Wednesday, February 26, 2025

 

What can theoretical physics teach us about knitting?




Penn physicist Randall Kamien, visiting scholar Lauren Niu, and collaborator Geneviève Dion of Drexel bring unprecedented levels of predictability to the ancient practice of knitting by developing a mathematical model that could be used to create a new c


University of Pennsylvania

The Belly button 

image: 

A close-up of a self-folding knitted fabric, demonstrating how specific stitch patterns—knits and purls—encode geometric rules that dictate the material’s three-dimensional shape. Researchers from Penn and Drexel have developed a mathematical model that predicts these folding behaviors, opening new possibilities for programmable textiles in fields ranging from soft robotics to deployable structures.

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Credit: (Image: Courtesy of Lauren Niu)




The practice of purposely looping thread to create intricate knit garments and blankets has existed for millennia. Though its precise origins have been lost to history, artifacts like a pair of wool socks from ancient Egypt suggest it dates back as early as the 3rd to 5th century CE. Yet, for all its long-standing ubiquity, the physics behind knitting remains surprisingly elusive.

“Knitting is one of those weird, seemingly simple but deceptively complex things we take for granted,” says theoretical physicist and visiting scholar at the University of Pennsylvania, Lauren Niu, who recently took up the craft as a means to study how “geometry influences the mechanical properties and behavior of materials.”

Despite centuries of accumulated knowledge, predicting how a particular knit pattern will behave remains difficult—even with modern digital tools and automated knitting machines. “It’s been around for so long, but we don’t really know how it works,” Niu notes. “We rely on intuition and trial and error, but translating that into precise, predictive science is a challenge.”

These experimental knitted structures showcase how stitch patterns can be engineered to create self-folding and shape-morphing textiles. On the left, a variety of stitch motifs demonstrate different programmed curvatures in a scarf-like garment, while the right displays a take on an eerie, mask-like appearance, showcasing how controlled stitch arrangements can create complex three-dimensional forms. (Image: Courtesy of Lauren Niu)

In a paper published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of ScienceNiu and her mentors Randall Kamien of Penn’s School of Arts & Sciences and Geneviève Dion of the Center for Functional Fabrics at Drexel University have presented a model that seeks to decode the ancient practice of knitting by ascribing a mathematical language to the stitches in knits and purls.

“The beautiful thing about Lauren’s approach is that it doesn’t just describe what’s happening—it predicts it,” says Kamien. “We’re taking the tools we use to study everything from gravity to soap bubbles and applying them to knitting. And, remarkably, it works.”

Dion, drawing from her experience as a textile researcher and garment designer, views this work as a crucial convergence of scientific theory and practical design applications. “Right now, fabric design relies on experience, experimentation, and intuition,” she says. “If we can apply predictive models to textiles, we open the door to fabrics with precise, engineered properties—whether it’s self-folding medical materials, reconfigurable structures for soft robotics, or garments that adapt to the body in new ways.”

Decoding knitting, one stitch at a time

To build their model, Niu borrowed mathematical techniques from an unexpected source: general relativity, the theory used to describe the warping of space and time. While relativity explains how gravity bends space-time, the researchers applied similar geometric principles to explain how the looping paths of yarn create curvature in knitted fabrics.

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“It started with the simple observation that knit fabrics curl in specific ways,” Niu says. “Think of when you cut the sleeves off a T-shirt, and it curls up; that usually means it’s made with only knit stitches. Purls just curl in the other direction.”

However, when knits and purls are combined, “that’s when the magic happens,” Dion says. “You get these incredible self-folding structures that can be soft and flexible but also structured and resilient.”

Niu explains that knitting, at its core, is a method of transforming a one-dimensional strand of yarn into a structured, flexible two-dimensional sheet, which can then fold itself into complex three-dimensional shapes. The researchers realized that this transformation could be described mathematically using the same principles that govern how surfaces curve in space.

Instead of seeing a knitted fabric as just a collection of interlocking loops, the team treated it as a continuous surface with an intrinsic curvature determined by the arrangement of stitches. By applying the formalism used to describe how materials bend and stretch—known as elasticity theory—they built an energetic model that simulates the forces acting on the loops of yarn and predicts how a piece of fabric will deform in space.

