Showing posts sorted by relevance for query Cesare Lombroso. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query Cesare Lombroso. Sort by date Show all posts

Saturday, August 03, 2024

Argentina to use AI to stop crime before it happens



By Mark Moran


The government of Argentinian President Javier Milei is rolling out with new AI technology aimed at preventing crime. File Photo by Gala Abramovich/EPA-EFE

Aug. 2 (UPI) -- Argentina has announced plans to use artificial intelligence to predict crimes before they're committed, the country recently announced.

The plan was announced by the Ministry of Security as Argentina takes its next step toward using artificial intelligence in more and different ways.

The new AI unit will focus on the "prevention, detection, investigation and prosecution of crime," in addition to conducting drone surveillance, patrolling social media and using facial recognition to bolster security measures, a statement said.

The announcement comes after Buenos Aires court ruled in 2023 that facial recognition technology by the government was unconstitutional in the city. The judge in the case said the system was installed without complying with the legal requirements for the protection of the personal rights of the inhabitants of the City of Buenos Aires," a statement said.

Human rights groups have gone a step further, and are concerned that implementing the technology could infringe on freedom of expression as people are concerned over government monitoring of their social media posts, and having a chilling effect on what they choose to publish.

Still others are worried about how AI will affect the academic world, including what academics and students will share and whether it will be monitored by the emerging technology.

The Argentine Center for Studies on Freedom of Expression and Access to Information has said AI and similar technologies have been used to profile academics, journalists, politicians and activists.

They wanted to know how the technologies were developed, where they came from and how they will be used. The group called any lack of accountability The group said any lack of accountability would be "worrying."

President Javier Milei made a trip to Silicon Valley earlier this year that is now being seen differently in light of the move to bolster crime detection using AI. In May, he met with several tech leaders and encouraged them to consider investing in his country



Steven Spielberg's Minority Report,1 released in summer 2002, derives from a. Philip K. Dick short story first published in 1956.2 The futuristic premise of ...


Notes on Minority Report


July 2009

Authors:

I. Bennett Capers

Brooklyn Law School


Download full-text PDF


Abstract

Using Spielberg’s 2002 film Minority Report as a cultural text, this symposium essay explores the 'de-shadowing' work film does in relation to the criminal justice system, rendering visible the schism between the justice courts imagine they are administering and the justice that actually exists. This symposium essay also examines how Minority Report problematizes the role of the spectator, both as a watcher of filmic media and as a surrogate thirteenth juror assessing truth, guilt, and innocence.


Minority Report, 2002, Directed by Steven Spielberg, Screenplay by Jon Cohen and Scott Frank, based upon Philip K. Dick,. “Minority Report,” in The Minority .


In the opening scene of Steven Spielberg's 2002 film adaptation of Philip. K. Dick's short story The Minority Report,3 we see stylistically edited, disjointed ...






... criminologist, phrenologist, physician, and founder of the Italian school of criminology. ... He postulated that criminals represented a reversion to a primitive ...

... criminology from a legalistic preoccupation with crime to a scientific study of criminals ... primitive stage of human evolution. Lombroso contended that such ...

The Italian school of criminology was founded at the end of the 19th century by Cesare Lombroso (1835–1909) and two of his Italian disciples, Enrico Ferri ...


Feb 8, 2023 ... These atavistic characteristics, he argued, denoted the fact that the offenders were at a more primitive stage of evolution than non ...

Aug 8, 2019 ... ... primitive humanity and the inferior animals,” he wrote in his 1876 ... Italian criminologist and physician Cesare Lombroso. What ...

Cesare Lombroso was the founder of the Italian school of positivist criminology, which argued that a criminal mind was inherited and could be identified by ...

Saturday, December 24, 2022

AI may help predict opioid use disorder: University of Alberta research

Artificial intelligence could be used by clinicians and policy makers to predict opioid use disorder, new research from the University of Alberta shows.




Story by Anna Junker •  Edmonton Journal

Opioid use disorder occurs when patients’ regular use of opioids is more than wanted or intended, leading to harms such as addiction, overdose and death.

By analyzing administrative health data — created every time a patient interacts with the heath-care system by visiting a doctor, or filling a prescription, for example — the team of researchers created and tested a machine learning model.

