Wednesday, July 16, 2025


Simple rules govern soil microbiome responses to environmental change



Research from UChicago shows how environmental changes lead to predictable responses in soil microbiome metabolism



 News Release 

University of Chicago





Just like any living organism, the soil has its own metabolism. Plants, worms, insects, and most importantly, microorganisms in the soil, break down organic matter, consume and generate nutrients, and process other materials to give the soil a life of its own. Soil microbiomes, which drive much of the metabolism in these ecosystems, are immensely complex – comprised of thousands of species with untold interactions and dynamics.

Given the complexity of the soil, however, it can be nearly impossible to understand how the communities of microbes living there respond to changes in the environment, such as temperature, moisture, acidity, and nutrient availability. Solving this problem is critical if we want to understand how soil microbiomes adapt to ever-changing environmental conditions and climate change.

New research from the University of Chicago shows that a deceptively simple mathematical model can describe how the soil responds to environmental change. Using just two variables, the model shows that changes in pH levels consistently result in three distinct metabolic states of the community.

The study, published this week in Nature, highlights how describing the collective behavior of complex systems mathematically can cut through the complexity, enabling predictions of how the soil and its metabolism will respond to change.  Ultimately, this will help scientists design interventions for improving agriculture or restoring ecosystems.

“When people think about these ecosystems, they assume you have to write down a mathematical description of the entire system, which involves thousands of variables, interacting species, and the resources they're consuming,” said Seppe Kuehn, PhD, Associate Professor of Ecology and Evolution at the University of Chicago, and the senior author of the paper. “So, the fact that we were able to describe this in a simple way was extremely intellectually satisfying.”

A herculean effort to analyze the soil

The study is the result of a herculean effort by Kiseok Lee, a graduate student in Kuehn’s lab. He sampled 20 natural soils across the pH gradient from Cook Agronomy Farm in Pullman, Washington, that have large natural variations in pH but few differences in other environmental factors. Then, he manipulated each native soil’s pH by small increments in the lab, resulting in 1,500 microcosm experiments.

The pH level is a measure of the concentration of hydrogen ions in a solution. Lower pH means more acidic (more hydrogen ions), and higher pH means more basic or alkaline (fewer hydrogen ions).

Levels of pH in the soil are important because they affect the types of microorganisms living there, their metabolic activity, and the soil’s chemistry. The researchers wanted to test the effects of changing pH on anaerobic nitrate respiration, which is the process by which anaerobic microbes (i.e. ones that don’t require oxygen) use nitrate to generate energy. Nitrate respiration is a key metabolic process in agriculture and soil health.

Lee painstakingly placed samples onto plates, each with 48 wells for holding the soil, along with some water, nitrates, and acid or base solution to change the pH. Preparing and incubating the samples took months. After that, Lee took time-series measurements of nitrate in each microcosm—a total of 15,000 measurements, all by hand. “I was the machine,” Lee said, when asked if he was able to automate any of the sampling and testing.

Deceptively simple modeling

Lee and Kuehn worked with Siqi Liu, PhD, co-first author and a former graduate student in the lab of study co-corresponding author Madhav Mani, PhD, Associate Professor of Engineering Sciences and Applied Mathematics at Northwestern University, along with co-corresponding author Mikhail Tikhonov, PhD, Associate Professor of Physics at Washington University in St. Louis.

The team created a model to describe the dynamics in each of the 1,500 samples as they metabolized the nitrate. They found that a simple model predicted the activity with just two parameters: indigenous biomass activity and the amount of growth-limiting nutrient available. Depending on how the pH was changed, they saw three consistent results:

  • Regime I, or the “acidic death regime”:  Large changes toward acidity caused the death of functional biomass
  • Regime II, “nutrient-limiting regime”: During moderate changes, acidic or basic, the nitrate metabolism was limited by the availability of a limiting nutrient (carbon), resulting in linear nitrate dynamics
  • Regime III, “resurgent growth regime”: Large changes toward basic conditions caused dominant groups of microbes to become less active, while rare groups rapidly grew and metabolized nitrate exponentially

“No matter how you perturb the pH, there's just these three dynamic classes of behavior that the whole ecosystem can exhibit. Outside of that, it doesn't look like anything else is allowed,” Kuehn said. “That's really quite striking, because you have all this complexity at the lower level giving rise to this relative simplicity at the higher level.”

