Sunday, October 30, 2022

UPDATED
Leftist leader Lula wins Brazilian election, Bolsonaro has not conceded


Brazil's former President and presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads the 'march of victory', in Sao Paulo, Brazil October 29, 2022. (Reuters)


Reuters, Sao Paulo/Brasilia
Published: 31 October ,2022:

Brazilian leftist leader Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva narrowly defeated President Jair Bolsonaro in a runoff election, but the far-right incumbent did not concede defeat on Sunday night, raising concerns that he might contest the result.

The Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) declared Lula the next president, with 50.9 percent of votes against 49.1 percent for Bolsonaro. The 77-year-old Lula’s inauguration is scheduled for January 1.

It was a stunning comeback for the leftist former president and a punishing blow to Bolsonaro, the first Brazilian incumbent to lose a presidential election.

“So far, Bolsonaro has not called me to recognize my victory, and I don’t know if he will call or if he will recognize my victory,” Lula told tens of thousands of jubilant supporters celebrating his win on Sao Paulo’s Paulista Ave.

A source in the Bolsonaro campaign told Reuters the president would not make public remarks until Monday. The Bolsonaro campaign did not respond to a request for comment.

Bolsonaro last year openly discussed refusing to accept the results of the vote, making baseless claims that Brazil’s electronic voting system was vulnerable to fraud.

One close Bolsonaro ally, lawmaker Carla Zambelli, in an apparent nod to the results, wrote on Twitter, “ I promise you, I will be the greatest opposition that Lula has ever imagined.”

Financial markets might be in for a volatile week, with investors gauging speculation about Lula’s cabinet and the risk of Bolsonaro questioning results.

The vote was a rebuke for the fiery far-right populism of Bolsonaro, who emerged from the back benches of Congress to forge a novel conservative coalition but lost support as Brazil ran up one of the worst death tolls of the COVID-19 pandemic.

US President Joe Biden congratulated Lula for winning “free, fair and credible elections,” joining a chorus of compliments from European and Latin American leaders.

International election observers said Sunday’s election was conducted efficiently. One observer told Reuters that military auditors did not find any flaws in integrity tests they did of the voting system.

Truck drivers believed to be Bolsonaro supporters on Sunday blocked a highway in four places in the state of Mato Grosso, a major grains producer, according to the highway operator.

In one video circulating online, a man said truckers planned to block the country’s main highways, calling for a military coup to prevent Lula from taking office.

Pink tide rising


Lula’s win consolidates a new “pink tide” in Latin America, after landmark leftist victories in Colombia and Chile’s elections, echoing a regional political shift two decades ago that introduced Lula to the world stage.

He has vowed a return to state-driven economic growth and social policies that helped lift millions out of poverty during two terms as president from 2003 to 2010. He also promises to combat destruction of the Amazon rainforest, now at a 15-year high, and make Brazil a leader in global climate talks.

“These were four years of hatred, of negation of science,” Ana Valeria Doria, 60, a doctor in Rio de Janeiro who celebrated with a drink. “It won’t be easy for Lula to manage the division in this country. But for now it’s pure happiness.”

A former union leader born into poverty, Lula organized strikes against Brazil’s military government in the 1970s. His two-term presidency was marked by a commodity-driven economic boom and he left office with record popularity.

However, his Workers Party was later tarred by a deep recession and a record-breaking corruption scandal that jailed him for 19 months on bribery convictions, which were overturned by the Supreme Court last year.

Read more:

Brazil election enters runoff as Bolsonaro dashes Lula’s hope of quick win

Lula leads Bolsonaro in Brazil election as first votes tallied

Lula defeats Bolsonaro to again become Brazil’s president

BY MAURICIO SAVERESE AND DIANE JEANTET | ASSOCIATED PRESS - 
10/30/22 7:26 PM ET

Former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who is running for president again, smiles after voting in a run-off presidential election in Sao Paulo, Brazil, Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022. (AP Photo/Andre Penner)


SAO PAULO (AP) — Brazil’s electoral authority said Sunday that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the leftist Worker’s Party defeated incumbent Jair Bolsonaro to become the country’s next president.

With 98.8% of the votes tallied in the runoff vote, da Silva had 50.8% and Bolsonaro 49.2%, and the election authority said da Silva’s victory was a mathematical certainty.


Da Silva — the country’s former president from 2003-2010 — has promised to restore the country’s more prosperous past, yet faces faces headwinds in a polarized society.

It is a stunning return to power for da Silva, 77, whose 2018 imprisonment over a corruption scandal sidelined him from that year’s election, paving the way for then-candidate Bolsonaro’s win and four years of far-right politics.

His victory marks the first time since Brazil’s 1985 return to democracy that the sitting president has failed to win reelection. His inauguration is scheduled to take place on Jan. 1.

Thomas Traumann, an independent political analyst, compared the results to U.S. President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, saying da Silva is inheriting an extremely divided nation.

“The huge challenge that Lula has will be to pacify the country,” he said. “People are not only polarized on political matters, but also have different values, identity and opinions. What’s more, they don’t care what the other side’s values, identities and opinions are.”

Bolsonaro had been leading throughout the first half of the count and, as soon as da Silva overtook him, cars in the streets of downtown Sao Paulo began honking their horns. People in the streets of Rio de Janeiro’s Ipanema neighborhood could be heard shouting, “It turned!”

Da Silva’s headquarters in downtown Sao Paulo hotel only erupted once the final result was announced, underscoring the tension that was a hallmark of this race.

“Four years waiting for this,” said Gabriela Souto, one of the few supporters allowed in due to heavy security.

Outside Bolsonaro’s home in Rio de Janeiro, ground-zero for his support base, a woman atop a truck delivered a prayer over a speaker, then sang excitedly, trying to generate some energy. But supporters decked out in the green and yellow of the flag barely responded. Many perked up when the national anthem played, singing along loudly with hands over their hearts.

Most opinion polls before the election gave a lead to da Silva, universally known as Lula, though political analysts agreed the race grew increasingly tight in recent weeks.

For months, it appeared that da Silva was headed for easy victory as he kindled nostalgia for his presidency, when Brazil’s economy was booming and welfare helped tens of millions join the middle class.

But while da Silva topped the Oct. 2 first-round elections with 48% of the vote, Bolsonaro was a strong second at 43%, showing opinion polls significantly underestimated his popularity. Many Brazilians support Bolsonaro’s defense of conservative social values and he shored up support in an election year with vast government spending.

Bolsonaro’s administration has been marked by incendiary speech, his testing of democratic institutions, his widely criticized handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and the worst deforestation in the Amazon rainforest in 15 years. But he has built a devoted base by defending conservative values and presenting himself as protection from leftist policies that he says infringe on personal liberties and produce economic turmoil.

Da Silva is credited with building an extensive social welfare program during his 2003-2010 tenure that helped lift tens of millions into the middle class as well as presiding over an economic boom. The man universally known as Lula left office with an approval rating above 80%; then U.S. President Barack Obama called him “the most popular politician on Earth.”

But he is also remembered for his administration’s involvement in vast corruption revealed by sprawling investigations. Da Silva’s arrest in 2018 kept him out of that year’s race against Bolsonaro, a fringe lawmaker at the time who was an outspoken fan of former U.S. President Donald Trump.

