Wednesday, December 24, 2025

 SPACE/COSMOS

AI enabled launch vehicles: Next potential disruptive technology after reusability



Tsinghua University Press





The global space industry has entered a new phase, characterized by the construction of large-scale satellite constellation construction, human lunar exploration and development and others. As the prerequisite and foundation of all space activities, space transportation systems are experiencing rapid growth in the scale of access to space. Especially with the increasing commercialization, it is expected that within the next 20 years, the scale of access to space will exceed several hundred thousand tons, with annual launch numbers reaching tens of thousands, and this number will continue to rise. Space transportation systems face the challenge of low-cost, high-frequency, and highly reliable airline-flight-mode development.

 

The rapidly developing reusable technology can effectively solve the current issue of high launch costs. However, high-frequency launches and highly reliable flights still remain significant challenges. In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) technology has rapidly developed and has become important across various industries. Enabled space transportation with AI technology holds great promise in addressing the challenges of high-frequency launches and highly reliable flights in the era of large-scale access to space. It is expected to become the next disruptive technology in the field of space transportation, following reusability.

 

AI can be enabled in four scenarios to achieve agile testing and launch preparation, significantly improve flight reliability, achieve rapid maintenance and efficient safety operation & control.

 

Based on AI methods, the authors’ goal is to build an intelligent space transportation system that includes smart test launches, high-reliability flight, agile maintenance assessment, and efficient operation control, aiming to achieve test, inspection, and decision-making times for large launch vehicles at the hour level. By integrating return-to-launch-site (RTLS) technology, the system will enable hour-level re-launches after recovery. The autonomous fault location time for test launches will reach the minute level, and the flight reliability will improve by 1-2 orders of magnitude even in case of non-fatal faults. Meanwhile reliable and agile health assessment and maintenance strategies are established to support the optimization of reusable lifespan of launch vehicles. Besides, the integrated space-earth situational awareness, flight operation management scheduling, and coordinated control are realized to support the reliable and safe operation management and control of the entire space-earth system.

 

Original Source

Haipeng Chen, Xiaowei Wang, Feng Zhang. AI Enabled Launch Vehicle: Next Potential Disruptive Technology After Reusability [J]. Chinese Journal of Aeronautics, 2025, 38(10): 103756, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cja.2025.103756.

 

About Chinese Journal of Aeronautics 

Chinese Journal of Aeronautics (CJA) is an open access, peer-reviewed international journal covering all aspects of aerospace engineering, monthly published by Elsevier. The Journal reports the scientific and technological achievements and frontiers in aeronautic engineering and astronautic engineering, in both theory and practice. CJA is indexed in SCI (IF = 5.7, Q1), EI, IAA, AJ, CSA, Scopus.

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