They say it reliably predicts the risk of developing opioid use disorder and could help lead to early detection and intervention.

In 2018, some 12.7 per cent of Canadians reported using opioid pain relief medications in the previous year, and among those, 9.6 per cent engaged in some form of problematic use. Between January 2016 and June 2022, there have been a total of 32,632 apparent opioid toxicity deaths in Canada.

In Alberta, as of August, there had been 976 opioid-related deaths this year.

According to the researchers, about one in four opioid users will develop opioid use disorder, and eight to 12 per cent of those prescribed opioids for chronic pain will develop the disorder.

New health hub with overdose prevention site proposed in Old Strathcona

“Most of those people have interacted with the health system before their diagnosis, and that provides us with data that could allow us to predict and potentially prevent some of the cases,” said principal investigator Bo Cao, Canada Research Chair in Computational Psychiatry and associate professor of psychiatry in a news release.

The machine learning model analyzed health data from nearly 700,000 patients in Alberta who received opioid prescriptions between 2014 and 2018, cross-referencing 62 factors such as the number of doctor and emergency room visits, diagnoses, and sociodemographic information.

Researchers found the top risk factors for opioid use disorder included frequency of opioid use, high dosage, and a history of other substance use disorders.

The model predicted high-risk patients with an accuracy of 86 per cent when it was validated against a new sample of 316,000 patients from 2019.

According to the study, the findings suggest early detection of opioid use disorder is possible with a data-driven approach and may provide timely clinical intervention and policy changes to help curb the current crisis.

“It’s important that the model’s prediction of whether someone will develop opioid use disorder is interpreted as a risk instead of a label,” said first author Yang Liu, a post-doctoral fellow in psychiatry, in the release.

“It is information to put into the hands of clinicians, who are actually making the diagnosis.”

Cao said the next stage of testing for the model will be in a clinical setting, involving clinicians and people with lived experience with the disorder.

ajunker@postmedia.com



THE ORIGINAL THEORY OF THE MINORITY REPORT
Cesare Lombroso was an Italian criminologist, phrenologist, physician, and founder of the Italian School of Positivist Criminology.


Sunday, January 08, 2023

PRISON NATION U$A

Artificial intelligence could aid in evaluating parole decisions

Analysis of data from New York shows the parole release rate could be doubled without increasing the subsequent arrest rate

Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA - DAVIS HEALTH

(SACRAMENTO, Calif.) — Over the last decade, there has been an effort to reduce incarceration in the United States without impacting public safety. This effort includes parole boards making risk-based parole decisions — releasing people assessed to be at low risk of committing a crime after being released.

To determine how effective the current system of risk-based parole is, researchers from the UC Davis Violence Prevention Research Program and the University of Missouri, Kansas City, used machine learning to analyze parole data from New York.

They suggest the New York State Parole Board could safely grant parole to more inmates. The study, “An Algorithmic Assessment of Parole Decisions,” was published in the Journal of Quantitative Criminology.

“We conservatively estimate the board could have more than doubled the release rate without increasing the total or violent felony arrest rate. And they could have achieved these gains while simultaneously eliminating racial disparities in release rates,” said Hannah S. Laqueur, an assistant professor in the Department of Emergency Medicine and lead author of the study.

According to the Bureau of Justice Statistics, by the end of 2021, the prison population for state, federal and military correctional facilities in the U.S. was 1,204,300.

Methods

The team used the machine-learning algorithm SuperLearner to predict any arrest, including a violent felony arrest, within three years of an individual being released from prison.

The algorithm looked at 91 variables to predict crime risk. These included age, minimum and maximum sentence, prison type, race, time in prison, previous arrests and other criteria.

The researchers trained their risk-prediction models on data from 4,168 individuals who were released on parole in New York between 2012 and 2015.  

The authors implemented several tests to validate the algorithm on the full population of individuals up for parole. This included individuals who had hearings and were denied parole by the board but were later released at the end of their maximum sentence (6,784 individuals).

Results

The machine learning algorithm found the predicted risks for those denied parole and those released are very similar. This suggests that low-risk individuals may have remained incarcerated, while high-risk individuals were released.

