Monday, January 22, 2024

China in Africa: Trojan horse or friend in need? (And why the West should worry)

Kejun Li/CC BY-SA 2.0 via Wikimedia Commons

ByAlexander Still
CHERWELL
OXFORD STUDENT NEWSPAPER
20th January 2024

The future belongs to Africa. Its developing economies are increasingly diverse. Its working population is skyrocketing, whilst its natural resources are abundant (especially when it comes to clean energy – think lithium). Soon, its strategic geographical position could see it become the epicentral thread in a web of global trade networks bridging East and West.

The global economy, meanwhile, needs reignition. Manifold setbacks over the past decade have depressed growth. As the world recovers and seeks to revitalise the flame, Africa – and the promise of its people – will play a central part in lighting it.

Everybody knows this. Especially China.

Yet the emphasis remains on development. Only half its infrastructure needs are being met, with the African Development Bank estimating the infrastructure need of Sub-Saharan Africa to exceed US$93 billion annually over the next ten years.

Consequently, African nations are proactive in seeking foreign aid to help sustain development and improve regional integration by building dams, power-plants, and railways – something China’s media discourse emphasises. As a result, our focus must remain on African agency. For it is African nations that are themselves actively investing in their future.


Yet it is China which, for a long time, has signed the cheques.

Since the launch of its ‘Going Out’ strategy in 1999, Beijing has invested increasingly in Africa, with direct investment growing more than six-fold to around US$80 billion: in 2019, it invested more than double that of the U.S. To this extent, China has so far monopolised the market for foreign investment. For years, Beijing has urged state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to penetrate local markets, taking advantage of a dynamic new phase of world trade and the hunger of developing regions for investments in infrastructure. Many are uniquely-equipped to meet Africa’s needs, having spent the past two decades gaining experience in developing infrastructure domestically.

In this sense, China’s involvement represents, in the words of professors Giles Mohan and May Tan-Mullins, a “global realignment of Southern interests”, allowing Beijing to frame its ambitions – whatever they may be – within at least a rhetoric of global leadership and cooperation.


Its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), evolving to become the overarching framework through which China engages with the continent, has seen billions pumped into developing projects such as Ethiopia’s Eastern Industrial Zone (EIZ) – described by the country’s former Prime Minister, Meles Zenawi, as an example of China’s “irreplaceable role” in the Ethiopian economy. The zone is 100% owned and managed by China’s Qiyuan Group.

Reports of corruption are widespread. Working conditions are under increasing scrutiny. Similar projects have been investigated for using special economic zones to side-step U.S. import tariffs. Nevertheless, so long as Chinese investment appears lucrative (and the EIZ has created more than 20,000 new jobs), China will continue to attract nations such as Ethiopia.

The consequence is that Afro-Chinese relations run the risk of becoming dangerously asymmetrical.

The Cameroonian anthropologist Francis Nyamnjoh used the terms “eating and being eaten” to describe Africa’s vulnerability. Desperate to develop, nations such as Zimbabwe face being ensnared by the “emerging tentacles of…global extractive capitalism”. Zimbabwe’s Congress of Trade has already complained of local industries being undermined, with China’s growing presence leading to “dependency syndrome” in various sectors. Dependency theorists in the West are growing concerned.


So too are its leaders.

Many in the West see China’s investment as a ‘soft’ means of establishing itself globally. Some even suggest that through projects such as the EIZ, Ethiopia (and elsewhere) may become Chinese “colonies”. This is certainly hyperbole. From Ethiopia’s perspective, claims of “Chinese neo-colonialism” come from “fear in the West of growing [Chinese] influence in Africa”. Often, investment stems from socioeconomic weaknesses back home, with many Chinese workers seeking greater financial opportunities building roads etc.

Regardless, it is important that we recast geopolitical issues in geoeconomic terms, and recognise that those countries investing today in such things as renewable energy-sources may become the dominant geopolitical players tomorrow.


A good example is lithium. By 2025, Africa’s share of global lithium production is expected to leap from 0.1% to 10.6%. Lithium is crucial to a carbon-free future. It powers everything from electric car batteries to grid-scale energy storage.

And China has a strangle-hold on the supply-chain.

Africa’s largest lithium projects are being bought by Chinese SOEs. In April 2022, Arcadia, located in Zimbabwe and one of the world’s biggest lithium projects, was sold to Chinese investors for an 87% share. Benchmark Mineral Intelligence predicts that soon, 90% of Africa’s lithium supply will come from mines owned or partly-owned by Chinese firms. This includes an illicit trade involving tax-avoidance, not to mention allegations of human-rights abuse. For China, however, the speed with which it is able to strike deals seems to be what matters.

The West, by comparison, is slow, unsurprising given the political risks of investing in potentially inhumane projects, in addition to public discourse surrounding mining. Yet whilst the West talks, China digs. This, compounded by U.S. policies which prioritise free-trade subsidies, threatens to see China’s grip over global supply-chains only grow tighter: Washington currently has no such free-trade agreements with Sub-Saharan Africa.