Da Silva was jailed for for 580 days for corruption and money laundering. His convictions were later annulled by Brazil’s top court, which ruled the presiding judge had been biased and colluded with prosecutors. That enabled da Silva to run for the nation’s highest office for the sixth time.

For months, it appeared that he was headed for easy victory as he kindled nostalgia for his presidency, when the economy was booming and welfare helped tens of millions join the middle class. But results from an Oct. 2 first-round vote — da Silva got 48% and Bolsonaro 43% — showed opinion polls had significantly underestimated Bolsonaro’s resilience and popularity. He shored up support, in part, with vast government spending.

Da Silva has pledged to boost spending on the poor, reestablish relationships with foreign governments and take bold action to eliminate illegal clear-cutting in the Amazon rainforest.

He hasn’t provided specific plans on how he will achieve those goals, and faces many challenges. The president-elect will be confronted by strong opposition from conservative lawmakers likely to take their cues from Bolsonaro.

Carlos Melo, a political science professor at Insper University in Sao Paulo, compared the likely political climate to that experienced by former President Dilma Rousseff, da Silva’s hand-picked successor after his second term.

“Lula’s victory means Brazil is trying to overcome years of turbulence since the reelection of President Dilma Rousseff in 2014. That election never ended; the opposition asked for a recount, she governed under pressure and was impeached two years later,” said Melo. “The divide became huge and then made Bolsonaro.”

Unemployment this year has fallen to its lowest level since 2015 and, although overall inflation has slowed during the campaign, food prices are increasing at a double-digit rate. Bolsonaro’s welfare payments helped many Brazilians get by, but da Silva has been presenting himself as the candidate more willing to sustain aid going forward and raise the minimum wage.

Da Silva has also pledged to put a halt to illegal deforestation in the Amazon, and once again has prominent environmentalalist Marina Silva by his side, years after a public falling out when she was his environment minister. The president-elect has already pledged to install a ministry for Brazil’s orginal peoples, which will be run by an Indigenous person.Two Americans were killed in Seoul Halloween crowd crushSeriously low diesel supply threatens to worsen inflation

In April, he tapped center-right Geraldo Alckmin, a former rival, to be his running mate. It was another key part of an effort to create a broad, pro-democracy front to not just unseat Bolsonaro, but to make it easier to govern. Da Silva mended also has drawn support from Sen. Simone Tebet, a moderate who finished in third place in the election’s first round.

“If Lula manages to talk to voters who didn’t vote for him, which Bolsonaro never tried, and seeks negotiated solutions to the economic, social and political crisis we have, and links with other nations that were lost, then he could reconnect Brazil to a time in which people could disagree and still get some things done,” Melo said.

The highly polarized election in Brazil, the biggest economy in Latin America, extended a wave of recent leftist victories in South America, including Chile, Colombia and Argentina.


Biden congratulates Lula on victory over Trump-backed Bolsonaro in Brazil


BY COLIN MEYN - 10/30/22 8:38 PM ET

A demonstrator dressed in the colors of the Brazilian flag performs in front of a street vendor’s towels for sale featuring Brazilian presidential candidates, current President Jair Bolsonaro, center, and former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, in Brasilia, Brazil, Sept. 27, 2022. Brazil is days from a historic presidential election set for Oct. 30 featuring two political titans and bitter rivals that could usher in another four years of far-right politics or return a leftist to the nation’s top job.
 (AP Photo/Eraldo Peres, File)

President Biden on Sunday congratulated Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for his victory in Brazil’s presidential election, beating incumbent Jair Bolsonaro, who was backed by former President Donald Trump.

Bolsonaro, like Trump, has sowed doubt about the integrity of his country’s election system. Biden called Brazil’s election “free, fair, and credible” in his statement Sunday.

“I look forward to working together to continue the cooperation between our two countries in the months and years ahead,” Biden said of Lula.

With nearly 100 percent of votes counted Sunday night, Lula had 50.9 percent of the vote compared to 49.1 percent for Bolsonaro.

The former and incumbent presidents were the top two candidates in a general election earlier this month, advancing to Sunday’s runoff.

Lula was previously president of Brazil from 2003 to 2010, leading his left-wing Workers’ Party to soaring popularity.

However, after leaving office he was swept up in a massive corruption scandal that landed him in prison for 19 months. A Supreme Court justice nullified his convictions in March 2021, clearing him to run for president again.

Bolsonaro has been called “Trump of the tropics” and has been a deeply divisive president, battling with the country’s Supreme Court, overseeing massive clearcutting of the Amazon rainforest and spreading skepticism about COVID-19 and vaccines.

Trump on Sunday morning urged Brazilian voters to return Bolsonaro to the president’s office.

“To the People of Brazil, this is your big day, and also, a big day for the World. Your GREAT and Highly Respected President, Jair Bolsonaro, needs you to get out and Vote, TODAY, so that your Country can continue on its incredible path of success,” Trump wrote.

“Don’t let the Radical Left Lunatics & Maniacs destroy Brazil like they have so many other countries.”

Lula promised tax hikes on the rich and increased government services for the poor during the campaign, but has offered few specifics.

Bolsonaro’s warnings about election fraud have spurred concern that he will refuse to accept his loss on Sunday.

Live: Brazil’s Lula defeats incumbent Bolsonaro in presidential runoff

Issued on: 30/10/2022 - 20:40



Brazil's former President and presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva speaks at an election night gathering on the day of the Brazilian presidential election run-off, in Sao Paulo, Brazil October 30, 2022
 © Carla Carniel, Reuters

Text by: FRANCE 24

Leftist Luis Inacio Lula da Silva on Sunday defeated President Jair Bolsonaro in an election runoff that marked a stunning comeback for Lula and the end of Brazil’s most right-wing government in decades. Follow FRANCE 24’s live coverage of the vote and its outcome.

Discover our webdocumentary: Lula vs Bolsonaro © Studio Graphique - France Médias Monde


  • Brazil’s election authority called the race for former leftist leader Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva shortly before midnight Paris time, saying the result was “mathematically defined.” With 99 percent of votes counted, the former president has 50.9 percent of the vote to Bolsonaro’s 49.1 percent.
  • More than 156 million Brazilians were eligible to vote in the 2022 presidential election.
  • For several months, polls have predicted a third term for Lula, but the gap narrowed in recent weeks.
  • The campaign ahead of Sunday’s vote was marked by bruising debates, with the two candidates accusing each other of lying and offering starkly different visions for the future of Latin America’s largest democracy.
  • Lula confirms that Bolsonaro hasn’t called to congratulate him


    Via HuffPost reporter Travis Waldron:


