Wednesday, March 13, 2024

 

Air quality in Europe shows significant improvements over the last two decades, study finds


Despite air quality improvements, 98.10%, 80.15% and 86.34% of the European population lives in areas exceeding the WHO recommended levels for PM2.5, PM10 and NO2, respectively


Peer-Reviewed Publication

BARCELONA INSTITUTE FOR GLOBAL HEALTH (ISGLOBAL)





A study led by the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), a centre supported by the "la Caixa" Foundation, and the Barcelona Supercomputing Center - Centro Nacional de Supercomputación (BSC-CNS), has consistently estimated daily ambient concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and O3 across a large ensemble of European regions between 2003 and 2019 based on machine learning techniques. The aim was to assess the occurrence of days exceeding the 2021 guidelines of the World Health Organization (WHO) for one or multiple pollutants, referred to as “unclean air days”.

The research team analysed pollution levels in more than 1,400 regions in 35 European countries, representing 543 million people. The results, published in Nature Communications, show that overall suspended particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) levels have decreased in most parts of Europe. In particular, PM10 levels decreased the most over the study period, followed by NO2 and PM2.5, with annual decreases of 2.72%, 2.45% and 1.72% respectively. In contrast, O3 levels increased annually by 0.58% in southern Europe, leading to a nearly fourfold rise in unclean air days.

The study also looked at the number of days on which the limits for two or more pollutants were exceeded simultaneously, a confluence known as a “compound unclean air day”. Despite the overall improvements, 86.3% of the European population still experienced at least one compound unclean day per year during the study period, with PM2.5-NO2 and PM2.5-O3 emerging as the most common compound combinations.

The results highlight the significant improvements in air quality in Europe followed by the decline of PM10 and NO2, while PM2.5 and O3 levels continue to exceed WHO guidelines in many regions, resulting in a higher number of people exposed to unclean air levels. "Targeted efforts are needed to address PM2.5 and O3 levels and associated compound unclean days, especially in the context of rapidly increasing threats from climate change in Europe," says Zhao-Yue Chen, ISGlobal researcher and lead author of the study.

"Our consistent estimation of population exposure to compound air pollution events provides a solid basis for future research and policy development to address air quality management and public health concerns across Europe," points out Carlos Pérez García-Pando, ICREA and AXA Research Professor at the BSC-CNS.

Heterogeneous geographical distribution

The research team has developed machine learning models to estimate high-resolution daily concentrations of major air pollutants like PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and O3. This data-driven approach creates a comprehensive daily air quality picture for the European continent, going beyond sparsely distributed monitoring stations. The models gather data from multiple sources, including satellite-based aerosol estimates, existing atmospheric and climate data, and land use information. By analysing these air pollution estimates, the team calculated the annual average number of days in which the WHO daily limit for one or more air pollutants is exceeded.

Despite air quality improvements, 98.10%, 80.15% and 86.34% of the European population lives in areas exceeding the WHO recommended annual levels for PM2.5, PM10 and NO2, respectively. These results closely match the European Environment Agency (EEA)'s estimates for 27 EU countries using data from urban stations only. Additionally, no country met the ozone (O3) annual standard during the peak season from 2003 to 2019. Looking at short-term exposure, over 90.16% and 82.55% of the European population lived in areas with at least 4 days exceeding WHO daily guidelines for PM2.5 and O3 in 2019, while the numbers for NO2 and PM10 were 55.05% and 26.25%.

During the study period, PM2.5 and PM10 levels were highest in northern Italy and eastern Europe, while PM10 levels were highest in southern Europe. High NO2 levels were mainly observed in northern Italy and in some areas of western Europe, such as in the south of the United Kingdom, Belgium and the Netherlands. Similarly, O3 increased by 0.58% in southern Europe, while it decreased or showed a non-significant trend in the rest of the continent. On the other hand, the most significant reductions in PM2.5 and PM10 were observed in central Europe, while for NO2 they were found in mostly urban areas of western Europe.

The complex management of ozone

The average exposure time and population exposed to unclean air concentrations of PM2.5 and Ois much higher than for the other two pollutants. According to the research team, this highlights the urgency of greater control for these pollutants and the importance of addressing the increasing trend and impact of O3 exposure.

Ground-level or tropospheric Ois found in the lower layers of the atmosphere and is considered a secondary pollutant because it is not emitted directly into the atmosphere, but is formed from certain precursors - such as volatile organic compounds (VOCs), carbon monoxide (CO) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) - that are produced in combustion processes, mainly in transport and industry. In high concentrations, ozone can damage human health, vegetation and ecosystems.

"Ozone management presents a complex challenge due to its secondary formation pathway. Conventional air pollution control strategies, which focus on reducing primary pollutant emissions, may not be sufficient to effectively mitigate Oexceedances and associated compound unclean days," says Joan Ballester Claramunt, ISGlobal researcher and senior author of the study. However, addressing climate change, which influences ozone formation through increased sunlight and rising temperatures, is crucial for long-term ozone management and protection of public health," he adds.

