Saturday, November 18, 2023

 

CAE profits leap by a third as demand for pilot training takes off

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CAE Inc. continued to ride the tailwinds of a resurgence of commercial air travel last quarter, boosting its profits by 31 per cent year over year.

CEO Marc Parent said Tuesday that the flight simulator maker's double-digit growth in revenues and net income was driven mainly by strong momentum in civil aviation as well as by higher sales in its other main segment, defence.

The Montreal-based company also increased its backlog to a record $11.8 billion in the quarter ended Sept. 30, up by $1.2 billion or 11 per cent from a year earlier. The sales included 15 civil flight simulators — eight of them to Irish budget carrier Ryanair for the Boeing 737 Max jetliner — and simulation-based training for the U.S. army's latest airborne intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance system.

Parent stressed short-term demand for flight simulators at airlines as they scramble to train pilots as well as longer-term defence needs fuelled by unstable international relations.

"Churn — pilots moving on either from narrow-bodies to wide-bodies or co-pilot to pilot ... anything like that triggers demand for training. And I can tell you there's a lot of unmet demand out there, both in commercial aviation and business aviation," Parent told analysts on a conference call Tuesday.

In a release, he also said the defence sector is in "the early stages of an extended up-cycle, driven by an increased focus on near-peer threats, greater commitments by governments to defence modernization and readiness in context of geopolitical events."

The company added that a fatter profit margin in its defence segment is now expected in the next fiscal year, rather than this year as previously forecasted.

Fallout from upheaval in the U.S. Congress has reached CAE, taking a toll on its defence profits.

"We see incremental risks in defence related to ... the budgetary issues that we see in the United States," Parent said. He added that some "newer and higher-margin" programs hinge on the passage of legislation that has been snarled by impasses in Congress.

National Bank analyst Cameron Doerksen viewed the company's overall quarterly results as "mixed."

"On the one hand, we are encouraged by the stronger than previously expected performance in the civil segment," he said in a note to investors, adding that the market remains promising in coming years.

"On the other hand, the weak margin performance in defence has been an investor focus for the last two years, so CAE's indication that the market will have to wait even longer to see a positive inflection in margins until sometime in 2025 is a clear disappointment."

Last month, CAE announced a deal to sell its health-care business to U.S. company Madison Industries for $311 million. The segment, which accounted for less than four per cent of the company's earnings last quarter, focuses on training for medical professionals via patient simulators.

On Tuesday, CAE reported net income attributable to equity holders of $58.4 million or 18 cents per share in its second quarter. The result marked a big jump from profits of $44.5 million or 14 cents per diluted share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the three-month period rose 10 per cent to $1.09 billion from $993.2 million.

On an adjusted basis, CAE earned 27 cents per share, up from an adjusted profit of 19 cents per share a year earlier and beating analyst expectations of 20 cents per share, according to financial markets data firm Refinitiv.


This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 14, 2023.


U.S. bond auction 'a disaster' following cyberattack on world's largest bank: fixed income expert

A cyberattack on the world’s biggest bank in China caused liquidity issues in U.S. Treasuries, and fixed income experts suspect it was the cause of a weak bond market auction.
 
The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd. (ICBC) confirmed on Nov. 9 that it had suffered a cyberattack which prevented facilitating trades, leaving brokers severely impacted. The uncertainty is speculated by market experts to be the reason behind a weak U.S. Treasury auction last week. 
 
“The long bond auction last week, it was a disaster,” Andrew Brenner, head of international fixed income at NatAlliance Securities, told BNN Bloomberg in an interview on  Monday. 
 
Brenner suggested that the ICBC situation was the cause of the poor auction results, as the bank dealt with ransom and couldn’t clear transactions, leading to buyers walking away from the long bond market at the U.S. auction. 
 
“That really affects Treasury liquidity,” he said. 
 
'AMERICAN-RUN'
 
Brenner characterized ICBC as an “American-run organization” within the largest bank in the world in China, which does a lot of trade-clearing for clientele including treasuries, agencies and corporations. 
 
“When you take (ICBC) out of the marketplace, or you force them to put everything on a USB drive, that’s certainly going to alter liquidity,” he added. 
 
HOW TO APPROACH THE BOND MARKET
 
It’s unclear when the issue with ICBC will be resolved, but Brenner said he still favours the U.S. bond market as a place to invest in the short term. 
 
