy’s Doge: Mass Firings, Deregulation, and the Erosion of Federal Protections

Critics argue that these plans will erode social safety nets, undermine public services, and disproportionately benefit corporate interests.
November 24, 2024
Source: Nation Of Change



President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, has unveiled an ambitious blueprint to overhaul federal operations through sweeping deregulation, mass firings, and severe spending cuts. Critics argue that these plans will erode social safety nets, undermine public services, and disproportionately benefit corporate interests.

Despite its name, DOGE is not a formal federal department but an advisory commission. It lacks direct legal authority but wields considerable influence under the stewardship of two high-profile Trump allies. Musk, the billionaire CEO of Tesla, and Ramaswamy, a biotech entrepreneur and former presidential candidate, aim to push through sweeping reforms aligned with small-government ideals.

Musk and Ramaswamy’s stated goal is to cut government inefficiencies and reduce federal oversight. They have pledged to recruit “super high-IQ small-government revolutionaries” to lead the charge. However, watchdog groups warn that DOGE’s agenda serves as a vehicle to dismantle federal protections while advancing corporate interests, including Musk’s own business ventures.

Musk and Ramaswamy outlined their vision in a Wall Street Journal op-ed, highlighting three key strategies: mass reductions in federal workforce, regulatory rescissions, and cuts to federal spending.

DOGE’s first priority involves significant downsizing of the federal workforce, with staff reductions tied to the elimination of regulations. “Not only are fewer employees required to enforce fewer regulations, but the agency would produce fewer regulations once its scope of authority is properly limited,” the op-ed reads.

Supreme Court rulings like West Virginia v. EPA and Collins v. Yellen are cited as legal precedents to justify the layoffs. The commission also proposes reinstating in-person work requirements, predicting that such mandates would prompt voluntary resignations among federal employees. “If federal employees don’t want to show up, American taxpayers shouldn’t pay them for the Covid-era privilege of staying home,” Musk and Ramaswamy wrote.

Critics, however, warn that these cuts would cripple federal agencies’ ability to enforce laws and deliver essential services. Public Citizen co-president Robert Weissman described DOGE’s plan as “a multipronged attack on any institution that seeks to constrain big business.”

The commission aims to dismantle thousands of federal regulations, targeting what it describes as “rules crafted by unelected bureaucrats.” Musk and Ramaswamy argue that the president has the executive power to nullify these regulations unilaterally.

DOGE plans to embed legal experts within federal agencies to review existing regulations and recommend rescissions. Environmental protections, labor laws, and financial oversight are likely to be among the first targets. Critics argue that this deregulation benefits corporate entities, including Musk’s companies, which face scrutiny from multiple federal agencies for alleged violations of labor and safety laws.

DOGE also proposes significant cuts to federal spending, targeting over $516 billion in programs classified as “unauthorized.” These include veterans’ healthcare, education funding, housing assistance, and childcare programs. The commission specifically named Planned Parenthood and the Corporation for Public Broadcasting as examples of organizations that would lose funding.

In their op-ed, Musk and Ramaswamy suggested using executive authority to bypass congressional restrictions and redirect funds. They claimed these measures would address federal overspending, but critics argue that such cuts disproportionately harm vulnerable communities.

Watchdog groups have raised concerns about the potential conflicts of interest inherent in Musk’s leadership. Tesla, SpaceX, and other Musk ventures could directly benefit from reduced federal oversight and compliance costs. “Based on Elon Musk’s comments, the so-called Department of Government Efficiency is poised to make far-reaching recommendations that could have a devastating impact on Americans and enormously benefit insiders, starting with Musk himself,” Weissman said.

Beyond Musk’s personal interests, DOGE’s proposals align with a broader GOP agenda to prioritize corporate profits over public welfare. The dismantling of regulatory safeguards risks creating an environment where big business operates with little accountability.

Ramaswamy’s praise for Argentine President Javier Milei’s economic policies has drawn attention. Milei’s austerity measures have slashed social safety nets while cutting taxes for the wealthiest citizens, leading to a dramatic increase in poverty. Ramaswamy’s tweet describing DOGE’s proposals as “Milei-style cuts, on steroids” underscores the potential for similar outcomes in the United States.

Casey Wetherbee, writing for Jacobin, warned that DOGE’s recommendations could cause “temporary hardship” for American workers while benefiting the nation’s wealthiest. “DOGE’s relationship with the Trump administration could flame out spectacularly,” Wetherbee wrote, but not before significant damage is done.

