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Tuesday, June 09, 2026

AU

Ex-CIA agent created fake spy program to amass $40M gold stash: reports

Stock image.

A former CIA official who was caught hoarding $40 million worth of gold bars allegedly created a “fake” classified intelligence program that US federal investigators say was used to channel government funds for personal gain, according to media reports.

David J. Rush, the former CIA employee, was arrested last month and charged with theft of public funds after FBI agents discovered 303 gold bars valued at roughly $40 million, along with about $2 million in cash and dozens of luxury watches, stashed in his Virginia home.

The search was conducted after the CIA became suspicious of his past military history, including his claim of being part of the Navy Reserve, and tipped the Bureau to act. Before his arrest on May 19, Rush had reportedly worked as a CIA officer for 17 years.

The Washington Post, citing US officials with knowledge of Rush’s investigations, reveals that Rush had created a fraudulent operation dubbed as the “special access program” into which he used to convince another agent to transfer the money. The New York Times also reported the findings.

‘Made-up contract’

According to both publications, Rush allegedly brought at least two CIA colleagues on the fraudulent operation and persuaded one of them to transfer the cash and gold into the program. To convince them, he claimed the money was to keep the government running in the event of a catastrophic event, such as destructive weather or a military attack, the reports said.

“He made up a contract,” one of the officials told The Washington Post.

However, it was not clear how the ex-CIA officer was able to create the program and obtain the funds without involving superiors in the agency.

According to court documents released following his arrest, Rush had received “a significant quantity of foreign currency and tens of millions of dollars in gold bars for work-related expenses” between November 2025 and March 2026. When conducting an internal review, the CIA could not locate these funds, it said in the document.

In response to the charges, Rush’s attorney, Jessica Carmichael, argued that many of the government’s allegations remain unproven, and some are unrelated to the charge currently before the court. For instance, the discovery of gold bars was “basically a non-issue”, Carmichael told reporters, stating that his client never claimed ownership of the bullion.

“This is about $65,000 worth of time card fraud,” she said.

Following a detention hearing last week, Rush was ordered to remain in jail until his trial, as a US District Court ruled him to be a flight risk.


India’s gold tariff hike fuels smuggling revival, squeezes banks and refiners

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India’s sharp increase in gold import tariffs is fuelling a resurgence in smuggling that could exceed 100 metric tons this year, as soaring grey market margins allow smugglers to undercut banks and refiners of the precious metal, industry officials and bullion dealers said.

India, the world’s biggest gold market after China, more than doubled import tariffs to 15% in May to curb demand, cut the trade deficit and ease pressure on the rupee. But the move has created an opportunity for smugglers who are able to offer prices legitimate importers cannot match, they said.

The grey market discount has gone beyond $200 per ounce, or more than 4%, said a Mumbai-based bullion division head at a private gold importing bank, adding that banks were unable to offer even a $10 discount, let alone one of three digits. He declined to be named because he was not authorized to speak to media.

The recent resurgence in the grey market suggests illegal imports could exceed 100 tons in 2026, said another dealer who also declined to be identified because he was not authorized to speak to the media.

Four other dealers interviewed by Reuters shared the view that illegal gold imports could exceed 100 tons in 2026.

At current prices, 100 tons of gold would be worth about $14.35 billion, implying roughly $2.65 billion in lost tariffs and sales tax.

Smugglers can offer steep discounts because they do not pay taxes on gold, including import tariffs and goods and services tax that total 18.45%, the bullion dealers said.

“There’s a margin of more than 2.5 million rupees ($26,121.25) on bringing in a one-kilo bar, which is roughly the size of an iPhone. It is natural that people will try to make quick bucks,” the second dealer said.

“Even if grey-market operators sell at a 4% discount, they are still making a killing,” said a Kolkata-based bullion dealer.

Gold smuggling fell from 156.1 tons in 2023 to 69.2 metric tons the following year, and declined further in 2025 to 20.4 tons after India cut import duties on gold.

Before the duty cut, an average of 108 metric tons of the precious metal was smuggled into the country each year over the previous decade, according to data compiled by the World Gold Council.

India imported 45.6 tons of gold in April, but imports may have halved in May as banks and refiners scaled back overseas purchases amid deep discounts, said a Hyderabad-based bullion dealer.

Hefty discounts in the grey market have disrupted legal trade, pushing domestic discounts on legal gold to more than $100 an ounce as stocks imported before the duty hike are sold at steep discounts, making refining uneconomical, said James Jose, managing director of refiner CGR Metalloys.

New Delhi levies a 0.65% lower import duty on gold dore, a semi-pure alloy, than on refined gold, but the alloy has also been affected by the tariff change.

“Gold refiners typically operate on margins of around 0.65%. With discounts now well above that level, refiners have little incentive to import dore,” Jose said.

(By Rajendra Jadhav; Editing by Mayank Bhardwaj and Kate Mayberry)

 

Debt cycle points to stronger case for gold price: Sprott



Stock image.

Gold’s long-term bull market is increasingly being driven by a force larger than inflation, interest rates or geopolitical tensions: the world’s growing debt burden.

That is the central thesis of Sprott’s latest market outlook, which argues that investors are witnessing the later stages of a decades-long debt cycle in which rising government borrowing, persistent deficits and mounting interest costs are beginning to undermine confidence in sovereign debt markets.

As governments accumulate liabilities faster than economies can grow, policymakers face difficult choices between fiscal austerity, higher inflation, financial repression or some form of debt monetization, the asset manager said.

In such an environment, gold’s role changes, as the report highlights. Rather than simply serving as an inflation hedge, the metal becomes a store of value independent of governments and financial systems.

Sprott argues that the world is moving toward a regime where preserving purchasing power matters more than generating yield, creating a favorable backdrop for gold over the long term.

Central banks are voting with their reserves

According to Sprott, one of the strongest signals supporting gold comes from central banks themselves.

Official sector purchases reached 244 tonnes during the first quarter of 2026, extending a buying trend that has persisted for several years. At the same time, some countries have reduced holdings of US Treasuries and other sovereign debt instruments to raise liquidity during periods of market stress.

Sprott highlights Turkey’s recent actions as an example. Faced with rising energy-import costs, the country liquidated most of its Treasury holdings while largely retaining gold reserves through swap transactions rather than outright sales. The distinction is significant. Treasuries were treated as transactional assets that could be sold when cash was needed, while gold remained core collateral.

The broader trend suggests central banks increasingly view gold not as a speculative asset but as a strategic reserve. Amid growing geopolitical tensions, sanctions risks and concerns about long-term currency stability, gold offers something sovereign bonds cannot: an asset with no counterparty risk.

This sustained central-bank demand has also helped establish a durable floor beneath the gold market, with purchases often accelerating during periods of price weakness.

Bond markets are flashing warning signs

The report argues that the most important development in global markets is occurring not in gold but in government bonds.

Across major economies, yields have climbed sharply despite efforts by central banks to ease monetary conditions. In the United States, long-term Treasury yields have risen to levels not seen since before the global financial crisis, while similar moves have occurred across Europe, Japan and other developed markets.

Traditionally, lower policy rates helped pull bond yields down. That relationship is beginning to weaken. Investors are increasingly demanding higher compensation for inflation uncertainty, growing debt issuance and concerns about fiscal sustainability.

 U.S. 10-year Treasury term premium, weekly. Source: Sprott

The US illustrates the challenge. Federal debt has climbed to roughly 120% of GDP, while annual deficits remain near 5% of GDP and are projected to increase further. Interest payments on the debt are approaching $1 trillion annually and continue to rise as governments refinance obligations at higher rates.

According to Sprott, investors are beginning to focus less on central-bank policy and more on the long-term ability of governments to manage debt loads. The result is rising term premiums, higher borrowing costs and growing questions about the future role of sovereign bonds as safe-haven assets. As confidence in debt-backed assets weakens, demand for hard assets such as gold tends to strengthen.

Gold’s structural bull case remains intact

While gold faces short-term headwinds from rising yields and periodic liquidity pressures, Sprott believes the larger forces supporting the metal remain firmly in place.