The challenge of compound episodes

Despite improvements in air pollution, the research team reported that over 86% of Europeans experienced at least one day with compound air pollution events each year between 2012 and 2019, where multiple pollutants exceeded WHO limits simultaneously. Among those compound days, the contribution of PM2.5-O3 compound days increased from 4.43% in 2004 to 35.23% in 2019, becoming the second most common type in Europe, indicating a worrying trend. They mainly occur in lower latitudes during warm seasons and are likely linked to climate change and the complex interplay between PM2.5 and O3.

Warmer temperatures and stronger sunlight in summer boost O3 formation through chemical reactions. Subsequently, higher levels of O3 will accelerate the oxidation of organic compounds in the air. This oxidation process leads to the condensation of certain oxidized compounds, forming new PM2.5 particles. Additionally, climate change increases the likelihood of wildfires, which further elevate both O3 and PM2.5 levels. “This complex interplay creates a harmful loop, highlighting the urgent need to address climate change and air pollution simultaneously,” explains Ballester Claramunt.

 

Reference

Main study: Chen, Z.Y., Petetin, H., Turrubiates, R.F.M., Achebak, H., García-Pando, C.P. and Ballester, J., 2024. Population exposure to multiple air pollutants and its compound episodes in Europe, Nature CommunicationsDoi: 10.1038/s41467-024-46103-3

Related study: Chen, Z.Y., Turrubiates, R.F.M., Petetin, H., Lacima, A., García-Pando, C.P. and Ballester, J., 2024. Estimation of pan-European, daily total, fine-mode and coarse-mode Aerosol Optical Depth at 0.1° resolution to facilitate air quality assessments. Science of The Total Environment, p.170593. Doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170593

Curbing coal-burning emissions translates 

to health gains for children


COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY'S MAILMAN SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH



Residential heating by coal has for decades been the major contributor to the high levels of air pollution in Krakow, Poland. New research finds a nearly 40 percent decline in the annual average concentration of respirable particulate matter (PM2.5) in Kraków, Poland, between 2010 and 2019 following the implementation of policies targeting emissions from the burning of coal and other solid fuels. Researchers show the improvement in air quality translated to substantial benefits for children’s outcomes, including fewer cases of asthma and better birth outcomes.

The findings by researchers at Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health and Jagiellonian University Medical College in Krakow appear in the journal Environmental Research Letters.

The researchers modeled health gains that would have occurred in 2010 if PM2.5 had been at the lower level achieved in 2019 through policy changes The benefits included 505 fewer new cases of asthma in the 1-14 age group (a 35.7% decline), 81 fewer preterm births (16.8% decrease), and 52 fewer cases of low birth weight (12.3% decrease).

They also modeled gains based on a second hypothetical, which assumed that city had adhered to the WHO’s 2005 guidelines on PM2.5. They found this scenario of a 74% reduction in PM2.5 would have avoided 780 new asthma cases in the 1-14 age group (54.5% decrease), 138 preterm births (28.3% decrease), and 90 cases of low birth weight (21.2% decrease).

In 2021, Krakow was ranked 28th out of 858 European studies in air pollution related-mortality in the ISGlobal-Ranking of Cities survey. These high levels of pollution have been attributed largely to the use of coal-burning ovens in residential spaces, and to a lesser extent transportation and power plant emissions. Government interventions, including a co-financing program to replace coal-burning stoves in the 1990s, markedly improved the city’s air quality, positively impacting children’s health outcomes. However, according to researchers, levels of human-derived air pollution, such as emissions from motor vehicles, is still a concern.

“Fetuses, infants, and children are uniquely vulnerable to air pollution,” explains study senior author Frederica Perera, PhD, DrPH, professor of environmental health sciences and director of translational research at the Columbia Center for Children’s Environmental Health at Columbia Mailman, “Our results show very large benefits can be achieved for children’s health by curbing fossil fuel emissions.”

“This is one of the first studies describing the impact of pollution on the Polish pediatric population,” noted study first author Agnieszka Pac, MSc., PhD, chair of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine at Jagiellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland. “New policies must take into account children’s health, especially given that children often engage in vigorous outdoor activities, making them vulnerable to higher doses of pollutants.”

In earlier studies, the researchers reported a significant improvement in air quality based on personal air monitoring in our Kraków cohort study of pregnant women and their children based on personal air monitoring. They also identified links between air pollution exposure and birth outcomes, growth trajectories, lung function, developmental delays, behavioral problems, and cancer risk.

Additional authors of the new study include Renata Majewska, Natalia Nidecka, and Elzbieta Sochacka-Tatara from Jagiellonian University Medical College. This study was supported by a grant from an anonymous foundation.

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