The authors note they are not advocating replacing human decision-makers with algorithms to assess who should be released from prison. Instead, they see a role for algorithms to diagnose problems in the current parole system.

“This study demonstrates the utility of algorithms for evaluating criminal justice decision-making. Our analyses suggest that many individuals are being denied parole and incarcerated past their minimum sentence despite being a low risk to public safety. We hope that by providing data on predicted risks, we can aid reform efforts,” Laqueur said.

Ryan W. Copus, an associate professor of law at the University of Missouri, Kansas City, is a co-author of the study.

Resources

Sunday, May 24, 2020

Artificial intelligence can make personality judgments based on photographs



person
Credit: CC0 Public Domain
Russian researchers from HSE University and Open University for the Humanities and Economics have demonstrated that artificial intelligence is able to infer people's personality from 'selfie' photographs better than human raters do. Conscientiousness emerged to be more easily recognizable than the other four traits. Personality predictions based on female faces appeared to be more reliable than those for male faces. The technology can be used to find the 'best matches' in customer service, dating or online tutoring.

The article, "Assessing the Big Five  using real-life static facial images," will be published on May 22 in Scientific Reports.
Physiognomists from Ancient Greece to Cesare Lombroso have tried to link facial appearance to personality, but the majority of their ideas failed to withstand the scrutiny of modern science. The few established associations of specific facial features with personality traits, such as facial width-to-height ratio, are quite weak. Studies asking human raters to make personality judgments based on photographs have produced inconsistent results, suggesting that our judgments are too unreliable to be of any practical importance.
Nevertheless, there are strong theoretical and evolutionary arguments to suggest that some information about personality characteristics, particularly, those essential for social communication, might be conveyed by the human face. After all, face and behaviour are both shaped by genes and hormones, and social experiences resulting from one's appearance may affect one's personality development. However, recent evidence from neuroscience suggests that instead of looking at specific facial features, the human brain processes images of faces in a holistic manner.
Researchers from two Moscow universities, National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE) and Open University for the Humanities and Economics, have teamed up with a Russian-British business start-up called BestFitMe to train a cascade of artificial neural networks to make reliable personality judgments based on photographs of human faces. The performance of the resulting model was above that reported in previous studies using machine learning or human raters. The AI was able to make above-chance judgments about conscientiousness, neuroticism, extraversion, agreeableness and openness based on selfies the volunteers uploaded. The resulting personality judgments were consistent across different photographs of the same individuals.
The study was done in a sample of 12,000 volunteers who completed a self-report questionnaire measuring personality traits based on the "Big Five" model and uploaded a total of 31,000 selfies. The respondents were randomly split into a training and a test group. A series of neural networks were used to preprocess the images to ensure consistent quality and characteristics, and exclude faces with emotional expressions, as well as pictures of celebrities and cats. Next, an image classification neural network was trained to decompose each image into 128 invariant features, followed by a multi-layer perceptron that used image invariants to predict personality traits.
The average effect size of r = .24 indicates that AI can make a correct guess about the relative standing of two randomly chosen individuals on a personality dimension in 58% of cases as opposed to the 50% expected by chance. In comparison with the meta-analytic estimates of correlations between self-reported and observer ratings of personality traits, this indicates that an artificial neural network relying on static facial images outperforms an average human rater who meets the target in person without prior acquaintance. Conscientiousness emerged to be more easily recognizable than the other four traits. Personality predictions based on female faces appeared to be more reliable than those for male faces.
There are a vast number of potential applications to be explored. The recognition of personality from real-life photos can complement the traditional approaches to personality assessment in situations where high speed and low cost are more important than high accuracy. Artificial intelligence can be used to propose products that are the best fit for the customer's  or to select the possible 'best matches' for individuals in dyadic interactions, such as customer service, dating or online tutoring.


More information: Kachur, A., Osin, E., Davydov, D., Shutilov, K., & Novokshonov, A. (2020). Assessing the Big Five personality traits using real-life static facial images. Scientific ReportsDOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-65358-6
Journal information: Scientific Reports 
Provided by National Research University Higher School of Economics

Friday, November 01, 2024

WashU researchers use genetics to find psychopathology risks 

GREAT CESARE LOMBROSO'S GHOST

A multitude of genetic, behavioral and environmental factors come together to create mental health problems in teens, study finds.