The report describes an emerging environment characterized by fiscal dominance, where governments become increasingly constrained by debt levels and rising interest costs. Policymakers may be forced to prioritize financial stability and debt management over strict inflation control, creating conditions that historically lead to currency debasement and negative real interest rates.

At the same time, mine supply growth remains limited while central banks continue to absorb a significant share of newly available metal. This combination of constrained supply and steady official-sector demand strengthens the market’s underlying fundamentals.

For Sprott, the current gold market is not simply reacting to inflation or geopolitical headlines. It reflects a broader reassessment of monetary assets in a world where debt continues to expand faster than confidence in the financial system.

If that debt cycle continues along its current path, gold’s role as a store of value may become increasingly important—not only for central banks, but for investors seeking protection from the long-term consequences of rising deficits, growing debt burdens and the gradual erosion of purchasing power.

In the short term, gold remains subject to market conditions such as inflationary pressures from the US-Iran war. On Tuesday, the metal extended its decline to about $4,230/oz., once again erasing its gains for the year.

China’s PBOC adds gold again as bullion remains under pressure


The People’s Bank of China headquarters in Beijing – Image courtesy of Wikimedia Commons

China’s central bank extended its gold-buying streak in May, adding to holdings as prices of the precious metal remained under pressure.

Bullion held by the People’s Bank of China rose by 320,000 troy ounces last month, according to data released on Sunday. The latest addition extended its buying streak to 19 months, the longest since at least 2015, when the PBOC began publishing more regular updates on its gold reserves.

Gold edged lower in May, marking a third consecutive monthly decline after it hit a record in late January. Persistent inflation concerns and expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates triggered by the war in the Middle East have weighed on the appeal of non-yielding assets.

Global central-bank purchases have been a key pillar of support for bullion in recent years. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said last month it expects the buying to be stepped up as geopolitical developments are likely to reinforce a push to diversify reserves.

(By Jessica Zhou)


Monday, June 01, 2026

Techno-oligarchs are using social media to normalise fascism

fascism keyboard

First published in Portuguese at Red Anticapitalista. Translation by Phil Hearse.

In 1978, Sérgio Godinho sang in Lá isso é that “fascism is a worm that burrows into the apple, it comes either with heavy boots or with soft little feet.” He wanted to warn us that fascism takes different forms and manifests itself through various means — some obvious, others more subtle. What Sérgio Godinho could not have imagined in 1978 was the instrument that, in the following century, the forces sympathetic to fascist ideas would use to embed themselves in society: online social networks.

In recent decades, social media has profoundly transformed how people relate to politics, changing the way ideologies are spread and power is contested. Although once celebrated as democratising tools, platforms such as Facebook, YouTube, Twitter/X, TikTok and Instagram have become fertile ground for the dissemination of fascist and authoritarian ideologies.

Many question whether the ideology and culture currently shared by far-right forces can or should be considered fascism. For the purpose of this text, Umberto Eco’s definition is particularly useful. For Eco, fascism is a modus operandi that can be found in different forms of government. 

One of its defining features is the rejection of critical thinking — which prevents questioning and sustains a worldview based on emotion, dogma and blind obedience, intolerant of dissent. It appeals to irrational feelings such as fear, hatred, and nostalgia for an idealised past; it simplifies all explanations for social phenomena through slogans, myths and conspiracy theories. 

In addition, Eco argues that fascists exploit middle-class prejudices against minority groups, turning them into scapegoats and creating a sense of group identity from a common enemy. By designating a social group as an enemy to be fought, fascism operates through a divisive logic that weakens the popular classes so they can be better controlled.

It is not difficult to find in the above description a portrait of the logic with which the far right has acted over the past few decades to win electoral support around the world. Contemporary fascism is not an exact replica of the ideologies that rose to power in the 1930s, but it shares fundamental traits, such as ultranationalism; the rejection of democratic norms, critical thinking and the separation of powers (especially an independent judiciary); the scapegoating of minorities; and the glorification of strong leaders. Some call it “soft fascism.”

Social networks and fascism

What most distinguishes the present is the medium: fascism has adapted to the digital ecosystem, using the aesthetics, language and engagement tools of social media to gain traction. It now manifests itself through memes, influencer culture and algorithmic amplification, rather than uniforms and mass rallies, as in the fascism of the early 20th century.

Social networks, originally designed to promote digital interaction, self-expression and information sharing, have become instruments for the promotion of authoritarian ideologies — which thrive on division, fear and manipulation of public perception — and for building that very culture of fear and division through radicalisation strategies and hate speech filled with misogynistic, racist and conspiratorial content. Instead of party newspapers or radio broadcasts, we now have YouTube rants, Reddit forums and Instagram videos spreading authoritarian ideas in attractive formats.

In this process of eroding democratic norms and consolidating a fascist culture through social media, two aspects have been crucial: one technological — the operational mechanisms of social networks (algorithms, content moderation policies and engagement models); the other social — the ownership of these networks by a small group of techno-oligarchs.

Algorithms and amplifying extremism

Social networks operate with algorithms designed to maximise user engagement. Content that provokes intense emotional reactions — anger, fear, outrage — performs best. The algorithm does not care about the truth or harmful impact of content; it only cares about clicks, shares and watch time. 

This creates a vicious cycle in which users are gradually exposed to increasingly extreme content the more they interact. Studies by the Mozilla Foundation and the Center for Countering Digital Hate show how YouTube’s recommendation system can quickly push users from moderately conservative content toward openly fascist, white supremacist or misogynistic videos.

The structure and functionality of social networks favour the type of content produced by the far right, with its sensationalist tone and polarising viewpoints. Hate speech, alarmism and fake news perform particularly well in this environment because of their ability to generate strong emotional engagement. Sensationalist headlines, misleading narratives and conspiracy theories are shared and commented on far more than factual reports or complex analyses.

This dynamic is amplified by echo chambers created by algorithmic sorting, which feeds users content that aligns with their biases, reinforcing their views and isolating them from counterarguments or factual corrections. For example, if a user frequently interacts with posts containing racist or misogynistic language, the algorithm will continue to present similar content, reinforcing those beliefs and normalising such discourse within their social circle.

This ecosystem allows misinformation to spread and creates a distorted perception of consensus. When users repeatedly see extreme opinions gaining visibility, they tend to assume those ideas are more popular than they really are. Regarding fascist ideas, this illusion of social consensus contributes to their validation, encouraging their adoption and promotion.

Moreover, the absence of strict moderation policies allows hate speech to flourish. Although some companies have implemented measures against harmful content, the overwhelming volume of posts and the speed of their spread make consistent enforcement nearly impossible. This moderation deficit is exploited by fascist groups, which use coded language, memes and symbolism to bypass filters and spread their messages.

The consequences of this algorithmic amplification are profound. Hate speech not only dehumanises marginalised groups but fosters a culture of hostility and division. In the context of the far right’s use of social media, this hostility is often directed against immigrants, minorities or political opponents, serving as a tool to unite followers around a “us versus them” narrative. 

By repeatedly exposing users to this type of content, digital platforms contribute to the erosion of empathy and to the creation of an environment where violence or exclusion are seen as reasonable responses to perceived threats. This becomes especially dangerous when combined with fear-based narratives designed to incite anxiety and justify authoritarian measures.

Property and ideological capture: How the far right exploits technological power to normalise fascism

The ownership of major social networks further complicates the picture. In recent years, we have witnessed the growing appropriation and instrumentalisation of social media by billionaire figures with political affinities to the far right, such as Elon Musk (X, formerly Twitter) and Mark Zuckerberg (Facebook, Instagram). This concentration of technological power in private hands with authoritarian ideological leanings has facilitated the spread and normalisation of fascist ideas, disguised under the deceitful banner of “freedom of speech.”

Elon Musk and the radicalisation of Twitter

Since Musk’s acquisition of Twitter in October 2022, we have seen an intentional, planned and systematic dismantling of content moderation mechanisms. Musk fired more than 80% of the moderation staff and dissolved the company’s Trust and Safety Council. At the same time, he reinstated accounts previously banned for violating platform policies, including those of Donald Trump, Andrew Tate, Jordan Peterson and various QAnon accounts.