“This connects to an important theoretical question: when is it OK to summarize dozens of diverse species with a single coarse model?” Tikhonov said. “Here, Kiseok and Siqi managed to show that a coarsened description is not only an excellent approximation of the data but captures something general about community response to perturbations.”

Putting the new model to use

Understanding how the soil microbiome responds to these changes is useful for designing interventions. For example, if nitrogen fertilizer runoff from farms contaminates nearby waterways, officials could take measures to increase pH and remove excess nitrate to prevent algae blooms.

“If you want to understand how these systems are going to respond to future perturbations, then delimiting the set of possible responses is obviously very useful,” Kuehn said.

The researchers also think the same modeling approach can be applied to other environmental factors.

“Focusing on the resilience of the community, which is expressed by biomass activity and the limiting nutrient, shows us that different amounts of perturbations will elicit different effects,” Lee said. “I think this means that we can apply it to elucidating functional responses in other microbial systems against different environmental changes, whether it be from temperature, pH, salinity, or something else.”

The study, “Functional regimes define soil microbiome response to environmental change,” was supported by the National Science Foundation, the National Institute for General Medical Sciences, the Center for Living Systems at UChicago, the National Institute for Mathematics and Theory in Biology, the Simons Foundation, and the Chan-Zuckerberg Initiative. Additional authors include Kyle Crocker and Jocelyn Wang from UChicago and David Huggins from the United States Department of Agriculture.

 

Researchers track the willingness of gun owners to temporarily store guns outside their homes



Rutgers University



Rutgers researchers have found that firearm owners are more likely to consider temporary out-of-home storage when worried about the safety of others.

Their study reveals that firearm owners prioritize the safety of household members over their own self-protection when deciding whether to temporarily store their firearms outside the home. At the same time, many remain concerned about leaving the home defenseless.

Researchers surveyed 3,018 U.S. adults living in households with firearms through an online survey. The respondents were asked who lived in a home with a firearm and their willingness to temporarily store their firearms with either firearm retailers or law enforcement.

The findings illustrate that firearm owners and their family members were willing to store with retailers. Thirty-four percent of the respondents said they were willing to store their firearms with law enforcement agencies.

“Our findings show that firearm owners are more willing to temporarily store their firearms with retailers and law enforcement when they're concerned about protecting others in their household rather than themselves, but are also concerned about leaving the home unprotected,” said Jennifer Paruk, lead author of the study and a postdoctoral fellow at the New Jersey Gun Violence Research Center. “This suggests that providers should emphasize how voluntary, temporary storage can keep loved ones safe while highlighting the short-term nature of this storage."

The researchers said installing lockers within firearm retailers may increase willingness for voluntary, temporary out-of-home storage.

“Several states now provide online maps that show firearm retailers and law enforcement agencies who have indicated that may accept temporary storage requests,” Paruk said.

Experts at the New Jersey Gun Violence Research Center have developed a New Jersey firearm storage map of places throughout the state for temporary, voluntary firearm storage based on 2021 data.

 

Estimated burden of influenza and direct and indirect benefits of influenza vaccination




JAMA Network Open





About The Study:

 In this analytical model study, influenza vaccination provided substantial benefit in reducing infections to both the vaccinated and unvaccinated portions of the population. Even when both vaccine effectiveness and vaccine uptake were low, vaccination showed marked reductions in disease burden for transmission levels characteristic of seasonal influenza. However, when the level of transmission was very high, even a highly effective vaccine did not protect unvaccinated individuals. These findings underscore the importance of vaccination in disease prevention and control and show that indirect benefits are limited in high transmission situations. 



Corresponding Author: To contact the corresponding author, Mary G. Krauland, PhD, email mgk8@pitt.edu.

