Saturday, August 23, 2025

 

As Nawrocki becomes Polish president, grievances with Ukraine resurface: Why history still divides Warsaw and Kyiv?



Poland Ukraine map

This article was produced in the framework of PULSE, a European initiative that supports cross-border collaborative journalism.

The recent visit of newly elected Polish President Karol Nawrocki to the village of Domostawa, in the Podkarpackie Voivodeship, just hours before the election silence. The Sejm’s decision to establish a new national holiday on July 11 — Remembrance Day for Poles, victims of the genocide committed by the Organisation of Ukrainian Nationalists–Ukrainian Insurgent Army (OUN-UPA) in the Eastern Borderlands of the Second Republic. The controversy surrounding a film falsely attributed by AI to Maria Andruchiw, a Ukrainian activist living in Poland, which denies the 1943 massacres of Poles in Volhynia. All these events share a common thread: the visible resurgence and intensification of debates around the painful legacy of Polish-Ukrainian historical relations.

Poland’s presidential campaign was full of discussions on relations with Ukraine. At least a few candidates — Maciej Maciak, Artur Bartoszewicz and Grzegorz Braun (who won 6.34 per cent of the vote) — openly criticised Ukraine and the Ukrainians for their alleged “parasitism” on the Polish social system, the destruction of Polish agriculture, dragging Poland into armed conflict, and for historic issues, including in particular the Ukrainian massacres of the Polish population in Volhynia and the areas referred to in Polish historiography as Eastern Lesser Poland during the World War II.

Others, such as Sławomir Mentzen, a candidate for the Konfederacja, attempted a more sedate criticism, largely focusing on history. Finally, the main candidate of the right, Karol Nawrocki, spoke more like Mentzen than Kaczyński (the leader of the formation that supported him), not only signing declarations against Ukraine’s accession to the European Union and NATO, but more than once entering into an open polemic with Ukrainian politicians on the subject of Volhynia (it is worth recalling he is president of the Institute of National Remembrance, the main state “seedbed” of nationalism in official state institutions).

What it is at stake

The reemergence of the issue of Volhynian massacres can be understood as a mixture of unresolved historic disputes, legitimate seek of historical justice by communities who were subjected to episodes of violence, and weaponisation of the past by nationalistic forces — all of this “shaken” within the complicated context of Russian’s invasion of Ukraine.

Between 1943–45, Ukrainian nationalist forces, chiefly the UPA, killed tens of thousands of ethnic Poles (around 50–60,000, according to Jared McBride in his 2016 paper Peasants into Perpetrators: The OUN-UPA and the Ethnic Cleansing of Volhynia, 1943–1944), many of them women and children. While Poland defines these events as genocide, Ukraine continues to reject that term — a divergence that continues to complicate diplomatic and symbolic gestures between the two neighbours.

Some Ukrainian historians, for their part, point to the long history of Polish policies of polonisation during the interwar period, which sought to assimilate or marginalise Ruthenians and Ukrainians in the eastern territories of the Second Polish Republic, fueling hatred between the two communities. US historian Timothy Snyder (1999) wrote that “it is indisputable that, in addition to the direct losses from the Holocaust and the Second World War, approximately 50,000 to 100,000 Poles and Ukrainians were murdered, and around 1.5 million were forced to leave their homes between 1943 and 1947.”

Canadian historian John-Paul Himka explains that “the Polish ‘pacification’ of 1930 was a low point, but the Polish government’s attitude toward Ukrainians (and other minorities) hardened even further by the end of the decade, under the rule of the so-called ‘colonels’... Polish repression fueled Ukrainian nationalism, and Ukrainian nationalists began to fantasise about killing large numbers of Poles in ethnically Ukrainian territories, with the idea of assimilating the remaining survivors into Ukrainian identity," he said.

In his opinion, another important factor was “the politics espoused by Poland’s neighbours, Nazi Germany and the Stalinist Soviet Union: both encouraged and made use of violence. Giving this context, the moral universe within Poland shifted dramatically. While the developments of the interwar period didn’t overdetermined the kind of violence that encompassed Volhynia and Galicia, yet they set up some of the parameters.”

Other Ukrainian historians also highlight cases of retaliatory — though smaller-scale — ethnic violence against Ukrainian civilians during the same period, and the aftermath of the war, particularly Operation Vistula (Akcja “Wisła”). Carried out by Polish Communist authorities in 1947, this operation forcibly deported over 140,000 Ukrainians and Lemkos from southeastern Poland to the so-called Ziemie Odzyskane (Recovered Territories) in the west and north of the country. The goal was to eliminate the remaining support base for the UPA and suppress Ukrainian identity, but its legacy is remembered in Ukraine as an act of ethnic repression and trauma. This asymmetrical but reciprocal violence continues to shape the historical narratives on both sides, and underscores why reconciliation remains elusive.

Demands for justice and crash of memories

Nawrocki’s recent election as president brings renewed attention to the memory and legacy of the Volhynia massacres during World War II. A conservative historian and former head of Poland’s Institute of National Remembrance (IPN), Nawrocki made historical “justice” a central theme of his campaign. In his first public statements as president-elect, he welcomed continued partnership with Ukraine, but stressed it must include resolving “overdue historical issues,” a clear reference to the long-standing dispute over the wartime killings of ethnic Poles in Western Ukraine, which the Polish Sejm officially declared as genocide in 2016.

The political context remains fraught. While Poland has stood as one of Ukraine’s most committed allies since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, unresolved historical memory — particularly around Volhynia and the role of the Ukrainian nationalists, Stepan Bandera above all — has repeatedly threatened to undermine that solidarity.

Ukrainian historian Georgiy Kasianov, in his book Memory Crash: Politics of History in and around Ukraine, 1980s–2010s (Central European University Press, 2022), writes: “The story about the past in Ukrainian–Polish relations is very instructive in many respects, especially in regard to the conflict potential of historical politics. Regardless of the political orientation of the individuals and parties at the helm, the ruling elites of both countries consider friendly and cooperative relations with their neighbour to be a top priority. Poland and Ukraine managed to find mutually acceptable solutions in almost every sphere, including economic, political, and cultural relations. There is only one exception, the sphere of historical memory.”

Ukrainian historian Yaroslav Hrytsak agrees that “the Volhynia massacre and the UPA are the only stumbling blocks in Polish-Ukrainian reconciliation. Here we are dealing with national myths that are very asymmetrical. Over the past decade or so, the Volhynia massacre has become a central myth in Polish historical memory — much like the Holocaust in Jewish memory or the Holodomor in Ukraine’s case. In contrast, within Ukrainian historical memory, the Volhynia massacre holds a rather marginal place, and many Ukrainians have only a vague idea of what actually happened there and then,” he explained to us.

“I am confident that until recently, [Ukrainian president Volodymyr] Zelensky had very little, if any, knowledge of the Volhynia massacre. Moreover, Ukrainians do not understand why Polish elites — who are supposed to be allies — keep raising this issue while Ukraine is at war with Russia. They suspect this might be the result of Russian interference aimed at breaking the Polish-Ukrainian alliance.”

Hrytsak recalls that he personally organised or took part in several events aimed at reconciling Poles and Ukrainians. While some of these initiatives ended successfully, those focused specifically on Volhynia were, in his words, “spectacular failures.” His bitter experience leads him to believe that the chances of achieving reconciliation on this issue are very slim, and that it will require significantly more time and effort.