“The key insight was recognizing that knitting operates like a programmable material,” Kamien says. “By controlling the stitch pattern—just knits and purls—you can essentially encode instructions for how the fabric will behave once it comes off the needles. That’s why a scarf, a sock, and a sweater can all come from the same kind of yarn but behave so differently.”

Their simulations revealed that the mechanical properties of knitted fabrics often depend more on stitch geometry than on the material itself. Whether the yarn was wool, cotton, or synthetic, the fabric’s tendency to curl, pleat, or expand followed universal geometric rules. This suggests that knitting is governed by fundamental mathematical principles—ones that could be harnessed to design materials with precise, tunable behaviors.

Where knitting meets origami

Niu explains that the work fits into the larger focus of Kamien’s group, particularly its research on kirigami, the art of cutting paper to create complex, foldable structures.

“Kirigami, much like knitting, is an example of how geometry can be used to encode mechanical properties into a material,” she says.

The team’s previous work has explored how strategically placed cuts in a sheet can cause it to morph into specific three-dimensional shapes when stretched. The insights from knitting take this idea further, showing that a material’s internal structure—not just its cuts—can dictate how it folds and unfolds.

“The parallels between knitting and kirigami are striking,” Kamien says. “In kirigami, you add cuts; in knitting, you add loops. But in both cases, you’re programming geometry directly into the material so that it shapes itself without requiring extra inputs like heat, hinges, or reinforcements.”

Dion coined a new term for this approach: knitogami™—a fusion of knitting and origami that captures the idea of self-folding textiles. “We call it knitogami because it extends the principles of origami into a soft, fabric-based medium,” she explains. “Instead of relying on folds and creases in paper, we’re using the inherent elasticity and structure of knitted loops to create dynamic, shape-shifting materials.”

By mapping out these rules, the team developed a framework that could be used to create programmable textiles—fabrics that shape themselves without requiring external forces like heat or manual pleating.

“If we can predict how a piece of fabric will shape itself just by changing the stitch pattern, we can start designing textiles with built-in functionality,” Dion says. “This could lead to garments that adapt to movement, medical textiles that mold to the body, or even large-scale deployable structures that assemble themselves.”

The next steps

Looking ahead, the team hopes to refine their model to incorporate even more complex stitch patterns and fabric behaviors.

“Right now, we’re focused on fundamental stitches—knits and purls—but the real world of knitting is much richer,” Niu says. “The goal is to take this mathematical approach and expand it to include cables, lace, and other advanced techniques that knitters have developed over centuries.”

Randall Kamien is the Vicki and William Abrams Professor in the Natural Sciences in the Department of Physics and Astronomy in the School of Arts & Sciences at the University of Pennsylvania.

Lauren Niu is senior research scientist at the Center for Functional Fabrics at Drexel University and a visiting postdoctoral researcher at Penn Arts & Sciences.

Geneviève Dion is a professor in the Department of Design at the Westphal College of Media Arts and Design and Founding Director of the Center for Functional Fabrics at Drexel University.

This research was supported by the Simons Foundation, the Kaufman Foundation, the Advanced Functional Fabrics of America, Inc. (Transaction HQ00342190016), the Air Force Research Laboratory (FA8650-20-2-5506), and NextFlex, as well as the U.S. Army DEVCOM–Soldier Center.

 

Aston University microbiologist calls for public vigilance and urgent action on the danger of raw sewage in UK seas


Aston University



  • Dr Jonathan Cox writes in Microbiology about the pathogens in raw sewage and the “significant” danger to public health when it ends up in the sea
  • He contracted a lung infection in 2024, likely from exposure to raw sewage in the sea where he had been swimming
  • He urges people to check for sewage reports before heading to the beach and calls for investment to improve infrastructure.

Aston University microbiologist Dr Jonathan Cox has written an article for the journal Microbiology on the dangers posed by raw sewage in the seas around the UK.

Sewage contains lots of microorganisms harmful to human health, causing gastrointestinal, respiratory and skin infections. People can become infected through ingestion, inhalation or contact with contaminated water. Vulnerable groups, including older people, those with a compromised immune system (such as organ transplant patients) and pregnant women are particularly at risk. Sewage pollution can also affect marine life.

