Wednesday, April 06, 2022

Young Black Americans Wary of the Stock Market Are Turning to Crypto

(Bloomberg) -- Young Black Americans are embracing cryptocurrency to counter a distrust in stock markets and financial institutions.

About 38% of Black investors under 40 years old own digital tokens, compared with 29% for their White counterparts, according to a survey by Ariel Investments and Charles Schwab Corp. issued Tuesday. Overall, twice as many Black respondents than those who are White ranked crypto as the best investment choice overall.

The embrace of crypto shows the growing influence of social media and the popularity of risky investments among Black investors -- and a need for more financial education, the companies said. It also reflects a finding in the survey that Black Americans are more likely to see the stock market as riskier and less than fair than White investors.

“It’s just very worrisome,” said John Rogers, founder and co-chief executive officer of Ariel Investments. “People are just interested in getting rich quickly through this hot, exciting, dynamic new area.”

The risk is that Black investors sacrifice their financial goals, he said. “The worst thing is if you get started and your first investment doesn’t work out well, it’ll take a long time to get comfortable in the markets again,” Rogers said.

Crypto is so popular among Black investors that 23% of those surveyed cited excitement for the asset class as the reason they started investing, Ariel and Schwab said. 

Read more: Black Americans Are Embracing Stocks and Bitcoin to Make Up for Stolen Time

Among the other findings:

  • ESG investing is more attractive to Black investors than White. Forty-four percent of Black respondents said it was “very important” to align their investments with their personal beliefs versus 29% of White respondents
  • Black investors are more than twice as likely to expect annual returns of more than 20% as White investors
  • Black Americans are investing and saving significantly more than they did in 2020 -- about $650 per month. That figure was almost $400 in 2020. White investors are now saving about $850 a month

Ariel and Schwab surveyed about 2,000 people age 18 and older, half of whom identified as Black. The average household income of Black and White participants was $99,000 and $106,000, respectively. The survey was conducted from Jan. 4-13 and had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

 


Slim majority of Turks say Erdoğan will not win re-election in 2023: survey

  

Close to 48 percent of Turks believe that incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan will not win the next presidential election scheduled for 2023, while some 46 percent say he will be re-elected, according to the results of a survey.

The “Turkey’s Pulse” survey, conducted by Metropoll in March, indicated that 45.7 percent of respondents think Erdoğan will win yet another presidential election, while 47.6 percent said they don’t believe Erdoğan will be elected to a third term.

Erdoğan was first elected president for a five-year renewable term in 2014 by a direct vote under the parliamentary system. Turkey switched to presidential system of governance with a referendum in 2017 and held snap presidential and parliamentary polls in 2018, when Erdoğan was elected president again.

To the same question asked in the company’s survey in February, 42.6 percent said they believed Erdoğan would win the next presidential election.

According to the survey, Erdoğan’s role of mediator in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine helped him to earn several more points in March.

Turkey, which did not take part in international sanctions against Russia, hosted two rounds of peace talks between Ukrainian and Russian negotiators in March.

A total of 31.1 percent of respondents of the survey said Erdoğan would not be able to win the presidential election if it were held next Sunday, while 30.2 percent said he would, which was 2.6 points higher than the figure in February.

Metropoll has been asking people regularly since August 2020 about their views concerning Erdoğan’s chances of winning the next presidential election.

While the percentage of people who believed he could win the next presidential election was 55.4 percent in August 2020, there has been a 9.7 point fall in this figure over the past one-and-a-half years. In the meantime, there has been an 8.5 point increase in the percentage of people who think Erdoğan cannot win the next election in the same period.

Erdoğan and his ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) have been losing public support in the public surveys at a time when staggeringly high cost of living has become the new normal in Turkey, where recent increases in food and utility prices are pushing up inflation, further crippling the purchasing power of citizens

In March consumer prices accelerated to 61.14 percent at an annual rate, up from 54.4 percent in February.

USA
This Black Maternal Health Week, Let’s Expand Access to Midwifery Care
APRIL 05, 2022

ANNA BERNSTEIN
FELLOW

April 11 marks the beginning of this year’s Black Maternal Health Week—a week of action, awareness-raising, and advocacy to combat the United States’ maternal health crisis, one which puts Black women and birthing people at alarming risk. It is unacceptable that our maternal health outcomes continue to worsen, and it is beyond time that we devote adequate attention and resources to reversing this trend.

Despite the demonstrated benefits of midwifery care, and its historical importance in the care of Black women in particular, midwives have been excluded from the U.S. health care system. In order to reduce inequities in maternal health outcomes—caused by a legacy of structural racism and ongoing discrimination—Black birthing people must have access to community-based care, and midwifery care in particular. This commentary will briefly outline the importance and history of midwifery care in the United States, and recommend policies that would increase equity in access.
Midwifery Care and Its Benefits

The Black maternal health crisis cannot be solved without access to quality, patient-centered, and affirming care—including midwifery care. Midwives, the vast majority of whom in the United States are either certified nurse-midwives (CNMs) or certified midwives (CMs), provide a range of services for women and birthing people throughout the reproductive life course. Notably, midwives are the traditional care providers for pregnant individuals, providing support throughout pregnancies, during birth, and into the postpartum period (and playing a critical role in the global reproductive health workforce). Depending on their level of training, midwives may be trained to attend births in hospital settings alongside physicians, or may provide care in birthing centers or home births, without physicians present.

The midwifery model of care uses a client-centered approach that aims to support individuals before, during, and after birth. Using a holistic framework that takes into account the physical, psychological, and social well-being of the birthing individual, midwives offer hands-on care and seek to reduce unnecessary medical interventions.


