Wednesday, November 05, 2025

What factors determine the severity and outcomes of cyberwarfare between countries?



Wiley





Cyberwarfare between nation states has become increasingly common in recent years. To address several important questions that this phenomenon raises, scientists developed a game theoretical model of cyberwarfare between nations.

Their research, which is published in Economic Inquiry, focuses on factors that determine the severity and outcomes of cyber conflicts. With a two-country model—where nations invest in offensive or defensive cyber capabilities across networked systems—the investigators considered different scenarios where the Attacker is the “high value” player and the Defender is the “low value” player, and vice versa.

The work showed that when the Attacker is able to attack a network through many channels, this implies a relatively lower Attacker cost versus Defender cost and will hurt the Defender. Network structures that minimize the number of attack vectors available to an Attacker tend to be beneficial for the Defender because they allow defensive resources to be used more efficiently. Also, cyber conflict is most intense when countries' cyber capabilities become more alike, which helps to explain why smaller and less technologically advanced countries are increasingly engaged in cyberwarfare with major powers like the United States.

The investigators also assessed the impact of public versus private cyber defenders, and they considered when centralized policies may either improve or exacerbate cyber conflicts.

“When nations' technological capabilities converge, conflicts become more intense—which helps explain why smaller countries can now wage effective cyberwarfare against superpowers,” said corresponding author Rishi Sharma, PhD, of Colgate University. “Perhaps most surprisingly, we found that centralized government control of cybersecurity doesn't always help; sometimes it can actually provoke more aggressive attacks, suggesting that blanket regulations may do more harm than good.”

URL upon publication: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ecin.70027

 

 

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New therapeutic brain implants defy the need for surgery



MIT researchers created microscopic wireless electronic devices that travel through blood and implant in target brain regions, where they provide electrical stimulation.



Massachusetts Institute of Technology




CAMBRIDGE, MA – What if clinicians could place tiny electronic chips in the brain that electrically stimulate a precise target, through a simple injection in the arm? This may someday help treat deadly or debilitating brain diseases, while eliminating surgery-related risks and costs.

MIT researchers have taken a major step toward making this scenario a reality. They developed microscopic, wireless bioelectronics that could travel through the body’s circulatory system and autonomously self-implant in a target region of the brain, where they would provide focused treatment.

In a study on mice, the researchers show that after injection, these miniscule implants can identify and travel to a specific brain region without the need for human guidance. Once there, they can be wirelessly powered to provide electrical stimulation to the precise area. Such stimulation, known as neuromodulation, has shown promise as a way to treat brain tumors and diseases like Alzheimer’s and multiple sclerosis.

Moreover, because the electronic devices are integrated with living, biological cells before being injected, they are not attacked by the body’s immune system and can cross the blood-brain barrier while leaving it intact. This maintains the barrier’s crucial protection of the brain.

The researchers demonstrated the use of this technology, which they call “circulatronics,” to target brain inflammation, a major factor in the progression of many neurological diseases. They show that the implants can provide localized neuromodulation deep inside the brain achieving high precision, to within several microns around the target area.

In addition, the biocompatible implants do not damage surrounding neurons.

While brain implants usually require hundreds of thousands of dollars in medical costs and risky surgical procedures, circulatronics technology holds the potential to make therapeutic brain implants accessible to all by eliminating the need for surgery, says Deblina Sarkar, the AT&T Career Development Associate Professor in the MIT Media Lab and MIT Center for Neurobiological Engineering, head of the Nano-Cybernetic Biotrek Lab, and senior author of a study on the work.

She is joined on the paper by lead author Shubham Yadav, an MIT graduate student; as well as others at MIT, Wellesley College, and Harvard University. The research appears in Nature Biotechnology.

Hybrid implants

The team has been working on circulatronics for more than six years. The electronic devices, each about one-billionth the length of a grain of rice, are composed of organic semiconducting polymer layers sandwiched between metallic layers to create an electronic heterostructure.