Many have condemned what John Bolton, former U.S. National Security Advisor, called “the strategic use of debt to hold states in Africa captive to Beijing’s wishes and demands…with the ultimate goal of advancing Chinese global dominance.” In Kenya (which owes US$6.83 billion in China loans), debt distress is a genuine concern.

Yet if China can be accused of laying ‘debt-traps’, so too could the West: interest rates on loans from private lenders in the West are almost double those on Chinese loans. Likewise, whilst the same cannot be said for BRI projects in places such as Sri Lanka, China shows no inclination of seizing assets off the back of defaults in Africa. Some at the Africa Policy Institute in Nairobi even speak of “silencing the narrative” on debt-traps being “peddled by the West.”


In truth, those such as President Ruto blame the entire global financial system for failing to respond to the needs of emerging economies.

The fact remains that China’s way of doing things has, in the eyes of many Africans, worked, with many viewing BRI projects in a positive light. How else are we to explain the enthusiasm of everyday Kenyans such as Ms Echesa, who in referring to Kenya’s Standard Gauge Railway advocated “[further] sacrifice to pay the debt and get more for such [BRI] projects”.

For many African nations, Chinese loans appear more conducive to longer-term development. Moreover, unlike the IMF’s, they aren’t conditional on reform – a selling-point Xi Jinping emphasises. “We have a high degree of agency,” Ethiopia’s deputy economic commissioner has been quoted as saying, “yet Western countries try and advise us about what our…law should be.”

Rapid investment in infrastructure can also help bolster the legitimacy of ruling regimes, and it is little surprise that the majority of support comes from ‘upstairs’ – that is, political élites.


The ‘downstairs’ view is often very different.

Nevertheless, for African governments desperate to develop, China represents a viable way forward.

The question, therefore, is how the West makes sense of all this – and more importantly, how it responds. Since 2022, both the G7’s Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment and the E.U.’s Global Gateway have, between them, promised US$600 billion in investments. With domestic infrastructure dead in the water (HS2, for example), justifying this will prove difficult. Even if its effectiveness is stymied by poor risk management, China has a massive head-start.

Perhaps the threat is overblown. After all, China’s “grand-strategy” at times seems incoherent, or at least complicated by competing internal interests. What matters is how Africa chooses to move forward: how it seeks to foster greater regional trade, and integrate national markets into the global supply chain. As one Ethiopian official put it: “We should play the East…and West to our advantage.” For the West, however, China’s head-start must seem rather worrying.

"Humanitarianism" As An Excuse For Colonialism And Imperialism

By 

The Mises Institute | January 20, 2024



Spreading civilization and human rights has long been used as an excuse for state-building through colonialism and imperialism. This idea dates back at least to early Spanish and colonial efforts in the New World, and the rationale was initially employed as just one of many.  The importance of the conquest-spreads-civilization claim increased, however, as liberalism gained ground in Europe in the nineteenth century. Liberals were more skeptical of the benefits of imperialism, so, as political scientist Lea Ypi notes: "During the late nineteenth century and early twentieth century, the purpose of colonial rule was declared to be the 'civilizing mission' of the West to educate barbarian peoples ." The residents of these colonies were deemed to be "unsuited to setting up or administering a commonwealth both legitimate and ordered in human and civil terms.” The implied conclusion was that it was necessary that "the princes of Spain might take over their administration, and set up new officers and governors on their behalf, or even give them new masters, so long as this could be proved to be in their interest."1

That last caveat would become important to late colonial rationales: colonial rule was said to be in the interests of the natives themselves, who were incapable of proper and legitimate self-government.  The British adopted these Spanish notions as their own in later centuries, and by the nineteenth century, we find John Stuart Mill claiming that "barbarians" were incapable of administering a respectable legal regime, and thus “nations which are still barbarous have not got beyond the period during which it is likely to be for their benefit that they should be conquered and held in subjection by foreigners.”2 

The old empires have largely disappeared but this thinking has certainly not disappeared. Today, the same thinking takes the form of support for humanitarian intervention both internationally and domestically . Just as the traditional imperialists assumed the residents of the colonies were too "backward" to be capable of enlightened self-government, modern internationalists and progressives assume that the old colonial metropoles still must serve as enforcers of human rights across the globe. Moreover, at the domestic level, the same rationale is employed to oppose decentralization or secession for separatist groups. The old imperialist mentality still prevails: self-determination and political independence must be opposed in the name of protecting human rights. 

The "Civilizing Mission" of Empire

By the early twentieth century, the idea of the civilizing mission became a dominant mode of thinking for imperialists.  The British imagined they were civilizing the backward Catholic Irish. The Russian colonizers in Siberia saw themselves as the "benevolent civilizer[s] of Asia." British colonies in Africa and Asia were cast as outposts of civilized European culture in a sea of primitives. The Americans, not content with their own civilizing mission in North America, did the same in Puerto Rico where American reformers sought to replace Puerto Rico's "backward" and "patriarchal" culture with a "'rational' North American one."3  In Algeria, the ultimate goal was to bring the blessings of French culture and government to all Algerians via government schools. The locals who embraced French culture were labeled the évolués—literally, the "evolved ones." 