The dumping of raw sewage is happening more often around the UK coastline, with some water companies responsible for up to 200 discharges of raw sewage into the sea each year. The risks hit home for Dr Cox when, in spring 2024, he contracted a type of bacterial pneumonia following a swim in the sea that was likely connected to an incident of sewage dumping in the area, recorded by the charity Surfers Against Sewage just hours before he took to the water.

As frightening as this sounds, Dr Cox does not advise staying out of the water, but checking water quality before visiting a beach. Surfers Against Sewage has developed the Safer Seas and Rivers Service (SSRS), online and as an app, which shows where there have been recent sewage discharges.

The government has promised stricter regulations, and advanced sewage treatment technologies are available, but urgent investment is required to protect public health and the UK’s coastal waters.

Dr Cox concludes:

“Whilst we’re waiting for the improved management, innovation and investment that is required to solve the issue and save our seaside, don’t bury your head in the sand regarding water quality. Check before you swim. Afterall, prevention is always better than cure.”

The Microbiology Society, which publishes the journal Microbiology, said:

“As a membership charity and a not-for-profit publisher, the Microbiology Society is proud to publish articles written by our members, like this one, which draw attention to important topics impacting public health and a range of other subjects. These articles demonstrate how microbiologists are involved in addressing challenges that vary from urgent problems demanding immediate solutions, such as new and emerging diseases, through to long-term issues, like antimicrobial drug resistance, food security and environmental sustainability.”

Read the full article, ‘SOS – save our seaside! The microbiological risks to human health of raw sewage in our coastal waters’, in Microbiology.

 

UC Irvine-led study finds possible links between PFAS exposure and childhood cancers



Results underscore value of continued monitoring for drinking water contamination



University of California - Irvine





Irvine, Calif., Feb. 26, 2025 — A study led by the Joe C. Wen School of Population & Public Health at the University of California, Irvine has revealed possible links between exposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances in drinking water and an increased risk of certain childhood cancers.

 

Widely used in industrial and consumer products, PFAS — commonly known as “forever chemicals” due to their persistence in the environment — have been linked to various adverse health effects. An Environmental Protection Agency monitoring program documented detectable levels of PFAS in California drinking water between 2013 and 2015.

 

In an online study in the journal Environmental Epidemiology, the researchers investigated the role that PFAS exposure via drinking water contamination may play in childhood cancer risk.

 

“Our findings indicate suggestive associations between predicted prenatal PFAS exposure and certain childhood cancers, including acute myeloid leukemia and Wilms tumors,” said corresponding author Natalie Binczewski, a UC Irvine Ph.D. candidate in environmental health sciences.

 

Researchers analyzed data from 10,220 children up to age 15 diagnosed with cancer between 2000 and 2015, along with 29,974 healthy children. They estimated maternal PFAS levels by linking geocoded addresses at birth to local water district contamination data and determined that higher concentrations of two PFAS – perfluorooctanesulfonic acid and perfluorooctanoic acid – were associated with certain childhood cancers.

 

“While these results do not confirm that PFAS exposure directly causes childhood cancers, they add to a growing body of evidence highlighting potential health risks,” Binczewski said. “Further studies are needed to confirm and better understand these associations, but this research underscores the importance of clean drinking water and continued regulatory efforts to protect public health.”

 

Other team members included Veronica Vieira, UC Irvine professor and chair of environmental & occupational health; Libby M. Morimoto, associate project scientist, and Catherine Metayer, adjunct professor, both from the Division of Epidemiology in UC Berkeley’s School of Public Health; Xiaomei Ma, professor and interim chair of epidemiology at the Yale School of Public Health; and Joseph L. Wiemels, professor of population and public health sciences at USC’s Keck School of Medicine.

 

This work was supported by grant R01 ES032196 from the National Institutes of Health.

 

About the University of California, Irvine: Founded in 1965, UC Irvine is a member of the prestigious Association of American Universities and is ranked among the nation’s top 10 public universities by U.S. News & World Report. The campus has produced five Nobel laureates and is known for its academic achievement, premier research, innovation and anteater mascot. Led by Chancellor Howard Gillman, UC Irvine has more than 36,000 students and offers 224 degree programs. It’s located in one of the world’s safest and most economically vibrant communities and is Orange County’s second-largest employer, contributing $7 billion annually to the local economy and $8 billion statewide. For more on UC Irvine, visit www.uci.edu.