When compared to other models of care, midwifery care is associated with higher levels of satisfaction and fewer interventions. In particular, patients associate midwifery care with personalized care, trust, and empowerment.

When compared to other models of care, midwifery care is associated with higher levels of satisfaction and fewer interventions. In particular, patients associate midwifery care with personalized care, trust, and empowerment. Giving birth with the assistance of a midwife can also decrease the odds of cesarean sections, which can improve outcomes for subsequent births; the procedures are associated with increased risks to fertility and adverse birth outcomes for later pregnancies. This is particularly important for Black women, who are at higher risk for receiving cesarean sections, even with low-risk births. Additional research has demonstrated that integration of midwifery care into health systems is associated with positive maternal health outcomes. Furthermore, costs of midwife-assisted births are, on average, lower than obstetric-led care.

These benefits that midwifery care offer are crucial for communities that suffer disproportionately from the burden of maternal mortality and morbidity, particularly Black and Native birthing people.
A History of Exclusion in the United States

The practice of midwifery dates back to the beginning of recorded history, has roots across cultures, and, as it’s practiced in the United States, also has origins in West African traditions brought to the country by enslaved people. Black midwives—including the grand midwives who helped establish the practice in this country—were historically critical in supporting women through childbirth and beyond. Yet Black providers are not well represented in the current midwifery workforce: today, over 90 percent of nurse-midwives in the United States are white. This shift in demographics did not happen by accident: rather, it was the result of systematic exclusion and the medicalization of childbirth.

From the end of the nineteenth century and into the twentieth, the influence of the American Medical Association (AMA)—a professional association and lobbying organization for physicians—grew. The AMA pursued “professional homogenization and increased standards for medical education;” as the field of obstetrics emerged and childbirth was increasingly medicalized, midwives were pushed out from practicing. (It is worth noting, too, that the field of obstetrics and gynecology was built in part on the exploitation of and experimentation on enslaved women.) The medical establishment’s narratives often used racist, sexist, and classist language to discredit the largely Black midwifery workforce. This discriminatory rhetoric accused Black midwives of being dangerous, unprofessional, and unhygenic. To this day, racism persists within the field of midwifery, and highlights the need for diversification of the workforce.

Access to Midwifery Care Today


As a result of this medicalization of maternal care and the move towards hospital-based births, midwifery care has become less common in the United States: today, midwives only attend 10 percent of births nationwide. Given the obstacles that many individuals face in receiving any pregnancy-related care at all, midwifery offers an underutilized model that deserves expanded access. Currently, 2.2 million women of reproductive age in the United States live in maternity deserts (areas without a maternal health provider). Midwives are already meeting some of these needs outside of urban centers: in rural areas—which have been particularly plagued by hospital closures—midwives attend around one-third of all births.

Insurance coverage of midwifery care can be a barrier for potential patients. Despite the benefits of midwifery care, it is often inaccessible to the people who need it most—including Medicaid enrollees. Addressing access within Medicaid is particularly important to eliminating maternal health disparities, because the program finances two-thirds of births to Black women.

Improving access to midwifery care means also improving access to freestanding birth centers: even though midwifery care can be offered in any setting, it is always offered in birth centers. Birth centers offer a holistic approach to care using a midwifery model, and have been shown to have positive outcomes and high levels of patient satisfaction. Medicaid enrollees, however, have less access to birth centers than do privately insured individuals. Inclusion of birth centers and home births in Medicaid programs are both dependent on states, and only half of states cover home deliveries (which may be attended by midwives). Low Medicaid reimbursement rates for birth centers may also limit the number of Medicaid enrollees that centers can accept—these reimbursement rates vary by state and fall well below Medicare rates. In addition, onerous scope of practice and licensing laws can restrict the care that midwives can provide or require physician supervision.

An equitable approach to midwifery care is one in which Medicaid enrollees have access to midwives to the same degree as pregnant people with private insurance, and one in which midwives themselves are reimbursed at a rate that is comparable to other providers.
How We Can Improve Access to Midwives through Policy

This Black Maternal Health Week, there are a number of existing policy proposals to uplift that could address these obstacles to midwifery care. Several legislative proposals would promote equity for both Medicaid enrollees and midwives with Medicaid-financed patients. For instance, the Mama’s First Act, introduced in the 116th Congress by Representative Gwen Moore (D-WI-4), requires Medicaid coverage of not only midwifery services but also doula care.

To ensure that Medicaid enrollees are able to access birth centers and the midwifery care they offer, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) should also enforce its earlier guidance to states that at least one birth center is included in each Medicaid managed care plan. Senator Lujan (D-NM) and Representative Katherine Clark (D-MA-5) also introduced the Birth Access Benefiting Improved Essential Facility Services Act (BABIES) Act, which would require CMS to establish a demonstration project to improve freestanding birth center services. In addition, even without further action from Congress, the CMS Innovation Center (CMMI) could use its existing authority to test models that include midwifery care.

Federal policy efforts can also address the expansion and diversification of the perinatal workforce, including midwives. The Midwives for MOMS Act of 2021, introduced by Senator Lujan and Representative Roybal-Allard (D-CA-40), would create grants within the Health Resources and Services Administration to establish or expand midwifery programs. The Perinatal Workforce Act, led by Representative Moore and Senator Baldwin (D-WI)—and part of the Black Maternal Health Momnibus—seeks to grow and diversify the perinatal workforce. Its provisions that were included in the House version of the Build Back Better Act specifically devote funding for training of CNMs; TCF analyses found that these investments would provide tens of thousands maternal health professionals with educational support.