To access the embargoed study: Visit our For The Media website at this link https://media.jamanetwork.com/

(doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.21324)

Editor’s Note: Please see the article for additional information, including other authors, author contributions and affiliations, conflict of interest and financial disclosures, and funding and support.

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Embed this link to provide your readers free access to the full-text article 

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About JAMA Network Open: JAMA Network Open is an online-only open access general medical journal from the JAMA Network. On weekdays, the journal publishes peer-reviewed clinical research and commentary in more than 40 medical and health subject areas. Every article is free online from the day of publication. 

 

Immigrants in U.S. earn 10.6% less than native-born workers, but biggest driver is job access, not wage discrimination 



UMass Amherst labor expert finds access to high-paying jobs—not unequal pay for the same job—is the biggest driver of immigrant wage gaps 




University of Massachusetts Amherst

Donald Tomaskovic-Devey 

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Donald Tomaskovic-Devey

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Credit: University of Massachusetts Amherst





AMHERST, Mass. — Immigrants in the United States earn 10.6% less than similarly educated U.S.-born workers, largely because they are concentrated in lower-paying industries, occupations and companies, according to a major new study published today in Nature, co-authored by a University of Massachusetts Amherst sociologist who studies equal opportunity in employment. The research—one of the most comprehensive global comparisons of immigrant labor market integration to date—analyzes linked employer-employee data from over 13 million people across nine advanced economies in Europe and North America.

The U.S. results, drawn from a unique combination of Census Bureau, earnings and employer data, reveal that only about one-quarter of the wage gap is due to pay inequality within the same job and company. Instead, the majority stems from structural barriers that limit immigrants’ access to better-paying workplaces.

“These findings are important because they show that most of the immigrant wage gap isn’t about being paid less for the same work—it’s about not getting into the highest-paying jobs and firms in the first place,” says Donald Tomaskovic-Devey, professor of sociology and founding director of the Center for Employment Equity at UMass Amherst.

Key U.S. Findings

  • First-generation immigrants with legal status in the U.S. earn 10.6% less than comparable native-born workers.
  • 3.4%, a third of that gap, is attributable to unequal pay for the same job at the same employer.
  • No data was available on second-generation immigrants in the U.S., but other countries showed persistent but smaller gaps into the next generation.


The study suggests that efforts to close immigrant wage gaps should focus on increasing immigrants’ access to better jobs and firms. Promising approaches include:

  • Language and skills training
  • Recognition of foreign credentials
  • Access to professional networks
  • Employer anti-bias interventions

“Improving job access is essential,” says co-author Andrew Penner, professor of sociology at the University of California, Irvine. “This means addressing the barriers that keep immigrants out of the highest-paying firms and occupations.”

As of 2023, immigrants constituted approximately 14% of the U.S. population, totaling over 47 million people. There are approximately 1 million new long-term permanent residents annually. U.S. immigration policy encompasses diverse pathways, including family-based migration, employment-based visas, the Diversity Visa Lottery and humanitarian protection. Immigration has been a defining feature of the U.S. population since its founding, with distinct waves shaped by economic needs, political developments and global conflicts.

“For almost 250 years, we have been a nation of immigrants, and this pay gap indicates that we can do more as a country to help people following the paths of our forebears realize the American dream,” Tomaskovic-Devey adds.

Global Comparison

The study includes 13.5 million individuals in nine immigrant-receiving countries: the U.S., Canada, France, Germany, Denmark, Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden.

The U.S. had one of the smallest pay gaps (10.6%) among the nine countries studied. By contrast, Canada showed a 27.5% gap and Spain a 29.3% gap. The most favorable outcomes for immigrants were in Sweden (7% gap) and Denmark (9.2%).

The authors identify two main sources of the immigrant-native pay gap:

  1. Sorting—Immigrants are more likely to work in lower-paying industries, occupations and firms.
  2. Within-job inequality—In all countries immigrants are paid less than natives doing the same job for the same employer, but these gaps are relatively small.