Polish historian Adam Leszczyński, whose own family was directly affected by the events in Volhynia — his grandfather, as a child, had to hide in the forest after his entire family was killed in a village massacre, and was later taken in by Soviet partisans — offers a stark personal perspective on the matter.

“We know the facts, and we can debate the terminology. It was pretty clearly a war crime, very much a case of ethnic cleansing. The discussion now revolves around whether it qualifies as genocide. Does it fit the strict legal definition? Some argue yes, others no... It’s a complex debate, and I don’t think even the Polish state has a clear stance — it often depends on the political context,” he said.

“There’s been huge pressure on Ukraine over the past 10 or 15 years to issue an apology. Zelensky did, perhaps somewhat reluctantly; one of his predecessors also expressed regret. But there are voices on the Polish side who seem to expect Ukrainians to apologise continuously — as if there’s no end to it. And after all, these events happened a very long time ago.”

The new exhumations

Nevertheless, it is legitimate to say that in recent months the issue reached a crossroad. In January, the Ukrainian government lifted a de facto ban on exhumations (in place since 2017) and allowed Polish teams to resume recovery work at mass grave sites. The move, confirmed by Prime Minister Donald Tusk and Culture Minister Hanna Wróblewska, was hailed as a long-awaited breakthrough. In April, the first exhumation began in the former Polish village of Puzhnyky, now in western Ukraine, with the involvement of Polish and Ukrainian experts and relatives of the victims. In recent days, the Ukrainian and Polish governments have agreed to carry out new exhumations in Ukraine’s Lviv oblast and in a village just across the border in Poland.

The process has brought long-overdue recognition to families and placed the memory of Volhynia back in the diplomatic spotlight. “I see exhumations as a positive step”, says Leszczyński. “To me it’s a matter of historical justice towards Polish communities who were subjected to violence and massacres and the Polish state has a duty to accomplish the rescue and the recognition of bodies. It’s a humanitarian obligation, it’s simply a task to do but for many years the Ukrainians for their own reasons were not very willing to cooperate. So, in Poland, one party accused the other party of being not strong enough or not enough diplomatically skilled to get things done. So, we can say there is this ‘ping-pong rhetoric’ inside Polish politics while Ukraine is pretty reluctant to admit that anything bad happened in Volhynia.”

At the same time, there is at least a “third actor” meddling in the Ukraine-Poland bilateral relation, which is Vladimir Putin’s Russia. Needless to say, Russian propaganda often exploits any topic that could deteriorate Ukraine’s relationship with any ally. The subject of the Volhynia massacre has been at the forefront of Russian politics towards Poland in its Ukrainian dimension for years. The tragic events in Volhynia during World War II are perfect fuel for Russia’s anti-Ukrainian propaganda and for portraying “Banderite” Ukraine and Ukrainians as a “nation of criminals” who “first killed in Volhynia and are now doing the same in Donbas.” Moscow is cynically trying to equate these two completely unrelated events, fuelling mutual animosity on both sides of the Bug River.

But then again, as the material exhumations are going on, there is also a sort of symbolic exhumation that involves societies and public opinion in both countries. The subject of crimes committed by Ukrainian nationalists in Volhynia, Podolia, Polesia and the Lviv region from spring 1943 to summer 1944 has always been present in the Polish public sphere, but never with such intensity.

We can identify two turning points in recent years that have enabled nationalist circles, and the Polish right more broadly, to draw greater public attention to this issue. In both cases, however, we are talking about situations in which, apart from historical justice, the broadly understood “Volhynia” has become a safety valve for quite contemporary anti-Ukrainian sentiments.

Historical antagonisms and revanchism emerged in full force when the labour market in Poland was opened to Ukrainians (before the war, about 1.5 million Ukrainian citizens worked in Poland). The situation was also changed by the influx of another huge number of refugees (although immediately after the outbreak of the war, “Volhynia” temporarily disappeared). Issues such as “taking jobs away” from Poles, alleged privileges enjoyed by Ukrainians who fled to Poland, and the “expensive cars” of newcomers from across the eastern border (all local variants of well-known anti-immigrant stereotypes) began to collide with the difficult past of both nations.

We cannot completely ignore the role of the so-called środowiska kresowe (borderland communities), especially the late Armenian Catholic priest Tadeusz Isakowicz-Zaleski. Organisations originating from this movement, although niche, were quite active, going far beyond the traditional, favourable forces of the extreme right, trying to convince, among others, politicians from the Polish People’s Party, and publishing articles in the centre-left magazine Przegląd (it is also worth recalling that Leszek Miller, former prime minister from the Democratic Left Alliance, has taken an openly sceptical stance towards Ukraine, full of historical resentment).

Another factor that fuelled the broadly understood “Volhynian” theme was the shift to the right of a large part of the Polish political mainstream. During the presidency of Bronisław Komorowski of the Civic Platform (2010-2015), not only were Roman Dmowski and the so-called Żołnierze Wyklęci (Cursed Soldiers) idealised, but the then president also quite openly called the Volhynia massacre “an event with the hallmarks of genocide.”

The subject finally appeared in popular culture as well. Wojciech Smarzowski, a director known for his socially critical films (KlerDrogówka) and his critical take on Polish history (Róża), made a film with the simple and meaningful title Wołyń. Although the author himself rejects any form of revanchism, the harsh and violent image fits well into the highly confrontational revision of Polish memory politics towards Ukraine.

Shifts in public opinion

CBOS survey conducted in July 2023 (“Polish-Ukrainian relations 80 years after Volhynia”) shows that although the majority, 53% (60% in 2018), acknowledge past events divide Poles and Ukrainians, as many as 31% (compared to 23% five years earlier) expressed the opposite view and believed in the possibility of building a friendly coexistence between the two neighbouring nations, unburdened by history. In turn, a 2024 survey by the Mieroszewski Centre, showed more than 40% of Poles believe that there have been events in the history of Polish-Ukrainian relations for which Ukrainians should feel guilty towards Poles today. Despite the widespread belief that shared history tends to divide Poles and Ukrainians, the vast majority of respondents surveyed by CBOS believe reconciliation between the two nations is possible (78%).

Even in 2023–24, Poles’ declared knowledge of historic events related to Polish-Ukrainian relations was generally quite superficial. Thirty percent of respondents by the Mieroszewski Centre declared that they had reliable knowledge of issues related to the UPA, one third had “heard something about it,” and the same percentage had no knowledge of it. In the case of Akcja “Wisła” and the OUN, the relevant indicators are even lower. Twenty-five per cent of respondents declared detailed knowledge of the post-war deportations of Ukrainians to Poland, while in the case of the OUN, this percentage was 18%. The majority of respondents (51%) also admitted that they had never heard of the OUN.

Only in the case of the Volhynia Massacre did 46% of respondents surveyed by the Mieroszewski Centre claim to have in-depth knowledge of the event, while 41% said they had heard something about it. A CBOS survey conducted a year earlier yielded different results. There, opinions about Volhynia are even more unequivocal: 92% had heard about the Volhynia massacre, compared to only 59% of the population 15 years earlier. The survey also showed an increase in the number of Poles who declared that they knew “a lot” about Volhynia, 64% (in 2018, it was only 37%).

