Monday, October 23, 2023

Tory panic mounts as shock poll finds Brits believe LABOUR is more likely to cut taxes - while Rishi Sunak struggles to quell revolt after by-elections with fears dozens of MPs are ready to send no-confidence letters

PROOF!
SIR KEIR'S LABOUR (SIC) PARTY ARE RED TORIES

By JAMES TAPSFIELD, POLITICAL EDITOR FOR MAILONLINE
22 October 2023 

A shock poll has found Brits believe Labour is more likely to cut taxes as Rishi Sunak struggles to quell Tory panic over the by-election disasters.


Exclusive research for MailOnline showed Keir's Starmer's party was viewed as a bigger champion of lower taxes than the Conservatives by a margin of 37 per cent to 21 per cent.


The Redfield & Wilton Strategies survey also suggested that 58 per cent want the burden reduced - and a small majority are convinced the government is in a position to do so.


The findings will fuel growing unrest in the PM's ranks over his reluctance to bring forward more traditional Tory policies to woo back disaffected voters.

Mr Sunak suffered two shattering blows last week when Labour seized true-blue strongholds Mid Beds and Tamworth, overturning massive majorities.

Experts said the results put Sir Keir firmly on track for No10 next year. Although by-elections never translate directly, if replicated at a general election the 20-plus percentage point swings seen would see the Conservatives reduced to a rump of just 20 seats.

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Exclusive research for MailOnline found Labour was viewed as more of a champion of lower taxes than the Conservatives by a margin of 37 per cent to 21 per cent


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The poll found income tax was the highest priority, with 49 per cent saying it should be reduced

Labour win Tamworth and Mid Bedfordshire by-elections


Amid reports that dozens of MPs are considering putting in no-confidence letters to the powerful 1922 Committee, some Tories have warned Downing Street that only reductions in taxes - heading for a post-war high - can save the party from oblivion.

However, Mr Sunak, who was touring the Middle East as the by-election fallout erupted, has vowed to bring down inflation and get the UK's post-Covid debt burden under control first.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has again rejected calls for significant cuts at the Autumn Statement next month, despite figures on Friday revealing that public sector borrowing was lower than expected in September - and is now £20billion below the OBR's previous forecast.

However, there have been rumblings about the threshold for paying the 40 per cent higher rate of income tax being pushed up in the Spring Budget.

In interviews this morning, Cabinet minister Robert Jenrick conceded the by-elections were 'disappointing'.

But he insisted the Tories would make 'sensible, prudent' decisions on tax.

'We all want to cut taxes. Everyone wants lower taxes, as a conservative it is one of the central tenets of conservatism that we believe in lower taxes,' he told the BBC.

'But you can trust the Conservatives to make sensible, prudent decisions on the future of the economy and to bring down taxes where it is capable to do so.'

Stressing the shift from the brief Liz Truss premiership, Mr Jenrick said: 'Look at the difference that we've seen in the last 12 months under Rishi Sunak, the fact that we have stabilised the economy, that it's growing, that inflation is falling and on critical issues like immigration, were making significant progress for the first time in a long time.'

The Redfield & Wilton Strategies research, carried out on Thursday, asked which of the main two parties voters thought most advocated for lower taxes.

Some 37 per cent said Labour, while just 21 per cent said the Tories. Another 23 per cent said neither, 9 per cent said both and 11 per cent did not know.

Cutting taxes at the next fiscal package was supported or strongly supported by 58 per cent, with just 9 per cent opposed. Brits considered the government is in a position to cut tax by a margin of 42 per cent to 39 per cent.

The poll found income tax was the highest priority, with 49 per cent saying it should be reduced. VAT cuts were supported by 39 per cent, a third wanted national insurance targeted, 35 per cent fuel duty and 30 per cent inheritance tax.

Writing about the by-election defeats for today's Mail on Sunday, former Cabinet minister Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg said that current tax levels – the highest for 70 years – meant there had been 'no incentive for Conservatives go out to vote'.

