Thursday, June 08, 2023

Aviation turbulence strengthened as the world warmed — study

Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF READING

Figure depicting turbulence increase from 1979 to 2020 

IMAGE: FIGURE DEPICTING TURBULENCE INCREASE FROM 1979 TO 2020 view more 

CREDIT: MARK PROSSER ET AL.














The skies aircraft fly through are bumpier today than four decades ago, scientists have found, after producing a new analysis showing that turbulence has increased as the climate changed. 


New research from the University of Reading shows that clear-air turbulence, which is invisible and hazardous to aircraft, has increased in various regions around the world. 


At a typical point over the North Atlantic – one of the world’s busiest flight routes – the total annual duration of severe turbulence increased by 55% from  17.7 hours in 1979 to 27.4 hours in 2020, the research found. Moderate turbulence increased by 37% from 70.0 to 96.1 hours, and light turbulence increased by 17% from 466.5 to 546.8 hours. 


The team behind the study, which is published today (Thursday, 8 June) in Geophysical Research Letters, say the increases are consistent with the effects of climate change. Warmer air from CO2 emissions is increasing windshear in the jet streams, strengthening clear-air turbulence in the North Atlantic and globally


PhD researcher Mark Prosser said: "Turbulence makes flights bumpy and can occasionally be dangerous. Airlines will need to start thinking about how they will manage the increased turbulence, as it costs the industry $150–500m annually in the USA alone. Every additional minute spent travelling through turbulence increases wear-and-tear on the aircraft, as well as the risk of injuries to passengers and flight attendants.” 


While the USA and North Atlantic have experienced the largest increases, the new study found that other busy flight routes over Europe, the Middle East, and the South Atlantic also saw significant increases in turbulence. 


Professor Paul Williams, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Reading who co-authored  the study, said: “Following a decade of research showing that climate change will increase clear-air turbulence in the future, we now have evidence suggesting that the increase has already begun. We should be investing in improved turbulence forecasting and detection systems, to prevent the rougher air from translating into bumpier flights in the coming decades.” 

Microplastics and triphenyltin amplify toxicity via the gut-brain axis

Peer-Reviewed Publication

EURASIA ACADEMIC PUBLISHING GROUP 

NEWS RELEASE 





Regulating environmental pollution around the world still largely relies upon risk assessments of “single pollutants,” ignoring combined toxicities and interactions of groups of substances. However, in the real world, “co-exposure” is the norm as pollutants seldom present individually but rather as complex mixtures with other pollutants.

In a recent study published in Environmental Science and Ecotechnology titled, “Combined effect of microplastic and triphenyltin: insights from the gut-brain axis,” researchers from Shandong University, China, and the Chinese Academy of Sciences examined the combined toxicity of these common pollutants on the gut-brain axis using the “common carp” as a model organism. Their study provides a theoretical basis for evaluating the “coexistence risk” of such pollutants.   

The interplay of environmental pollutants

Microplastics — variously shaped plastic particles of sizes smaller than 5 millimetres — have been found in water sources around the globe, including polar ice and deep ocean basins. They represent a global pollution problem inversely proportional to their size. Triphenyltin (TPT) – an organotin compound widely used in manufacturing and industry – is being found in high levels in coastal waters.

Sewage sludges and wastewaters bring high concentrations of microplastics in contact with other environmental pollutants, such as TPT. In such biochemical slurries, microplastics  provide large surface areas for adsorption or attachment, becoming carriers for other chemicals and substances. Even the most effective wastewater treatment processes don’t remove microplastics completely. When released into the environment, carrier microplastics mimic the appearance of some natural food items of aquatic species, get ingested, and then deliver adsorbed pollutants directly to their digestive tracts.

Acting alone, microplastics can imbalance intestinal flora, change the structure of intestinal villi, and alter the gut mucosa. They also accumulate in brain tissues, damaging the blood-brain barrier. Since dietary accumulation is an important pathway, the researchers examined how this toxicity manifests upon the “gut-brain axis” – an intricate “information exchange system between the brain and gut, consisting of the neuroendocrine, vagal, and immune pathways.”