They are fabricated using CMOS-compatible processes in the MIT.nano facilities, and then integrated with living cells to create cell-electronics hybrids. To do this, the researchers lift the devices off the silicon wafer on which they are fabricated, so they are free-floating in a solution.

“The electronics worked perfectly when they were attached to the substrate, but when we originally lifted them off, they didn’t work anymore. Solving that challenge took us more than a year,” Sarkar says.

Key to their operation is the high wireless power conversion efficiency of the tiny electronics. This enables the devices to work deep inside the brain and still harness enough energy for neuromodulation.

The researchers use a chemical reaction to bond the electronic devices to cells. In the new study, they fused the electronics with a type of immune cell called monocytes, which target areas of inflammation in the body. They also applied a fluorescent dye, allowing them to trace the devices as they crossed the intact blood-brain barrier and self-implanted in the target brain region.

While they explored brain inflammation in this study, the researchers hope to use different cell types and engineer the cells to target specific regions of the brain.

“Our cell-electronics hybrid fuses the versatility of electronics with the biological transport and biochemical sensing prowess of living cells,” Sarkar says. “The living cells camouflage the electronics so that they aren’t attacked by the body’s immune system and they can travel seamlessly through the bloodstream. This also enables them to squeeze through the intact blood-brain barrier without the need to invasively open it.”

Over the course of about four years, the team tried many methods to autonomously and noninvasively cross the blood-brain barrier before they perfected this cellular integration technique.

In addition, because the circulatronics devices are so tiny, they offer much higher precision than conventional electrodes. They can self-implant, leading to millions of microscopic stimulation sites that take the exact shape of the target region.

Their small size also enables the biocompatible devices to live alongside neurons without causing harmful effects. Through a series of biocompatibility tests, the researchers found that circulatronics can safely integrate among neurons without impacting the brain processes behind cognition or motion.

After the devices have self-implanted in the target region, a clinician or researcher uses an external transmitter to provide electromagnetic waves, in the form of near-infrared light, that power the technology and enable electrical stimulation of the neurons.

Targeting deadly diseases

The Sarkar lab is currently working on developing their technology to treat multiple diseases including brain cancer, Alzheimer’s disease, and chronic pain.

The tiny size and self-implantation capabilities of circulatronics devices could make them well-suited to treat brain cancers such as glioblastoma that cause tumors at multiple locations, some of which may be too small to identify with imaging techniques. They may also provide new avenues for treating especially deadly cancers like diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma, an aggressive type of tumor found in the brain stem that usually cannot be surgically removed.

“This is a platform technology and may be employed to treat multiple brain diseases and mental illnesses,” Sarkar says. “Also, this technology is not just confined to the brain but could also be extended to other parts of the body in future.”

The researchers hope to move the technology into clinical trials within three years through the recently launched startup Cahira Technologies.

They are also exploring integration of additional nanoelectronic circuits into their devices to enable functionalities including sensing, feedback based on-chip data analysis, and capabilities such as creating synthetic electronic neurons.

“Our tiny electronic devices seamlessly integrate with the neurons and co-live and co-exist with the brain cells creating a unique brain-computer symbiosis. We are working dedicatedly to employ this technology for treating neural diseases, where drugs or standard therapies fail, for alleviating human suffering and envision a future where humans could transcend beyond diseases and biological limitations,” says Sarkar.

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By Adam Zewe, MIT News Office

 

Predicted CO2 levels cause marked increase in forest temperatures



Researchers used cutting edge thermal imagining technologies to examine how trees responded to changing environmental conditions




University of Plymouth

Forest CO2 research 

image: 

The research was carried out at the University of Birmingham Institute for Forest Research Free Air CO2 Enrichment (BIFoR-FACE) facility in Staffordshire, England, during the growing seasons of 2021, 2022 and 2023.

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Credit: Peter Ganderton/University of Plymouth




Elevated carbon dioxide levels generated as a result of climate change could significantly increase the temperatures found within the canopies of the world’s woodlands and forests, new research has suggested.

A study by researchers from the UK, Ghana and the USA used thermal imaging technology and other sensors to measure the leaf temperatures found at CO2 levels forecast to occur in 2050.