Empirical studies have shown that, in the months following the acquisition, hate speech levels skyrocketed on Twitter. According to the Center for Countering Digital Hate, the use of racial slurs against Black people rose by 202%, and homophobic terms by 53%. Additionally, the Anti-Defamation League (ADL) reported a 61% rise in antisemitic mentions on X in the first half of 2023.

Although Musk has repeatedly claimed his management aims merely to “restore freedom of speech” even if that means tolerating extremist discourse, a Platformer report revealed that Musk personally ordered algorithm changes to amplify his own tweets, boosting their visibility by more than 1000%. This algorithmic manipulation also benefitted ideologically aligned far-right accounts, creating an environment conducive to radicalisation.

Zuckerberg and the Meta empire: Strategic omission and profiting from hate

While Zuckerberg publicly maintained a more neutral stance for some time, the effects of his business decisions are no less serious. Studies have shown that Facebook’s algorithms promote emotionally charged content — often hate, fear and polarisation. An internal document revealed that Facebook engineers had already warned, back in 2018, that “the algorithms were encouraging divisions and political extremism.”

During the 2016, 2020, and 2024 US presidential elections, Facebook was the epicentre of the spread of fake news favouring Trump, including false claims of electoral fraud. An investigation by MIT Technology Review found that 64% of people who joined extremist groups did so through algorithmic suggestions by the platform. Furthermore, Facebook was accused of allowing paid political advertising with disinformation, helping anti-immigration and anti-LGBTQI+ movements thrive in several countries. 

In 2021, former Facebook employee Frances Haugen provided evidence to US Congress that the company prioritised “profit over safety,” even knowing its systems fostered extremism. If there was any doubt about Zuckerberg’s intent to instrumentalise Facebook for the spread of extremist ideals, they were dispelled in 2024 when Zuckerberg endorsed Trump’s re-election — after which he ended content moderation altogether.

The private control of digital platforms by billionaires with authoritarian leanings has created a reality where technology serves as a vehicle for political radicalisation. Musk and Zuckerberg are redesigning the digital public sphere to make fascist ideas not only visible but culturally acceptable. This scenario constitutes a new form of hegemony — a neoliberal algorithmic dictatorship — where digital infrastructures become tools of social engineering serving the concentration of economic, ideological and political power.

Instead of strengthening democracy, social media has become a weapon for mass disinformation and normalising authoritarianism. It is urgent to dismantle the power of techno-oligarchs, socialise social networks and ensure democratic governance.

Democratising the digital space: Countering the fascistic domination of social media by techno-oligarchs

Despite certain European legal mechanisms such as the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the Digital Services Act (DSA), the power of Big Tech remains largely untouched. The DSA, for example, still relies on the voluntary cooperation of platforms to combat illegal content, without interfering with the commercial logic that prioritises the virality of toxic content.

Authors such as Shoshana Zuboff have warned that surveillance capitalism — the logic by which personal data are commodified to anticipate and modify behaviour — escapes traditional regulatory forms. What is needed is a radically new approach, one that does not merely correct excesses but structurally changes who owns and controls digital communication media.

The left must adopt a digital agenda that prioritises democratising platform governance, reducing techno-oligarchic power and promoting a digital ecosystem oriented toward the public good. This agenda should include measures such as:

  • Public and social ownership of platforms: Social networks should be treated as essential critical infrastructures — like water or energy networks — and be subject to public control. Like public radio and television services, social networks should be publicly funded and guided by public-interest criteria, not by the logic of profit and surveillance.
  • Democratic and transparent regulation: State regulation of major digital platforms must go beyond content moderation or data protection, imposing obligations of algorithmic transparency, limits on ownership concentration, and clear rules on editorial responsibility. Regulation should not focus solely on technical aspects but also aim to defend democracy and human rights against authoritarian projects disguised as “freedom of speech.”
  • Democratic management: Instead of unilateral decisions made by techno-oligarchs with their own ideological agendas, social media governance should be shared, transparent and democratically accountable. “Algorithmic self-management” should enter the political vocabulary of anyone who defends a free and fair internet.
  • Digital education and sovereignty: Populations must be empowered to understand and resist algorithmic manipulation, with national programs for critical digital education (as recommended by UNESCO), and investments in free software and public servers, as countries such as Germany and France have done in some sectors.

However, such measures are not enough and contain the paradox of depending on governments to regulate platforms in which they themselves have vested interests. These measures, while necessary, do not eliminate the possibility of governments — whether authoritarian, fascist-leaning or liberal but captured by private economic power — using regulation to control social networks as tools of manipulation, censorship, surveillance, or to criminalise dissent. 

Thus, the solution cannot rely solely on the state, under penalty of reinforcing what it seeks to combat: the capture of digital space by authoritarian or technocratic logics.

Alternative networks as political action and an instrument of class struggle

To confront this problem, proposals from the radical and anti-capitalist left must go further and articulate multiple strategies combining citizen action, the creation of alternative infrastructures and organised political resistance. This includes: critical digital literacy, promoted in grassroots spaces alongside formal education, to provide training on how algorithms work, the logic of surveillance and the political role of social media; boycotting and migrating away from toxic platforms (such as X or Facebook) in favour of decentralised and ethical networks that, even without mass scale, help build alternative culture and autonomy; and the citizen-led creation of alternative networks.

The citizen creation of alternative social networks — based on free software, decentralisation and transparency — is an act of technological disobedience, an exercise in building collective autonomy, and an essential element of the contemporary class struggle. The class struggle today also unfolds in the digital realm, with the techno-oligarchic elite using their platforms to accumulate wealth and control subjectivities.

Citizen-created alternative networks are a powerful weapon against surveillance — avoiding mass data collection, protecting privacy and preventing behavioral tracking that sustains surveillance capitalism — and against algorithmic hierarchy — promoting content ranked by community choice, not profit or polarisation. 

In this sense, they represent a form of digital popular power, stripping techno-oligarchs of their economic power and ability to manipulate elections, desires and social relations, while creating spaces of solidarity and decentralised communication that foster countercultural and counter-hegemonic content. The act of users building their own infrastructures and rejecting the role of mere consumers of techno-oligarchic networks is, in itself, an act of anti-capitalist politics.

The left must incorporate the struggle for structural transformation of the ownership, control and logic of social networks into its core agenda. To defend health, housing and the environment while ignoring the digital sphere, is to abandon one of today’s main battlefields. Networks are now instruments of ideological power, social control and capital reproduction. Change must arise from articulated, collective and politicised action “from below.”

The citizen creation of alternative social networks, for example, is not merely a technical act but a social, cultural and political struggle that challenges the power and control of techno-oligarchs and the governments that serve them. It will be a slow, long process, built from the margins, and it demands patience. But every instance created, every network switched, every digital culture built outside the dominant system will be a crack in the algorithmic dictatorship.

Thursday, May 28, 2026

 

Google engineer charged in alleged $1.2mn Polymarket insider trading scheme

FILE - A phone displays sports trades on Polymarket on Thursday, April 16, 2026, in Portland, Ore. (AP Photo/Jenny Kane)
Copyright AP Photo

By Una Hajdari
Published on

A Google engineer has been arrested for allegedly using his employer's secret search trend data, as landmark case tests whether prediction markets are subject to the same rules as Wall Street.

Betting on Polymarket is supposed to be a fun, low-intensity gamble whereby you buy 'yes' or 'no' shares for the outcome of a real-world event and hope to correctly predict how it resolves — at which point your winning share pays out $1 and your losing one pays nothing

That is, unless you are an employee at Google and federal prosecutors allege you already know the answers — in which case it could amount to insider trading, one of the most aggressively prosecuted white-collar offences on the books that can carry a maximum prison sentence of 20 years.

According to the US Attorney for the Southern District of New York, Michele Spagnuolo, a staff software engineer at Google, allegedly used his employer's most confidential annual trend data compilation to pocket more than $1.2 million (€1.1mn) on Polymarket. His alias was known as “AlphaRaccoon.”