Further opinion polls show that the issue of Volhynia has become a permanent fixture in Polish politics and an important factor that may also shape contemporary relations between the two countries in the future. This is clearly demonstrated by a SW Research poll in September 2024, in which 52.6% of respondents believe that Ukraine’s accession to the EU should be conditional on its agreement to exhume the victims of the Volhynia massacre. Or the poll conducted in December of the same year, in which as many as 67% were sceptical about the sincerity of Ukrainian declarations regarding the exhumation of the victims of the massacres in Volhynia.

While the topic of massacres in Volhynia and other parts of the so-called Kresy Wschodnie (Eastern Borderlands) has become quite prominent in Polish public discourse, the dark chapters of Polish history towards Ukrainians are hardly ever discussed. The widespread practice in Central and Eastern Europe of playing the victim card rather than the perpetrator has not bypassed Poland. In this context, we can recall, for example, the destruction of Orthodox churches in the Chełm region in the interwar period or the aforementioned Akcja "Wisła”, which involved the displacement of a large part of the Ukrainian and Lemko (Rusyn) populations from the present-day provinces of Lublin, Podkarpackie, Podlasie and Małopolska (where they had lived for centuries) to the Recovered Territories, in the western and northern parts of the country, which became part of Poland after World War II.

On March 1, Poland celebrates the so-called “Day of Remembrance of the Cursed Soldiers”, a holiday commemorating the soldiers of the anti-Communist underground after the end of World War II. To this day, it remains controversial in Polish society because it equates the true victims of Stalinism (such as Witold Pilecki) with people who attacked peasants who had received land as part of agricultural reform and ethnic minorities. Among the victims of the “cursed” were Jews, Belarusians, Lithuanians, Slovaks, and very often Ukrainians.

The massacres in Piskorowice, Sufczyn, Wierzchowiny, Sahryń, Miętkie, Szychowice, Turkowice, Pawłokoma, Bachów and Brzuszka, to name but a few, are further pieces of the historical puzzle and mutual reckoning of grievances that could trigger a nationalist backlash and undermine the historical truth about responsibility for crimes among a large part of Polish society, which is susceptible to the myth of being “eternally wronged by foreigners.”

From Poland and Ukraine to Europe

Overall, this process paralleled the political and social developments of Ukraine and Poland after gaining their independence in 1991. As the former dissident activist and Polish Minister of Foreign Affairs and historian Bronisław Geremek put it, “the comeback of freedom brought along the comeback of nationalism.” After the fall of socialism, at different degrees, history was reinterpreted under the national paradigm. By doing so, many issues of the past gradually became relevant in the present.

But in the case of Volhynian massacres it’s not that simple. In fact, there was a sort of road that drove from an initial moment of unity to a separation between the two countries. As the title of a book by Polish and Ukrainian historian Tomasz Stryjek and Joanna Konieczna-Sałamatin summarise, the politics of memory in Poland and in Ukraine underwent a path from re-conciliation to de-conciliation.

Already in the 1950s, a group of intellectuals reunited around Kultura, a Polish-émigré literary-political magazine based in Paris, (among them the Nobel prize Czesław Miłosz), started to advocate for recognising Poland’s postwar eastern borders, namely to drop any territorial dispute with Ukraine, Belarus or Lithuania (at that moment, part of the Soviet Union), as a part of a broader effort and struggle for the independence of all these countries. Indeed, later the movement of Solidarność took up the idea and on this basis in 1989 member of KOR (Workers’ Defence Committee), adviser of Solidarność and Lech Wałęsa, and editor-in-chief of Gazeta Wyborcza Adam Michnik could take part in the founding Congress of Ukrainian Rukh and proclaim that Polish people would have to stand side-by-side with Ukrainians in their struggle to break away from Soviet Union.

Italian historian Guido Crainz (who recently published a book about politics of memory in Europe, Ombre d’Europa) comments: “It is somehow a paradoxical development. Confrontation against Russia created a dialogue between Poland and Ukraine, but at the same time produced national movements which in turn paved the way for a nationalistic interpretation of history. Of course, between the two countries there are no problems insofar that Ukraine commemorates the Holodomor, for example. But tensions arose as Ukraine, by juxtaposition with Russia, started to celebrate national heroes like Stepan Bandera whose army, besides collaborating with Nazis, was involved in the Volhynian massacres.”

These were the premises. But divisions and quarrels arose later in time, especially after the 2000s and 2010s when in Poland and Ukraine political forces started to come to power who explicitly theorised and put into practice the need for having a politics of memory on the state level (PiS in Poland, Viktor Juščenko in Ukraine). This is a common trend in Central and Eastern European states: giving the general social and political turbulences of the ’90s, the fact that many archives and documents begun to open up in that period and the gradual way in which processes of nation-building were set up, it took time for the political and intellectual classes to elaborate a narrative about the past and try to make it official.

Also, after the 2000s, a similar trend was present at the European level. The European Union started to invest in politics of memory and in dialogue between different memories of different nations. Funding for history-related and memory-related activities were established.

Two key events generated this turn: on one hand, the failure of the 2005 French European Constitution Referendum, which prompted the feeling among part of the European elites that mere economic solidarity between member states was not enough to foster a sense of unity and that it was necessary to engage on the cultural and identity level; and, on the other hand, the 2004 European enlargement (the largest in terms of number of states and populations) which, as many former Warsaw-Pact and Soviet nations joined the Union, started to question the “ideological foundation” of European memory based on the Holocaust and defeat of the German Reich by taking into account the need to look and condemn also Communist and Soviet crimes and its occupation of Eastern and Central Europe.

In fact, the issue of Volhynian massacres too is intertwined with European policies and has its European dimension besides the one linked to the bilateral relation between Poland and Ukraine. Nawrocki said he would veto Ukrainian integration in Europe if there was no recognition of the Volhynian tragedy and if exhumations stopped.

But should the European Union take a role in the process? According to Crainz, “some moral persuasion initiatives by European institutions would be useful in order to avoid extreme polarisation or overly controversial decisions (such as happened when Ukraine granted Bandera the title of ‘Hero’ of the country).”

“At the same time, we should not forget that we are talking about a historical quarrel that cannot be solved by decrees or decisions by governments. Political compromise is the opposite of critical engagement with history, and different point of views should dialogue through in-depth study, research and analysis.”

Nevertheless, given the reasons that we mentioned above, the issue is already a European one. Professor Aline Sierp (who has written extensively on topics of history, memory and Europe) explains: “The European Union is constantly involved in similar issues. The way nations consider their past is actually a criteria to evaluate if they are ready to become a full member state. It’s a sort of unwritten rule. It’s not embedded in the European legal system, it’s not in the acquis communitaire, but it’s regularly discussed in offices and institutions in Brussels. We’ve already seen that at the time of 2004 enlargement or during the talks for the access of Turkey.”

‘Without regard for heroes and villains’

Nawrocki’s presidency could mark a turning point. While some hope his background will bring institutional focus and structured dialogue to the issue, others fear it will deepen nationalist framings and hinder reconciliation. Among the critics is Volodymyr Viatrovych, former head of Ukraine’s own Institute of National Memory and often described as the architect of Kyiv’s historical policy after Maidan. Viatrovych accused Nawrocki of having “destroyed the Museum of the Second World War in Gdańsk [where he was director before joining the IPN] and politicised the Polish Institute of National Remembrance.”