 

Media access: Radio programs/stations may, for a fee, use an on-campus studio with a Comrex IP audio codec to interview UC Irvine faculty and experts, subject to availability and university approval. For more UC Irvine news, visit news.uci.edu. Additional resources for journalists may be found at https://news.uci.edu/media-resources.

Who owns AI-created content? Right now, 'nobody knows,' expert says

With AI systems trained on vast datasets, also including copyrighted materials, concerns persist over whether creators will receive fair compensation

Seda Sevencan |26.02.2025 -  TRT/AA

TechEx Global 2025 event, in which the latest innovations in artificial intelligence, big data and digital transformation are introduced, is held in London, United Kingdom on February 5, 2025.

With AI systems trained on vast datasets, also including copyrighted materials, concerns persist over whether creators will receive fair compensation

On who owns AI-generated content, intellectual property law expert Guido Westkamp says it 'very much depends, because if it is a fully automated result of some AI process, in my view, no one'



ISTANBUL

As artificial intelligence (AI) advances, its intersection with copyright law remains fraught with legal uncertainty, raising questions about fair compensation for creators and the boundaries of intellectual property.

At the 2nd Symposium on News Copyright and Artificial Intelligence in Media, held at Bogazici University and organized by Anadolu, Guido Westkamp, an academic at Queen Mary University of London and expert in intellectual property and comparative law, underscored the legal ambiguities surrounding AI-driven content.

With AI systems trained on vast datasets, also including copyrighted materials, concerns persist over whether creators will receive fair compensation. Yet, as Westkamp pointed out, the legal framework remains unclear.

"It's a very topical question, and the answer is that at present, nobody knows," he said.

Westkamp explained that current copyright law includes exceptions allowing data mining — rules originally designed for scientific research rather than AI training.

"We have an exception in law for copyright that allows data mining. That wasn't made for AI. It was made for other purposes, and there are two exceptions."

"One for scientific research — so everything that is done for scientific research is permitted. There is another one that is for general purposes, where authors can actually opt out, by basically declaring that they do not wish their works to be trained. That causes a number of additional issues."

A ruling from a lower court in Germany has further complicated the debate. "There is now a very recent decision, one of the first decisions on whether this data mining exception can apply to AI. It's a decision from Germany,” Westkamp explained. “The court said, yes, it can."

"In other words, the data mining exception applies generally, even if the data mining is done to appropriate data, including works, in this case photographs, for the purpose of training generative AI models. If that is the case, then no further issues will arise. In other words, there's not going to be any kind of remuneration."

"It is just free as a matter of freedom of research, i.e. scientific research. Whether that decision will stand is an entirely different matter. It will go up, of course, through the court system."

Whether this ruling will hold up in higher courts remains uncertain. "It will probably end up with the Court of Justice for the EU, where the court will have to address questions of balance," Westkamp added.

He believes that creators should have a right to remuneration and the ability to opt out. "My own personal view is that, necessarily, there needs to be maybe a right to remuneration, predominantly a right to remuneration that ensures authors, journalists, and so on are paid. And at the same time, authors should have a right actually to object," he said. "In other words, to opt out of a system like that."

Should AI-generated content be copyrighted?

One of the questions in copyright law today is the ownership of AI-generated content. Should it belong to the creator of the AI, the organization using it, or someone else?

"That very much depends, because if it is a fully automated result of some AI process, in my view, no one," Westkamp stated. "Because it is made by a machine, and of course copyright law is based on human creativity, and I think that is very clear.”

“There may be ideas to say it's a kind of investment, but I find that rather far-reaching. When it comes to instances where maybe an artist, or a journalist also, simply uses AI as a tool, then it can be a creative process.”

He dismissed the argument that AI-generated content could be classified as an investment, saying: "There may be ideas to say it's a kind of investment, but I find that rather far-reaching."

However, he made a distinction for cases where AI serves as a tool rather than as the sole creator. "If an artist or journalist simply uses AI as a tool, then it can be a creative process. People have always used technology to be creative. In that case, we still have human authorship," he explained.