Spagnuolo has now been charged with commodities fraud, wire fraud and money laundering by federal prosecutors in New York.

The Spagnuolo case is the second high-profile prosecution for insider trading on a prediction market in just over a month, part of a largely unexplored legal frontier as prosecutors grapple with how existing fraud and commodities law applies to platforms like Polymarket, which operate nothing like a traditional stock exchange.

How Google's 'Year in Search' became a trading tip

Every December, Google publishes its "Year in Search" — a splashy, carefully choreographed reveal of the year's top trending searches. It drives traffic, generates significant media coverage and, as the filing notes, serves as a "high-profile vehicle" through which Google demonstrates its reach to advertisers.

The whole point, commercially speaking, is the surprise. Google guards the underlying data closely and even internally, access is restricted to a limited number of employees.

Spagnuolo, who has worked at Google since around 2014, allegedly had access to an internal software tool bearing a banner reading "Google Confidential" that gave him sight of the Year in Search results before anyone outside the company did.

Enter AlphaRaccoon

On the prediction market platform Polymarket, users can bet on the outcome of real-world events such as elections, sports results, and cultural moments using cryptocurrency. In October 2025, Polymarket began offering markets on who would be Google's most-searched person of the year.

Around the same time, a Polymarket account called "AlphaRaccoon" started placing bets.

Between October and December 2025, FBI Special Agent Brandon Racz alleges, Spagnuolo accessed Google's confidential Year in Search data and then, sometimes within hours, placed wagers on Polymarket that reflected exactly what he had seen.

On or about 15 October 2025, Spagnuolo allegedly accessed the internal tool. The following day, the AlphaRaccoon account wagered approximately $403 (€373) on Kendrick Lamar being the number one searched person of 2025 at the implied odds of just 3% and roughly $10,807 (€10,022) against Pope Leo XIV taking the top spot.

He allegedly knew this, according to prosecutors, because the internal data already told him so.

Betting against the crowd

What makes the alleged scheme particularly striking is how it worked in practice. Because Spagnuolo allegedly knew who would not top the rankings, he could bet heavily against the crowd's favourites and collected winnings when popular picks failed to materialise.

The AlphaRaccoon account wagered approximately $937,688 (€869,083) on the "no" side of the question of whether Bianca Censori would be the number one searched person at a time when the market put her odds at around 85%.

It bet roughly $613,587 (€568,628) against Pope Leo XIV at 56% implied probability, and approximately $509,149 (€471,741) against Donald Trump at around 90%.

In total, across roughly 25 bets on Year in Search outcomes, AlphaRaccoon risked approximately $2.75mn (€2.55mn).

When Google published its results on 4 December 2025, confirming its global top five trending people as d4vd, Kendrick Lamar, Jimmy Kimmel, Tyler Robinson and Pope Leo XIV, the account walked away with approximately $1.2mn (€1.11m) in profit.

The cover-up

Once the markets resolved, roughly $3.9mn (€3.6mn) in USDC.e — a cryptocurrency tied to the value of the US dollar — was released to the AlphaRaccoon account. On 10 December, the account transferred approximately $5mn (€4.6mn) to a linked cryptocurrency wallet.

Polymarket used USDC.e as its main payment currency for trading and settlements on the Polygon blockchain network.

From there, according to the complaint, the funds passed through at least two cryptocurrency swaps before being moved into a service that prosecutors say was designed to make the transactions harder to trace.

Meanwhile, online communities on Discord and X had already begun speculating that AlphaRaccoon was a Google insider. Shortly afterwards, the username was quietly removed from the account, reverting it to an anonymous alphanumeric string.

The FBI traced the wallet anyway.

Prosecutors allege cryptocurrency records linked the AlphaRaccoon account to a wallet that had sent approximately $149,980 (€138,916) to a payment processor account registered in the name of Michele Spagnuolo using an Italian government identification card.

The charges

Spagnuolo faces three charges. The first is commodities fraud, based on allegations that he used material nonpublic information to execute trades on Polymarket, which prosecutors are treating as a platform offering commodity-linked contracts.

The second is wire fraud, relating to the alleged misuse of Google's confidential commercial information for personal gain. The third is money laundering, tied to prosecutors' claims that he took steps after December 2025 to conceal the source and ownership of the proceeds.

The complaint was sworn before US Magistrate Judge Sarah Netburn in the Southern District of New York.

The case follows that of US Army Special Forces Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke, who was charged in April with allegedly using classified information about a US military operation targeting Nicolás Maduro to place winning bets on Polymarket.

Prosecutors say Van Dyke turned roughly $33,000 in wagers into more than $400,000 in profit. He has pleaded not guilty.

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Socialism: A prospect, not a utopia


flying cars in Moscow

First published at /spichka

There will be no Gulag under the new socialism — an article by Boris Kagarlitsky

Preface by /spichka

Building socialism requires two things: taking people’s fears seriously and carrying out expropriations.

Boris Kagarlitsky wrote this article from a Russian penal colony, where he is currently serving his sentence. Here is the new socialism he is proposing (no utopias included).

Why should you read this letter?

You most likely talk to people who do not share your political views — or who perhaps have none at all. You explain that the global economy has reached a dead end, that declining birth rates across the world are the result of neoliberal policies. Your listeners nod in agreement. But sooner or later, the question arises:

“So what are you proposing?”

It is a reasonable yet disarming question. How would you answer?

Up until 2022, there was a sense of political timelessness. Marxists were preoccupied with the old “Stalin or Trotsky?” disputes. The outbreak of the “special military operation” brought many back to reality. It became clear that we do not have decades to spend arguing over long-dead leaders. It is time to learn how to communicate our ideas to people beyond Marxist communities.

Without a positive program, we can only agitate among other Marxists.

Of course, even before 2022, there were those writing about a socialist project — Boris Kagarlitsky or Andrey Kolganov, for example. However, these discussions failed to resonate among Marxists, as they never addressed the question that seemed to matter most: why “Stalin is better than Trotsky”.

Alexey Safronov is one of the authors whose work brings us closer to understanding socialism as a project. In 2025, he published a book titled The Great Soviet Economy1, where, in his concluding remarks, he posed the question: what comes next? Later that year, he released a video on the channel Prostye Chisla (“Prime numbers”) about democratic planning — “Direct Economic Democracy: The Technology Is Ready, Now It’s Up to People”.

It is time to arrive at a shared understanding of what kind of socialism we want to build — and how. A discussion is needed.

The time has come for Marxists to clarify their positions and bring the debate to a higher level.

To initiate this discussion among Marxists, we asked Boris Kagarlitsky to share his vision of socialism. He agreed and wrote:

I’ll send the text in batches of three or four pages so the mail and the censors don’t get overwhelmed — experience shows shorter messages get through faster, and it’s easier for me too (5 October 2025).

Boris Kagarlitsky sent us the article over the course of several months, a few pages at a time. We then continued discussing the text with him and refining the wording — ordinary editorial routine, though slow when conducted through the prison mail system. During this correspondence, he decided to add a postscript:

After reading your comments, I decided to add a postscript to the text, where I respond to the questions that you raised (15 December 2025).

We think this text deserves to be a starting point for a discussion that can engage different communities.

What is this letter about?

Boris Kagarlitsky wrote an extensive text on socialism as a future prospect. To be precise, it is not about how everybody will get a decent life under socialism, but about the first steps towards transforming society.

He did not intend to explain how socialism should be built, since that will depend on the starting conditions. If you’d like to read more about this, take a look at our article “The theory of the transitional period” and its follow-up. In those articles, we reflect on the experience of the USSR and other socialist countries to determine whether socialism was built there.

Kagarlitsky outlines possible starting points for transforming society. These are just the first steps, and we shouldn’t stop there.

To anticipate what follows, let us be clear: Kagarlitsky’s ideal is not simply a mixed economy with democratic institutions.

For the moment, we are not ready to articulate our position on every aspect discussed in the text. Our detailed view of socialism as a project will follow in a separate article later on.