Former trade minister Marcus Fysh added: 'We need some practical growth-boosting and inflation-lowering tax cuts now to demonstrate to people that we are on their side.'

Mr Fysh, MP for Yeovil, also called for the VAT threshold to be raised and for fuel duty to be cut: 'We need to incentivise those sources of growth in incomes by people who are the strivers and drivers of our economy.'

A Treasury source said: 'The PM and Chancellor want to lower the personal tax burden as soon as possible, but our priority has to be inflation reduction. If we cut taxes too early and pump billions of additional demand into the economy when inflation is already too high, we risk even higher prices and higher interest rates.'

There were claims today that the freeze on tax thresholds will raise an extra £75 billion for the Treasury, equivalent to 9p on income tax.

The freeze on personal income tax allowances and thresholds – not raising them in line with inflation – was introduced in the March 2021 Budget by Mr Sunak when he was Chancellor.


Chancellor Jeremy Hunt (pictured) has again rejected calls for significant cuts at the Autumn Statement next month, despite figures on Friday revealing that public sector borrowing was lower than expected in September

It was stated to last until the 2025-26 tax year – but was extended by Mr Hunt until 2027-28.

First intended to raise £8billion, the Growth Commission – a group of eminent British and overseas economists established by former PM Liz Truss – has calculated that, due to high inflation and wage rises, the bonus from the 'fiscal drag' will rocket to £75 billion.

Amid fevered plotting at Westminster, the Sunday Times reported that a revolt by right-wingers is already under way.

An MP said they had been told 25 colleagues were ready to file no-confidence letters, although it was not clear whom they wanted to replace Mr Sunak.

'I told them I didn't think the British public would forgive us for changing prime minister again and that it would likely hurt not help our electoral fortunes,' the MP said.

A leadership vote would only be triggered if 53 letters are sent, and the 1922 chairman never reveals how many are lodged until the threshold is met.

The Tories are losing voters who think we need political reform, new poll finds
22 October 2023


Voters who backed the Tories in 2019 but have since said they will not be voting for them at the next general election are more likely to support democratic reform than the party’s current voter base, a new poll has found. The polling suggests that the Tories are losing voters who think Britain needs political reform.

The poll was commissioned by voting reform campaign group Make Votes Matter and conducted by Opinium.

According to the poll, just one in ten voters think parliament is currently in touch with ordinary people. Of those who don’t think it’s in touch, seven in ten think parliament would be more effective in dealing with big issues if votes cast at general elections were reflected in the number of seats each party had. This rises to nine in ten for 2019 Tory voters who have since said they won’t be voting Tory next time.

The survey also found that just 4 per cent of the public think the political system does not need reform at all. It also found that reforming the electoral system is a higher priority among voters than reforming the House of Lords.

According to Make Votes Matter, the survey suggests that among 2019 Tory switchers, a bold offer on political reform could be a vote winner.

Commenting on the survey, Klina Jordan, Chief Executive of Make Votes Matter, said: “The demand for change is deafening. Despite intense political polarisation, the country is united on the need for political reform – even the Prime Minister has admitted that Westminster is not working.2 Based on these results, the public clearly sees our electoral system as a big part of the problem.

“Keir Starmer is right that we need a new way of governing, but it’s not credible to acknowledge the consequences of our flawed electoral system – as party policy now does – without promising to do something about it. These results show clearly that if Labour wants to win over Tory switchers – as well as Lib Dem, Green and other voters – they need to take political reform seriously, especially PR.

“Far more than Lords reform, PR is seen by voters across the spectrum as most likely to tackle the complete loss of faith in a political system that is seen as out of touch with people’s needs and unable to manage the big issues.”

The poll also found that 37 per cent of voters would be more likely to back the Tories or Labour if they supported a move to proportional representation.


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Image credit: Number 10 – Creative Commons

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