"When it comes to instances where maybe an artist, or a journalist also, simply uses AI as a tool, then it can be a creative process. And then there is no distinction between, you know, people have always used technology to be creative in that sense, so if it's used in that sense, then nothing will change. We will still have human authorship," he said.

"But it's clear, I think, if it's fully automated, no authorship. If you're just using it as a way to express yourself, as a tool, if you have a creative idea behind it that you want to express, in that case, I think it's just a bog-standard copyright matter."

For media organizations adopting AI-driven tools, compliance with copyright laws is an evolving concern.

"At the moment, this is just really a matter of transparency in the EU," Westkamp explained.

"So the AI Act is basically saying you are fine using AI, but you would need to follow certain steps in terms of being clear on the works you've used. So apparently that means having records and things like that. Whether there will be more in future is a different matter."

Broader implications of AI and copyright law

Beyond the immediate legal challenges, Westkamp sees AI as a fundamental test for intellectual property law in the digital age.

"In general, maybe the discussion is very compartmentalized. In copyright law in particular, or even in patent law, can this be creative, can this be inventive? Yes, you can discuss all that, but there is a much broader concern, which I think has to do with the relationship between humanity and robots, so to speak," he said.

He raised philosophical questions that may shape future legal debates. "And the question of, you know, what does that have to do with fundamental rights? Can, for instance, AI be a bearer of fundamental rights, a bearer of freedom of opinion and freedom of art and all these rights that have to do with communication? And that very much is, in my view, the more fundamental question that needs to be addressed in the years to come, so that there is clearly no immediate answer to that."

"We will see in 20 years how things have turned out. I think it is very premature," said Westkamp.
Malaysia yet to finalise MH370 search contract, as ship heads to new zone


: A man writes on a message board for passengers, onboard the missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370, during its fifth annual remembrance event in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia March 3, 2019. REUTERS/Lai Seng Sin/File Photo

UPDATED Feb 26, 2025

KUALA LUMPUR - A ship that will hunt for missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 has deployed to its Indian Ocean search zone, according to Malaysia's transport minister and ship tracking data, raising hopes of solving one of aviation's greatest mysteries.

In December, Malaysia agreed to resume the search for the Boeing 777 that was carrying 227 passengers and 12 crew when it vanished en route from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing on March 8, 2014.

Malaysia has not yet signed off on the contract to search the seabed for wreckage, however, casting uncertainty over whether a search has begun.


Contacted by Reuters, U.S. exploration firm Ocean Infinity, which conducted the last search for the plane that ended in 2018, said it had no information to provide at this stage.

Malaysia had not yet signed the contract with Ocean Infinity, Transport Minister Anthony Loke said on Tuesday, but he welcomed the company's "proactiveness" to deploy its ships to that area to begin the search.

"Since Ocean Infinity already started to mobilise their ships, of course we welcome it because we have given the principle approval for the search to resume and just need to finalise the contract," Loke told a press conference.


The search would not be open-ended, however, he warned.

"It is not indefinite; there is a certain timeframe given for the contract. These are the details that we need to finalise before we sign," Loke added.

Refinitiv ship tracking data shows one of Ocean Infinity's ships, Armada 78 06, began tracking on Sunday a part of the Southern Indian Ocean, about 2,000 km (1,200 miles) off Australia's west coast.

Ocean Infinity's proposal to resume the search will see it expand the previous search area by 15,000 sq km (5,790 sq miles) in an effort lasting 18 months, with the period from January to April offering the best window, Malaysia said in December.

No precise location of the new search area was given at the time.

Ocean Infinity was "very confident that the current search area is more credible ... This is the area that they have missed in the past," Loke added.

DECADE-LONG HUNT

Malaysia engaged Ocean Infinity in 2018 to search in the southern Indian Ocean, but two attempts failed.

They followed an underwater search by Australia, China and Malaysia over an area of 120,000 sq km (46,332 sq mile) of the southern Indian Ocean, based on records of automatic connections between an Inmarsat satellite and the aircraft.

MH370's last transmission was about 40 minutes after it took off from Kuala Lumpur for the Chinese capital. The pilots signed off as the plane entered Vietnamese air space over the Gulf of Thailand and soon after its transponder was turned off.