The study design

The authors conducted exposure experiments with juvenile common carp — a widely cultured freshwater fish — using realistic environmental concentrations of both pollutants, microplastics and TPT. One group was exposed to each pollutant singly, while a third group was exposed to a combination of both pollutants. The experiments lasted 42 days, and the fish were sampled at regular intervals to evaluate combined toxicity effects on “gut physiology, biochemical parameters, gut microbial 16S rRNA, and brain transcriptome sequencing.”

Results

The study detected that the pollutants both when acting singly, and in combination,

had toxic manifestations for the carp’s gut-brain axis, but with important differences. When acting alone, microplastics mainly suppressed immunity, while TPT interfered with lipid metabolism. However, when combined, TPT amplified the immunotoxicity of microplastics.

Histopathological examination showed that exposure to both microplastics and TPT increased the area and density of gut glycoproteins, an immunomodulatory component of intestinal mucus secreted by goblet cells, when compared to controls and single pollutants. The authors explain this as, “the gut having protected itself against foreign microplastics and TPT by stimulating glycoprotein secretion to improve the functioning of the intestinal barrier.”

Further biochemical assessments and genetic sequencing of the carp’s gut microflora and brain tissues provided further evidence of amplified toxicity under co-exposure. 16s-rDNA sequencing of the gut microbiome coupled with Kyoto Encyclopaedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses showed an increased complexity of the bacterial network under co-exposure, with a reduced abundance of genera important for proper immune functioning. This could contribute to increased glycoprotein levels as compensatory mechanism to maintain immune functioning.

Examining the carp’s brain with transcriptome analysis to detect differentially expressed genes (DEGs), they found that microplastics acting alone mainly decreased some DEGs related to immune functioning, while TPT combined with microplastics reduced the expression levels of the same genes related to immunity significantly more. TPT alone increased lipid metabolism DEGs levels. This finding led them to conclude that, “the combination of microplastics and TPT amplifies the immunotoxicity of microplastics acting alone.”

A correlation analysis of gut parameters with carp brain metabolism genes for both immunity and lipid metabolism pathways further showed that the abundance of bacteria in the intestine of carp was significantly correlated with expression levels of DEGs in the carp brain related to immunity, while little correlation was present with lipid metabolism genes, providing a consistent story on how TPT amplifies the toxicity of microplastics on the carp’s immune system via the gut-brain communication channel.

Conclusion and Next Steps

These findings underscore the complex interplay between pollutants and environmental health.

As the authors note, “This study provides new insights from the perspective of the gut-brain axis and finds that immune-related DEGs are significantly associated with gut-dominant microbes and immune parameters, but the (underlying) mechanisms require further investigation.”

Continued research in this area will contribute to our understanding of the environmental and health implications of combined exposure to common pollutants and support the development of strategies to mitigate their adverse effects on ecosystems and human well-being.

ICYMI!

Greenhouse gas emissions at ‘an all-time high’ causing unprecedented rate of global warming - global scientists


Human-caused global warming has continued to increase at an “unprecedented rate” since the last major assessment of the climate system published two years ago, say 50 leading scientists.


Peer-Reviewed Publication

MAYNOOTH UNIVERSITY

Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022 

IMAGE: INFOGRAPHIC SHOWING HEADLINE RESULTS FROM INDICATORS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE 2022: ANNUAL UPDATE OF LARGE-SCALE INDICATORS OF THE STATE OF THE CLIMATE SYSTEM AND THE HUMAN INFLUENCE. “AR6” REFERS TO APPROXIMATELY 2019 AND “NOW” REFERS TO 2022. CREDIT: IGCC. view more 

CREDIT: CREDIT: IGCC.




Human-caused global warming has continued to increase at an “unprecedented rate” since the last major assessment of the climate system published two years ago, say 50 leading scientists. 

One of the researchers said the analysis was a “timely wake-up call” that the pace and scale of climate action has been insufficient. It comes as climate experts meet in Bonn to prepare the ground for the major COP28 climate conference in the UAE in December, which will include a stocktake of progress towards keeping global warming to 1.5°C by 2050. 