In considering funding, community-based organizations should also be prioritized. These groups, often Black women-led, are already leading efforts to provide Black women and birthing people with patient-centered care. Legislation like the Kira Johnson Act, led by Representative Alma Adams (D-NC-12) and included in the Momnibus, would make important investments in these organizations. Maternal health funding investments, including those from the Perinatal Workforce Act and the Kira Johnson Act, must be included in the final iteration of the social spending package passed through budget reconciliation.

Of course, ensuring access to care also means providing people with health coverage throughout pregnancy and the postpartum period. Regardless of whether a Medicaid enrollee chooses midwifery care, coverage must be provided for a full year postpartum. Extension to one year of Medicaid postpartum coverage must be made mandatory and permanent, building on the important progress of the state option included in the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021.

Increasing access to high-quality, personalized, and holistic care—as offered by the midwifery model of care—is crucial to eliminating disparities in maternal health outcomes. However, midwives, and Black midwives in particular, have been historically excluded from the U.S. health care system. In order to improve Black maternal health outcomes, access to midwifery care must be made widely accessible and affordable for all pregnant people, and this Black Maternal Health Week should serve as a call to action.

TAGS: WOMEN'S HEALTH, MATERNAL HEALTH, BLACK MATERNAL HEALTH

COMMENTARY HEALTH CARE
JANUARY 24, 2022 BY JAMILA TAYLOR AND ANNA BERNSTEIN
OCTOBER 20, 2021BY JAMILA TAYLOR AND ANNA BERNSTEIN

COMMENTARY HEALTH CARE
Structural Racism as a Root Cause of America’s Black Maternal Health CrisisMAY 6, 2021BY JAMILA TAYLOR



Anna Bernstein, Fellow
Anna Bernstein is a health care policy fellow at The Century Foundation, where she works on issues related to maternal and reproductive health.
Kuwait's government resigns in latest standoff with parliament

Apr 05 2022 

Kuwait’s government submitted its resignation on Tuesday, state news agency KUNA reported, ahead of a no-confidence vote against the prime minister in parliament, amid a lengthy political feud that has hindered fiscal reform in the Gulf oil producer.



Crown Prince Sheikh Meshal al-Ahmad al-Sabah, who took over most of the ruling emir’s duties late last year, received the government’s letter of resignation from Prime Minister Sheikh Sabah al-Khalid, KUNA reported.

Sheikh Sabah, a member of the ruling al-Sabah family and premier since late 2019, has faced a combative legislature as the head of successive cabinets, with opposition MPs bent on questioning him over issues including perceived corruption.

The vote in parliament, called a non-cooperation motion, was scheduled for Wednesday. The current government was appointed in December, the third in 2021 as the standoff with the elected parliament dragged on.

Kuwait has given its assembly more influence than similar bodies in other Gulf states, including the power to pass and block laws, question ministers and submit no-confidence motions against senior government officials.

Fitch Ratings downgraded Kuwait in January to ‘AA-’ from ‘AA’, citing “ongoing political constraints” hindering its ability to pass a debt law and address a heavy reliance on oil, a lavish welfare system and a bloated public sector.

The octogenarian emir, before delegating duties to his designated successor, also in his 80s, tried to end the impasse by pardoning dissidents in an amnesty sought by opposition lawmakers. Kuwait does not allow political parties.

Kuwaiti political analyst Nasser al-Abdali said some ruling family members were using parliament to push their agenda as they jostle for power, worsening hostilities.

“There is a generational struggle inside the ruling family,” he told Reuters. “It is expected that the resignation will be accepted and a new prime minister appointed.”

Since the COVID-19 pandemic, the government has taken palliative measures to temporarily boost finances while more structural reforms remain deadlocked, including the debt law.

While higher oil prices have offered some relief, Kuwait has been unable to issue international debt since 2017.

Perennial feuding has led to frequent cabinet reshuffles or dissolution of parliament holding up investment and reform.


France elections 2022: With a late surge, can socialist Jean-Luc Mélenchon revive the French left?

In-depth
Days ahead of the first round of voting in the French elections, Moroccan-born leftist candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon has surged in polls. Can his radical socialist campaign secure him a seat in the run-off for president?

Basma El Atti
05 April, 2022

A survivor of the fall of the French left has emerged from the ruins to have a shot at the upcoming presidential election: Jean-Luc Mélenchon has become France’s leading left-wing candidate after steadily rising in the polls and is now eyeing the Elysée.

Likening himself to a tortoise, the veteran leftist and leader of the France Unbowed party hopes that his third candidacy will see his slow and steady rise to win the presidential race.

A recent surge in the polls means Mélenchon is currently in third place, just a handful of points behind far-right Le Pen while centrist incumbent Macron leads the bid. If Mélenchon can make it through, he would end the decade-long absence of leftist candidates from the second round of the French election.

Known as France’s Bernie Sanders, the 70-year-old politician shares many factors with his American counterpart. Both are willingly impulsive, sanguine and do not shy away from debating his competitors. Both also find their dominant support base among younger voters.

Mélenchon’s confidence as an orator, erudition and dry sense of humour are seen by his supporters as a display of his authenticity.

"Born in Tangier, the veteran politician witnessed in his early childhood Morocco’s struggle towards independence from French colonisation - a struggle he said inspired his political journey"

Unlike the far-right candidate Eric Zemmour, who dismisses his Algerian roots, Mélonchon is very proud of the years he spent in the Maghreb. Born in Tangier, the veteran politician witnessed in his early childhood Morocco’s struggle towards independence from French colonisation - a struggle he said inspired his political journey.

“My first demonstration was when I was 5 years old. I had come across a demonstration with my father and my uncle, which demanded the return of Mohammed V [the king of Morocco who was exiled at the time]. I went home and was very happy to have seen those brave men, I started to go around the table shouting ‘Return to us, Mohammed Ben Youssef’. My first demonstration was for the independence of Morocco and the return of the King of Morocco to his kingdom,” said Mélenchon during his campaign in March 2022.