  • Congratulations quickly pour in for Brazil's Lula

    Leaders from the United States, France and other western and regional nations quickly offered congratulations Sunday to Brazil’s president-elect Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva after his narrow victory was announced.
    Congratulations came from across the Americas, with leaders ranging from the US’s Joe Biden to Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro swiftly sending the Brazilian president-elect their well wishes. Canada’s Justin Trudeau and Mexico’s Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador sent their congratulations, as did a swath of left-wing leaders from across Central and South America.
    Lula’s victory over far-right president Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazil joining Colombia, Mexico, Argentina, Chile and Peru in a growing leftist bloc and consolidating what some are calling a new “pink tide” in the region.
    Congratulations also came from Europe and beyond, with Emmanuel Macron of France, Pedro Sanchez of Spain, and Antonio Costa of Portugal sending messages of support on Twitter.
    • an hour ago
      Truckers are reportedly blocking the BR-163 highway in Brazil’s Mato Grosso state — a major corridor for agricultural exports including soybeans — and saying that they don’t accept Lula’s victory.
      Via Globo newspaper:
      • 3 hours ago
        • 3 hours ago
          “Democracy,” Lula tweeted shortly after his election victory. His account has since been filled with congratulations from world leaders.
          Bolsonaro has yet to react publicly to the results.
          • 4 hours ago

            Lula promises to unite a divided Brazil, seek fair global trade

            Brazilian President-elect Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva on Sunday promised to unite a divided country in a speech after defeating incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in a runoff presidential vote.
            Lula also invited international cooperation to preserve the Amazon rainforest and said he will seek fair global trade rather than trade deals that “condemn our country to be an eternal exporter of raw materials.”
            Lula called for “peace and unity” in bitterly divided Brazil, saying the country was no longer an international pariah and highlighting the need for a “living Amazon”.
            “It is in no one’s interest to live in a divided nation in a permanent state of war,” the 77-year-old leftist said in his victory speech, vowing to serve all 215 million Brazilians, and not only those who voted for him.
            “Today we tell the world that Brazil is back,” he said, adding that the country is “ready to take back its place in the fight against the climate crisis, especially the Amazon.”

            Lula was speaking at an election-night gathering in Sao Paulo. © Carla Caniel, Reuters
            • 4 hours ago

              ‘Incredibly tense’ scene outside Bolsonaro HQ after he loses election to Lula

              Shouting, anger, and fighting have broken out at Bolsonaro’s campaign headquarters after the official result was announced. FRANCE 24’s Jan Onosko reports.
              • 4 hours ago

                Biden congratulates Lula for winning ‘free, fair’ Brazil election

                US President Joe Biden on Sunday congratulated Brazilian President-elect Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva for his victory in “free, fair and credible elections,” in a statement adding that he looks forward to continued cooperation between the countries.
                • 5 hours ago

                  ‘Carnival has come early’ for Lula supporters

                  “It reminds me a little bit of the idealism that the older generation had when they were fighting the military dictatorship,” says FRANCE 24’s Tim Vickery, reporting from Lula’s campaign headquarters in Rio. Bolsonaro is the first incumbent not to win reelection in Brazil since reelection was allowed in the 1990s.  
                  • 5 hours ago

                    France’s Macron congratulates Lula on election win

                    “Congratulations… on your election, which opens a new page in the history of Brazil. Together, we will join forces to meet the many common challenges and renew the bond of friendship between our two countries,” the French president wrote on Twitter.
                    • 5 hours ago

                      🔴 Brazil’s Lula defeats incumbent Bolsonaro in presidential runoff, election authority says

                      Brazil’s Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) on Sunday said the country’s presidential election was “mathematically defined” with former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva taking more votes than incumbent Jair Bolsonaro.
                      Lula had 50.8% of votes compared with 49.2% for Bolsonaro with 98.8% of voting machines voting machines counted, according to date published on the TSE website.
                      • 5 hours ago

                        Lula poised to win Brazil election in ‘remarkable comeback’

                        Lula’s lead is solidifying with 95 percent of votes counted, but the threat of violence still hangs over the race — and Lula faces even stiffer challenges ahead if his win is confirmed, says FRANCE 24’s Tim Vickery, reporting live from Rio de Janeiro.
                        • 6 hours ago

                          Pollster Datafolha calls election for Lula with 95% of votes counted

                          The polling firm called the election with 95% of the votes counted in Latin America’s largest country. The official count stood at 50.7% of votes for Lula against 49.3% for Bolsonaro.
                        • Brazil's new leader Lula rises from ashes
                        •  at 77

                        • Author: AFP|Update: 31.10.2022 


                          Former Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva -- who is seeking another term in 2022 -- was once called 'the most popular politician on Earth' by no less than Barack Obama / © AFP/File

                          Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who rose from poverty to Brazil's presidency before crashing into disgrace in a corruption scandal, made a spectacular comeback as leader of Latin America's biggest economy at the age of 77.

                          Lula, as he is affectionately known, scraped ahead of far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro to win a third term at the helm, election authorities confirmed.

                          Just 18 months ago, the bearded leftist hero with the trademark raspy voice was a political pariah, imprisoned in a corruption scandal that divided the nation.

                          Disgust with his Workers' Party (PT) propelled Bolsonaro into office in 2018, however the vitriolic and divisive conservative quickly lost popularity as he oversaw Covid-19 carnage, environmental destruction, and made comments criticized as racist, sexist and homophobic.

                          "We need to fix this country... so the Brazilian people can smile again," Lula said during a tireless campaign in which he crisscrossed the country and appeared on popular podcasts to lure younger voters.

                          He vowed that under his rule, Brazilians will be able to get back to "eating picanha and drinking beer" on the weekends, referring to the popular cut of beef that high inflation put out of reach for many.

                          The comments reveal the renowned political skill and folksy touch that endeared him to many across the globe, with Barack Obama once dubbing him "the most popular politician on Earth."

                          The charismatic Lula was the slight favorite throughout a lengthy and polarizing election campaign.

                          However the election came down to the wire, with Bolsonaro snapping at his heels until the last.

                          - Fall from grace -

                          Lula left office in 2010 as a blue-collar hero who presided over a commodity-fueled economic boom that helped lift 30 million people out of poverty.

                          Despite fears at the time that his brand of leftism would be too radical, Lula's 2003-2010 administration mixed trailblazing social programs with market-friendly economic policy.


                          Brazil elections: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva / © AFP

                          He gained a reputation as a moderate and pragmatic leader.

                          Lula also turned Brazil into a key player on the international stage, helping secure it the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Olympics in Rio de Janeiro.

                          At the end of his time in office, his approval rating stood at an unprecedented 87 percent.

                          But he then became mired in a massive corruption scandal centered on state-run oil company Petrobras that engulfed some of Brazil's most influential politicians, business executives and the PT.

                          Lula has always denied the accusations that he received kickbacks for giving out access to juicy Petrobras contracts.

                          He was jailed in 2018, the year Bolsonaro won. He spent more than 18 months in prison before being freed pending appeal.

                          His convictions were thrown out last year by the Supreme Court, which found the lead judge on the case was biased.

                          However, he was not exonerated. Many Brazilians remain traumatized by the scale of the corruption scandal. While many others have fond memories of economic prosperity under his rule, others voted for him merely to see the back of Bolsonaro.

                          - From poverty to president -


                          Lula grew up in deep poverty, the seventh of eight children born to a family of illiterate farmers in the arid northeastern state of Pernambuco.

                          When he was seven, his family joined a wave of migration to the industrial heartland of Sao Paulo.

                          Lula worked as a shoeshine boy and peanut vendor before becoming a metalworker at the tender age of 14.