It found that temperatures within the forest canopies rose by around 1.3°C as a direct consequence of increases in CO2 – from an average of 21.5°C under current conditions to 22.8°C at the predicted 2050 CO2 levels.

However, the difference was even more noticeable in extreme heatwaves – as experienced in the UK in the summer of 2022 – where the difference was more than 2°C and the highest recorded leaf temperature rose to around 40°C.

This, the researchers say, is likely caused by reduced levels of transpiration – the process through which water is loss from plants through evaporation from stomatal pores – as plants alter their physiology to reduce water loss when growing in environment where CO2 is elevated.

They believe that as well as having a direct impact on leaf pore structure, it could impact trees’ ability to transmit water back into the environment, which would have a knock-on effect on the water cycle globally.

The researchers say their findings emphasise the importance of cutting global CO2 emissions particularly at a time when there are widespread calls to plant more trees to benefit the environment. And while they believe oak trees may be to some extent resilient to the changes predicted to occur, the impact on other species is likely to be more marked.

The study, published in the journal Global Change Biology, was led by researchers at the University of Plymouth working alongside partners from the University of Birmingham, University of Leeds, Northern Arizona University, and the Forestry Research Institute of Ghana.

Dr Sophie Fauset, Associate Professor in Terrestrial Ecology at the University of Plymouth and the study’s senior author, added: “We are increasingly relying on trees to mitigate against future environmental change, but this study shows how the changes already happening are having a negative effect on our forests. Our findings are clear evidence that leaf temperature is going up simply as a consequence of increased CO2 and regardless of any other factors. Our tree populations have adapted to their environments over many centuries, but whether they will continue to do so at a time of such swift environmental change is an obvious cause for concern.”

The research was carried out at the University of Birmingham Institute for Forest Research Free Air CO2 Enrichment (BIFoR-FACE) facility in Staffordshire, England, during the growing seasons of 2021, 2022 and 2023.

As different levels of CO2 were pumped into the forest, a thermal imaging camera fixed to a tower within the canopy captured infrared images every 10 minutes for around 22 months.

The experiment also coincided with a period in which the UK experienced its hottest year on record, including a summer heatwave in 2022 where air temperatures exceeded 40°C for the first time.

It provided researchers with huge quantities of data about the precise temperatures being experienced within the forest canopy at differing CO2 concentrations and environmental conditions.

The project forms part of ongoing research by the University, and partners in the UK and worldwide, which has shown that some forests are already reaching, and occasionally exceeding, the temperatures at which they can no longer function.

William Hagan Brown, a PhD researcher at the University of Plymouth and the Forestry Research Institute of Ghana, is the study’s lead author. He added: “As well as this study, we are currently running a similar project in Ghana. Our overall aim is to try and understand how canopy temperatures vary among types of trees and in different locations over the seasons. While we believe the oak trees that formed the main focus of the research are broadly resilient, the shifts in our climate could impact other species to a far greater extent. That is something we need to understand to ensure we can plant new trees, and ensure existing populations survive in the future.”

The research site at the University of Birmingham Institute for Forest Research [VIDEO] 

Drone footage of the research site at the University of Birmingham Institute for Forest Research Free Air CO2 Enrichment (BIFoR-FACE) facility in Staffordshire, England, where tests were conducted during the growing seasons of 2021, 2022 and 2023.

Credit

Peter Ganderton/University of Plymouth

 

Ice Age trees helped stabilize Earth's atmosphere by suffocating




Penn State

archival photo from the original excavations at La Brea Tar Pits 

image: 

Some of the key samples in the study came from the La Brea Tar Pits in Southern California, where researchers analyzed ancient juniper wood preserved in tar. The team found clear signs of elevated photorespiration in the samples, meaning that the trees were releasing CO2 back into the atmosphere nearly as fast they removed it. This archival photo from the original excavations at La Brea Tar Pits shows a tree used in the study.  