Progressive lawmakers and advocacy groups have voiced strong opposition to DOGE’s plans. They argue that mass layoffs, deregulation, and spending cuts will harm vulnerable populations while enriching corporate elites. Democrats have also criticized Trump for relying on two individuals to lead DOGE, despite their lack of government experience.

Musk and Ramaswamy, for their part, dismiss these criticisms. “We are entrepreneurs, not politicians,” they wrote. “We will serve as outside volunteers, not federal officials or employees. Unlike government commissions or advisory committees, we won’t just write reports or cut ribbons. We’ll cut costs.”

DOGE’s agenda threatens to upend federal governance, from environmental protections to public health programs. Critics warn that the commission’s proposals prioritize corporate profits and austerity over the public good, risking long-term harm to the nation’s social fabric.

“A second Trump term will undoubtedly see a multipronged attack on any institution that seeks to constrain big business, and DOGE will lead the charge,” said Robert Weissman.

In Times Of Crisis We Need More People Power — Mass Trainings Are The Key

For movements trying to harness the energy that emerges during political upheavals, mass training provides a crucial means to develop leadership and bring in new participants.
November 23, 2024
Source: Waging Nonviolence


The Cosecha national assembly. (Cosecha)

Social movements often face a contradiction: To expand and thrive, they need to bring in ever-greater numbers of new participants. And yet, knowing how to effectively absorb new people and plug them into a movement’s work can be very difficult. This is a problem even during normal times, but it grows even bigger during times of political crisis — such as the moment we are facing right now.

Imagine that you are an organizer and that you just pulled off a fantastic direct action. A small and powerful protest you held locally generated excitement and made news headlines. The public noticed, and the next day there are 10 people at your office door who saw the demonstration and are excited to get involved.

What would you do? Perhaps you would gather contact information and plan individual meetings.

But now imagine that these 10 people, with your support, pull off an even more audacious action, making a big splash with a sit-in at the office of a local politician. A few days later, you have 200 people coming to your door who want to join the movement. What do you do now?

You can hold a meeting, but you probably can’t do one-on-one outreach to everybody in a reasonable amount of time. You are scrambling.

Now think even bigger. Let’s imagine that there’s a massive external political event, and all of a sudden your issue is the leading topic across the media — banner news in major papers and a fast-trending subject people are talking about on social media platforms like Facebook and Instagram. People across the country are hungry to take action. And thousands of them, maybe even tens of thousands, are knocking on your door, sending you e-mails, calling your organization asking how they can get involved.

What do you do with them, and where can they go? What will you do to seize the moment?

This is a thought experiment that Carlos Saavedra and Dani Moscovitch use when talking to organizers about the topic of mass training. Carlos and Dani are two of the people I have worked most closely with on the subject, and I am always impressed by the wealth of expertise and insight that each brings. Carlos, who now runs the Ayni Institute, was a leader in the Dreamers movement of undocumented young people fighting for immigrant rights in the first decade of the 2000s, and he built a training program for United We Dream that brought thousands of activists into the organization.

Dani is a co-founder of IfNotNow, a movement led by young Jews working, in their words, “to end U.S. support for Israel’s apartheid system and demand equality, justice and a thriving future for all Palestinians and Israelis.” She was the lead architect of that group’s decentralized mass training program, which has conducted repeated one- and two-day trainings in 14 cities, led by more than 300 volunteer leaders.

When Dani does the thought experiment in workshops (you can see her in action here), she tells her listeners to take a deep breath. “If you felt a bolt of fear or dread at the idea of thousands of people outside your door — or even 200, or even 10 — you are not alone,” she says. Many organizational leaders have felt trepidation at the prospect of such a sudden influx.

“But what does it mean that we are not prepared for those moments?” Dani asks. Certainly, we know that the urgency of the present moment and the scale of the problems we are confronting require us to bring tens of thousands of people into our movements. And yet, too rarely are we planning to succeed in those times when this is possible. “If we don’t make a plan for how to bring new leaders in at the scale we need,” Dani says, “it’s because we don’t actually believe that we can win.”

This is not a theoretical challenge. Rather, it is one that mass protest movements have repeatedly faced in recent years. At whirlwind moments when crowds of people take to the streets and seek to join movements for justice — think Black Lives Matter, or the Women’s March, or mass antiwar protests — organizers must somehow find a way to absorb the rush of energy and participation. Too often, they have few systems in place to truly handle the surge of interest. And so when the high-water period subsides, most of the newcomers drift away, and much of the promise of the moment is lost.