Among the imperial powers, rule by the metropole's central state became intimately intertwined with what the elites saw as humanitarianism. Imperialists warned that without the metropole's oversight, residents of the colonies would slaughter each other, or be constantly at war. Imperialists thus cast themselves as instruments of peace and safety for vulnerable minority populations. Ann Laura Stoler describes how, "appeals regarding moral uplift, compassionate charity, appreciation of cultural diversity, and protection" of women and children from aggressive men "were woven into the very weft of empire. —[they were] how control over ...markets, land, and labor were justified..."4  Alleged humanitarian efforts thus often consisted of the imperial powers protecting the colonized populations from themselves. Alan Lester and Fae Dussart note: "Appeals for the protection of indigenous peoples against white and even British men ... were also intrinsic to the legitimation of Britain’s governance of newly colonized spaces."5  

Imperialists developed informal litmus tests designed to "prove" that various groups of barbarians were ripe for colonization.  Many imperialists insisted that the metropole must take control in areas where the local governments are not legitimate states.  Legitimate states, not surprisingly, are only those states that meet various criteria determined by the metropoles themselves. As Ypi puts it, the "legitimate-state theory" rests on the idea that the claim to political independence "is conditional upon the satisfaction of a number of internal and external conditions."6 Depending on the time and place that the theory is invoked, these conditions include "the ability to guarantee the rule of law, to protect basic human rights, and to provide sufficient opportunities for citizens’ democratic participation"7 among others. If the locals don't implement this "particular way of delivering justice," then "agents who fail in that task could arguably be colonized."8 Certainly, any colony that could not demonstrate it would do all this on its own must naturally continue to be colonized indefinitely. The ruling imperialists often suggested that true sovereignty to various colonies would be granted some day. Which day—and under what conditions—was never specified. (For an example, we can look to the idea of "trusteeship" for the Indian tribes in the United States.) 

Neo-Colonialism and  The "Responsibility to Protect"

This impulse to impose proper enlightened values on retrograde local populations has never gone away. It lives on in the modern concept of the "responsibility to protect" (R2P), a decades-old concept, which was endorsed by the United Nations General Assembly in 2005. This doctrine states that the "international community"—vaguely defined—has the responsibility to intervene in any country where there are human rights abuses such as "war crimes" or "crimes against humanity." What exactly qualify as crimes against humanity? That is to be decided by the "international community," which is practice means the United States and its allies. The metropole-colony relationship still exists. Except now, it is all much less formal. The de facto metropoles are the elites in Washington, London, Brussels, etc. The de facto colonies are the "homophobic" African countries like Uganda, the "rogue states" like Syria, and any state too small and weak to assert its own independence in the face of the next Western "humanitarian" intervention.  

Having familiarized themselves with imperial propaganda, many historians and critics of colonialism have long viewed R2P with suspicion. They recognize humanitarianism intervention under R2P is simply the latest manifestation of the "civilizing mission." Or, as Siddharth Mallavarapu notes, the lack of specifics and restraining language in R2P resolutions means that R2P advocates have "been rather unsuccessful in assuaging deeper and well-founded historical suspicions, especially among decolonised states, about the motivations of major Western powers in the international system."

The suspicion is "well-founded" because in practice R2P provides a justification for major powers to ignore local sovereignty. R2P was used to justify the 2012 NATO war against Libya (which was really just an excuse for expanding European geopolitical influence in the region). This "humanitarian" intervention was strenuously opposed by the BRICS countries and by much of the Global South where anti-colonial activists denounced NATO's interpretation of R2P as "a return to old imperial mode[s] of domination."9 These critics of R2P have (correctly) observed that, in practice, R2P is likely to be used as a means of justifying intervention by Western powers into the domestic affairs of postcolonial states. For example, we could note that the US's long military occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan could easily be justified under the R2P doctrine. Moreover, in practice, the provisions of R2P are employed selectively to expand the prerogatives of the most powerful states. This is done with little regard for the disastrous side effects that generally accompany "humanitarian" bombing campaigns and other military interventions.

The fact that modern humanitarian interventions often end in bloodbaths and poverty for the local populations is simply the continuation of traditional colonialism. When we add up the human cost of the Scramble for Africa, American westward expansion, the Russian conquest of Siberia, the French annexation of Algeria, and the long march of the British empire, it is hardly self evident that this was all "worth it" to bring enlightenment to the provincials. 