Viatrovych has also been accused of shaping Ukrainian national narratives through controversial actions, particularly his whitewashing of the UPA’s role in the war. Kasianov pointed out, “Viatrovych would not have played any role had populists not taken advantage of his activities: from Lyashko and Klitschko to Tymoshenko and Poroshenko, and the remnants of Rukh and its derivatives (like the Ukrainian People’s Party).”

“And of course, Putin helped: because the agenda of the OUN/Svoboda was promoted under the cover of fighting Communism, Soviet legacy, ultimately Russia. In general, it is the right-wing, conservative, and populist forces in both Poland and Ukraine, the real promoters of the conflict, that resemble Siamese twins, as they consistently exploit memory politics whenever it suits them. This is not a conflict between nations or peoples, but between ideologically kindred segments within both societies”.

Within such a heated debate, the task for politicians and public opinions perhaps should be trying to combine the search for historical justice with promoting reconciliation between different communities. Hrytsak and Leszczyński point to Franco-German relations as a potential model for the future. According to the Ukrainian historian, in terms of its significance, this situation can be compared to the reconciliation between France and Germany after World War II. “To the extent that the latter served as a building block for the EU, the Polish-Ukrainian reconciliation created an opportunity to extend the EU further east,” he said.

Leszczyński also said that “the German-French model, or even the Polish-German one, would be appropriate here. We have to acknowledge that both sides were responsible, but first we must establish the facts. The facts are that Polish people were killed. You also have to acknowledge that Ukrainian people were killed on a much smaller scale, and that the Ukrainian movement was persecuted in pre-war Poland. After the war, Ukrainians were second-class citizens in Poland,” he said.

“You have to present the whole story, and then both sides have to admit their faults. Then they can move past the issue and build their friendship on historical truth. The Polish-German and German-French models are good examples of this. They have been able to remove historical disputes from ordinary lives and leave them to the historians.”

Himka points out, “the only way forward is to investigate everything that happened, in its full complexity, without regard for heroes and villains. This is tough academic work, and it will not result in an easily summarised and comforting narrative for any of the national egos involved. Ukraine should take a sober look at the violence OUN-UPA inflicted on national minorities and on its opponents, while Poles have to reckon with the great and painful errors of its interwar republic and the aspirations of its underground in World War II. And it would help if the Russians also came clean about the Stalinist past in reference to Poles and Ukrainians.”

Of course, says Himka, this is a taller order that can be managed at present, in the midst of a war of aggression waged by the Kremlin. Yet, it is the only viable one — otherwise Poland and Ukraine risk being caught in a perpetual cycle of accusations, victimisation and counterproductive uncomprehension. This would not only confuse the past, but also jeopardise the future.


Bloody Amputation: Trump’s “Peace” for Ukraine

Wednesday 20 August 2025, by David Finkel


THE TRAJECTORY WAS always clear to anyone who was paying attention, and knew how to filter out the noise of Donald Trump’s empty threats of “severe sanctions to destroy Russia’s economy,” let alone 500% tariffs on Russia’s oil customers, if there weren’t an “immediate cease-fire” in the Ukraine war.

When Trump met Vladimir Putin at the Munich-in-Anchorage summit, the agenda was the betrayal of Ukraine. This was ordained from the moment of the Trump-Vance ambush of president Zelensky in their infamous February White House encounter, if not even earlier.




A nation targeted for carveup. (Source: Institute for the Study of War)

It was always Trump’s view, along with the Christian-nationalist far-right sector of the MAGA cult, that the war was Ukraine’s fault from the beginning and that its only option is to surrender on whatever terms Russia’s superior power imposes.

So Trump flew to Alaska blathering cease-fire, while Putin arrived with the proposition for working out a “permanent solution addressing the root causes of the conflict.” That sounds statesmanlike, except for the detail that for Putin’s Russia, the basic “root cause” is Ukraine’s existence as an independent country with the capacity to set its own course and defend itself.

That independent Ukraine is what needs to be eliminated, beginning with the amputation of a fifth of its territory and continuing on to impose a vassal regime. That’s Moscow’s “comprehensive peace” — and Trump of course folded like the cheap empty suit he really is when facing a situation he can’t dominate.

As a bonus, according to Trump, Putin advised him that getting rid of mail-in voting is necessary to guarantee “free elections,” an area in which the Russian president-for-life is a leading expert.

Meanwhile, every day in Gaza dozens of people die of starvation — soon to be hundreds at least — as unrestricted U.S. weapons, not available to Ukraine, flow to Israel’s genocidal slaughter.
European Rescue?

Following the Alaska debacle, European leaders scrambled to Washington to protect the Ukrainian president from a repeat of the February catastrophe. They came deploying the mixture of flattery that Trump requires, with proclamations of solidarity with president Zelensky and phrases of “security guarantees” for Ukraine.

It’s entirely unclear what these hypothetical commitments might mean. Putin immediately responded with 270 drones and missiles hitting Ukrainian civilian and energy infrastructure targets. As The Economist online (August 18) explains:


What Russia cannot get by fighting it is demanding to be given on a plate through the pressure that Donald Trump can put on Ukraine and on America’s European allies. At the top of Vladimir Putin’s shopping-list is the western part of Donetsk province, which is still firmly in Ukrainian hands. But it is not just the symbolism that is important to him. The real prize is to force Ukraine to abandon its strategically critical “fortress belt,” a 30-mile (50km) line that comprises four cities and several towns, which stands in the way not only of Russia’s goal of gaining the whole of Donbas, but also of its ability to threaten other regions.

Not a problem for Trump, evidently. But how then can he get away with perpetrating this treachery?

Truthfully, in the final analysis the fate of Ukraine — like that of Palestine —is not of first-rate importance for the strategic interests of U.S. imperialism. Trump’s buffoonery in the face of a sharp operator like Putin is an American embarrassment, but nothing fatal.

What about the Russian threat? Three years of war have actually demonstrated its relative weakness. If it could not overrun Ukraine, much less could it challenge a middle-rank military state like Poland. What happens to Donetsk, Luhansk and the rest of eastern Ukraine is hugely important for that country and the region, but not for Washington so long as there is no threat of a Europe-wide war.

Since Russia’s all-out invasion in 2022 the United States, first under Biden and now Trump, gave Ukraine’s heroic resistance the weapons and crucial intelligence to prevent Ukraine’s defeat but not to win the war (which would also have been a terminal crisis for the Putin regime).

Today, the greatest dangers for Ukraine and its people appear to be exhaustion and demographic crisis, as the current population of 39 million is sharply down from 52 million at the point of independence in 1991.

For Trump’s family and cronies, Putin’s Russia now appears to present opportunities for business deals and enrichment — on far grander scales than his previous absurdist Mar-a-Gaza resort fantasy.

Meanwhile the genocider Netanyahu has given Trump the gift of a nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize. Little chance of that (unless the peace prize committee can be bought), but perhaps a special “Neville Chamberlain Peace in Our Time” medal could be struck in the president’s honor.

The small consolation in this episode is that Donald Trump, with all his bullying of people without the power to fight back, is exposed as a blustering fool on the world stage when there’s even a second-tier adversary. To some limited extent, U.S. “world leadership” is also weakened. These are good things, but not worth the sacrifice of Ukraine on the altar of cynicism and expediency.