                          In the 1960s, he lost a finger in a workplace accident.

                          He rose quickly to become head of his trade union, and led major strikes in the 1970s that challenged the then-military dictatorship.

                          In 1980, he co-founded the Workers' Party, standing as its candidate for president nine years later.

                          Lula lost three presidential bids from 1989 to 1998, finally succeeding in 2002 and again four years later.

                          This was his sixth presidential campaign.

                          The twice-widowed father of five survived throat cancer and in 2017 lost his wife of four decades, Marisa Leticia Rocco, to a stroke.

                          Lula has said he is again "in love as if I were 20 years old" with Rosangela "Janja" da Silva, a sociologist and PT activist whom he married in May.

                          Lula has said he will not seek a second term.
                        In Amazon, Indigenous voters wear Lula support painted on faces


                        Orlando JUNIOR
                        Sun, October 30, 2022 a


                        In the Brazilian Amazon, members of an Indigenous community painted their faces and put on traditional feather headdresses as they set out to vote Sunday in the hard-fought presidential runoff election.

                        The Satere-Mawe people of the village of Sahu-Ape say it is important to them to participate in what many are calling the most important elections in Brazil's recent history.

                        They set out on foot from their wood houses for the county seat, Iranduba, 80 kilometers (50 miles) from Manaus, the capital of the northern state of Amazonas.

                        But before going to their polling station, they paint red and black arrows on their faces, a symbol of their mission: unseat far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro and elect veteran leftist Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.

                        The Satere-Mawe men wear feather headdresses, the women colorful feather earrings.

                        As they leave the village, Beth da Silva blows into a "rurru," an Indigenous instrument traditionally used in war rituals.


                        This time, "it's not to ask for strength, it's to help us achieve our goal: elect Lula and change Brazil," she says.

                        "We've suffered a lot these past four years."

                        A community shaman, Sahu da Silva, 42, says it is "very important" for ex-president Lula (2003-2010) to win a third term.

                        "He at least tried to protect our ancestral lands," he says.

                        Bolsonaro, by contrast, came to office in 2019 vowing not to allow "one more centimeter" of protected Indigenous reservations in Brazil.

                        Indigenous Brazilians have been fierce critics of the conservative ex-army captain, who has presided over a surge of destruction and fires in the Amazon, the world's biggest rainforest and a key resource in the race to curb global warming -- as well as the livelihood of many Indigenous peoples.

                        "Lula knows how much we need a better quality of life," says Zelinda Araujo, 27.

                        "That man who's in power now, he doesn't even look at us lowly little people. He doesn't know what we need in our daily lives."

                        Lula, an ex-metalworker who grew up in poverty, "is different," she says.

                        "He knows what it is to struggle every day. He knows how hard it is for us."

                        bur-lab/jhb/dw


                        • FASCIST CHRISTIAN REACTIONARIES

                        • Tears, fear and futile prayer as Lula wins 
                        • Brazil vote

                          Author: AFP|
                          Update: 31.10.2022


                          Supporters of President-elect Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva celebrate after their candidate narrowly won a runoff election against far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro 
                          / © AFP

                          Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva supporters were already breaking out the flares and crying with joy, while backers of Jair Bolsonaro dropped to their knees in Brazil's capital, praying for an election miracle.

                          For almost three hours a nail-biting presidential vote count was too close to call, but as the leftist hero's lead of less than two percentage points stuck, it became clear that no prayer could stop the inevitable.

                          "The feeling is indescribable," said Carolina Freio, 44, a public servant, in a Copacabana bar as she welled up with tears after Lula clinched victory with 50.9 percent to Bolsonaro's 49.1 percent.


                          "He represents so much: gender equality, freedom. Lula will change everything," she said, overcome with emotion.

                          Lula's supporters exploded with joy across the country. In economic powerhouse Sao Paulo, thousands crammed the streets in a sea of red, the colour used by his fans, clinking beers and setting off flares.

                          "I won, it is my victory, like everyone I am crying with joy," said a jubilant Mary Alves Silva, 53, a retired banker with Lula stickers covering her arms and chest. She added that the win was also for the stricken Amazon rainforest and its Indigenous inhabitants.

                          At a bar in Leme, an upscale neighbourhood of Rio de Janeiro, technician Victoria Cabral remained on edge after the results came in.

                          "I cannot understand how half of the country voted for Bolsonaro, it makes me feel very insecure," she said.

                          "However, I think hope will return now. It goes beyond politics, we are talking about humanity. Bolsonaro is racist, homophobic, thieving, misogynistic.... I can go on. Not that Lula is the ideal candidate, but he is so much better."


                          - 'Faked election' -

                          As the result crystalized, Bolsonaro supporters gathered in the capital Brasilia dropped to their knees and raised their hands skyward in prayer and supplication.


                          Supporters of Brazilian president and re-election hopeful Jair Bolsonaro prayed -- with no success -- for a political miracle as they watched the vote count in Brasilia
                           / © AFP

                          "We need a miracle," a speaker said over the microphone, as Bolsonaro supporters clutched each other and wept.

                          "I am still hoping the president will meet with the generals, we are hoping that things can change at any moment," said a 57-year-old dentist who did not want to be named.

                          Ruth da Silva Barbosa, a 50-year-old teacher, said she was "revolted" by the outcome.

                          "The Brazilian people aren't going to swallow a faked election and hand our nation over to a thief," she said.

                          The country finds itself split in two after a dirty and divisive vote.

                          After months of attacking the electoral system, Bolsonaro maintained radio silence for hours after the result was announced, raising tension in Latin America's biggest economy.

                          "It scares me because I believe he is capable of anything, even though I think democracy will prevail," said 34-year-old software developer Larissa Meneses, taking part in the Sao Paulo festivities.

                          As the Lula party continued, Bolsonaro's supporters quickly dispersed.

                          Rogerio Barbosa, selling Brazilian flags near a Sao Paulo metro station, was desolately packing up his merchandise.

                          "I came in case Bolsonaro won, so I could sell his flag," said the 58-year-old.

                          "I preferred Bolsonaro. God, family, anyway. I will see what Lula can do for us."
                        At Copacabana Church, Catholic Voters Clash Over Brazil Election

                        By Eleonore HUGHES
                        10/30/22 
                        People pray at Nossa Senhora de Copacabana church, in Copacabana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on October 30, 2022, during the presidential run-off election

                        "Areal Christian votes for Lula!" a backer of the ex-president shouts at a voter for far-right President Jair Bolsonaro at a Catholic church in Rio de Janeiro, also serving as a polling station.

                        The atmosphere is highly charged after mass on Sunday at this church in Copacabana, as the country holds a cliffhanger vote between tainted leftist hero Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and his far-right nemesis.

                        Joana d'Arco Perina, a member of Lula's Workers' Party (PT) and fervent Catholic, is red-faced with anger as she listens to Elizabeth de Souza defending Bolsonaro, who Perina believes has "destroyed everything."

                        "Lula has made a pact with the devil! Bolsonaro was sent by God to save us," retorts De Souza, who is wearing a bright yellow and green shirt, the colors of the flag of Brazil that many believe has been hijacked by the president's supporters.