But we stand firmly with Boris Kagarlitsky on one point: we need to develop a system of principles on the basis of which we want to transform society.

What we need are principles for transforming society, not stories about a beautiful life under socialism.

In the Manifesto, Marx and Engels outlined ten measures, “which appear economically insufficient and untenable, but which, in the course of the movement, outstrip themselves, necessitate further inroads upon the old social order, and are unavoidable as a means of entirely revolutionising the mode of production”.2

This is how we should think about it as well. In the article “Marx, Engels and the transitional program”, we have already explained the logic behind the proposals of the classical Marxists — why they formulated particular points, and how we can formulate our own positive program on that foundation.

Which brings us back to the central question: “So what are you proposing?”

We now turn to Boris Kagarlitsky, writing from Penal Colony No. 4 in Torzhok.


Socialism: a prospect, not a utopia

A vision of the future or a project? Or how I stopped building castles in the air

Politicians and publicists keep asking, with a kind of obsessive persistence, about the “vision of the future”, addressing allies, like-minded supporters, and opponents alike, and not only within the political left. I remember attending an official event in the early 2000s where yet another expensive report on Russia’s future was presented — outlining what the country was supposed to look like by 2020. Needless to say, the reality of 2020 bore no resemblance to that presentation.

The problem with such reports is rarely in what the authors made up. It lies in the ridiculously short time frame between creating a project and putting it into practice. Had they pushed their predictions out to 2050 — or better, 2100 — they could have avoided the embarrassment. By the time the target date arrived, no one would be left alive who remembered the report’s contents, or even that it had existed at all.

Utopian writers of the early modern period were more farsighted. They would place their ideal society on some distant, imaginary island — or even on the Moon.3 This is where the word “utopia”, coined by Thomas More, comes from4 — that is, a place that does not exist. And, I would add, never will.

Thinking about the future instead of utopias

Does this mean we should stop thinking about the future? Certainly not. The ability to act with the future in mind, planning years and sometimes decades ahead, is fundamental to the existence of human civilization. But the question is how we think — and what goals we set for ourselves.

“So what is your alternative?”

This reproach is constantly directed at the political left: “Your critique of modern capitalism is quite convincing, but what is your alternative?” It is a fair question. Yet the answer most of our comrades offer is methodologically flawed. An alternative should not be a description of a beautiful life in some non-capitalist paradise, but a set of concrete, interconnected solutions to the problems of the present.

An alternative is not a description of a beautiful life under socialism, but concrete proposals for addressing the problems of capitalism.

This is particularly important for two reasons.

First, the real future will emerge from practical transformations carried out here and now. And if, for example, we decide to introduce strict censorship in the name of freedom for all, the outcome will bear little resemblance to what we promise.

Second, if there is no clear and direct link between the “now” and the “later”, then dreams of a wonderful future do nothing to stop us from behaving as completely unprincipled opportunists in the present. After all, this does not contradict our convictions: one set of principles for the dream, another for sinful reality.

This is precisely why Marx and Engels were right in their critique of utopian thinking.5

What we need is not a vision of the future, but a set of principles on which to base solutions to current problems.

We must therefore begin with a critique of the existing socio-economic order, identifying its main contradictions and problems — by overcoming them, we will in fact create a new society. First of all, it is important to understand why the solutions currently offered within capitalism either do not work or fail to work as expected.

What we are witnessing today is not just a series of crises, but a crisis of the entire economic system.

What we are facing is not just a series of crises, but above all a set of interconnected crises that together take on a systemic character. The numerous moderate reform initiatives intended to address these growing problems have only made the situation more complex and confused.

No one denies the ecological crisis, the financial turmoil, the widening social disparities often reduced to the issue of inequality, or the alarming rise in conflicts. But it is crucial to recognize that all these phenomena are interconnected, and that any solution can only be found through a comprehensive transformation of the economy and society.6

Two initial conclusions follow from this:

  • Structural changes affecting relations of power and ownership are necessary;
  • The development of democratic planning institutions is essential.

Institutions of democratic planning will make it possible to transform and shape the economic structure in a coordinated and purposeful way, not only in the interests of the majority but for the development of humanity.

Democratic planning will make it possible to organize the economy in the interests of humanity’s development.

This last point is, unfortunately, crucial, since short-term interests often run counter to long-term prospects. This is evident not only in ecological crises but also in market cycles, where rapid stock price growth sets the stage for inevitable economic collapse. Here, however, we encounter the central problem — one that can only be resolved in practice: how to move beyond the narrowly understood immediate interests of the masses without sacrificing their democratic freedoms or calling into question their right to oppose even fundamentally correct and objectively overdue policies. In a sense, this is the main contradiction of socialism.

Economic democracy

Ota Šik, in his classic work Plan and Market under Socialism7 pointed out that abolishing private property does not eliminate differences in interests between individuals and social groups. The capitalist market allows these differences to be regulated, but not in accordance with any social optimum; instead, outcomes are determined by the balance of forces — power, income, and property. This is precisely why modern society, torn apart by sharp contradictions, not only social and class ones, is in urgent need of a different mechanism. Even worse, the classical market mechanism no longer functions. This is not, as libertarians would claim, the result of irresponsible leftists or greedy corporate elites interfering with its “normal” functioning, but of the concentration of capital and the rising cost of research, which have made free and equal competition a utopia.

Free competition no longer exists. A new mechanism is needed to reconcile the interests of different groups in society.

The Singaporean economist Martin Khor8 demonstrated that the ideal model of competition described by Adam Smith works only when hundreds of independent producers operate within a single market, responding solely to prices determined by effective demand. As the number of producers declines to a few dozen, the mechanism begins to fail. If there are fewer than ten, they tend to orient themselves toward one another rather than the consumer, and, even without direct coordination, effectively form a cartel-like arrangement. This is sometimes referred to as “Khor’s theorem” or the “oligopolistic market rule”.

Libertarian critics of monopolies will, of course, call for breaking up large corporations as a solution to the problem. But this would mean reversing the process of capital and technological concentration that underpins economic progress, as well as reducing resources for research and development. The only way to compensate for this would be to increase the role of the state in research and investment, which is equally unacceptable to libertarians and liberals.

There is only one way out of the current situation — economic democracy based on the socialization of the largest corporations.

The real response to such challenges lies in creating a mechanism of economic democracy based on the socialization of the largest corporations, informational transparency, and the integration of the efforts of different economic actors. This does not imply the abolition of the market, but it does require, as John Keynes pointed out, the socialization of investment under the control of democratic representative bodies accountable to society.

This task can only be resolved in practice: conflicts and disagreements are inevitable, which is precisely why democracy is essential as a mechanism for the dynamic resolution of contradictions. Will this democracy retain the features of parliamentarism? Most likely, only partially. Traditional procedures will have to be supplemented by new forms of stakeholder participation in decision-making. One example is the involvement of city residents in urban planning through participatory budgeting in Porto Alegre, Brazil.9

Examples of direct economic democracy already exist. One of them is Porto Alegre in Brazil.

One way or another, there will be a need to develop mechanisms of multi-level coordination without abolishing existing political institutions — parties, trade unions, and civic organizations. Another point is that, over time, bodies of sectoral or local self-government, integrated into systems of economic, social, and environmental coordination, may come to play a more important role than parliament.

Will such a system turn out to be too complex? Only practice will tell, but there are already reasons to assume that it will be no more complex than the Soviet system of administrative planning or the market-corporate-bureaucratic coordination typical of today’s advanced capitalist economies.

The scope of property socialization may vary considerably depending on conditions.

Given differences in capital concentration, global integration, democratic traditions, and, not least, the balance of political and class forces across societies, the scale, forms, and depth of property socialization will vary considerably depending on local conditions. For this reason, the following discussion will focus on what can be done in the Russian context. And yet, some general trends can be identified globally.

General principles:

  • Socialize research, production, as well as online platforms;
  • Develop not only the state sector, but also forms of cooperation with private initiative;
  • Ensure the collective use of the benefits of socialized property.