[The Ukraine Solidarity Network (U.S.) is raising funds for urgently needed medical diagnostic equipment needed by front-line nurses.]

19 August 2025

Source Against the Current.


Attached documentsbloody-amputation-trump-s-peace-for-ukraine_a9137.pdf (PDF - 998.3 KiB)
Extraction PDF [->article9137]

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David Finkel is an editor of Against the Current, published by the US socialist organization Solidarity (www.solidarity-us.org)


International Viewpoint is published under the responsibility of the Bureau of the Fourth International. Signed articles do not necessarily reflect editorial policy. Articles can be reprinted with acknowledgement, and a live link if possible.


Under a drone canopy, Ukraine army medics rely on robots and luck


By AFP
August 22, 2025


Drones are forcing military medics to find new ways to retrieve wounded to field hospitals - Copyright AFP Genya SAVILOV


Barbara WOJAZER

When Magician, a Ukrainian serviceman, was remotely steering a robot hauling a wounded soldier away from the front line towards safety, the worst-case scenario played out on his monitor.

The 27-year-old, who asked AFP to identify him by his call sign in line with military protocol, was navigating the bot on a journey with life-or-death stakes when grey smoke appeared on his control screen. His machine had hit a mine.

The proliferation of cheap but deadly drones deployed by Russian and Ukrainian forces has irreversibly changed how the war is being waged — including how frontline medics retrieve the wounded from the battlefield.

“For five minutes, that person’s death was on my conscience,” Magician told AFP.

He believed in that moment the mission — and the soldier’s life — were lost.

The canopy of killer drones blanketing the skies over the front line is forcing military medics to find new ways to move wounded to field hospitals for treatment, including by robot.

At the beginning of Russia’s full-scale invasion in early 2022, medics could rush onto the battlefield and carry hurt troops out by stretcher or vehicles.

Drones have made that almost impossible.

Military medic Olena Ivanenko recounted painful episodes when she was unable to reach wounded soldiers less than one kilometre (half-a-mile) away.

“I was hearing their voices on the radio and yet I couldn’t do anything,” she said.



– ‘You’re too far’ –



The “kill zone,” where drones make any movement potentially fatal, stretches for up to 10 kilometres (6 miles) behind the front line on the Ukrainian side, analysts say.

“When a brother or sister dies, it’s already done. You can’t bring them back, but when there is a chance to save someone and you can’t do it because you’re too far — that’s very tough,” said Ivanenko, a medic with Ukraine’s 412th regiment.

The excruciating helplessness has forced medics to get creative in their work.

Ivanenko said her unit often sends food or medication to stranded service members by aerial drone, even sending syringes filled with medicine and explaining remotely how to administer it.

Evacuation robots like Magician’s are part of the solution, but only skilled operators can carry out delicate missions.

“It must be done very carefully you shouldn’t make any sudden movements,” said Krop, a robot operator in the 5th brigade who also used his military call-sign.

At a training ground in eastern Ukraine, he demonstrated to AFP the nimble movements the robots are capable of, steering it via a hand-held controller complete with a screen and triggers on the sides.

Krop sent the robot ploughing through a sunflower field, and spun the machine in one spot while another pilot held on to the platform for carrying the wounded.



– ‘Shaking’ –



Their attitudes shift on mission said Bot, a pilot in the 5th brigade.

“It’s someone’s life,” the 24-year-old told AFP. “It’s not just a game or a toy. We’re not playing.”

The robots are slow, which means Russian drones can easily locate and target them, that is if they don’t hit mines.

The toll of failed evacuations — of lives lost — weighs heavily on the pilots.

“You get half-an-hour of self-flagellation, and then you think ‘dammit, it was the bastards who killed them. I wasn’t the one who shot them’,” Magician said.

Magician thought all was lost when his bot carrying the wounded soldier hit the mine.

But staring at the monitor showing plumes of smoke billowing from the vehicle, he saw a figure crawling to safety and the team dispatched another robot.

“At that moment you’re driving and your whole body is shaking — except the fingers holding the joystick,” Magician said.

The return journey lasted hours, including moments that were painful for the wounded soldier, over potholes, dips and bumps.

“I felt a little sorry for him. Fifteen kilometres in a shaking basket isn’t very comfortable,” Magician said.

“But I pulled him out.”

WAR IS ECOCIDE

New Ukrainian Strike Halts Pipeline Oil Flow to Hungary and Slovakia Again

HUNGARY IS PUTIN'S BITCH

Just days after flows on the Druzhba oil pipeline to Hungary and Slovakia resumed following a Ukrainian attack on a pumping station, Ukraine hit the infrastructure anew, and supplies to the central European countries were suspended again.  

Major Robert Brovdi, the commander of Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces, said early on Friday that Ukraine had again hit the pumping station at Unecha.  

Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto posted on Facebook on Friday that due to the latest attack, oil pipeline deliveries would be halted for at least five days.

Ukraine harms Hungary and Slovakia with these attacks on the Druzhba pipeline, not Russia, Szijjarto said, adding that the oil pipeline plays a key role in ensuring Hungary’s energy security. 

The Druzhba pipeline carries Russian crude to Central Europe. The pipeline is a key artery of oil supply from Russia to Europe, with two branches – a northern one via Belarus that supplies Belarus, Poland, Germany, Latvia, and Lithuania, and a southern one passing through Ukraine and sending oil to the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and Croatia.

Russian crude oil flows via pipeline are not subject to sanctions or embargoes, as landlocked central European countries don’t have much choice.

While the Czech Republic earlier this year became independent from Russian deliveries via the Druzhba pipeline, for the first time ever, Hungary and Slovakia have continued to rely on the Soviet-era infrastructure for most of their crude oil supply.  

The latest attack is the second hit on the Druzhba pipeline this week, after oil flows were halted at the beginning of the week, following a Ukrainian attack. Oil deliveries to Hungary via the Druzhba pipeline were restored on Wednesday, but they were suspended again on Friday.

Hungary continues to blame Ukraine for the attacks on what it says is its energy security, while Hungary and Slovakia called on the European Commission to uphold its energy security promises to protect critical energy infrastructure.  

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

Lebanon’s Sovereignty Battle Isn’t Just Over Arms

Thursday 21 August 2025, by Joseph Daher, Sami Atallah, Sami Zoughaib


In early August 2025, Lebanon’s cabinet approved a landmark, though deeply polarizing, decision: tasking the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) with drafting a plan to bring all weapons under state control by year’s end. Widely seen as the first formal step toward disarming Hezbollah, the decision sparked immediate backlash. Four Shi’ite ministers walked out of the cabinet session, Hezbollah leaders denounced it as a “grave sin,” and warnings followed that any enforcement under Israeli fire would be met with retaliation.


The episode crystallizes Lebanon’s sovereignty dilemma. Backed by Western donors, the government is pursuing force consolidation on the belief that sovereignty begins with coercive authority. Yet this moment exposes the deeper problem: a fragile state, fractured by war, foreign influence, and political paralysis, attempting to claim sovereignty by decree.