Mélenchon says that his time in Tangier as well as his travels to Latin America have inspired him to embrace the diversity of races and religions in one country. “I have never suffered from the panic fears and racist anxieties that overwhelm others,” he said.

Mélenchon began his political career with the National Union of Students of France before joining the Socialist Party in the 1970s until 2008, when he left after accusing it of leaning towards the centre.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon attends a presidential march with members of his party La France Insoumise on March 20, 2022. [Getty]

In 2016, Mélenchon launched his eco-socialist party La France Insoumise (France Unbowed), combining radical left-wing ideas, such as jobs for all and increasing taxes on the rich, with green-tinged proposals, including investing in green energy and banning pesticides.


His progressive campaign has proved successful with young people across the country before: Mélenchon won more 18-25 year-old votes in 2017 than either of the candidates ahead of him. He hopes to make a similar case to French youth this year.

Rap performances before his speeches, a video game of Mélenchon fighting corruption, and a Twitch channel to stream his ideas to the gaming community are bringing his perspective of “another world is possible” closer to his Gen Z voting base, particularly those from immigrant, particularly African, backgrounds.

“Honest” and “fair” is how Youssef, a Moroccan-French university student, describes the candidate’s programme.

“Taxing the rich, ensuring free higher education, unlike Macron, sound to me like the most honest and logical ideas we need in France right now. This is why I support Mélenchon,” Youssef, who at the age of 20 is navigating his first election as a voter, told The New Arab.



In-depth
Florence Massena

Mélenchon has vowed to lower the legal retirement age from 62 to 60, introduce a monthly minimum wage of 1,400 euros, and reintroduce a wealth tax as well as raise taxes on the rich.


For the young, Mélenchon wants to lower the voting age to 16, grant 1000 euros to students per month to prevent debt and introduce a form of paid civic service for people under 25-year-old.


Estimated at 3 million people, about 5-6% of the total electorate, more than a third of French people from an African background intend to vote for Mélenchon, while a quarter plan to vote for president Macron for a second term. The rest of the candidates have failed to garner support.

“It's traditional. Families from African roots or mixed families tend to support the left wing in the presidential elections, considering their pr0gressive programs towards diversity. But the division of the left camp is what divides these votes,” explained the Morocco-based political expert Olivier Deaux to The New Arab.

"Estimated at 3 million people, about 5-6% of the total electorate, more than a third of French people from an African background intend to vote for Mélenchon"


“It is time to put an end to imperialism, neocolonialism, paternalism,” Mélenchon said during his visit to Burkina Faso in 2021, emphasising that his goal as president would be "building a relationship with Africa based on the sovereignty of the peoples”.


Mélenchon has vowed to facilitate access to visas, regularise workers and institute a ten-year residence permit, and believes that minority groups are an integral component of France’s future.

The candidate has proposed that the African countries of the Franc zone be exclusively in control of their currency. He also advocates for the cancellation of debts of certain African countries which, according to him, are contracted by dictatorships to enrich their camp clinging to power.

“His opinions regarding Africa are well-established. He sounds like the only candidate who does not picture Africa as a source of danger as the other candidates do," said Ibragih, a Ghanaian student living in France.

Mélenchon is also determined to replace the country’s constitution, which gives the president a strong upper hand, with a new parliamentary system. He has promised also to fight against sexism and violence against women and to overhaul France’s police force.

RELATED
In-depth
Florence Massena

Yet, he remains a dividing figure even among left-wing supporters. Pushing to exit NATO and end the nuclear programme in France are seen as an aggressive approach for many of the admirers of his socially-minded policies.

In addition, his aggressive remarks towards Kyiv in the past are casting a shadow on the candidate’s progressive campaign amid international empathy with Ukraine following the Russian invasion.

Mélenchon, who once supported the annexation of Crimea as legitimate, voiced his change of heart towards Ukraine after Putin’s offensive in February, as he hammered the slogan "No to war! No to Putin’s war!” in his 2022 campaign in an attempt to reverse the past position that may cost him dearly.

Just a few days away from the first round of voting on April 10, Mélenchon third-place position seems secure with 15% of the vote, but securing a final victory still seems far-off.

However, reaching the run-off against Macron and becoming the first leftist candidate to reach the second round since 2021 looks increasingly like a highly possible scenario, explained French election expert Charles Deau.

"Just a few days away from the first round of voting on April 10, Mélenchon third-place position seems secure with 15% of the vote, but securing a final victory still seems far-off"

“I believe that Mélenchon will make it to the second tour. Considering the trauma of the French presidential election in 2002, I think the leftist supporters will rally behind Mélenchon, opting for the ‘useful vote’,” Deau told The New Arab.

In the first round of the 2002 presidential election, the Prime Minister and socialist candidate Lionel Jospin was eliminated to everyone's surprise and deprived of a confrontation in the second round against the outgoing right-president Jacques Chirac.

Jospin’s elimination, which was due to a crowded and fractured left movement where votes were split among several candidates, serves as a traumatic memory that forced French voters to choose between two right candidates. Left-leaning voters will be determined to vote strategically to avoid a repeat of this scenario.

“In a two-round election, where only two candidates are selected for the second round, the useful vote consists of not wasting your vote on a candidate who one imagines has no chance of winning or reaching the second round, even if it is the one they prefer. And in this case that is Jean-Luc Mélenchon,” explained Deau.

Still, Deau believes that socially-minded voters will most likely overcome their divisions and rally behind Mélenchon, as he is the only leftist in the camp who is capable of going “tête-à-tête” against his right-wing competitors and Macron.