                        Her shirt bears the slogan: "My party is Brazil."

                        The 69-year-old retiree is also a staunch Catholic and believes the election is a "battle between good and evil," an argument put forth by First Lady Michelle Bolsonaro, a devoted evangelical.

                        Religion has been at the heart of a highly polarized election campaign in the nation of 215 million people, who are mostly Catholic, but with a third belonging to burgeoning evangelical churches.

                        In the final poll by the Datafolha institute on Saturday, Lula, 77, was leading among Catholics with 56 percent of votes, while Bolsonaro was the favorite of evangelical Christians with 65 percent.

                        Both parties boosted efforts to win votes among these groups in the campaign ahead of Sunday's run-off.

                        Religion and traditional values have become a battleground, with Bolsonaro accusing Lula of seeking to shut churches and allow abortion, a sensitive question in the conservative country.

                        "Family is sacred to me," Lula said last week as he met with evangelical leaders. He has also denied plans to make abortion legal.

                        However, his last-ditch efforts to woo the faithful did not convince Edval Maximo, 41, who came to vote for Bolsonaro in the converted annex of the church.

                        "I have never heard Lula mention the word of God. He only brings it up now that he is on the campaign trail," said the green-eyed doorman of an apartment building in Rio.

                        "The left and the communists hate religion," he added, echoing an oft-repeated remark made by Bolsonaro.

                        Almost 60 percent of people polled by Datafolha said religion is crucial in their choice of candidate.

                        "I am against abortion. I vote for the person defending family: the 'Legend,'" said 67-year-old Magali Zimmermann, using a nickname for Bolsonaro.

                        However, religion is not the only factor in her choice.

                        "I love Copacabana, but I am scared to go out in the street because of thieves," said the resident of the well-off, touristy area which is home to many retirees.

                        "Bolsonaro is not perfect, but he will bring us security," added the widow, who never misses mass.

                        At the back of the church, Eduardo Jorge swings side to side, his hands in the air, praising God. He is one of several faithful wearing a red T-shirt, the color of the PT. However, there are more people wearing green-and-yellow.

                        "I believe in a God who gives," the Lula supporter says after mass.

                        "Bolsonaristas use their faith to defend their interests rather than the poor. We need a Brazil which offers new opportunities and doesn't exclude people," said the 53-year-old social worker.

                        Esther Ferreira is wearing earrings in the shape of the Brazilian flag, a sign of support for Bolsonaro. She says she is voting for him "without hesitation" and hates the left.

                        "I am Catholic, but he could be atheist or Jewish and I would still vote for him," she told AFP.

                        Wilson Rodrigues Santos has a colorful tattoo of Jesus on his forearm. However, the Lula voter said religion did not play a part in his electoral choice.

                        "Everything has been catastrophic under Bolsonaro. Lula needs to come back, for education, health, public service... for everything."

                        A woman leaves Nossa Senhora de Copacabana church, in Copacabana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on October 30, 2022, during the presidential run-off election
                        A supporter (R) of former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva walks in the other direction to supporters of president and election rival Jair Bolsonaro, as they cross a street in Brasilia, on October 30, 2022, during the presidential run-off

                        FEMINIST ECONOMICS
                        Female headed households spend less and save more in Kerala


                         October 27, 2022
                        By Sancy K. Jose


                        The Gulf is the center for Indian expatriates particularly the work force from Kerala. You can hear the Malayalam language amongst the employees if you visit any of the malls and the work places especially hospitals in Gulf countries. Through them India is receiving billions of dollars every year. Economic Times report indicates that India was the highest recipient of remittances at $79 bn in 2018. However, it may be declined during the Covid-19 period.

                        Moreover, particularly this money which flows in Kerala makes a lot of differences among the households. Some of the houses the male will work in abroad and the female will take care of the house and children. While in some of the houses the female works abroad and the male will take care of the house and the children will be in boarding schools.


                        Let’s see in this essay the reason behind why female headed households spend less and save more and male headed households spend more and save less.


                        The remittance causes more implications in Kerala society. Hence, their spending patterns. Building houses, sending their children to good educational institutions, better health care, saving more in LICs, improving their travel expenses, and investing in various ways for the future. In common if we see the way the households spend, you can find massive differences among the men and women. Men will spend more in common. In general women are better at bargaining than men. The other indicator would be the women who always try to keep some money in their purses. They will not make it empty. But men will not bother about emptying their purses.


                        Various researches show a different opinion about the consumption expenditure pattern of the females in Kerala. In any research the output will be expected based on our assumptions. However, my research shows that in Kerala the female headed households are the most competent in the economic way of spending and savings while compared to the consumption expenditure pattern of male headed households.

                        Consumption expenditure pattern theory says, “… An individual is assumed to plan a pattern of consumption expenditure based on expected income in their entire lifetime.” Not only in Kerala society but also now a new pattern of consumption is introduced by the new generation. It means, whatever they have in their hands at the moment they will empty it through lavish spending. However, this is also very much suitable to the below 30 men but not to the women.

                        Those who are working in private sectors, especially in the IT field, and if they are in their 20s and 30s once they spend the money they are simply ready to use the credit cards. I have seen many of them even ready to apply for personal loans for travelling abroad. Here the strategy is once their money in the wallet dried, the option is simply borrowing and spending. This scenario never prevailed in our societies three decades back.

                        At present the situation has completely changed in the society. If the flow of income is amplified then there will be no second thought about in favor of more consumption. There is no way to talk about priority. Whatever they like they will be busy buying. “Consumer theory is the study of how people decide to spend their money based on their individual preferences and budget constraints.” Moreover, the post-Covid-19 era also changed the pattern of consumption of the households. During the Covid-19 the pattern of consumption was mainly about food and health. Now it is gradually changed in the post-Covid-19.

                        However, I would say in my research, female households are entirely different from the way they think. But this is not fit to the below 30 female households, especially those who are newly employed in their 20s. However, again this pattern of consumption changed amongst the newly employed females from rural areas. This is true that, “Individuals make choices subject to how much income they have available to spend and the prices of goods and services.”

                        The female households well managed the family with the received income and tried to save as much as possible. It is true that the inflow of remittance reduces poverty in the recipient country. This will be possible only if the household utilizes the money with the purpose. Otherwise, it will not serve the purpose of the remitter. The male households always prefer to spend more than their requirements. And they won’t worry about savings. Central government’s plan for selling the LIC’s shares to the private sector is also a cause of worry for many females in India.

                        Whatever it may be, the female households are better in more savings than the male in Kerala. The female will save more and if the male has more money they will spend more than the females. For the question of – if the females in Kerala will save more if their income increases – study suggests that they will save more – even if their income increases while comparing the males in Kerala.