Sovereignty is often defined as the state’s monopoly over the use of force and its independence in foreign affairs, premised on functional institutions, fiscal stability, and legitimacy. Lebanon has none of these. Coercive authority without institutional credibility cannot hold territory or command loyalty; an army cannot defend a state that cannot govern.

A more durable vision, sovereignty from below, starts with the state’s ability to deliver services, secure rights, and include citizens in political life. In Lebanon’s case, the question is not only who holds the weapons, but whether the state is seen as legitimate, capable, and inclusive.

The security-first approach now underway is fundamentally flawed. Lebanon cannot rebuild sovereignty from above through military consolidation alone. It must be grounded in political legitimacy, fiscal autonomy, and institutional capacity. And that begins with confronting the reality of Lebanon’s current position: a state besieged on multiple fronts, militarily, economically, and politically, whose path to sovereignty cannot be separated from the threats it faces and the means it commands.
Lebanon’s Sovereignty Under Siege

To understand why force consolidation is not enough, one must first grasp the scale and nature of the pressures Lebanon faces today. Four overlapping challenges define this moment.

First, Israel’s 2024 war on Lebanon left over 4,000 dead, including 316 children, and displaced more than one million people. Despite a ceasefire in November, Israel has committed more than 5,000 violations and continues to occupy positions south of the Litani River. Moreover, Israel continues to violate Lebanon’s sovereignty and assassinate individuals, more than 300 since the conclusion of the ceasefire, with the continuous support, explicit or not, of the USA and western powers.

Second, the collapse of the Assad regime in December 2024 did not close the security gap along the Syrian frontier. In March, clashes erupted between Lebanese clans in border areas and armed forces loyal to the new Syrian authorities led by Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS).

Third, Hezbollah operates as a powerful parallel armed security actor, integrated into Iran’s regional strategy and entrenched in areas neglected by the state.

Finally, Western military aid, such as the $95 million the U.S. released in March, is increasingly tied to the LAF’s role in “containing Hezbollah and Iran,” constraining policy autonomy.

Taken together, these dynamics mean that the debate over sovereignty is not merely about the status of Hezbollah’s weapons. It is about whether the Lebanese state can act independently in the face of both domestic veto players and external conditions. That independence depends not only on the political will to act, but on the capacity to do so.
An Army Stretched Beyond Its Means

At the heart of Lebanon’s security dilemma stands the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF). Tasked with securing the South, guarding the Syrian frontier, and assuming Hezbollah’s deterrent role, the LAF is expected to deliver national defense while remaining neutral in a country deeply divided over its mission.

Its resources make this mission implausible. The 2025 defense budget stands at $800 million, with 67% consumed by salaries. Once operating costs are deducted, just $24 million, or 3%, is left for training, modernization, and equipment. NATO guidelines call for 20% on modernization, [1] while Israel spends more than $5 billion annually on military R&D alone. [2]

The disparity is staggering. Per soldier, Lebanon spends $10,600 each year; Israel spends $273,560. Per capita, Lebanon’s defense spending collapsed from $457 in 2018 to $30 in 2021, a 93% drop, before rebounding to $110 in 2024, still 76% below pre-crisis levels. [3]

This is not merely a matter of low numbers, it is about strategic dependency. The LAF relies almost entirely on foreign donors for fuel, equipment, and logistics. Such dependency limits operational independence, undermines strategic credibility, and exposes the institution to political leverage. In effect, Lebanon is being asked to act as a sovereign security actor using tools it does not control and resources it does not own.

This mismatch between mandate and means forces a harder question: if Lebanon cannot fund or equip the army to fulfil its assigned role, what strategic options remain open to it?
The Neutrality Mirage

With alliances and band wagoning politically impossible, some advocate neutrality as Lebanon’s strategic path. In theory, neutrality fits the country’s plural political identity and offers a way to avoid entanglement in regional wars.

In practice, neutrality is meaningless without the resources and legitimacy to enforce it. Countries that have successfully anchored neutrality in their national strategy back it with substantial investment: Switzerland spends around $683 per capita on defense, Austria $473, and even Ireland, often seen as militarily modest, spends $243. Lebanon’s 2024 figure was just $110. [4]

Nor is neutrality simply about money. These states enjoy broad public trust in their militaries, grounded in perceptions of impartiality and national ownership. Lebanon has neither the fiscal means nor the cohesive legitimacy to make neutrality a credible policy without deep political and institutional reform.

That gap points to a larger truth: before Lebanon can credibly choose a defence posture, neutrality or otherwise, it must first address the internal deficits that make any strategy unsustainable. That means starting not with the army, but with the state itself.
Rebuilding from Below

A credible sovereignty strategy must begin where Lebanon is most fragile: in its legitimacy and its capacity. Reclaiming legitimacy requires dismantling the sectarian patronage system and replacing it with a secular, proportional framework that allows for genuine cross-sectarian and class-based representation. Only through such a shift can political authority be anchored in broad consent rather than in narrow confessional bargains.

But legitimacy without capacity is hollow. Fiscal sovereignty must be restored through progressive taxation and by reducing reliance on foreign financing. Economic independence also depends on redirecting investment toward productive sectors and historically marginalized regions, breaking the post-war model of finance-driven growth that deepened dependency and inequality. Finally, the state must reassert itself as the primary provider of essential services, re-establishing the social contract on which meaningful sovereignty rests.

These steps would not only strengthen the state but also erode the parallel legitimacy that sustains non-state armed actors. This is why the question of Hezbollah’s arms should be approached differently than it is today.
Disarmament as an Outcome, not a Precondition

Hezbollah’s military power is sustained not only by its alliance with Iran but also by the vacuum left by state failure. Demanding its disarmament before rebuilding the state reverses the sequence.

If the state can defend borders, provide services, and protect rights, the social and political rationale for Hezbollah’s arms will weaken. Disarmament would then be the natural result of restored state credibility.

Seen in this light, military consolidation is not the starting line for sovereignty, it is the finish line of a much broader process of state reconstruction.
From Assertion to Construction

The post-2006 experience offers a warning: when the state abandons reconstruction, it cedes legitimacy to others. If the state once again withdraws from that role in 2025, the result will be a deeper crisis of sovereignty.

True sovereignty cannot be declared through cabinet votes or donor communiqués. It must be built politically, fiscally, and institutionally. The LAF can guard the borders, but only a reconstituted state can safeguard its population.

When citizens see the state not as an enforcer but as a guarantor of rights, Lebanon will have moved from asserting sovereignty to constructing it.

19 August 2025

Prepared by The Policy Initiative in collaboration with Friedrich Ebert Stiftung (FES). The article reflects the authors’ views and not necessarily those of FES. This article is based on a forthcoming paper.

1. NATO. 2014. Wales Summit Declaration.

2. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. 2025. Military Expenditure Database

3. Ibid.



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Footnotes


[1] NATO. 2014. Wales Summit Declaration.


[2] Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. 2025. Military Expenditure Database.


[3] Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. 2025. Military Expenditure Database.


[4] Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. 2025. Military Expenditure Database.

Lebanon
Georges has returned, Ziad has left us!
Israel does not want peace!
Where is Syria headed?
Solidarity with Palestine and the Struggle from Below
Lebanon’s Ceasefire is No “Divine Victory”



Joseph Daher


Joseph Daher is a Swiss-Syrian academic and activist. He is the author of Syria After the Uprising: The Political Economy of State Resilience (Pluto, 2019) and Hezbollah: The Political Economy of Lebanon’s Party of God (Pluto, 2016), and founder of the blog Syria Freedom Forever. He is also co-founder of the Alliance of Middle Eastern and North African Socialists.