Across the nine countries, three-quarters of the 17.9% average wage gap for immigrants was due to sorting; just one-quarter stemmed from unequal pay within jobs. In the U.S., this pattern was consistent: structural job access—not wage discrimination—was the dominant force.

The study also exposes persistent disadvantages for immigrants from certain world regions, including Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and the Middle East. Across all countries, immigrants from these regions faced larger wage gaps than immigrants from Western or Asian countries.

The international research is the latest in a series of high-profile publications from a team spanning over a dozen countries in North America and Europe that has been investigating the dynamics of workplace earnings distributions for the last decade.

 

New peer-reviewed study reveals severe health and economic consequences of 2025 Medicaid policy changes



Research published in JAMA Health Forum projects 13-14 excess deaths and over 800 preventable hospitalizations annually per 100,000 people losing Medicaid coverage



Waymark





Waymark, a public benefit company dedicated to improving access and quality of care in Medicaid, today published peer-reviewed research in JAMA Health Forum examining the projected health system and economic impacts of 2025 Medicaid policy changes. The study, conducted in collaboration with researchers at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, reveals that H.R. 1, the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" recently passed by Congress, could result in devastating consequences for vulnerable populations, rural communities, and local economies nationwide.

Numerous studies from multiple organizations, including the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO), estimate that Medicaid changes including eligibility restrictions, work requirements, and reduced federal matching rates would result in between 7.6 million and 14.4 million Americans becoming uninsured by 2034. Unlike previous analyses focused on enrollment projections, this study quantifies how changes in federal spending and coverage could impact population-level health outcomes and create economic ripple effects for communities across the country — particularly in rural areas already struggling with healthcare access. 

Key findings: 

The study projects that for every 100,000 people who lose Medicaid coverage, communities can expect substantial consequences for health outcomes and economic stability:

Health and Economic Impacts (Per 100,000 People Losing Coverage):

  • 13-14 excess deaths annually

  • 810-924 preventable hospitalizations annually

  • ~2,582 jobs lost annually

  • ~$1.2 billion in reduced economic output annually

Healthcare System Impacts (National Scale):

  • Rural hospitals face heightened risk of closure, with impact disproportionate to coverage losses due to the high concentration of patients on Medicaid in rural areas

  • Federally qualified health centers (FQHCs) experience revenue reductions of 18.7-26.1% depending on coverage loss magnitude and the degree to which patients losing Medicaid would be able to gain other forms of insurance (e.g., Exchange plans)

The study analyzed both base case and higher coverage loss scenarios, with per-capita health and economic consequences remaining consistent across both scenarios. These projected ratios can be applied regardless of the final number of people affected by the policy changes, as uncertainty remains regarding the scale of coverage losses due to administrative burdens of renewal and work requirement verification processes. The study is based on a comprehensive microsimulation model incorporating empirically derived parameters from peer-reviewed literature on health outcomes, healthcare systems, and local economies.

"This analysis demonstrates that Medicaid policy changes in H.R. 1 could have far-reaching consequences extending well beyond federal budget considerations," said Dr. Sanjay Basu MD PhD, lead author of the study and Co-Founder and Head of Clinical for Waymark. "The data shows that rural and underserved communities would bear a disproportionate burden of these policy changes, with implications for people’s lives and livelihoods that state and local policymakers must carefully consider."

With H.R. 1 now signed into law, these findings provide critical insights into what communities can expect as the legislation's provisions take effect. The law includes 80-hour monthly work requirements for able-bodied adults, enhanced eligibility verification every six months, and reduced federal matching rates for expansion populations—representing the most significant restructuring of Medicaid since the program's creation.

“Medicaid affects many different aspects of people’s lives,” said Dr. Seth A. Berkowitz MD MPH, co-author of the study and Associate Professor of Medicine at the University of North Carolina School of Medicine. “When Medicaid gets cut, there are of course health impacts to the people who lose coverage. But there are also important impacts to the broader community, and policymakers need to consider those impacts as well.”