So how, then, can movements better respond, making the most of the opportunity to channel this precious wave of new participants into long-term involvement?

Mass training provides a crucial answer.
Why mass training matters

Coming to an appreciation of the power of mass training represented a major breakthrough for those of us who were starting Momentum, the training institute and movement incubator I was involved in founding in 2013. Carlos was another of the founders, while Dani would later become the Director of Advanced Programs. At Momentum, I worked with leaders who had experienced cycles of high movement activity, from the globalization and antiwar movements of the early 2000s, to the mass immigrant rights protests of 2007, to the 2008 Obama campaign, to the subsequent peaks of the Dreamers and Occupy Wall Street. In each case, periods of whirlwind activity were followed by stretches of disillusionment, demobilization and disorganization.

We believed that movements could do better in harnessing and sustaining the power of these peak moments, as well as in channeling the energy into longer-term cycles of organizing. We sought to systematize methods for doing so, and we quickly realized that mass training would need to play a big part.

When discussing “mass training,” the type of program that I am talking about is different from a typical protest training that someone might attend in advance of participating in a nonviolent direct action — a relatively short session designed to brief newcomers on the scenario of how the protest will play out or orient them to the “action agreements” that participants might sign on to when joining the day’s demonstration. Instead, mass training is a way of bringing people into the movement in a more substantive way, fostering sustained involvement.

“Mass training gives you the ability to disseminate a lot of information and primary skills that can allow a group to succeed without as much centralized support,” Carlos says. “It also creates an emotional container where people really get excited about the work.” Its purpose is to transmit the entire DNA of a group — the story, strategy, structure, principles and culture of the movement.

Even with mass protest groups that are based around large-scale mobilizations, too often a big day of protest is the only thing that participants are invited to. If there is any follow up after that, it can be rote — an ask to sign a petition or make a donation. That can be an alienating experience for a new person who has just awoken to the magnitude of the struggle. “The goal of mass training is not just to give people a next step,” Dani says. “It’s to give them a whole path to deep and authentic leadership within the movement. It’s a means of giving people a sense of belonging, purpose, motivation and shared responsibility.”

Obviously, that’s a lot to accomplish. So how do you do it?

To make it work, there are four key components that must be in place: liminality, scalability, going beyond the initiation, and creating the right balance between training, coaching, and action.
A group experience of liminality

The first important component in how mass trainings work is liminality. This concept was initially developed in early-20th century anthropology, coined by European ethnographer Arnold van Gennep, who was interested in the rituals that marked important rites of passage. Contemporary anthropologist Bjørn Thomassen describes liminality as “spaces and moments in which the taken-for-granted order of the world ceases to exist and novel forms emerge.”

In recent decades, the importance of liminal spaces has been taken up in social psychology and a variety of other fields. For trainers in the activist world, the state of being in-between — the power of spaces in which people are open and receptive to personal transformation — is hugely significant because it helps address a key problem: how to enable many people to have breakthroughs in a limited amount of time.

In structure-based organizations such as unions and community groups, which focus on steadily building up organizational infrastructure over many years, the process of onboarding new participants and training new leaders is generally accomplished through one-on-one mentoring and apprenticeship. Organizers develop skills under the tutelage of an experienced master, and with time and practice they themselves can gain a deep understanding of the craft of movement building, but the organization’s capacity is capped at the dozen or two-dozen people that each lead organizer can realistically mentor.

Mass trainings create a space in which a much larger number of new participants can be initiated and put on a path of leadership development. When someone attends a training over the course of several days or a week, their life is disrupted. They have to travel to a new physical location, they are often surrounded by people they do not know, and they are wrestling with big, challenging issues that otherwise take a back seat in their routine lives.

The collective learning that takes place, combined with the shared vulnerability of participants and trainers alike, builds a culture of commitment to a common project. These ingredients open new mental and emotional doors for participants. And when used well by trainers, they create an environment conducive to transformational experiences that cannot be replicated in an individual setting. In short, mass trainings open up a new world for participants to walk into and then come out as leaders.

“The training is a space of reflection, of learning and of listening,” Carlos explains. “A lot of people that participate have never been in a movement space like that before. What happens when people go through a deep listening and sharing process with one another — like in the Marshall Ganz model, which infuses public narrative as the centerpiece of the mass training program — is that there are a lot of stories that people tell that they haven’t told other people before.”