Washington University in St. Louis





When trying to understand how genetic influences factor into youth behavior, researchers at Washington University in St. Louis have taken the “big trawl” approach, casting their net wide to pull in all the measured traits, behaviors and environments that make up who we are and examine associations with the genetic building blocks comprising risk for mental health problems.

This cutting-edge methodology has turned up valuable new insights into factors related to psychopathological genetic risk, such as stressful life events and screen time. Although the results, published in Nature Mental Health, are unable to say if one causes the other, the findings provide promising leads to understand the nature of psychiatric disorders emerging during adolescence.

“We’re catching all the little fish here,” said Nicole Karcher, assistant professor of psychiatry at WashU Medicine, likening their genetic screening tools to trawling the ocean.

“But now we get to wade through the fish that we caught, and future steps include understanding the extent to which these are meaningful in terms of their ability to reduce risk for mental health concerns.”

An innovative approach to “catching” risk factors

Much of what we know about links between the genome and behavior come from Genome-wide Associations Studies (GWAS), which identify links between specific genetic variants across the genome and a feature of interest, also known as a phenotype. Phenotypes can range from physical characteristics to psychiatric disorders (e.g., depression, anxiety).

Many behavioral disorders are correlated at the genetic level. Results from a GWAS scanning for genetic links to depression, therefore, may also reflect genetic associations with frequently co-occurring conditions such as anxiety.

“We know that one behavioral variable is not going to be the only association with genetic risk, so we were interested in taking a more agnostic, data-driven approach to the wealth of information that is available in large datasets,” said Karcher.

Doing so would hopefully identify not only expected associations between genetic risk and psychiatric symptoms, but also potential novel associations that could improve insight into how psychiatric disorder risk may unfold. 

So senior author Karcher and first author Sarah Paul, a graduate student in Ryan Bogdan's Behavioral Research and Imaging Neurogenetics Laboratory at Art & Sciences, ran what’s called a phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) that inverts the GWAS.

Rather than starting with the psychiatric condition and looking for associated genetic variants, their PheWAS started with genetic variants known to be linked with mental health disorders and examined their relationship to hundreds of measured variables reflecting behavior, symptoms, environments, health problems and other phenotypes. They included approximately 1,300 to 1,700 phenotypes in total from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study.

“We took a pretty broad approach,” said Paul, describing different phenotypes as “anything from impulse control problems and problematic behavior or psychotic-like experiences to screen time, to how much caffeine they consumed.”

Think of it as fishing with a big net.

That means they want to identify associations between genetic predisposition and potentially modifiable risk factors that can be potentially addressed before the onset of psychopathology, Bogdan, the Dean’s Distinguished Professor of Psychological & Brain Sciences in Arts & Sciences, said.

What they caught

The results of the PheWAS show some surprises and confirm some of what they already know about genetic risks and behaviors that are associated with mental health disorders in youth.

The WashU researchers took 11 GWAS and created four broad genetic risk factors, or polygenic scores: neurodevelopmental, internalizing (e.g., depression, anxiety), compulsive and psychotic. Below are some of the associations they found in those categories:

*Genetic risk for neurodevelopmental psychopathology (predominantly ADHD and Autism Spectrum Disorder, as well as Major Depressive Disorder and problematic alcohol use) was associated with some 190 phenotypes including inattention and impulsivity issues, as well as total screen time, sleep problems and psychotic-like experiences. Even environmental conditions like neighborhood crime rates and lower parental monitoring are associated with neurodevelopmental genetic risk.

*Genetic risk for internalizing behavior (Major Depressive Disorder, Generalized Anxiety Disorder, PTSD, as well as problematic alcohol use) were broadly associated with some 120 phenotypes such as depression, stressful life events, psychotic-like experiences and screen time.

*Psychotic risk (predominantly Schizophrenia and Bipolar Disorder) had few phenotype associations aside from lower school involvement and more consumption of energy drinks.

Karcher said it was somewhat surprising that “genetic liability” for mental health concerns may manifest through potentially modifiable behaviors in childhood and early adolescence.