Indeed, many classical liberals—such as the great Richard Cobden—have long denied that such policies were ever worth it. Ludwig von Mises was a typical liberal in this regard when he wrote in the 1920s

No chapter of history is steeped further in blood than the history of colonialism. Blood was shed uselessly and senselessly. Flourishing lands were laid waste; whole peoples destroyed and exterminated. All this can in no way be extenuated or justified. The dominion of Europeans in Africa and in important parts of Asia is absolute. It stands in the sharpest contrast to all the principles of liberalism and democracy, and there can be no doubt that we must strive for its abolition.

It is also notable that Mises wasn't fooled by the claim that the imperialists are spreading peace and civilization. Mises writes

Attempts have been made to extenuate and gloss over the true motive of colonial policy with the excuse that its sole object was to make it possible for primitive peoples to share in the blessings of European civilization. . . . Could there be a more doleful proof of the sterility of European civilization than that it can be spread by no other means than fire and sword?

The humanitarian excuse for increasing regime power over retrograde locals has domestic applications as well. In the United States, we often see the humanitarian excuse applied to deny self-determination to state and local governments. We are often told that only the central government in Washington is qualified to make final rulings—via the Supreme Court—as to what constitutes the "correct" interpretation of human rights. Local interpretations are considered suspect, and null and void if in conflict with the value of the metropole. (A British imperialist would understand this reasoning well.) Humanitarianism is similarly invoked whenever secession is mentioned.  Secession cannot be tolerated, many anti-secessionists tell us, because we have the Supreme Court and the White House to impose "humanitarian" and enlightened rule in all parts of the country. Those state legislatures or city councils who choose note to rule in line with the rulings of the Washington elite have rendered themselves threats to human rights, and thus have given up their right to self-government.  

In other words, the modern anti-secessionist view frequently amounts to little more than an application of the "legitimate-state theory" to domestic state-building. A similar trend is at work in the nascent state of the European Union where the central bureaucracy threatens and lectures the member states of Hungary and Poland about being insufficiently progressive and "democratic."  The state-builders and centralizers will insist that this is all necessary to  protect human rights in Europe.

The cynics, however, would point out that it is probably not a coincidence that humanitarianism always seems to "require" more centralized state power and less self-determination for the locals. The cynics might suspect that the real goal all along was to increase the size, scope, and power of the states that are forever invoking human rights as an excuse to intervene.  There are, no doubt, some true believers out there who really believe that the de facto metropoles of the world are nearly always enlightened and progressive, while the natives of the de facto colonies are backward and reactionary. But, on the whole, the cynics are probably right.

Ryan McMaken is executive editor at the Mises Institute.

  • 1. Lea Ypi, "What's Wrong with Colonialism,"  Philosophy & Public Affairs, 41, No. 2 (Spring 2013): 168
  • 2. Quoted in Sharon Korman, The Right of Conquest: The Acquisition of Territory by Force in International Law and Practice (New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1996), pp. 61-62
  • 3. Eileen Findlay, Imposing Decency: The Politics of Sexuality and Race in Puerto Rico, 1870-1920 (Nurham, NC, Duke university Press, 1999), p. 120
  • 4. A.L. Stoler, "On Degrees of Imperial Sovereignty," Public Culture 18, No. 1 (2006): 134.
  • 5. Alan Lester and Fae Dussart, Colonization and the Origins of Humanitarian Governance: Protecting Aborigines across the Nineteenth-Century British Empire (Cambridge, UK, Cambridge University Press, 2014), p.3 
  • 6. Ypi, "What's Wrong with Colonialism," p. 168.
  • 7. Ibid., p. 168.
  • 8. Ibid., p. 169.
  • 9. Mohammad Nuruzzaman, “Responsibility to Protect” and the BRICS: A Decade after the Intervention in Libya, Global Studies Quarterly 2, No. 4, (October 2022): 4 

Original article link

Bearded Pig Population Decline In Borneo Due To African Swine Fever, Scientists Calls For Urgent Action For Food Security

By Anna Louise Jan 21, 2024


(Photo : PEXELS/Brett Sayles)

Researchers warned that the spread of African swine fever (ASF) is decimating wild pig populations in Borneo, endangering the livelihoods of millions who rely on them for food.

With a fatality rate of almost 100%, ASF has swept across Asia, Europe, and Africa, devastating domestic and wild pig populations over the past 10 to 20 years.

Decline In Population

The impacts are especially significant in Borneo, in southeast Asia, where bearded pig numbers have declined by between 90% and 100% since it arrived on the island in 2021, researchers said.

These pigs were originally the most frequent big animal species on the island, performing an essential role as ecosystem engineers by distributing seeds over long distances.


Prof. Erik Meijaard, the lead author of a letter and former chair of the IUCN Wild Pigs Specialist Group, said they observed that the pigs are disappearing since ASF affected the country.

"I've gone around to everyone doing camera trapping in Borneo, and consistently we're seeing pigs disappearing. They haven't seen pigs on camera traps for years," said Meijaard.

He also watched seven camera surveillance videos in Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brunei and discovered that their pig populations decreased in 2019 and 2020.