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                        JUST SAY NO; NUKES
                        NATO wants to place nuclear missiles on Finland’s Russian border — Finland says yes

                        October 29, 2022
                        By Eric Zuesse


                        According to Newsweek, on October 26th, “Finland Will Allow NATO to Place Nuclear Weapons on Border With Russia”. They cite Finnish media reports. Allegedly, a condition that NATO had placed on Finland to join NATO was to allow America’s nuclear missiles to be positioned on Finland’s Russian border, which is closer to Moscow than any other except Ukraine’s. Whereas Ukraine’s would be 5 minutes from blitz-nuking Moscow so as to preemptively decapitate Russia’s retaliatory command, Finland’s would be 7 minutes — only around 120 seconds longer for Russia to be able to launch its retaliatory strikes. Finland now is to vote on the bill joining NATO, on that basis (i.e., to become America’s spearhead to defeat Russia in WW III). Obviously (assuming that NATO had, indeed, given Finland’s leaders to believe that saying yes to this would increase NATO’s likelihood of expediting Finland’s application to join), NATO is set upon checkmating Russia into capitulation if Finland does join.

                        Newsweek reports also that “The U.S. already has around 100 nuclear weapons in Europe, positioned in Belgium, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Turkey according to the Federation of American Scientists. Britain and France, both NATO members, also maintain their own independent nuclear arsenals.”

                        None of those countries borders Russia. They’re all much farther away.

                        During the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, JFK refused to allow the Soviet Union to place its missiles only 1,131 miles away from Washington DC and warned that the U.S. would launch WW III if they did; so, the Soviet Union decided not to.

                        The Finnish border reaches as close as 507 miles away from Moscow, at the Finnish city of Kotka. The Ukrainian border reaches significantly closer: 317 miles from Shostka to Moscow, and 353 miles from Sumy to Moscow — as being the Russia-bordering nation that would pose the biggest danger to Russia if added to NATO. Finland is #2 — only Ukraine is even worse in a Russian view.

                        Russia invaded Ukraine in order to be able to move that potential 317 miles back to at least the 1,131 miles that everyone in 1962 agreed would be too close to Washington DC and therefore justification for America to launch WW III to prevent.

                        The reason why the difference between 317 miles versus 507 miles is only around two minutes, is that the slowest part of the flight is the earliest, while accelerating. Practically speaking, for Washington to position its nuclear-warheaded missiles 507 miles from The Kremlin is virtually the same as to position them at the nearest point on Ukraine’s border. One can already see that Russia actively resists this.

                        In 1962, missiles were far slower than they are today. So, in order for there to be an equivalency between the 1,131 miles from Cuba in 1962, Russia would need to keep U.S. missiles about 2,000 miles from America’s closest land-based nuclear missiles today. The present situation is considerably more dangerous to Russia than the Cuban Missile Crisis was to America in 1962.

                        According to leading American scientists who specialize in evaluating such matters, America’s recent nuclear-weapons policy “creates exactly what one would expect to see, if a nuclear-armed state were planning to have the capacity to fight and win a nuclear war by disarming enemies with a surprise first strike.”

                        Newsweek’s disclosure on October 26th suggests that this is, indeed, what the U.S. Government has been, and is, planning for: “to fight and win a nuclear war by disarming enemies with a surprise first strike.” (That meta-strategy is called “Nuclear Primacy,” and in America it replaced the “M.A.D.” or Mutually Assured Destruction meta-strategy in around 2006.)

                        During WW II, Finland was on the Nazi side and participated with the Germans in their “Operation Barbarossa invasion of the Soviet Union.” If it joins NATO, Finland would be repeating that now, but only against Russia.

                        All U.S. foreign polices, in both the Democratic Party and the Republican Party, are “neocon,” and that means funded by and for U.S.-and-allied billionaires and centi-millionaires — not for ANY public — in order to increase yet further the scope of their global empire.

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                        June 16, 2022In "Defense"


                        Eric Zuesse
                        Investigative historian Eric Zuesse's new book, AMERICA'S EMPIRE OF EVIL: Hitler's Posthumous Victory, and Why the Social Sciences Need to Change, is about how America took over the world after World War II in order to enslave it to U.S.-and-allied billionaires. Their cartels extract the world's wealth by control of not only their 'news' media but the social 'sciences' — duping the public.
                        FAIR AND BALANCED 
                        Dare to Question Support for Ukraine
                        AMERICAN RIGHT WING CRITIC

                        October 29, 2022
                        By Rich Berdan



                        Question the billions of dollars being sunk into Ukraine that has resulted in a devastating loss of life, an ensuing energy crisis, and a real threat of nuclear war; and you are politically canceled as a Putin ally.

                        To be clear, asking questions about the reasons and costs to this conflict is not agreeing with Russia’s invasion into Ukraine. To see the bigger picture, the financing of Ukraine is not simply advocating for the virtues of democracy, but rather peeling back the layers of history in the region, revealing Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky’s regimes crack down on opposing voices, and questioning the media’s narrative that glorifies Zelensky and vilifies Putin.

                        The real question that should be asked is whether the West is truly fighting for democracy or hell-bent on crushing Russia and whatever it takes to purge Russian President Vladimir Putin from existence. If US President Joe Biden is asked this question, the answer is clear. Putin is the scapegoat for everything wrong in America, whether it be claims of Putin’s inflation, Putin’s gas prices, or for aiding President Trump’s win in 2016. Biden told the world from Warsaw on March 26 that Putin “cannot remain in power”. When the White House attempted to downplay Biden’s remarks, noting his statements were not calling for regime change in Moscow, Biden stated that he was “not walking back anything”.

                        Americans, and perhaps Europeans feeling the greatest pain, need to ask if they have become tired of the Putin rant and are they being led down the “democracy at risk’ path for a country that is corrupt and far from democratic. Are you prepared to suffer hardship and even die for the politics of this war?

                        First, it is important to understand the recently annexed Donbas regions in eastern Ukraine and the Crimea are just as much the historical homelands to Russians as Ukrainians over centuries of war, political upheaval, and shifting control. Nomadic tribes such as the Scythians, Huns, and Tartars once roamed the territory; followed by Ukrainian Cossacks and the Russian Empire populating the Donbas in the mid 18th century with the discovery of coal reserves. By 1897, Russians made up most of the industrial workforce in the cities while Ukrainians dominated the rural areas. In 1918, troops loyal to the Ukrainian People’s Republic took control of parts of the Donbas with the help of its German ally. Then in 1932, millions of Ukrainians died of starvation when Soviet leader Joseph Stalin confiscated their land.

                        WW II witness further upheaval when Germany occupied the region for resources and forced labor until the Red Army offensive in 1943 returned the Donbas to the Soviet Union. By 1959, there was 2.5 million Russians living in the Donbas; resulting in educational reforms and attempts to eliminate the Ukrainian language. More recently the economy has collapsed through the 1990’s where divisions have since escalated with Ukrainians seeking closer ties to the West and Russian separatists taking over key government buildings and declaring a republic.

                        The history behind the annexation of Crimea by Russia is not short of its own upheavals. With NATO threatening to expand into Ukraine following missile systems set up in Poland and Romania within striking distance of Russian cities, Putin made a national security decision to annex Crimea. Sevastopol, the Crimean port city where the Russian Black Sea Fleet calls home is a strategic harbor patrolling the shipping routes from Russia and the Don River to Turkey and Southeastern Europe. After losing the Crimean War in 1854, Russia reclaimed Crimea from the Nazis in 1944; and a decade afterwards in 1954; the Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev handed over Crimea to Ukraine on the 300-year anniversary of Russia’s annexation of Ukraine. Understandably, Putin reclaimed Crimea and its Russian speaking population; and could not permit the Sevastopol Naval base to fall into the control of NATO.