Carlos emphasizes how this generates a powerful bond within the group: “There’s something magical about telling stories to strangers that are going to be listened to,” he says. “That creates a special vulnerability that people rarely find in their lives.”

The effect created is very different from what can be achieved elsewhere. “Emotions grow bigger when you have more people,” Carlos says. “It creates a feedback loop where it’s like, ‘holy shit, we are all in this together.’ And there’s a faith that you can do something together in the world that might otherwise feel impossible.”

Dani echoes this sentiment: “What happens in a liminal space, as opposed to just smaller interactions or one-on-ones, is that it’s exponential,” she explains. “The emotional impact just reverberates. And that experience and that belief can strengthen really fast and really deeply in a way that is carried forward.”

The power of creating collective spaces that can nurture transformative experiences was famously modeled in the U.S. civil rights movement both through the training work of institutions such as the Highlander Center and in the church-based mass meetings that would take place nightly at the height of protest campaigns. The movement’s revival-like gatherings were not merely occasions for soaring oratory from well-known speakers; they also featured communal song, personal testimonials from rank-and-file activists and possibilities to segue into intensive trainings the next day. This made for an experience that built confidence, skills and purpose in participants, fostering a potent collectivity. As Martin Luther King, Jr. noted, “Through these meetings we were able to generate the power and depth which finally galvanized the entire Negro community.”

Dani Moscovitch facilitating at Momentum’s Advanced Campaign Skillshare in October 2022 in North Shore, Massachusetts. (Momentum/Vanessa Leroy)

We have seen the impact in many more recent movements as well. “At the end of IfNotNow trainings, we would go around and have people say what they were leaving with,” Dani explains. “Every time, at least four or five people would say, ‘I feel like I can finally be Jewish in a way that aligns with my values.’ Or, ‘I finally don’t feel helpless about this issue.’ People would talk about it as a turning point in their lives in terms of their sense of agency and belief that they could have an impact on the world.”

“In the Dreamer movement, a lot of people would share their stories about being undocumented, the struggles of not being able to go to school, dealing with deportations or having a family member be detained,” Carlos says. “People cried a lot, and there was a lot of emotional release.”

This practice grounded people and created a ritual, he argues. “All those stories really make everybody feel really, really clear about what was at stake for the movement. It makes people better activists because they get motivated. They can feel that this is extremely important for their lives, and they’re willing to put in the work to do something about it.”
Making a model that can grow to scale

The second key idea with mass trainings is that, in order to be able to reach the scale needed, they must be easy to replicate.

As IfNotNow’s program was gearing up, Dani and a few other key leaders — including Emily Mayer and Yonah Lieberman — found themselves frantically traveling around the country to lead trainings. “I essentially lived out of a car for a while,” Dani says. “I was traveling 20 to 25 days per month. I remember one time, I was so tired driving from a Boston training to one in New York that I crashed my car. I just parked and left and got on a bus so I could go run the training.”

There was so much demand for the program that new dates kept getting added to the calendar. But what should have been an organizer’s dream instead filled Dani with apprehension. “I was so exhausted, and just the idea of going to more and more trainings felt totally overwhelming,” she says. Her team realized that they could not run a true mass training program if it always ran into a huge bottleneck. “That bottleneck was me,” Dani laughs.

In order to change their model so that it could be scalable, IfNotNow took a lesson from Otpor, a youth movement in Serbia in the late 1990s that was part of the successful drive to oust anti-democratic strongman Slobodan Milošević. In order to initiate new members into the civil resistance movement, Otpor’s founders designed a training program that could be used by local chapters. But once they figured out how the trainings should work, these leaders quickly stopped running the sessions themselves. Instead, they focused on codifying and standardizing their practices into a curriculum that could be taken up and used by local chapters, operating independently. This insistence on replicability allowed the movement to build exponentially within the Serbian public.

As I wrote with my brother Mark in our book “This Is An Uprising,” “By the time Otpor had 20,000 members, so many trainings were under way in so many different localities that the obvious locations for gatherings — community centers and youth clubs — were constantly booked. More difficult than finding qualified leaders for the sessions was securing the physical space needed to train.”

In addition to bringing this lesson into IfNotNow, Dani and her team emphasized the need to always be developing new people who could master the pedagogy and teach others how to lead the mass trainings. “You have to train the trainers to train the trainers to train the trainers,” Dani says. New leaders do not have to lead a full training on their first outing. But by giving them a role at the next training — perhaps being responsible for a section of content — they both gain new skills and attend the training with a fresh perspective. A participant who learns the material as a listener absorbs a certain amount of information; someone who has to go back and teach it themselves truly takes it to heart.