Military radar showed the plane left its flight path to fly back over northern Malaysia and then out into the Andaman Sea before turning south, when all contact was lost.

Debris, some confirmed and some believed to be from the aircraft, has since washed up along the coast of Africa and on islands in the Indian Ocean.

Victims' relatives have demanded compensation from Malaysia Airlines, Boeing, aircraft engine maker Rolls-Royce and the Allianz insurance group, among others.

A 495-page report into the disappearance in 2018 said the Boeing 777's controls were probably deliberately manipulated to go off course, but investigators could not determine who was responsible and stopped short of offering a conclusion on what happened, saying that depended on finding the wreckage.

Investigators have said there was nothing suspicious in the background, financial affairs, training and mental health of both the captain and co-pilot.

REUTERS



What we know about Malaysia’s missing MH370 plane, 11 years on



FILE PHOTO: Family members of the victims pose for a group picture with a debris of the missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 in Putrajaya, Malaysia, March 7, 2020. REUTERS/Lim Huey Teng

UPDATED Feb 26, 2025

The disappearance almost 11 years ago of Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 with 239 people on board remains one of the world's greatest aviation mysteries.

The Boeing 777 went missing on its way from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing on March 8, 2014.

Satellite data analysis showed the plane likely crashed somewhere in the southern Indian Ocean, off the coast of western Australia. However, two major searches failed to come up with any significant findings.


Here are some details of the search for MH370 and the unresolved mystery of what happened:

WHAT IS KNOWN?

The last transmission from the plane was about 40 minutes after it took off from Kuala Lumpur for Beijing.

Captain Zaharie Ahmad Shah signed off with "Good night, Malaysian three seven zero", as the plane entered Vietnamese airspace.

Shortly thereafter, its transponder was turned off, which meant it could not be easily tracked.

Military radar showed the plane left its flight path to fly back over northern Malaysia and Penang Island, and then out into the Andaman Sea towards the tip of the Indonesian island of Sumatra. It then turned south and all contact was lost.

UNDERWATER SEARCHES

Malaysia, Australia and China launched an underwater search in a 120,000 sq km (46,332 sq miles) area in the southern Indian Ocean, based on data of automatic connections between an Inmarsat satellite and the plane.

The search, which cost about A$200 million ($143 million), was called off after two years in January 2017, with no traces of the plane found.

In 2018, Malaysia accepted a "no-cure, no-fee" offer from U.S. exploration firm Ocean Infinity for a three-month search, meaning the company would only get paid if it found the plane.

That search covered 112,000 sq km (43,243 square miles) north of the original target area and also proved fruitless, ending in May 2018.

DEBRIS

More than 30 pieces of suspected aircraft debris have been collected along the coast of Africa and on islands in the Indian Ocean, but only three wing fragments were confirmed to be from MH370.

Most of the debris was used in drift pattern analysis in the hopes of narrowing down the aircraft's possible location.

INVESTIGATION REPORT

A 495-page report into MH370's disappearance, published in July 2018, said the Boeing 777's controls were likely deliberately manipulated to take it off course, but investigators could not determine who was responsible.

The report also highlighted mistakes made by the Kuala Lumpur and Ho Chi Minh City air traffic control centres and issued recommendations to avoid a repeat incident.

Investigators stopped short of offering any conclusions about what happened to MH370, saying that depended on finding the plane's wreckage.

CONSPIRACY THEORIES

The inability to locate MH370's crash site has fuelled numerous conspiracy theories, ranging from mechanical error or a remote-controlled crash, to more bizarre explanations like an alien abduction or a Russian plot.

In recent years, some aviation experts have said the most likely explanation was that the plane was deliberately taken off course by an experienced pilot.

But investigators have said there was nothing suspicious in the background, financial affairs, training and mental health of both captain and co-pilot.

NEW SEARCH

Malaysia's transport minister said in December the government had agreed in principle to resume the search for the wreckage following a new proposal from Ocean Infinity, which would receive $70 million if substantive wreckage is found.

The new search, once a contract is signed, would expand the previous search area by 15,000 sq km, the minister said. The contract would cover 18 months and the firm had indicated the best time for the search would be between January and April.