First, this concerns the socialization of research and production currently controlled by large corporations, as well as the socialization of the platforms through which a significant share of economic activity is carried out — as convincingly argued by Nick Srnicek10 and Yanis Varoufakis.11 The forms of socialization may also vary: they may include buyouts, asset redistribution, bankruptcy procedures, and expropriation — depending on the political, economic, and social context.

Second, this does not imply the total nationalization of all production and exchange, as in the Soviet Union.12 Even the Soviet Union’s allies in the Eastern Bloc allowed a certain degree of freedom for private entrepreneurship, which developed with some success, helping to compensate for the bottlenecks of bureaucratic planning.13 The economy will be “mixed”, but what exactly is combined, and in what proportions, is a matter of practical politics.

The economy will be “mixed”, but the composition of that “mix” is a matter of practical politics.

Third, the development of socialized production under current conditions is inseparable from collective consumption. Energy networks integrating large numbers of users, public transport, and accessible platforms for obtaining goods and information — all of this already exists today. These practices — now largely dominant thanks to the internet — are exactly what we must rely on as we integrate and develop collective infrastructure, in which these systems are closely and efficiently interconnected. The internet is perfectly compatible with private business and individual consumption, but is already at odds with the corporate market.

Having outlined some general principles, we can now propose a number of measures to transform the Russian economy and society, which are clearly in need of change.

Public sector

Which companies should be socialized?

When Marx spoke of the contradiction between the social character of production and private appropriation, he drew the logical conclusion that production must develop under society’s direct control. Clearly, this contradiction cannot be resolved without challenging private property. However, it is already clear that building a public sector capable of addressing strategic development tasks does not require indiscriminate nationalization. It is reasonable to assume that the more a given sector, industry, or company serves common needs at the national and global level, the greater the need for its socialization.

The fundamental contradiction of capitalism cannot be resolved without challenging the system of private property.

In the Russian context, the following sectors stand out: transport infrastructure, defense enterprises, strategic civilian machine-building (primarily transport), the mining industry, energy, major banks, metallurgy, and forestry and water management.

An attentive reader will immediately notice that these are exactly the sectors in which Russia’s so-called state corporations operate. But that is precisely the point: in reality, these companies are not state-owned even in the bourgeois sense of the term. They are private joint-stock corporations with substantial state participation.

Russian state corporations are essentially ordinary joint-stock companies with state participation.

Meanwhile, Marx rightly emphasized that property is a social relation. The state’s acquisition of shares does nothing to change property relations or relations of production. However, it does create a precedent — not always a positive one — and opens up opportunities for the redistribution of resources, typically in favor of a privileged group within oligarchic business structures.

In modern society, resources are redistributed mainly by non-market means.

The redistribution of resources, inevitable in a developed modern economy, has long been carried out primarily through non-market mechanisms, yet it remains a highly complex, costly, and corruption-prone process. This is hardly surprising in a system dominated by private property and private interest. The widely promoted principles of public-private partnership, popularized in the late 20th century, are essentially mechanisms for legitimizing corruption — regardless of whether it occurs in Russia, the United States, India, or Western Europe.

If a company cannot operate without state support, it should be transferred to the public sector.

The public and private sectors should interact only through the market. Here, one might even shake hands with libertarians: the market it is. But if a company cannot operate without state support, or cannot fulfill a socially beneficial function without it, then it should be transferred to the public sector.

In practice, public interest, along with environmental, social, and other objective requirements, is indeed realized, but largely through penalties imposed on businesses. The public sector, however, should be oriented not towards profit maximization but towards addressing social problems. This does not mean it should operate at a loss, but profit-seeking and ensuring financial sustainability are by no means the same. Profit, therefore, cannot and should not be the primary, let alone the only, measure of success for public enterprises.

It is clear that in the digital era, there is a need to create open and transparent online platforms, and that decentralizing economic decision-making will enable the development of diverse forms and levels of public-sector activity. For instance, housing and utilities will most likely fall under the control of municipal authorities and local self-government.

Europe provides examples of state-owned companies that were not only profit-driven but also addressed social problems.

The Western European experience of recent decades is worth recalling here. In Austria, regional authorities set up construction companies in several federal states, whose operations — within the framework of market competition — led to falling housing prices. Another example is the well-known Finnish company Sitra, established in the 1990s. It functioned as a state-backed venture capital fund, tasked not only with generating profits but also with promoting job creation in the regions, raising the economy’s technological level, ensuring employment for women, and more. Sitra’s remarkable success in the late 20th century propelled Finland to the forefront of technological development in Europe.

Governance in the public sector

How will governance in the public sector differ from classical forms of capitalist management? One starting point is the existing experience within the modern economy of so-called “teal organizations”, characterized by minimal hierarchy and active employee participation in decision-making. Yet within the private sector, such organizations sooner or later encounter a conflict between the interests of shareholder-owners and workers. In the public sector, this contradiction would be removed. This does not mean that new contradictions will not emerge; rather, democratic procedures must be created to resolve them.

Sectoral congresses are one form of democratic governance.

At a higher level, one form of democratic governance could be sectoral congresses, where professionals collectively discuss existing problems and propose organizational and staffing solutions for the state to consider. Such congresses of teachers, agronomists, and engineers began to emerge in Russia after the February Revolution of 1917, but the practice did not develop any further: civil war is hardly a time for professional congresses. Today, it would be entirely feasible to return to this model at a new level.

Clearly, enterprises and sectors differ in their degree of readiness for self-management. Moreover, for obvious reasons, not all issues can be resolved at this level. Centralized planning and management bodies, operating under the control of representative, democratically elected authorities, must ensure the setting of development priorities, which are already discernible in broad outline today.

Priorities

For decades, international forums have issued eloquent documents on the need to protect the planet from ecological catastrophe, accompanied by speeches about the value of human life, the importance of culture and education, and the creation of more humane and comfortable living conditions. Yet, unfortunately, the reality around us clearly contradicts all this.

Environmental initiatives are alien to the market economy, as they do not lead to profit maximization.

The problem is that various environmental and humanistic demands are, so to speak, bolted onto the market-corporate economic system, appearing as external and alien factors. They are expected to operate from the outside — through incentives or penalties — without affecting the overall logic to which private companies are objectively subject: the logic of profit maximization and capital accumulation.

At the same time, what matters fundamentally is the initial purpose — what an organization is created for and according to what criteria it is structured. This is why, incidentally, universities, armies, and scientific academies, even within capitalism and with considerable resources at their disposal, have not become fully bourgeois institutions, although they have been partially bourgeoisified.

Democratic planning must develop its own priorities and create the structures needed to implement them.

Democratic planning must not only develop its own priorities, but also create the corresponding structures to support them. In Russia, the adoption of the new Forest Code in the 2000s had catastrophic consequences, turning forestry into an ordinary commercial sector — much like the commercialization and privatization of railways in Russia and the UK led to similarly damaging results. In the face of the global ecological crisis, reforestation and afforestation have become a central task. It is worth recalling the significant work carried out in this area during the early Soviet period.14

Development priorities must be set based on social, environmental, and cultural needs.

Forestry, transport, energy, science, and education — all these sectors can become powerful drivers of economic growth, but their primary objectives must be set on the basis of social, environmental, and cultural needs. Even technologies themselves can develop in different directions depending on what developers prioritize. The story of airships is a classic example. As late as the 1970s, they were proposed as an ideal solution for cargo transport in Siberia and the Far East, but they did not fit the agenda of the machine-building sector and failed to attract military interest, despite the military being the most generous client. Notably, despite the clear potential of such projects, airship development in both the United States and Britain met the same fate.

The pursuit of state-defined, non-economic goals creates opportunities for economic growth.

By contrast, when non-economic goals were at the center of the state agenda and became institutionalized, they gradually shaped the economy and created new opportunities for its growth. Mass tourism, for example, emerged as an industry from the widespread introduction of paid holidays for workers — a policy that businesses fiercely resisted at the time.

By shaping new priorities, we inevitably shape a new economy, with structures and rules different from those of today.