Basma El Atti is The New Arab's Morocco correspondent.

Follow her on Twitter: @elattibasma



Ahead of the rally, Mélenchon also launched a "pocket hologram" filter of himself on Instagram and Snapchat, allowing anyone to conjure the ambitious far-leftist wherever they like. On Twitter, some posted their personal, portable Mélenchons into their back gardens, inside a refrigerator door hovering among their sauces, alongside their pets or even at Ireland's parliament, all with the campaign-provided hashtag #HologrammeDePoche.
The candidate, for his part, tweeted a video of himself with a mini-Mélenchon "teleported" onto his own shoulder urging supporters to go vote on April 10.

Macron seeks to revive lackluster campaign and fend off Le Pen comback

Author of the article
Stephane Mahe and Ingrid Melander
Publishing date: Apr 05, 2022 •

SPEZET — Strolling around a small town in northwestern France, beaming to crowds shouting “Macron President!,” Emmanuel Macron sought to revive a lackluster campaign whose increasingly uncertain outcome rattled markets on Tuesday.

Macron is still ahead in opinion polls but his far-right, eurosceptic rival Marine Le Pen has been closing the gap, and a poll on Monday put victory within the margin of error, unnerving investors ahead of Sunday’s first round.

With Le Pen’s ratings boosted by months of canvassing small constituencies, the 44-year old president, who has only started campaigning, spent hours talking with voters in the Brittany town of Spezet’s main square, taking selfies amid cheers and a handful of boos.

“You can count on me … on my determination. I will, in the coming days and weeks seek out, one by one, the confidence of our compatriots, to (have the mandate to continue) to act in the years to come for our country, for Europe,” he said.

Macron easily beat Le Pen five years ago with two-thirds of the vote in the second round. But though polls https://graphics.reuters.com/FRANCE-ELECTION/POLLS/zjvqkomzlvx/index.html see both qualifying this time too for the April 24 runoff, they put Macron’s lead at just 3 to 6 points – the former being within the margin of error

France’s benchmark CAC-40 index abruptly lost ground on Tuesday, with traders citing election nerves, while the spread between French and German 10-year government bonds stood at its widest in two years.

“Markets woke up on Le Pen,” said Jerome Legras, head of research at Axiom Alternative Investments.

Since her 2017 defeat, Le Pen has patiently worked on softening her image, striving to appear as a potential leader rather than a radical anti-system opponent.



Polls show this has worked on a growing number of voters, with a survey saying the once vilified candidate has become the second most-liked politician in the country.

The candidacy of Eric Zemmour, who is even further to the right than Le Pen, has, by contrast, helped Le Pen appear more palatable to voters.

“I always try to have the most reasonable view possible, and one that defends the interest of France,” she told France Inter radio.

Le Pen has continued to improve on her pre-first round polling, at 23% versus Macron’s 27%, two polls showed on Tuesday.

However, some 59% of those surveyed expected Macron to win a second mandate, the poll by OpinionWay and Kéa Partners for the Les Echos daily and Radio Classique showed, still the most likely scenario, all polls show.

Macron focused a half-hour speech in Spezet on how crucial Europe was for France – stressing, without naming her, Le Pen’s lingering euroscepticsm.

“Projects that turn their backs on Europe are harmful and deadly … for our future,” he said, concluding with a resounding: “Vive la France, et vive l’Europe!”

While she has ditched plans to leave the euro, which had put off many voters in the past, Le Pen’s platform aims to hollow out the European Union by giving preeminence to French law, and replace the bloc with a “European Alliance of Nations.”

“A victory for Le Pen would almost certainly worsen the public finances and place a question mark over France’s place in Europe, unnerving investors,” Jessica Hinds of Capital Economics said in a note.



CAMPAIGN EARLY

Le Pen, who has taken great pains to stress her love of cats more than her anti-immigration views, has not changed the core of her far-right party’s program.

She would end a number of welfare benefits for foreigners, stop family reunification, give preference to the French for jobs and social housing, ban the hijab in public spaces and kick unemployed foreigners out of France.

She defended those views on Tuesday.

“Being French should give you more rights than being a foreigner,” she said.

But this is not what she has focused on in a campaign pegged on purchasing power, which has struck a chord with many voters.

“I have been campaigning seriously, I’ve been in the field for six months… Others chose not to campaign, including the president of the republic,” Le Pen told France Inter.

(Additional reporting by Julien Ponthus, Sudip Kar-Gupta; Writing by Ingrid Melander, editing by Ed Osmond, Hugh Lawson and Nick Macfie)


Musk Tells Spain to Invest in Solar, Premier Invites Him Over

(Bloomberg) -- Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez invited Elon Musk to visit his country after the world’s richest man tweeted that it could power all of Europe with solar energy. 

Musk should “come and see” that Spain is already investing heavily in solar, Sanchez tweeted Tuesday, in response to earlier posts from the billionaire entrepreneur. “We welcome investors in Spain.”

In a subsequent tweet, Musk acknowledged that Portugal could also develop large-scale solar projects. 

Musk’s tweets come as European governments scramble to come up with alternative energy options to cut the continent’s dependency on Russian gas. Sanchez is a big advocate of clean energy, and in December his government announced plans to invest as much as 16 billion euros ($17.5 billion) in the energy transition through 2026. Andalusia, a sunny region in southern Spain, provides the cheapest energy in all of Europe. 

Renewable energy firms were among the biggest gainers on the Spanish stock exchange on Tuesday, following Musk’s comments. 

Also on Tuesday, Twitter Inc. announced that Musk will join the company’s board, after he disclosed a 9.2% stake in the company this week. 