“I think you’re fine to buy anything now from six-month bills up to 2.5 years, but five years and out I’m not real sure as to where the next move is,” he said.
 
RATE OUTLOOK
 
Looking ahead, Brenner is calling for the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut rates by next spring or summer and is forecasting as many as five rate cuts. In this scenario, he believes buying short-term bonds right is cheap for investors. 
 
“I would not be short anything in the fixed-income market right now,” he said. 

 CRIMINAL MONOPOLY CAPITALI$M

U.S. realtor commission ruling sets 'blueprint' for Canadian case: lawyer


A court ruling in the U.S. that found realtors colluded to receive higher high commission rates could change the way Canadian real estate agents do business, according to an industry analyst, as a similar case works its way through Canadian court.
 
This month, a jury in Missouri found the National Association of Realtors in the United States and others guilty of inflating real estate agent commissions.
 
While the verdict has been appealed, more lawsuits that examine real estate agent commissions have been brought forward in the U.S. and their impact could usher in change for Canadian realtor practices, according to Walter Melanson, co-founder and market analyst at PropertyGuys.com, given similarities in industry policies in the U.S. and Canada.

“The idea is that if there’s a lot changes as a result of these cases in the United States, we will start to see change here in Canada also,” Melanson told BNN Bloomberg in a Wednesday interview. 
 
CANADIAN CLASS ACTION
 
A class-action lawsuit examining similar practices was also launched in Canada, and the lawyer handling the plaintiff’s case told BNN Bloomberg that he is hoping for a result similar to the one recently reached in Missouri. 
 
"It provides a blueprint for establishing liability in Canada, one which we hope to follow to a similar result here. In terms of next steps, both sides are appealing the order from Chief Justice Crampton’s decision on the defendants’ motion to strike," Garth Myers, partner at Kalloghlian Myers LLP, told BNN Bloomberg in an email. 
 
Those appeals will be heard by the Federal Court of Appeal in the new year. After that, the plaintiff will move for certification of the case as a class action, he added. 
 
The Canadian Real Estate Association was named in the proposed class-action lawsuit. 
 
"We consider the claims to be without merit and will continue to vigorously defend against them," a spokesperson for CREA told BNN Bloomberg in an email. 
 
REAL ESTATE COMMISSIONS
 
Melanson said people may not be aware of how real estate commissions work.
 
“A lot of folks in the U.S. and Canada don’t know that real estate commissions are negotiable and at play here is how negotiable are they,” Melanson said.
 
The U.S. lawsuit argued that home selling agents are negotiating the commission of the buyer’s real estate agent before a sale has been made, Melanson explained, resulting in inflated rates. 
 
“A lot of folks don’t think that that’s fair. They think a better system would be a system where the listing agent does what he does, and then the buyer agent comes in negotiates his or her commission during the offer process,” he said. 
 
Melanson added that Canadian realtors have very similar policies to their counterparts of south of the border, and he expects this ruling to change the way real estate agents and brokers operate. 
 
“A lot of (U.S.) brokerages are already starting to change how they do,” he said.

 RAPE IS ABOUT POWER

Asset freeze sought in proposed suit alleging Quebec billionaire paid minors for sex

The Future Electronics logo

A lawyer representing dozens of women who say a Montreal billionaire paid them for sex while they were minors wants to freeze millions of dollars of the businessman's assets.

Jeff Orenstein, who is representing the women in a proposed class-action lawsuit, told a Quebec Superior Court judge he worries Robert Miller will hide the proceeds from the coming $5.2-billion sale of his company, Future Electronics.

Orenstein says he wants Miller and Future Electronics to deposit a total of $200 million with the court for safekeeping, and if that isn't done for their assets — as well as the assets of a number of related companies and individuals — to be frozen.

Miller has denied the allegations, and his lawyer, Karim Renno, told the court there's no evidence his client will try to hide his assets.

He says the court order Orenstein is seeking would target people who are not defendants in the proposed class action and is so broad it would prevent Miller from even buying a chocolate bar.


Orenstein says his firm has heard from 50 women who allege they were the victims of Miller's sexual misconduct, including some who were as young as 11 at the time.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 17, 2023.

 

IBM, EU and Lionsgate pull ads from Elon Musk's X as concerns about antisemitism fuel backlash




Advertisers are fleeing social media platform X over concerns about their ads showing up next to pro-Nazi content and hate speech on the site in general, with billionaire owner Elon Musk inflaming tensions with his own tweets endorsing an antisemitic conspiracy theory.