New priorities — a new economy.

The humanization of life is an equally important issue around which socio-economic reconstruction can be organized. A glance at modern cities is enough to see how improvements in everyday comfort for the middle class coexist with the rising levels of psychological distress and alienation. The growing concentration of population and resources in megacities and urban agglomerations leads to the decline of small and medium-sized towns and to a crisis of social infrastructure in rural areas. It goes without saying that no one is advocating a return to the policies of Pol Pot, who, under the influence of Jean-Jacques Rousseau, sought to abolish the capital city by expelling its population. Yet the over-urbanization of our time leads, in the long run, to a future that is no less dystopian.

The only possible response to this challenge is a policy of re-urbanization aimed at developing small and medium-sized towns, as well as agro-towns directly integrated into the rural environment and economy. This will require substantial investment in cultural, healthcare, transport, educational, and even informational infrastructure. In the long run, however, it will generate not only new sources of economic growth, but a new quality of growth — one that is far more balanced and, crucially, is not accompanied by destructive effects on people’s inner well-being.

Only society itself can determine development priorities.

The formation of new development priorities must be a task for society as a whole, engaging people not only in strategic discussions but also in implementing practical projects. There are no miracle solutions that can or should be imposed from above. The responsibility of the left lies in developing its proposals, advancing initiatives, and shaping its agenda in such a way that they gain traction among the broader public — turning them from party-political or ideological positions into something commonly shared. This is precisely what the difficult work of hegemony involves.

No matter how many compelling ideas we put forward or how many appealing visions of the future we create, the real prospects for development will depend on the balance of forces and on our ability to unite people and social groups that still remain quite skeptical of our ideas.

To become the majority, we must first learn to be recognized as one of their own.

What matters most here is not utopias or promises of happiness in some distant future, but political solutions that work here and now.

A prospect, not a utopia

I hope that readers of this article will not be left with the impression that the limit of my ambitions is a mixed economy with a developed public sector and strong democratic institutions — even though, in the current circumstances, that alone would be a significant step forward. I have deliberately confined myself to a brief outline of changes that are sufficiently radical for the present moment, yet at the same time realistically achievable and entirely concrete.

The paradox is that even the implementation of such a program, which some may regard as limited, will encounter a whole range of issues and difficulties, obstacles and unforeseen developments. In addressing them, we will not only move closer to realizing our project but also transform it and, most likely, radicalize it.

During its implementation, the left project will change and become more radical.

The aim of transformation is not to remake everything at once in accordance with a pre-formulated plan and a rigid ideology. Rather, the first wave of changes should initiate a new logic of development — one that transforms the priorities, needs, and opportunities of society and thereby shapes subsequent transformations, until, as Marx put it, social evolutions cease to be political revolutions. This logic inevitably leads us beyond market relations and commodity exchange, the narrow limits of which are already being exceeded by new technologies that allow, for instance, near-infinite replication. In such cases, by sharing knowledge, software, images, or technologies, we do not lose them as we once would have lost a material object through sale. The knowledge economy, by definition, ceases to be a commodity economy.

The first wave of changes must initiate a new logic of development.

This, however, does not imply the possibility of a return to Soviet-type administrative-bureaucratic planning. Even if someone wished to bring such a system back, nothing worthwhile would come of it, simply because it was the transition to a new technological era that predetermined the inevitable demise of the Soviet centralized system to a far greater extent than any “betrayals” or economic inefficiencies — as dogmatic communists and dogmatic liberal anti-communists respectively tend to claim. A knowledge economy requires unrestricted exploration, flexible thinking, and people who are not constrained by bureaucratic and ideological restrictions.

The Soviet economy cannot be restored, no matter how much some might wish it.

Both the negative and the positive aspects of the Soviet experience must, however, be taken into account on the path to the future, through a critical analysis of its achievements — sometimes associated with an unprecedentedly effective concentration of resources in priority areas — and its failures, which produced an equally remarkable waste and misallocation of resources where such priorities were absent.

Even today, a key source of economic inspiration for us lies in the ideas and projects of the communist reformers of the 1960s — Ota Šik15, Włodzimierz Brus16, or Rezső Nyers17 — not to mention their predecessors, Oskar Lange18 and Michał Kalecki.19

At the same time, we continue to draw new insights from examining the failures of the planned economy in the Soviet Union — for example, when reading Alexey Safronov’s important recent book The Great Soviet Economy.20 But the main historical lesson cannot be reduced to an understanding of the shortcomings of bureaucratic centralization. A technocratic utopia that assumes that “computers will calculate everything” would be no less of a dead end.

A technocratic utopia is also a dead end. Machines will not be able to formulate our interests for us.

Even the most intelligent machines will not be able to formulate our interests for us, which, as Ota Šik already showed,21 will in any case remain contradictory — and these contradictions often arise not only between people, but within one and the same individual. The constant, multi-level reconciliation of interests, the search for compromises based on available resources and general priorities — this is the task of democratic planning: the work of many people, with their needs, desires, tastes, and even fears, which must also be taken into account.

Machines make our labor easier and can even turn it into a source of pleasure, but they will free us neither from responsibility nor from the need for activity that transforms and improves the world around us. A future in which, as the old Soviet song has it, “the robots do the work, and man is happy”, would truly mark the end not only of history but of society itself. The transformations for which we struggle are not aimed at creating a republic of idlers, but at building a system that offers the greatest possible scope for the collective and individual self-realization of human beings through creative, free activity. As Marx and Engels wrote in The Communist Manifesto, “the free development of each is the condition for the free development of all”.22

Some may call this a utopia. We call it a prospect.
  • 1

    Safronov, A. V. (2025). The Great Soviet Economy, 1917–1991. Moscow: Individuum.

  • 2

    Marx, K., & Engels, F. (1888). Manifesto of the Communist Party (S. Moore, Trans.; rev. by F. Engels), p. 41.

    Engels made a similar point in The Principles of Communism:

    “It is impossible, of course, to carry out all these measures at once. But one will always bring others in its wake. Once the first radical attack on private property has been launched, the proletariat will find itself forced to go ever further, to concentrate increasingly in the hands of the state all capital, all agriculture, all transport, all trade. All the foregoing measures are directed to this end”, Engels, F. (1952). Principles of Communism (P. M. Sweezy, Trans.). New York: Monthly Review Press, p. 15.

  • 3

    /spichka: For example, this was the case with Thomas More and Cyrano de Bergerac.

    In 1516, Thomas More published Utopia, whose full title is A Little Book, Truly Golden, No Less Beneficial than Entertaining, on the Best State of a Commonwealth and on the New Island of Utopia.

    In 1657, the French writer Cyrano de Bergerac published the utopian novel The Other World: Comical History of the States and Empires of the Moon, in which he described the customs of the Moon’s inhabitants as a way of criticizing society on Earth.

  • 4

    /spichka: Thomas More was the first to use the word “utopia”. In Greek, it means either “no place” or “righteous place”. This ambiguity is built into the word itself: the ideal place it describes does not exist, but still sets a standard. Due to the popularity of More’s book, the word entered many languages.

  • 5

    /spichka: In the article “Keep the course towards Pyongyang”, we discussed the question “What is the task of socialism?” There, we criticized the utopian approach to defining socialism and its goals.

    Socialism is essential not because it represents a just society, nor because it promises cheap ice cream and cotton candy at kiosks, but because the contradictions of capitalism reach their limits and society can no longer develop within the old economic system. This is what modern utopians fail to understand.

  • 6

    /spichka: In the article “Marx, Engels and the transitional program”, we showed how the classical authors viewed a program of social transformation. As you may recall (you do remember, don’t you?), the Manifesto contains just ten points, none of which appear radical on its own, but taken together they lead to a socialist transformation of society.

  • 7

    /spichka: Ota Šik (1919–2004) was a Czechoslovak economist and politician.

    After the Nazi occupation of Czechoslovakia in 1939, he joined the resistance and, in 1940, the Communist Party of Czechoslovakia (KSČ). In 1941, he was arrested by the Gestapo and sent to a concentration camp, where he was imprisoned alongside the future KSČ leader Antonín Novotný.