The research sorted hundreds and hundreds of variables potentially associated with genetic risk, and the results highlighted several associations, including the association between neurodevelopmental genetic risk and screentime, she added.

“The PheWAS was able to point out these pockets of associations that may not have been found otherwise,” she said.

One such pocket was the association between psychotic disorder genetic risk and energy drink consumption. These studies are looking at correlation, not causation, so they cannot conclude that energy drink consumption causes psychotic disorders. It could be that there are genetic components that make these individuals more at risk for psychotic disorders and those same components might make these individuals more likely to consume caffeinated beverages.

A similar phenomenon could be a play with the strong association between screen time and neurodevelopmental risk.

The point of the PheWAS is not to sort those details of causation but get pointed in the right direction with “a 20,000-foot view of the associations,” Karcher said.

Time will tell as the ABCD kids get older and genomic databases get more diverse.

“Following these youth into early adulthood will help better inform how genetic risk is associated with things like screen time, psychopathology, symptoms, and sleep over the course of adolescence into early adulthood,” Paul said. “That will help paint a clearer picture of how these links between your overall genetic risk and your behavior and traits change or don’t change over time.”

Overall, the present work illustrates how the PheWAS technique can be used to identify potential targets for future prevention and early intervention strategies, with this study identifying several potentially modifiable targets, such as screen time and caffeinated beverage consumption, that could represent early “catches” for reducing risk for developing mental health concerns.

Previous genome-wide studies of psychiatric diagnoses/phenotypes make use of data from individuals most genetically similar to European reference populations, with limited well-powered GWAS available for other populations in the world. So, one major limitation of this study was that because the GWAS predominantly used data from European reference populations, only ABCD data from individuals with European ancestry could be used in the PheWAS.

“That really limits the generalizability of these findings,” Paul said, “but as more GWAS become available in individuals genetically similar to other reference populations, and as more sophisticated polygenic score approaches are developed, we should be able to expand the study population to be more inclusive.”

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Paul SE, Colbert SMC, Gorelik AJ, Hansen IS, Nagella I, Blaydon L, Hornstein A, Johnson EC, Hatoum AS, Baranger DAA, Elsayed NM, Barch DM, Bogdan R, Karcher NR. Phenome-wide Investigation of Behavioral, Environmental, and Neural Associations with Cross-Disorder Genetic Liability in Youth of European Ancestry. Nat. Mental Health (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44220-024-00313-2

 

 

Data for this study were provided by the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) study , which was funded by awards U01DA041022, U01DA041025, U01DA041028, U01DA041048, U01DA041089, U01DA041093, U01DA041106, U01DA041117, U01DA041120, U01DA041134, U01DA041148, U01DA041156, U01DA041174, U24DA041123, and U24DA041147 from the NIH and additional federal partners (https://abcdstudy.org/federal-partners.html). This study was supported by R01 DA054750. Authors received funding support from NIH: SEP was supported by F31AA029934. NRK was supported by K23MH12179201. AJG was supported by NSF DGE-213989. ECJ was supported by K01DA051759. ASH was supported by K01AA030083. DMB (R01-MH113883; R01-MH066031; U01-MH109589; U01-A005020803; R01-MH090786), RB (R01-DA054750, R01-AG045231, R01-AG061162, R21-AA027827, R01-DA046224, U01-DA055367). NME was supported by NSF DGE-1745038.


Friday, April 11, 2025

Junk Science and Bad Policing: The Homicide Prediction Project

The law enforcement breed can be a pretty dark lot.  To be paid to think suspiciously leaves its mark, fostering an incentive to identify crimes and misdemeanours with instinctive compulsion.  Historically, this saw the emergence of quackery and bogus attempts to identify criminal tendencies.  Craniometry and skull size was, for a time, an attractive pursuit for the aspiring crime hunter and lunatic sleuth.  The crime fit the skull.

With the onset of facial recognition technologies, we are seeing the same old habits appear, with their human creators struggling to identify the best means of eliminating compromising biases.  A paper published by IBM researchers in April 2019 titled “Diversity in Faces” shows that doing so ends up returning to old grounds of quackery, including the use of “craniofacial distances, areas and ratios, facial symmetry and contrast, skin color, age and gender predictions, subjective annotations, and pose and resolution.”

The emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) tools in identifying a form of predictive criminality perpetuates similar sins.  Police, to that end, have consistently shown themselves unable to resist the attractions supposedly offered by data programs and algorithmic orderings, however sophisticated.  These can take such crude forms as those advanced by Pasco County Sheriff Chris Nocco, a devotee of that oxymoronic pursuit “intelligence-led policing,” stacked with its snake oil properties.  A 2020 Tampa Bay Times piece on the exploits of that Florida county’s sheriff’s office made it clear that Nocco was keen on creating “a cutting-edge intelligence program that could stop crime before it happened.”

The counter to this was impressive in its savagery.  Such forms of law enforcement featured, in the view of criminologist David Kennedy of the John Jay College of Criminal Justice, “One of the worst manifestations of the intersection of junk science and bad policing”, in addition to its utter lack of “common sense and humanity”.

The trend towards data heavy systems that supposedly offer insight into inherent, potential criminality has captured police departments in numerous countries.  A recommendation paper from the European Crime Prevention Network notes the use of “AI tools in hopes of rendering law enforcement more effective and cost-efficient” across the European Union.  Predictive policing is singled out as particularly attractive, notably as a response to smaller budgets and fewer staff.

In the United Kingdom, the government’s Ministry of Justice has taken to AI with gusto through the Homicide Prediction Project, a pilot program that hoovers up data from police and government data sets to generate profiles and assess the risk of a person committing murder.  The program, commissioned by the Prime Minister’s Office in 2023 and involving the MoJ, the Home Office, Greater Manchester Police (GMP) and the Metropolitan Police in London, only came to light because of a Freedom of Information request by the charity Statewatch.

According to the Data and Analysis unit within the MoJ the data science program explores “the power of MOJ datasets in relation to assessment of homicide risk”, the “additional power of the Police National Computer dataset” in doing the same, and “the additional power of local police data”.  It also seeks to review the characteristics of offenders that increase such a risk, exploring “alternative and innovative data science techniques to risk assessment and homicide.”

What stands out in the program is the type of data shared between the agencies.  These include types of criminal convictions, the age a person first appeared as a victim (this includes domestic violence), and the age a person had their first encounter with the police. But also included are such matters as “health markers which are expected to have predictive power”, be they on mental health, addiction issues, suicide, self-harm and disability.

The use of predictive models is far from new for the wonks at the MoJ.  Those used in the Offender Assessment System (OASys) have been previously found to profile people differently in accordance with their ethnicities.  The National Offender Management service noted in a 2015 compendium of research and analysis of the system between 2009 and 2013, “Relative predictive validity was greater for female than male offenders, for White offenders than offenders of Asian, Black and Mixed ethnicity, and for older than  younger offenders.”

Statewatch researcher Sofia Lyall has little to recommend the program, renamed for evidently more palatable consumption the Sharing Data to Improve Risk Assessment program. “Time and again, research shows that algorithmic systems for ‘predicting’ crime are inherently flawed.”  The Homicide Prediction Project was “chilling and dystopian”, profiling individuals “as criminals before they have done anything.”  She is also convinced that the system will, as with others, “code in bias towards racialized and low-income communities” while posing grave threats to privacy.

The unit claims that the work is only intended for dry research purposes, with “no direct operational or policy changes” arising because of it, or any individual application to a “person’s journey through the justice system.”  This is a nonsensical assertion, given the sheer temptations open to officials to implement a program that uses hefty data sets in order to ease the task of rigorous policing.  The representatives of law enforcement crave results, even those poorly arrived at, and algorithmic expediency and actuarial fantasy is there to aid them.  The “precrime” dystopia portrayed in Philip K. Dick’s The Minority Report (1956) is well on its way to being realised.


Binoy Kampmark was a Commonwealth Scholar at Selwyn College, Cambridge. He lectures at RMIT University, Melbourne. Email: bkampmark@gmail.comRead other articles by Binoy.


Jul 21, 2020 ... A collection of eighteen science fiction short stories features The Minority Report, in which Commissioner John Anderton's clever use of precogs, people who&nb...