                        Since 2014, thousands of people have been killed in the Donbas. Unfortunately, this current war in Ukraine is yet another pivotal moment in a lengthy and tumultuous history in the area that will be added to a long list of regional conflict that now has the West injecting itself to pin Russia in a corner.

                        Western governments and most media outlets have championed Zelensky as the standard bearer of democracy. Let’s take a closer look at what the West are spending billions of unaccounted funding on for this democracy. Ukraine’s Ministry of Justice suspended the main opposition party, The Opposition Platform for Life and arrested the leader, Victor Medvedchuk. This is the second largest political party, and it would be akin to the Democrat Party in the US directing the DOJ to dissolve the GOP. Zelensky signed a law that bans parties in Ukraine that oppose the government’s approach to the conflict with Russia; essentially removing democracy in the country.

                        In a further crackdown on opposing voices, the Zelensky regime is seeking to shut down and extradite critics. Anatoly Shariy, a journalist and blogger with nearly 3 million YouTube followers, has been charged with treason for allegedly acting on behalf of foreign forces. Shariy was arrested in a joint takedown by Spanish law enforcement and Ukraine’s Prosecutor General. Ukraine’s courts have also seized television channels in a further effort to silence opposition to Zelensky’s rule.

                        Can you imagine these actions taking place in America where Trump is arrested and jailed, Fox News is taken off the air, the assets of the New York Post seized, FBI raids on the homes of dissenting protestors, the DOJ issues a warrant for the arrest of Tucker Carlson, and a media that humiliates and smears opposing voices into submission.

                        Ukraine’s actions to subvert the long history of Communist parties did not raise its head when Russia invaded. The Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU) was founded in 1993 and was represented in parliament until the party and communist symbols were banned through a EU-backed decommunization law in 2015. The KPU emerged as the largest political force after each parliamentary election until the Orange Revolution in 2004. The KPU maintained an anti-NATO position and sought a resolution to the conflict in the Donbas region.

                        While far from agreeing with communism, the resolution banning political parties can be rightly branded as an undemocratic power grab. When a dictator or rogue regimes silence political opposition, America and the West were known to call it out, yet Ukraine is given a pass. It is becoming more common and perhaps normalized for a party in power to subvert their constitution and use the courts to criminalize ideologies and restrict people’s movements and financial means.


                        Supporters in America and the EU funding this proxy war against Russia should not be blinded to the very serious democratic deficits in Ukraine; knowing a there is long history of territorial shifts in the region. Does Biden really care if Ukraine is destroyed at a great cost to life if Putin is removed? Do the people in the West want their taxes going to this war when they cannot afford to heat their homes, buy groceries for their families, and find ourselves edging closer to nuclear annihilation.


                        We know that when political parties are banned, then conformity of the press and social media soon follows, and democracy is suppressed. We have seen this play out last century in Europe. This is precisely what is happening now in Ukraine. Are we to ignore the evidence, trust what you are told and be classed into a subservient citizen that is unwilling to ask why Zelensky’s undemocratic regime continues to reap billions of dollars of weapons to fight this war?

                        Ukraine: It’s the new world order, stupid
                        February 24, 2022
                        June 26, 2022
                        In "Americas"


                        Rich Berdan is a freelance writer out of Detroit, Michigan. Rich often provides perspectives that are unique and thought provoking.

                        The British Economic Collapse – A Harbinger of Economic Doom for America?

                        October 30, 2022
                        By Syed Zain Abbas Rizvi


                        Britain’s politico-economic fiasco of the past six weeks culminated in a tragicomic anticlimax. The 45-day Prime Minister Liz Truss resigned, as many had predicted before she even took high office last month. Rishi Sunak, the incumbent Prime Minister (Britain’s third in two months), had vociferously criticized Truss’ flamboyant yet idiotic fiscal plan during the summer run-up campaign to replace Boris Johnson. In hindsight, while she successfully managed to woo the ultra-right Tories with her anti-immigrant and pro-Brexit rhetoric, her inane economic policies failed to enchant the financial markets. And in mere weeks, as Great Britain nudged normalcy after grieving its longest reigning monarch, Truss’ ill-timed tax cuts and brazen borrowing plans wreaked havoc. The British pound tanked to record low; mortgage rates shot to stratospheric levels – forcing the Bank of England (BoE) to intercede to soothe the markets and safeguard the vulnerable pension funds from collapse.

                        Admittedly, the United States is witnessing relative political stability – at least compared to the Trump tenure. The American economy is heading toward a recession piecemeal. However, the Federal Reserve shows no sign of panic or loss of control. And the investors are patently not losing confidence in the US government, unlike the jitters on display across the Atlantic. Nonetheless, there are a few concerning parallels between the Western duo.

                        To recap and analyze in-depth, we should first ask ourselves: Why did the British economic plan backfire? It is a well-known fact that Britain is one of the most pivotal Western industrialized economies – 6th largest in the world. Yet an inflationary mini-budget still earned it a rare public rebuke from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) over fiscal imprudence. Such remarks are usually reserved for emerging economies with a notoriety for fiscal irresponsibility. It was not because of the £45 billion in unfunded tax cuts – Britain’s biggest tax package in over five decades. But it was a reaction to the contradiction sketched by the Truss regime between Britain’s conservative monetary policy and quasi-liberal fiscal strategies. The IMF unerringly realized that this tussle would only exacerbate the economic uncertainty already looming in the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

                        In a period when the Western world alongside the Bank of England (BoE) tightened policy to wrestle with energy-fueled inflation, the British government tabled a plan – sans any independent assessment of potential fiscal impact – to borrow funds to finance utopian tax cuts and eliminate limits on Bankers’ bonuses. In a span when the working class witnessed ballooning energy bills, the Truss government planned to kickstart economic growth via primitive trickle-down economics without any substantive agenda to invite foreign investments.

                        Naturally, the financial markets revolted by dumping UK debt causing interest rates to spiral; mortgages to skyrocket; pound to drop to almost parity with the US dollar. The new Chancellor of the Exchequer immediately reversed most of her policies before she even egressed the office, while forewarning of painful spending cuts to come. Still, the markets shadowed the announcement of the UK’s next Prime Minister with an ambiguous reaction as sterling slipped 0.17% against the greenback – erasing the earlier gains – while bonds rallied to pre-budget levels.

                        Thankfully, the United States is not even remotely in the same shoes. But political uncertainty is brewing in the US Congress as well.

                        The Biden administration has somewhat restored the lost stability totemic to the American political scene. The Make America Great Again (MAGA) tendencies have receded if not completely effaced. And the United States is seemingly back to its classical balance of diplomacy and deterrence that was noticeably missing since 2017. Yet, not all is sunshine in the domestic and international dynamics. The Democrats welcomed this year with a thin majority in both houses. Their mid-term election prospects gradually improved with collective success in Europe against Russia. The Republican blunders like the reversal of Roe v. Wade further favored Biden’s case.