Read Also: 


Critically Endangered

Meijaard believes that due to ASF, the bearded pig may need to be relisted from vulnerable to critically endangered.

The scientists found little evidence that wild pig populations would fully recover in Borneo or other southeast Asian islands such as Java and Sumatra in Indonesia, Timor-Leste, or the Philippines.

The extinction of wild pigs can have far-reaching consequences for the entire ecosystem. Bearded pigs disseminate tree seeds by eating fruits and migrating long distances, defecating them throughout the forest.

They also use their snouts to turn over dirt, which removes vegetation and provides tree roots with more soil nutrients. Borneo's forests are among the world's most diverse ecosystems, yet only 50% of them survive due to decades of logging and agriculture expansion, particularly palm oil plantations.

In Borneo, the loss of bearded pigs is already having a significant impact on the cultures and communities that rely on them for food. According to local surveys, bearded pigs used to account for 81% of hunted wildlife by weight in some areas. That number is now closer to zero.

"Although African swine fever has garnered substantial attention in countries with major pork industries, its effects in Borneo have been largely overlooked. The loss of pigs disrupts food security and ecosystems and threatens other endangered wildlife," the researchers said.

Meijaard stressed that people are just completely reliant on access to wild and feral pigs for their protein needs, so it threatens food security and touches on the poverty issue.

The scientists called for immediate research and treatments while realizing the consequences for communities. The letter emphasized the importance of preventing the spread of ASF to other regions.

Ongoing clinical experiments to create an effective vaccination against ASF are yielding good results; however, experts stated that a vaccine was only relevant for farmed pigs.

Related Article: African Swine Fever Threat in US: Simulation Study Reveals the Challenges and Costs of Containing an Outbreak

Mental and Moral Corruption Hastens Ruin of Capitalist Society; Rodong Sinmun

Pyongyang, January 21 (KCNA) -- Social confusion and internal contradiction are escalating in capitalist countries, says Rodong Sinmun Sunday in an article.

The inequality and imbalance of society are getting more serious and the reactionary and anti-popular nature of politics is getting stronger, driven into the extreme political and economic crisis, the article notes and goes on:

Capitalism is, indeed, wandering at the final stage of its destiny.

Amid this, the reactionary ideology and culture that foster discord, antagonism, hostility and hatred among people are more rampant and even all sorts of sophism with unclear ideological entity in thinking and conception are being spouted. This further makes the people's mental and cultural life reactionary and poor one.

It is natural that when the exploitative society enters its final stage, mental and moral corruption becomes more serious. It is an inevitable phenomenon of capitalist society that socio-political contradictions cause spiritual and moral corruption that further aggravates socio-political contradictions.

The mental and moral corruption in capitalist society has reached an uncontrollable phase. It is further accelerating the speed of the ruin of capitalism.

The corruption and degeneration of mental morality being worsened by the reactionary bourgeois rulers cannot be eliminated by any prescription. This is an incurable disease of capitalist society.

The ever-worsening mental and moral corruption pushes corrupt and ailing capitalism to death.




 -0-

www.kcna.kp 
(Juche113.1.21.)

 

GERRY ADAMS: World at a crossroads after 100 days of genocide

MEMORABLE: Blinne Ní Ghrálaigh\'s address to the ICJ resonated across the world
MEMORABLE: Blinne Ní Ghrálaigh's address to the ICJ resonated across the world

ISRAEL'S genocide against the Palestinian people in Gaza and the West Bank passed the 100-day mark at the weekend. By the time this column is published the number of dead at the hands of Israel’s war machine is likely to have passed 25,000, mostly women and children. That’s almost equivalent to the entire population of Newry wiped out. 

At the same time, almost two million Palestinians have been forcibly displaced. That is comparable to the population of the North forced from their homes while every hospital, school, university and most homes are destroyed. Oxfam has concluded that the daily death toll of civilians in Gaza is greater than any other major conflict in the past quarter of a century.

At the weekend and across the world, in more than 120 cities – including Belfast, Cork and Dublin – millions gathered in a global day of action to demand a ceasefire and an end to the Israeli genocide. The protests also criticised the military strikes by the British and US governments on Yemen.

Last week the South African government led the international demand for peace by taking the Israeli state to the International Court of Justice at the Hague. More than 50 countries are supporting the South African initiative. To its shame the Irish government, which supported a similar case being taken against Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, has refused to join with South Africa.

South Africa lawyers presented an irresistible case against Israeli genocide. One of its team of lawyers, Blinne Ní Ghrálaigh KC, gave the closing statement. She told how Israel’s actions had coined a new and horrifying label WCNSF – Wounded Child No Surviving Family.

Ní Ghrálaigh’s concluding remarks summarised the savagery of Israeli actions. She  said: “On average 247 Palestinians are being killed and are at risk of being killed each day...  They include 48 mothers each day, two every hour and over 117 children each day, leaving UNICEF to call Israel’s actions a war on children... The risk of famine will increase each day... Each day over 10 Palestinian children will have one or both legs amputated, many without anaesthetic... Each day ambulances, hospitals and medics will continue to be attacked and killed... Entire multigenerational families will be obliterated.”