In systematizing their trainings, IfNotNow implemented mechanisms for quality control to uphold a high level of craft. “Before they ever did it at a training, every trainer did three run-throughs of any module they would lead,” Dani says, “and we trained volunteer coaches on how to give them feedback.” This allowed the group to maintain the sharpness, clarity and integrity of their content. The organization made clear the requirements for people who wanted to take on more responsibility and move up their ladder of engagement.

Furthermore, they established schedules for how preparations for a training should take place, with clear steps to complete even six to eight weeks before the session. They also formalized a set of participant roles that would allow many people in a training to take a part in ensuring its success. These roles included welcomers, feedback collectors, timekeepers, participant supporters, dinner orderers, and fun captains or party leads.

Having a systematized, decentralized and coachable mass training program is what enables exponential growth. “We cannot rely on staff organizers maintaining relationships with all these people, and we shouldn’t have to,” Dani says. “You have to create systems that enable leaders to develop leaders.”

We call it “giving away the keys” — setting up others to organize without centralized control. Once the more distributed model was in place, Dani says, she did not attend an introductory training for two years, instead spending her time on other crucial tasks such as developing high-level coaches.
Balancing training, coaching and action

The third idea that is essential in making a mass training program work is balancing the leadership development that takes place in the group context with the need for coaching and also learning from practice.

People are not passive recipients of information. One model of learning contends that people learn 70 percent by doing, 20 percent through mentors, coaches and relationships with other people, and just 10 percent through formal instruction or coursework. A training program must account for this by rejecting rote instruction and instead maximizing the ability of participants both to build relationships and experience the work of the organization.

This means not only making trainings participatory, but also encouraging behavior in training sessions that will be directly relevant in campaigns. “Whatever you model in training gets replicated,” Dani says. “So if you want people to leave the training and take on work in teams, there should be a part of your training where people sit in groups and start working in teams, making commitments for next steps. If you want people to join a Slack or WhatsApp for inter-movement communication, start using it as a way to bring people together during the training.”

Recognizing the importance of creating practices that acculturate people to the everyday work of the organization, Otpor had new participants plan and carry out a protest at the end of their week of training — coming up with a small but creative act of defiance to the Milošević regime. It was when they completed their first action that new members were officially considered part of the movement.

Since recruitment and development of more and more participants is an essential function of the movement, growing the mass training program is an important objective. But ultimately, training does not exist for its own sake. Organizations have to go out and act on their issue: raising awareness, cultivating allies, challenging those in power, disrupting business as usual, and forcing a response. Therefore, striking the right balance for learning must involve creating infrastructure for coaching that continues beyond the group training.

Movement work is hard and emotionally intensive, and members need regular encouragement and guidance to carry out the mission of the organization. In a decentralized mass movement, the group’s goal must be to create means for people to get individualized support — not from a single supervisor, as in the apprenticeship model — but from peers and leaders at multiple levels of the organization.
Carlos Saavedra leading a workshop on movement strategy in 2019. (Ayni Institute)

The process of building out a decentralized network of coaches is a distinct topic, the details of which deserve longer exploration. But, as a step towards this, organizations can make sure that people leaving their trainings are joining teams. “In some ways, mass training is really about how you can create a massive number of decentralized teams to work around a shared objective,” Carlos says. These teams allow people to learn through experimentation, to act autonomously in small groups while getting continual feedback on their efforts.

“We ran into a problem where we felt like sometimes people left our trainings with a vision for what should happen over the next five years, but they didn’t have a vision of what should happen next month,” Dani says. “You can get really inspired, and get a lot of ideas, and build a lot of relationships that will help you. But you can’t actually learn how to plan a mass mobilization in a day or two.”

Remedying this required being concrete about projects that new people could channel their energy into — whether it be running a phone bank, joining a working group, or taking responsibility for a specific aspect of an upcoming action — and also creating systems so that the teams doing these tasks could get the support they needed.
Going beyond the initiation training

The fourth key step for maximizing the power of mass trainings is going beyond the initiation sessions to create a culture of training in your organization.

One way in which participants can grow their leadership is by becoming trainers themselves and taking on ever-greater levels of responsibility in making the program work. But another way that groups can foster leadership development and promote the value of constant learning is by creating upgrade trainings that allow members to learn essential skills needed to sustain different aspects of the movement. These are designed not just for initiates into the program, but as ways to level up the leadership of older members as well.