This week, ship tracking data showed an Ocean Infinity ship had moved into the southern Indian Ocean. The minister said Ocean Infinity had deployed ships to the new search area, but Malaysia had not yet finalised the contract with the exploration firm.

 REUTERS






USAID cuts and their fallout on the ground



Sophia Anders
February 26th, 2025
LSE

Trump’s crackdown on USAID has deep financial and humanitarian consequences. As funding is frozen and officials are side-lined, crises unfold worldwide. Tim Allen, Professor at LSE’s Department for International Development, witnessed this at the Uganda-DRC border, where halted aid exacerbates health and security risks, while a rise in illicit trade highlights the economic interests partially driving the US retreat from humanitarian aid. Sophia Anders provides context on the situation.

Aid workers, diplomats and lawmakers have been trying to make sense of a series of concerning developments regarding the main US agency for foreign aid (USAID). On February 2nd, President Donald Trump declared that it was run by “radical lunatics” who his administration will “get out”. In a similar vein, Elon Musk, the head of the newly created Department of Government Efficiency, called USAID “a criminal and evil organisation” whose “time to die” is here, on X. Both Trump and Musk agree on cutting, what they consider, wasteful US government spending on USAID. This includes putting on leave two top security officials and restricting email access for other officials.

Looking ahead, Trump and his team have made it clear that they want US foreign aid to align with their “America First” agenda. Suggestions are also ciruclating that USAID will be absorbed into the state department. Internally, current and former officials consider this a test case for the Trump administration looking to wield executive power, through unilaterally acting around, and also against, Congress. Externally, this has serious (financial) implications for long-standing US development and assistance programmes. As such, Trump has frozen billions of dollars in foreign assistance, causing serious harm to humanitarian efforts worldwide (and potentially allowing China to fill the void left by the US). Already, this prompeted crises in humanitarian and development organisations involved in everything from life-saving medical activities to anti-narcotics efforts to clean water programmes.

Professor Tim Allen from the LSE International Development Department witnessed the immediate effects that are already felt on the ground at the border between Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). The situation has already been precarious before budget cuts for USAID, but is being dramatically exacerbated by it. There are cases of Monkeypox, cholera, Marburg virus, as well as Ebola on both sites of the border. Now, pandemic surveillance with US funding as well as HIV services have been stopped.

Moreover, the area has previously been attacked by the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) and schoolchildren were massacred a year ago. The Ugandan army has crossed into DRC ostensibly to secure the border, but it seems they are also supporting the M23 rebellion. President Musuveni’s son, for instance, has openly supported the rebellion in the past.

Beyond this, Professor Allen noticed the omnipresence of soldiers, including in hospitals and health centres. Supposedly, this is for health security, but it also seems to help monitor trucks crossing the border, as well as to tax the informal trade in valuable items being brought across. For context, Uganda has increased gold exports tenfold since 2022, and an estimated 95 percent comes from the DRC. Other commodities are essential for the manufacture of mobile phones and a host of other things – cobalt, tin, tantalum, tungsten etc. Presumably, the illicit trading is condoned, even supported, by the governments of countries importing items from the region, including the US. Given the scale of activities, and the escalation in commodities from DRC passing through Uganda, reports from USAID staff are ostensibly not welcome in Washington. This might be one of the reasons why Trump is attacking the agency. As such, Washington’s crackdown on USAID appears not just as a domestic policy shift with disastrous consequences that are already felt on the ground, but also, potentially, as a strategy to ensure US economic and trade interests worldwide.

LSE’s Global Health Initiative will host a panel, focused on the recent termination of USAID funding and its implications on epidemic control on the border of Uganda and the DRC with Grace Akello, Tim Allen, Myfanwy James, Melissa Parker and Philipa Mladovsky, on Monday 03 March from 5.30pm in MAR 2.06. All welcome.

The views expressed in this post are those of the author and in no way reflect those of the International Development LSE blog or the London School of Economics and Political Science.

Featured image credit: Laura via Flickr. CC BY-NC-ND 2.0.

About the author

Sophia Anders is a Research Student in International Development at LSE. Her work focuses on the intersection of cultural and artistic practice and community cohesion as well as the overall role of cultural spaces for nation- and identity formation in the post-Soviet space, particularly in Ukraine. Currently, she is also one of the LSE ID blog editors.