    From 1961, he served as director of the Institute of Economics of the Czechoslovak Academy of Sciences and, from 1962, as a member of the Central Committee of the Communist Party. In 1968, he became deputy prime minister, after which his political career ended.

    His book Plan and Market under Socialism was published in Czechoslovakia in 1968, and he became one of the key economic thinkers of the Prague Spring.

    When Warsaw Pact troops entered Prague in 1968, Šik was on holiday in Yugoslavia. Fearing arrest, he emigrated to Switzerland, where he lived for the rest of his life, writing and teaching at the university.

    Šik advocated a “third way”. He even published a book with that title: The Third Way: Marxist-Leninist Theory and Modern Industrial Society (1972). The first two paths were capitalism and Soviet socialism; the third was democratic market socialism.

  • 8

    /spichka: Martin Khor (1951–2020) was a Malaysian economist and journalist. He wrote extensively on globalization and the confrontation between the Global South and the Global North, showing how Europe and the United States impose dependency on developing countries.

    In 2020, Rabkor published an obituary of Martin Khor, providing a detailed account of his work:

    “Martin Khor: The making of a global activist” // Rabkor. — 17.04.2020. — URL:https://rabkor.ru/columns/left/2020/04/17/martin_kho_becoming_a_global_activist/

  • 9

    /spichka: Porto Alegre is a city in Brazil and the capital of one of its states.

    In 1989, the city launched an experiment with participatory budgeting — also known as civic or citizen budgeting — a form of direct democracy in which residents are involved in shaping the budget.

    In Porto Alegre, councils composed of local residents were established — and continue to be formed to this day. Initiative groups, drawn from their members, propose projects to improve the city, and the councils decide on them.

    The experiment was a success: Porto Alegre is now considered one of the best cities in South America in terms of municipal service provision.

  • 10

    /spichka: Nick Srnicek is a Canadian political scientist and author of Platform Capitalism (2016), a study of the evolution of capitalism since the 1970s, focusing on the growing role of digital platforms in the economy.

  • 11

    /spichka: Yanis Varoufakis is a Greek left-wing economist who studies the transformations of capitalism in the neoliberal era and the Great Recession that began in 2008. His most recent book, Technofeudalism, is devoted to these issues. For Boris Kagarlitsky’s review, see Spichka: “Technofeudalism: a prisoner’s review”. 

  • 12

    /spichka: Initially, the Bolsheviks had no intention of nationalizing all enterprises, as is evident from Lenin’s April Theses, published on 7 April 1917.

    The decisions made in the first year after the October Revolution were not preplanned; the Bolsheviks were reacting to emerging threats. This was also the case with the decree “On the Nationalization of Large-Scale Industry and Railway Transportation Enterprises” of 28 June 1918. Shortly before its adoption, an agreement was reached with Germany that the Soviet side would not have to pay compensation for enterprises nationalized before 1 July. Once this was secured, the decree was drafted and published overnight, marking the first wave of mass nationalization.

    For more details, see Alexey Safronov’s video “Yury Larin in the First Months after October” or his lecture “War Communism and the NEP”. Safronov also discusses this in The Great Soviet Economy.

  • 13

    /spichka: Artels — production cooperatives — operated in the USSR from the early years of Soviet authority until 1956. Their activity was not directly planned; only the supply of raw materials was included in the plan. In the Stalinist economy, artels ensured diversity in the range of goods, compensating for the difficulties of planning a wide variety of products.

    By 1955, there were 12,667 artels operating in the USSR, employing 1.8 million people. Industrial cooperatives included 2 research institutes, 22 experimental laboratories, and 100 design bureaus. Artels produced 33,444 different types of goods.

    Artels accounted for 5.9% of gross industrial output, but produced 40% of furniture, 70% of metal household goods, and almost all toys.

    In 1956, the Central Committee of the CPSU and the Council of Ministers of the USSR issued the decree “On the Reorganization of Production Cooperation”, under which artels were transformed into state enterprises.

    For more detail, see Alexey Safronov’s The Great Soviet Economy or his lecture “The Beginning of the Khrushchev’s Decade, Part 2”.

  • 14

    /spichka: In 1924, the USSR developed its first plan for forestry development, although large-scale reforestation only began four years later. Between 1928 and 1937, 100,000–120,000 hectares of forest were planted annually.

  • 15

    /spichka: Ota Šik (1919–2004) was a Czechoslovak economist and politician.

    After the Nazi occupation of Czechoslovakia in 1939, he joined the resistance and, in 1940, the Communist Party of Czechoslovakia (KSČ). In 1941, he was arrested by the Gestapo and sent to a concentration camp, where he was imprisoned alongside the future KSČ leader Antonín Novotný.

    From 1961, he served as director of the Institute of Economics of the Czechoslovak Academy of Sciences and, from 1962, as a member of the Central Committee of the Communist Party. In 1968, he became deputy prime minister, after which his political career ended.

    His book Plan and Market under Socialism was published in Czechoslovakia in 1968, and he became one of the key economic thinkers of the Prague Spring.

    When Warsaw Pact troops entered Prague in 1968, Šik was on holiday in Yugoslavia. Fearing arrest, he emigrated to Switzerland, where he lived for the rest of his life, writing and teaching at the university.

    Šik advocated a “third way”. He even published a book with that title: The Third Way: Marxist-Leninist Theory and Modern Industrial Society (1972). The first two paths were capitalism and Soviet socialism; the third was democratic market socialism.

  • 16

    /spichka: Włodzimierz Brus (1921–2007) was a Polish economist and party activist. In 1961, he published The General Problems of the Functioning of the Socialist Economy, arguing that both democracy and the market were necessary on the path to socialism.

    In 1968, Brus was expelled from the Polish United Workers’ Party. In 1972, he emigrated to the United Kingdom, where he continued to write on Marxism and defend his views.

    Brus sought to resolve the contradiction whereby bureaucracy is necessary in the transition to socialism, yet it appropriates control over society. How, then, can bureaucracy be overcome?

  • 17

    /spichka: Rezső Nyers (1923–2018) was a Hungarian economist and a member of the Hungarian Socialist Workers’ Party.

    From 1960 to 1962, he served as minister of finance; from 1962, he was a candidate member of the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Hungarian Socialist Workers’ Party and chairman of the party’s economic commission. From 1966, he was a full member of the Politburo. In 1968, Hungary launched the reforms initiated by Nyers: directive planning was scaled back, and enterprises were granted greater autonomy. In 1972, the reforms were curtailed, and by 1975, Nyers was removed from the Politburo.

  • 18

    /spichka: Oskar Lange (1904–1965) was a Polish economist, a deputy in the Sejm of the Polish People’s Republic from 1952, and from the same year a member of the Polish Academy of Sciences. From 1964, he was one of the four acting chairmen of the State Council of the Polish People’s Republic — that is, one of the acting heads of state.

    Lange held that Soviet directive planning was flawed and that nationalized property had to be combined with the market in order to build socialism.

    Some of his works include: The Theory of Reproduction and Accumulation (1963), Optimal Decisions (1967), andIntroduction to Economic Cybernetics (1968).

  • 19

    /spichka: Michał Kalecki (1899–1970) was a Polish left-wing economist.

    In 1935, Kalecki left Poland to work in Britain and later in the United States. In 1955, he returned to the Polish People’s Republic, where he became an economic adviser to the Council of Ministers and worked in the State Planning Commission. From 1966, he was a member of the Polish Academy of Sciences.

    Kalecki developed Marxist political economy. In 1970, his book Introduction to the Theory of Growth in a Socialist Economy was published in the Soviet Union.

  • 20

    Safronov, A. V. (2025). The Great Soviet Economy, 1917–1991. Moscow: Individuum.

  • 21

    For more detail, see: Šik, O. (1967). Plan and Market under Socialism. Prague: Academia.

  • 22

    Marx, K., & Engels, F. (1888). Manifesto of the Communist Party (S. Moore, Trans.; rev. by F. Engels), p. 42.