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

Malian forces, suspected Russian fighters killed 300 civilians: HRW

Members of the military junta arrive at the Malian Ministry of Defense in Bamako, Mali, on August 19, 2020, a day after the military arrested Malian President Ibrahim Boubacar Keita and he officially resigned. (AFP)


AFP, Dakar
Published: 05 April ,2022

Malian forces and suspected Russian fighters killed about 300 civilians in late March in the center of the conflict-torn Sahel nation, Human Rights Watch said on Tuesday.

In a report, the rights group suggested the alleged massacre perpetrated over four days, in the town of Moura in volatile central Mali, was a war crime.

Malian soldiers and white foreign fighters arrived in the town by helicopter on March 27 and exchanged fire with about 30 extremist fighters, several witnesses told Human Rights Watch (HRW). Some extremists then attempted to blend in with the local population.

Over the ensuing days, Malian and foreign fighters allegedly rounded people up and executed them in small groups.

HRW estimated that about 300 people were killed in total, with the vast majority of the victims being ethnic Fulanis.

“The incident is the worst single atrocity reported in Mali’s decade-long armed conflict,” the report said.

Mali’s army said on Friday that it killed 203 militants in Moura. However, that announcement followed widely shared social media reports of a civilian massacre in the area.

The United States, European Union, United Nations and Mali’s former colonial power France have all raised concerns about the possible killing of civilians in Moura.

AFP was unable to independently confirm the Malian armed forces’ account or the social media reports.

HRW’s recent report attests to fears of a mass civilian killing in Moura, however.

The study was based on interviews with 27 people, including witnesses from the Moura area, foreign diplomats and security analysts, the rights group said.

“The Malian government is responsible for this atrocity, the worst in Mali in a decade, whether carried about by Malian forces or associated foreign soldiers,” said HRW Sahel Director Corinne Dufka, who urged an investigation.

Several witnesses and other sources identified the foreign soldiers as Russians to HRW.

Russia has supplied what are officially described as military instructors to Mali, an impoverished country that has been battling a brutal extremist conflict since 2012.

However, the United States, France, and others, say the instructors are operatives from the Russian private-security firm Wagner.

Mali’s ruling military, which seized power in a coup in August 2020, denies the allegation. It also routinely defends the rights record of the armed forces.

Israel is stoking a Civil War Against its Palestinian Citizens

Occupation and oppression are the real causes behind three attacks within days inside Israel. So why is Israel’s only response more oppression?

Three separate, deadly Palestinian attacks in Israeli cities in a week have elicited a predictable response. The Israeli army has drafted large numbers of extra soldiers into the West Bank and around Gaza, Palestinian territories already under decades of brutal military occupation.

But the fact that, unusually, two of the attacks were carried out by Israeli citizens – members of a large Palestinian minority whose rights are severely circumscribed and inferior to those of the Jewish majority – has raised the stakes considerably for the Israeli right.

A total of 11 Israelis died in the attacks a few days apart in the cities of BeershebaHadera and Bnei Brak, a suburb of Tel Aviv. Trigger-happy Israeli forces killed three Palestinians in separate incidents on Thursday, in the immediate wake of the attacks.

The lethal attacks were an opportunity for Naftali Bennett, the far-right leader who snatched the Israeli premiership from Benjamin Netanyahu last summer, to prove his credentials to his party’s main constituency: Jewish settlers determined to drive Palestinians off their lands and reclaim a supposed biblical birthright.

In a video statement, Bennett told “whoever has a gun licence” – meaning overwhelmingly Jewish citizens – “this is the time to carry a gun”. And if that wasn’t enough, he went on to announce that the government was considering “a larger framework to involve civilian volunteers who want to help and be of assistance”.

Street violence

What that means in practice is not hard to decipher. Nearly a year ago, the intensification of long-running moves to ethnically cleanse the Palestinian neighbourhood of Sheikh Jarrah in occupied East Jerusalem became one of the triggers for the worst inter-communal violence in Israel in at least a generation.

Palestinian citizens who staged angry demonstrations found themselves not just facing the expected crackdown from Israel’s paramilitary police, but street violence from far-right Jewish mobs that appeared to be operating in tandem with Israeli security forces.

For the first time it looked as though the Israeli leadership was moving a key feature of the occupation inside the Green Line.

In the occupied territories, armed settlers operate effectively as militiasterrorising nearby Palestinian communities, watched impassively, or sometimes assisted, by the Israeli army. They act as the long arm of the Israeli state – offering plausible deniability for Israeli officials as they exploit the settlers’ violence.

The aim of both the settlers and the Israeli state is the same: to drive Palestinians from their homes so Jewish settlers can take over the vacated land.

Last spring, the use of that same model inside Israel became harder to disguise. The Israeli government appeared to be contracting out parts of its domestic security to the same fanatical and violent settlers, allowing them to be bussed into Palestinian communities inside Israel unhindered. There they acted as vigilantes.

They smashed Palestinian shops, chanted “Death to the Arabs“, and beat up Palestinian citizens who crossed their path. At the same time, Israeli politicians from across the spectrum incited against the Palestinian minority.

Now Bennett gives every appearance of hoping to exploit the three attacks to put this earlier arrangement on a more formal footing.

Notably, a “Barel Rangers” militia has already been formed in the Negev region, in Israel’s south, where one of the attacks occurred. The founder, a former police officer, set out its purpose in a social media post: “When your life is under threat, it’s only you and the terrorist. You are the policeman, the judge and the executioner.”

Another militia has recently been established in Lod, a city near Tel Aviv, that saw the worst violence last May.