The International Court of Justice could take years to reach a final judgement, however it can make an emergency order against Israel’s continuing killing and destruction in the Gaza Strip. That could take just weeks. Blinne Ní Ghrálaigh concluded by calling on the Court to “indicate the provisional measures that are so urgently required to prevent further irreparable harm to the Palestinian people in Gaza, whose hopes — including for their very survival — are now vested in the Court.”

Uachtarán Sinn Féin Mary Lou McDonald was in London last Saturday where she addressed several hundred thousand protestors. She praised the South African initiative and called for an end to the slaughter. She said: “We won’t stay quiet about Israel’s apartheid. We won’t be silenced in the face of genocide – a genocide that is broadcast every day for nearly one hundred days now.”  For 100 days, she said, the mothers and fathers of Gaza have “wept an ocean of tears over the still bodies of their dead children.”  

Mary Lou added: “The world stands at a crossroads and there is a choice to be made. We now demand human rights, justice and the rule of law for Palestine, for Gaza, for the West Bank.”

Irish unity summit for New York

This week tickets became available for a major public event on Irish unity to be held in New York on March 1. Billed as an ‘Irish Unity Summit’, the event is jointly sponsored by the Ancient Order of Hibernians, the Brehon Law Society, Friendly Sons of St Patrick, Friends of Sinn Féin USA, Irish American Unity Conference, James Connolly Labor Coalition and the Ladies' Ancient Order of Hibernians.

The summit will be held in the Great Hall at Cooper Union. It will start at 1pm on Friday, March 1 and conclude at 6pm. There will be keynote speakers, panel discussions and cultural performances.

Gallery

So far the programme includes Professor Brendan O’Leary (University of Pennsylvania) in conversation with Meghan Stack (New York Times). Also speaking will be Uachtarán Mary Lou McDonald TD; Niall Murphy (human rights lawyer and Ireland’s Future board member); Glenn Bradley (former British soldier, former UUP officer and member of Veterans for Peace); Ola Majekodunmi (radio presenter, Irish language activist and member of Foras na Gaeilge); Sophie Colgan (Director of Navigating New York, dedicated to connecting individuals and businesses in the Irish diaspora in NYC); and Professor Christine Kinealy (Irish historian, author and founding director of Ireland's Great Hunger Institute at Quinnipiac University).

The programme will also include contributions from the presidents of the sponsoring bodies and bipartisan US political leaders. There will be live music and spoken word contributions, performances and panel discussions.  

If you are interested in Irish unity and live in the New York area I would urge you to save the date and join the discussion on Irish unity. I have no doubt it will be a great event.

The Fermanagh Blackbird

Dónal O'Connor and his family have made a long-standing and continuing contribution to Irish traditional music and song. Dónal is a well known and respected musican, broadcaster and producer. We are all indebted to and enriched by the work of the O'Connor and Ní Uallacháin clanns. Because of them and others like them the traditional music scene is alive and well. Many songs and tunes which might have been lost have been retained or recovered.

This is especially the case in Ulster. The song tradition is particularly strong here. Renowned singers and collectors like Len Graham, Paddy Tunney, Sarah Makem, Eddie Keenan, Pádraigín Ní Uallachaín, Davy Hammond, Albert Fry, Prionsais MacAirt, Seán McCorry, Gráinne Holland and musicans like Davy Maguire, Neal Martin, Sean Maguire,  John Sherry, Cathal Hayden, the Diamonds, the Vallelys, the Sands and McPeake families and many many more have ensured that our indigenous  music  is a part of everyday life for many people. A living tradition.

Every part of Ulster  has lively circles of singers, musicians, dancers and story tellers. These are  the custodians  of our music. But they are also  teachers, whether formally through Comhaltas or singing and music clubs or informally in sessions across all parts of the North. Many of them learned their songs from parents or grandparents and from the generations before. And they are passing it on to the next generation. 

Number Gabriel McArdle among them. Gabriel, from Kinawley in  Fermanagh, is a singer and a concertina and accordion player. Dónal O'Connor has produced an album - The Fermanagh Blackbird – which showcases Gabriel's talents. It is a fine, uplifting record of traditional songs and tunes which capture Gabriel's great traditional singing style and music playing. It is also his first solo album, though hopefully not his last. 

Gabriel’s singing is exquisite. Clear, melodic and true to his dialect. Sweet and easy on the ear. Érin Grá Mo Chroi is a gem of a song. So is Johnny and Molly. In fact, there is not a bad song in this collection. 

The instrumentals are equally good. Many perhaps suited to, and drawn from, the dance music of Ulster. I was particularly taken by I Buried My Wife and Danced On Her Grave and The March of the Clann Maguire. So well done to all involved with this fine album. Particularly Gabriel McArdle. It has been on the go for a year now, so  thank you An tAthair Seos for my copy. It has given me hours of pleasure.  