Professor Peter Thorne, Director of ICARUS Climate Research Centre at Maynooth University, said: “It is critical that policy makers and the general public be made aware of how quickly we are changing the climate through our collective activities. Already since the IPCC assessment of the physical science basis in 2021, key numbers have changed markedly and we remain well off track globally to avert warming above 1.5 degrees.”

Given the speed at which the global climate system is changing, the scientists argue that policymakers, climate negotiators and civil society groups need to have access to up-to-date and robust scientific evidence on which to base decisions. 

The authoritative source of scientific information on the state of the climate is the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) but the turnaround time for its major assessments is five or ten years, and that creates an “information gap”, particularly when climate indicators are changing rapidly.

In an initiative led by the University of Leeds with researchers from around the world, including Maynooth University ICARUS Director, Professor Peter Thorne, the scientists have developed an open data, open science platform - the Indicators of Global Climate Change and website (https://igcc.earth/). It will update information on key climate indicators every year.

Critical decade for climate change

The Indicators of Global Climate Change Project is being co-ordinated by Professor Piers Forster, Director of the Priestley Centre for Climate Futures at Leeds. He said: “This is the critical decade for climate change. 

 “Decisions made now will have an impact on how much temperatures will rise and the degree and severity of impacts we will see as a result. 

“Long-term warming rates are currently at a long-term high, caused by highest-ever levels of greenhouse gas emissions. But there is evidence that the rate of increase in greenhouse gas emissions has slowed.

“We need to be nimble footed in the face of climate change. We need to change policy and approaches in the light of the latest evidence about the state of the climate system. Time is no longer on our side. Access to up-to-date information is vitally important.”

Writing in the journal Earth System Science Data, the scientists have revealed how key indicators have changed since the publication of the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Working Group 1 report in 2021- which produced the key data that fed into the subsequent IPCC Sixth Synthesis Report.

What the updated indicators show

Human-induced warming, largely caused by the burning of fossil fuels, reached an average of 1.14°C for the most recent decade (2013 to 2022) above pre-industrial levels. This is up from 1.07°C between 2010 and 2019.

Human-induced warming is now increasing at a pace of over 0.2°C per decade.

The analysis also found that greenhouse gas emissions were “at an all-time high”, with human activity resulting in the equivalent of 54 (+/-5.3) gigatonnes (or billion metric tonnes) of carbon dioxide being released into the atmosphere on average every year over the last decade (2012-2021).

There has been positive move away from burning coal, yet this has come at a short-term cost in that it has added to global warming by reducing particulate pollution in the air, which has a cooling effect. 

‘Indicators critical to address climate crisis’

Professor Maisa Rojas Corradi, Minister of the Environment in Chile, IPCC author and a scientist involved in this study, said: “An annual update of key indicators of global change is critical in helping the international community and countries to keep the urgency of addressing the climate crisis at the top of the agenda and for evidence-based decision-making.

“In line with the “ratchet-mechanism” of increasing ambition envisioned by the Paris Agreement we need scientific information about emissions, concentration, and temperature as often as possible to keep international climate negotiations up to date and to be able to adjust and if necessary correct national policies.

“In the case of Chile, we have a climate change law that aims at aligning government-wide policies with climate action.”

Remaining carbon budget

One of the major findings of the analysis is the rate of decline in what is known as the remaining carbon budget, an estimate of how much carbon that can be released into the atmosphere to give a 50% chance of keeping global temperature rise within 1.5°C. 

In 2020, the IPCC calculated the remaining carbon budget was around 500 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By the start of 2023, the figure was roughly half that at around 250 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. 

The reduction in the estimated remaining carbon budget is due to a combination of continued emissions since 2020 and updated estimates of human-induced warming. 

Professor Forster said: “Even though we are not yet at 1.5°C warming, the carbon budget will likely be exhausted in only a few years as we have a triple whammy of heating from very high CO2 emissions, heating from increases in other GHG emissions and heating from reductions in pollution.

“If we don’t want to see the 1.5°C goal disappearing in our rearview mirror, the world must work much harder and urgently at bringing emissions down.

“Our aim is for this project to help the key players urgently make that important work happen with up-to-date and timely data at their fingertips.” 