Playing with fire

Bennett’s call for “civilian volunteers” to defend the Jewish state was presumably intended to echo Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, who has urged Ukrainian civilians to fight the invading Russian army. Bennett may hope that in the current international climate there will be little criticism of Jewish militias acting similarly.

But whereas Zelensky has called on Ukrainians to fight foreign invaders, Bennett is rallying militias to attack his country’s own citizens, based on their ethnicity. He is playing with fire, stoking a mood of civil war in which one side, Jewish Israelis, have the weapons and state resources, while the other – the Palestinian minority – is largely defenceless.

Notably, after the second recent attack in the Jewish city of Hadera on Tuesday – by two Palestinian citizens – a mob formed chanting “Death to the Arabs”.

Where this might lead was underscored by a retired army general, Uzi Dayan, now a member of the Israeli parliament for Netanyahu’s Likud party. He warned all of Israel’s 1.8 million Palestinian citizens to “be careful”. They faced, he said, another Nakba, or Catastrophe – the mass ethnic cleansing of Palestinians from their homeland by Israeli militias and the army in 1948.

“If we reach a civil war situation, things will end in one word and a situation you know, which is Nakba,” he said. “This is what will happen in the end.” He added: “We are stronger. We are holding back on a lot of things.” The ethnic cleansing associated with the Nakba “was not completed”, he noted.

That is not a situation Palestinian citizens will be able to avoid if Israeli leaders will it. Many in the minority have been afraid to leave their homes, go to work or venture into Jewish areas – which is most of the country – for fear of reprisals.  And that is precisely because Bennett and Dayan represent a vast swathe of opinion in Israel that views Palestinians – even Palestinian citizens – as the enemy.

The measures being “held back”, as Dayan phrased it, could include not only more state-backed violence but efforts to strip the Palestinian minority of even their degraded citizenship status.

For nearly two decades, leaders of the far-right such as Avigdor Lieberman have been calling for loyalty pledges and transfer policies to undermine the rights of Palestinian citizens. The controversial nation-state law of 2018 chipped away further at those rights. The stage has already been set for a renewed assault on citizenship.

Racist laws

Lethal attacks carried out by members of Israel’s Palestinian minority, like the two that occurred in quick succession, are rare. They are invariably carried out by what Israel terms “lone wolves”, deeply disillusioned and alienated individuals, rather than organised by Palestinian movements inside Israel.

The Palestinian minority has preferred to deal with the systematic discrimination and oppression of living as a non-Jewish population in a self-declared Jewish state using the limited legal and political tools at its disposal.

Dozens of explicitly racist laws have been challenged in the courts, even if with minimal success. The minority has increasingly lobbied the international community for help, calls that have embarrassed Israel.

Over the past year, more and more human rights and legal groups have come forward declaring that Israel is an apartheid state, both in the occupied territories and inside Israel itself. The structural discrimination exposed by the Palestinian minority has played a crucial part in helping these organisations reach such a severe conclusion.

Leaders like Bennett, therefore, have every reason to try to exaggerate the significance posed by these attacks, suggesting as he did this week that they are part of a new “terror wave“. He has vowed to expand the scope of draconian administration detention orders – imprisonment without charge or evidence made public – to deal with this supposed wave.

Making the case more plausible for him, the three Palestinian citizens involved in the two attacks – in Beersheba and Hadera – had loose affiliations with the Islamic State (IS) group.

Grain of salt

But in reality, while the three perpetrators appear to have had ideological sympathy with IS – one even tried unsuccessfully to reach a training camp in Syria in 2016 – the group has no meaningful presence in the Palestinian population, either in the occupied territories or in Israel.

Identification with IS among a tiny section of the Palestinian public peaked five years ago, when the group looked like it might be offering a successful model for unseating the region’s corrupt and sclerotic Arab tyrants. IS’s failures and its brutality soon eroded even that small pool of support.

Assessments are that, despite its intensive spying and surveillance of Palestinians on social media, Israel has been able to identify only a few dozen IS supporters, who are in its prisons. Even in those cases, most have been detained because of ideological sympathy with the group, not because of tangible ties.

And in any case, IS has never expressed any pressing interest in attacks on Israel. A statement in 2016 made clear that the group prioritised struggle against Muslim governments that had, in its view, broken with the central tenets of Islam.

By contrast, Islamist Palestinian factions are committed to liberating the Palestinian homeland, not trying to reinvent a mythic golden era of unified Islamic rule across the Middle East. They are Palestinian national liberation movements, not jihadists.

For that reason alone, the claim by IS of responsibility for the two attacks needs to be taken with a large grain of salt. The group has an incentive to suggest involvement in the attacks because they coincided with the arrival in Israel last week of leaders of four Arab states – EgyptBahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Morocco – for a summit.

These Arab states – and others waiting in the wings – wish to make Israel the linchpin of a new shared regional security and intelligence pact designed to prevent threats to their rule, including a revival of the Arab Spring.

For IS supporters, the move is yet another humiliation, and proof of the illegitimacy of the region’s Arab autocracies.

Double whammy

These attacks were carried out by lone wolves – and in one case, a pair of lone wolves – who have become increasingly desperate, angry and vengeful after decades of Israel’s oppression of Palestinians, and the complicity and betrayal by western and Arab governments.

The attackers’ surge of rage coincided with one part of the agenda of IS. But in their case, the roots penetrate much deeper.

The Palestinian perpetrators from Israel did not need indoctrination by the foreign leadership of IS to carry out their attacks. They had plenty of homegrown reasons to want to strike out – no different from the “lone-wolf” Palestinian from the West Bank who carried out a third attack near Tel Aviv but had no ties to IS.

Decades of brutal military rule in the occupied territories and systematic discrimination and oppression inside Israel were the real causes.