The upgrade trainings serve several key functions. They convey that in addition to scale, we also need craft. They show a movement’s commitment to a rigorous practice of honing the skills of organizing and building a deep bench of committed leaders who can steer the movement through challenging times, without the hard cap of a command-and-control staff nerve center. They inoculate leaders against negativity and demobilization by giving them tools to address difficult issues, which inevitably arise during intensive campaigns. And they allow decentralized organizations to make interventions in their collective strategy and culture as time passes.

“Our organizations gain capacity by committing to retrain ourselves over and over again,” Carlos says. “It gives us a way to work out strategic issues, to work on specific skills, and to get people back in touch with their motivation. Once people get used to doing it, they understand that they can go to trainings when they need to get re-energized or when they don’t know what to do.”

Specialized sessions might take on media and communications, logistics, action planning, fundraising, coalition-building, or details of electoral campaigns or legislative processes. Or they can be designed to help a movement work through a specific dilemma. In the case of IfNotNow, one of their most innovative advanced sessions was a “strategy upgrade” training, which they ran in seven different cities with between 30 to 50 people in each. It involved doing a deep dive with top leaders about how to embody the organization’s theory of change and how they could facilitate discussions with their local chapters about creating good action logic, avoiding the “myth of the righteous few,” and keeping the movement focused on bringing in new people from outside the base of usual activist suspects. The training helped these leaders reinforce IfNotNow’s unique role in the social movement ecosystem — rather than drifting into a different mission.

“People felt really developed and invested in,” Dani says. “It was powerful.” She adds, “Doing that training really helped move people from doing one-off actions expressing moral outrage into doing more in-depth national campaigns.”

Constant leadership development is essential for organizations that want to remain volunteer-driven mass movements, rather than staff-driven advocacy groups. Putting a premium on training people to fill needed roles within the organization allows it to keep functioning without constantly turning to the market. And, for participants, recognition of advanced trainings as a pathway to leadership allows people to gain standing without a sense that everyone must join the paid staff in order to be recognized.

Otpor formalized this type of recognition by providing color-coded pins to participants who had completed different levels of advanced trainings. Almost as soon as they were introduced, demand for these markers of esteem quickly climbed: People respected the skills of those who had thrown themselves into building the movement, and they wanted the pins to demonstrate the commitments they had made themselves.

“We don’t have masters programs, or high school classes, or vocational schools to train our organizers,” Dani says. “There’s a reason for this: The ruling class doesn’t want us to know how to dismantle it! It’s not in their self-interest. So we need to be making our own pipelines to develop leaders.”
Embodying the belief that we can win

At different times in the up-and-down cycles that social movements go through, trainings can serve different purposes. At peak moments, when new people are flocking to the streets, they function most crucially as a means of absorption — allowing organizations to capture this energy. But at times when movements have less momentum, the trainings can instead work as mechanisms for promoting on-going leadership development. In those moments, Carlos says, “They can generate a bit of energy, and start getting people working on things that feel slower but meaningful.”

In either case, the time to start is now. For those who want to start developing a mass training program, there is no doubt that a lot of advance planning is required. But Dani also advises, “Just put a date on the calendar!” No matter how much a group prepares, there is always going to be room to grow. And having that first session scheduled makes real the commitment to making it happen.

“I remember my first mass training,” Carlos says. “I was lost half of the time, and I wasn’t nearly as prepared as I thought I was. But the effect of it was still really powerful in the organization. So it doesn’t matter if the training at first is not as good as you want it to be. Just the act of doing it is quite amazing.”

Finally, Dani says, to pull off a mass training program, you have to believe that you can do it. This means visualizing those thousands of people knocking on your door and developing confidence that can bring them into the movement and ask them to step into leadership with you.

“When you embody the commitment to winning, it is infectious” Dani says. “One of the greatest forces holding our movements back from being powerful is our own sense of defeat and exhaustion. But if trainers in the front of the room do the work of tapping into a radical sense of hope and possibility, they allow every participant in that room to reconsider what they are capable of.”

“Everyone who attends that training is going to remember that feeling,” she adds. “And they’re going to want to pass it on, too.”

Research assistance provided by Matthew Miles Goodrich.


Paul Engler is the director of the Center for the Working Poor in Los Angeles, and a co-founder of the Momentum Training, and co-author, with Mark Engler, of "This Is An Uprising."