Want to fix inequality, Democrats? The answer is wages, not education

Want to reduce inequality, create opportunity and win back working-class voters? There's an easy solution


By J. PAUL LEIGH
SALON
PUBLISHED JANUARY 21, 2024 

Chef at industrial kitchen in restaurant feeling burnt out (Getty Images/ljubaphoto)

Just as the Republicans’ default solution to any domestic problem is “lower taxes,” Democrats insist on “more education, especially college education.” But this obsession with education is misplaced, and in some cases actually harmful to the project of building “a more perfect union.” A better tactic for Democrats would be to raise wages through government policies, especially those aimed at workers without college educations.

We have seen historic increases in educational attainment over the last 42 years. In 1980, approximately 69% of Americans above age 25 had completed high school and 17% had college degrees. By 2022, those figures had reached 91% and 37%, respectively. Conversely, the percentage of adult high-school dropouts decreased by more than two-thirds, from 31% to 9%. Since politicians often claim that the best predictor of adult poverty is the lack of a high school degree, one might imagine that poverty also substantially decreased over these 42 years. It did not. In fact, the poverty rate fluctuated between 11% to 15% over that period, with no clear trend.

Many people regard income inequality as the biggest domestic problem of our time. If education were the solution, then presumably inequality should have continued to shrink in recent years. Instead it has been soaring. While the top one percent of households increased their proportion of total national income from 9% in 1979 to 16% in 2019, the bottom 20 percent of households decreased their proportion from 5% to 4%. Historic levels of educational attainment appear to correlate, if anything, with higher levels of inequality. Similarly, if education were the primary driver of higher incomes as many politicians allege, we might expect to see substantial gains in incomes. But such gains have been weak, especially compared to overall economic growth. From 1980 to 2022, inflation-adjusted per-capita GDP grew by 108%, but over that same period, inflation-adjusted median household income rose by just 15%, about one-seventh the rate of overall economic growth.

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The belief that higher education leads to higher productivity, which in turn leads to higher wages, is also flawed. While productivity (defined as output per worker) grew by 70% from 1979 to 2018 — along with the growth in educational attainment — median inflation-adjusted wages only grew by 12%, one-sixth the growth of productivity.

Here’s an important distinction: For any given individual, higher education generally translates into higher wages, but for all workers as a group, that is not the case. The first step in unpacking this apparent contradiction is to understand that job structure matters. Approximately 72% of American jobs do not require a four-year college degree.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the top 30 occupations with the largest predicted employment growth to the year 2032. Three of the top four are home health aides (with a 2022 median annual income of $30,180), restaurant cooks ($34,110), and stockers and order fillers such as Amazon warehouse workers ($34,220). Other occupations on the list include laborers ($36,110), nursing assistants ($35,760) and food service supervisors ($37,050). Jobs that typically require a college education, and that clearly pay more, include software engineers ($127,260) and registered nurses ($81,220). The median salary for all occupations is $46,310.

When we consider this job structure, education likely acts as a screening device to help employers decide who gets the highest-paying jobs. In other words, if all applicants for all these jobs had college educations, employers would likely then select applicants with graduate degrees or those from the most prestigious colleges. For workers as a group, it is the job, not the level of educational attainment, that determines wages.

When we consider wages differentiated by education, they tell us more about the persistence of inequality. Inflation-adjusted wages for high school graduates with no college education fell by 12% from 1980 to 2019. For college graduates, they increased by 18% — but that is far below the 108% increase in inflation-adjusted per-capita GDP growth. The bottom 90% of workers claimed 70% of total U.S. wage-earnings in 1979 but only 61% in 2019, while the top 1% of workers nearly doubled their share, from 7.3% to 13.2%.

That 42-year period of stagnating or falling wages is entirely consistent with relatively stable poverty rates, rising inequality and weak growth in median incomes. Moreover, that relative decline in wages have been implicated in increasing rates of “deaths of despair” — largely meaning suicides and drug- and alcohol-related fatalities — as well as unprecedented drops in life expectancy even before the COVID pandemic, and exacerbated death tolls during that traumatic public-health crisis.

There is no question that government policy can directly lift wages. From 1980 to 2023, the inflation-adjusted federal minimum wage fell by 37%, from $11.49 in 1980 to $7.25 today. Two-thirds of Americans support a $15 federal minimum wage. States and cities can also enact minimum wages, and so far 30 states have done so https://www.ncsl.org/labor-and-employment/state-minimum-wages. Higher minimum wages, by definition, increase wages, and evidence indicates they also reduce poverty and income inequality.

For an individual, higher education generally translates into higher wages. But for all workers as a group, that's not the case. Understanding this apparent contradiction is crucial.