One cannot overlook either the double whammy from Israel against the more devout section of Israel’s Palestinian minority.

First, the best organised and most politically astute religious party in Israel, the Northern Islamic Movement under Sheikh Raed Salah, was outlawed in 2015. Israeli critics, even within the security establishment, warned at the time that the move would drive some Islamic protest underground and encourage greater extremism.

And second, the rival Southern Islamic Movement, under Mansour Abbasthrew its hand in with Bennett last summer to oust Netanyahu from power. Abbas’s party became the first to join an Israeli government, in return for a few crumbs from the far right.

Both developments have left devout Muslims who oppose Israel’s occupation and the crushing of Palestinian rights with no serious, legitimate channel for protest. They have been disempowered and humiliated – ready conditions to provoke a fringe into staging violent attacks of the kind seen in the past few days.

And to add insult to injury, Abbas’ party is supporting a government that this week allowed a virulently anti-Palestinian legislator, Itamar Ben Gvir, to tour the sacred Muslim holy site of al-Aqsa in Jerusalem under heavily armed protection. Ben Gvir wants the mosque plaza under Jewish sovereignty.

Wrong lesson

There is a lesson here that Israel willfully ignores, just as the western states who serve as its patron do too.

If you treat populations with structural violence, if you strip them of rights, if you demean and humiliate them, and if you deny them a voice in their future, you cannot be surprised – even less maintain a self-righteousness – when some lash out with their own forms of violence against you.

The wrong, self-serving lesson Israel will learn – as it has for decades – is that the correct response must be greater violence, greater humiliation, and an intensified demand for submission. The oppression will continue, as will the resistance.

The West’s unlimited support for Israel, and the Arab autocracies that are now openly cosying up to Israel, has a cost. Dismissing it as simply the savagery of IS may offer reassurance. But it will not stop the pressure from building – or the explosion to come.

• First published in Middle East EyeFacebooTwitter

Jonathan Cook, based in Nazareth, Israel is a winner of the Martha Gellhorn Special Prize for Journalism. His latest books are Israel and the Clash of Civilisations: Iraq, Iran and the Plan to Remake the Middle East (Pluto Press) and Disappearing Palestine: Israel's Experiments in Human Despair (Zed Books). Read other articles by Jonathan, or visit Jonathan's website.
PRISON NATION TOO
Turkey had 2nd highest incarceration rate in Europe in 2021: CoE annual report

By Turkish Minute
- April 5, 2022

Turkey had the second-highest prison population rate of the 47 Council of Europe (CoE) member states as of January 2021, with 325 prisoners per 100,000 inhabitants, the ANKA news agency reported on Tuesday, citing a recent report released by the CoE.

According to the 2021 Council of Europe Annual Penal Statistics on Prison Populations, better known by the acronym SPACE I, there were 1,414,172 inmates in the penal institutions of the CoE member states for which data are available on Jan. 31, 2021, corresponding to a European prison population rate of 102 inmates per 100,000 inhabitants.

Based on that European median value, the report categorized Turkey as among the countries with “very high” incarceration rates, over 25 percent higher than the European average.

In addition to Turkey, the category also included Russia, the country with the highest prison population rate of 328 prisoners per 100,000 inhabitants, Georgia (231), Azerbaijan (215), Slovak Republic (192), Lithuania (190), Czech Republic (180), Hungary (180), Poland (179), Estonia (176), Albania (162), Latvia (160), Moldova (160), Serbia (153), Scotland (135), Montenegro (135) and UK: England & Wales (131).


The CoE report also revealed that Turkey had the sixth most crowded prisons in Europe with 108 inmates per 100 available places on Jan. 31, 2021, with the ratio of inmates per one prison staff member being 3.9, the highest figure among the 47 countries.


The report further showed that Turkey had 272,115 inmates in 2021, with 12.5 percent of them aged 50 or over and 1.7 percent aged 65 or over. The percentage of foreign inmates was 3.8 and female inmates were 4, the report said, adding that 15.3 percent of the inmates in Turkey were not serving a final sentence last year.

Turkey, which allows children 6 years old or younger to stay with their mothers inside penal institutions, had 397 children living behind bars in 2021, the report said.

According to the report,17.2 percent of the inmates in Turkey were sentenced for drug offenses in 2021, while others were sentenced for homicide (13.8), theft (12.3), robbery (9), assault and battery (6.2), rape (3.8), other types of sexual offenses (3.8), economic/ financial offenses (3.5), road traffic offenses (2. 7) and other offenses (21.1).

Turkey’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) government has allocated 8.7 billion lira for the construction of 36 new prisons in the next four years, which will significantly increase Turkey’s already high incarceration rate. The number of Turkish penal institutions will increase to 419 in 2025. There are currently 383 prisons in the country.

Mass detentions and arrests have been taking place in Turkey since a coup attempt in July 2016. The AKP government accuses the faith-based Gülen movement of masterminding the failed coup, although the movement strongly denies any involvement in the abortive putsch.

Critics accuse President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who embarked on a massive crackdown on the opposition after the coup attempt, of using the incident as a pretext to quash dissent.

Human Rights Watch says people alleged to have links to the Gülen movement, inspired by the US-based Muslim preacher Fethullah Gülen, are the largest group targeted by Erdoğan.

A total of 319,587 people have been detained and 99,962 arrested in operations against supporters of the Gülen movement since the coup attempt, Turkey’s Interior Minister Süleyman Soylu said on Nov. 22.

A TRUE FALSE FLAG/REICHSTAG FIRE OPERATION TO GRANT ERDOGAN MORE POWER BY DECLARING A MARTIAL LAW PRESIDENCY