Dr Valérie Masson-Delmotte, from the Université Paris Saclay who co-chaired Working Group 1 of the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment report and was involved in the climate indicators project, said: “This robust update shows intensifying heating of our climate driven by human activities. It is a timely wake up call for the 2023 global stocktake of the Paris Agreement - the pace and scale of climate action is not sufficient to limit the escalation of climate-related risks.”

As recent IPCC reports have conclusively shown, with every further increment of global warming, the frequency and intensity of climate extremes, including hot extremes, heavy rainfall and agricultural droughts, increases.

The Indicators of Global Climate Change (https://igcc.earth/) will have annually updated information on greenhouse gas emissions, human-induced global warming and the remaining carbon budget. 

The website extends a successful climate dashboard called the Climate Change Tracker which was created by software developers who took ideas from the finance industry on how to present complex information to the public. 

What the analysis revealed

Climate Indicator

Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)

Latest value

Greenhouse gas emissions (decadal average)

53 GtCO2e (2010-2019)

54 Gt CO2e (2012-2021)

Human-induced warming since preindustrial times

1.07°C

1.14°C

Remaining carbon budget (1.5C, 50% chance)

500 GtCO2

About 250 GtCO2 and very uncertain

Headline results from the paper Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: Annual update of large-scale indicators of the state of the climate system and the human influence.  “AR6” refers to approximately 2019 and “Now” refers to 2022.  The AR6 period decadal average greenhouse gas emissions are our re-evaluated assessment for 2010-2019.

Untapping barley’s grain yield potential by mitigating floral degeneration

Peer-Reviewed Publication

LEIBNIZ INSTITUTE OF PLANT GENETICS AND CROP PLANT RESEARCH

Yield potential of barley 

IMAGE: THE AIM IS TO BETTER DEVELOP THE YIELD POTENTIAL OF THE CEREAL PLANT. view more 

CREDIT: IPK LEIBNIZ INSTITUTE/ T. SCHNURBUSCH



Barley possesses an indeterminate 'spike'-type inflorescence that forms basic floral structures, called spikelets, in a distichous pattern along its central axis (termed rachis). Each rachis node in the barley spike produces three (one central and two lateral) spikelets.

At the end of spikelet primordia initiation along the rachis marks the stage of maximum yield potential. Subsequently, the inflorescence meristem dome starts to collapse, followed by gradual basipetal degeneration of spikelet primordia and spikelets until a specific position along the spike is reached. “We show that up to 50% of the initiated floral primordia are aborted before anthesis, representing an untapped yield potential”, says
Prof. Dr. Thorsten Schnurbusch, head if IPK’s research group “Plant Architecture”. “Understanding the molecular underpinnings of spike PTD may thus help improve grain yield in cereals.”

Due to its quantitative nature and environmental sensitivity, inflorescence PTD constitutes a complex mechanism affecting final grain number. This mechanism appears to be predictable and heritable, consistent with a developmental programme. Photosynthesis, immature spike greening, and energy metabolism appear to be significant contributors to proper spikelet growth and differentiation and were restricted to basal and central spike parts. The researchers discovered, however, that the degenerating apical spike region undergoes sugar and amino acid depletion along with enhanced abscisic acid biosynthesis and signaling.

“Moreover, we functionally validated one of the apically expressed transcription factor genes, barley GRASSY TILLERS1 (HvGT1) an ortholog of maize GT1, as a growth repressor of apical spikelet development”, emphasises Nandhakumar Shanmugaraj, first author of the study. Site-directed Hvgt1 mutants in barley delayed the onset of spike PTD and produced more differentiated apical organs, resulting in significantly more fertile spikelets/florets and increased final spikelet number. “This is the first report on the molecular underpinnings of barley inflorescence PTD; however, here we not only provide a molecular framework for barley but also for related cereals of the Triticeae tribe (e.g., wheat, rye).”

“We believe that the molecular elucidation of PTD in barley will also stimulate future research directions on the evolution of related genes on growth suppression in other plants beyond crop species”, says Prof. Dr. Thorsten Schnurbusch. As barley is amongst the most important cereal crops in the world, better exploiting its spike yield potential can thus contribute to world food security and thereby directly help fight against hunger threats imposed by climate change, and natural or war disasters.