Recognizing the importance of tracking implementation impacts, the research team has made their microsimulation model open source to enable updated estimates as implementation details are finalized. This approach ensures that policymakers and stakeholders have access to the most current projections as states develop their implementation plans.

"This research demonstrates the critical importance of understanding the full consequences of proposed Medicaid changes beyond federal budget numbers,” said Dr. Sadiq Y. Patel MSW PhD, an author for the study and VP of Data Science and Artificial Intelligence for Waymark. “Our model reveals that coverage losses would cascade through communities in ways that profoundly impact public health, healthcare delivery systems, and local economies. These findings should inform policymakers about the real-world trade-offs inherent in these policy decisions."

The research letter titled "Projected Health System and Economic Impacts of 2025 Medicaid Policy Proposals" was published in JAMA Health Forum. The study was conducted by Dr. Sanjay Basu (Waymark, University of California San Francisco), Dr. Sadiq Y. Patel (Waymark, University of Pennsylvania), and Dr. Seth A. Berkowitz (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill). 
 

About Waymark

Waymark is a public benefit company dedicated to improving access and quality of care for people receiving Medicaid. We partner with health plans and primary care providers—including health systems, community health centers, and independent practices—to improve outcomes through community-based care. Our local teams of community health workers, pharmacists, therapists and care coordinators use proprietary data science and machine learning technologies to deliver evidence-based interventions to hard-to-reach patient populations. Waymark's peer-reviewed research has been published in leading journals including the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) Catalyst, Nature Scientific Reports, and Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA)—demonstrating measurable improvements in health outcomes and cost savings for Medicaid populations. For more information, visit www.waymarkcare.com.

 

Faster, smarter, more open: a new way to accelerate AI models



Algorithms developed by Weizmann Institute and Intel Labs researchers enable AI developers around the world to combine the power of different AI models “thinking” as one



Weizmann Institute of Science





Just as people from different countries speak different languages, AI models also create various internal “languages” – a unique set of tokens understood only by each model. Until recently, there was no way for models developed by different companies to communicate directly, collaborate or combine their strengths to improve performance. This week, at the International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) in Vancouver, Canada, scientists from the Weizmann Institute of Science and Intel Labs are presenting a new set of algorithms that overcome this barrier, enabling users to benefit from combined computational power of AI models working together. The new algorithms, already available to millions of AI developers around the world, speed up the performance of large language models (LLMs) – today’s leading models of generative AI – by 1.5 times, on average.

LLMs, such as ChatGPT and Gemini, are powerful tools, but they come with significant drawbacks: They are slow and consume large amounts of computing power. In 2022, major tech companies realized that AI models, like people, could benefit from collaboration and division of labor. This led to the development of a method called speculative decoding, in which a small, fast model, possessing relatively limited knowledge, makes a first guess while answering a user’s query, and a larger, more powerful but slower model reviews and corrects the answer if needed. Speculative decoding was quickly adopted by tech giants because it maintains 100-percent accuracy – unlike most acceleration techniques, which reduce output quality. But it had one big limitation: Both models had to “speak” the exact same digital language, which meant that models developed by different companies could not be combined.

“Tech giants adopted speculative decoding, benefiting from faster performance and saving billions of dollars a year in cost of processing power, but they were the only ones to have access to small, faster models that speak the same language as larger models,” explains Nadav Timor, a PhD student in Prof. David Harel’s research team in Weizmann’s Computer Science and Applied Mathematics Department, who led the new development. “In contrast, a startup seeking to benefit from speculative decoding had to train its own small model that matched the language of the big one, and that takes a great deal of expertise and costly computational resources.”

The new algorithms developed by Weizmann and Intel researchers allow developers to pair any small model with any large model, causing them to work as a team. To overcome the language barrier, the researchers came up with two solutions.


First, they designed an algorithm that allows an LLM to translate its output from its internal token language into a shared format that all models can understand. Second, they created another algorithm that prompts such models to mainly rely in their collaborative work on tokens that have the same meaning across models, similarly to words like “banana” or “internet” that are nearly identical across human languages.