IBM said this week that it stopped advertising on X after a report said its ads were appearing alongside material praising Nazis — a fresh setback as the platform formerly known as Twitter tries to win back big brands and their ad dollars, X's main source of revenue.

The liberal advocacy group Media Matters said in a report Thursday that ads from Apple, Oracle, NBCUniversal's Bravo network and Comcast also were placed next to antisemitic material on X.

“IBM has zero tolerance for hate speech and discrimination and we have immediately suspended all advertising on X while we investigate this entirely unacceptable situation," the company said in a statement.

Apple, Oracle, NBCUniversal and Comcast didn't respond immediately to requests seeking comment on their next steps.

The European Union's executive branch said separately Friday that it's pausing its advertising on X and other social media platforms, in part because of a surge in hate speech. A spokesperson for Lionsgate confirmed Friday afternoon that the entertainment company has also suspended advertising on X.

Musk sparked outcry this week with his own tweets responding to a user who accused Jews of hating white people and professing indifference to antisemitism. “You have said the actual truth,” Musk tweeted in a reply Wednesday.

Musk has faced accusations of tolerating antisemitic messages on the platform since purchasing it last year, and the content on X has gained increased scrutiny since the war between Israel and Hamas began.

“We condemn this abhorrent promotion of Antisemitic and racist hate in the strongest terms, which runs against our core values as Americans,” White House spokesperson Andrew Bates said Friday in response to Musk's tweet.

X CEO Linda Yaccarino said X's “point of view has always been very clear that discrimination by everyone should STOP across the board."

"I think that’s something we can and should all agree on,” she tweeted Thursday.

Yaccarino, a former NBCUniversal executive, was hired by Musk to rebuild ties with advertisers who fled after he took over, concerned that his easing of content restrictions was allowing hateful and toxic speech to flourish and that would harm their brands.

“When it comes to this platform — X has also been extremely clear about our efforts to combat antisemitism and discrimination. There’s no place for it anywhere in the world — it’s ugly and wrong. Full stop," Yaccarino said.

The accounts that Media Matters found posting antisemitic material will no longer be monetizable and the specific posts will be labelled “sensitive media," according to a statement from X. Still, Musk decried Media Matters as “an evil organization.”

The head of the Anti-Defamation League also hit back at Musk's tweets this week, in the latest clash between the prominent Jewish civil-rights organization and the billionaire businessman.

“At a time when antisemitism is exploding in America and surging around the world, it is indisputably dangerous to use one’s influence to validate and promote antisemitic theories," ADL CEO Jonathan Greenblatt said on X.

Musk also tweeted this week that he was “deeply offended by ADL’s messaging and any other groups who push de facto anti-white racism or anti-Asian racism or racism of any kind.”

The group has previously accused Musk of allowing antisemitism and hate speech to spread on the platform and amplifying the messages of neo-Nazis and white supremacists who want to ban the ADL.

The European Commission, meanwhile, said it’s putting all of its social media ad efforts on hold because of an “alarming increase in disinformation and hate speech” on platforms in recent weeks.

The commission, the 27-nation EU's executive arm, said it's advising its services to “refrain from advertising at this stage on social media platforms where such content is present," adding that the freeze doesn't affect its official accounts on X.

The EU has taken a tough stance with new rules to clean up social media platforms, and last month it made a formal request to X for information about its handling of hate speech, misinformation and violent terrorist content related to the Israel-Hamas war.

X isn't alone in dealing with problematic content since the conflict.

On Thursday, TikTok removed the hashtag #lettertoamerica after users on the app posted sympathetic videos about Osama bin Laden’s 2002 letter justifying the terrorist attacks against Americans on 9/11 and criticizing U.S. support for Israel. The Guardian news outlet, which published the transcript of the letter that was being shared, took it down and replaced it with a statement that directed readers to a news article from 2002 that it said provided more context.

The videos garnered widespread attention among X users critical of TikTok, which is owned by Beijing-based ByteDance. TikTok said the letter was not a trend on its platform and blamed an X post by journalist Yashar Ali and media coverage for drawing more engagement to the hashtag.

The short-form video app has faced criticism from Republicans and others who say the platform has been failing to protect Jewish users from harassment and pushing pro-Palestinian content to viewers.