From 1983 to 2022, membership in labor unions fell by half, from 20% to 10% of the workforce. That dramatic decline was the result of pro-business policy decisions, exemplified by Ronald Reagan’s mass firing of unionized air traffic controllers in 1981. The Protecting the Right to Organize Act, currently under consideration in Congress, could begin to reverse these trends — but is unlikely to pass unless and until Democrats win back a House majority. Unions lift wages by 10% to 20% for their members, and also tend to raise wages significantly for non-union workers in the same industry. Unions also reduce poverty and income inequality and, like minimum-wage increases, tend to reduce wage disparities across gender, race and ethnicity.

There are numerous other policies that can directly increase wages: eliminating “non-compete” clauses, increasing the salary thresholds for workers eligible for overtime pay, requiring that government contracts go to firms that pay a living wage, defining “gig workers” such as ride-share and delivery drivers as employees. There are also indirect policies that would help: imposing taxes on firms that move jobs overseas, expanding Medicare to younger age groups to reduce the effects of employer-provided health insurance on wages, and tilting monetary policy to focus more on employment than on inflation.

People without college educations have suffered the most from stagnating and falling wages; their longevity has also declined. Many people in that demographic have migrated from the Democratic to the Republican party since the Reagan years; these days, a college education (or lack thereof), is the best single predictor of party affiliation. That is no coincidence. The Democratic Party moved away from wage workers, labor unions and those without college educations.

A recent poll of likely 2024 battleground states indicated that voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by 18 percentage points when it comes to “keeping wages and salaries up with the cost of living.” Harvard philosopher Michael Sandel, among others, argues that people without college educations have become increasingly resentful, believing that they are being blamed for falling behind: “It’s your own fault you have low wages; you never went to college!”

We witnessed a rising tide of wage and labor issues in 2023: more strikes, more union votes such as those at Starbucks, Amazon, Trader Joe’s and elsewhere, more statewide referendums for higher minimum wages, and all-time highs in public approval for higher minimum wages and labor unions. Democrats have a rare opportunity to ride this wave of sentiment and reclaim the mantle of the party of the working class. They should embrace it by once again paying obsessive attention to wages.
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By J. PAUL LEIGH is a retired health economics professor with the Department of Public Health Sciences and the Center for Poverty and Inequality Research at the University of California, Davis. He has published more than 160 scientific papers and two books on topics involving occupational safety and health.
Short-term contracts put Oxford University staff at risk of poverty
Image Credits: Sidharth Bhatia

ByMartha Smith
CHERWELL
OXFORD  STUDENT NEWSPAPER
21st January 2024


An employment tribunal will be convened in Reading this January to look into problems associated with short-term and casual employment contracts at Oxford University, identified by the UCU (University and College Union) as significant causes of poverty.

The tribunal has been organised in light of a survey conducted in Trinity term of 2023 by the UCU, which later led to an October 2023 report written by the UCU in conjunction with academic staff currently working within the university.

The report drew attention to the prevalence of poverty among Oxford University’s academic staff employed either by colleges or by the OUDCE (Oxford University Department for Continuing Education) – in the report, hundreds were said to be affected. This high risk of poverty is both caused and compounded by the fact that staff find themselves in a precarious ongoing cycle of short-term job contracts which, for some, has reportedly lasted for decades. 44.9% of those surveyed reported feeling “very bad” about their job security.

The report found that those paid by the hour often have an overall pay which amounts to less than the National Minimum Wage, while those who have a set wage tend to be on “casual” short-term contracts with an income 60% less than the average UK annual household income.


The UCU laid out their aim in writing the report: “First… to raise awareness in Oxford… for the staff employed by the Collegiate University, it specifically aims to produce useful knowledge for local campaigns. Secondly… [the report] is intended for Senior Management at the University and its constituent Colleges.”

A spokesperson for the UCU has stated that, though the subject of the report is largely a systemic issue, employers still have the power to make change.

Oxford academics Rebecca Abrams and Alice Jolly spoke out about the “inappropriate precarious casual contracts for teaching staff” almost a year ago. They have since spoken at the Watford employment tribunal on 16 November 2023. Their complaints will continue to be addressed at the tribunal taking place in January.

The report also refers to the unmanageable workloads faced by academic staff who occupy casualised roles and must juggle multiple roles which “together amount to far more than full-time equivalent hours.” Women, who, according to the survey, are more likely to occupy casual roles, are particularly impacted.


The lack of longer-term contracts helps uphold a lack of diversity at the University, according to the UCU.

An Oxford student told Cherwell: “It is shameful to see reports of these contracts employees are made to suffer. Being a student at this world class institution I want to feel pride in my time here but instead I feel disgusted at how the university treats its staff. Demands for fair working conditions and pay are nothing more than reasonable and I hope the University takes a New Year’s resolution to guarantee this.”

In light of the information released in the Union’s report, a spokesperson for Oxford University has said that the OUDCE is currently in the process of reforming its structure following an external review. Changes to the employment structure of the OUDCE are set to be implemented in the academic year of 2024-2025.