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Credit: Courtesy of La Brea Tar Pits





UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. — Ancient trees may have played a key role in regulating Earth’s climate during the last ice age — by breathing less efficiently.  

A new study, led by a researcher at Penn State and published today (Nov. 5) in the journal Nature Geoscience, examined chemical fingerprints in subfossil wood, or preserved trees, from across North America to understand how plants responded to the low carbon dioxide (CO2) levels and cooler temperatures of the last glacial period, about 20,000 years ago.   

The researchers found that as temperature and CO2 levels dropped, trees in many locations increased their photorespiration, a process akin to labored breathing for plants and a sign that they are potentially wasting energy and releasing carbon dioxide back into the atmosphere.  

The increased release of CO2 may have inadvertently kept the climate just warm enough with enough carbon in the atmosphere for plants to survive — acting as a kind of natural handbrake helping to keep Earth's environment habitable.  

“When we're thinking ahead about what's going to happen as the climate changes, one big question is: If we continue to increase atmospheric CO2, how will the plant world respond?” said Max Lloyd, assistant professor of geosciences at Penn State and lead author on the paper. “We found a clear link between changes in climate and responses in the biosphere. As atmospheric CO2 levels and temperatures dropped, many plants became less efficient at fixing carbon, which in turn slowed further drawdown of CO2 from the atmosphere. There is a natural feedback loop we’re just starting to understand.” 

To study how plants fared during the last ice age, which lasted from about 115,000 to 12,000 years ago, Lloyd and his colleagues used a new technique to reconstruct photorespiration rates in ancient trees. Photorespiration is the process in which plants take in oxygen and release carbon dioxide, essentially undoing some of the work of photosynthesis, the process through which plants make energy from sunlight and carbon dioxide.  

The novel technique used a chemical process that measures molecules with multiple rare varieties, called clumped isotopes, in wood. Isotopes have similar chemical properties but different physical properties, and clumped isotopes act like a fingerprint for photorespiration, Lloyd explained. Comparing isotope analyses from trees in the glacial period with modern trees, the team found that trees from warmer regions during the ice age had higher photorespiration rates than their modern counterparts, suggesting that low CO2 levels during the last ice age significantly hampered plant productivity, reduced the amount of carbon they could store in wood and soils — and forced plants into distress.  

Some of the key samples in the study came from the La Brea Tar Pits in Southern California, where researchers analyzed ancient juniper wood preserved in tar. The team found clear signs of elevated photorespiration in the samples, meaning that the trees were releasing CO2 back into the atmosphere nearly as fast they removed it. 

“The relatively understudied plant fossils at La Brea Tar Pits are an excellent resource for understanding the responses of plants to climate change, not just in the past, but in the future,” said Regan Dunn, assistant deputy director of the La Brea Tar Pits & Museum and co-author on the paper. “We’re only scratching the surface on what these ancient plants can tell us.”  

The findings help explain why previous studies have found that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels never fell below the threshold of around 185 to 210 parts per million during glacial periods, Lloyd said.  

“To our knowledge, this the first time that we could test the long-held hypothesis that elevated photorespiration helped keep atmospheric carbon dioxide at these levels tens of thousands of years ago,” Lloyd said. “Testing this required making measurements of trees that were actually growing at the time.”  

He added that photorespiration is a key control on how much carbon is in the atmosphere. In a time when there is a sense of urgency around modeling climate scenarios, Lloyd said it’s vital to understand and account for the effect of plants on the atmosphere. One way to look forward is to turn to the past and study how Earth’s biosphere may have self-regulated in previous times of climate stress.  

“We're trying to understand how plants respond to dramatic changes in their world by looking at a time when the climate was changing relatively quickly,” Lloyd said.  

The other authors on this paper are Daniel A. Stolper and Todd E. Dawson of the University of California, Berkeley; Daniel E. Ibarra of Brown University; and Rebekah S. Sprengel (née Stein) and Barbara E. Wortham, at the University of California, Berkeley, at the time of the research. 

The research was funded by the Aguoron Institute, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. National Science Foundation and the Heising-Simons Foundation.