TikTok has aggressively pushed back, saying it’s been taking down antisemitic content and doesn’t manipulate its algorithm to take sides.

____

AP Technology Writers Matt O'Brien in Providence, Rhode Island, and Haleluya Hadero in New York contributed.

 


25% of Canadians have not paid off last holiday season's debt: survey

Many Canadians who used credit to purchase holiday gifts last year are still paying off their debt as we head into the December holidays, a survey from NerdWallet Canada has revealed. 
 
Half of Canadians, at 51 per cent, purchased holiday gifts on credit last year and one in four of them said they have still not paid it off, according to the data released last week. 
 
In addition to carrying debt, Canadian consumers are tightening their spending budgets as they battle with heightened inflation.
 
Almost half of respondents to NerdWallet’s survey, at 48 per cent, said they will follow a strict budget this year, while 35 per cent said they will be spending less per person compared to years prior.
 
Twenty-three per cent said they will use coupons and cash back apps to do their shopping and another 33 per cent said they will only buy items on sale. 
 
The survey also found that 15 per cent of Canadians who are planning on buying holiday gifts this year intend to pick up a side hustle to help fund the expenses. 
 
TIPS TO SAVE

 
NerdWallet also shared tips for Canadians ahead of the holiday season.
 
Consumers looking to follow spending plans should build a realistic budget based on the total amount of money they can spend, rather than budgeting around the price of the items they’d like to purchase, the personal finance company suggested.  
 
It also suggested tools for strategic shopping such as using credit card rewards to purchase gifts or using price tracker websites that can send discount codes to various retailers. 
 
METHODOLOGY:

This survey was conducted online within Canada by The Harris Poll on behalf of NerdWallet Canada from October 3 - 5, 2023 among 1,021 Canadian adults ages 18 and older. The sampling precision of Harris online polls is measured by using a Bayesian credible interval. For this study, the sample data is accurate to within +/- 3.6 percentage points using a 95% confidence level. 




Davidgraeber.org

https://davidgraeber.org/books/debt-the-first-5000-years

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Saskatchewan introduces bill on withholding carbon tax on natural gas


RIGHT WING REVANCHIST GOVERNMENT

The Saskatchewan government has introduced legislation that it says would enable it to stop remitting the federal carbon tax on natural gas bills while providing legal protection for those at its energy Crown corporation.

The Saskatchewan Party government announced last month that SaskEnergy would stop remitting the carbon tax on natural gas on Jan. 1 in response to Ottawa's decision to pause the tax on home heating oil.

The federal move largely helps those in Atlantic provinces, where it's a main source for home heating, and Saskatchewan and other provinces have said it's unfair natural gas hasn't been treated similarly.

The bill introduced in the legislature on Thursday would designate the province as the sole registered distributor of natural gas in Saskatchewan.

It says it would protect the Crown corporation, all of its current and former directors, officers, employees and other associates from legal consequences of not remitting the tax.

Federal law says corporations that fail to remit the carbon tax could face steep fines, and its executives could also get jail time.

“I think what we’ve tried to do is provide as much assurance as we can,” Dustin Duncan, the minister responsible for SaskEnergy, said about the bill.

“This will be the government that will be making the decision in the event that we get to the point of not remitting the carbon tax.”

He said he’s hired personal legal counsel over the matter and it's expected the province will cover the cost of his lawyers.

Duncan previously said he’s willing to go to “carbon jail” for not remitting the tax. The province would be responsible for paying fines, he added. 

Donna Harpauer, the province’s deputy premier, has spoken with Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland about the issue, said Duncan.

“At this point, all indications are that there weren't going to be any more carve outs, but we're hopeful that will change,” he said.

The federal government did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said in late October that Ottawa won't offer further exemptions, saying heating oil is far more expensive than natural gas and those who use it don't have other options readily available.

The Saskatchewan government says removing the federal carbon tax from SaskEnergy bills would save the average family in the province $400 next year.

Last year, SaskEnergy remitted $172 million in carbon tax to the federal government.

Saskatchewan's Opposition NDP said it's reviewing the bill before it takes a position. 

In late October, the provincial legislature unanimously passed a motion supporting the move in not remitting the tax to Ottawa.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published on Nov. 16, 2023. 

This is a corrected story. A previous version said the bill would designate SaskEnergy as the sole distributor.