Sami Zoughaib


Sami Zoughaib is an Economist and Research Manager at The Policy Initiative. His work at TPI focuses on Lebanon’s political economy, governance structures, macroeconomics, and local economic development. He previously led and worked on several research projects at the Lebanese Center for Policy Studies focusing on international donor conferences, parliamentary elections, and monitoring legislative production and reform. Sami holds an MA in Public Policy from the University of Reading and a BA in Economics from the American University of Beirut.

Sami Atallah


Dr. Sami Atallah is the Founding Director of The Policy Initiative. He is trained in economics and political science, and was the director of the Lebanese Center for Policy Studies from January 2011 till December 2020. He holds an MA in International and Development Economics from Yale University, an MA in Quantitative Methods from Columbia University, and a PhD in Politics from New York University.


International Viewpoint is published under the responsibility of the Bureau of the Fourth International. Signed articles do not necessarily reflect editorial policy. Articles can be reprinted with acknowledgement, and a live link if possible.


Afghanistan

Women in the Shadow of Global Fascism: The Narrative of an Afghan Girl & a Truth Which Knows No Boundaries


Friday 22 August 2025, by Azadeh Omid


For the past four years, I have been breathing in a country where the sky is constantly collapsing on women’s heads. As an Afghan girl, I welcome each sunrise not knowing whether I will see sunset on that day. In the ominous shadow of the Taliban, being a woman is not only a limitation but a crime, a crime whose punishment is exclusion from social and human life.

Every time I hear that the Taliban have arrested women for reasons such as “not wearing the hijab” or “insubordination,” my heart aches. When I leave the house, the mandatory hijab is not only covering my body but also acting like a chain around my neck and mind. Security is meaningless even at home. The silence of the evening is broken with the thought that “tomorrow might be my turn.”

This nightmare is not personal. It is collective. Hundreds of thousands of women in Afghanistan today are experiencing this anxiety and repression. We are stuck in a trap that gives us no escape route and no courage to endure. But I have to say that this hell was not built by the Taliban alone. It is the direct product of dealmaking by great powers: The U.S., NATO, Pakistan, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Russia and China. Each have turned our country into a chessboard with their economic and military interests. A chessboard in which women’s lives and freedom are merely a worthless pawn.

This catastrophe is not just the story of Afghanistan. Fascism, regardless of its appearance and language, is an enemy of women’s freedom and equality, whether in the form of religious fundamentalists in Kabul or the new rulers in Washington D.C who use the language of hatred and discrimination to pave the way for violence and inequality. The rise of Trump in the U.S. was a global warning siren and not merely a domestic crisis. When a woman loses her right to control over her own body, the echo of this defeat also reaches Afghanistan, Iran, Palestine, Syria . . .

The history of women’s struggles has shown that fascism and authoritarianism can only grow when silence and complicity take over. This silence, whether in the form of indifference of nations or conciliationism among rulers is the oxygen that keeps the flames of authoritarianism alive. Women in the U.S., Iran, Palestine, Kurdistan, Turkey, Ukraine, Russia, Chile, Spain, South Africa, Afghanistan and many other parts of world have learned through struggle and resistance that emancipation is not a gift from above. Freedom has to come from below, from the heart of the streets, from the voices of women, and from courage and solidarity.

I am still here, in a country that wants to silence me and forget me. But every day, even if no one hears my voice, there is a flame inside me that says “no.” This “no” is not only directed at the Taliban but at any system that marginalizes women whether in the name of religion or under the cover of fake democracy.

Our emancipation is intertwined with taking charge of our own destiny. No foreign power, even with the claim to freedom, will liberate us. Just as fascism has no borders, our struggle also needs to be global, a network of women and men who rise up against domination, inequality and violence in all parts of the world.

I am an Afghan girl but my story is the story of all women who are struggling in today’s world for the right to breathe, make decisions and live. So long as this struggle continues, fascism will not become everlasting.

21 August 2025

Source New Politics.


Translated by International Viewpoint from l’Anticapitaliste.

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Azadeh Omid


International Viewpoint is published under the responsibility of the Bureau of the Fourth International. Signed articles do not necessarily reflect editorial policy. Articles can be reprinted with acknowledgement, and a live link if possible.



 

Burkina Faso’s Ibrahim Traoré: conservative anti-democratic despot or anti-imperialist hero?


Anti-ECOWAS protest

First published at Amandla!.

Amandla! sent a series of questions to Rahmane Idrissa. Here are the questions and his answers.

Ibrahim Traoré came to power in a coup in 2022. What was the situation in the country that led to the coup?

Traoré came to power by toppling another coup maker, Lt.-Col. Paul-Henri Damiba, who, himself, had overthrown the elected ruler, Roch March Christian Kaboré, in January 2022. It is impossible to understand these two coups without considering the dominant fact in the Sahel at that point: the Jihadist war that has been raging in Mali since 2012, and has engulfed Burkina from 2016-18 onwards. Neither Mali nor Burkina were equipped to fight the Jihadist guerrillas. There was a plan, set up in partnership with France and other Western states, to end the problem, but it was itself riddled with problems. The greatest of them was that it divided public opinion into nationalists, who considered cooperation with the West as tainted by imperialism, and pragmatists who wanted to make the most of that cooperation.

In Mali, the picture was a bit more complicated than this, but when the military took over in 2020, they chose to rely on the nationalists and call on Russia to help. This meant that they rejected Western help.

This conduct galvanised the nationalists of Burkina Faso, who expected Damiba to act the same way. He did not. In fact, despite the nationalist narrative, Damiba knew that French help was efficient, both in terms of killing off the Jihadist leadership and providing operational intelligence and support for ground expeditions, cost-free. The founder of Burkina’s Jihadist vehicle, Ansarul Dine, died within a year of the creation of this vehicle, following a French helicopter attack. So did the leaders of MUJAW, a Jihadist group that organised bomb and gun attacks in Ouagadougou and Grand Bassam, in Côte d’Ivoire, in 2016. The nationalists, however, had decided that France, not the Jihadists, was the enemy. They believe, or pretend to believe, that the Jihadists are minions of the French. Thus, they were very happy when Traoré overthrew Damiba nine months later.

When he took power, Traoré promised to end the Jihadist war within twelve months and then retire. He said he did not make a coup for the sake of power and would respect ‘human values.’ The first person who congratulated him was Russian Yevgeny Prigozhin, the now-deceased head of the mercenary outfit Wagner. Prigozhin touted him as an anti-colonial fighter.

Traoré has betrayed the three promises he made:

  • The Jihadists are today more powerful than ever, having taken control of the rural areas in at least 50 percent of the territory and being able to freely act everywhere else;
  • He has given himself a tenure of five years of absolute power (Damiba wanted ‘only’ three years); and
  • His war is by far the most brutal waged in the three countries of the Sahel.

You’ve described Traoré’s leadership as presenting itself as a ‘revolution’. Is this a genuinely revolutionary process, or is it simply a consolidation of authoritarian rule?