                        However, the short-sightedness of the Group of Seven’s (G7) ambitious price cap on Russian energy supplies and China’s force posturing in the Indo-Pacific region disillusioned the American patriots. Iran’s bold collusion with Russia by allegedly supplying military drones in Ukraine has further weakened the American illusion of power. The recent slap in the face has been the Saudi betrayal leading OPEC+ to cut global oil supply by 2 million barrels/day, even after Biden bumped fists with crown prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) during his domestically criticized visit to Saudi Arabia in July.

                        As the gasoline prices have picked up in the last few weeks and inflation is increasingly proving obdurate, the Democrats could lose both houses – or at least the Senate – which could plausibly trigger a Britain-like bedlam. The trigger point is somewhat apparent: The contentious US debt ceiling.

                        According to the IMF estimates, the US and the UK are two of the most highly industrialized economies running huge deficits in both their budgets and current accounts. According to data from the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO) database, Britain’s current account deficit this year would be about 4.8% of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP); 3.9% for the United States. Both nations have borrowed over 4% of their respective GDPs to fund these gaps. Such huge deficits imply a continual need for capital inflow. Now I admit that advanced economies like Japan and France also run huge government deficits. But no member of the G7 has a deficit on their current account quite like that of Britain and the US register. And while I unequivocally agree that the US treasuries are currently running in the opposite trajectory of UK gilts, a crisis could ensnare the American economy if the Republicans gain control of either of the houses of Congress and enforces a debt limit on government borrowing.

                        While theoretically, it could push the US government to default on its debt and plunge the global economy into chaos, the more likely outcome is a compromise in the form of spending cuts – a repeat of Obama’s begrudging submission to Republican pressure in 2013 in hopes of a long-term deficit-reduction deal. Nonetheless, this impending political browbeating could spook the already febrile bond markets, courtesy of the aggressive tightening schedule of the Federal Reserve. Remember, investors’ doubt in the British government’s fiscal plan caused the current market meltdown, not any actual sign of imminent default. It illustrates that in the sensitive market environment today, all it takes is market skepticism that gradually snowballs into a formidable economic nightmare – even for an advanced economy.

                        Another risk is the bustling value of the US dollar. This year alone, the greenback has gained more than 18% against a basket of key currencies, according to the benchmark ICE U.S. Dollar Index. The Fed’s accelerating rate hikes have pushed the dollar to a multi-decade high – even against the currencies of its major trading partners. Consequently, American exports have turned expensive; imports have turned cheaper. Thus, US exports are in line to fall while imports gain, further widening the current account deficit. I fear that a sell-off in the US treasury market could invoke a financial crisis dwarfing the Great Recession of 2008. Fortunately, US securities are a staple for risk-averse investors seeking an economic haven. And virtually every major global transaction – from the oil market to commodities – is settled in the US dollar. Thus, I reckon that the US markets are far more stable than their British counterparts.

                        Ultimately, the ubiquity of the US economic presence does pose some challenges. The economic pain exported globally by the United States due to a straightening dollar could lead to financial turmoil in one of its major trading partners. Japan is a perfect example. The rate hikes by the Federal Reserve have plummeted the Japanese yen to a 32-year low against the US dollar. Yet the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is persistent in keeping interest rates low to allow its historically moribund inflation to liven up.

                        My apprehension, however, lies in the perception of inflation. Japan’s inflation of 3% is not demand-driven but imported from abroad, on the back of inflated fuel and food prices. Recent history suggests that Japan would not resort to rate hikes, which would pinch local businesses and dent public sentiment without actually lowering inflation. However, Japan could stop buying or even partly liquidate its immense holdings of US treasury securities totaling about $1.23 trillion to service its staggering debt – circa 260% of its GDP – without cutting public spending. This scenario is just one example of many that could spark a crisis. The frightening reality is that unlike the contained financial debacle of Britain, a panic run in the US capital markets would devastate the global economy. And hence, Britain’s fiscal blunder should be an omen to the US policymakers to address its chronic budget and current account deficits, and mitigate its prohibitive borrowing sprees before it is too late to redress.



                        Syed Zain Abbas Rizvi
                        The author is a political and economic analyst. He focuses on geopolitical policymaking and international affairs. Syed has written extensively on fintech economy, foreign policy, and economic decision making of the Indo-Pacific and Asian region.
                        Waymo Set for Self-Driving Launch in Los Angeles

                        The service will begin with safety drivers in the cars and later with Waymo employees as riders.



                         Techland: When Great Power Competition Meets a Digital World 

                        by Stephen Silver

                        Self-driving cars, looked upon five or ten years ago as the wave of the immediate future, have somewhat stalled out of late, driven by concerns about safety, and the technology’s lack of scalability, at least up to this point. However, one major player in the tech world is readying for a major launch.

                        Waymo, the self-driving company that’s part of Alphabet (parent company of Google), announced Wednesday that it is readying to launch Waymo One, its taxi service, in Los Angeles.

                        The service, per CNBC, will begin with safety drivers in the cars, and later with “Waymo employees as riders.” It’s not clear what the timetable is for the launch.

                        “Los Angeles will be Waymo’s next ride-hailing city, joining Phoenix and San Francisco as we expand to more locations,” Waymo said in a blog post. “We’ve gotten to know many LA neighborhoods, including Downtown and Miracle Mile, Koreatown, Santa Monica, Westwood, and West Hollywood, and we’ll begin driving autonomously in several central districts over the coming months as we prepare to serve Angelenos,”

                        Waymo is offering what it calls a “round-the-clock service,” offering what it calls “more accessible and dependable mobility options to all residents of LA.”

                        “When we think about our next cities, Los Angeles jumps out,” Waymo’s co-CEO Tekedra Mawakana said in the post. “LA is a remarkable, vibrant place – and Waymo’s experience leaves us best positioned to tackle its driving complexity. We’re working closely with Angelenos to ensure we’re addressing the transportation needs and priorities of their communities as we bring the Waymo Driver to LA.”

                        The deal has the support of Los Angeles’ mayor.

                        "If we want to change the car culture in Los Angeles, we need to give Angelenos real alternatives to owning their own vehicle – including a world-class public transportation network, a range of active transportation options, and the convenience of mobility as a service across our City,” Mayor Eric Garcetti said in the announcement. “By adding Waymo to our growing list of ways to get around, we’re making good on our commitment to ease congestion on our streets, clean our air, and give people a better way to get where they need to go.”

                        Waymo was founded in 2009, when it was known as “the Google self-driving car project,” and has been called Waymo since 2016.

                        Its founder, Anthony Levandowski, left in 2015 and later joined Uber’s own self-driving car initiative, leading to a lawsuit by Google and Levandowski’s subsequent criminal prosecution and conviction for trade secret theft. Then-President Donald Trump eventually pardoned Levandowski on his last day in office in 2021.

                        Stephen Silver, a technology writer for The National Interest, is a journalist, essayist and film critic, who is also a contributor to The Philadelphia Inquirer, Philly Voice, Philadelphia Weekly, the Jewish Telegraphic Agency, Living Life Fearless, Backstage magazine, Broad Street Review and Splice Today. The co-founder of the Philadelphia Film Critics Circle, Stephen lives in suburban Philadelphia with his wife and two sons. Follow him on Twitter at @StephenSilver.