“At first, we worried that too much information would be ‘lost in translation’ and that different models wouldn’t be able to collaborate effectively,” says Timor. “But we were wrong. Our algorithms speed up the performance of LLMs by up to 2.8 times, leading to massive savings in spending on processing power.”

The significance of this research has been recognized by ICML organizers, who selected the study for public presentation – a distinction granted to only about 1 percent of the 15,000 submissions received this year. “We have solved a core inefficiency in generative AI,” says Oren Pereg, a senior researcher at Intel Labs and co-author of the study. “This isn’t just a theoretical improvement; these are practical tools that are already helping developers build faster and smarter applications.” 

In the past several months, the team released their algorithms on the open-source AI platform Hugging Face Transformers, making them freely available to developers around the world. The algorithms have since become part of standard tools for running efficient AI processes.

“This new development is especially important for edge devices, from phones and drones to autonomous cars, which must rely on limited computing power when not connected to the internet,” Timor adds. “Imagine, for example, a self-driving car that is guided by an AI model. In this case, a faster model can make the difference between a safe decision and a dangerous error.”

Also participating in the study were Dr. Jonathan Mamou, Daniel KoratMoshe Berchansky and Moshe Wasserblat from Intel Labs and Gaurav Jain from d-Matrix.

 

Prof. David Harel is the incumbent of the William Sussman Professorial Chair of Mathematics.

 

Delicious but damaging invasive golden oyster mushrooms are decreasing fungal community richness




University of Wisconsin-Madison



MADISON - A popular species of edible mushroom, golden oyster, has spread rapidly throughout the United States since escaping from cultivation into the wild. Now, a new study from researchers at the University of Wisconsin–Madison shows these mushrooms are spreading in every direction from their initial documented escapes in New York, Iowa, Wisconsin and Ohio. The study, published in the journal Current Biology, also found that ecosystems invaded by the golden oyster support less diversity of fungal species and smaller numbers of native fungal species.

“The same way that plants and animals can be invasive, mushrooms can also be invasive,” says Aishwarya Veerabahu, a doctoral student in the Department of Botany and lead author of the paper.

The study uses data collected from shavings of dead tree trunks in the UW–Madison Arboretum and Madison parks, allowing the researchers to determine what fungal species are present, both native and invasive. It also incorporates observational data from community scientists around the country.

Biodiversity loss is an ongoing problem across the globe, and loss of fungal biodiversity is a young, but growing, field of study. Without diversity in ecosystems, species have a smaller pool of genetics at their disposal to evolve and continue to survive. Since fungi provide ecosystem services in unique niches, loss of native species could dramatically alter how an ecosystem functions.

The study’s takeaways included:

  • Golden oyster mushrooms are displacing other fungal species, decreasing biodiversity. Trees where golden oyster mushrooms were detected hosted about half as much diversity of fungal species as trees where the golden oyster mushroom was not detected. Loss of native fungal diversity could have implications for the rate of decomposition and carbon storage capacity in forests. It could also deplete fungal species with rich potential for pharmaceutical development.
  • Climate models predict that the range of habitability for this mushroom will increase. As the planet continues to warm, golden oyster mushrooms will be able to invade more ecosystems and continue to spread across the country. That could mean more ecosystems will lose fungal biodiversity in the future. In future studies, Aishwarya hopes to explore what traits make the golden oyster mushroom a successful invasive, as there may be an overlap with traits that make it desirable for cultivation.
  • Community scientists made tracking the rapid spread of golden oysters possible. The team used visual observations reported on iNaturalist and MushroomObserver to map out the range of the mushroom in the United States. They also used that data to predict where the mushroom might be able to continue its spread.
  • Just because there are no visible mushrooms on a tree does not rule out the presence of the golden oyster mushroom. The most recognizable part of the golden oyster, the part people eat, is actually just the fungus’ fruiting body. The team tested wood shavings from trees to also look for the presence of golden oyster at a molecular level.

 

This research was made possible by the UW Arboretum’s Leopold Fellowship and the USDA Forest Service.