It is an authoritarian revolution, the opposite of a democratic one. In October 2014, the Burkinabès revolted against the despot Blaise Compaoré. A year later, a military loyalist made a coup against the interim democratic government in an attempt to restore Compaoré. The population rose up again and stopped him. In none of these episodes did the army play a role. So the people called it a revolution. The term is excessive, since the political conditions were not changed, but it was understandable. When the leaders of that popular movement wanted to commemorate its anniversary in October 2023 (as they had done before), the machete-wielding supporters of Traoré, known as Wayiyan (‘Get Out!’), threatened to attack anyone who organised such a ceremony. Needless to say, it did not happen. Since then, all of the leaders have been either arrested — with no known charge — or fled the country. In Traoré’s Burkina, one is either behind him, and thus a patriot, or against him, and hence an apatride (French for ‘without a fatherland’, or a stateless person).

Understanding the difficult economic and political situation facing Burkina Faso, what is Traoré doing differently from the corrupt and compradorist leadership of the past? What are the ordinary people of Burkina Faso experiencing on the ground? What concrete policies is he advancing to overcome underdevelopment and the extreme poverty facing the majority?

RI: It is a bit surreal to speak of development in a country, half of which is basically an ungoverned war zone. Traoré is prodigal in symbolic decisions, but many of these are in fact old projects that he takes up and tries to push to an extreme that would garner the plaudits of the hero-worshippers. One example is to make education free from primary school to university. Free education was legislated some years ago, though implementation is difficult, given the puny state budgets. Traoré extends it to the university. This is a decision that was not preceded by any debates about how to fund it and make it work, what good it would do, etc., especially since the fundamental problem is the quality of the education, not its cost. In any case, free debate is verboten in Traoré’s Burkina. The sensible types who, for some reason, support him are a bit schizophrenic for that reason. I have mentored a Burkinabè think tank whose members want to believe in Traoré, but who find it extremely difficult to do their work — which is about development — because everyone is keeping their head down. No one wants to speak or share any information. There is neither law nor political patronage, only one man’s rule.

Traoré’s government claims to be fighting Islamist insurgents. Has his regime made any meaningful progress with this? How is his legitimacy being maintained among ordinary Burkinabè?

Traoré is failing, like the two other Sahel juntas, though in his own peculiar way. This involves a degree of violence against civilians of Fulani origin that is so great that some call it genocide. It is more of a vendetta. Of course, the Islamists are also very violent. But their violence is increased by the state’s violence. It’s a bloody cycle. In any case, Burkina is where the Jihadists are making the most progress today, and that worries the Nigerians. Without saying it publicly, they resent Traoré’s anti-Fulani animus, since it radicalises the Fulani on their side of the border too.

I find the word legitimacy irrelevant in this context. We basically have two Burkinas: one which worships Traoré and another which hates him. It is hard to say which one is the majority; maybe it’s a third one — the Burkina of those who have resigned themselves and sigh, ‘Allons seulement’. This is a phrase whose words are French but whose meaning is African. It means, ‘let’s carry on since there’s nothing we can do.’ In any case, the Traoré worshippers and followers are the only ones you would hear in Burkina, since the public square has been turned into a platform for them. The others are silenced or in exile.

Burkina Faso has won some anti-imperialist credentials by pulling out of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and forging new alliances with Mali and Niger. What actually lies behind this move, and what is its meaning for the region? And what is the role of Russia?

The exit from ECOWAS is anti-democracy, not anti-imperialist. The idea is not to be bound by the rules of ECOWAS, which prescribe democracy. In any case, ECOWAS never punished Traoré’s transgressions. Unlike Mali, Burkina was not subjected to an embargo, and unlike Niger, it was not threatened with an anti-putsch intervention. You’d note that Burkina is still in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU), the organisation of the CFA countries of West Africa, which has some institutional connections with the French Treasury. The rules of WAEMU do not disturb those juntas, because they are more technical than political, i.e., they do not come with political conditions. The juntas also like the fact that they can raise money on their bond markets more easily than elsewhere. Moreover, they take money from the IMF and the World Bank.

So far, ECOWAS is not acting on the exit, which is a relief. The livelihood of most ordinary Sahelians depends on relations with countries in the Gulf of Guinea. The combined diaspora population of Burkina, Mali and Niger in Cote d’Ivoire is higher than its native population. Imagine if Côte d’Ivoire decides that all these people now need a visa and a residence permit to stay in the country! ECOWAS is the security valve of the impoverished and overpopulated Sahel. Only ideological hysteria and the selfishness of privileged elites can explain the actions of the three juntas as regards that organisation.

Russia is the patron of the three juntas. In Burkina and Mali, it offers them protection services. I have lost count of how many times Traoré has announced having defeated a coup plot, and I am pretty sure that a good many of these plots were invented just to purge the army. But this shows that he is fearful. At this point, his bodyguards are Russians, not Burkinabès. They even search his ministers when they come to see him. This is how Françafrique, the obsolete neo-colonial system of the French, began. Traoré’s Burkina has apparently set out to become a pillar of Russiafrique, alongside Mali, the Central African Republic, and perhaps Niger. France was accused of ‘plundering’ the country despite not having any mining company in Burkina. Today, Nordgold, Russia’s gold miner, is like a pig in clover in the country.

To what extent does he draw on the legacy of Thomas Sankara? Would you characterise him as socialist in orientation?

No, the times are not the same. Sankara came of age in the seventies, at a time when socialist literacy was very high in Africa and people actually read, thought/debated, and wrote profusely. I remember reading Marx in secondary school! Traoré is the voice of a more recent mood of sombre Pan-Africanism that is built on historical resentment, identity obsessions, and conservative views of society — patriarchal, religious, and homophobic. (Burkina, like Mali and Niger, has criminalised homosexuality, to the plaudits of the masses). He is persecuting social progressives and relies on the support of religious leaders, customary authorities, and cultural fundamentalists. This does create some disciplinarian rallying in support of things like pride in ‘Burkinabè cultures’ and things like that. But this is closer to the stilted cultural mobilisation in support of the leader, seen under previous military dictatorships, than to the sunny expressiveness that suffused the Maison du Peuple in the time of Sankara.

Is there a popular organisation on the ground and what is it organising around? How has the government responded?

There is no free organisation in Burkina. The era of democracy, even under the despotism of Compaoré, had brought to life a bustling public scene of professional unions, press organisations, and civil and religious associations. Today, these have all been brought to heel. The leaders of the civil associations, who kept Compaoré on his toes, have fled, are in prison, or are silent. For example, there was a pogrom in a Fulani village, where photos and videos were taken by the perpetrators — members of the Burkina military and their auxiliaries, the VDP, i.e., Volunteers for the Defence of the Fatherland. These were leaked in the press and on social media, and the leaders of the press union were all arrested. And then, there are the Wayiyan, the mob militia of the regime.

The real action happens online, opposing the social media warriors of Traoré with those of the exiled civil society and press. But that fight has so far had little political impact. In Burkina itself, the press is tightly controlled, the television is full of propaganda, and the regime’s information bureau presents a rosy picture of the country’s situation. People in the towns of the centre and south, far from the Jihadist war, are ready to accept this, if only in an Allons seulement way.

Abdourahmane (Rahmane) Idrissa is a political scientist at Leiden University’s Africa Studies Centre and at Sharjah’s Africa Institute (UAE).